0:03Quarterback drafting.
0:12Quarterback drafting in fantasy football
0:14made easy. We're going to go through
0:15every quarterback in fantasy football in
0:162026. We're going to tar them, rank
0:19them. We're also going to identify the
0:20quarterbacks that we are targeting and
0:22that we are fading at ADP in fantasy
0:24football in 2026. Beginning with Josh
0:26Allen and Lamar Jackson. Maybe a little
0:28bit controversially. I actually have
0:30Lamar Jackson in the same tier as Josh
0:32Allen. Lamar Jackson's best fantasy
0:34football season, not even that long ago,
0:3725 fantasy points per game in 2024. That
0:40beats the best ever Josh Allen season,
0:42though Josh Allen certainly certainly
0:44more consistent. Seven straight, sorry,
0:47six straight years of 21 a half points
0:50per game or better for Josh Allen. I
0:53would rather have Lamar Jackson at what
0:55he costs right now. Josh Allen right now
0:56is going right about pick 36 as the
0:59overall quarterback one, but Lamar
1:00Jackson is going about pick 55. The
1:03opportunity cost does lead me to believe
1:05that Lamar is quite good. And I even am
1:07targeting Lamar Jackson if Jadarian
1:10Price, Belle, some of these round five
1:12running backs that we really like to
1:14draft are off the board. I'm very happy
1:16to take Lamar Jackson. I've noticed
1:18anecdotally in some of my leagues this
1:20year that people have been more
1:21comfortable passing on Lamar Jackson
1:24because of how poor he was last year.
1:26Was his worst year by far as a starter.
1:2816 and a half fantasy points per game.
1:30And I mean things just did not go right
1:32for the Ravens last year. New coaching
1:35system. There was certainly a battle
1:36between Lamar Jackson and John Harbaugh.
1:39And it seems that Lamar Jackson is the
1:40one who won that battle. So I'm going to
1:42be betting on Lamar this year. Our next
1:44tier of guys is a tier that I love to
1:46live in. Jaden Daniels, Drake May, Joe
1:49Burrow, Caleb Williams, and Jaylen
1:51Herds. These guys mostly go in the
1:53sixth, seventh round right now. If in
1:55your league, one of them goes
1:57significantly earlier, we're not going
1:59to be in on that. But if one of these
2:01guys goes significantly later, and
2:02again, anecdotally, I can just observe
2:04in a lot of the drafts that I've done,
2:06one of Daniels, May, Burrow, Caleb
2:08Williams, or Herz will tend to fall.
2:10I've seen Jaylen Herds go in round
2:11eight. I have seen Caleb Williams go in
2:13round nine. Obviously, the one here who
2:15does not have a top 10 fantasy
2:17quarterback finish is Caleb Williams. I
2:19tend to think that Caleb Williams has
2:21the most to gain from 2025 to 2026. The
2:24offense is going to take another step.
2:26It's the first time in his NFL's career
2:28that he's had the same offensive
2:29coordinator, back-to-back years. In
2:31fact, even Caleb Williams's college
2:33career was a bit topsyturvy. He did win
2:35the Heisman Trophy. His final season was
2:37not as good as he would have wanted it
2:39to be. We know how frigid the situation
2:41was for the Bears his rookie season. I'm
2:43definitely targeting specifically Jaden
2:45Daniels, Caleb Williams, and Jayen
2:47Herds. All of them offer a ton of
2:49rushing upside. Daniels was not
2:52particularly good last year compared to
2:54his rookie year. Did not top 21 fantasy
2:56points in any game. In fact, the first
2:59game of his career, 28 fantasy points
3:01against the Buccaneers in 2024, was
3:03better than any game that he had last
3:05season. remains to be seen if the team
3:07is going to sign Stfan Diggs or what
3:09they're going to do for their wide
3:10receiver, too. The issue with Daniels
3:12remains to be the health. He is for a
3:14running quarterback, he's very small. I
3:16mean, compare his weight and stature to
3:18Jayen Herz and it looks like the guys
3:20almost play different sports. So, I
3:22wouldn't be that surprised if Jaden
3:23Daniels got injured. But my targets in
3:25this range are certainly going to be
3:27Caleb Williams and Jayen Herz. I think
3:29that all five of these guys have very
3:31similar ranges of outcomes in terms of
3:34fantasy points per game, but I think
3:35that Herz and Williams are going to end
3:37up being the cheapest in most of your
3:39leagues. So, I do quite like taking
3:41those guys. The next range of guys, Dak
3:43Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, Justin
3:45Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, and Brock
3:46Perie. This is the end of the starters
3:49in a 12 team league. So, this is the end
3:51of guys who are for sure going to get
3:53drafted in your league. If you do take
3:56Dak, if you do take Mahomes, Herbert,
3:58Lawrence, or Perie, you can feel
4:00comfortable taking a second quarterback
4:02a good bit of the time. And I think
4:03that's actually an underused strategy in
4:05a lot of managed leagues. Most managers
4:08just like to take one quarterback, be
4:09done, start them come hell or high
4:11water. I actually kind of prefer to play
4:14the matchups and give myself a ceiling
4:15on a given week if a team is playing,
4:17you know, the Houston Texans or the
4:19Seattle Seahawks or the total for the
4:20game is bad because of weather or other
4:23outside factors. I'd like to have the
4:25opportunity. I think the Cowboys are
4:27going to be much better on offense this
4:28year. Fully healthy Lamb, fully healthy
4:30Pickkins. They have got Ryan Florenoy
4:32integrated into the offense. They're
4:34going to be adding Jaden Blue for some
4:35pace and space. Patrick Mahomes is at I
4:39mean I can't even believe this value. He
4:41has finished quarterback 411 142 42 6
4:45and 1 in his fantasy football career.
4:47Obviously, the reason that he finished
4:49quarterback 14 that season was because
4:51he did not play the final game of the
4:53season, and that was also the first year
4:54without Tyreek Hill. I think Mahomes is
4:57the most obviously good value in fantasy
4:59football at any position. There's
5:02basically no way that he does not pay
5:04off a quarterback 10, 11, 12, 13, or
5:07quarterback 14 price almost going
5:10outside the top 100 picks right now. In
5:13fact, his average ranking on the Flock
5:14Fantasy website is outside the top 100.
5:17He is a target for me in every single
5:19draft. I think that the reintroduction
5:21of Eric Benemy to the offense can't
5:23really be overstated. You can see when
5:25Benemy left the team, it was in 2022.
5:28So, every year that he played with
5:29Benemy, he was a top five fantasy
5:31football quarterback. I do think that
5:33Xavier Worthy being healthy is going to
5:34be a big addition to this offense. And
5:36Rashi Rice returning as well. Travis
5:38Kelce, his one last ride. I just I don't
5:42really see any way that Mahomes ends up
5:44being truly disappointing. Obviously, he
5:46is not going to add 4.6 rushes, 30 yards
5:49per game, and point4 of a touchdown in
5:51every given game as a rusher coming off
5:53the ACL, but I think he's going to make
5:55that up with efficiency as a passer.
5:58Herbert is in the best situation of his
6:01career with a brand new offensive
6:02coordinator in Mike McDaniel. He is
6:04surrounded by first round playmakers.
6:06They have reinvigorated the offense.
6:07They add Katon Mitchell. They added in a
6:10fullback. They added Charlie Kar and
6:12David Andoku as blocking and backup move
6:14tight end behind Aronda Gadston. If you
6:17are a big Justin Herbert guy, this is
6:19your year. You should be targeting him
6:20in every single draft. I slightly prefer
6:23Mahomes, but if you are a Justin Herbert
6:25guy, keep in mind he did start to add
6:26the rushing at the beginning of last
6:28year. I mean, multiple games with over
6:30seven rushing attempts, including a 10
6:32for 66, an 8 for 42. That's kind of the
6:35final skeleton key for Justin Herbert.
6:38Trevor Lawrence coming off the best
6:39season of his career was phenomenal last
6:41year. Finishes as the quarterback five
6:43has Parker Washington, Travis Hunter, a
6:45healthy Brian Thomas Jr. and Jacobe
6:48Meyers. Brock Perie was injured for most
6:50of last season, but ended with two of
6:52the best fantasy games of his career.
6:54The 30-pointer and then the 36-pointer
6:56in the important championship week in
6:58week 17. Did already lose Ricky Piol,
7:01but adds Debo Samuel back to the mix. I
7:04think there's reason to be optimistic
7:06about Deon Stribbling. reason to be
7:08optimistic about Mike Evans. Sounds like
7:09George KD might even be able to play
7:11week one coming back from his Achilles.
7:13We just know these Shanahan offenses
7:16always provide just so much value for
7:18quarterbacks. It's so easy to be a good
7:20fantasy football quarterback in a
7:22Shanahan offense. And you see why given
7:24how good this tier of quarterbacks is.
7:27Why Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jaden
7:29Daniels, Drake May, Joe Burrow, Caleb
7:30Williams, and Jaylen Herds. Why? when
7:32you look at the opportunity cost because
7:34if you start to do the 2v2 in your
7:36draft, it might be something like Jaylen
7:38Herz and Rico Dowel versus Raandre
7:42Stevenson or Patrick Mahomes. And I
7:43certainly know which side of that 2v2
7:45that I would rather have. The next
7:47group, these guys will likely get
7:49drafted but just have much lower floors
7:51in your fantasy football league and that
7:52is Jackson Dart, Bo Nick Knicks, Kyler
7:55Murray, Matt Stafford, Jared Goff, and
7:56Jordan Love. Jackson Dart is going to be
7:58part of a lower volume offense, but
8:00there's no arguing with how good he was
8:02in fantasy football last year. In fact,
8:04unless if you take out the game where he
8:06left injured early, that game against
8:08New England, he averaged over 20 fantasy
8:10points per game, which was second in the
8:12NFL in terms of fantasy points per game
8:15at the quarterback position. Does get
8:17Malik Neighbors back healthy. I think
8:18they're going to be more conservative
8:20than the Brian Dable offense. So, I
8:21don't know how high the ceiling is, but
8:23Dart is a fine target. Bo Nicks actually
8:26led the entire NFL in pass attempts last
8:28year. Averaged 17 fantasy points per
8:30game. Again, a totally fine signal
8:33caller. And if you have Jaylen Wadd, you
8:35might like to add Bo Knicks in there.
8:36Kyler Murray had the worst season of his
8:38career last year. Only 15.5 fantasy
8:41points per game, but has been a top 12
8:43quarterback every single other year of
8:45his career. Now gets to play with Kevin
8:47O'Connell. Upgrading from Drew Pig to KC
8:50is like going from a Honda Civic to a
8:52Lamborghini or a Ferrari. It's an
8:54unbelievably good situation. Justin
8:56Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jawan
8:58Jennings, and TJ. Hawinson would
9:00certainly be the best group of pass
9:02catchers that Kyler has ever played
9:03with. I know right now he's technically
9:05in a quarterback battle with JJ
9:06McCarthy. I do not see any way that he
9:09loses that quarterback battle. And in
9:11fact, I'm specifically targeting Kyler
9:13Murray as my quarterback, too, or in
9:15some formats even my quarterback one in
9:18fantasy football. Matt Stafford had an
9:20unbelievable statistical season last
9:22year. However, it was the first time in
9:24over five years that he finished as a
9:26top 10 fantasy football quarterback. It
9:28was the only second time in his career
9:30he averaged over 20 fantasy points per
9:32game. He threw almost three touchdowns
9:34per game, the most touchdowns per game
9:36of his career. I have a very hard time
9:38seeing that repeating just because that
9:40doesn't really happen. You know, I
9:42compare it to some of those crazy Tom
9:43Brady and Pton Manning seasons. Not that
9:45those guys were ever bad for fantasy and
9:47I think Stafford will be good for
9:48fantasy, but without the rushing upside
9:51is just so hard to really ascend to that
9:53next tier of fantasy football
9:54quarterback. We know what we get with
9:56Jared Goth. 17 19 17 16 13 fantasy
10:00points per game when he has been in this
10:02system with St. Brown, with Jameson
10:04Williams, with Leaporta and with Gibbs.
10:06He's been unbelievably good for fantasy.
10:08He is going to be a very rock solid and
10:11fine quarterback in fantasy football
10:13this year. Again, you guys see it's kind
10:15of hard to go wrong. You know, there
10:16there's really someone we like kind of
10:18at every tier. I'm maybe a little bit
10:20lower than the market on Jordan Love. 15
10:22fantasy points per game the most recent
10:24two years. They've streamlined their
10:26offense, which I think is kind of
10:28interesting. So, Josh Jacobs had the
10:30knee injury at the end of last year and
10:31is dealing with a potential looming
10:33suspension. They trimmed their wide
10:34receiver room down by letting Dantavian
10:36Wixs and Romeo Dubs leave town, leaving
10:39just Jaden Reed, Christian Watson, and
10:41Matthew Golden. Tucker Craft came off
10:43the physically unable to perform list at
10:45tight end. It does feel like Jordan Love
10:48probably will have a chance to have the
10:50most passing attempts of his career. 579
10:53in 2023 was his previous high when he
10:55scored 319 fantasy points. He could
10:58certainly get back to that. I wouldn't
10:59think that it was completely insane for
11:01him to be that good. I think Jordan Love
11:03is a good fantasy football quarterback,
11:05but I wouldn't be targeting him. And we
11:07have not seen the rushing production
11:08either the most recent two years. the
11:10four rushing touchdowns in 2023. He has
11:13fewer than 200 rushing yards since that
11:16season. So, I'm a little bit concerned
11:18he can't add that there. Though, he
11:20would be a decent superflex target
11:21because he is quite discounted. The D
11:24tier is Baker Mayfield, Tyler Shuck,
11:25Malik Willis, Cam Ward, Sam Darnold, and
11:28CJ Strad. Malik Willis would be my
11:30primary target here for a very simple
11:32reason. Over the most recent 15 years,
11:36every quarterback outside of two guys
11:38who have gotten to 100 rushing attempts
11:40have finished as top 10 fantasy
11:41quarterbacks. I'm very, very certain
11:43that Malik Willis is going to get at
11:45least 100 rushing attempts, assuming
11:47that he starts for the entire season.
11:49However, this is potentially the worst
11:51skill position group in the entire
11:53National Football League, maybe in
11:55multiple years in the National Football
11:56League with 22 Atwell, Jaylen Tolbert,
12:00you know, all these guys in there. Chris
12:01Bell coming off of the ACL injury. Greg
12:03Doolsich right now is projected to lead
12:05this team in receptions. However, Malik
12:08Willis is going to have a chance to
12:10score. I mean, he could score
12:10double-digit rushing touchdowns this
12:12upcoming year because of how many
12:14opportunities he is going to have to run
12:16the ball. So, I am targeting Malik
12:17Willis. Baker Mayfield played injured
12:19last year. Very possible that he has a
12:21rebound this year, but I'm not
12:23specifically targeting him. If I was
12:24going to target any of these guys, it
12:26would certainly be Tyler Shuck, who was
12:28quite good for fantasy once he took over
12:30the starting job last year, finished as
12:32an overall uh top 10 fantasy football
12:35quarterback on three different
12:36occasions. The New Orleans Saints were
12:38one of the fastest offenses in football
12:40last year. They were trailing in a
12:42majority of their games. It's unclear if
12:44they're going to be that bad again this
12:46year, but I definitely like the concept
12:48of buying on Tyler Shuck in fantasy,
12:50particularly with the addition of Jordan
12:52Tyson. And also Bryce Lance, I think,
12:54can outplay Devon Bailey to be the third
12:56wide receiver on this team. Wrapping up
12:59here with our super flex tier of guys,
13:01we have Daniel Jones, Bryce Young, Aaron
13:04Rogers, Fernando Mendoza, Jacobe
13:05Brassette, and Gino Smith. Daniel Jones
13:08started off the year so awesome in
13:09fantasy football last year, and frankly,
13:11I feel bad for him. He was a top 10
13:14fantasy football quarterback on four
13:15different occasions before he injured
13:17his Achilles. You can see when he got
13:19injured, which was in that game against
13:20Pittsburgh. He gutted through the
13:22injury, but the running basically went
13:24kaput after that. Did have three rushing
13:26touchdowns the first two games of the
13:28season. I don't think that is going to
13:29be a big part of Daniel Jones's pedigree
13:31this year. They are going to really lean
13:33on Jonathan Taylor in the running game.
13:35I think they are also going to miss
13:36Michael Pitman Jr. I would not be
13:38targeting Daniel Jones. Bryce Young has
13:41not I mean guys the the I know there are
13:43the Bryce Young people out there but he
13:45just is not an efficient enough thrower
13:47of the ball. He did have the crazy
13:50insane game against Atlanta last year
13:51where he had 31 fantasy points. And I'm
13:54not saying that in a superflex format or
13:55a really deep format that Bryce Young is
13:57undraftable but for 12 team leagues we
14:00don't really have to worry ourselves
14:01about Bryce Young, Rogers, Mendoza, Brat
14:04or Gino. I think these guys are going to
14:05fall outside of the realm of being
14:08startable fantasy football quarterbacks.
14:10And then our final tier of guys are all
14:12going to be guys who get some starts. So
14:13we have Tua, Shadur Sanders, Michael
14:16Penn Jr., Deshun Watson, and Kurt
14:17Cousins. All of whom are guaranteed to
14:20get some starts. I don't think either
14:21Atlanta starter will start all season. I
14:23do not think either. Brown starter will
14:25start all season. And we know that
14:26Cousins is going to start the year over
14:28Mendoza. I don't expect that to last.
14:30And then a bunch of guys who I really
14:32hope we don't have to watch. We have
14:34J.J. J.J. McCarthy, M. Jones, Kade
14:36Clubnick, Justin Fields, Jameus Winston,
14:38Gardenner Mchu, and Joe Flacco. Suppose
14:40those actually I don't suppose I know
14:42that those guys should be rostered in
14:44Superflex. But in terms of our specific
14:46targets, this is my cheat sheet at the
14:49quarterback position in 2026. You want
14:52to look for a faller from the A tier.
14:54Daniels, May, Burrow, Williams, Herz. If
14:56you get to round seven, round eight, one
14:59of these guys is not drafted. That guy
15:01becomes your target. Assuming all of
15:03those guys go at or around average draft
15:05position, we turn our attention to the
15:07Dak Prescott, Mahomes, Herbert Lawrence,
15:09and Pery tier of quarterbacks. In fact,
15:12you probably want to be the last guy in
15:14your league. [clears throat]
15:23You probably want to be the last guy in
15:25your league to take a starting
15:26quarterback this year because how good
15:28of a year is it in fantasy football when
15:30a guy who averaged over 20 fantasy
15:32points per game is not even a top 12
15:34fantasy football quarterback in Jackson
15:36Dart. Bo Nicks is strong. Kyler Murray
15:38is strong. So I think you can look at
15:40that B tier and that Ctier and say maybe
15:42I even take two of those guys. Maybe my
15:44strategy is I'm going to platoon Patrick
15:47Mahomes and Kyler Murray. Maybe I'm
15:49going to platoon Justin Herbert and Matt
15:51Stafford. Both of those guys get a lot
15:52of indoors dome games, which we know
15:54tends to drive scoring. And I think of
15:57those top 18 guys, you really should
15:59plan on getting two of them with the
16:01best overall targets being Jaylen Herz,
16:03Patrick Mahomes, and Kyler Murray for
16:05fantasy football this upcoming year. If
16:08you want to get my cheat sheet that you
16:10can pull up and have next to you in your
16:12actual draft room, you can head on over
16:14to flockfantasy.com. The season pass is
16:16$34. You can sign up over there using
16:18code Davis. You can get my rankings. You
16:20can get the expert rankings. We have a
16:22bunch of tools to make your draft and
16:24your fantasy football season a lot
16:26easier. Make sure you like the video.
16:28Make sure you're subscribed to the Davis
16:29Matic channel. And I will be back with
16:30you guys tomorrow.
