From the episode

Over the last 10 years, I tried to find players that averaged nine or more targets two straight seasons and then had a big drop off in targets... Zach Ertz had two huge seasons. Then he went to 6.6 targets. Darren Waller at age 30 was another guy, two huge seasons. Then he went down in targets.

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

When analyzing target history, Trey McBride presents downside risk as a player who averaged 9+ targets for two straight seasons but could see a significant drop-off, similar to historical examples like Zach Ertz and Darren Waller.

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