0:00Good morning, friends and enemies.
0:02Welcome back for our very final last video of the 2025 fantasy football season in which I will be ranking both running backs and wide receivers. All of
0:11them in this single video for your week 17 fantasy football matchups. We'll go game byame, breaking it down, labeling every player as a sit, a start, or a
0:21flex for your fantasy football championship matchup. This going to be a long one, so let's tuck our shirts in.
0:28Buckle your seat belts, grab some caffeine, do whatever you got to do, and let us begin.
0:39So, as you guys know, we've got a Christmas Day slate of just the most horrific games possibly. You know, we got the best slate ever for th for
0:48Thanksgiving. So, naturally, it had to balance the karma scale here. We've got three games on Thursday on Christmas Day. We've got two games on Saturday,
0:55the rest on Sunday, and then a Monday game. So, obviously, if you're not new to fantasy football, you should know this already. But any player playing
1:02earlier than the Sunday slate, make sure they are in the positional spot of your lineups. If they are playing earlier, do
1:10not leave them in the flex. And I know it feels like something that people say and like it never actually impacts
1:16things, but in my biggest league, that's actually impacted multiple matchups this year. So again, if you've got like Javvante Williams in your lineup and
1:22he's in the flex right now, he's playing on Thursday, throw him into your running back slot because if something happens to the other player that is sitting in
1:30that slot, you now over the next three days they get injured or something, you now have fewer options. You don't have
1:35that other position to throw him in over the flex option if he were to get hurt over the next days. You need to replace
1:41him with the running back. And and it's made a difference a few times in leagues that I've been in this year. So, we'll
1:47start there and we'll start with Dallas at Washington. A 50 1/2 point total here. Dallas 7-point favorites. That spread is not high enough. Dallas is
1:57likely going to beat the [ __ ] out of Washington here. The reason being when we look at the practice reports, Jaden
2:02Daniels obviously shut down for the year, but their backup quarterback Marcus Mariota dealing with both a hand and I think it's a quad injury. He's
2:10been double DMPed up. I would be surprised if he played at this point, which means they're going to go to their
2:15third string Josh Johnson at quarterback. No, that's just a no for me. It's it's going to be bad for the Washington side of things. The only
2:23other injury that I do sort of want to point out, and it won't really affect your sit starts, but Ryan Fenoi was
2:28limited on Monday and then downgraded to a DMP on Tuesday. It just gives me a little bit more confidence if he does
2:34not play in the CD Lamb in the George Pickins. But the Dallas side of things, in my opinion, is very, very, very, very
2:40simple here. If you've got Javvante, if you've got Sidi, if you've got George Pickkins, they are in your lineups.
2:46There is no questions about it as must start players. I know Javvantee has been a little bit up and down here. But uh we
2:53also saw Don Payne, their other interior defensive lineman, I should point out, who left last week's game early with an injury, has been double DMP and is
3:00trending towards not playing. So I think the only scary part about this Dallas team right now, as George Pickins and CD
3:07Lamb are concerned, is like, do they even get a second half? Are they winning by so many points that they only throw
3:13five pass attempts in the second half?
3:15Like that is my biggest concern from the Dallas side of things. Obviously, you're not going to sit George Pickkins or CD
3:21Lamb at this point. The matchup is so so so good. But I do have a concern. What we need to hope for if you're a person
3:28with Pickins or Lamb is that Dallas does not have any defensive touchdowns is that we don't have like a random big
3:34play score from like a Gavvonte Turpin or a special like a return touchdown or anything like that. Like we need that
3:39not to happen. We need normal prolonged sustained drives from Dallas. We need like some lucky touchdowns from maybe like a return touchdown from Washington.
3:48Let's go with Jaylen Lane. Let's bring one back so we don't get ahead by 30 points. That's my only concern. Other
3:52than that, on the flip side, I don't want anyone from Washington in my lineup for week 17 if Josh Johnson is the
4:00quarterback. That goes for Terry McLaren. He's going into the shaky flex tier. I know the matchup is great on paper. A lot of green across the board.
4:08I I'm not relying on Josh Johnson feeding my players. Like I know there are going to be teams that are desperate
4:12enough where you need a guy like Terry McLaren. I do think Chris Rodriguez can go into the shaky flex category as well
4:18because it is the Dallas defense who will be getting Quinnon Williams back I believe for this game which makes it a
4:23much tougher matchup against defense.
4:25But they're going to have to lean on the run with Josh Johnson and the matchup just kind of says it. Debo Samuel is a
4:30guy that I don't want in my lineup as well. like nothing. There's no one in this game that I want in my lineup from
4:36the Washington side of things. You might be forced to get Terry in there, but listen, if Josh Johnson is a quarterback, I just don't want to go in
4:42that direction. The next game is Detroit at Minnesota and we've got Max Bromer starting for the Minnesota Vikings. Uh JJ McCarthy is obviously going to be out
4:51with the hand injury. I'm on Ros St.
4:54Brown dealing with a little bit of a knee ailment. DMP on Monday, but returned to a limited practice on Tuesday. He's as tough as they come. I
5:00uh I'm not expecting him to miss any time there. And then Jordan Mason is the only other notable call out here. Two
5:06DMPs with the ankle injury. It is trending towards him not playing here.
5:10Jir Gibbs, of course, is going to be in your lineup. Uh I think this makes Aaron Jones like a great great start. Detroit
5:16has been okay. They've been a little bit more suspect against the run and just as a defense overall. I just think Max
5:22Broer is gonna have such a tough time moving the ball. you know, they they're down a lot of DBs, obviously on the
5:26Detroit side of things as they've been, you know, the second half of the entirety of the year here, but I just
5:32think Aaron Jones is probably going to have a massive workload, probably a few screen plays. I really like the over two
5:36and a half receptions for him. I think they're going to do a lot of checkdowns.
5:39So, as this video progresses, I'm going to be throwing out a lot of plays that I like and maybe we can just have one we
5:44can have one massive Christmas Day parlay that pays for the gifts. So, we're going to take Dallas minus 7 in that first game. If you want to throw in
5:53a Javvante Williams anytime touchdown, that feels free as well, but it's minus 170. So, we don't get a ton of great
5:58value there. And then we get Aaron Jones over two and a half receptions here.
6:02We're going to throw him into the dub flex category. I know the yardage total is high there at 81, but like I don't
6:07really trust Brosmer to be able to push an offense enough where like a player is going to have a big game here. I'm on
6:13Ross St. Brown is going to go into the must-ar category. This is a crazy stat.
6:16The Vikings pass defense has not allowed a passing touchdown in the last six weeks. Six games and they've not allowed a single passing touchdown. And Jackson
6:27Dart is like the worst quarterback they've played in that span. It's Jackson Dart. It's Caleb Williams. It's Jordan Love. It's Jaden Daniels. Some
6:35other good quarterbacks. Like no one worse than that list. It's not like a bunch of second string or backup quarterbacks playing. Their pass defense
6:41is legitimately awesome. I will say a guy like Jared Goff, experienced pocket passer like Brian Flores is a coordinator that can put insane def
6:50insane pressure on younger, more inexperienced quarterbacks. But a guy like Jared Goff is has seen a lot. He can check the line. He could probably
6:57have some decent progress. Would be shocked if he does not break that passing touchdown streak. And the other part about it is like no matter how good
7:03the defense is, eventually you're going to break when your offense cannot stay on the field with Max Brosmer riding the ship here. So ultimately, Jameson
7:12Williams kind of falls in. He's like a George Pickkins light where it's like, yeah, he could have a down game just
7:16because like you never really know with these types of boomer players, but you're going to have to have him in your
7:21lineup here. The other side of things is where it gets trickier. And I'm going to be honest with you, like Justin
7:25Jefferson coming off of a pretty good game line at 61 and a half for me, he's a shaky flex. Like Bros, I think the
7:31last time they played he had about four receiving yards, two targets, four receiving yards. So yeah, just don't trust the offense. Don't care. Jordan
7:36Addison. Uh, I mean, he's going to go into the rather not category for me with Brosmer under center. David Montgomery, I do think there might be a world where,
7:44you know, they're beating the [ __ ] out of Minnesota. They do try to lean on the run game a lot more. So, I'm going to
7:49throw David Montgomery into the shaky flex category here. You know, he's complaining on Instagram a little bit.
7:54And I do think maybe their ground game needs a little bit of David Montgomery.
7:57They need a little bit of thunder going on to the lightning of Jir Gibbs, who we've seen struggle a little bit on the
8:02on the ground in decent times. But outside of that, I think we can move on to Denver at Kansas City. We have Denver
8:09as a 13 and 12 point favorite here in Arrowhead. A 36 12 point game total here. Obviously, Kansas City will be
8:17playing without Patrick Mahomes, without Gardenner Mchu, and they will have the third string Aludicon, I think his name is Chris Alududicon, who it's like, God,
8:25this slate of games is so so terrible.
8:28I'm kind of gassed that like my only player going in these games is George Pickins in my big money league and I
8:33don't think I'm playing against anyone in that championship game. So, I'm not like forced to have to watch these games, which is a blessing. So, with the
8:43total being 36 and a half, it does feel like a game where Denver's not really going to have to push the offense much.
8:48I think you play the guys that have been good. That's RJ Harvey. That's Courtland Sutton. The matchup's not great. We do
8:54have Trent McDuffy still dmpded for the Kansas City Chiefs side of things which makes life easier for Courtland Sutton.
9:01I'm going to put Courtland Sutton in feels good. I'm going to put R.J. Harvey there too just because he scores so many
9:05damn touchdowns. There is nobody really on the other side of the ball. Isaiah Pacheco at 50 total yards. He is taking
9:12a majority of the snaps now and getting a majority of the touches, but that feels like a line that's a little bit
9:17high for an offense that I have zero zero trust in this week playing against an extremely tough defense. So Isaiah PCO is going to be a rather not. I think
9:24Troy Franklin's a little bit interesting because we did see with Pat Bryant out last week for the first time or getting
9:30hurt and him looking like he's not going to play this week either. Troy Franklin kind of getting back into that like wide
9:35receiver two role where I I think you could throw him into the shaky flex category if you are desperate enough.
9:40And then the receiver side of things for the Chiefs. Uh Rashi Rice is still not out of the concussion protocol which
9:48almost definitely I believe pushes him towards missing a second game here because they play early on the Thursday uh slate obviously. So it does look like
9:56Kansas City is going to be without Rashi Rice. Now you know originally last week it was like okay Xavier Worthy's in a
10:01good spot to kind of blow up. Didn't happen. And now with the backup backup quarterback Xavier Worthy is going to fall into the rather not category. I
10:08just think overall these games are kind of simple. It's like with these backup quarterbacks and these backup backup quarterbacks, you're actually looking at
10:14games where you have all three of these other teams playing with their third string quarterback. Like, you just don't want weapons attached to those players
10:22at the end of the day. So, now we can move into Saturday's slate of games.
10:26We've got Houston at the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are two and a half point favorites at home, a 39 12
10:33point total. We do have practice reports for the first day of the week on Tuesday. There's a few that stick out to
10:39me here. We have the interior of the defensive line for Houston. Houston kind of got torn up by Ashen Genty last week.
10:46Sheldon Rankkins with the DNP. We got Deniko Autry with the DNP. Obviously, those are not like the stud guys, but they're they're kind of like the
10:52interior that make the the motor go a little bit against the run defense. So, they're without some interior players. I do think I I feel better about Omar in
11:00Hampton, Derek Stingley and Kamari Lacer with DMPS to start off, but again, the first DMP of the week is not really that
11:06big of a deal. So, we'll kind of just keep an eye on that. Tart on the Charger side of things in the interior has also
11:11been a stud this year. So, him starting off with the DMP is notable. And then Kamani Vidal is really the other player
11:16that needs to be noted here. He's dealing with a neck injury, but reportedly is dayto-day. So, there's a real chance that he could suit up in
11:23this game. Regardless, I think I've seen enough from Amari and Hampton over the last two weeks uh that I feel good about
11:28him. Vegas has his lineup at 74 total yards. Uh so, Hampton's a dude that I'm going to feel pretty good about having
11:34in my lineup. He's the first one. Nico Collins, very tough matchup against the Charger secondary who has been very, very good all year. But if you got Nico,
11:42he's going to be in your lineup. The rest of the game is pretty sloppy, man.
11:45I don't know that I want any of these guys in my lineup. You got Woody Marks coming off of the missed games. It does
11:51look like he's going to be returning to practice or returning to the game this week. I believe he got in a full
11:56practice yesterday. Yep, full practice for Woody Marks there. So, he'll return.
12:02I do wonder if there's just going to be more of a committee between him and Nick Chub or do they send Jar Jordan back to
12:08Jar Jordan who's led the backfield in touches each of the last two weeks if they send him back to the practice squad
12:13or they want to see a little bit more of what he has there for maybe future purposes as like a backup running back
12:18or the RB3 for next year or something like that. So when I look at the matchup when I look at the state of that offense
12:24like Woody Marks is going to be a shaky flex to me. Lad Maconi is the one where it's like he's been the most consistent
12:29pass catcher in the offense. But again, this is a Houston Texans defense that when I look at the defensive line versus
12:35the offensive line, the Dline of the Texans, their pass rush versus the O line of the Chargers, that is such a
12:41mismatch right now. Like not having the tackles versus having two of the biggest stud defensive ends in the NFL is going
12:48to be a nightmare for Justin Herbert.
12:49So, I think more often than not, you're probably going to have to play Lad Mani.
12:53Uh, I don't feel good about it at all, but I think I prefer him like you got Herbert as opposed to attaching him to
13:00Max Bromer, attaching him to Josh Johnson, attaching him to those types of players. So, like he's a dub flex, I suppose, even though his yardage line is
13:0720 yards lower than a Justin Jefferson, but I'm not buying that gap there.
13:11Quinton Johnson's going to go into the shaky flex. Keenan Allen at this point, he's running the same amount of routes as Trey Harris is, so he's going to go
13:17into the rather knot. I think Jaden Higgins is also a rather knot. he can have a touchdown, but I'm not banking on
13:23it. And uh yeah, I think we could just move on from this game. Got the last game of Saturday. It is Baltimore at
13:29Green Bay. We are still waiting on word for all the quarterbacks in this game.
13:33Lamar Jackson started off the week. He's got the back contusion here. He was a DNP on Tuesday. Uh I definitely wouldn't
13:39put it as a guarantee that he misses this game. You've got Jordan Love in the concussion protocol. You've got Malik Willis dealing with the shoulder injury,
13:45but he was limited. So, at worst, I do think we'll get Malik Willis as the quarterback for the Green Bay Packers
13:52here. The back contusion is a little bit weird because it feels like, okay, it's just like a bruise. You can usually play
13:57through something like that, but like he didn't get back into the game Lamar Jackson last week and then he's starting off with the DMP. So, it's it's probably
14:04pretty painful and pretty severe. You'd like to think that he probably suits up and like games it through because obviously their season is on the line at
14:11this point, but I I don't think it's a guarantee. Derrick Henry, I think they're going to have to lean on him
14:16regardless of who is under center. He's going to go into the feels good categories. His rushing yard prop is at 80 and a half right now. And the books
14:22feel pretty good about having that out there regardless of whether or not it's Lamar or Snoop Hunley at quarterback.
14:28Zay Flowers, I mean, this is a good Green Bay pass defense. Though, without their elite pass rusher, it becomes a little bit easier to throw the ball.
14:35Again, I just I think Zay Flowers has been inconsistent all year. So, if Lamar's out there, he's going to go into
14:40the dub flex category. But if Lamar's not out there, he's going to move into this shaky flex category where, you know, I'm starting him probably over
14:47like the Troy Franklin's and the David Montgomery's of the world. But I do think it's a conversation to be had between Terry, Justin Jefferson, and and
14:53and those guys for sure. On the flip side for Green Bay, I mean, this this is really really tough. Like it, let's
14:59assume Malik Willis is the quarterback for this one. We also don't have word on Josh Jacobs, though. He did get in a
15:05limited practice on Tuesday which does put him in the trending direction cuz last week he was DMPed across the board and ended up playing and then it seemed
15:13like he reagravated his knee. But now the fact that he's getting in practices already this early in the week tells us
15:18that he's probably going to play in this one which makes it really difficult to choose between him and Emanuel Wilson.
15:24Emanuel Wilson got more snaps, got more touches last week, but I I man it's like okay we'll we'll do it this way. If Josh
15:30Jacobs is out then Emanuel Wilson has to be in your lineup, right? He's he's as much of a must start without being in
15:36the elite tier as as I think you're going to find. Last time that he played without Jacobs, it was 120 130 yards
15:42from scrimmage, two touchdowns. So, he would be on the borderline, you know, top of the field's good, but like probably more bottom of the mustart
15:50category. Josh Jacobs, if he's if he plays, man, I don't know that I feel that good about him with the injury
15:56right now. Um, I think I'd put him into the dub flex category. And he's almost definitely going to have to be in your
16:01lineup, unfortunately, if he is playing.
16:03But I'd put him in the dub flex category and I would put Emanuel Wilson down into the shaky flex category or probably
16:10closer to the rather not category. I think the tougher decipher here is almost the the receiver room where Christian Watson was great throughout
16:16the middle part of the year. He comes back last week, has a dud game. You'd have to think he's dealing with some
16:22injuries. is Jane Reed ends up running the most routes on the team for like the first time I feel like in his entire
16:27career. Doesn't have a good game whatsoever. Romeo Dobs has a good game against Chicago, but he's been untrustworthy all year. And I I also
16:34think if Malik Wills is the quarterback, while he's shown to be, you know, very very competent as a backup, I still
16:39think more often than not your game plan is going to be 35 to 40 carries, 25 pass attempts at the most. And when you're
16:47already split up into Christian Watson, Jaden Reed, Dantavian Wixs, Romeo Dobs, Matthew Golden, Luke Musgrave, the running backs, I can't confidently
16:56predict anyone to have more than like four targets in that offense. Not to mention the fact that Malik Willis himself had 10 carries last week. And
17:03normally when he starts, he's getting between six and 10 carries. So if you take that out of the pass attempt numbers that maybe should be there, it
17:09makes it even tougher to decipher. So honestly, listen, if I have Christian Watson, he's a shaky flex to me. If I
17:15have Jaden Reed, he's a shaky flex to me. If I have Romeo Dobs, he's a shaky flex to me. And everybody else is going
17:20to be a rather not. Same thing with Katon Mitchell. As cool as he is and explosive as a player as he is, he's
17:25still a rather not for me. All right, let's move into Arizona and Cincinnati.
17:28That starts off the 100 p.m. slates. And just real quickly before we move into the Sunday slate here, I just wanted to
17:35give a thank you to everybody who's been watching all year. Uh, anyone who started in the summer when we started making content for your draft prep all
17:42the way through now, this has been by far and away our best year just in terms of I for me I I felt like the quality of
17:48content was there, the consistency. It's been my personal best year in terms of making content for Fantasy by far and away. I think it's reflected in the
17:55numbers, just the engagement and you guys consistently coming back for the videos and watching it throughout the year. So, just a sincere sincere thank
18:02you guys for making this year awesome for us internally. And this will be my last fantasy video for the reddraft season for 2025. Obviously, got the
18:10Christmas holidays and whatnot and week 18 is I'm sorry that's on you if you're continuing to play into that. But we do
18:16have some other stuff throughout the playoffs and whatnot. Like obviously, if you're following the big fantasy league that we have in the office between BDGE
18:23and Snapback and all those guys, that's still live and going. We'll be making videos about that and like more vlog style stuff on the Your Idiot League
18:30Mates YouTube channel. We'll be doing a ton of NFL trivia stuff throughout the entire year. That's year round. Uh that's on our NFL trivia YouTube
18:37channel. And then we'll be doing just pure betting content throughout all the playoffs, week 18 and all that stuff on the BDG Bets channel. So if you only
18:45watch our fantasy channel, that's great.
18:46But we do have three other YouTube channels that we're posting almost daily content on that if you're interested in any of that. betting, following a
18:54fantasy league that's high stakes and very intense, or uh just trivia content that's more like relaxing, entertaining for you. We will link all three of those
19:01YouTube channels down below. And again, if this is more content that you want, you know, this stuff stops this week, but you can always go follow that stuff
19:09for year round content. So, Arizona at Cincinnati. Cincinnati coming off a huge game against Miami. They are in Cincinnati. 7-point favorites, 52 and a
19:18half point total in this game. Love having players in this game. Jamar Chase is of course a must start. Chase Brown
19:24is also a mustart. Michael Carter is an interesting one because it's like he's sharing the backfield with De Marcado and now Cory Kleiner, but he is the
19:32starting running back. Vegas has his uh total yards up at 64. It's an incredible matchup against the Bengals. He he was
19:38efficient last week and I also think I'm throwing him into the dub flex category.
19:41All that stuff said, I think it's fine to go back to him based on the matchup and it feels like he was kind of a
19:46shitty fantasy player last week because he didn't catch any passes. But that to me was more noise than signal because he
19:53ran a lot of routes still like when you're on the field when Jacobe Brassette is dropping back and Jacobe had like his first bad game of the
19:59season statistically. But for him to run, you know, 25 routes in this game and catch no passes doesn't feel like a
20:05repeatable thing. Like Vegas has his receiving yardage total up at 17 and a half, which is a pretty uh significant number for a running back. It's actually
20:12above a guy like RJ Harvey here. So just take that into mind when you were thinking about a Michael Carter [ __ ]
20:16start. Don't go so heavily into recency bias of what happened last week. Look at the underlying numbers for that. T.
20:22Higgins is going to go into the feels good category for me. Again, Joe Burrow is playing well. He's healthy. I'm good
20:27with that. The Cardinals also lost multiple players on the defensive side of the ball last week to IR. Their second best quarterback on the team.
20:34Walter Nolan, their stud defensive line rookie is on IR as well. So, the Cardinals are going to be as bad of a
20:39defense as they've been all year. So, you are starting your Bengals against the Cardinals. Obviously, the tough part is do we start our Cardinals against the
20:46Bengals? Now, the Bengals have been historically historically bad against tight ends. So, I'm imagining Trey McBride is going to have a 35-point game
20:53here. Elijah Higgins, who kind of popped off last week randomly, will probably have some run as well. What do we do
20:58with the receivers? I am again going back to Michael Wilson over Marvin Harrison Jr. Marvin Harrison Jr. still coming back from that heel injury. Only
21:05played about 50% of the snaps in week 16. So, I still think he's going to be limited. The tough part here to decipher
21:12is like as you could see the Bengals have been good against fantasy wide receivers, the fourth fewest fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver
21:19position. They're by no means a good passing defense, but to have DJ Turner who is pretty much a stud lock down
21:25cornerback one. And that's about it here. It's like who does he end up lining up against? Is it Michael Wilson?
21:31Is it Marvin Harrison Jr.? I don't know.
21:33Here's what I'll tell you. When I'm looking at the players in the Dub Flex tier, I would start Michael Wilson over
21:38him for sure. I like the game environment. I like Jacobe to bounce back. I just think Michael Wilson has proven himself to be a great player at
21:44this point. And then Marvin Harrison Jr.
21:46definitely not a dub flex for me. I think you're still going to get limited snaps. I just honestly I feel like he
21:50has no ceiling right now. So I'm off him. Um and then Sama Per I honestly don't even think is that [ __ ]
21:55terrible of a play. He's definitely like rather not for me, but like you know, but like in just in case just in case.
22:00I'll throw him out there if someone's really desperate in the league and you're like, "Oh, Sama Pron didn't really think about him getting touches.
22:04He's getting snaps and this Arizona defense is terrible." Jacksonville at Indianapolis. All right, we've got Jacksonville 6 and a half point
22:12favorites, 48 12 point total here. Uncle Phil likely getting another start at quarterback because they are not completely eliminated from the playoffs
22:20yet, although it is close. You got the two running backs, ETN and Jonathan Taylor, are going to go into mustart categories right away. As well as Philip
22:28Rivers played last week, quote unquote, against the Niners terrible pass rush and just terrible pass defense. This is a tough match up against Jacksonville
22:37and I don't expect success from Philip Rivers in this one like we saw last week and I think every receiver despite Alec
22:43Pierce having a great game is going into the shaky flex category immediately. You know, I I do think Rivers likes Josh DS.
22:49He's obviously not afraid to throw it to Alec Pierce, but I am not betting on any of them having good games. If I had to
22:55rank them, it probably would be Josh DS, Alec Pierce, Michael Pitman at this point, though. But the other side of things for me is going to come down to
23:02whether or not S Gardner plays. So, I feel really good about Jacobe Myers despite kind of a lackluster game last week. What I think ended up happening
23:10was Brian Thomas Jr. basically got shadowed by Patrick Certan and saw a ton of coverage from him. So, I wasn't expecting a good game against the
23:16Texans. And what I think that did was just kind of open up things for Brenton Strange. Parker Washington made a a
23:21bunch of huge plays after the catch, which obviously disallows a lot of other receivers to have big production when one guy is just like eating up a chunk
23:28amount of yards all the time. So for me, the other wide receivers are really going to come down to whether or not
23:32Sauce Gardner plays. He's been out the last 3 weeks with a calf injury. They didn't put him on IR, which signals to
23:38you that they expected this to be around a four-week injury. So maybe he suits back up. We'll have to keep a close eye
23:43on practice reports. He will be the decision of whether or not I play him. I I you know what, like Parker Washington,
23:48I get it. He's had some high ceiling games. He's definitely more of a shaky flex to me than anything else. I'm not
23:52excited to have him in my lineup because he can definitely put you up a really really stinker of a floor game. BTJs is
23:58the one the the one here where it's like if Sauce does not suit up they're already without Trevarious Ward their second best quarterback. They do have
24:04Kenny Moore who's good but he plays a lot of slot quarterback for them. But if they're without their top two quarterbacks and Trevor Lawrence playing
24:09the way that he is. Brian Thomas Jr. for me is going to be like near the top of the dub flex category. If Sauce is back,
24:16I expect similar treatment to what he saw against Derrick Stingley last week where he'll see a lot of outside coverage from Sauce. And I know people
24:22don't like Sauce anymore. They're they're pretending like he's a bad quarterback now. He's not bad whatsoever. He's still a top 10 guy.
24:27He's just not like the number one quarterback in the league. And Brian Thomas Jr. clearly is not like a top five wide receiver in the league. So, I
24:33think he gets shut down. So, he would move from dub flex down to clear shaky flex category if Sgardner is back on the
24:40field. We can move on to the New England Patriots at the New York Jets. Here, this is a 13 12 point total game here.
24:48We might have some weather. We might have some rain, some storms in New York, New Jersey area. So, keep an eye out for
24:55the weather report here, which would bring down the passing game, even though I don't think the Jets passing game can fall down any more than it's already at.
25:01So, the way I'm looking at this game is, yeah, Drake May should have a great game, but like choosing which players
25:08you're going to start is really tough cuz Diggs' snap counts like just float all over the place. Last week, monster game, ran 85% of the routes, but he had
25:15been at like 50% for the previous, you know, 3, four weeks. Either way, Diggs is going to be at the top of the dub
25:21flex category for me. I think he should be in your lineup. Bree Hall is the other one where with Brady Cook under
25:26center, it's like you have no confidence in this offense. Brady Cook's going to get another start in this one. The big
25:31kind of like teetering point here is who the Patriots get back on defense. So, they've been without Robert Splain who's a top tier run stuffing linebacker and
25:40Milton Williams in the interior of their defensive line for the last few weeks and teams have been dashing them on the
25:46ground. Both of those guys have a possibility of returning this week. If that's the case, Bruce Hall is borderline dead to me. But even if
25:54they're not there, I still like don't trust Breece Hall whatsoever. So, he's in the shaky flex category for me. I think Matt Collins is a shaky flex. Adai
26:01Mitchell at this point is a rather not for me. The one conversation that needs to be had here is Trayvon Henderson and
26:06Ramandre Stevenson. Trayvon Henderson is working back from concussion protocol.
26:11If he misses, Randre is going to be at like the top of the feels good category.
26:14You don't you can't get a better matchup than this. Raandre Stevenson has the trust of the coaching staff. He'll basically play a three down back role
26:21here. So, Raandre is going to be as high as that. If Trayvon Henderson can clear concussion protocol and he's back, he's
26:26going to go into the feels good category and I think you could put Raandre into the dub flex category just cuz I think
26:30the Patriots are going to dominate the Jets and should be a lot of running back touches in this one, especially if
26:34there's bad weather. Let's move to New Orleans at Tennessee. We've got New Orleans as two and a half point favorites here in Tennessee. Tennessee's
26:42been a passfunnel defense. Chris Lave and Tyler Shuck have had some really good chemistry as of late. Tennessee is pretty good against the run right now.
26:49So I would expect Tyler Shuck to probably drop back a decent amount. And again without Shahed, without Devon Vele, without Brandon Cooks, like it's
26:56all a Lav and Jawan Johnson, there might be some weather here. There could be a little bit of rain that maybe stifles
27:02the passing game, but at this point, I mean, if you have Chris Ave, you know, I'm looking at him similar to J Mo, but
27:08when you turn the matchup on, then it's, you know, you got to have a in your lineup. Tony Per's been awesome last few
27:14weeks. I think he's at 100 rushing yards in three straight games. So, I'm going to put him into the dub flex category.
27:19Don't love the match up against the Saints. I think they're actually a pretty good defense right now, but you got to like the volume that he's
27:25getting. I don't know how you can trust really anyone in the uh Titans passing game. I know Shamir DK has had some
27:32ceiling games, but he's also had a ton of floor games. So, he's very very boomer bust. So, he's a shaky flex for
27:37me. I mayor's a rather not for me. The Saints backfield a very very tricky one right now. We have Taesm Hill who ended
27:44up more than doubling Audrey Esté and Evan Holes carries last week. It was like all the Taesm Hill show. On paper
27:50though, Audrey Esme did get a lot of opportunities. He did run a ton of routes. So, I will say I I would throw
27:56Esté back into the shaky flex category.
27:59I would not like to start him a bunch above most of these guys, but I do think he is someone where it's like if he had
28:05a bounceback game, wouldn't really surprise me if they just played him in the traditional running back role. But do not touch Evan Hull here. And as
28:12always, my weekly rankings will be live by the time you guys watch this video.
28:16So, a bunch of these question marks, if you're curious, like where I had SMA ranked relative to like a Jaden Reed or
28:23a Woody Marks or whatever, those will be in the rankings. Those will be updated throughout the week, like in real time
28:28as injury reports roll in and all that kind of stuff. So, obviously, there will be no more videos after this, but I will
28:33always keep the rankings up to date all the way through Monday Night Football.
28:37So, you can get the rankings on bdge.co O if you're a big dog member, the cheapest way to get it and we'll get you
28:443 months free of it, you know, if you play in Dynasty Leagues, we'll have our Dynasty rankings updated on the site as
28:49well for the big dog members. If you go to our partner app or website, as you can see right here, MGM, deposit $10 or
28:57more with code BDGE, play any slip on there. You know, we've been giving you slips throughout the video so far. or
29:03play any slip on there when you deposit with code BGE for the first time and they will hit you with a promo code
29:08inapp for a free 3 months to use on our website bdge.co.
29:13Let's move to Pittsburgh at Cleveland.
29:16So, this is going to be a disgusting game. 33 and a half point total. How is that a regular season total? I'll tell
29:22you how. Because the Steelers are without DK Mechaf, the Browns have Shidor Sanders at quarterback and we've got two relatively good defenses. So
29:32without DK Mechaf suspended, I think you pretty much have to put Kenneth Gainwell into the feels good category. He's going to catch five to six passes. He's just
29:40been awesome for the Steelers. You know, the run defense for the Browns has been kind of terrible actually since Malik Collins has been out. It's been
29:46something that I've kind of been preaching to you guys for like over a month now. Since Malik Collins, their interior defensive stud got hurt.
29:52They're letting up 25 fantasy points a week to the starting running back.
29:55Whether that's Warren or Gainwell, I think they're both startable. You know, at this point, I think you have to start gain well over Warren if you have to
30:01make that decision, but Warren feels pretty damn good at this point and would be above like the lad mcconis, the Tony
30:06Pers, the Michael Carters of the world.
30:09The backfield situation for the Browns right now, we don't have any clarity on Dylan Samson as far as I know. He hasn't
30:15practiced in a while. He was dealing with a calf injury and then missed this week's game with a hand injury. So, I
30:21don't know if he gets back. I like Dylan Samson a lot as a player. My question though is like when he gets back, it's
30:27his first time back in a while. I kind of feel like they'll use someone else on the goal line. So, while I think he has
30:32some upside in PPR leagues because he'll probably catch a ton of passes and Shador Sanders does check the ball down a decent amount, I don't think it'd be
30:39wise to throw him in as anything more than a shaky flex at this point. I'm intrigued by him more more so than a lot
30:44of the dudes in this category like the Michael Pitmans, the Jaden Reeds that just don't really feel like they have a
30:49lot of upside where I do think Dylan Samson has upside, but I do think he has a floor as well. Well, if Dylan Samson
30:54doesn't go, the backfield will be split up by Raheem Sanders, who I'll throw into the shaky flex category, and Trayvon Williams, who I don't want to
31:00start at all. And then everybody else in this game for me, even with DK Mechaf out, it's like, no. Adam Thielen rather
31:06not. Jerry Judy, rather not. The only players you really want to play in this game are Harold Fannon pretty much.
31:12Moving to Seattle at Carolina, we've got Seattle as seven point favorites traveling cross country. They are in Carolina. JSN, of course, is going into
31:22the top of the mustart category. I think a lot of people are going to be really hyped about Kenneth Walker. I really
31:28don't think anything's changed in that backfield. He is still the same explosive player he's been all year that's not getting goal line touches.
31:34It's like, sure, if he breaks off a 60-yard play, he's going to score a touchdown on it, but if he doesn't do
31:38that, he's going to lose goal line carries. He's still playing fewer snaps than Zack Sharbonet, which is crazy.
31:43I'll throw him into the dub flex category because I do like the matchup.
31:45Like the Panthers have been pretty generous to running backs, but I don't feel great about him despite him coming off of the big week. It just doesn't
31:51feel like there's ever going to be a turning point where they're like, "Finally, let's just let Kenneth Walker be the workhorse." Same thing it feels
31:57at Rico D, who honestly just hasn't been that good since Chuba Hubard has returned. So, he's very much a shaky flex play. Teroa McMillan, I I think
32:04he's a dub flex. Like, I think him and Bryce Young have just shown enough chemistry and I think he's shown a high
32:08enough target share that even in a tough matchup against Seattle, I like Teroa McMillan enough. Zack Charbanet is definitely a shaky flex. I think Jaylen
32:16Coker is like flexible but shaky. Same thing with Cooper Cup and Rashi Heat have really done nothing this year. So all these guys are going to end up being
32:25rather knots for me. Moving to Tampa Bay at Miami. We've got a Florida showdown.
32:31Love the environment here. Only a 45 12 point total because Quinn Yurs is the quarterback for Miami. This is a passfunnel defense for Tampa Bay. 5 1/2
32:41point favorites. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are Devon Han of course going into the must start. I you know I I loved everything I've seen from Mike
32:48Evans since he's returned. So he's going to go into the feels good category.
32:51Jayen Wadd's a tough one. I do like the matchup and I I do like the involvement he had last week. It was like they
32:56played the Bengals last week. They were in fulltime catchup mode the entire second half. So yeah, uh I think they have a lot of plays dialed up for Jaylen
33:05Wadd. He'll be more of a dub flex for me than a feels good. We'll put it that way. the rest of the Buccaneers
33:11receivers. I mean, it is ugly. You have IA who ran the fourth fewest routes or the fourth most routes I should say of
33:17the Bucks wide receivers last week. We had Evans, we had Godwin, and then we had McMillan above Ibuka. Buuka only ran
33:2350% of the routes. He's like a boomer bust guy. Like obviously he can make a big play and score a touchdown, but from
33:27everything we've seen from the Bucks receivers, it's like I don't I don't want to play any of them. McMillan's actually going to go into the rather not
33:33category. The only other talking point would be Bucky and the backfield here.
33:37And I know people are like, it feels like they're off of Bucky because Shawn Tucker's taken the goal line work, but
33:42Buckyy's had plenty of like very high ceiling games without getting goal line work before. He's had games where he's taken screens for 65 yards, scoring
33:50touchdowns from 30 yards out. So like this is a a defense that I really really like to play Bucky against. And uh don't
33:56be surprised if Bucky has a very big blowup game where he goes for like 130 from scrimmage and scores one or two
34:01touchdowns here. a big long touchdown play while everybody's kind of like off of him because he's not scoring the touchdowns. I actually love Bucky in
34:08this matchup. Rashad White can be thrown into the shaky flex category here. And then Shawn Tucker. Yeah, you're not actually starting him anywhere. We can
34:14move to the Giants at the Las Vegas Raiders. Uh 41 12 point total here. The Raiders are actually favored here, of
34:21course, cuz the Giants got to travel cross country. It's a great match up for Genty. He's coming off of his biggest
34:26game of uh the season. And there's a possibility that they get Colton Miller back, their best offensive lineman. I think there's a pretty good chance of
34:33that, which make me feel really good about Ashen Genty. Very, very much towards the top of this tier. So, I love
34:38Genty. I love the matchup here. I think Darius Sllayton is going to go into the shaky flex category. I think Devin
34:44Singleary can go into the shaky flex category. I think Trey Tucker can go into the shaky flex category. And then you've got the two other Giants players
34:51who I do like. You've got Tracy who has, you know, gotten 65 to 70% of the snap since leaving with that hip injury a
34:59bunch of weeks ago pre-by and has looked really, really good. So, I'd imagine a lot of the game plan is going to run
35:03through him. So, as weird as it is to put two Giants offensive players into the feels good category, I'm going to do
35:09that with both Tracy and Jell Robinson for this week. Philadelphia at Buffalo.
35:15We're in Buffalo. 43 and 1/2 point total in this game. Buffalo is a point and a half favorite. We might see some weather
35:24in this game. It's about a 65% chance for some rain, maybe some thunder, maybe some snow. It's going to be around 35°.
35:33We've got wind up to 25 30 mph. So, we could definitely see an effect in the passing game on this one. Of course, you
35:39are starting James Cook, no doubt about it. The Bills run defense has been bad.
35:43Saquon's been good as of recently. I think both teams will be getting back a decent amount of players in this one.
35:48Jaylen Carter should be back on the defensive line for the Philly Eagles. I think Lane Johnson will be back for the
35:54Eagles on the offensive line. So, you like both running backs. AJ Brown, I would say, feels good. He's getting a ton of targets. He's been really, really
36:00efficient and effective in the passing game, though. The Bills matchup is tough for opposing wide receivers. I'm going to throw Dvonte Smith into the dub flex
36:07category. Klo Shakir is the only guy you can even like think about starting on the passing side of things for the Bills
36:13right now. He's going to go into the shaky flex category. You know, he's very very boomer bust and I think we can kind
36:17of move on from that game. Sunday night football, we've got Chicago at the San Francisco 49ers. CMAC, of course, going into the ver very mustart cat. Kind of
36:27with that line of 68 and a half rushing yards. Lot of injuries still to figure out here. We'll have both running
36:32backs available, DeAndre Swift and Kyle Manungai. And this is a relatively good matchup. I think Swift has been way more good than bad this year. Of course, he
36:41he'll struggle against tough match ups like he struggled against Green Bay both times they played, but Green Bay is a very good run defense. So, I actually
36:47feel damn good about DeAndre Swift this week. If you want to throw him into the dub flex category, I get it. He
36:52definitely is similar to like a Tyrone Tracy, similar to like a Stefon Diggs.
36:56Good match up there. So, I like Swift.
36:57Do I think Kungai is a dub flex? No. I think he's definitely closer to the shaky flex category, but he gives you a
37:02floor probably of like six or seven points. If he gets into the end zone, he can have a good day. Jawan Jennings
37:07absolutely love. Have loved him pretty much all year. uh he's going into the feels good category. And the bigger question mark here is like whether or
37:13not George KD plays. So he left the game with an ankle sprain. We don't know if it was like more score related or
37:17severity related, but I think there's a good chance George KD misses this game.
37:21I think there's a good chance Ricky P misses this game. And if that's the case, it'll be, you know, 10 targets for
37:26CMAC, probably eight targets for Jawan Jennings, and then Jawan Jennings is as good of a bet to score a touchdown as
37:31any like non- elite player at this point. So Jennings is like a top 15 fantasy wide receiver for me this week.
37:36The other side of things is a little bit more muddied. We have Roma Doomsday dealing with the foot fracture. They said he's going to be back at some point
37:42this year. I doubt it is week 17. So, I think we should proceed as if he is not.
37:46DJ Moore has had back-to-back really, really big fantasy days. Obviously, if they didn't go into overtime, get the onside kick, he would have had a pretty
37:52underwhelming week last week. And the volatility is obviously going to come into play if Luther Burden is back. But I do think there's a chance Luther
38:00Burden misses this game as well. It's not like he got in any practice last week. So, if Luther Burden and Roma
38:06Dunce are both out, I feel much better about DJ Moore. And I think I would almost go as far as saying I'd put him
38:11into the feels good category. I think if Luther Burden plays, that makes both of them very very tough to decipher. It's
38:18going to be interesting. I I actually really like Chicago in this game.
38:21They're three-point underdogs and I think it's a very very like if anybody's watched the Niners play this year without Nick Bosa, without Fred Warner,
38:27they get zero pass rush. Like they don't put any pressure on the quarterback and Chicago's offensive line is awesome. So, I think there is such a mismatch there
38:35that Chicago's kind of going to be able to do whatever they want on offense. And I think more often than not, what they
38:40want to do is run the ball. And it's another reason why I really like DeAndre Swift. I think they're just going to
38:44control the trenches and really, really control the line of scrimmage. But I also think Caleb Williams is probably going to have a lot of time to throw the
38:50ball wherever he wants. So, I think if Luther Burton does return, I would move DJ Moore down to the like probably the
38:56bottom of the dub flex category because the volatility in that passing game has been just all over the place this year.
39:02And then I'd put Luther Burden into the shaky flex category. Let me make sure I'm not forgetting anybody. Yeah, I think we can move on to Monday Night
39:10Football. We've got the Rams at the Atlanta Falcons. 7 and 12 point underdogs for Atlanta being at home. 49 12 point total here. The Rams got to
39:19travel all the way across the country.
39:22Won't matter for Bejon. He a goat. I think there are some question marks around Drake London, but fear not. Drake London still ran a route on like 85% of
39:30the drop back. So, we're not concerned about the injury. He was a little bit rusty last week, dropping some uncharacteristic balls, but I'm not
39:38worried about him whatsoever. And while the Rams defense has been good overall, they have allowed the six most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. So,
39:45Drake London should be in your lineup in week 17. Nobody else should though.
39:50Nobody else for the Falcons on this list should be. However, Dvonte Adams almost certainly going to miss this game.
39:56Again, wouldn't matter for Puka because he is the goat of goats in this one. The running back tier. I guess we can talk
40:03about Katada Mumfield a little bit. He's still only running about 50 60% of the routs. He's a rather not for me. Kron
40:09Williams, Blake Cororm, Kyron Williams still getting around 65% of the snaps, but this is a very very good matchup on paper. And I do think objectively if
40:17you're Shawn McVey and you are the Rams, the Falcons pass defense has a week- toeek ceiling game where I do think
40:23their approach to this game will probably be very very runheavy between Kyro Williams and Blake Cororm. So we love Puka. We do like the matchup. You
40:31know, they're in a dome here, so there shouldn't be any like weather concerns.
40:35It should be relatively high scoring, a 49 12 point total here. I think Kairen Williams is a feels good player for me
40:42for sure. I'd start him over a decent amount of players in this tier. And then Blake Cororm, man, it it's tough to
40:47throw him into the dub flex category, but I think he's earned it. He's getting scoring opportunities. He's getting long drives and one of the best offenses
40:55behind a very good offensive line. He's got the MVP at quarterback that just moves the chains. This is not a good run
41:00defense in Atlanta. So, when I'm looking at the other running backs, like I would definitely start him over Deont, would start him over Woody Marks, would start
41:07him over Aldrich Esté. So, I think I'm going to throw him into the bottom of the Dub Flex category. And if you've got
41:12Blake Corum, you could definitely do a lot worse. I'm going throw Tyler Alier into the rather not just to show some
41:18respect. And that is every game. We are 50 minutes in. This is definitely the longest recording of one of these rankings shows I have done this year,
41:25but we wanted to get everybody into one so that you guys would have the full two days. And uh just to quickly recap, just
41:32check practice reports for injuries.
41:34Guys like Colton Miller for the Raiders, guys like uh Robert Splain and Milton Williams for the Patriots defense. if you're, you know, deciding on a guy like
41:42Bree Hall. So, injury reports matter for the guys that are not paying attention, like the trench guys. Check weather reports, of course, for the games. The
41:50ones right now that you should have on your radar would be the Ravens, Packers, possible weather concerns there. A little bit of rain, not overly
41:58concerning. Steelers, Cleveland Browns, some wind, some uh possible rain there is kind of gross. Saints, Titans, could be some rain there. Patriots at the
42:07Jets, very, very high forecasting for rain now. actually moved up since we even started the video. Cardinals, Bengals, 50% chance of rain there.
42:14Eagles, Bills, we've got some rain concerns there. Everybody else should be pretty good on the slates. So, I will leave you all with that for the 2025
42:22fantasy football season. As I've mentioned throughout the video, you know, we will be taking a lot of bets throughout the Christmas weekend and
42:30into the playoffs. You could do so on MGM, of course, that is our biggest partner app there. You will get three
42:36months free of the big dog membership if you go deposit newly there. You want to track any of my bets for free, you could
42:42see them on the Picket app as well.
42:43Pickicket is like a social bet tracking platform. So, you can follow me, you can follow any of the BDG guys, you can get
42:49your friends on the app and and have them you guys can follow each other and like track how bad you guys are at
42:54betting against each other and you can copy slips. So, if you just want to see what I'm betting throughout the weekend,
42:58you can literally go on there, go to my profile and just like copy bet to whatever sports books you guys use.
43:04Hopefully, it is MGM, but you can do it with whatever books you sync on there.
43:08So, you can sync all your books on there. Just make sure obviously free to do so, but make sure that you put promo
43:12code BDGE in when you download the Picket app so that lets them know we sent you there. All right, signing out.
43:19It is time for me to take a nap. I'm tired, but we continue the fights. Love y'all. Good luck in your championship
43:26weekend. One final last 2025 smoochis.
43:30Mwah.
43:41down.
43:50Hey
