Flock Fantasy

Flock Fantasy ranks Brown at tier-A (eighth overall) as a super high-floor player; while his career high is 10.6 fantasy points per game (lower ceiling than Puka or Chase), he plays every single game in a good offense with predictable production.

Hopefully ready to go by the end of the beginning of the season, indicating current injury status with expected return timing.

Jeanty has a mystery ankle injury but sounds like he has a damn good chance to be ready for week one. The Las Vegas Raiders project to be the most improved offense in the entire league year-over-year with improvements in quarterback room, offensive line, and coaching staff.

Flock Fantasy ranks Skowronek as a top-five locked-in player alongside Jamir Gibbs, noting they share a ceiling-floor accommodation in fantasy that hasn't been seen in years; this elite dual-threat profile supports his tier-one ranking.

Premium handcuff back to Kyren Walker; the source acknowledges potential for Corum to take the starting job but assesses this outcome as unlikely.

Breece Hall is ranked at 28 and is described as so damn talented with nobody able to take touches away from him, but he plays for the New York Jets, which is a significant constraint. Hall is going into the season with a groin injury, though it sounds less serious than Jeremiah Love's high ankle sprain. Despite his talent, the Jets' offensive limitations make him a risky pick.

Despite every blurb from Jacksonville saying Parker Washington is preferred and high-stakes fantasy drafts showing Parker going rounds ahead, the source prefers Brian Thomas based on historical points per game over the past two years, where Washington has been the much worse wide receiver.

Bowers has no wide receiver competition at all. The offense is going to be significantly better this year. In leagues with only two starting receivers and one flex, Bowers should be taken over other wide receivers in this tier.

Irving has the highest ceiling in the running back group but a low floor due to competition for receptions from Kenneth Gainwell and potential goal-line usage from Shean Tucker. The source is interested to see usage and notes if treated like Alvin Kamara, he'd have significant upside.

QB with next-level upside to potentially lead the NFL in total touchdowns; however, has not shown the same rushing upside since college, indicating passing-focused production profile.

Flock Fantasy notes Lamb was bad last season but attributes it to a high ankle sprain; they are not concerned about his ability to produce alongside George Pickens because there are no other weapons in the Dallas offense outside of the two receivers, supporting his tier-A ranking.

Ranked twelfth overall as a three-down bellcow who has been elite in games where Burrow played over the past two seasons, averaging 20 points per game. However, the quarterback downgrade and coaching staff change are negatives. Despite this, he has no competition for touches and should be tier-S level talent if the situation remained stable.

Chris Godwin at ADP 72 was ranked higher, but all reports indicate that Mike Evans is going to be good to go for week one and will be practicing this week; the source notes this changes the outlook and recommends checking the Flock Fantasy app for updated rankings.

Chris Olave was moved up in the rankings after Jordan Tyson hit the injured reserve list. Tyson was reported to miss two months from the time of reporting (approximately four weeks prior), meaning Tyson is guaranteed to be out the first four weeks of the season and may not return until week five, six, or seven. The Saints have a bye in week eight, so they might rest Tyson until week nine, but he could return as early as week five.

Flock Fantasy ranks McCaffrey at tier-A (sixth overall) with 24.5 fantasy points per game last season—higher than any other player—but flags him as a low-floor player due to 311 carries and 129 targets (400+ touches), age in his 30s, injury history, and rushing efficiency decline; ceiling is elite but floor risk is significant.

Watson was slid down from previous rankings because it appears Josh Jacobs may play this year; if Jacobs plays, the Packers will throw the ball less, reducing Watson's volume and upside.

Chuba Hubard is officially the team captain for the Carolina Panthers but missed most of camp with a hamstring injury, creating uncertainty around his availability and role; the source notes that if not for this injury, Hubard would rank ahead of Jonathan Brooks, indicating strong role security when healthy.

Team captain for Carolina with strong role security; if not for hamstring injury, would be ranked ahead of Brooks Robinson in the source's tier, indicating significant upside when healthy.

High floor but no ceiling; consistent production with limited upside potential.

Moore averaged 46 fantasy points per game last season in a very good offense and was given up on by the Chicago Bears, but gets a new home in Buffalo with great quarterback play from Josh Allen; training camp reports have been great, though the Bills spread the ball around significantly.

Swift's injury scare was just a cramp with no lingering concern. With Kyle Manung out for the beginning of the season, Swift will be cemented as the three-down running back for a pretty good Chicago offense.

Preferred in six-point passing touchdown leagues compared to four-point leagues, indicating better value and upside in PPR-style scoring formats.

At 33 years old, Adams has top-five wide receiver upside if Puka Nacua misses time, but age-related decline concerns exist.

Montgomery is characterized as a safe option but lacks an elite ceiling.

Henry is a 32-year-old running back turning 33 at season's end. Historical comps (Raheem Morris, Frank Gore, Willis McGahee, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Forte, Cordell Patterson, LT, Steven Jackson, Rashad Jennings) show none of these players eclipsed 15 fantasy points per game the following year, including Hall of Famers. It is very tough at 33 to remain productive, and Henry won't catch passes out of the backfield, though the Baltimore Ravens offense projects to be pretty damn good.

DeVonta Smith is in a massive tier of wide receivers alongside George Pickens and Lad McConkey. The source would feel good about having any of these guys as a wide receiver two, but if they were to be your wide receiver one, the source hopes you have hammer running backs. Smith has the upside to be a low-end wide receiver one and the floor to be a wide receiver three.

Was QB2 in fantasy points per game last year, much better than Lamar Jackson, but the source expects regression because the New England Patriots' schedule is much tougher this year, so the Patriots should regress back.

Garrett Wilson is a lot more talented than many wide receivers in his tier, but his ceiling is constrained by playing for the Jets with additional offensive options. The source notes if Wilson were on the Chiefs instead of Rasheed Rice, he'd be an A-tier wide receiver, but his Jets role limits his ceiling relative to his talent level.

Much higher ceiling than Harold Fannon but much lower floor; if drafting Kittle or other tight ends in this range, the source recommends taking a second tight end to hedge the floor risk.

Pickens is expected to have a slightly worse year-over-year performance, similar to Trey McBride. The reason is that CD Lamb dealt with a high ankle sprain last year that limited him, but the source assumes Lamb will still be the wide receiver one in Dallas based on long-term track record, which will reduce Pickens' target share and production.

Pretty high floor based on target volume; was tight end eight as a 21-year-old last year; now without David Andoku in the Browns offense, maintains floor value though George Kittle offers higher ceiling.

JK Dobbins has proven to be so injury-prone, which limits his reliability and creates opportunity for backup RJ Harvey in the Denver Broncos backfield.

Injury-prone first and second down running back, indicating durability concerns and limited role to early-down work.

Flock Fantasy ranks Chase as a top-five locked-in player; when fully healthy with Joe Burrow through an entire season, Chase averaged 23 fantasy points per game, supporting his elite tier-one status.

Ranked eleventh overall. While he hasn't demonstrated the same ceiling as other top RBs because he doesn't get involved as a receiver like McCaffrey or Gibbs, and Josh Allen steals rushing touchdowns, Cook still finished as a mid-RB1 last year and has back-to-back top-12 RB finishes with no backfield competition.

The source has Williams on their fantasy team and is excited about him, but notes his ceiling will be capped from a target share perspective unless there's an injury to Amon-Ra St. Brown or Sam LaPorta.

Ranked as a top-five locked-in player despite Seattle's projected offensive decline. He commanded over 30% of Seattle's targets last year, giving him a super high floor-ceiling profile that makes him an ecstatic pick at the top.

Jaden Daniels at ADP 67 faces significant offensive line concerns that are making the source hesitant to draft him at that price point.

At ADP 68, Warren faces a significant depth chart concern: Jaylen Dowel is the straightup starter, limiting Warren's role and upside.

Jeremiah Love is so damn talented but faces significant headwinds: the Cardinals project to be the worst offense in the NFL, and he is going into the season with a high ankle sprain. The source ranks him below Breece Hall due to the severity of Love's injury compared to Hall's groin injury.

Flock Fantasy ranks Taylor at tier-A (seventh overall) and calls him their best player for their fantasy team, drafted at 108 overall in the Flock League; through the first 10 weeks before Daniel Jones's injury, Taylor was RB1 overall multiple times and the best player in fantasy by a country mile; with Jones expected back, the source projects a bounce-back season.

Jonathan Brooks at ADP 69 faces competition from Chuba Hubard, who is officially the team captain for the Carolina Panthers; however, Hubard missed most of camp with a hamstring injury, which could benefit Brooks' opportunity and potentially elevate his role in the offense.

Probably the starting running back for the Minnesota Vikings, but that designation has meant nothing over the past few years given the team's poor performance; however, the team should improve with J.J. McCarthy's departure.

Moved his hearing date up; suspension status now uncertain. The source states it looks like maybe he isn't suspended but expresses uncertainty about the outcome. If Jacobs plays, it would reduce Christian Watson and the Green Bay Packers' passing volume.

Preferred in six-point passing touchdown leagues compared to four-point leagues, similar to Dak Prescott, indicating better value in PPR-style scoring formats.

Ranked tenth overall and second on the source's fantasy team. Historically, in seasons without JJ McCarthy as starter, Jefferson averaged 17, 19, 21, 20, 18 fantasy points per game. Last year McCarthy was the worst QB in the NFL and tanked Jefferson, but with the Kyler upgrade this year, the source believes he is right back to being a round-one asset.

Ranked sixteenth overall. Expected to have a much better fantasy season despite moving to a worse offense; his touchdown upside may decline, but his competition improves from Zack Charbonnet to Isiah Johnson, giving him more touches per week. The source projects this could be his best fantasy season ever, though they don't draft him often.

Still incredibly young at 25.9 years old despite being drafted in 2021 at pick 84, positioning him as a long-term asset with significant runway for development and upside.

Kyren Williams is ranked at 30 despite reports suggesting it's Blake Corum's backfield. The source dismisses those reports, stating 'I'll believe it when I see it.' Williams has been a top 12 running back in points per game every single season over the past three years, and the Rams project to be the best offense in the league this year, providing elite volume and efficiency opportunity.

Jackson has a higher ceiling than Josh Allen even, but his floor is extremely low based on last season's performance, when streaming quarterbacks would have been a better option.

Nabers is a complete and utter wild card with extreme variance. If he works himself up to 100% health early in the season, he should be an A-tier level player. But if the significant injury he suffered last year lingers until week six, seven, or eight, he should be a fourth-round pick. He has the upside to greatly exceed his current cost and the downside to be a horrendous selection; it comes down to willingness to take the chance with his rehab.

Marvin Harrison at ADP 71 had all the talent and upside in the world in his rookie season, going in late round one/early round two, but now projects to be in the worst offense in the league and is possibly the third target in his offense, significantly limiting his fantasy ceiling.

High floor but ceiling is limited, indicating consistent but unspectacular production expectations.

Evans averaged 42 fantasy points per game last year with Ricky Pierce out for the season and Christian Kirk on IR, but concerns exist about his own health; he hasn't been able to stay healthy for years and all camp reports have focused on his injuries.

Collins is steady Eddie. Tank Dell hit the IR, Jaden Higgins hit the IR, and while the Texans traded for Kahan Booty, Booty is not a stud, leaving Collins with reduced competition for targets.

Despite market consensus and high-stakes fantasy drafts favoring Parker Washington over Brian Thomas, the source notes that over the past two years, Washington has been the much worse wide receiver in points per game, with nearly identical age to Thomas, making him overvalued relative to Thomas.

Flock Fantasy ranks Nakua as a top-five locked-in player; he averaged 23.5 fantasy points per game last season. Off-field concerns exist but the source believes suspension risk is low given timing to season start; he also dealt with a soft tissue injury in camp but remains a high-ceiling option.

Rasheed Rice is coming off knee surgery and jail time this offseason, making him a player to be worried about if drafted. However, the source acknowledges he has the ceiling to be a wide receiver one, indicating significant upside despite the character concerns.

RJ Harvey is the source's bet in the Denver Broncos backfield because he is the guy that can catch the football; additionally, JK Dobbins has proven to be so injury-prone, which creates opportunity for Harvey to carve out a pass-catching role.

Had an injury scare at practice a couple days ago but is reported to be completely fine and healthy.

Odunze had an injury scare at practice a couple days ago but is completely fine and a-okay.

Sam LaPorta at ADP 74 has never lived up to what he did in his rookie season, but the Detroit Lions should be a very good offense; given the fact they no longer have Montgomery, there's a chance they throw the ball more, which could provide opportunity for LaPorta.

Ranked thirteenth overall. Was horrendous last year, but the source projects a Barkley bounceback due to the offensive coordinator change and the Eagles' projection to be a better scoring offense this season.

If the Commanders offensive line is bad, they may throw more to Diggs close to the line of scrimmage compared to Terry downfield, potentially affecting his role and production profile.

Starter in Tennessee but ceiling has been limited for years, indicating constrained upside despite lead-back role.

Travis Etienne is ranked much higher than where he probably goes in fantasy drafts. The source views him very similarly to Javonte Williams because every running back in his backfield is injured—no Kamar, no Miller, no Devin Neil. The Jaguars have no option but to force-feed him, and they get a ridiculous amount of volume, putting him in a perfect spot.

Still has upside potential in New England with a higher ceiling than Rondre Stevenson, though he carries a much lower floor due to his ankle injury and practice absence.

McBride averaged 18.6 fantasy points per game last season, more than Nico Collins, Malik Nabers, Drake London, AJ Brown, Derrick Henry, Ashton Jeanty, Kenneth Walker, Jaylen Warren, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, and James Cook. However, the source expects him to be significantly worse this year due to three factors: the Cardinals will run the ball more with Jeremiah Love and Tyler Algier; the offense will be worse in general; and Marvin Harrison will be healthy. Despite this projection decline, if McBride were to repeat last year's production, the source would rate him as S-tier.

Tucker Kraft averaged 14.7 fantasy points per game last year, way higher than other tight ends in this tier, but faces two major concerns: he is coming off a significant injury, and the Packers recently acquired two additional tight ends, which will reduce his target share and role.

Warren is only 24 years old and was a menace at the beginning of last season; his production declined after Daniel Jones' injury, but Jones is now back, which should restore Warren's opportunity. Additionally, Michael Pittman Jr. is out, and while Keenan Allen was added, the source doesn't view Allen as a significant threat to Warren's role compared to Pittman.