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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast fantasy football takes on Zay Flowers
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast about Zay Flowers.
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Insight ledger
All The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast insights about Zay Flowers
PositiveBreakoutAug 6, 2026
JJ Zachariason is very high on Zay Flowers, noting his year-over-year efficiency improvements and better performance against press coverage. Zachariason anticipates increased passing volume for Baltimore, which could lead to a breakout season for Flowers, potentially including more red-zone usage similar to how Detroit utilizes Amon-Ra St. Brown.PositiveBreakoutAug 4, 2026
JJ Zachariason is bullish on Zay Flowers, citing his efficiency as a machine and the likelihood of increased passing volume for the Ravens, who were historically run-heavy last year. Flowers could see a monster year if he gains more end zone work alongside a team-wide uptick in pass attempts.PositiveBreakoutJul 24, 2026
Flowers has never finished as a top-24 WR in PPG despite flashing ceiling, primarily due to usage constraints: never more than 7 end zone targets in any season. Baltimore averaged the second-fewest pass attempts last decade (24.8 in 2024), but the six teams averaging fewer than 27 attempts over the past 10 years collectively increased pass attempts by 6.1 the following year. New play caller Declan Doyle, from Ben Johnson's coaching tree, is expected to deploy a different route tree that gets Flowers inside the red zone. Lamar Jackson also just posted a seven-year low in PPG, suggesting regression is unlikely. JJ Zachariason believes Flowers finally has a ceiling bounce-back opportunity.PositiveProjectionJul 24, 2026
JJ Zachariason targets Zay Flowers in the third-to-fifth round wide receiver range as a player who can exceed his draft position. Has never finished as a top-24 WR in PPG mostly due to usage; never had more than 7 end zone targets in any season. Baltimore averaged second-fewest pass attempts last decade (24.8 last season), but the six teams averaging fewer than 27 attempts in the past 10 years collectively increased passes per game by 6.1 the following year, suggesting potential for increased volume.PositiveBreakoutJul 24, 2026
Flowers hasn't finished as a top-24 WR in PPG due to usage constraints—never more than 7 end zone targets in any season. Baltimore averaged the second-fewest pass attempts last decade (24.8 in 2024); the six teams averaging fewer than 27 attempts over the past 10 years collectively increased passes per game by 6.1 the following year. New play caller Declan Doyle comes from the Ben Johnson coaching tree. JJ Zachariason expects Flowers to finally get a different route tree that gets him inside the red zone, with ceiling upside alongside Lamar Jackson, who just posted a seven-year low in PPG.PositiveBreakoutJul 24, 2026
Third-round wide receiver with ceiling upside; hasn't finished as top-24 WR in points per game due to usage limitations (never more than 7 end-zone targets in any season), but Baltimore averaged second-fewest pass attempts last decade (24.8 in 2024); six teams averaging fewer than 27 attempts over past 10 years collectively increased pass attempts by 6.1 the following year, suggesting potential for increased volume and opportunity under new play caller.PositiveRoleJul 23, 2026
JJ Zachariason wants to maintain Zay Flowers' high target share and is concerned that Stefan Diggs signing with Baltimore would reduce volume for Flowers, indicating Zachariason views Flowers as a key target-dependent asset in the Ravens offense.NegativeProjectionJul 22, 2026
Zachariason was a fade on Zay Flowers last year due to the Ravens' run-heavy offense and Lamar Jackson's injury/limited performance; Flowers finished WR12 but benefited from a strong final game that boosted end-of-season numbers, and Zachariason cautions against over-weighting that finish given the flat distribution of WR production outside the elite tier.PositiveProjectionJul 22, 2026
Zachariason is bullish on Zay Flowers for the 2024 season, citing a healthier Lamar Jackson, a new offensive coordinator, and the potential for a more pass-heavy Ravens offense; he notes Flowers finished as WR12 last year despite limited red zone usage and Isaiah Likely's presence, and he expects improved per-route-run production year-over-year with the offensive changes.PositiveBreakoutJul 22, 2026
JJ Zachariason references Zay Flowers as a historical example of a player who 'escaped' from a crowded receiver group, suggesting Luther Burden could follow a similar trajectory of emergence despite competition in the Chicago offense.PositiveBreakoutJul 22, 2026
Zay Flowers is cited by JJ Zachariason as a precedent for the kind of camp-driven tier escape he expects Luther Burden could achieve; Flowers successfully broke out from a similar wide receiver tier in previous seasons.NegativeBustJul 22, 2026
Zachariason was a fade on Zay Flowers last year because the Ravens were run-heavy with Lamar Jackson sidelined and ineffective upon return; Flowers finished as WR12 but benefited from a strong final game that boosted end-of-season numbers, masking a relatively flat year-to-year performance compared to elite receivers. The wide receiver position was extremely top-heavy last year with only 8-10 truly elite options, making Flowers' finish less impressive than the ranking suggests.NegativeProjectionJul 22, 2026
JJ Zachariason is bullish on Zay Flowers for 2024, citing a healthier Lamar Jackson, a new offensive coordinator, and the potential for a more pass-heavy Ravens offense; he notes that Flowers put together an incredible season in per-route-run metrics year-over-year, and while he was a fade last year due to a run-heavy offense and limited red zone usage, the offensive environment should improve. He also notes that losing Isaiah Likely removes a competing target in the red zone, though he acknowledges Likely's impact may be overstated.PositiveBreakoutJul 22, 2026
Zachariason cites Flowers as a historical precedent for a receiver escaping from a crowded receiver room and breaking out; he sees potential for Luther Burden to follow a similar trajectory.PositiveBreakoutJul 22, 2026
Zay Flowers is cited by JJ Zachariason as an example of a wide receiver who escaped from a tier of similarly-valued players, a precedent he sees as possible for Luther Burden to replicate via a camp-riser effect.PositiveProjectionJul 21, 2026
Market score comp projections yield a weighted average of 15.4 PPR points per game based on top 10 historical comparables; top comp is Jackson Smith-Jigba's 2025 season (21.6 PPR PPG), with Cooper Cupp 2020 also in the mix (14 PPR PPG). JJ Zachariason cites this as a reason he likes Flowers this year.PositiveProjectionJun 30, 2026
Flowers appears to be an unfavorable regression candidate on the surface, but JJ Zachariason is increasingly bullish on him and actively trying to get more exposure to him in 2026. He has increased his yards per route run in each of the last three seasons (1.86, 2.47, 2.55) and came off a career-best catchable target rate in 2025, suggesting his efficiency gains are real and sustainable rather than regression-prone. Zachariason expects the catchable target rate to scale back but remain solid.