VideoFrom Fantasy Points
Fantasy Points
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
32 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 2, 2026
Published
Thu, July 2, 2026
30
Player insights
15
Players mentioned
Topics
A.J. BrownHunter HenryRomeo DoubsSaquon BarkleyTrayvon HendersonDallas GoedertDeVonta SmithDrake MayeD.J. MooreDK MetcalfGeorge PickensJaylen WaddleMichael PittmanMike Evans
Player analysis
Player insights
A.J. Brown
PositiveProjection0:03
At 29 years old, AJ Brown shows no signs of falling off and has historical precedent for elite production at this age; author is comfortable with him and believes he will score more points than Stefan Diggs did in the Patriots offense.
Insight pagePositiveBreakout0:05
This could be the wide receiver equivalent to Derrick Henry going to Baltimore Ravens; AJ Brown's shelf life gets extended with a new team and more target volume opportunity.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:06
AJ Brown is an apex predator and alpha wide receiver one who will be the focal point of Drake May's offense; author believes he will get the target volume he wanted in New England.
Insight pagePositiveDepth Chart0:30
AJ Brown was traded and is now on a new team, requiring fantasy managers to react quickly to understand his new role and projection.
Insight pageD.J. Moore
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
DJ Moore was traded this year, requiring fantasy managers to react quickly to his new team situation.
Insight pageDallas Goedert
PositiveProjection0:17
Dallas Goedert scored 11 touchdowns last year but likely won't have top-three tight end upside; author doesn't expect him to replicate that touchdown total.
Insight pagePositiveValue0:17
Dallas Goedert is underrated at tight end 15 pricing; with 11 touchdowns last year, he's a strong pick who should at least return his ADP value.
Insight pageDeVonta Smith
PositiveRole0:07
The Eagles view Devonta Smith as a true wide receiver one internally; with a new offensive coordinator (Shawn Manion) and a more pass-happy offense, he could see 140+ targets.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:07
Devonta Smith is expected to outscore his 2025 performance (11.9 PPG) and return to 2024 levels (15.3 PPG) or better with AJ Brown gone; author projects him in the 140+ target range.
Insight pageDK Metcalf
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
DK Metcalf was traded last year, requiring fantasy managers to quickly assess his new situation.
Insight pageDrake Maye
PositiveProjection0:09
Drake May was QB3 last year and can be drafted around QB7 range this year; with AJ Brown and improved offensive line, his passing touchdowns (31 last year) have room to grow.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:09
Drake May now has the best wide receiver he's ever played with in AJ Brown; the offensive line is more experienced and they added depth with Caleb Blomu at pick 31.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
George Pickens was traded last year, requiring fantasy managers to quickly assess his new situation.
Insight pageHunter Henry
PositiveRole0:23
Hunter Henry is an offseason loser who goes from being an opportunistic top target for Drake May to being third fiddle at best with the additions of AJ Brown and Eli Raridan.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:23
Hunter Henry is an offseason loser for the Patriots, going from being an opportunistic top target for Drake May to being third fiddle at best with the additions of Eli Rarin and Romeo Dubs.
Insight pageNegativeProjection0:23
Hunter Henry is a little bit older and this feels like the year production starts to fall; his 60+ receptions and nearly 800 receiving yards with seven touchdowns from the last two years are expected to scale back.
Insight pagePositiveValue0:24
The analyst would rather draft Ronda Gadson at tight end 16, Dallas Goddard at tight end 15, or Sha Conquo at tight end 19 with less target competition than Hunter Henry at tight end 17.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
Jaylen Waddle was traded this year, requiring fantasy managers to react quickly to his new team situation.
Insight pageMichael Pittman
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
Michael Pittman was traded this year, requiring fantasy managers to react quickly to his new team situation.
Insight pageMike Evans
PositiveDepth Chart0:30
Mike Evans went to San Francisco this year, requiring fantasy managers to assess his new situation.
Insight pageRomeo Doubs
PositiveRole0:10
Romeo Doubs profiles to be the wide receiver two in the Patriots offense; he's not an opportunistic WR1 but was never drafted as one, so his ADP shouldn't be significantly impacted.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:25
Romeo Dubs is a loser in the AJ Brown trade, going from a potential wide receiver one opportunity to a secondary target role similar to his time in Green Bay.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:25
Romeo Dubs could still end up with his best fantasy season despite AJ Brown being added because of more consistent usage and consolidated targets in New England compared to Green Bay's shuffling.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
PositiveValue0:27
Saquon Barkley is nobody's talking about and is available in the second round, down 15-18 spots from his cost last year, making him a great value with potential for a major bounceback.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:28
Saquon Barkley is 29 years old but could have a big bounceback season; he averaged 22 points per game in 2024 and 14.5 points per game last year, with potential to split the difference and deliver 17+ points per game.
Insight pagePositiveBreakout0:28
Saquon Barkley is a sneaky winner with potential for a bounceback year; he comes in fresher after sustaining insane volume during the 2024 Super Bowl run and could follow the Derrick Henry path of strong performance at age 30.
Insight pageStefon Diggs
PositiveSleeper0:27
Stefan Diggs is still a free agent and the next domino to fall; he's a fun baseball target because if he lands well, he could end up paying off in a major way.
Insight pageTrayvon Henderson
PositiveValue0:20
Trayvon Henderson is available in round five at running back 23-24 pricing, a significant drop from his early third round ADP last year; he could be a post-hype sleeper.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:22
Trayvon Henderson called AJ Brown a great pickup and expressed respect for him; the addition of AJ Brown is a net neutral or positive for Patriots running backs.
Insight pagePositiveSleeper0:22
Trayvon Henderson could be a post-hype sleeper this year after being touched in the second round during red-hot August drafts.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00breaking down the top 10 fantasy football takeaways from the AJ Brown trade right here on Fantasy Points.
0:06Let's get it.
0:15That's him. That's the OG.
0:24Theo Greinger, Fantasy Football Daily, right here on the Fantasy Points podcast network and Fantasy Points YouTube.
0:30We've had about a half a day to sort of process the AJ Brown trade. AJ Brown, we
0:38knew he was going to get traded on June 1st. We thought June 1st and he was traded on June 1st. Day started out
0:44really wild. You had the Miles Garrett trade. Miles Garrett was traded to LA and then a few hours later you had AJ
0:51Brown traded to the New England Patriots. The Miles Garrett one completely out of nowhere. AJ Brown to
0:57the Patriots has been a rumor for many, many months. It really came into light a
1:04little bit before the NFL draft. Eagles beat reporters have been talking about this one. Couple of teams were in the
1:10mix besides the Patriots. We heard rumors about the Rams. We heard rumors about the Jacksonville Jaguars. couple
1:16of other teams sort of mentioned as darkhorse candidates, but we have anticipated AJ Brown going to the
1:22Patriots for multiple months. So, this is not like a massive earthshattering
1:28news break that we have to adjust to. We've had a while to kind of think through this, but there's still always
1:34in the back of your mind the chances that things don't work out, and they do work out in this sense. So, it's a truly
1:40massive, massive trade when it comes to fantasy football because we have multiple teams that are contenders,
1:47multiple teams that are going to score a lot of points this year in real life NFL, and multiple teams that are
1:53incredible, incredibly fantasy relevant when it comes to the New England Patriots and the Philadelphia Eagles.
2:00So, this trade is just insane. Getting to AJ Brown, like AJ Brown has been an
2:07unbelievable player during his time as a Philadelphia Eagle. Philadelphia trades a firstround pick and a third round pick
2:14in the 2022 NFL draft. They acquire AJ Brown and he goes on to have just an
2:21unbelievable run for them. The first year he was there, an absolute ADP steel
2:27for anybody who had him in fantasy football. Uh just went nuts. Year two, incredible stuff. Year three, fantastic
2:35stuff. And went four straight years of a thousand receiving yards. Obviously,
2:412024 played only 13 games. 2025, 15 games. But it was those back-to-back 17
2:47plus point game uh seasons. In 2022 and 2023, just awesome stuff. 18 receiving
2:55touchdowns in those two two years and nearly 3,000 receiving yards in a 2-year
3:01period. AJ Brown just terrific in terms of the return on investment that Philadelphia got for him. But now he
3:08heads over to New England and what could that look like? Uh AJ Brown this year
3:14turns 29 years old. Like turns 29 years old entering the season he'll be 29 years old. Uh might turn 29 right the
3:21beginning of the season. I need to fact check that one. But AJ Brown will be 29 when game one happens. And if not, it's
3:27right after game one, around that that time frame. 29 years old might scare you, but 29 years old with AJ Brown,
3:35he's shown absolutely no signs of falling off whatsoever. And 29 has been
3:41an age where we've seen some incredibly productive years from many fantasy football receivers. Go back to 2023.
3:50Tyreek Hill, 29 years old, averaged 23 points per game, nearly finished as the
3:56wide receiver won that year, ended up losing it to CD Lamb. Go back to 2002,
4:02Terrell Owens, 22.9 points per game, nearly 23 points per
4:07game in 2002 at 29 years old. Cooper Cup, of course, had his earthshattering
4:15season as a 28-year-old in 2021. And in 20 uh 22 2022 at 29 years old, uh
4:23averaged 22.3 points per game in a 9-year span, Antonio Brown gave you a high-scoring 20
4:31plus point per game season in 2017. Marvin Harrison Jr. averaged nearly 22
4:36points per game in 2001. Devonte Adams. Go back to the Green Bay season where he
4:42was unbelievable in 2021, same year that Puka broke fantasy. Devonte Adams as a 29year-old
4:49gave you 21.5 points per game. List goes on. Uh Tory Holt had a 20 plus point per
4:56game season in 2021. Jordy Nelson in 2014. Julio Jones, I
5:02mean, the list goes on and on. Stfan Diggs in 2022 was 19.7 points per game
5:08uh when he was in Buffalo. So like not to get like too statisticy over here, but 20 points per game for a 29year-old,
5:15it happens. It's happened many, many times. And anybody telling you that AJ Browns passed the AJ Pex? Yeah. I mean,
5:22historically, yes. But we haven't seen this dramatic falloff. Now, there were questions last year about maybe the
5:29effort level, the enthusiasm level, but this is a new scene. This is potentially
5:36the Derrick Henry type moment for AJ Brown. There are some parallels here. And I put this out on X and a couple
5:42people hated this one, but from a dynasty perspective, and again, we're talking reddraft dynasty perspective,
5:49this could be the wide receiver equivalent to the Derrick Henry going and becoming a Baltimore Ravens. So AJ
5:55Brown, his shelf life gets extended. He wanted more target volume and I think he's going to get it in New England.
6:02Shout out to my co-host of School of Scott. I heard, you know, Scott Barrett saying that he thinks that AJ Brown will
6:09get overdrafted this off season and has talked about the narrative that Drake
6:14May likes to spread the ball around. I'm going to record with Scott this week and I'm going to talk to him about it, but Drake May has wanted to spread the ball
6:21around because he hasn't had an AJ Brown. Like AJ Brown is an apex predator
6:27at the top of the food chain. Alpha wide receiver one. He's done it in Tennessee, done it in Philadelphia, he's going to
6:34do it in New England unless he falls off with like an injury or starts getting old. Like right now at 29, I'm very
6:42comfortable with him. And we saw last year Stfan Diggs at 31 years old, 31 and
6:47a half average 12.5 points per game in this offense.
6:53Will AJ Brown score more points than Stfan Diggs? Absolutely. Will he do it
6:59emphatically with a lot more than Stfan Diggs? I think so, too. So, uh, I feel really good about AJ Brown, where he's
7:06going to go in drafts. And if you want to draft him, I think you can do that enthusiastically.
7:11Uh, sticking with these players though, you know, AJ Brown's not really the only winner here. Uh, we got to talk about
7:18Dvont Smith because Dvont Smith and AJ Brown have sort of gone hand in hand.
7:23Um, and it's hard to envision one without the other, but you're going to get an opportunity for that this year.
7:30This is a fantasy football equivalent of a blackjack split. two wide receivers
7:35who while together uh were very very good but now they're going to be apart I
7:41think they're going to be even better and when it comes to Devontto Smith we're talking about a 27-year-old wide receiver the team internally views him
7:49as a true wide receiver one there are multiple beat reporters in Philly who
7:54said why can't we use Dvont Smith like Seattle used Jackson Smith and Jigma last year I think you get some eye rolls
8:00from people with that one but Dvont Smith is the real deal He's averaged 15
8:05points per game twice in his career. He's had multiple seasons where he's been a really fun player for you to
8:11roster on your fantasy roster. Whether you're baseball manager, reddraft manager, or a dynasty manager. Uh he's a
8:18terrific player and we're going to see sort of what his ceiling outcome could look like this year. I know for sure
8:25that he's going to outscore what he did in 2025. Last year he had a disappointing wide receiver 27 point per
8:3320 wide receiver 27 in fantasy points per game season where he only averaged
8:3811.9 points per game. I think we're probably looking more like 2024 when he
8:44averaged 15.3 points per game and I think there's a chance for even more with that one. In terms of a target
8:50ceiling though, we saw Dvontto Smith in 2022 with 136 targets. That's the best
8:58he's done so far. I think this year you could see him in that 140 plus range.
9:04You have a new offensive coordinator, Shawn Manion, in Philadelphia. This offense, I think, is going to look a little more pass happy. You've you've
9:11seen sort of Jaylen Herz sort of say that he wants to stop having as many rush attempts. Maybe they're going to go
9:18back a little bit on some of the on some of the tush push, some of the the pure rushing uh quarterback designed runs.
9:25maybe a little bit slightly and lean a little bit more into the passing game, but you don't have to say there's a true
9:32winner between AJ Brown and Dvont Smith. I think they are both winners. And then the other player who's a surefire winner
9:40here, Drake May. We can criticize sort of what this will
9:45look like for Jaylen Herz and his fantasy ceiling, but when it comes to Drake May, this is a franchise that
9:52drafts Drake May and then had a plan for him. Last year, we saw New England put
9:58an emphasis on acquiring offensive lineman. We saw the Will Campbell selection in the NFL draft. This past
10:05year, we saw New England sign Romeo Dubs, a professional wide receiver. Oh, last year they sort of got stuck. What
10:12are they going to do at wide receiver? They make the move to get Stfan Diggs. That was one where I think we give him a
10:18solid B. They got a lot of production out of an older Stfan Diggs. They made the best for what the market offered
10:23them. And I think that they did it again this off seasonason with Romeo Dubs. They tried for Alec Pierce. Didn't work
10:30out. And they they went for it with Romeo Dubs. And Romeo Dubs, I think,
10:35profiles to be the wide receiver too in this offense. Obviously, he's a loser in this situation because he's not going to
10:41be an opportunistic wide receiver one, but he's never a player that we were drafting that way. So, it's not like if
10:46you have bags of Romeo Dubs, you are burned right now in baseball or something. But getting to Drake May,
10:52last year we saw Drake May have just a terrific season. The p the pass attempts
10:57per game could go up. The the New England Patriots averaged 29.5 pass
11:03attempts per game this year. I think that number could trend up. Last year, things worked very well for them.
11:09Strength of schedule, they didn't really face too much competition. A lot of games they were sort of in the lead and
11:15controlling the game in the second half. Things will get a lot more difficult for them this year coming off of an AFC
11:21Championship where they played in the Super Bowl. They're facing a much stronger level of competition. But we
11:28look at last year where Drake May had 31 passing touchdowns. this year. It is a
11:33chance for that number to grow and there is a nonzero chance that AJ Brown is going to
11:40challenge for the NFL lead in receiving touchdowns if Drake May can get fixed in on him. Some of the narrative that uh
11:47you know Scott Barrett was talking about a little bit where Drake May likes to spread the ball around. That's sort of a
11:52narrative that's existed since he was a high school player. He always wanted to make sure multiple guys were catching the football. UNCC played with Josh DS
11:59one year there. Down's target share dipped from like the 30% range to like I believe it was like 24%. Want to fact
12:06check me on UNCC target shares? Go ahead. But Josh Downs sort of regressed a little bit from the Sam Howell days
12:12down to the uh Drake May days. But there was different things going on with that offense. Huge huge workload for Amarian
12:19Hampton over at UNCC as well. So like things changed over at UNC. But I think Drake May, we cannot judge the past
12:26because we don't have him playing with an alpha wide receiver like AJ Brown. This obviously is a win for Drake May.
12:32Drake May was QB3 last year and you're able to draft him around like the QB7 range this year and he falls sometimes.
12:39You're able to get him in like the seventh round in leagues like uh FFPC and I think Drake May is a fine click
12:46there. The offensive line is going to be more experienced. They added depth this year with Caleb Blomu uh with the 31st
12:53overall pick. And now they add two new wide receivers, one of which is the best wide receiver Drake May has ever played
13:00with. And if you want to go back like go crazy old school, there's been times where the New England Patriots in their
13:08unbelievable run under Bill Bichic added these veterans who stepped in and had unbelievable production. Go back to like
13:14the Randy Moss year where he gets acquired by New England and goes nuts. Uh Moss was coming from Vegas or not
13:21Vegas at the time. He was in it was the Oakland Raiders at the time. Goes to New England and absolutely cleans up. So I
13:27think there's a chance that there's just nothing but winners over here. Uh when you talk about Devont Smith, AJ Brown,
13:34and certainly Drake May. Let's talk about my guy Mai Lemon though. And I think I'm the I'm like the native Mai
13:42Lemon backer at Fantasy Point somehow because I think there's a lot of people like Brett Whitefield, Scott Barrett who
13:49are having a little bit of trepidation as to Mai Lemon's fit within this offense. Can Jayen Herz pass over the
13:56middle? Are the Philadelphia Eagles going to maybe add some lower A dot looks to get Mai Lemon the ball around
14:03the line of scrimmage, take advantage of his skills? I'm not sure how it's going to work. But I think it's going to work.
14:09And I think Mai Lemon based on OTAAS was on the field in two wide receiver sets.
14:14Talk about his wide receiver competition might be like a Dantavian Wix. So it's not a massive hurdle for Mai Lemon to be
14:22on the field as a near full-time player. Will he see a lot of slot usage? I think
14:27for sure. But will he also be moved to the outside at least some? I think absolutely. I think Mai Lemon is going
14:35to benefit from this new opportunity and the the Philadelphia Eagles like him enough that
14:42they drafted him 20th overall in the NFL draft. So, Mai Lemon for me obviously a
14:48winner here because this opportunity is right in front of his face. This is a
14:53franchise that we believe gets it right with a number of their draft picks. And I think when we look back 6 months from
14:58now, nine months from now, 12 months from now, we are going to say that Mai Lemon is another hit for the
15:04Philadelphia Eagles front office. There's been a lot of comparisons to him. The bullcase argument is like an
15:11Aman Ross St. Brown type. I've seen some pretty cool comps from some of the Philadelphia Eagles beat reporters. Guys
15:18like Steve Smith, guys like Derek Mason keep being brought up like very cool stuff. Mai Lemon's good and I can get
15:25access to Mai Kai Lemon right now in the eighth round in FFPC drafts. That's not a cost that's prohibitive for me to stay
15:33off of him. And if we believe Dvont Smith is a capped ceiling guy, and I'm I
15:38don't think he is. I think Dvontto Smith has room to run. But if you believe that Dvont Smith is what he is, then Mai
15:46Lemon's going to get fasttracked here. I think more likely than not, Mai Lemon's rookie year could look a lot like Devont
15:52Smith's rookie year. go back to that. I mean, we're talking about wide receiver three type numbers, but again, he's got
15:58some upside here in this offense because he's going to be on the field a lot and Mai Lemon is a target earner. We saw it
16:04at USC and the Philadelphia Eagles coaching staff is going to gravitate towards him. They want to make this
16:10thing work and I think you're going to see early opportunities for Lemon. Lemon also has a physicality and a toughness
16:17to him. A extremely tough player. NFL coaches gravitate towards that. This is
16:23still grown man football. This is the NFL and these players with toughness
16:28inspire their teammates. I know it sounds corny, but it's true. Toughness helps at the NFL level. This is a player
16:36that is going to give his all on every single snap. And Mai Lemon might really punch above his size and produce. So Mai
16:42Lemon, you have him in Dynasty. You're feeling good about things. And guess what? You're going to know right away what's going on with Mai Lemon because
16:48he's get an opportunity from day one. Another set of players that sort of are
16:54sneaky winners here. Dallas Goddard last year had his best fantasy season,
16:59especially from a touchdown scoring department. Could we see a scenario where
17:06Dallasert uh is a little bit underrated right now in all formats? I think so. Dallas
17:13Goddard has continued to be an affordable player for you in multiple formats. Um, and now you're going to see
17:21does Jaylen Herz lean on him at least to start the season. You're talking about
17:2611 touchdowns last year for Dallas Gddard. Is he in that mix again this
17:32year where Dallas Goddard is going to be leaned into as like a red zone threat?
17:37Is he going to be leaned into a little bit more while Mai Lemon is breaking in? I think that that could absolutely
17:44happen. Dallas Goddard right now the price tag for him is the tight end 15. A
17:50number that I view as a pretty good bargain. The chances of him failing to
17:55deliver at tight end 15 prices are there's always a chance, but they're
18:01pretty low. I think he's a pretty safe pick. Now, does he have the room to run and be like a top three score at the
18:07tight end position? I don't think so at all. And if I'm chasing 11 touchdowns in the range of outcomes, I think I'm going
18:13to be disappointed. But I do think he's a strong pick at tight end 15. I think at the very least he sort of returns his
18:20number. So if you're a baseball drafter and you're looking to get some correlation with Jaylen Herz or you're
18:25looking to just find some tight end value, consider Dallas Goddard. We've also got to talk about Eli Sters because
18:31he's sort of the wild card here. Sters is going to be on the field a lot. Sters is going to be on the field in two tight
18:37end sets. And don't get it twisted, Eli Sters was not drafted to be a blocker.
18:43Eli Sters is a move tight end. Eli Sters is essentially a big wide receiver
18:48listed as a tight end. Could he get fasttracked here? Is there a chance that if there is an injury, certainly an
18:55injury to Dallas Goddard, it's wheels up for realized and Dallas Goddard north of 30 things happen. But is if an injury
19:03happens with Devont Smith, does Eli Ster see a larger opportunity? And if Mai
19:08Lemon's development rate is not as quick as I think it's going to be, could we see a increased opportunity for Sters
19:15and a lot more 12 personnel? Those things go through my head. You look at two of the biggest hits in fantasy
19:22football at the tight end position. Uh in recent memory last year, Harold Fannon Jr. couple years back, Trey
19:29McBride, year two. Both of them had a veteran tight end with them at this time of the year we're drafting. Trey McBride
19:36of course had Zack Z. Zack Z was really good for the first month of the season before McBride got his opportunity and
19:42it's been nothing but an upward trajectory for McBride ever since including the year he took over last
19:48year. There's the parallels between Sters and Harold Fannon Jr. are massive. Both drafted on day three. Both put up
19:56great college production numbers. Eli Ster is one of only three players in SEC history to have more than 60 receptions
20:03in a season at the tight end position along with Evan Ingram and Brock Bowers.
20:09Not bad company for fantasy football success. So, I look at Eli Sters and I'm like, it's a 2027 bet, but there's outs
20:17for 2026. So, I'm taking shots on him in baseball. And from a dynasty
20:22perspective, I love rostering him. And from a reddraft perspective, he's a fun player to stash on our bench. If it
20:29hits, it could hit in a major way or it could be a player that you can't really trust and it's sort of a veteran baseball type pick. But Eli Ster's
20:37second round pick. Howie Roseman has talked him up and the organization seems to really really like him. So, he's
20:44another interesting player here. Going down the list, uh, Patriots running backs. That's this is sort of a big
20:50argument in the in the draft streets right now between Raandre Stevenson
20:56who's going to go in like the beginning of the seventh round that sort of range and then Trayvon Henderson you're
21:01getting at like the beginning of the fifth round. It's like a running back 23 running back 24 price for Trayvon
21:07Henderson a running back 28 price tag for Stevenson. Both of these players sort of
21:13cannibalize each other a little bit. And I think half the people watching this video are going to be into Trayvon
21:19Henderson taking a year two uh breakout season. Half the players on this video are probably like I'm seeing Raandre
21:25Stevenson as a value. I think for both of these running backs getting a player like AJ Brown, it's a piece larger
21:33narrative where things get better for everyone potentially. And I look at this
21:39as a net neutral or a positive for both of these Patriots running backs. Could
21:45there be a slight target ceiling cap thing for
21:50these running backs where maybe a little more targets go to the wide receiver position than last year? Certainly. So
21:57AJ Brown and Romeo Dubs are a better wide receiver combination than we saw last year with like Stfan Diggs and
22:03Kahan Booty. But there's still a chance that this offense because of the game
22:08situations playing a much harder schedule because things are not going to go their way as much as last year. Uh
22:14things could end up being a little more passy in general. Um so I don't think it necessarily does much. The running backs
22:21come out of this as sort of net neutral. Trayvon Henderson yesterday came out and
22:26called AJ Brown a great pickup and said, "I really love his game. Really respect the way he carried himself off the
22:32field." So obviously there's a little connection there. Trayvon Henderson has been a player that I keep clicking on an
22:38underdog and it's like I just can't quit the idea that I'm able to draft Trayvon Henderson in round five after last year
22:46having to use that early third round pick on him during like the red-hot
22:51August drafts uh up until September. He was touching the second round in a lot
22:56of those FFPC main event prime time drafts. Trayvon Henderson could be a
23:02like a a post hype sleeper this year. And if you don't believe in him, Raandre Stevenson, seven touchdowns last year,
23:09had 32 receptions, missed some time, but was really strong down the stretch and in the NFL playoffs. So, the Patriots
23:16backs, it's an incomplete. It's nothing to change here. There's a chance that the pie could grow larger. Talked about
23:23Hunter Henry a little bit on a couple pods this week. Hunter Henry's an offseason loser for the New England
23:29Patriots. Already has to deal with Eli Raridan, the tight end draft pick out of Notre
23:36Dame that New England selected in the third round. But now Hunter Henry has to deal with going from being an
23:42opportunistic top target for Drake May to being third fiddle at best. And maybe
23:50not even that. Hunter Henry is a little bit older. This feels like the year the production starts to fall for Hunter
23:56Henry. And I get it. There's going to be some people saying, you know, Theo, uh, he's tight end 17 for a reason on
24:02Underdog. It's been two straight years with 60 plus receptions for Hunter Henry. Last year, he had nearly 800
24:10receiving yards and he had seven touchdown grabs. I think all of those numbers scale back a little bit this
24:15year. Eli Rarin is is a athletic move tight end with Juice. He's already got
24:20to deal with him. and then the addition of Romeo Dubs, not to mention an alpha
24:26like AJ Brown. And both those running backs are to command touches. Now, Hunter Henry could end up making me look
24:32bad in a sense that he might not fail at tight end 17. But are you drafting your tight end 17 to finish tight end 17? If
24:39not, and you're chasing upside, I think there's better clicks in that range. I'd rather draft a Ronda Gadson at tight end
24:4516. I'd rather draft Dallas Goddard. We talked about him at tight end 15. I'd
24:50rather draft Sha Conquo at tight end 19 with less target competition and fewer
24:57people to compete with for Jaden Daniels top looks. So definitely a little bit of a loss for Hunter Henry. Romeo Dubs
25:04obviously a loser here. Uh you weren't planning on him being the wide receiver one, but there was a hey maybe he's got
25:10a chance type moment. Uh he's back to what he was in Green Bay, a secondary target. Now, the target competition in
25:18New England might not be as fierce as he had in Green Bay, which sounds a little funny, but Green Bay, they were
25:23constantly shuffling wide receivers in and out. Romeo Dubs could end up with uh Romeo Dubs could could still end up with
25:29his best fantasy season even though AJ Brown was added because I think it's the
25:34consistent usage that we'll see. Um he was on the field a lot in Green Bay. Um
25:39but there was other wide receivers earning targets. This could be a little more consolidated in New England, but
25:45Romeo Dubs obviously is a loser uh because he just got put in a wide
25:50receiver 2 role instead of a potential opportunistic wide receiver one. One
25:55player to keep an eye on right now is Kahan Booty. And anytime that Kahan
26:00Booty's been sort of mentioned by the co he hasn't really been mentioned by the co coaching staff. Um and he was out for
26:06OTAAS. So he's hasn't been traded yet, but it feels like a player that is going
26:13to be traded. Um, and the value for Khan Booty is probably low, but I think he's
26:19a day three pick and I think he's more of a annoying presence for someone where
26:27you might have drafted like a wide receiver two, maybe a wide receiver three in baseball and Kahan Booty might
26:32show up and really affect that uh the the targets might go down a little bit.
26:37Like Kahan Booty uh is is a solid player. He's had a number of success in
26:43terms of like being a big downfield threat for see not big but a downfield threat for Drake May. He's had some
26:51spike weeks. He had a nice strong end to the 2024 season and then ended up being
26:56an ADP winner uh based on where he was drafted last year. You can get him down at wide receiver 82 on underdog. I think
27:03he's a really fun click right there. You're talking about the 18th round. So Kahan Booty is being completely ignored.
27:08He had six touchdown catches last year, though. And he's a young enough player that he's got a little bit of room to
27:14run. 68 targets in 2024. Seems about right. I think he could be a 70 target,
27:1975 target player if he lands correctly. Probably never a player we're going to be considering in reddraft, but in
27:26baseball, I think he makes for a fun 18th round target. Stefan Diggs still out on the streets right now. He's
27:32probably the next domino to fall. He's also a fun uh baseball target because if he lands well, he could end up paying
27:39off in a major way. And lastly, we got to talk about Saquon Barkley. So, Saquon
27:44Barkley is the one nobody's talking about. Like, Squan is just kind of out there chilling. Saquon's a player that
27:51was going to cost you a top three pick at this time last year and now you're able to draft him in the second round
27:57consistently. Saquon Barkley also a 29year-old but Saquon Barkley this could
28:03be a big bounceback season for him and his current cost inside of round two is
28:09not prohibitive to him paying off in a major major way. You're able to get Saquon Barkley about 15 sometimes
28:1918 spots lower than you paid for him at this time last year. 22 points per game
28:25in 2024. And in 2024, we saw just sort of the dream season with 15 touchdowns.
28:32Last year, it felt like the wheels fell off at times, but he still averaged 14
28:38and a half points per game. I would consider that to be his absolute floor, and I think there's a chance that things
28:45bounce back in a major way for Saquon Barkley. So, I'm into Saquon Barkley at cost. Uh, I think he comes out like a
28:52sneaky winner here where the offense could lean a little bit more into
28:57certainly Devontto Smith and then the young guys are getting an opportunity. Dallas Goddard's in good shape, but Saquon Barkley having a bounceback year.
29:04Could he go from averaging nearly 23 points per game in 2024 goes down to 14
29:10and a half last year? Could we split the difference this year? Could Saquon give us 17 plus points per game this year and
29:17be a major major hit inside of round two? I think that's in the range of outcomes. Saquin is very under the radar
29:24right now. This feels like it could be his last massive season in the league, but again, Saquon could also be on that
29:31Derrick Henry path where he's also going to give us a strong year next year at 30. The volume that Saquon had to
29:37sustain during the Super Bowl run of 2024 carried on into last year. I mean,
29:44the numbers he I mean, we're talking about an insane insane number of touches he had to take on in 2024. He's going to
29:50come in the season a little bit fresher this year. I think the vibes for Saquon are going to get better as we get into
29:56July, get into August. And then we got to talk about fantasy football managers. I don't know if you're a winner or a
30:01loser here. Certainly, you're a winner because it's a fun thing to talk about, but we need to stay on the edge of our
30:06seats. Yesterday, the NFL just told us that Miles Garrett and AJ Brown can get traded on the exact same day.
30:13I start looking at some of the wide receivers specifically and we start looking at so many wide receivers on new
30:20teams. We need to react to traded wide receivers very quickly and figure out
30:26whether they're going to be good on our rosters or not. Look at last year. George Pickkins traded, DK Mechaf
30:33traded. this year. Jaylen Wadd traded, DJ Moore traded, uh, Michael Pitman
30:39traded, and now AJ Brown traded, not to mention Devonte Adams last year going to
30:46LA, Mike Evans this year going to San Francisco. Like things are shifting.
30:52Fantasy football managers need to make sure that they are on their toes. Things can change. The M if Miles Garrett can
30:58get traded and think about how quickly the steam picked up. It was like a two or three day period where there was
31:04rumors on X and multiple beat reporters and players insinuating something could go down and then something just goes
31:10down. So never say never. When you start hearing that this player could get traded, this player could not get
31:16resigned. When there's smoke, there's fire and we need to be prepared for it in fantasy football. Make sure you stick
31:22with me on all my content and everyone over at Fantasy Points. If you want to read the breakdown that Graham Barfield
31:29wrote of Fantasy Football Fallout on the AJ Brown trade, make sure you go check
31:35out fantasypoints.com. Graham Barfield is also going to be joining me this week on FantasyFoot
31:41Daily. Graham is very sharp. He's going to break it down. Make sure you check out where all these players are now
31:46being projected in our projections over at fantasypoints.com. award-winning projections last year at FantasyPoints,
31:53the best in the business in 2025, looking to run it back in 2026. I'm Theo Greinger. You can follow me over at X.
32:00You can check out all of my work over at fantasypoints.com and right here on FantasyPoints YouTube and FantasyPoints
32:07Dynasty YouTube. If you enjoyed this video, make sure you subscribe to the channel and subscribe to FantasyPoints
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