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Ranking Every Week 15 Wide Receiver as a Start or Sit

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

25 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Dec 11, 2025
Published
Thu, December 11, 2025
34
Player insights
32
Players mentioned
Topics
Alec PierceJakobi MeyersAdonai MitchellBrock BowersCaleb WilliamsChris GodwinChristian WatsonCourtland SuttonD.J. MooreDarius SlaytonDarnell MooneyDeAndre WashingtonDeVonta SmithDK Metcalf
Player analysis

Player insights

34

Adonai Mitchell

PositiveProjection11:30

Adonai Mitchell has ceiling-game upside as a potential only target against Jacksonville, but the Jaguars are not an easy defense to throw against; he has really low floor games, making him risky for the first week of fantasy playoffs and placing him in the shaky flex category.

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Alec Pierce

NegativeMatchup18:15

Alex Pierce could be a target for a deep play-action shot early in the game if Seattle stacks the box against Jonathan Taylor; Thursday Night Football suggests this could be a fun longest-reception or prop bet if Rivers and the Colts try to attack the secondary early, though he doesn't recommend general lineup inclusion.

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PositiveMatchup18:34

Potential deep-ball target in early play-action against Seattle's stacked box; BDGE Fantasy Football predicts Indianapolis may attack vertically early to Pierce on first or second play action, with a realistic chance of connection. Suggests this could be a fun longest-reception or prop bet if Rivers and the Colts try to attack the secondary early, though does not recommend general lineup inclusion.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveProjection10:33

Brock Bowers is the only Las Vegas pass catcher recommended to start in Week 15 against Philadelphia, standing out as the sole viable option in a Raiders offense expected to produce minimal passing volume in an 11.5-point underdog spot.

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Caleb Williams

NegativeProjection7:20

BDGE Fantasy Football expresses low confidence in Caleb Williams' consistency and the Chicago passing offense overall, expecting the Bears to employ a run-heavy approach as they have all season. This limits upside for Chicago pass catchers in Week 15 against Cleveland.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeProjection0:46

Projected at 39.5 points for Week 15 and ranked as a shaky flex. Returning to full strength alongside Mike Evans and Jaylen McMillan, which should help stabilize Tampa Bay's passing game.

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Christian Watson

NegativeMatchup16:20

Christian Watson is playing out of his mind, but his spike weeks in fantasy have mostly come against lesser defenses; against legit secondaries, he still has a floor as Green Bay's number one receiver but hasn't shown spike-week upside. BDGE Fantasy Football rates him as a dub flex (borderline start/sit) against Denver's tough secondary.

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Courtland Sutton

NegativeProjection16:52

Courtland Sutton deserves to be in the dub flex range against Green Bay; he has a much lower ceiling than earlier in the year, and Denver's passing game has not clicked statistically, making him a good floor play without much ceiling upside.

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D.J. Moore

NegativeProjection8:08

Ranked in the bottom tier of BDGE Fantasy Football's Week 15 wide receiver start/sit rankings, falling into the lowest category alongside other Chicago pass catchers due to the team's run-heavy approach and limited passing volume.

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Darius Slayton

NegativeProjection12:35

Darius Slayton is placed in the shaky flex category; he has a much lower floor than DeAndre Washington but is capable of having good games in a matchup like this with a 47.5-point total. However, BDGE Fantasy Football thinks there are brighter names available.

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Darnell Mooney

PositiveRole0:53

Shaky flex at best for Week 15 with very low floor due to inconsistent performances. Benefits from Drake London's absence in terms of target opportunity, but remains unreliable in fantasy playoffs despite favorable matchup on paper against Tampa Bay.

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DeAndre Washington

PositiveProjection12:35

DeAndre Washington is rated as a good ancillary piece in the Washington-Giants matchup due to the favorable matchup; he's placed near the top of the shaky flex category with a higher floor than Darius Slayton.

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DeVonta Smith

PositiveProjection10:26

DeVonta Smith is ranked in the 'dub flex' category for Week 15 because he is always viable to produce in any given week, suggesting consistent upside despite the Eagles' expected run-heavy approach against Las Vegas.

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DK Metcalf

NegativeValue22:50

DK Metcalf is a dub flex play for Week 15 against Miami. He had his first ceiling game in eight weeks last week and could carry momentum, but Miami's defense has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to WRs on the season and is particularly strong against single-receiver threats. Vegas has his prop at 54.5 yards, which is healthier than some peers (Jawan Jennings, Brian Thomas Jr.) but below top-tier receivers (Zay Flowers, Justin Jefferson). Thursday Night Football would not sit him for Debo Samuel, Cleo Skaggs, or Darius Slayton, but the conversation starts with Jawan Jennings due to Metcalf's up-and-down nature this season.

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Drake London

PositiveInjury0:25

Out for Week 15, removing a primary target from Atlanta's passing game and opening up opportunity for Darnell Mooney.

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George Pickens

PositiveMatchup20:59

Strong recommendation to start against Dallas; BDGE Fantasy Football expresses confidence that George Pickens cannot be benched in this matchup, implying high upside against Dallas's weak pass defense.

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Jakobi Meyers

PositiveRole10:43

Myers is Jacksonville's clear number one target; Thursday Night Football feels really good about having him in the lineup despite the Jaguars' low-volume passing offense (Trevor Lawrence has not thrown more than 30 pass attempts in any of the last five games).

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PositiveRole10:43

Jakobi Meyers is Jacksonville's clear number one target and BDGE Fantasy Football feels very good about having him in the lineup for Week 15, indicating strong confidence in his role and production potential despite the Jaguars' low-volume passing offense (Trevor Lawrence has not thrown more than 30 pass attempts in any of the last five games).

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Jalen McMillan

NegativeProjection0:30

Returning from injury but ranked in the 'rather not' category for Week 15 with a projection of 10.5 points, indicating low confidence despite his return to the lineup.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

PositiveProjection17:54

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a must-start in Week 15 against Indianapolis; Seattle is a 14-point favorite (two-touchdown favorites) with a 42.5-point total, and Indianapolis is playing with Philip Rivers likely starting (hasn't played in 5 years) against a ridiculously tough Seahawks defense.

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Jayden Higgins

PositiveMatchup4:05

Shaky flex recommendation for Week 15 against Arizona; ranked near the top of the shaky flex tier due to favorable matchup. Arizona was decimated by the Rams passing game last week. He is the number two target and route runner for Texans despite hovering around 45-50% snap share.

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Jayden Reed

NegativeRole17:10

Jaden Reed ran a decent amount of routes and got involved in Week 14, but he's still a 60% snap guy in an offense that wants to run through Josh Jacobs and is playing against Denver; BDGE Fantasy Football doesn't expect a ceiling game from him despite the positive first week.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeMatchup18:34

Mentioned as potential target in early play-action scenario against Seattle's stacked box; Thursday Night Football predicts Indianapolis may attack vertically early with Taylor as the play-action trigger, though overall outlook on Colts pass catchers remains negative.

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Justin Herbert

NegativeInjury9:13

Hand injury is a legitimate concern for Week 15. The Chargers went very run-heavy against Philadelphia last week and are likely to continue that game plan, which limits passing attempts and reduces Herbert's volume despite his rushing contributions.

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Justin Jefferson

NegativeProjection21:01

Classified as tough start despite great matchup; Dallas allows single most fantasy points to wide receivers, second most points per game to offenses, and third most EPA per pass. However, Jefferson has failed to capitalize on great matchups four times this season. BDGE Fantasy Football lacks confidence but will start him in dub flex category over all other options due to name value and inability to justify benching him despite recent underperformance.

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Khalil Shakir

NegativeMatchup6:48

Shaky flex recommendation for Week 15 against Buffalo. Last meeting produced 6 receptions for 45 yards (described as his most normal game), which is likely the baseline expectation. Can produce 15-20 points but more likely to fall short. Target line at 4.5 receptions. Flex-eligible but not a priority start in fantasy playoffs unless seeking extreme upside.

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Ladd McConkey

PositiveRole9:25

Ladd McConkey is the number one target for the Chargers in Week 15 and is ranked in the 'dub flex' (double flex) category by BDGE Fantasy Football, indicating a favorable start/sit outlook compared to other Chargers receivers.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

NegativeInjury3:41

DNP on Wednesday with no concrete injury update; trending in the wrong direction for Week 15 availability. If Harrison doesn't play, the matchup against Houston is described as brutal and one of the worst possible on paper for fantasy purposes. Uncertainty impacts Arizona's passing game planning.

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Michael Pittman

PositiveProjection18:35

Despite receiving high target volume last week from Riley Leonard, BDGE Fantasy Football does not recommend looking at anyone in the Colts offense with excitement regardless of who is under center (Rivers or Riley Leonard) given the tough Seahawks defense and overall matchup difficulty. Last week's high target volume was situational—Indianapolis was down multiple scores in a prevent-defense context—and is not predictive of sustained role.

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Michael Wilson

PositiveUsage5:17

Projected at 54.5 points for Week 15 and expected to see 10 targets. Ranked as a must start despite Arizona's poor matchup against Houston, with BDGE Fantasy Football conviction that his performance and role warrant automatic lineup inclusion regardless of matchup difficulty.

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Mike Evans

NegativeRole0:30

Returning from injury and ranked as a dub flex for Week 15. Expected to play near full-time role despite conditioning concerns from extended layoff; BDGE Fantasy Football believes he will attempt to prove himself immediately upon return. Projected at 40.5 points. Potential floor risk against Atlanta's secondary (AJ Terrell coverage), but historically capable of big games in this matchup.

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Nico Collins

PositiveMatchup5:11

Ranked as a must start for Week 15 in a favorable matchup for Houston against Arizona's struggling secondary.

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Ricky Pearsall

NegativeBust19:57

Inconsistent and unreliable despite potential for forced targets heading into playoffs; has vanished into a nothing burger and BDGE Fantasy Football cannot trust him to produce consistently. Acknowledges possibility of a good game if San Francisco tries to get him going as a real outside receiver, but lacks confidence in that happening.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveMatchup5:24

Dub flex recommendation at worst for Week 15 against Bengals. Target line at 6.5 receptions with game total of 52.5 points suggests high-volume game; Ravens likely to lean on Derrick Henry but Flowers' versatility (inside/outside alignment) should limit shadow coverage from DJ Turner despite tough matchup. Had a questionable OPI call negated a 50-yard TD in prior meeting.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

255
0:00Good morning friends and enemies. In today's video, we have the wide receiver preview slate for week 15. We are going game by game. Every fantasy relevant
0:09wide receiver, if they are starts, if they are sits, if they are flexes in one of the most important fantasy weeks in
0:15the history of mankind, we are starting off with Thursday Night Football, Tampa Bay against Atlanta. Biggest storylines of this game by far and away. 44 and a
0:25half point total. The Bucks are four and a half point favorites. It's a juicy line. Drake London is going to be out
0:30for this one. But on the other side of things, we do get the return of Mike Evans. We get the return of Jaylen
0:36McMillan. Despite Ibuka's struggles over the last sixish weeks, he still projected a higher line than Mike Evans is. 51 a half for Ibuka, 40 and a half
0:46for Mike Evans, 39 12 for Chris Godwin.
0:49McMillan's down at 10 and a half. He's going straight into the rather not.
0:52That's how we'll start this video off.
0:53Without Drake London, Darnell Mooney's been a shaky flex at best. just really inconsistent performances. He should be getting targets. This is a good matchup
1:00on paper in theory, but I don't know how you can actually trust him in your flex spot in the fantasy playoffs. Like you
1:06you could do worse. Like I'd start Mooney over McMillan of course, but that being said, the floor is very very low.
1:11What we need to talk about, of course, is the Tampa Bay side of things. Ibuka is getting the targets. He's uncharacteristically dropping passes,
1:18which like I I just don't think that's going to be something that I want to bet against going forward. Like I don't
1:24think I'm willing to drop him significantly in my rankings just cuz he drops a few passes in in bad weather games, etc. I still think he's running
1:31routes fine. I still think the defense is probably putting a lot of focus on him and that's some of the reason why
1:36he's underperforming. Mike Evans back out there. I won't say it helps him because obviously his target total is going to come down a little bit, but I
1:42do think taking the pressure off of him a little bit, having Godwin McMillan out there at full strength, like we saw what
1:46this team was in the beginning of the year and it was a lot of IUA. So they take on the Atlanta Falcons who are
1:51crumbling right now. Evans, I think he's going to be at full strength. I'm not worried about the injury. I'm a little
1:56bit worried about just like conditioning overall. Obviously, a lot of times when players are coming back from like a massive layoff, they're going to see a
2:02route percentage around 60 65%. I do think Evans probably gets out there and just [ __ ] dogs it through and plays
2:08near a full-time role. So, for me, he's going into the dub flex category and I going to travel right behind him, right
2:14into that as well. So, I like both of them. I will say I think Evans, like I said, gets out there and like tries to
2:20prove himself being back to the old Mike Evans immediately. He does randomly strug not randomly, but the reason behind his struggles within the NFC
2:27South sometimes he like gets locked up by these are good corners. AJ Terrell, Marshon Latimore, they're not elite corners. They're not dudes that you're
2:35like, "Oh my god, my receivers's going against them. They're not Patertan, you know what I mean?" But Evans can struggle against those guys and has
2:41shown floor games against Atlanta, against the Saints historically, right?
2:45and and sometimes he has big games obviously that's just the course of Mike Evans's career but week one we did have
2:50this matchup and Ibuka popped off Mike Evans had you know like a five for 50 game was without Godwin was without
2:56McMillan so a little bit tough to get a little skewed there but I think at the end of the day both of these guys are
3:01playable Godwin's going to move into the shaky flex category and then we can move onward and upward Arizona at Houston here 9 and a half point favorites they
3:11are in Houston 42 and 12 point total I love the matchup for Houston we're throwing into the must start category for Nico Collins. And listen, Mike
3:17Wilson, Michael Wilson, I've actually never heard anyone call him Mike Wilson.
3:21Don't know why. That just came out of my mouth. Projected 54 and a half. We don't have any concrete word on Marvin
3:26Harrison Jr. yet. He started the week off with a DNP on Wednesday, which is not trending in the right direction, but
3:32does not mean he's definitely out for this one. Paris Johnson, that's a big hit to their offensive line as well.
3:37He's going to be out for this game. Both running backs for the Texans also started out with the DMP, so we'll have
3:41to see how that shakes up. Regardless, if Marvin Harrison doesn't play, I know the matchup is brutal. I know it's awful. I know, you know, you couldn't
3:49have one on paper that I would less like to have in my first matchup for fantasy.
3:53I still think Michael Wilson is going to see 10 targets. Like, I I just think that no matter what happens, the way
3:58that he's performing, you would be an insane person not to have him in your lineup, regardless of what this number on paper is. On the flip side, I do like
4:05Jaden Higgins. Like, I think he is very, very much a flex worthy play. Do I think he's like a dub flex? Am I going out of
4:11my way to put him in my lineup? No. But I think he's in the shaky flex category and very much near the top of it. I
4:16mean, we saw Arizona get decimated by the Rams passing game last week with Stafford. Could have had five touchdowns if he really wanted to. So, I I like
4:23Jaden Higgins. I'm not looking forward to starting any of the other Texans receivers. They're all hovering around 45 to 50% of snaps. Same thing with
4:30Jaden Higgins. He doesn't really see that far above that snap range right now, unfortunately. But, I just love the matchup and he is the number two there
4:37in targets, in routes run, and all that kind of stuff. And I think this is going to be a good game for CJ Stroud. Moving
4:42to Baltimore at Cincinnati, we've got a 52 1/2 point total here. The Ravens are 2 and 1/2 point favorites on the road.
4:50When I look at the matchup here, I mean, we have to wait on T. Higgins. Wildly, I would have put significant money that
4:56having his second concussion. He's back in the protocol, you know, two weeks after having his first one this year.
5:00Like, I would have put significant money that he was just going to be put on the IR and he was done for the year. He
5:04returned to a limited practice on Wednesday, which feels like [ __ ] insane to me and like puts him on track
5:10to return maybe this week, maybe next week. Regardless, I here here's the thing. We're playing the Ravens. Jamar Chase is a mustart. If Tiggins is out
5:18there, I'm I'm just going to put Teiggins in the must start category as well. Him and Burrow have clear chemistry there. Tiggins doesn't play,
5:24nothing changes. Jamar Chase is still in the must-art category. Zay Flowers, on the other hand, you have DJ Turner playing out of his mind as the
5:30quarterback one for the Bengals. And we did see this match up two weeks ago. Zay Flowers very questionable OPI call should have been a 50-yard touchdown
5:38catch was shut down for the remainder of the game for the most part. You don't want to start any other Ravens
5:42receivers. But ultimately I still think Zay Flowers is at worst a Dub flex. Like his line at 66 1/2, 5 and a half
5:49receptions. The game total of 52 and a half tells you that they're going to have to score. They're gonna have to
5:52move the ball. Probably gonna be a Derrick Henry game, but Zay Flowers moves around enough that he's inside, he's outside. I don't think he's gonna
5:57see shadow coverage from DJ Turner, but obviously should be noted that is a tough matchup overall for him. But I still feel relatively good about him in
6:04my lineup. Next up, we got probably the game of the week. Buffalo at New England for the rematch. New England took down
6:09the first one. It is Buffalo as a favorite by just a point and a half.
6:13They're in New England in Foxboro. 50 and a half point total. The last time these two teams played, Stefon Diggs went 1046.
6:21It was like his big breakout game. The Bills defense, the Bills pass defense has gotten exponentially better and they are a very tough team to move the ball
6:29through the air. last week. Obviously, Gassiki and Tigans were playing out of their mind. So, I don't think that's like something to overemphasize.
6:35Ultimately, I'd imagine they're going to shift a little bit of their attention to Stefon Diggs for another revenge game here, but I still want him in my lineup
6:42for sure. He's a dub flex to me. Clear up and down obviously kind of all over the place. Last time these two teams
6:48played, he had the most normal Khalil Shakir game of all time. 6 for 45. So, honestly, I think that's probably what
6:53you're looking at. Do you look at that as a dub flex or a shaky flex? Probably closer to a shaky flex. Like if you're
6:58in the fantasy playoffs, you're looking for guys that have extreme upside here.
7:02You're looking for guys that can give you 15 to 20 points. Shakir can obviously do that, but more likely not to do it. So can definitely start him.
7:08He's in the flex range, but I'm not going out of my way to get him into my lineups this week if I do not have to.
7:15Line at 43 and a half right there. Just a little bit ahead of a guy like Chris Godwin. The rest of the teams, yeah, I'm
7:20not really like trying to get any of them in my lineup if I don't have to. So we'll just kind of move forward after
7:25that. We've got Cleveland at Chicago here. Chicago 7 and 12 point favorites.
7:30They are at home a 38 12 point total.
7:33The Browns defense is obviously very good dealing with some injuries though.
7:36So I do think Chicago will kind of have their way here and be able to move the ball. I don't really trust Caleb
7:41Williams right now or the passing offense at all in terms of like consistency. So I think this is going to be as it has been all year like a super
7:47super runheavy approach for the Chicago Bears offense. So Burton again, not a guy like he might be getting the most targets, running a decent amount of
7:55routes, probably the most talented guy in that receiver group right now, but he's another guy that I'm not like dying to get into my lineups if I don't have
8:01to. Judy with Shador Sanders has actually looked pretty good. Had a big game last week, was like fingertip away from having a huge game the week before
8:08that as well. So him and Shador have actually started to link up a little bit. Jerry Judy, tough matchup. Probably seeing a lot of Jaylen Johnson, although
8:15Jaylen Johnson didn't look great against the Packers last week. Regardless, tough match up on paper. Shaky flex for me. DJ Moore is going to fall into the bottom
8:21of that category as well. And we can move forward. Roma Dunce, though, actually, you know, before I move on, I have to throw this out there. Denzel
8:27Ward started the week with a uh DNP, so we'll have to keep an eye on that. Kyler Gordon with a DMP as well. Jaylen
8:33Johnson practiced in full. No worries there. But Roma Dunce did return to a limited practice. So, he had the stress fracture in his foot that made it sound
8:40like it was going to be a week toe thing and he'll be out for multiple weeks. But if he started the week off with a
8:45limited practice, that does put him on the radar to at least have a chance to return this week. And if that's the
8:50case, then you have all these guys going into the shaky flex category and just kind of consummating all of them into
8:55the shitty shitty flex range of guys that you can't really trust because they're probably going to throw for 200 yards maximum and then it's split
9:02between five guys catching passes there.
9:04Next game up, we got the Chargers at the Kansas City Chiefs. A 41 12 point total.
9:08The Chiefs are 5 1/2 point favorites here. We're not going to overthink Rashi Rice. I would say on the flip side of
9:13things, uh I don't think it's too crazy to overthink Justin Herbert and his hand injury. As you can see, they wanted to
9:18go very, very runheavy last week versus Philadelphia and it worked out. I'd imagine they're probably going to play off that game plan. And Herbert's been
9:25running the ball a lot, so that takes away from some of the passing attempts that he has as well. So Lad, he is the
9:31number one target there. So I would say I like him more than the guys down here.
9:35So I'm going to throw him into the dub flex category. Everybody else in this game is pretty much a shaky flex kind of
9:40at best. We can move to Las Vegas at Philadelphia. So we've got Philly at 11 and a half point favorites. A 38 and 12
9:48point total. So we're expecting basically no production out of the Raiders here. Gino Smith shoulder doubtful DNP on Wednesday. Likely going
9:56to get a Kenny Picket game. And I know people are trying to get cute here and be like, "Yeah, Kenny Picket might
10:00save the Raiders." There's no saving the Raiders, fam. They're Cook John Stein out here. So I I have very very little faith in one Jaylen Herz
10:09really throwing the ball more than 20 times in this game. This would probably be a huge Saquon day. So I I think it's
10:14worth really thinking about that a little bit more. Like AJ Brown's been a monster, but I'd throw him more into the
10:18feels good category than I would the mustard category just because the volume the passing volume overall is probably going to be really really far down the
10:26chain of command here. And then Devonte Smith, I would throw him into the dub flex category because he's always viable to pop any given week. And then on the
10:33flip side, you are not looking to start any Raider pass catcher outside of Brock Bowers. Jack B might be a stash to see
10:38what he does down the line here, but tough match up against Philadelphia. And yeah, just no, don't put them in your
10:43lineup. Next up, we got the New York Jets at the Jacksonville Jaguars. 13 12 point favorites for Jacksonville, 41 12 point total. So, not expecting much from
10:53the Jets situation because we are waiting on word for the quarterback here. Justin Fields DNP to start. Tyrod Taylor DNP to start. We are trending
11:02towards another Brady Cook start for the New York Jets, which would be bad news for the New York Jets pass catchers
11:08here. All right. Also, Bruce Hall DMP, Mason Taylor DMP, like some injuries that would actually push their volume up, but right now the way I'm looking at
11:17it is Trevor Lawrence is playing well. I I do uh similar to my concerns about AJ Brown and the Philly offense, like this
11:23is a game where, you know, Liam Cohen when he can get the run game going, that's how he wants to lean on the
11:28offense. So, this could be another game where the Jacksonville Jaguars don't throw the ball more than 25 times. Over the Jags last five games, they are 4-1
11:37and Trevor Lawrence has not thrown more than 30 pass attempts in any of those five games. So, that's kind of where
11:43we're leaning here. Jacobe Myers is definitely his number one target right now and I feel really good about having him in my lineup. However, we do likely
11:50have the return of Parker Washington to this game. He was limited on Wednesday.
11:56He was limited all last week before not actually suiting up. So, it does sound like he will probably make his return
12:02this week, which does muddy the pecking order in Jacksonville between Brian Thomas, who actually probably had his best game of the season or close to it
12:08last week. I like BTJ to have like an efficient game and a pretty good game and maybe he scores a touchdown, but
12:14again, I think because the volume is probably going to be so low here, he's he's floating between that dub flex and
12:21shaky flex category. Like I think him and Lad Mananki is a really good conversation to have. And honestly, I'd probably play BTJ over Lad Mani. Don't
12:29feel good about saying that out loud, but I do like him more than like a Kil Shakir or a Jerry Judy or Darnell
12:34Mooney. So, you know what? I I honestly need to make a tier between Dub Flex and Shaky Flex. I don't know what that would
12:39be, but it's like guys that I [ __ ] hate ranking. Maybe that's going to be the name of that tier. So, on the flip
12:44side, I think it's pretty cut and dry.
12:46Like Adonai Mitchell, sure, he could have the ceiling game. He might be the only target here, but the Jags are not
12:49an easy defense to throw against. and you know he has ceiling games, he has really really low floor games. So putting him into your lineup for the
12:56first week of fantasy playoffs could be a little bit of a death sentence for you. So both of them are going into the
13:00shaky flex category. Moving to Washington at the New York Giants. Both sides of the passing offense will have good matchups in this one because
13:08Washington gets the Giants who have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to receivers and the Giants get Washington who have allowed the fifth
13:13most fantasy points to receivers and the most EPA per pass. Both sides of the receiver groups will be at full strength
13:20for this game. It's a 47 1/2 point total. Washington 2 and 1/2 point underdogs. Jaden Daniels was ruled out.
13:27So it will be Marcus Mariota under center. Again, we did see two weeks ago Marcus Mariota kind of lift both Terry
13:33McLaren and do Samuel to have good games against the Broncos. So we know it's in the bag. It obviously just makes things
13:38a little bit more uneasy. Like I actually Terry McLaren obviously a more talented player than everyone else in this game. But Marks Mariota under
13:46center, just the inconsistency of this passing offense leans me way more towards Sarah McLaren being a dub flex.
13:51Wandell Robinson I think is a really strong start in the dub flex category.
13:55Sllayton and dbo Samuel I think both of them are like good ancillary pieces because of the matchups that they both get. Like I think Sllayton's probably
14:02way more likely to just bust and he's got a much lower floor than dbo. But I also think Sllayton's capable in a
14:07matchup like this with Jackson Dart 47 and a half point total of having good games. So you know what? I'm going to
14:13throw both of them into the shaky flex category. Debo's definitely going to be near the top. I think Darius Sllayton's also going to be in that conversation
14:20with the Cleo Shakir, the Jaden Higginses, like these guys. I I don't feel terrible about having him in my flex spots, but I do think there are,
14:28you know, brighter names to be had there. Moving to Carolina at the New Orleans Saints. So, we've got a 40 and a
14:34half point total here. We've got the Saints as two and a half points underdogs despite being at home against the Carolina Panthers. Panthers have
14:41have sneaky had some good quarterback play between JC Horn and Mike Jackson here. The only DMPs are on the Saints side of things. Alvin Kamara still a DMP
14:50with that MCL knee injury here. So, it looks like both teams for the most part are at full strength. Chris Avey's so
14:58involved in this offense. I don't want to overthink despite having a couple bad games. I do think the impact of Devon
15:02Vele is maybe skewing the target share quite a bit and I don't hate him as a shaky flex this week. I think Jaylen
15:08Coker is a guy who's kind of emerging a little bit as a shaky flex as well. T McMillan for the most part, I like the
15:12matchup. Maybe the Saints defense is a little bit underrated, but at the end of the day, he's a guy who gets 25 to 30%
15:18of the targets in that offense. So, I like Tet as a feelsgood character.
15:23Detroit at the LA Rams here. This one honestly pretty [ __ ] cut and dry. I'm almost about to rip all four of these
15:29guys right into the mustart category. 55 12 point total in this game. I want to say that's the highest on the year.
15:36maybe maybe match the Dallas game with Detroit or something like that. But just explosive fireworks everywhere. Matt Stafford playing out of his mind. This
15:43passing offense for Detroit is just so skewed to just a couple guys right now.
15:47So Puka must start. Aman RA of course must start. Jameson Williams, he's the one that you could probably have a conversation about because he's second
15:55to Aman Rah and also playing against the LA Rams. But I mean they're going to have to throw the ball a billion times
16:00here to have success in my humble opinion. And you know, no Sam Leaporta still is just siphoning targets to these guys over and over again. Then Devonte
16:09Adams, I mean, in terms of fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver position, Detroit number two in the entire NFL. So, light that up, smoke it,
16:17get as many players in this game on your team as possible and enjoy. Green Bay at Denver. This is a little bit of a tough
16:25one to decipher here because we got Green Bay two and a half point favorites on the road in Denver. Kind of
16:29surprising. 42 1/2 point total here.
16:32Christian Watson playing out of his mind. I will say more often than not, the big games that he has or almost all
16:38the time this year, the big games that he has, the spike weeks in fantasy have come against lesser defenses. When he
16:43plays against like a legit secondary shutting down, not that he has bad games, he still has a floor because he's taken over as a number one wide receiver
16:50in Green Bay, but we haven't really seen those spike weeks outside of like maybe a big play here or there. So, while I'm
16:57probably not tough enough to sit Christian Watson in the fantasy playoffs, this matchup is brutal. But I'm going to throw him into the dub flex
17:04category. He's in that conversation. I probably still him over BTJ, Lad Maconi, maybe these guys here, but he's he's right in this range. I think Courtland
17:12Sutton I think deserves to be in that range as well. He's got a much less higher ceiling as we've seen over the
17:18course of this year. Unfortunately, their passing game has not really clicked to a high level yet statistically. So Sen, I feel like, is a
17:24good floor dude without very much of a ceiling. The rest of the players to me are shaky, flex guys, so I'm throwing
17:30them right into it. It was good to see Jaden Reed running a decent amount of routes and uh getting involved all
17:36around, but he's still a 60% guy. He's still in an offense that wants to run it through Josh Jacobs. He's still playing
17:42against the Denver Broncos. So, you know, it's good to see that first week, but I'm not expecting a ceiling game out
17:47of him either. The one note I will say is I believe Pat Bryant started off the week with a D&P. Yes, he did. Uh Josh
17:53Jacobs too, but Wednesday I'm not overly concerned about for him because he gets a lot of veteran rest days. If Pat
17:58Bryant does miss the game, it will move Troy Franklin up my rankings a little bit. I'm not like dying to get him into
18:04my lineups, but he's been startable at times throughout the year when he's the actual number two there. All right, moving to Indie at Seattle. I mean,
18:12devastating blow for Indianapolis.
18:14They're playing in Seattle. Ridiculously tough defense. 42 1/2 point total here.
18:19Seattle is 14 point favorites. Two touchdown favorites here. JSN of course going into the mustar. And then I just don't know how you can look at anyone in
18:29Indianapolis right now with Philip Rivers likely starting. Dude hasn't played in 5 years. They're playing against probably the toughest defense in
18:34the NFL. I believe there might even be some bad weather concerns out there in Seattle. So like the deck is stacked
18:39against all of these guys. Here's here's kind of my prediction actually. Not for the for the entirety of the game. I do
18:45think because the narrative is going to be so strong, like Rivers has nothing left, he's got no arm, that they might
18:50come out immediately and try that defense, like you know, Seattle's going to stack the box. I wouldn't be surprised if they tried in the first or
18:57second play action to Jonathan Taylor, rip it deep to Alex Alec Pierce. And I could see it connecting. I really could.
19:03So, if you want to get cute here and try like longest reception or try some kind of bet that hits on that happening, I
19:10kind of [ __ ] with that. But that being said, I don't know how you could look at anyone and be excited about what's
19:15happening here, regardless of who's under center. Even if it's Riley Leonard, I I get it. He threw a lot to Michael Pitman last week, but like that
19:22was they're down a bunch of points. The defense is playing like cover four prevent. Of course, all those underneath catches are going to be available to any
19:28quarterback there. So, I uh would rather not start any Indianapolis pass catchers right now if I do not have to. Tennessee
19:35at San Francisco. Tennessee 12 and a half point underdogs on the road traveling cross country. 44 and a half point total here. So Vegas is, you know,
19:44rightfully expecting Tennessee to get thrashed by San Francisco. Now Tennessee has become more of like a passfunnel defense. They're pretty good against
19:51running backs, terrible against opposing receivers. Unfortunately, San Fran doesn't really have an alpha as a receiver, but I feel good about Jawan
19:57Jennings. The dude scores like every week. And you know, I wouldn't be surprised if Ricky had a good game, but at this point, I don't know how you
20:03can actually go ahead and just trust that happening. So, you know, you could do worse than Ricky P in your lineup,
20:08but you could also do a lot better cuz he's kind of vanished away to a Nothing Burger, unfortunately. But maybe post by
20:14this is when they try to get him going.
20:15They're like, "We're going to need you as a real wide receiver on the outside post by heading into the playoffs."
20:20Like, I could see some forced targets his way, but rather not have him in my lineup. Same thing for Alex. Same thing
20:26for Shimra DK. And we can move forward to the Sunday night football game where we've got Minnesota at the Dallas Cowboys. CD Lamb limited in practice.
20:36That is the conversation here whether or not CD Lamb plays coming off the concussion last Thursday. 10 days to clear. Again, limited practice on
20:44Wednesday. So, it does seem like he's trending in the right direction, but definitely not a guarantee to return here. Tough match up against Minnesota.
20:51Their pass defense is really, really good. Fourth fewest points allowed to the wide receiver position on the season. But 47 and a half point total.
20:59Dallas 5 and a half point favorites of course going against JJ McCarthy at this point in the year. I don't know how you
21:03could sit George Pickkins, of course. I mean, the tough the toughest hit start here is Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, what the [ __ ] are we doing with
21:09them? Great matchup. Dallas, single most fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver position, second most points per game allowed to opposing offenses,
21:16third most EPA per pass allowed. So, on paper, for like the fourth time, Justin Jefferson has a great matchup, but it
21:23has not come to fruition. So, listen, if I have Justin Jefferson and I'm looking at all these guys in the dub flex
21:29category, I I just don't have the nuts to sit him. I just don't. It's Justin Jefferson, you know what I mean? Like,
21:34do I put him in the feels good category?
21:36No, because I don't feel good about him.
21:37But I'll tell you this, he's going into the Dub Flex category, and I'm starting him over everyone in this category, unfortunately. So, I am sorry for you
21:44losing if you have Justin Jefferson in your lineup. I just I don't have any smart takes or any good logic about why
21:49Justin Jefferson should be sat other than basically evidence of the last six weeks. Uh Jordan Addison, I'm not going to go ahead and say he's a dub flex just
21:56because he had the good game last week.
21:58He's a shaky flex to me. would still rather start Justin Jefferson, but you could do worse than Jordan Addison.
22:03Yeah, that's that. I don't know what else to say. Okay, you know what? We could talk about Ryan Fenoy. If CD Lamb
22:07misses, Fenoy will be the wide receiver two there. We've seen him have two big blowup games behind George Pickkins. And I think a lot of that has to do with the
22:15fact that if CD Lamb's out, they give George Pickkins crazy wide receiver one treatment on the defense. And Flenoy could definitely pop off. Could see six,
22:23seven, eight targets. That being said, not counting on it. So, he's going to go into the shaky flex category. Miami at
22:30Pittsburgh last game of the slate. We've got Monday nights, the opposite of madness here. They're in Pittsburgh.
22:36Miami three-point underdogs, 42 point total. I feel good about Jaylen Waddle.
22:42I mean, more often than not, he's putting up a really good game for you.
22:44So, he's going to be in my lineup. DK is the tough one here because pops off last week for a monster game, but that was
22:50his first ceiling game in like eight weeks, it feels like. Do they carry that momentum? Like probably. I I would imagine they look at last week and
22:58they're like, "This worked." So Aaron Rogers is gonna throw, you know, four back shoulder fades to DK Mechaf and sees what happened. So it feels like on
23:05paper Miami should be a good matchup.
23:07Unfortunately, Miami's defense has really turned things around over the second half of the season. I talked about it in the running back rankings
23:13video yesterday. If you missed that, they have allowed the single fewest fantasy points to the running back position over the last five weeks. And
23:20as you can see on the season, they have allowed the seventh fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the year. A lot of that has to do with
23:26teams running up the score and just running it effectively against them over the first half of the season. But nonetheless, when you are a good defense
23:33against receivers and you have only one receiver to worry about, I do think there is a conversation to be had there.
23:39So when I look at DK, am I sitting him for Debo or Cleo Shakir or Darius Sllayton? No. Am I sitting him for Jawan
23:46Jennings? I think that's where the conversation kind of starts because of the up and down nature of what DK Mechaf has been this year. I think there are
23:52some guys in this category I would start him over but there are definitely some guys that I would sit him over. So I
23:56think he belongs in the dub flex category. You can see for yourself though Vegas has got his prop at 54 and
24:01a half which is healthier than the lads the Jawans the Brian Thomas Juniors but it's still below some of the guys up
24:08here the Z Flowers is the J Jeffs those types of dudes. So, I think he belongs squarely in the dub flex category. And I
24:15think that is all we have for the week 15 slate. Let's go poster mode. There is a 0% chance that this works. Holy [ __ ]
24:22there are a lot of players playing this week. That's what happens when there are no by-weeks. Well, I hope this helped
24:26you get prepped. I hope this helps you with your sit start decisions. As always, if you want a little bit more
24:32calculated help with that, we have our actual rankings available, which does have the Vegas props and stuff within the rankings themselves on our site,
24:39bdge.co.
24:41Become a big dog member. That's our monthly membership package, which will get you the weekly rankings always. The cheapest way to get it is by going to
24:49our partner website or app, MGM, depositing $10, and playing any slip on there for the first time using code BDGE. When you do so, soon as you play
24:56any slip on there, they're going to hit you in app with a promo code that you can use on our site to get our
25:01membership 3 months free. All right, code BDGE MGM big dog membership. Good luck in week 15. I love y'all.
25:10Smoochies.

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