From the episode

after four consecutive seasons as a top five wide receiver and having never finished outside the top 10 at the position until last season, this smoke show has more 20-point fantasy games over the last five years than any other wide receiver... the thing about Kyler Murray that makes me the most nervous is that he has a historically low first read target share. Because when he feels pressure, that man scrambles. And he doesn't force feed his wide receiver like he is supposed to.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Murray's low first-read target share creates feeding concerns for Jefferson despite elite upside.

Despite four consecutive seasons as a top-five wide receiver and more 20-point fantasy games over the last five years than any other WR, Jefferson faces downside risk with Kyler Murray at QB. Murray has a historically low first-read target share and scrambles under pressure rather than force-feeding his primary receiver, creating uncertainty about Jefferson's target volume and consistency even at an ADP of 12.4.

Justin Jefferson headshotJustin JeffersonWR · MINPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight