10 BOLD Predictions for Week 4 of Fantasy Football

Jacob Gibbs projects Brian Thomas Jr. for a season-high 18 PPR points and a touchdown against the Bengals, citing the team's intent to get him the ball and Trevor Lawrence's desire to keep his momentum going. Gibbs uses Jaylen Warren's successful performance against the Bengals last week as a historical benchmark for Thomas Jr.'s potential output.

Brock Bowers is coming off a smash week as the overall TE1. Jacob Gibbs is preparing a rest-of-season tight end rankings update that will provide a deep dive into the specific role and usage metrics that have driven his recent performance.

CeeDee Lamb is expected to receive a high volume of targets in his upcoming matchup, with Jacob Gibbs noting that the Cowboys' high pass rate over expectation supports a big game for him.

Jacob Gibbs views Chase Brown as a top-five fantasy play this week against Jacksonville, projecting 20-24 points. Gibbs notes Brown has averaged 20.6 PPR points in games with 51+ point over/unders since 2024 and remains a high-upside buy as the Bengals' offense continues to look strong.

Jacob Gibbs identifies Christian Watson as a player who could have a massive week, ranking him just behind Jalen McMillan in his weekly wide receiver outlook.

Jacob Gibbs identifies Daniel Jones as the primary limiting factor for Josh Downs' fantasy ceiling, suggesting that poor quarterback play is the only obstacle preventing a massive 150-yard performance.

Jacob Gibbs highlights Derrick Henry as a high-upside option for the week, specifically noting his revenge game narrative against his former team where he could potentially put up 40 points. Gibbs also suggests the upcoming matchup against the Titans could be a game where the team leans on the run, making it a 'Derrick Henry game.'

Jacob Gibbs projects a huge game for Drake London if the Falcons are forced to play from behind, anticipating a high-scoring, back-and-forth contest. London is also used as a statistical benchmark for target volume, with Michael Wilson currently having more 15-target games than him over the last two seasons.

Jacob Gibbs notes that while fantasy managers are focused on Ja'Marr Chase and Parker Washington, this attention may create a favorable environment for a Tee Higgins breakout game. Additionally, Chase serves as a statistical benchmark for target volume, sharing the same frequency of 15-target games as Michael Wilson over the last two seasons.

Jacob Gibbs views Jacoby Brissett as the established starter for Arizona, noting that a win in New York would solidify his position and likely delay any team interest in transitioning to Carson Beck.

Jacob Gibbs ranks Jalen McMillan as his WR12, citing a prime bounceback spot against a Detroit defense that allows the league's highest rate of separation. Gibbs projects 20+ points and potentially a career-best game, advising managers to trade for him before his national TV performance increases his market value.

Jeremiah Love has been elevated to the RB11 range in expert consensus rankings. Jacob Gibbs identifies him as a core piece of the Arizona offense alongside Trey McBride and Michael Wilson, advising fantasy managers to start him every week.

Jacob Gibbs views Jonathan Taylor as a strong start, noting that as a favorite with a high implied team total of 26 points, the game script favors a productive outing for the running back.

Jacob Gibbs ranks Josh Downs as WR10 for the week, projecting 20 points due to a favorable matchup against a Washington secondary that struggles against the slot. Shane Steichen's usage of Downs, specifically his league-high rate of pre-snap motion, is designed to create space against zone coverage. Gibbs notes that while Daniel Jones' play is a potential ceiling-limiting factor, the matchup is otherwise ideal for a massive performance.

Jacob Gibbs identifies Kendre Miller as a sleeper and a potential desperation flex play for fantasy managers, noting that the game environment should be high-scoring.

Jacob Gibbs notes that Michael Penix Jr.'s involvement in the Falcons' offense contributes to a high-scoring environment in the Saints-Falcons matchup, as both teams rank in the top five for opponent pass rate over expectation.

Michael Wilson is coming off a 17-target game and is ranked as the WR11 for the week. He leads all players in pre-snap motion points and ranks as the WR11 in expected fantasy points. With a favorable matchup against the Giants' low-pressure defense and high catchable target rate allowed, Gibbs projects another monster game with 20+ point potential.

Parker Washington is drawing increased defensive attention, including double teams, which is expected to shift target volume toward teammates like Tee Higgins and open up opportunities for others like Bashel Tutin.

Puka Nacua is mentioned as a statistical benchmark, with Michael Wilson currently having more 15-target games than him over the last two seasons.

Jacob Gibbs expects a big game from Stefon Diggs, ranking him as a top-24 receiver, significantly higher than consensus. Diggs maintains a 30% target per route run rate and benefits from a favorable matchup against the Colts' slot coverage.

Jacob Gibbs projects Tee Higgins for a 30-point PPR performance, noting he has been just outside the top 12 in expected fantasy points and is due for a blowup game. Gibbs believes the defensive focus on Ja'Marr Chase and Parker Washington will create a favorable environment for Higgins.

Jacob Gibbs recommends Trey McBride as a must-start player in the Arizona offense on a weekly basis. McBride continues to receive high target totals, which coincides with the high volume seen by teammate Michael Wilson.

Jacob Gibbs ranks Zay Flowers as his WR7 rest-of-season, citing elite efficiency metrics: targeted on 50% of his routes with over 100 YAC on just 25 routes run. Gibbs projects a top-five finish for Flowers this week against a favorable Titans matchup.