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0:24The Mina Kimes Show featuring Lenny The NFL season is so close.
0:28It is tomorrow, which is so weird. It's on a Wednesday that it starts.
0:32Don't know how I feel about that. That's neither here nor there.
0:36Actually, that is important because a bit of housekeeping.
0:38My first season preview week preview week one preview, of course, is going to come out tomorrow morning Wednesday because of the NFL schedule.
0:45Dominique Foxworth is going to be on the show.
0:48Dominique Foxworth is going to be joining me and as part of that there's been a little bit of reshuffling.
0:54Dominique is now going to be joining me every other week for game previews and Ben Solak is going to be joining me on Tuesdays to recap.
1:02So for the show, longtime listeners, a little bit of a little bit of reshuffling, but that's not Ben Solak here today.
1:09That's Nate Tice, who's probably never been confused with Ben Solak in his life.
1:13Nate, welcome back to the show, buddy. Thanks. Thanks for having me.
1:17Yeah, so you're just talking to all my friends.
1:19You're like, Ben is on this. So now I know where my friends are.
1:23I see on our show. I'm just like, no, we're staying Tuesday and Thursday.
1:28I'll recap that Wednesday game on the Thursday show.
1:30No, no, you ain't changing. Sorry, you're going to Australia, but you ain't changing my schedule.
1:35I'm not doing that to me. No, great to be here.
1:38Great to see you. The days are like extremely confusing to me and I've already screwed it up like 20 times, but we will be previewing Patriots Seahawks.
1:47As someone that's understanding of Thursday football and Monday football and Friday football, and I'm totally fine with that.
1:52Wednesdays is a bridge too far. That's like, no, no, no, no, no, no.
1:57You're not screwing up my middle week. Like that is Tuesdays and Wednesdays.
2:00You just can't touch. You're not Maction. The podcast, by the way, that Nate alluded to is Football 301, which you guys should definitely check out.
2:08Excellent show that, as he said, comes out twice a week.
2:12Today, we are not here to recap, obviously, because football has not begun.
2:15We are here to do an exercise I'm calling Last Call.
2:19Final predictions for the NFL season. Now, this is not like which team's going to win the AFC Championship, which team's going
2:25to win the Super Bowl or whatnot. And the division winners, you guys all know from listening to my preview pods.
2:32These are categories, some of which I arbitrarily have come up with, some of which were submitted to me on Blue Sky.
2:38I really enjoy doing this. Like, I feel like some of these have been really fun to puzzle through, Nate.
2:44And I'm excited to hear what you have to say.
2:47I am too. Yeah, I like this. Yeah, as I have predicted, awards, win totals, everything.
2:52Like a superlative show kind of like this, or a fill-in-the-blanks, as you put it.
2:56This was much more entertaining for my brain right now, until we get games to react to.
3:01But for now, this was a nice little segment idea, so I appreciate you sending this to me.
3:07So the first one is sort of a proxy for who might be in the Super Bowl.
3:12But I actually am thinking about it from a match-up perspective.
3:15The question I say, so it's fill-in-the-blanks. I sent you a bunch of categories with a blank.
3:20You'd be able to fill in the blanks. The one I sent you that I want to start with was, the blank
3:27are the AFC team best positioned to take down the LA Rams?
3:30Now, I said AFC team because I assume we agree the NFC team is the Seahawks, and that's right.
3:36And maybe, you know, I have one other team that I might play footsie with.
3:41Yeah, the Cowboys. But I can't go on every freaking show like Joe DiMaggio for 56 straight shows and talk about the Cowboys.
3:48So I think it's the Seahawks just because I think, you know, this TLDR, the CX defense, the CX defense.
3:54I think the Seahawks offense is actually one of the few offenses uniquely equipped to potentially attack LA.
3:59So Seattle's my answer. So Seahawks fans, don't get mad at the wording of this question.
4:04The reason I wanted to make you about the AFC is because the AFC is like a logjam.
4:09Like the NFC is super top heavy, and the AFC has like five or six teams that are kind of all clumped together for me.
4:17So we didn't discuss beforehand what our answers are.
4:19I want to just, I'll just start first on this one.
4:23So first I narrowed it down to a few teams.
4:26I considered the Bills, the Ravens, the Patriots, the Broncos, the Texans.
4:29Those were the teams. And then, so those. Same for me.
4:32Yeah. Okay. So then I narrowed it down further.
4:35And my thought process was this, Nate. I was thinking about whether the Rams have any weaknesses.
4:40And actually I thought, is this team, is the team that I want to pick going to be one that is most likely to win in a shootout?
4:49Buffalo maybe. Or would it be a team where I actually think the defense might be positioned to take advantage of Rams' weaknesses?
4:55And I actually felt myself leaning that way because crazily enough, when I think about this Rams team and what it might
5:02take for them to lose or fall apart or whatever, I think the defense is actually deeper.
5:07And the offense is the side of the ball where I think the right team might be better equipped to stop them.
5:14We'll get into why. So then I narrowed it down further to the Broncos and the Texans.
5:19This is my process. I'm walking you through my process.
5:22And this was tough because I think the Texans defense has the best in the NFL.
5:27Texans, by the way, played the Rams last year.
5:29It was 14-9. Staff was good. I couldn't get there with the Texans because the Texans' offensive line against the Rams' defensive line.
5:36Whereas the Broncos have an elite offensive line. They might have a better run game.
5:41I'm more confident in that run game than Houston.
5:43And they have the sort of speed at pass rush that I think could give this Rams team problems in addition to, crucially, a very good run defense.
5:52So ultimately, that's a very long-winded way of answering.
5:54I chose the Denver Broncos. What team did you choose?
5:57I came, okay, somewhere kind of short list. My process, too, except through mine, was getting to.
6:02Usually the great equalizer in the playoffs are a run game, a pass rush, and a QB.
6:07Like those in some way, shape, or form. And that's usually going to kind of bear out.
6:13So I'm looking kind of like, all right. Texans was my first kind of like, that was what I was leaning towards the whole time.
6:20And then I was really thinking, I was like, but that offense is very neutral, I guess is the best way to put it.
6:27Very just classic. You know, very staples, NFL stuff.
6:30So I was really thinking, like, in a playoff with that kind of pass rush the Rams might have, wouldn't I want
6:36a quarterback that can create some stuff and pull stuff out of his ass?
6:41I was going to say, I would have. But either way.
6:44So I went with the Ravens. And it really was.
6:47It was. I've gotten more bullish on the Ravens throughout the summer.
6:51I liked them at the end of last year.
6:53And then they waved away. They maybe didn't have a perfect offseason.
6:57But now they've done enough that I'm like, okay, maybe center is my biggest question mark.
7:02But really, I look at everything else. I like the guards, the tackles.
7:05I like, you know, the pass catchers somewhat. But again, they don't have to live that way.
7:11And also the Declan Doyle, Lamar Jackson kind of marriage I've really warmed to as time's gone on.
7:16We talked about it a little bit, I think.
7:19And then I think on defensively, I just really like Jesse Minter.
7:22And now Jesse Minter, their issue was pass rush.
7:25And now they have Trey Hendrickson that they can just throw.
7:28And I know the scheme can, you know, dial up a lot of stuff.
7:32And he just has the horses to do it.
7:35So, yeah, it's not the perfect team. I still don't know how high I am on the Ravens, but I've gotten higher on them.
7:42And one thing that got the Rams last year was extended passes.
7:46It was longer dropbacks. That's why they got a pass rush.
7:49But, I mean, they had one last year. But even a better pass rush is that, so extended passes, all right.
7:55Well, who extends the ball? And who can extend those throws?
7:59Lamar Jackson. And that's actually where I was even going to dovetail off of you.
8:03Like, I don't mind the Broncos answer either because it's the same kind of thinking.
8:08Because Bo Nix isn't perfect. I would take CJ Stroud if I had to pick one.
8:12But Bo Nix can run around and create. And that's Stroud.
8:16That's what Stroud's not. That's not his game. He doesn't want to play that way.
8:20So there's kind of that little thinking too, where it's a little chaos generator at quarterback, would help that out.
8:26So the Ravens were tempting to me. And I have some notes on them.
8:30And they were kind of the odd man out just because I was like elite pass rush, elite pass rush.
8:36I was just – because I was like thinking, Stafford, what would it look like for it to fall apart?
8:42Okay, if there's an offensive line issue or if the play under pressure crumbles.
8:47But the Ravens to me are potentially – and that's kind of the question is like the potential, the most balanced team in the ASC.
8:54Right? Like I actually – I had them – and I think New England is the only two teams with a top
9:0110 offense and defense of all of the teams that we've mentioned.
9:04And the Ravens, like the ceiling is top five both.
9:07Like you could get there. You could absolutely get there.
9:10I think I was just scared a little off by the hypothetical nature of it to some degree.
9:16Yes, yes. I mean, but like – The ideas sound great right now in August.
9:20And I've looked at – I'm doing the graphs and going, this worked and this worked.
9:25It should work here. No, trust me. That's why maybe I tempered myself in the spring.
9:30And I think as a summer when I kind of just blew through all the warning signs.
9:35And even like the interior offensive line or the center.
9:38Oh, my God. Ethan Pochich coming off in the Achilles, I think, is their center.
9:42Gwynn? What's his name? You saw that Adam Schefter, the Ravens center.
9:46Ethan Pochich? No. Oh, Jonathan Gwynn? No, Jovan Gwynn?
9:48Jovan Gwynn will start at center on Sunday versus the Colts.
9:52Look at that timing. Okay. Really, Adam Schefter broke it 36 minutes ago.
9:56And there's about 300 tweets in reply saying who?
9:58Well, exactly right. I think he's like 28, 29.
10:01Because their – Ledford, their offensive line coach came from Atlanta and brought him over.
10:05And that's a classic thing. Like the line coach brings his back up.
10:09Interior guy to help everybody kind of get their head right.
10:13But now he's the starter. But again, it kind of – it's the same answer if it was Pochich or him.
10:19Because it's like – Yeah. I'm not very comfortable with somebody that I'm not sure what their standard is.
10:25But again, what their level of play is, I should say.
10:28But I mean, there's just so much with how I've seen Lamar play.
10:32I've talked myself more into the pass catchers. And I think the offense just knows how to kind of deal with that.
10:38And I like Ledford. I like the line coach a lot too.
10:42One thing I'm really interested in – you know, last week when I talked about the Aaron Donald signing and the Rams
10:49defense and what does it take to go after them, one of the things that I brought up was you really want
10:55to find ways to get the Rams linebackers on the field.
10:58Because that's their weakness on defense. And teams that can credibly threaten with multiple tight ends, which the Rams will match with
11:05their linebackers, I think are positioned to – in the passing game to attack them.
11:09And Buffalo is a team that can do that, right?
11:12Yeah. The Rams – Mavens might be. I mean, is like Matthew Hibner really going to be a thing?
11:18Yeah, a fourth rounder. I know. Like you're thinking of a fourth round rookie.
11:22Yeah, exactly. By the way, I was deciding between him and Marlon Klein in our Dynasty League that nobody cares about but us.
11:29That's so much to a Klein. I know. I went back – you know what?
11:34I thought Klein looked good in the preseason and I went to draft for a degree.
11:38I was just like, who's going to get more opportunities?
11:41The second rounder. So I just went with that.
11:44Yeah, but in any case – I think – yeah, I took Seth McGowan.
11:48He's become my third round pick because just – because.
11:51It's like there's no running backs. He's getting – he's looked good in preseason.
11:56Let's go. No one cares. No one cares. The Bills tout is better.
11:59I've been – I just – I maybe have – I'm like so wait and see with the Bills maybe.
12:05I'm really high on Leonard and stuff, but – I can't get there.
12:09Say again? I can't get there with the Bills defense against this Rams.
12:13I love Leonard, but – So that's the other thing with the Rams though.
12:17So, you know, I keep talking about pressure and Stafford, but like really they're secret sauces and you and I have talked
12:24about this a lot, that they had the most efficient run game in like NFL history.
12:29Yeah. And Stafford was never in third and long.
12:31Like they had the shortest distance to go on third down of any team in the NFL.
12:36So again, that brings us back to these teams.
12:39Who can actually stop the Rams run game on early downs?
12:42I think Denver, you know, Houston, Denver. Yeah. Maybe Baltimore?
12:45Yeah. Maybe? I feel better about it this year.
12:48They were good in the second half of last year.
12:51Yes. I feel better about it. Yeah. I know that's a great point because that's what kind of gets lost in the
12:58wayside with the Stafford last year is everything in their offense last year was like, yeah, he was unbelievable, but they didn't
13:04live in third down and or third longs, which is a good thing about your offense.
13:09But he was, I think they're like 20th or 22nd and third down conversion rate, all that stuff.
13:14But it was because they were just winning so much on early downs, big explosives from Stafford.
13:20And the run game was like, yeah, like you mentioned the best run game, literally by success rate since the year 2000.
13:26As far as I can look back in true media, I think they beat the 2004 Chiefs, I think was the team
13:33that they beat, but it's hard to sustain the best run game of the century again.
13:37All right. I like the Ravens. I think the Ravens are the like high upside case and the Broncos are the floor
13:44case to this answer to this question. Bills are playing the ramps, by the way, late in the season.
13:50And that's going to be just at Buffalo or at LA?
13:53Oh, that's a good question. I don't know. That is.
13:56Yeah. And it's late in the season. Oh, I kind of, I hope it's in LA.
14:01Just gives like, give me the firework show. Right.
14:03No, that I actually prefer that too. Yeah. I mean, I know the real football, real football.
14:09Oh, I want cold weather. No, it's no, I want points.
14:12Okay. It's at, no, it's in LA. Oh, no, it's not late in the season.
14:16It's only week five. And it's, it is buff.
14:19It's in LA. Sorry. Okay. Oh my God. It's Monday night football.
14:23Oh my God. Juicy. Juicy. Juicy. So sick. There's so many good ones.
14:27Okay. Next question. I'll let you go first on this one.
14:30The team most likely to make us look dumb is blank.
14:33Okay. This is a team. Cause I'm so high on, and I know that I'm waving away all the warning signs.
14:39I know. And I have one of each one low to go high.
14:43It's the chargers. It's me and the chargers right now.
14:46This is a team that made me look so dumb because I'm high on them and I'm waving.
14:52Cause I'm just so bullish on Justin Herbert, Mike McDaniel, all this stuff.
14:56And I'm like, yeah, Jesse mentor might be really, really good.
14:59And might be a drop off the defensive coordinator, Chris O'Leary.
15:02Yeah. The offensive line, they're starting a day, day two center and who knows who at guard doesn't matter.
15:08Who doesn't matter who their number one receiver is.
15:10No, I like the ideas that they did. So it's more me, the fell for it again award kind of thing with the chargers.
15:18Everyone wants to say again, but maybe that's it.
15:20It's more just, I'm waving away a lot of warning signs.
15:24Cause I'm so bullish on what this offense could be and all the other moves that they made on this team.
15:30So that's, that's, that's that version that can maybe get to the negative on them.
15:34How do you think it would make you look dumb?
15:37Like how would that play out exactly? Oh, just the usual.
15:41The offensive line falls apart. Justin Herbert's pressured all the time.
15:44They, the defense has a little bit of a drop off because it's not mentor.
15:48And it's really like he was actually doing a lot with this kind of hive mind.
15:53So it's more of like the 12th best defense, the 14th best defense, not a top six, seven unit.
15:59I know that's splitting hairs, but it can make, that's the difference.
16:02I think in the AFC from eight, nine and 12 and five, you know, 11 and six.
16:08Cause like you mentioned at the top, it's so tight.
16:11Uh, so I think that is really just kind of what I'm hung up on.
16:15Uh, if, as far as negatives and maybe I just keep going, Oh, Mike McDaniel can wave it away.
16:21Cause he didn't dolphins with the offensive line, but maybe he doesn't hear like maybe just, it just kind of doesn't, they
16:27don't have the speed at receiver to kind of mitigate that.
16:31Um, and create those explosives and stuff. Maybe your Martin Hampton does not what I think he is, which I think he's very good.
16:38Yeah. And try to give him every fancy league I'm in, but maybe he's not that.
16:43And maybe he's just fine. And so they don't have Dave on Devon, a chance who's a very good back.
16:49So it's just those things that I think I'm translating a lot.
16:52Maybe just don't work out that way. I think the most, I mean, um, you know, I relatively high on the charges as well.
16:59I just think Dominique and I always talk about this.
17:02When we get into the playoffs and we look dumb when we discount offensive lines and we're just, you know, like, like
17:09the things, one of the things where we're consistently made to look dumb is when we overestimate the prospect of teams with
17:15bad offensive lines or extreme offensive line. And I look at the chargers and I keep waving my hand and saying, Mike McDaniel will cover up that.
17:24Mike McDaniel, we saw him do that. And I think that's where it would go wrong for me in terms of like making how I would feel dumb.
17:32Like Mina, you know, offensive line is so important and you wrote it off again.
17:36The, not just center, the interior. Yes. The entire interior, three of the five spots are, it kind of, we're kind of
17:43cheating ahead of one of the other categories. But, um, okay.
17:46So I, I, I went with the one that would make us look dumb.
17:50The team that will make us look dumb by being successful was my interpretation.
17:55And this isn't even a team that I'm like low on, but it's not a team that I and many people I
18:01think are predicting to win the AFC West right now.
18:04What if the Kansas City Chiefs are just the Kansas City Chiefs again?
18:08Yes. Okay. Right. So like, yeah, zero is okay.
18:11So first of all, every nerd regression sign is pointing towards positive regression this year.
18:15The close games, the missed field goals, all of it, uh, suggests that they were like historically unlucky last year.
18:21On top of that, um, the offense for all of the like, you know, hand wringing and oh my God, they're running it back.
18:28They were 12th in offensive. They're still fine and everything.
18:31Yeah, I know. And they have a better run game this season.
18:35And then the final piece of that for me is I'm starting to talk myself into this defense potentially being good.
18:41And it was basically like kind of average-ish to a little below that last year.
18:46So maybe this is a little bit too much preseason copium and watching some of these young players.
18:51But I was thinking through, I was just looking at the depth chart.
18:55And first of all, last year, yes, pass rusher wasn't good enough.
18:59The blitz weren't hitting. But Karloftis was hurt like half of the year, notably.
19:03They added R. Mason Thomas, who looks like a freaking stud in the preseason.
19:07Uh, other signings like Kyrus Tonga is like one of quietly one of my favorite signs at nose.
19:12And then the secondary is very, very young. But they were bad last year.
19:17And I think they're going to be, there's a chance they're better this season.
19:21And you have, um, Tamar Conner no longer mercifully playing slot.
19:24Exactly. Uh, Manchester Lane looks awesome as a draft pick I loved.
19:28Yep. And then Noel Williams, I texted you about this.
19:31I went down like a little bit of a rabbit hole watching Noel Williams.
19:35The reason I, cause I was looking at some of their numbers and his numbers last year were awesome.
19:40Like he led all the chiefs corners in EPA per target success rate.
19:44Um, only 20% of his targets were open, which was ranked very high in the NFL.
19:49He had only 3.3 average coverage, uh, in yards per separation and coverage was second league wide to sauce Gardner who gave up big plays.
19:57And then I went back and watched and he's really good.
20:00I think I, you know, it was good. And it's a big part of the reason why they were comfortable moving on
20:06from McDuffie, but like some of his man coverage reps are extremely impressive.
20:10Um, so, you know, nickel, we'll see about that.
20:13But yeah, on the whole, I like regression offense was actually good and the defense could be better.
20:18And Oh, by the way, Patrick Mahomes is your quarterback.
20:21How is that not a playoff team? And yeah, I just feel like that they can a wide open, wide open conference
20:28where it's like, yes, I mean, none of these teams should be super favored over another.
20:33I don't think like it's no, that's, I, I even had my top 10 defenses doc open when I did that show
20:39and I see all my chiefs notes. Cause I, you could see that was at the beginning of the summer.
20:45So it was the end of July and I'm like beginning of summer, middle of summer, beginning of summer for me.
20:52Um, but I'm really just looking at it and I, it all starts with their DBs.
20:56So everything you laid out is why I got high on them.
21:00I really liked the other guy, Chris Roland Wallace, um, who's played slot in on the back half.
21:05Um, so just, that's it. Like they don't have a ton of weaknesses on their team.
21:10Even if we are kind of waving away, maybe some of the players like, Oh, he's fine.
21:15Like Nick Bolton's fine. There's still Chris Jones. You mentioned Tonga.
21:19That's a great shout. Peter Woods is a nice wild card, but if you want to outplay your expectations, wild cards hit.
21:25Josh Simmons is a little iffy right now. And I'm trying to, they, apparently they might not play him and it's going
21:32to be Khalil Benson who did look good this preseason, but at guard, right.
21:36Garden left tackle. Very different. So, so that's, that's my other, because I was, I've been really hyping up the chiefs offensive line.
21:43Cause Simmons looks amazing when he's out there. That's a good point.
21:46That that's the only other thing that's kind of like, Oh, it stopped me.
21:51Cause I've, I've been kind of throwing chiefs in as like the seven seed and some predictions, but now I'm kind of like going back and forth now.
21:59Um, that's a good one. That is a, the offensive line is a good point.
22:03I, the Jones thing too. I really hope that they've added enough defensive line depth where they can just play it less.
22:10Yeah. He's playing too much football right now and he's not, he's not plus against the run anymore.
22:15Right. So like Tonga, I'm hoping, you know, like, uh, just some of these defensive tackles, if they can just like that
22:22way, he can be more effective on passing downs and line up at the edge if he wants to.
22:28And, um, he's hard to play or build around compliment.
22:31I should say, because I think a lot of times we see these really disruptive players, especially at D tack or DN or edge or something like that.
22:39And we think we just want more of that.
22:42We want, Oh, we have a gap shooter. Let's get another gap shooter.
22:46And look at these guys. Yeah. You almost want, you want the dirty work guys next to those guys, because the guys
22:52that just eat blocks could, then they can go do their fun things like Chris Jones can do.
22:58I think they did it. I do like, but again, I have to see a play out, but I'm right there with you on this.
23:05Like, I, I think they ate their vegetables on defense this off season.
23:09I, I, I like what they're trying to do.
23:12Real potential bread feed all time or of an off season.
23:15If he pulls it off. Um, all right. Blank.
23:18This one comes from trivia lawyer on blue sky.
23:20Blank is the player most likely to be disgruntled by week 10, AKA the AJ Brown award.
23:25Uh, so I just looked, I took it to be a receiver.
23:29I don't know if you did. I want to receive it right away.
23:33Yeah. Yeah. Okay. Here's my list. And then you tell me if your guy is on this.
23:38I had a hard bullet. Number one. Okay. So I'm curious what your list is.
23:42Okay. Marvin Harrison, Jr. Garrett Wilson. DK Metcalf. Jerry Judy.
23:45Malik neighbors. Justin Jefferson. Drake London. Ted Oroa McMillan.
23:48What's your guy on my list? Neighbors. Neighbors. Okay.
23:51Hard. Number one. Really? Hard. Run first team. Yeah.
23:53Jackson dart, figuring it out. Boom bust. They did extend James Winston.
23:57Nope. Nope. Hint. Hint. Uh, but no, just really looking at that.
24:01Uh, no, but neighbors being frustrated. He's working back from injury.
24:04So if he has any frustrations with that, um, that's, you know, just a whole litany of things, but the offense, I
24:10think is going to be run first, run second.
24:13And so, and I think dart as a player is a scrambler and kind of a boom bust thrower and neighbors.
24:19If you remember his rookie year was just, you know, all over the yard.
24:24He's kind of that kind of, he's an awesome player, but he's that kind of receiver.
24:28He needs to feed the field of love, I think to like get going.
24:33So that's the question is who the hell else are they going to throw to?
24:37I know 40 tight ends. Malachi fields. My guy, Malachi fields.
24:40I like him. He's, um, I don't. Yeah, it's the thing about neighbors and dart is we just now they've literally played so little together.
24:48We have no idea what that's going to look like or how it's going to feel.
24:53Even when I wrote this down, I looked up, I was like, what, how are they?
24:57And I was like, oh, they barely played together.
25:00Yeah. So it is worth mentioning. But yeah, that's the guy.
25:03I'm just kind of, he's just his personality. He's a very, I think he's just a very emotional guy.
25:09Very like kind of like that too. So I think what's, um, going to be interesting is to, I still don't know
25:16what this giant's offense is going to look like.
25:18It's Matt Nagy who, you know, Chiefs, West Coast, spread it out.
25:22RPS spread out. Greg Roman in a consultant role, but like run game and.
25:26O-line road game coordinators. Yeah. But he has a big say on it.
25:30Uh, odd coupling of coach, of experienced coaches. And so I'm very interested in seeing, and this might actually really impact your
25:37choice here of neighbors, what the offense actually looks like, because, um, yeah, Greg Roman does have a history of, uh, pissing receivers off on his own.
25:45Yes, he does. Separate. Yes, he does. It's not even about dark guys.
25:49Um, all right. That wasn't ultimately my choice. I, I mean, this is a little bit of a cop out.
25:55I went with Judy, but that's kind of a cop out.
25:58He's probably not at this point high profile enough to even.
26:01Yeah. I threw in some spicy names there. Did anyone else pique your interest?
26:05Uh, no, I, I don't think Jefferson will ever be that because last year he went through the year from hell and
26:12the most you got from him was like just a couple, like, um, you know, I'm working through it, you know, we're,
26:18we're trying to get better, you know? So I don't think Jefferson will ever be that.
26:23I don't think Marvin Harrison jr. I have no idea.
26:26I have no read on him. Um, he seemed happy for Michael Wilson after his extension.
26:31So it seems that was, he's going to be a hot, hot trade name.
26:35I feel like if things, I think so too.
26:38I think any team with receiver help, this is not his coaching staff, all that stuff.
26:43He, I I'm curious that fit there's signs of there's paths of it working, but I, you know, how about DK?
26:49If Pittman becomes Aaron Rogers new friend, I know it won't be Roman Wilson.
26:53Won't be Aaron Rogers is new friend or continued friend.
26:56Jeez. Poor guy. Can't get out, go have a press conference without getting his name mentioned.
27:01Um, no DK's DK. I don't know. That's the thing with Rogers and everything too.
27:05So I don't know. I don't know if he would get to that high, high of a point, but I don't know.
27:12I think he's, I think Rogers will feed him enough.
27:15Garrett Wilson was the other one. If things, I mean, my choices are just pure football.
27:20Like I really go for any personalities. You know, I London and Macmillan probably too young.
27:25I don't know. I mean, I was in juniors young too.
27:28So actually all these guys are young, really neighbors young too.
27:31Um, okay. Let's keep it moving. Blank is the coordinator who everybody will be trying to hire next off season.
27:37I mean, my pull. Yeah. Oh, I'm sorry. Oh, sorry.
27:40Oh yeah. Okay. McDaniel was the one, like, I was like, all right, if you want to retread, but I was like,
27:47all right, the, the kind of nerd one right now was Clayton Adams, you know, from the Cowboys.
27:52I would, I'd throw his name out there as probably my number one.
27:56Uh, and then my other, probably my number two, just cause a continuation of last year's Nate Sheelhouse from the Rams.
28:02Um, those are kind of like the two that came to mind.
28:06I was trying to find some defensive guys, Chris Shula, but you know, uh, he went through the interview process last year,
28:12but I think he could be up there as well.
28:15But Clayton Adams was kind of my one, like stable one.
28:19I wonder with Shula cause somebody I was talking to, maybe it was on my pod.
28:23I was talking to somebody about like, they were like, wow, Chris Shula is going to be a head coach.
28:29Like what a winner. And I was like, or people look at him and say, my uncle could have called the Rams
28:36defense and got a top five, which isn't fair to him at all.
28:40No, it's not. Like you might get dinged a little bit for having to tell it.
28:45I don't know. I just like last year was a better thing for his resume than this year will be like a better notch on his belt.
28:53Yeah. It's some pretty creative stuff. I thought he did some really creative stuff.
28:57That's why I, I've been for his first year as a DC.
29:00I was, he did some game plan stuff against the Raiders of all teams.
29:05And I was like, it was stuff I hadn't really seen.
29:08I've seen it, but rarely. And it was kind of cool.
29:11I was like, all right, Chris Shula. I'm like, it's a little like fastball.
29:15He threw there. So yeah, I know. But yeah, he's another one.
29:19Declan Doyle. Okay. So Declan Doyle. So I have two names that are first time offensive guys, Declan Doyle and Brian Flurry.
29:26If either of those offenses just go. Yeah. That look really good.
29:29I think that they'll both, especially because with Doyle's case, Doyle's case is like a transformation scheme wise.
29:35People want a piece of Ben Johnson. If that works, he could be the beneficiary of that, even with the Lamar factor.
29:41And then Flurry also, I think could be another beneficiary of if the Seahawks offense takes another step.
29:47I actually like two defensive guys. One of which is Anthony Campanile, the Jags defensive coordinator.
29:51I think it's kind of the reverse of Chris Shula, where I think he's going to get a lot of credit if
29:58that defense looks good, because it's more of a really good player's defense.
30:02It's not a star's defense like the Jags. They have not really good even strong.
30:06It's just like a lot of good. I don't know.
30:09I don't want to diminish them by saying they're like B plus players, but like they have a lot of good players.
30:16Hines Allen is a star. Maybe Travis Hunter will be, but there aren't like many household names outside of that.
30:22So I think he could get a lot of credit if they're as good as I think they could be.
30:28And then the other one is a first time guy.
30:31I think Christian Parker is going to get a lot of buzz if this thing turns around.
30:36And what a great springboard for him, because this was the worst defense in the NFL last year.
30:41There's only one way to get it. It's crazy.
30:4418th is going to smell sweet. Yeah. 18th in defensive DVOA, 14th in weighted.
30:48He's got all the resume buzzwords and stylistic ones that everybody wants right now.
30:52Fangio defense, simulated pressures, creativity in disguise on the back end.
30:56So I just think I saw him talking to you and he just kind of presents like he just seems like a coach kind of vibe.
31:03I don't know anything about him, just context clues.
31:06But everyone raves about him. But again, I take everything with a grain of salt.
31:11Like I always did that with Brian Schottenheimer. And then Brian Schottenheimer hasn't been a winning record yet, but it's looking good, at least with Schottenheimer.
31:18But yeah, I've kind of been clued in on how people have talked about him.
31:23They're very high on him. Well, let's stick with defense.
31:26This category is one of my favorites to do.
31:29Blank is going to be a first time all pro on defense.
31:32This was hard. Well, a lot of guys turned out had all pros.
31:36I was like, that's what stunk. I didn't know Quinny Williams.
31:39I thought Quinny Williams only had a second team in his first team.
31:43I was like, ow. I went for a totally out of nowhere player, just for fun, just to talk about him a little bit.
31:50Walter Nolan of the Cardinals. That's crazy. Yes. They won't.
31:53It won't happen. But I just want to highlight him real quick because he has that talent and he probably won't stay healthy this year anyways.
32:01And the team won't be in a position for him to get the stats anyways.
32:06But I want to say Walter Nolan because this was hard for me because I was like, oh, Cooper, did you?
32:12No, no, no, no, no. You got one. And I was like looking at linebackers.
32:16Like, no. So I'm curious what names you came over.
32:19Maybe I can rack my brain a few more, but this was a tough one for me.
32:24Less hipster picks on my end. Okay, good. Okay.
32:27So here's some guys who just missed the cut for me.
32:30I was just writing down defensive names who I thought could get it.
32:34Kamari Lasseter. The great one. That's a good one.
32:37Dave. Byron Murphy, the second. Another good one. Milton Williams.
32:40Oh, another good one. Ah, that should have been my answer.
32:43That's a great one. Yeah. Jalen Petrie sticking with the – basically, these are a lot of good defenses.
32:49Carson Schwestern, who was your defensive rookie of the year.
32:52I wrote Mike Jackson or J.C. Horn. One of them.
32:55Travis Hunter. Why not? Yeah. Nicky Manwari. Okay. Okay.
32:58So those were the just-misted cuts. I narrowed it down to two.
33:01I have to choose between them. All right. I'll just choose.
33:04Abdel Carter. I'm so high on Abdel Carter. I think he's so good.
33:08I've gotten into this. I don't need to rehash it.
33:11The advanced metrics love him. When you watch the tape, he should have had so many more sacks than he did.
33:18I think that the linebackers are going to protect him and the other undersized pass rushers more, and they'll get more opportunities to rush the quarterback.
33:25I just think he's got all the tools. I actually was higher on him watching his rookie tape even than going into the draft.
33:33That, to me, is like a glaring green flag.
33:35If you come into the NFL and you impress me that much as a rookie, I just think he's going to be a star.
33:42That's my number two guy was a guy who is, I think, a pretty good choice as well.
33:48Kobe Turner. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Rams. Oh, look at this.
33:51Look at the fearsome foursome they got. But also, he's been so good.
33:55Yeah. Fifth and pass rush win last year. Fourth most doubled player since coming into the NFL.
34:00And now he gets to play on the Monstars.
34:02And the nerds have loved him. Film nerds have loved him.
34:06Stat nerds have loved him. So now it's the public.
34:09And it's not even like, oh, he gets to easy clean up.
34:12No, he's already a really, really good guy. Yeah, he's pretty good.
34:16He's Pro Bowl quality. Yeah. He's like a unique nose, too.
34:19That's what's cool about him, too. And when you want to anoint a guy with an award for the first time, tell the story of him.
34:27And that's the thing about him. He's a unique version of his position.
34:31Maybe it's the defense helping it. But so that's a really good one, too.
34:35I think he could be like a crazy stats compiler this year.
34:39Of your short list, I would say the ones I would steal were Milton Williams and Petrie.
34:44I think Petrie's a great shout, too. Because he's all pro caliber.
34:47Petrie's never made a Pro Bowl. Yeah, that shocked me, actually, now that I looked it up.
34:52I thought he, for some reason, I did. I thought he had his Pro Bowl last year.
34:58And they had like three Pro Bowers in their DB room.
35:01But I'm way off. I do wonder if like maybe they get a little bit punished because you don't want to give the entire Texans secondary.
35:09You know, sometimes that happens. And Turner might get that as well.
35:12All right. Final question. We'll take a break. I feel like we're going to have the same answer for this one because it's kind of obvious.
35:20This comes from Alex Ng, 65. The blank are most likely to have the biggest disparity between offensive and defensive DVOA.
35:26Say it on three. One, two, three. The Bears.
35:29Packers. Wow. Wow. So my answer, I go three quarters of the NFC North.
35:33I literally wrote Bears, Lions, Packers. Which one? Lions, Bears, Packers.
35:36Those are my three number first teams that came to mind.
35:40I didn't even think of the other good defense, bad offense.
35:43I didn't even think of that. I was like, nope, these three.
35:47Yeah. I went Packers just because I think maybe by the end of the year, like they're going to take a little
35:53bit to kind of get back, pick, pick back up.
35:56But the Bears is a good one too. But yeah, either of those.
36:00Is that, I'm curious about the Packers versus the Bears because first of all, Bears fans, there's two ways to take it.
36:07One is I really like your offense. Like this is about disparity.
36:10Because I assume, like, do you think, because the Bears and the Packers offenses I view is pretty comparable.
36:16I might be slightly higher on the Packers, but that is if everybody is healthy.
36:20Same tier. Yeah. The Bears defense, I have below the Packers defense.
36:24Do you not? It's more just like the no Micah Parsons is really hurting me right now or really doing a lot
36:30for me because I don't know what, I don't know what this defense is going to look like.
36:36Truly. You know, we see some preseason tests. We talked about this.
36:39But even just like, all right, so you got Lucas Van Ness, who I do like, but I'm not saying Lucas Van Ness is a 10 sack guy.
36:48When they have to stop the run, it's like, okay, who is the, like Javon Hargrave's a gap shooter.
36:54They don't really have that. Linebacker wise, they're already talking about moving Edge Cooper more onto the line of scrimmage for some funkier looks.
37:01So it's just like, they have a lot of questions that yes, I do think there's a chance that it works out.
37:07But right now, if, but also I keep doing that with Micah Parsons in mind, but until Micah Parsons gets there, I can't get over the top.
37:15I just can't. And whether that's fair, I do like a lot of their aspects.
37:20And I think Gannon's actually kind of underrated in some ways that I love the back end.
37:25Like I like the safeties, but that's the thing.
37:28Yeah. The corners and the edge rushers with the bears, with the Packers, I ultimately was a little bit more comfortable with
37:34the spine, the defense, Wyatt back, the linebackers, the safeties and the return of Parsons.
37:39I don't know what I'm comfortable with, with the sparrity.
37:42That's fair. Like what is, what can you hate?
37:44Jalen Johnson. Sweat was okay last year. Sweat was pretty good.
37:48Like what? Maybe the linebackers will be good. Yeah.
37:50But TJ Edwards has always hurt. Even if I like him.
37:54Yep. And like, they were still starting Garrett, Brady Jarrett, you know, who's playing D tackle for them.
37:59Like that, that, that's when you can't stop the run early downs.
38:03It's really hard to play good defense. And so, yeah, that's the bears is probably the better answer for this.
38:09Is. This is a little bit too hot takey right now off coming off this, but like should best fans be mad at Ryan polls for not.
38:17Like, this is the team that was in the divisional round of the playoffs.
38:21They shouldn't have a defense that is this bad on pay.
38:24And I know that they've had injuries, Kobe Bryant, Kyler Gordon, but like you didn't do none on the past.
38:30Like, I feel, I feel like they should be all aggrieved.
38:33Yeah. Austin Booker is interesting, but they haven't drafted any defense alignment.
38:37Especially how good this offense is and that it's trending in such an amazing direction.
38:41And you're so excited about your young quarterback. And finally, it's like the nightmare is over.
38:46Like, why would you not make more of an effort to be more competitive on the, I just, I don't know.
38:53I would be frustrated. That's how I felt looking at the depth chart.
38:56I was just like, I know. Cause it's like, even like the offense, it's like, okay, yeah, we got to figure out
39:03left tackle and everything, but man, tight ends passing game.
39:06Our run game was explosive last year. We got the best year of Deandre Swift.
39:10Deandre Swift. Caleb's ascending. Like our, our head coach is like getting all these accolades that are deserving.
39:16I believe I like, I agree with them. And then just like the defense is like, they can't get out of their own way.
39:23They had a stretch. And what's this, Ibra Fluss is the last year, I think where they actually looked pretty good or the year before that.
39:31And I was like, okay, here we go. Here's some talent.
39:34None of those guys are there anymore. It's just a couple of the DBs.
39:38Like, and then now they have Montez Sweat. You know, like they traded for him that year as well.
39:44But like Austin Booker is the only guy, you know, Dylan Tineman, but Austin Booker is the only young guy.
39:50That's interesting to me. Merging teams should have like three or four of those guys where I'm like, Hey, this guy's interesting.
39:57Like the Cardinals have more interesting defenders than I think the bears do right now.
40:01Well, I put all these heat. I was like, like, okay, Cowboys and the Bengals perennial.
40:06But like, obviously the Bengals were very aggressive. Both these teams were very aggressive in upgrading their defenses this year.
40:12And like, both have the potential to be average.
40:14You know, you only need to be average with those offenses.
40:18Yep. You could say the same about the bears and they just didn't do it.
40:22So, all right. Take a quick break. Come back.
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41:39Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com, or just stop by. All right, we might have already answered this one, Nate.
41:44The team most likely to be undone by its offensive line is blank.
41:48The Chargers. Okay, so let's talk about teams other than the Chargers, because we already talked about the Chargers.
41:54We'll talk about the Chargers in a second, but I'll tell you all the teams that I considered here.
41:59The Texans, perennially. Yeah, right. The Raiders. Okay. Some questions about that group.
42:03Yeah. And then I wrote a bunch that I didn't feel were, those were the three, my final three.
42:09I also considered the Packers. Okay. The Lions, if things go sideways with the rebuild.
42:13Can I throw another one in there? Yeah. I would actually even throw the Bears in there if they don't have the
42:20health luck that they had last year. Only healthy season of Jonah Jackson.
42:24Joe Tooney's another year older. Who's playing left tackle?
42:27I know they have options. Garrett Bradbury's a below average player.
42:30And Darnell Wright's a star. But Darnell Wright's the only one I feel good about going into this year.
42:36And Tooney, but it's again, one day it won't work with Tooney.
42:39The offense was so, the line was so dominant in the run game.
42:43So it's kind of like a, like, I don't think either of us think the Bears are going to have a bottom 10.
42:50No. Like, the teams I talked about were like potential bottom 10 ones.
42:54But when we're saying like undone, it can mean different things.
42:57Like, the Rams honestly could fit the bill because that's the one potential weakness that they have.
43:02They could be undone from winning the Super Bowl by a single offensive line injury and not having depth there, which was a decision that they made.
43:10But the, yeah, that's a good point. But the three that I mentioned.
43:14Okay. So the Texans did another makeover. And then they did a mini makeover after their makeover, reshuffling it again.
43:20So now it's Ursary, Rutledge at guard, Evan Brown, who's a veteran center, Ed Ingram and Trent Brown.
43:26After they had brought in Braden Smith, he got hurt.
43:29They ended up moving Rutledge after trying center back to guard.
43:32I think, and I say this as somebody who was very skeptical of the line last year going into the season and
43:38really kept throwing cold water on everyone. Like, like, you know, just like, this is not, I know these players.
43:44I do think on paper, this is going to be a better group.
43:48I don't think it's going to be a dominant line, but I think it'll be good enough.
43:53Where say you? Yep, I do. I think even second half last year, they were above board.
43:58It wasn't good. It was, I wouldn't, I slightly below average.
44:02My biggest worry is the guy that they are like, they really like is Ed Ingram because it's like, I don't know that.
44:09He was better, but he's still not like fine.
44:11Like he's still below, to me, he's not even like a quality starter.
44:15So it's like, but having said that, Trent Brown has looked good in this kind of offensive system because it's familiar to what he's done before.
44:23I really like the Rutledge pick, whether it was center or guard, wherever he plays for them.
44:28And I'm higher on nursery than I think others are as a prospect and so far as a pro.
44:34But again, not saying amazing Pro Bowl quality. I think quality starter is more what you're aiming for with that.
44:40So yeah, I think that's just, you have to like keep that in your head until they prove otherwise.
44:45I will say it has looked better in the preseason.
44:48This talent is better. They have actually some like Jake Andrews, who's been their starters depth now, potentially, you know, like that's,
44:55you know, it's nice to have that when the guys don't have to play.
44:59Okay. So they're, they're, they have better answers to mitigate any issues, I think is maybe a better way to put it.
45:06But I'm still not like overboard on them. I think it's more average at best.
45:10The Raiders, I feel like I'm the only person who's been apprehensive of this.
45:14You know, Colton Miller being healthy and Linderbaum is very helpful.
45:18But the other three positions are major question marks to me.
45:21I know they look better in the preseason. I'm just need to see it from DJ Gle.
45:26The right side of the line. It's like, I don't know.
45:29It was so bad last year and they ran it back.
45:33So I just, that's one or, and to me also, it's a, it's a big deal because we know that Kubiak wants to run the ball.
45:40He wants to run the ball a lot on early downs.
45:44And if this line isn't, if they're constantly behind the sticks because of bad runs, this thing could all go haywire.
45:50Kind of like it did in New Orleans, frankly, when they started losing offensive linemen with Kubiak.
45:55Yep. No, that's a great point. No, I, they, I think it's more, they, they look so much better in the preseason.
46:02I'm like, yeah, it's great now. It's fine. Not great, but it's fine.
46:05Now it's fine. The Kubiak offense does help it.
46:08It's, it's hard to evaluate some guys in the Kubiak offense because of that.
46:12But, but that is the, that's why you bring in a Kubiak-Shahehan guys because they do mitigate some of the issues and stuff.
46:19So, no, I agree with that. I, I think I've just been more trying to like excite myself with the Raiders.
46:26And I mean, Linda Braum is awesome. Colton Miller is a good left tackle.
46:30So it's kind of slept on last year that he didn't play.
46:33About the same, about the same as the Chargers.
46:36Two out of five. It's, it's interesting, right? Because it's kind of like if you're going to choose two out of five,
46:43well, hypothetically in a Mike McDaniels offense, you would choose the tackles.
46:46I think normal football at center and left tackle.
46:49Those are the two you want. If I were building a team.
46:52So the center, Jake Slaughter could be good, but he's a rookie.
46:56I think the guard situation is pretty dire. I mean, maybe Awosika, who's going to play left guard.
47:01It actually looked okay. He was not the one who jumped out to me in the preseason as being the issue.
47:08The bad one, right? Yeah, I know. It's, and two, it's like, it's not like it's something I haven't seen.
47:14I've seen Justin Herbert with three defensive linemen in his lap, like as soon as he hits the back foot of his drop.
47:21So I know, I'm sure, maybe I just want to see, I'm wishing something different, you know, manifesting that's going to look
47:27a little different at some point this year. But no, you're going to have to drop back.
47:32And those guards, those interior guys aren't going to have to have bootlegs.
47:36They're not going to have the motion. They're going to have to just drop back and eat a one-on-one of protection.
47:42And that's the thing. That's what worries you. It's like, yeah, against teams that you have a good game script.
47:48You don't have to worry about it. But once it comes to playoff time, once it comes against the Texans, any of
47:55those, they're going to just tee off on you over time.
47:58All right. On to a more positive one. The blank are going to look much better in the second half of the season than the first.
48:06I felt like I had a pretty clear one for this.
48:09What was your choice? I have two. And one is kind of a continuation was the Packers, was the O-line gelling, the
48:16Micah Parsons coming back, defense figuring themselves out. So second half Packers on Bullish on first half, I'm a little not so much.
48:23And the other was the Raiders, was who we just talked about, was, hey, they figured out Mendoza is maybe starting.
48:29So that was kind of what I looked at for them as the Raiders.
48:33Maybe they figured out their defensive personnel. And actually another team.
48:36No, I want to hear what yours is before.
48:39Okay. So I considered two teams with schematic overhauls.
48:42I considered the Ravens and the Eagles for that reason, just like maybe these offenses will start to gel.
48:48Even though the Ravens were a little bit more optimistic about that coming together quickly, it is entirely possible that, you know,
48:54they look better in the second half. But ultimately, I went with this team because of injuries for the most part.
49:00And that's the Indianapolis Colts. Yeah. Yeah. Think about it.
49:03Daniel Jones, further removed from the Achilles. Alex Pierce is starting the end.
49:07He's at their most important wide receiver. He's coming off of the injury.
49:11Sass Gardner still coming up. I mean, you know, he's back, but obviously he's probably going to look better the further out.
49:18And then you've got rookies starting on defense. Rookie linebacker.
49:21And in addition to the injuries, you've got a lot of youth on that side of the ball.
49:26So that I thought, the other thing is they start the season against the Ravens, Chiefs and Texans.
49:31And I was looking at two half, the second half of the season, Dolphins, Texans, Giants, Eagles, Titans, Bengals, Browns.
49:37So, Jack. So, like, I just think this is a team, for all the reasons to lay it out, that could look
49:44much better in the second half of the season than the first.
49:48That's a good one. Yeah. I mean, just the first two names you mentioned, the quarterback and their leading receiver.
49:54Just working back from injuries is a good way to start with that one.
49:58No. And also, yeah, CJ Allen, man. I had really liked that pick, and I liked that player, and actually I think
50:04this is a good scheme for him, too, because he's so smart.
50:08So, I'm glad you actually kind of half-mentioned him here, CJ Allen, because I want to give him a little shout-out.
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51:24All right. I think we're going to have the same answer for this one.
51:28Blank is the running back who will usurp his starter.
51:31This comes from Old BK on Blue Sky. We're going to have the same answer on this one?
51:37I was wondering where you're reaching on this one.
51:39Okay. I have two. Well, it's the guy we both love.
51:43Jonah Coleman? Yeah. Okay. Jonah Coleman was my number one answer.
51:46Yeah, yeah, yeah. You're right. Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay.
51:49Good. Jonah Coleman fans. I mean, I'm- Okay. Good.
51:51Yeah. You dub. By the way, watching the Huskies this weekend.
51:55Oh, I miss Jonah Coleman. But anyways, that's neither here nor there.
51:58First of all, great situation. Mm-hmm. Shaky running back room.
52:01Mm-hmm. The coach loves him already. Won't shut up about him.
52:05I'm in the preseason. I was like, okay, got it, guys.
52:08We got it. Well, as you and I know, this is part of why, aside from my Huskies fandom, like, he was a very pro-ready back.
52:16Yes. He can pass protect. He is extremely decisive.
52:18He doesn't make many mental errors. And, like, yes, he's not the most explosive back, and he's built a little bit like
52:25my three-year-old son, but he will get you every yard he can.
52:29I just, there was a run in the preseason, because he played in the first game, and I don't remember.
52:34It was a duo run. He spins out of a tackle or something, and just, I don't even remember how much it was for.
52:42And then he lowers his shoulder and just plows through, like, three dudes.
52:46Yep. And I was just like, Sean Payne is going to freaking love this.
52:50Like, the vision, the tackle-breaking ability, you know, I just feel like he's just not surprising to me that he's already in the opposite of the doghouse.
52:58That's what Payne loves in his run game. Like, that's why he drafted freaking Marvin Ingram in the first round.
53:04Like, it's like he wants those guys to just pound it.
53:07You get exactly what you block it for, maybe a yard or two more.
53:11You can stay on the field in short yards.
53:14You can stay on the field in third down pass protection.
53:17Like, those are the backs he loves, and then he likes to sprinkle in the scatbacks, the Camaras, and the Darren Sproleses of the world.
53:25So, no, I'm big on Coleman. I really like him.
53:28And like you mentioned, it's like, no offense to J.K.
53:31Dobbins, who, when he was coming out of college, I really liked.
53:34It's just injuries are kind of his thing. But I do like Coleman better than Harvey if I had to pick one
53:41and just, you know, a blind taste test. Harvey was a frustrating watch for me.
53:45He's a very frustrating watch. He's kind of like the opposite of Coleman, too.
53:50Coleman's like the substance. Like, Harvey's the more electric back.
53:53Just bring a little spice. You know what? My other one was Chris Rodriguez for the J.K.
53:58Yeah, I have him on my list. Okay, because yeah, Basial Toon.
54:01But I think that's more split to me. I think that's going to be like a 40-40-20 with LaQuinn Allen as the third guy.
54:08Staying away from that in fantasy. Oh, same. Same.
54:11Not touching it. That's how I am. Jaguars receivers.
54:14Jaguars running backs. I like you all, but nope.
54:16Not touching it in fantasy. Tribion Henderson's a fun one to rile up Patriots fans.
54:21I'm telling you, y'all never can hear it or Romano Stevenson.
54:24He's not coming up. I mean, I know he fumbles.
54:27Pass protection. They love him. And yeah. Short yardage.
54:30He's Mr. Steady Eddie in that situation. Yeah. I told you that's that.
54:34He's like the best shotgun runner of the past decade.
54:37The best running back out of shotgun. His advanced stats last year are incredible in terms of like rushing guards over expected for carry.
54:44All that. Okay. He's a fall. Just like the two guys we talked about, Coleman and Rodriguez, they all fall forward.
54:50So it's like, even though it's like they get hit at two, they get that one extra yard for three.
54:56That's like just adds up over time. Everybody knows that teams like the Texans and Broncos will have nasty pass rushes.
55:02The front that will take people by surprise is blank.
55:05Can you go first? Can you go first? I have a cop out answer.
55:10I have a cop out answer. Because it's not surprise.
55:13I just thought like maybe it's not what people are expecting right now.
55:17Mine was the Steelers because there's just like 30 line, but they're like really good.
55:21So it's not like a fun one. The Steelers.
55:24No, I mean, not mine. The little known Steelers.
55:26Why is it not much better? I went with the Bucks.
55:30The Bucks. Okay. That's a good one though. Yaya Diaby, Ruben Bain.
55:33So the point I actually wanted to make, I know a lot of it's like, wow, we're overreacting to one Ruben Bain hump move.
55:40Okay. Yes. But a couple of things about the Bucks.
55:43One, Klajikasi barely played last year. People forget that.
55:46He was injured. And it looked like before he got injured, he was trending up as a pass rusher.
55:52And then the airport. They signed Al-Qurin Muhammad, which I think is like sneaky good depth.
55:57It was really productive. Yeah, good call. Good shout out.
56:00But the other thing I want to mention is Yaya Diaby is good.
56:03Like he's not a tier one pass rusher for sure.
56:06But I think he's definitely got a case for tier two.
56:10And now you put him with Bain Jr. And suddenly that could, one of them is going to get really unlocked by the presence of the other.
56:18So I just felt really like, well, I took a step back and then obviously you have Aya.
56:23So when you take a step back, you kind of look at everyone.
56:27I'm like, this is actually not just a sneaky upside group.
56:30It's a sneaky deep group now. Mm-hmm. And different body.
56:33I mean, I don't want to misfit toys, but that's perfect for Todd Bowles.
56:38Like everybody's like oddly shaped and weirdly built. You know, it's like ones and zeros.
56:42Kansi next to Veya is one of my biggest visual defense attack comments.
56:46Yeah. Veya. I know. Veya, Kansi. I mean, Veya all next to each other.
56:50And then you get Aya Sean Robinson, who's like the ideal D-lineman.
56:54But then even I'm way bigger on our, I always say this word.
56:58I got to find a new word. Bullish on the Bucs overall and the defense though, as I've kind of just marinated on it all.
57:05Like, because even linebacker wise, I like what they did.
57:08Like, yeah, they, I don't know. I am way higher on the Bucs than I was even six weeks ago.
57:14Oh man, Trotter looked good. Trotter. Like Anzalone. Anzalone is just a professional linebacker.
57:18Yep. Which is better than what they had. No offense to Levante David, who's amazing, but he's old Levante David.
57:24It's not that. Yeah. So that's a good one.
57:27That's better than mine. The other one I had just because, because I already mentioned him was Walter Nolan was the Cardinals having a sneaky Josh Sweat.
57:35He was good. Walter Nolan. Zayvon Collins is not a bad top three.
57:39Baron Browning throwing him in there. Roy, my guy, Roy Lopez.
57:42He doesn't rush the passer, but Darius Robinson's whatever.
57:45But they actually have some juice that I don't think people realize right now.
57:49But again, that's more if they're healthy, we'll see.
57:52They might never have a lead, but we'll know.
57:54That was the other one. I considered the Chiefs for all the reasons I laid out earlier of defense and the line of the youth.
58:02Also, FAU looked good in the preseason. Just like, what if he turns out to be something?
58:07And then I threw out a hypothetical, which is what if the Cowboys have a Seahawks-like four-man rush where you've got superstar
58:14defensive tackles and then you just have waves of good pass rushers who are good against the run.
58:19Because I think that's what they're trying to do from the build and it could happen.
58:24But okay, the Bucs are the one that I like the best.
58:27That's a good answer. All right, moving on. Got two more.
58:31The blank are most likely to make a big midseason trade.
58:34This is from Jason H. This was nothing about rosters.
58:37This was just mindset. I said the Jaguars because that's what they do.
58:41I could see them doing a move for somebody, maybe not offense, maybe defense this year, where they just, okay, we got to get a linebacker.
58:49We got to get one more defensive line. It was something.
58:52Like that just boosts them, put them over the top because that James Gladstone is aggressive.
58:57And I like it. Jacoby Myers, like it's a joke, but it's real.
59:00Literally saved their offense last year. And so I think that's not going to stop them now that they're like, hey, we can be aggressive.
59:08We can do this. This is ways we can add to the team.
59:12So that's more just a nothing looking at circumstances or anything.
59:15It's just purely looking at the team mindset. Honestly, it is team mindset that tends to drive GMs that trade a lot
59:22more so than like some, like when you look at like draft trades, it's just guys who do it a lot.
59:28So it's not the wrong way to look at this.
59:31I looked at circumstances though for my answer and I went with a team that has its draft picks.
59:37I checked to make sure which teams have their draft picks next year.
59:41Like I forgot like the Packers don't have first because of Micah Parsons.
59:44Yeah. Not that they would do it anyways, but the Chiefs have an extra third, by the way.
59:50But the team that I went with was a team that has a shocking amount of cap space.
59:55The Detroit Lions. So I feel like this, that's a team that because of their schedule is going to win a lot of games and because they're good.
60:04I'm just saying, try and think of what is the mindset of this team mid season.
60:08I could see them being first place in the division.
60:11The offense is great. Drew Petsing's worked out, but they recognize the defense isn't actually good enough.
60:16They're above their kicking out, kicking their coverage, which they did last year too.
60:21Calvin Shepard's a bright guy. Maybe Brian Branch is coming back.
60:24You're feeling good. But they know they need another pass rusher, another DB.
60:28And also, they know that this might be their shot, right?
60:31Yeah. Like, Tennessee North is like weird and wide open.
60:34So I just, I could see Brad Holmes channeling his inner Ramsdom and saying, YOLO, let's do this.
60:39Let's bring in someone on defense. And there's proof he'll trade.
60:43I mean, you traded Dave Montgomery for picks and juice scrugs.
60:46And thank God they traded for juice scrugs because Cade Mays got hurt.
60:50So no, I know. And also, you got to think if you just went like team weakness of who could trade, it's
60:57like which positions would get moved the easiest. Like safety is one of those to me.
61:01Like that. I mean, last year, the Chargers and the Ravens traded a low heat.
61:06Yeah. Great point. So, yeah. No. So that's a, I like that with the Lions because it feels like they know this
61:12version of their window, whatever you want to put it, this version of the Lions, this feels like the last chapter of it.
61:19And then we'll move on to the new one.
61:22So that's a good one too. Trade for Denzel Ward maybe.
61:25Ooh. Denzel Ward. Oh, Browns are trading. Yeah. Yeah.
61:28I can see that. That's good. I know. Oh, I would call up the Browns all the time.
61:33I bet you guys like to trade. Denzel Ward makes sense in that defense.
61:37Mm-hmm. Good fit. Mm-hmm. That's a fun one. Yeah.
61:40All right. Last question. I fear that we may have the same one.
61:44Oh. The quarterback who people are going to change their tune on after this season is blank.
61:49It's like two of my guys. So it's either it's Trevor Lawrence or CJ Stroud.
61:54So pick one. I will with Trev. Trevor, I think it's already happened a little bit.
61:58Like it's already starting to like where people are coming up on it.
62:02But yeah, that could be a total change tune with him.
62:06But I'll say Stroud. So we get to talk about two guys.
62:09Stroud for me, which is because just how the last playoffs ended last year.
62:13Totally understand. I also want people to remember that he was playing with like backup tight ends and rookie receivers, day two
62:20receivers and Xavier Hutchinson and all that stuff. So Stroud, I'm not saying, oh, this guy's gonna be an all pro this year.
62:27But a guy that I think is, oh, yeah, he gets the extension.
62:31Oh, he deserves it too. And like, yeah, he's winning.
62:34The Texans are winning with that defense and the emergence of Stroud, just predicting how narratives go and everything like that.
62:40A reemergence of Stroud. So I think how his offseason kind of narratives have gone, like, yeah, like I think even if
62:47he just plays how we play last year, people will just go, yeah, he's better.
62:51And it's like he was like the 12th best, 14th best quarterback last year.
62:55That's exactly what he is. I went with Trevor because I just feel more confident in that offense.
63:01And I don't think people are as like super nuanced about it.
63:04Like, I think even if Stroud, I, okay, so, you know, I feel the same way you do about Stroud and his circumstances last year.
63:12I'm a little bit more skeptical about whether or not those circumstances improve.
63:16They're already dealing with some injuries and whatnot. Whereas with Lawrence, even though I don't love the offensive line and I do
63:22worry a little bit that the run game isn't going to be above average, we'll see.
63:27Everything else is still there. Liam Cohen, the continuity, the pass catchers.
63:30He gets to actually stay in the same offense.
63:33You know, I just feel like all the components are there for him in a way that lends itself to more sustained success.
63:40That's a good one. No, I'm very high on both of these teams, actually.
63:44Texans and Jags. Like, I really am on both of them.
63:48Two of my favorite teams of the AFC and really look at the whole NFL, you know, because like you mentioned, it's like feels like Ram Seahawks.
63:56Then it feels like a gap or at least a half tier between everybody else, at least to me.
64:01And I know that I think these two teams are the ones that are exciting, like emerging teams.
64:07And really my, I think my favorite offseason take I've had was that we'll have a first time MVP this year.
64:13And these two, you know, Trevor could be that, you know, if the Jags had that type of year.
64:19I'm not saying that's my bet, but you know, Dak Prescott, like all these types of guys.
64:24There's a lot of openness openings for that type of narrative this year.
64:28We actually, on my pod, Ben and I picked Burrow as the favorite with Lawrence as the dark horse.
64:33Who would both be obviously first time. But like, it does, I agree.
64:37There's definitely, it feels pretty open right now. I actually am going to pick the Jags as the team that could make
64:44me look dumb now because I feel like I've just been gassing them up all.
64:48I know. I feel like I was high on them and I'm like, oh God, I gotta check myself now.
64:54Well, I know because I said Lawrence, I said Campanile, I just feel that they have the potential to be one of the more balanced teams.
65:02Like so many of the teams in the NFL right now, when I think about them headed to the season are, if
65:09one side of the ball can be average, the NFC North, the Texans, the Cowboys and Bengals.
65:14We're just like, if this is average, if the defense is average, whereas the Jags, I don't think that's like, I know that they're both above average.
65:22To me, the question is just, can they both be top 10?
65:25Right. Like, but the floor on, right. Totally. But the floor on both sides of the ball is high.
65:31Yeah. Yeah. And, and both coaches have already shown that both coaches, meaning Liam Cohen and Campanile is that both sides of
65:38the ball shown that they can adjust, that they have good game plans, that they're good on third down, which is stuff that matters for playoff time.
65:46Again, that's how you make a run is that you have to have these, you have to have these coaches that can game plan.
65:53These one-off game plans are hyper-focused. Playoff football is different than regular season football.
65:57It's just, they're so hyper-focused. And these, both of these coaching staffs or both sides of the ball have shown that.
66:03But so like, yeah, like including the Texans here, it's like, all right, the only staff that has it is the Texans offense.
66:10You know? So it's like, all right, is that the tiebreaker?
66:13You know? I trust you. I've gone back and forth on this a billion times.
66:18So. Yeah. I, I. Like the Texans now, or the Jags now have, they have the three, they can go 11 personnel and look awesome.
66:25They could go multi-tight ends and they have the guy, the horses to do that, like Borkerch or whatever, but he actually can block.
66:33They have that. They have that. They have a little O-line depth.
66:36It's not great. Like O-line, that's the thing that's common.
66:39It's the one thing that worries me. But. But same with the Texans, right?
66:43You know? So it's like, yeah. I think like Anton Harrison is a better player than Ante Arsari, for example.
66:49So I, I just think that they have better players.
66:52Yeah. I think. And then like defensively, like again, like they're not as good as the Texans, obviously, but they're pretty damn good.
66:59And I like your point about like the adjustments over the course of the season.
67:04Like I thought Campanita put together some really good play with game fans for really challenging opponents, by the way.
67:10This was not a defense that like just feasted on inferior competition.
67:13It was a defense where, you know, yes, they had a lot of turnovers, but like success rate.
67:19And the run defense, all very good. They tackled well.
67:22And now they add a cornerback who I think has got like unbelievable potential and Travis Hunter playing full time.
67:28Oh, I'm so Jags pilled. I don't know. That's they, they could, they could hurt me for sure.
67:33I'm trying to go to other shows to waver me off the Jags.
67:37And here I come on to your show. And now it's like, we didn't even talk to Jordan Lewis's breakout year, Montero
67:43Brown, all these guys that they have. No, but that's the thing about Travis Hunter is now.
67:49It's awesome. I know. Really good safety. Yeah, I know.
67:52I know. I know. And the Travis Hunter thing is real though.
67:55Like he's so talented that it's like, oh yeah, this guy, this guy that went number two, even if he should have
68:02gotten number two overall as a corner, even in the whole two-way play stuff.
68:06Like he was still talented enough to play, be a top five pick at corner.
68:10And it's like, now you just get to focus on that mostly.
68:14Yeah, and Lee Quirk can just bring in on certain casting plans and have fun with him.
68:19Yeah. All right. This is really fun. Thanks, Mina.
68:22I didn't even, like, I don't think I even did a Super Bowl pick.
68:26It's the Rams. Boom. There you go. Shocker. Should I just go Cowboys and just have fun with it?
68:32I mean, what do you really think? Rams. Yeah.
68:34I'm not saying, I'm not one of those, they're going to go 17-0 and no one can still.
68:40No, no. I don't think that at all. I think they'll actually go like 12-5, 13-4.
68:44I don't think they'll run it at all. But they're just so deep and have so much talent.
68:50And they have such good coaches. And it's like, yeah, like O-line depth.
68:54That's a good problem to have. But then I get to the Cowboys.
68:58I'm like, running back depth is your issue. So you're looking pretty good.
69:01Just keep circling it back. I'm trying to think who else.
69:05Who else would you even throw in there? Like Seahawks, too, of course.
69:09Because they are the ones, I mean, they hold the belt.
69:12And everything runs through Seattle. I think while Mike McDonald is the coach in Seattle, they could beat anyone.
69:18That sounds... I wholeheartedly agree. I just think that.
69:20I wholeheartedly agree. He's one of those dudes. I actually feel better about their offense than I thought I would once I preview them.
69:28I'm really interested in seeing the run game and what it looks like and what the little tweaks are and stuff.
69:34I know. I'm pretty high on their offense. But more than that, yeah, I think they'll be up there.
69:39AFC-wise, I've been saying Broncos just because of how deep and balanced they are.
69:44Ravens, I think, have the highest ceiling. Right now.
69:46Yeah. Bills, I want to see the defense week one and then I can adjust.
69:51I just don't. I don't know yet. I know.
69:54I've had them have a placeholder this whole offseason, whether that's fair or not.
69:58But it's just like, I'm just like, I'll get to you.
70:01Like, I'll get to you. I'm like, let me see this.
70:04Yep. Let me see it. I'm super high on Jim Leonard.
70:08Like, I really am. But it's also, does he have the horses to do what he wants to do?
70:13I don't know. So, very high on maybe what they could be.
70:17But again, it's ideas and theory right now. All right.
70:20I'm sure he'll be back on this show, but I will also hopefully join your show, Football 301.
70:25People, check it out wherever you get your podcasts.
70:28It is an excellent program. As I mentioned, I will be back later with Dominique Foxworth to preview week one.
70:34So, check back for that. Thank you as always to my friends at Omaha Productions, Kirsten Specky, Owen Saylor, Jack Foster, and
70:40Tucker Tashin, and I'll see you guys in a couple days.
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