Mattek Fantasy Football artwork

Top 100 Fantasy Football Rankings + Tiers (2026)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

36 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
No date
Published
73
Player insights
73
Players mentioned
Topics
A.J. BrownAaron RodgersAlec PierceAmon-Ra St. BrownBlake CorumBrian Thomas Jr.Brock BowersBrock PurdyBucky IrvingCeeDee LambChase BrownChris GodwinChris RodriguezChristian McCaffrey
Player analysis

Player insights

73

A.J. Brown

NegativeProjection11:09

Ranked after Malik Nabers despite higher ADP. Down year in 2024: yards per route run fell to 2.13 (poor for him), yards per target down to 8.3, lowest target share as Philadelphia Eagle. Possible motivation concerns with previous QB Jaylen Hurts, but now paired with Drake May who is viewed as a better thrower. Christian McCaffrey is comfortable taking him at current valuation.

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Aaron Rodgers

PositiveMatchup31:00

His backfields over the last five seasons have had well above league average fantasy points available, making the Packers running back situation particularly valuable for fantasy purposes.

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Alec Pierce

NegativeValue34:30

Alec Pierce is ranked at ADP 98 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection0:01

Ranked #7 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. Described as steady Eddie with not much room for improvement. You know exactly what you're getting: between 80 and 90 yards per game and between 10 and 12 touchdowns; you're going to feel very good about putting St. Brown in your lineup every single week.

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Blake Corum

NegativeProjection32:00

Ranked at 88 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeRole27:00

Featured a huge drop-off in play last season, finishing as WR47. The team is now talking about Travis Hunter Jr. being his direct backup, which the speaker believes will limit his snaps and routes more than desired, capping his fantasy upside.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveProjection8:20

Ranked 18th overall with a projection to score top-five PPR points among all skilled position players in the NFL. Career average of over 16 PPR points per game when healthy; has the 11th highest scoring tight end game of all time (against Jacksonville last year). Set up to potentially break the NFL record for targets in a season given weak wide receiver depth on the Raiders. Bowers is essentially a high-end top-five wide receiver in a tight end position.

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Brock Purdy

PositiveValue34:07

Mattek's alternative if Patrick Mahomes is not available, suggesting strong value as a secondary quarterback target in reddraft.

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Bucky Irving

PositiveRole22:42

McCaffrey moved Irving up to 50 in rankings. Irving is a very explosive per-touch player who has generated 15 fantasy points per game without goal-line work. McCaffrey is less concerned about Kenneth Gainwell's occasional touches (e.g., seven touches for 38 yards) cutting into Irving's value.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveProjection0:02

Ranked #9 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey believes Lamb is unfairly maligned and notes that he has been the number one overall wide receiver in fantasy football before. McCaffrey expresses no real concerns about Lamb, attributing people's concerns to the presence of George Pickens.

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Chase Brown

NegativeValue6:26

Ranked at 15 by McCaffrey, making him the lowest-ranked among peers at Fantasy Stock Exchange (Cory at 10) and Dynasty Domain. He averaged 16 points per game last year, heavily buoyed by receiving touchdown production, which McCaffrey views as unsustainable. Brown has shown a safe floor and realistic ceiling, but McCaffrey is lower on him than average because he is not the engine of the Cincinnati offense but rather one cog in the machine.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeInjury30:00

If the toe injury was expected to bother him longer, he would be ranked higher; current ranking reflects uncertainty about injury impact duration.

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Chris Rodriguez

NegativeRole21:48

McCaffrey is not worried about Rodriguez Jr., but the Jaguars' offseason decisions suggest they prefer Beau Tutin; the team kept Tutin, Laquent Allen, and Amir Abdullah, and traded away Tank Bsby for a fourth-round pick, indicating Tutin is the preferred complement back.

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Christian McCaffrey

PositiveProjection0:01

Ranked #6 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. Described as the number one player in fantasy football when he finishes the season; if he stays healthy for 17 games, you're probably going to win your league. Averaged 24 PPR points per game last year, which McCaffrey says understates how good he was, as he was the only running back to have a legendary fantasy football season. At peak age with elite historical scoring (33, 31, 29, 29, 26 fantasy points across recent games); when compared to historical peers at his age range, many sustained or improved production, positioning him as a top-tier fantasy asset.

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Chuba Hubbard

PositiveProjection28:48

Produced very strong fantasy output in stretches last year for the Carolina Panthers, suggesting the offense may be better than current perception; ranked at ADP 99 in Christian McCaffrey's top 105 rankings.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout19:54

McCaffrey is very high on Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams with the Chicago Bears, and the Bears have stated their goal is breaking the NFL record in points per game (beating the 2013 Peyton Manning Denver Broncos), making Loveland an attractive target as part of this offensive breakout.

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Courtland Sutton

PositiveValue31:48

Ranked at ADP 86 in Mattek's top 105 rankings, positioned as a value target in the mid-round range.

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D.J. Moore

NegativeBust25:19

Stone cold fade. Back-to-back years of poor efficiency at 1.26 and 1.51 yards per route run; last year finished as WR46 and is being priced for a WR25 finish, which Christian Mccaffrey views as unlikely despite Josh Allen's potential to elevate receivers.

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D'Andre Swift

PositiveRole19:16

Swift is a clear pass-catcher at running back for the Bears assuming continued ascension of the Chicago offense; he will have a monopoly on early-down work, might give up some goal-line work to Montgomery, and has a chance to catch 50–60 passes. His 14 PPG last year puts him in the same range as Kairen and Javvante Williams, but he is undervalued due to past disappointments.

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Dak Prescott

NegativeProjection30:30

Ranked at 83 in Christian Mccaffrey's rankings.

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De'Von Achane

PositiveProjection7:52

Devin Achane is a phenomenal player despite significant concerns about the Miami Dolphins offense. He averaged 17 PPR points per game and is hugely efficient in the receiving game, with the offense built around his pass-catching ability. Even during the Dolphins' worst stretch last year (Tua death spiral), Achane scored 40, 21, 19, 17, 18, 14 points over the back half of the season, making him feel pretty safe to take.

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Derrick Henry

NegativeProjection9:09

Ranked 19th overall. Finished outside top-15 RBs in PPR last year despite a dominant playoff performance (45 points vs. Green Bay). Will not be used in the passing game; career high of 33 receptions with only two seasons above 20 receptions in 12-year career. Not actively targeted despite playoff success.

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Drake London

NegativeMatchup12:30

Dealing with potentially the worst quarterback play outside the Miami Dolphins (Jack Strand group). This significantly impacts his fantasy ceiling. Avoid stacking with Bejian Robinson in the same draft due to shared quarterback situation concern.

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Drake Maye

PositiveProjection27:30

For the first time, Christian McCaffrey has a ton of quarterbacks as draftable in this range, including Drake May, Joe Burrow, Jaden Daniels, and Jaylen Hertz; he believes it is okay to draft one of these quarterbacks in this range and give up on some skill position players.

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Garrett Wilson

NegativeProjection17:30

Wilson's production is heavily dependent on Gino Smith's performance; Smith is extremely pressure-sensitive, ranking top-15 in EPA per play with 3+ seconds to throw but bottom-5 when under pressure. Wilson has huge upside if Smith plays well, but the Jets' track record suggests caution.

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George Pickens

PositiveProjection12:39

Ranked 23rd overall. Best year of career in 2024 with 17 PPR points per game. Recent scoring range of 33, 31, 29, 29, 26 points demonstrates consistency. Peak-age producer; historical comparison of players at his age shows many sustained or improved production, suggesting upside potential.

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J.K. Dobbins

NegativeProjection30:08

Expected to underperform RJ Harvey over the course of the season in the Ravens backfield. Christian Mccaffrey believes Harvey is the primary pass-catching back and can play better than Dobbins; Dobbins is ranked at ADP 96 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveProjection0:07

Ranked #3 overall in Christian McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey notes Chase averages almost 20 fantasy points per game and actually over 20 fantasy points per game when Joe Burrow starts in the most recent two years.

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Jadarian Price

NegativeProjection24:14

Ranked in the fifth round despite being a first-round running back. Historically, only five first-round RBs since 2010 have failed to exceed 11 PPR PPG, and over 60% have topped 14.5 PPG. While Zack Charbonnet might be a minor factor, Christian Mccaffrey is not worried about George Helani competition and calls Price his favorite running back pick on the board in the 50s. Feels very good about drafting Price in the fifth round.

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James Cook

NegativeProjection0:03

Ranked #11 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. Cook had about as good of a year as he could possibly have in fantasy football last year with 17 PPR points per game. The concern is that he is not a huge part of his team's passing offense, with a target share of 8%, 8%, 9%, and 6% in his career. For him to really take that next step as an elite fantasy football running back, he would need a target share a little bit north of that, which McCaffrey does not think will happen.

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Jameson Williams

PositiveProjection22:19

Williams averaged 12.9 PPG last year and finished WR21, despite two stone-cold zeros. After Dan Campbell took over, Williams ranked top 15 in the NFL in fantasy points per target, targets per route run, and fantasy points per game. McCaffrey feels very good about Williams' outlook.

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Javonte Williams

PositiveValue12:18

Ranked below Jeremiah Love and Kairen Williams in the tier. However, Christian McCaffrey is slightly more actively targeting him in the back half of the third round because he believes the Cowboys offense will be very good, suggesting conditional upside relative to his draft position.

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Jayden Daniels

PositiveProjection27:30

For the first time, Christian McCaffrey has a ton of quarterbacks as draftable in this range, including Jaden Daniels, Drake May, Joe Burrow, and Jaylen Hertz; he believes it is okay to draft one of these quarterbacks in this range and give up on some skill position players.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveProjection15:45

Extremely targeting him. Denver Broncos led the NFL in pass attempts last year and traded a first-round pick for him, signaling confidence in the offense. Phenomenal talent with elite historical numbers when Tyreek Hill is off the field—top-five in the NFL in targets per route run and fantasy points per route run, indicating significant upside if Hill misses time.

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Jaylen Warren

NegativeProjection30:30

Christian Mccaffrey is considering moving him down slightly relative to Rico Dowel, but is generally happy to take either player in a given draft, having taken both together in one or two leagues.

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Jeremiyah Love

PositiveProjection12:18

Ranked 25th overall, ahead of Javonte Williams and Kareem Hunt despite expected backlash. Comfortable betting on his talent and workload; if he produces at 14.4 points per game, he would be a solid third-round value. Top-5 running backs over the last 15 years have averaged over 1,500 yards from scrimmage and over 12 touchdowns, establishing the benchmark for elite production.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveProjection27:30

For the first time, Christian McCaffrey has a ton of quarterbacks as draftable in this range, including Joe Burrow, Drake May, Jaden Daniels, and Jaylen Hertz; he believes it is okay to draft one of these quarterbacks in this range and give up on some skill position players.

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Jonathan Taylor

PositiveProjection0:02

Ranked #8 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey considered moving him behind CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson but ultimately kept him at #8. Reports on Daniel Jones's Achilles injury have been quite good. Adding Keenan Allen and playing him instead of Nick Westbrook-Keen is expected to make the Indianapolis Colts marginally better on offense. After week 8 of last season, Taylor was on pace to have the best fantasy football season for any running back since LaDainian Tomlinson, with carries of 29, 32, 14, 31, 23, 34, 37.

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Jonathon Brooks

PositiveRole28:29

Carolina Panthers organization shows real desire to make him the lead running back despite two ACL tears and never having played; he only needs to outperform Chuba Hubbard. The team's commitment is rare—most players in his situation would have been waived. Ranked back-to-back with Marshon Lloyd; both from the same draft class with the same issue of not staying on the field, but Brooks does not have the same obstacles as Lloyd.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeProjection32:57

Ranked at 91 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Jordan Mason

NegativeValue34:30

Jordan Mason is ranked at ADP 97 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Josh Allen

NegativeValue18:28

Christian McCaffrey has not taken Josh Allen in any of his 12-team PPR leagues (only once in high stakes) because he believes the players who go after Allen are still such good fantasy assets that it is hard to justify taking a quarterback in the third or fourth round.

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Josh Downs

PositiveBreakout29:09

An absolute monster in targets per route run who has been on breakout lists every year but this is the year he actually breaks out. As a full-time player, Christian McCaffrey expects him to play much better than Keenan Allen. Expected to see his highest ever yards per target, likely exceeding 8.5 yards per target (career high 7.9), with more downfield usage; McCaffrey's guess is that Keenan Allen is not on the field in 12 personnel, and Josh Downs takes those snaps instead.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeProjection29:05

Not ranked in Christian McCaffrey's top 120 players in fantasy football. McCaffrey expects at least a six-game suspension for Jacobs, which would make Marshon Lloyd the starting running back for the Green Bay Packers. If Jacobs is out for the entire year or cut, Lloyd would move up significantly.

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Justin Herbert

NegativeProjection32:00

Ranked at 87 in Christian Mccaffrey's rankings.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection0:02

Ranked #10 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey believes Jefferson is unfairly maligned and notes that he has been the number one overall wide receiver in fantasy football before. McCaffrey acknowledges people's concerns stem from a meme about Kyler Murray playing Call of Duty, but expresses no real concerns about Kyler Murray's ability to engineer an offense, with only slight concerns about his injury. McCaffrey is actively targeting Jefferson in this range.

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Kaytron Allen

NegativeRole32:12

May work into the Commanders backfield in week one, but Jakori Kraskey Merritt is expected to have a monopoly of the goal-line work.

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Keenan Allen

PositiveRole29:09

Expected to be off the field in 12 personnel, with Josh Downs taking those snaps instead, reducing his role and target opportunities.

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Kenneth Walker III

PositiveRole0:03

Ranked #12 overall in McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey feels phenomenal about this decision. All reports out of Chiefs camp indicate Kenneth Walker is going to be a huge part of the screen game for the team, so his targets per game is going to look much more like his 2024 season than any other season of his career. He is also going to be the goal line back. Amari D. Marcato got cut, leaving his backup as just Emma Johnson. McCaffrey is slamming the button on Walker at the one-two turn and advises others to do the same. Walker is a great player signed to a great contract on a great team with a great coach; Andy Reid has a long history of churning out running back one seasons (Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kareem Hunt, Brian Westbrook, Coral Buckhalter). Positioned as a top-five running back candidate under Reid.

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Kyle Pitts

NegativeProjection35:45

Kyle Pitts is ranked at ADP 102 with 12.4 fantasy points per game last year and finished as a top-5 tight end. Mattek expresses concern about his quarterback play, suggesting it is a limiting factor on his upside.

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Ladd McConkey

NegativeProjection16:46

Mckonkey has a potential upgrade in quarterback play and offensive play calling with the Chargers, but only averaged 11.3 fantasy points per game last year; upside depends on offensive line health.

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Lamar Jackson

NegativeProjection24:11

Ranked 55th in the speaker's rankings.

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Malik Nabers

PositiveValue10:03

Actively targeted despite QB concerns. Led NFL in targets per game as a rookie; skill level comparable to CD Lamb and Justin Jefferson who go 10+ picks ahead. Huge discount valuation driven by injury reporting concerns around ACL surgery and cyclops lesion procedure. Can be found in third round of home leagues, representing best-value pick in fantasy football.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

NegativeProjection27:14

Scored 10.7 PPG last year; Christian McCaffrey is concerned that the range of outcomes does not feature many smashes and includes scenarios where he finishes as an 8.5–9 PPG player, which does not feel good for the draft capital required.

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Matthew Golden

PositiveBreakout31:34

One of Christian Mccaffrey's biggest breakout bets. With Marshon Lloyd as the starting running back, the Packers are choosing to air the ball out, creating opportunity for Golden. A Matthew Golden breakout is necessary for Jordan Love to have any chance at MVP; positioned as a clear target in Mattek's rankings.

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Michael Pittman

PositiveProjection36:00

Michael Pittman Jr. is ranked at ADP 103 with 11.9 fantasy points per game last year. He is now playing in an even more aggressive passing offense that throws the ball shorter, suggesting improved volume and scoring potential.

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Parker Washington

PositiveRole20:50

McCaffrey has shot up Parker Washington in rankings due to his deployment in the slot wide receiver position in the Liam Cohen offense with the Jaguars. This is an elite fantasy position historically: Chris Godwin posted a WR2 PPG season there, Cooper Cup paced for WR1 in the first eight games of 2022, and Wandel Robinson was drafted in the second round. While McCaffrey doesn't think Washington is elite as a player, his positioning in this elite role makes him a strong fantasy asset.

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Patrick Mahomes

PositiveValue33:23

Mattek's ideal reddraft target at quarterback. Averaged 20.4 fantasy points per game last year and has averaged over 21.5 fantasy points per game in his career. Mattek argues that players of Mahomes' archetype are statistically more likely to be good in fantasy football than bad, making him a strong value at his ADP.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveProjection0:07

Ranked #4 overall in Christian McCaffrey's top 100 fantasy football players. McCaffrey is not switching Puka and Jackson Smith-Njigba at positions 4 and 5, despite noting that a fair amount of people are doing so. Puka leads the National Football League in yards per route run and is not expected to face off-field issues this season.

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Quinshon Judkins

NegativeProjection25:27

Ranked in the 50s, one spot behind Jadarian Price. However, Judkins plays for basically the worst team in the NFL, which severely limits his fantasy ceiling. He will not play on passing downs—Dylan Samson handles that role. The speaker sees no path for quarterback play to improve, compounding the concern. If Judkins were on the 19th-best team, there would be an argument to take him at the 2-3 turn, but his current situation makes him a fade.

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RJ Harvey

PositiveValue30:08

A second-year player who averaged 12.2 points per game in year one and is being moved down in fantasy rankings, which is rare. Christian McCaffrey really likes his profile as the primary pass-catching back and believes he can play better than JK Dobbins over the season.

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Sam LaPorta

NegativeValue36:15

Sam Leporta is ranked at ADP 104 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeProjection5:00

Saquon Barkley had the worst year of his career in terms of efficiency last year, averaging only 71 rushing yards per game with 4.1 yards per carry and down touchdowns. He was not used in the passing game either. However, with Kevin Patulo out of the Eagles offense and Keenan Allen replacing AJ Brown, the Eagles will likely lean more heavily on Barkley, which could improve his outlook.

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Stefon Diggs

PositiveValue34:11

Stefan Diggs is ranked at ADP 94 with 12.4 fantasy points per game last year and ranked top 15 in the NFL in yards per route run. Mattek believes the Commanders will not use him as sparingly as the New England Patriots did, making him a buy at his current ADP.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeRole17:00

Higgins averaged 14 fantasy points per game last year and is secondary to Jamar Chase in the Bengals offense; his fantasy ceiling is heavily dependent on touchdown scoring and Joe Burrow's health. He is the Robin to Chase's Batman in the offense.

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Terry McLaurin

NegativeProjection24:17

Ranked 56th in Christian Mccaffrey's rankings; ranked at or slightly behind his ADP and is not a stone cold fade.

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Tony Pollard

PositiveProjection30:30

Ranked 82nd in Christian Mccaffrey's rankings. Earlier mentioned as ranked 55th and positioned as part of the Packers passing game ecosystem that Christian Mccaffrey likes overall.

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TreVeyon Henderson

NegativeInjury24:17

Ankle injury concern that may have set back his development further. Has not received rave reviews in the offseason and specifically needed to improve in pass protection and catching the ball.

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Trevor Lawrence

NegativeProjection32:57

Ranked at 90 in Mattek's top 105 rankings.

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Tucker Kraft

NegativeInjury30:00

Coming back from an ACL injury; mentioned in the tier of players being evaluated for fantasy value.

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Tyler Warren

NegativeUsage26:50

Will share the field with Josh Davis and Keenan Allen. The speaker expects both Davis and Allen to beat Warren in terms of targets per route run, limiting his receiving volume and fantasy upside.

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Xavier Worthy

PositiveProjection35:30

Xavier Worthy is ranked at ADP 101. Mattek notes he may perform better this year playing without a torn labrum, suggesting improved health and upside potential.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveProjection16:24

Zay Flowers has top-five receiver upside if he scores 8–11 touchdowns in a season. His fantasy ceiling is highly dependent on touchdown production, making him a touchdown-dependent play with significant upside potential.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

337
0:00spent my summer doing nothing but drafting fantasy football teams. These are my top 100 players in fantasy football. Beginning with the top tier of
0:07players, Jir Gibbs 101, Bejon Robinson 102, Jamar Chase number three, Pukanua number four, and Jackson Smith and Jigba number five. I think a lot a fair amount
0:17of people are switching from Puka and JSN at the four and five. I am not. Puka leads the National Football League in
0:24yards per route run. He is not going to be going on the commissioners exemplates for any of the insane stuff that he's
0:29been getting into this off seasonason.
0:31The Los Angeles Rams are the best team in the NFL. Don't even think it is particularly close at this point. And
0:37this is just the correct ordering of the top five players. You guys are very smart. You know, to take Gibbs 101, you
0:42know, to take Bean 102. You know that Jamar Chase averages almost 20 fantasy points per game and actually over 20 fantasy points per game and Joe Burrow
0:50starts the most recent two years.
0:51Jackson Smith and Jigba last year had more games with a target share north of 50% than with a target share south of
0:5822%. One of the most instain statistics you were ever going to hear. Gibbs, Robinson, Chase, Nikua, JSN. Our next tier of players, in my opinion, is
1:07actually much wider. Some fantasy football analysts might disagree with this one, but I feel pretty good about having a very large second tier of
1:14players. begins for me with Christian McCaffrey, who is the number one player in fantasy football when he finishes the season. You guys know the deal with
1:22Christian McCaffrey. If he stays healthy for 17 games, you're probably going to win your league. If he gets injured, well, you're going to wish that you had
1:29taken anyone else. 24 points per game last year. And that honestly kind of understates just how good he was. He was
1:35the only running back to have a legendary fantasy football season, as coined by my friend Pat Karine, the 24 PPR points per game. I have St. Brown at
1:44number seven. As steady Eddie as you are going to get, I don't think that there is much room for quote unquote
1:50improvement for a Monroe St. Brown, but you know exactly what you're getting.
1:53You're getting between 80 and 90 yards per game. You are going to be getting between 10 and 12 touchdowns, and you're
1:59going to feel very good about putting St. Brown in your lineup every single week. I have Jonathan Taylor at eight. I
2:04considered moving Jonathan Taylor behind CD Lamb and Justin Jefferson. Ultimately ended up keeping him at eight. The reports on Daniel Jones's Achilles
2:13injury has actually been quite good. I think that adding Keenan Allen and playing him instead of Nick Westbrook a Keen is going to make the Indianapolis
2:19Colts marginally better on offense. I don't think we're going to see anything like what we saw from Jonathan Taylor to begin last year. I mean, this run, do
2:29you guys even remember this? 29, 32, 14, 31, 23, 34, 37. After week 8 of last season, Jonathan Taylor was on pace to
2:38have the best fantasy football season since any running back in fantasy football since Leenian Tomlinson. It was really unbelievable stuff. I have CD
2:46Lamb at nine. I have Justin Jefferson at 10. Both of these guys I actually think are unfairly maligned. The range of
2:52outcomes for Lamb, I mean, he has been the number one overall wide receiver in Spanish football before, as has Justin Jefferson. I don't really know why
2:59people are concerned about Lamb. I guess it is the presence of George Pickkins. I know why people are concerned about Justin Jefferson. It's because they saw
3:06a meme about Kyler Murray playing Call of Duty a long time ago. I have no concerns about Kyler Murray's ability to
3:11engineer offense. Maybe some slight concerns about his injury. You do not want your guy playing with JJ McCarthy and you do not want your wide receiver
3:19playing with Carson Wentz, but I have Justin Jefferson at 10 and I'm actively targeting him in that range. James Cook at 11 has about as good of a year as he
3:28could possibly have in fantasy football.
3:3017 points per game for him. Last year, the thing that you would be concerned about is he is not a huge part of his
3:36team's passing offense, right? A target share of 8%, 8%, 9%, and 6% in his career for him to really take that next
3:43step as an elite fantasy football running back. He would have to have a target share a little bit north of that.
3:48And I just don't honestly I don't know if he will. You know, I I think this is probably the range that James Cook is
3:54going to be in. I have Kenneth Walker at 12. I feel phenomenal about this decision. All the reports out of Chiefs
3:59camp have been that Kenneth Walker is going to be a huge part of the screen game for this team. So, his targets per
4:04game is going to look much more like his 2024 season than any other season of his career. He's also going to be the goal
4:10lineback. Amari D. Marcato got cut leading his backup as just Emma Johnson.
4:15I am slamming the button on Kenneth Walker at the one-two turn and I advise you to do the exact same. This is a
4:21great player signed to a great contract on a great team with a great coach and Andy Reid has done nothing in his life
4:29than churn out running back one season.
4:31He got a running back one season at a Clyde Everire, out of Kareem Hunt and then obviously back in the day, you
4:36know, Brian Westbrook, Coral Buck Halter, the list of legendary running back seasons under Andy Reed is long and we should not let the presence of these
4:45losers who have been in the Chiefs backfield distract us from that. You know, the fact that Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco were not able to be top
4:52five running backs should not make you think that Kenneth Walker cannot be a top five running back. After Walker, we have Barkley who was awful last year. I
5:00mean, let's just be honest about who Saquon Barkley was last year. It was the worst year of his career in terms of
5:04efficiency by far. Uh only averaged 71 rushing yards per game. His yards per carry was down. His touchdowns were down. 4.1 yards per carry in the end was
5:14not efficient and was not used in the passing game either. However, I mean, getting Kevin Patulo out of there for the Eagles, I I think is quite nice. I
5:22am very curious to see what the Eagles offense looks like with the addition of Mai Lemon swapping AJ Brown out for him,
5:28but I think they're going to have no choice but to lean more on Saquon Barkley. I am not concerned about Ashton
5:33Genty. I moved him back up to 14. I'd moved him down further in my rankings.
5:37Reading the tea leaves right now, it does sound like Genty is going to be back week one. I have him at 14 because
5:43I think there's some concern of a recurrence of this ankle injury.
5:46Generally speaking, the research that we have on these high ankle or low ankle sprains is that there is an increased rate of reinjury later in the season and
5:55also the dreaded compensation injury.
5:58So, what that means is if Gent's right ankle is injured, he has to overcompensate and there would be a chance of his right or left hamstring,
6:04you know, basically behaving in a way that is not used to. But, I'm not worried about the situation. I'm not worried about the talent. Genty to me is
6:10already basically one of the three best running backs in football. If for example, if you swapped Bejan Robinson and Ashton Genty, I would have no
6:19problem taking Genty where Bejon is going. Maybe that's a hot take. And maybe I'll be proven wrong about that, but I I think this is a spot to buy on
6:26Genty in the Raiders. I have Chase Brown at 15. My friends at the Fantasy Stock Exchange and at Dynasty Domain are very
6:32high. Cory has him ranked at 10. I'm the lowest on the site on flockfanasy.com with him down at 15. 16 points per game
6:39for him last year. It was very much buoied by touchdown scoring as you can see here or in fact receiving touchdown
6:46production which I don't think you can feel that great about right in terms of the way your running backs gets points
6:52but he has clearly shown a very safe floor and I also think he has shown a realistic ceiling. I'm probably a
6:59actually not probably I know I'm a little bit lower on him than the average guy just because I do think that he is
7:05not part of the engine in Cincinnati. He is part of the he is one of the cogs in the machine and I'm just generally a
7:11little bit lower on guys like that. Then I have a Marian Hampton sitting here at 16. If you wanted to take Hampton
7:16instead of Genty if you wanted to take Hampton instead of Barkley I would not argue with you but I think this is a
7:20huge tier. I think all of these players in this A tier have the ability to finish tops of their position. I think
7:26all of them can be league winners. I don't really think you can make wrong choices here. Moving to the next tier.
7:32The B tier is again very wide. We begin it with Devin Achan. Significant concerns about the offense for Deon Han.
7:40I don't think the Miami Dolphins are going to be very good, but man is Deon Han a phenomenal player. 2017 and 17
7:47points per game. He is hugely efficient in the receiving game. Kind of the opposite of Chase Brown where you actually do build the offense around
7:54what Deon Han can do as a pass catcher.
7:56You are definitely fading Malik Willis just absolutely sucking. You were fading the offensive line being terrible. But even when the It's kind of crazy. Even
8:04when the team was so so bad, this is like tua death spiral. The team is as bad as it gets last year. You've got 40
8:1121 191 17 18 14 points over the back half of the season when everything with the Miami Dolphins was going south. I
8:20just it does feel pretty safe honestly to me to take Deon Hen. I have Brock Bowers at 18. In his career, he averages
8:27over 16 PPR points per game in games when he's healthy. He has the 11th highest scoring tight end game of all
8:32time. He did that against the Jacksonville Jaguars last year. He is potentially set up to like break the National Football League record for
8:39targets in a season given how bad the wide receivers are. He's basically a high-end top five wide receiver that you can put at your tight end position. I
8:47think I I'll tell you this right now.
8:50Brock Bowers is going to score top five PPR points of any skilled position player in the NFL. It structurally does make your team a little bit weaker
8:59because your wide receivers or your running backs are going to be a little bit worse depending on what you do in
9:04the first and the third rounds. But I do feel very very strongly that Bowers is going to be a critical part of this
9:10season in fantasy football. We have Derrick Henry at 19 as my friend Mason Dodd. You guys can see him wearing the
9:16suit in homage to my goat Mason. Derrick Henry last year was actually outside the top 15 running backs in PPR leagues. had
9:24that great game in week one against Buffalo, but in the fantasy postseason, of course, he turned it all around. 45 points in that game against Green Bay.
9:33Who can forget that game for the Green Bay Packers? Derrick Henry was phenomenal in that game. He developed league championships there. He's not
9:40going to be used in the passing game.
9:42So, I think we can go ahead and forget that. You know, I've already seen one storyline about Derrick Henry having a
9:47greater involvement in the passing game.
9:48I mean, you can just go ahead and give up on that. We are heading into what is this like year 15 of Derrick Henry's I
9:54think it's like year 12 of his career.
9:56The most receptions he's ever had in a season is 33. He is topped 20 receptions two times. It's just not going to
10:03happen. Doesn't mean he's not a good player in fantasy, but it's not a guy I am actively targeting. Then we have
10:09Malik Neighbors who I am actively targeting. A guy who led the National Football League in targets per game as a rookie. Sounds like he's fully healthy.
10:16Sounds like he is going to play week one. I'm not necessarily super buying on Jackson Dart and the Harbaugh experience. In fact, I think the Giants
10:22are probably going to have some significant growing pains. I frankly think Matt Ngie will probably get fired in the middle of the year. But to me,
10:28that does not matter. Malik Neighbors is of the same skill level and caliber as guys who are going 10 picks ahead. CD
10:35Lamb, Justin Jefferson, you're getting a huge discount based off of, frankly, shoddy injury reporting on his ACL surgery and the recurring Cyclops lesion
10:43procedure that he had. I feel very, very good. And if you can get neighbors, I've seen neighbors go in the third round of
10:49home leagues. That is basically the absolute best pick you can make in fantasy football. I have AJ Brown after Malik Neighbors. That is not the way
10:57that average draft position has it. AJ Brown did have a down year last year.
11:02His yards per route run fell to 2.13, which for him is relatively poor. His yards per target down to 8.3. He had his
11:09lowest target share as a member of the Philadelphia Eagles. Now, something I've heard is that he was dogging it.
11:16I could maybe buy that. I mean, maybe he just wasn't trying that hard because he's like, "Kevin Patulo sucks. I don't
11:20want to play with Jaylen Herz anymore. I want to go play with Drake May. He got his way. He now gets to play with I
11:26look, I'm a Jaylen Herds guy. Drake May is a better thrower of the ball than Jaylen Herd. So, I am fine taking AJ
11:31Brown there." Then we have Nico Collins who is the clear undisputed wide receiver one. He could also have a 30% target share for the Houston Texans. I
11:39don't think Brock Bowers and Nico Collins in fantasy football are that different from one another. George Pickkins at 23. Best year of his career
11:47last year, 17 points per game. The guy was absolutely unbelievable. It was this game to me against Detroit. The games against Detroit and Minnesota. I've
11:56never seen anything like it. George Pickkins just stopped trying in that week 14 game against the Detroit Lions.
12:02I like actively remember watching that game and being like, "This guy has not signed a long-term contract extension with Dallas." Like, why is it that he is
12:09not trying in this game? Why is he dogging it? However, man is this guy awesome for fantasy. At 33 point, 31
12:17point, 29, 29,26, he is phenomenal. If you look at the guys who on the Flock website who are in a historical range in
12:24terms of his age, many of them actually got better or sustained the same amount of production. He is a peak age
12:30producer. Then we have Drake London who is dealing with maybe the worst quarterback play outside the Miami Dolphins, the two up Jack Strand group.
12:38I doubt I'll tell you one thing. I don't love drafting Bejian Robinson and Drake London together. Jeremiah Love at 25. I
12:45already know the comments are going to hate this one having Jeremiah Love ahead of Javvante and Kairen. The fact of the
12:49matter is top 10 running backs over the last 10 years. Actually, it goes even longer than that. Top five running backs
12:56over the last 15 years have averaged over 1,500 yards from scrimmage and over 12 touchdowns in a given season. Look, the Arizona Cardinals are going to suck.
13:06Jeremiah Love is very good. I'm comfortable betting on the talent there and I'm also comfortable betting on the workload. If he turns in last year's
13:1414.4 points per game that Ashen Genty did, I think in the third round, you are totally fine with that. Chris Ave, the
13:20undisputed wide receiver, won for New Orleans. He has Kell Moore, one of the best offensive coordinators in the NFL.
13:26Chris Ave was a guy who'd mostly disappointed in his NFL career until last season. 16.7 points per game after a 9.5 points per game season. I think
13:35Tyler Shuck is quite good. Although I have not moved Chris Ave up my rankings as much as some of the others have with
13:41his Jordan Tyson injury, I am worried that basically there is a target cliff that Chris Ave cannot pass. I I don't
13:47think it makes much sense to have a 33% of your passing offense shift around Chris Ave. Then we have Rashi Rice.
13:54Rashi Rice after the by-week of his rookie season. What I'm about to say is going to shock you and you're all going
14:00to disagree with it and you're all going to say, "Davis, you're so stupid." Like whatever, whatever. Rashi Rice is a top
14:05five fantasy football wide receiver after the by-week of his rookie season.
14:09So, this extends over three NFL seasons.
14:12This is a guy who we all know is not that good. Like Rashi Rice, if he was that good, would have gotten paid even
14:18though he is a bonehead, right? I mean, generally speaking, NFL teams, if you are an elite player, will pay you. The
14:25Chiefs know, we know, defenses know.
14:27Rashi Rice is not an elite player, but he is a he has a role in the Kansas City Chiefs offense that is just perfect for
14:34fantasy points. I would compare it very similar to something like what Michael Thomas used to do for the New Orleans Saints. Obviously, Michael Thomas was
14:40much better than Rashi Rice. Then I have Dvont Smith, skinny Batman. Nothing really interesting to say. He's going to be the wide receiver one for the
14:47Philadelphia Eagles. I think that is a good position for him to be in. Though I am not overwhelmingly targeting Dvont Smith. Then I have Bree Hall coming back
14:54from the preseason groin injury. and I have Trey McBride. I do think that Bruce Hall is a tier ahead of Kairen and
15:00Javvante. Why? Because I think he's actually good. I think that Kairen and Javvante are both fine players, but do not have the ability to generate fantasy
15:08points over expectation. If the Jets get even reasonable, even reasonable quarterback and offensive line play, I think that Bruce Hall can score 18 19
15:17fantasy points per game because he is so good and is such a strong target earner.
15:22I mean really it's his usage in the passing game that makes him different for fantasy. So that is the first three
15:26tiers of fantasy football. We are now going to move to the C tier. Kairen Williams the aforementioned. I think he's fine. I don't think Blake Corm is
15:35going to take his job but again not someone that I'm targeting. Then I have Javvante Williams. So these guys are all
15:40here in a row. And if you told me Davis you are so stupid. I am not taking a freaking dumb Jet or an Arizona Cardinal
15:47over Ka Williams or Javvante Williams. I actually have no issue with it. Javvante I maybe am slightly more actively targeting in the back half of the third
15:55round because I think the Cowboys offense is going to be so good. Then I have Jaylen Waddle, another player who I'm extremely targeting. The Denver
16:02Broncos, who led the National Football League in pass attempts last year, traded a first round pick for him. I'm buying on the offense. I think Jaylen
16:08Waddle is a phenomenal talent. His numbers when Tyreek has been off the field historically are elite elite top wide receiver numbers. Uh we are talking
16:16top five in the NFL and targets per route run, fantasy points per route run, all of those fancy fanfiction metrics.
16:22Feel very good about Wadd Z Flowers.
16:24Look, we all know the deal. If Zay Flowers scores 11 touchdowns in a season, honestly, even eight touchdowns in a season, he can probably finish as a
16:31top five receiver. We have Lad Makoni with a huge upgrade in quarterback play and offensive play calling. Maybe, right? Maybe if the Chargers offensive
16:40line stays healthy, but only 11.3 fantasy points per game for lad last year. T. Higgins, 14 fantasy points per game last year. Again, we all know the
16:48deal with him. He is the Robin to Jamar Chase's Batman. We've taken T. Higgins in the second round of fantasy football
16:54drafts before. A large amount of his production is going to be how many touchdowns does he score? And in addition to that, how healthy is Joe
17:02Burrow able to stay? Garrett Wilson. His production is incredibly related to how good Gino Smith is. Gino Smith has been bad, bad, bad, bad in the NFL before. He
17:12has also been above average in the NFL before. Gino Smith is one of the most pressure sensitive quarterbacks in the entire NFL. What I mean by that is on
17:20snaps that are graded as good offensive line play where Gino Smith has over three seconds in terms of PFF time to
17:27throw, he is actually a top 15 quarterback in the NFL and EPA per play in completion percentage over expectation. In plays where he has less
17:35than 3 seconds time to throw or it's graded as a hurry or a pressure. Gino Smith is a bottom five quarterback in
17:40the NFL and EPA per play. You guys know the deal. If Gino Smith plays well, Garrett Wilson is going to be a huge,
17:47huge win in fantasy football. But it's the New York Jets, so maybe we should be betting against that. Luther Burden, my
17:52biggest breakout bet of the season. I prefer Luther Burden to Ibuka. I prefer Luther Burden to Etchen, and I prefer him to Josh Allen. I have yet to take
18:01Josh Allen in one of my 12 team PPR leagues. I've taken him in one high stakes league. I just think the guys who
18:07go after Allen are still such good fantasy football assets that it is hard for me to say, you know what, I'm going
18:12to take a quarterback in the third or fourth round of my fantasy football draft. Ted Roy McMillan a thousand yard season as a rookie. There is no
18:19secondyear breakout for him. He's already broken out. It really is just a matter of what do we get out of Bryce
18:26Young. Can Bryce Young even be the 22nd best quarterback in football? DeAndre Swift clear pass to a running back one season for him assuming a continued
18:36ascension of the Chicago Bears offense.
18:38He is going to have a monopoly on the early down work. He might give up a little bit of the goal line stuff to
18:43Manungi. He certainly have a chance to catch, you know, 50 60 passes. 14 points per game for him last year puts him in
18:49the same range as guys like Kairen and Javvante, but we just don't think of him that way because he's been so
18:54disappointing over the course of his career. Coloulston Loveland, another bet on the Chicago Bears breakout. guys can tell from the way that I am ranking
19:01Chicago Bears players. I'm very high on Ben Johnson. I'm very high on Caleb Williams. The Chicago Bears have stated their goal this year as breaking the NFL
19:09record in points per game. That would be beating the 2013 Pton Manning Denver Broncos. It's a lot of freaking points per game, but you're definitely going to
19:16want at least one Bear on your fantasy football team. Cam Scataboo, who I actually need to move down a little bit
19:22more than 45 here. I think this is the correct tier for him, but my preferences for these players have changed. I'm a
19:28little bit worried about the impact of the Naji Harris signing on his ability to play passing downs. David Montgomery is a totally fine NFL player, but again,
19:37very concerned about Woody Marks eating in. And actually, I'm just concerned this could be a little bit of a Nick Chub situation for David Montgomery,
19:44wherein he might get have a many, many chances to get the work, but might physically not be able to hold up to 20
19:50touches per game. Then we have Belle Tutin at 47. I am not worried about Chris Rodriguez Jr. I'm sure many of you
19:56are worried about Chris Rodriguez Jr.
19:57Guys of Tutin's profile are just going to be players that I'm consistently buying in fantasy football. Toutin is the more explosive player. Toutin is
20:04going to be played and preferred on passing downs. Toutin already was a goal lineback. He was utilized as a goal lineback actually in his first ever NFL
20:12game and that was when Etchen was already on the team. I think a lot of people are getting sort of confused
20:19about the way the Jaguars have talked about their backfield this off seasonason where it's talked about like oh we love Chris Rodriguez but if you
20:25look at the decision the team made the decisions actually show in my mind that they love Belle Tutin because you're never going into a season with Belle
20:34Tutin Laquent Allen and Amir Abdullah you always have to have another rusher to be complimentary there they traded away Tank Bsby last year for the fourth
20:42round pick I feel very good about this ranking on Tuton feel very good about, you know, my guy Jinxy drafting him in
20:48the fourth round in the Flock League.
20:50Then we have Parker Washington, a guy I have absolutely shot up my ranks, actually related to the Jacksonville Jaguars. I mentioned being very high on
20:57the Bears. I'm also very high in the Jaguars. I'm also very high on the slot wide receiver position in the Liam Cohen
21:03offense. Listen to the list of names who have played this position before. Chris Godwin in a wide receiver two points per
21:08game season. Cooper Cup in the first eight games of 2022 when he was pacing to be obviously the overall wide receiver one in fantasy football and
21:16Wandel Robinson his final season at the University of Kentucky which got him drafted in the third round actually the second round of the NFL draft. It is an
21:24unbelievably good position to be in in fantasy football. I maybe don't even think Parker Washington is that elite of a player, but he is going to be deployed
21:33in an elite fantasy football position for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jameson Williams at 49, 12.9 points per game last year, finishes the wide receiver
21:4021. That is with two stone cold zeros in there. Obviously in your league, you would have to start him for those stone
21:47cold zeros. But after Dan Campbell took over the plays, Jameson Williams was top 15 in the NFL in fantasy points per
21:54target, targets per route run, fantasy points per game. Feel very good about Jameson Williams. I moved Bucky Irving in my rankings up to 50. I am less
22:02concerned about Shawn Tucker and frankly a little bit less concerned about Kenneth Gainwell because the whole deal with Bucky is that he is a very
22:08explosive perouch player. He's been able to generate 15 fantasy points per game without the goal line work before. So why do I care if Kenneth Gainwell is
22:17going to have, you know, occasionally seven touches for 38 yards. I I just am really not that worried about Gainwell.
22:23And shout out to my dude Zack Fantasy Land. I've been moving Bucky Irving up my rankings. I have Devonte Adams at 51.
22:29Yes, a career low in yards per route run for Devonte Adams last year. 1.95 yards per route run. You have to go all the
22:36way back to 2017 to find a time when he was in that range. However, this dude led the National Football League in
22:42receiving touchdowns. Do you really think that's going to be all that different? It's what Matt Stafford does.
22:46Stafford wants to pad his lifelong and career-long passing touchdown numbers. I feel very good about drafting Devonte Adams in the fifth round. I feel very
22:54good about drafting Jadarian Price in the fifth round. Again, the median expectation for a first round running back, this is all the way back to 2010.
23:02Only five first round running backs have failed to crest 11 PPR points per game.
23:07And over 60% of first round running backs going back to 2010 have topped 14 and a half points per game. This is a
23:13guy you were drafting in the fifth round. Sure, Zack Charbanet might come back and be a little bit annoying, but if you were worried about George Helani
23:19in your 12 team PPR league, you absolutely need to grow up, brother, because Jadarian Price is my favorite running back pick on the board. In the
23:2750s, I have Quinchan Judkins one spot behind him. If Quinshon Judkins was on the 19th best team in the NFL, there's
23:33probably an argument to take him at the two three turn. Sadly, he is basically on the worst team in the NFL. Maybe
23:38maybe the Miami Dolphins or the Arizona Cardinals uh could join him there, but he's not going to play on passing downs.
23:44Dylan Samson is going to do that. I see no path for the quarterback play to get better. You know, kind of one of the
23:49things that's interesting with the Cardinals is the Cardinals were bad in a way that is sort of fantasy friendly.
23:54The quarterback could complete passes.
23:56He could be kind of competent when the team is down two touchdowns. I actually don't think the Cleveland Browns have that. I think they are just going to be
24:02incompetent all game long. After Judkins, I have Watson, who I know my guy Mason Dodd absolutely loves. I'm high on the Packers passing game. I like
24:11Golden. I like Reed. I like all these guys. I just don't like that Watson is the most expensive one. Lamar Jackson at
24:1755. Terry McLuren at 56. Roma Dunes at 57. Raandre Stevenson I moved all the way up to 58 with news that he is going
24:25to be the clear lead back starting in week one. I guess we've known that the entire time. The thing that I'm
24:30concerned about is this ankle injury now for Trevian Henderson that might have put him even a little bit further back in terms of his development and what the
24:37team is going to have scaled up for him in week one.
24:40I don't think Raandre Stevenson is a quote unquote league winning style player. Like I think he probably is going to average 134 fantasy points per
24:48game. There's certainly a chance that Trevon Henderson just outplays him. The concern for me with him has been that Trevian Henderson has not gotten rave
24:56reviews and what he needed to get rave reviews in this off seasonason. He needed to improve in pass protection and he needed to improve catching the ball
25:02and people around the team have said the exact opposite of that. Nothing real to say about Jackson, McLuren, Adun and more. I all have them ranked either at
25:11or a little bit behind where their ADPs go. And neither of them are stone cold fades for me. Actually, DJ Moore to me
25:19is is kind of a stone cold fade. I mean, this guy uh all the way down back-to-back years, 1.26, 1.51 yards per
25:28route run. It's totally possible that Josh Allen absolutely Vince Carter slam dunks on me because Josh Allen just via his immense greatness could probably get
25:37anyone to a top 15 wide receiver finish.
25:40And I guess we will see if last year's wide receiver 46 is able to earn a wide receiver 25 price. Another relatively
25:46large tier here where we feature a lot of quarterbacks. Mike Evans, Carnell Tate, Tyler Warren, Brian Thomas Jr., Marvin Harrison, Drake May, Joe Burrow,
25:55Jaylen Warren, Jaden Daniels, and Jaylen Herz. You guys can see here there's a huge drop off in skill positions here.
26:03So once you go from Henderson to Evans with the injuries, Carnell Tate, I was worried about his prospect profile anyways, he lands in a situation with
26:10poor quarterback play. Tyler Warren now his two guys he's going to share the field with, Josh DS and Keenan Allen, who I expect to beat him in terms of
26:18targets per route run. Brian Thomas Jr.
26:20featured a huge drop off in play last season, finishing as the wide receiver 47. And now the team is talking about
26:27Travis Hunter Jr. being his direct backup, which I think means it's just going to limit his snaps and routes more than we would particularly like. 10.7
26:34points per game for Marvin Harrison Jr.
26:36last year. Again, I'm just worried that the range of outcomes there doesn't feature too many smashes and also features some season where Marvin
26:44Harrison Jr. is like an 8.5, a nine fantasy points per game guy and that just doesn't feel that good. Which is
26:50why basically for the first time ever I have a ton of quarterbacks as draftable in this range. Drake May, Joe Burrow,
26:56Jaden Daniels, Jaylen Herz. Now of course you are going to know your league better than I know your league. And so
27:02you can make these decisions on draft day or you can actually just go ahead and get the season pass on Flock Fantasy
27:07for $34. Sign up and ask me a literal fantasy football question via our app there. However, for maybe the first time
27:15ever, I think it is okay to draft one of these quarterbacks in this range and give up on some of these skill position
27:21players. Jayen Reid, I do like Caleb Williams, I like. Metaf, I think, is fine. Josh Towns is a big target of
27:26mine. And then I have Jonathan Brooks and Marshon Lloyd here. This was uh probably what a lot of you guys have
27:31been waiting for. What should I do with Marshon Lloyd? What should I do with Jonathan Brooks? I rank them backtoback.
27:37One for the symmetry of it. I think it's very interesting that they were both in the same draft class and they both
27:42essentially have the same issue. They have not been able to stay on the field.
27:45I do not have Josh Jacobs ranked in my top 120 players in fantasy football. If you wanted to take Josh Jacobs in the
27:5211th round in the 12th round of your league, I mean, I think you should go ahead and do it, but my expectation
27:56would be at least a six-game suspension for Josh Jacobs, which means that Marshall Moy is going to be the starting running back for the Green Bay Packers.
28:03If we get word that Josh Jacobs is out for the entire year or that the Green Bay Packers cut him, I would move
28:09Marshon Lloyd up into that range with Montgomery, Tuton, Bucky Irving, Jadarian Price, Quinshon Judkins, those guys. Jonathan Brooks does not have the
28:17same obstacles, but they are similar where he just has to play better than Juba Huard. I think all the reporting and stuff that we have gotten from the
28:24team indicates that they want him to be the lead running back. Frankly, many guys in Jonathan Brooks's situation would have just never been given this
28:30chance. They would have just been waved.
28:32I mean, how many times has a guy torn the ACL twice, never played, and then consistently been a part of what the
28:37team is planning on doing? It's very rare. So, I do think there is some real organizational desire to see Jonathan Brooks as a starting running back for
28:45the Carolina Panthers. Again, we are worried about the quality of the offense. However, though, we are worried about the quality of the offense. We did
28:52get very strong production from both Rico Dowel and Chuba Hubard in stretches last year. So maybe we should be a little bit less concerned than we are
29:01and maybe Jonathan Brooks should be a little bit higher. Josh DS is a targets per route run absolute monster. You'll notice in the YouTube comments of any
29:09video that I talk about Josh Downs a lot of what you'll get is people I mean honestly and I got to give the YouTube
29:16commenters credit here. They're saying, "Oh, Josh DS is on the breakout list every single year. When is he actually going to break out?" Well, I'm telling
29:22you this is I'm telling you this is the year. I'm telling you he's going to play much better than Keenan. He's going to
29:26play much better than out Pierce. He is as a full-time player, which is what I think he will be. My guess is that
29:32Keenan Allen is not on the field in 12 personnel, and it is Josh DS. And I also think we will see Josh DS with his
29:38highest ever yards per target and averaged up the target. He has never topped 7.9 yards per target. I bet he gets over eight and a half this year. I
29:46think they're going to use him more down the field. But that is another big tier of players. Then we have two more
29:53relatively large tiers to get through.
29:55So we have QJ who is not a huge target for me. I think he's very similar range of outcomes to Lemon. Tucker Craft
30:00coming back from his ACL injury. Chris Godwin who frankly if I thought that I toe injury was going to bother him for
30:08longer, I would probably move Godwin up a little bit more. RJ Harvey who was a target of mine. It's just so rare that
30:13we get guys who are secondyear players who are very good in year one, 12.2 points per game, who actually are moved
30:20down a little bit more uh in fantasy football. I just I just really like RJ Harvey. I like the profile. I think he
30:26is the primary pass catching back. And I think over the course of the season, he can just play better than JK Dobbins. I
30:31have Tony Pard at 82. I have Dak Prescott at 83, Rico Dael at 84. Uh, one thing as I'm sitting here looking at my
30:39rankings, I do wonder if I maybe need to move Jaylen Warren a scoch down and Rico Dowel a Scotch up. Frankly, I don't
30:45really care which one I get in a given draft, but I'm generally happy to take either of them. And I actually in one or
30:52two leagues have taken them both together. Aaron Rogers backfields the last five seasons have had a well above league average amount of fantasy points
31:00available. So this is one of my favorite metrics to do just the expected fantasy points for backfields. You'll see teams like the Minnesota Vikings are very very
31:08low in expected fantasy points because they do not run inside the 10 yard line and the offense doesn't feature too many
31:14throws to running backs. The Pittsburgh Steelers are the exact opposite. They do run at the goal line. They throw to the
31:19running backs at the goal line. And you know, over 35% of the passing offense is throws to the running backs, which is
31:25just absolutely massive for both Warren and for Dowel. Golden, Matthew Golden, one of my biggest breakout bets as we are talking about, you know, overall the
31:34Green Bay Packers choosing to air the ball out with Marshon Lloyd as a starting running back. A chance, you know, I've seen a lot of people talk
31:40about Jordan Love potentially being able to win MVP this year. It's definitely not happening without a Matthew Golden breakout. But Olive Watson, Reed, and
31:48Golden are clear targets to me in vantage football. Courtland Sutton down at 86, Justin Herbert at 87, Blake Cororm at 88, Jakori Kraskey Merritt a
31:57clear target at 89. Just definitely the starting running back for the Washington Commanders. I would expect him to have a monopoly of the goal line work. We will
32:04see week one if Katron Allen works in there at all. But there certainly is a chance that JCM is able to duplicate
32:10last year's 800yard and 8 touchdown pace. but do that over 17 games which make him one of the best picks in
32:17fantasy football given how expensive running backs have gotten overall in fantasy football. Trevor Lawrence at 90, Jordan Addison at 91, Deshun Stribbling
32:25at 92, a guy who has absolutely shot up fantasy football rankings. However, I would like to make a point here that I
32:32don't think I've made on this channel, which is Kyle Shanahan has gotten wide receiver one games from guys you've never heard of. Kendrick Bourne, Richie
32:39James, Dante Pettis. Remember Dante Pettis's wide receiver one run at the end of his rookie year. He was off the team within 18 months after that. Kyle
32:48Shanahan can kind of scheme up anyone being a wide receiver one. And at least we know that Deson Stribbling has like
32:53predigious physical gifts that makes it a little bit easier for him to do that.
32:58I I am in on Deson Stribbling as a reddraft target, though I think he is definitely someone that it makes sense
33:03to pair him with a guy like Jerry Judy or Calvin Ridley a little bit later in your draft. After dribbling, we have my
33:10guy Patrick Mahomes, who is my ideal reddraft target at quarterback in fantasy football. And if you don't do Mahomes, you definitely do Pertie. 20.4
33:17points per game, a quarterback for finish for him. Last year, Patrick Mahomes, I mean you, this is wellworn territory. You guys all know this. Um,
33:24he's just a very, very, very, very, very, very good fantasy football quarterback. He basically has always been a good fantasy football
33:30quarterback. Uh, has averaged over 21 and a half fantasy points per game in his career. Maybe I'll end up being wrong, right? Maybe I'll end up being
33:39wrong. I I think the general summation of the data is that players of Patrick Momes archetype are better are more likely to be good in fantasy football
33:47than bad. Uh but if you don't want him, you can go ahead and take Brock Perie.
33:51Stfan Diggs at 94, 12.4 points per game for him last year. Top 15 in the NFL in yards per route run. I don't think the
33:57Commanders are going to be able to get away with using him so sparingly the way the New England Patriots did. So I feel
34:04good about buying on Diggs. Michael Wilson at 95, JK Dobbins at 96, Jordan Mason at 97, Alec Pierce at 98, Chuba
34:13Hubard at 99, Casey Conpsion, who I do quite like in fantasy football at 100.
34:18I'm actually going to give you guys five more extra players because, you know, I love you and I know that you guys have
34:22been a big part of growing this channel this off seasonason. And if you are not, by the way, make sure to like this video
34:27and subscribe to the channel. Conpsion landed in a perfect position for himself this year. And what I mean by that is if
34:36you go back and look at Casey Conpsion's sophomore year in college, he played with this very bad rookie quarterback, CJ Bailey. Well, he wasn't bad, but he
34:46basically was just very raw at that stage of his career. And he was able to function as a very close to the line of
34:52scrimmage player. Got a bunch of rushes, endarounds, things like that. That's not going to be that different from playing with Deshun Watson and Chadur Sanders. I
34:59love the profile. I'm big time buying on Casey Conpsion and Vanasy. Xavier Worthy at pick 101. Let's see if he's a little
35:07bit better playing without a torn labum.
35:09Kyle Pitts at 102, 12.4 points per game last year. Finishes the tight end and five. We just very worried about his
35:16quarterback play. Michael Pitman Jr.
35:1711.9 points per game last year. Now playing in an even more aggressive passing offense that throws the ball even shorter. Sam Leaporta at 104 and
35:27Brock Perie at 105. That is my top 105 players in fantasy football. Obviously, if you want more bespoke fantasy football advice or you want something
35:37that specifically applies to your team, head on over to flockfantasy.com. Sign up over there using the link in the description or in the comments using
35:44code Davis. The season pass is only $34.
35:47You'll get access to my rankings, all the cool cheat sheets, and everything that we have up on the site, everything you need to win your league in Spanish
35:54football. And I'll be back with all you guys

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