0:00Week two running back rankings are here.
0:02I think we're going to go at least like 39 40 names deep. And Hayden, we already have everything figured out after week
0:07one.
0:07>> We do. This is the hard part though because you don't want to read into the sample size too much, but you do want to
0:13react uh and I was looking at some math uh as I typically do. And the running back position is the position if you
0:19want to take a week one sample and at least look at the usage and be like this is kind of I'm taking this at face value
0:24like this is the position to do it.
0:26>> Totally. And we know that game scripts play a factor, especially in the running game. And then also defenses that you
0:31face play a factor. And sometimes with the defenses, Hayden, we don't really know which ones are good in week one and
0:36which ones are bad. But that is something we're going to discuss here today. First of all, Justin Boon is going to be on our running back rankings
0:42for the rest of the season. He had a death in the family. Obviously, we're sending our best wishes to him and his
0:48wife and his his whole family with that stuff. Uh Hayden, though, I do have a pitch for you. Uh, we had a request in
0:54the comments last week to turn this into like actual tiers. So, you want to give it a go? Like a little rough draft this
1:00week and see how that goes?
1:02>> Yeah. Uh, can we send Jir Gibbs into a tier way above the screen that exists here?
1:07>> Well, let's kick things off with Jir Gibbs because right now and in the future, he will be your running back.
1:13One, this is at the Buffalo Bills. Uh Detroit had a league high 51 a.5% success rate on rushing plays in week
1:21one. In 2025 they were 28th in the league in that department at around 38%.
1:28So we know that they've changed some other offensive linemen, namely Blake Miller at right tackle plus bringing Drew Ping in as offensive coordinator.
1:36>> There are some splits uh from the last couple years without David Montgomery and he's averaging over 25 uh fantasy points in those ones. And then last week
1:4328.4 expected half PPR points. He always finishes above his expected total because he's so good. Lions projected for 25 points on the road short week
1:51against the Bills. The Bills just got lit up by David Montgomery and Woody Marks. David Montgomery went untouched for a touchdown there and then over the
1:57last uh couple seasons. So from 2025 week one all the way through last week.
2:01The Bills are the four fourth worst fantasy running back defense when you adjust for schedule. So this is a tier by himself. uh maybe for the graphic we
2:10we keep his other others in there but yes out of respect for Jir Gibbs he's like three tiers above everybody else.
2:15>> Um and just to prepare yourself I I am going to ask you once we get to James Cook uh just about some of the wide
2:20receivers in the this game as well since it's Thursday night football uh because obviously our wide receiver show posts on Friday after this. So keep that in
2:28mind. Okay. Think about two things at once. Not too difficult. I also want to mention that Hayden last week finished as the fifth best ranker according to
2:36Fantasy Pros out there. How does that feel?
2:40>> That was pretty exciting. I didn't realize how many people have rankings.
2:42There was 185 of them. I will also say this, a couple of the people ahead of me did not rank kickers and defenses and
2:50kickers was my worst position. So, with the big asteris there, if I also didn't rank kickers, I might have even finished
2:56higher.
2:56>> There you go. And when I see fifth overall, Hayden, do you know what I think? Uh, I think that there's still
3:02improvement.
3:03>> There is. There is.
3:04>> Let's get better. Okay.
3:06>> Bean Robinson is your running back, too.
3:08I'm gonna keep going in S tier. Uh, this is against the Carolina Panthers.
3:13Unfortunately, last week, the Falcons had to build their offense around Bejon Robinson. On one hand, that's good for us for touches. On the other hand, it
3:21was an abysmal offense. uh he got there on one wide receiver screen reception that he took the house, but they were
3:28the only team in the league without a snap inside of the red zone in week one.
3:33So, how many weeks is it going to take for that to change?
3:36>> Um I don't know. As long as as long as Bejian's getting the ball, I don't really even care that much. Like I think
3:42it's as simple as that 45% target share.
3:44Uh and then Bean's also just absolutely lit up the Panthers. He scored 22 and a half fantasy points or more in his last
3:51three outings against them. like this is just like a complete layup line here as well. The team total makes me nervous at
3:5620 and a half, but the Panthers uh they've been equally bad. DeAndre Swift Kunga last week.
4:01>> Yeah, the the tackling was brutal for the Panthers last week and that's something that with a number of these teams I'm going to keep in mind if it
4:07can change if it doesn't and once we get to like a two to three game sample, it's like oh buddy, that is a major problem
4:13that can continue here.
4:15>> Chris McCaffrey, I'm assuming is still in tier S for you.
4:18>> Yep.
4:19>> Okay. CMC, this is against the Miami Dolphins. I just want to make sure of this. By the way, Fantasy Labs. Love
4:26your product. Uh, in terms of all of the, uh, let's say lines and, you know, point totals and everything like that.
4:33They're the ones that got me in trouble yesterday with the Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys. I'm going to put them on
4:37notice. Okay.
4:37>> Well, good news for you. Uh, the website that we use, I have that same exact thing and my lines were correct. So, I'm
4:43going to send you a link after this.
4:44>> Okay. Perfect. Uh, I'm saying that by noting that apparently the 49ers are 13 and a half point favorites against the
4:51Miami Dolphins. Are you seeing the same thing?
4:53>> Yes. Second highest team at 29 and a half. I'm kind of taking what happened in week one at face value. I think that
4:59Shanahan was talking about this quote, I want him to have more juice. I want him fresher. He doesn't have to take that
5:04beating when it's unnecessary. I'm hoping we can have some other guys step up more this year so you don't feel like
5:08you have to have them on the field every play. He said that back right after the draft. Since then, Kayn Black has had an
5:14excellent camp and Cayen Black is going to spell him between the 20s on early downs. And that's totally fine on passing situations. 10 of 12 snaps in
5:22favor of Christian McCaffrey. I do think at the goal line it'll be Christian McCaffrey. If you chop off six of the
5:27most uh kind of useless uh carries from Christian McCaffrey on a per game basis, it's not that big of a deal. So, I think
5:34that he's probably not going to be the legendary RB1, but in this week against the Dolphins, by the way, the Dolphins
5:39can stop Ashen Genty out in space as a receiver. I think that's what Christian McCaffrey does.
5:44>> I also think if the team is up by 13, we could see Kaylin Black in there for half of the fourth quarter and that could
5:50mean a touchdown on top of it. So, I keep mentioning this Kungai adjacent maybe type role here for Kayn Black and
5:57as we know that really was like a very small piece of the pie earlier in the season and then kind of expanded as the
6:04season went along. Uh, but in these types of games where an offense is projected for so many points, the true backup running back can still get there.
6:12So, if you're like really in a pinch either in a deep league or because of your flex for some reason, um I think
6:18Kayn Black is an intriguing name once we get further and further down the list.
6:22>> Yeah, I think I have him pretty close like Blake Corum in my rankings and I shouldn't keep doing that.
6:26>> Okay, Dererick Henry is your running back four. Is he still S tier?
6:29>> Absolutely.
6:30>> Okay, eight and a half point favorites against the New Orleans Saints this week. Uh hey, New Orleans had a league
6:35low 48 and a half% success rate defending rushing plays in week one.
6:41That was against the Detroit Lions, which again is Jir Gibbs. But guess what? This is now also Baltimore. And boy oh boy, did their reworked offensive
6:49line look good in week one, too.
6:50>> It's not as simple as this, but Brandon Staley's kind of been okay with getting kind of gashed if that means that he's
6:55preventing explosives through the air.
6:57Um, we don't know if Slower is going to play yet or not, but if that's going to be the case, like that's all Derk Henry.
7:02Um, and I was talking to Nate Ty on the Football 301, my second recap show of Sunday nights. uh and he was talking
7:09about uh uh how the Ravens were getting to Dererick Henry runs in a more unique way with Declan Doyle and like that was
7:15like really beneficial. Uh and then over the last 33 games with Lamar Jackson since 2024, Derrick Henry is the RB5.
7:21He's averaging 106 rushing yards per game, almost a touchdown per game, 18 carries, the efficiency numbers, number one in rush yards over expected, number
7:28one in EPA per carry, number one in uh yards per carry, and they fed him 24 times uh last week as well. So, like
7:35this is this is a first round running back until proven otherwise.
7:38>> Totally. They also fed him a cool screen for 19 yards. Uh, if we just get one of those per game,
7:44>> that's that's freaking awesome.
7:46>> Yeah.
7:47>> So, yeah. I mean, we talked about it a ton on stats versus film. By the way, thank you all for watching and watching
7:51so much recently. If you're new around here, uh, leave a thumbs up, hit subscribe, join us on this journey. uh that most let's say new play callers
8:00with quarterbacks had some stutters, some stumbles, but Death Doyle uh might be shining up his resume as the next head coach across the league by like
8:08late October at this point.
8:10>> Yep.
8:11>> Ken Walker III, your guy, my guy as an audience, our guy. Uh S tier after one week.
8:20>> Yes, absolutely. I mean, the Chiefs are projected for 26 and a half points.
8:24They're touchdown favorites against the Colts. Uh the Colts just got lit up on the ground uh against Derrick Henry to the point that they're changing their
8:32green dot player on defense after the first week. The Colts said that they their communication was so bad. I think it's going to a safety if I remember
8:40correctly. So, lots of problems on the Colts defense right now. No problems for Kenneth Walker. The touches were outrageous. Uh he was the RB3. He had
8:49over 21 expected half PPR points. Uh they targeted him a couple times as well. Like this is this is going to be
8:57completely automatic and I was really impressed with the offensive line. Creed Humphrey is just like such a treat to watch. And then their undrafted free
9:04agent left tackle was like legitimately moving bodies. Like that's just that's the good stuff.
9:08>> Yeah. And it seems like there's still major questions u about Josh Simmons and when he's going to return. So Khalil
9:13Benson already doing that in week one is magnificent stuff for them.
9:17>> Oh yeah. Big time.
9:18>> Yeah. And look, we talked about it all draft season that when Ken Walker had played over 60% of snaps in games, uh,
9:25he averaged 17 and a half fantasy points per contest. And I highly doubt we'll see a single game this season of him
9:32below 60%. Uh, and you saw it. Like the reason that that's awesome and why he gets that number is because if he plays
9:38that many snaps, he's going to reel off one explosive and change the game and give us huge fantasy points. I did want
9:43to bring up Andy Reid in his comments real quick.
9:46quote, "For him to play the way he did, I thought it was spectacular. He was the main guy. Emmit Johnson did a nice job,
9:51too, when he had an opportunity to get in there, but those guys, both those guys are contact talented, so they got a
9:56lot of yards after contact."
9:57>> Yeah, very contact talented. That's a great fantasy team name.
10:00>> There it is. All right. Jonathan Taylor, also S tier.
10:05>> Um, yes, I I'll round up here. 14 games with Daniel Jones. He's the RB1 and RB2 overall usage and half PPR. uh last week
10:15I think was kind of like a nice sweet spot because Daniel Jones after watching the tape he is not fully himself like
10:21athletically but he's functional enough to like throw the ball down the field and they're just going to keep riding uh Jonathan Taylor. Maybe the reason for
10:28hesitation there is because they're projected for 20 points. They're touchdown dogs here. Uh but the Colts uh run game was was awesome. Uh and I I
10:37think they're going to run the ball even if they're trailing for a lot of this game. So I just think just kind of
10:41rounding up for Jonathan Taylor is pretty appropriate. I thought he was the best part of their offense uh after that first drive. He was still, you know,
10:47grinding out yards and still looking spry and nimble. Uh and this is though on the road at the Kansas City Chiefs.
10:53Okay, since your hesitation was there, your running back seven is Ashen Genty at the LA Chargers. Am I correct in putting him into a tier?
11:02>> Yeah, let's break the tie here. The Raiders are projected for 18 and a half points. That's 28. Uh the Chargers
11:07defense was not quite as good uh in week one without Jesse Mter. They're not that talented just like just looking at the
11:14depth chart and I think they really have to be better in communication than what they were in week one. Ashen Genty
11:20easily could be an S tier back in fantasy because of the way he was used in the um receiving game. A couple
11:26screens, a couple like choice routes. Uh he had like a return route down the football field. Uh and then he had that
11:32play action leak uh target that went for a touchdown, too. So like that's a that's a lot of receptions when they
11:37were winning. Uh this is a situation where they might be losing. So if if we're catching four, five, six passes a
11:43game, uh then all the rushing stuff's kind of like a cherry on top and he handled about 75% of the stuff on the
11:49ground. Mike Washington, I think, played well, but that's going to take a while to kind of ramp up if if it ever does.
11:54And Ashen Gentry looked so good last week that uh it just might not.
11:57>> On that note, uh this is from Clint Kubak. Genty was playing good football, so Mike Washington didn't get as many
12:04opportunities as maybe we would have thought going in. That's how those games go. you ride the hot hand. On top of
12:11that, I think preseason we viewed and everyone viewed the Chargers defense as good. Uh now without Jesse Mentor, uh it might not be as good. And you know, you
12:21even look at some of those defensive pieces and they look worse without Jesse Mentor coaching them. It kind of is that
12:26simple. And so while to me, you know, a lot of the Raiders success, I do want to caveat that by saying, "Hey, they played
12:34the freaking Miami Dolphins, you know, a team that is once again underdogs this week by 13 and a half points."
12:41>> Uh, I think we also learn more about the Raiders in week two more than we did in week one.
12:47>> I also did say on the Chargers defense, uh, Durwin James over 30 years old, he got absolutely cooked by, uh, Trey
12:53McBride. And then Khalil Mack is like what he's got 35 or whatever he is too.
12:57So like they're also aging on some of like the most important players over the last couple years that had that defense
13:02rolling as like a top five unit.
13:04>> Totally. And they're replacing Odaf Ooway who was awesome on the second face sacks with Hakee Meador who's a rookie albeit older. So there's going to be a
13:11falloff there too.
13:13>> James Cook is your running back eight also in the A tier. This is against the Detroit Lions. Uh this note from Rich
13:20Rebar. Josh Allen is 8 and one in Thursday games over his career. I think that's notable because we again we saw
13:29the Lions be great in week one. But despite that, the Buffalo Bills at home are four and a half point favorites here
13:36with nearly a team total of 30 points in this contest.
13:40>> Yep. Highest of the week at 29 and a half. uh the neutral pass rate went from more balanced up to more pass heavy um
13:48in week one with uh Joe Brady going to the head coaching spot that was against the Texans defense. The Lions defense I
13:54think's better at stopping the run than they are at stopping the pass. That said, the Lions defense is so bad at
14:00stopping the pass. I actually think it's a good spot for James Cook because there's probably just more chances to have uh red zone touchdowns.
14:06Unfortunately, Josh Allen had a tush push touchdown on a fourth and one later. Uh they did Josh Allen Wildcat stuff. Uh James Cook nearly uh broke a
14:15huge play and then he kind of fumbled the ball in open space. So there's gonna be huge games for James Cook. He looks
14:20still looked really awesome on tape to me. Uh it's just I don't think that he's going to lead the NFL in like rushing
14:26yards per game this year. I think he seems to be a little bit styled differently. So I think that he's going
14:29to be maybe more in this tier than that top tier. Um but this is a good spot for it.
14:34>> The Bills did average 9.6 6 yards per play on first down on the road in Houston, which is actually the most of
14:40any game since 2023. Um, with Ty Johnson inactive in week one, James Cook did run a route on 50% of dropbacks, which is
14:47good for running back 13, which, you know, is a good aspect of his game, but maybe not accentuating enough in the
14:54past. But at the same time, Hayden, like the drop back rate and just completing so many explosive passes down the field
15:01might take James Cook a couple notches versus where he has been a couple years a couple of years just from, you know,
15:08an overall pure opportunity standpoint.
15:11>> Yeah, I think like let's say three or four or fewer carries per game, I think he might add a target per game, but I I
15:16do think that you would rather have uh that rushing volume out there. So, very minor differences, but I think worth looking into. Yeah, Detroit did allow
15:24eight receptions to we know the Saints backfield last week. So, that is something to keep in mind here too with James Cook. Saquon Barkley is your
15:32running back nine. I'm going to put him also in a tier. Seven point favorites here at the Tennessee Titans. Uh he got
15:38hit behind the line of scrimmage way too often last week. There's a new left guard.
15:44>> As they say, you're only as good as your weakest link. And Hayden, from watching the tape, uh Lennon Dickerson was the
15:50weakest link on this Eagles offense in week one.
15:52It could only get better from week one at that left guard spot. Uh there was a couple unblocked like blitzers um in
15:58that game, but I don't think the Tennessee Titans defense is going to be doing what the Commanders were doing. Uh and the Titans did not have a good
16:03showing on defense. Brilan Allen and uh Bree Hall lit him up on the ground and uh Robert Hollik was not happy about
16:10that. Uh I will say with Saquon Barkley, the box scores did not indicate how involved he was as a receiver. There
16:16were four targets to him. One called back on on a a holding. there was a a dropped pass in the flat. Uh and one
16:22other thing that went sideways with Saquon Barkley, but a little bit more involvement in the ground game would help Saquon Barkley even things out.
16:29We're not going back to 2014, but I do think we're going to be way better than we were uh 2025.
16:34>> Yeah. The other part of that, as you mentioned, the Washington Commanders defense is a disciple of Brian Flores and the Minnesota Vikings. So, as much
16:45as we avoid or bring up how difficult it is to run on a Brian Flores defense, I don't know if we have said enough or
16:52mentioned this heading into it that couldn't we say that the same thing about the commanders and like that was part of it, especially with a new
16:57running scheme that Jordan Marada has talked about over and over and over again that Charmaine is bringing in. So, it's almost like a number of factors
17:03along with the left guard playing so poorly because he was banged up that to me I could see an explosion from Saquon
17:09Park in week two.
17:10>> Yeah, I could see that. Seven broken tackles last week. uh that one where he got uh down the football field like that
17:16looked that like a special player.
17:17>> Or maybe I'm just coping.
17:19>> Either one can happen.
17:21>> Javvante Williams is your running back 10. Also at here against the Washington Commanders.
17:27>> Yeah, definitely. I mean the the Cowboys are fourth in projected points. They should um beat up on the the commanders
17:33here. Uh there's just nobody really behind them. like they just signed Imari Di Marcado that was the backup and then they're using a fullback sometimes in
17:40like pass protection but he had 22 routes which is like a rock solid number. He had six targets and he was
17:47way more efficient. I think maybe something that from the offseason is everyone's like he was so bad as a receiver he's going to get replaced or
17:55it's he's going to positively regress as a receiver which he did in this one and then all of a sudden he's going to be a
18:00super smash in fantasy. though. Last year he was top 10 in usage. Last week he was RB9 in usage. The Cowboys are
18:08going to score a lot more points.
18:09They're going to run a lot more plays in this one. Um the Commanders aren't going to be quite as bad like we just talked
18:14about on defense. Sunny Styles was good.
18:15Nick Cross, their their strong safety, made a couple awesome plays there. Uh but still the starting point for the Commanders were uh they were fourth
18:22worst against fantasy running backs last year.
18:24>> Okay. The Los Angeles Chargers were the biggest disappointment in week one. The markets have them not being a disappointment in week two at a
18:33projected 25 points. So, as your running back 11 against the Las Vegas Raiders, what tier does Amaran Hampton fall into?
18:41>> I would still keep him in this tier. I mean, the Chargers projected for for too many points. He still had what, 75% of
18:48the um running back carries. Katon Mitchell got in there in the first half, so it wasn't like just like garbage time. Uh he was out there. The center
18:55and right guard are gonna be terrible.
18:56and the left guard wasn't even that bad in the run game, but that was a rotation I don't feel very confident with that.
19:01So, they're going to have to get a little bit creative. Omarian Hampton, I don't think he's a first- round talent.
19:07He's really fast. He's really big. He's going to have some wow moments. That one touchdown he had was awesome, but there's just like him kind of turning
19:13the corner just like doesn't quite hit the same here. So, um and also zero targets. So, it was the one of the
19:19lowest running back usage games um uh of week one. And that needs to change for him to stay as a top 12 fantasy
19:27receiver. I I or running back. I really think that will change, but that was shocking to have zero targets.
19:32>> Okay, Kairen Williams is your running back. 12, Btier, A tier. Where are we going here? Um against the New York
19:39Giants. I will say you are three spots ahead of consensus rankings here, which I think is pretty important when we're talking about Kiran.
19:45>> Yeah, I'm guess I'm a little bit surprised by that. The Rams are projected for 27 points here. uh we can
19:51keep him in in the A tier as well. Um >> the Giants melted out the clock uh last week against uh the the the Cowboys. I
20:01think that's like maybe the possible concern facing the Giants. It's their their defense is definitely getting a little bit better. Harbaugh's like put
20:06too much emphasis on stopping the run.
20:08Arl Reese can fly downhill. At the same time, Arl Ree did uh uh allow a receiving touchdown and that's where Kairen Williams has been uh like
20:17especially important. There's been games where they'll get Kiren Williams on option routes or kind of leak him out against linebackers. I can see them
20:23testing Aral Reese as special of a player he is. He's still like kind of learning the position. He did get lost a
20:28couple times. So, uh I'm just rounding up because the Rams are projected for uh the fifth most points on the week. Yeah,
20:34just two second half drives for the Dallas Cowboys last week indicates what you're saying with one their defense not being able to stop anyone and also how
20:42the Giants can kind of ball control as much as they want to at times when it's it's running hot. You know, a Twitter
20:49follower I think put it really great with Kairen Williams who last week in a one-sided blowout loss, the back field was really one-sided in his favor. Um,
20:58but here's what it is, right? It's really simple. If the Rams score 28 points and they're projected for around that much in this game, Kairen likely
21:06scored a touchdown. And if they are tied or trailing, as we know in week one and last season, Kairen Williams plays 75%
21:14snaps. So, it's almost you get either a touchdown or like really high Karen usage in either department. Yeah, I think it's like kind of prevents Blake
21:22Horn like prevents him from being like a a weekly like top five option, but he's kind of kind of he's gonna hover like
21:28around this RB12 border depending uh on the matchup. So, he was the RB8 on RB12 usage and 25 last week RB16 on RB19
21:37usage. I'm just going to park him right between that.
21:40>> Devon Achan at the San Francisco 49ers.
21:43Uh this is your running back 13. The Dolphins were one of three teams without a snap inside of the 10 yard line. We
21:50know Han can score long touchdowns, but that's also important for him to score other touchdowns. Is this A tier or Btier?
21:56>> Let's go A tier. Um once again, uh the team total is at 16 points. That's obviously very very bad. It's very bad.
22:04Um Kaden Proctor's got to play better. I I did think that the rest of the offensive line was like okay. They're
22:09still trying to like figure out when they're getting their tight ends kind of sweeping across. They had their um their fullback out there. Like some of that
22:14stuff like wasn't quite hitting quite as well um in week one here. Um that said, he still caught plenty of passes uh in
22:23this game, five of them. Uh in the fourth quarter, they had uh 19 plays.
22:28They passed the ball on 18 of 19 of them. The good news is Devon Han caught three passes like kind of in in that
22:34script. So like that's going to like keep his floor high. I don't think that they're going to uh average 50 plays per
22:40game this season, you know, and that was like the problem. It's it's not going to be much. might hear >> they
22:46>> I mean that hey we're coming off the 49ers defense shutting down the LA Rams and now they get the Miami Dolphins on
22:54extra days to prepare for this one I'll be a big travel from Australia.
22:58>> Yeah I I was like the good news is is there was a couple checkdowns from from Malik Wills. I think even better than
23:03that they did design targets to him and the >> but it's also Fred Warner protect like at the linebacker spot.
23:09>> Oh yeah for sure. I mean should I have him as my RB20? Yeah, man. This is already a pretty steep drop off from
23:14where like his ADP was. So, >> yeah. I'm just worried if his ADP was correct, I guess, is what I'm saying.
23:19Um, all right. Next up is DeAndre Swift as running back 14. A fantastic game for him in week one. Was one of our favorite
23:28picks in that next tier of running backs and we had him at the top of that grouping as well. This is though against
23:35that Minnesota Vikings defensive front.
23:37So, are we going with A tier or starting B tier? Uh I want one more A tier here with DeAndre Swift. Uh
23:44>> greedy >> from week five on last year. That was uh when their buy was. He's now the RB9 and RB15 usage. He's only had a 44% rush
23:54share um over that stretch as well because Kyle Nunga gets out there. Caleb Williams obviously has been balling on the ground as well. Uh this is a
24:01challenging matchup because the Vikings uh you just don't catch passes against them. They had uh the fewest amount of receiving guards to running backs uh
24:10since 2025 once you adjust for their schedule. Um you can kind of hit them on the ground a little bit there. Uh and I
24:18kind of just want to keep leaning into that. 26 and a half points for the Chicago Bears. Just run right behind uh
24:24Darnell Wright and see what happens there. So I think he's a boom bust RB2.
24:28Um but man, if the Bears are going to look like what they did in uh last week, even with the rotation, like this is
24:33going to be a lot of fun. Yeah, the the Bears right now are projected for 26 and a half points against this Vikings
24:39defense. Obviously, they put up 59 points on the board last week. Uh just Ben Johnson's comments here on DeAndre Swift. Quote, "He's always been a super
24:48explosive guy. I think what's happened over the course of his career is just his understanding of what's going on in the running game, where he needs to hit
24:54it. People, I think, sometimes put him in a box as more of a scat back, but he's really an all-purpose back as far
24:58as I'm concerned. I'm just really proud of how he's grown to become at this point. I mean, that is putting it
25:03perfectly based on even our conversations of DeAndre Swift over the last three years.
25:07>> Uh, I'm in a Dynasty League that I happened to win last year and I sent a first round pick for DeAndre Swift and
25:13after they extended him, it looks like I'm uh I'm on the winning side.
25:17>> There you go. What you'd rather have DeAndre Swift at the 112 than Nicholas Singleton when he was going in drafts
25:22this spring?
25:23>> Pretty much. That's what happened.
25:25>> Okay. Uh, Bree Hall then, how fitting is the start of the B tier. This is against the Green Bay Packers. Hayden, I think
25:32you can make whatever conclusions you want from Bree's week one usage. Like he was running back 16 in snap percentage.
25:38Uh there were three snaps inside the five yard line. Bree Hall played all three. But at the same time, Brilen Allen had a short yardage run on fourth
25:46down that went for a touchdown that was negated by a penalty. And he also played four of six snaps on third and fourth
25:52and one. So I don't expect Bree Hall to be like a 75% player. So, at least we don't have to worry about Isaiah Davis,
25:59but at some areas we do have to work with Brayley Allen here, too.
26:03>> Yeah, I saw the same exact thing. I think it's still a win that Isaiah Davis is like not going to be out there
26:07because Brilen Allen's only going to be so effective in passing situations. I think that Bree Hall in negative game script will catch the ball um with Gino
26:14Smith. And then Bree Hall just looked really good. Um and the offensive line looked really good as well. And he's going to hit some explosives. So, like
26:21he's not going to have the true Bellcow stuff like the other RB1s. Would it be that surprising if Bree Hall is the RB11
26:28in fantasy this year? I don't think it would be that surprising. The Packers um without Micah Parsons have been absolutely gashed on the ground. So
26:36Jordan Mason, Aaron Jones combined for 100 yards and two rushing touchdowns last week. Over the last four games against the Packers dating back to 2025,
26:43they're allowing 161 rushing yards per game. That's the third fewest. So Jets still projected for only 20 points, but they're typically projected for 16. So,
26:52I think that I want to be ranking Bree Hall kind of above where he's been finishing over the last couple years.
26:56>> Yeah, the Yahoo Expert League, I need Bree Hall to score as the running back 11. I mean, I took him as my third
27:02running back in the flex instead of like Garrett Wilson, for example, or or other wide receivers. Uh, so I have to have
27:08that to happen and I have to have three stars in Saquon and Ken Walker and Bruce this season in order to win that one.
27:13That's for sure.
27:15>> Yeah, you ended men's high. I still can't believe it.
27:18>> Truly incredible stuff.
27:20Uh he did have fewer routes than Brillin Allen too. So it's weird. It's this weird dynamic, but we got to figure it
27:25out. Uh this Packers defense, you can take advantage of them, I think, right now, too. Like both Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones rushed for touchdowns last
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28:10using my promo code JH Fantasy. That's JH Fantasy. Open DraftKings daily fantasy sports and start building your lineup today. Chase Brown is your
28:20running back 16. We love Chase Brown during draft season. Hayden, this is three spots though below consensus as running back 13. Uh this is at the
28:30Houston Texans. Are you expecting a big Texans defensive rebound here?
28:34>> Yeah, definitely. So, and they stopped James Cook last last week. It was everything else that wasn't working. So yeah, like I have very positive notes
28:41about Chase Brown's usage, RB6 and RB5 usage in the last nine games with Joe Burrow dating back to 2025, even on a
28:47bigger sample than that. He's been a top 10 fantasy running back. He handled 71% of the snaps. He was the RB4 and
28:53expected points last week. 18% target share, six of them, and a lot of that stuff was just kind of like throwing
28:58quickly to the flats. It wasn't like a checkown. It was like almost like manufactured touches to him. So like yeah, the profile is great. the Texans
29:05defense is the second best defense against the run uh over the the last year and like the offensive line is getting a little bit better. I like that
29:12the the Bengals have two blocking tight ends now, but I mean we have to just like tip our cap to the the Texans. The
29:19Bengals are 20th and projected points this week. So, a lot of the running backs around him are either projected for a lot more points um or they don't
29:25have two superstar wide receivers that are going to be stealing touchdowns from.
29:29>> Right. I will say the theory of the pick held true with Chase Brown last week.
29:32like even when the Bengals struggled a little bit offensively, he plays so many snaps and catches so many passes that at
29:38worst you should be fine. You know, he's just like in too good of an environment to be, I think, a big loser for you.
29:44>> Yes, this will be the lowest I have him ranked all year.
29:47>> Okay. Bucky Irving is your running back 17. Is this still Btier for you? I mean, this is against the Cleveland Browns is
29:52eight and a half point favorites and we saw the ideal Bucky Irving usage last week. If I'm being honest, like Bucky
29:58Everything probably should be ahead of Chase Brown, too. But I'm waiting for the Shawn Tucker um injury because that's like the one thing I still don't
30:04know for sure is if Shawn Tucker gonna be like a goal line vulture this year or not. We didn't get that answered last
30:10week. The Buccaneers did not have a goal line uh attempt. Um but Kenny Gainwell was like not that involved. Bucky Irvin
30:17caught a bunch of passes in negative game script. Now he's going to run the ball a ton. Looking at the the data from
30:22last week, the Buccaneers uh were really runheavy early on in that game, then they couldn't be uh run heavy because Gamecript got away from him quickly. But
30:32against the Bang or against the Browns here, like he's going to run the ball probably 15 to 20 times in this one. And
30:38he looked really good. Like there's there's really like when he's fully healthy, he really does remind me of James Cook. Um and this offensive line
30:44is pretty sweet. So I think that he's if we get goal line carries, I think he's he has a chance to be a top 15 running
30:48back. Yeah, he he looked as close as he possibly could to that Liam Cohen season in in week one. Hopefully that continues
30:55and this is the right opponent to stack really good games back toback as well.
31:00David Montgomery is your running back 18. This is against the Cincinnati Bengals who did really well to stop the run last week with their additions and
31:08just overall improvement on defense. On his 20 runs, Dave Montgomery was hit at or behind the line of scrimmage on 14 of
31:16them. So, the touchdowns, >> you know, make that stat line look amazing. Obviously, the receiving touchdown incredibly helped. Um, but as
31:24we talked about in stats versus film, like the snaps were 5050, but he did have five touches inside the 10 compared
31:29to zero for 40 months.
31:31>> Yes. Uh, that was three in a row though because he didn't get the first couple in because he was getting hit at the
31:36line of scrimmage. 16 of 19 carries went for under five yards, removing that goal line touchdown as well. Um, 50% snap
31:43rate. He's when he's on the field, he's like going to get the ball. Also, like the snap rate doesn't matter all that
31:48much, but Woody Marks I thought did play pretty well here. I think uh point taken, the Bengals defense just looked a
31:53little bit better. I I don't think it's going to be a great defense, like obviously not, but when you have Dexter
31:57Lawrence and those two linebackers were so so behind last year, they just look so inexperienced. Like those guys will play a little bit better. You add a
32:05safety. Um so like this Bengals defense is not going to be like the worst unit in the NFL. Uh Texans projected for
32:11almost 25 points. That's 11th here as well. So, uh, definitely like this is what an RB2 looks like in fantasy.
32:18>> Yes. And when the Texans are projected for 25 points, probably means Dave Montgomery is going to score a touchdown.
32:24>> Yes. Yeah. Like back to the Detroit Lions days. Okay. Next is Aaron Jones.
32:29And we have our first running back consolidation here. Uh, the news hit just before we started recording this that Jordan Mason is going to go on
32:38injured reserve with finger surgery.
32:41Hayden, he was running back 31 prior to this. So, I guess you're believing that Aaron Jones is going to get at least
32:49what 65% of the work on the road against the Chicago Bears here.
32:52>> Yeah, probably. So, I don't think he's going to go into full bellcow work just based off his injury history and his
32:57size and age and all that type of stuff.
33:00But back in 2024, he was half PPR's RB20 per game. Last year, definitely a disaster. RB35 on a per game basis, but
33:08that was because the quarterback play was so bad. Um, I thought that Aaron Jones like looked fine enough. He's like not like one of the best running backs
33:14in the league. He's not completely completely washed either and he should be better early on in the season. And the the players behind him are just like
33:21too unproven. Like I'm very curious to see if they're going to use their rookie um out there or if it's going to be kind
33:27of more like like veterans off the street. So um they were really runheavy in week one. And that's something I want
33:34to pay attention to because when you listen to the the Vikings uh coaching staff, they talk about like their offensive line's like actually really
33:41good. And in years prior, like they didn't trust their offensive line. Maybe that's why they were so pass heavy, but this might be a maybe a little bit more
33:47balanced of an offense. And I mean, I've seen Aaron Jones be a top 20 running back for for too many years to not give
33:53him a chance out of here.
33:55>> Okay. Is Cam Scaboo in Btier?
33:58>> Uh let's move him down. Let's move him down.
34:02>> Okay. So I think we're going to be pretty fat here on the C and D tier. So Cam Scataboo's at the LA Rams obviously
34:09coming back from Australia, but you know what they chose to do coming in 24 hours before. Hopefully their bodies don't have to adjust as much, but they need a
34:16big rebound performance uh defensively.
34:18And you know, Harbaugh was asked how you know the Giants were able to be so good offensively. He said, "Well, I think it
34:25probably started with Scataboo. He was running really, really hard, really, really well. set the tempo, brought the energy juice, thought his reads were
34:33really good. That's exactly what we want to hear with Scat.
34:37>> You know, I'm convinced. Let's Let's put some respect. Let's put him in the B tier here. Let's put him in the B tier.
34:42Um I agree. Like I thought he ran the ball really really well in that game.
34:47He's like very clearly going to get the ball 15 times whether they're winning, losing, or it's a tie. Um I don't think
34:53that Aaron Donald's going to play.
34:55There's that's kind of like a mystery.
34:56We'll learn we'll learn later. Even if he does play, he's going to be on a pitch count. No Miles Garrett here. So,
35:00it's still a tough matchup. They're still projected to lose by seven points.
35:03I'm very curious to see if they're going to throw the ball to Cam Scaboo or if it's like be very defined where
35:07Singleary is going to catch the balls in the flat like he did in week one. And Scato, they're saving his body so they
35:12can like so he can headbutt guys uh in the A gap, which he did uh relentlessly in week one. So, I think that's going to
35:20be the one thing. If he catches passes, he can be the RB12 this year. If he doesn't catch passes, he's going to be
35:24the RB21. Um and we just don't know yet.
35:27These are your stand your ground picks presented by DraftKings. Build your lineup around the players you believe in and get your picks in with DraftKings
35:35Daily Fantasy Sports. And that name today is one of your favorite calls of the summer, Chuba Hubard as running back 21. He is a few spots behind in
35:46consensus rankings. This is on the road at the Atlanta Falcons. We just saw the Panthers post a ton of points, Hayden,
35:53and they should be able to do that again in a matchup that they have done that in previous seasons with worst offenses.
35:59>> Chiva Hubard's lit up the Falcons in previous uh starts, 103 and and 76 total yards in his last two starts against the
36:06Falcons. They're down both their starting edge rushers right now. The betting markets have Chuba Hubard as the RB 17 in total yards here. And the
36:15Panthers are 16th in projected points at 23 despite being on the road. Gamecript could be on their side because they're facing Cooper Rush here. And just
36:24rewinding the clock on Chuba Hubard back in 2024, not that long ago, >> he was the half PPR's per game RB12 on
36:31RB7 usage. Then you look at the playoff loss last year against the Rams. 17 opportunities in that one. Scores two touchdowns. Then last week in week one,
36:4113.9 expected half PPR points. That's RB 15. He finishes the RB9. He handled both goal line attempts. John the Brooks played just a little bit, but not even
36:49like in the passing situations. He caught that one uh broken play down the field, but it was not like Chuba Hubard
36:55can't catch passes uh in this offense.
36:57There's really not there's not many negative notes you can say about Chubbert right now. Like this ranking might be too low.
37:03>> And with the Panthers offensive line, as long as Rob Hunt and Damen Lewis are in there, the running game works. you know,
37:10y >> last season it broke down because then Brady Christensen had to pop in. He was good, but then they went to like their
37:16third and fourth guards at both spots.
37:19And so if both those guards are in there, plus Monroe Freeling was moving people during week one on top of this.
37:25>> Not a surprise.
37:26>> Uh then yeah, Chuba Hubard is truly one of those backs that was what in the running back 30 range, like 33 overall.
37:35and he should be a top 24 running back for as long as the split happens. And then obviously when the Panthers are two
37:42and a half point favorites on the road like they are in this one, running back 21 makes a ton of sense.
37:46>> It's on Jonathan Brooks to to make this uh an actual debate.
37:49>> And if you're able to get him that deep in running backs in your draft, then Chuba Hubard is like an auto flex for
37:56you among all the like mind melting conundrums at wide receiver. You just get to have Chuba Hover in your flex and
38:03have three running backs in your starting lineup. Pretty easy. Yep. Free parking. Free parking. All right. Next is Travis Achan. Unfortunately, this is
38:11another conversation. This is at the Baltimore Ravens. Hayden, he was running back 18 in snap percentage in week one.
38:18I gave my theory on the week one weirdness. I don't know if I asked you what yours is.
38:22>> I have no theory. I'm I'm I'm perplexed.
38:25Uh CJ Donaldson was out there in pass protection. That's an undrafted free agent rookie. Now, Adrian's never been good in pass protection. So, I I can
38:32somewhat understand that one. Kendrey Miller going like snap for snap on early downs with with Travis Aan. That made no sense. Um game script got away from him
38:42uh in that game. Travis Han at least I think had a season or a careerhigh in receptions in that one to kind of like
38:48back door uh into like an RB2 finish.
38:50He's going to have to do that again because they're uh also uh projected to lose by eight and a half points in
38:57Baltimore against Kyle Hamilton and those guys. That's going to be an issue.
39:01Um >> I don't know. I I I I guess I hope your theory is correct that he's just like playing through something, but he's not
39:07on an injury report. So like I don't know. I've heard clips from them like their offensive coordinator and their play call and obviously the GM just
39:15signed him. They're like this guy is awesome. And then like week one comes here and like what do they say about
39:20Kendrick Miller? Is Kendrick Miller like a >> quote on CJ Donaldson. CJ did a really good job through training camp and
39:26preseason. He's got a nice special teams role. He can obviously play in third down protection. I think he's done a nice job with that. and then he was able
39:33to play some snaps in some short yard situations. I think this is all positive for him. On top of that, Kre Miller had
39:40both backfield touches inside of the 10 yard line, converted that eight yard touchdown. Travis Achan was running back 24 in percent of dropbacks played in
39:50week one at like 39%. And then on top of this, like Tyler Shuck and the offense have to play well from the first series
39:57if they have a slow start like they did last week. This isn't the Lions defense that you're facing. It is the Baltimore
40:02Ravens defense and they're not going to let you back in it like the Saints did last week. So, uh yeah, just like alarm
40:09bells all over this one. I hopefully we get one of these matchups that like settles it all down and it gets back to
40:14normal here.
40:14>> And Alvin Chimera could play it this week. I don't know that if if it's going to happen or not. Um that was without
40:18Alvin Chimera. Um so very odd situation.
40:21I I would double check over o over the cap making sure that they did just pay him all that money. They they did pay
40:27him all that money. I I don't know why.
40:29Raandre Stevenson is your running back 23. This is a few spots below consensus at running back 20. It sounds like Trevan Henderson might play this week
40:37more so than last week. Uh he's doing more in practice each day. Is there going to be an alteration if Trivon is
40:45in or out or is this anticipate him playing?
40:47>> This is anticipating Trayvon out there.
40:49So maybe that's why I'm a little bit lower in consensus rankings there.
40:51Obviously, I'd move him up uh definitely probably like ahead of like, you know, Aaron Jones, David Montgomery, Bucky Irving tier uh without um Trayvon. Um
41:00I'm expecting Trayvon to get in there and mix in behind Raandre Stevenson.
41:04Probably maybe not as drastic as a split uh in the postseason where Trayvon like literally had like three fantasy points per game and Raandre was kind of like,
41:11you know, the RB 28 on a per game basis.
41:14Um matchup is like pretty solid here.
41:16Steelers um are only projected for 18 points. So, even without AJ Brown, the Patriots are expected to win by five and
41:22a half. So, game scripts on his size.
41:24Raonder is a good player. Um, and the offensive line, uh, I thought that they got their ass kicked, but that was also
41:30against the Seahawks and, uh, they do a lot of funky stuff. Um, so like, you know, the Steelers are also they have
41:36some awesome defensive lineman, too. So, um, I think he's more of like a flex play than an RB2.
41:41>> I would hesitate for anyone to make conclusions about an offense and especially a quarterback's play against the Seattle Seahawks. I mean, the best
41:48quarterbacks out there from Josh Allen to what we saw with Drake May to, you know, Bryce Young have really struggled against the Seattle Seahawks defense.
41:56>> Just to put that in perspective, I was watching the Drake May film there. They had a single high safety in the middle
42:01of the field pre- snap. He rotated down, not down. He rotated all the way to the flat at the snap and then the guy that
42:08was in the flats was all of a sudden playing all the way back. Like when they're rotating stuff, it's not like,
42:13oh, he's rotating into the box. Like, no, he's he's playing the flat. Like you can't you have no idea what you're going
42:18to see against the Seahawks right now.
42:19>> Ready for a take? Is Mike McDonald new era Bill Bich?
42:23>> Yes.
42:24>> Except like smiles more and has like some level of a personality like and is kind to reporters, you know?
42:30>> Yeah. Yeah. Agreed. Tweet it.
42:33>> I bet Mike McDonald would be really good on a television show. I'm just saying.
42:38All right. Next is Bashel Tutin as running back 24. Uh this is at the Denver Broncos, which is notable because
42:48Toutton broke a number of tackles, created extra yards, and now against the Broncos defense that missed the most tackles in week one, but who knows if
42:56that's going to carry over here.
42:57>> Yeah, it was like shocking to watch the Broncos play that bad uh tackling. It was just like not something they've ever
43:03done before. Um so we'll see there. Uh Basel Tun had a had he definitely had a good game. He I thought he missed a
43:09couple reads, but in general like I after re listening to Sassil, I was being too critical of him. He he broke
43:14too many tackles to be that critical. He did some of the basial tune and stuff that I don't love, but when you're that
43:19athletic, you're going to be making people miss like you live with it. And that's exactly what Liam Con saying uh after the game. So Chris Rodriguez um
43:25played some I think they had the same amount of snaps going into halftime. In the fourth quarter, a complete blowout, which I'm not expecting in this one.
43:32Jacksonville's actually expected to lose by a couple points. Um they really gave Basel Ton a bunch of carries at the end
43:39to give him a little bit more experience. Um, and yeah, I I'm still just don't know who's gonna be the goal
43:44line back. If I knew that Bel's gonna get half of them, I would move him up.
43:48I'm guessing it's still gonna be some Chris Rodriguez there, but I think it'll probably be a committee um all across the field. It might be difficult this
43:54week, but in the future, like I wish Bachel Tutin was given like the first and second levels a little bit more,
43:59maybe with some better wide receiver blocking. And so then the first tackle he has to break is at the second or
44:04third level because even in this pass game against the Browns, if he had been able to avoid one more defender, then
44:12he's very close to like a 40 yard, you know, and we haven't really seen a 40 yard yet from Bashel Tutin, but I I
44:19think it's on the way from him >> definitely. So he's way too athletic.
44:22He's going to have those moments. I will say Jacksonville's offensive line is just not very good. You know, they they held they held their own against P in
44:28pass protection. They it was not like he had wide open lanes on the ground there.
44:32And I think we signed up. We knew that was going to be the case and that was the case last year as well. So, um yeah,
44:37>> Jeremiah Love is your running back 25.
44:40From a talent perspective, this is much higher. Again, I'll keep bringing this up. Michael Thor handled Bree Hall during his rookie season. That was with
44:48a slow start 12 8 14 touches in the opening three games. Kind of sound like the floor liked the volume and the
44:55number of snaps that Jeremiah Love got last week. So it really might take until like the fourth game for Jeremiah Love
45:00to be the 1A bellcow type stuff.
45:03>> Yep. I just be patient with Jeremiah Love. I think he's firmly a flex. He's not even an RB2 right now because Algier
45:10um is going to get some of the goal line work. Jeremiah Love looked awesome though. He's going to catch passes in
45:14negative game scripts. last week they were winning by so much so early. Uh and now they're three and a half dogs to the
45:22Seahawks. Now the problem is like it's the Seahawks. So like >> correct >> nobody scores against the Seahawks. Um so like Raander Stevenson was like an
45:29RB2 as a bellcow against the Seahawks.
45:32Jeremiah Love is not going to be a bellcow. So like this is like a flex.
45:35And I do think that there are some teams out there where he could be a bench candidate in this one. Um but I'm really
45:41hoping he just keeps ripping off big plays and makes this one like a no contest. Alier. Can we talk about our
45:45death league for a moment because I was doing waiverss last night? And the death league like put me in a spiral. Nate Ty,
45:52shout out Nate. Uh I think faced me and he got eliminated first and his three players and this is why it was Jamar
46:01Chase and Coulson Loveland and he also had Jeremiah Love like and then Quinton Judkins and and Jameson Williams. This is what like a 14 team death league on
46:09top of it.
46:10>> Yes. Yeah.
46:10>> Um, but then like when you see those players on waiverss and you have a $1,000 fab budget, >> it's like, oh, I just want to spend all
46:19of it on Jamar Chase and then a quarter of it on Jeremiah Love and and all that type of stuff. I did a little bit of
46:25research and everyone that has played in these leagues before, Hayden, says you can never, and I mean never, deliver half of your budget on one player. Uh,
46:33because then the teams and the waiverss get even better as a season goes along and you need to have the budgets for
46:39that. And so I end up under bidding everyone. Whereas what I think Chase went for like $490, Jeremiah Love went for like $250 and
46:48then you picked up Coulson Love for 101 or something like >> Yeah. How I'm handling that. And by the way, you guys should play these leagues
46:54on um Yahoo death leagues. Uh sorry uh I'm canceled. Uh I wanted Coulson Lin because I punted off of a position. I
47:03punted off tight ends and there's only a couple tight ends that I felt good about. So that's how I kind of handle it
47:07is like, okay, punt off one position and then the second that guy is available like go after it. So that's how that's
47:13how I'm handling. I'm glad I got level there.
47:15>> That's I'm going to get even weirder once like half the league is gone and then you're just going to have so many
47:22people on waiverss on top of this. So >> I'll keep you guys updated. This first time for me playing that and it was
47:28>> same >> mindmelting. Next is Jadarian Price. We had a long conversation about him on stats versus film. Uh, I'm hoping
47:36there's something about, hey, they played on Wednesday in the opener, rookie debut, all that type of stuff, and maybe and he looked awesome and so
47:45maybe he gets a couple more snaps here and there. Uh, or it's exactly the same workload that Kin Walker the third got
47:52last year. That was RB22 and RB28 usage uh with with Zack Charbanet healthy for for Kenneth Walker. That Seahawks team was putting up 30 points. Uh, they're
48:00right now projected for 22 and a half.
48:02So, I think like you're hoping for the Kenneth Walker numbers from the regular season last year for Price. Uh, it made
48:08me nervous that Emanuel Wilson played four snaps. Three of them were when he was subbed in for plays with two or
48:12fewer yards to go. Like, that just can't happen. That was like the shocking part of it. I'm not that surprised that he
48:17didn't play any snaps on third and fourth downs. Um, but he looked he looked awesome. So, um, you're you're hoping here like we're we're firmly in
48:25flex terrace right now. I will say he's still projected for 74 and a half uh yards uh total yards here. How many wide
48:31receivers project for 74 and a half yards? Like it's probably 13 of them. So he's still like better than the wide the
48:37fancy wide receiver that you want to play here.
48:39>> Next is Jaylen Warren, your guy running back 27 here. This is at the New England Patriots. Um what do you want to say
48:48about this backfield? Because again, it was basically 50/50 this past week, but you're still in the camp of holding out and believing that Jaylen Warren is is
48:56going to earn a kind of larger piece or let's say the more valuable piece of this.
49:00>> Yeah, I think it's just more valuable. I think he's more likely to catch a couple passes. I I think that he's a better
49:05football player. Um but the problem this week is it's going to be a committee until proven otherwise. Um and they kind
49:11of like rotated like full drives. Um and the Steelers are projected for 18 points. They did not have a clean showing last week. Uh Rico Dael had an
49:218% success rate on the ground. Like that's Rico Dow is not an 8% success rate rusher. Like that they had just
49:26straight up issues uh on offense. Um and it's just a much tougher matchup against the the Patriots. At least they the
49:34Patriots don't have like Tonga this year, but they still just want to put a bunch of guys up in the box and they
49:38have uh Christian Gonzalez against DK Metaf and like everything else was like a little bit, you know, hit and miss.
49:44Yeah, they were top three neutral pass rates. So, Mike McCarthy had this quote.
49:48This is from Mike Nuggets, by the way.
49:50Excellent resource. Quote, "You definitely got to give your passing game a little more opportunity this time of the year if you think you're going to
49:55come out here and throw it in January.
49:58So, I'm cognizant of that. But, I definitely would like to be north of 25 carries each and every week, closer to
50:0430 plus running the ball if I was going to draw up the perfect game. So theoretically he wants to run the
50:10football more but in practicality last week he did not at all.
50:16>> No I I hate the target number that we have to hit as total carries in a game.
50:22Turns out you run the ball more when you have a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter. It's like typically the best
50:26teams do run the ball a little bit more.
50:27It's not because they were running the ball the entire game.
50:30>> Okay. Is Quinn Chan Judkins at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as your running back 28?
50:35Is this still Ctier just because he's gonna get so much volume or let's say the largest market share of volume in
50:40this category? Probably >> I would go Dtier. I would say wow >> you can put him in the flex but look
50:48>> they're projected for 16 and a half points and this is a passfunnel defense with Vea. Um if you're going to nitpick
50:55the the Buccaneers is last week Chase Brown had a couple runs like right at Ruben Bane where he was just getting
51:03annihilated. like maybe there's like a weak spot here, but I just don't trust the Browns. The Browns offensive line I thought was still a mess. Quinn Sean's
51:10good. There's no Dylan Samson, but unfortunately Quinchan like did not like increase his role that much. Like they just put Rocket Sanders in the Dylan
51:18Samson role. Yeah, maybe they'll maybe they'll change that like kind of as they game plan and like try to get Quinchon
51:23more involved. But he's he's never been like this awesome receiver. He's kind of been this kind of early down guy and you
51:29can only give him so many touches coming off that injury. So, I think he's a low-end flex in in half PPR.
51:35>> Yeah. I think they also promoted Julio McGlaughlin from the practice squad as well and he's of that styling of a back
51:42on top of it. Okay. So, we basically have escaped flex consideration territory is what you're telling me. In an ideal world.
51:49>> Yes, in an ideal world. Now, some of our subscribers don't live in an ideal world.
51:53>> Okay. Marshon Lloyd is your running back 29. Uh, I said in stats versus film that I still need to be proven if he's more
52:01than like a replaceable replacement level back. Uh, but hey, now I'll add that this is his real week one at the
52:07New York Jets. This is not against a Brian Flores defense where, you know, Chris Brooks led all running backs with 20 pass protection snaps in week one.
52:15That's why he was a starter and why he played so much. If that continues here into week two, then you have like major
52:19problems if you drafted Marshall.
52:21>> I just feel way better about this spot than the last one. Uh, they're projected for 24 points. are expected to win here.
52:27You don't have Chaos and Brian Flores out there. Marshon Lloyd. He's not my favorite player, but he is really explosive and like there is a chance
52:35that he can catch the ball in the flats and like take off. Um and uh I still think that he would probably get the
52:40goal line touch over Chris Brooks. U I'm not positive about that. We didn't see any Caleb Johnson. I do wonder like, you
52:46know, there's only a couple couple more weeks left most likely until Jacobs gets back. Like at some point they're probably going to get Caleb Johnson
52:51involved a little bit. Maybe that happens here. So, I don't feel great about the spot. And then the big news is
52:57the Packers interior offensive line.
52:59Like, you can put it up there with the Titans and the or it's worse. The interior offensive line's worse than the
53:04Titans. It's it's as bad as it gets. Um, and that's not going to change.
53:08>> Comment on guys your running back 30 against the Vikings defense for missing the preseason. Hayden, he certainly looked fast for
53:14>> Yep.
53:15>> and faster than his 46 time speed, but again, we're basing against a Brian Flores defense here.
53:20>> Yep. you just uh you just don't catch the ball against the Vikings um um as running backs. Uh now that's not like
53:26the biggest thing for Kamunai. Um >> he's he's interesting because he has like a huge spike week like once every sixish games and then the other games
53:35like he's like the RB38. So if you're comfortable with that, that's that's fine. Uh last week RB32 and expected points uh as they were absolutely
53:45rolling against a team that you like want to run the ball against. Um, so kind of dropping him down from from
53:50there.
53:51>> Let's talk Bill. He's your running back 31 at the Dallas Cowboys and their defense that was run all over and passed all over last week. Um, what
54:02did you think of Bill when you went back and looked at the stats and watched him?
54:06>> Uh, I thought that he looked like laterally like explosive like relative to the other backs. The the part that makes me a little bit nervous is one, he
54:13was like very clearly subbed out in like obvious passing situations and that was kind of as expected. My problem with him
54:20just like for this week is making sure that like they're going to stay committed to him. His fumble I didn't realize how bad the the fumble was. Uh
54:29that happened with four minutes to go.
54:31His team recovers it. He gets subbed out and they're trying to win the game. Like this is like not garbage. They're down
54:37eight points and the rest of the game it's only um Katron Allen and it's only Rashad White. Yes, but like that's
54:45they're down eight and it was that play and then Jaka Crosky did not play a single snap after that. So like you
54:50could if you wanted to read this like that he was benched in that moment. Now I don't think he's going to be
54:54permanently benched here but like that's at least in the back of my mind. I still think it's just too low. Like let's put
54:58him uh ahead of Marshon Lloyd here. Um but it's not the cleanest um spot. uh in general just because like it's going to
55:08be a committee and like you at least have kind of like the what just happened in the fourth quarter of that game.
55:13>> So Ben Sandic who probably do this for us for fancy purposes did ask Dan Quinn directly about the fumble and if that's
55:19going to impact Bill and Dan Quinn said quote I think the ball security is definitely a premium for us. But then he
55:26immediately went to this that I love the twitch that you see with Bill. We can get him into the second and third level.
55:31He presents a real problem from a tackling standpoint. So, I just think the more reps he gets, more time he's seeing the blocks, the offensive line,
55:38knowing where he is, those are the things that just need time on task, but I'm pleased with what we've seen so far.
55:44So, if I'm reading that, then rather than going in on him about the fumble, it's more, hey, we actually need to play
55:49him more.
55:50>> Yeah, maybe. So, he he's had fumble issues in the past. Like, this is like kind of situations.
55:54>> If he fumbles this week, it's like real bad.
55:56>> Yes. Um, so I think we're most likely safe, but like we got on the recap show and was like, "Oh, he played 42% of the
56:02snaps and Kron made the threeack committee." Like that wouldn't be like the most shocking thing either.
56:06>> I also think and maybe it probably shouldn't. It also helps when you recover a fumble versus going to the other team just inherently, you know,
56:14and that helps. Josh Carly helped him out.
56:16>> Yes.
56:16>> Uh, okay. JK Dobbins versus the Jacksonville Jaguars is here. This Jaguars defensive line you, it's something you can't screw around with.
56:24Now obviously the Broncos offensive line has been quite good in recent years was not good in week one and so again this
56:31is on the road and JK Dobbins has to have a rushing touchdown to be relevant.
56:34It is that simple.
56:35>> They are projected for 24 points so like maybe by the end of the week I feel a little bit more comfortable to slide him
56:40up >> I really hope so. That would be great for my bags. Um we'll see about Jonah Coleman. They didn't play him at all.
56:47I'm guessing most the most likely outcome is that doesn't change this week. I think by the end of the season it will change, but like if they didn't
56:53play him in week one, I don't know why they would all of a sudden play him in week two. Jacksonville is they're gonna
56:58be very difficult to run the ball on that. It's it's as simple as that. Um uh and RJ Harvey was out there for not just
57:04receiving stuff. He had some um uh rush attempts early on in that game. So yeah, it was obviously the worst uh possible
57:11situation in terms of game script last week. That's not going to be the case in most games for JK Dobbins. But there's
57:17also like not that huge of a ceiling. I I will say he he did have one rep where he cut the ball outside and I thought
57:23that he looked really quick and I was like, "Oh, that looks like the same old JK Dobbins." Like he some somehow comes
57:28back from injury and like still looks like the same exact player every single time. So like credit credit to him for
57:33for being able to do that.
57:34>> The Jon Coleman point, you know, sometimes the real fantasy values are some of the players that get cut in week
57:41one. I'm not saying it's going to happen in week two, but again, if the Broncos offense struggles, which it might against the Jaguars defense, as we
57:49brought up in SAS versus film, they have to like try to inject something in there. And maybe over the course of the
57:55next few weeks, that could be Jonah Coleman because he is like the only one that like didn't play.
57:59>> Well, also JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey both got steamrolled in pass protection to get Bo Knicks killed like both of them.
58:06So, like even if even if they're running the ball pretty well uh and the team looks better, if like we have more pass
58:11protection issues from the running backs in in this game as as we had the last one, like they're going to have to get
58:15Jonah Coleman out there. That's like one of the calling cards for Coleman's uh profile, >> right? So, my point in that is Jonah
58:21Coleman was probably dropped for like Kalin Black, which makes sense or maybe some other wide receiver. So, if he's now available in your league, a
58:27speculative ad I think is potentially there if you missed out on some others.
58:32Uh okay, Tony Pard is I think the last backfield that we have not discussed yet. This is uh against the Philadelphia
58:39Eagles. Um I mean the Titans run game was just neutered from the jump >> over the last four games including last
58:47season and that's with Tai Spears mixing in at the end of last season. He's the RB 41 on RB37 usage.
58:56Titans are 31st in projected points.
58:58They looked miserable last week. I thought Cam Ward had a terrible showing and it was maybe even more concerning because I didn't think that the
59:06offensive line was even that bad. It was just like Cam Ward just like stunk. Uh scheme I don't think was that great
59:11either. Uh and this is a split. Ta Spears played uh like pretty much like every kind of other drive as we saw last
59:18year. And so Tony Per lost a bunch of snaps and touches in the second half of the game when they were losing by a lot.
59:24Now they get the Philadelphia Eagles.
59:26>> Yeah. It's over.
59:29Yeah. Uh, and again, they played the fewest amount of heavier personnel sets in the NFL in week one. And actually, two of their best runs came out of those
59:38heavier personnel looks. So, okay, I'm going to throw everyone else on the board here, Hayden. From Rico Dow to RJ
59:47Harvey to Blake Cororm to Kalin Black.
59:51Uh, I mean, you also have Trevian and Tyler Algier and Chris Rodriguez and Alvin Chimera and all sorts. Pick one of
59:58these names if you want to say anything about anyone here.
60:00>> I think these are not flex guys. These are kind of bench stashes and kind of wait and see. If I if I had to pick one,
60:08I guess it would be like RJ Harvey um getting him out in space against like the linebackers. It' be something like
60:13that. But uh because he did play like plenty enough and he's got some juice and they do do some of the red zone
60:18stuff and if we don't think they're going to be able to like run the ball at like the four yard line against that
60:22team, like maybe they get a little bit creative. So like that would be like my my dart throw. But if you're starting
60:27these guys, you're you're in trouble.
60:28>> I think Korm could be one, too, with the Rams projected for 27 and a >> half. Yep. Yeah. Same thing with Kaylin
60:34Black. Blake Cororm. Kaylin Black. It's, you know, they're winning by a lot and they're rotating drives >> cuz Corm was good in his carries last
60:41week. He's just not as trusted, especially in passing situations as Kairen is. And when you're trailing by 18 points or whatever it was, then
60:48that's where he's going to sit. But, you know, if they're tied and the markets have them winning by seven and a half,
60:54then I think there's a chance that both Kairen and Blake Cororm get in the end zone for this game.
60:59>> Yeah, I think Cororm's really good.
61:00Like, just watching him like that that me is an NFL starter.
61:04>> All right, that does it. Thanks for tuning in everyone again. Oh, I forgot to talk about the Lions and Bills wide
61:12receivers. Any final notes on that real quick? Uh, I mean, is it as simple as, hey, you start DJ Moore, hey, you start
61:19A I'm on Rasim Brown and then is Jameson Williams the only question here. Whereas in week one, his stat line would have
61:25looked a whole lot better if he didn't have the drops. But he has a case of drops he's kind of over the last 10
61:31games or so.
61:32>> I guess my biggest take is I got DJ Moore as my wide receiver 13 on the week. Um, just like let's just party
61:38right away. His role was awesome. He looked explosive and they wanted to pass the ball a little bit more than maybe we
61:43were expecting. in the Lions secondary.
61:45They keep losing guys. Like I think DJ Reed's going to miss this game. Rocky Austin was limping off last week. Like
61:50secondary was bad. They're getting worse every like every hour I refresh the timeline. It seems to be getting worse there. JMO is he's going to be the more
61:57challenging one uh because Sam Leaporta was getting some work over the middle.
62:02Like there there's some historical onoff splits with Jameson Williams. Like the there's lower volume. the type of volume that he gets with Sam Leaport is
62:10typically more down the football field which means that Jim's like going to finish as like the wide receiver 10 or like the wide receiver 80 and you know
62:17like me trying to figure out which one that's going to be on a week toe basis is going to be hard. So I pretty much
62:22have like no choice like put Jameson Williams like my wide receiver 30 and like you guys got to live with the
62:27results if you have Jameson Williams.
62:28Now it's good to live with results when you're projected for 25 points. So I think it's not the worst situation. I
62:32think he's going to probably face Christian Benford who was shadowing uh Nico Collins last week. Uh I don't think he's going to be going into the slot
62:39against Ahmad.
62:40>> Yeah, every single Detroit Lions fan is asking Brad Holmes to trade for Joey Porter Jr. Um so we'll see.
62:47>> That'd be that'd be pretty sick.
62:48>> That'd be pretty sick. Um yeah, they don't have either of their safeties and with the vertical passing game, especially with uh Don and Cade in
62:56there. Uh, I mean it hopefully hopefully hopefully Thursday Night Football does not curse us and we actually get points here. That is projected uh in the
63:05markets out there for what a 54 and a half total right now. Please, I need it.
63:10>> All right, that does it for us. We'll be back here on Friday with wide receiver rankings. Then we do it all over again
63:16with a let's say refresh, refined Sunday morning show with even more of your questions answered uh at 10:30 a.m.
63:24Eastern. and we'll finish it off with Sunday night recap. All right, everyone.
63:28Up the bill. Talk to you guys soon.