0:00Late ADP risers and fallers and breaking fantasy football news you need to know.
0:06Theo Gremminger, lead fantasy analyst right here at RotoWire, just did another rankings update. If you're drafting over the next couple days, my rankings are
0:15locked in over at rotowire.com. It's the same rankings I'm going to be using in New York City at the NFFC drafts.
0:22Drafting three teams over there. Uh it's going to be a really really fun experience. It always is. And extremely tilting this time of year, especially
0:29because we're getting all of this late-breaking news uh that's really influencing how people are drafting, especially in these high-stakes drafts in FFPC and NFFC. We'll start off right
0:41at the top. It's Ashton Gentty. Ashton Gentty sort of settled in with this new normal type of ADP. 19th overall in the
0:50last few days in NFFC primetimes. Those are $1,800 entry leagues. Big-time entry fees and drafters are sort of cautiously
1:01opportunistic here with where they're taking Gentty. They're not taking him at like the one-two turn anymore, but they're still taking him inside of round
1:09two. We're seeing very similar draft capital when it comes to FFPC main events. But then there's a whole 'nother segment of drafters who are
1:18enthusiastically drafting rookie running back Mike Washington.
1:23We had Ian Rapoport come out and say that Mike Washington is going to be a thing this year. We've had multiple
1:30reports about how the coaching staff really likes him, and he looked awesome in uh preseason games. He averaged 7.9 yards per carry against actual NFL
1:40players. A lot of backups in there, but he still was dominant against those backups. And the Clint Kubiak scheme is a very friendly one for for managers.
1:49So, for fantasy managers. When we've seen uh Mike Washington recently, you see one-off situations where he goes in the eighth round, but his usual price
2:00tag is the ninth round. And this is the same thing for NFFC Primetime and NFFC Main Events. You're seeing him sort of
2:08living in the late ninth round. So, you've got drafters who are always sort of chasing these high-end handcuff running backs, especially ones where the
2:18starter is a little bit banged up. And then with Mike Washington, you get the added value that it would be surprising
2:25if if we saw Asant in week one against Miami. Just my gut feel is we will not see Asant in week one against Miami. And
2:33that's an unbelievably good starting spot for Washington. Vegas is more than a field goal favorite there. They're like three and a half point favorites in
2:41a lot of sports books. So, that's the sort of uh situation that the rookie get off to a red hot start. The usage should be very
2:49strong for Washington game one even without Asant. And if Asant does play, Washington should still have a weekly role in week one. So, it's as bad a as
3:00good a starting spot as you could ask for. I mean, how many games is Vegas going to be favored in? Uh the Miami one
3:06is definitely a great starting spot for him. We'll keep an eye on these two if you're drafting the next couple days. I
3:12think that's sort of the action is if you want to play it with Asant, you're going to see some leagues where the
3:17people are even more cautious and he falls to the beginning of round three.
3:21But if you really want Asant and you think this is all nonsense, you can get access to him if you're picking around
3:2618, he should be right there for you, sometimes a little bit later. And if you want Mike Washington and you have a late
3:33eighth round pick, you probably want to use that one on him. I wouldn't risk on the ninth round turn there, but probably
3:39you're going to get him in the ninth round if you're just playing it by the averages. Continuing the conversation, Javonte Williams.
3:46There's been late enthusiasm for Javonte Williams. You had Jaden Blue and Phil Mafah both waived and we know what Malik Davis is. So, Javonte Williams has
3:56really settled in. You're seeing him locked in to the mid-third round in FFPC main events.
4:04Not too far off of what we're seeing from Jeremiah Love and from Breece Hall.
4:09So, Javonte's right around the two running backs Breece Hall and Jeremiah Love that were going ahead of them through pretty much throughout the
4:16summer. And you're seeing him at the 3-4 turn in NFFC drafts. And we were seeing him go much later in NFFC drafts, even
4:25like a month and a half ago. So, I think drafters are just sort of come to terms that Javonte Williams usage is going to
4:31be excellent and people are chasing this Dallas offense where we have question marks about a lot of offenses, but we certainly don't about the Dallas
4:38Cowboys. Offensive line is solid. Dak Prescott is Dak Prescott. Both wide receivers are healthy. Jake Ferguson's there. They have a very good wide
4:46receiver three in Ryan Flournoy. And it seems like an offense that could lead the NFL in scoring. If they do, Javonte
4:53Williams is going to benefit from the offensive environment and that offensive ecosystem is enough to really boost him.
4:59We also know he's got pass-catching ability. So, keep an eye on Javonte Williams. On the flip side, Malik Davis is going inside of round 14, round 15.
5:09That's a player that's completely locked in right now.
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7:07Talking about the Josh Jacobs situation and the fallout from it. Jacobs is a player that it's difficult to sort of predict where he's going to go in
7:16drafts. If you're chasing Josh Jacobs, usually it's around the ninth round that he's going to go. Sometimes a little bit later. I've seen him fall later than
7:25that, but we're sort of seeing him settle in after the dust has settled, after the whole commissioner's exempt list, that he's going somewhere in that
7:32late ninth. Now, we had Brian Gutekunst come out and say that they expect Josh Jacobs to play this year. But, MarShawn
7:40Lloyd, who I'm very into at cost, he's moved way, way up at ADP. So, for MarShawn Lloyd, you're looking at 66
7:49overall in recent $1,800 entry and NFFC Primetime drafts, and a very similar price tag for him in FFPC Main Events.
7:59That sort of price tag puts him ahead of Jonathan Brooks, puts him ahead of Jaylen Warren, and he's sort of brushing
8:05up on some of those dead zone backs that we've been drafting for weeks and weeks and weeks.
8:09So, MarShawn Lloyd should get off to a hot start. You still have, if you're completely fading Lloyd and you're trying to play like the chaos out of
8:18here, Caleb Johnson went from like being undrafted to very much being drafted every single draft, and we're seeing uh drafters start to draft Caleb Johnson
8:29really when you get to like the 14th, 15th round, he's in consideration, usually available to you in the 17th or 18th round. So, you're seeing some
8:38drafters sort of playing that, you know, Caleb Johnson getting a second lease on life. Uh very rare to see Chris Brooks
8:46go higher than like the 18th round. Uh Chris Brooks has a little bit less enthusiasm. He's been there with the coaching staff, though, and they seem to
8:54like him. So, the way I'd be playing it is draft MarShawn Lloyd, and then if Josh Jacobs is there in like the 11th
9:01round, if you want to lock down that backfield, sixth round and 11th round doesn't seem like a huge price tag to
9:06pay for for a Matt LaFleur uh backfield.
9:09Now, certainly things could get messed up for my plan if we see Caleb Johnson or Chris Brooks get an an outsized role,
9:16but I think the bet is MarShawn Lloyd.
9:18The vibes were excellent with with Lloyd for several weeks in a row, and now he gets this massive opportunity. The team
9:24took him in the third round a few years ago, 2024 draft, so he has familiarity with the coaching staff and the
9:30pedigree, and now a potential huge opportunity.
9:33Another player is Luther Burden. Luther Burden is a rocket ship right now, going 34th overall in NFFC primetimes. That's the end of the third round for Luther
9:43Burden. Really locked in there. Uh people are buying into this year two breakout. And after missing a little bit time in uh training camp, Burden is back
9:53and fully healthy and looks ready to go for the season. At the time I'm recording this, Romeo Doubs left practice with some sort of a foot
10:02injury. This could be absolutely nothing or this could be something. And it should be noted that the foot injury he had last year was on a different foot
10:11than the one he got sort of banged up with at practice. So, if we see anything significant with Romeo Doubs, and pay attention to rotowire.com,
10:19there'll be all constant updates for these injuries. If anything uh is sort of hanging on with with Romeo Doubs, then look for Luther Burden to move up
10:28even more. But, right now completely locked in, 34th overall. And in FFPC drafts, we've seen him leapfrogging Amon-Ra St. Brown, leapfrogging DJ
10:39Moore. Uh he always was pretty much going ahead of DJ Moore. But, Amon-Ra St. Brown is is a very significant one.
10:46Amon-Ra St. Brown's still sort of working off to the side, not practicing with the team, and we are less than a
10:50week away from the start of NFL football. A little bit longer for Amon-Ra St. Brown since he plays on Sunday. But, notably, Luther Burden in
10:57FFPC drafts is going ahead of Tee Higgins. I think that's a notable notable uh news for a ADP-wise.
11:05Also talking about Chicago, another recent news. Uh D'Andre Swift left practice with an apparent injury today and appeared to be in discomfort,
11:15according to uh a multiple beat reporters there. We have no idea what's going on with the D'Andre Swift situation. Uh I'm not trying to
11:22speculate on the injury, but we will say that it's a huge huge one to monitor, considering that he's moved up to 46th
11:30overall in recent primetime drafts. and he's been a lock fourth-rounder in FFPC main events. And you've got Kyle Manangai, who's running off to the side
11:41on Wednesday's practice, but he's not in pads, not practicing. But if Kyle Manangai comes back and Swift is banged up, that could be a huge value for
11:50drafters who are paying a 10th, 11th, and sometimes 12th-round price tag for Manangai. His usual ADP is round 10.
11:59Even with him being a little bit banged up, I would imagine in the next day or so until we have clarity on De'Andre
12:05Swift, look for Manangai to move up a few spots as people sort sort of try to uh try to get something out of this situation.
12:13Another running back who's moving up significantly, and it's been like a freight train. We covered the NFFC $100,000 entry Legacy League, and in the
12:22Legacy League, Ramondre Stevenson went in the at the 501. So, he was extremely high up there for that draft. And it's
12:30sort of continued. He's up to 60th overall in NFFC primetimes, and he's 63rd overall in recent main events. And he's also making occasional fifth-round
12:42appearances. If we get any sort of late bad news when it comes to TreVeyon Henderson, and Henderson is missing some time right now in training camp, still
12:50not in pads, still not training with the team, if we get any sort of late news looking like TreVeyon Henderson might
12:56miss the start of the season, expect for Ramondre Stevenson's ADP to move up even more. Stevenson, I think, has been nothing but positive vibes throughout
13:05the month of August. A lot of talk from the beat reporters regarding his game, his role in the passing game, and how
13:12that connection with him and Drake Maye has been there in training camp. We all know how elite the usage was with
13:18Stevenson. And if you're drafting now and you're looking to fade the Stevenson rise and benefit from Henderson, I think you're going to see more and more
13:25TreVeyon Henderson seventh round exposure. I was in a 350 FFPC Big Gorilla today that I split with Scott Barrett and Rich Rebar, and we saw
13:35Trayveon Henderson go in the middle of the sixth for that one. But, I think it's some of these higher entry fee
13:40drafts, expect for him to fall into round seven. So, whether you see that as a value or still a player you'd fade,
13:47I'd probably lean into taking him in the seventh round. I mean, big surprise, everybody knows I'm a sucker for Trayveon Henderson. But, I've also been
13:53mixing in some Rhamondre Stevenson. I think Stevenson gets you off to a red-hot start, and if you're in sort of a hero RB build, getting Stevenson as
14:01your running back two puts you in a pretty good position for the first month of the season, maybe the first six weeks
14:07of the season, as we expect Stevenson to continue to have very strong usage.
14:12Continuing looking at some players rising and falling, a very interesting ADP convergence where De'Shawn Scrubling keeps moving up and up and up in
14:21multiple formats. In the NFFC Primetime and the FFPC Main Events.
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15:28a lock Hall of Famer, and De'Sean Scribbling, the early second round rookie. Right now, these two players are close enough in the wide receiver uh ADP
15:38that it's worth noting. Evans goes around wide receiver 30 right now, and Scribbling goes around wide receiver 36.
15:46So, Scribbling is appearing as a low low-end wide receiver three in a lot of recent drafts.
15:54It's a very interesting situation because we're going to get to see San Francisco in Australia against the Rams early on. Very tilting for managers with
16:03Evans and Scribbling. Certainly, you're paying a huge price tag for the rookie.
16:08Evans uh you've been banged up a little bit. Maybe a little less steam for him than there was earlier in the summer,
16:14but those two guys are way closer than we ever would have thought a few weeks ago.
16:19One other big noteworthy event when it comes to the 49ers is George Kittle got on the plane and traveled with the team
16:27to Australia. Kittle has moved into the sixth round in FFPC main events, living in there. Like locked into the sixth round. Never goes in the seventh. If you
16:37want George Kittle, be prepared to use an early sixth round pick if you're drafting the next couple of days.
16:43And Kittle [clears throat] has said that he is not going to travel with the team unless he's playing in the game. So,
16:49this is a noteworthy one that he actually traveled with the team. I would expect him to play in their opening game
16:55against the Rams. And the last time we saw George Kittle against the LA Rams, he had nine catches, 80-plus yards, and
17:03a touchdown. Just was awesome against them. Had nine targets in that game, caught all nine of them. So, keep an eye
17:09on George Kittle.
17:11Continuing looking at some players rising up boards. Jameson Williams, you had the Dan Graziano uh a report talking about how he's going to have an expanded
17:20route tree. You've had other beat reporters sort of speculating, some of it out of nowhere, that he could lead the Lions in targets this year. I would
17:28doubt that with Amon-Ra St. Brown there.
17:30I mean, I would seriously doubt that.
17:32But, I do think Jameson Williams, his targets could go up by 20 or so, and he could end up being a massive value. I've
17:39been well ahead of of ADP with Jameson Williams in my own rankings really throughout the last couple 2 months of the summer here. I have Jameson Williams
17:48at 43 overall in my PPR rankings over at rotowire.com. And when you look at the way drafters are treating him, he's
17:56starting to move to the early fifth round more and more often in FFPC Main Events, and much earlier than that in
18:03NFFC Primetime's where it's start-three wide receiver format. When we talk about Jameson Williams, you're looking at him with resistance points against players
18:12like Christian Watson, and he's going a little bit ahead of Parker Washington, multiple buzz guys there with Watson gaining a little bit of momentum with
18:21the Jacobs news, Parker Washington sort of being this ADP rocket ship, and now Jameson Williams getting a little bit of late buzz. But, Jameson has been really
18:31on nothing but positive vibes throughout training camp, multiple beat reporters talking about him, and it feels like this could be a career year incoming.
18:41Speaking of career years, Michael Wilson last year had his big breakout, and we saw Michael Wilson get rewarded with a huge contract extension today from the
18:53Arizona Cardinals. They gave him a three-year deal. Wilson's only 26 years old. They just made him one of the highest-paid wide receivers in football,
19:03especially when we consider number two wide receivers. If we're considering him the wide receiver two in Arizona, and we're considering Marvin the wide
19:10receiver one, and that's how drafters are treating it right now, then Wilson is one of the highest-paid wide receiver twos in football. 3 years, $75 million
19:20for Michael Wilson. He does not go into the offseason and get a chance to parlay anything into a free agent contract. On
19:26the contrary, the Cardinals locked him down, and we heard Monti Ossenfort sort of speculate last year that they and this throughout the summer that they
19:34wanted to extend Stan Wilson, and they did.
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20:36I would expect that this sort of positivity with the contract is going to influence the ADP a little bit. It's showing that the team loves him. It's
20:43showing that the team has big things in mind for him. He's going in the eighth round of main events. I'd expect for
20:50that to move into the seventh round.
20:52He's also going at around 70 overall in an NFC primetimes. I'd imagine sort of that sort of stays locked in, maybe
20:59trends up slightly. But, what's interesting is you're seeing late sixth round Marvin Harrison Jr. So, drafters are still betting on Marvin Harrison Jr.
21:09But, what's extremely interesting is when it comes to the Arizona Cardinals, it's a team with a pretty low win total.
21:15It's a team where we have quarterback question marks. We're paying the iron price for Trey McBride, like always.
21:21He's earned it. Jeremiah Love goes in the third round. And then, you have two wide receivers being priced in what I
21:28would expect you to in the in the seventh round and the sixth round. So, you're looking at four skill position players all going within the first seven
21:36rounds of drafts with a big disconnect between the Vegas total for wins and maybe the quarterback clarity for the year. But, we cannot deny that Wilson
21:46was incredibly productive last year.
21:48McBride is McBride, and then Love unbelievable pedigree. So, if we get solid quarterback play, I think three of these guys could pay off at cost,
21:56certainly. And there's an outside chance that all four pay off if it's extremely consolidated. It really comes down to Wilson versus Marvin Harrison Jr. Um
22:06that's the telling one, cuz McBride sort of his own thing. Love keeps getting pushed down. And then, we've also got Tyler Allgeier, who's started to move up
22:14in drafts with people sort of speculating that Love could be um at a not overwhelming work workload, even if he plays in week one, dealing with some
22:23ankle injuries still. We've got James Conner on the IR right now.
22:28Really looking at it, that's pretty much it. We're staying locked in. I know some of you guys are drafting this weekend.
22:35You can go check out my rankings at rotowire.com. I'm drafting this weekend.
22:39I'm drafting on Friday in New York City, the NFFC drafts. This show might air on Friday morning. Uh drafting a couple of
22:46drafts over there. I've got my silver bullet, which airs I'm doing later tonight. Uh then, this weekend I'm doing another primetime. Uh
22:55so, we're just drafting and drafting.
22:57Then, next week I go to Las Vegas. I draft FFPC and NFFC teams. We're going to start having regular season content.
23:03We are here right now. Really really thank everyone for all their support throughout the summer with helping this channel grow on YouTube and
23:12helping the podcast grow. But we're going to stay locked in all throughout the end. If you draft this weekend, then it's time to execute. You've been
23:20putting in the work. You've been consuming the content. Let's go win our leagues. Let's have awesome drafts and I'll see you soon.