0:00Harvey Dent said it best, you either die a hero or live long enough to see yourself become the villain.
0:06The Kansas City Chiefs had been so good for so long, they became the bad guys.
0:11But if there's one thing fans love, it's when the villain's luck runs out.
0:16And run out it did for Andy Reid's team last season.
0:19The Chiefs didn't just stumble, they fell flat on their faces.
0:23Reid and company could have packed it in, but that's not what winners do.
0:27They got to work. Getting healthy. Patching holes. And even rounding up some old friends as reinforcements.
0:32Now this team looks a lot more like it did in the glory days.
0:37On paper. Can they make those gains stick on grass this fall?
0:41It's day 26 of the Bootleg Summer Series. We've got our takes on whether or not Kansas City can be the once and future kings.
0:48Or whether or not they'll lose out to the undefeated champ.
0:52Father time. Welcome to Bootleg. Welcome to football. Welcome to the Bootleg Football Podcast.
0:56I'm Brett Coleman. That's EJ Snyder. It's Chiefs Day.
0:59And I'll tell you what, EJ. For damn near a decade, I kept saying I was going to keep picking the Chiefs
1:06until they gave me a reason not to. And last year they finally gave me a reason not to.
1:12That was rough. Like, flat out rough. We were kind of, not even kind of, we were optimistic about this team going into last season.
1:20Because we looked at a lot of their moves on paper.
1:23And it made sense, right? They were addressing their lack of talent on the perimeter, both offensively and defensively.
1:29We thought, okay, maybe the pass rush could be revamped.
1:32And then, of course, the guy we were excited about immediately got hurt.
1:36So that sucked. You know, offensive line we thought was going to be good.
1:41And honestly, the offensive line I don't think was the problem that some people thought it was.
1:46But the team was just bad. Like, it was just a bad football team.
1:51Even with a lot of the moves they made to improve on paper, they were worse on grass.
1:56And so we're going to pick a little bit of that apart today and try to explain why that happened.
2:03And also, maybe, why some of the stuff they did this offseason can get them back on track.
2:08A lot of Chiefs fans hope so. They are not used to this position at all.
2:13Last season showed us all that. And it was one of the teams that was most disparate between what you watched on
2:20the field, the product, and how they made you feel, versus how they have been in the past.
2:26I never turned on a Chiefs game, especially not later in the year, even before Pat got hurt and went, oh yeah, they're going to bury this team.
2:35They're absolutely going to put the nail in the coffin today.
2:38They just weren't that team. They could still win, and they did sometimes.
2:42Obviously, Pat got hurt, but even before that, it never felt like they were that team that could impose their will and
2:49do what they wanted to at the biggest moments, which is what the Chiefs have done for years and years and years.
2:56And newer Chiefs fans, fresher Chiefs fans, and even those that have been around in the last, say, six or seven years
3:03in terms of the Mahomes era were like, what is this?
3:06This is not Chiefs football. And to a point, they're right.
3:10And we're going to dive into why that was today.
3:13It's Chiefs football if you watch them at any point pre-2012.
3:16All the older fans are like, it actually is.
3:19We hid this from you. But we'll talk about the hows, the whys, and like you said, some of the reasons we
3:26have for optimism that they might return to near previous levels of football.
3:30I don't want to call it domination, but at least competence in some areas that they really fell off in last year.
3:37So last year, six and 11, third in the division, five and four at home, which is okay.
3:43But again, most Chiefs fans are like, we lost four games at home.
3:47What are we doing here? On the road, they hid the really bad stuff for the road.
3:52They were one and seven on the road. And of course, oh, and five to finish out.
3:58This team really sort of just fell off. And I think they just, I don't want to say mailed it in because they still played.
4:05But this team knew it wasn't going anywhere. They knew they couldn't beat anybody.
4:10And they just kind of circled the wagons and said, yep, this one wasn't ours.
4:15And we'll come back and get it next year.
4:17That is not typical for fans who watch football in Kansas City.
4:21And it was last year. But some of the reasons for those numbers, which again, are new to a lot of Chiefs fans, are in our effectiveness summary.
4:30How we judge a football team's power, their effectiveness, is how they are passing the ball, running the ball by EPA per play.
4:37How they are, of course, of stopping the pass, stopping the run.
4:41Points scored and points allowed. So we take those six numbers.
4:44We give them their league rank. Usually the Chiefs had tons of single digit numbers here.
4:49Occasionally, they weren't great at stopping the run, but they were very good against the pass.
4:54Their offensive numbers were usually fantastic. And their scoring defense has always been pretty good.
4:59So this is a place where if you've watched this series for four or five years, you're expecting to hear sevens, eights, maybe an 11 here or there.
5:08But nothing lower than that. Well, there is a seven in here, but like it's so, so fraudulent.
5:14We were going to talk about that false seven, but let's just run through the numbers.
5:19We had those six numbers up, divide by six.
5:21We get a raw score. And then we stack those and see how they did.
5:26The Chiefs, yeah, a little foreshadowing. Bit fraudulent. Not only some of the six numbers, but also the total because of that.
5:33So passing EPA per play right down the middle of the league, 15th.
5:37I mean, I guess 16th officially would be the middle of the league, but we are talking about dead down the center line.
5:44Not a place that Kansas City Chiefs fans are used to seeing their team.
5:49Rushing EPA per play. This is the number that really lies.
5:52We will talk about it at the end, so don't freak out.
5:56Seventh. If you watched this team play football last year, there is no way that your eyes told you they were the seventh strongest rushing attack.
6:04In fact, if your eyes told you that they were better than bottom 10, your eyes were lying to you.
6:10They weren't really good. But because of the way EPA has figured, and we'll talk about that, they ended up seventh.
6:17Against the pass, same as they were throwing the ball.
6:20At stop and throw the ball, they were 15th.
6:2315th and 15th. And in terms of stopping the run, Steve Spagnuolo always does a really good job with that.
6:29But they were top 10. Again, 15th and 10th defensive rankings.
6:33Plenty good for a team to win. Usually didn't happen for them last year.
6:37Points scored 21st. This team, again, for those semi-gaudy offensive EPA stats, 15th and 7th, they couldn't score points.
6:43They couldn't put them on the board. They were 21st.
6:46And points allowed, they were 6th. So in terms of total points, they were plus 34 in their point differential.
6:53But if you add up those six league ranks, divide by six, gives them a raw score of 12.33, which sounds great because, again, lower is better.
7:01You want to be near the top. You'd be like 12th out of 32 teams.
7:06That's not bad. It was actually better than that.
7:09When you stack the power scores, it puts them at 10th.
7:12So this power score lies a little bit. We have a couple of teams every year.
7:17A little bit? Yep. It lies a lot. All right.
7:20This is not a top 10 team. Tell them why.
7:23It was not a top 10 team. But tell them why this power score lies.
7:28I'll start with this. The way that EPA is calculated, it does sometimes cause this issue.
7:33Like in general, it's a great godfather stat for describing the effectiveness of a team passing and rushing.
7:39Because it's relatively normalized, right? It's not a counting stat.
7:42It's not like, oh, this team wins 80% of the time when they run the ball 30 times.
7:48Like, well, yeah, they ran the ball 30 times because they were already winning.
7:52Like it's a stat that I think is really good in a vacuum.
7:56But the way that it's calculated can sometimes screw with us.
7:59Like this, right? Where if you have a team that gets a lot of first downs rushing, they were 11th in first downs converted by rushing.
8:08Then you will get a bump in EPA per play.
8:11Because EPA per play, like if you are getting first downs, if you're moving the chains, if you're resetting your opportunity to
8:18score, it basically takes a drive where you're expected.
8:21Like let's say it's third and two, right? Third and two midfield, your expected points out of this situation are X.
8:27If you then convert a first down, which the one thing Kareem Hunt could do was get you short yardage first downs.
8:34Now you're first and 10 at the 48. Now your expected points goes up.
8:38So they were heavily inflated because of that. But also they were heavily inflated because Patrick Mahomes was their best rushing threat.
8:45Like through the first 14 weeks of the season, I want to say he got hurt in week 15.
8:51Through the first 14 weeks of the season, he had just as many 10 plus yard carries, at least one off.
8:58So he was almost as many 10 plus yard carries as both Hunt and Pacheco combined.
9:03Just him. So when you have a quarterback that gets that many explosive runs, it's going to make your rushing attack look more explosive than it actually is.
9:12Which is then going to make your EPA look better than it actually is.
9:16Because rushing EPA, like a scramble is counted as a rush in rushing EPA.
9:21And I think he had like 51 or 52 scrambles in the first 14 weeks of the season.
9:26Like he was their run game. Not by design, but he was their run game.
9:31So you have to look at that stat as well as this power score in general with a heavy side eye.
9:38Like it's almost like the Bizarro Panthers where like the Panthers were the 27th team and won the NFC South.
9:44This is the 10th overall team. And we're objectively not good offensively.
9:48Like it's one of the few times I'm just going to tell you guys, don't worry about power score on this one.
9:54It's, it's not true. There are two teams a year, typically one and a half to two teams a year.
10:01We've been doing this five or six years on average that we just go, you know, power score work for the other 30 teams.
10:08These ones aren't it either too high or too low.
10:11We usually have one of both a team that looked like it did really well in power score, did not do well on the field this year.
10:20That would be the chiefs and teams that again, have a lower power score because again, EPA didn't particularly favor them, but
10:27they were more powerful overall than that. When you watch them on film.
10:31So in general, very good set of stats and gives us, I would say very congruous results in terms of how teams
10:38actually finished on the field, which is why we use it.
10:41We think it's representative, but there are always outliers on the bell curve.
10:45This year, Kansas city is one of them. And that's why we call them out, right?
10:50We're not just going to blindly say like, Oh, this is the 10th best team.
10:55Like what happened? It's like, well, we know what happened.
10:58They couldn't run the ball, at least not in the ways that matter.
11:02And, you know, when I was doing our season preview show with Trev, we pulled a bunch of numbers about Kenneth Walker and the chiefs backfield.
11:11Cause we were, we were talking about how big of a deal it is that Kenneth Walker is going to be on this team.
11:18And a lot of that is just because the almost abhorrent lack of explosiveness in this backfield, single-handedly killed this offense.
11:25If you're looking league wide at how you score, how you get touchdowns, you need explosive plays, whether through the pass or,
11:32or, or, you know, with the ground game, you have to get explosive plays.
11:36Your touchdown rate on a drive is going to be 42.3%.
11:39If you get an explosive on that drive, if you don't get an explosive goes down to 4%, just over 4%, it's like 4.3.
11:47So you either get explosives or you don't score.
11:50And this chiefs backfield was dead last over the last two years in terms of generating explosive runs, only 5.6%.
11:56They were the only team that was under 7% in the entire NFL could not break tackles whatsoever.
12:02Kareem Hunt, like if you got your hands on him, he was going to go down.
12:07And even though this team was like relatively solid in terms of average yards, average yards before contact per attempt, they were
12:14horrific in average yards after contact per attempt. That's a running back stat.
12:18You compare that to Kenneth Walker, who was third highest in explosive run rate among all running backs of the 100 carries.
12:25And that's the difference maker. Because if you can get explosives with something other than Mahomes scrambles, or like a Rasheed Rice
12:32broken tackle, or Travis Kelsey out slowing somebody, like if you can get an explosive any other way, it's drastically going to increase your ability to score.
12:40And Kenneth Walker, that's what he can do. Better than almost anybody else in the NFL, to be honest.
12:46So if you're looking at number of drives with an explosive play, fewer than 55% of chiefs possessions over the last three seasons.
12:53Right? This is not a new issue. We've been annoyed at the run game for a while here.
12:59Over the last three seasons, fewer than 55% of chiefs possessions have had an explosive play, which, again, shows why they've struggled to score the last few years.
13:08Before that, right, 2018 to 2022, those five magical years where this offense was like unassailable, they exceeded 55% in every single
13:15one of those years, in terms of percentage of drives that featured an explosive play.
13:19And we wondered why they scored so much. So I look at the Kenneth Walker addition, and really the Kareem Hunt and
13:26Isaiah Pacheco subtraction, as fundamentally transforming this offense. And I'll be honest, even if they have lower than seventh in EPA per
13:33rush this coming season, I bet they're going to be a way better run game because they're going to get explosives.
13:40And that's really what matters to me. There's almost no way that they cannot be a better run game.
13:46Again, that stat is a lie. If you erase that and go back to film, the floor fell out of this running back room last year.
13:54They went from being, eh, not great. Like you said, this is not a new issue.
13:59We've been annoyed with it to like, oh my God, they cannot move the ball on the ground, except for those short
14:06first downs, which was what they could pick up.
14:09But again, couldn't break tackles. Pacheco just looked like he never really came back from the injury.
14:14He ran, he still ran super hard, but the, the result was not the same.
14:19He wasn't that rampaging bull of a runner. He couldn't get away from contact and neither one of them could.
14:25And it wasn't usually, if you have one runner that falls off, you have maybe a young buck behind them and, or
14:32an undrafted free agent, something like that. They didn't have anything.
14:35They had nothing in the running back room. So Kenneth Walker is the start to remaking that running back room, but Amari
14:42Di Mercado, who's right now RB two and Emmett Johnson, who we're going to talk about when we get to the draft, completely sort of transformed this.
14:51This is the shotgun approach of, look, we need multiple options because we know this position that gets injured.
14:57We cannot be where we were last year. We know if we are, our chances of winning are bad.
15:03And while the window's not rapidly closing, you don't want to waste years, prime years of Patrick Mahomes career, when he's going to be healthy at the start.
15:12So you do what you need to do. And Brashard Smith is still there as well as a sort of wild card,
15:18pass catching threat, returner, a sort of do it all guy that can make it on special teams and therefore sort of be RB four.
15:26That's a good room. Like that is a good and versatile room and it can withstand some injury and still be productive.
15:33Even if Kenneth Walker gets dinged up. Cause I know a lot of people are like, well, that was the, that was the knock.
15:41That was why Seattle didn't want to pay him.
15:44It's because he wasn't always on the field. That's true.
15:47But if you have to go to Amari, and I know a lot of people don't know his name, but he is
15:54a very quality runner and Emmett Johnson, who we really liked in the draft.
15:58If you have to drop down to that pairing, you're going to lose a little bit, but you're not going to be
16:05anywhere near where you were last year. And that to me is the most important thing.
16:10You're going to be able to sustain on offense through these guys getting dinged up because again, you just didn't bring in one guy.
16:17You're not pinning all your hopes on them. You went, nah, nah, nah, nah.
16:22We're starting, we're starting from scratch. We're getting your racer out and we're going to fill in these spots so that we can be an effective offense again.
16:31I'll look at it this way. Even if Kenneth Walker is only getting 15 carries a game, which I would imagine is, is probably in the ballpark.
16:39I would say 15 touches. I would say maybe 15 touches, right?
16:43Touches. If you project that explosive rate to that many touches, that's probably about two a game, which means you're getting 34 explosives on the season.
16:51And I want to say combined last year, uh, Pacheco and hunt had 22, right?
16:56So if one guy is giving you a 50% increase in explosives out of the backfield compared to two combined, like that's
17:03it's worth everything that they spent to get him.
17:06Absolutely everything. And I think actually that's probably a good segue to just kind of bring in our patron note.
17:12Normally we say that normally I've actually done this a lot of the series.
17:16We put it where it's appropriate. We put it where it's.
17:20We're originally planning on doing these at the end of the show, but they just tend to be really good talking points for, for this section.
17:28So, uh, this one comes from skitty bug over on the Patreon says for the chiefs.
17:33What opportunities do you think finally having a run game that isn't just my home scrambles will open up in the passing game.
17:40A lot of teams wouldn't bite on play action in recent years, causing a pretty abysmal TD to turnover rate on those plays.
17:47And can that running game allow our subpar wide receiver room, uh, to play above billing.
17:52So one of the things when you have a Kenneth Walker and you're giving him 15 touches and he's ripping off explosives.
17:59I think the way that you get those explosives is by going under center more.
18:04And boy, a lot of what we've heard this off season is like, expect the chiefs to go under center more.
18:11Same thing with the Bengals. Same thing with the commanders.
18:14Like that, that's a, a drum beat around the league is under center, under center, under center because you're going to get more explosive runs.
18:22And that's what teams want. And if you have a chiefs offense that last year was 80% gun, I would be very
18:29surprised if they're 80% gun again this year, like maybe they'll still be majority gun.
18:33They're not going to be 80% gun, especially because Kenneth Walker, you know, he's one of these backs that quite frankly is
18:40better when you're giving him carries from under center versus the gun.
18:44Some backs are better in the gun, like Javante Williams, a better running back from shotgun.
18:49Kenneth Walker is not that like he is better from under center.
18:53So if you're spending all that money on a running back, you're going to do what makes him more effective and play
19:00action from under center is also more effective compared to play action from the gun.
19:04Like statistically speaking, you see bumps in EPA, you see bumps in yards per attempt, explosive rate, like under center play action
19:11is so much more effective than shotgun play action.
19:14That's part of the reason why their shotgun game or their play action game has always been bad is because the majority
19:21of it is from the gun where it's like this little weak sauce, half-assed fake of like, Ooh, maybe we're running inside zone again.
19:29It's like, we know you're not like we can see the ball.
19:32You're not turning around. So these linebackers don't bite on it because they don't have any problem getting vision on the action.
19:39And so like, they don't even step up to it.
19:42They'll step up. If you do it from under center, like they have to step up.
19:47They're not going to do it if you do it from gun.
19:51So I think their play action game is going to be better because they'll be under center more.
19:57Their run game will be better because they're under center more.
20:00And it's just going to take a little bit of pressure off Pat.
20:04Like he's not going to have to do everything.
20:07And for three years now, he's had to do everything.
20:10I mean, shit through 14 weeks last year. I'm not saying I would have voted for him for MVP, but like this team was objectively broken without him.
20:19As soon as he went down, like they, they couldn't win another game.
20:23They were awful without him. They were at least like sort of kind of almost functional with him.
20:29Like that's how good he is. They were fucking bad.
20:32The second he left the lineup. Yeah. They were relying on him to do everything.
20:37Again, like you said, he was there leading rusher in terms of explosives.
20:41He was obviously trying to do everything he could with a receiving core.
20:45That wasn't great either. And it was a one man show.
20:48And you don't want to do that. Even if you have a superstar quarterback, that's not the recipe to win.
20:55The recipe to win is the one you were talking about, where you take pressure off the quarterback and you give him
21:02other options and you make defenses respect multiple things instead of going, well, we're just keen on Pat.
21:07Cause if the ball's not in Pat's hands, we don't really have to worry about it.
21:12If it is, we do. So we're just going to make sure Pat doesn't beat us and nobody else is going to step up and do that.
21:21Again, if you go in and remake the running back room, I just want to say, I love bootleggers.
21:27They're smart. They're really keyed into their own teams.
21:29They understand they ask good questions. And sometimes they answer their own in the question, like this one from skinny, but in
21:36terms of like, do you, you know what opportunities will it open up?
21:40Because you know, they wouldn't bite on play action.
21:43You're walking right through it. You're on the right track.
21:46Absolutely. And they're going to have to, and you, on top of that, you rebuild the running back room.
21:52You, you know, you add some Joe's to go with your X's and O's and say, look, great.
21:58Now we've got multiple different ways that we can run a different system.
22:02That is going to give us a better chance.
22:05We've got personnel. That's more aligned to that. Like you said, some runners are better in their older system.
22:11These runners, like Emmitt Johnson was a great runner from, I would call traditional sets under center sets, uh, in college.
22:18He's got a ton of experience with it. Kenneth Walker, same thing.
22:21Like you, you sort of go, okay, we're rebuilding this.
22:24And then the defense can't just go, Oh, okay.
22:27Well, it's the balls of Pat hands. It's like, Oh, well now the balls and Kenneth's hands.
22:33Oh, he can burn us. We got to respect that again.
22:36We're going to bite on fakes. We're going to, we can't just sit back and say, all right, if we can contain
22:43this passing game, which quite frankly, it was containable last year.
22:46But if we could just contain this passing game, we're not going to get burned for big plays.
22:52And we really don't have to lose. And if we think over the course of possessions, and this was, it's so funny
22:59because this was exactly the opposite with Kansas city for years.
23:03If we give them enough possessions, they're going to beat us.
23:06Now it's if we contain this passing game, and we go possession for possession, we're pretty sure we're going to come out on top.
23:13And they were right more often than not. So skitty bug, having a revamped running game in multiple ways, both personnel and
23:20scheme is going to allow the chief's offense to be multiple in ways the defenses have to respect.
23:26And as for that last question, our subpar wide receiver room playing above billing.
23:30How about I say they'll play what's billing. Let's I'll say they play at billing.
23:35I don't know that they're going to outperform it, but they underperformed it last year because again, they were the focus defenses were planning on shutting them down.
23:44Nobody respected the run, whether it was under center or not, right?
23:48They just didn't respect the run game short yardage.
23:51They would key up against it. Other than that film doesn't lie that way.
23:55You turn on the film, like nobody was loading up against the run.
23:59Even early in the season, they were, they were loading up to clog passing lanes or create enough pressure that the ball had to come out quickly.
24:08So it was a short pass, like doing all the things you do to limit a passing game.
24:13They were not loading up to limit the running game.
24:16They on film after about week six defenses were like, no, we got the book on these guys.
24:22They can't run the ball. I would even say earlier, I was trying to be generous.
24:27Two weeks, two weeks in like checking in. It's like cream hunt still doesn't have it.
24:32Okay, cool. Yeah. Nobody's got gas. You know what they are field outside of, again, trying to contain my homes on a
24:39scramble because that was the running game. Like, but that's not a, to stop scrambles is not the, you don't load up
24:46your dish, your defense in the traditional way that you do to stop and understand a running game or even a shotgun running game.
24:53Scramble rules are different, right? You can assign spies, you can do other stuff, but like it's, it's not typically the same approach.
25:01So again, a lot of it comes out of the defensive line and just like being disciplined and rush, it's not even
25:08about what, what am I doing with my linebackers and safeties?
25:11It's just, so, Hey edges, don't go 12 yards deep.
25:14Yeah. Don't give him the opportunity to gas you because he can, and he will.
25:19And that's really the only thing. So again, if you don't let them do that, you're going to get your wins.
25:25You're going to get your chance to pass rush on third down because they're not going to be near the sticks because
25:32they're going to run twice for two yards and we're going to have third and long.
25:37Let's do it. So, and once that was kind of the book on how to play Kansas city, everybody just adjusted.
25:44Cause look, everybody was ready to beat Kansas city.
25:47They've been taking beatings for years. The NFL is heartless in that way.
25:51Nobody cares. Like, Oh yeah, an off year. Oh, bummer.
25:54We're going to do it. I was at that game.
25:57Texans at chiefs. I was there for that in November.
26:00And you know, I was, I was wearing my Texans gear and everything.
26:04There wasn't that many Texans fans there. It was my first game at Arrowhead.
26:09And, uh, damn dude, that was a broken crowd.
26:12It was a one possession game late and they were leaving.
26:15And I was like, Oh no. like they're, they're broken.
26:18The fans stopped believing. Like Pat was healthy in that game too.
26:22Like he wasn't out yet. Magic got the fans just straight up gave up.
26:26Yeah. They're like, nah, like it's, and they were right.
26:30That's the thing. They were right. Yeah. They had no shot of winning that game.
26:34Kansas city fans for everything that they are, are very smart fans.
26:38Like we know a lot of Kansas city fans and they know ball.
26:42Like it reminds me of like Steelers. Steelers fans are incredibly passionate and sometimes irrational, but they know ball.
26:48Right. Sometimes. Anyways, it's not that they didn't know it's that they did know.
26:53And that made it worse. Yeah. Yeah. That, uh, that crossing route that Petra came down and just absolutely smacked with she rice.
27:00And everybody's like, well, I got work in the morning.
27:03It's cold. I'm going to go turn the car heater on.
27:06It was cold. It was like, I, it was single digits.
27:10Um, or no, it was in the teens. I remember you posting about the game.
27:14I was actually supposed to be there. Side note.
27:17Uh, my plane made it halfway to Kansas city and the pilot said, so we might have an issue.
27:23And if we go all the way to Kansas city and find out that we do have an issue, then basically we
27:30kind of have to call an Uber. Whereas we got all the tools back in the barn.
27:36And so we're just going to turn around literally two plus hours into the flight there.
27:41We were over like lower Montana and they were like, Oh yeah, you were almost there.
27:46Yeah. Like literally we're fifth, like 52% of the way there.
27:49And they're like, well, we're close enough. We're going to turn around, go back.
27:53So I had, I had to call Brett and the rest of the gang and be like, well, I made it halfway there.
28:01I'm back in Seattle. And I was like, what?
28:04Uh, but their end result was you decided to go to that game late.
28:08Like you didn't have tickets beforehand. That wasn't something we were planning on doing, but somebody was like, Hey, you want tickets?
28:15And you, I remember you, I thought, Oh, California boy, you're going to find out now it's going to be real cold.
28:22Well, so I was packed into a section where there was a bunch of people.
28:26And so I was actually fairly comfortable during the game.
28:30You know, I had my three layers on, I had gloves, you know, beanie, everything like that.
28:35It's when the chiefs fans started leaving. Hey guys, it's really fucking cold.
28:39Now all of you were breaking the wind. I was, you know, enjoying your body heat.
28:44And then it was just us at the end.
28:47I'm freezing my dick off by the fourth quarter.
28:50Cause the, the seats emptied out and, it was worth it.
28:53I saw the Texans end a dynasty, but, uh, yeah, we, we hauled ass.
28:58Oh, the quick shuffle. Great stadium though. Love, I love the vibes.
29:01Like it's, it's a really beautiful, it's a wonderful environment.
29:04Obviously the food in Kansas city is. Yeah. Oh yeah.
29:08We had, we had a lot of fun there when we went for the draft.
29:12Um, and I think that might be the year that I picked up this t-shirt.
29:17Um, but yeah, the food is, the food's great.
29:20The people are great. It's a really, it's a really, it's a great city.
29:24And again, they love the chiefs, like love, love, love the chiefs.
29:28They are one of the, just the most invested fan bases.
29:31One of the smartest, one of the most passionate, again, that can lead them over the line now and again.
29:38But again, they knew like they, you didn't see a lot of them late in the season going, Oh yeah, we're better than this.
29:45They were all like, we're not, we're not, it's over.
29:48We're not, but you know, as soon as they signed K walk, then it was like, all right, we're back.
29:55We're good. We're good. Check Pat's knee. We all expect the superhuman healing factor to kick in.
30:00Yep. There it is. All right. Suckers line up.
30:03Now they do acknowledge they still have receiver problems for sure.
30:06Unless Cyrus Allen is, you know, the answer, which maybe he is.
30:10Uh, it feels like every single year there's like a day three pick or UDFA at chiefs camp that it was like,
30:17all right, this is the one he's going to, he's going to get us out of our, our post Tyreek receiver slump.
30:24Maybe it's Cyrus this year, but I do want to bring up the receiver group last year because once more for third
30:31season in a row, they did not have anybody who could separate against man coverage.
30:36And even though they were decent in terms of explosive pass rate, they were 13th in explosive pass rate.
30:42I'm going to throw this chart on screen and you can see the X axis is explosive pass rate.
30:48The Y axis, um, is yards after catch per completion, right?
30:51So if you're right of the center line, good, you're explosive.
30:54If you're above the center line, it means you're great after the catch.
30:59If you're below the center line, it means you're probably getting your explosives by throwing it down the field.
31:04Six of the eight most explosive passing offenses in terms of explosive pass percentage were teams that were at or below average
31:11in terms of yards after catch per completion, because they stretched the field, right?
31:16It was green Bay. It was Seattle. It was the Colts.
31:19A lot of that was pre Daniel Jones injury, but still it was obviously the Patriots and their gazillion nine routes they threw every week.
31:27Uh, it was the Rams and the Cowboys. The only two teams that were really, really, really explosive and did so predominantly
31:34with yak were Buffalo and the lions. And the lions were a similar kind of thing to Kansas city where their run game was really up and down.
31:43Um, and it's interesting. They're actually kind of polar opposite in some ways because their EPA was not great, but they got
31:50a bunch of explosives from Gibbs, whereas the chiefs were not explosive, but again, this is quirk of EPA.
31:56All that to say, if you're looking at the chiefs passing offense, if they didn't get yards after the catch, they didn't get anything.
32:03They had nobody who could separate against man coverage.
32:06They had nobody who could really win down the field.
32:09They drafted Xavier worthy to be that guy. He's not that guy.
32:13He is a complimentary threat, but he is small.
32:16He's not a great contested catcher. He's not somebody who's going to like break a bunch of tackles.
32:21Like he is a, he's a complimentary threat. He, he has never become the guy that they thought he was going to
32:28be when they took him in the first round.
32:31They need an actual wide receiver. They can go out there against a press corner and just win.
32:37And where she rice has never been that either for, for what it's worth.
32:41Where she's always been a yak guy. He's never been a down the field guy.
32:46And he was a good yak guy pre injury.
32:49I don't know what he's going to look like this year.
32:52We'll see. But they, they have not had a man beater.
32:56That could also win down the field and win contested catches.
32:59Like all this, the stuff that a true wide receiver one does.
33:03They have not had that since Tyreek Hill. They've been a successful team since that trade.
33:08I'm not discounting that, you know, going to super bowls, winning super bowls, but that is more through the brilliance of Patrick
33:15Mahomes than it was through the receivers. And when you pair lack of a good receiving group, sans Travis Kelsey with arguably
33:22the worst run game in the NFL, that's how you end up like the chiefs offense last year.
33:27At that point, they had nothing they could rely on other than Patrick Mahomes being Patrick Mahomes.
33:33And as great as he is, he's one of the greatest players in the history of the sport already.
33:39There are 11 people on the field. You got to get some help from the other 10.
33:44And it's, it just, it finally came back to Biden last year.
33:48They need real receivers. Hopefully Cyrus Allen is that.
33:51Maybe. I just had an intrusive thought while you were talking and I'm going to say it and it's going to be my fault.
33:58Oh no. Oh no. I'm just going to say Beetlejuice three times in a row.
34:03So cover your ears. Okay. What if Kyle Williams ended up as a chief?
34:07Oh, Ooh. Ooh. Would they do it though? I, I don't.
34:11Irregardly. I do not believe that the pay that the Pats would do it or should do it.
34:16To be fair. This is not me saying, but if this is just purely like for what you're talking about and the
34:23role they've been missing and what Kyle Williams is really good at, because he's not a complete receiver.
34:29I'm a huge Kyle Williams fan, but what he is going to do like a clock is beat man coverage deep twice a game and make the catch.
34:38Like that is what he is going to do.
34:41Guaranteed all the other stuff. You're going to need all the other guys, but once a quarter with Pat, who can still
34:48throw it, you're going to roll Kyle Williams out and you're going to say to EB, dial it up.
34:54Right. And we might not even throw three of them.
34:57We might even only throw two of them. Right.
35:00You're going to scare the shit out of those safeties.
35:03That's for sure. You're going to see a very different look because he's going to run one.
35:08They're not going to throw it. And everybody's going to go, Ooh.
35:12Okay. He was, he was a little open there.
35:15Glad they didn't throw it. They're going to run it in the second quarter.
35:19They're going to throw it. He's not going to complete it.
35:22Ooh. Okay. We dodged a bullet. Everybody goes to halftime, forgets about a third quarter, maybe late in the third quarter.
35:29Everybody's kind of forgotten. You're going to run when he's going to hit it.
35:33He's going to go 60 yards and you're going to get six out of it.
35:38And then everybody's going to go, damn. And then you're going to do it the next week and the next week and the next week.
35:46And he's going to have one every two or three weeks.
35:49He's going to have a 45 plus yard touchdown.
35:52Everybody's going to be like, Oh my God, it's back.
35:55And it's the Tyler Lockett special, man. I, you know, it's, it's what Tyreek used to give them in one part of it.
36:03Not again. I'm not saying that Kyle Williams is Tyreek.
36:06He's clearly not again, not a complete receiver, but that piece where Tyreek would beat man coverage, torch it, take it.
36:12And he's fast enough and tough enough that you're not getting him.
36:16And Kyle Williams can do that part. He can't do all the other stuff that I read can do, but Oh man,
36:23because the Patriots just don't seem to like, want to use Kyle Williams in the regular season.
36:28In the preseason, they'll show everybody scare the hell out of him.
36:32Then they just put them on the bench and use the other guys.
36:36And look, they have a good receiving core. I like it.
36:40But like that one thing is the exact thing you were talking about that the chiefs don't have and desperately need, which
36:47is one guy who twice a game can be a can opener, whether or not you hit him, everybody knows and the defense has to respect it.
36:55Yeah. MVS that can catch. Right. Cause that's what, what MVS was for a time here was the guy that we can take a couple shots.
37:03If we complete it. Great. But I think you would, I think you would hit those with higher regularity.
37:09I almost guarantee it. Certainly more than the modern version of MVS, but I think Kyle Williams, that is a, it's, it's
37:16a superpower or a Trump card or whatever you want to call it is the one thing he could do with regularity against almost anybody.
37:24I mean, he, he shows it in the pros.
37:27They, they, for some reason, don't do it a whole lot.
37:30They did it a lot more to, to booty in new England than they did to Kyle Williams in the regular season.
37:37But every preseason they'll roll Kyle Williams out there.
37:40He's had two and three games and you know, it's, he can do it.
37:44He's just like, put me in coach. That's my thing.
37:48And it would be terrifying if he was in Kansas city for that one reason.
37:52Well, we'll see if Kyle Williams gets any usage whatsoever in new England this year.
37:57He should. But I do want to touch on both the defense and the special teams a little bit for Casey before we move on.
38:05So for starters, special teams, Bucker had a bad year, right?
38:08Yep. Missing extra points. He wasn't particularly great on kickoffs.
38:11You know, he just drilled a 69 yarder week ago or so in the preseason, but it's, that's great, but you still have to hit extra points.
38:20So we'll see if he can do that this year.
38:23It's just very, very inconsistent last year, which did not help.
38:27And then defensively, you know, talk about a team with metrics that kind of lied to you a little bit.
38:33They were fifth in pressure rate, but not because they were a good pass rush.
38:38Like they led the league in six man pressures, like not even five, like six.
38:42Expans is like, screw it. I'm going to send the house.
38:46And he did it a lot, like several times a game.
38:49And it still wasn't great for actually getting quarterbacks on the ground.
38:53Again, fifth and pressure rate because they were so blitz happy, but they were 22nd in pressure to sack conversion rate.
39:00And you have guys like George Karloftis who gets 66 pressures because again, they're sending so many blitzes oftentimes like, okay, he's
39:06the one who's spiking inside and then blocker peels off to handle the extra man coming off.
39:12And like, he gets like these manufactured pressures or if they are rushing for, he's just running like the stiffest arc you've
39:19ever seen to like a 13 yard depth. And like, I guess he gets behind the tackle, but like he's never actually
39:26flattening the corner to, to get after the quarterback.
39:28It's a big reason why it's 66 pressures, which is top 11 among edges.
39:33We only had six sacks because a lot of his pressures just were not really high quality pressures and not all pressures are equal.
39:40It's great to have a high pressure rate, but if they're not actually affecting the quarterback, if you are not beating the
39:47man across from you and really making the quarterback uncomfortable, it's just kind of empty calories.
39:52And you compare that to two guys that are, uh, you know, kind of right next to him in terms of pressure
39:59count, firing young and Tully to a below two.
40:02They doubled him up on sack total because they get more high quality pressures that are actual real chances to get the quarterback on the ground.
40:10So if that's your quote unquote best edge is George Karloftis, which he's really not.
40:15Chris Jones was their best edge, even though he's a DT like, yeah, you're going to have to blitz over and over
40:22and over again to get anything done as a pass rush.
40:25And because they were sacrificing so many bodies with these five and six man, like even just in five men pressures, they
40:32were, they were quote unquote average in terms of sending those.
40:36But when you combine being average and five man pressures and leading the league and six man pressures, that means you're just
40:43throwing a bunch of pressures at people, which means you're taking bodies away from the backend.
40:48So you're less likely to get turnovers on tip drills.
40:51You're less likely, you know, to get hustle turnovers where like somebody pokes the ball out and you have somebody who's just
40:58perfectly positioned there to, to grab it. Like all of those really fortuitous turnovers that we were used to this Spags defense
41:05getting, they weren't getting because they had less bodies back there because they were all rushing the quarterback.
41:10So bad pass rush, maybe the worst nickel play in the NFL last year.
41:15Like, good God, did you watch Shamari Connor? Not more than I had to bad.
41:19He was bad. Yeah. Which is a bummer. We liked him coming out, but it not, not necessarily in that role.
41:26Like we, we thought that if he grew a little bit, that he would be really good in that role because he
41:33played mostly, well, he played between nickel and safety in college, had a split of those snaps and he played pretty well at safety.
41:40He's an absolute hammer. He's super aggressive. And we thought, Hey, move that up closer to the ball.
41:46And you know, if he continues to improve in coverage and if anything, he regressed in coverage.
41:51I feel like he's just going to be a full-time safety this year.
41:56And I would bet that Legerius Sneed might be the new nickel.
41:59And then, you know, we'll figure out what they're going to do without, I mean, obviously Delaney's going to be one of
42:06their outside corners, but I, I don't think you can survive another season with Shamari Connor at nickel.
42:12I think he's just, he's your safety. And you leave him there.
42:16Kind of like, you remember when they had a Sorenson back there?
42:19Yeah, for sure. Whereas like, all right, if he is 12 or more yards deep, we're, we're okay.
42:25If he's closer, we're not okay. The good news is actually, yeah, the good news is for this defense, if they, and
42:32again, we've been talking about this all summer throughout the summer series with different teams and different defenses, like what really is
42:39the extra defensive back going to be? A lot of teams are going towards true three safety looks.
42:45That's the case. I still watch Amari Connor back.
42:47You could bring in, you know, Jaden Hicks. He can be around a line again, not necessarily great, but this team has a bunch of options this year.
42:56If they want to go with a more true sort of classic nickel, not a big nickel look or a third safety
43:03or dime back or whatever you want to call it.
43:06Like cater co who is on this team. We're going to talk about him in additions.
43:11I don't know how healthy he is, but when he was healthy in Miami, he's an absolute demon as a nickel.
43:18He was great. One of those underrated nickels who you may not have heard the name of, but we called him out
43:25on bootleg week after week when he was healthy because he was a player.
43:29And the other one is an EJ Snyder special Jaden Kennedy.
43:33I was wondering if you're going to bring him up for Taylor made for this particular thing.
43:38I am absolutely going to bring him up. So if Legereus need is not the guy, or maybe they play Legereus outside
43:45because that's where he wants to be. And they try Noel Williams there or whatever.
43:50If it doesn't work, they have co who and Kennedy.
43:53And those are two players who have the skill sets.
43:56Again, co who it's more health and how, how fully back is he Kennedy is a rookie, but you know, is set to step into that role.
44:04And look, if you want to go small and fast on dime against four wide receivers, and they're not big guys, like
44:11you could play both of those guys inside as well.
44:14Player outside. They have options in this defensive backfield.
44:17And I like that for this team. I actually feel better about this defensive backfield than I had in a while because
44:24they added Delane Kennedy co who all in this off, season Christian Fulton is there as well.
44:29Like we haven't mentioned his name. They have a lot of defensive back talent that they can sort of pick and choose.
44:36And just like an offensive line coach goes, I want to find my best five.
44:41Spags is going to go, I'm going to find my best five or seven or whatever it is for a particular set
44:48that may change throughout the season, but he's going to know like, okay, if I want to call this one set, this is my guy.
44:56I have him inside. He's a good matchup this week for whoever they're putting in the slot in, in years past.
45:02It's just like, who's lining up where like, we just need a body in that spot because we're short.
45:08Yeah. And that's, I feel like they're going to have so much more choice this year.
45:13They still have to make the right choice, but they just have so much more choice.
45:19It's very similar to when, um, when the Texans had like an embarrassment of riches at corner, all the nickels, right?
45:25It was, it was, it was Jonathan Joseph. It was Kareem Jackson who kind of migrated between safety and corner, depending on,
45:32on the whims of the DC that year. Cause he could play both.
45:36Uh, I thought it was a better safety than a corner, but he did both.
45:41Uh, they had young Kevin Johnson. Um, and they had AJ Boye, AJ Boye was their fourth corner.
45:46Yeah. And he was their anti tight end guy.
45:49AJ Boye was who they put on Travis Kelsey back in the day.
45:53Well, like in the Alex Smith chiefs era, like right before they got my homes.
45:58And I think the chiefs might be able to do something similar, right?
46:02If you got Noel as your outside guy, Delaney is your other outside guy.
46:07LeJerry says your nickel. And then if you have a tight end that you need to solve a problem with, like maybe that's where Christian Fulton comes in.
46:15Like he only played, I think four games last year, uh, cause of injury.
46:20So I, I, I think there's a way where you can make this all work.
46:24It's, it should be better than it was last year.
46:28I'll say that much. Yeah. And I think the pass rush would be better than last year and the running back room would be better than last year.
46:36And the offensive line should still be pretty good.
46:39Like there's a lot that's positive now. Um, but it, it is, I'm less willing to just take their word for it, I guess now.
46:47And say they'll figure it out last year. Yeah.
46:50Yeah. Yeah. So it's like, I see the vision, but now I almost need to see the vision work before I'm like all in.
46:57Like I was this time last year. Hi, alternate timeline, Brett here before we get to all the 2026 stuff.
47:04If you've liked a lot of the data that we brought up so far, we have companion infographics for every single team,
47:11including the one we're talking about today with over 15,000 total data points that we have collected throughout this summer.
47:17Each team gets its own companion infographic, which is roughly about 20 pages long.
47:21It has all the data on this team. You can think of whether it's alignment data, personnel data, cap allocation, coverage data
47:28broken out by down and distance blitz data. I mean, basically anything you can think of, we've got it.
47:34So if you want access to that, you can find that down at the link in the description below or at the QR code on the screen reminder.
47:43We also have bonus episodes that go live every single Friday over on Patreon recapping every single division.
47:49We're going to pick division winners, MVPs, rookies of the year, all that stuff.
47:53So if you want bonus episodes, plus more data that you could probably handle, that is over on the Patreon.
47:59Thank you once again to all of our patrons that have made, honestly, this series possible to make in the first place.
48:06We could not have paid the people who help us make it without your guys' financial support.
48:12So thank you to our patrons. Thank you to all of our executive producers on Patreon.
48:17Their names are on screen right now. They have been OG supporters of us and made so much in our lives possible
48:24while we try to chase this dream. So thank you.
48:27Thank you. Thank you. And with that, let's get back to the show.
48:31Okay. From here on out is the 2026 portion of the show.
48:35Although a lot of these guys have been here since way before 2026.
48:39It's a very stable power structure in Kansas city.
48:41Are we sure it's not 2023 again with Brett Veach is the GM, Andy Reed, Dave Tobe is the associate.
48:48Or 2020. Sorry. Or 2018. It's like the same guys.
48:51Yeah. I was going to say associate head coach.
48:54I'm sorry. It's assistant head coach. There are differences and special teams coach.
48:58He's been that in both of those roles for a while.
49:01EB is back. Eric B enemy is the offensive coordinator.
49:04And I will say again, because he was before and Steve Spagnuolo, who we've mentioned many times already during the show, still the defensive coordinator.
49:12So while it is 2026, it could be 2022 or 2021.
49:16We're going to talk more about the assistant coaches on this staff.
49:19And the old line coaches, Andy heck who up until last year in this episode, we said, look, he's got a lot of pressure on him.
49:28He's got a lot of things he needs to solve.
49:31They cannot be as bad as they were the year before at that point, which was 2024 or sorry, 2023 when we
49:38were recapping two years ago, he has stabilized line.
49:41They have also brought in more talent. Like you said, just before the break, we do think that the offensive line is going to be better.
49:49There are some question marks about Simmons health that are a little odd.
49:53I'll say, cause it started off as a, Oh, it's just a back thing.
49:57He'll be fine. We're just resting him. And now it's like, Oh, we're having other people look at it whenever it's an offensive line.
50:05And it's a back thing. And that's the sort of course that takes everybody's ears prick up a little bit.
50:11Some concern I would say is the current level of concern.
50:14But heck does a great job again, longtime player in the league himself, longtime offensive line coach, has worked with Andy for a long time.
50:22I actually think he will eventually probably get a shot at being a head coach, not super common for offensive line coaches,
50:29but if anybody gets one, I think Andy will probably get one.
50:33If he wants it, there's some assistance on this staff that don't really want to be head coaches.
50:39They might want, he might want to be an offensive coordinator at some point, but he might not want the top spot.
50:46Some guys don't, uh, the past game coordinator, another guy with pressure on him.
50:50Joe Blaymeyer fourth season in the role, 11th season with the chief.
50:54So not an unfamiliar face in any way, but when you look at how the past game has been really for like
51:01the last two years, yeah, you got some more pieces, but in terms of turning the heat on the seat up a
51:08little bit, uh, you got to make it happen this year.
51:11You can't be the way you were last year, which was just Pat slinging it and the guys not getting it done.
51:18You need to have them working in concert and Blaymeyer is going to have some pressure.
51:23Now, Andy famously doesn't cede to, or really even listen to outside pressure for the most part, but internally you got to
51:30think the staff is saying, okay, we've got a decent offensive line.
51:34We've got a bunch of weapons, Pat's back healthy.
51:36This, this has to click. We have to be a threat through the air again.
51:41Running backs coach is DeMarco Murray, very familiar name to NFL fans.
51:45He gets to work with this redone running back room, which I think is a lot of fun and has a lot of potential.
51:53Not really sure how he is as a coach, but I'm not going to say he's short groceries.
51:58That's for sure. Brett features stock and covered here.
52:01He's got plenty to work with. Uh, we'll see how that relationship between coach and running back room develops throughout the year.
52:08And then another coach with a ton of pressure on him, obviously wide receiver coach, Chad O'Shea.
52:13Now he spent the last six seasons with the Browns as long as their wide receiver coach and say what you will about their quarterback situation.
52:21Cause it has not been great. And that obviously impacts wide receiver stats.
52:26Here are the Cleveland receiving leaders for the last six years.
52:29In 2025, it was actually a tight end. It was Harold Fannin Jr.
52:33With a whopping 731 yards. Jerry Judy led all the wide receivers.
52:37You just wanted to prop up Fannin again. Don't lie.
52:40I really had to poke you in the ribs with that one.
52:44I did. 2024. Jerry Judy had 1229, but much like the chief's power score this year, bit of empty calories.
52:50The Browns just threw it to Judy early and often everybody said, CC Judy's good.
52:55And it was like, yeah, but what did it add up to?
52:58I'm not saying Judy's not good. It was certainly one of the career years for him, but in terms of impact as
53:05a sort of leading wide receiver, was it all that great?
53:09And it really wasn't the two years before that 23 and 22 was both Amari Cooper, 1250 and 1160.
53:15But again, Amari was more of a finished product by the time he made it to Cleveland.
53:20I'm not really going to give Chad O'Shea a ton of credit for developing Amari Cooper.
53:252021 Donovan Peoples Jones with 597 yards. Now DPJs.
53:28I cannot believe that was a leading receiver on a team with less than 600 yards.
53:33Correct. Oh my God. And we liked DPJ as a player.
53:37We thought, Hey, he's a good developmental wide receiver.
53:39But again, to have him as your leading wide receiver on a team at under 600 yards, I'm not gonna again, pin
53:46that on my bulletin board as a wide receivers coach and be like, see, see, that's what I got done.
53:53And in 2020, it was one Jarvis Landry. We have entered guys, name and dudes territory with 840.
53:58Probably took 135 catches to get there. Probably. Probably.
54:01Is Wondell Robinson before Wondell Robinson? Possibly. Defensive line coach, Joe Cullen.
54:05Fascinated to see how the, again, reinforcements that they brought in when we get to the losses section, you'll understand what I'm talking about.
54:12And that's Peter Woods and R. Mason Thomas in terms of who they brought in.
54:17They need one of those guys to develop as a true pass rush threat.
54:21If they don't, it's Chris Jones, another year older than 30 without another guy in the wings who is coming up to
54:28help support him, take pressure off him and eventually take the crown from him when he moves on.
54:34If you don't get that done. And again, the chiefs have not, they have invested high round picks and pass rushers.
54:41Felix and you Diki is ama. You know, you were talking, you were talking about your favorite pressure getter from last season
54:48who never became an alpha as a pass rusher.
54:50It's not that the team hasn't tried. It's not that Brett beach hasn't spent the capital, but they've not developed a young
54:57pass rusher in house and they need to. So pressure on Joe Cullen for that.
55:02And the defensive backfield, Dave Merritt starting safety tandem is where I get worried.
55:06Lloyd Gilman and Shamari Connor going to be put to the test in this division.
55:11He's got to hold up again. The corner depth is great.
55:15Safety depth at the starter position. Uh, let's hope that Dave Merritt can help hide those guys a little bit because one-on-one,
55:21neither one of them is great in pass coverage.
55:24Let's get to free agency year. Cause kind of an interesting subplot is how, you know, you know, the, the top line
55:31on the defensive line and linebacking core, largely the same.
55:34All the depth is different. Like basically the whole undercurrent of, of the chiefs front seven depth is getting swapped out this year.
55:42So looking at departures, Mike Pinnell gone, Mike Dana gone, Jerry Tillery gone, Derek Nottie gone, Charles Amenehu gone, Leo Chanel, who
55:48did contribute, uh, in that linebacking group quite a bit.
55:52Uh, gone. He's now with the commanders. Zach Pickens, bears legend, uh, gone.
55:56He's now with the giants. I just threw up in my mouth.
55:59Had to do it. Had to do it. Uh, Kareem hut gone, still a free agent.
56:05Juju gone, still a free agent. Although who knows it's Juju.
56:08He could be back by November. He tends to just find his way back to Kansas city.
56:13Uh, Brian cook is now a Bengal. Gardner Minshew is a Cardinal.
56:17Marquise Brown is an Eagle. Juwan Taylor and Juan, a Morris are both Falcons.
56:21God help him. Isaiah Pacheco is a lion. Trent McDuffie traded to the Rams.
56:26That was how they got the, the extra pick of the first round, uh, in the first place, uh, which gave them Peter Woods, I believe.
56:34Yeah, it was the second. Yeah. Second, first round that they traded him for.
56:38Uh, Jalen Watson is also now with the Rams Rams, just collecting ex chief corners at this point.
56:44So that's a lot of names. Each like a significant portion of their contributors.
56:48Yeah. Especially on a defensive line. When you look at long time chiefs and Pennell, Dana Tillery was more of a mercenary.
56:55Nadi's been there. Omena who's been there. Chanel obviously was drafted by them.
56:59Those guys, when you look at percentages of snaps, we're talking about almost everybody on that list outside of Zach Pickens was 30% or greater.
57:07And some of them over 50%. So while it is the depth, we talk about, you need waves.
57:13It's kind of like hockey lines these days in terms of defensive lines.
57:17They're all contributors. And when you take six of those guys, seven of those guys and rotate them out, it's a pretty
57:24big statement that, you know, it wasn't working for multiple reasons, whether it was age, wear and tear money, or just lack of function.
57:32And we're going to clean out the bottom two thirds of our defensive line rotation and, and refill it.
57:38Um, some with younger players, again, some with additions from outside.
57:41So it's a pretty big statement. Again, teams are going to tell you what they do by what they actually do, not what they say.
57:49They might say, oh yeah, we're totally happy with our defensive line.
57:53And you get to the losses section. You're like, really?
57:56Cause seven of them are gone. And that's off of a 53 man roster.
58:00So, uh, maybe not. Um, the other one, like Gardner Minshew, not being there.
58:05Like it's not, it's not the hugest amount of impact, but it also might be unless, uh, one Garrett Nussmeyer is ready
58:11to be QB two because we'll, we'll get to him.
58:15He's, he looked pretty boy. He's look good. He looked pretty good.
58:18And he's going to have to, because I don't think Justin Fields is going to be the answer when they signed him
58:25to quote unquote, be the number two and possibly even start the season.
58:29If my homes wasn't going to be healthy, I was like, Oh, I don't think that's what you think it is.
58:36But I think they found that out and Gardner not being there forced their hand on that.
58:41I mean, again, they didn't want to resign Gardner.
58:44They wanted to make a change there. They kind of, we'll talk about Nuss when we get to the draft, but, um,
58:51he, he better be ready because if you're going to be rolling out, uh, a QB two and have, let's just say
58:58it flatly, almost a zero hope of victory. You can't afford that in the modern NFL, because even if Pat has a
59:05setback, just knee soreness or something, and you've got to, you know, give him a week off.
59:10Not that Pat would ever take a week off.
59:13You have to chop his leg off. For knee soreness.
59:16there's no way. But if for any reason, Justin Fields had to be in the game, I don't think you can have
59:23a reasonable expectation as the chiefs that you're going to win that game.
59:27So that puts a hell of a lot of pressure on a rookie low round draft pick, uh, because you don't have
59:34a veteran like Gardner Mitchell there anymore. I've seen Pat Mahomes after his ankle was turned 90 degrees sideways, take off and scramble at 20 miles an hour.
59:43Like he's, he is so unreasonably different when it comes to toughness, pain tolerance, the ability to just ignore injury completely.
59:49Like I remember watching him like get absolutely enraged throwing his helmet because he had to go get checked out in the locker room one time.
59:58Yeah. Cause he didn't want to come off the field.
60:01Like he is, he's ridiculously tough, wildly competitive, ridiculously tough, and is just going to play through it and play at a high level.
60:08I mean, even when limping on one leg, we saw that, you know, a few seasons ago and it's like, Oh, he can't possibly be as effective.
60:17And he just wills through it in a way that not a lot of people are able to.
60:22I think one of the best Nick Wright quotes is best quarterback in the world is Patrick Mahomes.
60:28Second best quarterback in the world is Patrick Mahomes on one leg.
60:32And I was like, not wrong. Not, not that far from true.
60:36If it is wrong, um, in terms of where the chiefs spent their money in the off season, it starts with one Patrick Mahomes.
60:43And again, this is in re signings extensions. Uh, all of them rolled into one Patrick Mahomes, Travis, Kelsey, drew tranquil as a restructure.
60:51Um, and then two receivers, Taequann Thornton and Nico Remy, Oh, cause he got it.
60:55We got to bring up Nico. Um, again, guy we talked to at the tribal, uh, really modern day alone, by the
61:02way, I was going to ask where every week we get one.
61:06It's going to ask where he went to high school, but has returned versatility.
61:11Again, the Taequann Thornton and Remy Hill contracts aren't large.
61:14Uh, drew tranquil was actually a reduction over year, over year, Travis Kelsey and extension for three years, uh, to keep him
61:21in town, presumably to retire as a chief and Mahomes.
61:24Look, it's Mahomes. You're, you're going to get him what he needs, uh, whatever he asked for, because when you have a
61:31quarterback of that quality in the building, you, you just do that.
61:34It like it's, it's foregone conclusion. You make sure it happens.
61:38As far as, uh, where they spent their money outside the building, bringing in third party free agents, Amari DiMarcato, the aforementioned Amari.
61:45DiMarcato, coming in about 1.2 million cater Kohu about 1.8 million.
61:49Maybe we see him get involved in the nickel.
61:51Uh, not rotation. Scrum. I guess rotation. That's from the scrum gathering.
61:55Yes. Gathering. Kerfuffle. I don't know how you describe it.
61:58Um, Joshua Zudu coming in about 1.3 million. They traded for Justin Fields.
62:02We'll see if he holds, I know he's paying or getting paid $11 million a year, but like Garrett, not sponsored.
62:09Oh my God. I don't know. We'll see. Um, Kearstonga.
62:12That was actually one of the sneakier off season signs by any team.
62:16So good. 7 million for Kearstonga. I was like, sign me up.
62:20I can't believe the bears didn't beat that number.
62:23Well, for, for how much they needed DT for bears legend, curious Tonga.
62:27Oh, that's right. He was there. How did, how did he get out of the building?
62:32He was not the player. He was in new England, but he was good.
62:36And he was cheap for sure. Uh, but they were looking for, you know, they wanted the Javon Dexter's of the world.
62:43They wanted guys that penetrate. They wanted Grady. They wanted Zach Pickens.
62:47Uh, well, they wanted the idea of Zach Pickens.
62:50Let's put it that way. But no curious was a younger player.
62:54I liked him. He was incredibly cheap, but he was one of the guys that filled those very valuable downs bottom of the roster player, right?
63:02He was a, he was a bottom five on a 53.
63:05He was up and down between the practice squad.
63:08Obviously goes, uh, he had another stop and then he went to the Patriots and it for the Patriots just blossomed again
63:15under their coaching and with the other players that he was learning from there.
63:19He was a force. He was tremendous last season.
63:22So well worth the 7 million. I would say that's a value.
63:26And the chiefs are going to literally lean on him because again, all the guys we mentioned that left town that used to do that role.
63:34That's curious his job now. Just a really, really underrated player.
63:38Um, also brought in Lowy Gilman from the Ravens, uh, to be a starting safety for them.
63:43Obviously, Kenneth Walker was the biggest money they spent.
63:46Uh, about 14.3 million, which I think is what eight or 9 million less than what B.
63:51Sean and Gibbs got off the top of my head.
63:54I think they were in the 22, 23 ballpark.
63:57I think that's a pretty good deal. If you're, if you're getting him at rough napkin math, 60% of the top of
64:04the market, that's a really, really good deal for running back.
64:07That was top three and explosive. Yeah. Especially for that fit, that piece specifically, the thing he's best at is the thing that chiefs need the most.
64:16So for that, it's a tremendous deal. In fact, I'm just, I'm looking it up right now where he is in terms of highest paid running backs.
64:24Cause normally if you're freshly signed at your position, you're going to be way up there.
64:29So he is one, two, so 22, five is the top of the market with you mirror.
64:35And then 22, two fifties B John. So they're right next to each other.
64:39So one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine.
64:42So before he even plays a down as a chief, he's already the ninth highest paid running back.
64:48Yep. That's good. In a couple of years, he's going to be like relatively dirt cheap.
64:53Yeah. So I, I like that deal a lot.
64:56That's awesome for the quality of player that he is.
64:59Um, with Jerry Snead, again, also brought in for 1.2 might be the starting nickel.
65:04We'll see Spags has kind of hinted that he's in the mix for that.
65:08But Jerry apparently is down to do whatever. Uh, although I will say as we get into the draft, so we're recording
65:15this during the chiefs last preseason game. Mm-hmm. Man, sir, Delaney just made a hell of a tackle out on the edge in run sport.
65:23And I'm like, Hey man, that's kind of requirement.
65:26Number one for being a nickel these days, you got to be able to play the run.
65:31And I would not say that he was a weak corner against the run at LSU, but the fact that he's showing
65:38like, yeah, I can square up with a receiver, beat the block, get to the running back, make a form tackle, drive
65:45him back like zero yards gained after contact. If he can do that, maybe we consider delaying it nickel and the Jerry's outside.
65:52I guess we'll see. I guess we'll see again.
65:55That's going to be a call for the defense coordinator to say, where do my guys work the best?
66:01And if you've got that capacity from both of them, you don't really care.
66:05If you go, all right, man up switch release.
66:08Oh, you're actually going to follow the receivers. That's fine.
66:11You, you know, I don't feel worse about you being in that fit inside.
66:16I don't feel bad about the offense, trying to manipulate me or you to put you in that spot because jokes on them.
66:23You can do both things. So never bad. Again, the more you can do in the NFL, the more you can do.
66:30But again, getting into the draft, UDFA, it did start at pick six overall with Mansoor Delaney, the excellent corner out of
66:37LSU, my top corner on the board. It was a huge need for them, obviously after the trade.
66:42And I think they did as well as they possibly could.
66:46And very, very well. That is not to say, Oh, well in this class, I guess that's the best you could do.
66:53You did great. You got a corner who is going to be a perennial starter on the outside from his rookie season.
67:00That's what you need. If you're drafting a corner in the top 10, that's what you need.
67:05I think they got it with this player. I love his tape.
67:09And when they traded up, that was them basically saying like, nobody else in this class is even close to him.
67:15Like, we don't think we can get a day to value, or we don't think as far as defensive linemen that, or
67:22rather I should phrase it this way. The shelf at corner hit a lot faster than almost every other position in this draft.
67:29And so they thought they could get a defensive lineman late day one.
67:34They thought they could get receivers late. They thought they could get an extra running back late.
67:39They thought they could get a pass rusher, an edge rusher on day two.
67:43And they were correct. They could not get anything remotely as good as Mansoor Delaney at corner on day two.
67:50It's just the nature of what this corner class was.
67:53There were players that we liked. Like, I genuinely like Chris Johnson a lot as a prospect.
67:58It's not the same category as Mansoor Delaney. Like, that is a guy who, if you told me in three years, he's
68:05getting the market resetting deal at corner, I would 100% believe it.
68:09He is incredible in man coverage. Tough, physical, technically refined, physically gifted.
68:13As far as tier of corner coming out, somewhere in like the Gonzo realm, I would say for me.
68:18And Gonzo's incredible. He's amazing. He's been worth the pick.
68:22Can't believe he fell to 17 or whatever it was with the Patriots.
68:26He shouldn't have been available that late. So I think the Chiefs were like, he's there.
68:31We're going to go up. We're going to get him.
68:34And we trust that we can find, say, a Peter Woods at 29th overall, because we're not going to get a corner that good that late.
68:42Yeah, I think they took one look at Spaggs and said, which one do you want?
68:47And he was like, I want that one. If you're asking me, I want that one.
68:52Do what you need to go get them. And they did.
68:56I don't think they're going to be sorry about that at all.
68:59They come back in the back half of the first round at 29, get Peter Woods, defensive tackle out of Clemson.
69:06Penetrator. Was it divisive figure in draft circles? Because has flashes.
69:09And again, had, I think higher highs on tape earlier in his career than this year.
69:14His last year at Clemson felt very much like a letdown.
69:18And everybody was like, okay, which one are you getting?
69:21Is this going to be a bounce back year?
69:24Or is this going to be a continued downward trend?
69:27And I think however teams saw that debate is where they valued Peter Woods on their board.
69:32If they thought, Hey, you can get back to where he was last year or year before.
69:38In this case, we'd be willing to pick him back half of the first round.
69:42No problem. If they thought, well, I have more questions and answers about his 2025 tape.
69:47He was probably a day to pick. And that's where their comfort would kick in, in terms of risk.
69:53In case he didn't ascend to those heights. I would say that squarely puts the chiefs in the category of, ah, he's done it once.
70:01We like it. We think we can get it out of him again.
70:05And they really need him to, they need that pass rusher.
70:09Again, they picked one in the previous draft that you really like.
70:13We didn't get to see him healthy. They still haven't gotten one, right?
70:17They still haven't gotten that dominant interior pass rushing threat that can do it a couple of times a game and just puncture pockets and really upset offenses.
70:25And they're hoping Peter Woods can be that guy.
70:28He was one of the prospects that I, I don't think anybody really agreed on.
70:33Correct. Right. When you ask around all of our friends in the draft space, you asked about Peter Woods, you're going to
70:40get 10 different answers from 10 different people. Right.
70:43Some people really believe in the 2024 tape. Some people couldn't get past 2025.
70:47Some people heard he didn't interview. Well, some, some people heard that, you know, wasn't great working out, but was interviewing really well.
70:54And nobody could get a read on him. Like really nobody could get a read on it.
71:00I'm not going to be arrogant enough to say that I have a read on him.
71:05I don't know what they're getting. Like if they're getting the player that was on tape in 2024, sure.
71:11It'll work out. Can I guarantee that's what it is?
71:14No. Like it's very much a wait and see.
71:17I would hope. I hope that the chiefs are right on this because if they are great, they got a massive value
71:24at 29, but I, I have no idea. I have no idea if he's going to work out.
71:29Nobody has any idea if he's going to work out very much a swing for the fences type of thing, but they had an extra first rounder.
71:38And so they were like, screw it. If we're going to do something with this pick, we're going to try to hit home run.
71:45And that's the home run, um, pick or attempt.
71:48Yeah. We should say late in the first round.
71:51Yeah. That's what it always is until they put it on grass.
71:55It's an attempt in the second round with the 40th overall pick, they go and get our Mason Thomas, the edge from Oklahoma.
72:02Now this is a fireball or off the edge who was flashed in the preseason.
72:07It looked really good again, had limitations on his college tape, but does provide pass rush, splash, flash.
72:12There were a lot of almost kind of pass rushers in this draft.
72:16In fact, I would say most of them were like, Oh, well, great physical skills, but the production wasn't there or great
72:23physical skills, but his technique needs work or, you know, Hey, he's just not that tall or he's got short arms or whatever else.
72:31There were just a lot of nicks on players and our Mason Thomas kind of settled.
72:36I would say pretty solidly into that second tier pass rusher, but he does pop on tape in terms of adding explosion to your pass rush.
72:44He's shown that in the preseason. We'll have to see if he can carry that through to the regular season.
72:50But again, if it works out, if either one of these guys work out, God forbid, both of them work out.
72:57Wow. Perfect timing. Oh, is this an our Mason Thomas rush?
73:00So again, just logging this for myself, first quarter, four 50 left on the clock.
73:05What did we talk about earlier? Right. Where it's George call off this going 13 yards deep in the pocket.
73:11Cause he can't turn the corner. Our Mason Thomas could turn the corner.
73:15Didn't get there, but he, he turned the fucking corner.
73:19Like that's what he can do. He can bend and dip.
73:22He's got great explosion. He's got good power. I would say his arsenal of pass rush moves is good.
73:28Uh, I rank that coming out of college. Does he need to continue to develop it?
73:33Yes, but he is not technically non-proficient as a pass rusher.
73:36He's pretty well schooled with his hands and can get that shoulder down around the outside.
73:41And that is a valuable commodity to the NFL.
73:44It's the reason he went 40th overall. And again, the chiefs double dip with woods and Thomas and say, gotta make this pass rush, not toothless.
73:52We gotta make people fear this a little bit more than they do.
73:57And again, if both of them work out, look out, that would be a terrifying combo with the players.
74:03They already have, man. If he's given me this rep that I'm watching right now, three times a game, he's going to be good.
74:10He's going to be good. Like tackles. Like it was one-on-one with the tackle.
74:14And it's, you think you got deep enough until he's on top.
74:18You realize, well, that's bad phrasing. Yeah. Yeah, it was.
74:21You think you hit your landmark. You know what?
74:24I'm going to move on. Good choice. He's good.
74:27He's good. He's good. You want two shovels? Oh boy.
74:30Fourth round. Anyway, Jaden Kennedy. Yeah. We skip all the way from, uh, early in day two to early in day three,
74:37they go from pick 40 all the way down to pick one Oh nine, which is in the fourth round.
74:43And they get Jaden Kennedy, the corner out of Oregon.
74:47I say corner hesitantly because he played some safety.
74:49He played some nickel. He played some star. He was all over the place.
74:54And one of the players I thought was wildly underrated when I was going to the university of Oregon pro day.
75:00I'm always doing film study the night before just to kind of freshen up and say, okay, who do I really want to watch?
75:08Which drills do I not want to miss? Where should I be on the field?
75:13And like Jaden Kennedy was a guy that I watched and I called a bunch of people.
75:18I texted him at that point. Cause it was like 11 o'clock at night before the pro day on the West coast.
75:25And I said, where did, where are you with Jaden Kennedy?
75:28Like I just watched him again. And I actually think he's pretty good.
75:32Like I would pick him in the middle rounds and a lot of draft sites.
75:37If you're talking about consensus boards at that point, not all the way through the spring had him undraftable sixth round late, late fifth round.
75:45I didn't see him above late, late fifth round.
75:48And I was like, I don't know with his versatility, the way he hits, um, ended up having a conversation locally here with Doug for our about him.
75:57And Doug was like, I'll check him out. Got a text from Doug.
76:01Like two days later. He's like, yes, I fully agree.
76:04We're on the same page. I think he is much better than his current ranking.
76:09He's versatile. He fits in what modern NFL defenses are doing and needing for players like him.
76:14I don't care what the designation is. I don't care what the pedigree is.
76:18One of those guys that transferred later in his career and just kind of got lost.
76:23Didn't have the same amount of impact late at Oregon that he did earlier.
76:28Just kind of got lost in the wash a little bit.
76:31Does not mean he's not a good football player, folks.
76:34He is a very valuable defensive back. And I think he got picked at the right place.
76:40I know a lot of people looked at him in the fourth round and went who, and I was like, actually that's
76:47pretty square with the value I had for him.
76:49He's very spags coded. Yep. I'm not entirely sure what spot he's going to play, but I think he's going to be good at it.
76:57And they've always done this, right? They find their day three darlings at DB that come in and play snaps and are good contributors.
77:05Like would not be the first or the second or the third time that that's happened in Kansas city.
77:11It's actually one of the things they're very, very good at.
77:14Yeah. I thought the Emmett Johnson pick was a tremendous value.
77:18He was my fourth ranked running back in this class.
77:21I thought, again, there was a gap between obviously the top running back, the next running back, there was a gap.
77:27And then there was a gap between, there was only one player in each of tier one and tier two for me.
77:34And then obviously it was a second back in tier three, but that very much felt like a, okay, late, late, late
77:41third round, or really where I was comfortable with my tier three guys was the top of day three or the top of the fourth round.
77:49And the guy right before him was Mike Washington jr.
77:53Who's also been lighting it up for the Raiders.
77:55But Emmett, I thought was one of the most well-rounded backs and the back that had the best chance to be a
78:02sort of one, a starter eventually, especially because he is very good running the ball inside and out.
78:08He's tough. He has good vision. He's decent in the passing game as well.
78:12He doesn't need to come off the field. And there were a lot of backs that had nicks in their armor in
78:19this particular draft where you're like, wow, he's going to be a good situational guy.
78:24He's going to be a good two. He's going to be a good three because you know, he's a better pass receiver.
78:31Like Emma Johnson was like, no, you can just plug him in and ask him to do anything a running back would do for you.
78:39And he's going to do it at a high level.
78:42And he has very productive runner out of Nebraska.
78:45And I feel like probably sooner rather than later, he might take the two spot as much as I like Dean Mercado.
78:52And I really do. I think Emma Johnson could very well be RB two on this roster pretty quickly.
78:58Shall we finally talk about your 2026 Kansas city chiefs wide receiver one Cyrus Allen.
79:02It's about time each. It is time. Everybody else has done it and beat us to it.
79:08So fifth round one 76 Cyrus Allen, the other receiver out of Cincinnati, if you want to call him that who I had a good grade on.
79:16I thought fifth round was a perfectly fine selection for him.
79:20He is not a one trick pony. We talked about Kyle Williams earlier in the program and Cyrus Allen is a better route runner.
79:27That was the thing that jumped out of me at tape was it was like, Oh, he's, he's quick.
79:33And he says, I was like, yeah, but look at the routes, look at the stems, look at his footwork, look at him very speeds.
79:41Look at him make catches again, in breaking routes, outbreaking routes, a little bit down the field.
79:46Like he's not the, the deep, deep threat guy, but underneath routes, inside, outside, good stop game understands how to set up defensive backs.
79:54I was like, this is a, this is a very crafty wide receiver.
79:58Again, incredibly deep wide receiver class. I think I watched 35 wide receivers this year for the draft.
80:04And that certainly wasn't even all of them. And Cyrus Allen held his own in that group.
80:09So I thought fifth round one 76, just like Emmitt Johnson, the other fifth round pick, I was like, this is good value.
80:16I would have taken him right in this range.
80:19Now. I was not predicting that he was going to have the camp that he's had be the darling of Kansas city
80:26before we're even out of August, but wasn't surprised with where he got picked.
80:30Uh, I thought it's going to be a tough room for him to crack because as the way I saw his pre-draft
80:37talent compared to everybody else in the Kansas city wide receiver, I was like, man, he's going to be fighting for snaps.
80:44He's going to be looking for a role. He's going to be wide receiver.
80:48I don't know, five, six, six. He's going to have to play special teams.
80:53It looks like maybe he's better than that already.
80:56One of the comps that I heard, which I thought was so interesting and also so perfect.
81:01Can he be diet Emmanuel Sanders? Similar size, right?
81:04Five 11 buck 80 buck 85, somewhere in there, right?
81:07Great separator, tough as nails drafted as like wide receiver three, but works his way up to being more than that.
81:14Mm-hmm played forever because he has a skillset that translates.
81:17Now Emmanuel Sanders was fast, like really, really fast, way faster than people think.
81:21Um, I don't know if Cyrus Allen has that kind of gas, but as far as that arc of, okay, here's an undervalued receiver.
81:29That's a great separator catches everything. Can he, can he become more than what his draft status status suggested?
81:35I think he can. I think he kind of already is.
81:38Yeah. Just because nobody else in this receiving core really has his skillset.
81:42Xavier Worthy's faster. Sure. Is he better at being a wide receiver?
81:46I haven't seen evidence that he is so far in his third year of his career.
81:51Yeah. Some of that was, was on Worthy's tape too, in terms of everybody's like, well, he's just the fast guy.
81:58And there was more nuance there. There was not as much nuance as there was from Cyrus Allen.
82:03Like Cyrus Allen doesn't have that blazing speed to rely on that Worthy does.
82:08So I think he has to be better in multiple ways.
82:11Like being a wide receiver, any job in football, being a quarterback, being a running back, being a wide receiver, being a defensive lineman.
82:19There's a lot that goes into it. You're required to do a lot of different things, have a lot of different skills, have a lot of understanding.
82:27And in terms of being a sort of holistic wide receiver, being able to do lots of things at a high level,
82:34Cyrus Allen is better at doing many of those at a high level.
82:38Whereas Worthy has some higher highs and does have some versatility.
82:42He's not just a speed threat, but he is also not as versatile as Cyrus Allen.
82:47And we've got Garrett Nussmeyer. This is the one, you know, there, there were some, there were some things he was playing through in 2025.
82:54So a lot of people have said, okay, the Garrett Nussmeyer from 2025, is not the real Garrett Nussmeyer.
83:00You're really more looking at what he was the year before that.
83:04When a lot of people were like, oh, he's going to be a day one guy kind of fell off the face
83:11of the earth last season for multiple reasons, right?
83:14You see what he's done this off season. And it kind of sort of reminds me of the Brock Purdy arc from a few years ago, right?
83:22Where, okay, Brock Purdy goes to Will Hewlett, trains with him out in Florida.
83:27In between his last year, not even in between his last year at Iowa state, in between the shrine bowl.
83:33Yeah. And the combine, and then into training camp added 10 miles per hour in velocity in three to four months because
83:40he was completely tearing down and rebuilding his mechanics.
83:43We like really just was a brand new quarterback compared to what we saw that in the shrine bowl practice week where we watched him live.
83:51We're like, I don't know if that's NFL quarterback get to training camp a few months later.
83:56And you're like, is he the best backup quarterback here?
84:00Which I was still wrong. He was actually the best quarterback there, period.
84:04Right. Took over and, and has really not given that job back since he's, he's been good for them.
84:10So it is possible to see a quarterback who just flat out is better as a pro than in college because they
84:17finally go to the right coach or the right, you know, QB guru, or they've changed their diet or, you know, they
84:23finally get healthy because they've been, you know, something's been nagging them throughout college and they finally have recovery time.
84:30Some guys are just better. Once they get into a professional environment, Garrett Nussmeyer might be that because if you're looking at
84:37what he's done in camp and in preseason, that doesn't look like 2025 Garrett Nussmeyer.
84:41Now this is very much the Peter Woods discussion, which again is an earlier chiefs draft pick on the defensive side of the ball.
84:49But Nussmeyer's 2024 tape was legit in terms of we're excited.
84:52He gets another year. He's going to hopefully continue to develop.
84:56If he does, he's going to be in the conversation for the top quarterback pick.
85:00Right. And then, you know, what happens happens in college football.
85:04He did not have a great 2025. He was not must watch TV every week and the tape wasn't great.
85:10But if you did, if you dabbled and you went back and looked at 20, 20 for you, like, no, I wasn't kidding myself.
85:18There's some really nice throws there. Pro level ability on tape.
85:21I, you know, not to say I did this with Peter Woods, but with Garrett Nussmeyer, I did.
85:27I came down on the 2024 tape because of the value of quarterback.
85:31And Nussmeyer was my QB three in tier two in this class.
85:35It was not a great class. Mendoza one, Ty Simpson and Nussmeyer were my tier two, only two guys in it.
85:41And I thought if he gets anywhere near 2024, again, lands in the right situation, works with the right coach, gets healthy.
85:48The other thing is he had a really bad pre-draft process.
85:52Teams were really upset with the way he approached it.
85:55He did not kowtow to teams and teams don't like that.
85:58And a bunch of them held it against him.
86:01That's why he lasted the seventh round. We'll show you, you don't have that much great tape.
86:06Your 2024 isn't worth that much to us. And that's why he was available down in the seventh round with all those
86:13skills might be mixed in with some injury stuff.
86:16Again, we don't know about the medical side, but you go back to that 2024 tape when he was firing and I
86:23do mean firing and it looks more like what you've seen flashes of in the preseason.
86:28And you know, if he can put it together, that is going to be the biggest poker chip pick of the entire draft.
86:35I'll let you kind of walk us through UDFAs for the most part here, but I do want to bring up first
86:42Jaden Ott, running back out of Oklahoma. Yeah. DeMarco Murray was his running backs coach at Oklahoma, which I imagine is why
86:49he went to Kansas city because DeMarco Murray likes him.
86:52Yeah. Jaden Ott again, so funny coming off the Nussmeyer conversation because Jaden Ott coming out of Cal was a highly sought after transfer.
87:00Oklahoma was considered to have won his rights and that was going to be, they had their import running back and their
87:07import quarterback and man, weren't they going to set the world on fire?
87:11They didn't really get a great season out of either one of them.
87:15Lots of not great stuff coming out of the Oklahoma program.
87:18But again, if in terms of reports about Jaden Ott, I'm not talking about the program overall.
87:24I'm talking about it didn't go very well for him at Oklahoma.
87:28And that happens for lots of guys for lots of reasons.
87:31But again, having his position coach in college say, no, I'm vouching for this guy.
87:36I'd like to see him come in. But again, a guy whose star was much, much higher in 2024 than it was in 2025.
87:43And again, this entire UDFA class, we talked about this right after the draft.
87:48This was one of the ones we were really excited about.
87:51Cause if you looked at this right after the draft, when they finalize this UDFA class, yeah, Jeff Caldwell, the, the receiver
87:58from Cincinnati, I would say ahead of Cyrus Allen, the big, tall, fast one.
88:02That was just dripping with potential. If you like Ted Hearst, you really were in the Jeff Caldwell camp.
88:08John Michael Gillenboard, my favorite tight end from again, 2024.
88:12There's a theme here. Had I had an injury, didn't play great in 2025.
88:16He's been placed on reserve injured. You know, just looked at this and went, man, they have all this.
88:22And the guy that ends up being the biggest star out of this whole class was not one.
88:28We really sort of thought much about. It's Khalil Benson, who is a roster lock.
88:32I checked with my buddies in Kansas city and said, is it, you know, it looks like that guy is just absolutely golden ticketed to the 53.
88:41And they were like, yes, 100%. Khalil Benson will be on this roster again, right.
88:45Tackle out of Indiana. And we didn't really even sort of have a lock on him.
88:50He goes and works with any heck and he looks like a starter.
88:55And you're like, okay, if you get a starter as a tackle and you do, if I'm not saying he's going to
89:01start on this team, he looks like he has starter level talent.
89:05That's good enough for the whole UDFA class, but all the other names called well, Gillen board.
89:11This was a, ah, this was a star studded UDFA class that really sort of got cut down by injuries.
89:17Um, and made to look not quite as exciting.
89:20Um, speaking of exciting though, huh? Mama, don't let your boys grow up to be wide receivers.
89:25Um, Omari Evans wide receiver. I got to see at the Washington pro day, ran a four to eight 40 and jumped 41 in the vert.
89:33Didn't get drafted. He's a UDFA. He is on this team.
89:37And if you can run a four to eight, not get drafted after playing at a power five school, like, Oh man, shove them in there.
89:45We saw, we saw Husky receivers get drafted like eighth overall for running that before and stay in the league for 15 years.
89:52Oh, but put them in the cornerback line, man, because it's amazing to me that that's the case.
89:58Not that Omari Evans is the greatest wide receiver, but he did have flashes.
90:02His physical skills are off the charts and you end up as a UDFA.
90:07NFL is a tough league to crack full of elite athletes.
90:10Before we get to our ceiling and floor once more, uh, want to plug our partners over at homage.
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90:45Anything you get from homage. We do like kind of like a profit sharing thing with them.
90:51Uh, it's great partnership. So it's a good way to kind of indirectly support the show and also support your favorite team.
90:58So again, thank you to homage for partnering with us once again.
91:02And with that, EJ ceiling and floor. I'll let you take the lead on this one because you don't want to, it's going to be one.
91:10It's one of the wider ranges that I think we'll see this series.
91:14Yeah. I put the ceiling at 12 and I put the floor at nine.
91:18I thought about putting it at eight, but then I thought back to all the talent on the team.
91:24And if Pat's on the team, he's willed this team through far worse before.
91:29I can't see them winning. I can't see them being a losing team with this roster of Pat's healthy.
91:35Let me say that. So that's why I went with nine as my floor.
91:39So why I could all work. Pat back slinging it supported by a real running game with K walk.
91:45That's scary right there. Defense was already not terrible.
91:48They added Tonga, R Mason Thomas might be a few ticks better this year.
91:52That would be a huge swing for wins for Kansas city, which is where it really matters.
91:57Not so much the rankings or the power score, but in terms of wins, they couldn't seal games.
92:03They couldn't salt them away with the running game.
92:06If they could do both, it could be five, six wins swing to the positive for Kansas city.
92:12How could all fall apart? Wide receiver core can't separate, can't create on their own.
92:16They have to rely on patch magic. Again, K walk gets dinged up.
92:20Injuries hit the offensive line. Pass rush does not find that current contributor outside of Chris Jones.
92:26Jones Jones is another year past 30 starting safeties that we have some questions about get pushed to their limit.
92:32Even with all that, I will say this cheese fans, even if all that stuff happens, this team will be over 500.
92:39There is no way that they will be under 500.
92:42And if it all works, 12 wins competition for the division title, even with the other teams in their division, they could win it.
92:50If not 12 wins, I think most certainly gets them a playoff spot.
92:54And if you want to play the Kansas city chiefs with this coaching staff in the playoffs and my homes at quarterback, you are braver than me.
93:02So I don't feel crazy then for putting my ceiling at 13.
93:06No, because could totally happen on paper. Right. Okay.
93:09Fix corner. Get it. A real edge rusher. They can actually bend the corner.
93:13Shamard Connor, not playing nickel for me anymore. That right there is probably two or three wins for you.
93:19Oh, that's worth three wins on its own. Yeah.
93:22Um, offensive line, good and deep. Remember it's, it's not, um, it's not just Khalil Benson that they got, they got S a pole last year too.
93:30So like if they take an injury at tackle, they're okay.
93:34Yeah. I was actually more than way more worried about guard.
93:37And then they made the trade for his Zulu.
93:40And I was like, okay, now again, you're filling up the holes that I'm worried about.
93:45You're insulating yourself against worst case scenario. Right. So talented offensive line, good offensive line, great running back.
93:51Great quarterback. Who's just healthy again, because he's Patrick homes.
93:54He's a cyborg. It is what it is. If you can get one more good year out of Travis Kelsey and Chris Jones.
94:01And if Cyrus Allen is what we think he could be, which is just like a competent receiver, that's a 13 win team.
94:08I really do believe that. Like I've, I've, I've seen them win that many games with less.
94:14I'll, I'll say that. And I trust in the quarterback.
94:17I trust in the coaching staff. I trust in some of the talent they've brought in.
94:22I was wrong about him last year. I'll admit that.
94:25Surely I couldn't be wrong twice in a row.
94:28I've never seen it more than never seen more than once a day.
94:32No, we're not even talking about the biggest bump in wins possibly for the Kansas city chiefs, Matt Nagy, but no longer in town.
94:40I don't know that though. My, my floor is still eight though.
94:43Okay. High variance. Because if I am wrong, it'll fall apart exactly the way it did last year.
94:49Yeah. I just don't think where it's like, okay, I just don't think it'll fall as far.
94:54I, I really do think again, because not all of the things will fail.
94:59The offensive line might, but the offensive line and the secondary at the same time, maybe thin chance, the running back room, the offensive line and the second.
95:08No, they, they, there's too much depth there. And again, too much coaching horsepower.
95:12I do not feel the same way about Andy that I did about his contemporary in terms of coaching length.
95:18Harbaugh, right? John Harbaugh. I felt like Harbaugh, the game had passed him by to a point.
95:24And it's why I'm worried about the giants this year.
95:27One of the major reasons I'm worried about the giants this year.
95:30I don't feel that way about Andy. I don't feel that way about spags.
95:35Right. I definitely don't feel that way about EB.
95:38I think EB is a big upgrade. So coaching, if anything, going from Nagy to EB is also, by the way, worth a couple of wins.
95:46That's what I said. You don't even have the one thing is Matt Nagy not being in town is worth at least a couple of wins.
95:54And so if you add him and Jamari Connor together, it's plus five.
95:58That's, that's 11 right there before you even get started.
96:01Anyways, the coaching staff, very, very good. They have, they have done work all over this roster.
96:07Right now, wide receiver. It might not work out.
96:09Right. But still everything. You've got pat back and quarterback.
96:13You've got a way better running back room. You've got more depth at offensive line with players.
96:18We really like, you've got more defensive line depth and youth.
96:21Quite frankly, your secondary is, again, three players we really like have been added to that unit.
96:27It just feels like, yeah, some of them might fall off a little bit, but not all of them are going to
96:34fall off to the level they were at last year.
96:37They've done a lot of work. Well, cheese fans, let me know where you kind of fall in this.
96:43Cause you guys are, you, you guys obviously follow the team closer than even we do.
96:48And we try to cover each team as closely as we can, but we don't see every single day.
96:54The practice reports like you guys. So, you know, if I'm crazy, if we're saying that 13 is the ceiling and eight's
97:01the floor, if you think it's more of a narrower cone than that, please let me know down in the comments below.
97:08We'd love to hear your guys thoughts on that.
97:10Remember tomorrow's episode is the chargers who once again have unreasonable expectations in the off season.
97:15We will see how long those expectations hold up because a lot of it relies on the offensive line, staying healthy and they've already taken a major injury.
97:24And it feels like every single year we say, Oh, if they just stay healthy, they're going to be great.
97:30And then they don't stay healthy. And we look back in December and say, why didn't we see that coming?
97:37Kind of feels like we're about to do that again.
97:40But for now, as long as the chargers stay healthy, they should be a really, really great team.
97:46It's going to be fun to talk about them tomorrow.
97:49Tons of talent out there in LA. So come back for that tomorrow.
97:53And then we got the Broncos the day after that.
97:56And the day after that over on the Patreon, we have our AFC West wrap up where we pick our division winner.
98:03We pick our MVPs players of the year, rookies of the year, bold predictions, coach of the year, all that.
98:09So it is a loaded division, which means it's a loaded week.
98:13Thank you for being here. We'll see you tomorrow.
98:16We'll see you tomorrow.