From the episode
Drew Petsing was Trey McBride's offensive coordinator for the last three seasons. He will not be this year... I have taken away from his target share. I think he probably has some touchdown regression... I don't think he comes close to those numbers this year, but is still the guy to get in full PPR leagues as the number one tight end.
STACKED’s take
McBride's target share and TD regression expected after Petzing departure and Harrison's return.
McBride's target share and touchdown production are expected to regress significantly in 2025. Drew Petzing, his offensive coordinator for the last three seasons, will no longer be with Arizona; the source has reduced McBride's target share projection due to this coaching change. McBride ran two full games more routes than any other tight end last year because Arizona was frequently down two scores in the second half, inflating his volume. The source expects regression in total pass attempts league-wide and notes the emergence of Michael Wilson in the passing game. Additionally, Marvin Harrison Jr.'s return to health (he was injured last year during McBride's touchdown surge) will reduce red-zone opportunities. Last year McBride posted 10.6 targets per game, 21.1 PPR points per game, and 10 total touchdowns; the source believes he will not come close to those numbers in 2025, though still projects him as the number one tight end in full PPR leagues.
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