0:00We are proudly supported by Nathan & Sons, makers of Underbrush Remineralizing Gum.
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0:36The same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
0:39And the best part is a chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
0:44And critically there is no plastic in this gum.
0:47It's made from natural tree sap and if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to Nathan &
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0:59Nathan & Sons dot com to get 30% off.
1:02Right now get up to 15% off Select Storage Solutions.
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1:25Visit HomeDepot.com. How doers get more done. What's up, everyone?
1:29Welcome into the Dear Miss Fantasy Show. With me, your host, Tara Roberts.
1:33This is the official mailbag show for Player Profiler.
1:36It is Wednesday, August 5th. I apologize for not being here with you last week.
1:40It was my birthday last week. And so I thought, I don't know, maybe I'd just take the day off-ish, semi?
1:47I guess at least the evening off. But we're back and I'm with you every single week.
1:53Now, through the end of time, apparently. Through draft season and then through the regular season, answering all your questions live here.
2:00So jump in the chat. Drop any questions that you have because it is training camp.
2:05Obviously, we have a ton of stuff that we can cover, right?
2:09And I've also got some mailbag questions, of course, since that is the obligation of this show.
2:14But let's start off with general news. Obviously, the most recent news that happened here.
2:19Stefan Diggs, hot off the press to the Commanders.
2:22That's, you know, we have discussed Stefan Diggs and Brandon Ayuk, reluctantly, more than I would have liked to this offseason.
2:29But I feel like we were all on the same page here on my YouTube channel that this was going to be
2:36Stefan Diggs that was going to the Commanders. They were going to add another receiver.
2:40I still think that Chig has value, obviously. Probably not the second look here now.
2:45But still late round value in tight end premium leagues and deep leagues as well.
2:50There are potential, but not the upside that we would have definitely gotten if they did not add a receiver.
2:57But Stefan Diggs is a nice compliment to Terry McLaurin there.
3:00This is great for Jaden Daniels because, again, I mean, it was just rather a misfit group of pass catchers.
3:06We were hopeful that Chig, because we know his talent, right, would be able to.
3:11But we haven't seen that out of him in terms of his production in Tennessee.
3:16We were hopeful that he would be able to ascend in this offense and be a reliable look.
3:22But outside of that, you know, hoping that a rookie in Antonio Williams could come through.
3:27It was just really just a misfit group of secondary looks there.
3:31So it's good news for Jaden Daniels. Makes me feel a little bit better about him, right?
3:36Because he needed that addition to his offense. And then in terms of expectations for Stefan Diggs, I mean, the good people
3:43of the universe have already the best ball drafters.
3:46They have already begun dropping little tidbits in terms of where Stefan Diggs is immediately going now in best ball drafts that are going on right now.
3:55Most common answer that I'm seeing is around round nine to ten, which does mean.
4:00And again, best ball drafts are not always the clearest, most accurate indication of where players will go, especially receivers.
4:06Right. But at the end of the day, it does give us a decent baseline of immediate reactions there.
4:12So late, not not super late round value. Congrats to people that were drafting early and maybe got him at a discount there in terms of late rounds.
4:21But realistically, eight to nine is probably the range that I think it will settle in with because he does have that.
4:28He has that curb appeal of people wanting. And I think where he'll end up going is you guys know that I
4:35love and this is like my baseline ADP range, my reference point for everything.
4:40You guys know that I love Quentin Johnston, right?
4:43Not that I'm not a Quentin Johnston truther, but at his ADP, it's just it's tough to ignore with the bounce back
4:50that we're expecting from this Chargers offense. But that is the range where I think he will slip ahead.
4:56Right. So if you're trying to visual visualize it, I don't know that people will get bold enough to push him ahead
5:03of guys like Jordan Tyson or Brian Thomas Jr.
5:06But I definitely would see him going ahead of that next grouping of wide receivers, which is kind of like that Quentin
5:13Johnston, Wanda Robinson kind of range there. So that would be my best baseline in terms of expectations for where he will go.
5:20We will not be getting any discount on him.
5:23So at least the veterans are falling into place.
5:26It'll be interesting to see where Keenan Allen ends up.
5:29I'm very happy that we did not get Brandon, although I'm not happy for a dynasty share, but I am happy we
5:36didn't get the mess of Brandon Ayuk in Washington because that would have been he needs he needs some time to figure
5:43stuff out before we can get him back on the field in a regular capacity there.
5:49But outside of that, I think that's the major updates to Washington's offense.
5:53Obviously, you know, let's pause here for a second because we are getting reports out of, you know, we're still trying to figure out this backfield, right?
6:01Because the ADPs on all of these guys in terms of particularly JCM and Rashad White, very reasonable.
6:07A committee, probably the most realistic outcome, right? But even at their ADPs investing into a committee, hoping that one of them
6:14can pull away is not the worst thing in the world.
6:18We talked earlier in the offseason about JCM in terms of knowing that the one thing that he had to improve on
6:25was his pass blocking and being a better receiving option.
6:28He knew that he acknowledged it. And we have been getting reports that that has been an area of improvement for him,
6:35how much he can improve to the point where he could push Rashad White out of the way.
6:41I don't that would be a long way to go because that really is something that Rashad White is like excellent at.
6:48Right. But enough to the point where it gives them the ability to kind of diversify their offense, right, in terms of
6:55them not having to be super predictable and saying when JCM is on the field, it's early down, it's going to be a run.
7:03He's not going to catch the ball. When Rashad White's on the field, it's a passing down, right?
7:08So if he can, if he really has improved in this area and can give them the flexibility to still operate as
7:16a committee, but a mixed committee to where it's not predictable, that's great for their offense.
7:21And that's also great for JCM as well. So these are positive things here.
7:25Positive things. Jump into the chat here. I see all the birthday wishes.
7:29Thank you so much to Walter Brown and David Harper and Derek Lincoln.
7:34Appreciate that as well. Donald Gillespie. Thank you. Um, Cruz and Cruz and Shaker says, how much of a bump will Jaden get from the dig signing?
7:42I don't think he will. Um, I think he's very solidified at, um, QB, uh, five.
7:47Well, for me, I have hurts ahead of him, but, um, he's very solidified in terms of just generic rankings and ECR at QB five.
7:55I don't see that he would push ahead of Burrow.
7:59So, I mean, it's very lockstep. The only thing people argue, everyone's, you know, Josh Allen, right?
8:04QB one. All good. People argue over Lamar versus Drake may.
8:08That's just splitting hairs, right? I have Lamar higher, but it's whatever.
8:11It's two and three. Then, um, Joe Burrow, very solidified.
8:15And then, you know, Jaden Daniels. So, I don't think, honestly, I just don't think he can push up higher than those guys.
8:22So, great from the fact. Maybe he bumps up a couple spots in overall ADP, but still, I wouldn't expect that much.
8:29So, it's fantastic. We got an addition here. Solid wide receiver two.
8:33And he's not going to see a bump in his ADP.
8:36So, that is fantastic. Good thing to point out there, for sure.
8:40Um, let's see here. We got Panda of Love.
8:43Who should I try to target with Rasheed Rice?
8:46Who should I try to target with Rasheed Rice trade in Dynasty?
8:50Oh, boy. This was a tough one because as somebody who does roster Rasheed Rice, it's a difficult trade because everyone knows
8:57the reality of the fact that he is, for the next several years, a constant risk to go to jail because he's on probation, right?
9:05So, he is literally the most volatile asset in the NFL with a high ceiling, right?
9:10Um, because he is the wide receiver one. The rest of the receiving core has been underwhelming, although we are getting positive reports out of Cyrus Allen.
9:19So, maybe, hopefully, that can be something in terms of a downfield threat because they need that.
9:24But again, that would be specifically, hopefully, a downfield threat that would not threaten Rasheed Rice's role in particular because he's very
9:31solidified and he is, you know, five yards beyond the scrimmage, right?
9:35Five yards beyond the line of scrimmage, right? So, um, very specific role for him.
9:40Honestly, if you're trying to trade him, it would probably, um, or if you're trying to target, I don't know if you're
9:47trying to target to trade him away or get him, but I would say go to another position because it's too sticky
9:54in terms of value to try and trade him off for another wide receiver.
9:59Unless you were maybe wanting to transfer into something that maybe is lower in terms of upside, but sorry, I'm getting text messages here.
10:06Lower in terms of text messages from my brother who should know I'm live.
10:11He's been slacking, by the way. Um, yeah, I'm gonna send him, I'm gonna clip this and send it to him because
10:18he has been slacking on his, um, support of my fantasy football content and he's asking me fantasy football questions.
10:24He's asking me a best ball draft question right now.
10:27Jay Roberts. So, um, in terms of trying to target someone with Rasheed Rice, I do think it has to be maybe
10:35trying to go for, um, something below him in value or going to a different position and taking a volatility trade, uh, on a running back.
10:43Maybe, maybe that would be the case there. But again, it's just, he's such a tough trade.
10:48It's hard to even say on that one. Uh, thank you, Darren, uh, Darren Diem.
10:53Appreciate that. With a super chat is a happy birthday gift.
10:57Appreciate that. Thank you. Uh, jumping back here to the chat here for, let's see, uh, did Diggs, oh, leaving.
11:03Yeah. Let's down here, um, real quick. Did Diggs leave?
11:06Um, sorry. Did Diggs do anything for Terry? Yeah.
11:09Yeah. Someone was added in and it did a positive thing because technically speaking, it does limit the kind of like massive
11:16potential target share that he would get. Um, but what I do think is going to happen here that does benefit Terry
11:23McLaurin is not that it's going to benefit him from a fantasy perspective or from a production perspective.
11:29What I think it's going to benefit here is the ADP being more advantage to us.
11:34I think we will see a dip in ADP and it was already low enough to begin with.
11:40I mean, I want to say what wide receiver, wide receiver 22 ish.
11:44Let me double check here for you guys what he is in ECR right now.
11:49Wide receiver 22. Whoa. I'm right. Uh, wide receiver 22 here.
11:53I could see the addition of Stefan Diggs pushing him back below Devante Adams, below Luther Burden, Mike Evans.
11:59I don't know because of the injury thing. We'll talk about that in a second.
12:03Injuries have popped up here, but you get into a range where I don't know if he'll push back further than, but
12:10we'll probably see him dip back just a tiny bit.
12:14So getting more value on him, because I do think he'll remain the wide receiver one, because what you will see, and
12:21I've already seen a little bit of it, is people referencing the volume that Stefan Diggs had last year in New England
12:28and saying, oh my God, I mean, that's what's going to be available in Washington.
12:33No, Stefan Diggs was the wide receiver one, right?
12:36Unquestioned wide receiver one. I know sometimes it didn't feel like it, um, especially in terms of, uh, snap count and then,
12:43um, touchdowns in particular throughout the season. But for the most part, the man was a very clear wide receiver one in that offense.
12:50So, um, I, I would not expect that kind of volume to directly translate over to Washington, completely different situation.
12:57But it's enough of a threat that we're going to see that decrease in ADP on Terry McLaurin.
13:02So I actually think it makes him easier, um, to buy just because again, wide receiver one that you are getting as
13:10potentially now a high end wide receiver three ADP.
13:12So I'm still in just because the value is there.
13:16The value is there for sure. Um, jump into the comments here.
13:19Um, yeah, Loving Life says, I still like Okonkwo in DC.
13:23It's yeah, I mean, it's not as if we're paying some kind of egregious price here.
13:28And if we get Jaden Daniels back on track in terms of volume, yeah, for sure.
13:33Um, seeing some comments about Zay Flowers here. Uh, definitely something that we want to talk about in terms of that massive payday that we're getting there.
13:42Um, Cruz and, uh, Cruz and Shaker says with Flowers getting that big payday, should we expect a bigger production from him
13:49or will the Ravens still lean on the run?
13:52So I am excited to see an increase in pass volume potentially here with the new system with Declan Doyle.
13:58Now, to be fair, uh, Chicago was run heavy last year, so I would not expect him to bring over massive volume.
14:05But I don't, I wouldn't expect it to be, we're going to lean more aggressively on the run here.
14:11Going to have better utilization of the wide receivers as a whole, and hopefully these rookies getting in here and making an impact as well.
14:20But the thing about Flowers is, is he was right on the cusp last year, right?
14:25In terms of, and right on the cusp last year, in terms of if Lamar had played a full season, he's been
14:32creeping up in terms of target share well over 25% now.
14:35I think he was at 28, 29% target share last year.
14:39Uh, so not an increase in more looks, but the same target share in an offense that maybe will function a little
14:46bit better, a little bit more efficient and a healthy Lamar Jackson there.
14:50Yeah, I could see this being a potential top five year for him.
14:54Um, I mean, I've seen some hot takes of people saying like overall wide receiver one, I don't know that we're going to get that level of volume.
15:03But what I will say is that, um, cause I've seen some comments saying that Lamar can't supply the level of volume
15:10that Flowers would need to have big upside. And that's not true.
15:14Like at all, um, we just saw Sam Darnold supply directly JSN with enough volume to be literally just behind Puka Nakua.
15:21Cause it's tough to outdo Puka Nakua, right? Um, but to literally provide competing overall wide receiver one volume there and Sam
15:28Darnold threw less yardage than we have seen in Lamar's best season.
15:32So Lamar can get up there and provide plenty of volume, especially if we have this 28% of to 30% target share funnel directly towards Flowers.
15:40And I do like the rookies in particular. Jacoby Lane was a prospect that I loved and I'm very excited to see
15:47the positive news out of him in training camp.
15:50But my thing with Jacoby Lane was that he will open up the offense more and push Rashad Bateman out.
15:57He was just, I just, just a guy, right?
16:00And they need to move on from that and try to get somebody with a little bit more juice in there.
16:06And I think Jacoby Lane is that guy in training camp is potentially proving that.
16:11So, um, bigger production from Zay Flowers this year.
16:14Yes. By Lamar Jackson being healthy because we're on the right track there for him.
16:19We do need more touchdowns, right? But we're on the right track there in terms of that overall volume, the targets and the yardage there.
16:27So feeling good about it. Feeling good about it.
16:30Um, Donald Gillespie says, I can see Andy Reid grabbing Ayuk.
16:33He gives second chances and banged up, uh, second chances and receivers banged up and iffy.
16:38You know, they are a franchise that low key does like a little, um, let's, let's call it mischief.
16:45Yeah. So they don't mind a little, a little, uh, rough around the edges receivers.
16:49Yeah. Well, I think maybe that's the best way to put it.
16:53So low key, realistically, that, that does logically make sense there on that one.
16:58Um, I know everyone kind of thought, you know, Oh, Tyreek Hill, but it seems like Tyreek Hill is more on that, uh, Odell Beckham Jr.
17:06kind of track when he came off of his major injury to where you won't see him until towards the end of the season.
17:14If you do. Right. So I don't think he's relatively ready.
17:17So if they need another receiver and they do, um, Xavier worthy got another shoulder injury, not serious, they say.
17:24Right. But again, it's concerning, uh, Cyrus Allen, who, again, I said, you know, was popping in training camp, um, got banged
17:31up a little bit, but should be fine there.
17:34But ultimately they got to find somebody, but I just, I don't know if they'll do it.
17:39Um, especially because the 49ers can hold on until whenever.
17:42And ultimately Brandon, I still has to request to actually be reinstated.
17:46So kind of on him too, as well. Uh, Stephen King says AJ Brown or a Mecca, a Buka both, both on that one.
17:54I have AJ Brown ranked higher than a Mecca, a Buka.
17:57Um, and I am, I do love a Mecca for sure.
18:01He is one of my primary targets, uh, that I try to walk away from every draft with.
18:07So from that perspective, I have AJ Brown. Um, I mean, he's wide receiver eight for me.
18:12Um, I think in ECR, what is he? Wide receiver.
18:15Let me see. In ECR, he is wide receiver.
18:18Eight as well. Okay. I thought I was higher.
18:21No. Why? So he's wide receiver eight, um, a fairly high end for sure.
18:26Second round draft pick there. Um, I would say though, that I've had more shares of a Mecca, Buka because it is
18:33just easier to attain him just because AJ has to be drafted in a specific spot.
18:38And for some reason, I have had a lot more, um, into the first picks, which by default means that I'm typically
18:45not getting him because of the way that I draft and target a wide receiver in the first round.
18:51So just, it's not working out for me, but I'm perfectly fine with AJ Brown.
18:56Um, obviously there are, there are bodies there in terms of Romeo Dobbs and obviously Kayshawn Booty, who is a potential trade
19:03guy as well, but, um, and Matt Collins and, you know, so they've, they've got options and bodies there, but at the
19:10end of the day, AJ Brown is the wide receiver one little injury there for him, but not a big issue.
19:17Um, and we should see an increase in volume from Drake may as well, because it was fairly low volume last season, mainly operating off efficiency.
19:25So with a tougher schedule, we should get a little bit more volume push there as well.
19:30Um, so I have AJ higher. I've got a Mecca at my wide receiver 17, but, um, I have drafted more shares of a Mecca this season.
19:39Not going to lie on that one. Just again, more attainable.
19:43Love them both though. We are proudly supported by Nathan and sons makers of underbrush re mineralizing gum.
19:48The Nathan and sons folks sent me some of this gum.
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19:57It just didn't feel fake. It had a texture and a taste of what real gum should be because I've tried other
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20:09And the flavor doesn't last. My favorite flavor is cinematic.
20:12I also feel like my jaws in better shape, not doing as much clenching with my teeth.
20:17And what's funny is it's made with hydroxyapatite. The same mineral your tooth enamel is made from.
20:23And the best part is a chewing gum that helps take care of your teeth in between brushing.
20:29And critically, there is no plastic in this gum.
20:31It's made from natural tree sap. And if you want a simple daily upgrade for your teeth, head over to Nathan and
20:39sons.com and check out underbrush and get 30% off your first order.
20:42Nathan and sons.com to get 30% off right now.
20:45Get up to 15% off select storage solutions. Put heavy duty HDX totes to good use protecting what's important to you.
20:52The solid impact resistant design prevents cracking and the clear base and sides make items easy to find.
20:58Even when the totes are stacked, find select shelving and tote storage up to 15% off at the Home Depot to organize
21:05every room in your home from your garage to your attic.
21:08Visit homedepot.com. How doers get more done. A cruise, a cruising shaker says, is there a rookie that you've had high hopes
21:15on, but maybe news from training camp changed your views?
21:19Oh, um, Eli Stowers, you know, I guess, you know, you know, actually tight ends in general.
21:24Jesus Christ. You know, we've been spoiled at tight end for years now.
21:28I mean, we had that, you know, that nice run of, you know, McBride, although it took McBride a second to break
21:35out, but McBride, Laporta right off the bat there.
21:38Don't Kincaid the first year, right? And then after that, not so much, but we've had, we've been spoiled with these, you
21:45know, really talented rookies, especially last year. I mean, my God, all over the board, right?
21:50And now we come to this year and there's not a single rookie tight end that we're even looking at remotely thinking
21:57could be, um, relied upon as a tight end one in redraft.
22:01So, and even in, like, I took Sadiq in one of my dynasty leagues where, um, I mean, like, I have Isaiah
22:08Likely, but, you know, again, I just didn't want to rely on that.
22:13So I was like, okay, let me go ahead and hear and get Sadiq and try to, um, really solidify my tight end one.
22:20Didn't want to rely on Likely. Um, but at the end of the day, that's probably still who I'm going to have
22:27to rely on because, um, Kenyon Sadiq there, um, there was a lot of positive news in terms of him being used,
22:34um, in a lot of alignments as a, you know, um, you know, very sharp, multi-talented weapon there and the hernia causing
22:41additional issues there and them saying, you know, we'll think he'll be on track for week one, but recurring issues on the
22:49same thing kind of makes me worry that we're going to be teetering into this area of something that is lingering in him and bothering him.
22:57And maybe he has to go and have an additional surgery.
23:00That's just, that's just random thinking, not anything for sure, anything that's been reported on, but it does make you worry when
23:07a player has an injury, gets past it, gets to training camp and then has a setback regarding that injury.
23:14So I would say the rookie tight ends are the ones that have been disappointing, pointing me now that we've got the
23:21new England rookie tight end who is making waves and whatnot.
23:24But again, training camp waves are not always, um, 100% reliable.
23:28And we know that again, that offense does have a lot of bodies in it and a brand new wide receiver one.
23:35So, I mean, even with Hunter Henry last year, the production was so inconsistent and underwhelming, right?
23:41So I don't know if there's going to be something there for us in general.
23:45So that was nice. Right. And then, you know, we had rookies going into not ideal situations like the LA Rams, where
23:52it's just going to be a combobulation of three, four tight ends all used together.
23:57So yeah, it's the, it's the rookie tight ends in general.
24:01Eli Stowers missed a lot of the off season dealing with an injury as well.
24:06So we did not hear from him and reports are really that, you know, it's, you know, Dallas Goddard that is, you
24:13know, looking like Dallas Goddard in training camp and that, you know, we're probably going to see him having a bunch of
24:20red zone looks kind of repeating the same level of type of production that he had last year, which is interesting because
24:27maybe that's someone that we can all look at as a high end tight end too, that can, you know, give us
24:34some value at a very low ADP and be reliable on a weekly basis, especially in the beginning of the season where
24:41they're trying to, you know, figure out this new pass offense and integrate Makai Lemonen and whatnot.
24:46And the exit of AJ Brown, that's a big body exiting.
24:50So perhaps some of those looks go to Dallas Goddard.
24:53So that's something to key in on since we're not hearing anything remotely encouraging about Eli Stowers being a usable fantasy asset anytime soon.
25:01So yeah, I would say that's the, that's the frustration point for me there.
25:05Unfortunately, the, the rookie tight ends frustrating me. Um, let's see here.
25:09Then we've got, um, easy E 13 saying, Oh boy, Tara, I think scary.
25:14Terry is going to ball and I'm digging their new wide receiver core.
25:18See what I did there. I do. I like it.
25:21That is my type of joking. 100% there. Um, I, I agree.
25:25It's going to be, that's going to be a very interesting and very good one.
25:30Um, before we move on here, I did want to, um, show you guys, uh, just a little promo here.
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25:55So, uh, let's take a little break here to hear about that.
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26:47Um, now let's jump back here to the chat.
26:50Do we still have high from cruise and shake?
26:52Do we still have high hopes for Mike Evans this season?
26:56You know, and I saw a comment on one of my YouTube videos glancing and I didn't get to click the entire
27:03thing and look at it because I wanted to see, um, because I, I assumed what it was going to say and
27:10I was going to respond, but I forgot to click it.
27:14Sorry. Um, but Mike Evans, I have been avoiding like the plague and the problem here with me and Mike Evans is
27:21that I 100% believe that Mike Evans will be the wide receiver.
27:25One of that offense. I have no concerns about that.
27:28100%. When Mike Evans is on the field, he is fantastic.
27:31He still has juice when you physically don't see, um, age creeping up on him or any issues like that.
27:38But the problem is, is that he has had way too many repeated similar injuries, hamstrings in particular, right?
27:44And when you get a running or when you get a wide receiver or even running back to, but especially wide receivers
27:51and they're over 30 and you have these repeated hamstring issues, suddenly you might be on your Cooper cup, right?
27:57Unfortunately, in terms of the downturn in age, just catching up with you.
28:01Um, and my primary concern there for Mike Evans is that I'm, I don't feel very confident that he will make it through the season.
28:09That's the only thing is that like, if you want to, and he's already injured, it's a quad injury.
28:16We don't, it doesn't seem like it's serious. Right.
28:18Um, but again, you know, there's so many injuries in training camps.
28:22It's hard to, you know, we know if you get carded off, it's a serious injury, but the little nicks that happen
28:29here and there, it's kind of hard to judge if it's really something that's going to be a major or lingering issue.
28:36Um, because again, while we don't panic over training camp injuries do remember that a lot of these do end up lingering in season.
28:44So just kind of be aware of that to kind of just try and follow and see how serious it is and
28:51really, you know, check in with the beat reporters and see what's going on there.
28:56Um, and again, it sounded like the Mike Evans injury is not that serious, but to get one right off the bat here, the whole 49ers off it.
29:05Let's talk about the 49ers in general right now and the struggles that they are having, um, with injuries, anyone and everyone
29:12with the exception of Christian McCaffrey is injured right now.
29:15Um, but again, just conspiracy theories of just like, why just Christian McCaffrey staying healthy, the substation, all of that good stuff.
29:22I'm trying to figure out why this team suffers so much.
29:26It's ridiculous at that point. Um, but looking at Mike Evans here again, I feel one, if you want to draft him
29:33and you say, okay, if he's on the field weeks one through six, I know that I'm getting wide receiver one production
29:40and maybe I have to sacrifice six weeks in the middle and maybe I get him back for the fantasy playoffs.
29:47It's, you know, maybe, you know, if you've got IR spots and you want to take that risk, just know that if
29:54you draft him, you might want to go a little bit heavier at receiver in order to have a backup option because
30:01the injury risk for him is so, so elevated at this point, right?
30:05It only takes so many seasons of seeing it in a row for an older receiver for you to say, this is
30:12probably going to be a recurring problem at this point in your career here.
30:17So that's my only issue with him. Other than that, you know, when he's on the field, production is going to be
30:24there, but I just have zero confidence that he's going to be able to stay healthy.
30:29DB F tells says 12 teams. Second pick. Also kept Taylor as a round two keeper is taking chase for us taking chase for or Puka crazy.
30:37No, no, I don't think so. You know, if you've kept Taylor, I would 100% go that direction there.
30:44Second pick. Yeah, it's tough, right? Because Bijan and Gibbs have such massive upside.
30:48And honestly, you could be a diabolical team with the common, you know what, you could be diabolical with the combination of
30:55actually, I kind of revert my opinion on that one.
30:58Um, because you have Taylor, you would literally be set at running back there taking Gibbs or Puka and assuming they're not one of the keepers there.
31:07But if one of them were, well, they are probably keepers actually comment that if it would either be one of them.
31:14Um, but if you have the ability, right, to take either one of those running backs and stack up there, I would do that.
31:22Otherwise, I would definitely go high and wide receiver there with Puka or chase.
31:26I would shoot for the ceiling and go with Puka, in my opinion.
31:30That's my preference there. Um, Kenneth Game or Clark Kent says Kenneth Gainwell or Blake Corum.
31:36You guys know I love Kenneth Gainwell. So this might seem a little, uh, contrarian here, but I would go with Blake Corum on that one.
31:44Um, and the reason for that is while I love Kenneth Gainwell, and again, I do have my concerns about Bucky in terms of handcuffing opportunities.
31:52And if Bucky were to go down and if Kyron Williams were to go down, the upside would be 10 times higher for Blake Corum.
32:00Because at the end of the day, if Bucky goes down, Kenneth Gainwell is still going to have Sean Tucker working in
32:07there at the goal line as well. It would not be a situation of Kenneth Gainwell being a three down back.
32:14He would get work on the ground. He would get receiving work.
32:18So he'd be fine. He'd be a solid RB two high upside.
32:22I would feel good about him, but Blake Corum, if Kyron Williams were to go down, would be a league winning type of pick, right?
32:30And both of them apples to apples. Um, yes, Kenneth Gainwell has more receiving episodes.
32:35So maybe a little bit of a bump in full PPR, but at the end of the day, the production, as long
32:42as the Rams offense is even operating at 90%, 80% of what it was last season, there's going to be enough for
32:49Blake Corum to be fantasy relevant ish on a week.
32:52In the same way of Kenneth Gainwell. So I mean, same usability on a week to week basis, but much higher upside.
32:59Sorry, hit my mic. Much higher upside there with Blake Corum.
33:02It would be Blake Corum that I prefer there.
33:05I do love Kenneth Gainwell. I hate to say that his ADP has gone up way too much.
33:11Kenneth Gainwell was someone who I was ready to go to war for, um, if we were getting good value on him
33:18and the value has disappeared because everyone has risen it up.
33:22Sometimes when the ADP rises too much, you kind of have to zig where everyone else is zagging and look at it
33:29and say, maybe this, I love him and I believe in him, right?
33:33But if I'm looking at the ultimate upside, perhaps, perhaps this ADP just moved up a wee bit too much there.
33:40So yeah, it's Blake Corum for me. Um, shout out to James Marshall who said, love your work.
33:46Appreciate it. Thank you so much. Uh, loving life says, Pierce all injury should open up thoughts for stripling.
33:52In my opinion, thoughts. Yes. Do I have a mailbag question on stripling?
33:56I cannot remember off the top of my head.
33:59Um, but let's, I don't actually, I don't think I do.
34:02Let's go ahead and talk about, um, the 49ers a little bit more here because we mentioned all the injuries that they
34:09had and Ricky Pierce saw was obviously the big one seizing and ending done for the year sucks.
34:15Right. Um, but at the end of the day, that does open up things for stripling.
34:20Unfortunately, he's also dealing with an injury. As I said, I think Christian McCaffrey is siphoning everyone's health there.
34:26All the receivers are dealing with injuries, but, um, when Debo Samuel being added, there does kind of hurt the, but you know what?
34:34At the, at the very least, it does mean that stripling is a late round dart throw.
34:39The ADP was going to rise as we were getting, um, the Ricky Pierce saw news.
34:45So Debo there at least does stop us and make it so that stripling is a late round pick.
34:51Ultimately, I do think that Debo is probably going to have the priority there, but we do know that Debo, you know,
34:58visibly has looked a little like he's, you know, teetering towards the edge there.
35:02Um, was okay last season in Washington, but nothing special now to his, you know, in defense of him a little bit on there.
35:10Some of that obviously would not be his fault.
35:13The offense as a whole was a little wishy-washy, right?
35:16With the injuries to Dane Daniels. Um, so Debo was probably doing the best that he could, but at the end of
35:23the day, he didn't look like the same old Debo.
35:26Now maybe in the 49er system, we get him looking back like the original version, but at the end of the day,
35:33he's still, you know, teetering up the, uh, up there in terms of years.
35:38So there's still opportunity here for stripling, um, to make an impact.
35:42There is the wide receiver three. It just makes it a little bit more difficult for him to push through now because
35:49now it does include Debo that he would have to push through as well, but still remains someone who I think is
35:56a solid late round dart throw for sure. Especially because knowing that in terms of profiles, they plan to use Debo, um,
36:03the same way they did before, right? You know, all over the place, gadgety out of the backfield and whatnot.
36:09And with stripling, we knew that he was kind of replacing Juwan Jennings and kind of an archetype there.
36:15So at the very least, we know that they don't technically conflict in that manner.
36:20So there's that positive there. So still worth a late round dart throw.
36:24But again, we have to remember that Debo being there is going to kind of put a little bit of a wall
36:31up there that he has to get through as well.
36:35Um, from Casey Coleman. Hello, Tara. I know everyone is all over Parker, Washington, Myers, and BTJ, but I think Britain Strange
36:42is a secret great tight end in the weeds who could be great.
36:46Possibly there. My only concern there is that I think there, well, you know, how quickly can I pull this up?
36:53Target share is my only, um, issue there. And I'm looking, normally I have target distribution up.
36:58Yeah. Okay. I've got it. Um, Jacksonville target distribution to tight ends was 19.2% last year, which puts them fourth from last.
37:05That's my only issue. Um, unless we see a conceptual change from Liam Cohen's system, there's not a massive amount of targets
37:12that they send to the tight end position. Um, and they did add multiple tight ends as well, um, that have looked pretty decent in training camp.
37:21So they could get a little bit of bird.
37:24He's still the tight end one for sure. I don't think that they're pushing, um, like it's, it's, you know, additional bodies
37:31like rookie Tanner Cozy, all, um, who is massive.
37:34He's like six, seven, six, eight, maybe he's big six, seven, I think.
37:38Um, big potential red zone target there. But at the end of the day, I would feel more comfortable if they had
37:45a higher target shared to the tight ends. So he's fine.
37:48He'll be a nice stable option. I can see myself 10 times over playing him and DFS on certain matchups on a week to week basis.
37:57Um, because again, you'll, you'll probably get him in terms of costs.
38:01Sorry. I'm thinking DFS over immediately. I'm excited. I'm ready to play DFS.
38:05I miss it. Um, get a bit lower costs there.
38:08So it's fine, but I would not draft him with the expectation that I'm going to be getting double digit fantasy points
38:15on a weekly basis that I can rely on.
38:18Um, so, um, late round targets, like if you would want to, maybe if you're in a deeper league and you have
38:25enough bench spots and you would like to draft him alongside another, um, later tight end, like maybe you draft strange and
38:32a Dallas Goddard and you kind of solidify yourself there with two stable bodies that are the tight end ones that you
38:39could play off of each other, depending on matchups.
38:42I think that's perfectly fine. Maybe you even go a little bit deeper there as well.
38:47Um, would be doable, but not my favorite in terms of targeting later for upside, just because with target share, it's going
38:54to be a little bit capped there. That's the only issue.
38:58Um, very talented. I like them, but targets are the main issue.
39:02Unfortunately, the one thing that held him back. Um, and then Casey also says in watching hard knocks, um, Seahawks last night, price looks like the real deal.
39:11Yeah, this is one that we've been talking about a lot this off season because there's so much that hands on Zach
39:18Charbonnet's price or Zach Charbonnet's availability there. Um, but it doesn't look like he's going to be ready in week one.
39:24I'm hoping that they're just being conservative in the language that they're using in terms of, well, we're not going to overload the rookie and whatnot.
39:33And once you get them out there, it's going to be, um, someone who clearly you want to prioritize in terms of
39:40looks between him and apparently George Helani. I will say the good thing about it being George Helani that seems to be
39:47the one that would play off of him is that Helani would have the clear edge in terms of passing downs, um,
39:54and, you know, receiving work, check downs and whatnot.
39:57I do not see a scenario where they would want to use Helani at the goal line over to Darian price.
40:04So theoretically this probably works out for them. Um, I might be a little bit worried about when Charbonnet comes back, but
40:11hopefully they don't rush him along there. But the price is not, you know, it's not going up too high on the
40:18price is not going up too high on price in terms of ADP.
40:22So I think he's a fine target. I think he's a fine target because he's staying in that high end RB three range.
40:29We're taking an ice conservative approach there. So, and he looks good for sure.
40:34I do think he's the real deal. I think him being the RB two of that class was well warranted.
40:40Like it wasn't even close probably as much as we like some other guys.
40:45Um, the ABC square, it says, Tara, we need to do the fantasy football and stock drafts.
40:50I emailed you a month ago. Um, contact me again.
40:53Maybe I missed that. I'm not awesome with emails.
40:56Contact me again on that one for sure. And no problem.
41:00I'm misspelling the name. I'm a okay on that one.
41:03Yeah. Contact me again. I'm sorry. Um, Donald Gillespie, maybe the Niners will keep IU.
41:08Sounds like they could use them. Just say it.
41:11That would be something that would be hilarious. Honestly.
41:14Um, cruising shaker says when would be a good round to take a shot on a player who is probably behind a
41:21starter that you would believe, um, believe would have a good opportunity, uh, for a breakout season.
41:26And who is that type of player for you?
41:29Oh, I mean, I guess it would be easy for me to just say, um, Blake Corb after we just talked about it.
41:36Right. Uh, but let me give you somewhat else.
41:39Right. And I think, you know, and honestly, I think running backs, um, are often, you know, the easier ones to do
41:46because there's a lot of guys like, um, Blake Corum and Kyle Manungay is another one.
41:51Kyle Manungay dealing with a soft tissue injury there.
41:54Um, we'll need to monitor that one because obviously if he did not, um, was not, or if this was a lingering
42:01issue, that would obviously be massive for DeAndre Swift because the Bears are extremely run heavy.
42:07It doesn't seem like it. They had our top five in Russia temps last year and obviously Caleb Williams runs, but it
42:14wasn't that dramatic to where that was the, the driving factor there.
42:17They were surprisingly like low key run heavy and it gets overlooked because we did have that integrated use of Kyle Manungay as well.
42:25So if there were something seriously going on here, I mean, good God, the value that we would be getting on Swift is amazing.
42:33But as long as, as long as Kyle Manungay is okay, that is one of my ones that I feel very good about targeting.
42:41Um, and I think the appropriate spot to target guys like that, honestly, um, let's see.
42:46I would be okay with doing that maybe around round eight is the point at which I would start making those eight.
42:53Nine is the point at which I would start looking at, um, drafting those type of players.
42:58I think seven, you can still get some potential value there and you don't have to reach up.
43:04But eight and nine is where I would start looking at those types of players that could have breakout seasons.
43:10Um, again, you guys know, I love Quentin Johnston.
43:13I'll say it again, 10 times over there that we're expecting a big improvement from this chargers offense, right?
43:19And if you're not expecting, uh, Quentin Johnston to be a part of it, then honestly, you should be drafting, uh, Vlad McConkie at an egregious level, right?
43:28Because we know that this past volume is going to increase for Justin Herbert under the new scheme.
43:34We know we're getting a healthier offensive line. We know that last season was massively underperforming seasons is for seasons for all
43:41past catchers, apparently not named Keenan Allen, because that's all that they could do was manage to get the ball to Keenan Allen earlier in the season.
43:50But even as the season went on, even that became difficult.
43:53It just really struggled with consistency with all the injuries to the offensive line.
43:58So if we know this is bouncing back here and we know the level of deep threat, we know the creativity that,
44:05uh, that Mike McDaniel brings to this offense. And we know that we don't have to draft a Quentin Johnston until, I
44:12mean, my God, what is his ADP right now?
44:15Like round nine? Yeah. Um, like pick 904 is where he's going around right now and he's rising, but there's still significant value.
44:22He actually did outperform in terms of average fantasy points per game, outperform Vlad McConkie last season.
44:28And again, that's no insult to Vlad because the offense as a whole, in terms of the past game failed because of the offensive line.
44:36But if we know he is capable of doing that, and even at the beginning of the season when Joe Alt was
44:43healthy, um, we, it was Quentin Johnston that was operating, like had the highest upside in terms of wide receiver one production.
44:50So if we know all of that, we should be targeting a guy like Quentin Johnston.
44:55Once you get into those later mid rounds, because it's a high upside play rather than playing it safe and drafting another guy.
45:02You know, you could also grab a guy like Michael Wilson at that point, right?
45:07That's a great place to also grab a Michael Wilson there, who I do think is behind Marvin Harrison Jr.
45:14And Marvin Harrison Jr. is the wide receiver one, but this is a new regime, right?
45:19Um, a new regime with Nathaniel Hackett, but regardless, this is a new regime here and it is entirely possible that we
45:26do get, um, a shift in, a shift in focus from this offense because they don't have that inherent loyalty to Marvin Harrison Jr.
45:34So if he underperforms to begin the season, I could see a little bit of a shift there, right?
45:40Um, let's see here. We got a super chat from, oh, by the way, I've never seen that before.
45:46I, I wish I had called that out earlier.
45:49Stephen King had a super chat of 30 jewels.
45:51I've never seen that before. Thank you for that super chat there, Stephen King.
45:56Appreciate it. Um, and then super chat there, um, from Panda of Love.
46:00Thank you guys. Again, really appreciate it here. Um, let's see here.
46:04Let's see. I'm seeing some kind of funny comment from somebody here.
46:08I don't know what's going on, but Miles Logan in the chat says, what about Christian Kirk also injured the 49ers?
46:15Good God. Um, ridiculous here. The injuries that are happening.
46:18Let me rapid fire through these so we can get to some mailbag questions here.
46:23Uh, from Tanu Kit, Tanu Kidrum, Tanu Kidrum, uh, buying into a two man keeper league with established teams team option.
46:29One is Justin Jefferson and George Pickens. Option two is Brock Bowers and Kyron Williams.
46:34Oh, team. Oh, option one or two. Option one or two.
46:38Two man keeper. Brock Bowers and Kyron Williams. Justin Jefferson and George Pickens.
46:42Man, I think I do have to go with option one on that one and go with Jefferson and Pickens.
46:48Um, especially if it's risky, right? Not, there's nothing risky about Justin Jefferson, right?
46:53But it's risky in the fact that Kyron and Bowers are very solidified in the teams that they have right now.
47:00Now, George Pickens, we're hoping that he gets that contract and can remain with Dallas.
47:04But if not, um, you know, perhaps good season, perhaps paid to be a wide receiver one elsewhere, I would be perfectly fine with him staying in Dallas.
47:13And then Justin Jefferson for the bounce back here, hoping that Kyler Murray, who it does appear, you get some spotty reports
47:20out of training camp in terms of, by the way, in terms of quarterbacks, guys, be aware of quarterback training camp Kings, right?
47:28You hear a lot of spotty stuff out of Cleveland about, oh, it's Dylan Gabriel.
47:33Yeah. Against the third team, right? Um, beware. I do think it's going to be Kyler Murray that ends up being the
47:40QB one there and winning the job. Um, and that will be a benefit for Justin Jefferson because obviously he has succeeded,
47:47um, with a wide range of quarterbacks that were filling in due to injuries previously when Kirk Cousins was injured.
47:53Um, and we, we know that basically the issue last year was really just JJ McCarthy, right?
47:59Just subpar play overall. And Justin Jefferson, even with a quarterback like Kyler Murray long-term, you know, maybe it works out and they keep him, maybe not.
48:07And they dip into this year's upcoming quarterback class, which is, you know, a little bit expected to be a little bit richer in terms of prospects here.
48:16So I would take the option of going with the wide receivers there and going with Justin Jefferson and George Pickens there.
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49:48Visit homedepot.com. How doers get more done. From Henry Odom, CeeDee Lamb versus Justin Jefferson is extremely close.
49:53Who do you prefer and why? Depends on how risky you want to get.
49:58CeeDee Lamb is super safe, right? He is basically the wide receiver five now in terms of rankings.
50:04That's where I've got him as well. Just because the volume is so secure.
50:08Even with the addition of George Pickens last year, CeeDee Lamb was still pacing for over 150 targets in healthy games.
50:15If you parse it down to games where he played full and healthy and leave out the ones where he left early
50:22and didn't play, his average pace for the season would have been over 150 targets.
50:27So the volume was still there. Perhaps maybe it could come down a little bit if the defense in Dallas does improve.
50:34But even then, so I mean, with Dak Prescott at quarterback, you're just pass happy, right?
50:39Um, so at the end of the day, the volume is there.
50:43So it's very safe, very safe in terms of Dak.
50:46And Justin Jefferson is just risky, right? Um, if we know if Kyla Murray does pan out, Justin Jefferson would factually outperform
50:53CeeDee Lamb just because of the level of upside that we know for sure.
50:58I mean, in all seasons except for the one last year, Justin Jefferson has paced a minimum of 1400 yards every single year.
51:05We know the level of solid floor and high ceiling that he has.
51:09And I don't know that CeeDee Lamb ultimately alongside George Pickens has that same level of ceiling there, but it's riskier because
51:16you are relying on Kyla Murray to be, um, to be decent.
51:20And you are relying on him to stay healthy for the majority of the season.
51:25So my preference there is just playing it safe with CeeDee Lamb, but I'm not opposed to Justin Jefferson by any means,
51:32but it does again mean that you are relying on him to be healthy.
51:37Um, Kyla Murray to be healthy because I just, I don't think it's it with JJ McCarthy.
51:42I don't think it's it sadly. Um, from Frank in the chat says, Hey Tara, I am struggling with Drake London.
51:49Me too. We keep saying that he doesn't have a great quarterback, including this year, yet we keep moving him up into
51:56the top 10 and over and over again. When do we start to fade him?
52:01Um, so this is the reason why CeeDee Lamb is my wide receiver five, despite the fact that CeeDee Lamb factually does
52:08not have the same ceiling as Drake London. Drake London has the higher ceiling, right?
52:12He has his competition is Bijan and Kyle Pitts.
52:15We know there's a certain level that Kyle Pitts can go to like expecting a hundred targets, very realistic there.
52:22And then Bijan and we know this team, um, it's probably going to have to continue to throw a little bit.
52:29They've been dealing with injuries on defense as well.
52:31They've been trying to improve on defense, but they keep getting hit with injuries, unfortunately.
52:36So again, they're still going to be pushing volume through the air, but it is a quarterback situation, right?
52:42How much do we trust Tua Tagovailoa who looks like he is trending towards being the week one quarterback?
52:48Michael Penix arguably is the one that we do prefer.
52:52We have seen, um, we saw at the beginning of the season that Michael Penix was reliable enough to provide enough volume
52:59and upside and deep balls to Drake London for me to say I would be comfortable.
53:04If it was Michael Penix starting as a guarantee, honestly, I would feel decently comfortable about it, but I just don't know how I feel about Tua.
53:12And I don't know how I feel about Penix being able to hold onto the job once he actually is able to start.
53:20We could see a flip back and forth here.
53:23It's just such a weird quarterback situation. So you're right on that one.
53:27And that is why, that's why I argue for, you know, Hey, you know, you have to go for a guy like
53:34CeeDee Lamb over him or just skip over that section of wide receivers as a whole because of the level of risk
53:41that they inherently offer, which is also why from a strategy from a strategy standpoint, um, and it depends on where you are picking in the first round.
53:50But my preference there is to grab one of the more stable options at wide receiver.
53:55And if not, I'm getting a running back, right?
53:58And then I will push wide receiver to the, like, I'll flip around and play it in terms of trying to avoid
54:05that area of shaky, questionable wide receivers, right? And just push it back a little bit further.
54:11Um, because there's a lot of guys who also have risk, but they cost a little bit less than you can invest
54:18in those higher end running backs early. So that's my perspective in trying to dance around that because you're right.
54:24It keeps getting pushed up, but it's pushed up because everyone in that range is dealing with issues.
54:30Nico Collins has, you know, a cap ceiling with CJ Stroud, Chris Olave.
54:34Are we trusting Tyler Shuck? What is the impact of Jordan Tyson?
54:38Rashid Rice. Can you legally stay on the field?
54:41You know, Devante Smith. What is this? What is the true upside, right?
54:45And I do like Devante Smith. I like a bunch of these guys, right?
54:49And I will have them. But I'm just saying that all of these guys have questionable situations or stumbling into new workloads or switching teams like AJ Brown.
54:58So it's a weird range. And that's why Drake London is pushed up into the top 10 because everyone's dealing with that.
55:05And ultimately he's getting pushed up because we know that the ceiling is just so dramatically high there.
55:11Um, the chat here, Cruz and Shakers says it's probably a given that the Rams DST will be a favorite pickup.
55:18But with the news of Avera Donald practicing, if he does sign or resign with the team, is there a scenario where
55:25you would draft this DST earlier in drafts? I don't think I would for the fact that I don't mind streaming.
55:32I mean, I, you know, I like, I enjoy a set it and forget it defense if I can get it.
55:39But the one thing that I would question there in terms of it's going to be a great defense, but at the
55:46end of the day, the Rams defense will, can get into a weird situation where their offense is pushing so much volume
55:53that teams end up in the fourth quarter just, um, getting little cheapies, right?
55:57Trying to play catch up. So it may not be because the offense is so prolific.
56:02It may not be the shutdown kind of scenario because they're trying to force and push aggressive volume to keep up with the Rams offense.
56:10So I don't think I would draft them a little bit earlier.
56:14Still a fine target, right? We know the upgrades that they have made are absolutely crazy, right?
56:20But I don't know that I would necessarily sacrifice a very key late round value target for me over, um, getting a defense.
56:27I don't know that I would make that sacrifice.
56:30Clark Kent says, I'm on defense with Justin Jefferson because if I'm not mistaken, he has one of the easiest schedules for
56:37wide receivers with his quarterback scenario scares the heck out of me.
56:41So seriously, I am considering trading. Ah, I hear you.
56:44Stick it out though. Um, because you're right. This is, I mean, one friendly schedule, right?
56:49Two, there is the, um, thing of one. I do believe that Kevin O'Connell is legitimately a quarterback fixer and Kyla Murray
56:56does fit the archetype of a player he can fix.
56:59I just don't think he can fix JJ McCarthy because you can't fix what wasn't really broken.
57:05It is what it is, right? So you, if there's nothing to pull out, what can you really do in terms of developing someone?
57:13So that honestly might've been the issue. If anyone can get the best version out of Kyler and to be fair to
57:20Kyler, um, and cause I did a video on this before, there are reasons why it's been a long time since we've
57:27seen him supply a wide receiver one, uh, the one healthy season we got from DeAndre Hopkins in Arizona.
57:33He was in fact a wide receiver one with a fantastic season in terms of, um, yardage.
57:38So we could get that from Justin Jefferson. I know the quarterback situation scares us, but I would say, hold on here.
57:45I would say, hold on for sure. Um, and then DB F towel says follow up on Gibbs or Robinson will be available or follow.
57:53Oh, perfect. Follow up on the give on if Gibbs or Robinson will be available.
57:58Um, they were not keepers nor chase and Puka.
58:01Ooh. Okay. Yeah. And since your Taylor is your second rounder was going to try and get maybe Monty later.
58:07I don't think either strategy is wrong, right? Um, you could go with Puka.
58:12Obviously that would stack you up with two high first and or high end first round picks guys that would 100% be
58:19taken within the top half of fantasy drafts. But I still do think, I still do think that going there and doubling
58:26up at running back with Gibbs or Bijon really would be worth it in terms of putting your team at such an egregious level, right?
58:34So I would either go Bijon or Puka. I don't think you can go wrong with either strategy, to be honest.
58:41But the appeal of that doubling up on running back is just, oh God, it's tough to pass up there.
58:47It's tough to pass up. Um, from just lift D one W Keenan Allen.
58:52Is there on, uh, is there an other, is there another team like the bills or Steelers or even Tampa Bay bucks?
58:59I would think so based on what we know about Keenan Allen, I think he wants to be able to stay on the West coast.
59:07I don't know at this point in his career that he would want to go back into a Pittsburgh or a Buffalo.
59:14Honestly, I think at this point he is very, has, you know, he wants to be in that warm weather.
59:20I think Chicago was a dark year for him, unfortunately.
59:23So I, I don't, you know, maybe we, perhaps we see him go to, you know, well, they already signed Debo.
59:30So that wouldn't be good. Um, the 49ers, but, um, I don't know.
59:34I, I feel like we're still going to see him somewhere, um, out West.
59:39Cause I don't know if he would go back, but if, if there were one that he were to go to between
59:46those two, I, or between those three, I don't think the bucks would do it just because of the depth that they have.
59:53It would make it a little bit messy. They've got a lot of depth at receiver.
59:58I do love, um, basically all of those options that they have at receiver in terms of a Mecca.
60:05Um, they say Godwin's looking good in camp. You guys know, I love Ted Hearst as well.
60:10And Jalen McMillan as well. So they've got, they're super deep there.
60:14I don't know that the bills would want to, can they afford to add another?
60:19Maybe the bills would make sense if he wants to push for a win there, but I think we're going to keep them on the West coast there.
60:28Uh, DJ Steven says any, uh, ideas on tank Dell?
60:31I think you should target him in the late round.
60:34I'm, I'm coming around to it, right? Um, because of the fact that he didn't go on the pop, I would assume
60:41that he will be ready for week one because he didn't go on the training camp pop.
60:47Now, you know, obviously regular season pop is still a possibility, but it sounds like they're working him in and it's possible
60:54that he could be ready to go. And I would expect kind of like a slower role not to aggressively, um, assert
61:01him because again, they do also have some decent depth there with Jaden Higgins, Jalen Knoll.
61:06As well. So there's bodies there. They don't have to push it aggressively, but I think it's worth a shot because the
61:13ADP is not going to shoot up by any means, because obviously there's a lot of skepticism in terms of what is really left in him.
61:21Um, at this point after that massive injury, but considering the discount that we're getting, it's worth a shot in late rounds.
61:28For sure. We're hearing a lot of positives, obviously around Jaden Higgins, Jaden Higgins did at least separate himself from everyone else
61:35on roster, but there's still room for someone else in there for sure.
61:40It's going to be Brock Bowers. That is the one.
61:43And then it's a question of what level of volume is going to go to the other guys.
61:49Will it be spread around or is one of them actually going to step up there and really dominate?
61:55Um, I think Tucker is a fine target because again, these are later stabs.
61:59We're not going to have to invest a lot of capital, but it does sound like Naylor is the one that might step up there for sure.
62:08Oh, uh, Cruz and Shaker says, what is your fantasy football league pet peeve?
62:12Um, my pet peeve is low ball trades. Yeah, that's my pet peeve on that one.
62:17Very, very specific. Like if, if I get a low ball trade and maybe this is irritating as a league mate, but
62:25if you give me a low ball trade, and you know it, like, I know that, you know, this is not like a mistake or anything.
62:33Like you knew that you were trying to, um, throw out a cheap offer just to throw out a cheap offer.
62:40I'll ignore you. I'm not going to, like, it'll sit.
62:43It'll sit for a while there. That's my fantasy football, um, pet peeve there as well.
62:48And, and also, um, I don't, I don't love when people leave dynasty leagues, but you know, I understand that sometimes there's reasons, right?
62:56Um, Casey Coleman says, thank you. And one more, I am in an, uh, auction IDP league, $300 cap.
63:02Would you keep Jason at 51 and Trey McBride or Trey, or would you, oh, these are oars.
63:08Uh, true. JSN at 51, Trey McBride at 35 or Drake may at 14.
63:12I understand the value of JSN, but Trey and Drake at 14 is crazy.
63:17Is it? I assume it's definitely not super flex, right?
63:20Yeah, that's a lot for JSN. I'm not going to lie there.
63:24I might take the, but you know, I also feel that's a little hefty of value on Trey McBride as well, especially with the risk for him.
63:32But I, but I am pro late round QB.
63:35So even the value being super low on Drake may, I don't know that I would spend that either.
63:41I think I would, I think I might suck it up and do JSN at 51 or Trey McBride.
63:47I could lean towards the Trey McBride at 35 one, because at the end of the day, we're still going to have egregious volume to him.
63:56Jacoby Brissett got the contract. He should start the majority of the year.
64:00They're going to be playing from behind. It's going to be 10 targets plus to Trey McBride every single week there.
64:07I know it's a bad team and people fear, but we have had nothing but bad teams in Arizona and nothing but
64:14the steadiest production from Trey McBride in terms of volume there.
64:17So I don't, I don't mind that at all.
64:20I don't mind that at all. So I would honestly, I would still go with JSN or Trey McBride on that one,
64:27just because I've been preferring a little bit more late round QB on that one.
64:32Appreciate the happy birthdays and nice stuff coming in as well.
64:35Let's try and let me catch up here and maybe rapid fire a little bit on these questions.
64:41Panda of love. Would you trade Rasheed rice and lemon for flowers and stours?
64:46No, I would not. Just because I worry about the value of stours ultimately not panning out to the level it would.
64:53I still prefer the rice and lemon side of that.
64:56Chabing. Good evening. Three wide receiver PPR league. Is hero RB a good idea if you get the number one pick or two?
65:03Yeah, 100%. Anytime I have three wide receiver league or multiple flex leagues, I go hero RB strategy.
65:09I mean, it would take a lot in terms of running back value falling for me to go robust in a three wide receiver league.
65:17I prefer to start off with a wide receiver and then just being heavy on wide receiver.
65:23Sorry, prefer to start off with a running back and then go heavy for multiple rounds at wide receiver.
65:29Although in this year, you know, depending on if you get a back end pick there, you can be a little bit more flexible.
65:36But I would go hero RB. But because of the depth that we have at running back this year, you can push
65:43your hero to our to round two because in round two, there's still going to be guys there like A-Chan, Saquon, Chase Brown pushed up a little bit.
65:52Amarine Hampton. Derek Henry is a high round three pick, borderline round two pick.
65:57So running back is deeper this year. So your pool of RB ones pushes out honestly to as high as, you know, Derek Henry.
66:05But I would wrap it up there and then hit wide receiver heavy for sure.
66:09Around the court in deep leagues, I'm taking shots on Demarcus Robinson.
66:13I don't hear anybody talking about him. Might be good early season play.
66:18I'm a fan of Demarcus Robinson. I always have been.
66:21I was hoping that we would have seen a little bit more.
66:25The reason why I'm kind of like, I'm not sure on that is because I was trying to hype him up last
66:32year and it just didn't pan out in the way that I thought it would.
66:36But it's reasonable, right? In case these injuries do progress here.
66:40So I'm not opposed to it. Late round and deeper leagues for sure.
66:44I'm a fan. I think he's still got it in him.
66:48Scott. What? Scott. Scott. I'm just showing comments here.
66:51I didn't read this one ahead of time. Scott made a comment about, uh, do you think Brittany Hobbes can share the wife spotlight with Swifty?
66:59Does that affect fantasy values? You know, uh, Travis is looking like he maybe partied a little too much at the wedding.
67:06I am low key concerned. I've got one dynasty share that I was hoping to get a little bit more juice out
67:13of, but I fear that I might need to go and find another option there.
67:18Cause he's looking a little like the off season was a little too enjoyable for him there.
67:23So perhaps it does affect the fantasy value there.
67:26Uh, from Darren, uh, D him, CD lamb let me down last season, especially in the championship game.
67:32It was a subpar season for sure. Um, especially cause you know, in his defense, he was playing through the injury there.
67:39So, uh, the presence of George Pickens obviously reduced the touchdowns, but volume there in general should still be good.
67:45But I, I feel you on that one. He was a disappointment for sure.
67:50Um, Ella, Ella Fulmano says, excuse me, I am in half PPR.
67:54I'm taking Drake London as top five overall wide receiver.
67:57It's bold. It's bold for sure, but he does have the upside to get there.
68:02Um, the ABC square, it says Drake, um, Drake is low key injury prone as well.
68:07I can't remember which Drake we were talking about.
68:10Are we talking about Drake? Oh, Drake. Yo, you know, Drake London, um, has been, you know, has been dealing with injuries there.
68:17So that's a good, that's a decent point on that one for sure.
68:21Um, Cruz and Shaker says, isn't Tua hurt. He is back injury.
68:25They say it's not a major deal, um, that he would still be the one most likely tracking towards week one.
68:32So not a long-term issue, just something that I guess they were being a little bit more cautious about that.
68:38And then on that same kind of subject there, leaving says, don't they need to see, um, what Pennix is long-term for sure.
68:46Which is why I kind of think we might get a little teeter back and forth there.
68:51But also to that end, the coaching staff is also a worry there, right?
68:56Because at the end of the day, it's a new coaching staff.
69:00Yes, they need to see what there is with Pennix long-term, but because they didn't have that investment, um, and you know, neither did the GM.
69:08The GM has gone too. So this is a whole new group here.
69:12So they don't have that investment and loyalty in theory, because that was not one of their picks.
69:18So if Tua did pan out, I don't think they would force Pennix in in order to, Jesus, force Pennix in to,
69:25um, end up, uh, trying to see what he has to work with.
69:29I think they would, it's not a guarantee there, but I feel like we do could see some flip-flop there, but at
69:36the end of the day, Tua seems like he is on track for starting week one.
69:41And if he were to continue to, you know, put up, you know, decent numbers and be semi-competent there, I could see
69:48where they stick with him and they don't, um, give Pennix a chance.
69:53Uh, from Dante DiMora, like the video. Thank you.
69:55Um, what do you think of Hunter Henry? Is he not the number two target attached to Drake May?
70:02Um, people think last season was, um, an outlier, but he still has May.
70:06Um, it sounds like his job, his job might be at risk there.
70:10Um, the tight end Eli is coming in very strong there.
70:14Uh, so, and granted camp hype is one thing, right?
70:17That's not a guarantee that he's going to push him out the way, but we are getting a lot of hype videos there.
70:24So it could be something real, but, um, unfortunately I have pushed Hunter Henry down to oblivion.
70:30Um, so he is not a target for me in any way, shape or form just because with the addition of AJ
70:37Brown, the addition of Romeo Dobbs, we know the connection in terms of, um, especially within the red zone there, um, that
70:44we had with Kayshawn Booty and Drake May. I mean, Kayshawn Booty had like a ridiculous catch rate.
70:50I want to say it was upwards of 70% last season with Drake May.
70:54Um, so he's an extremely reliable target for him.
70:57And obviously we've got other existing bodies. There's as well.
71:00I, I do think they're going to tilt more towards those receivers.
71:04So I am not targeting him too much there.
71:07Unfortunately. Um, Dante DeMora says he seems like a cheaper version of Dallas Goddard cheaper for sure.
71:12100%. But the inconsistency is an issue for me.
71:15I would never feel comfortable rolling him out on a weekly basis.
71:19Um, and Goddard has a much higher level, um, higher target level in terms of touchdowns.
71:24I mean, let's actually take a look at it here real quick and then we'll wrap things up because we were going a little long.
71:32Um, Dallas Goddard last season really stepped up in terms of touchdowns with 11 last season.
71:38Absolutely ridiculous. Um, when it comes to Hunter Henry, seven touchdowns, Cole red zone target.
71:42Um, it was a good season, but it was kind of on par with what we've typically seen there.
71:48I don't hate it, but it was a lot of peaks and valleys.
71:53And on a week to week basis, I just didn't feel super comfortable with him, um, to the same degree.
71:59So in Titan premium, decent target there. But I do worry about the rookie coming on particularly strong there.
72:05Um, let's see here. Yes. In the tank. Um, so close.
72:09Yeah. Tank is very close. They're potentially returning, uh, around the Kurt says, give Tara some more likes.
72:14Thank you. I appreciate it. You're right. But you know what?
72:18I never asked for likes. I always forget to say that, but yes, like in the video does help.
72:24I'm starting to lose my voice here. So we're about to wrap it up here.
72:29Um, and then let's see if we've got some more comments here.
72:33Henry is great for best ball. That's the, you know what?
72:36That one is a good one. I'm glad I went down to the bottom here.
72:41Supreme me link or Supreme link says Henry is great for best ball.
72:45Yeah. I would prefer to target Henry in best ball than redraft for sure.
72:50Because the overall volume there for the value that you're getting on him in terms of the ADP for sure.
72:56But the week to week basis, trustworthy level, I can't get there, um, and redraft.
73:01But for best ball overall, that would be a nice tight end too for you to have for sure.
73:07For sure. I do like that one. Um, La Eliza says, I did my first SFB draft in NYC.
73:13Nice. And got McBride in the second round. Thought about you and your beers while I was there.
73:19Perfect. Um, as I too got McBride. So hopefully McBride pays off big time here.
73:24Oh, I'm so happy you did your first SFB draft.
73:27It's fun. Um, especially when you do the live draft.
73:30So for sure. I'm glad you enjoyed it. Um, and I hope that you do it next year as well.
73:37I love that more people are doing it and I love that you got in.
73:41Fantastic. Hopefully Trey McBride goes off for us. Um, you got value on him.
73:46I had to take him in the first. You got value there.
73:50I got him in the first. I took him in the first and then got Loveland in the second.
73:56So you getting him in the second there, significant value there.
73:59Excellent work. Um, and then Casey Coleman says, you live in Atlanta and the deep wide receiver to target is Jahan Dotson.
74:06He is killing it, um, at training camp. I hope that it's finally his time there because there's no solidified wide receiver
74:13to it's for anybody to step up there. So hopefully that would be amazing if we could finally have Jahan Dotson break out there.
74:21So I hope that is true. I'm holding you to that Casey that we are finally getting some kind of consistency there
74:28for Jahan Dotson to step up as the wide receiver to there.
74:32That would be wonderful. Um, and then, um, Armageddon says, um, half PPR auction drafts, spend up on Chase and Bowers, go
74:39cheap, spend up on Chase and Bowers, go cheap on Walker and Lawrence at running back and QB.
74:45Good strategy. Good court strategy. Yes. Um, I 100% agree with that.
74:49Um, I will say that, you know, hopefully Walker stays cheap on that one.
74:53I have been seeing that people are getting a little bit more comfortable with him in terms of all the positive news
75:00that we're hearing out of training camp in particular, his involvement in the past game or checkdowns and whatnot.
75:06So it seems like they trust him as a three down back.
75:10So hopefully the price doesn't rise too much on that.
75:14So just kind of have a backup plan just in case something does happen there.
75:18I would say maybe your backup plan be, have your backup plan be Josh Jacobs, um, especially an auction, like, uh, because
75:25of the fact that, you know, people will be skeptical in terms of paying up for him because of the whole legal issue.
75:33So you can slide it in there, um, on the cheap a little bit there and be able to get him at reasonable value.
75:40And obviously if he plays a full season, that is, you know, RB1 production.
75:45And the fact that we haven't had any formal charges yet, I mean, just based off what we've seen in terms of
75:52the NFL's process, it's kind of unlikely that we would get any kind of action from the NFL this season in particular,
75:59unless something were to crazy were to happen in terms of like a video coming out or something.
76:05Right. But even, you know, even think back to the Alvin Kamara stuff, right?
76:09There's a process that they go through. So you often don't see the action taken in the same season that it happens,
76:16particularly because it's so close to the season there.
76:19So they just have like a backup option in case the price on Walker does rise because everyone is getting very hype
76:26around all the positive news around him for sure.
76:29But other than that, I love it. Um, especially because I, I do think that like locate Trevor Lawrence overall QB one upside, very good price, very cheap.
76:38So yeah, big fan of that strategy. I think that's good.
76:42Um, but appreciate you guys tuning in. Um, I will be back here with you next week for sure.
76:48I promise. Um, and again, as a reminder, um, you know, if you enjoyed the show, be sure to like the video
76:55and subscribe to the channel, my channel, it's Tara time.
76:58And then also support player profiler as well, who this dear miss fantasy podcast is through available on all platforms.
77:05Um, we talk a wide variety of topics on here, guys, anything you guys want to discuss, whether it's dynasty, best ball, redraft, all that good stuff.
77:13I mean, even as we get in season, we can talk DFS embedding, right?
77:18Um, but I know we don't talk as much dynasty as some people would prefer.
77:23So just FYI, there are tons of channels, um, in player profilers network that are dedicated to dynasty specific or dedicated to best ball specific as well.
77:31So be sure to check those out and check out the shows of my awesome friends there, but appreciate you all tuning in, um, and enjoy.
77:40Oh my God. We're going to have football tomorrow.
77:42Ha ha. We didn't even talk about that. We're going to have actual football tomorrow.
77:47Is it going to be the guys that we wanted to see?
77:51No, but it is football, right? So we're going to have football tomorrow and then we'll preview, you know, preseason games because
77:58we'll be figuring out, um, if they're going to be guys that are very interesting starting in the real week one next week.
78:06So we'll have tons to talk about. So enjoy the game tomorrow.
78:09Enjoy a beer, whatever. We will talk again next week.
78:13Appreciate you all tuning in. Have a good one.
78:15From the podfather to you. I deeply appreciate you tuning in and many ask, what can I do?
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