STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Elite 2024 deep-ball accuracy unlikely to repeat; regression risk ahead
Sam Darnold's 2024 elite deep-ball accuracy was the primary driver of JSN's breakout season. Darnold ranked first of 149 quarterbacks over the past five years in highly accurate throw rate on attempts of 20+ yards downfield. This elite performance is unlikely to be maintained, creating significant regression risk for his pass catchers in 2025.
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