0:00Week 4 Waiver Wired is here. Everybody's going to sit here and tell you, you got to go out and get Ollie Gordon.
0:08You got to spend money on Braylon Allen. We're going to talk about all the latest players that are building up some
0:15hype and how much money you should spend on them and which players you should avoid right here on PlayerProfiler.
0:22What is going on, folks? Thank you guys so much for tuning in.
0:26It is Pete Nova here with PlayerProfiler and this is the Waiver Wire show for week number four.
0:32While you are here, make sure you hit that like button.
0:36Make sure you subscribe. We got some requests in terms of what people would like to see for this video.
0:43We're going to try to incorporate this or those things to this video based on what was requested.
0:49But let's just jump right into it. We're going to talk about running backs first because that is the hot position right
0:56now for Waiver Wire in week number four. First guy that we're going to talk about is going to be Braylon Allen of the New York Jets.
1:05Braylon Allen is my number one priority for the running back position.
1:09Just taking a look at Braylon Allen's next three games.
1:13He gets the Chicago Bears. He gets the Cleveland Browns.
1:16He gets the Patriots. And then after that, he gets the Dolphins.
1:20So he's got some pretty good games on his schedule coming up this next three to four weeks.
1:26Braylon Allen for me, though, like I said, is the number one waiver priority.
1:31I would spend anywhere from 10 to 15 percent FAB, maybe even 20 percent if you're like an Owen three team that
1:38really, really needs to play a running back this week.
1:42And you're in a bad spot. I know people are going to sit there and tell me, Pete, how are you going
1:49to get this guy for 10 to 15 percent?
1:52Or, you know, and people are going to say the same thing for Ollie Gordon, too, when we go over his FAB percentage.
2:00And we try to give a FAB percentage out guys to assist or give you some sort of idea of, hey, this
2:07is the main thing is understanding the priority for us and then understanding, hey, would you spend a ton of FAB on
2:15this guy or would it be a normal percentage?
2:18To me, look, if somebody wants to spend more than that on Braylon Allen, I'm going to just go ahead and let them.
2:26Reese Hall, they you know, he's got the quad injury.
2:29They say he's week to week, which was good news.
2:32I'm expecting at least two weeks for him to miss.
2:36I definitely know I'm definitely pretty confident he's not going to play this week.
2:40And I have really, really strong conviction that he's not going to play against the Browns.
2:46But, you know, don't think about Jonah Coleman, where I know a lot of people dumped a ton of FAB and then
2:53all of a sudden Coleman's out and the other starters are back with R.J.
2:58Harvey and J.K. Dobbins. The nice thing for Allen here is he is the clear cut number two, you know, in New York.
3:06So that's helpful, at least with Allen and Hall.
3:09There are really the only running backs that saw work versus Detroit.
3:13So that's nice as well. It wasn't like Allen had a phenomenal day.
3:17I mean, he, you know, the yards per carry wasn't anything to write home about in week number three.
3:24You know, only 3.5. He ran the ball four times for 14 yards and, you know, ended up racking up 3.5 yards per carry.
3:32But overall, I mean, when you look at Allen, the nice thing, too, is that he did, you know, get some targets
3:39to get some catches as well, which was at least somewhat of a nice, nice thing to see for a guy like
3:46him because you don't think receiving back. But this is the guy that would be number one priority for me.
3:53So that's kind of my take there on the Jets with Braylon Allen.
3:58Let's go ahead and move over to Ollie Gordon.
4:01And Ollie Gordon, you know, Braylon Allen was 19% rostered.
4:04Ollie Gordon is going to be more available in other leagues.
4:08It's a there's a two part reason for that.
4:11Ollie Gordon is available because number one, bad offense.
4:14So people really don't care too much to roster a backup running back in a really, really bad offensive environment.
4:21But at the same time, too, Ollie Gordon wasn't really rumored to be the backup coming out of camp.
4:27I think Ollie Gordon is better than Jalen Wright.
4:30But Jalen Wright was, you know, on the depth chart as the number two running back coming out of camp for the Dolphins.
4:38His next three games here, Vikings, Bengals and then a bye.
4:41So it's really not a great schedule coming up for Ollie Gordon.
4:45You know, Vikings are a really good run defense.
4:48Bengals just got cut up a little bit. But I think their defense is better than what they showed this past week.
4:56And with Ollie Gordon, he is a guy that definitely can have a bell cow role.
5:01He can tote the rock and he can he can carry a large workload.
5:06But with him, it's a matter for me of does Jalen Wright come back?
5:11And then is he splitting touches in a bad offense with another running back?
5:15And so I really would only spend up to 10 percent FAB on Ollie Gordon.
5:21And I got some flack for it, you know, when I posted this on Reddit because people are like, dude, why?
5:28Who is getting Ollie Gordon for for 10 percent FAB?
5:31And to me, it's like, look, that's as much as I would spend.
5:35I mean, I would throw 10 percent FAB on him.
5:39And if I don't get him, I don't get him like that.
5:43That's really it. I'll let somebody else chase running backs.
5:46I'm sure there's going to be guys that go down and there's going to be other guys that have much more clear
5:54roles rest of season at the running back position.
5:57Then what we're getting here, Gordon was the lead back in week three.
6:01You know, he played 83.1 percent of the snaps.
6:04And again, that's really due to Jalen Wright not suiting up in this game.
6:09And I don't know that that's just going to be the case going forward.
6:13I think Jalen Wright, you know, has a foot injury plus a stinger, they said.
6:18And it's very, very possible that Ollie Gordon could be the guy that's really the lead back here once he comes back.
6:26So really bad offense possible split there. I'm not super excited to go out and roster Ollie Gordon.
6:32And that's just my thought process on it. But, you know, look, if you're desperate and you're like, man, I really need
6:39to start somebody, you can go ahead. But like guys like Tajay Spears are still out there.
6:45He's getting some receiving work. You know, he's more rostered.
6:48But like there are other players that I think, you know, yeah, they might not be the potential starter for a week or two.
6:57But, you know, they have more value or just as much value because they have better receiving chops and they're in better offenses.
7:04So I'm just really not a fan of dropping a ton of FAAB on Ollie Gordon this week.
7:10Let's go ahead and move over to the next guy.
7:14It's going to be Emmanuel Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks.
7:17Emmanuel Wilson, next three games, Chargers, 49ers, Broncos, 24% rostered.
7:20And this is a really, really messy situation for Seattle.
7:24Jardarian Price, he spent a first round pick on a running back this past draft season.
7:29And he gets the least amount of work out of the three running backs here for the Seattle Seahawks.
7:36Jardarian Price carries the ball five times last week versus Emmanuel Wilson, who carries the ball nine times.
7:42And then George Helani carries the ball three times, but he also had five targets for 45 yards.
7:48So he got more work. He ran more routes as well.
7:51And both guys were on the field more than Jardarian Price's past week.
7:56Emmanuel Wilson, three to five percent FAAB on him.
7:59You know, we saw him, you know, run the ball this past week a good amount of time.
8:05Wilson carried the ball nine times compared to Price's five like we talked about.
8:10But through the first three weeks of the season, Price hasn't exceeded 13 rushing attempts in a game.
8:16So he's not really getting the receiving work. And then on top of it, he's not getting, you know, the majority of
8:23the snaps on the ground running the football. So, look, I don't expect Wilson to become the starter for the season.
8:30But this is a situation where Chargers, 49ers, Broncos, not the hardest schedule, not the easiest schedule coming up.
8:37But still, when you compare it to a guy like Ollie Gordon, there's a possibility that Wilson is maybe a little bit
8:44lower in terms of who you'd rather start this coming week.
8:48But at the same time, you're spending way less FAAB on him.
8:52And he was involved every single week this year, even with the starter ahead of him.
8:57The reason Ollie Gordon is valued ahead of him, though, is because, look, it's a more clear cut role.
9:04And there's less competition for Ollie Gordon versus Wilson, who's got a first round pick in front of him.
9:10So next guy is going to be Brian Robinson.
9:1322% rostered. Brian Robinson, next three games, Saints, Ravens, Bears.
9:161-2% FAAB on Brian Robinson here. 22% rostered. But, you know, this is really just a case of a strong handcuff for Brian Robinson.
9:25I mean, carried the ball 10 times for 50 yards and a touchdown.
9:29Got a solid chunk of the work behind B.
9:32John Robinson. He's just a really strong handcuff in an offense that could be better with Michael Penix.
9:38And he looked really, really explosive right, you know, in the backfield.
9:42So, yeah, I mean, Brian Robinson's really just a handcuff here.
9:46But if you've got extra bench space on your roster, I would not mind going and getting him as a just a
9:53premium high-end handcuff running back there with Brian Robinson.
9:56Last guy here we're going to talk about then we'll move over to the quarterbacks is Sione Bacchi of the Lions.
10:03This is a guy who is probably 0-2% FAAB on him.
10:07Panthers, Cardinals, and Abai. He's not going to get much work or be really any value at all unless there's an injury.
10:14So same with Brian Robinson. It's just B-Rob. I know if B.
10:18John goes down, I don't think they're bringing much in competition-wise.
10:22With Bacchi, there's a possibility if Gibbs did go down that they do bring in competition.
10:28I think Jamal Williams is being looked at potentially.
10:31But Vahki has, you know, looked good in limited snaps.
10:34He carried the ball six times for 30 yards this past week, 29.6% of the snaps.
10:39Solely a handcuff here, right? But Gibbs is touching the ball a ton.
10:44And, you know, that's a really, really big workload for a guy that's not the biggest back.
10:49I'm not predicting injury, but we're trying to say, hey, who are the important guys to handcuff or roster in case somebody
10:57goes down that'll be actually fantasy viable versus like an Ollie Gordon situation where, yeah, he's now the starter.
11:03But how high is the ceiling? Vahki, I think, probably would have a higher ceiling if Gibbs was to go down versus Ollie Gordon with a chain down.
11:13So, it's just kind of how I see the room.
11:16And, you know, he's really more of a flyer here at the end.
11:20I wouldn't spend too much on Vahki, but he is somebody that I'm targeting in deep leagues that I have bench space
11:28as a handcuff if you really don't need a player to do anything.
11:32It's just really a stash. So, go ahead and check that out.
11:36But before we move on, we're going to take a quick break.
11:40We'll hear something from the Podfather, and we'll come right back.
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12:51All right, folks, we are back. I see a lot of questions in the chat.
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13:04But let's move over to the quarterback position. Again, this is all in order of my highest priority.
13:10It's a least priority. And, yeah, Geno Smith is going to be my highest priority.
13:15I talked about him in my article last week on my sub stack.
13:20I want to roster Geno Smith. 9% rostered across fantasy formats.
13:23Next three games, Bears, Browns, Patriots, and then a fourth game bonus is the Dolphins.
13:29We know Geno is going to be the guy.
13:32This team has looked good. There's no reason for them to bench him this early into the season to move to Club Nick.
13:39Especially with just overall trying to build some sort of culture there with the Jets.
13:44Geno's looked really good. I got to give it to Geno.
13:48He's facilitating this offense really, really well for the New York Jets.
13:52And this offense looks the most competent I can remember in a pretty long time.
13:57So, I mean, happy to see that for Geno.
14:00Happy to see that for the Jets. What does it mean for fantasy, though, for Geno Smith?
14:06Geno Smith, you know, the last three games, right?
14:09I mean, this is a guy that's completing 75% of his passes.
14:13He's only thrown four touchdowns, which is a little bit of a concern.
14:17You know, you'd want that number to be a little bit higher.
14:21But from a fantasy perspective, he's still been a pretty, pretty good solid fantasy points per game.
14:2717.31. There are other quarterbacks that are doing it better than him.
14:31Don't get me wrong. But he's been a pretty safe floor.
14:35He's got a good schedule coming up here. You know, I think he should be the quarterback to go out and grab
14:42if you are in a pinch right now and you're frustrated about your quarterback situation.
14:47Last week, 27 fantasy points. That definitely lifts up a little bit of his other performances.
14:5315.6 in week 2. 9.6 in his first week.
14:56But overall, really interested to see Geno. He's got some weapons.
14:59Kenyon Sadiq looked good. Aidy Mitchell wasn't even playing in this past game.
15:04This Isaiah Williams guy looks pretty good as well.
15:07Mason Taylor wasn't playing. So, there are some weapons here for the Jets.
15:11And I think Geno is the guy that I want to own here for the quarterbacks right now on the waiver wire.
15:19There's some other guys that we're going to talk about here.
15:22But with Geno, 5-10% FAB. I think he's a solid long-term option.
15:26At least for the next, you know, mid to long-term, I guess.
15:31It would be the best way to put it.
15:34For the next couple of weeks. Jacoby Reset is going to be my next guy.
15:3910% rostered. The next three games. Giants, Lions, Rams.
15:42FAB wise, I would spend 3-5% FAB on Jacoby.
15:45I'm willing to go a little bit above this in deeper leagues.
15:49Especially if you're sitting at like 0-3 and 1-2.
15:52The schedule gets very difficult. That's why I'm not spending as much as I would spend on Geno.
15:58For a guy like Jacoby. It gets really, really tough after, you know, the Lions game.
16:03But the next two games. Giants, Lions are really, really great matchups.
16:07And we're talking about two fantasy defenses that are giving up the top 15 most points to the quarterback position.
16:14Through the first three weeks here of the season.
16:17Secondary is really, really poor for both of these defenses.
16:20So, I think Jacoby is a good option here.
16:23If you're looking for a short-term option, that's the guy I would go with if you're just looking, hey, the next two weeks I need wins.
16:32They're throwing the ball a ton right now over there with the Cardinals.
16:37And Jacoby, look, I'm not going to sit here and tell you Jacoby's looked great.
16:42But he's doing what he needs to do. So, you know, we're good with that.
16:47Next guy we're going to talk about here is going to be Marcus Mariota.
16:51Just 3% rostered across fantasy formats. Mariota would be my number three priority with the quarterbacks and picking up guys on waivers.
16:59He gets the Colts, Giants, and 49ers. So, the next two games for him are also very, very nice.
17:05He gave us 20 fantasy points against a top three defense in football in Seattle.
17:10It's always one of those things when quarterbacks step in, especially veterans.
17:14You know, sometimes the backups come in and they play a good game.
17:19And then it's kind of like, what do they do after?
17:22Mariota's done this before for us, though. We've seen him be fantasy viable consistently, you know, with Washington when Jaden went down.
17:30So, I think Mariota's a really, really solid play, too.
17:33The Colts and the Giants are allowing an average of 19.9 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.
17:39So, Mariota, I think, is in line to, you know, to have some pretty good weeks the next two weeks.
17:46Again, really kind of a short-term hold here because they get a bye after the 49ers.
17:51And then I think Jaden Daniels will come back.
17:54So, the most short-term guy in terms of the rest of the season viability right now of the three that we talked about.
18:02But still, with him, good schedule and somebody that, you know, the way I typically do my waivers is I always back up my claims.
18:11So, you know, I would go Geno. Then I back it up with Jacoby.
18:15Then I back it up with Mariota. And I would do a difference of percentages for the FAB.
18:21Again, every league is going to be different in terms of how much FAB you're going to spend.
18:27You know, in NFFC, me and Jeremiah own a team together for high stakes.
18:32And we picked up Geno Smith for $125 last week.
18:36That's a league, though, that, you know, we lost Jaden Daniels, Caleb Williams.
18:40So, we had no quarterbacks. And then we backed him up with, I want to say, who did we back him up with?
18:48I think we backed him up with Mariota, but we got Geno.
18:52And for us, that was like 12.5% of our FAB.
18:55So, you know, we spent a little bit higher than what I'm recommending today.
19:00But we also had that matchup last week with Detroit added on to the schedule, which we were excited about.
19:07And it ended up paying off pretty well for us.
19:10So, those are the three quarterbacks. We'll talk about some other quarterbacks and some other running backs at the end when I
19:17go over my kind of my late round flyers.
19:20Let's move over to the wide receivers. Wide receiver is a position that every week there's always going to be different guys
19:28that pop up, different guys that get more work.
19:31Whereas, and there's always just going to be more options out there for wide receivers.
19:36So, I typically don't spend a ton of money on the wide receiver position unless, like, I'm getting somebody that's just going
19:43to be, is in a really, really good role where, hey, it's a great offense.
19:48And they're going to be at worst number two option and a great offense that likes to pass.
19:54So, that's usually typically what I look at. If not, then my percentages for FAB go down a little bit.
20:01But I will say, before we get into wide receivers, if Jacoby Myers happens to be available, you know, in your leagues,
20:09I would definitely go ahead and spend up to 8% FAB on him.
20:13I don't think he's going to be available in many leagues.
20:17But when I did look at his roster percentage, he was still under 50%.
20:21But it's going to depend on that league. But BTJ's snap percentage has gone down this past week.
20:27Myers had a good week, too. And overall, it just feels like BTJ might be kind of like third option in the passing offense at this point.
20:37And this offense looks phenomenal for the Jaguars. So, just wanted to make sure I made a note on that.
20:43Let's go ahead and go over to our first player.
20:47And it's going to be Chris Bell of the Miami Dolphins.
20:50I almost said the Jets. Talk about a lot of Jets today.
20:54But Chris Bell, for me, he's my number one waiver priority at wide receiver right now.
21:00Next three games, he gets Vikings, Bengals, and then a bye, you know, 5% to 8% FAB on Chris Bell for me.
21:07I just look at, you know, people are going to sit there and throw out older veterans that, you know, you should,
21:15you know, go out and pick up. And to me, I'd rather go and grab a young player with a high ceiling than some of these older veterans.
21:24You can go with the safe play with the older veterans, but I wouldn't spend nearly as much.
21:30But Chris Bell, 5% to 8% FAB. You know, we talked about him last week following the Caleb Douglas' injury.
21:37Bell drew seven targets, catching four of them for 67 yards.
21:41The offense is not very good. But with A-chain going down, I do think the running game is going to be pretty abysmal.
21:48And it's going to lead to them throwing the football more.
21:52So, that should be helpful in terms of Chris Bell and being able to keep up a solid volume and solid target share.
22:00Caleb Douglas has been, you know, out with this ankle injury.
22:03They're saying he could practice this week. He's day-to-day right now.
22:07But with the ankle injuries, you know, you never know.
22:11It could absolutely zap production. And I think Chris Bell has the highest ceiling of all the wide receivers here.
22:17A lot of people like Malik Washington, too, because he can kind of filter in as a running back a little bit for the Dolphins.
22:26He's getting some design runs, which I totally understand that.
22:29But I prefer Chris Bell here. Higher ceiling. Yeah, there's more risk that Chris Bell gets relegated with Douglas coming back.
22:36Maybe Douglas doesn't have production zapped. And he goes back to being the guy that, you know, the offense likes to go towards.
22:44Malik Washington is also a veteran. But I'm just going to take the risk on the higher ceiling player, in my opinion.
22:51I think it's pretty close with him and Trey Harris, who we're going to talk about next.
22:57Trey Harris for the Chargers, 4% rostered right now.
23:00And Trey Harris, next three games, Seattle Broncos Chiefs.
23:03So it's not really a great schedule for the Chargers and for Trey Harris.
23:08But 5% to 8% FAB on him, so I'd spend the same amount on him as I would Chris Bell.
23:15Again, it's pretty neck and neck here. With Harris, though, like I said, I typically don't like to spend a ton of
23:22FAB on players or wide receivers on waivers. Because typically you can find weekly fill-ins, you know, weekly flex options.
23:29With Trey Harris, I think he's trending towards being in a larger role, right?
23:33I mean, this past week he had 76 yards.
23:36He caught 6 of his 7 targets. He ended up putting up 14.6 fantasy points.
23:42I'm sorry, he put up 13.6 fantasy points. He had 14.6 actual expected fantasy points.
23:47Like I said, I think there's a possibility he overtakes Quinton Johnston.
23:51Quinton Johnston's just been really bad for this team.
23:54And I know people are going to give me crap for it because I threw up the whole tweet about Justin Herbert having all these weapons.
24:02And a first-round wide receiver with Quinton Johnston. Look, I understand that Quinton Johnston has his issues.
24:08He hasn't played great. His yards per route run this year, .79, which is actually pretty low.
24:14Trey Harris' yards per route run, 2.07. It's actually crazy that Quinton Johnston, a guy that runs a ton of deep balls,
24:21has such a low yards per route run. And his fantasy points per route run is .15.
24:27I mean, it just really hasn't been that great for Quinton Johnston.
24:31He drops a lot of passes. This is a team that was able to or was willing to go away from Amara
24:38and Hampton this past week to get Keaton Mitchell the ball more.
24:43And so, to me, that signals that they're willing to try things to win football games right now, even if it means, you know, benching.
24:51Not benching, but like taking touches away from a high-drafted pick or, you know, somebody that they put a large investment in
24:58because they need to get this thing working. So, I think Trey Harris could absolutely start or get more of the routes this next week versus Quinton Johnson.
25:08So, I like Trey Harris. That's a guy I would be willing to spend up on as well.
25:14He's attached to a good quarterback, a very good quarterback.
25:17And they need to start winning football games over there with the Chargers.
25:22So, I would go out and spend up on Trey Harris if I needed help at wide receiver.
25:28And I'm looking for just a higher upside play, you know, not just a weekly flex.
25:33Like, Trey Harris, look, Ladd hasn't been that great this year either.
25:37Like, Trey Harris could very well be the best wide receiver this year with Ladd being banged up, right?
25:44So, it's all possible, folks. I know it sounds crazy to say, but this is just how fantasy goes.
25:50Things change. The landscape changes very quickly on a week-to-week basis.
25:54Next guy we're going to talk about is an ex-charger, and it's going to be Keenan Allen.
25:59Keenan Allen plays for the Colts now, 21% rostered.
26:02Next three games, Commanders, Steelers, Titans. We talk about, you know, when I'm sitting here telling you the old dusty veteran, this is one of the guys, right?
26:12If you're looking for a player that's just going to be really, really steady, that's going to be a safe play, maybe not the highest ceiling.
26:21Keenan Allen's your guy right now. The other two guys we talked about just have high ceilings at this stage of their career.
26:28Sometimes people say, look, I don't want the ceiling.
26:31I just want the guy that I know I can put in my flex, and he can give me 10 points, like a Khalil Shakir kind of guy.
26:41Or at least what we used to see with Khalil Shakir, where the ceiling wasn't very high, but he's getting you five
26:48catches for 50 yards kind of thing each game.
26:51But with Keenan Allen, Commanders, Steelers, Titans the next three weeks, FAB, I'd spend a 3% to 5% on him.
26:58He looked pretty poor in week two. However, though, in a tough matchup for week three, where he was relied upon pretty
27:05heavily against a really tough defense with the Houston Texans, he rose to the occasion.
27:10He looked really, really good this past week. He drew nine targets.
27:15He caught six of them for 63 yards and a touchdown.
27:18The upcoming schedule is pretty favorable, too. I mean, we talked about those three teams, Commanders, Steelers, Titans.
27:24The past defenses are not great there, so that's some good opportunities for him.
27:29Allen also played 73% of the snaps this past week, which is the highest mark of the season for him.
27:36So that's something to note as well. And look, I think he's got a more defined role than Trey Harris and even Chris Bell.
27:44So you can go out and grab Allen if you're like, I'm not looking for risk.
27:49I'm just looking for a cheap play. I need a cheap fill-in because maybe you lost a guy this week and you're
27:57just like, I need to have a safe player.
28:00Maybe, hey, A.J. Brown's out. You've picked up a bunch of guys.
28:04None of it's worked out. And you're just looking for a safe guy to throw in there.
28:09Keenan Allen might be that guy. Just understand that there's nuance between him and the other players, and that's why he becomes
28:17number three for me in terms of priority. But Keenan Allen's still doing it.
28:22You know, that DUI did not stop him somehow.
28:25No suspension yet. We will see if there is one on the horizon for Keenan Allen.
28:30But so far, you know, he is still eligible to play football.
28:34But next guy we're going to talk about is going to be Roman Wilson here.
28:39Roman Wilson, 1% rostered. Next three games for Roman Wilson, Browns, Colts, Buccaneers.
28:44One to 3% FAB on Roman Wilson here. The ex-Michigan Wolverine Roman Wilson, who had a pretty choppy start to his career.
28:5125 years old. This is kind of like a slot player.
28:55He's not going to be a guy that's going to play out wide.
28:59Good news is you have DK Metcalf for that.
29:02He might not be doing it very well, but he is still cemented in there out wide.
29:08Michael Pittman came back this week. And even with Michael Pittman back, Roman Wilson still saw a team high 20.6% target share, which I think is pretty notable.
29:17Pittman, you know, did run more routes. Wilson ran 18 compared to Pittman's 26.
29:22But the amount of trust that Aaron Rodgers all of a sudden has for Roman Wilson is pretty staggering considering Roman Wilson
29:29was a guy that they talked about in camp.
29:32And pretty much ever since Rodgers got there, who they want to get more touches for, but he's got to learn the
29:40playbook and he's got to stop making some of these small mental errors, mental mistakes.
29:45And it's paid off. Roman Wilson has six targets every single week this season.
29:50Six targets, three weeks straight for him. He caught three of his targets for 60 yards and a touchdown this past week.
29:57Maybe this offense is starting to figure things out.
30:00They had a really, really tough start to the year.
30:03I think a lot of it had to do with a young offensive line with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
30:09And maybe the offensive line is kind of working things out.
30:13And we shall see. But Roman Wilson, he's my fourth priority here of the wide receivers.
30:19You know, maybe it can continue. It didn't look like Aaron Rodgers was very happy with Michael Pittman.
30:25There was a mouth read thing going on where there was a clip of Rodgers talking about Michael Pittman.
30:31And it appeared after Pittman, I think, dropped the football.
30:34And he's like, man, this guy effing stinks. So who knows?
30:38I mean, I'm not a lip reader, but those that are pretty decent at it thought that that's what he said.
30:45And it showed up in the stat sheet when you looked at it.
30:50Pittman was not the guy that was relied upon.
30:53And Roman Wilson was a guy that became the more sure-handed player.
30:57And to be honest, DK Metcalf has been really, really unreliable too.
31:01So Roman Wilson's an interesting pickup as well. Ted Hurst, 2% rostered.
31:05He's going to be the next player. This one's a little hard to gauge here because you have Baker Mayfield who does go down with that hand injury.
31:14Looks like he's going to miss about three weeks.
31:17Next three games though for Ted Hurst, Packers, Cowboys, Steelers.
31:21He's just 2% rostered across fantasy formats right now.
31:24I'd say 1% to 2% FAB on Ted Hurst.
31:27He's made some plays every single week this season.
31:30I think it's also possible that the passing game improves.
31:33I mean, Baker has looked really bad, which is really hard for me to say because I like Baker Mayfield.
31:40But you've got to call a spade a spade at some point.
31:44This offense and Baker in general just hasn't looked very good.
31:48And so Baker is out. But we shall see if things change.
31:52But Ted Hurst has ran 84 routes this year.
31:55That is third behind Ibuka and Chris Godwin. Jalen McMillan came back and he's re-injured himself.
32:00So he's going to miss time. He's got a knee injury.
32:04Tess Johnson's ran 32 routes. So Ted Hurst is really like third wide receiver here, which is why he's not higher.
32:11You've got a backup quarterback throwing the football. But I think he's a solid stash in deep leagues and somebody I'd be
32:18willing to go pick up and put there on the bench.
32:22Especially just given the fact that this offense hasn't looked very good.
32:26And Hurst has made some plays as a rookie.
32:29I always like these young rookies that look good to start their career.
32:33He's got six catches on the year. 103 yards and a touchdown.
32:37You know, this past week he caught one pass on three of his targets for 40 yards and a touchdown.
32:44You know, the week prior he had seven targets in week two.
32:48He only caught two of them for 27 yards.
32:51And then in week one, three targets, three catches, 36 yards.
32:55It's not a high-end play here. It's just really a bench stash.
32:59Don't spend too much on Ted Hurst. But look, the one sneaky thing about Ted Hurst is he was a rookie coming in.
33:07They have a rookie quarterback now starting for the Buccaneers.
33:10Ted Hurst and that quarterback probably got a decent amount of reps in camp, in rookie minicamp.
33:16And so there is somewhat of a relationship, somewhat of a chemistry there.
33:20He may look Hurst's way, which is also a little bit of part of why I, you know, was a little bit more intrigued with Hurst this week.
33:30Or just, you know, this week for the waivers.
33:33And he already was getting a solid amount of targets even before Baker went down.
33:38So I think Ted Hurst is an interesting stash.
33:41We're going to move over to the tight end position.
33:44Then we're going to talk about, you know, the honorable mentions and then like zero FAB waivers.
33:50Then we'll go ahead and pretty much answer some questions.
33:53And then we'll recap and we'll get out of here.
33:57But we'll take one break and we'll be right back.
34:00You know, I get asked, is AI ruining fantasy sports?
34:03And the answer is absolutely not. We've had consensus rankings available for a long time.
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34:16Of course, your rookie rankings, your dynasty rankings are all available in the ranking service for playerprofiler.com.
34:22Password protected so the bots can't get to it and you can maintain your edge.
34:27And use code PODFATHER for $5 off. Woo! It's a good deal.
34:31All right, folks, we are back. We're going to move over to the tight end position.
34:36Tight end position, it's pretty obvious who the number one guy here is.
34:40It's going to be Kenyon Sadiq. Sadiq had a really, really good game this past week against the Lions.
34:47Only 19% rostered. First round pick for the Jets out of Oregon.
34:51And, you know, the talent's always there. Sadiq blew up this week for the Jets.
34:56He ended up drawing eight targets, caught seven of them for 105 yards and a touchdown.
35:01I mean, he blew up in a big way.
35:04He's got some really, really solid matchups coming up with the Bears, Browns, and then obviously the Patriots.
35:10But it certainly helps that A.D. Mitchell was injured and Mason Taylor were ruled out for this game.
35:16Both of those guys didn't play. And so people will say, well, what happens when those guys get back?
35:23What happens to Kenyon Sadiq? This is a first-round talent that they spent draft capital on.
35:28And to me, like, how do you put the toothpaste back in the tube once a guy blows up like this for you with Kenyon Sadiq here?
35:37Like, it's hard to imagine them, yeah, is he going to get maybe eight targets and have 100 yards and a touchdown every single week?
35:46No. But I think he showed up, showed out for them in a game that the Jets showed they belong right now in the NFL.
35:54As crazy as that sounds, they're playing good football even though they have a 1-2 record.
36:00And so I would be very happy to go pick up Kenyon Sadiq.
36:04I would still only spend, you know, 5% max FAB on him unless you're in really, really deep leagues and your tight end situation is very poor.
36:13Then I'd spend maybe 10% FAB if it's like, hey, this is a tight end premium league.
36:19We really don't have much out there on waivers.
36:22Then I would spend up on Sadiq a little bit more.
36:26But tight ends are similar to wide receivers. They're very matchup dependent.
36:30And some of those guys could come back, right?
36:33And so it's like matchup dependent position. And there's still mouths to feed in the offense.
36:38All that to be said, I'd still spend, like I said, up to 10% FAB if you're desperate.
36:44But really my tolerance is around 3% to 5% max.
36:47And people are going to say, again, how are you going to get Kenyon Sadiq with 5% FAB?
36:54You might not get him. And that's okay. I mean, I'm only spending up on him unless I'm desperate.
37:00I mean, look at tight ends in this league.
37:03Dalton Schultz has been a phenomenal tight end for fantasy football to start the year.
37:08There are so many tight ends that come out and play well for fantasy football and then go and disappear for a couple weeks.
37:16Like it's just very, very matchup dependent. I mean, we're talking about a position that's just very, very – if you don't
37:24have those top end guys, the point differential is just not very far from tight end 7-8 to tight end 20.
37:31I mean, it's just – it's not very different.
37:34Speaking of, and a good example of this is next guy is going to be Darren Waller.
37:39I mean, Darren Waller came off the street, you know, he was packing up groceries, and now he's tight end 10 on the year so far.
37:48Darren Waller, 14% rostered. He's got the Lions, he's got a bye, and then he's got the Eagles.
37:541% to 2% FAB for Waller. He's looked pretty good.
37:58I mean, he should have had a touchdown week one.
38:01It got called back for, you know, for that offense.
38:04But in three games so far, he's, you know, he's ran 66 routes.
38:09The average right now for the position is 43% on the year.
38:13His yards per route run, 1.63. And I think the big thing for me right now when I saw him is he's
38:20got 0.29% targets per route run, which ranks fifth in the NFL right now.
38:25So it just goes to show that Bryce Young is looking his way when he's on the field.
38:31And that's very encouraging for a guy that, remind yourselves, he wasn't on the roster most of the offseason.
38:37I mean, he was a late addition to this team.
38:41So as he's getting more time in the offense, getting more time with Bryce Young, he's been able to make some more plays.
38:48He's got a good matchup against the Lions this week.
38:52Jalen Coker may not play this week. He could get put on – I'm not saying he's going to get put on
38:59the IR, but, you know, Coker dealing with a quad injury.
39:03He was initially dealing with an ankle injury coming in.
39:06Now he's got a quad. He's bagged up. They might just shut him down for this week.
39:12And Darren Waller then becomes a pretty nice option this next week.
39:16Against the Browns, though, he ended up drawing eight targets, caught five of them for 51 yards.
39:22He found the end zone twice the week before that.
39:25But I'm intrigued by Darren Waller, and this is how it is with tight ends.
39:30His win rate for routes per fantasy points, number one in the NFL right now.
39:35He's winning 18.9% of his routes. Darren Waller, talent's always been there for him.
39:40A lot of it's really age and injury history, and can he stay healthy with Darren Waller?
39:46So he's a guy that I find interesting. Now we're going to talk about some of these honorable mentions.
39:52These are typically guys that, you know, don't make the highest priority parts of the list.
39:58But they're players that should be noted. Aaron Rodgers, one of them.
40:02Rodgers looked really good against a solid Bengals defense.
40:05He's got a nice schedule coming up over the next few weeks, and I think he's worth considering if you're in a pinch.
40:12Zero to 2% FAB, remember, for these guys. Kirk Cousins.
40:16People are going to be confused why Cousins. It took so long to talk about him.
40:21He's posted a 20-point outing over the past two weeks in a row.
40:26He isn't higher on my list because the schedule is pretty brutal until week 12.
40:31I mean, I'm not sitting here saying that the Raiders aren't for real, and I'm trying not to sound like I'm not
40:38giving them credit because what they've done so far is incredible for a team that nobody believed in against the schedule.
40:45That, to start the year, people thought was not the easiest schedule either, but they've came out and they've played well.
40:52I mean, Dolphins, not a hard team, but then you beat the Chargers who people thought would be really good.
40:59And then you beat the Saints in the Dome over there, which is a really tough place to play.
41:05So Kirk Cousins would be higher on my list.
41:08I just, you know, I'm not as confident he'll be as good for fantasy going forward with the schedule that he's got.
41:16Next guy is going to be Jalen Wright, who Jalen Wright, I talked about Ollie Gordon, and I actually like Ollie Gordon
41:23as a player more than I like Jalen Wright.
41:26But I got to put that bias aside because Jalen Wright, again, coming out of camp, Jalen Wright was the guy to
41:34back up Devon A-Chain per reports, per the depth chart.
41:37Like, that's just how it was. And there's a possibility that people blow their fab on Ollie Gordon and Jalen Wright ends up being the guy to own.
41:46So Jalen Wright, I mean, you could even put him in the list, even though he's an honorable mention.
41:53Like, he absolutely deserves to be in the list for sure.
41:57So Jalen Wright is somebody I would definitely be willing to spend 2% FAB on to go get him, maybe even up to 5%, honestly.
42:05Just because of the possibility that people are going to spend up on Ollie Gordon and he could be the starter.
42:12It's very possible. Raheem Sanders, we talked about Sanders a few weeks ago.
42:16Judkins, definitely the better player. But Sanders is getting plenty of work as a receiver for the running back position for the Browns.
42:24He drew 5 targets, catching 4 of them for 34 yards.
42:28I think if Judkins goes down, that receiving role could be pretty significant if he were to miss some time.
42:35So, again, a handcuff there with Raheem Sanders. Xavier Hutchinson, wide receiver for the Houston Texans.
42:40Hutchinson just really continues to draw some volume in this offense.
42:44It hasn't really amounted to being extremely fantasy viable.
42:47Again, this is like a solid floor play, not the highest ceiling play.
42:51But Nico Collins is sidelined due to a hamstring injury.
42:54You have Jaden Higgins that's out. Jalen Noel is really not doing much at all.
43:00Hutchinson is really kind of eating his lunch right now.
43:03And even if Nico comes back, Hutchinson still could see a decent volume of work, though I probably wouldn't be starting him.
43:10Hutchinson is a deep league play, a deep league pickup for this week if you need help.
43:16That's really why he's on this list. Kanata Mumfield of the Los Angeles Rams.
43:21He scored 17.7 fantasy points against a really, really good Denver defense.
43:25He's attached to an excellent offense. And he's really a handcuff option to Puka if he takes longer to return given the uncertain timeline.
43:33The short-term schedule, though, isn't really great. So keep that in mind with Mumfield if you do go out and pick him up.
43:41Again, these are players that you can stash on your bench typically that you're not spending much on.
43:47But there's a role possibly. Now, with the Rams, they are running obviously a lot of three tight end sets.
43:53But they are banged up a tight end. Terrence Ferguson is out this week for week number four.
44:00Kobe Parkinson got dinged up a little bit in this past game.
44:04So they may – while they really, really want to go three tight end sets, there's a possibility that they have to
44:11go two tight end sets more, which gets Mumfield on the field if Puka Nakua does miss some time.
44:17The last guy we're going to talk about is Matt Collins.
44:21This guy just doesn't go away. He's got the lamest shtick in the business, in my opinion, with the whole no shoes thing.
44:29And he's pretty arrogant on the field. But, I mean, I've got to give it to him.
44:35Every team needs a villain. And Matt Collins plays that role pretty well for the New England Patriots.
44:41He had a massive game. He drew nine targets this past week.
44:45Offense is kind of a mess. And we can't really determine who's going to consistently be the guy with A.J.
44:51Brown out. But with that said, you know, Collins is a fine depth piece if he ends up being a consistent go-to
44:59for Drake May, who is struggling right now. Define their way as an offense, too.
45:04So, you know, there's a possibility in a world where Matt Collins just plays a solid role until A.J.
45:10Brown comes back. So, Matt Collins would be there for me.
45:14For the zero-bid FAB Flyers, Ty Felton, number one for me for the Minnesota Vikings.
45:19It was a nice prospect coming out of college at Maryland.
45:23Hasn't done much in the NFL. Justin Jefferson does suffer the ankle injury.
45:27They think he's going to give it a go this week, but they're not sure if he does miss some time.
45:34Felton, I think, is a pretty talented player. John Johnson hasn't really done much.
45:39He did run 20 routes this week, Felton. So, again, this is a deep league stash that, you know, maybe possibly there's
45:46a world where, you know, Felton can start to break through.
45:50I wouldn't spend any money on him, though. But, again, just somebody to put on your radar in case Jefferson does miss some time.
45:58The next and final guy, and then we'll go through a recap here and answer some questions.
46:04Cody White, wide receiver for the Las Vegas Raiders.
46:07Jack Besch did go down this past week. Unsure how much time he'll miss.
46:12But White's already got three touchdowns this season. The season's not particularly high.
46:16I'm not super excited to roster him. But, again, just somebody to keep in mind.
46:21I mean, he's scoring touchdowns. And, you know, outside of Trey Tucker, Dillon Naylor hasn't been that good.
46:27Obviously, Brock Bowers comes back. It's not a great offense.
46:30But somebody to consider in very, very deep leagues if you're just trying to say, hey, I'm going to pick this guy
46:38up for a week and cut him if it's not going to cost me any money.
46:43Just guys really – really just guys to keep on your radar, if anything else.
46:48Let's do a quick recap because we did get asked to start doing recaps each week on these videos.
46:55For the quarterback position, the priority – starting from highest priority to least priority.
46:59Gino Smith, Jacoby Brissett, Marcus Mariota for the running back position, Braylon Allen, then Ollie Gordon, then Emmanuel Wilson, then Brian Robinson, then Sione Bacchi of the Lions.
47:09A wide receiver, Jacoby Myers is going to be number one.
47:13But I didn't really add him much to my article or to my FAB and too much of a breakdown because I
47:20think he should be rostered already in many formats.
47:23But if he's not, I would pick him up.
47:26He'd be number one for me. But it's going to be Chris Bell, Trey Harris, Keenan Allen, Roman Wilson, Ted Hurst.
47:33And then for the tight end position, Kenyon Sadiq, Darren Waller are the two priority tight ends for me.
47:40And then for the honorable mentions, this is still in order.
47:43It's going to be Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Kirk Cousins at quarterback, then Jalen Wright, then Raheem Sanders, Xavier Hutchinson, Kanata Mumfield, and Mack Collins.
47:52I almost said Mack Collins. Matt Collins. And then Ty Felton and Cody White are the $0 FAB flyers.
47:58Chris Bell was, I think, a zero. No, I'm sorry.
48:01Malik Washington might have been a zero FAB flyer.
48:05It was either him or Chris Bell. I think it might have been Chris Bell last week.
48:10So that ended up, you know, working out. But let's take a couple questions here in the chat, and then we'll get out of here.
48:19I got a question here that said, drop Ja'Kory Krosky Merritt for Allen or Ollie Gordon.
48:24I would drop Ja'Kory Krosky Merritt for Allen. Not Ollie, but Allen, especially if you need somebody this week.
48:30Steven said, hey, Pete, these are my wide receivers looking to drop Waddle, Debo.
48:35These wide receivers are available on Waver Wire, Wilson, Wicks, Burden, Addison.
48:39What would you do many things? Well, I probably wouldn't drop Bottle or Debo.
48:44I mean, maybe I would consider dropping Debo for Luther Burden, but that's really about it on that question there.
48:51Beer Batter Gummy Shark said, hey, I'm hunting two Waver Wire ads, Brees.
48:55So looking for Brill and Allen, my Coker may be iffy start again, considering Harold Fennett is a flex PPR.
49:02Well, we'll do start sits on Thursday, but with the Waver Wire ads, like we talked about Braylon Allen, of course, already.
49:09Said dropping Schultz and Trey Tucker. Okay, perfect. Zach Linn's in the house as well.
49:14What's going on, Zach? Again, guys, if you have any questions, make sure you drop them in.
49:20We'll answer them before we get out of here.
49:23Let's see. Who else do we have? Adam said, I traded Stafford for Baker and RJ Harvey.
49:29I have Brock Purdy starting. Should I go after Cousins for insurance?
49:33I talked about Cousins. Got a really tough schedule coming up.
49:37There are other quarterbacks that I would prefer over Kirk Cousins right now.
49:41Said Fannin or Sadiq is my decision tonight. I still prefer Harold Fannin right now, but I do like Kenny and Sadiq.
49:48Let's see. We got a question here. It said, would you trade Lab McConkie and Trevion Henderson for Jeremiah Love right now?
49:56If you have the wide receiver depth, I would trade those two guys for him.
50:01Lab McConkie hasn't looked that great. They're pretty close to a wash, him and Love, but Henderson's just a throw in to get it done.
50:09I'm fine moving Henderson, though, at this point. Someone said, should I drop Marvin Harrison Jr.?
50:15Marvin is definitely a drop if you have players that you like.
50:19I would not let him hold you back from getting those guys.
50:23Would you trade Jamar Chase for Pickens and Zay Flowers?
50:26Probably not. I just want Jamar Chase on my team.
50:29There's not really a world where I'm dropping him unless you're telling me, hey, this is a really deep league and I'm
50:37really, really stuck at wide receiver right now. I need to get better there.
50:42It's like Chase is carrying the entire room. Maybe I would consider it, but I'm probably still not doing it.
50:48And then would you trade Terry McLaurin and Luther Burden for Bucky?
50:52That's a lot of firepower to give up for Bucky.
50:56I probably would say no. Probably would say no on that one as well.
51:00But if there's no more questions, folks, that's going to do it for us.
51:05I'm going to make sure I put the timestamps on here in case anybody wants to go back and watch this.
51:12But thank you guys so much for watching. I'll be back on Thursday with Jeremiah to do the ranking show.
51:19Make sure you hit that like button. If you enjoyed the show, make sure you subscribe.
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