From the episode
the chiefs finished six and 11, but they actually should have been a nine and a half win team according to FTN. One in nine in one score games...only one miss on opponent field goals last year.
STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
Mahomes' 6-11 record masks 9.5 Pythagorean wins; major positive regression expected.
Chiefs finished 6-11 but had a Pythagorean win expectation of 9.5 wins based on point differential (per FTN Football Almanac); they were 1-9 in one-score games and had only one miss on opponent field goals, both historically bad outcomes unlikely to repeat; positive regression case suggests Mahomes and the offense should improve significantly from last year's performance.
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