0:00Welcome into the lineup fantasy football show. I'm Mitch Anderson.
0:03I'm Justin Mello. And we are joined yet again by our very special guest, Dynasty Dad here to help us break down
0:09the biggest buy low trades entering week four. What's going on, man?
0:12What's going on? I'm feeling like a staple in this show now.
0:15I'm loving it. You know, we always joke around.
0:18A Monday staple. Yeah, I had Matt Hicks on the show for the fifth time and we were talking about getting him his SNL gold jacket.
0:25So I'm approaching that with you guys. 100%. Let's do it.
0:28But as always, the lineup is presented by Dabble Fantasy.
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0:38You can also follow us at lineupmitch and copy our picks with one click to sweat every single Sunday alongside us.
0:44But Mike, let's jump into your first trade target heading into week four.
0:47Both of these guys that I have today are guys that I love in Dynasty, but most of your redraft, you know,
0:53friends and family, they have no clue. They're not in there.
0:56This is a guy that was tight end 21 in your draft process.
1:00And now he popped off this weekend. Someone that I loved, you know, in the Dynasty draft process.
1:05And that's Kenyon Sadiq. Eight targets, seven receptions. You know, it popped off for a monster touchdown there and gave you a crazy week.
1:12And this is a guy that is super talented.
1:14Amazing athlete, right? Runs a 4-3. Someone that can get open.
1:17And I think a major weapon here for this Jets offense as he went up over 80 yards.
1:22And someone that, you know, you saw week one, they were able to move him all over the field.
1:27I'm not saying that he is, you know, going to be what Tyler Warren was last year, but or even Colston Loveland towards the end.
1:34But this guy does have the skill set to be a real game changer.
1:38And we've struggled at that tight end position. It was great to have Bowers back.
1:42I mean, pride's been a beast, but being able to get another guy here to stash on your bench for those those
1:48bye weeks and for that stretch run. I think Kenyon Sadiq could be a real, you know, ace in the hole for your team.
1:55Rookie guys that people aren't going to be targeting and redraft versus dynasty.
1:58But there were a few issues with him. One of them being they also spent high draft capital on Omar Cooper Jr.
2:04But now he's off to the IR. And then the bigger, more looming issue being like, I don't know how much I
2:11buy Geno Smith in this Jets offense. Both parts of that.
2:14Now Geno Smith's come out. He's looked incredible. Three touchdowns yesterday, giving the Lions a run for their money.
2:19And I think I'm buying in. I'm completely with you.
2:22Thankfully, the Garrett Wilson injury doesn't look serious. I was going to say, had he really gone down, then there was going
2:28to be a ton of opportunities opening up for him.
2:30But we'll see what happens with this Adonai Mitchell finger injury, how soon he's back.
2:34I think there's a ton of volume coming Sadiq's way.
2:37I think this is a fantastic buy and a guy that people in your league might not be completely in on just yet.
2:44Yeah. And it's interesting, too, like you mentioned, like the Tyler Warrens, Nicholson Lovelands of last year.
2:48Tight end used to be a position where we didn't really see rookies produce.
2:52But in recent years, like Brock Bowers, who you mentioned as well, his rookie year, Sam Laporta was the head in one.
2:58It happens now. Like there are rookie tight ends that are league winners down the stretch.
3:03Kenyon Sadiq has had the involvement and the Jets have looked sharp enough on offense where he could be that down the stretch.
3:09Now, I agree. He's more of a stash right now and redraft formats.
3:13Anyways, you can probably get them very cheap in a trade.
3:16But he's a guy I want stashed on my bench and he can be a great spot start or maybe even an
3:22every week start down the stretch, potentially. I think a lot of people really concentrate on their bench being like, well, I want a guy.
3:28They take a like a high floor, low ceiling guy and put them on their bench.
3:33And they're like, I want to save him for weeks six through eight for my bye weeks.
3:38And I don't play it that way. Like I want high upside stashes.
3:41I want guys that are going to give me, you know, because those low ceiling type players, you're going to be able to pick them up whenever.
3:49But you want to make sure you're loading that bench up with those high upside guys like a Sadiq.
3:54So thanks, guys. I heard such a great point about that the other day, about how when you look at your fantasy
4:00matchups, so much of the time we're trying to make these moves that are going to get us an extra like two, three points.
4:06And it's like, how often do your matchups actually finish with you winning or losing by like a handful of points?
4:12It's usually a pretty big margin because those explosive players are the ones that make the big difference.
4:17And so guys like this are exactly the type of guy I want to target this time of the year.
4:23All right. Well, I have another trade target for you here.
4:26A guy who was much more expensive in drafts just a few weeks ago.
4:30And that is Ted Aroa McMillan. Whoever has TMAC in your league is probably fed up.
4:34Just they had to pay big money for him or big draft capital.
4:38And it hasn't really come to fruition. Underwhelming first couple of games, taking a backseat to Jalen Coker, really.
4:43And he followed it up in week three with just a total dud.
4:46Two receptions, 17 scoreless yards. Hasn't had a touchdown all season.
4:49And that's kind of partially why I'm looking to buy.
4:52He's had 23 targets through three weeks. Just has yet to find the end zone, which has really limited his fantasy output.
4:58I still wholeheartedly believe in the talent, though. I believe the volume.
5:02I think he is going to continue to operate as the number one receiver on this offense going forward.
5:07And I think week four against Detroit is the perfect breakout spot, which makes him a guy I'm really trying to target
5:13now before that potential big boom game happens here in week four.
5:16You're definitely still going to have to pay a bit to get Petrola McMillan.
5:20He's by no means dirt cheap, but I think he's cheaper than he would have been a few weeks ago.
5:26And I still view his season long upside the same.
5:28Yeah, I think this is one of those really tight window buys.
5:32I'm completely with you. I think this is a blow up spot incoming.
5:35I think there's so much excitement around Jalen Coker.
5:38And I think there was like this weird stink around T-Mac for some reason this offseason, despite how good he was as a rookie.
5:44And Mello, we've talked about this, I think, partially because people are just less excited about sophomore receivers after what we saw
5:50with Ladd and with Malik, who I'll actually get to in a minute.
5:54But I think this is a fantastic buy. I agree with you.
5:57I think the manager who drafted him is probably panicking and looking to cut his losses and just get what he can.
6:03So I would absolutely be targeting T-Mac right now.
6:06On to our next guy, though, as I just mentioned, let's talk about Malik Neighbors.
6:10I'm going to start with a very premium, expensive option here.
6:13I promised my second guy I'm going to get to a little bit more of a budget buy.
6:18But there is complete panic in the streets right now around Malik Neighbors.
6:21Looked like a smash spot this week against the Tennessee Titans.
6:24They just allowed Devonta Smith to go wild. 10 catches, 117 yards and touchdown.
6:28And then the Malik Neighbors experience this week was five receptions for 26 yards.
6:32I don't think anybody wants any pieces of this Giants offense right now.
6:36But if you haven't seen the reports, it seems imminent that the Giants will bring in some more QB help outside of
6:42Jameis Winston in the wake of the Jackson Dart injury.
6:45Joe Shane is reportedly working the phones for a potential trade that could happen as soon as today.
6:50For me, even if it is just Jameis or if it's this new quarterback, I can promise you things are going to
6:56get better from Malik Neighbors as long as he's healthy and out there.
6:59I think vibes are at an all-time low. You had the bizarre shoulder injury last week.
7:04You have this disappointing outing in a great spot against the Titans this week.
7:07This is such a big buy low on a guy that I know the three of us, Mike, you specifically over the offseason.
7:14This is such an unbelievable talent. And once he does have the breakout game, the discount is going to disappear immediately.
7:20People just haven't seen it yet this year. It's that kind of object permanence thing where it's like, oh, okay, is Malik Neighbors just not good anymore?
7:27And I think we all know in the back of our minds that's just completely not true.
7:32Yeah, I think Malik Neighbors is one of the most talented wide receivers in the league.
7:36And it's, you know, we all had that dream of last year when Flacco came in with Jamar Chase, like getting a Joe Flacco, somebody that's competent.
7:43And even in my, like what I've seen from the past in Jameis Winston is like that game was in the rain.
7:50It was kind of sloppy, but Jameis Winston has propped up guys to throw crazy volume.
7:54So if they can bring somebody in that's at least competent, Malik Neighbors is a major buy because you're right.
7:59Everybody's hitting the panic button. I mean, I've been seeing trades in Dynasty that are absolutely insane.
8:04And when you look at Malik Neighbors, he has top five upside every single year.
8:08The best part to me is, you know, those worries that we had with the knee seem to be disappearing.
8:14You know, we have the shoulder thing and the quarterback issue, but that major issue of the knee seems to have disappeared.
8:20So now I'm with you. I'm buying in. Um, it's so interesting too.
8:23I've seen so much content and so much chatter about how Malik Neighbors is a sell right now.
8:28Get rid of Malik Neighbors, like cut your losses while you can.
8:32And a lot of that was even before yesterday where it was a complete disaster.
8:36To me, that's all the evidence I need to know.
8:39I need to go buy Malik Neighbors. Everyone is panic selling him.
8:42Um, now he's even lower than he was, you know, a couple days ago after, after yesterday's performance.
8:47Talent trumps all, I think, in most scenarios. And if he is now at the point where he is so ridiculously cheap
8:53compared to what he was a few weeks ago.
8:55Yeah, I'm absolutely buying Malik Neighbors. And I think one caveat with that is like, he's so talented, but like, we can
9:01all agree there is some like inherent risk here.
9:04There is this weird shoulder issue. There is this quarterback issue.
9:07So, don't go out and buy him from the guy that's still valuing him as 2024 Malik Neighbors.
9:12If that's the case, don't do it. But we're saying if you can get a huge discount on a guy that we
9:18know has the upside to be a top five wide receiver, like you said.
9:22That's the type of guy you want to go target when we're all overreacting to, what are we in now?
9:27A sixth of the NFL season. It's way too early to be out on Malik Neighbors.
9:32But Mike, before you jump into your second guy.
9:34If you have any specific trade questions or want in-depth advice on your team and how to get it on the right
9:40path towards a championship, you can get one-on-one support from me, Dynasty Dad, Mello, Snoog, and Brandon on the Smash Accept website
9:46and get 25% off your first month with the code LINEUP25.
9:49Mike, let's get into your second player. Yeah, and I'm kind of sticking with a theme here of a guy that's just
9:55underlying and something that's more of a Dynasty and redraft principle.
9:58But for me, it's Ollie Gordon. I mean, Ollie Gordon comes into the game.
10:02It looks like the Devon A-chain injury is going to be a lot more substantial than what any of us wanted it to be.
10:09But 20 touches, you know, I know it wasn't hyperproductive.
10:12You know, he had 41 yards rushing. He had 20 yards receiving.
10:15Plus that touchdown. You look at what he did last year when he had given opportunities up over eight carries.
10:20I mean, nine for 38 and a touchdown. 11 for 66 and a touchdown.
10:24Nine for 45 and a touchdown. When he gets opportunity, he wears down the defense.
10:28You know, at 6'2", 225, he's a guy that I loved coming out of college.
10:33He slipped in the draft. No one's going to be super excited because it's Miami.
10:37But this brings me to the idea of, you know, every single Saturday I make a post about RBs that you need to stash.
10:43You know, two weeks ago with Tank Bigsby. Last week I was really big on Braylon Allen who looks like he's going to get his opportunity as well.
10:51Is when we're talking about those upside bench stashes.
10:54For me, you know, I like to have two or three guys that I can count on.
10:58Then I have a guy like Kenyon Sadiq who has a ton of upside.
11:02And then I just want these insurance running backs.
11:05These guys that are going to give you points because they're trade targets.
11:08You know, every single manager right now is struggling to fill in the running back position properly.
11:13Now you're going to have an opportunity where Ollie Gordon's going to be able to fill in a flex.
11:18Braylon Allen's going to be able to fill in a flex where getting those wide receiver five, six on your roster.
11:24We have a Cooper Cup or, you know, one of those guys that's just an aging vet that you're never going to be able to trade.
11:31You're not going to want to be able to start.
11:34You know, so like taking your bench and loading it up with what I call insurance running backs can pay off.
11:40You know, I don't think Ollie Gordon's going to be a league winner, but I think he's going to be a real viable flex to RB2.
11:47And I think this offense might actually be a little bit better with him between the tackles than what it was with A-Chain in some aspects.
11:54I'm not, A-Chain's far superior running back. I'm not even going there.
11:57But the way that Malik Willis plays, this might be a little bit better.
12:01And the offense did seem to move the ball much better in some of those drives.
12:05So I'm kind of, I would definitely use my waiver on him.
12:09But I think sometimes even the guys that use your waiver, they're still not going to believe because he's a Miami Dolphin.
12:15And I think you can make a trade there.
12:17Same with Braylon Allen because he's on the Jets.
12:20Yeah, I was going to say this is a perfect daily double that you might be able to go trade for him.
12:26Or you might even be able to just spend some fab and go pick him up.
12:30This guy, absolutely, I could not agree more. I actually also agree with what you said.
12:35Like, Devon HN, no one is denying, is the way more talented running back.
12:38But his play style, and you look at the efficiency that they've had with HN so far, and maybe it will be
12:44a nice little change here for the Miami offense.
12:47And they may be able to get a spark out of Ollie Gordon.
12:51So I think he's an awesome pickup. I would try to go out and get him, whether it's through trade or waivers.
12:57Yeah, you had me at 20 touches. Like, I don't know if there's any scenario where you could tell me a running
13:03back gets 20 touches and I wouldn't start him, regardless of the team he's on, regardless of who they're playing.
13:08You're getting 20 touches. You could be playing for Bishop Sycamore or whatever that fake college was, fake high school.
13:14I want the guy who's touching the ball 20 plus times.
13:17So for that reason alone, Ollie Gordon has to become somebody you're absolutely rostering and probably starting going forward.
13:22Well, my next guy is somebody I love dearly.
13:24If you've ever watched the show before, and that is Tucker Craft, who has failed to hit double digit PPR fantasy points
13:30yet this year, but he's still coming off this torn ACL.
13:34And I feel like this was kind of expected.
13:36I don't know. I feel like we, a lot of us kind of saw this coming.
13:40It'd be a slow start. I mean, he himself, Tucker Craft said he would be eased in to start the season, but
13:46it still feels like there's panic in the streets as if we didn't think this was a real possibility that it'd be a slow start.
13:53So for that reason, I'm sure there are so many Tucker Craft owners who are just frustrated beyond belief.
13:59He's become seemingly unstartable. I'm sure there are a lot of people not starting Tucker Craft right now, despite the draft capital
14:05they had to pay to get him. But like I said, he's coming off this ACL.
14:09He's going to get healthier as the year goes along.
14:12We're eventually going to see a version of him closer to what we saw prior to the ACL tear last year, when
14:18he was the tight end one overall. The Packers desperately need a spark.
14:21I think Tucker Craft could be that in short order.
14:24We see how good he is after the catch.
14:27We see how good he is with the ball in his hands.
14:30I think this is probably the cheapest he will be for the rest of the season.
14:34Again, not a player that you can get dirt cheap by any means in a trade, but you can probably get him
14:40for cheaper than what he should be because of his season-long upside.
14:44I feel like right now the tight end landscape is Brock Bowers and Trey McBride sitting atop a mountaintop, and then we're
14:50just trying to figure out who's 3 through 10.
14:52And if I want to take a shot on who I think is going to finish the year as 3, it's still Tucker Craft.
14:59Yeah, and looking at guys like Matthew Golden and Christian Watson have never been the staple of consistency or the staple of being healthy.
15:06But both of those have been phenomenal. We look at it from the other end.
15:10I love what Watson's doing. Golden's been the number one target there.
15:13All offseason, I think everybody was really just trying to overemphasize that Tucker Craft's usage was going to be through the roof, myself included.
15:20We thought he was going to clearly be that wide receiver one type role at the tight end position.
15:25Give him some time. He went down in week nine last year.
15:28It wasn't like he went down week one and we're talking about he's just not ready.
15:32He's at a spot where he's shaking some of the rust off.
15:36He's getting out there. He is highly involved in the route participation and things like that when you look a little bit closer.
15:42So the time is coming and that's a great buy low.
15:45You know, Melo, he should text the guy that you always compare him to, George Kittle, and figure out what on earth
15:51George Kittle has been doing to rehab his injury.
15:54He's got a wish doctor or something. It does not make sense that he's this healthy that quickly.
15:59It's just like I was just so blown away watching that yesterday.
16:02But let's jump into our sixth and final player.
16:04Actually, speaking of George Kittle, I'm just going to give out a free one.
16:08I think Debo Samuel is a fantastic buy right now.
16:11Not a guy I prepped on, but monitor the Mike Evans injury because if Mike Evans does miss a decent amount of
16:17time, I think Debo Samuel is an incredible pickup.
16:20But let me talk about our actual sixth and final player.
16:23Let's talk some Josh Downs, who's a guy that I think we're past the point of fully being able to buy low.
16:29But I think we're still a spot where there's really good value in the way that people view him.
16:34Three weeks in, he's gone from four targets to nine targets to 11 targets.
16:38Now we get the news that Alec Pierce is officially on IR.
16:41We're obviously waiting to see when it happens that Keenan Allen serves his suspension, likely three weeks as a result of the misdemeanor charges.
16:48And so it's really easy for me to look at the 20 targets over two games.
16:52I think it should continue and it might actually improve.
16:55The reason you can get him somewhat cheap is that he hasn't had the big blow up spot yet.
17:00It's been pretty consistent, 149 yards over the last two games, but kind of like with T-Mac Mello, no touchdowns, which is
17:06always that thing that like is what gets you excited about a player.
17:10And so I think he just kind of feels like one of those boring slot guys that people are just like, eh,
17:16whatever, I throw him in my flex, I might just like tack him on in a trade.
17:20And that's exactly the type of situation I want to get Josh Downs in.
17:24So I expect things to change soon. I expect him to continue getting more involved, have more high value touches.
17:30And so I would go grab Josh Downs now at a discount before it's too late.
17:34Yeah. You know, I've loved Josh Downs this whole off season.
17:37And then, you know, to start the year week one, we weren't exactly sure what it would look like and Keenan Allen's
17:43there, but now everything's really unfolded nicely for him going forward.
17:46I think he is, him and Tyler Warren are going to dominate the target share, I think going forward.
17:52So he's somebody I'm very excited about for the rest of the season.
17:55Yeah. And if you still have an opportunity, I mean, whenever anybody mentions Josh Downs, I go with my guy, Tyler Warren
18:01is, I think he's going to be the tight end three the rest of the way.
18:06I know we were kind of talking about that.
18:08There you go. You know, 10 targets, nine receptions this past week.
18:11This is a guy that all off season, I've been like, this is going to be the wide receiver one here, you
18:17know, and the guy, when I say those things, I mean, obviously the primary target, but Josh Downs has been getting the volume.
18:24Keenan Allen stole the touchdown. If either one of these guys caught, you know, had that touchdown, we're talking about a totally
18:30different scenario where we would see those guys get nine, 10 targets plus the touchdown.
18:34Now their, their value jumps considerably. And you mentioned it before, like we're only one six through the season, but guys jump to conclusions quicker.
18:41They just box score. They jump in and they see, Oh, this guy scored 18 fantasy points, not 11, you know?
18:47So now all of a sudden that guy's so much better.
18:50But when you, when you actually watch the game, when you actually understand what's going in there, there's a lot more to it.
18:56Touchdowns are fluky. This kind of volume though is not.
18:59Yeah. I don't want to be Justin Herbert here and play a game of ifs, but that's such a good point that
19:05what if we looked at this game and he had like 11 targets, 80 yards and a touchdown, we would be like
19:11talking about Josh Downs in a, completely different light than we are right now.
19:15And I think there's a lot of reasonably, the situation is going to get even better moving forward.
19:20But those were our six players to buy right now to help you win a championship this season in fantasy football heading into week four.
19:27You can catch me later on, on the smash except show with dynasty dad, breaking down some dynasty trades.
19:32But before we get out of here, Melo, did we miss anything?
19:35I got nothing. All right. We'll catch you guys tomorrow with our first wide receiver rankings of the week.
19:40See you then. See you then.