
The Mina Kimes Show featuring Lenny
ESPN NFL analysis and football discussion
The Bowers That Be: Predicting MVP and Other 2026 Awards

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Mina Kimes notes a recurring trend where she visits Colts training camp with high expectations for Josh Downs, only for him to suffer an injury during her visit.
Denzel Boston is a dark horse for offensive rookie of the year. He has impressed in training camp with his size, speed, and physicality, looking like a clear NFL-caliber X receiver who can make explosive plays downfield.
Jadarian Price is a strong offensive rookie candidate due to his situation in Seattle. While there are concerns about a committee backfield with Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet, Solak believes Price is a better player than his college stats suggest and has the potential to be a three-down back.
Fernando Mendoza is the preferred offensive rookie of the year pick by Ben Solak. Despite the historical difficulty of rookie quarterbacks, Solak argues that Mendoza is in the best situation and is a great scheme fit, making him a potential fantasy darling.
Mina Kimes speculates on a scenario where Matthew Stafford misses time in December, which could impact the perception of the Rams' front office.
Mina Kimes suggests that even with a 4,000-yard season, Patrick Mahomes might not win MVP if the team's success is attributed more to the general manager's roster construction.
Mina Kimes mentions that Kenneth Walker runs the ball really well, contributing to the potential success of the Chiefs' offense.
Mina Kimes notes that Daniel Jones received a boost from the implementation of a quarterback running game and RPOs.
Mina Kimes questions the value of the resources spent on Wandale Robinson, noting that while the team is better, she is not necessarily a fan of the specific investment.
Mina Kimes notes that a full, healthy season from Lamar Jackson is a prerequisite for the Ravens' defense to make a significant leap and for Jesse Minter to be considered for Coach of the Year.
Kimes views Nacua as a highly reliable, 'scheme-proof' receiver who is likely to be part of the best offense in football. Despite potential injury risks and age concerns for teammate Davante Adams, Kimes expects Nacua to be at minimum a top-two or top-three receiver, noting his elite contested catch ability and deep-threat evolution.
Mina Kimes projects Bowers to have the best receiving season by a tight end ever, citing Kubiak's ability to scheme targets to his star pass catcher. Kimes believes Bowers will be the primary target funnel in Las Vegas, making him a strong candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year despite the team's potentially dubious offense.
Ben Solak highlights Jaxon Smith-Njigba's usage under Clint Kubiak last season as a blueprint for how Bowers will be used in Las Vegas. Smith-Njigba accounted for over 40% of the team's receiving yards and a 37% target share, demonstrating Kubiak's ability to creatively manufacture touches for his star pass-catcher.
Ben Solak predicts Brock Bowers will win Offensive Player of the Year, citing his record-breaking rookie season (1,194 yards, 112 receptions). Solak believes that under offensive coordinator Clint Kubiak, who has a history of funneling targets to a primary pass-catcher, Bowers will see a massive target share in Las Vegas, potentially setting the record for the best receiving season by a tight end.
Ben Solak considered Kyler Murray as a dark horse MVP candidate, noting that if he has a massive bounce-back season in Minnesota, he could potentially leapfrog Comeback Player of the Year conversations. However, Solak admits he struggled to fully commit to Murray as an MVP winner.
Ben Solak identifies Trevor Lawrence as a dark horse MVP candidate, citing his strong finish to the previous season, the addition of Brian Thomas Jr., and the offensive design of Liam Coen. Solak highlights Lawrence's ability to push the ball downfield, his mobility, and the potential for the Jaguars to secure a high playoff seed in the AFC South, which would bolster his MVP narrative.
Ben Solak notes that Justin Herbert has risen significantly in MVP odds and has a strong case for the award. However, Kimes and Solak both suggest that if the Chargers have an explosive offensive season, the narrative credit might lean more toward head coach Mike McDaniel rather than Herbert himself, potentially complicating his path to the award compared to Burrow.
Mina Kimes and Ben Solak both identify Joe Burrow as a top MVP candidate due to his narrative-driven potential, team success, and a favorable schedule. Kimes notes that with a healthy season, the Bengals' offense—which remains largely unchanged—has a high floor, and the team's improved offensive line and defense should lead to more wins, which is a primary predictor for MVP voters. Solak adds that Burrow consistently produces high-yardage games against playoff-caliber opponents, and the team's pass-heavy approach will continue.
Mina Kimes notes that with the additions of other receivers, there is no longer immense pressure on Calvin Ridley to be the sole "legit dude" in the receiving corps.
Mina Kimes notes that Carnell Tate solves the team's receiver problems with his ability to catch the football, provide gravity, and make big plays downfield, even if he isn't a elite separator against man coverage.
Mina Kimes describes Wan'Dale Robinson as an "innings eater" who will catch a high volume of passes, projecting him to be a reliable target in the offense.
Mina Kimes expresses optimism for Cam Ward's development, noting he deserves grace for poor circumstances last year; he was 9th in precision pass rate on 20+ yard throws despite poor receiver play.
Despite high numbers of off-target incompletions and rookie struggles with pressure, Cam Ward is viewed as a high-upside quarterback who shows flashes of brilliance and consistent improvement. His ability to learn and improve throughout games and the season, combined with the coaching of Brian Daboll, suggests he could see a significant 'glow up' similar to other successful young quarterbacks.
Alec Pierce is viewed as a high-upside receiver who provides necessary 'gravity' to the Colts' offense, potentially offering a higher ceiling than Michael Pittman Jr. did. While currently dealing with an injury, he is expected to be a key component for opening up opportunities for teammates like Tyler Warren, Josh Downs, and Jonathan Taylor.
Jonathan Taylor was not the primary engine of the Colts' offense last season, as the team prioritized explosive plays on first down via the pass. Taylor's role was primarily focused on second down to keep the offense on track and third down to convert short-yardage situations.
Despite skepticism regarding his recovery from an Achilles injury, reports from camp suggest Daniel Jones looks functional. However, there is concern about whether he can maintain the elite sack-avoidance and mobility he displayed in the first eight weeks of last season, which were critical to his high-level performance.
Brenton Strange is viewed as a high-upside, all-around tight end who was a key part of the run game early in the season. His health and potential for increased 12-personnel usage are expected to provide the Jaguars with necessary personnel flexibility.
Brian Thomas Jr.'s role has become more concretized following the emergence of Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers. Early season struggles were attributed to communication issues and timing on deep routes between him and Trevor Lawrence, but these issues largely resolved in the second half of the season.
Parker Washington emerged as a key target in the second half of the season, ranking ninth league-wide in yards per route run from week 11 onward, ahead of elite receivers like A.J. Brown and George Pickens. His success is attributed to strong contact balance and contested catch ability, with a combined 64% contested catch rate alongside Jacoby Myers during that stretch.
Trevor Lawrence showed significant improvement in the second half of the season, ranking top five in every major metric including EPA per pass and dropback success rate. While some of this was due to better offensive line play and improved chemistry with receivers, the continuity of having the same head coach and offensive coordinator provides optimism for continued growth in year two of the current system.
Trevor Lawrence performed as a top-five quarterback in nearly every metric during the second half of the season, leading the Jaguars to high efficiency in EPA per pass and drop-back success rate.
The Texans drafted Marlon Klein to address their need for a true 'Y' tight end who can block, as the team struggled to run the ball effectively without a tight end capable of holding up in the trenches.
Schultz is described as a reliable, middle-class tight end who serves as a solid pass catcher but lacks elite blocking ability, which contributed to the Texans' need to draft additional tight end depth.
Tank Dell is confirmed to be active and back from injury, which is a significant development for the Texans' receiving corps.
Despite a poor playoff performance, Stroud was statistically strong during the regular season, ranking 11th in QBR and top-15 in most meaningful metrics. He showed improvement in time-to-throw and sack avoidance. Mina Kimes and Brett Coleman argue his late-season struggles were likely due to the cumulative effect of playing behind a poor offensive line, leading him to press and force plays in high-stakes situations.
SVP commends Malik Willis for landing in a situation where he can prove he can keep a team playing at a competitive level, noting he is in a much better situation than previously.
Mina Kimes notes that De'Von Achane has indicated the Dolphins want to run the ball more, which could impact his usage.
SVP notes that Jacoby Brissett provides competent quarterback play, projecting him in the 23rd to 28th range, and highlights his ability to keep fantasy assets like Wilson and McBride relevant even in losing efforts.
Mina Kimes identifies Garrett Wilson as a fun young player and a key offensive weapon for the Jets.
SVP and Mina Kimes agree that Cam Ward performed well at the end of last year, specifically noting his strong play against the Seattle defense, which was better than many other quarterbacks.