0:00Good morning friends and enemies.
0:04Today's video we will be going game by game ranking and tiering every single fantasy relevant running back for week five. We do this every single Wednesday.
0:11We do the wide receiver version every single Thursday. We get down into the nitty-gritty. We get down into the snaps, the routes run, the weather, the
0:19injuries, everything you need to know to successfully make your sit start calls.
0:24All right, if you are new to the channel and you enjoy this style of video, make sure you hit the button that looks like
0:28this. Starting off with Thursday Night Football, we've got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Dallas Cowboys. They will be playing in the dome in Dallas.
0:36They are eight and a half point favorites in this one. It looks like we are getting uh another Jaylen Daniels start for Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A 47 and
0:43a half point total. Most of which, by the way, is projected to be via the Dallas Cowboys offense. Jamonte Williams, of course, is going into the
0:49mustart category. He should uh get a ton of touches in this one. Really, really strong anytime touchdown line down there at minus 230. They should also be
0:57getting back Tyler Smith on the offensive line, which will be a massive upgrade for the offense. The other side of things is a little bit trickier. We
1:04saw in Jaylen Daniels's first start, Bucky Irving got the most touches, but they mixed in Shawn Tucker inside the 2-yard line for a goal line score. They
1:11mixed in Kenneth Gainwell in the pass catching situations, which was one of our concerns, you know, drafting Bucky Irving uh throughout the summer here.
1:18So, I still think that matters. But in the matchup against Dallas, uh, I am very willing to get Bucky back into my
1:26lineup. His Vegas lines are relatively strong, 64 total yards. Not really projected to get near the end zone there, but I still think he's the best
1:33back on the field by a wide margin.
1:35Shawn Tucker is not a guy that I want my lineup. Do they continue to use Kenneth Gainwell in the passing down uh
1:41situation? Like they talked about it after the game, and maybe they do, but at best he's a shaky flex here. I'm
1:46giving Bucky Irving another chance uh in my lineup though in a flex position despite what we looked like last week with the split between the three running
1:54backs. Next up, we've got another international game 9:30 a.m. Eastern time. Philadelphia at Jacksonville. Now, the story for Philadelphia, of course,
2:01is the number of injuries on that side of the ball. You have [clears throat] Saquin out for this game. You got Tank
2:06out for this game. Cam Jurgens is hurt.
2:08Landon Dickerson's on the IR. Lane Johnson just retired. So, they're in shambles in a way that I don't know that I've seen a team with expectations the
2:16way that they did coming into the year could possibly be in a blender by week five. It is really, really bad. Most of
2:22the projections are, hey, will Shipley is going to be the guy? A lot of you guys probably went out, used a number
2:27one waiver on him, used a lot of fab on him. I have a few concerns with Shipley, particularly against the Jacksonville
2:34Jaguars, who have one of, if not the best run defenses in the entire NFL. You see a lot of red across the board. This
2:39is a very very very good uh run defense.
2:42Will Shipley, I don't know that we've seen much at the NFL level, especially not from the Eagles that tells us that
2:47they really trust him to be like a bellcow. Now, they might be forced to use him in that role, which is like good
2:52enough for me to throw him into my lineup, I believe. Uh but I also think they're going to call up some guys from
2:58the practice squad like Damen Pierce is going to be active for this one if I had to project. Uh possibly Jaden Blue. I
3:03don't know how many guys are going to call up, but Damen Pierce probably going to be active. Probably going to get some
3:07touches there. Can we project more than, you know, six touches? I'm not sure. But it also wouldn't shock me if we saw them
3:14know that their team is just a mess right now. And it's like, hey, we have to disguise our passing game as much as
3:19possible because again, Dvonte Smith is going to be out as well. I didn't even name him. Uh Dallas Gddard, don't have
3:24the status for him, but if I had to guess right now, you know, we'll wait for practice reports obviously coming out later today. I'm filming this early
3:29on Wednesday morning. He could be out as well. Like they are just it's it's a bad situation for Philadelphia. So, Will
3:35Shipley in a normal matchup, if they were playing against the Cowboys, they were playing against Washington or something. He I'd feel really good about
3:41him, but for now, I'm going to throw him into the dub flex category, uh, I don't want to get over my skis about him.
3:47Damon Pierce is going to be a rather not. We obviously still have to see what's going on there, but I think there
3:50are enough like concerning things here.
3:52The fact that they did go out and trade draft picks for Tank Bsby last year as well, telling you that I don't know that
3:58they felt super secure about having Will Shipley as the backup to Saquon Barkley.
4:01So, yeah, I don't know. There's enough red flags. The matchup is really tough.
4:05Will he get volume? Yes. Is he a pass catching back? Yes. But does Jayen Herz throw to running backs? Also no. So, I
4:11just don't know how valuable his touches are going to get. I don't know how you could project the Philadelphia Eagles to
4:16score a lot of points. This is a 42 and a half point overunder. You know, those morning games internationally are super
4:21sloppy. The Jags are seven-point favorites here. So, they're not projecting Philly to score many points in this one. So, Shipley, you know, you
4:28could definitely flex him. You could definitely start him. But I will say he's not like a must start for me in any
4:33stretch of uh our imagination at this point. So we've got Bashalt Tuton on the other side of the ball projected for 72
4:40total yards minus 105 for an anytime touchdown. The Jaguars are they're they're a pretty slow paced team. So the overunder, you know, obviously low here
4:49at 42 and a half points. Some of that of course is due to the number of injuries for Philadelphia and how sloppy their
4:54offenses looked, but a lot of that has to do with the fact that neither of these teams run a lot of plays. Like
4:58they are not hurry up. They are not guys that like really go with uptempo.
5:03Jaguars included. So they don't run a lot of plays here which is like what makes it a little bit scary for most of
5:09the offensive players. Like this is a very efficient offense. They look fantastic. So uh not going to overthink it. Bashalt Tutin has been the main guy
5:15in the back field. Got had a few touchdowns called back last week. So I feel really good about his trajectory going forward. Philadelphia Eagles
5:22defense has obviously not looked anywhere near uh what they had been in previous years. They're dealing with some injuries on that side of the ball
5:27too. But yeah, I mean EPA success rate number four in terms of allowed to opposing rushing offenses. So definitely not the scary team that they had been in
5:37previous years against the run defense.
5:39So I like where Toutton's at. On the flip side though, or not on the flip side, but the next guy up, Chris
5:43Rodriguez. Sure, he had a touchdown last week, but he still doesn't get many touches in the back field. Next up, we
5:48got Vegas at the New England Patriots.
5:50First one:00 game here. 45 and a half point total. We saw the Patriots have a pretty big bounceback with Drake May
5:56there. Uh, the Patriots are three and a half point favorites. Vegas pretty much has to travel across country. So, not an
6:03easy matchup by any means. We'll have to see if Christian Barmore is back in this game. He's obviously a big run stuffer
6:08in the middle there for the Patriots and he missed last game. So, would be a major upgrade for a guy like Ashen
6:14Genty. He's catching a ton of passes.
6:16Uh, still getting a lot of work. Like Mike Washington is definitely mixing in more than you'd love to see for a guy
6:22like Genty with his type of draft capital, but I still think any given week he can give you a really high
6:26ceiling game where he catches six passes for 75 yards, scores a touchdown on the ground, scores a touchdown through the air. So, uh, yeah, not going to
6:32overthink this one. Ashen Genti is going to be in my lineup. For the Patriots, that's where things get a bit tricky.
6:37Obviously, it's a very, very split backfield right now, even after Raandre kind of fumbled the game away two weeks ago and Trayvon Henderson stepped in and
6:44and ripped off a big touchdown run. Last week we saw it go back to the norm where it's a 50/50 split. Andre Stevenson's
6:51running more routes. He's getting a lot of the short down and distance stuff.
6:53They just clearly don't trust Trayvon Henderson to be like a dude dude in this back field. The Raiders defense has been
6:59a lot better than most people expected.
7:01Um some red across the board there and you know these numbers would look a lot better if Kenneth Walker didn't just rip
7:06off that you know 80 yard run last week and then have two like very very late touchdown runs. So obviously those are
7:13the type of things that good running backs do. But just to say like I think the Raiders run defense is actually
7:17pretty stout and and they're a lot better than giving credit for. I don't like hate the matchup overall, but I still think both of these guys are
7:25pretty pretty tough to trust in your lineup. I think Stevenson's probably a good projection for 13 to 15 touches, which for me is enough to put him into
7:33the dub flex at the bottom of it. And Trayvon Henderson goes into the shaky flex. Mike Washington wish we could see
7:37him get more touches, but unfortunately this is just the world we live in at this moment. Moving to the Minnesota Vikings at the New Orleans Saints. So
7:46obviously in the dome there a 42 and a half point overunder feels low for a team like the Saints who you know
7:52typically end up in shootouts obviously because the Vikings cannot [ __ ] score anything on offense. Uh the Vikings are one and a half point favorites cuz their
7:59defense is so damn good right now.
8:01They're 4-0. Say about that what you will. Uh Jordan Mason out for another week which means Aaron Jones will be the
8:06workhorse again. I think he had 20 26 or 28 opportunities last week. Just like insane insane volume. I'd expect that to
8:14be the case. Again, Saints defense got absolutely torched by Bejan and Brian Robinson. So, you can see they are dead last in pretty much every metric uh
8:21against running backs, number one in fantasy points allowed, number one in EPA per rush allowed, number one in success rate allowed, and number three
8:27in explosive run rate allowed. Of course, you know, it's still a four-week sample size and when you have a game like they did on Monday Night Football
8:35where we whooped the [ __ ] out of them on the ground, those numbers are going to be there. Uh regardless, like obviously,
8:40you know, Aaron Jones, listen, they just lost Donovan Jackson, their first round pick from um a year ago on the offensive
8:46line, the Vikings did. Christian Darasaw, I believe, is in the concussion protocol as well. So, if he misses this game, that would be two of their
8:52starting uh offensive linemen plus offensive linemen uh up there that are blocking for Aaron Jones. you know, he's not like a big home run threat. He's not
9:00scoring touchdowns either. So, it's hard to put him in the mustard category.
9:04Obviously, if you have him though, like you don't have many options that you're going to start above a 25 touch guy. So,
9:08feel good about Aaron Jones. The other side of the ball a little bit trickier.
9:11Kamar getting all the high value touches there. Scores two, you know, lone touchdowns, getting a ton of dump offs.
9:17Obviously, Kendra Miller also fumbles the ball very early in this game, uh, and has zero success on the ground. So Kamara, I would throw him into the feels
9:25good category if it was a better matchup just because he's going to dominate snaps going forward, I think, with Kendrick Miller's fumble. I still think,
9:32you know, Kendrick will probably get five touches in this game. But it's clear that Kamar is going to be the the
9:35lead guy in this backfield until Travis ETM returns. But the matchup is just so so brutal against the Vikings. So you've
9:42got to be pretty desperate. But I do believe he belongs in the category with like the Raandre Stevensons of the world. I definitely would look at um
9:49Shipley and Bucky as you know maybe it's here above and maybe Kamar and Raandre should probably be in the shaky flex
9:54category or near so but you know I'll throw them in there because I do think there are going to be teams that need to
9:59start them because we have two teams on buy should have probably started out the video with that Kansas City Kansas City
10:04and Carolina both on buy for this week which means Chuba Hubard and Kenneth Walker are going to be out of your
10:09lineup so some of you guys might need some running back depth. Uh, and as always, you know, all of my rankings and
10:14the tiers and stuff will be live on the front end of the website right here in the dropown start sit rankings by the
10:19time you guys watch this video. So, if you're a fantasy member, you have access to the actual order of how I would rank
10:24all of these guys. Kendra Miller going to ride into the rather not category.
10:30Cleveland at the New York Jets. So, this is a 39 12 point total here. The Jets are 2 and 12 point favorites. What could
10:39go wrong there? They looked disastrous last week against the Chicago Bears, but you know, probably an easier matchup this time around against the uh
10:48Cleveland Browns here. The Cleveland Browns are going to be without Mason Graham on the defensive line. The Jets might get some firepower back this week
10:55uh with guys like Adani Mitchell, maybe Mason Taylor. We'll have to see and watch practice reports, but I do think that helps kind of spread the offense a
11:01bit. Brillon Allen struggled last week to get really anything going. However, he did see almost all of the touches.
11:07So, uh, Vegas has him at 17 1.5 rushing attempts, 69 12 rushing yards, and a minus 105 anytime touchdown line. That
11:15feels good enough for me where he will be in my lineup uh, despite what we saw last week. So, he's going to go into the
11:21dub flex category, but he's definitely going to go near the top of it. Quinn Judkins, on the other hand, finally had
11:26like a very, very good fantasy day last week. Scored a touchdown, caught a bunch of passes, and that's really been the
11:30case here. Judkins is seeing a ton of targets in this offense now that Dylan Samson is out. uh he's playing on all
11:37three downs. He's seeing a bunch of checkdowns. They are drawing up screen plays for him. So, he's a very very huge
11:44piece of this offense obviously and this is a defense that, you know, you definitely want to attack here. So, I'm going to have uh Judkins. I don't want
11:50to get ahead of myself off of a one week sample size of what we saw last week, but you know, you're playing against the
11:56Jets. I think he also belongs in the Dublex category, near the top of it, in the you know, Will Shipley kind of Bucky
12:03Irving range there. And then there's no one else that we want to play in this game. Next up, we got Indianapolis at
12:09the Pittsburgh Steelers here. The Steelers are two and a half point favorites. This is a 44 and a half point total. Jonathan Taylor, of course, is
12:16going to the mustard category. And this is our first kind of weather update of the day. So, you have uh wind in the 10
12:22to 15 mph range with some uh with some rain in the 60 to 70% throughout the game. So, could be some sloppy
12:30conditions, but that's where a dude like Jonathan Taylor would go crazy here. On the flip side, I mean, you have Jaylen
12:36Warren who's been going nutty as well with Rico D outs. We don't have word on whether or not Rico Dole will return
12:42this week dealing with the toe injury.
12:44He's been fully DMPD uh during his absence. So, I would say 50/50 chance at best for him to play in week five. This
12:52is a Colts defense you could absolutely kind of go crazy on. So Jaylen Warren, he's going into the must-ar category if
12:58he is um by himself without Rico Dattle.
13:00Of course, he catches passes, he breaks off big plays. So he's kind of like he's he's he's similar to Aaron Jones where
13:06like they both aren't scoring touchdowns. They're both getting basically every opportunity in the back field. I just think Jaylen Warren's a
13:13better player. He offers more explosive plays and I also think like their offense is as bad as it is, like it's
13:18still better than I think what with what the Minnesota Vikings offer it. So they're they're they'll probably be like close to backtoback in my actual
13:25rankings. Jones and Jaylen Warren. If Rico Dattle returns, I have no doubt that Jaylen Warren is still going to be the guy in the back field. He would move
13:31down into the feels good category and Rico would probably be uh a shaky flex here. I know Mike McCarthy came out and
13:36said we're still going to use a running back by committee, but like we'll see how long that lasts. I I think Jaylen
13:41Warren probably takes 60% of the touches where Rico has 40% of the touches moving forward and maybe we see that kind of
13:46expand as the season progresses. I do believe him that they'll use both backs.
13:50Like when Rico D is healthy and back in the back field, it's not going to be Jaylen Warren 75 80%. And Rico kind of
13:56just an afterthought. Um but I I think Warren has earned the upper hand in that back field. Next up, we got Houston at
14:02Tennessee. Houston 7 and a half point favorite in this one. A 37 12 point total. It is disgusting here. Tony Pard
14:09getting a lot of work, but brutal brutal defense to go against. So he's going to go into the shaky flex category. We do
14:14have another weather update for this game in Tennessee. Uh nothing major.
14:19Early early onset of the game, we can get some light rain with uh winds 10 to 15 m per hour, but it does look like it
14:26clears up by uh 100 p.m. So, not much of a concern there for most of the weather outings for anything weather related for
14:33the Houston Texans. Yeah, I mean I I just think realistically David Montgomery, Woody Marks both go right into the shaky flex category. You don't
14:40have much to say about them. you know that both of them need a touchdown in order to have any sort of like floor for
14:47fantasy, which is a bad spot to be in.
14:49They're playing around even. David Montgomery gets like a few more snaps than Woody Marks does, but as you've seen the last couple weeks, Woody Marks
14:56has taken multiple carries inside the 10, inside the five, has scored multiple rushing touchdowns. Neither of them have really shown a ton of juice. Neither of
15:03them are like pulling away in the passing game. The offensive line in terms of run blocking has been awful.
15:07Uh, and we're seeing them kind of get it going through the air with a dude like CJ Stroud. With Nico Collins returning,
15:12CJ Stroud looks a lot better. I I like the matchup obviously against Tennessee.
15:17This is an offense where they can kind of or the defense that they can kind of like dictate the game and the game
15:21script. So, I wouldn't be surprised if if David Montgomery has like a decent amount of volume. But again, like you guys have watched football up to this
15:27point. He needs the touchdown in order to to, you know, be anything useful in his lineup. They do have his anytime
15:33touchdown line at minus 110 compared to what he marks at plus 150. So, they are expecting him to at least get a goal
15:39line opportunity or two, which I don't, you know, disagree with, but it's been pretty bleak over there. Next up, we got
15:44the New York Giants at the Washington Commanders. So, we have a 43 and a half point total. We have the Giants has
15:51three and a half point underdogs. We'll have Jameus Winston under center. Uh, once again, Cam Scatabo still getting a ton of work, just not really like
15:58getting it done for you yet. The Washington Commanders, man, uh, they will have Jaden Daniels back, which I think is probably just good for the
16:04overall game environment. Like you don't want games where you know the score is 17 to 10 or or something like that. Like
16:12you want offenses moving and you want offenses with tempo, you want offenses with a sense of urgency. So, you know, while that does not dictate the Giants
16:20having a more favorable game script for a dude like Cam Scatabo, I I do like the offensive environment a little bit more
16:24with Jaden Daniels under center. But I will say, you know, looking at the numbers here, it's not like Washington has been a pure pushover. Even adding in
16:31Jonathan Taylor's two touchdown game last week uh in London, they still are like middle of the pack if not uh a
16:37little more stout against the run than probably most people are familiar with.
16:42So ultimately with Cam, I I think I fall into the dub flex category. Wouldn't surprise me if he has a good game cuz he
16:47he's one of those guys that's capable in all three downs. They are getting Naji Harris pretty involved in the offense.
16:53He did fumble so we'll see if his snap count comes down. They had Deon Singleary as a healthy scratch in this
16:57one. But through four games, Cam Scatabo is averaging three and a half yards per carry. He scored one touchdown. He's got
17:02eight catches through four games, which is obviously super super disappointing based on like his skill set and the way that we wish he was going to be used,
17:10but we're just not really getting that out of him, unfortunately. So, he'll go into the Dub Flex spot. On the flip
17:16side, with Jayen Daniels returning, I like the running backs more.
17:19Unfortunately, man, I feel like JCM is always just going to be the whatif guy.
17:23Like every single time it feels like he's on the precipice or the verge of having a good game or a big game, the
17:28starting quarterback goes down. You know, I don't have those numbers off the top of my head, but it does feel like,
17:31all right, JCM is a start this week.
17:33He's got a good matchup. He's got, you know, the the the right pieces around him where like Rashad White was out last
17:39week. He had a big first quarter. He was on pace for a big fantasy game and then Marx Maria Oda goes down. Uh, and now
17:46Jaden Daniels returns. I believe Rashad White should be on the better side of questionable as well. So, he could very well return for this game in a really
17:53good match up against the Giants. So, again, it becomes a a uh really tough backfield to parse through when Rashad White is back in the lineup here because
18:00he runs more routes. Shane Daniels doesn't really dump the ball off to running backs to begin with, but maybe they do it a little bit more with Terry
18:07McLaren sidelineed in this one. So, I wish we can get one normal run out for he's like the the uh much less talented
18:13version of Z Flowers where it's like, all right, things are going good. How can we ruin it? How can we take like
18:19small sample sizes and be like, "Yo, this was what was gonna happen. We just can't actually prove it." So, JCM's going to go into the shaky flex
18:25category. Rashad White's going to go into the rather not category. Uh, as is Naji Harris. And I should actually point out, we do have some yellow weather
18:33concerns there. So, let's actually dive in a bit. We have uh 65% chance of light rain from 2:00 p.m. through 400 p.m. We
18:42have some breeze of, you know, 5 to 12 mph wind.
18:46not uh not anything that would concern us for running backs or really the passing game overall. Next up, we got Cincinnati at Miami. Cincinnati
18:53seven-point favorites, 42 and a half point total here in Miami. Weather looks good. Chase Brown's going to go into the must-ar category. I know he's not
18:59scoring and he hasn't had fantasy ceiling games, but if Jamar Chase and T Higgins miss, like Chase Brown, we saw what Chase Brown did last week in the
19:06passing game, caught a million passes, and I think that's what's going to end up happening here. He should catch at least seven or eight passes in this
19:13game. Um, and have a monster monster fantasy outing if those two wide receivers are out. You got Jamar Chase in the concussion protocol. You got T.
19:19Higgins dealing with the abductor strain. Uh, I would say there's a really good chance that both of them miss this game. If not, you know, if one of them
19:26misses, then I still think that helps Chase Brown a ton in the passing game.
19:30On the flip side, we had Olly Gordon come out and I think he looked fine. He had like nine carries, ended up having
19:35the touchdown. Had a very big run after halftime, which amounted for, you know, a lot of his production. I still think
19:41Ali Gordon and Jaylen Wright were relatively close in terms of touches and snap counts and like volume. So, I'm not really trusting the fact that Ali Gordon
19:48had like a pretty good game. It'll be overemphasized because he was such a big talking point coming off of uh week
19:54three being like the face of a lot of waiverwire videos. So, I understand why it's easy to get excited about him. I
20:00just don't think that uh we're going to get a consistent upside play out of Ali Gordon. So, for me, the matchup's not
20:07great. You know, the Bengals defense is obviously not as good as it was in the first couple of weeks in terms of like
20:12what we can project going forward, but they're still much better against the run than they were last year. Dexter Lawrence in the middle of that line
20:18makes it tough for uh opposing backs to run against them. And we've just seen this Miami offense, they just can't score points, you know? It's it's 10
20:25points a game pretty much for the offense. So, for me, he's a shaky flex.
20:28like he's not someone I'm excited to get in my lineup even with byweeks. And then you look at Jaylen Wright, Samaji Pine,
20:33both go into the rather not category.
20:34Next up, we got Chicago at the Green Bay Packers. This is a 45 12 point total spread of three points in favor of the
20:41Chicago Bears despite being without Caleb Williams. It looks like Tyson Beant is going to get another start here. The ground game was going crazy
20:49last week. Kungai had a monster monster game after DeAndre Swift fumbled and then basically got benched. Do I think that Kungai is the guy in this
20:57backfield? No, I don't. I I still very much think it's going to go right back to DeAndre Swift. Do I think Kungagai
21:02maybe earned more work? Yes. And do I think the matchup is great? I think they're both playable. So for Swift, I'm
21:07putting him into the feels good category. 75 total yards per Vegas.
21:11Pretty strong anytime touchdown line there. I think they're going to continue to just rely on their ground game while Caleb Williams is out. For the Packers,
21:18I mean, Christopher Brooks looks banged up, but like I don't know how you can trust Marshon Lloyd, Caleb Johnson. Just like throw them down there. like you got
21:25to be in hell to have those guys in your lineup. For Kyle Manungai, do I think of him as a dub flex? I would still feel
21:33weird putting him in my lineup. I'm going to be honest with you. I think he's I think to me he looks similar to
21:37the Ali Gordens or the Trayvon Hendersons of the world. We're like, yeah, we could probably project for nine or 10 touches, I think. And maybe I look
21:44stupid. Maybe Mongai does earn a lot more work. But listen, they just gave Swift a bag like a few weeks ago. He's
21:51clearly been the best back in that backfield despite the huge game from Mungai last week. guy's proven to be a very good player. I just, you know, I I
21:57think if you don't get a touchdown, you might be looking at nine carries for 45 yards and just empty fantasy points
22:02there. You should also note that uh Kungai, I believe, suffered a very minor like thumb injury at the end of last
22:07week's game, but he's apparently going to be fine and it's not really uh anything to worry about. Next up, we've got Denver at the Los Angeles Chargers.
22:15This this this could have been should have been uh one of the funner games on the slate. Unfortunately, it is actually
22:21probably like close to the bottom of the power rankings in terms of games that I want to watch. On the Denver side of
22:26things, this offense is horrendous. They don't take any shots downfield. Bo Nicks is dumping off every single drop back that he has, and it's leading to a ton
22:33of catches for R.J. Harvey. JK Dobbins cannot get anything going. I I don't know if it's a uh a product of Bo Nicks
22:41not throwing it deep, so defenses don't have to respect the deep pass and just like stack the box. JK Dobbins looks
22:46slow. He does not look good. I made some videos this summer talking about how I like JK Dobbins, how he could be this
22:50year's Devonte Williams. That obviously did not pan out. Their offensive line is not dominant. Their offense is not working very well. So JK Dobbins is
22:57going into the shaky flex category despite having a 13 and a half rush attempt total. Can he roll his way into
23:02a touchdown? Of course, but he's not making big plays. He's not catching any passes. And I like R.J. Harvey significantly more than I like um JK
23:11Dobbins right now because he is catching so many passes. Every checkdown is going to RJ Harvey. He is he's legitimately a
23:17good PPR flex play right now. His receiving line is at four and a half.
23:20That is probably higher than the majority of running backs in this week's slate. For the Chargers, we have an absolute [ __ ] mess. So, we can start
23:30with the split in the back field.
23:31Omarian Hampton, Katon Mitchell, Kamani Vidal are like splitting work near evenly. Katon Mitchell is catching passes. Kamani Vidal is getting red zone
23:39touches. Amarian Hampton's getting random touches. Absolute mess in the backfield. And layer on top of that, the probably more important aspect here is
23:47their offensive line is Cook John Stein once again. Tyler Bottis centers out for the year. You have Rashawn Slater, high ankle sprain. He's going to be out for
23:54the foreseeable future. You have Joe Alt with a neck injury. I don't know that I've heard a status update on him. He's
23:59dayto-day. Uh so real chance that he ends up missing there. This is going to go back to last season's Chargers team
24:06again where it was basically Herbert running for his life on every single play. They couldn't get anything going.
24:12like he needs to be a superhero and he's obviously been anything but that this year. So, uh I don't know how you can
24:18put Omari Hampton anywhere but you know the shaky flex category. He'll probably end up somewhere between like RB 26 and RB30 this week. You're going against the
24:27Broncos who have not been a very good defense this year and they do lose both Patrick Certan and possibly Riley Moss.
24:33So, without their top two quarterbacks, uh yeah, I mean it's just a mess on both sides of the ball. Katon Mitchell. I
24:38think you can throw him into the shaky flex category because he's getting pass catching work. Kamani Vidal. No, of course not. Moving to the Detroit Lions
24:45at the Arizona Cardinals. Jamir Gibbs.
24:47We can get right into the must start category. This is a 54 12 point total in Arizona. Like insane. This this is the
24:54game that you want pieces in. The Lions are 5 1/2 point favorites here. 54 and a half point total in the dome. The only
25:01thing we really need to talk about is the Cardinal side of things. I really don't know what to make of it. You have
25:05two weeks ago Jeremiah Love gets 26 touches. this this week it was like almost all Tyler Algier. It looked like Jeremiah Love kind of banged himself up.
25:13He denied it. The coaching staff denied it, but then he had these really weird comments about how he's got to give his
25:18body a rest and the coaching staff is doing a good job of of giving him a rest. And it it was like some of the
25:24weirdest comments that I I can get zero grasp or read on what's actually happening there. If he's hurt or if he's
25:29just tired. It's like, oh, such a long season or it's going to be a long season. It's like, buddy, the Notre Dame
25:34didn't even like play in the college playoffs. like you you got out of playing for three or four extra weeks. I
25:38don't I don't really know what to make of it. I still I I think you have to like factor that into how you're feeling
25:43about Jeremiah Love. I would love to put him into the feels good category. Do I actually feel good about him? No, I
25:49don't. So, he's going to go into the dub flex category. Vegas still has him projected for around 60 total yards, two
25:54and a half receptions, minus 125 for an anytime touchdown. I just think the game environment again is one that you just
26:00want to be a part of. We expect the Cardinals to be able to move the ball through the air with relative ease
26:05against the Detroit Lions secondary. And we expect the Lions to continue to score somewhere between like 26 and 32 points, which they've been doing on a weekly
26:12basis. So, the game the game environment is good enough to kind of like quiet whatever [ __ ] [ __ ] Jeremiah Love is
26:17talking about in the postgame interview.
26:19So, he's going to be up here, but yeah, hard to feel great about him. him. And then Tyler Alier, startable, has some
26:25standalone value, obviously getting enough touches, but like if he doesn't score a touchdown, uh yeah, he's obviously not going to come through for
26:30you in fantasy. Last game on the late window slate, we've got the 49ers at the Seattle Seahawks here. CMA's going to go
26:37right into the mustard category. This is a 46 1/2 point total. The 49ers are two and a half point underdogs. They are in
26:44Seattle, but they are 4-0. So, this should be a really good game. Um CMAX obviously getting some work taken away from him from Kon Black. Hasn't shown a
26:51ton of explosiveness. not as involved in the receiving game as you'd like him to like to be, but like he he's fine. He's
26:56getting enough work where he's going to come through week in and week out for fantasy even on his bad days. The other
27:01side of things is a little bit more interesting. Emanuel Wilson filled in for Jaren Price, who got put on the IR.
27:06They were like about to sign Joe Mixon yesterday and then he failed a physical, so they did not end up signing him. So,
27:11it looks like it's going to be the Emanuel Wilson show again. I don't think the Niners defense is really that good.
27:16I think this is one where you kind of just blindly put him into your lineup.
27:20Once again, he's not a very good running back. He's not like explosive by any means, but you just see whoever the
27:25running back is in Seattle, if they give him a full workload, the floor and ceiling is so high for that guy. If it
27:31was ever Kenneth Walker for a week, if it was ever Zack Sharpet for a week, if it's Emanuel Wilson, we've seen now
27:36backto-back weeks of 20 plus touches.
27:37Last week, he gets in twice. He's going to be the goal linebacker. He's going to catch passes. They're writing up screens
27:42for him. George Lani is clearly like not a factor in this game whatsoever, not a factor in this backfield whatsoever. So
27:47yeah, I I think you just keep riding the hot hand with Emanuel Wilson until something else changes in that backfield until Zack Charbanet returns who he's
27:54not going to be in week five or they sign a veteran or something like you know a Joe Mixon to complicate things a
27:59little bit further. But for right now realistically all we've seen Emanuel Wilson do anytime he gets the opportunity to be a 20 touch guy is
28:06perform for fantasy. We saw it dating back to last year at Green Bay. We've now seen it with Seattle in multiple
28:10weeks. Like Emanuel Wilson clearly a dude that doesn't need to be talented enough to like make the most of his opportunities in fantasy and Seattle's,
28:17you know, been a pretty good offense. So I expect them to score a decent amount of points in this one. Give him some
28:21goal line opportunities. The other side, yeah, we're not throwing George Hani or Kalon Black into our lineup, of course.
28:26And we can move to the Sunday Night Football game. Baltimore at Atlanta. Uh Atlanta three and a half point Faves.
28:32How you doing? Very likely going to be without Lamar Jackson in this game. They said he has an outside chance to play.
28:38My read is we're very likely getting Tyler Huntley in this one. They're playing in Atlanta. It's a 43 and a half
28:43point total. Of course, Bejian's going to the very top of the mustart category.
28:47Derrick Henry, yeah, under Tyler Huntley, obviously, we should not expect as many efficient runs out of him. He's already not been super efficient this
28:53year. He's obviously scored a lot of touchdowns. He's had some big plays, but realistically, the O line is dealing with a bunch of injuries. Their their
28:59starting center, the backup center's hurt. Uh they got some guard play that's shaky right now. So, this is a Falcons run defense that's been very, very good
29:08as well. But, we've seen some games where Tyler Huntley started, you know, including last year, I think it was week 16 against the Packers where uh Huntley
29:14was starting, Derrick Henry ran for like 160 yards, four touchdowns. In incredible day o overall just like we're not overthinking uh Derrick Henry
29:22obviously, but I wouldn't be surprised if we did have like, you know, a day where he averaged 3.8, you know, 4.0
29:28yards per carry. And then Brian Robinson, like, yeah, he had a big game on Monday Night Football. Does he have standalone value? Like, no. That's
29:34that's fake. And then we get to Monday Night Football. Buffalo at the LA Rams.
29:39This is going to be a phenomenal game.
29:41You want as many pieces in this game as you could possibly get. They are in LA, so Buffalo's traveling cross country. Uh
29:47they're playing in the dome. A 54 12 point total here. The Bills are threepoint underdogs in this one. James Cook, of course, is going right into the
29:55mustart category. Kyron Williams has been a [ __ ] dog going into the mustart category. I don't really have much else to say about this game or any
30:02of the guys that you could possibly start. I think Blake Corm is like slowly creeping into the rather not and moving
30:08away from the shaky flex category because Kron Williams has been the goal line guy. He's been the guy getting a lot more carries. He's been catching the
30:16passes where Blake Corm has really done almost none of that. Uh and it's not like his calling card this year was
30:22going to be like, "Oh, he's going to look a lot more efficient than Kyron Williams on the ground and therefore get
30:25more rushing work." Also has not been the case. Kyron's just been just a blast off of a pick for whoever took him, you
30:31know, in the third, fourth round of their fantasy draft. So, sure, I I'll throw Blake Hormman into the bottom of the Chicky Flex category, but he will
30:37not be ranked highly for me this week.
30:40And that will wrap things up. Let me go into poster mode for you, and we can uh slowly scroll down all the rankings that
30:46we have here in terms of the tiers. The mustart category has 11 players here.
30:50And I think you could probably argue that Aaron Jones could be in there because of the number of touches and and
30:55opportunity that he is getting, but you know, the Vikings offense has looked terrible. Feels good. You've only got four players in there. Dub Flex, you've
31:02got nine players. Uh Shaky Flex 16 and then rather Knottfield with 12. So again, all the rankings will be available on the front end for fantasy
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31:40All these numbers, the Vegas props, the matchup data, the weather data, everything involved that you see in these videos are available to the
31:46fantasy members on the front end. All right, thank you guys for hanging out today. If you want to see the wide
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31:56I love y'all. Smoochies.
