Stop Overpaying! | 5 Fantasy Football Pivots to Dominate Your Draft
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
29 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
May 26, 2026
Published
Tue, May 26, 2026
41
Player insights
31
Players mentioned
Topics
Isaiah LikelyGeorge KittleChristian McCaffreyBijan RobinsonBrashard SmithBucky IrvingCeeDee LambChris BrooksD'Andre SwiftDarius SlaytonDarnell MooneyDrake LondonEmanuel WilsonGeorge Pickens
Player analysis
Player insights
Bijan Robinson
PositiveRole0:06
Bijan Robinson will get high volume in Atlanta's offense, which limits target share available to Drake London.
Insight pageBrashard Smith
PositiveRole0:11
Brashad Smith, a former wide receiver now in year two at RB for Kansas City, had 25 receptions last year and could limit Kenneth Walker's pass-catching ceiling.
Insight pageBucky Irving
NegativeInjury0:13
The analyst is actively avoiding Bucky Irving at 45th overall due to ongoing shoulder issues, a new offensive coordinator (Zac Robinson), and concerns about regression despite his strong early-season volume last year.
Insight pageCeeDee Lamb
PositiveValue0:02
CeeDee Lamb is being drafted at 9th overall, but the analyst questions whether he'll be WR1 overall and notes he was outscored by teammate George Pickens last year despite being a mega target earner.
Insight pageChris Brooks
PositiveDepth Chart0:09
Chris Brooks is being used as a handcuff RB in Green Bay behind Josh Jacobs.
Insight pageChristian McCaffrey
PositiveUsage0:24
McCaffrey is described as a 'freak show' with the ability to get 100 passes again, demonstrating absolute freak volume potential.
Insight pageD'Andre Swift
PositiveValue0:15
DeAndre Swift at 53rd overall is a safer pivot than Bucky Irving at 45th overall—he's had 3 straight seasons of 959+ rushing yards, averaged 14.5 PPG last year, and is in a better offensive situation with Ben Johnson in year two in Chicago.
Insight pageDarius Slayton
PositiveRole0:26
Slayton remains in the Giants offense and will compete for targets alongside new wide receivers and other pass catchers.
Insight pageDarnell Mooney
PositiveRole0:26
Mooney is a new wide receiver in the Giants offense who will compete for targets alongside other pass catchers.
Insight pageDrake London
PositiveValue0:04
Drake London at 19th overall is a better pivot than CeeDee Lamb at 9th overall—he's 3 years younger, averaged 16.5-16.8 PPG, and had multiple weeks as WR1 overall (weeks 6, 9, 10 with 24+ points each).
Insight pageEmanuel Wilson
PositiveDepth Chart0:09
Green Bay made no effort to replace Emanuel Wilson, instead using Chris Brooks and MarShawn Lloyd as handcuff RBs, which supports Josh Jacobs' role security.
Insight pageGeorge Kittle
NegativeInjury0:23
George Kittle tore his Achilles in the playoffs last year and is turning 33 years old, making his TE9 ADP feel more dangerous despite being top-3 in TE PPG last year.
Insight pageNegativeInjury0:23
Kittle tore his Achilles in the playoffs last year and is turning 33 years old, which creates health concerns heading into the season.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:23
Kittle was top three in tight end points per game last year, but the analyst feels it's more dangerous to draft him at tight end nine overall this year.
Insight pageNegativeProjection0:27
Kittle is expected to miss the beginning of the year, limiting his early-season fantasy value.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens
PositiveProjection0:03
George Pickens outscored teammate CeeDee Lamb last year, averaging 18.5 PPG, which raises questions about Lamb's WR1 overall ceiling at 9th overall ADP.
Insight pageGus Edwards
NegativeValue0:20
The analyst is fading Gus Edwards, preferring Kenneth Gainwell as a pass-catching running back option at a much cheaper price tag.
Insight pageIsaiah Likely
PositiveBreakout0:25
Likely signed a big free agent contract with the Giants and his old head coach John Harbaugh; at 26 years old, it feels like this will be his breakout year after years of waiting.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:25
John Harbaugh's goal for Likely last year was to finish as All-Pro, not just Pro Bowler, suggesting high expectations for his performance.
Insight pagePositiveInjury0:26
Likely is a healthier player compared to Kittle, who is coming off a torn Achilles.
Insight pagePositiveValue0:26
Likely is going at 133 overall in Underdog Best Ball ADP, 15 spots cheaper than Kittle at 118 overall, making him a better value proposition.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:26
Likely is positioned to lead his team in targets, or finish number two behind Malik Nabers, giving him significant target share potential.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:27
Likely can play off-script during Jackson Dart's scramble moments and serve as a safety valve for the young quarterback, especially when Nabers is banged up.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:27
Likely can get off to a very fast start and has unknown upside, making him a legitimate pivot away from Kittle.
Insight pageJ.K. Dobbins
PositiveRole0:19
J.K. Dobbins faces competition from R.J. Harvey and Justice Hill in Denver's backfield, with Justice Hill being more of a threat to Dobbins' role than Harvey.
Insight pageJake Ferguson
PositiveRole0:06
Jake Ferguson is receiving some touchdown equity in Dallas, which limits target share available to CeeDee Lamb.
Insight pageJavonte Williams
PositiveRole0:06
Javonte Williams in year two is receiving some touchdown equity in Dallas, which limits target share available to CeeDee Lamb.
Insight pageJayden Reed
PositiveRole0:09
Jayden Reed is returning to Green Bay, which could create manufactured touches for WRs, but shouldn't significantly affect Josh Jacobs' role if healthy.
Insight pageJosh Jacobs
PositiveValue0:09
Josh Jacobs at 16th overall (vs Kenneth Walker at 10th) is a better value—he's been the focal point of LaFleur's offense with 28 rushing TDs and 2,200+ rushing yards over 2 years, and Green Bay made no effort to replace Emanuel Wilson.
Insight pageKenneth Gainwell
PositiveValue0:20
Kenneth Gainwell at 116th overall (RB38) is a better value than R.J. Harvey at 84th overall—he had a career year with 73 receptions, 8 TDs, and 13 PPG last year, and could maintain a major receiving role in Tampa Bay.
Insight pageKenneth Walker III
NegativeValue0:07
Kenneth Walker is being drafted at the back of round one/early round two, but the analyst worries about his ADP price tag despite liking the player, noting he's never had a 300-touch season and faces competition from backup RBs Emmit Johnson and Brashad Smith.
Insight pageKyle Pitts
PositiveRole0:06
Kyle Pitts will be in a high-volume targeted role in Atlanta, but Drake London benefits from the lack of a strong wide receiver two threat.
Insight pageMalachi Fields
PositiveRole0:26
Fields is a new wide receiver in the Giants offense who will compete for targets alongside other pass catchers.
Insight pageMalik Nabers
NegativeInjury0:25
It's feeling more and more likely that Malik Nabers is going to spend some time on the PUP list at the beginning of the year.
Insight pageMarShawn Lloyd
PositiveDepth Chart0:09
MarShawn Lloyd is being used as a handcuff RB in Green Bay behind Josh Jacobs.
Insight pageMike Evans
NegativeRole0:24
Evans' addition to the 49ers could be an annoying presence for George Kittle fantasy managers, potentially competing for targets in the offense.
Insight pageRJ Harvey
NegativeValue0:18
R.J. Harvey at 84th overall (RB31) is overpriced relative to Kenneth Gainwell—Harvey had 47 receptions as a rookie but faces competition from J.K. Dobbins and Justice Hill.
Insight pageTyrone Tracy
PositiveRole0:27
Tracy is a backup running back in the Giants passing game who could get targeted if Scarabou is injured.
Insight pageXavier Williams
PositiveRole0:09
Xavier Williams is a year older in Green Bay and could receive some manufactured touches, but shouldn't significantly affect Josh Jacobs' role.
Insight pageZachariah Branch
PositiveRole0:06
Zachariah Branch is a rookie WR for Atlanta who could punch above his weight, but even if he has a strong season, he won't significantly affect Drake London's target share.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00Breaking down the top five fantasy football pivot picks you can make in 2026. You might not like paying the elevated cost for a few players. Can we
0:10find cheaper values that can outperform with similar outlooks in terms of usage?
0:16We're going to break it down right after this.
0:20>> [music] >> That's him. That's the OG.
0:30>> [music] >> All right, Theo Gremminger Fantasy Football Daily right here on Fantasy Points YouTube. Fantasy Points YouTube going live every single morning right at
0:4210:00 a.m. on the East Coast every single weekday bringing you information that can help you crush your fantasy leagues this season. Make sure you hit
0:49that subscribe button. Hit that like button if you're enjoying what you're seeing. So, we talk about draft this player not that one. We talk about being
0:58able to pivot. And then if you want to go highbrow, you talk a little bit about arbitrage. Can I find a similar value at
1:07a cheaper ADP price tag? And you see it all the time in fantasy football. This is not like some revolutionary concept.
1:13The idea that ADP is correct is sort of a false one. ADP can get a lot of things right. You get into like wisdom of the
1:21crowd, a bunch of smart people drafting, but then you start getting in like the repetitive nature of ADP sort of locking
1:28people in and saying, "I must take this person if I'm picking eighth. I must take this person if I'm picking ninth."
1:35And then you see players just crush it a couple picks later, maybe a round later.
1:41Think about last year. The idea of Ladd McConkey, A.J. Brown going at the end of round two, somewhere in that mid to end
1:49of round two range.
1:51Jackson Smith-Njigba chilling inside of round three, sort of in that early round three range. Six picks later, seven picks later off of your A.J. Brown pick,
2:01you could have had JSN.
2:04Three picks later after your Ladd McConkey pick, you could have had Jaxon Smith-Njigba. So, like, it's not an exact science, and we're going to be
2:11wrong on this sort of process, but sometimes we're going to be right, and we can sometimes be right and help you
2:17win your leagues doing it. So, let's talk about some potential pivots that we can make off of players with elevated ADP price tags. And some of the players
2:27I'm talking about right now, I don't hate the player.
2:30I might not love the ADP. We are open-minded to drafting everybody. We don't hold grudges here. We want to win in fantasy football. So, when I talk
2:39about CeeDee Lamb at the very top here, CeeDee Lamb has been a my guy for years.
2:44I have a Honda Civic worth of CeeDee Lamb in dynasty still. CeeDee Lamb is an awesome, awesome fantasy asset for years
2:53and years and years.
2:54But, this year, according to Underdog, he's back up to nine overall in ADP. So, like, CeeDee Lamb at nine overall, are we getting a scenario where CeeDee
3:06Lamb is the wide receiver one overall again?
3:10I don't know. And when I'm drafting a player at nine overall and he's a wide receiver, then I want access to the wide receiver
3:19one overall.
3:20CeeDee Lamb is 27 years old. CeeDee Lamb is still a tremendous talent and a mega target earner.
3:28But, we did see last year where CeeDee Lamb was outscored by a teammate at the same position in George Pickens. Now, I
3:35get it. CeeDee Lamb was banged up last year, and CeeDee Lamb, uh, is going to be healthy going into this season. CeeDee
3:42Lamb's in a position to make me look very foolish by putting him on this list. And CeeDee Lamb, even with the
3:48injuries last year, was still giving me in that 14 and a half to 15 point per game ratio. Uh, excuse me, scoring. Uh,
3:56but when I look at the board, I say CeeDee Lamb at nine at nine overall or Drake London at nine 19 overall, and I'm
4:06sort of gravitating towards Drake London.
4:09Drake London is 24 years old. So, I'm getting a player that is three years younger and I think has very similar, if
4:18not a higher, fantasy football ceiling this year. Now, Drake London, there's a new coaching staff in town and you've got Kevin Stefanski, you got Tommy Reese
4:28coming over from from Cleveland. Now, does that mean more of the same for Drake London?
4:34And when I look at Drake London, Drake London averaged 16 and a half points per game in 2024 and averaged 16.8 points per game last
4:43year.
4:44And last year was disappointing the way it ended because he only played in 12 total games. But with Drake London, I
4:53end up getting a player that was on an absolute heater last year.
4:58Drake London had a number of weeks in a row where he finished as the wide receiver one overall. It was three out
5:05of four weeks. In week six, in week nine, and week 10, Drake London was the wide receiver one overall with at least
5:1524 points scored in every week. He also had a 25 point week in week four. So, I think we're getting a little bit of a
5:22discount here based on the way Drake London's season ended rather than sort of how it was in the mid in the middle.
5:29Drake London also came back and played banged up last year to end the year. So, for me, I can get Drake London with the
5:3619th overall pick on on Underdog and sort of get the very similar outcome to what CeeDee Lamb could be and I would
5:45argue that the ceiling outcome for Drake London might be even higher because you have a scenario where Atlanta's offense might be a little bit underrated right
5:55now because of the lack of quarterback clarity and I get that. People are going to say, "Yo, Theo, Dak Prescott is
6:01throwing passes to CeeDee Lamb and you're telling me Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix who can support somebody maybe scoring more points doesn't really
6:09make sense." But I'll point out the teammate target competition for CeeDee Lamb is George Pickens who just averaged 18 and 1/2 points per game. You also
6:18have some of the touchdown equity going to a guy like Jake Ferguson and then Javonte Williams in year two in this
6:25offense. Whereas Atlanta, we know Bijan Robinson is going to get everything he can handle and Kyle Pitts is also going to be in a high-volume targeted role.
6:36But you've got the lack of wide receiver two I think really, really helps Drake London. And even if his Zachariah Branch
6:44punches way above his weight class, so to speak, and has a strong rookie season, he's not going to affect Drake London. So, Drake London is one of the
6:54best pivots you can make right now. You can get him at 19 overall versus CeeDee Lamb at nine overall. I think Drake
7:02London could outscore CeeDee Lamb. I think Drake London could outscore Justin Jefferson. I think Drake London, if it things go right, could end up outscoring
7:11Amon-Ra St. Brown. So, I'm talking about three wide receivers go earlier than him by at least 10 slots. So, we're talking
7:19about Drake London.
7:20Okay, we talk about we really like this player, but can we find a cheaper price tag?
7:27Let's talk about Kenneth Walker who I really love Kenneth Walker this year.
7:32Kenneth Walker is a player that we're excited about here at Fantasy Points and I just dropped a post yesterday on X and
7:39I'm like, "Kenneth Walker looks inclu- incredibly rocked up. Like Kenneth Walker looks like he put on 10 pounds of muscle this off season. He's ready to
7:47go.
7:48There's a lot of positive buzz with how he could perform this year in Kansas City. Kansas City's going to lean into
7:54Kenneth Walker a ton and theoretically Kenneth Walker is going to have easily the highest volume season of his entire career.
8:04Not an incredibly high bar for him to cross considering that Kenneth Walker has never had a 300 touch season at any
8:12point in his career. And a lot of that was reflective to Seattle. Seattle last year with Clint Kubiak wanted to mix in
8:19two backs. Pete Carroll wanted to mix in Zach Charbonnet and also Zach Charbonnet was quote-unquote good at football.
8:25People can be haters on Charbonnet, but Charbonnet was a good pass blocker.
8:29Charbonnet was effective finding the end zone. We're not relitigating the usage last year with Clint Kubiak, but Kenneth Walker right now is being
8:36drafted towards sort of what a ceiling outcome could look like. You're seeing Kenneth Walker being taken inside of the back of round one. You're seeing him
8:45going off the board repeatedly in the beginning of round two. So Kenneth Walker, there's a whole lot to like in the
8:52profile, but there's not a lot to like in having to use that sort of an ADP price tag for him.
8:59And can we find a cheaper option than Kenneth Walker with a similar outcome in the range of outcomes. So I
9:09don't really have to look down too far to find a player that I think if he stays upright could end up outscoring
9:17Kenneth Walker and it's a boring one, but it's Josh Jacobs. And Josh Jacobs, I get it. Josh Jacobs is getting older.
9:25Josh Jacobs has had two high high volume seasons in a row. He's 28 years old.
9:31This is the type of back with this type of volume over the last two years that ends up falling off a little bit. But,
9:40with Josh Jacobs, the Green Bay Packers sort of told me everything I need to know about Jacobs by what they didn't do this off-season.
9:49They made no effort to replace Emanuel Wilson. Instead, they choose to use Chris Brooks and MarShawn Lloyd as their
9:59{quote} "handcuff" running backs. Now, they get back Jayden Reed, Xavier on Williams is a year older. Do we see some manufactured touches for like those wide
10:08receivers who are effective at potential running the ball? Maybe, but is that going to affect Josh Jacobs if healthy?
10:15Josh Jacobs has been the focal point of the LaFleur offense for two years in a row at a really, really high volume rate.
10:24And when I look at the touchdowns, it hasn't even been close. Josh Jacobs has given us 28 rushing touchdowns over the
10:32last two years, and he's giving us over 2,200 rushing yards. Uh volume-wise, we saw a 300 rush attempt season in 2024.
10:42Last year, Josh Jacobs fell to 234 rush attempts, but again, I think that that number probably trends up to 270 again
10:49this year if healthy.
10:51And reception total-wise, Jacobs is not some zero. Uh the guy's had 36 receptions in back-to-back seasons, which when you factor in the sort of
11:01volume he's going to get as a runner, Josh Jacobs, I think will will be effective again this year uh as a runner, but certainly the
11:10expectation is he's going to get us 35 catches. And doesn't sound like a lot, but it sort of bakes in the floor. A lot
11:16of taking Kenneth Walker at the 1-2 turn is he's going to end up catching a bunch of passes this year, too. That's what
11:22Andy Reid running backs sort of do.
11:24They're opportunistic pass catchers, and sometimes they're teed up to get some design targets. But, when it comes to the Kansas City Chiefs,
11:33in the back of my mind, I look at the two backup running backs there, and Emmit Johnson out of Nebraska was a
11:40very, very successful pass catcher, 40-plus receptions this past year at Nebraska. They seem to like him. And then the other running back vying for
11:49the running back two job there is Brashad Smith. And Brashad Smith will be entering year two, and Brashad Smith, now 23 years old, was a former wide
11:59receiver. So, like I get it. Brashad Smith is not somebody who we think is going to affect fantasy, but Brashad Smith did have 25 receptions last year.
12:10So, if Brashad Smith has 25 receptions again this year, that's annoying for Josh Jacobs. I mean, excuse me, annoying for Kenneth Walker. But, if Brashad
12:19Smith ends up having 40 receptions, it's really, really annoying for Kenneth Walker drafters. Anything that's going to limit the ceiling outcome for Kenneth
12:28Walker is going to be annoying when you're having to take him as a first-round pick. But, with Josh Jacobs, I'm able to get Jacobs at 16 overall,
12:37Kenneth Walker at 10 overall for the running backs. And if you look at overall rankings, right now on Underdog, Kenneth Walker costs you 16 overall, and
12:46sometimes it's higher. Josh Jacobs I'm able to get inside of round three, right at that 2-3 turn at 25 overall. So, it's
12:55about 10 spots of draft capital difference, just like CeeDee Lamb, just like Drake London. I think I'm getting a potentially higher scoring outcome
13:05player in Josh Jacobs. Now, the ceiling for Kenneth Walker is going to be higher for me than the ceiling with Josh
13:12Jacobs. If I'm chasing a ceiling here, realistically, I'm going to go with the younger back in Kansas City this year, but if I'm chasing sort of a floor or
13:21like a median output, I think Josh Jacobs gives me that, and then we will get him 10 spots lower. It's not as
13:27exciting as taking like sort of the new hotness, taking the 28-year-old running back.
13:32Uh but, I think Josh Jacobs gives me that. Talking about the next potential pivot, got a couple of lower players here. And I have been very vocal about
13:41how worried I am about Bucky Irving. And I think drafters are starting to follow suit. I'm not the only one that's
13:48worried about Bucky Irving right now.
13:49The vibes are not great. Still recovering from shoulder issues. Bucky Irving also has a new offensive coordinator in Zac Robinson who comes
13:58over from Atlanta.
14:00And with Zac Robinson, it's like a couple of years back when Zac Robinson was hired by Atlanta, there was a bunch
14:06of teams who really wanted him. Sean McVay coaching tree. But, we would say the results of it in Atlanta were whatever. I mean, the guy got fantasy
14:15points out of Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts. But, I think a lot of coaches could have gotten fantasy points out of those guys. Sounds very
14:23simplistic. But, if we're giving a grade, a letter grade to Zac Robinson's job in Atlanta, what's he getting? C plus? B minus?
14:32Uh did some good things for us in fantasy, but in terms of the overall pie, it wasn't like this guy's out there
14:38uh performing at an exceedingly high level. Gets the Tampa Bay job. Now, Tampa Bay's looked at as a really exciting offense, but is there a chance
14:47that Tampa Bay regresses a little bit this year? I think possibly. Uh I like Emeka Egbuka sort of at his cost, but
14:54I'm not reaching for him.
14:55And I'm actively avoiding Bucky Irving.
14:58So, for me, I look at Bucky Irving at 45 overall, and I'm sure that there was people who were like, "Bucky Irving at 45 seems
15:06like a value to me. It's cheaper than what I had to pay for him last year."
15:11The volume for Bucky Irving was very good to start the year last year. And if he simply steps right back into that the
15:16high volume role, then I think Bucky Irving's going to make Theo and everybody fading him look kind of stupid. But for me, I'm going to take
15:24safer options around later or I'm going to take better options a little bit earlier. I don't like drafting Bucky Irving at running back 20. And I
15:33certainly don't like having to to draft him at 45 overall.
15:38And then I look a few spots later. 45 overall for Bucky Irving or 53 overall for De'Andre Swift. Now, De'Andre Swift again, you're talking
15:48about a player who's a little bit older, uh four years older than Bucky Irving.
15:53Uh De'Andre Swift is 27 years old now.
15:55And De'Andre Swift, there's nothing like when you draft him, nobody's like, "Ooh man, that's a great pick." He's looked at more like a structural pick. But when
16:05I look at De'Andre Swift, it's been three straight seasons of at least 959 rushing yards including 2,000 yard rushing seasons in 2023 and 2025.
16:16Last year, he ends up averaging 14 and 1/2 points per game with only 34 receptions. Now, could a wrinkle in Chicago be De'Andre Swift's reception
16:26totals move up to the 45 to 50 range? We know he's sort of capable of doing that and we've seen backs do that in Ben
16:33Johnson offenses.
16:35So, I think Swift's target total and reception total is going to be pretty high.
16:40And you also have with De'Andre Swift, he's been very durable the last three years. He's played at least 16 or 17
16:47games in three straight seasons.
16:50I'm in a much better offensive situation than I am with Bucky Irving. Chicago, I think with Ben Johnson in year two, is a
16:57team that could finish top five in scoring this year. That wouldn't surprise me. Whereas Tampa Bay, I'm looking at my third offensive
17:05coordinator in three years. So, I'm able to pivot off of Bucky Irving as the running back 20, wait a few spots, about
17:14uh little little over half of a round difference in going from 45 overall to 53 overall. And I get that safety of
17:22DeAndre Swift. And I know people are going to say, you know, Theo, the the threat of Khalil Mignon guy is there.
17:28Mignon guy's role could sort of could sort of go up a little bit this year. But I'm sort of in the camp that
17:34DeAndre Swift is the safer of the two Chicago backs. DeAndre Swift cost me more than Khalil Mignon guy, but I think
17:42if this offense goes nuts, it's going to be the balanced nature of DeAndre Swift rather than like the touchdown equity that I could get out of
17:52Khalil Mignon guy. That's just my take.
17:53Let me know in the comments if you like drafting Khalil Mignon guy more than DeAndre Swift, but I can get a cheaper
18:00option out of DeAndre Swift than the risk that's associated with Bucky Irving. Now, if Bucky Irving plays 17 games and gets over the shoulder injury
18:10and gets back to what we saw rookie year and what we saw at the beginning of last year, but again, his ceiling outcome is
18:17better than what we're getting in DeAndre Swift, but I think in terms of floor and in terms of median outcome, DeAndre Swift for me
18:25better pick right now and a safer pick, even though it feels like the more boring one. Uh keeping this one going,
18:32let's stick at the running back position.
18:35R.J. Harvey all the way down to running back 31.
18:4084 overall on Underdog.
18:43And I've heard a lot of sort of smart takes on R.J. Harvey.
18:48And I think buying DeAndre Harvey in dynasty now that he's gotten like beat to death in terms of his price tag and
18:54his ranking makes a little bit of a sense because if he can be the most valuable Denver Broncos running back this year over J.K.
19:03Dobbins, then I think he'll pay off at his like depressed price tag.
19:08But when I look at the at R.J. Harvey, it feels like people trying to play catch play catch-up structurally on like
19:15Underdog. And then in redraft, I get it.
19:18Taking him around the RB 30 spot, if he gets into sort of like a Darren Sproles-like role as the pass-catching back on this offense and mixes in enough
19:28as a runner.
19:30We saw the guy score a lot of touchdowns last year, and I think he could end up being effective. There's also the idea
19:36that R.J. Harvey's going to sort of be what he is, a guy who had 47 receptions as a rookie.
19:44And the Justice Hill stuff is a little bit more of a threat to J.K. Dobbins.
19:49And also Denver as an offense could just score a lot of points here. But I look at if I'm chasing a pass-catching
19:56running back, why don't I chase one that caught a lot of passes last year at a much, much cheaper price tag?
20:03And it sort of plays off of my fade of Gus Edwards.
20:07I can pass on R.J. Harvey at running back 31, 84th overall on Underdog, and take Kenneth Gainwell as the running
20:16back 38. So I get seven spots of of running back delta, running back 31 to running back 38.
20:25And then I'm getting 32 spots overall from 84 overall down to 116 overall for Kenneth Gainwell.
20:34And when it comes to Kenneth Gainwell, there's a chance that even if even if Gus Edwards is healthier than we think,
20:42Kenneth Gainwell is just going to maintain this incredible receiving role that we saw last year in Pittsburgh.
20:50Gainwell is 27 years old and just had a career year last year where he had eight touchdowns, averaged 13 points per game.
20:59But the key number is 73. He had 73 receptions last year and then ends up signing this free agent contract. So,
21:08for me I think Tampa Bay has given him the expectation that he's going to end up being a major part of this offense.
21:1573 receptions last year he could regress and still be in that 55 to 60 range. I still think he can out-catch
21:25RJ Harvey this year and I'm getting him at this depressed price tag. Now, if Bucky Irving does miss time last year
21:33Kenneth Gainwell averaged 4.7 yards per carry. He had 537 rushing yards, played all 17 games. And of course, when you add that to his 486
21:43receiving yards, you're getting over 1,000 total yards. I also think the coaches seem to gravitate towards Kenneth Gainwell. Kenneth Gainwell, we
21:52all know how much Nick Nick Sirianni really liked having him as an Eagle, like rocking his t-shirt to to press conferences and stuff like that. And now
22:00you see Kenneth Gainwell last year gets to Mike Tomlin for a year, ends up performing really really well. So, I can
22:06pass on RJ Harvey and 32 picks later get Kenneth Gainwell.
22:11So, so far we talked about CD Lamb at nine overall. I can get Drake London instead at 19 overall. We talked about
22:19passing up on the appeal and allure of Kenneth Walker at running back 10 overall and instead getting the kind of boring older veteran
22:29Shout out to Josh Jacobs. Nothing boring about you, man. You score a lot of touchdowns, but more boring pick right now than Kenneth Walker. I can get
22:37running back 16 Josh Jacobs and he can absolutely outscore running back 10 Kenneth Walker.
22:43Then I talk about passing on Bucky Irving and all the problems that I think are kind of coming into fruition being
22:49associated with this shoulder injury and how Bucky can't seem to get over it and it's about to be June. And we get Bucky
22:57Irving passing on him at RB 20 and instead embracing Ben Johnson year two with the 27-year-old DeAndre Swift. So, I'm finding a little bit of value in
23:08older running backs with the last two pivots.
23:11And I'm going to go on the flip side here. I'm going to fade the old guy here. And shout out to Scott Barrett. We
23:17had this conversation um on a recent show right here on Fantasy Points YouTube where Scott talked about the appeal of George Kittle at tight end
23:25nine. And I get it. George Kittle's been a weapon of mass destruction, an absolute terminator for us at the tight end position. And really, if we're doing
23:34a Mount Rushmore of fantasy football tight ends, George Kittle's probably up there. Um let us know your Mount Rushmore for fantasy tight ends. But I
23:41think Kittle sort of makes the cut if we're going five five five guys on there. George Kittle's there.
23:47Um But when it comes to George Kittle, you're talking about a guy who tore his Achilles in the playoffs last year.
23:52You're talking about a guy who's turning 33 years old.
23:55And I'm having to take him at tight end nine overall. Now, can George Kittle hit at tight end nine? Sure. He was top
24:03three in tight end points per game last year.
24:07Um but it feels a little more dangerous to me this year. You've also got the Christian McCaffrey freak show at the in
24:14the first round where McCaffrey could get you 100 passes again. He's an absolute freak when it comes to volume.
24:20Uh the health is there for for McCaffrey. You've got the addition of Mike Evans, a guy who could maybe be a
24:26little more annoying if he stays healthy than previous wide receiver ones that Kittle's had to deal with. I get it, Deebo Samuel. I get it, Brandon Aiyuk.
24:34But Mike Evans, if healthy and fully embraced and sort of like a 2026 version of 2025 Davante Adams, could be an annoying presence for like
24:43George Kittle fantasy managers.
24:45And I'm able to see that George Kittle like 118 overall and tight end nine overall in Underdog, like I get it.
24:52That's appealing. And it's sort of a range where I'm drafting a ceiling. I'm chasing upside, but can I find a cheaper
25:00tight end with a better fantasy ceiling?
25:03And I think I can, and it feels like sacrilege to even say this, but I think Isaiah Likely, and I might get killed in
25:09the chat for this one, but I think Isaiah Likely has a higher fantasy ceiling this year than George Kittle.
25:15Isaiah Likely signs a big free agent contract, ends up in New York with his old head coach, uh and and John Harbaugh.
25:25And Isaiah Likely's a player that we've just been waiting on and waiting on and waiting on. 26 years old, it feels like
25:30it's going to be his year.
25:32Uh Isaiah Likely, let's not forget John Harbaugh last year before Isaiah Likely got injured, said his goal for Isaiah Likely was to finish as a All-Pro, not
25:41Pro Bowler, All-Pro. And a lot of that's hyperbole, hyping up his guy, but it felt like last year was Isaiah Likely's
25:48season ready to happen, even with Mark Andrews, and I think we'll see it this year.
25:53And with Likely, I get the added benefit, I mean, it's a benefit for Likely if Malik Nabers misses the beginning of the year, and it's feeling
26:01more and more likely like Malik Nabers is going to spend some time on the pup.
26:06So, with Isaiah Likely, I'm getting a tight end cheaper than Kittle, younger than Kittle, and in a position to lead his team in targets. I'm also getting a
26:16healthier player as opposed to a player coming off of a torn Achilles. Isaiah Likely at 133 overall, Kittle is at 118 overall. So, I'm
26:26getting a 15 spot difference, and there's a cluster of tight ends in that range, but I think Isaiah Likely is my
26:32favorite tight end bet in that range right now in Best Ball ADP over on Underdog. Isaiah Likely's going to cost you more if you're drafting on like
26:42FFPC, but I think he's worth it there as well, and he's going right around the same range as Kittle in that in that
26:48draft, or excuse me, in that format as well.
26:52But with Isaiah Likely, I have the chance to lead my team in targets, if not finish number two in targets behind
26:58Malik Nabers. I get it that there is wide receivers there, new wide receivers in Darnell Mooney, Malachi Fields, Darius Slayton still there. And Kam
27:07Scarabou, and if he's injured, Tyrone Tracy, running backs who are also going to get targeted in this passing game.
27:14But with Isaiah Likely, I think he's the best bet of all of them. The team brought him in as a free agent. He is
27:21very good at football, and I think we're going to see it this year. He also has the ability to play off script in those
27:28Jackson Dart moments where Jackson Dart starts to move around in the pocket. Can Isaiah Likely finish Can Can he play off
27:35script and be sort of the safety button, safety valve for still a young quarterback like Jackson Dart, especially in weeks where Malik Nabers
27:43is banged up? I think so. With George Kittle, I don't think I'm going to get off to a fast start. I think he's going
27:48to miss the beginning of the year. With Isaiah Likely, I think I can get off to a very fast start. And for Isaiah
27:54Likely, I have unknown upside. With Kittle, I think I have some downside risk. Therefore, I think Isaiah Likely a legitimate pivot. This is really fun
28:03today. I'm going to try to find more pivots for you all off season long right here on Fantasy Points YouTube and right
28:09on Fantasy Football Daily. If you're watching this in the YouTube show, let me know which of these pivots you like the most, which of these ones you think
28:16are absolutely stupid, and we're going to attempt to do this again multiple times a month and see if we can't find
28:22pivots for you that can help you crush your league. And if you want to take your game to another level, consider a
28:27Fantasy Points subscription.
28:30Some awesome content dropping all off season long, award-winning projections, rankings, tools. Get access to all of my dynasty rankings, articles, and more.
28:40Scott Barrett, Ryan Heath, Graham Barfield, and so many awesome contributors on the site every single day. Stick with us here at Fantasy
28:48Points. We're going to help you crush your leagues this season.
28:55>> [music]
