Week 5 Fantasy Football Key Questions: Must-Start Players, Risky Rankings & Predictions (Ep. 2252)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
1 hr 15 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 9, 2026
Published
Fri, October 9, 2026
40
Player insights
37
Players mentioned
Topics
Drake MayeMike EvansAntonio WilliamsBraelon AllenBrian RobinsonBucky IrvingCarnell TateChris OlaveChristian WatsonChuba HubbardDak PrescottDK MetcalfEmanuel WilsonEmeka Egbuka
Player analysis
Player insights
Antonio Williams
PositiveUsage40:52
With injuries to other Commanders pass catchers, Antonio Williams is expected to be the unquestioned WR1 for the team, making him a viable high-end WR3 to low-end WR2 start.
Insight pageBraelon Allen
NegativeUsage29:20
Allen is a high-end to mid-range RB2 who maintains a massive snap share (94% last week). He is in a good position due to the Browns' poor run defense.
Insight pageBrian Robinson
PositiveUsage16:52
Brian Robinson Jr. is coming off four touchdowns in two weeks and is considered a superior start to Will Shipley.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveBreakout4:55
Bucky Irving has looked very good, highlighted by a 70-yard run against the Cowboys where he navigated through traffic.
Insight pageCarnell Tate
NegativeUsage37:17
Tate has elite usage metrics (7th in target share at 26.9%, 3rd in air yard share at 50.1%), but his fantasy output is capped by Cam Ward's struggles with accuracy.
Insight pageChris Olave
PositiveUsage25:27
Olave is a confident start despite the tough matchup. He has elite metrics against zone coverage, including a 31% target per route run rate and 3.43 yards per route run.
Insight pageChristian Watson
PositiveProjection42:42
Watson is ranked as a mid-WR2 (around WR11-13) and is preferred over Matthew Golden due to his superior efficiency against single-high safety looks, which the Bears run frequently.
Insight pageChuba Hubbard
NegativeUsage0:39
Chuba Hubbard is on a bye week, which is impacting fantasy lineups following his recent strong games.
Insight pageDak Prescott
NegativeProjection12:06
Dak Prescott struggled in the first half but played well in the second half; his two interceptions were largely due to tipped balls and drops by Jake Ferguson.
Insight pageDK Metcalf
NegativeValue35:00
Metcalf is ranked too high at WR21. The source notes recency bias in his rankings and points out that the Colts are better against outside receivers than slot receivers.
Insight pageDrake Maye
PositiveProjection20:14
Maye is a high-end QB1 and a must-start; his ability to make elite throws and his rushing floor (54 yards vs. Bills) make him a reliable fantasy asset. The panic from a week ago was unjustified.
Insight pagePositiveValue20:51
The source prefers starting Maye over Joe Burrow if both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are out. Maye is ranked as QB7 in consensus, closely valued against Jacoby Brissett.
Insight pagePositiveProjection30:46
Drake Maye is trending upward as a QB1 after a strong performance against the Bills, aided by improved play-calling (increased motion and play action).
Insight pageEmanuel Wilson
PositiveValue30:42
Wilson is undervalued in ECR; the source ranks him higher than both Quinshawn Judkins and Braylon Allen for Week 5.
Insight pageEmeka Egbuka
NegativeUsage9:03
Emeka Ebuka did not have a strong fantasy night, recording six catches for 36 yards, though he made a key third-down conversion.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens
PositiveUsage8:09
Derek Brown highlights George Pickens' performance on Thursday night, where he recorded nine catches for 130 yards and a touchdown.
Insight pageJa'Marr Chase
NegativeInjury26:38
Ja'Marr Chase is dealing with a concussion; he has a coin-flip chance to play, with his status dependent on clearing protocol by Saturday.
Insight pageJacoby Brissett
NegativeValue21:08
Brissett is ranked as QB6 in consensus, one spot ahead of Drake Maye, due to a favorable matchup against the Lions' secondary.
Insight pageJake Ferguson
NegativeUsage13:15
Jake Ferguson is criticized for failing to secure catches, contributing to Dak Prescott's interception total.
Insight pageJalon Daniels
PositiveProjection8:29
Jalen Daniels is providing competent quarterback play for the Bucs, utilizing his legs and benefiting from a strong game plan by Zach Robinson that simplifies reads.
Insight pageJayden Daniels
NegativeProjection41:13
Jayden Daniels is ranked as a low-end QB1 (QB10-11), but there is concern regarding his rushing upside and ball security due to an arm brace.
Insight pageJosh Allen
PositiveProjection111:14
The analysts expect a massive performance from Josh Allen on Monday night, with Fitz predicting a Bills win and Allen potentially reclaiming his status as the MVP favorite.
Insight pageJosh Downs
NegativeProjection32:28
Downs is ranked too high at WR23. The source is concerned about Daniel Jones's poor play and the Steelers' defensive strength against slot receivers.
Insight pageKenneth Walker III
NegativeUsage0:39
The source notes that Kenneth Walker is on a bye week, which is impacting fantasy lineups alongside his recent strong performance.
Insight pageKeon Coleman
PositiveBreakout109:59
Fitz predicts Keon Coleman will score another touchdown on Monday night, noting he is effectively the wide receiver handcuff in the Bills' offense.
Insight pageKyle Juszczyk
NegativeInjury47:21
Juszczyk is ruled out for Week 5 with a knee injury, which is viewed as a significant blow to the 49ers' offensive scheme.
Insight pageKyren Williams
PositiveUsage110:24
Debro projects Kyren Williams as the overall RB1 for the week, citing his elite usage over the last two games: 76.1% snap share, 23.5 touches per game, and 152.5 total yards per game, mirroring Christian McCaffrey's workload.
Insight pageMark Andrews
PositiveValue107:16
Mark Andrews is a four-star prop bet to go over 30.5 receiving yards, as the Falcons have struggled significantly against tight ends and the Ravens are expected to pass frequently.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr.
PositiveBust45:33
Harrison is considered a major disappointment with a 7.2% target share and sub-1.0 yards per route run. He is only recommended as a desperation start in deep leagues or due to extreme injury/bye week issues.
Insight pageMatthew Golden
NegativeProjection42:42
Ranked as a mid-WR2 (WR16-17), Golden is less efficient than Watson against single-high safety looks, which the Bears utilize on 63% of snaps.
Insight pageMike Evans
PositiveProjection48:04
Despite not being 100% healthy, Evans is viewed as an 'iron man' and a necessary difference-maker for the 49ers' offense against a tough Seahawks defense.
Insight pagePositiveUsage102:09
Despite health concerns, Mike Evans remains a high-upside play against Seattle's two-high coverage, boasting a 33% target per route run rate and 3.1 yards per route run this season.
Insight pageMike Gesicki
PositiveProjection22:16
Mike Gesicki is a strong start against the Dolphins, who have struggled against tight ends; he is ranked as a TE1 or high-end TE2 depending on the status of Chase and Higgins.
Insight pageQuinshon Judkins
PositiveUsage29:20
Judkins is preferred over Braylon Allen due to his involvement in the passing game, having recorded 15 receptions. He is a high-end to mid-range RB2.
Insight pageRJ Harvey
PositiveUsage44:00
Harvey is preferred over Hampton by some analysts due to his consistent pass-catching role, having recorded at least four catches in every game this season.
Insight pageRoman Wilson
PositiveBreakout33:08
Wilson is a strong start with Michael Pittman Jr. out. He has been efficient on a per-route basis (3.83 yards per route run) and benefits from Aaron Rodgers' aggressive deep-ball approach.
Insight pageTee Higgins
NegativeInjury28:15
Tee Higgins is unlikely to play this week as he has been listed as a DNP in practice despite some individual side work.
Insight pageTyler Huntley
PositiveValue107:06
Fitz identifies Tyler Huntley's passing yardage prop of 174.5 as a three-star bet to hit the over, noting the Falcons are a major pass-funnel defense.
Insight pageWill Shipley
NegativeValue13:37
Derek Brown advises against starting Will Shipley unless absolutely necessary, citing poor efficiency metrics (1.8 explosive run rate, 1.63 yards after contact) and a tough matchup against the Jaguars.
Insight pageZay Flowers
PositiveProjection104:17
Even if Lamar Jackson is out, Zay Flowers remains a top-12 wide receiver play. Debro notes his elite talent and consistent involvement, while Fitz highlights that Tyler Huntley has historically targeted Flowers at a high rate, even if the average depth of target is lower.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hello everybody, welcome into the FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast.
0:05I'm Ryan Warmly, joined by Derek Brown and Pat Fitzmaurice.
0:08We are talking Week 5 Key Questions, previewing the slate ahead.
0:12Just a reminder for everybody, as I always give, all of our weekly consensus rankings and tiers can be found at FantasyPros.com slash rankings.
0:19Also a reminder, a couple of teams are on by this week, I'm sure you remember, but just in case you didn't,
0:26it is the Panthers and the Chiefs, so we officially have fewer teams to be talking about on these episodes.
0:32Fewer players to be picking from in your lineups, and even though it's only two teams, it is really hitting me hard
0:39in a couple of leagues where I, you know, went heavy on Walker or McMillan or, you know, Chuba Hubbard.
0:45So I'm sure other people are in a similar boat there.
0:48Debra, how are you doing here heading into Week 5?
0:51Doing good, buddy. It was an interesting Thursday Night Football game, but I think we're all just collectively as a group, as
0:58a community, as a consortium, trying to just wade through what feels like Week 15, but it's only Week 5 because of
1:05injuries, and now we have bye weeks. Yeah, the injury bye week combo, particularly since guys like Kenneth Walker and Ted O'McMillan
1:12are coming, and Chuba Hubbard are all coming off such great games.
1:15It feels like a more impactful bye week, like I said already, and also all the injuries going on.
1:21That's a great call that it really does feel like a later season week here.
1:26Fitz, where's your head at right now through all this?
1:29Yeah, at least it's only two teams for this first bye week.
1:32The NFL is easing us into the boiling water rather than submerging us in a four-team or six-team bye week.
1:39So that's good, I guess. But yeah, there have been a lot of injuries to contend with.
1:44It's a lot to deal with. Patty, in this metaphor, are we all frogs?
1:48Is that where we're going with this? I think so, yes.
1:52But I tend to feel like it does feel as though the injuries – here's what I'll say.
1:57I really have always been somebody who prefers the stars approach in building a team.
2:02Like stars are what matter. Depth is kind of overrated.
2:05I want to trade my depth for stars, generally speaking, not in every circumstance, but just sort of as a high-level rule.
2:12This feels like a year where the depth might actually be what kind of carries you into the playoffs and a one-seed and everything like that.
2:20Just if you can survive this level of early injuries and bye weeks, that onslaught that's coming in the future.
2:26It might be a year where depth kind of rules things.
2:29Let's talk quickly about that Thursday game. A surprising finish, certainly based on the Vegas line.
2:3424-16 Bucs win. They get their first win of the season over the Cowboys in Dallas.
2:39And boy, Fitz, Cowboys just looked really bad. I don't even really know what else to say.
2:44They just looked – they stunk. Their defense – I thought everything on offense was fixable and there were some mistakes.
2:51But the defense was really bad and Christian Parker has not fixed things.
2:55And it's not Christian Parker failing to tackle Bucky Irving on that 70-yard run where he picked his way through all that
3:01traffic and probably should have been on the ground after like two yards.
3:05A lot of penalties like defensive backs grabbing guys when the Cowboys should have gotten off the field.
3:11Just really sloppy. And man, the NFC East is really topsy-turvy.
3:14I thought that was one of the easiest divisions to peg before the season.
3:19Probably the Eagles, maybe the Cowboys, not the Giants or the Commanders.
3:22I was totally wrong about that. Like the Giants or Commanders could win that division.
3:27I mean, is there a path to this being the worst division in football?
3:31Like I know we always think of that as like the NFC South.
3:35But man, if the Eagles are followed apart, trading way off – you know, losing offensive linemen, I should say.
3:41And they're not all trades. Cowboys just get blown out – not blown out, but like lose pretty handily at home to a winless Bucs team.
3:49Commanders have quarterback injuries. I know Jaden Daniels is coming back this week.
3:53The Giants, I'm not like a total believer in.
3:56Like it's topsy-turvy, but it also just seems really weak, D-Bro.
3:59Oh, yeah, I'm taking the NFC South over the NFC East.
4:03I mean, right now I think it kind of deserves the moniker of the NFC East.
4:08Look, they're a Jaden Daniels injury away from starting – or as Marcus Mariota's hurt – starting a late-round rookie.
4:14The Cowboys seem to have no type of defense, which – I mean, good Lord.
4:18We just need Joey Porter Jr. to actually be on the field.
4:22I know he was sick with a stomach bug last night and stuff, but this defense just looks – it's a lot
4:29of communication, a lot of blown coverage. And like Patty talked about, a lot of – just a lot of penalties, man.
4:36But to that point, the Eagles are melting down.
4:38They don't have an offensive line. Their defense hasn't come to play, and now they have injuries on that side of the ball.
4:45So, yeah, like I'll take the NFC South over the East.
4:49By the way, shouts to you, D-Bro. You were all over George Pickens this week, nine catches, 130 yards, and a touchdown on the Thursday night game.
4:57Any quick thoughts before we move on on the Bucs side of this one, guys?
5:02I mean, does this tell you more about the state of the Cowboys, or do you think there's signs of life here for Tampa Bay?
5:09I mean, obviously, Jalen Daniels is still an undrafted rookie quarterback here, kind of thrown into the fire sooner than you would expect.
5:17But he did lead this team to a road win last night, Fitz.
5:20I underestimated Jalen Daniels. He has actually looked pretty good commanding this team.
5:24And, like, he's not going to go out and throw for 300 or 400 yards.
5:29But he made enough throws, and he was kind of on target with a lot of the throws he made.
5:35I mean, there was that tough throw that he ripped to Emeka Ebuka for a first down on, like, third and 14 or something.
5:43A throw that Cowboys just cannot allow to be completed.
5:46But, yeah, he has impressed me so far. Bucky Irving has looked really good.
5:50And, you know, they're getting enough from their wide receivers.
5:53Like, Ebuka didn't really have a good night for fantasy.
5:56He made it happen with that touchdown run and six catches that went for, what, 30, 36 yards or something.
6:02But, yeah, it's the offensive line is still pretty good.
6:05And with a good offensive line, like, a lot of things can work out if you get competent quarterback play.
6:12And Jalen Daniels is giving them competent quarterback play.
6:14Debra? Yeah, I mean, my take away for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is I really want to give a shout-out to Zach
6:21Robinson here because I felt like the game plan that he handed to Jalen Daniels was very good.
6:27He wasn't asking too much out of the rookie quarterback.
6:30He used his legs. And, really, you could tell probably in the team meetings leading up to this, it was like, look,
6:36we're going to try to cut the field in half.
6:39Use your legs a good bit. Give you a lot of easy button throws.
6:44Now, I'm not taking anything away from his performance, but I really want to shout-out Zach Robinson here for the game plan
6:51that they designed for Jalen Daniels because you could also tell it was a lot of, like, okay, first, second read.
6:57That's not there. Use your legs. Take the easy yards that Dallas is going to give you.
7:02And they ran the ball well. So, the Bucs have life here.
7:06And, again, talking about the NFC South, like, if the East, we only see, like, the division winner come out of that.
7:13Could we see two wildcard teams come out of the South?
7:16I don't think it's crazy because it's not like anybody else is, like, blowing the doors off.
7:21A lot of these teams in the NFC have definitive holes as well as the Cowboys.
7:26And just quickly on their side, dude, I wish we had better context for interceptions because I know and everybody's going to,
7:33like, I'm not telling you that Dak Prescott played well because especially in the first half of this game, he was off.
7:40You could tell he was not settled in the pocket.
7:43He was ripping fastballs. And they were not on target many times.
7:46But the second half, I thought he played really good football.
7:50He gets credited with two freaking interceptions. Both of them get popped up in the air.
7:55And Jake Ferguson apparently has forgotten how to catch a football.
7:58So, I think Dak didn't play amazing. But he didn't play nearly as bad as probably what's going to be talked about
8:05considering the two interceptions, the Cowboys falling flat, yada, yada, yada.
8:08So, let's jump into the Sunday slate here. Excuse me.
8:11The London game this week. There's another one. Eagles at Jaguars.
8:15I want to ask you guys about Will Shipley.
8:17He was one of the biggest prizes on the waiver wire this week.
8:21But his reward to get the starting opportunity is an Eagles offensive line without Lane Johnson and Cam Juergens.
8:27He gets to travel to London to face a very, very strong Jaguars run defense.
8:32And he's in a game where his team is very much the heavy underdog.
8:36So, are you guys willing to start Shipley this week?
8:39Fitz, I actually asked you about this on the Thursday show yesterday.
8:43So, I want to start with Debro on this one.
8:46Debro, what do you think about Shipley this week?
8:49Not unless I am destitute and have no other options.
8:52I don't want to start him. Because I think the way it's gotten painted a lot through the week is like, okay, well, it's ugly.
9:00It's gross. Yes, the offensive line. But he's going to have touches.
9:03And he's going to be their bell cow. The team's talking up Damian Pierce a whole lot.
9:09And I'm afraid that anybody starting Will Shipley might see a lot more Damian Pierce than they choose to see.
9:15And now, could that also be in just like a change of pace role?
9:19It's definitely possible. But it's not like Will Shipley's ever been good in his NFL career, man.
9:24Like 59 NFL carries. And I know we have a small sample.
9:28He's produced 1.8 explosive run rate, 1.63 yards up to contact per attempt, and an 8% missed tackle rate.
9:34So, I'm worried about the volume. I'm worried about the talent of the player himself.
9:38I don't like the matchup. I don't like the offensive line.
9:42I don't like anything. Like, I think this could be like Will Shipley gets 12 touches, gets 30-something, 40-something total yards, and doesn't score.
9:49And you're hating life. He's RB 31 in consensus.
9:52Debra, some of the names behind him. J.K. Dobbins, Keaton Mitchell, Tyler Algier, Woody Marks, Marshawn Lloyd, Blake Corham.
9:58Are you considering those guys ahead of him? I would start Tyler Algier ahead of him.
10:03Because I know Jeremiah Love is not 100% with the ankle and stuff.
10:07And the rest of the guys, you're touchdown hunting.
10:09Okay. I'll give you guys a really good one here.
10:12Brian Robinson Jr. coming off four touchdowns in two weeks.
10:15He's going to sniff probably the same workload, but maybe in a better rushing attack.
10:20B-Rob or Will Shipley, guys? What do you think, Fitz?
10:23Shipley. Okay. So, Fitz, where are you at on Shipley?
10:26Again, RB 31 in consensus. We talked about this a bit with Jake on the show yesterday.
10:31Is he somebody that is a desperation play for you?
10:35Or more of a, hey, I'm okay putting him into my lineup given the expected volume?
10:39No, he's a desperation play. Because if you got him on waivers this week, it was probably out of desperation.
10:46And you probably paid a good bit of money for him.
10:49Yeah, we don't know how much of a role Damien Pierce is going to have.
10:54Could be a bigger role. I think what you're hoping for from Shipley is some production in the passing game.
11:00Because he was a pretty competent pass catcher at Clemson.
11:03And the Jaguars are tough against the run, but they've given up the second most receptions and the second most receiving yards to running backs.
11:10So, if Shipley can get you like four or five catches, you'll take that.
11:15Because, yeah, you probably were desperate. By the way, can I throw in something fun about the Eagles offensive line?
11:21Oh, please do. Which is in such disarray. Yeah, it's probably not going to be a source of fun for the Eagles fans in this game.
11:29But their new look offensive line is going to include a pair of rookies.
11:33Third round pick Markel Bell making a second start in place of Lane Johnson at right tackle.
11:38And undrafted rookie free agent Willie Lampkin is going to be making his first NFL start at left guard in place of Cam Juergens.
11:46Markel Bell is 6'9". Willie Lampkin is 5'11". I know Lampkin is the shortest offensive lineman in the league.
11:52Bell has to be the tallest, right? Yeah, because Daniel Falele with the Ravens was one of the bigger.
11:58But I think he was 6'8". I don't think he was 6'9".
12:01I don't think he got up there. That's enormous.
12:04Are we going to get the Derrick Henry and Mark Ingram meme?
12:08Is somebody going to snap the picture? I need this in my life.
12:12I need this. Please, somebody get this. I mean, the 6'9", Markel Bell.
12:16Yeah, that's interesting. But having a sub-6-foot offensive lineman is pretty crazy.
12:19And yeah, Falele is 6'8", by the way. Yeah, yeah.
12:22And he stood out on the field for how enormous he was next to the offensive lineman.
12:28And yet, this guy's even bigger. That's remarkable. Just quickly, where do you guys actually have Shipley ranked?
12:33I don't think I asked. 31. 33. 33. Injuries are still going to kind of sift out some of this stuff, though.
12:40Because, you know, we'll get to, you know, other games and stuff like that.
12:44But what happens when New England's backfield? What happens with the Green Bay backfield?
12:49If Chris Brooks misses? So, still some things to kind of be decided in rankings.
12:53Yeah. Let's get to the next game here. Bengals at Dolphins.
12:57You know, when I put this sheet together, I phrase this as with Jamar Chase and T.
13:02Higgins likely missing this week's matchup. I guess maybe there's more of a chance than I gave them credit for to be playing earlier in the week.
13:10So, let's sort of answer this as if they're not playing.
13:13Because if they are, like, you're not going to be starting guys like Dante Myers.
13:18But I think it's worth mentioning to them in case these guys end up not playing.
13:23It's Friday morning. We don't know 100% sure yet.
13:26So, with that caveat said, with those guys possibly missing this week's matchup, are you aggressively ranking Bengals like Mike Gasicki and
13:32Dante Myers since they have such a great matchup against Miami Fitz?
13:36It's... Gasicki's going to be tight end 11. Maybe even a little higher.
13:40I might try to get him up to number 10.
13:43Miami's been bad against tight ends. They got worked over by T.J.
13:47Hawkinson last week. They've been pounded by George Kittle.
13:50And then I would have Dante Myers something like wide receiver 34, 35.
13:54Like, I would probably put him just ahead of Dante Vee and Wicks, who have currently got wide receiver 35.
14:00Um, and man, the Dante Myers story is so cool.
14:03Just a quick version. Played college football at Presbyterian College in Delta State.
14:07Wasn't drafted. Wasn't signed as a UDFA. Had a tryout with the Falcons.
14:11Didn't make it. Didn't give up. Kept training and was working nights as a DoorDash driver.
14:16Paid $100 out of his own pocket to try out for the Saskatchewan Rough Riders, who gave him a futures contract, which is like practice squad.
14:24Um, got promoted late in 2024. In 2025, he has over a thousand yards and they win the Gray Cup, the Canadian Football League Championship.
14:31And then someone in the Bengals scouting department noticed him.
14:35They gave him a futures contract. He balled out in training camp and made the team.
14:39And now he's third in the NFL in kickoff return yardage.
14:43And last week he had 77 catches for 82 yards and might end up being Joe Burrow's number one receiver in week five.
14:50Yeah. Is, is Gesicki somewhat fits for you insulated?
14:53Like in terms of you will be ranking him highly regardless of sort of the ultimate game day status of Chase and
14:59Higgins, just because obviously he's playing a different position at tight end.
15:03It's still an amazing matchup against the Dolphins defense.
15:06And you would expect maybe those guys to be a little bit limited.
15:10Um, or cause that you Myers obviously would drop in the rankings if those guys were to play.
15:15Is Gesicki somewhat insulated from that? Not if those guys both play, then I would drop Gesicki probably good four or five spots.
15:22But if one of them is out, then I'm probably still going to have Gesicki ranked as a tight end one.
15:29The thing is like there are other tight ends involved for the Bengals too.
15:33Yep. There might be like people starting Gesicki. Be prepared to be annoyed when you see throws to tight ends that wind
15:40up being Tanner Hudson or, uh, drew sample because that's probably going to happen.
15:44But Gesicki should, I mean, he's kind of been a favorite end zone target of Joe Burrow.
15:50He's got three touchdowns already. Debro the, are they playing tool on fantasypros.com does give Chase a 79% chance and Higgins a 53% chance to play.
15:58Those both feel high to me. I'm still again, leaning towards them not playing.
16:02So we'll see what the practice reports say on Friday.
16:05Apparently Higgins was doing some individual route running drills, uh, on Friday, but, um, at any rate for you, if we're playing
16:12this under the assumption that those guys aren't playing, where are you ranking guys like Gesicki and Myers?
16:17So the way that I'm, I'm approaching this is I think Jamar Chase has the better chance to play if he can
16:24clear concussion protocol, DMP on Wednesday, limited practice on Thursday.
16:27So we'll see what he does on Friday. If he, if, if the news comes out that like what he did, he didn't have recurrence of symptoms.
16:35They're able to ramp him up on Friday. So we're kind of like, you know, biting our fingernails all the way to
16:42basically Saturday because it goes all the way to, to Saturday.
16:45If he wakes up feeling any worse based off of what he does on Friday.
16:50So I think Jamar Chase probably plays, but we'll see, but I give him a coin flip.
16:55I don't think T Higgins plays in this game because it, even with the side work, he's been listed as DMP for both days.
17:03So I think we're going to see maybe chase play, but TB out.
17:07So I'm kind of up in the air about Dante Myers because, um, you know, do we see chase play?
17:13The other part about this is Colby young was out last week and he had a limited practice and a full practice.
17:20So I'm not saying that Dante Myers can't play a big role, but there's a lot of other shifting tectonic plates here
17:26that we still have to see what happens now with Gusecki.
17:30I, I, yeah, I'm with Patty. Like if it's just chase and it's kind of chase Myers and Gusecki right now, projecting it that way.
17:37I have Gusecki at tight end nine. Now, if chase plays and all those other guys play, maybe T plays, then I'm dropping Gusecki a few different spots.
17:46It could probably be a high end tight end two with tight end one upside considering the matchup.
17:52I also just don't know why the Bengals would push either guy back, uh, quickly.
17:56This is a matchup against the worst team in football and they have a buy next week.
18:01It's the most obvious. Just let them rest, get in a win.
18:05Don't, you don't have to look pretty doing it.
18:08Just you can get, you can win this game without Jason and Higgins and then, you know, let them rest on the buy and come back afterwards.
18:16So my counter to that is, have you met Zach Taylor and his injury reporting?
18:21Have you, have, no, no, no, no. I, I, we don't have time in this episode to get you started on injury reporting.
18:28Oh dude, no, don't, don't. I'm going to go off from 30 minute rant.
18:32I know. Let's go to the next game. Raiders at Patriots, a really interesting game.
18:37Given the starts that both of these teams have had this season.
18:40I want to talk about Drake May as we kind of have a lot on this show.
18:46Uh, every time we talk about the Patriots, cause he's the big talking point.
18:50May had almost as many fantasy points in week four as he did across weeks one to three combined.
18:56Is he back or did he just take advantage of a struggling bills?
19:00Defense last week, D bro. I think he's back ish.
19:03Now there was still some kind of concerning stuff in the deeper analytics.
19:07Like last week amongst 32 qualifying quarterbacks, he was 20th and highly accurate throw rate.
19:11I was very encouraged slash impressed. Like what would Josh McDaniels did because entering that week, uh, new England was, they had
19:18the seventh lowest motion rate, fifth lowest play action rate last week.
19:22New England was fourth emotion, ninth and play action.
19:25So the easy button things that we want to see a smart offensive coordinator do to make a quarterback's life easier.
19:31Drake may got those. Now those easy button, uh, pieces aren't going to go as far this week because the Raiders against
19:38motion have allowed the fourth fewest yards per attempt in the second lowest DPA per drop back, but is made back.
19:44I'm S I lean more on the positive than I do on the negative.
19:49Like it's out of 10, I'll give it a six.
19:52Like, because there's still concerning things in his film and in the analytics.
19:56Now, if we get another encouraging performance this week, yes, I'll bump that number up to like a seven, seven and a half fits.
20:03Look, man, Drake may just turn 24 years old.
20:06He's not ready to be Tom Brady yet, but last week against the bills, he was making the kind of throws that so impressed us last season.
20:14And I don't know how Drake may is 20th in a highly accurate throw rate last week because he made a lot of really good throws.
20:22And that came against the bills. And that is Drake may his superpower.
20:26He makes throws that few other quarterbacks can make.
20:29Um, and it doesn't hurt that he runs a bit too.
20:32We had 54 rushing yards against the bills. So there are going to be times when he glitches out.
20:38And he did that a couple of times last week against the bills, but yeah, he's either high under mid range QB
20:45one and everyone should be starting him. And the Drake may panic of a week ago was never justified.
20:51This isn't likely a decision somebody actually has to make, but just to put context into the rankings, would you rather start Drake may or Joe Burrow?
20:59If chase and Higgins are both outfits. If they're both out, I'd start may.
21:03Okay. I think the decision some people might have to make is Drake may versus Jacoby Brissett.
21:08And I've got those government next. Yeah. I've got may one spot higher.
21:12I've got Brissett one spot higher, just leaning into the game and the lions horrible secondary, but I think they're close for context in the rankings.
21:20Bros at QB five Brissett, QB six, may QB seven in the consensus ranking.
21:25So obviously they're all ranked very highly here. Uh, but yeah, I Brissett versus may obviously is a decision.
21:31Can I toss one more that somebody might have?
21:33Um, Drake may or tower shuck. I lean on, I lean to the may side, but that just saying that like they
21:40might have this decision because tower shuck went so late in drafts and stuff.
21:44So not, not close, not close. Yeah. No, I agree.
21:47I agree. Yeah. Before we get to the next game, it's game time.
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22:46Uh, let's go to the next game. Speaking of Tyler Shuck, how about Vikings at saints?
22:50Are you guys starting your saints with confidence or are you fading Tyler Shuck?
22:55Who's QB 13 and consensus and Chris Olave who was wide receiver eight.
22:59I'll double check to see if that's moved at all.
23:02Uh, so ranked pretty highly for both of those guys.
23:05Are you fading them relative to consensus given the tough matchup against the blitzing Vikings defense fits?
23:10Starting Olave with confidence, fading pretty much everyone else.
23:13Um, I've got shock quarterback 16, uh, Valey wide receiver 34, Juwan Johnson tight end 13.
23:18Vikings are giving up a league low 11.5 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
23:22I've given up the sixth fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, 12th fewest, uh, sorry, six fewest to tight ends, 12th fewest to wide receivers.
23:30So it's just, it's a tough matchup. They're going to get after shock.
23:34I think worm, we might've, um, I might've brought this up on the, the start sit show with you and Jake the
23:41other day, but someone, and I can't remember who it was on Twitter was talking about that Monday night game with shock
23:47and how the Monday night game kind of showed the country, how the sausage is made with that passing game.
23:53Like then basically the point being that shocks fantasy numbers are a little better than it looks in real life sometimes.
24:00And I don't think it's going to look all that pretty against the Vikings and what Brian Flores is going to be dialing up for him.
24:08Yeah. It's, it's funny Debro. Cause like, we know that Brian Flores is a great defensive coordinator.
24:13We know that this is a very good defense.
24:16Having said that their last three games, which is 75% of the season so far came against Chicago in horrific weather conditions,
24:23Tampa Bay with a broken Baker Mayfield and a Miami offense that has been non-functional.
24:27Didn't have Devon Achan. So, and even the green Bay game, you know, that's a really poor offensive line, not really suited
24:34to, you know, go up against a team that blitzes the way this Vikings defense does.
24:39So, you know, is there any elements to their strong start to statistically that is driven by the schedule or are you
24:46just like, Hey, this is a very, very good defense regardless and a matchup to be feared.
24:51If you're starting these saints players. I think the matchup is going to be extremely tough considering the constitution of the saints
24:58offensive line right now, like no banks. He's going to get pressured.
25:01The reason that I still think Tyler Shuck is startable and I'm not saying don't worry about him, but like low end
25:08QB one high and QB two territory. A lot of like hairs to be split between, you know, a lot of different
25:15players like him, Jordan love CJ Stroud, all those kinds of guys is that the volume is going to be there because
25:22we know the saints cannot run the ball. So the passing volume will be there.
25:26Maybe we get garbage time stuff. Like the encouraging thing about Tyler shock is we know that yes, Brian Flores is going
25:33to blitz the ever loving heck out of him.
25:36He's blitzed on 72% of the defensive snaps this year.
25:39Shuck versus the blitz. He's 14th in yards per attempt, eighth and passing success rate to Fitz's point.
25:44Like it doesn't look pretty all the time. Now I will say that like as much pressure and as many passing attempts
25:51as he's being asked to navigate all of that.
25:54I think he looks good and competent considering all of that.
25:57Now is it pretty sometimes? No, but with the volume, I think Shuck can get there as a QB one this week.
26:04Um, if that happens and to your point, worm, there is something like with the quality of opponents, Minnesota has played.
26:11There's also another Kyler Murray type of conversation that we, we were not going to have here, but Kyler Murray has played God awful.
26:18So how much is Minnesota going to move the ball?
26:21And I know the saints defense is terrible, but, uh, so Tyler shock, I think volume can carry the day.
26:27Alave I'm starting with confidence. I have no worries about him.
26:31I mean, he is shredded zone coverage. I think he's going to still get open.
26:35I know the matchup isn't great, but Minnesota 84% zone.
26:38Alave versus zone this year, 31% target per route run rate, 3.43 yards per route run.
26:43Those are elite metrics. By Monday night, the advice is in your lineups are locked and all you can do is watch.
26:50Maybe you're protecting a one point lead. Maybe you need 12 out of your flex, or maybe your opponent has one kicker left.
26:57And now every field goal attempt feels personal. Make one part of the night.
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28:37Learn more at staples.com. Alave's wide receiver is 7 in consensus.
28:40So he actually moved up from when I put together this year.
28:44And that's actually with CeeDee Lamb locked in ahead of him in the rankings.
28:48So really, he's 6 amongst the receivers who haven't played yet.
28:52So the consensus rankings are still very high in Alave, which I think is fair.
28:56I just wanted to ask given the matchup, but I think it's totally- But to Fitz's point, I am worried more about Vele and Juwan Johnson.
29:04Like, I've got Juwan Johnson at tight in 13 with Fitzy and Vele.
29:08It just kind of depends on, like, who's healthy on your roster?
29:12And do you have to start him anyway? Let's go to Browns at Jets.
29:16Let's talk about a couple of running backs in this one.
29:20Who is the better game in this matchup? Quinshawn Judkins or Braylon Allen?
29:24They are back-to-back in ECR. Braylon Allen is RB 16.
29:27Quinshawn Judkins is RB 17. Fitz, who do you prefer?
29:30I slightly prefer Judkins. Judkins is catching passes now, which is kind of a welcome new wrinkle to his game.
29:36He already has 15 receptions. Last year, he had 26 receptions in 14 games.
29:40And the Browns have given up the seventh-fewest fantasy points to running backs.
29:44The Jets, the seventh most. So better matchup for Judkins.
29:47Both guys should get a lot of touches. Both guys do profile as high-end to mid-range running back twos.
29:53I just like Judkins a little more. Debra? Yeah, I'm with Fitzy.
29:57The receiving stuff for Judkins is what pushes him over for me.
30:01He did have a 16.7% target share in week two.
30:04Or, excuse me, since week two. But I think the pass game stuff for Judkins is what pushes over.
30:10This is a great matchup for both these running backs.
30:13But if you're telling me one of these guys is going to catch more passes, neither one of them are coming off the field.
30:20Because, I mean, Braylon Allen had a 94% snap rate last week.
30:24I actually think both these guys are in fantastic positions because both these are bad run defenses.
30:29But I will lean to Judkins just because of the checkdowns from Deshaun Watson.
30:33Do you have them in that range of RB16, RB17?
30:36I've got them. Judkins is RB17. Braylon Allen is RB18.
30:39So, snugged up right together. I feel like after them is where the cliff is.
30:44Like, after those two running backs is where we get into split backfields, grossness.
30:48Like, where you're like, ah! The next names in ECR are Emmanuel Wilson, Cam Scadaboo, Bucky Irving, who, of course, already played and was great.
30:56Ramadre Stevenson, David Montgomery, Chakor Kraske, Merritt. These are the names that come up immediately after those two in ECR.
31:02That's some serious disrespect to Emmanuel Wilson. I'm just going to throw that out there.
31:07I think he should be ranked higher. I've got Emmanuel Wilson higher than both these running backs this week.
31:13Do you agree with that, Fitz? No, I've got Wilson ranked below both of these guys.
31:18Wilson, the Seahawks basically took the lead six minutes into the game against the Chargers last week and never trailed after that.
31:24They had a really positive run script. I don't know if that happens as much against the 49ers this week.
31:30Like, it's going to be a different type of game for them.
31:34By the way, just in this game, I think it's interesting.
31:37Jets minus two and a half is the consensus on bettingpros.com.
31:41Who do you guys like on the side? I've already bet the Browns.
31:45I think the Browns win. Yeah, I would take the Browns money line easily.
31:49Another week of the Browns in first place, you're expecting.
31:52That's shocking. As a Ravens fan, I'm sure you're very happy about this.
31:56The big, big match of Ravens versus Browns next week in week six.
32:00That'll be exciting. Bum, bum, bum. Next game, Colts at Steelers.
32:04I didn't really have a good, compelling angle on this game, so I just want to kind of leave this pretty open.
32:10I want you guys to pick one player from this game who is too high in the week five expert consensus rankings
32:17and one player who is too low. Debra, I'll start with you.
32:21So, Worm, I need you to tell me where is Josh Downs in ECR this week because I'm just out on Daniel Jones.
32:28I'm over it. Wide receiver 23. Yeah, I'm not there.
32:31And this is not a Josh Downs thing. This is a Daniel Jones can't move.
32:36He can't throw the ball. He looks like 2025 Kirk Cousins.
32:39He looks god awful. Like in a pushover matchup last week, he looked like a mannequin, and the commanders were like, okay,
32:46we'll just push over the plastic figure here. So, Josh Downs, I've got to push him lower than ECR this week.
32:52Also, like you're looking at Pittsburgh. They haven't done a lot of things amazing, but versus slot receivers, they have been strong.
32:5914th fewest yards per target, 7th fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
33:02So, I think Josh Downs should go down in ECR, and I love Roman Wilson this week.
33:08No Michael Pittman Jr. Roman Wilson has been wide receiver 24 and wide receiver 18 in weekly scoring over the last two weeks.
33:15He's had almost an 18% target share. He's been phenomenal on a per-route basis, 3.83 yards per-route run.
33:20And we talked about this earlier in the week, but Aaron Rodgers has morphed into Jameis Rodgers.
33:25He has been going full YOLO over the last two weeks.
33:29Aaron Rodgers has just been like, I don't care.
33:31He's down there somewhere. He's top five in deep ball rate.
33:35The catchable target rate's low. But if he's chucking up, we're going to get some big plays.
33:40And, oh, by the way, Roman Wilson's going against a secondary that's given up the second-most yards per target and the eighth-most
33:47fantasy points per opportunity to opposing slot receivers. Love Roman Wilson.
33:50Yeah, if neither of you picked Roman Wilson for this, I was going to bring him up.
33:55And it's not that I'm, like, he's been a top 24 receiver two weeks in a row.
34:01I'm not saying he should be ranked inside the top 24.
34:04He's had exactly six targets in every game this season, just three receptions in each of the last two weeks.
34:10So it's not like he's completely blown things out of the water.
34:14But he's ranked his wide receiver 49. To me, that is just too low, especially knowing that Michael Pittman is going to
34:21be out against this defense the way Rodgers has been throwing it.
34:24But Fitz, where are you at on these players?
34:27The only colt I think I'm above consensus on is Josh Downs in just by, like, one spot.
34:33And Debrow has a good point about the Steelers being better against slot receivers than outside receivers.
34:38And I just—last week, Downs had three catches for 16 yards on four targets against the Commanders.
34:43A down week for sure. But in weeks two and three, he had 20 targets.
34:48And without Alec Pierce, I think Josh Downs is usually going to be a pretty big part of the Colts passing game.
34:54He just wasn't last week for whatever reason. And then someone maybe I'm lower on than consensus.
35:00DK Metcalf. I've got him at wide receiver 21, which puts me something like four spots below consensus.
35:05It just seems like rankers don't quite know how to handle Metcalf.
35:09So these—there tends to be a lot of recency bias in DK Metcalf's weekly rankings.
35:14Like, Metcalf has a bad game. He's a wide receiver three the next week.
35:18He has a good game, like he did last week against the Browns when he went over 100 yards.
35:24Suddenly his ECR is in the top 20 at wide receiver.
35:27So Colts, they've been much better against outside receivers than slot guys.
35:31So this isn't necessarily a great matchup for DK.
35:33But against the Browns last week, the Steelers sometimes moved Metcalf into the slot to get him out of Denzel Ward's coverage.
35:40And he did some damage against some of the other cornerbacks from the slot.
35:45Maybe they do the same thing this week and get Metcalf out of Sauce Gardner's coverage.
35:49Do you agree, Fitz, with DeRomey that Roman Wilson is too low?
35:53Because, I mean, there's a gap of, what, 32 spots between them in the wide receiver rankings if Metcalf's at 17 and Roman Wilson's at wide receiver 49?
36:02I would have said no until Pittman was scratched.
36:05Because last week against the Browns, Roman Wilson only played like 22 out of 71 offensive snaps.
36:10He just wasn't getting enough snaps. Still had a decent number of targets.
36:14Like he was involved when he was playing, but he was just not getting enough snaps to make him be a real bankable guy for fantasy.
36:22But now with no Pittman, he's going to play a lot more snaps.
36:26So I think he's in the flex conversation this week.
36:29Yeah, Pittman being out is a big part of that for me, for sure.
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37:13Next game, guys, Texans at Titans. A couple of winless teams here.
37:17Carnell Tate is coming off his best game. Looks like he might be breaking out early in his rookie season.
37:23What are your expectations for Tate against a Texans defense we expected to be elite but has looked pretty poor through the season's first month?
37:31Debron, I'm throwing to you. Also, I will mention Carnell Tate off the injury report.
37:35He was on there earlier this week. There was a tweet a couple of minutes ago that he is off it for this week.
37:43So just to note that on Carnell Tate. Where are you at on him this week?
37:47I mean, I feel good about Carnell Tate. Really, my Carnell Tate worries go back to it's a Cam Ward conversation.
37:54What can Cam Ward do versus pressure? Can he get him catchable targets?
37:58Because Carnell Tate's been getting this role and he's been getting the target share all freaking season.
38:03And he's been getting open. It's been a Cam Ward problem.
38:07And it's going to continue to be a Cam Ward problem because Cam Ward's still struggling.
38:11So, like, I feel good about Carnell Tate. I worry about Cam Ward.
38:15But Carnell Tate, to the point, like, dude, he's getting the Malik Neighbors role that we thought he was going to get.
38:22Like, among 79 qualifying receivers, Carnell Tate. Seventh in target share with 26.9%.
38:26He's top 20 in yards per route run. He's third in air yard share with 50.1%.
38:31He's top 20 in first downs per route run.
38:34He's sixth in first reach here at 36%. He's getting a crap ton of volume.
38:38It just comes down to, can Cam Ward give him any catchable targets?
38:42And if he does, then Carnell Tate will have a really good game.
38:46So, right now, like, I've got Carnell Tate at wide receiver 22.
38:50Now, could that crash and burn if Cam Ward crashes and burns?
38:54Absolutely. But could Carnell Tate pay off on that because of the volume that he's seeing and the fact that the Houston
39:01Texans versus perimeter wide receivers have been quite bad?
39:03Third most yards per target, fourth most fantasy points per opportunity.
39:07A wide range of outcomes for Carnell Tate. But I lean slightly on the positive side.
39:12Slightly. He's wide receiver 22 in consensus. So, you're exactly aligned with ECR here.
39:16It's kind of similar to running back again. I mean, we talked about it at the top of the show with bye weeks and injuries.
39:24It gets very quick. It gets ugly real quick.
39:26I mean, after Tate, I'm not saying that you wouldn't want to start any of these guys, but just there's not a
39:33ton of degree of confidence in some of these names who are ranked behind him.
39:38So, even if you feel like, oh, man, paired with Cam Ward going up against the Texans is like a tough situation
39:45for a guy like Tate in his fourth career game.
39:48Josh Downs, Romeo Dobbs, Stephon Diggs, Debo Samuel, Malik Washington, Denzel Bassa.
39:51Those are names that I'm interested in starting to varying degrees.
39:55But there's not a lot of like, oh, no doubt about it.
39:58These guys are stars who clearly should be way higher than him.
40:02So, I totally get the ranking. Fitz, where are you at on Carnell Tate?
40:06Wide receiver 22, like I said, in consensus. Debro basically gave my whole Carnell Tate spiel word for word.
40:12And then he had Carnell Tate rank six spots higher than I do.
40:16Oh! So, that was the crazy thing. I don't know what to do with him, Fitzy.
40:21Like, I feel like this whole low end wide receiver two, wide receiver three quadrant is an absolute quagmire this week.
40:28It's like you're parsing. And to Worm's point, I don't think Stephon Diggs plays.
40:32Like, I don't think the commanders, their only healthy wide receiver might be Antonio Williams.
40:36If he's the only man left standing, am I ranking him higher versus the Giants this week than Carnell Tate?
40:43Maybe. I don't know, man. It's a wild week.
40:45Yeah, I mean, the usage numbers with Tate have been great.
40:49But his usage was good the first three weeks.
40:52And the surface stats were still pretty bad. Like, he more than doubled his receiving yardage from the first three weeks with his big game last week.
41:00And I like Carnell Tate. And it was good to see him pop last week.
41:04But I, like you, Debro, I still have trust issues with Cam Ward and the Titans passing game.
41:10And there's that expression about the genie being out of the bottle and you can't put it back in.
41:16And with the Titans passing game, you can probably stick that genie right back in the bottle.
41:21Yeah. And even though the Texans have given up more fantasy points to wide receivers than any other defense, I still struggle
41:28to see the Texans as being a good matchup for the Titans passing game.
41:32Yeah. I mean, not when you've got Will Anderson and Daniil Hunter able to come in and terrorize Cam Ward off the edge.
41:39Like, I don't feel super confident about Carnell Tate this week.
41:43So the only thing that I was going to add to that, and I'm double checking this right now, Will Anderson popped up with a DMP on Wednesday.
41:51He got a limited practice in on Thursday. But if he doesn't play in this game, that's a plus, obviously, for Cam Ward.
41:58Sure. Real quickly, before we move off of this, guys, do you think the Tennessee Titans are in the quarterback market in the draft next year?
42:06Because everything we've seen for Cam Ward, I fully believe that.
42:10How could they not be? I fully believe that.
42:12If Cam Ward looks the same way in December as he does right now, and they have a top five pick in
42:19a class with all these great options that we expect to have there, if they're sitting there on the clock and Arch
42:26or Dante Moore or like who, I mean, again, there's a million quarterbacks, but whoever your quarterback of choice is, is available,
42:33I think it would be a dereliction of duty by the front office to say, hey, just because we drafted Cam Ward
42:39two years ago, we have to give him a third year when he just hasn't looked like he's got it.
42:46And maybe some of that isn't his fault, right?
42:48Maybe Brian Daval is doing him no favors, the offensive environment doing him no favors.
42:53But man, I'm always going to give a guy a second year.
42:57You got to show me something to get a third year, especially if you have this natural path to getting another quarterback in there.
43:04If they were picking like 20th, different story. You're going to be picking top five in a class with great quarterbacks.
43:10I think you have to consider it. And if you're picking top five or top three, it's probably because Cam Ward has
43:17played poorly over the balance of the season. So I just, I hate what we've, I hope he turns it around, man.
43:24But it's, it's, he just looks like he's struggling on multiple, like so many different levels, like reading coverages, his mechanics, his
43:31pocket prep, like everything is just bad. I actually think this is good news for the Titans because he's making it obvious that he's not taking that step.
43:39Like if he was, if he took like a half step forward and it was like, well, maybe you can argue he's ascending.
43:46And now, uh, if he was on the Bryce Young trajectory, basically what you're laying out.
43:51Well, I'm saying like the fact, yeah, if, if, I mean, I would rather you draft a Josh Rosen than like, I
43:58don't know a Bryce Young where who's looking good this year, but like we're in year four and it's still like, is
44:05he the guy we should get the big contract to?
44:08Well, now we know. And I'm not saying that Josh Rosen is better than Bryce Young, obviously, but like I'd rather just
44:15know that he's not going to be a star and we can move on.
44:19Now he can change my mind about that this season.
44:22It's still, you know, it's only been four weeks.
44:25I'm not saying he's done, but I'm saying if he looks in December, the way he looks in September of this year,
44:32then yeah, I think you've seen enough to say, Hey, it's kind of making this decision easy for us where the decision
44:38is not easy is where it gets really tricky for franchises and they sometimes hamstring themselves.
44:43Yep. Agreed. Let's go to the next game here.
44:46Giants at commanders. How are you guys ranking key players on the commanders with Jaden Daniels returning in this game fits?
44:52Oh man. Um, well with all the pass catchers and the ambiguity about the status of Terry McLaurin and Stefan Diggs, I guess it's really hard.
45:00We have to wait and see on those guys.
45:03And if those guys are both out, I might be willing to play Antonio Williams.
45:08I still don't think I'd play Chico Conquo. Um, I've got Daniels himself, Frank QB 11.
45:13And I've got Ja'Cory Krosky Merritt, RB 23. I think I'm pretty well above consensus on him after his bad game last
45:19week, but there's such a big difference in the offensive environment when you have Jane Daniels at quarterback versus Ethan Kaliak Manis.
45:26Um, so yeah, like the volume has been pretty good for Ja'Cory Krosky Merritt.
45:31And I kind of want to lean into that, especially with all these pass catchers injured.
45:35Krosky Merritt is at RB 23. Any consensus? I'm on consensus then.
45:39I thought I was above. Debra. Uh, so how I'm projecting this currently, I don't think Stefan Diggs and Terry McCormick play.
45:46Neither one of them have practiced dealing with hamstring issues.
45:49So I think we're going to get the Antonio Williams week.
45:52Um, and if that is the case, I mean, dude, Antonio Williams, considering by weeks and all of these injuries, I could
45:59start making the case for Antonio Williams at high end wide receiver three, anywhere from high end wide receiver three to low
46:06end wide receiver two, considering there is nobody else to catch passes.
46:10That's a really sizable jump. He's wide receiver 50 right now.
46:13Consensus. I mean, there's nobody else though. Who else is going to threaten him for a target share this week?
46:19He will be the unquestioned wide receiver one. Like who's coming out of the woodwork to do that?
46:25I don't see anybody like Chig. No. Boutful. Traylon Burks has been sneaky.
46:29Uh, I don't want to say sneaky good, but like sneaky.
46:32We'll just say sneaky. I mean, like I, I get it.
46:35It's just hard for me to say like, Oh, this is a rookie who's in his fifth career game.
46:41And his last three weeks, he's had what a combined 60 yards, no touchdown.
46:46Like he had one call back. Let's give the man respect.
46:49I will call back by penalty. And also last week he was second on the team and first reach here with 24% and a 19% target share.
46:57So deep rentalics are good on him. Um, but to Fitz's point with bill, it's like, I've got him as a low end RB too.
47:05I've got him at RB 24 right now, but that's more of a state of just the position than I think any kind of belief in bill.
47:13And my, my worries about bill or more of this offensive line is horrible.
47:17Like bill doesn't even have a yard before contact per attempt.
47:21He's getting hit at or behind the lane of scrimmage on over 50% of his rushing attempts.
47:26So like he has no room to run. Maybe that changes a little bit versus the giants, but I think we already
47:33kind of played that game too, when they played the Colts and their bad run defense.
47:38And then he still didn't have any room to run.
47:41So volume, I guess rules the day, but I mean, bill could be anywhere from a low end RB two to a high end RB three.
47:49It really just comes down to, does he get a touchdown or not this week?
47:53So Debra, where are you ranking Jane Daniels? If you're expecting him to be missing his top two targets in his return,
48:00it's QB 10 and ECR right now. I've got him at QB 11.
48:04But you know, again, when we get the clarity on the injuries, do I drop him a few more spots?
48:10Do I move somebody like Jordan love above him?
48:13Maybe because I, the thing about Jane Daniels is how much is he going to run when he's got a brace on
48:20his other arm and he cannot brace himself when he goes to fall or even when he slides.
48:25And I don't know, what does his ball security look like when he has to like, can he hold the ball and grip it tightly on the army?
48:34And he has the brace. So does he actually run at all this, this week or very sparingly?
48:40Yeah, no, I, I totally agree. Fitz, where are you ranking Daniels quickly?
48:44QB 11, 11. Okay. So you guys are both just one spot behind ECR right now.
48:48Uh, next game here in the Sunday early slate bears at Packers.
48:52Speaking of bears, RIP to Mike Dick who passed away this morning, obviously just one of the all time legends of the NFL history.
48:59uh, yeah, lots of, uh, lots of folks, you know, share memories about him earlier today.
49:04So I just wanted to at least mention that, but yeah, bears, you know, Packers week too, just like, you know, very,
49:11very, it's never happy, but sad timing for sure.
49:14Bears at Packers though, uh, fits Christian Watson and Matthew golden are ranked just four spots apart in the week five wide receiver consensus rankings.
49:22Who is better suited to a big game against the bears defense?
49:25If this matchup had happened a few weeks ago, I might've tried to look and see who was more likely to line up on Jalen Johnson's side.
49:34Most of the day. And who was more likely to line up against Tyreek Stevenson and pick whoever was going up against
49:40Stevenson, but Jalen Johnson has not been good. Like he doesn't appear to be the same guy he used to be.
49:47Um, I know the bears play a lot of single high safety and Christian Watson is better against too high than single
49:54high, but Watson isn't bad against single high. Um, basically I'm, I'm not really factoring coverage into how I'm ranking these guys.
50:00I've Watson ranks slightly higher. I still think he's the better player, but I want to see what Debra has to say.
50:07I'm with Watson on this one. And to your point, Fitzy, like Watson's been better versus single high.
50:13And so the splits are very interesting. So like Watson, so by the way, Chicago runs single high on 63% of their
50:19defensive snaps, Watson versus single high, 25% target per route run rate, which is equal to Matthew golden, but their yards per route run are quite different.
50:28And Watson 1.98. Now to your point, Fitzy Watson versus too high as elite, like he's over three yards per route run,
50:34but golden is only at 1.27 yards per route run versus single high.
50:38And this has been a thing. So golden, whenever he had like the moments last year, he was green base, too high guy in the splits last year.
50:47We're also held up where he was much better versus too high than single high.
50:52So I lean on the Watson side, but this is, if you got either one of them, you're starting them this week.
50:58Do you, do you agree with both of them being inside the top 16?
51:03Yes. Because that's where they are consensus. Packers can't run the ball.
51:06The bears past defense has been improved, but I'm not scared of their outside corners.
51:11Like Fitzy's talking about like Jalen Johnson and Tyrick Stevenson.
51:14They'll put any amount of fear in me. The bears defense is coming in as well rested as you can be not
51:21coming off a buy considering the 32 snaps they played just last week.
51:25I'd been, but, but yeah, if it's, you have these guys both inside the top 16 as well.
51:30I have golden 17. Okay. I guess, but still a mid wide receiver to there.
51:35So yeah, very excited. But where's, where's Watson for both of you guys?
51:39He's, he's watching over 12 and consensus. Oh no, no, no.
51:42Sorry. 13. I'm one, one off consensus. I've got him at 11, but same area code.
51:47I've got Watson at 11. I've got golden at 16.
51:50Okay. Yeah. So four to five spots apart for both of you.
51:54Same with consensus. Uh, fits are the Packers going to pull out a win in this one.
51:59I don't know, man is the spread. I actually, I took the bears on the money line last week when they opened
52:06as an underdog, because I thought that was messed up as, as do betters everywhere.
52:11Cause they bet it over to the bears being a two and a half point favorite.
52:16So, um, I don't know. I, I feel like it's going to be a close game.
52:20I think it's going to be a close game.
52:23Packers are probably going to lead and blow it again.
52:26That seems to be their MO against the bears.
52:29If you believe in any sort of like, you know, karma of this being the week that, you know, we lose Mike
52:36Dick, then maybe, uh, you would want to lean towards the bears as well as some sort of spiritual, uh, you know, victory there too.
52:44I think the bears win, but I do, I'm agreeing with it.
52:47See, like, I think it's a close game. Yeah.
52:50Yeah. I mean, the line suggests it's a close game.
52:53So, uh, I'm on board with that too. Fantasy pros users can now get 30 days of betting pros premium.
52:59Absolutely free unlock powerful NFL betting tools, including the prop bet cheat sheet, prize picks optimizer, and the brand new parlay wizard.
53:06You can even sync your sports books to track all your bets live in one place.
53:11Start your exclusive three 30 day free trial in the betting pros app or at betting pros.com slash apps with code FP one month.
53:18That's betting pros.com slash apps and promo code FP one month.
53:22Let's get into the late slate here, guys. Broncos at chargers.
53:25It took me a while to come up with a question for this one because boys, this just an unfun game.
53:31Just two teams that have very much disappointed to offenses that are very much disappointed.
53:36Uh, uh, just really not like sitting here super excited, looking forward to this one.
53:41Um, I did put this together before Sean Payton.
53:43It was kind of announced that he was going to be taking back over play calling duties as many of us expected was going to happen eventually.
53:52So I didn't take that angle with this. I really just asked about the running backs here, which are RB from this game.
53:59Do you guys rank higher for this week? Oh, Marion Hampton or RJ Harvey, you know, and you can take into consideration of course that shot.
54:07Payton is now calling those plays again. D bro.
54:10I'm going with Hampton in this one. Um, McDaniel, but please, this, this is, let me talk to you for a second here.
54:17Please, please give the ball to a Marion Hampton.
54:19Please stop doing idiotic things. Please stop running out.
54:22Keaton Mitchell. Please stop playing. Come on with it.
54:25L please stop this three headed running back nonsense.
54:28Please. I, I, I, I, I'm begging you because the Murray and Hampton on a per touch basis has not been bad guys.
54:35Like 46 qualifying running backs. He's 18th in explosive run rate.
54:38He's eighth best in yards of contact per attempt.
54:41This feels like a game where if the chargers want any semblance of hope to beat the Broncos, you lean on Hampton
54:48and you run the freaking ball because the Broncos run defense is God awful.
54:52They're giving up the fifth highest explosive rate, explosive run rate, and the highest missed tackle rate.
54:57Give the ball to Hampton. Please. Please. Mike McDaniel heard your request and he responded with the pond stars meme of the
55:04guy going best I can do is eight carries in one target.
55:08I wouldn't get your hope. That's going to be a tweet from the fantasy pros account, by the way, that did that
55:14definitely needs to be a thing, by the way.
55:17Oh, I'm sorry. Where, where'd you say you actually have these guys ranked, D bro?
55:22Oh, I've got Hampton right now at RB 20 because there's so many injured running backs right now.
55:27He could be anywhere from a low end RB two to a high end RB three.
55:32I do have him over RJ Harvey and I will have him over RJ Harvey just because of how I'm projecting this
55:39game and what I'm hoping the chargers do. Now, does that mean that they're going to do it?
55:44No, doesn't mean they're going to do it at all because last week I ran Hampton dealt with like a three headed community.
55:52He was third amongst the three backs in that backfield in snap share.
55:56So there's volatility here. So maybe I'm just wish casting guys.
55:59Hampton is RB 24 and consensus fits RJ Harvey is RB 27.
56:03How do you see it? I've got Harvey RB 25 and Hampton RB 31.
56:07I've no interest in playing Omerian Hampton. Last week it was 26 snaps for Keaton Mitchell, 25 for Hampton, 25 for Kamani
56:14Vidal three-way committee running behind a terrible offensive line.
56:16That's once again, really bad in the middle. And now the tackles are both hurt again.
56:21Rashawn Slater is going to be out with a high ankle sprain.
56:25And I don't know if Joe all has a chance to play, but he hurt his neck last week.
56:31The offense is just kind of broken for the chargers.
56:34And I know the Broncos statistically have missed a lot of tackles, but didn't most of those come against the chiefs and Kenneth Walker in week one.
56:42Like, I don't know if that's been a necessarily a run defense.
56:46I want to pick on at least not since that first week.
56:50Like Harvey has 20 catches in three games and he had 10 last week.
56:54Now 10 is an anomaly, but he's at at least four catches in every game.
56:59His pass catching is more bankable than Omerian Hampton's touchdown scoring.
57:02And Hampton's three TDs are the only reason he's RB 22 and fantasy scoring.
57:06Like he has been touchdown dependent. He's totally uninvolved as a pass catcher, which is really kind of a drag because he
57:13was a good pass catcher last year. Mike McDaniel, not involving him at all in the passing game.
57:19So yeah, I'll just, I'll take Harvey. We know Sean Payton running backs catch a lot of passes and Harvey has caught a lot of passes.
57:27I don't want to waste any more time on that game.
57:30Let's go to the next one. Lions at Cardinals.
57:33We've seen enough this season to know that the Lions defense is very much worth picking on in fantasy.
57:38So even though he's been one of the biggest disappointments in the league this season and across recent seasons, are you at
57:45all open to the possibility, D bro, of starting Marvin Harrison Jr.
57:49this week? No, no, I'm not doing it. He is a 7% target share.
57:53His yards per route run is not even eclipsing one.
57:56No, I'm more likely to start Isaac Tesla this week than I am Marvin Harrison Jr.
58:01No, Marvin Harrison Jr. caught a touchdown last week and still was wide receiver.
58:06But he still was wide receiver 53 on the week.
58:09Yeah, which is, I don't know. That's all he did.
58:12I saw. I can't, I know it's the only catch he had, of course, but I just can't remember the last time
58:18I saw a player with a touchdown in the game outside the top 50 amongst receivers.
58:23Ryan Thomas Jr. Probably says hi versus the Bengals.
58:26Yeah, probably. I should look that one up. Same, same stat line, basically.
58:30Yeah. Fitz, Fitz, are you at all? Open to, I mean, Marvin Harrison, he's wide receiver 42.
58:35I should say consensus. Oh, I'm starting him in a league where you have to start a lot of flexes.
58:41I am starting him in one league and it, there are some injuries and I might have like a buy or two in that league.
58:49It's kind of out of necessity more than wanting to.
58:52But, you know, on one hand, you've got this lion's pass defense.
58:56That's been awful. Giving up 327 passing yards a game.
58:59But on the other hand, yeah, Debro mentioned that the 7.2% target share, 0.62 yards per route run is the number, which is so bad.
59:07Jacoby Brissett's passer rating on throws to Marvin Harrison this season is 55.0.
59:11Just to put that number into perspective, JJ McCarthy's passer rating last season was 72.6.
59:15Wow. 17.6 points higher than the Jacoby Brissett passer rating on throws to Marvin Harrison Jr.
59:20So it's been really bad. And if Marvin Harrison Jr.
59:23bricks against the lions, you'll know that all hope is lost.
59:27Yep. It's already gone. I'm starting him in two leagues.
59:30One, just absolutely hammered by injuries at the position and, and by weeks this week to the other league is a 16 team league.
59:37Those are the two scenarios that I am starting Marvin Harrison Jr.
59:41this week fits Marvin Harrison Jr. or Roman Wilson.
59:44Oh, because I know, I know Debro's answer, but I'm curious.
59:47It'll, it'll be Roman Wilson for me. Okay. Yeah.
59:50I think that's correct. I just want to double check.
59:53Uh, all right. That's sad. Uh, let's go to the last game in the late afternoon slate here.
59:5849ers at Seahawks. The 49ers offense has looked absolutely terrific this season, but they have historically struggled pretty consistently against Mike McDonald defenses.
60:05That dates back to when McDonald was the Baltimore defensive coordinator.
60:09It's also carried over to his time in Seattle, of course.
60:12So I'm asking you this, who wins the battle between the San Francisco offense and the Seattle defense this week fits the Seattle defense.
60:20Um, Seahawks past defense continues to be amazing. Their opponent passer rating this season, 67.6, also lower than JJ McCarthy's passer rating
60:26from last season, but higher than Jacoby Brissett's passer rating on throws to Marvin Harrison Jr.
60:31Um, Seahawks are only giving up 3.6 yards per rush attempt.
60:35Seahawks have the NFL's best defense. Um, and fullback Kyle use check out for the 49ers with a knee injury.
60:41He's kind of an unsung hero of the 49ers offense.
60:44Just a big part of so many of the things Kyle Shanahan wants to do.
60:48So I don't think the 49ers offense is going to click the way it has against this defense.
60:54The first time McDonald faced the Niners offense with Seattle, he allowed, I think it was like 36 points in that first time they faced him in 2024.
61:03Every other matchup since then, it's been 17 points, 17 points, three points, and six points.
61:07He has really shut them down. D row. Do you expect that to happen again this week?
61:13Yeah, I think this is going to be a low scoring game.
61:16I think it's going to be gross. Uh, the only thing where I think the 49ers have a little bit different composition of weapons.
61:24And I know that he's not a hundred percent, but the man is, he's an iron man.
61:29And in, when he's been on the field, even last week, he was freaking awesome as Mike Evans.
61:34Like Mike Evans is going to have to be a difference maker in this game.
61:39And his, his numbers versus two high coverage, uh, which Seattle runs at almost 60% of the defensive snaps have still been awesome this year.
61:4733% target per route run rate, 3.1 yards per route run.
61:50So for the 49ers to show anything different than what we have seen previously versus Seattle, Mike Evans is going to have to play up big here.
61:58And I just, I don't know if he's healthy enough to do that, but I'm also not going to discount it because
62:05that man is a, he's a gladiator. He's awesome.
62:08So I, I, I lean on the side of the Seattle defense, but I do think this game is going to be gross.
62:15And I still think the 49ers have a chance to win it.
62:19So what do you like on, on the, against the spread?
62:22Cause it's, uh, right now. It's laying a field goal for Seattle at home.
62:26I don't think, I think this should, if this wasn't in Seattle, it'd be closer to a pick them.
62:32I think, I don't think Seattle covers. I think it's going to be whoever has the ball last.
62:38So if it, if it had gotten as high as three and a half, I would like the Niners.
62:44I think even just sitting at three, I like, I like Seattle again, just historically what McDonald's done to Shanahan offenses.
62:50What do you think fits about that spread? Seattle.
62:53and, uh, Seattle's just Niners fans won't want to hear this, but Seattle has had their number in this series over the
63:00last couple of decades, last 45 games between these two teams, Seattle 30 and 15 against the Niners.
63:05Yeah. Really fun game. Honestly, what's the game of the week?
63:09Is it 49ers Seahawks or is it Rams, uh, bills?
63:12It's Rams, bills, bills, I mean, Rams, bills is the more fun one, but this is obviously you get the divisional matchup here.
63:19It's teams with a lot of history. Rams bills, because you're like, everybody's like, okay, is this a Superbowl preview?
63:25Now Ramsville. Yeah. I, I see what you're doing worm.
63:28I'll still say it. I think divisionally makes it a, yeah.
63:31If you watch a rock fight, that's like 13 to six.
63:35Now both fantastic games. That's real football though. Uh, all right.
63:38Sunday night football Ravens at the Falcons. Obviously this would have been, I think a very fun matchup as well.
63:44If Lamar was healthy, he of course is not, not practicing on Friday either.
63:48historically when Lamar doesn't practice at all during the week, he does not play.
63:53Uh, Jesse Minter did say that like he's capable of playing without practicing.
63:57I don't think he's going to play this, this Sunday, even though the Ravens haven't yet ruled them out as of the time of this recording.
64:05So if we're assuming that Lamar doesn't play, how far are you knocking down Zay flowers in your rankings?
64:11Uh, we talked about this a bit on the Thursday show fits.
64:14So, um, I'll, I'll start with Debro again here.
64:17Uh, Debro, Zay Flowers is ranked where for you under the assumption Lamar does not play.
64:22He's wide receiver nine right now, and he's still going to be a wide receiver one.
64:27Cause he's fricking amazing. And I think Tyler Huntley can be good enough versus this Falcons defense.
64:32I just, I believe in the talent and Zay flowers.
64:35I believe in everything that he's done so far this year.
64:39So I, I, wherever people want to put him in the top 12 is where I'm going to be at.
64:45Like, I still think he's a top 12 wide receiver.
64:48He is wide receiver nine in, uh, by the way, he's listed technically in like on our rankings as questionable with a foot.
64:55That does not, that seems to be a non-factor.
64:58And I'm with you though. I don't think Lamar plays.
65:01I, I, yeah, Lamar, I don't give Lamar any shot to play this week.
65:05I don't think he's playing at all. No fits wide receiver eight.
65:09When Huntley has played with flowers in the past, um, he's still targeted flowers at a really high rate.
65:15It's just been a lower average depth of target than it's been with Lamar.
65:19So plus with the way this Declan Doyle offense has operated the first few weeks, it's clear that say flowers is going
65:26to be heavily involved in the passing game. And I don't see any reason that's going to differ this week.
65:32Yeah. He's the dude. I do worry a little bit about, and I said this on an earlier show, actually, I might've
65:38said this with shows with both of you guys this week, just that I'm worried that Tyler Huntley isn't quite the fit
65:45with the Declan Doyle offense that he was with the Todd monkey and or Greg Roman offenses previously.
65:51And like Lamar has a skillset that I was very excited about his pairing with Declan Doyle.
65:56I don't feel that same way about Tyler Huntley.
65:59So I do worry that the offense will look a little different this week, but Debra, you made this point on the
66:06Thursday starts it live stream that, you know, we're not going to have a whole week of Doyle game planning around Tyler Huntley and his strengths and skillsets.
66:14So my dog is barking right next to the, my desk right now.
66:18So he clearly disagrees with me fading Zay flowers.
66:21It hurt me all summer. Maybe it'll hurt me again this week, but just, I'm just a little nervous for that reason
66:28in, in terms of what, but, but again, I also don't want to overreact to the second half of, of the game
66:34against the Titans where that was a pretty unique situation.
66:37He came in cold, just trying to hang on to a big lead already.
66:42So like, I do think it will look different in this than it did in that one.
66:47Before we get off this game, I want to ask you guys about your favorite prop bets this week.
66:53We have the prop bet cheat sheet at bettingpros.com.
66:56Every week we talk about our favorite three or four star bets in this segment of the show.
67:01Fitz, I'll start with you. What's your favorite prop bet cheat sheet bet this week?
67:06Tyler Huntley's passing yardage number is really low. 174.5.
67:09I'll take the over on that. Like it. Like it.
67:12That's a three star, by the way. Mark Andrews over 30 and a half receiving yards.
67:16It's a four star bet. Atlanta has been quietly shredded by tight ends.
67:20They gave up 15.6 PPR points to Pat Fryermuth.
67:23They gave up 18 plus PPR points. Darren Waller.
67:26Juwan Johnson could have got a touchdown and been in the 18 range too.
67:30So I think Mark Andrews, who's quietly been very good on a per route basis, hits the over here.
67:36The Falcons are opponents are throwing on the Falcons like 72.8% of the time.
67:40They are the biggest pass funnel defense in the league.
67:44Now, of course the Ravens are not going to completely abandon Derek Henry.
67:48They're not going to throw 72.8% of the time this week, but they're going to throw enough to get Huntley over his
67:54number and probably Andrews over his number too. Yes, sir.
67:57Parlay him. Those were our top prop bets for Sunday night football, courtesy of the betting pros, prop bet cheat sheet, find
68:04the best NFL player prop bets with the betting pros, prop bet cheat sheet, quickly compare lines from leading sports books against
68:11our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value, make smarter prop betting decisions all season long.
68:17At betting pros.com slash props. All right, guys, Monday night football, the big one this week, as you guys decided bills at
68:24Rams, obviously one of the best games of the weekend.
68:27One of the highest totals we've seen this year at 54 and a half to battle between the top two teams in
68:34current Superbowl consensus odds, not to mention the league's two most recent MVP winners.
68:38There's a lot of reasons why this is an awesome game.
68:41So simply give me a final score prediction here, along with the projected player of the game zebra.
68:47Oh, 31, 28 bills. I, I just think Josh Allen has one of those Josh Allen games, man.
68:52And I, I don't, I don't think DJ Moore is going to play in this game, but I think this could be
68:59like, we've seen Keon Coleman is the Rashad Bateman of this offense.
69:03So he's the, you know, the wide receiver handcuff.
69:06They're going to be able to run the ball.
69:08Uh, so yeah, I'll take bills 31, 28. Um, and I think the player of the game for this prediction also happen.
69:15I think James Cook's going to need a big night.
69:18So I'll go with James Cook. Fitz. Bills 34, Rams 31.
69:22And who else? But Josh Allen could be the player of the game.
69:26If the bills went. Yep. It's a good call.
69:28I didn't put together a final score prediction or projected player of the game, but it will tie in to my fresh from the oven.
69:36Take brought to you by DiGiorno, just like a pizza fresh out of the oven.
69:41These takes we're about to give you our hot, fresh and ready for Monday night.
69:45Guys, we're going to do this every Monday night game here going through the rest of the season.
69:51We're going to give you our fresh from the oven.
69:54Takes brought to you by DiGiorno. Fitz. What is your bold prediction for Monday night football this week?
69:59Another touchdown catch for Keon Coleman on the heels of his touchdown catch last week.
70:04Touchdown catch for Keon Coleman. As the bold prediction for you.
70:07I don't know. I didn't. I meant to look it up what that number would be anytime touchdown.
70:13We checked online. I didn't check that, but I would imagine you get halfway decent odds on that.
70:18D bro. What's your bold prediction? Right now. My bold prediction is that Kyron Williams will be the RB one in fantasy,
70:25the overall RB one in fantasy this week. And for anybody that has Kyron, this doesn't sound bold to you because you're
70:32saying, well, he was the RB one overall and all of fantasy land.
70:36And last week, I just want to give some numbers to everybody out there real fast and tell me who does this
70:43sound like in terms of usage over the last two weeks?
70:46This running back has had a 76.1% snap share.
70:49He's averaged 23.5 touches, 152.5 total yards, had an 18% target share in 2.14 yards per route run.
70:54If your mind immediately goes to Christian McCaffrey, you're right.
70:57Kyron Williams has been used like CMC over the last two weeks in a big game.
71:02I think that can happen again. And it's not like the bills run defense is any good.
71:08My bold prediction for this one is I didn't, again, I didn't put an actual score prediction on this like we did
71:14in the segment, but I think the bills not only win, I think they win by double digits.
71:20And that is not intended to be a knock on the Rams.
71:24I just love Josh Allen as an underdog and Josh Allen has not played his greatest the last couple of weeks.
71:30Obviously lots of turnovers against the Chargers. He didn't finish strong against the Patriots.
71:34I think that he comes out primetime Monday night football in LA against the other Super Bowl favorite as an underdog.
71:41I think he absolutely shows out. And I think we finished this game and the bills are now going to be Super
71:48Bowl favorites coming out of this one. And I think it'll be them and whoever wins nine or Seahawks will be sort
71:54of the clear two favorites in those odds. And Josh Allen will be the clear favorite and MVP again.
72:00I'm not saying it'll pan out that way the rest of the season, but I think coming out of this game, that's where we'll be at.
72:08I think he has an amazing game and the bills win by at least 10 points.
72:13That is my bold prediction. By the way, Debro, thank you for looking it up.
72:18You drop it in the chat. He on Coleman plus two 50 on the, on the touchdown odds there for Fitz's bold prediction.
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72:36Super fun. Week five slate. Really excited for this one.
72:39Best of luck. Everybody setting your lineups for the week for Debro and Fitz.
72:44I'm Ryan warmly. Thanks for tuning in. We'll see you again next time.
72:48Thanks for listening to the fantasy pros, fantasy football podcast.
72:51If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasypros.com slash review or on Spotify.
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