0:00We are proudly supported by Nathan & Sons, makers of Underbrush Remineralizing Gum.
0:04The Nathan & Sons folks sent me some of this gum and when you taste it, it's like, oh, this is what real flavor tastes like.
0:12It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be.
0:18Because I've tried other natural gums and the flavor does not pop like it does with Nathan & Sons and the flavor doesn't last.
0:26My favorite flavor is Cinemastic. I also feel like my jaw is in better shape.
0:31Not doing as much clenching with my teeth. And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite, the same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
0:39And the best part is the chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
0:44And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
0:47It's made from natural tree sap and if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to NathanAndSons.com and
0:54check out Underbrush and get 30% off your first order.
0:58NathanAndSons.com to get 30% off. Top 10 takeaways. Off we go.
1:01Week three is in the books. Looking forward to week four.
1:05We are putting our Mike McDaniels sunglasses on with a very unstylish haircut here.
1:09So this is where Mike McDaniels is right now.
1:12This is where we're at. This is the Mike McDaniels that we all know and don't like this year.
1:18Very frustrating. A lot of people drafted a lot of chargers and it's not good, Mike.
1:23It's not good. So this, this, this whole persona, this whole aesthetic is dedicated to Mike McDaniel today.
1:29Off we go. Top 10 takeaways. First takeaway is about Jeremiah Love.
1:33Second takeaway is about Jackson Smith and Jigba. Then we're going to talk about Chris Godwin.
1:38We're going to talk about Braylon Allen, Ollie Gordon, Basial Tootin, Drake May, Michael Penix, Justin Herbert.
1:43Of course, I'm Marvin Hampton. We have a lot to talk about today.
1:47It's all coming up on the top 10 takeaways.
1:50And we start with Jeremiah Love. Jeremiah Love is all the way back.
1:55He's a buy. He's a buy high. He is clearly special.
1:58Just watching this game. Just the eye test. We have a couple eye test players.
2:03I test good and I test bad. So we have I test bad, which is a Drake May, which we'll talk about later.
2:10And I test good, which is Jeremiah Love. I mean, clearly he is all the way.
2:15And this is what they expected, right? This is what all the report said was high ankle sprain.
2:21He is going to stay off it for a couple of weeks and then the season is going to start.
2:27He's going to work his way through it. And then now we're a month removed from the original injury.
2:34And it makes sense. This is what happens with NFL players.
2:37They have a high ankle sprain. They miss two weeks, three weeks, and then they're back for a couple of weeks.
2:44They work their way back. And then one of those weeks, eventually you look up and like, oh, this guy is back to 100% explosiveness.
2:52And that's exactly what we saw from Jeremiah Love, right?
2:55You want to get players on your team before this happens by Jeremiah Love before today.
3:00That was the whole game. And I'm fine putting chips down and saying we haven't seen it yet, but it's coming.
3:07That's the only way you're going to get edge.
3:10You have to guess. It's all guesswork, right? It's not 100% certainty.
3:14Like take our top 10 takeaways from Friday. Okay.
3:16On the one hand, we said, play Kenyon Sadiq.
3:19I believe there were very few in my orbit, analysts in my orbit that were confident about Kenyon Sadiq because he hadn't had the usage yet.
3:28But I said, if not now, when, and if he pops this week, which he very well could against the lions, there's
3:35going to be a lot of points scored in that game.
3:38Well, then it's going to be too late because everybody knows is a first round talent.
3:43Everybody's excited about him. Just like Jeremiah Love. You have to get them while their profiles are being offset by a lack of production.
3:51But as soon as an exciting upside profile has the production to match, has the spike week to match, there's no more buy window.
3:59It's closed. You can buy high, right? A buy low quickly becomes a buy high when it's a rookie with first round
4:06draft capital and an exciting athletic profile. If you have those things like Jeremiah Love does and Kenyon Sadiq does, you have to be out in front.
4:14And we were out in front this past week on Kenyon Sadiq.
4:18We were also out in front this past week on a Kayshawn Booty.
4:22Said Kayshawn Booty, he's been ramped up. We haven't seen the usage yet.
4:26He hasn't come anything close to a full snap share or route participation rate, but he is going to be the alpha in this passing game.
4:35It is going to happen. He's on an upward trajectory to seize that with Adonai Mitchell, with Mason Taylor, both out against Detroit.
4:42It was the law, the conservation of routes, targets, opportunities that it was going to be Kenyon Sadiq.
4:48We talked about it on the Starter Stream show with Chuck on Sunday morning, and then we talked about it on the
4:55plays of the week in more detail and more depth on Friday.
4:59So you just have to go in knowing this is a guess.
5:03We haven't seen it yet, but we have faith in the talent and the profile.
5:07And even though there isn't necessarily significant usage every week, I suggest placing a couple bets in Dynasty, in DFS, across the board.
5:15Place a couple bets on guys that are ready, that you think are ready, but we haven't seen it yet.
5:21That's how buy low works, because if you don't get them, then you'll never get them or you'll have to pay at least full freight, if not more.
5:30And that's what's going to happen. Right. You've got to get guys before they pop, ideally.
5:35Right. So with Jordan Love, same thing. Right. If her name is Jordan Love after last week, especially same with Matthew Golden.
5:42You knew it was a smash spot with Matthew Golden in particular.
5:46No Jaden Reed. Can't run the ball. We'll talk about Matthew Golden later.
5:50But that was another one where it was like, we haven't seen it yet.
5:55We haven't seen the touchdown yet. We haven't seen the big fantasy spike week yet.
6:00You have to get out ahead of it, because now it's like, I mean, talk about a wet rope that you cannot grip.
6:07It is the helium balloon, the fantasy helium balloon that is Matthew Golden.
6:11That rope attached to that balloon. I mean, it's going through my hands, everyone's hands.
6:16You can't grip it. It's just this is the time of year where three weeks in and one week can swing a
6:23player's perception dramatically, sometimes too dramatically, sometimes not dramatically enough, which is why we have this show.
6:28Right. I mean, Love is already showing he's already showing that why he was a much better prospect than, say, Trevion Henderson, Janarian Price.
6:36OK, these guys were late first rounders, early second rounders.
6:39That's where they were projected to go, where Jeremiah Love, he's a top five pick.
6:44So why? Like, what is the difference? And now we're seeing it.
6:48We're seeing it in the usage where 80 percent of the rush attempts went to Love.
6:53Algier, a guy they brought in more than 10 million dollars, an established early down pounder, relegated to pass pro.
6:59That's the thing. These snaps, these third and long snaps when you're in comeback mode, I mean, they rarely result in a target.
7:07Just ask Justice Hill. I mean, Justice Hill is the NFL leader in prayer routes.
7:11Talk about prayer yards where a field stretcher just runs routes and run routes all day, but he doesn't actually get targets.
7:19Well, there's running backs that play on third down because they're they're sound route runners and they can pass block.
7:25And so they're out there. They are technically getting the snaps.
7:28We're seeing this with Christopher Brooks with the Packers.
7:31He's out there. We know he's the snap leader, but there's no opportunities.
7:35He's just out there to block and run routes that rarely result in targets because he's down the board, down the pecking
7:43order of the players that Jordan Love would want to throw the ball to.
7:47Jordan Love's only going to go through a couple of progressions and it's going to be a Christian Watson, a Matthew Golden, Tucker Craft.
7:55By the time you get to Christopher Brooks, defenses are on top of Jordan Love anyway.
8:00So it makes sense. Like Christopher Brooks, not going to get any targets.
8:04And that's why Tyler Algier, right? Tyler Algier gave you nothing, right?
8:08Gave you nothing this week because he was, but he was out there.
8:12The player that was on the field when footballs were being distributed to running backs to score fantasy points was Jeremiah Love.
8:19Now it's also true that you could tell if you say, hey, well, why are you picking on Trevion Henderson and why are you picking on Jadarian Price?
8:28Because these guys are similar. These are similar players in that there's a lot of upside.
8:33There's a lot of explosiveness. These players can give you an 80-yard run.
8:37A lot of the things that you get excited about with Jeremiah Love, you also get with Jadarian Price.
8:43You also get with Trevion Henderson. But Trevion Henderson and Jadarian Price have these fatal flaws, which means that they don't see
8:50the usage that a Jeremiah Love sees. Ramadre Stevenson has led the league in fumbles since 2024.
8:56He's averaging one fumble every 40 touches through three games.
8:59Jadarian Price is averaging one fumble every 16 touches.
9:02Jeremiah Love doesn't have a fumbling problem. Jeremiah Love doesn't have a pass pro problem.
9:07The great irony of the Jadarian Price fumble rate is that the player he's most similar to is Trevion Henderson.
9:13And Trevion Henderson is so bad in pass pro and as a receiver that the Patriots are willing to stomach such a
9:20high fumble rate from Stevenson, who ran 19 routes on Sunday, and make sure he's out there over Henderson, who ran only eight routes.
9:28This was a game. Patriots were down double digits and Trevion Henderson's not on the field.
9:33He is turning into worst case basial tootin. We are proudly supported by Nathan and Sons, makers of underbrush remineralizing gum.
9:40The Nathan and Sons folks sent me some of this gum.
9:43And when you taste it, it's like, oh, this is what real flavor tastes like.
9:48It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be.
9:54Because I've tried other natural gums and the flavor does not pop like it does with Nathan and Sons and the flavor doesn't last.
10:01My favorite flavor is Cinemastic. I also feel like my jaw's in better shape, not doing as much clenching with my teeth.
10:08And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite, the same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
10:14And the best part is the chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
10:20And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
10:22It's made from natural tree sap. And if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to NathanandSons.com and check out Underbrush.
10:30And get 30% off your first order. NathanandSons.com to get 30% off.
10:34This is what we were afraid of with Basial Tootin.
10:37That this could be a lesser version of Tevin Coleman.
10:41That's the worst case for guys like this. That's where you don't want to be.
10:45And the risk is out there. You are a Tevin Coleman with worse ball security and pass pro.
10:51Because Tevin Coleman was pretty good in pass pro.
10:54Wasn't a big fumbler. But was limited. On a down-to-down basis, he was limited.
10:59He was a slasher. You want to get in there for big plays.
11:03But he was ultimately, at his core, a breather back.
11:06And that is how they're deploying Trevion Henderson. Especially when they're down.
11:10It's not good. It's not good. I believe that it's because he is so untrustworthy in pass pro.
11:16And the Patriots have been struggling with pass pro ever since Drake May came into the league.
11:21And if you watch Hard Knocks, I mean, Seattle will say, We've got the talent.
11:26We just need to do the little things and take care of the football.
11:30And let our talent take over. Put ourselves in a position to let the talent take over.
11:36And so if you're Janarian Price and you're fumbling once every 16 touches, Well, you're counterproductive.
11:41You're leaving the coach no choice but to pull you off the field.
11:45I hate this for fantasy. I hate that drops affect coaches and their decisions, and their player personnel package decisions, more than they should.
11:53Drops, fumbles, to a lesser extent, interceptions. Interceptions are a little more predictable.
11:57Interpretable and it's understandable. If you don't want to roll out a quarterback that keeps throwing interceptions, I understand that.
12:03Makes sense. Officially, Janarian Price is on fumble watch.
12:06If he fumbles again, they might just relegate him for the rest of the season and say, Hey man, you need to work on this.
12:14We're getting Zach Charbonnet back. We would rather roll with a lesser talent at running back and just make sure we don't blow the game with a fumble.
12:23We just don't want to lose the game. We have too much talent around you, Janarian Price, to allow you to cost us the game.
12:31So I understand that. Fumbles affect fantasy football in ways that I just wish they didn't.
12:36But I can also put myself in the shoes of an NFL coach, especially coming off a Super Bowl, thinking I'm not going to let this happen.
12:45Just to maintain my command of the locker room and the culture of the team, I cannot allow this.
12:51I cannot allow this seemingly unmeritocratic system where we draft a guy in the first round and because we drafted him in
12:58the first round, the rules don't apply to him.
13:01He can keep fumbling. We'll keep playing him. So there are different risk factors for very similar players highlighting why they are not Jeremiah Love in any way.
13:10And they have serious risk factors. That will prevent them from ever becoming NFL bell cows.
13:15I mean, put it in the chat. Put it in the comments.
13:19I mean, I'm interested to hear from you, the audience.
13:22What do you think? How probable is it that Janarian Price, a year from now, two years from now, is an NFL bell cow?
13:30What's the likelihood? What's the likelihood that Trevion Henderson is capturing something like an 80% opportunity share?
13:35With some running backs, it takes time. It takes a long time.
13:39You looked up, finally, you saw, wow, Jalen Warren looks like a bell cow.
13:43We'll talk about him later. Basial Tootin, he's looking like a bell cow.
13:47He's on that track to get there. Chuba Hubbard's already there many years after he left college.
13:53It's not over by any means for these guys.
13:56But if you're looking at the dynasty rankings on Player Profiler, you have to keep scrolling to find Jadarian Price and find Trevion Henderson.
14:03And you're wondering where they are. And they're less expensive in dynasty.
14:07So you would go in that direction instead. And we'll talk about some of those players as well.
14:13But yeah, loving everything about Jeremiah Love, what's happening right now in Arizona, past the eye test, past the metrics test, past the usage test, past every test.
14:22It's all systems go from here on. Price and Henderson, on the other hand, they are ships in the night, man.
14:29Love is going one way. Henderson and Price are together.
14:32I mean, they're like the same guy. They're like the same guy.
14:36The only difference is Price has the problem that Henderson's teammate has.
14:40And even that problem, because Henderson's other problems are so dramatic and crippling to the offense, you still can't get on the field.
14:47And staying in Seattle, Jackson Smith and Jigba, that is takeaway number two.
14:51Jackson Smith and Jigba is on a straight line to being the most valuable dynasty asset in Player Profiler history.
14:58This is a wide receiver that is two years pre-Apex.
15:01He just put up another 10 for 128 and 2, 35 fantasy points.
15:05He's got over 100 fantasy points this season already.
15:08That's the fourth most fantasy points ever through three games.
15:11And finally, he has a healthy Sam Darnold for a full game.
15:15And Sam Darnold only put up like 380 yards, right?
15:18I mean, the reason why JSN is on this trajectory, it's not just JSN.
15:22It's the offensive environment. He posted huge fantasy numbers last year in spite of a run-first offense, playing with a lead of
15:30seven or more for a huge swath of every game they played.
15:33They were dominant last year, so dominant. And it drove down their pass rate.
15:38I think it was like over 40% of their plays last year were run with a seven-point lead or more.
15:44This year, that number's like 20% because they had a big lead against Arizona, and that's it.
15:50So their pass rate is going to be much closer to, say, 55% this year.
15:54And a lot of those throws, they're going to JSN.
15:58And right now, on the Dynasty rankings, his lifetime value rating is behind Bijan.
16:02It's behind Jameer Gibbs. That's understandable. And Superflex is behind Josh Allen.
16:06But that is it. That's the list. And the running back age Apex is two years earlier than the wide receiver age Apex.
16:13It's even more than two years. So as Gibbs and Allen and Bijan and JSN all stack up otherworldly fantasy performances week
16:20in, week out, it is going to be JSN, who is the most pre-Apex of those four players, who is going to
16:27continue to rise and rise and rise up the Dynasty rankings.
16:31I mean, you already saw it this week. You saw him pull away from Jamar Chase.
16:36The lifetime value rating was like 50 points higher or more for JSN than Jamar Chase.
16:41That's why just having rankings is not nearly as helpful as having actual lifetime value ratings like we have on Player Profiler.
16:48And then you can see the gap between a player and the next player.
16:53Like the gap between Gibbs and Bijan is slight.
16:56The gap between Bijan and Ash and Jenty is like 100 points or more.
17:00But every defense, tale as old as time, every defense going far back as you can go.
17:05Coming off a Super Bowl, guys got to get paid and defenses take a step back.
17:11It happens every single time. And that's what's happening in Seattle.
17:14And so their defense is not what it was last year.
17:18And they're going to have to throw more. And it's just, it all points to JSN, who I have in the Player Profiler Staff League.
17:26I don't know how they let me have him.
17:28I was drafting in the pick seven? Pick eight?
17:31It was the second half of the first round I was picking.
17:35And I got JSN. And you're welcome. You're welcome, everybody.
17:38You get to hear the stories of me dominating the Player Profiler Staff.
17:43They're trying to win. They're trying to win. I know they're trying to win.
17:47This was not a, hey, let's throw this league to the podfather.
17:51No, this wasn't a setup. It's just the way things work.
17:54Sometimes you wake up in the morning. You go to make a fantasy football draft.
17:59And boom, there's JSN in the mid-first round. You just press the draft button.
18:04That's all you got to do. Just say, oh, JSN, okay, draft.
18:08Oh, JSN, oh, draft. It's fun. I wish I hadn't hit draft on Chris Godwin, though.
18:13Yeah, Chris Godwin. Takeaway number three, Chris Godwin, dust.
18:16He's dust, and that's okay. It's okay that he's dust.
18:19It's fine, right? He caught three or four targets for the Bucs this past Sunday.
18:24Had a long touchdown called back. Had he scored that long touchdown?
18:27Everyone would be talking about Chris Godwin. Yo, he's a value.
18:31Oh, he's outproducing Emeka Egbuka. Just one play called back.
18:34That's how things swing in the NFL. Bottom line is the Buccaneers with Baker Mayfield spread the ball around a lot.
18:41And whether it's Hurst, whether it's McMillan, Otten, Bucky Irving, that's why Emeka Egbuka, as well as his turf toe injury, is
18:48stuck at 11 fantasy points a game. But I go to Twitter, and in one of my comments, talking about Braylon Allen, still waiting on Chris Godwin.
18:56Okay. You're waiting on Chris Godwin. Okay. But what about Egbuka, right?
19:00Egbuka was selected at pick 35. He's putting up 11 fantasy points a game, right?
19:05Godwin's putting up seven fantasy points a game. Not good, but also not that bad.
19:10One long touchdown away from being just as productive, if not more productive, as Egbuka.
19:15He was going at pick 84. So which of these two is hurting you more?
19:19It's Egbuka. So don't come to me complaining about Godwin, especially when in that zone of drafts before that pick, Parker Washington, all day Parker Washington.
19:28And then he started moving up and up and up all summer.
19:32But at the beginning of that tier, at the beginning of the summer, was Parker Washington.
19:37And then there was Michael Wilson and Josh Downs.
19:40So if you're following our draft kit and our advice, hard to go wrong at wide receiver in that zone, unless you
19:47happen to pick Chris Godwin and only Chris Godwin.
19:50Okay, then fine. But look at Downs though. Downs.
19:5280% route participation rate. 30% target share. This is a buy low moment for Josh Downs.
19:58Go get him. You got to get him. This happening in front of our eyes.
20:02He just hasn't scored the touchdown yet, but it's all there.
20:06It's all there. It's all green lights for Josh Downs.
20:09And this is just conviction. This is like, you've been saying it all summer and all three weeks of the NFL season.
20:16You keep telling us Josh Downs. Like, yeah, it's good process, right?
20:20Have I been waving the flag for starting Chris Godwin every week?
20:24No, I've been worried about Chris Godwin. I am worried.
20:27Not about Godwin himself. I'm worried about Baker Mayfield and his play before the injury.
20:32And now he has this injury. This dislocated thumb, which was just gross.
20:36You could see him writhing on the ground. He was like shaking.
20:40Made my stomach turn. This is the Baker Mayfield experience.
20:43The Buccaneers knew this when they signed him to the extension.
20:46How do you think the Bucs front office feels right now about Baker Mayfield?
20:51Anyone out there think they're regretting the decision? They're 0-3.
20:54It has nothing to do with the injury. Though his play style does make him an injury magnet.
21:00Baker Mayfield's riding that one season. Had that one year.
21:03If you can do that, if you have an agent that can tell you, hey, you and I both know it was
21:10just one year and you'll never do that again.
21:13Not even close. I mean, you put it up on the screen.
21:174,500 yards, right? 4,500 yards. Scroll down on Player Profiler.
21:20Go to Season Stats. You can show that. You can put that right up on the screen.
21:26I'll do it right now. Yeah, I'll do it.
21:28You can do it. Here it is. Look at this.
21:32Look at this. Out of nowhere. I mean, just completely out of nowhere.
21:3671.4% completion percentage. 4,500 yards. Close to an 8 yards per attempt.
21:407.9 exactly. And what I loved, over 300 rushing yards.
21:43378 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. 41 passing touchdowns.
21:4622.5 fantasy points a game. That was the year 2024.
21:49And that is what Baker Mayfield has ridden to a new contract.
21:53But that really never was the real Baker Mayfield.
21:56What we've been seeing the last couple seasons, that's the real Baker Mayfield.
22:00And that's not great for a Becca Ibuka. We're going to release the fab guidance on Patreon, patreon.com slash podfather.
22:06And there you can see exactly how much we think you should be bidding on Jalen Daniels.
22:12He's interesting because there's weapons here. Like this is why the Buccaneers can't be happy with what they're getting from Baker Mayfield because they've got weapons.
22:20I still consider Chris Godwin a weapon. He's now a slot receiver.
22:24He can't separate, but he can play that role adequately.
22:27And Becca Ibuka is the perfect Z. Ted Hurst is the perfect X receiver.
22:32And you've got Gainwell and Bucky Irving out of the backfield.
22:35There's talent here that a quarterback could take advantage of.
22:38So we will talk about Jalen Daniels, I'm sure later in the week.
22:43But in the meantime, for these next three weeks, he needs to be added.
22:47There also could be a setback with this thumb.
22:50I mean, it was disgusting that it got dislocated.
22:53And I just felt so bad for him. And three weeks seems ambitious from what we saw.
22:58And Jalen Daniels could exceed expectations. So, I mean, leave your heart open.
23:02All I would say is leave your heart open for Jalen Daniels to exceed expectations and for crazy things to happen.
23:09Don't go crazy. You don't need to go crazy.
23:12Your league mates are going to say, hey, this is just three weeks and I don't have any bi-weeks, right?
23:18Your Superflex league mates are going to say, well, I don't have any bi-weeks coming up.
23:24So why should I be in a hurry to burn all my fab this week on Jalen Daniels?
23:29It's also fortunate if you're in Superflex and you're pretty desperate for just bodies to throw in that Superflex slot, as I
23:36am in many of my orphan teams that I took over in Dynasty.
23:40It's nice that we're going into a week where you have a couple running backs that everyone is thirsty for, that everyone's
23:48trying to get on the waiver wire, right? So it's like, hey, look over here, look over here.
23:53And if you're in Superflex, you're like, oh, just grab Jalen Daniels, put him on my bench, see what happens.
24:00Stream him if I need him. So I think that's the approach here.
24:04I don't think you're going to have to pay up too much in Superflex to get Jalen Daniels, but I think he's
24:11going to be a good value because of the weapons.
24:14See, this is why I can't do it. I can't do it.
24:18I can't. I just did. It was another takeaway.
24:21I wasn't trying to give a Jalen Daniels takeaway.
24:24In fact, I couldn't even think of his name at first, right?
24:28I was like, what's this guy's name again? Jalen what?
24:31Next thing I know, I've got a perfectly reasonable waiver wire take on Jalen Daniels, and that's going to put us over 10 takeaways.
24:38But I wanted to prove to you, the audience, that I am thoughtful and I am trying to get us to tight 10 takeaways.
24:46Get us down to 10 tight takeaways. In order to prove it, I sat down with Justin, the producer, and I said,
24:53listen, we have this show sheet every week. I need to prove to the audience that I am trying.
24:59They need to see what you see. So what I did was I took the show sheet and it has exactly 10 takeaways.
25:07Now, I did craft a couple of these takeaways to be lists inside a list to get us to 10, but nowhere
25:14on there was Jalen Daniels name mentioned. We had 10 and I posted it on Patreon, patreon.com slash podfather before the show.
25:21If you love the show before the show, you can go to Patreon, patreon.com slash podfather and get access to the show
25:28sheet before the top 10 takeaway show even goes live, even hit your podcast feed.
25:32We're giving this to you in advance because I want to prove to you all that I am thinking this through.
25:39I'm not just winging it, though. This Jalen Daniels analysis was me winging it.
25:44And then it's up to you to decide, well, maybe, maybe he's better when he wings it.
25:49That might be true. But I still like having essentially what is a full breakdown, transparentness, right?
25:55Transparency for the audience. So you see what I see and that I am doing my absolute best to get to 10 takeaways.
26:02I can't, though. I can't do it. We're talking about Josh Downs.
26:06Weren't we talking about Josh Downs? Michael Wilson. Are you happy?
26:09Michael Wilson looks pretty good, doesn't he? Turns out he's better than Marvin Harrison.
26:14Even Marvin Harrison didn't even have a bad game.
26:17But Michael Wilson out-targeted Harrison again. And he's out-targeted Harrison this year, 31 to 9.
26:21So it doesn't matter what the buzzards say. There's buzzards coming after me right now on X, Twitter X.
26:27You can see it. You can see it in my profile.
26:31They're coming after me saying, this is a Jacoby Brissett problem that Marvin Harrison Jr.
26:36has. Stay patient. Run the clock out with Marvin Harrison Jr.
26:39It's going to happen. That I'm a fear monger, right?
26:42It's a moral panic I've created around Marvin Harrison Jr.
26:46Nonsense. All I've said, which is basically just what R.C.
26:49Fisher said, which is Michael Wilson's better and that's it.
26:52Not going to win this one, buzzards. You're not going to win it.
26:56I win. Michael Wilson's better. I win, right? And oh, by the way, that was just that zone of 10 players just
27:03looking at a swath of ADPs where Chris Godwin was going this summer and that there were a bunch of great players
27:10that we liked or at least, well, Parker Washington's a great player.
27:14At least undervalued. If you include Josh Downs, we'll at least say undervalued.
27:18And then if you go a little bit outside that zone, then all of a sudden you're at Jalen Coker.
27:25You keep going. You're at Trae Harris. You're at Devon Veilet.
27:28We can't be stopped. Our teams can't be stopped.
27:31We are proudly supported by Nathan and Sons, makers of underbrush remineralizing gum.
27:35The Nathan and Sons folks sent me some of this gum.
27:39And when you taste it, it's like, oh, this is what real flavor tastes like.
27:44It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be.
27:49Because I've tried other natural gums and the flavor does not pop like it does with Nathan and Sons and the flavor doesn't last.
27:57My favorite flavor is cinemastic. I also feel like my jaw's in better shape.
28:01Not doing as much clenching with my teeth. And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite.
28:07The same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
28:09And the best part is the chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
28:15And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
28:18It's made from natural tree sap. And if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to NathanandSons.com and check out Underbrush.
28:26And get 30% off your first order. NathanandSons.com to get 30% off.
28:30But please, by all means, don't let me stop anyone out there.
28:34Any buzzards, please. Draft Marvin Harrison. Draft Quinton Johnston.
28:37Draft DK Metcalf. Draft Xavier Worthy. Draft Romeo Dobbs.
28:40Cortland Sutton. Alec Pierce. Draft them all. Injured? No problem.
28:43Draft them. Bad at football? Don't care. Looks like you might get some targets this year.
28:48Draft them. Oh, first round pick. Gotta get them.
28:51Okay. Okay. Of those players I just listed, again, they're all in that same zone with Chris Godwin.
28:57So it could have been worse. But I do want to talk about Cortland Sutton because that was the dichotomy that we
29:04drew, which was players like Cortland Sutton, the quintessential X receiver, those players typically age very poorly.
29:09That's why I have no Cortland Sutton. And if we were comparing Cortland Sutton and Chris Godwin, they had the exact same ADP.
29:16If you look at the underdog ADP, they were both the 83rd player off the board.
29:21They were adjacent in the ADP. At the end of the year, if you were drafting an underdog, it was Sutton and then Godwin back to back.
29:30But to me, they were very different players. Okay.
29:33I'm never going to get caught holding the bag with one of these prototypical athletic X receivers that has always not quite lived up to expectations.
29:41The best example of that isn't even Cortland Sutton.
29:44It's DK Metcalf, right? And I've always said, I'd rather have Michael Pittman either way.
29:49I wasn't getting either anyway, but a guy like Cortland Sutton, you can see it coming from miles and miles away that they turned 31 and it's over.
29:58That profile, 6'4", athletic, great speed score. Wish they were a little more productive in college.
30:03Not sure why they weren't. That guy is always a sell as soon as he hits age 30.
30:09Run and hide. But guys that play the Y position or the Z position, or oftentimes they're slot flankers where they play
30:16flanker through their 20s and they slide into the slot once they get into their 30s.
30:21Well, those players can be productive. I had no problem drafting Stefan Diggs.
30:25I have no problem drafting Chris Godwin. A year or two ago, I had no problem drafting Cooper Cup.
30:31I'm going to keep going back to those players because the benefits drastically outweigh the cost in round 10 on those kinds
30:38of players because they can absolutely have a renaissance.
30:41You see it year in, year out. And then there's the older players that had shown no signs of diminished skills.
30:48And they had a similar ADP inside the top 50, Devontae Adams and Tara McLaurin.
30:53And we've been proven right on Tara McLaurin and Devontae Adams.
30:56I was a little bit worried how far out ahead we were on Tara McLaurin, but turns out he's pretty good.
31:03He's pretty good. Tara McLaurin is a sports car.
31:06He's a sports car. And the dichotomy, the learning moment that we need to have is that yes, the upside is tantalizing.
31:13Just the target share upside that these players have delivered in recent memory that we've seen players with that archetype recapture, but
31:20it's not a sure thing by any means. But you're drafting and hoping they can recapture it, whether it be Cooper Cup,
31:27whether it be Chris Godwin, whether it be Stefan Diggs.
31:30I'm here for it. Every time I'm here for it.
31:33Just like I'm going to be running and hiding from bad players like Quinton Johnston, Marvin Harrison, running and hiding from these
31:40big bloated aging alphas like DK Metcalf and Cortland Sutton.
31:43Like, you know how this whole thing is wired.
31:46And then we look up and there's Tara McLaurin dunking on the Seahawks and that's secondary.
31:51And then we saw Devontae Adams dunking on Patrick Sertan.
31:55I mean, that's just that made me happy. Let's let's show it.
31:59This is Ian Harditz, my man Ian Harditz now at Roto Wire.
32:02Let's show this up. We're going to put this on the screen.
32:06Go follow I Harditz, Hardtits on Twitter X. Devontae Adams.
32:09Sit back and enjoy. I mean, gets leverage and then finds the sideline and there's the ball.
32:15Pushes him off. Cuts in. I mean, it's just sometimes it's a hard breaking route.
32:20Sometimes it's a gradual breaking route. He always makes the right decision based on the feet and the hips of the opposing cornerback.
32:27And that's what these kind of players can do.
32:30DK Metcalf can't do that. Cooper Cup can. Cortland Sutton can't do that.
32:34Chris Godwin can. But the problem is all those lower body injuries when it's multiple knee, Achilles, quad, hamstring, calf, foot.
32:41And Godwin's had them all. Cups had them all.
32:44And it saps your athleticism. It saps your explosiveness.
32:46It destroys. Those lower body injuries destroy your ability to separate from defenders once you get into your 30s.
32:53That's the learning, right? That's something we're going to think more about in future years before we put our chips down on
33:00one of these volume slot flanker players at age 30.
33:03We're going to study their injury history very carefully so we don't get cupped and we don't get Godwin because we're looking for Terry McLaurin.
33:11It's the Terry McLaurin corollary. Terry McLaurin has played 17 games every year, seemingly.
33:15When was the last time Terry McLaurin suffered a lower body injury?
33:19I feel like Terry McLaurin has suffered shoulder injuries, maybe rib injuries, but I don't remember the last time Terry McLaurin had a lower body injury.
33:27And now he's able to be an elite producer at age 30.
33:31That is the Terry McLaurin corollary. We're three takeaways in.
33:34So all this work I did setting up the show sheet, sharing it with the audience on Patreon, it was all a
33:42big waste apparently because we've gained nothing in terms of show efficiency.
33:45We were in fact, I'm even more long winded than I was before.
33:50I didn't even think that was possible. Takeaway number four is the Jets are an incredible source of fantasy edge.
33:56We've been talking about it all year. Spring, summer, fall.
33:59That's all we talk about. Jets, Jets, Jets, right?
34:02Jets are going to exceed expectations. Jets are the key to victory in fantasy.
34:06And that is exactly what's been happening. Kenyon Sadiq is the real deal.
34:1157% route participation rate. 22% target share on Sunday.
34:13And I know that Mitchell was out. Cooper was out.
34:17Sure. Did that help him? Yes. But we saw a glimpse into the upside of what a true super athletic first round tight end talent can do.
34:25He's very young. He's very athletic. And for him to already be putting up a spike week at the position, week three, is incredibly encouraging.
34:33And yes, he is a big dynasty riser because of it.
34:37Braylon Allen. He is good at football. There's a debate online about whether or not Braylon Allen is good at football.
34:44And to my delight, our producer Justin shared with me something from Twitter that apparently Braylon Allen responded to a video from Pat and C.D.
34:52Carter at Roto World. And they were talking about, don't fall for the shirtless photos.
34:56I fall for the shirtless photos. They're not falling for it.
35:00I'm falling for it. I'm going to keep falling for it with a guy like Braylon Allen.
35:05And Allen objected to C.D. Carter, Denny saying he wasn't good at football.
35:09Denny said this player is a bad player. He was bad in high school, bad in college, bad in the pros.
35:16That sounds like something I would say. So I respect the hell out of that take.
35:21The problem is, unfortunately for Denny, Braylon Allen's been very good.
35:25And he was awesome in college at a very young age.
35:28Then he came out early. So that's a tough one, right?
35:32That to me, if I'm Braylon Allen and I see that, I would also want to respond.
35:37Because I had to go check. I mean, I went to check.
35:41I mean, thankfully, you could just, in the top menu on player profile, you could just hit college stats.
35:47It takes you right down to the college stats.
35:50And if we show this page, it's pretty clear.
35:53Braylon Allen can play, all right? As a freshman at Wisconsin at age 17, 1,200 rushing yards.
35:58Did it again. And then the next year, didn't have the same production.
36:03It was an injury. But even so, he doubled, more than doubled, his receptions from the previous season.
36:08And at age 19, he said, bye-bye to college.
36:11He went to the pros at age 20. He's now 22.
36:15So I'm very much in on Braylon Allen. And that's before we talk about the fact that he's like over 220 pounds,
36:22super fast, has receiving skills, is everything you want.
36:25So by all means, go get him. Go get Braylon Allen on the waiver wire.
36:29Go get Ollie Gordon. I'm probably going to end up with more Allen than Gordon.
36:34I mean, Allen, he was targeted on 32% of his routes.
36:38I mean, he was the only running back that saw the field after Brees Hall went down.
36:43So, I mean, he's going to be the guy.
36:46And even if you don't know anything about Braylon Allen whatsoever, we do believe that NFL coaches and front office personnel have some ability to assess talent.
36:55It varies from team to team, but they have some ability, right?
36:59From what I've seen, Isaiah Davis looks awesome. Isaiah Davis is one of the better between the tackles grinders in the league.
37:06He punishes people to try to tackle him, just like Tyler Algier.
37:09I think Isaiah Davis is a really good football player.
37:13But the Jets are looking at Isaiah Davis and going, Braylon Allen, he's it, you're not.
37:18So that's something. That's a factor in maybe how much we put it down in fab bidding on Braylon Allen.
37:24What we might try to trade for Braylon Allen in Dynasty.
37:28I haven't seen anything about Brees Hall yet. I'm sure news is breaking just as I'm talking.
37:33But what I do know is that Brees Hall said the following.
37:37I felt something when I was running and then got tackled and planted and then felt something else.
37:43And now he's set for an MRI. So he said, we'll see.
37:47He felt something, got tackled and then felt something else.
37:50That sounds awful. I can tell you that sounds awful.
37:53But both Braylon Allen and Ollie Gordon have competition in their backfields.
37:57It's Jarquez Hunter and Jalen Wright in Miami. And it's Isaiah Davis in New York.
38:02Isaiah Davis is the best of the RB3s that I just named.
38:05He's the best. But Braylon Allen is also better than Ollie Gordon.
38:09It's just that Ollie Gordon has the entire season of full and complete production ahead of him with Devon A.
38:16Chan suffering a catastrophic knee injury. We should bring we should bring our producer in just to get a quick update.
38:22See if I see if I've missed anything. Justin, can you can you join me?
38:27So talk talk to us. Is there any news that's happened in the last 45 minutes that we need to know about anything on Devon A.
38:35Chan, anything on Brace Hall, anything we need to know?
38:39Nothing off the top of my head. I know A.
38:42Chan's out for the year. So that's Gordon's going to have the first opportunity.
38:46So that is that is official. That is official.
38:49Yeah, I haven't seen anything on Brace yet. OK, so he's officially out for the year.
38:54That's good to know. Did you do any trades involving Braylon Allen recently?
38:58I did over the summer. I bought him pretty low.
39:02It's a one quarterback, 10 team league. So I paid the 2.2 and a 28 fifth.
39:07And I bought Braylon Allen and Rashid Shahid. So it was a bad 26 class.
39:12So I didn't mind sending the early second. But I love the Braylon buy for now.
39:17Braylon's great, man. And I think that Isaiah Davis is so good that they could easily decide that we're just going to move on from Braylon Allen.
39:25We love him. But we have Braylon Allen under contract.
39:29And we have Isaiah Davis, who offers a lot of what Braylon Allen offers, just not quite at the same level.
39:35And we're going to just bank the compensatory pick.
39:38And we're going to let Braylon Allen walk. That's the hope.
39:42That's the reason why you went out and grabbed him, because he's not far off.
39:46You get another guy that's parked behind a starter who you love the talent profile.
39:51But you're like, man, this guy's going to need a major injury to have any value.
39:56Whereas Braylon Allen, he's still very young. And he's already on a trajectory to kind of go to a new team and be the main guy.
40:05There's also contingent value that he could help you now.
40:08So I thought it was a really savvy trade.
40:11I'd also like that Rashid Jaheed is looking good process wise.
40:14You knew that the Seattle defense couldn't be as good this year.
40:18He hasn't delivered fantasy points yet, but he is getting an uptick in usage over Cooper Copp.
40:24And that's only going to continue. Certainly, there's going to be some teams that are going to figure out a game plan
40:31that they can some way they can suppress the production of Jackson Smith and Jigba.
40:35And in those games where Jackson Smith and Jigba doesn't go completely nuclear, you might get a spike week from Rashid Jaheed.
40:42And then he might gain some value. Then you can flip him.
40:46It was a very even trade. I think it was bold.
40:50You probably could have had like, I guess, Eli Stowers.
40:53You sidestepped Eli Stowers. Probably could have had Singleton with that pick.
40:57But we'll see what happens. I think that Singleton is now parked in Tennessee for the next four years at least.
41:04And I think he is not as good as Braylon Allen.
41:07And Braylon Allen is closer to hitting free agency.
41:10So you're like, hey, Braylon Allen, Nicholas Singleton. I'll take Braylon Allen and then a little upside at wide receiver and ship it.
41:17And probably what we're thinking two or three weeks at a minimum from Brees Hall if we're just guessing.
41:23Yeah, probably. I mean, saying he was hurt before he got hit and then saying he got hit once he got on the ground doesn't sound the best.
41:32Well, he felt something and then he felt something else.
41:36So I don't like someone feeling something and then something else.
41:39So you're doing great. Great trades. You're dominating that league.
41:42I finished second last year, got unlucky, ran into Olave and Chase Brown team.
41:47It's a great story. Great story. But overall, you've built a super team?
41:51Super team. Yeah, it's a dominant team. And why is that?
41:54I know how to read and digest information very well.
41:58But also, man, these podfather rankings. Oh, oh, oh, thank you.
42:01Thank you. We just met. Justin and I just met.
42:04But he's been in the last couple of weeks, he is becoming an ace producer.
42:09Anyone all. By the way, podfather at RotorWonderWorld.com. You want to become a producer of a show?
42:15You want to help us with our news desk or any kind of analysis?
42:19Write articles? Be part of the player profiler team?
42:22Reach out to me. That's what Justin did. And now he's on a podcast.
42:26Took him a couple of weeks and now he's on a podcast.
42:30Pretty good. Pretty good trajectory there. You're on the Kenyan City trajectory, I think.
42:35Let's hope so. Let's go, baby. Let's go. Were we on Kenyan City last week?
42:40You were the producer then. Yep. You were. Did you know anyone else that was on Kenyan City like we were?
42:46Not that high. Yeah, we're calling him here. It's all it takes is one.
42:51You get one breakout out of nowhere from a stud player.
42:54That's a win for the week. That's all I needed.
42:57I was talking to my daughter. I was like, that's all I need.
43:02Just give me Kenyan City. That's it. While I have you, I did play my daughter for the first time in fantasy.
43:09Okay. Okay. And it's called Monster Leagues. And I didn't face off against her.
43:13We independently build lineups and then we pick the players that we're facing off against.
43:18So you have to beat the player you're facing off against.
43:21And then you have to see how your players do versus your friends.
43:26So that's how she plays. It's like a Roblox version of fantasy football.
43:30So for the first time we were both playing and we were talking shit.
43:34I loved it. It was one of the coolest experiences that I had.
43:38I went with Tyler Shuck, Jalen Warren, and Jordan Addison because the entire player pool is not available to you.
43:45I don't even have a full team yet. And so if you beat a player, like for example, I chose to face off against Brian Thomas.
43:53I chose to face off against Jeremiah Love. I chose to face off against Matthew Stafford.
43:58So I've captured Stafford on my team now. I've captured Brian Thomas on my team.
44:03I was about to capture Jeremiah Love. And then somehow they let the 49ers score and Jeremiah Love catches a little dump off.
44:10And I'm like, wait, what happened? I lose my 0.3 points and I don't get to capture Jeremiah Love.
44:16That was my one chance to get him with a lesser running back.
44:21No brainer going Jalen Warren. I thought I had him and then I didn't at the very end.
44:26And so my daughter right out of the gate, her first time playing fantasy, she got to see the tilt, man.
44:33She's like, dad, why do you care so much?
44:36I'm like, I can't believe this 0.3 points. I had him.
44:39I already, I was already pretending I had Jeremiah Love on that team.
44:44I was like, I'm going to capture him here.
44:46There's no way he outproduces Jalen Warren. Jalen Warren was a beast.
44:50Never celebrate too early. Saw the tilt. And I'm like, this is called tilting.
44:55And it was brutal. She's like, dad, there's, it's, it's just coins.
44:59It's not, it's not money. It's a, I mean, I was like, it doesn't matter.
45:03We're competing. I almost had Jeremiah Love. I'll never get.
45:07No, you can get them. You can get, you gotta, you just gotta pick your spots.
45:12I thought I picked my spot. Well, I was like, he's maybe he's another week away.
45:17Uh, turns out. No, it was this week. It was this week.
45:21So thanks, Justin doing a great job. Gotta wear headphones.
45:24Now if we're going to bring in Justin, get to wear headphones.
45:28That's the bottom line. So we're, we're not even halfway through.
45:31We're not even there. No, we are. We're, we're there.
45:34We're getting close. So yeah, Jets, an incredible source of fantasy points.
45:38You're welcome. It just value, right? Just value in drafts.
45:42That felt good. And Ollie Gordon this week. I have a, I'm about equally exposed to Ollie Gordon and Braylon Allen and dynasty.
45:49These were two of the big five handcuff running backs that we were targeting in the off season.
45:55Ollie Gordon's going to be the guy, even if Jalen Wright plays because availability is the number one skill in the NFL.
46:02Or so they say, if that's true, then he was available.
46:05Jalen Wright. Wasn't Jalen Wright. Also doesn't profile as an every down back.
46:09Ollie Gordon has a 2000 yard rushing season at Oklahoma state.
46:13He is a workhorse. Jalen Wright's never going to be a workhorse.
46:17Jalen Wright is much more in that Jadarian price archetype.
46:20He's a lesser version of Jadarian price, right? This is a slasher back who is fast, but does not have the type
46:27of durability, does not have the body type to be an every down, especially early down running back.
46:33That is going to be Ollie Gordon. So Ollie Gordon is the way to go.
46:37There may be some in your league that are nervous that Ollie Gordon's going to end up in this 50-50 timeshare with
46:45Jalen Wright or worse, that Jalen Wright's actually better and is going to take the job when he comes back.
46:51That's not going to happen. So that may allow you to get Ollie Gordon.
46:55The presence of Jalen Wright may allow us, us, the collective to go get Ollie Gordon without having to spend our entire budget.
47:03But spoiler alert, we're going to put our fab guidance up on Patreon.
47:07You're going to want to bid a lot. You're going to want to bid a lot on Ollie Gordon.
47:13There's not a lot of options there in Miami.
47:16And you saw this past week that he is going to score a bunch of touchdowns.
47:21He is going to be enjoying the Alfred Morris corollary.
47:24There's like a lot of Washington players end up with corollaries somehow where Malik Willis freezes linebackers.
47:30That makes Ollie Gordon more efficient. He's going to lose some touchdowns to Willis for sure.
47:35And there's not that many, there's not that much equity there.
47:38But we're talking about just a handful of running backs around the league that can operate as true bell cows.
47:45He can do it. And I see, I see him actually doing it.
47:49I see him following through and doing it. But I just don't think there's much there with Jalen Wright.
47:55As soon as he gets any kind of workload, he's probably going to get hurt.
48:00He doesn't have that kind of durability. And it's not his role in the NFL.
48:04It never was his role. He's a breather back that delivers explosive plays.
48:09That's what he is. Everything is, with a lot of these running backs, I look at them always in the context of Tevin Coleman.
48:16Tevin Coleman is our North Star with players like Jalen Wright.
48:20And are you a lesser or a better version of Tevin Coleman?
48:24With Travion Henderson, we're hoping he's a better version, but we're not sure yet.
48:28With Jalen Wright, we know he's a far inferior version of Tevin Coleman.
48:32And that's just not a guy that I'm chasing on the waiver wire.
48:36Ollie Gordon, on the other hand, workhorse. Like David Montgomery, in a good way.
48:41Basial Tootin is on that spectrum. Basial Tootin has that Tevin Coleman North Star.
48:45But Tevin Coleman, also a 2,000-yard rusher in college, could have, in a different team, in a different era, in a different
48:52place and time, could have been asked to be a primary back.
48:56Basial Tootin is receiving that request, and he's in the perfect situation to do it.
49:01He's hogging the touches. He's even splitting the red zone work with Chris Rodriguez, which is what we wanted to see.
49:08We don't want Chris Rodriguez getting all the red zone touches.
49:11That's not happening. Because the underlying metrics are very strong for Tootin.
49:15Top five in juke rate. Top five in rushing success rate over expectations.
49:19Whatever the hell that means. Sounds good, though. He is giving us what we wanted from Travion Henderson.
49:25We wanted Ramadre Stevenson to be relegated to Chris Rodriguez's status on the Patriots, and that is not happening.
49:31They trust a top-two fumble-rate running back in New England more than they trust Travion Henderson.
49:36That is not the case in Jacksonville. They very much trust Basial Tootin, and it could have gone either way.
49:43That's why he was a risky upside pick. Same ADP as Henderson and Price.
49:47And so far, as with most upside picks, unproven players, because fantasy points per game is the number one most predictive stat year-to-year for fantasy football.
49:5533% of the time, it works every time, right?
49:58You have these three guys, similar players, similar ADPs, but one guy is successful in that primary back role, and the other two are face-planting.
50:06And on top of that, you have Jacksonville is enjoying more positive game script than both Super Bowl teams.
50:12Seattle, New England, they're not getting the positive game script you wanted.
50:16Jacksonville is. Again, all the more reason to be very bullish and buy high on Basial Tootin.
50:22I'm in. I'm sold. He was unproven. He was speculative.
50:25Three weeks in, I'm officially sold. And if we turn our attention back to New England because we just can't help but
50:32stare at the car accident, it's a gawker slowdown in New England.
50:36Drake May is failing the eye test. I mean, I have a few players where we can mention eye test.
50:42Normally, it's the metrics test, good player profiler, but we do have some eye test.
50:47Drake May is losing the eye test. He's lost, and his receivers can't get open.
50:52That's what I'm seeing. That's what my eyes are telling me.
50:55Look at the, if you want to look at a dichotomy, right?
50:59I love these dichotomies. Take two players, right? We have a guy drafted in almost the exact same position with a similar
51:06skill set in college who has washed out, become a backup in the league, but he's back.
51:12Marcus Mariota. Compare Mariota and Drake May. Mariota, 183 yards, three touchdowns, no turnovers against the defending Super Bowl champs who embarrassed the Patriots.
51:19I was there. Drake May, 200 yards, no touchdowns, two interceptions, one fumble lost.
51:24Why? What's the difference? What's the common factor between those two players and those two situations?
51:29Stephon Diggs. One player had Stephon Diggs last year, put up MVP-worthy numbers.
51:33Now Stephon Diggs in Washington. And Mario, it looks pretty good.
51:37When your receivers are Diggs and McLaurin, a literal sports car, and then, oh, by the way, the super-efficient rookie Antonio Williams
51:44and Rashad White, one of the best receiving running backs out of the backfield.
51:48Meanwhile, who is Drake May throwing to? Out of the backfield, it's Ramadre Stevenson.
51:53Slug. No more Keishon Booty. It's Romeo Dobbs. Kyle Williams needs more touches, more targets, more everything.
51:58Reverses, doesn't matter. Get the ball in Kyle Williams' hands.
52:01But no, it's Matt Collins. I'm seeing Efton Chisholm out there.
52:05The hell's going on? Bottom line, receivers really matter.
52:08It's just worth remembering how much they matter. More from, if you want more Podfather eye tests, players, right?
52:14Eye test takes. Kyler Murray, eye test. Very bad.
52:17Looks very shaky. Podfather's eye test has been wrong before, right?
52:20That's why I'm giving these caveats. Are you sure you want an eye test?
52:25Okay, here's an eye test guy. Eye test on Kyler Murray, not good.
52:29No confidence. Every time he drops back, I'm like, this is not going to happen.
52:33Because in this league, we're playing against my daughter.
52:36At wide receiver, I had Jordan Addison. And I was like, I can't afford much at wide receiver this week, but I can get Jordan Addison.
52:45And this looks like the matchup to get him.
52:48And then no Justin Jefferson. I'm like, I got you!
52:51I got you! Standing over, talking shit. But Murray can't get him the ball!
52:55Ball's bouncing three feet in front of him. Murray looks washed.
52:59That's all I got on that. Just, I'm mad.
53:02But it was good, right? Addison worked. He was all that worked.
53:05Because Murray just locks in 100% on his alpha receiver.
53:09I think this is another bonus takeaway. We're definitely getting to 12 takeaways.
53:13When Jefferson returns, you got to walk away from Jordan Addison.
53:16This is completely fake. It's all about Murray and his radar lock on his wide receiver one.
53:22But it's a good sign that in Dynasty, Jordan Addison is the clear next guy up in Minnesota.
53:28And he might go elsewhere at some point and you can get very excited.
53:32Or they might upgrade the quarterback, which I think they will in the offseason.
53:37Get excited again. So he's a stronghold. I would consider Jordan Addison a stronghold in Dynasty.
53:42Not Jamison Williams. Jamison Williams looks bad. He's never been good.
53:45It was 100% a situation-based pick in fantasy football.
53:48And it always makes me uncomfortable. So you did not see me out here running around talking about Jamo this summer.
53:55It's like, if he falls to me, maybe I might consider him if it's best ball.
54:00We are proudly supported by Nathan and Sons, makers of Underbrush Remineralizing Gum.
54:04The Nathan and Sons folks sent me some of this gum.
54:08And when you taste it, it's like, oh, this is what real flavor tastes like.
54:12It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be.
54:18Because I've tried other natural gums. And the flavor does not pop like it does with Nathan and Sons.
54:24And the flavor doesn't last. My favorite flavor is Cinemastic.
54:27I also feel like my jaw's in better shape.
54:30Not doing as much clenching with my teeth. And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite.
54:35The same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
54:38And the best part, it's a chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
54:44And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
54:47It's made from natural tree sap. And if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to NathanandSons.com and check out Underbrush.
54:55And get 30% off your first order. NathanandSons.com to get 30% off.
54:59Because frankly, I prefer Isaac Tesla. Now, I know they're not going to play him because they're going to play the first round pick.
55:06But eventually, the NFL does devolve into one of these dirty meritocracies.
55:10And according to my eye test, Tesla looks better than Jameson Williams.
55:14He's doing what we want Jameson Williams to do more efficiently.
55:18In week three, Tesla was three for three for 66 yards.
55:21Doesn't get better than that. I mean, that's 22 yards per reception.
55:25That's 22 yards per target. Can't do better than that.
55:28Eye test. Tesla. Love Tesla. Hate Kyler Murray. Eye test.
55:31Then there's Michael Penix. Oh, it's the Penix. He's rising up, right?
55:35He's pushing his way up through this league. Elevating everyone on the team.
55:39The tide that lifts all boats is Michael Penix.
55:42He's huge. He is so huge for this team.
55:45It's a buy high on Penix. It's a buy high on London.
55:49I mean, a 34% target rate for London with Michael Penix.
55:5226% without. And his yards per route runs like .65.
55:56.65. That's Puka. That's JSN. That's Jamar Chase level efficiency.
55:59And Drake London's always been posted up in this spot.
56:02This spot that's all his own. He's in a tier by himself.
56:06He has been in a tier by himself in Dynasty for like a year.
56:10Because we refuse to push him down just based on the raw production.
56:15The production has not been there for London because of the situation.
56:18The underlying efficiency has been so good that has sustained him in Dynasty.
56:23And now with Penix under center, boom, he can start to move up again.
56:27So he's a buy high. And Kyle Pitts a buy low.
56:31Kyle Pitts running a lot of routes. Right? He's got a 20% target rate with Penix.
56:36And then I think on Sunday ran something like a route on three out of every four dropbacks.
56:41Come on, man. That's great. That's like that's better than Dalton Kincaid level.
56:46We can talk about Dalton Kincaid. He's running more routes.
56:49He's up to like 66%. Route participation rate. Well, Pitts is already at 70.
56:53And there's only one other receiver there. Drake London.
56:56It's going to happen for him. And I know Bijan out of the backfield.
57:01But in terms of receivers, tight ends and wide receivers, it's Pitts and London.
57:05London and Pitts. And Pitts has had streaks of three bad games in a row before.
57:10He'll have him again by Kyle Pitts. Positive variance is coming.
57:14A spike week is coming. Okay. We'll go rapid fire.
57:17A few buys, sells, holds. Rapid fire. We talked about hold Jordan Addison.
57:21Sell Travis Kelsey. Okay. Rashi Rice is back. Rashi Rice put up second best ADOT of his career in a game.
57:28Kelsey has been outproducing his target share like more than any other tight end.
57:32So Andy's getting older. We knew he would start hot.
57:35Cody talked about it on the Sonic Truth. We dropped a Sonic Truth show on Sunday, actually.
57:41And Cody said verbatim, Kelsey is going to have a hot start.
57:45What does that mean? He's probably going to have a lukewarm rest of season.
57:49So sell Travis Kelsey. Buy low on Trey Tucker, right?
57:52His yards per route run, like top 20, top 25.
57:56Jalen Naylor is not good. Jalen Naylor can't command a target share of any consequence.
58:00And Tucker has been efficient this past week. Four for four.
58:04Eight fantasy points. Jalen Naylor, one for three. I think it will consolidate down to the Brock Bowers and Trey Tucker show.
58:11Like Naylor out snapping Tucker can't last. Won't last.
58:14So buy Tucker. Buy low on Tucker because he didn't produce last week.
58:18He might get dropped. Pick him up if he gets dropped.
58:21Buy low on Carnell Tate. He's a 25% target share this season.
58:25And that's like top 10 among rookie wide receivers in the last decade.
58:29Speaking of target shares, Malik Nabors, 29% target share.
58:32Time to buy, right? When is the time to get elite playmakers that are big time fantasy producers?
58:38When's the time to buy low? So ideally, you call the bottom.
58:42We call the bottom on Sadiq. Call the bottom on Malik Nabors.
58:46It doesn't get worse than this. Jameis Winston is Jameis Winston.
58:49He will eventually start to throw the ball down the field.
58:53It's going to happen because I know the target depth for Nabors has been like negligible.
58:58Like it's all been right around the line of scrimmage.
59:01And I get all that. That will start to extend down the field.
59:05Jameis Winston will start to push the ball down the field.
59:09It is going to happen. I'm buying high on Jalen Warren.
59:12This is a Jalen Warren backfield again. I think he's recaptured it.
59:16There's no way Dowdle gets his job back, right?
59:19Can't get your job back after this happens, man.
59:22Warren is like fifth in the league or at least top five, maybe top 10.
59:27He's somewhere in that. He's in that like six to eight, maybe.
59:31Anyway, he's between, I guarantee. Okay, I'll say this.
59:33I don't know the exact number. Jalen Warren is like between rank three and eight in yards, crater per touch among NFL running backs.
59:41The data is still coming in. Give me a break.
59:44He's up there. We'll say he's top 10. Make it easy.
59:48Just say he's top 10, man. Like if you know it's somewhere between three and eight, just say top 10.
59:54Why didn't I say top 10? I don't know.
59:57I don't know. We are a minute over an hour, 20 minutes.
60:01So that's why that might have something to do with it.
60:04We're way over on time. And I'm going to start to leak attention to detail and the ability to talk.
60:11I can feel my throat already. It's on the way.
60:14It's like screaming, please help me. Podfather. It's too much.
60:17We're 30 takeaways in. One more buy high. Sorry, voice.
60:20Not today, voice. Not today. Matthew Golden's a buy high.
60:24Oh, Matthew Golden. The Packers cannot run the ball.
60:27That's it. Jaden Reed's hurt. I mean, Jaden Reed would have been good this year if he had just been able to stay healthy.
60:34Couldn't. So what do we have? We have Matthew Golden and we have Christian Watson.
60:39We were very bullish on Christian Watson. Not so much on Matthew Golden.
60:43Okay. Well, adjust. How do you adjust? You buy high on Matthew Golden, right?
60:48You needed to call the bottom of Matthew Golden last week.
60:51So now you got to pay up and we're paying up.
60:55He's the biggest riser across all of Dynasty on Player Profiler's Dynasty rankings.
60:59Who's the biggest riser? It's Matthew Golden. We were just saying, this is happening.
61:03You need to get him now. He skyrocketed past like Rashi Rice.
61:07All these players are like, really? Yeah, really. Check it out.
61:11Buy high, baby. The Packers can't run. When Josh Jacobs comes back, it's not going to change.
61:16That's the thing. Their offensive line is so bad.
61:19They're dead last in yards blocked. They're last on Dan Fornick's offensive line rankings on Player Profiler.
61:24They can't run it. It's impossible. If you rank last in yards blocked, your receivers will benefit.
61:30And if your quarterback is one of the great air yards, prolific quarterbacks in the league, just one of those quarterbacks that
61:37just loves to push the ball down the field and see what happens.
61:41If that's the disposition of your quarterback and you have the worst offensive line in the sport, you're starting two receivers.
61:48I don't care who they are, are going to produce.
61:51Now make those receivers run a 4-4 or a 4-3 or a 4-2.
61:55Yeah. Yeah. Get excited. Get excited about Matthew Golden.
61:58Adjust those ranks. And then finally, we have to talk about the Chargers.
62:02I promise we'd talk about the Chargers and wearing these glasses, these damn glasses, the entire show.
62:08Here's what I think about the Chargers. I'll just go through it.
62:11A Marion Hampton is a buy. He's a first-round running back, all-purpose skill set, can do it all.
62:17The Buffalo game was always going to be a Keaton Mitchell game.
62:21Keaton Mitchell had a better usage profile than a Marion Hampton.
62:25That is not a trend. That is a blip.
62:27The game plan dictated that Hampton run fewer routes and he looked pedestrian.
62:32Mitchell looked better. Mitchell, just look at the eye test.
62:35If you were just doing the eye test, you're like, whoa, Mitchell should be the starter.
62:40That's why we don't trust the eye test. That's why I mentioned the eye test.
62:45I have some feelings about Kyler Murray now because of the eye test.
62:49That's about it, right? We're not going to be making any big decisions just because Mitchell looked like he had more juice than Hampton in one game.
62:58So I'm going to start to nibble on Hampton.
63:00There's no rush. The schedule is as brutal as anything you've ever seen.
63:05But you can start to nibble. Arande Gadsden, nibble.
63:07Buy low nibble. 66% route participation rate. Again, this is Dalton Kincaid level.
63:12Everyone's praising Dalton Kincaid. 65% route participation rate. Well, Gazton did that.
63:15Pitts did that. And they're more athletic. So I'm buying Pitts and I'm buying Gazton.
63:20But with Gazton, I'm in less of a hurry because of the schedule.
63:24And Justin Herbert is not going to just figure this out overnight.
63:28He has the worst fantasy points per drop back of his career right now.
63:33Now, I will say, though, in 2022, it did collapse down to 0.37.
63:37Right now, it's like 0.33. So we've seen him have a collapse in efficiency and bounce back before.
63:43It has happened. But we're talking about Seattle, Denver, Kansas City.
63:46Those are the next three. Then you get the bye week.
63:50Oh, coming out of the bye week. Oh, they face the Rams, the Texans, and then they go at Baltimore.
63:56Thankfully, they finally have a game that they can exploit right on schedule.
64:00Week 11. Guess who it is? Guess who do they play week 11?
64:04This will be it. The team we've been riding, the sleeper team we've been loving and has been delivering meets the team
64:11we liked before the season that has not been delivering.
64:15They face the Jets week 11. So, I mean, set your watch, right?
64:19Put a calendar reminder. We've got plenty of time, man.
64:22Halloween's going to come and go. And Chargers will still be very much attainable in trade.
64:27But eventually, eventually with these Chargers, my recommendation is you got to call the bottom.
64:32Jalen Daniels, not Jalen Johnson. I don't know who the hell Jalen...
64:36Isn't Jalen Johnson? I got my Jalens mixed up.
64:39Jalen Johnson is a cornerback for the Bears. So, and Jalen Daniels is the quarterback for the Buccaneers.
64:44There's Justin Tech, our fearless producer. Hey, Matt. What's up?
64:48Justin, is your mic on? Is your mic on, Justin?
64:51I believe so. Can we get a mic check for Justin?
64:54Mic check. Looks like we're good. He can't get his mic working.
64:58His mic was working pre-show. And I told Justin that I might bring him in just because it's frustrating to start a
65:05show knowing that you're going to go long. You're going to try to have a nice, tight 30-minute show.
65:11It's going to go an hour 30. And then at some point, 45 minutes in, news will break.
65:17And then everyone's in the chat saying, this is already old news.
65:21Oh, oh, actually, Justin, your mic is working. Got me.
65:24Your mic is working. I know. My problem was that I had, I muted it.
65:29And then I didn't have my headset on. I could put my headset on too.
65:34So the whole audience could hear you. I couldn't hear you.
65:37We are proudly supported by Nathan & Sons, makers of underbrush Remineralizing gum.
65:41The Nathan & Sons folks sent me some of this gum.
65:45And when you taste it, it's like, oh, this is what real flavor tastes like.
65:50It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be.
65:55Because I've tried other natural gums. And the flavor does not pop like it does with Nathan & Sons.
66:01And the flavor doesn't last. My favorite flavor is cinemastic.
66:05I also feel like my jaw's in better shape.
66:08Not doing as much clenching with my teeth. And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite.
66:13The same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
66:16And the best part is the chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
66:21And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
66:24It's made from natural tree sap. And if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to NathanAndSons.com and check out Underbrush.
66:32And get 30% off your first order. NathanAndSons.com to get 30% off.