10 BOLD Predictions for Week 10 of Fantasy Football
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
47 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Nov 13, 2026
Published
Fri, November 13, 2026
21
Player insights
21
Players mentioned
Topics
Brock PurdyBryce YoungBucky IrvingCarson BeckCeeDee LambDerrick HenryFernando MendozaJadarian PriceJalen CokerJames CookJaxon Smith-NjigbaJoe BurrowJordan WatkinsJordyn Tyson
Player analysis
Player insights
Brock Purdy
NegativeProjection11:21
The source's bold prediction for Brock Purdy is elevated to QB1 overall for Week 10, initially projected as a top-two QB scorer, then upgraded to QB1 overall. The game features the highest over-under of the season (mid-50s), and Purdy is playing at a tremendous level. The source recommends stacking Purdy with CeeDee Lamb in this high-scoring matchup. Purdy is selected as QB1 for Week 10 over Josh Allen; the source's reasoning is that the Bills will avoid dropping back against the Jets' elite edge rusher and will instead lean on James Cook, making Purdy the safer QB play. Regardless of San Francisco's receiver rotation or personnel changes, Purdy continues to deliver at an incredibly high level, making him a reliable fantasy asset independent of who lines up around him.
Insight pageBryce Young
NegativeProjection22:25
Bold prediction: QB8 this week against the Saints. While the high-scoring game environment (50-point total) initially suggests both QBs will shine, the source expresses nervousness about Young's performance. Defenses have been blitzing Young at a 40% rate this year (up from 29% last year), and he hasn't played well against the blitz in 2024. Saints defensive coordinator Brandon Staley has shown willingness to blitz heavily in specific matchups to pressure opposing QBs, posing a risk to Young's fantasy output despite the high game total.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveProjection20:00
Removed from the league-winner list after strong performance; now ranked RB6 rest of season. Has performed exceptionally well since being removed from the list, demonstrating significant upside.
Insight pageCarson Beck
NegativeRole22:00
Taking over the QB role in Arizona this week. The source expresses uncertainty about what fantasy managers will get from Beck in a disastrous week for quarterbacks overall, with multiple choppy QB matchups to avoid.
Insight pageCeeDee Lamb
PositiveProjection0:58
CeeDee Lamb is the source's Week 10 bold prediction pick, described as 'simply red-hot' with 108 targets on the year (averaging 12+ per game) and on pace for 205 targets, which would tie Marvin Harrison Sr. for most in NFL history. He has posted two of the top five receiving yardage games of the season (195 and 189 yards). Removing the Tampa Bay outlier game, he averages 24.8 PPR points per game. Over the last five games, his target share has been elite: 47%, 48%, 46%, and a low of 33%. Last week he scored 33.5 points. Against San Francisco in Week 10, Lamb faces a defense that has allowed five top-24 WR performances in their past four games. While the 49ers defense is generally well-coached with star players, their catchable target rate allowed on first three targets is 12th-worst in the league (nearly identical to Dallas at 11th-worst). The 49ers have a 29.5 implied team total suggesting a potential shootout, and the source projects Lamb to run back-to-back 30+ point weeks in this matchup. The game features the highest over-under of the season (mid-50s).
Insight pageDerrick Henry
PositiveProjection0:36
The source is making a bold prediction that Derrick Henry will bounce back in Week 10 against the Chargers after a brutal stretch of three out of four games with fewer than six fantasy points. The Ravens are expected to stabilize at quarterback with Jacobe Brassette, and Vegas projects Baltimore for 21 points and a win. In three games where the Ravens scored 21+ points and won without Lamar Jackson, Henry averaged 29 fantasy points per game with 21, 36, and 21 rush attempts. Across a larger 223-snap sample in close games without Lamar Jackson, Henry accounted for 47% of the Ravens' offensive touches, up from 39% with Lamar on the field. Head coach John Harbaugh has familiarity with the Chargers offense, and the Ravens are expected to lean heavily on Henry in what should be a script-friendly game. Additionally, Henry has been 'Mr. December' throughout his career, averaging 5.3 yards per carry in 38 December games with 38 total touchdowns (37 rushing, 1 receiving), setting up a potential two-week bounceback with Carolina on the road next week. The source projects Henry as a top-eight running back in Week 10.
Insight pageFernando Mendoza
NegativeMatchup17:14
Fernando Mendoza, the Raiders' rookie quarterback, faces significant pressure in his debut start against Seattle's defense on the road. The source expects this defensive mismatch to create opportunities for Seattle's running backs and potentially lead to turnovers, as the rookie signal caller will struggle in this unfavorable spot. He is taking over the QB role for Kirk Cousins.
Insight pageJadarian Price
PositiveProjection13:45
Jadarian Price could produce big plays against the Raiders' weak run defense (132 rushing yards allowed per game, 5.21 yards per carry), and the source projects him as a top-20 running back this week. However, Price has been inconsistent with a 25.5% stuffed rate and 27.7% rush success rate (51st of 57 qualified RBs), making him hit-or-miss; the source trusts Charbanet more but still recommends starting Price with confidence in flex or RB2 spots, expecting both Seattle backs to score touchdowns. Seattle's opponent has allowed over 1,000 rushing yards in the same stretch; team has 23.5 implied total.
Insight pageJalen Coker
PositiveBreakout27:30
Bold prediction: top-15 receiver finish this week. Coker has emerged with a 24% target per route run rate against cover three, averaging almost 16 yards average depth of target and 2.31 yards per route run versus cover three. The source prefers Coker over Ted McMillan in this matchup because Koolin McKinstry, the Saints' shadow corner, is likely to follow McMillan on 50-60% of his routes (held McMillan without targets in their second matchup last year), leaving Coker as the more attackable option. Saints have allowed the ninth-highest catchable target rate to wide receivers.
Insight pageJames Cook
NegativeProjection33:54
Bold prediction: top-4 RB scorer in Week 10 with 25+ carries and 25+ points. Cook has a seven-game streak of 70+ rushing yards, averaging 18.6 PPG. The matchup is favorable: Bills are 9-point road favorites against the Jets and expected to lean heavily on Cook to avoid David Bailey's elite pass rush. The source calls it an 'absolute smash spot' and great DFS pivot. With playoff positioning in mind, the source explicitly states: 'I think you can ride James Cook in this spot.'
Insight pageJaxon Smith-Njigba
NegativeProjection17:31
Projected as WR6 overall this week, not a top-5 WR finish. The source expects Seattle's running backs to dominate, reducing JSN's efficiency; he may score on a deep touchdown but is not expected to win the week or finish as a top-5 WR.
Insight pageJoe Burrow
NegativeProjection0:08
The source made a bold prediction for Joe Burrow to hit four passing touchdowns in Week 9, but he fell short of that specific projection; however, he did record four total touchdowns (passing and rushing combined), partially validating the underlying bullish stance on his scoring upside.
Insight pageJordan Watkins
PositiveSleeper12:48
Jordan Watkins is a deep league option with recent strong performance and splash-play potential. He has looked good over the past month and showed promise in preseason. Recommended as a deep league roll of the dice for those seeking upside in the 49ers wide receiver rotation, particularly with potential changes to the receiver group.
Insight pageJordyn Tyson
NegativeRole23:35
Deep flex play consideration with significant uncertainty in the high-scoring Saints-Panthers game. There is speculation Tyson will play more snaps, but he barely played last week, making this a risky play. Could benefit from the high-scoring game environment if snap count increases, but role clarity is lacking.
Insight pageJosh Downs
PositiveBreakout37:17
Downs was acquired by the Kansas City Chiefs at the trade deadline for a fourth and fifth round pick and becomes the Chiefs' best separator and man-coverage beater. He is one of the better separators in the league and very good against man-to-man coverage, offering something the offense lacked. While acclamation may take time (DeAndre Hopkins comparison), if he's locked in and ready, he could be fantasy productive, especially with play-action opportunities built off Kenneth Walker's run game establishing the threat. The source notes Downs' talent is undeniable—a 25–26-year-old shouldn't suddenly fall off—and Andy Reid has a track record of scheming up small-bodied receivers like Xavier Worthy for success. Downs is the clear man-coverage advantage over Rashid Rice. However, the source emphasizes uncertainty: Downs has not played well this year in Indianapolis (Keenan Allen has outplayed him), and there is a real chance acclamation takes time to materialize.
Insight pageKeenan Allen
NegativeRole13:01
The source signals that San Francisco may be kicking Keenan Allen, suggesting a potential reduction in his receiver role and rotation at the position; this indicates decreased playing time or offensive involvement going forward.
Insight pageKirk Cousins
NegativeMatchup21:27
Has been a reliable streamer all season but now faces an iffy matchup against Green Bay in what the source describes as a disastrous week for quarterbacks overall; losing the starting role to Fernando Mendoza.
Insight pageOmar Cooper Jr.
PositiveBreakout1:12
Omar Cooper bounced back strongly in Week 9 after recording a zero the previous week, validating Jacob Gibbs' bold prediction and demonstrating resilience.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes
PositiveProjection34:18
Mahomes faces the Falcons in Week 10 and is ranked QB8 but projected to exceed that ranking with 3+ touchdowns and a top-5 finish. The source states: 'It wouldn't surprise me if Mahomes outscores any of them,' referring to other high-projection QBs like Dak Prescott. The Falcons defense is described as soft and lacking pass rush threat, and the Chiefs offense may want to prove something in the passing game after the trade deadline. Notably, Jesse Bates—the secondary defender who has historically picked off Mahomes—is not in this matchup.
Insight pageTyler Higbee
NegativeRole42:20
Tyler Higbee is being considered as a potential beneficiary of Puka Nacua's IR absence, though the source suggests the Rams' elite running backs (first and second in rush success rate) and defensive strength may lead Sean McVay to prioritize the run game, limiting pass-catcher upside.
Insight pageZach Charbonnet
PositiveProjection17:05
Bold prediction: top 15 RB this week. Seattle's opponent has allowed over 1,000 rushing yards in the same stretch; Charbonnet is expected to score a touchdown with Seattle's implied team total of 23.5 points.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00Week 10 fantasy football bold predictions. Theo Ginger right here at Rotoire joined each and every week by Jacob Gibbs of Beyond the Box score.
0:08Jacob, we had we had a mixed bag last week. Couple of good takes. Joe Burrow did not hit the four passing touchdowns,
0:14but he did have four total touchdowns.
0:16Bejian Robinson a huge bounceback week.
0:18Joe the the Joe Burrow take was great, but it doesn't offset the fact that I thought Jared Goff would go nuts and he
0:24was absolutely horrible. Um, a couple of couple of poor takes by me. How did you run last week?
0:29Um, I wish that I remembered, but I don't.
0:33>> Well, we'll have a little bit of accountability accountability in the chat. I was looking at it earlier. We were we were very much like mixed bag
0:40last week. Just Malik Willis and Caleb Douglas. We we both missed on that one.
0:44Jonah Coleman, I'd say that's a solid B.
0:46He got there. Uh, >> was so brutal, man. Like the game starts, I was all excited for it. I'm like, "Oh, he is not right. Like, he can
0:52barely move." move and then he immediately goes on the IR like, yeah, >> I'm staying away from Jared Goff takes for a few weeks cuz he's gotten me in
0:59trouble. Uh Luther Burden, that that was a good one. That was a good one. Luther Burden continues to uh to get there for
1:05Fantasy Managers. Um and then we had a couple of other takes that were just okay. Drake London didn't get there. So
1:12this week we're going to attempt to Oh, and I'll give you credit. You had an Omar Cooper take. Omar Cooper ended up
1:17having a a pretty strong week. Got right back there. Uh bounced back well after the zero. And what did it cost? Ad and I
1:23Mitchell ended up having a zero that week. So, uh, we're going to continue trying to have accountability on these bold predictions. Hard to go a batting
1:30a,000 on this show, but this week we're going to attempt to bat over 500. You're going to start us out with a running
1:36back who's just been putrid over the last month. Name brand player. Three out of his last four games, fewer than six
1:44points. And that player is >> Derrick Henry gets us back on track this week, Theo. Um, it's been rough lately, but I think we've got at least some stab
1:52stability in at quarterback. It was really, really bad last week. I think Jacob said at least stabilizes things here. And now we get a match against the
1:58Chargers, who have not beaten anybody.
2:00Um, Vegas expects the Ravens to play reasonably well in this game, projecting them for 21 points and a win. So, we got
2:08we've got not a big sample size, but at least three games we have here in which the Ravens have scored 21 points and won
2:14without Lamar Jackson um during the Derrick Henry Baltimore Ravens era. So, three games, 21 points or more and a win. In those games, Dererick Henry has
2:22averaged 29 fantasy points per game. 21 46 19 fantasy points in those games. He has 24 rush attempts, 36 rush attempts,
2:32and 21 rush attempts in those games. The lowest one there, 21, was a game where they cruised to victory. Maybe that's
2:38what we get here. But I think that there's a real chance that they don't want to go super drop back heavy in the
2:44very first Jakob game. They can kind of ease him in. They can ride Derrick Henry. If you want a larger sample size
2:50than just three games across a 223 snap sample size where the score was within seven points one way or the other. So just close games, not games
3:02where Derrick Henry's getting game scripted out because they're playing from way behind. In games where it's been close without Lamar Jackson on the
3:08field, 223 snaps, that's roughly 9ish games of data. He has accounted for 47% of the Ravens total offensive touches
3:19across that sample size. That's up from an already super high 39% rate. um with Lamar Jackson on the field. This is an
3:26offensive engine truly Derrick Henry for the Baltimore Ravens. And when Lamar has been off of the field, they lean into him even more. They ride him hard.
3:34Almost half of the offensive touches going all to one player. So, we have a setup here where everything feels perfect for them to do just that. Jesse
3:43Mentor, the head coach for the Ravens, has familiarity with Justin Herbert and this Chargers offense, the wide receiver room here. I think he understands the
3:50strengths and limitations of this team pretty well. I feel like we could see the Chargers again struggle here on offense and we could see the ball going
3:58back to the Ravens a lot. This seems like a write the ship game for Baltimore and I think Derrick Henley leads the
4:03way.
4:04>> Yeah, I mean I love it and I think this is really a a potential twoe bounceback because next week they play the Carolina
4:11Panthers on the road. Uh and Derrick Henry has been Mr. December throughout his career. Uh, I know Scott Barrett always talks about this one, but in 38
4:22games in December, Derrick Henry has 37 rushing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown. So, 38 games, 38 touchdowns, and he's averaged 5.3 yards per carry
4:33throughout the month of December. So, needs this little ramp up to end November, right? this offense is going to look a little bit different uh
4:41clearly with Jacobe Brassette behind center, but I think there's optimism there for Derrick Henry to turn things around. Uh we will see. And you talked
4:50about a player who has been uh you know really really slow recently. I'm going to talk about a player who has been
4:58simply red-hot and that's CD Lamb. We talked about CD Lamb uh when when I was on your show this week on Beyond the Box
5:07score. You can check out I'm I'm with Jacob every Monday, but CD Lamb is now up to 108 targets on the year. He's
5:15averaging 12 plus per game. Uh he's on pace for 205 targets now, which would tie him with Marvin Harrison Senior for
5:23the most in NFL history. We talked about how he has two of the top five uh receiving yardage, highest receiving yardage totals of the season. He has 195
5:32yard game. He has 189 yard game. Um unbelievable stuff. And if you take away the Tampa Bay game, he would be
5:39averaging 24.8 points per game. We also talked about how the the target share for CD Lamb has just been ridiculous over the last 5
5:48weeks. He's got a 47% target share game, a 48% target share game, a 46% game, and then his lowest in target share in this
5:58fivegame stretch was 33%.
6:01Last week he went absolutely nuts. uh DFS managers who used him were just cashing big time. Uh last week was a
6:09great week for DFS managers at the wide receiver position and I think it will be again this week if they're starting CD
6:15Lamb. He gave us a 33.5 uh point performance last week. I think he runs it backto back 30point weeks gets there against the San Francisco
6:2649ers. I think this game is looking like a potential shootout. Uh we've got a couple of injuries on the defensive side
6:34of the ball for the 49ers and and you've got this crazy implied team total for San Francisco where they have got a 29.5
6:42point implied team total. So I think San Francisco is going to score at will and I think the Cowboys are going to have
6:48opportunities to try to keep up and I think everything on this offense right now is going to go through CD Lamb. So,
6:53the bold take is that, and one more stat, San Francisco's defense has allowed five top 24 wide receiver performances over their past four games
7:03played. Uh, so I think everything's setting up for a smash week for CD Lamb.
7:07Back-to-back 30 plus PPR points per game. Uh, and CD Lamb not only finishes as the wide receiver one this week overall, but he's going to finish as the
7:16wide receiver one overall for the rest of the season. Uh from last week's game on, uh really the mid-season on, CD Lamb
7:25is your wide receiver one for the rest of the season. Um I don't think any other player is setting up in terms of
7:31the usage, the bad defense, he's associated with the game scripts, and then you factor in his biggest competition at the wide receiver
7:38position. Pukanakua now on the IR, Jamar Chase dealing with T. Higgins who's siphoning off a lot of touchdowns and then Jackson Smith and Jigba uh dealing
7:47with game scripts where the Seattle defense is just going to be dominating some of these teams and they're going to be able to use their running backs. So
7:54CD Lamb is your wide receiver one for the rest of the season and he is your wide receiver one for week 10. Your
8:00thoughts on that one?
8:01>> Wide receiver one rest of season is certainly bold. Uh so I love that. Um, but I do think that your point about
8:07like if you remove the Tampa Bay game is fair and even astute potentially where it's like if you remove that game, which
8:13is clearly a weird game if anybody was watching it. Um, not only did Dallas play like crap against Tampa Bay's defense, um, and struggled to move the
8:20ball at times and everything, but like also Lamb just was not himself. Missed time and that game was clearly laboring.
8:26Um, if you remove that game, he's averaging like almost 25 points per game. He's up. He's like one of those few like rare guys that are in the
8:34Jackson Smith and Jigba Jamir Gibbs, Kenneth Walker range. Like he's really the closest. It's like him, Huka Nakua who's now out. Like there are just a
8:42handful of guys who can have been able to produce like that this year. Lamb's one of them. The volume is setting up in
8:48such an insane way um for him to just continue to put up massive points. And then yeah, I was looking it up while you
8:54were talking. The Niners defense um has been pretty good this year. Um, but I think that's more about uh the coaching,
9:02the fact that they're really buttoned up and that they have some star players.
9:05But I think like if you look at their um catchable target rate allowed on first three targets, which Lamb has like one
9:12of the highest first three rates in the league, they're 12th um the 12th worst, the 12th highest catchable target rate allowed. That's almost identical to the
9:20Cowboys who are 11th, which like the perception could not be much different on these two defenses. I think the main difference is the Cowboys allow way more
9:28uh offscript big plays, blown coverages, stuff like that. But if you're just talking about can you line up and stop a
9:35stud like CD Lamb, there's not many teams that can. I don't necessarily know if this defense is one of them. And my
9:42gosh, this is the highest overunder we've seen all year. Like I couldn't believe that number when I saw it. And then the more I thought about it, I was
9:48like, yeah, may I mean maybe they can move the ball here. It's part of it is I just I'm nervous about what we've seen
9:54from Dallas if they're going to try to come in here and do all the establish the run crap against Fred Warner and
9:58this defense. Like I don't know how that's going to go. That's what they've been doing lately is really leaning into the run game and barely scraping out
10:06victories against some of the NFL's worst teams. Um but if they do air it out or if they're simply forced to air
10:11it out, we're probably going to get a ton of layout.
10:13>> Yeah, I think that the 49ers defense, I agree with you, is really good, but the game is in Dallas. Tons of pressure on
10:20both teams here, but San Francisco really uh was very effective last week against the Raiders. Uh better offensive line here in Dallas. Uh San Francisco
10:30also put up really strong fantasy uh numbers defensively against Seattle in week five. They went up against Washington in week six. They went up
10:38against Michael Penn in Atlanta in week seven. And Pennix and the Falcons uh that was a game where they gave up 29
10:44points to the Falcons. So, I think the 49ers, their defense can be beaten. Um, it's still a defense you want to roster
10:51in fantasy football, but I think this is a game for Dallas. It's a massive game.
10:55It really is their rest of the season on the line for the Dallas Cowboys. We saw Washington get the win against the New
11:02York Giants last night on Thursday. So, the NFC East still feels kind of open despite all of Dallas's flaws. If they
11:08can pull this one off, uh, then it's a different conversation moving forward rest of the season. Uh, and then I'll add a bonus here. I don't think Dallas
11:16gets the win. I think this game ends up being a tremendous shootout. Uh, the oddsmakers are essentially telling us that this is going to be an extremely
11:24high-scoring game. Uh, we have a huge implied team total for San Francisco. We have a a overunder right now that's in
11:31the mid50s uh for both teams combined.
11:34Uh, I think Brock Party is going to go nuts in this one. Uh, I think that Brock Party is going to end up finishing as a
11:40top two scorer on the week at the quarterback position. Love Party this week. And I think if you're playing DFS, Perty, CD Lamb, stacks, game stacks. I
11:50think that's how you get there. Uh, it seems like kind of a lowhanging fruit, but chase this really high-scoring game with these two stars. Party's just
11:58playing tremendous. Jacob, your thoughts on him this week. Where do you have him?
12:02>> QB2 behind only Josh Allen. And I think there's a real chance that George KD goes absolutely nuclear in this game.
12:07The underlying usage for George KD lately is like that of a wide receiver one. Um it just hasn't quite come through in the box score recently. But
12:16this is the highest overunder we've had all year, right? I don't remember one that's touched 55.
12:20>> I got to take I got to change the the prediction for Pury though because it's too weak. When I say top two and you've
12:25got him at QB2, we're going to say he is the QB1 overall this week. So people keeping track. You've got a Derrick
12:32Henry take, you've got a CD Lamb take, you've got a Brock Pery take. Uh, great stuff. We want accountability on bold
12:38predictions. Any other notes uh for San Francisco or Dallas, Jacob?
12:43>> No, I'm I'm curious to see what their wide receiver rotation is going to be like. Um, they've got a number of guys
12:48they they've been working in. I think Jordan Watkins has looked really good.
12:51Um, so if you want a deep league roll of the dice, like he can give splash plays.
12:57We've seen that over the the past month or so. I thought he looked really good in the preseason, too.
13:01But I think the fact that they're going to kick Keenan Allen maybe signals something and we might just see a big
13:06rotation at receiver here. So I think KD and Perty and CMC are the guys to really focus on.
13:11>> Yeah, we don't you know we like with San Francisco it's it doesn't matter who they put out there or who they shuffle
13:17in. It's Brock Pury and he continues to deliver at incredibly high level. So absolutely love it. We both wrote down the Seattle backfield to talk about
13:27today and it's an easy defense for us to pick on in Vegas. Who are you going to talk about here, Jacob, to start us out?
13:34>> Yeah, super obvious spot here. The Raiders defense looked good the first couple of weeks versus the Dolphins and the Chargers. Uh since then, they're
13:42allowing 34.4 points per game, and they faced some pretty good offenses, but still that's not acceptable. Uh they've allowed 27 points in all seven of those
13:52games. Over the past three seasons, starting running backs for teams that scored 23 or more points, that's what Seattle's implied for this week. Um,
14:01again, each of the past seven opponents have scored 27 or more. Starting running backs for teams that have scored 23 or
14:05more points and won the game, have averaged 18 fantasy points per game. Uh, Zack Charbanet, the starting running back for the Seahawks, has three of
14:14those games over the past three seasons where he was a starting running back on a in a game where they won and produced
14:1823 or more points as a team. Um, he averaged 24.4 four points per game on 21 touches per game within that sample
14:25size. We see in his second game Sharpet get 17 touches um and dominate the snaps. I think both he and Jadarian
14:34Price could, you know, give big production here. I mean, I think Price outscored him last week even though Sharp played more. Um, it wouldn't
14:41surprise me if if Price does rip off some big plays in this matchup. Um, and they try to get him going because really
14:49Theo, for as fun as the highlights are for Jedarian Price, um, it has been very hit or miss, uh, he has a 25.5% stuffed
15:00rate. So, we're talking about like Kenneth Walker to the extreme here in terms of what we've gotten from Price and a disjointed season. I don't mean to
15:08disparrage Price. I really like watching this guy run. Um, but it has been not effective or consistent thus far. He has
15:16a 27.7% rush success rate. That ranks 51st out of 57 qualified running backs.
15:22Only Kendra Miller, JK Dobbins, David Montgomery, Trayvon Henderson, and Deon Singleary are worse. He's tied with Alvin Chimera. So, like they probably do
15:31want to get him going. And if if the Raiders struggle here with a rookie quarterback against Seattle's defense on the road, then I think they'll have the
15:38opportunity to. So, I do like this spot for both of them. But I do think also that the fact that Price has struggled,
15:45the fact that we did see Charbanet get leaned into more and more right away that Mike McDonald loves Charbanet. He's the one I trust a lot more. I do have
15:53him ranked as a top 20 running back this week.
15:55>> Uh so the take is Charbanet is a top 20 running back. That's the bold bull prediction. Bold prediction is Charban
16:01is going to be a top 12 running back.
16:03Um, and Derrick Henry is going to be a top eight running back.
16:06>> I love that one. And and my take was I think both running backs get there. And I I had this conversation Jim Coventry
16:13who's really really sharp and I do the start show uh with him each and every week here. He's locked in with you on
16:20Zack Charbanet complete wheels up smash week for Charbanet. I think Charban is going to get there this week. Um, I didn't quite have him at running back
16:2812, but I think in that running back 1516 range, but I'm going to say both Seattle running backs are going to feast
16:35in this one. This is really the ideal matchup. The Raiders are allowing 132 yards per game, rushing yards per game.
16:43They're allowing 5.21 uh yards per carry. Ridiculous stuff.
16:48And then this was a stat um from my guy Brett Whitefield that I heard this week uh and I thought this was great. Shout
16:54out to Brett, who I did shows with last year at Fantasy Points. Over the last six games, I continually use that um
17:01that over the last six games, the Raiders have allowed 30 points or more in each game. I've said that about a
17:05thousand times on my show, but in that same stretch, they've allowed over a,000 rushing yards. So, this is a game where
17:11both It's insane. It's absolutely insane. Both Seattle running backs are going to get there this week. I'm going to say Zack Charbanet a top 15 back. I'm
17:19going to say Jadarian Price a top 20 back. Start both of them with confidence. If you need a flex this week, use either of them. Either of them
17:27you can use in the running back two spot. And I'm going to say they both score touchdowns this week. Seattle's got the implied team total of 23 and a
17:34half. I think that there is going to be a lot of pressure on Fernando Mendoza and I think it's also a potential spot
17:42where Seattle's going to turn over the rookie quarterback. You hate seeing a rookie signal caller making his debut start in the NFL against this defense. I
17:51think both running backs for Seattle are going to shine, which is part of the reason where why I'm like with the Lamb
17:57JSN take. I just think they're not going to as efficient as JSN is, I think this is more like a wide receiver six overall
18:04week for JSN than a hey, we need you to go nuts and be the wide receiver one overall. He might get there on a deep
18:10touchdown and sort of burn me. But I think JSN, this is not the bold prediction, but not a top five score at
18:17the wide receiver position this week.
18:19This is the running backs go nuts for Seattle and JSN just sort of sort of does what he does but doesn't hurt you
18:25but doesn't win you the week.
18:28>> Yeah, man. It's wild stuff here with the two rookie quarterbacks getting thrown in their first starts against the Rams and the Seahawks.
18:33>> Oh my god. Carson Beck. It's It's like just malpractice the way they're doing offense hurt too. Yeah, I checked my
18:39rankings. Jarian Price I do have at running back 20 and I have Sharpie at running back 13. So I do I agree. I feel
18:46really good about both these guys. I have um price ranked ahead of like waiverwire guys like Ker and Estime. I have them ranked ahead of Ashton Genty
18:53and Woody Marx. Um and I think if you want more juice, more upside on like a riskreward play, you could even start
19:01him ahead of like Tony Pard. Um yeah, I think top 20 is is realistic. The the bold prediction we should have made is
19:08which uh Arizona wide receiver uh leads them in fantasy scoring this week and which and does any Arizona fantasy wide receiver hit double digit PPR points
19:18this week. But we will stay away from the the truly difficult questions. Maybe we'll talk about that next week. Maybe we have a hot take uh on one of these
19:25wide receivers from Arizona. Probably not. But make sure you're checking out Beyond the Box score. If you're subscribed to this channel, make sure
19:31you're also subscribed to Jacob's channel. Uh Beyond the Box score is basically Roto Wire adjacent because Jacob is here each and every week and
19:38I'm over there each and every week. It's been a lot of fun doing these shows. We basically break down uh some of the
19:43information that we've learned in the week. On Monday, we make a couple of hot takes and then over here we are trying
19:49to preview the week ahead. Uh both shows fit very very well and highly recommend the other shows Jacob is dropping.
19:55Jacob, what's your what's a show you want to highlight to the Rotoire audience this week over on your YouTube channel? Yeah, go check out the league
20:03winning episode that I do with Ryan Heath. Um, we started this all the way back in week one and we are trying to
20:09find the 18 players who will be on at least 55% of ESPN playoff rosters.
20:14That's based off of research that Ryan does each year in his anatomy of a league winner article. Um, what has made
20:20it fun, Theo, is we put real stakes in where if you remove a player, you can no longer talk about them. We can't add
20:25them back. And that's really bothered people because we've removed some of our favorite guys like Bucky Irving who uh shout out to us for ever having him on
20:33the league winning uh list by the way.
20:35But since we removed him, he's gone absolutely nuts. I've got him up to freaking running back six rest of season in my rankings and he's not on our list
20:43and that's that's tough. So what we did this week was we were just like no holds barred all cards on the table. Here's
20:48who we think are the players. Give you a little fan service because I you know it's it's tough to look at the list and
20:54be like this isn't perfect. So, we did our best to give you a perfect list.
20:58>> Fantasy football survivor essentially.
21:01Uh, definitely go check out your stuff.
21:02And, uh, Ryan Heath's probably going to be over here as a guest of mine on a show sometime, maybe next week or the
21:07following. Been talking to him about doing a show. Obviously, I did a lot of Dynasty content with Ryan last year when
21:12I was at Fantasy Point. So, got to get him on this channel. I always enjoy his work. And a big thank you and shout out
21:19to Better. That's BETR. This show is brought to you by Better. If you're watching football and you want a little more action on the games, check out
21:28better. Make picks on your favorite players or jump into the better sports books for spreads, totals, and money lines. It's all in one app. So, we're
21:36we're looking at games that we can use this week and it's really a disastrous week for quarterbacks where, you know, you mentioned we've got Fernando Mendoza
21:46taking over for Cousins. Cousins is like been this great streamer for us this year. We've gotten so much out of him.
21:52uh if you had him now he goes up against Green Bay this week. It's sort of an iffy matchup. Uh Jordan Love goes
21:58against the Minnesota Vikings defense.
22:00We've got a bunch of like just choppy matchups. Matt Stafford has no receivers whatsoever. You've got Carson Beck taking over in Arizona. We we don't know
22:09what we're get out of Jacobe Brassette this week. So, we're chasing a game that can be a bailout for fantasy managers.
22:15And I think there's a lot of fantasy managers who potentially with the way they drafted might have had Tyler Shuck and Bryce Young as their QB2s on their
22:25roster. Well, this is a week where both of these players are going to shine. Uh the New Orleans Saints have a a 25point
22:33implied team total this week against the Carolina Panthers. Uh the Panthers have just been getting shredded this year. um they've allowed multiple QB1
22:42performances this year and over the last four weeks they've allowed like six top 24 wide receiver performances. I think that the the and this is also a game
22:52where we talked about the 55 point total for the Dallas San Francisco game. This game is sniffing 50. It's at like 48 and
22:59a half in most books. So the take I'm going to have both quarterbacks are going to shine this week. Both Tyler
23:06Shuck and Bryce Young both finished top eight at the position. I'll say to push it up a little bit more, Tyler Shuck is
23:13a top five scorer at the quarterback position this week. Bryce Young quarterback eight. And I'll say both of these players are going to carry wide
23:22receivers to very strong weeks. Chris Ave is going to be a top six scorer at the wide receiver position and Tedro
23:28McMillan a top eight scorer at the wide receiver position as well. It this is a game we can chase. we can feel very good
23:35about things and if you don't want to use the San Francisco Dallas game in DFS, I think you go with the Carolina
23:41New Orleans game instead. This game just screams a high-scoring take. So, I threw a bunch of bold predictions in there.
23:48Your thoughts on this game and am I missing anybody or are these the players that you have circled in this game?
23:55>> Yeah, those are the guys I really do like Jaylen Coker in this game. If you want to go to Jordan Tyson um as a deep
24:02flex play, you could. Um there's some speculation that he'll play more, but we just don't know. He barely played last week, so I do think that one's risky.
24:10But yeah, I think for any sort of like DFS purposes or anything like that, this is sort of a sneaky spot here where
24:15people are going to be focused on higher scoring games. Um but this could turn into one that goes back and forth. I was
24:22really happy to see uh the Vegas expectations for this game was high cuz both these offenses have sort of skidded as the season's gone on. Um and
24:31specifically both offenses have struggled versus pressure. Um and both of these defenses can get aggressive with some of the blitzing that they do, some of the
24:41selective blitzing that they do to hurry um opposing quarterbacks up. Obviously Chase Young has been a game wrecker at times for the Saints um defense. So, I
24:50was I was really curious if this would be like what we thought early in the season when we got these two teams
24:57matched up that it'd be like a high-scoring 50 plus point overunder or if it'd be more like Vegas is scared that these defenses are going to
25:04struggle or these offenses are going to struggle and it might be like 44 and a half or something like that. But we come
25:09in with a pretty high overunder. So, I feel reasonably optimistic about this game. As I look at the Panther side of
25:15things, well, the Saints stuff just first is super simple. Tyler Shuck has actually played pretty well against the Blitz in terms of the stats and I think
25:22that's because he has Chris Alve and if you are going to leave a lav in a 10-1 he's going to win most of those and if
25:28you look at this Panthers defense they're very aggressive ninth in blitz rate but they're I think 26th in pressure rate they blitz a lot they
25:34don't get a ton of pressure they've given up tons of big receiver performances this feels like a slam dunk spot for Alb and it could be Tyson too
25:42but to me it's like shock and a 101 ones we're just going there as much as we can on the other side of the It's a little
25:48bit more nuance of discussion. I'm a little bit nervous about how Bryce Young might play.
25:53So, Bryce, um, we've seen defenses really try to heat Bryce up this year.
25:57And, as I said, the Saints have been Brandon Staley coaching this defense has been, uh, selective. They don't blitz a ton, but we have seen them really go
26:06blitz heavy in specific matchups to heat up Shadur Sanders and Michael Penn. And defenses have been blitzing Bryce way more this year. Last year, his blitz
26:14rate was 29%. this year's been blitzed on 40% of his dropbacks. That might be about him. That might be about the
26:19offensive line. I don't know, but he hasn't played very well against the Blitz this year.
26:24For what it's worth, Brandon Staley didn't blitz him very much last year in two matchups. Um, but I am curious if we
26:30might see more of that, and if so, what might that mean, especially with the way that Chase Young has been playing and
26:34the way that these tackles are playing in Carolina? The Saints though overall aren't getting a ton of pressure.
26:41They're 18th in pressure and they're 27th in quick pressure rate. Um, and that's even with Chase Young playing out of his mind with them playing some teams
26:48that have struggled to pass protect. So, I do think that's noteworthy is that we might be fine and we might Bryce Young
26:55might be able to to play even with the the Blitzes and be able to to find his guys to hone in on Ted McMillan and
27:02Coker. So, if Bryce Young has a passable game, I am pretty intrigued by the upside for these two receivers because the Saint Stevens on the back end I
27:11think is pretty attackable. They use a ton of cover three. 48% cover three rate is the third highest rate in the NFL. So
27:19that's a single high zone coverage shell that really uh you see typically a lot of targets to the wide receiver one
27:26against this coverage type. That's what we have historically. It's the most common coverage type and I think it's easy for wide receiver ones to attack.
27:35We've seen uh Bryce feed a 27% target per route run rate to McMillan against cover three this year. It was even
27:42higher last year. Um, but Coker has emerged this year with a 24% target per route run rate against cover three. So,
27:50both of these receivers getting a lot of targets. Coker's average depth of target against cover three is almost 16 yards with a high target per route run rate.
27:58So, I think that gives him a lot of upside here in this spot. He's averaged over two yards spout run, 2.31 versus
28:04cover three for Coker, 2.55 yard spout run versus cover three for Tedo McMillan. So, I think it's a good spot for both of them. The Saints have
28:12allowed the ninth highest catchable target rate um on targets two wide receivers this year. I when you dig into the individual matchup though, this is
28:20where I really do feel like it's a Coker spot. If I had to guess, um is that Koolin McKinstry has been very good this
28:28year. Um if you look at the data for the charting data, this is all per Fantasy Points data. If you look at the charting
28:34data, Jonas Sanker covers the slot. He struggled a little bit. 71% of his targets. the receiver that he's covering has at least a step of se separation.
28:43The average is 63% leaguewide, 71% for their slot corner. Quincy Riley, their other quarterback, has even worse starting data, almost 80% of his
28:52targets. The receiver that he's covering, has at least a step of separation. Again, the league averages 63%.
28:57So, we have seen McKinstry actually move around and follow receivers. He's a rare shadow corner who might cover McMillan on 50 to 60% of his routes that in week
29:0811, week 10, which is a rare number. Um, most corners don't actually move around that much. He does. He did follow
29:15McMillan in their second matchup last year and McMillan was not targeted on any of his routes against McKinstry in that game. So, that's why I land on
29:24Coker ultimately. But, I do think either one of them could be um a high upside play here if this game does get back and
29:30forth. And so they're fun DFS plays. I think you could even go with a double stack of Young and both receivers if you
29:38really want to bring it back with Chris Alve if you really want to bet on this game hitting the over. Um but as far as
29:44the hot take, I'm going to say Jaylen Coker finishes as a top 15 receiver this week. Gives us a big bounce back. I know
29:50it's been rough lately, but I think this is a really good spot for him.
29:53>> Yeah, we we have a ton of takes on on this game. So this is uh Jacob at top 15 for Jaylen Coker which I think Cooker
29:59managers would just be ecstatic about.
30:00It's been rough sledding for him recently. And then obviously the Tettero McMillan Chris Ave takes uh the Tyler Shuck take and the Bryce Young take from
30:09me. And I'll just say, you know, when we talk about uh Bryce Young, I definitely was extremely hyped about him over the
30:16first month of the season. Uh Philadelphia game was okay. He had two touchdown passes in that one in week six and then very disappointing stuff
30:25against Tampa Bay in week seven. But we there was like the sky is falling type game for Carolina. Tampa Bay since then
30:32has also just been affecting really good offenses like the Chicago Bears too. And then obviously week eight against Green Bay that was very very poor for Bryce
30:41Young. But last week was really positive stuff. It was his highest completion percentage of the season. Almost 72% completions against Denver. Had three
30:51touchdown passes, nearly had another one. Uh did have a fumble, but a positive game against a tough defense in Denver. And then you look at what
31:00Shadore Sanders was able to do against this Saints defense. He had 297 passing yards and two touchdown passes. So, I think there's optimism here for everyone
31:09and I think we're going to hit on a couple of these ones. Uh Jacob, good stuff there. Um, I had a quote that I
31:16sented you and I think this will kind of segue us into our next take. I know we're both going to talk about a player
31:21that we're both very, very high on, but a quote that from this week that stood out to me is Joe Brady talking about the
31:29number two pick overall in the 2026 NFL draft, David Bailey, who's turned into just a superstar edge rusher for the Jets. very very quickly. Uh Joe Brady
31:39said David Bailey is already a star right now and said he's going to be a problem for a lot of years. There is a
31:46reason why he got drafted where he got drafted. You have to know where he is at all times. He can wreck a game. And this
31:54stood out to me a little bit. And Buffalo are huge favorites against the Jets. The Jets defense has been really really generous recently.
32:05But I think that the Buffalo Bills are going to make this into a huge James Cook game. James Cook has just been
32:12incredibly consistent this year. He's had over 70 rushing yards in seven straight games. Um again, the Bills have a 29 12 point implied total in this one.
32:23Um Jets have allowed like over 30 points per game over the last four games played and the Bills are like almost nine point
32:31favorites on the road in Metife. I think this is going to be a game where they don't even try to mess around with David
32:37Bailey. They get the hell out of Metife and I think they really lean into James Cook. I wouldn't be surprised if James
32:44Cook has his best game of the season.
32:47But I think he's going to finish as a top four scorer at the running back position. I think that's going to be the
32:53bold take for today with James Cook. Uh James Cook is averaging 18.6 points per game. He's really an elite asset, but we
33:01haven't seen a 20 plus pointer out of him since the byee, but it's been very consistent. Touchdown against Baltimore, touchdown against Minnesota. He had 31
33:11rush attempts against Minnesota. So, I think a number of people are going to say maybe they don't lean into him once
33:16again, but I think 25 plus carries.
33:19James Cook goes for 25 points, finishes as a top four scorer at the running back position. I think he's a really good
33:26pivot if in DFS. if you're not trying to use I think a lot of people are going to be on Christian McCaffrey. I think a lot
33:32of people are going to be on uh Jir Gibbs. Obviously, a lot of people are going to be on Bejon Robinson and a lot
33:37of people are going to be on Kenneth Walker. I think James Cook makes for a great pivot this week. Absolute smash
33:43spot. Why mess around with David Bailey?
33:45Just run it on them. The they're the Bills are going to going to really annihilate this Jets team. Uh this is
33:51going to be sort of time is ticking for Aaron Glenn. Things are going to get worse for the New York Jets this week.
33:56your thoughts on this game on James Cook and this is part of the reason why we're going Brock Pury at the quarterback one
34:03spot this week, not Josh Allen.
34:05>> Anecdotally, I think that all makes a ton of sense. We've kind of arrived at the vibes portion of the the podcast
34:10here where I don't have a ton of data to add, but I did just watch the Chiefs game and I was like, "Holy crap, David
34:15Bailey is terrifying.
34:17>> Awesome."
34:18>> Mahomes, I mean, there was a moment there where it looked like Mahomes was done because the Jets were just crunching the pocket. Um, and yeah, if
34:24you're the Bills, I don't imagine you'd really want to uh drop back a ton and have Josh Allen test that when you don't
34:30need to. You're you've got your eyes set on the playoffs. I think you can ride James Cook in this spot.
34:37>> Love it. Absolutely love it. Now, you've got a couple of takes here. Um, we're going to talk a little bit. I'll
34:43give you a dealer's choice here. You've got a running back and you've got a quarterback. Which one do you want to
34:47start out with?
34:49>> Yeah, let's just talk about Mahomes. Uh, speaking of vibes, he has like the one guy who's had Mahomes number in the
34:56secondary is Jesse Bates. Uh, he just always picks off Mahomes, it seems like every time they play. Um, he's gone. The
35:03Chiefs get to face the Atlanta Falcons Stevens without Jesse Bates. I bet Mahomes feels good about that. Um, as silly as that is, like he knows who
35:10where he's at. And I'm sure that that annoys the crap out of Mahomes, who's a perfectionist, you know, to not to
35:15continue to get got by this guy. um he gets to face an already soft Falcons defense that no longer has baits. Um the
35:23team that just traded away a bunch of its players and and if I had to guess like you've got a Chiefs team coming in
35:29maybe riding a little high feeling a little bit good coming out of the trade deadline because they made some moves and maybe the opposite for the Falcons.
35:36Um I think the Chiefs probably want to prove a little something here in the terms of their drop back game. I could
35:41be wrong. Maybe this is just to ride Kenneth Walker spot and keep Mahomes healthy. Um, but I also don't think the
35:47Falcons defense is that scary in terms of pass rush. And I think that the Chiefs could really um get some rhythm
35:54going in the passing game in this spot.
35:56Um, and so I'm going to say that we do see a big game for Mahomes here. I think he's like right on the the line of like
36:04top 12 quarterbacks this week where maybe some people might not want to go there or might be thinking about going a
36:11different direction. Um, I've got him ranked as QB8 and that's just behind like a a line of guys that I think could
36:18go for four or five touchdowns this week like Dak Prescott on that huge shootout.
36:21It wouldn't surprise me if Mahomes outsc scores any of them. So, I'm going to say Mahomes gives us three plus touchdowns
36:26in this game um and finishes as a top five quarterback.
36:31>> I I love that one. Um, and a quick note on on Jesse Bates. I think when when he was traded, a lot of people were talking
36:36about how he doesn't get the by-week.
36:38He's going to end up playing 18 games.
36:41Uh, I thought very, it was very smart.
36:43Jacksonville is giving Jesse Bates um the the day off. He's not going to play against Tennessee this week. Um, and they're also giving Jordan Davis the day
36:53off. They're going to let those two guys sort of learn the system. I thought that was very very smart. Um, holding those
36:58guys out. They just announced that a couple hours before we recorded here.
37:01Um, but another player we talked about Jesse Bates and Jordan Davis. Those guys were both acquired by Jacksonville at the trade deadline with your Kansas City
37:10Chiefs. They went out and acquired a Jacob Gibbs favorite Josh Downs and they did it very much in the witching hour. I
37:18was streaming live um for the podcast and for the YouTube channel and I started at like 2:30 p.m. East Coast time. I was going to wrap things up at
37:263:30 and I'd even said to everyone like no trades go down last minute in the NFL. They're always like noon, 11:00
37:33a.m. They're never at like 3:30. We had like a 3:41 announcement of a Josh Downs trade to Kansas City. And I love the
37:42pickup. Is this a uh plus for Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offensively? Um does it make just everything better for the offense or is
37:54this also wheels up for Josh DS? Or is it potentially a little bit of both? We don't usually see uh wide receivers
38:02traded at the trade deadline make huge fantasy impacts, but DS is one of the better separators on this offense and very good against man-to-man coverage. I
38:12mean, I think he helps out Mahomes. Will we see a time where we're talking about, hey, let's get Josh DS into our fantasy
38:17lineups.
38:18>> We're deep into vibes at this point. Um because there's really no way to uh tell you that Josh DS has played well this
38:25year using data because he has not played well this year. Keenan Allen's outplayed him. Keenan Allen's outplayed him. Yeah, >> I think it Josh DS you and I could sit
38:32here and talk about for 40 minutes. Um, it's there's a lot of context. In fact, I listened to Ben Gretch and Jacob
38:38Sanderson do just that for about 40 minutes last night over on the Long View, their podcast. Um, great stuff. By the way, Downs, I think basically where
38:48Gretch arrived, and I think this is basically right, is there's a real chance that DS becomes so obviously their their best separator and he's
38:59somebody that Mahomes needs out there on the field. Um because the passing game has been lifeless and there's clearly a reason that they went and made a trade.
39:08It wasn't like they gave up nothing.
39:09They gave up a fourth and a fifth. They gave up two picks. Um, I think for a guy who's you're going to have to resign,
39:16you know, like that's not that's not insignificant. Um, I think that there's a chance that Downs might, you know, have the weird like DeAndre Hopkins type
39:25thing where it's like an acclamation that takes a long time and it's kind of frustrating and uh Andy Reid thinks his
39:31his system's so complicated and and so DS who also is a smaller guy might not be valued for his run blocking or
39:38whatever. It might take time for him to become a full-time player, but I also think there's an alternate path where DS
39:45is the guy who we've seen in college and early in the NFL and basically anytime he's been healthy, which is he's a
39:52really dynamic player. He can win at the catch point. I know it's been really brutal this year. I that's what I'm
39:59talking about vibes. The vibes have been terrible. If you've watched Downs, if you've listened to anything India has had to say about that, um he seems to be
40:05very excited to be in this new situation. And so maybe it will be better. I don't know. But if it is, we
40:12know that the talent is there. It's very weird that a 25 26-y old would just suddenly fall off. Um so if he's able to
40:20play like he has, that would offer the Chiefs something they simply do not have. They don't have a guy who can beat
40:26man coverage. They had a guy who could win down the field off of the play action stuff. And that was working
40:33extremely well because Kenneth Walker, they came out and established the absolute crap out of the run in the first game against Denver. They're
40:41bringing out defensive linemen just to prove a point to block and and just like run the ball on Denver and then they
40:46started building all this play action stuff off of that and it was working.
40:49Taekquin Thornton was winning down the field regularly. DS doesn't have the speed that Taekquin does, but he can win down the field in one-on-one matchups.
40:56If you get that, if you get safeties playing up because of the run threat, I think there's a real chance this could
41:02work. I don't have high expectations for this week necessarily. They've got Atlanta and Arizona the next couple weeks, which feel like games where they
41:08could kind of just ease him in. Um, but if he comes out, makes a splash, if he's locked in, if he's, you know, ready for
41:15this opportunity, I do think that he could really run with it and it could be really fantasy productive because he's their best man coverage beater by far.
41:22It's not even close between him and Rashid Rice. And we've seen Andy Reid be able to scheme up Xavier Worthy against
41:28zone coverage. We've been Andy Reid has had so many smallbodied receivers that he's been able to scheme up targets for um that are, you know, good versus man
41:38press coverage, but then within his system, they become even more than that.
41:41They become somebody who can get looks all over the place. I think DS could be the next guy that ne the next player
41:45who's in that archetype and has success with Andy Reed.
41:48>> Yeah. And I mean, we did see last year that Jacobe Meyers was traded at the deadline and he was very helpful for us
41:54in fantasy. So, never say never here.
41:56And I just like the pickup. I mean, you can just picture a playoff game this year where Josh Downs makes a big play
42:02for for the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. Love it for Mahomes.
42:06Uh, we also know that Puka is now on the IR. We've just been pulling our hair out trying to figure out which pass catcher
42:13benefits the most this week in LA. Uh, some people on Kobe Parkinson, some people going back to the Tyler Higgby.
42:20Canata Mumfield and then there's people just really galaxy braining with 22 Atwell, CJ Daniels, bunch of different names getting thrown out there. But is
42:28the answer just hiding in plain sight that the running backs are already really good and Shawn McVey is going to amplify these guys? Your thoughts on who
42:37could benefit the most from no puka, especially with this unbelievable defense right now in LA. Miles Garrett is just playing on another level. Uh, so
42:46this is kind of a defensive team and they're going to run the ball. Which running back do you think is going to
42:51make a huge impact this week?
42:53>> Shout out to my guy Dan Schneijider. Um, Dan Schneider is my podcast co-host over at Beyond the Box score and he said, "I
42:59think that this could just be kind of like the Tampa Bay Bucks um where they've just been riding um because of
43:04quarterback, whatever. You know, it's not the exact same circumstances, but because the pass game seems like it's in a really bad place, they've been able to
43:10just ride the run game um and that's worked really well and they just lean into those two guys. the Rams running
43:16backs are freaking first and second in rush success rate this year. Like there's a I think a real chance that that could work for them. Um and then
43:23the data supports it. Uh 24 to 26 or three years of data here in games that Puka has not played or in plays that
43:30Puka has not been on the field before.
43:32Um they have a 51% drop back rate.
43:35That's very low. Um that's so half the time they're they're dropping back, half the time they're running the ball um in
43:40neutral situations. That's uh down from 63% when Puka has been on the field during that time. So it's a substantial change. If you look at games where
43:49they've played or plays where they've played with a lead that Puka has not been on the field for, the drop back
43:53rate is 39%.
43:55So anecdotally makes sense, right?
43:57You're facing the Cardinals, you got no receivers are probably going to run the crap out of the ball. And then there's
44:01also like precedent for it when you look at how McVey has operated without Buuka on the field. And some of that time he's
44:07had Devonte Adams, right? Like now we're we're in a situation where like no Puka, no Devonte, no Terrence Ferguson.
44:14If I had to if I had to choose one of the receivers, it is the rookie CJ Daniels in terms of like who is got the
44:22skill set to maybe um get open and catch the ball with consistency. I don't think it would be exciting. He's very slow.
44:29Um, but he's a pretty professional buttoned up receiver and when I watch him this preseason, they just had him running hitches and slants and all of
44:36this simple around the line of scrimmage wide receiver one type stuff. And I'm like, why is that what this round six
44:43rookie is doing? Um, you think of round six rookies, if anything, as like special teams role player types. Um, this guy's running a bunch of wide
44:52receiver one stuff. That's weird. Um, and I think that it is maybe to prepare for a situation like this where Dvonte
44:58Adams is out and now Puka is also out.
45:02Um, so my guess is they've got field stretchers in Mumfield and Tutu and the Titans and this rookie, if he's ready
45:09for it, are more likely to get target volume, but in games like this against the Arizona Cardinals, I think we're just going to see a ton of running. So
45:15the hot take is Blake Cororum also finishes as a top 15 running back along with a lot of the guys we've talked
45:20about today. Um Kairen Williams feels great. He's locked in. I don't think you need any help with that one. You're starting him. But maybe Blake Corm
45:27you're not so sure about. Um I have him ranked at running back 15 just behind Zack Charbanet and I had Cam Scatteraboo
45:32at running back 14. So that's ahead of Chase Brown. That's ahead of Oie Gordon.
45:35That's ahead of Bree Hall, Tony Pard. I think he's a really strong start this week.
45:39>> Yeah, Blake Cororm has five touchdowns in his last five games played and he scored at least 11.8 PPR points in that
45:46stretch. He looks really, really good.
45:49And I agree with everything you said. I had CJ Daniels written down on the sleeper show. I'm like pulling my hair
45:55out trying to figure out do which players were going to stream uh for the LA Rams this week. Um but Daniel's
46:00definitely an interesting name. Uh there was some buzz on him in the preseason.
46:04Uh so we'll talk about him a little later on the Sleeper Show. That show will probably drop tomorrow. And then make sure you go check out Beyond the
46:11Box Score. Everything Jacob's putting out is awesome. Big shout out to everybody here watching on the YouTube channel. We crossed 45,000 subscribers.
46:18If you're not already subscribed, hit that subscribe button. And if you are watching on YouTube, do us a favor.
46:24Also, go subscribe to Roto Wire Fantasy Football with Theo Gringer. Anywhere you get your pods, doesn't cost you anything. Helps us out a ton. And we
46:31will see you soon.
