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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Jake Ferguson
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Jake Ferguson.
23
Insights
15
Positive
6
Negative
Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Jake Ferguson
PositiveProjectionNov 2, 2026
Listed as a Three Star receiver selection for Week 9 DFS based on Vegas odds analysis and game scripting derived from opening NFL odds.NegativeRoleOct 29, 2026
Ferguson cannot hit fantasy lineups and is droppable in shallow leagues. Despite matching Brevyn Spann-Ford in snaps, Spann-Ford has beaten him in targets each of the last two weeks, indicating a shift in the tight end role hierarchy in Dallas.PositiveMatchupOct 27, 2026
Jake Ferguson benefits from the Cardinals matchup and Dallas' projected 29-point-plus team total in Week 8; the Cardinals' defense offers one of the league's most favorable matchups overall.PositiveProjectionOct 26, 2026
Listed as a Four Stars receiver in the Vegas Value Chart for Week 8, indicating strong DFS appeal based on Vegas odds and game script analysis.PositiveDepth ChartOct 22, 2026
Ferguson had a late drop in Week 5 that turned into an interception sealing the loss to Tampa Bay; in Week 6 at Green Bay, he lost his starting job to Brevyn Spann-Ford, an undrafted 2024 signing who started and played more snaps, with Spann-Ford now seen as Prescott's red-zone target—the same short-yardage role that had been growing for Ferguson—meaning what was an unquestioned every-down role in one of the league's better offenses now looks shared despite Ferguson having four years left on his contract.PositiveMatchupOct 20, 2026
Rounds out the core of Dallas skill players in Week 7 against Philadelphia; the positional matchups are excellent with Philadelphia allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.NegativeProjectionOct 19, 2026
Ferguson posted 2.3 fantasy points in Week 7 and is featured in the Landmine Lineup.NegativeValueOct 16, 2026
The source expresses lower confidence in Jake Ferguson compared to Tucker Kraft in the Cowboys-Packers matchup, indicating he is less trustworthy as a tight end option.PositiveValueOct 13, 2026
Jake Ferguson is a viable streamer in Week 6 with four teams on bye (Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, Vikings), creating tight end scarcity.NegativeValueOct 8, 2026
ADP 15, early-season rank 1, RoY rank 12; tight end showing significant early-season outperformance relative to preseason ADP in regression analysis.PositiveMatchupOct 6, 2026
Listed as a Three Stars receiver pick in the Vegas Value Chart for Week 5, indicating the Cowboys game is among the most appealing matchups for DFS based on Vegas odds and projected game script.NegativeMatchupSep 29, 2026
Jake Ferguson is a more matchup-sensitive decision in Week 4 against Houston, indicating less enthusiasm for his play compared to Dallas' other skill players.PositiveSleeperSep 25, 2026
Jake Ferguson is an intriguing option for Week 3's Ravens vs. Cowboys game in Brazil, which carries the highest expected total points of the week at 52.5. He could be a useful option for those suffering multiple WR or TE injuries, offering upside in a high-scoring matchup.PositiveProjectionSep 22, 2026
Ferguson was drafted as a fantasy starter but fell well short of his weekly projection in Week 1 when the Cowboys sputtered through a surprising 28-20 loss to the Giants. However, in Week 2, the Cowboys trounced the Commanders and Ferguson finished as the TE4, demonstrating the Cowboys are still a fantasy goldmine despite Week 1 uncertainty.PositiveMatchupSep 22, 2026
Jake Ferguson belongs in the conversation as a viable play for the Cowboys against Baltimore in the 52.5-point total game, where the Ravens have allowed strong fantasy production to opposing tight ends.PositiveRoleSep 9, 2026
Ferguson is identified as one of multiple receiving threats the Cowboys can lean on in their high-expectation 2026 offense, alongside CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.NegativeBustSep 6, 2026
Jake Ferguson received 2 votes as the most overrated tight end in the industry expert poll, with voters including Theo Gremminger and Nathan Jahnke.NegativeProjectionSep 5, 2026
Ranked TE16 with 161.8 projected fantasy points and 11.6 FPs/$ ratio; ROI rank of 29 among tight ends in contest strategy analysis.NegativeValueSep 4, 2026
Jake Ferguson fell 4 positional ranks from TE11 to TE15 between April and August, with ADP rising from 125.4 to 136.1 (10.7-point increase), indicating significant market repricing downward.PositiveUsageAug 24, 2026
Ferguson was a red-zone target for Dak Prescott during joint practices against the Saints, receiving a touchdown strike and demonstrating his role in the passing attack.PositiveProjectionAug 6, 2026
The forgotten TE4 from last year; likely regression candidate because his eight touchdowns drove his 2025 production and TDs are a volatile stat, but Zachariason is drafting Ferguson because he's a do-it-all option with a good quarterback targeting him and has been a starting fantasy TE for two of the past three years where he started every game.PositiveRoleAug 2, 2026
Jake Ferguson is part of a strong quartet of weapons around Dak Prescott in the Cowboys offense, alongside returning George Pickens, CeeDee Lamb, and Javonte Williams.PositiveValueNo date
Ferguson's TE11 ADP undervalues his 2025 production: he finished TE4 overall with career highs in catches and touchdowns, ranked third among tight ends in receptions, touchdowns, and end-zone targets (10), and posted nine top-12 fantasy weeks (tied for second-most at position). He has maintained a consistent 17% target share over three consecutive seasons. The source rates him TE8 on its rankings and recommends a ninth-round pick as fair value, arguing that a third top-10 finish in four seasons is realistic and that fantasy investors may be overreacting to his injury-marred 2024 season. His role as a reliable target in Dallas's high-scoring offense is supported by historical precedent: the 2021 Cowboys situation with Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Michael Gallup led to the emergence of then-tight end Dalton Schultz, who averaged double-digit yards per reception in consecutive seasons. Ferguson replicated that double-digit yards-per-reception mark in 2023, the first year Schultz was gone, and is positioned to benefit similarly from Lamb and Pickens drawing coverage.