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A New Starting TE Candidate Emerges (Week 7 TE + QB Ranks)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

27 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 23, 2026
Published
Fri, October 23, 2026
54
Player insights
54
Players mentioned
Topics
Aaron RodgersAJ BarnerAnthony FirkserBaker MayfieldBo NixBrock BowersBrock PurdyC.J. StroudCade OttonCaleb WilliamsChris GodwinCJ DonaldsonColby ParkinsonDallas Goedert
Player analysis

Player insights

54

Aaron Rodgers

NegativeProjection25:58

The source ranks Aaron Rodgers at 20, averaging 16.5 PPG with very little ceiling but a nice floor, characterizing him as a predictable, floor-based option.

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AJ Barner

NegativeProjection16:01

Barner is ranked in the desperation tier as a streaming option for Week 7.

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Anthony Firkser

PositiveRole8:06

Firkser is not a bad player, but the source emphasizes that wide receivers are better at earning targets than tight ends unless the tight ends are truly great; the source does not believe Firkser qualifies, suggesting limited target volume and role in a wide-receiver-centric offense.

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Baker Mayfield

NegativeInjury10:10

Mayfield is returning this week to play for the Buccaneers with a protective brace on his hand. The source notes uncertainty about how the brace will affect his performance. Additionally, the source ranks Mayfield at quarterback 15–17 in the C tier, positioning him behind Kirk Cousins but ahead of Jacoby Brissett, assuming he plays this week.

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Bo Nix

PositiveProjection24:04

Bo Nix is ranked as low as the source could justify, averaging 11.6 points per game. He provides no rushing upside, which limits his ceiling. Most concerning, Nix holds the lowest average depth of target of all 701 quarterbacks since Next Gen Stats began measuring—701 out of 701—indicating an extremely short-range passing attack. The source identifies this week as a potential get-right spot and suggests considering him if he shows rushing upside.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveProjection0:05

Ranked as the sole S-tier tight end for Week 7; Mattek Fantasy Football's primary recommendation at the position due to elite upside and matchup.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveProjection17:00

Purdy is ranked alone in the S tier for Week 7 quarterbacks, averaging 22 points per game. The source is a big believer in Purdy, citing his phenomenal season, second-place MVP odds, rushing upside, and a neutral dome matchup, despite lacking elite receivers.

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C.J. Stroud

PositiveProjection18:00

C.J. Stroud is ranked in the B tier for Week 7, marking the highest ranking Mattek Fantasy Football has ever given him. Despite not being a Stroud believer entering the season, the source views him as an elite start this week due to the Texans' 27-point team total, inability to run the ball (with David Montgomery likely out), and Stroud's recent 34 dropback attempts in back-to-back games following a 312-yard, 3-TD performance against Jacksonville. Stroud is available in 25% of ESPN leagues.

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Cade Otton

PositiveProjection10:10

With Emeka Egbuka questionable with foot injury and concussion, Cade Otton becomes a primary target option for Baker Mayfield in Tampa Bay's offense. The source identifies him as one of the absolute plays of the week, projecting 10–11 points in standard scoring with better upside in tight end premium formats, and recommends starting him over borderline wide receivers. The source actively added him to multiple leagues both to block opponents and as a flex option. Additionally, Otton is recommended as a contingency pickup if you own Tyler Warren, providing a built-in backup plan.

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Caleb Williams

PositiveProjection17:00

Williams is ranked second among quarterbacks for Week 7 after having a phenomenal game; the source acknowledges that ranking him below Brock Purdy alone in the S tier may look questionable in hindsight.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeRole9:30

Godwin's presence or absence impacts K'Waun Williams' target share for the Buccaneers. The source notes that 'Chris Godwin Jr. absolutely stinks and is irrelevant to this conversation,' suggesting Godwin is not a significant factor in the current Buccaneers offense.

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CJ Donaldson

NegativeRole9:00

Donaldson is being used 'quite a bit in replacement of a pass-catching tight end' for the Saints, playing a fullback-style role. This usage is driven by the Saints' poor offensive line and Juwan Johnson's inability to be an effective run blocker, resulting in Donaldson taking snaps that would otherwise go to a traditional pass-catching tight end.

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Colby Parkinson

NegativeProjection16:01

Parkinson is ranked in the desperation tier as a fine streaming option if absolutely needed for Week 7.

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Dallas Goedert

PositiveProjection0:25

Ranked TE9 and averaging 11.8 PPG; strong target volume since return from injury with 9 and 8 targets in recent games; plays against the Dallas Cowboys, the worst defense in the NFL (32nd in EPA per play), providing a favorable matchup; graded as a clear start this week.

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Dalton Kincaid

PositiveBreakout0:34

Ranked TE7 for Week 7 after a big breakout performance on Thursday night; the source recommends having him in lineups.

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Drake Maye

PositiveProjection17:00

Drake May is ranked third among quarterbacks for Week 7 after having a phenomenal game. Mattek Fantasy Football ranks him below only Brock Purdy (S tier) and Caleb Williams (second), noting that both May and Williams had phenomenal recent performances that make the ranking hierarchy potentially questionable in hindsight.

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Emeka Egbuka

PositiveInjury10:10

Egbuka is questionable with both a foot injury and a concussion. The source is 'not expecting Egbuka to play,' indicating his availability is in serious doubt for the upcoming week, which opens up target volume for other Buccaneers receivers, particularly tight end Cade Otton.

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Evan Engram

NegativeProjection15:14

Ingram might benefit from Denver's continued short passing game and could get a short touchdown; the source suggests him as a streaming option if fading Jaylen Waddle this week.

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Geno Smith

NegativeProjection13:12

Geno Smith is top-half the league in EPA per play this year, but he's a fine low-end streamer with an extremely low floor due to the Jets' propensity to run the ball. Recent game history shows 8 points vs. Bears, 10 vs. Browns, and 12 vs. Patriots when the Jets ran effectively, following a huge game against Detroit Lions. The source expects high overall offensive efficiency this week but the run-heavy approach limits his upside.

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George Kittle

NegativeProjection0:11

Excluded from S-tier ranking due to overall volume concerns despite a favorable matchup against Atlanta; the source projects a great game as approximately 2 touchdowns on 6–7 receptions.

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Greg Dulcich

NegativeProjection16:18

Dulcich is listed in the desperation tier as a streaming option for Week 7.

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Gunnar Helm

NegativeProjection16:13

Helm is averaging just 2.8 points per game and is ranked in the desperation tier with minimal fantasy value for Week 7.

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Harold Fannin

PositiveUsage6:51

Ranked tight end in C tier against Titans (good matchup) by Mattek Fantasy Football, but the source plans to move him down further as the season progresses. Target volume has been very poor; competing with Denzel Boston and Concepcion for targets, both of whom are outperforming him. Targets per route run and yards per route run are abysmal, compared to backup-level production like Austin Hooper. The source attributes poor performance to bad quarterback play and superior receiving options rather than Fannin's talent. Scored two touchdowns against Carolina Panthers but efficiency metrics remain concerning.

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Hunter Henry

PositiveProjection15:46

Hunter Henry scored 14.8 points (4 rec, 48 yards, 1 TD) against the Jets and had a good game on Thursday night football against the Bears; the source acknowledges being too low on him initially and has revised upward based on recent strong performances.

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Isaiah Likely

NegativeProjection0:47

Ranked B-tier but faces the worst possible game environment of the week with a 16.5-point team total and difficult defensive matchup; averages 18.2 PPG (would rank 7th among wide receivers); plays against the Texans with J.J. McCarthy at quarterback; one quarter of evidence suggests McCarthy can sustain fantasy value for Likely, but sustainability against the Texans remains uncertain.

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Jacoby Brissett

PositiveProjection23:12

Brissett is ranked at QB 16 based on sheer volume. The source expects 40 dropbacks from Brissett, as the Cardinals will not be able to run effectively against the Broncos' defense. While Brissett's floor is actually quite low (six points against Seattle; his worst game came in a win against the Rams), the high volume and expected game script (Cardinals unable to run) create upside. There is also a decent chance of garbage time with Brissett.

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Jake Ferguson

NegativeDepth Chart16:06

Ferguson is losing his starting job to Brevin Jordan; the source notes he's not even a fine desperation option, indicating a significant role downgrade and reduced fantasy relevance.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection17:18

Jared Goff is ranked fifth among quarterbacks for Week 7, averaging 23 points per game with the highest team total of the entire slate at 27.8 points, positioning him for a strong fantasy performance.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveMatchup25:12

The source recommends giving Jaylen Waddle another chance due to the favorable matchup against the Cardinals, as discussed in the flex ranking videos.

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Joe Burrow

NegativeProjection17:30

Joe Burrow is ranked sixth among quarterbacks for Week 7, averaging 20.3 points per game against the Ravens. The source notes that Bengals-Ravens games are generally good for fantasy if Lamar Jackson plays, suggesting the matchup quality depends on Jackson's availability.

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Jordan Akins

PositiveDepth Chart8:03

Akins is returning from injury, which will directly displace Juwan Johnson from the Saints' tight end role. The source explicitly states that after Akins returns, Johnson will no longer be a viable weekly starter, indicating Akins will reclaim the primary tight end role.

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Jordan Love

PositiveProjection17:18

Jordan Love is ranked fourth among quarterbacks for Week 7. The source identifies the Detroit Lions defense as the most forgiving defense in fantasy football because the Lions offense can actually keep pace, requiring opposing offenses to generate more points—a favorable matchup dynamic for Love.

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Juwan Johnson

NegativeRole8:03

Ranked tight end 12 by Mattek Fantasy Football; scored zero points last week. This is probably the last week to start him as Jordan Akins will be returning from injury. After Akins returns, Johnson's role will diminish significantly, followed by a bye week in Week 8. His role is already diminishing because the Saints are playing more backup tight ends and using C.J. Donaldson (playing fullback-style) in place of a pass-catching tight end. Johnson, a converted wide receiver from Oregon, is not a natural or instinctive run blocker, so his role is shrinking in the offense. The source recommends starting him this week against Steelers in a good matchup, then prepare to stream tight ends.

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Kyle Pitts

PositiveMatchup11:06

Kyle Pitts shows strong upside in games where the Falcons are trailing or in competitive matchups, as his route share and snap count increase significantly in those scenarios. Against the 49ers at home as underdogs, Pitts is positioned for a favorable game script. The source notes that Pitts's role diminishes when the Falcons are winning or running the ball, but with limited target-earning receivers (Jahan Dotson, Zach Ertz, Olamide Zaccheaus), Pitts captures volume in negative game scripts. The source has him ranked over some flex-eligible wide receivers on multiple teams. Additionally, Pitts is ranked higher than consensus, and this elevated ranking is directly tied to the expected high dropback volume for Michael Penix Jr., whose expected game script (heavy passing due to game flow) will create more opportunities for Pitts.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveInjury14:00

Lamar Jackson is legitimately questionable as of Friday 9:45 a.m. Central Time; if he practices and is cleared to play, the source will add him to the rankings in the S tier as the second-highest quarterback of the week alongside Brock Purdy. His status significantly affects Mark Andrews' ranking, with the source liking Andrews more if Lamar plays.

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Malik Willis

NegativeProjection26:20

Malik Willis is on pace for 900 rushing yards and 7 rushing touchdowns but cannot crack 12 PPG, indicating poor overall fantasy production despite significant rushing volume.

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Mark Andrews

PositiveProjection14:11

Andrews projects well based on data and efficiency metrics with fine target shares, but his actual efficiency has been poor; yards per route run have been dire, ranging from 2.23 down to 0.16. The source would rank him higher if Lamar Jackson plays, but the disconnect between opportunity and production is concerning.

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Michael Mayer

PositiveValue14:11

Mayer is ranked at tight end 18 and has been consistently involved with an 18-22% target share; the source notes the Raiders will struggle running the ball against the Rams and recommends Mayer as a solid streaming option. He's owned in only 15% of Yahoo leagues, presenting a decent streaming opportunity for Week 7 with significant waiver wire availability.

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Michael Penix Jr.

PositiveProjection22:02

Penix is ranked at QB 14, tied with Danny for highest on the site when including bye-week players. The source ranks him this high because he expects an insane amount of dropbacks, specifically the most dropbacks of the season for Penix. The source expects the game script to resemble the second half and fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears, where Atlanta abandoned the run and threw deep on basically every play. Penix is recommended as a streamer this week.

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Mike Evans

NegativeRole9:30

Evans' presence or absence significantly impacts K'Waun Williams' target share and production for the Buccaneers. When Evans is out, Williams' target volume and scoring increase substantially.

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Noah Fant

NegativeRole9:00

Fant is being deployed as a backup tight end for the Saints alongside Oscar Delp, with C.J. Donaldson taking the pass-catching role. This indicates limited offensive role and target opportunity.

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Oscar Delp

NegativeRole9:00

Delp is being used as a backup tight end for the Saints alongside Noah Fant, with C.J. Donaldson taking the pass-catching role. This indicates limited offensive role and target opportunity.

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Pat Freiermuth

PositiveRole12:00

Freiermuth is a touchdown-or-bust option whose route share has diminished slightly due to Jeremy Jeudy running routes in the same area of the field, but he remains featured in the red zone. The source rates him as a good flex or tight end option for the week despite the reduced route volume.

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Patrick Mahomes

NegativeProjection18:30

Patrick Mahomes has been disappointing in the last three games because the Chiefs have dominated opponents without requiring him to do much. The source is frustrated by Andy Reid's conservative red zone approach (kicking field goals instead of going for touchdowns), which limits fantasy production for Mahomes, Kelce, Rice, and Worthy. Despite this frustration, the source still views Mahomes as a clear start in fantasy football for the given week.

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Puka Nacua

NegativeInjury21:03

Puka Nacua's availability is a critical swing factor for Stafford's fantasy ranking. The Rams' implied team total is currently assuming Nacua plays. If Nacua does not play, Stafford will be downgraded from QB 10 (B tier) to QB 12 (C tier), as the passing game would rely on secondary receivers like Higbee, Parkinson, and Williams.

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Sam LaPorta

PositiveProjection0:40

Ranked B-tier and moved ahead of Isaiah Likely due to the best game environment of the week; plays against Green Bay Packers with a 27.5-point implied team total.

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T.J. Hockenson

PositiveValue13:47

Hockenson is ranked at tight end 17 with a very good matchup against Indianapolis; the source prefers Tyler Higbee by quite a bit, but Hockenson is the source's favorite streaming option for Week 7, available in 40% of ESPN leagues, making him a widely available target for owners seeking a tight end replacement.

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Travis Kelce

PositiveProjection0:50

Mattek Fantasy Football ranks Kelce as a starter with very few worlds where he should be benched. Rashee Rice did not practice Wednesday or Thursday, which should increase Kelce's usage. The source expects a pass-heavy game plan against Seattle due to Kenneth Walker's revenge game narrative and interior pass rush threats like Nick Emenwari. Kelce saw only 5 targets against the Chargers due to a run-heavy game plan, but the source does not expect that to repeat against Seattle.

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Trey McBride

NegativeProjection0:24

Ranked A-tier for Week 7 despite coming off a relatively down game; difficult matchup noted with opponent team total of only 19.5 points; the source emphasizes McBride should not be benched.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveProjection0:39

Ranked TE8 despite a great game environment; the source identifies poor role and target volume as key concerns: only 1 touchdown on the year, yards per route run below 2.0, and target share below 18% due to Matthew Golden and Christian Watson being superior passing options; the source notes Kraft historically relied on yards after catch (led NFL in YAC per reception in recent seasons), which is unsustainable for long-term fantasy success; the source only starts Kraft in 1 of 30 managed leagues and benches him for Travis Kelce in a high-stakes dynasty league with tight end premium scoring; Kraft is still working his way back from ACL injury; the source states 'I don't think Tucker Kraft is truly great,' suggesting limited upside as a pass-catcher in a wide-receiver-friendly offense.

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Tyler Conklin

PositiveValue12:02

The source ranks Conklin at tight end 16 against Miami this week. While the Jets have a low 22-point team total, Conklin is recommended as a really good hold rather than a waiver add to start, given his potential to suddenly become the starting tight end and his past performance in a full-time role against Detroit. Geno Smith is top-half the league in EPA per play this year, supporting Conklin's underlying value.

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Tyler Higbee

PositiveRole5:03

Ranked tight end 10 by Mattek Fantasy Football. Elevated to the most important role in the Rams offense with Davante Adams out and Puka Nacua dealing with a calf injury (missed practice Thursday). While Terrance Ferguson is the team's second-best pass catcher after Adams, Higbee plays the critical complementary role alongside Parkinson and Davis Allen. At age 33, not as productive as Ferguson but occupies an essential offensive role. Graded as a clear start against Las Vegas Raiders; the source would be hard-pressed to bench him. Prefers Higbee by quite a bit over T.J. Hockenson this week.

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Xavier Worthy

NegativeProjection18:30

Xavier Worthy's fantasy production has been limited in recent weeks due to the Chiefs' dominant performances and conservative red zone approach. Worthy is grouped in the source's request for more detailed fantasy stats alongside Mahomes, Kelce, and Rice, indicating the source wants better statistical context for evaluating his fantasy performance.

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Zach Ertz

NegativeProjection16:18

Ertz is listed in the desperation tier, but the source indicates they want to delete him from consideration entirely, suggesting he should be avoided even as a desperation option.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

261
0:00We have tons to get to with late injury news changing the position at both tight end and quarterbacks. Let's go ahead and
0:05set our lineups in fantasy football this week. Obviously, the S-tier at tight end, and we will get to quarterback, is just Brock Bowers this week. And the
0:11reason why it's just Brock Bowers is I don't think I can in good conscience put George Kittle in the S-tier just because
0:17of overall volume concerns. Kittle, I think a great game for him against Atlanta, probably is two touchdowns, but only on like, you know, six or seven
0:24receptions, something like that. And then I have this just this week, I have Trey McBride in the second tier. I have
0:30him in the A-tier. I mean, he is coming off of like a relatively down game for him. Obviously, there's no world where
0:35you are benching Trey McBride, but it is a difficult matchup. Only a 19 and a half point team total. Obviously, you
0:40are starting Trey McBride. The B-tier is obviously where it gets a little bit more interesting. I hemmed and hawed, and I actually did end up moving Sam
0:47LaPorta ahead of Isaiah Likely just because of overall game environment. I figured if I'm going to be fair, and I'm going to be rigorous about my process,
0:55Sam LaPorta is in the best game environment of the week, a 27 and a half point implied total against the Green
1:01Bay Packers. Meanwhile, basically the worst possible game environment for Isaiah Likely, who is averaging 18.2 points per game, would make him the
1:09seventh highest scoring wide receiver in PBR, but only a 16 and a half point total, a difficult defensive matchup. He has J.J. McCarthy playing as his
1:17quarterback. Now, I don't want you guys to bench Isaiah Likely because I think one thing that's pretty clear is they're going to at least try and get
1:25J.J. McCarthy to operate well in the passing game. And more importantly, we now have at least one quarter of evidence that J.J. McCarthy can sustain
1:32fantasy football value for both Likely and Malik Nabers. Now, is that going to hold true against the Texans? Is that going to hold true for the rest of the
1:38season? I don't know. But Likely and Nabers each had hugely productive fourth quarters when McCarthy was in there. So again, no world where, in my opinion,
1:47you could possibly bench Isaiah Likely.
1:50I also think there are very few worlds where you can bench Travis Kelce. Rashee Rice did not practice Wednesday. Rashee Rice did not practice on Thursday. Now,
1:57the team barely had to pass at all against the Chargers. So, Kelsey actually saw a reduction in snaps and only five targets in that game. I don't
2:05think they're going to be able to get away with that against Seattle. I weirdly enough, you know, the revenge game for Kenneth Walker, I actually
2:10think this game plan will set up a little bit more pass-heavy. I think there will be a lot of RPO quick-hitter
2:16type stuff to navigate around some of the pass rush to try and alleviate what Nick Emenwari can do on the interior. I
2:23mean, Nick Emenwari versus Travis Kelce, that is a pretty unfair match-up for Travis Kelce despite the fact that he is a first-ballot Hall of Famer. But, every
2:30league that I have Travis Kelce right now, I currently have him as a starter.
2:34I had Dalton Kincaid who had the big breakout on Thursday night ranked at tight end seven. Hope you guys got him
2:39in. Tucker Kraft I have at eight. I get a lot of YouTube comments about Tucker Kraft. I'm kind of curious why that is.
2:45The thing with Tucker Kraft is obviously this game environment is great. The role is not great. The target volume is not
2:51great. He's got one touchdown on the year. His yards per route run is below two. His target share is below. I mean,
2:58it's actually below 18%. I was going to say below 20%. It's below 18% because Matthew Golden and Christian Watson are just that good. I mean, let's just face
3:06facts. These guys are much better. If you want to build a passing offense, you want to build it around those guys
3:10because they're so explosive.
3:13And weirdly, the thing that Tucker Kraft used to do was Tucker Kraft was like, you know, basically the best yards after
3:18catch guy in the NFL each of the most recent two seasons. He led the NFL in yards after catch per reception.
3:25Obviously, well, maybe not obviously, but in my opinion that was not a sustainable way to generate fantasy football success over the long term for
3:31Tucker Kraft. It's why I had him, you know, below average. I did not draft very much of him this season. I actually
3:37only have him as my starting tight end in like one of my 30 managed leagues right now. And actually, I am benching
3:43Tucker Kraft for Travis Kelce in a high-stakes dynasty league that I am in because I think that and that's actually tight end premium, so 1.5 points per
3:52reception. I I think that Kraft is is the third passing option for this offense. It's not even a particularly high-volume passing offense. I could
4:01have a good game here, but I just I get a lot of YouTube comments about Tucker Kraft, so I just wanted to expound on
4:07that. And obviously, he is also still working his way back from this ACL.
4:11Although, you know, I I never quite know how to deal with that because it's pretty clear that ACL recovery has really improved for NFL players like
4:18Malik Nabers is producing immediately.
4:20Patrick Mahomes doesn't ever look like he missed an NFL snap. So, I I I don't want to fully excuse the lack of
4:25production wages because he is coming back from the knee injury. Dallas Goedert at nine nine averaging 11.8 points per game. The target volume for
4:33him since coming back from injury has been awesome. Nine and eight. He plays the worst defense in the NFL, 32 out of
4:3932 in EPA per play, the Dallas Cowboys.
4:42I expect this to be like a pretty healthy Eagles passing attack. I think we should probably get 35, 36 dropbacks here. I would easily expect him to
4:50outproduce, you know, Dontayvion Wicks, Darius Cooper, and Makai Lemon. They also run a lot of those red zone plays for Dallas Goedert. Maybe that's a way
4:57to make things a little bit easier for Tanner McKee. I've Goedert as a clear start this week. And then finally here,
5:03a name that might be surprising some of you guys, but I have Tyler Higbee as my tight end 10. Puka Nacua missed practice
5:09on Thursday with a calf injury. I think even had he not done that with Davante Adams out, I still would have had Tyler
5:16Higbee at least in at least in the C tier, maybe not all the way in the B tier, but Tyler Higbee now is had He's in the most
5:24important role in this offense. So, if you go back to the Denver game, if you go back and watch the beginning of that
5:30game, obviously, the team knows that Terrance Ferguson is their third best pass catcher. And with Davante Adams out, he would be their second best pass
5:36catcher. Everything that they have done in terms of preparing the team to get ready for the year, all the Sean McVay
5:42play calling, all of his theory for the offense revolved around being able to use Terrance Ferguson as a huge part of
5:49the offense. You actually if you go back and look at the 49ers game, the Australia game, you can see that in the first half, Terrance Ferguson
5:56played 81% of the snaps. Tyler Higbee didn't play at all. Uh in the second half, they got away from it and they
6:01went into 11 personnel because they were just getting absolutely blown out. All that is a long way to say Tyler Higbee
6:07not as good as Terrance Ferguson. I think we can all be honest about that in his age 33 season. However, he does play
6:13this really important role where Parkinson and Davis Allen play the other role. So, I have Tyler Higbee graded as just like a clear clear start here
6:20against the Las Vegas Raiders. I would be really hard for me to imagine keeping him on the bench. I don't know, you
6:25know, maybe you did draft Isaiah Likely and Travis Kelce.
6:28Or maybe you did draft Cole Kmet and Loveland and Dallas Goedert. That was something I talked a lot about this off
6:33season in terms of like drafting two tight ends and planning on, you know, playing 12 personnel on your fantasy football team.
6:39I I actually think it's a good idea and I actually do think it is also a good idea just in general this week because
6:46as we get to the C tier here, there going to be more startable guys in the C tier, some of whom might be available on
6:51your waiver wire. So, beginning the C tier will begin with Harold Fannin against the Titans. It's a good match up for him. Honestly, I'm about to the
6:58point of the season where I'm going to start moving Harold Fannin down further than this. The target volume has been really really poor. He's been allowing
7:05me Boston and Concepcion to really mug him there. I'm actually the highest on Fannin. Mason and Danny have him at 13.
7:12Sammy has him all the way down at 20. I I applaud Sammy for having the stones to do that because, you know, unlike Cole
7:18Kmet and Loveland who is not scoring any points, there was really no explanatory variable why that would be true. You know, when
7:26looking at Cole Kmet and Loveland the first five weeks of the season, I said, "This is one of the most unlucky starts
7:31to the season possible."
7:33When I look at Harold Fannin Jr., I'm like, "Man, how lucky is he that he scored two touchdowns against the Carolina Panthers?" because his targets
7:40per route run, his yards per route run have been abysmal. Abysmal. I mean, this is like backup this is like Austin
7:46Hooper stuff, you know? And and it's not it's not Fannin's fault, per se. Like I think Harold Fannin Jr. is a very very
7:53talented player. The issue is the quarterback is bad and Boston and Concepcion are better than him. And it's no shame to not be able to earn as many
8:03targets as Denzel Boston and Concepcion.
8:05They both look like awesome players.
8:06It's it's actually not that dissimilar to Tucker Kraft, just a much worse offensive environment. Kraft is not a bad player. Firkser is not a bad player.
8:14It's just that wide receivers are better at earning targets than tight ends. I mean, unless the tight ends are truly great, and I don't think Firkser is
8:22truly great, and I don't think Tucker Kraft is is truly great. I have Juwan Johnson at 12. This is probably the last
8:27week you're going to be able to get away with Juwan Johnson. Zero points for him last week. Jordan Akins will be coming
8:33back, and then after Jordan Akins comes back, they also have the bye in week eight cuz they're coming back from Europe. So, I guess start Juwan Johnson
8:41this week against the Steelers, and then probably prepare to say adios and start streaming tight ends. I mean, in good match-ups, you'll still be able to start
8:47him, but I think in terms of being a weekly top 12 tight end, I think you're going to have to say goodbye. Another,
8:53not to get like too nerdy inside football here, but a big reason why Juwan Johnson's role is diminishing is because they're playing more of the
8:59backup tight ends, and also using C.J.
9:02Donaldson quite a bit in replacement of a pass-catching tight end. So, you're getting a lot of like Noah Fant or Oscar
9:09Delp out there with C.J. Donaldson, and Donaldson is basically like playing a fullback. So, and that's because the offensive line is so bad, and Juwan
9:17Johnson, a converted wide receiver, you know, he played wide receiver at Oregon and then converted to tight end, he's just not a natural or instinctive run
9:24blocker, so his role is diminishing in the offense. This is the one that I I I'm prepared to get some negative
9:31feedback on, but in K'Waun's career, if you look at the seven games that he has played without Mike [clears throat] Evans and
9:36without Chris Godwin, he has averaged 14.2 points per game, six receptions per game, 0.43 touchdowns per game, 8.14 targets per game, and 56
9:48yards per game. Um so, that's without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin Jr. Now, obviously, Chris Godwin Jr. absolutely stinks and is irrelevant to this
9:56conversation, but if you go and look at the the K'Waun game logs, he basically is the most useless player in fantasy
10:03football history, and then he gets these ginormous spikes when when other primary receivers for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are out. They are also getting Baker
10:12Mayfield back this week. He is going to play with a protective brace on his hand. You know, I guess we'll see how
10:18that works. But, Cade Otton goes when Emeka Egbuka is out. Egbuka is questionable with both a foot injury and a concussion right now. So, I'm not
10:27expecting Egbuka to play. And then the other wide receivers are, you know, Ted Hurst and and Tez Johnson and and this
10:34version of Chris Godwin Jr. I think you have to look at Cade Otton as one of the absolute plays of the week. I would
10:40probably start him over some of these borderline wide receivers. You know, obviously, I'm going to keep updating my rankings all the way until we get to
10:48kick off on Sunday and you guys can ask me questions over on Flock Fantasy, but I want you guys to go check your waiver
10:53wire for Cade Otton. I I actually just before I started this video, went to go add him in a bunch of leagues to either
10:59block my opponents from picking him up or to have him as an option in my flex.
11:05You know, I mean, hey, it's dark out there. A lot of injuries. You know, some teams I have some teams that might not
11:10have Breece Hall. I have some teams that are losing Braelon Allen as a flex starter. Like, there's a lot going on
11:14and just having Cade Otton, you know, I think he'll probably project for like 10 or 11 points. Obviously, a little bit
11:19better in tight end premium. So, make sure you get Cade Otton. Kyle Pitts, I like in these games that the Falcons
11:26look like they're going to lose. I mean, two really good games for him in a row.
11:30What was the trend there? Games that you know, were actually competitive. If you look at games that the Falcons are going
11:34to be winning or that the Falcons are going to be able to run the ball, I think you're going to see Kyle Pitts's
11:39role diminish greatly. But, because Jahan Dotson and Zach Ertz and Olamide Zaccheaus, these guys are not target earners. These guys aren't even
11:46particularly good route runners. Kyle Pitts really sees his routes and snaps increase in those spots. They are home underdogs here to the 49ers who are
11:54potential high-flying offense. So, I feel fairly okay about Pitts this week. I mean, you know, I actually have some teams that Pitts can't even make the
12:02starting lineup cuz I've been pretty aggressive on the waivers at tight end.
12:05Like, I actually have one team that has Cole Kmet, Dallas Goedert, and Tyler Higbee. So, no chance I'll be starting Pitts on that
12:13team, but there's a decent chance that Pitts could rank over some wide receivers that you guys have in the flex. Pat Freiermuth continues to be a
12:20relatively touchdown or bust option.
12:22Weirdly enough, in that game against Tampa Bay that we saw Aaron Rodgers drop back a bazillion times because Jeremy has been so good and Jeremy runs routes
12:30in the same area of the field as Freiermuth. We've actually seen his role diminish in terms of like sheer routes a
12:35little bit. But, he is also featured in the red zone. Freiermuth to me seems like quite a good flex option or tight
12:41end option this week as well. I still have Conklin at tight end 16. I mean, they play the Miami Dolphins this week.
12:47Maybe maybe or maybe tight end 18 is is a smidgen too high due to the you know, overall lower amount of routes
12:56that he is running. But, I also think that the Conklin thing will happen all of a sudden. I don't think we're going
13:01to get a huge advance warning that all of a sudden Conklin is the starting tight end. I mean, we did see him
13:06absolutely smash against the Detroit Lions in a full-time role.
13:10Maybe he just won't be required here against the Miami Dolphins so the Jets with the 22-point team total. I mean, that is is not particularly bad. They're
13:17just a very low game total in the New York Jets Miami Dolphins game. If Conklin is on your waivers, maybe you
13:22don't add him to start, but I do think Conklin is a really good hold. Geno is actually top half the league in EPA per
13:29play this year. The Jets are not a good team, but they're not like an absolutely horrible last place team and I think you
13:35know, there's a maybe we're we're in you know, week 12 or whatever and this team is actually like fighting for the final
13:41wild card spot or something. I mean, that's probably that's probably not quite realistic, but Conklin is a guy that I want to have on a ton of my
13:47teams. T.J. Hockenson down here at 17.
13:49The return of Jordan Addison, the return of Justin Jefferson. You know, we saw T.J. Hockenson with the career game with Justin Jefferson out and it is a very
13:57good match up against the Indianapolis Colts. So, if you absolutely had to start Hockenson, I think that's fine, but I do prefer like a a question I've
14:03gotten a couple times is Tyler Higbee versus Hockenson and I personally do prefer Higbee by quite a bit. I got Michael Mayer all the way up at 18 here.
14:11I don't expect the Las Vegas Raiders have too much success running the ball against the Los Angeles Rams. Mayer has just been consistently been involved. Uh
14:20you know, I don't know I guess I don't know what happened in that New England game, but really outside of that New
14:24England game, you're talking about a full-time player with roughly eight you know, 18% to 22% target share. I think you could do worse than streaming
14:32Michael Mayer. And then I want to rank Mark Andrews higher. He projects very well. You know, all the data stuff has
14:38him as like a pretty good play this week.
14:40But luckily I have eyes and also Lamar Jackson is like legitimately questionable here. So if Lamar plays, I do like Andrews a little bit more, but
14:48the efficiency stuff for Andrews has been so bad, which is kind of funny cuz the target shares have actually been fine. So his ability to earn targets has
14:56been fine, but it's been the efficiency when the ball heads his direction. Look at this. So and it's funny it cascades
15:022.23 yards per route run, 1.96, 1.85, 1.13, 1.08, and then 0.16 yards per route run. Doesn't really get much more dire than that. Then the D tier here, we
15:14have got Dalton Schultz who's losing playing time to Foster Moreau, Darren Waller who is getting out targeted every single game by kind of everyone else. I
15:21mean, we saw Tommy Tremble score twice last week. I think Waller's like a really low-end streamer. Same deal for Ingram. I mean, he might be a
15:28beneficiary of the continued short passing game in Denver. And if you're looking to totally fade Jaylen Waddle this week, maybe you think Evan Ingram
15:36gets a short touchdown. Mike Gesicki with both T and Chase playing. Although this is a game that we could expect to
15:42be paced a little bit if Lamar plays, I probably like Gesicki a little bit more.
15:46Hunter Henry, there you go. I think he got 10 and 1/2 points last night, so maybe I was a little bit too low.
15:50Actually no, he got more. I think he got 14. Yeah, there you go. 14.8, so I was too low. Four for 48 and a touchdown
15:57for for Hunter Henry. So maybe I was a little bit too low on him. That was his game against the Jets and then he had a
16:01good game on Thursday night football against the Bears as well. Final tier here, if you're absolutely desperate, Colby Parkinson is fine. A.J. Barner,
16:09Jake Ferguson. I actually Jake Jake Ferguson's not even fine. He's losing his job to Brevin Jordan. Gunner Helm, 2.8 points per game. I I to delete Zach
16:18Ertz there. Greg Dulcich and then the last guy I want to know is just if you have Tyler Warren, I am not expecting
16:24Tyler Warren to play this week. I think he's probably going to miss yet again with this groin issue. So, if you have
16:30Tyler Warren, I would prepare yourself to have a contingency.
16:34Cade Otton, if you have Tyler Warren, go pick up Cade Otton and you've got your contingency built in there. If you can't
16:40do that, I mean I guess like my favorite streaming type guy would probably be Hockenson in terms of guys who are
16:46widely available. Hockenson right now on ESPN is available in 40% of leagues, even more than that. Let's check the availability here on Mayer. There you
16:55go. So, Mayer's owned in 15% of Yahoo leagues. So, decent chance to be able to stream Michael Mayer. Getting into the
17:02quarterbacks now. Maybe a little bit controversial here, but I have my guy Brock Purdy averaging 22 points per game alone in the S tier. I had Caleb
17:12Williams ranked two, I Drake May ranked three. Both of those guys had phenomenal games. I guess it looks a little bit
17:18stupid now to have Purdy alone in the S tier with no Mike Evans, no Deebo Samuel, and then have Caleb Williams and
17:24Drake May below him. But, that's how much I believe in Purdy. Purdy's having a phenomenal year. He is second in MVP
17:31odds right now.
17:32Adds the rushing upside. I'm a big believer in Purdy and it's the nutted match-up in the dome for him. Jordan Love at four.
17:40The the Detroit Lions defense. I you know, it's funny.
17:43The Cowboys defense is actually worse per play, but in terms of fantasy points, the Detroit Lions are actually the most forgiving defense in fantasy
17:51because the offense can actually keep pace. So, it's one of those things where like per play, yes, the Cowboys are worse, but the team you most want your
17:58offensive players to face is the Lions because it then requires the offensive players playing the Lions defense to generate more points. On the other side
18:05of that game, Jared Goff averaging 23 points per game. Highest team total of the entire slate of the entire week, 27.8.
18:13Got him at five. And then Joseph Burrow against the Ravens. He's having like an okay fantasy season, 20.3 points per game. The the Bengals-Ravens games are
18:23generally always pretty good for fantasy if Lamar plays. And then obviously, if Lamar Jackson we're going to get more information, I'm recording this at 9:45
18:30a.m. Central Time on Friday. If in 3 hours Lamar Jackson does end up practicing and we get word that he's going to play, I will add Lamar back to
18:38my ranks and he will go up to the S tier. So he will be my second highest quarterback of the week and he will be
18:43in the S tier with Purdy. Moving to the B tier, I actually have C.J. Stroud.
18:47This is the highest I have ever ranked C.J. Stroud. Uh very very high team total. The So so the Houston Texans who cannot run the ball
18:56to save their lives because their running backs are This week it's going to be Deuce Vaughn, Dare Ogunbowale, and Woody Marks. Uh does not sound like
19:04David Montgomery is going to play. They have a 27-point team total. We have actually seen C.J. Stroud's dropbacks be much higher than I thought they would
19:11be, 34 attempts in back-to-back games coming off a 312-and-3 game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. I again, like I was not a Stroud guy into the year. I
19:21wouldn't even really consider myself a Stroud guy right now. But in terms of a quarterback who's available in a fair few amount of leagues, um you know, 25%
19:28of ESPN leagues he is available. I guess that's not that many. Uh 25% but Stroud I think is just an elite start this week
19:35in fantasy football. Mahomes has been a little bit disappointing uh in the most recent three games because he's not been required to do anything. They just
19:43easily beat Miami, never got out of second gear, never got out of second gear against the Raiders. And another thing I mean, Ken Walker just keeps
19:49cashing in these goal-line touchdowns and then no passing touchdowns at all against the Los Angeles Chargers because again, no one can do anything against
19:57them. I am very much hoping the Seahawks can at least make the Chiefs try. You know, Andy Reid continually kicking these field goals inside the red zone is
20:05just like making me pull my hair out. I would like some more fantasy stats for Mahomes, for Kelce, for Rice, for
20:10Worthy. Uh you know, Walker. I mean, obviously no issue with Kenneth Walker there but Mahomes is to me still a clear
20:15start in a given week in fantasy football. Dak Prescott, I I I'll get an I'll also get a lot of YouTube comments
20:21about Dak Prescott. You guys are are pretty disappointed in him. I mean, hey man, it it is what it is. The numbers
20:27are going to come. Like the peripheral stuff has been great. Uh his yards per attempt is fine. His completion percentage is fine.
20:33Uh he's just run honestly he's just run gotten a little bit unlucky on touchdowns. You know, to only have one passing touchdown on 54 dropbacks
20:40against the Packers is very very unlucky. To only have one passing touchdown with 316 yards against Tampa Bay, very unlucky. That's just kind of
20:47the way football goes and you just have to ride out that variance, but I'm not you know, panicked about Dak Prescott
20:52for fantasy football or anything like that. Stafford, just because of the team total, I do still have at 10. This might
20:58be a little bit aggressive. Like if you told me you wanted to start Bryce Young >> [clears throat] >> or Kyler Murray over Matt Stafford, I
21:03would actually be fine with it. And then if Puka does not play, so right now obviously the implied total for the Rams
21:10I think is assuming that Puka Nacua plays. If Puka Nacua does not play in this game, I'm going to move Stafford
21:16from the B tier. I'm going to move him to quarterback 12 and then I'm going to take him from the B tier to the C tier.
21:23Uh you know, obviously zero rushing upside for Matt Stafford. And without Puka Nacua, you were asking him to generate, you know, 280 passing yards
21:31and two touchdowns throwing to Tyler Higbee, Colby Parkinson, Kyren Williams, and Can't Have Enough Field. So, I don't feel nearly as good about that. The C
21:39tier of quarterbacks, I've got Tyler Shuck sitting here at 13. Very good game for Shuck last week. He's mostly been a
21:45very strong fantasy football quarterback this year. I just know from watching him play and from knowing kind of how the Saints offense works, particularly
21:53because the offensive line is so bad, that the floor is very low for him. And when thinking about starting a quarterback or when thinking about
21:59streaming a quarterback, something that I think a lot about is the floor. It's kind of hard to just like totally nuke a
22:05week a quarterback, you know, obviously it's really nice when Josh Allen gets 40 or Drake May gets 30, but the thing that
22:10really kills your week is when you get eight points from a quarterback and your opponent gets 18. Cuz the other opponent's quarterback didn't even
22:16really do anything special. They just did what was expected. And I do think the the weekly floor for Shuck as we've
22:22seen is fairly low. I have Michael Penix Jr. all the way up at 14.
22:27Um quarterback 17 kind of uh if you include the guys on the bye, that's tied with Danny for highest on the site. And
22:32the reason why I have him so high is I expect an insane amount of dropbacks here. I I think we will get the most
22:39dropbacks of the season for Michael Penix Jr. here, and I think their performance is going to look a lot like what it did in the the second half and
22:46the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears, where they kind of had to totally abandon the run and just huck it deep.
22:52You know, basically every single play.
22:53It's why I have Penix or that's why I have Kyle Pitts ranked higher than consensus as well. So, I like Penix as a
22:58streamer this week.
23:00Same deal with Kirk Cousins. I expect them to basically come into this game down a touchdown. Cousins has not been like great for fantasy or anything like
23:08that, but he's got three 20-point games, gets to throw to Bowers. Getting to throw to an elite superstar pass-catcher really is such a hack for these older
23:16quarterbacks, you know, Rodgers throwing to Jeremy.
23:20Not really superstar. I'm kind of kind of tongue-in-cheek there. Stafford getting to throw to Puka, Cousins getting to throw to Bowers. Cuz these
23:25guys are so good, they're so cerebral, and having someone that good, you know, just kind of really unlocks all the cool
23:32things, like all the the high-level play that, you know, these guys can can still do. Jacoby Brissett at 16, just sheer
23:39volume stuff here. I mean, you want to talk about floor. Uh I guess I guess the Jacoby floor is actually quite low. You
23:45know, six points against Seattle. Uh just ab- Very funny that his worst game of the season came in a win against the
23:51Rams. I think we see 40 dropbacks here from Brissett. I don't think the Cardinals are going to be able to run at
23:56all against the Broncos, and you've got a decent chance of some garbagio time with Jacoby Brissett. Geno Smith, it will just be a matter of how effective
24:03they are running the ball. You know, Geno, I think is like a fine low-end streamer, but as we have seen again, the
24:09floor for Geno is so low because of their propensity to run ball. Huge game against the Detroit Lions, then follows that up with eight points against the
24:16Bears, 10 points against the Browns, and 12 points against the Patriots, because the in all those games, they were pretty effective running the ball. But, I also
24:24just expect the overall offensive efficiency for the Jets to be very high this week. Bo Nix, this was as high as I
24:30could get him averaging 11.6 points per game. He's not even adding anything as a rusher, which I think is the most
24:35disappointing part. Bo Nix, 701 out of 701 quarterbacks since Next Gen Stats started measuring average depth of target. He has the lowest average depth
24:45of target of all time. Uh Bo Nix, there are more letters in his name than yards in his A dot. How about that? Uh you
24:53know, very funny. Five five letters in his name. He's the shortest named NFL player of all time and his A dot is
24:59below five. Just he he's disrespecting the game of football. Now, I do think if there was ever a get-right spot, it
25:05would be this one. So, if you told me, "Hey Davis, I I really have a feeling about Bo Nix this week. I think he's
25:09going to start running."
25:11Go for it.
25:12You know, I like I I talked in the um the flex ranking videos about giving Jaylen Waddle another chance because the
25:17matchup against the Cardinals is so good. Obviously, the Jaylen Waddle matchup can't happen without Bo Nix playing better football. JJ McCarthy, I
25:25do have at 19, which is I mean, certainly I'm going to go look at the rankings here on the site. It's got to
25:29be highest. Wow, actually not the highest on the site. Zach is a little bit higher than me. Um McCarthy will run
25:35a little bit. And as I was just talking about with Kirk getting the throw to Bowers, I mean, it looks like McCarthy
25:41gets to throw to two of these guys. He gets to throw to Malik Nabers, one of the best, you know, five, six, seven,
25:47eight wide receivers in the game, but also gets to throw to Isaiah Likely and has no ground game to speak of. I mean,
25:52we talk a lot about the Green Bay Packers ground game being the worst in the NFL. The Giants ground game is is
25:58every bit as bad, honestly. It's like truly, truly reprehensible. Aaron Rodgers at 20, averaging 16.5 points per game. You know, kind of know what you're
26:06getting there. Very little ceiling, but a nice little floor. Daniel Jones against the Vikings, honestly, he's 21, too. I just as a bit, I might move
26:13Daniel Jones to my literal last quarterback spot this week. I would really not want to start him. Tyler Huntley at 22. If we don't get Lamar,
26:20then the dregs of the position. Sam Darnold having a brutal year. Malik Willis, you know, Malik Willis is on pace to have like 900 rushing yards and
26:28seven rushing touchdowns and can't crack 12 points per game. Not great there.
26:32Deshaun Watson, no thank you. Uh Jaylen Daniels sounds like uh we're actually going to get Baker this week. So, I will
26:37have Baker ranked in the C tier. I will probably have him right about quarterback 15, 16, 17. So, I'll probably have him behind Cousins, but
26:45ahead of Brissett. Cam Ward, no thank you. Tanner McKee, hey if you got to start him in a superflex league, do what
26:50you got to do. Make sure to like the video. Make sure to subscribe to the channel. Uh obviously if you have any
26:56questions about start, sit, trades, whatever, I will try to get to as many of them in the comments as I can, and I
27:02will be back with you guys real soon.

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