How Are All These Teams Advancing?

AJ Brown has a 9% advance rate, a significant underperformance for a top-tier wide receiver drafted early. AJ Brown has a 9% advance rate in the source's analysis.

Alec Pierce is on the source's dead list for 2026 fantasy football with a severe injury; the source notes Pierce is still not even walking, indicating he will be sidelined for the season.

Alvin Kamara has a 32% advance rate in tournaments, placing him among the top-performing running backs in fantasy projection momentum alongside Jaylen Warren (36%), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (39%), and Chuba Hubbard (34%).

Amon-Ra St. Brown was part of the source's Mastiff team drafted on stream and is described as looking like a smash, suggesting strong fantasy performance. He is also featured in the source's winning DraftKings lineup that is in first place by 37 points, indicating strong fantasy performance.

Gibson was part of a non-advancing fantasy team that was 89 points back but had a 22% chance of advancing according to PD's projections; the team also featured Mahomes and Daniel Jones.

Brandon Aiyuk is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

Brendan Rice was drafted twice with a 100% advance rate, indicating perfect performance in both instances.

Bucky Irving is featured in the source's winning DraftKings lineup that is in first place by 37 points, indicating strong fantasy performance.

Caleb Williams shows a positive advance rate despite a bunch of zeros in the dataset, suggesting underlying upside in his performance trajectory. He is noted as being correlated with DeAndre Swift's performance.

Ward performed poorly enough that the source did not anticipate his struggles when drafting Gunner Olszewski, suggesting Ward's underperformance was a significant factor in that pick's failure. Ward was part of one of the worst three-quarterback rooms of all time alongside Dart and Malik Willis.

Carnell Tate appeared in the source's winning DraftKings lineup that was in first place by 37 points, demonstrating strong fantasy performance despite an 11% advance rate in the broader player pool.

Christian Watson has a 30% advance rate and has been a central exposure for top-advancing fantasy teams; Bellan2 had multiple Christian Watson teams and BBM had 69 Christian Watson teams. The source notes Watson was 'a stone stone incredible pick' and 'been a great pick,' indicating exceptional performance in advancing lineups.

Chuba Hubbard was a core exposure for top-advancing fantasy teams; Bellan2 had 72 Chuba Hubbard teams and BBM also drafted a bunch of Chuba Hubbard. The source notes Chuba 'has been a good pick' and identifies him as one of the three key picks (Watson, Jeremy Bernard, Chuba) that enabled advancing multiple lineups. He has a 34% advance rate, placing him third among all players in fantasy projection momentum.

Cole Kmet is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

DJ Moore has a 12% advance rate and has produced below average results, identified by the source as one of the biggest zeros on the board and worst picks in a season where most players score similarly.

DeAndre Swift has a 30% advance rate in tournaments, placing him among the top performers in tournament success and playoff performance. He is listed among the running backs with strong advance rates.

Waller was part of a non-advancing fantasy team with one of the worst three-quarterback rooms of all time (Dart, Malik Willis, Cam Ward). Waller was part of a non-advancing fantasy team that was 89 points back but had a 22% chance of advancing according to PD's projections. Darren Waller (Kateton) has been a zero in fantasy production; the source identifies him as one of the biggest zeros on the board in a season where most players score similarly. Darren Waller has been quite good in tournaments, indicating solid performance and advance rates. Darren Waller (Goddard reference) was a good pick for advancing fantasy teams; the source notes 'Goddard's been a good pick' in Bellan2's exposures, indicating solid performance in tournament lineups. The source mentions Darren Waller ('dart') in the context of players who are no longer viable fantasy options, grouping him with other underperforming picks.

David Njoku is out for the year and placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, eliminating him from fantasy consideration this season.

Deebo Samuel has been good in fantasy production, identified by the source as one of the few strong performers among a roster of underperforming picks. He was rostered on the source's Mastiff team alongside Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry.

Derrick Henry was a good pick for advancing fantasy teams; the source notes 'Henry has been a good pick' in Bellan2's exposures. He has a 30% advance rate in tournaments, placing him among the top performers in tournament success and is listed among the running backs with strong advance rates.

Evan Engram was part of the source's Mastiff team drafted on stream and is described as looking like a smash, suggesting strong fantasy performance.

Garrett Wilson has been fine in advancing fantasy teams; the source notes 'Garrett Wilson, honestly, has been fine' in Bellan2's exposures, indicating moderate performance in tournament lineups. He was also part of the source's best team in the big dog contest as part of a four-running-back construction.

The source self-critiques a draft pick of Olszewski, describing him as 'so bad' and grayed out in the scoring display; the source acknowledges not considering how poor Cam Ward could be as context for the pick. Later, Olszewski is placed on the 'spiritually zero list,' with the source noting 'Helm's pretty dead,' indicating he is considered a complete disappointment.

Henry was part of the source's Mastiff team drafted on stream, rostered alongside Stefon Diggs and Debo Samuel.

Isaiah Pacheco is placed on Davis Mattek's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

J.K. Dobbins has a 15% advance rate, which the source finds surprisingly low given his draft position and role, indicating underperformance relative to expectations.

Dobbins had only 12 snaps in a recent game and is characterized as 'pretty spiritually dead' by the source, indicating severely diminished role and fantasy relevance.

Jamar Chase has a 9% advance rate, a disappointing result for an elite wide receiver drafted in the first round.

Jamarr Chase is identified alongside Puka Nacua as a strong low advance rate receiver to target in playoff weeks, indicating value despite below-average advancement rates.

Jadarian Price was part of the source's best team in the big dog contest, which was constructed as a four-running-back team alongside Saquon Barkley, Kenneth Walker III, and JCM.

Jahmyr Gibbs has a 30% advance rate in tournament play, placing him among the top performers in fantasy projection momentum. He was also part of a non-advancing team that was 89 points back but had a 22% chance of advancing according to PD's projections.

The source held a thesis that Jalen Coker would work more in the passing game, but he has not worked more in the passing game, contradicting the original projection.

Jalen Hurts was described as 'the absolute worst chalk result ever yesterday,' indicating a major disappointment for players who drafted or rostered him as a consensus pick. He has a 24% advance rate in tournaments and is noted as having a nightmare season at the quarterback position alongside other high-scoring quarterbacks experiencing poor performance.

Jaylen McMillan is out for a while and placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and effectively unavailable for fantasy purposes this season.

Hyatt was part of a non-advancing fantasy team that was 89 points back but had a 22% chance of advancing according to PD's projections. Jalin Hyatt (JSN) has been a complete zero in fantasy production; the source identifies him as one of the biggest zeros on the board in a season where most players score similarly. Jalin Hyatt (JSN) is advancing 39% of teams; the source identifies him as one of the highest advance rate players in the league.

JSN has the highest advance rate among all players at 39%, indicating strong fantasy projection momentum and market confidence in his performance trajectory. Despite one non-advancing team featuring JSN that the source found unfortunate, his overall tournament performance demonstrates elite-level consistency.

Jaden Higgins is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

Jaden Reed is on the source's 2026 underdog ADP dead list with a round 18 zero, indicating a severe injury that will sideline him for the season. Prior to injury, he held a 12% advance rate, nearly double Rome Odunze's rate.

Jaylen Smith was part of a non-advancing fantasy team that was 43 points behind; the team spent a second-round pick on Amarian Hampton at running back, leaving limited depth at the position.

Jaylen Waddle has a 9.7% advance rate, described as 'really not ideal' despite being a high draft pick. The source places Waddle on the 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season, and calls him an 'absolute absolute zero,' indicating he is considered a complete and utter bust for fantasy purposes. He was also part of a weak wide receiver room in the source's best team in the bigger board contest alongside Justin Jefferson and DeVante Adams.

Jaylen Warren has a 36% advance rate, placing him second among all players in fantasy projection momentum behind JSN at 39%. The source described him as a 'good pick' when reviewing a non-advancing fantasy team, indicating solid performance and tournament success.

Jonathan Brooks is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season. Despite an 11% advance rate in playoff analysis, his injury status makes him a fade for fantasy purposes.

Jordan Mason was part of a non-advancing fantasy team that was 89 points back but had a 22% chance of advancing according to PD's projections; the team also featured Jahmyr Gibbs, Toutin, and Rico.

Josh Jacobs has been a 'stone zero' through much of the season but shows some recovery potential. He carries a 10% advance rate with the source noting 'there's a lot of room to go up there,' suggesting underlying upside despite early-season struggles.

Justin Herbert has the worst advance rate among heavily drafted quarterbacks at just 6.3%, a significant underperformance for a player drafted in nearly every league.

Justin Jefferson has a 6% advance rate, described as 'really not ideal' for an elite wide receiver, indicating significant underperformance. The source's opinion is that his quarterback is not playing well enough; while the quarterback is playing good winning football, the team is a below-average pass rate team, which limits Jefferson's fantasy upside. He was also part of a weak wide receiver room in the source's best team in the bigger board contest.

The source states 'it is over for Khif' and notes that Khalif Raymond was drafted 3,530 times across the site, suggesting he was a popular draft pick who has not delivered fantasy value.

Kenneth Walker III has a 29% advance rate in tournaments, placing him among strong performers in fantasy projection momentum. He was also included in the source's best team in the big dog contest as part of a four-running-back construction alongside Saquon Barkley, Jadarian Price, and JCM. The source explicitly recommends him at pick 112, stating 'Got to take Ken Walker brother,' indicating a 7.5% advance rate at that draft position. He is grouped among elite running backs with strong advance rates, described as 'the nuts' alongside Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, DeAndre Swift, Derrick Henry, and Jamir Gibbs.

Kyler Murray ranks 28th in adjusted EPA per play, ahead only of Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Daniels, Daniel Jones, Cam Ward, Baker Mayfield, and Justin Herbert. He is dead last in success rate at 38%. The source believes Murray can improve but has a ceiling around Deshaun Watson's range and is unlikely to play much better than that.

Fields was part of the source's Mastiff team drafted on stream in round 18 and is described as looking like a W, suggesting strong fantasy performance for a late-round pick.

Malik Davis is included in the 2026 underdog ADP dead list with a round 18 zero, indicating he is injured and unlikely to produce this season.

Mark Andrews has been a complete disappointment in fantasy this season. Described as a 'stone zero' and feeling 'pretty dead,' he carries an 18% advance rate in tournaments, placing him among the worst-performing tight ends. The source places him on the 'spiritually zero list,' indicating he is considered a bust despite his draft position.

Michael Pittman Jr. has produced below average advance rates and is now placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football. The source notes that Pittman's 'chain has been snatched' and he is hurt, indicating a significant injury that will keep him sidelined for the season.

Nicholas Singleton was a healthy scratch despite Taj Spears being out, indicating he has lost the backup role and is no longer in the team's plans.

Patrick Mahomes played poorly in the recent game, 'tossing the ball at everyone's toes' with inaccurate delivery; Davis Mattek suspects his ACL recovery may be affecting his ability to plant and set his feet properly, limiting his normal mechanics and performance. Mahomes also showed frustration during the last two drives, including a play where he threw a 70-75 mph ball to Travis Kelce that resulted in a drop, and was seen yelling at Xavier Worthy for poor play. Mattek sarcastically criticized the quarterback's performance despite his three-time MVP and three-time Super Bowl winner status, and noted a negative advance rate of 15.7%, indicating disappointing performance relative to expectations.

Puka Nacua has a 12% advance rate, indicating underperformance relative to his draft position. However, the source identifies him as one of the best low advance rate receivers to target in playoff weeks, suggesting he offers value despite below-average advancement metrics.

Romeo Doubs is placed on Davis Mattek's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football with an injury, indicating he is unlikely to score points this season.

Saquon Barkley has an extremely low 3.6% advance rate despite being drafted early (high ADP), indicating significant underperformance relative to draft expectations. The source notes he does play tonight but expresses concern about this low rate. He was part of the source's best team in the big dog contest, which was constructed as a four-running-back team alongside Ken Walker, Jadarian Price, and JCM, and had a 27% advance rate in tournaments.

Stefon Diggs has a 5.7% advance rate, indicating severe underperformance in tournament play. The source's repeated reaction of 'Oh no' emphasizes the severity of this bust, despite Diggs being rostered on the source's Mastiff team alongside Debo Samuel and Hunter Henry.

T.J. Hockenson remains at a 13% advance rate, which the source finds surprisingly low and expresses concern about his season performance, saying 'rest in peace T Ferg. We need him.' He was part of the source's best team in the big dog contest as part of a four-running-back construction alongside Saquon Barkley, Kenneth Walker III, and Jadarian Price.

Tank Bigsby is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

Ted Hurst is noted as a player probably better drafters were drafting, suggesting he may have been undervalued or targeted by more sophisticated fantasy players.

The source strongly pushes back against calling Terrence Ferguson a bad pick in fantasy football, stating that anyone who thinks so fails the IQ test, indicating Ferguson is undervalued or misunderstood by the broader fantasy community.

Terry McLaurin is on the source's dead list for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unavailable for the season. Prior to the injury, he had a declining 13% advance rate that the source noted was going down.

Travis Etienne is eligible to return and can play whenever he is healthy, indicating he remains on a roster but is currently unavailable. He had a 7.7% advance rate in the source's analysis.

Trey Harris is placed on the source's 'dead list' for 2026 fantasy football, indicating he is injured and unlikely to score points this season.

Trey McBride has the highest advance rate among tight ends drafted at roughly 100% rate, indicating strong performance relative to draft expectations. The source notes he appears on multiple top-scoring teams because 'he scores a ton of points,' establishing him as a consistent high-volume producer in tournament lineups.

Tyler Higbee has the highest advance rate among tight ends at 87%, a standout performance among players drafted at roughly 100% rate, indicating exceptional tournament success.

The source expresses skepticism about Tyreek Hill's reported signing interest, suggesting it may be a distraction tactic by his agent Drew Rosenhaus to deflect from domestic violence concerns; as of October 26th, no concrete team visits or signing progress have materialized, and the source lost $500 on Hill exposure in a contest. The source states 'Cup is dead' in reference to Hill, noting that this outcome was already known or expected.

Xavier Worthy has a quite bad advance rate and is a bust candidate despite running 87% of routes and accumulating route totals comparable to Jamar Chase over six games—more than Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, Zay Flowers, and Keenan Allen in the same span. The source questions whether he can be good, notes he 'stinks,' and attributes any potential upside to Mahomes playing better rather than Worthy's own talent. Worthy played poorly enough to draw visible frustration from Mahomes, who was captured on video yelling at him during the game. The source wants to put Xavier Worthy on the 'spiritually zero list' so badly, indicating strong conviction that he is a complete disappointment.

Zay Flowers was part of the source's Mastiff team drafted on stream and is described as looking like a smash, suggesting strong fantasy performance. The source also characterizes him as a 'quite good pick' in fantasy production, identifying him as one of the few strong performers among a roster of underperforming picks.