8 League-Winning ADP Values I Fantasy Football (Pat Kerrane)

Positioned as the primary wide receiver in Eagles offense with potential for Lemon to become a 1B option.

Bryce Young is being underutilized by the Panthers offense, with the team not showing willingness to give him more volume or allow him to freelance and make plays, which is limiting the offense's potential.

Bucky Irving has dropped to running back 25 and mid-sixth round ADP (6.06), converging with Kenneth Gainwell's price after falling from earlier season expectations, creating a potential value opportunity.

Irving was really good out of the gate last year with outstanding usage, and despite dealing with injuries and off-field issues, he's now sitting at a price point that may represent good value for his second season.

Irving is falling to the middle of the sixth round (6.6 ADP in FFPC) and represents a value opportunity despite second-year rushing efficiency concerns, as he remains the favorite to be the starting running back and has elite receiving metrics.

Irving's rushing efficiency in his second year was quite bad according to advanced metrics on NextGen, a significant disappointment compared to his strong rookie rushing performance.

Irving's poor rushing efficiency last year was partly attributable to the Buccaneers' offensive line being an absolute mess early in the season with multiple starters out of position, which eventually improved but after Irving was injured.

Irving was RB5 in ESPN's receiver metric over the last two seasons and RB5 last year as well, demonstrating consistent elite receiving production.

Irving had 98 yards after catch over expected, which was eighth best among running backs in only 10 games played, suggesting he would have been among league leaders in a full season.

Irving flashed as a strong receiver in his rookie season and followed that up with actually a strong receiving performance in his second year, demonstrating consistent elite receiving ability.

Irving has rushing upside if he can regain the rushing efficiency he had as a rookie, and the Buccaneers' offensive line should be better this year than it was to start last year.

Despite receiving and rushing risks, Irving is worth buying at his current ADP as he's falling behind running backs like DeAndre Swift, whom the analyst believes Irving is probably still better than.

Irving represents a league-winning ADP value in the late fifth/sixth round despite concerns about Kenny Gainwell and Tucker capping his receiving upside; the discount is enough to embrace the risk given his young age, proven receiving ability through two years, and solid offensive context.

Irving has a high ceiling as a player with good receiving ability and good enough running ability on a good offense, though the situation makes it harder to see the ceiling breaking his way.

Irving has a high ceiling as a player with good receiving and running ability, but situation concerns limit his ultimate ceiling; he's a round four pick with thinner margins for reaching his ceiling.

Rodriguez is likely to have a role in the backfield, adding to the depth chart concerns for Tutin.

Kmet is mentioned as part of the upper-middle-class tight end tier alongside Pitts, Craft, and Leaporta where there is perceived value in tight end premium formats.

Loveland is being drafted at the end of the second round and shows second-year upside as a rookie tight end, though there are questions about why his playing time hasn't increased more given his 10th overall draft pedigree.

Sutton had a number of red flags last year efficiency-wise, with concerns about his role as the offense appeared to be tilting toward Troy Franklin as the potential number one receiver.

Sutton had his least efficient season in a long time at 1.53 yards per route run and showed red flags in efficiency metrics. The Broncos' acquisition of Jaylen Waddle signals they are moving away from Sutton as their primary receiver.

Sutton is a fade at his current ADP cost; he should be going lower than where he is currently being drafted.

Sutton's target share dropped significantly by 4% and his first-read rate was way down in 2024 versus 2025, indicating a diminished role in the offense.

Swift is not a workhorse but rather a good receiver who will probably be a 1A back on his team, a profile similar to Bucky Irving's.

Prescott is very cheap this year with plenty of upside available late at the quarterback position.

Njoku was completely displaced by rookie Harold Fannon Jr. last season and has since moved to the Los Angeles Chargers, ending his tenure with his previous team.

Njoku is being undervalued despite demonstrating elite target-earning ability as a prospect and in his rookie season. He's available in the fifth or sixth round but has upside to be the clear number one target on the Browns, which is atypical for a tight end at that ADP.

Njoku has established himself as the number one target on the Browns and should maintain that role even with the addition of rookie receivers Conpsion and Boston.

Njoku projects for a really strong role with over 100 targets and has upside to be the clear number one target on his team with tight end premium scoring (1.5 PPR).

Njoku is a strong bet on target earning ability at an ADP where you'd typically be fading tight ends, similar to where Carson Loveland and Tyler Warren were being drafted.

Smith's role in the Eagles offense over the previous two seasons is being used as a comparable for what Malik Lemon's role could look like in Philadelphia.

Currently positioned as a 1B to AJ Brown, with potential for Lemon to become a 1B to Smith by season's end.

As a 21-year-old rookie, Fannon Jr. was the youngest tight end in football and completely displaced David Njoku, and he looks like the odds-on favorite to lead his team in targets again this season.

Fannon Jr. presents exceptional value in round six of tight end premium formats like FFPC, offering second-year upside comparable to higher-drafted tight ends like Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren.

Fannon Jr. earned his role as a number one target in the offense as a rookie tight end, beating out the established pass-catching David Njoku, demonstrating he can operate as a primary receiving option.

Despite being undersized and not a dominant run blocker, Fannon Jr. operates more like a Mark Andrews type tight end who splits into the slot, and his strong rookie production signals he can sustain high target volume.

Fannon Jr. had the best yards per route run (3.77) ever recorded by a college tight end, making him the most productive and efficient college tight end ever, and he has already proven this translates to the NFL.

Likely is mentioned as having moved up towards the upper-middle-class tight end tier in ADP alongside KD.

Dobbins is the Broncos' lead runner, but the offense is expected to be pass-heavy with spread concepts and pace rather than built on a ground-and-pound philosophy.

Price is mentioned as the next running back off the board in the late fifth/sixth round range with a two-down profile.

Mentioned in context of Eagles offense and wide receiver depth chart positioning.

Daniels has fallen from being drafted in the 3-4 turn last year to the 8th round this year, creating significant value; he has rushing upside and could benefit from potential receiver additions like Debo or Diggs.

Daniels earned strong draft capital as a rookie and the analyst regrets not being higher on him initially; he's now getting a second opportunity to be aggressive about him despite injury concerns.

Waddle is a huge value at WR23 ADP on Underdog, going behind older receivers lacking his upside. He's a proven first-round talent entering year six with 2.07 career yards per route run, elite efficiency, and versatility (played 60% slot as rookie with 1,000+ yards, now outside), similar to Stefon Diggs' trajectory.

Waddle has the ability to win downfield and get targets underneath as a yak producer, with versatility to play both slot and outside receiver positions, entering an offense that should be pass-heavy with spread concepts and pace.

Waddle is a smash at his current ADP and could go 10 picks earlier without concern; he represents strong value despite being drafted around WR20.

Waddle is positioned to dominate targets in the Broncos' pass-heavy offense and should see a significant gap widen between him and Sutton as the offseason progresses.

Multiple expert analysts including Derrick Brown (WR10), Jacob Gibbs, and Nelson Souza are bullish on Waddle, yet actual drafters are not pushing his ADP up, creating continued value.

Warren is now dealing with being in a split and has Rico Dow to contend with on an offense the analyst is not especially excited about.

Herbert is described as a really awesome upside swing at quarterback and is quite cheap in current drafts.

Kenneth Gainwell has risen to running back 33 with occasional seventh round appearances, converging with Bucky Irving's ADP after a period where he was considered more appealing.

Gainwell has risen to running back 33 with occasional seventh round appearances, and his addition to the Buccaneers is concerning as it could cap Irving's receiving upside.

Gainwell is viewed as a problem that could cap Irving's receiving upside, though he was the 1B back last year with 87 targets while Warren had 43, creating a split in receiving work.

Pitts is part of the upper-middle-class tight end tier where there is perceived value in tight end premium formats, alongside Craft, Leaporta, and Njoku.

Mentioned as a first-round wide receiver with higher ADP than Lemon in FFPC drafts.

Mecole Hardman is mentioned as one of the hyped receivers alongside Luther Burks, but McMillan outproduced both in his rookie season with 122 targets and 1,400 receiving yards.

Bryant started to get worked in more for the Broncos down the stretch, indicating increased involvement in the offense.

Mahomes is going around the 11th round and has been absolutely dominant in FFPC scoring, making his current ADP a great value.

Pat Kerrane is bullish on McMillan at his current ADP in the fourth round, viewing him as an elite prospect with strong rookie production (1.85 yards per route run, 600 routes) being undervalued due to Bryce Young concerns. He sees McMillan as having ceiling upside to potentially transform the Panthers offense at a discount relative to his talent level.

McMillan had 1.85 yards per route run as a rookie, ran almost 600 routes including playoffs, and is a traditional outside wide receiver who earns targets downfield and excels after the catch, comparable to Michael Pitman with more upside.

McMillan is the clear number one receiver on the Panthers with no significant competition from other receivers or tight ends, giving him a strong target moat over Jaylen Coker and Chris Brazzle.

McMillan led his receiver group with 122 targets, 70 catches, 1,400 receiving yards, and a 25% target share in his rookie season, outproducing other hyped receivers like Mecole Hardman and Luther Burks.

Pollard has split concerns and the analyst is much more concerned about how much he has left in the tank.

Pat Kerrane had Travis Hunter ranked as the number one wide receiver in his pre-draft rankings because he was getting nervous about where Tedaroa McMillan was going to be selected.

Franklin showed flashes as a potential number one receiver for the Broncos at times during the season but was unable to take away the role from Sutton permanently.

Tyler Warren is going in the early third round and showed a lot as a rookie tight end with second-year upside, though his production hasn't yet matched the immediate impact of Fannon Jr.