NFL Futures Picks 2026: Best Bets for Passing, Rushing & Receiving Leaders (Ep. 2084)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
58 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 9, 2026
Published
Thu, July 9, 2026
14
Player insights
10
Players mentioned
Topics
Quinshon JudkinsBlake CorumJordan MasonDylan SampsonIsiah PachecoJaylen WarrenJosh AllenKeaton MitchellKyren WilliamsRaheem Mostert
Player analysis
Player insights
Blake Corum
PositiveProjection58:33
Blake Corum is an 80-to-1 long-shot bet for rushing touchdown leader, with potential upside if Kyron Williams gets injured, and he saw decent goal-line opportunities last year.
Insight pagePositiveRole62:21
Corum had 27 rushing touchdowns in his final year at Michigan, showing he has the ability to score at a high rate if given the opportunity in Los Angeles.
Insight pageDylan Sampson
NegativeRole51:47
The analyst views Dylan Sampson as a 'Jag' and believes the Browns' decision to start Judkins in week two despite missing training camp was a 'slam the door in the face' to Sampson.
Insight pageIsiah Pacheco
NegativeRole36:54
Pacheco will have some usage but not the high-volume role that Dave Montgomery had, with concerns about his explosiveness following multiple injuries.
Insight pageJaylen Warren
PositiveValue48:24
Jaylen Warren was listed at 60-to-1 odds for rushing yards leader, though the analyst was uncertain about the play.
Insight pageJordan Mason
NegativeBust60:19
Jordan Mason was a bust last year as the entire Vikings offense underperformed under McCarthy, though the analyst is considering a 150-to-1 long-shot bet on him for rushing touchdowns.
Insight pagePositiveValue60:51
The analyst is sprinkling 150-to-1 long-shot money on Jordan Mason for rushing touchdowns, believing the thesis from last year still applies despite longer odds.
Insight pageJosh Allen
PositiveProjection53:20
Josh Allen is listed at 10-to-1 odds for rushing touchdown leader, competing with running backs for the title.
Insight pageKeaton Mitchell
NegativeRole42:02
The analyst does not believe in Keaton Mitchell as a significant contributor in the Chargers backfield, preferring Vidal over him.
Insight pageKyren Williams
PositiveRole58:55
Kyron Williams is the primary back for the Rams, with Blake Corum positioned as a backup option if Williams gets injured.
Insight pageQuinshon Judkins
PositiveProjection43:20
Judkins is a 30-to-1 long-shot bet for rushing yards leader, with the analyst expecting a 'Yeti-like season' given improved offensive line, new receivers, and the Browns' commitment to the run game.
Insight pagePositiveRole43:40
Judkins averaged 59.1 rushing yards per game last year (22nd in league) despite missing training camp and OTAs, and was on pace for 280 carries (7th most in NFL), showing the Browns' commitment to him.
Insight pagePositiveRole44:16
The Browns improved their offensive line with four new starters, added fullback Michael Burton, and hired Todd Monken (who rode Derek Henry hard in Baltimore), signaling commitment to the run game.
Insight pageRaheem Mostert
PositiveRole55:02
Mostert famously had 20 rushing touchdowns in a season under Mike McDaniel, demonstrating the potential for high touchdown production in that offense.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hi, it's Colin Coward from the Colin Coward Podcast.
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0:26All right, and welcome into Betting Pros NFL. We're making the dog days of summer count as we continue to build out our futures portfolio today.
0:33We're breaking down the odds and our best bets for the stat leaders markets.
0:38I'm your host Seth Wolcott coming off a phenomenal July 4th weekend.
0:41And back with me is the New England kid himself.
0:44That's right. It's Mr. Andrew. Andrew Erickson. Andrew, before we dive into everything that is stat leaders, I'm going to put you on the spot here.
0:51We're kind of counting down the days of summer here before football season is back.
0:56So I want to tap into your big brain.
0:58What are your top summertime movies that maybe people should cross off the list in this slow time on the NFL calendar?
1:05Top summertime movies. So do they need to be specific to, I like watching this in the summertime or just, hey, this is a good movie.
1:12You got time to kill. It's a rainy day.
1:15I want it set in the summer. I want a movie that gives you those summer vibes.
1:20That's, you know, kind of summer themed if you would.
1:23Okay. So when you asked me that my first inclination was the Sandlot.
1:27Yes, that is number one. I agree with you.
1:29That's probably the 101 in my book of summertime movies, just good vibes overall.
1:33I do like a nice animated film here or there.
1:36I have a lot of good memories of going through the drive-ins with my family and parents and you'd always have like
1:43the double features, which I thought was just the coolest thing ever where you go and you get to watch two movies
1:49for the price of one or just one car.
1:52You get the concessions, the soda, the candy. Yes.
1:54And you get to watch two movies back to back.
1:57Nothing was quite nothing hits quite like that. And I've been trying to convince my wife like, hey, let's pack up the pup.
2:04Let's go to a drive-in movie, you know, see Toy Story 5, the Minions movie, whatever, have some fun.
2:09So I'm always down for a good animated film, but 101 is definitely Sandlot.
2:14I agree with you there. And also on the drive-in theater, never usually made it through like the whole second movie before falling asleep.
2:21And then I'd wake up in my bed, which I appreciate.
2:24American Pie 2 was probably the 102 on my list because that was the one where they get the lake house for the summer.
2:31All the shenanigans go down out there on the great Lake Michigan there.
2:34So are you an American Pie guy at all?
2:37I've not seen it in a while. Oh, okay.
2:40I don't. My memories of the movie, I usually reflect fondly on.
2:43Hey, this was a good fun watch. Definitely a movie.
2:46Maybe, hey, maybe I need to fire it up again.
2:49I got all next week off, Seth. I'm going on vacation.
2:52So I've got to have time to kill. Let's go.
2:55American Pie 2, do yourself a favor out there for Erickson and the fine folks listening today.
3:00And as noted on today's program, folks, we're going to break down the top players for the stat leaders markets, including passing
3:06yards and touchdown leaders, rushing yards and touchdown leaders, and receiving yards and touchdown leaders.
3:11But before we do, first, a quick shout out to everyone who's taking a little time out of their day to join
3:17us either right here on the FantasyPros YouTube channel or the audio feed.
3:21We really appreciate it. And as always, the easiest free way to support us.
3:25Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content.
3:29Subscribe if you're new. Let us know your favorite futures below in the comments, maybe your favorite summertime movies as well.
3:35And let's go ahead and dive in, starting with the arms that will define the season.
3:40We're looking at the passing yard leaders first. And Erickson, no doubt about it when it comes in here to the favorites.
3:46Joe Burrow at 8-1 for this market. Dak Prescott also 8-1.
3:49Jared Goff plus 750. Drake May also coming in around that 15-1.
3:5316-1 Mark. Pat Mahomes, 18-1 Matt Stafford, 19-1 to go back-to-back.
3:56Tyler Schuck here at 20-1. Trevor Lawrence at 20-1.
3:59What were the value plays out there for you when you're kind of poking your head around there?
4:04Where do you want to get invested at for the passing yard leader market, Andrew?
4:08I think that the market is spot on with having Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott as the two favorites.
4:14You look at where they go in fantasy drafts.
4:16They're the two highest drafted, like, pure pocket passers, I would say.
4:20And I think it's like that for a reason.
4:22If Joe Burrow stays healthy, guy could push for 5,000 passing yards.
4:26And that would surprise basically no one. But that has been something that he has not really been able to do, is stay healthy.
4:33So I do think that there is value going to some of these other quarterbacks down the board.
4:38And the one that stood out to me, again, not trying to be a homer here.
4:43I know I got the Pat stuff in the background.
4:46But Drake May at 15-1. He was fourth in passing yards per game last year.
4:50Stephon Diggs was his number one wide receiver last year.
4:53Who is his number one wide receiver now? Guy, maybe you've heard of him, Seth.
4:57A.J. Brown. Never. Household name. Pretty good with the Philadelphia Eagles.
5:01Not only A.J. Brown, they also have Romeo Dobbs.
5:03Another really good wide receiver number two option for Drake May.
5:06So I think that, considering he was fourth in passing yards per game last year, it was actually really funny.
5:12I don't remember where his final stat line was.
5:15But every, when I watched the Patriots, basically would say Drake May is, you know, top five in passing yards.
5:21But he has only thrown for 300 passing yards once.
5:23So he wasn't actually having these like, now he had come close.
5:27It was like 280, 290, 295. I don't remember what his actual finish was in terms of how many 300-yard passing games
5:33he had, but it wasn't a lot. So I do think that there's a little bit more meat on the bone for
5:40him to throw for more 300-yard passing yard games.
5:42They were fourth in pass rate over expectation last year.
5:45Again, I think that's still a past first offense.
5:48You don't go and trade a first-round pick for a wide receiver if you're not going to rely on your third-year quarterback.
5:54And yes, people will point to the schedule as a reason why he was passing for a lot of yards.
6:00If they're now going to be trailing in games, what does that mean?
6:04We're going to be throwing the ball even more.
6:07So I think that you're going to see more defensive injuries for the Patriots.
6:11I think that their secondary is kind of thin a little bit, especially on that opposite side of Christian Gonzalez.
6:16If he misses time, which people forget, he missed time to start the year last year, and that defense was a mess.
6:23The Patriots didn't start out the season. They lost to the Raiders in week one.
6:27Like, one of the worst teams in the NFL beat the Patriots, and we're like all, oh no, we were jumping the
6:34shark here with the Patriots' breakout 2025 season. So I think that Drake May makes a lot of sense here.
6:39He's going to be throwing the ball a ton.
6:42Young, upcoming superstar. And he's got a number one weapon like A.J.
6:46Brown. So that was my first one that I really liked.
6:49Yeah, I like the play. And honestly, the Patriots' defense does cause for concern here, right?
6:53Because, you know, they had Chase on who kind of got real hot from a pass-rushing standpoint last year, late in the
7:00year, going on to that Lombardi run. And I just don't know if they have.
7:04Like, Milton Williams is great up front. But aside from that, they're really going to have to rely on some young players to step up in that position.
7:12So maybe Drake May in for a really good season.
7:15I'm going to throw one at you, and I hate to bet the favorite, but I'm going to do it.
7:21Jared Goff plus 750. Like, this is a guy, Andrew, he's been the runner-up for this stat three straight seasons.
7:27He's averaged over 4,500 yards in that stretch as well, including last year when he didn't even really have a real offensive coordinator, right?
7:34You know, Big Dan Campbell had to come in and take over play calling at one point.
7:39And like, nobody really talks about it too, but you brought up the really good point that like, I can't get invested
7:45with Joe Burrow from a season-long standpoint like this because I don't trust him to stay healthy.
7:50Same with kind of Matthew Stafford, right? But Jared Goff, this guy's a bit of an Iron Man, right?
7:56He's played 17 games for four straight seasons. And like, the Lions now come in really set up well where they're playing against a fourth-place schedule, right?
8:03The sixth-easiest strength of schedule. And the defense, to me, like the Patriots, a lot of question marks, specifically in that secondary.
8:10Brian Branch, Kirby Joseph, both coming into training camp banged up.
8:13Roger McCreary, he's coming over from the Rams to play the nickel.
8:17And their top cornerback, Terry Narnold, well, he's a free agent now.
8:20So I think in addition to this defense having some question marks, the offense, a lot of fun, right?
8:26No more Monty. Dave Montgomery is on to brighter pastures down there in Houston.
8:30So maybe not as run-heavy. And Goff, he finally gets that nude right tackle in Blake Miller coming out of Clemson opposite of Penny Sewell.
8:37And hopefully getting a better option at center in Cade May coming over from Carolina as well.
8:42You got ARSB locked in as your wide receiver one.
8:45J-Mo coming off a career season. He's got that extension in the bag as well.
8:49Sammy Ballgame should be coming back healthy. Plus, another season for Isaac Tesla, who we didn't see much from him as a rookie.
8:56Except for catching touchdowns. So for me, I really like Jared Goff.
8:59I know Drew Petsig is not the offensive coordinator we all want to rally about and rally around.
9:05But Jacoby Brissett ranked seventh in passing yards per game a season ago.
9:08So give me Jared Goff here, plus 750 for a full unit.
9:12I like that play a lot. Even though he is ranked up there with the favorites, you made a really compelling case.
9:18I think the reason I like it the most is I don't think this bet is ever going to be dead during the season.
9:25I think that Jared Goff is going to be live entering week 15, week 16.
9:30Hey, he's top three, top four in passing yards this season.
9:33So it's going to be, hey, we have a chance here.
9:36You're going to have a sweat here betting on Jared Goff.
9:39And I'm all about the Lions this year in terms of futures.
9:43I think they're going to win the division. I think that they could win the NFC.
9:47So I definitely like being high on Jared Goff as well here.
9:51So I think that this is a good call by you.
9:54My last one that I have is also in that same division, the NFC North.
9:58And it's looking at the Chicago Bears, a team that we talked about, I think, last week about this team.
10:04You got to fade in some capacity, especially like in win losses, because the most hyped up team is always the team that disappoints.
10:11And with all their standalone games, he's on the cover of Madden.
10:15And however, I feel like I've been pretty upfront about this.
10:18I don't think it's the offense that's going to be the reason why this team doesn't make expectations.
10:23I think their defense is not good. And I think that they have a major issue when it comes to their pass rush that they did not address.
10:31Last year, they were one of the best teams in terms of getting that turnover lock.
10:36And that's just going to regress. So I think this game and this team is going to be just shootout after shootout after shootout.
10:43And I think that means the offense is going to have to push, push, push as much as humanly possible.
10:49That's why I like Caleb Williams at longer than 22 to one odds to lead the NFL in passing yards.
10:55Guys absolutely loaded up with weapons. You were listening off the Lions weapons.
10:58Colson Loveland, Luther Burton, Roma Dunze, running backs out of the backfield.
11:02Feel really good about what he could potentially do here.
11:05Last year, when he had ranked dead last to completion rate over expectation, Caleb Williams was fourth in expected passing yards, fourth in expected passing touchdowns.
11:12Oh, wow. And like I said earlier, the defense, I think, is just going to be bad and force them into shootout game scripts.
11:19So I think that he's going to be checking the ball a ton.
11:23And I know that it would be so funny if for some reason the Bears never have a 4,000 yard passer and
11:29it's, oh yeah, Caleb Williams threw for 5,000 yards.
11:32The first 4,000 yard passer for the Bears actually throws for 5,000 yards instead.
11:36Like that would just be hilarious to kind of see that play out here.
11:40So yes, taking the over on Caleb Williams passing yards this year.
11:44And I think that he is alive to also leave the NFL in passing yards at, and I like these odds at north of 22 to 1.
11:52Yeah, I was surprised to actually see that good of value out there on Caleb Williams.
11:56The thing that like makes me a little gun shy is like, what's the weather going to be like in Chicago, right?
12:03That could maybe help him or hurt him late in the season.
12:06But aside from that, like we just, you know, talked about Jared Goff and gassed him up.
12:11Well, who was his defensive coordinator for two or offensive coordinator two last three years?
12:15Well, it's Ben Johnson, right, who's out there in the Windy City with Caleb Williams.
12:20So not a bad play there. Let's go to the passing TD leader market, Erickson, where it's always super tough to predict touchdowns.
12:26So I'm going to leave this one to you.
12:29But the favorites, of course, are Joe Burrow, 6-1.
12:32Matthew Stafford, 7-1. Dak Prescott, 9-1. Jared Goff, once again, 10-1.
12:35Brock Purdy, plus 1150. Drake May, 16-1. And Trevor Lawrence, 18-1, along with Caleb Williams at that same number.
12:40So, Erickson, where do you want to go in this particular market?
12:44I did consider Drake May and Caleb Williams for this market as well.
12:48Although I did side with the passing yardage with those particular players.
12:51For me, I'm going back to my T-law, Trevor Lawrence love at 18-1.
12:55Look at Liam Cohen last year that he did with Baker Mayfield.
12:58Baker Mayfield threw for 40-plus touchdowns. He threw for 41 and that tied for second in the NFL in 2024.
13:04The Jacksonville Jaguars last year. Trevor Lawrence was third in total touchdowns behind only Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen.
13:10He was on an absolute tear from week five onward in this offense.
13:14And if we're expecting this to carry over into this season with his another year under his belt, understanding this Cohen offense
13:20where he feels comfortable, I think that he could just let it loose in the red zone in particular.
13:26So, he had the fourth most red zone pass attempts last year.
13:29And I look at this backfield. I like Bachel Tootin a lot.
13:32I'm not a big fan of Chris Rodriguez, but there's a chance that no one's good in this backfield.
13:38And they just turn it over to Trevor Lawrence and be like, man, we're just throwing in the red zone, man.
13:44Like, we're not like messing around with these running backs.
13:47And you're going to be the most carrying the offense more often than not.
13:51So, third most expected passing touchdowns last year for Trevor Lawrence.
13:54Seventh in pass rate over expectation in the red zone.
13:57Similar to the Bears, I do feel like the Jaguars are not that their defense is as bad.
14:02I think they have way more playmakers. And they were obviously another team that benefited a lot from turnovers last season.
14:09But I think they're a pass funnel defense in terms of they sell out to stop the run, which means teams are going to throw against them.
14:16They're going to see Travis Hunter lined up on defense like, hey, he was just out there playing at wide receiver.
14:23We're going to try to attack him and see how tired he actually is.
14:27So, I'm expecting, again, similar to the Bears, game scripts where you're getting potential shootouts.
14:31So, Trevor Lawrence for me, I love him for MVP as a long shot odds type of bet.
14:36But I also think that if he doesn't win the MVP, he's at least going to be in contention because he was
14:43last year right up there with the passing touchdowns he had a season ago.
14:47If you're getting a full year of Jacoby Myers, a healthy Brian Thomas Jr., a Parker Washington breakout, like all the pieces
14:53coming together, man, none of these guys like were 100% healthy last year and playing together.
14:58So, if you get this cohesive unit of all these playmakers and if somebody goes down, well, there's a lot of depth.
15:04Hey, throw Travis Hunter in there, right? Like they have a lot of pieces that he can go to so it's not
15:11super top heavy or he has to just rely on one guy to catch all the touchdowns.
15:15So, he'll spread the wealth and yeah, that's why Trevor Lawrence is my bet here.
15:20Yeah, I don't hate that at all. And the depth on this team and in this receiving core in particularly, that is something that intrigues me.
15:27Like you said, they can lose someone and unlike other teams where you only have two guys, like if the Bengals lose
15:34Tee Higgins or Chase, you're kind of screwed out of the Joe Burrow ticket.
15:38If the Lions lose ARSB or JMO, you might be hurting there.
15:41Same with the Cowboys if you lose CD or GP.
15:44So, lots of good stuff happening there for Trevor Lawrence, hopefully taking another step forward in this Liam Cohen offense.
15:50And you have another bet that this might be a potential squad ride.
15:54This is one that I've thought long and hard about because, well, this guy was healthy a year ago.
15:59He was up there with the best of them in touchdown percentage.
16:03Second in passing touchdowns per game last year. Brock Purdy.
16:0611 to 1. Those are the odds listed. So, I think that this is just a smart back to mate.
16:12Savvy. Because I don't, I think that kind of gets lost in the sauce from last year.
16:17When Matt Jones was playing really well. Brock Purdy only played half the season because he got banged up.
16:22But this offense with Kyle Shanahan, especially if McCaffrey misses any time and he's not rushing for a bunch of touchdowns.
16:28Brock Purdy has one of the highest touchdown rates in the NFL since he became the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers.
16:35That's because he's good in this offense. And who do they add this offseason?
16:39Someone that we're going to talk about a little bit more when it comes to receiving touchdowns.
16:44But a guy named Mike Evans, who was basically put on planet Earth to catch touchdowns.
16:49So, I think with all the weapons he has, whether guys are missing time.
16:53Again, they have some depth here too. So, if somebody goes down, which that's the San Francisco 49ers.
16:58That's what they always do. That's what always happens with their team.
17:01Unfortunately, they have someone else that can also step up here.
17:05So, Brock Purdy for me is another one I liked.
17:07Yeah, don't hate that at all. They've, of course, added some questionable receivers in the draft.
17:12But at the same time, I think this is like really a place where if you're looking at someone maybe undervalued, maybe it's Brock Purdy.
17:19Of course, the health, that's going to be the question with him.
17:23The 49ers, they would not let go of Mac Jones so far this offseason despite some rumored interest from various squads out there.
17:30So, Brock Purdy is someone I'm definitely considering for this.
17:32It's just a health standpoint from him and this entire offense, right?
17:36Like, I think if something were to happen to Mike Evans, like, I don't have a ton of trust in DeJuan Stripling to be an alpha wide receiver.
17:44But at the same time, the one thing this guy did for Trinidad Chan Bliss late in that Ole Miss playoff run
17:51was go up and catch some contested balls specifically there for scores.
17:54So, could be good stuff out there on the West Coast for Brock Purdy.
17:58Let's get to the rushing leader futures. But before we do, a quick reminder that when you're betting these NFL futures, the
18:04number, that's what's going to matter for you. And that's why you should download the free Betting Pros app today.
18:10You can compare odds, track your bets, follow expert picks, monitor line movement, and keep your futures card organized all season long.
18:17So, if you're betting a team to make the playoffs, miss the playoffs, win a division, or chase a number one seed,
18:23make sure you're tracking the market and getting the best number out there by downloading the Betting Pros app today.
18:29All right, Andrew, we're talking about running backs who might change the game here in 2026, starting with the most rushing yards
18:35odds, and the favorites are Jonathan Taylor at 6-1, Derek Henry at plus 669, B.
18:40John Robinson at plus 733, James Cook plus 750, Jameer Gibbs 9-1, Saquon Barkley 10-1, and then pretty big gap from everyone else down.
18:47So, are you liking any of these favorites to potentially land this, or do you like more of a long shot play here?
18:53I'm taking Jameer Gibbs. That's the bet that I like the most on the board.
18:58Okay. 7-1, 8-1, 9-1, somewhere in that particular range.
19:00Six games without Dave Montgomery, over 110 rushing yards per game.
19:04We say tongue-in-cheek, but essentially, Jameer Gibbs turns into LaDain Lane Tomlinson.
19:07From a production standpoint, when he plays without Dave Montgomery, and I think that this is the year the Lions just unleash him on defenses.
19:14He can get there on big plays, so he doesn't even necessarily need to see 300 type of carry.
19:20He had, in 2024, 1,400 rushing yards on 250 carries.
19:23So, imagine what he could actually do if, hey, we're not going to actually give Jameer Gibbs 300 carries this season.
19:29And you alluded to it when you're talking about Jared Goff in terms of the passing efficiency against the league's easiest schedule.
19:35That, to me, screams, hey, they're going to get chances to be able to run the football.
19:40And I know that they may want to look at Gibbs as, okay, maybe a player that we need to ease in
19:47the second halves of games, but they got Isaiah Pacheco there.
19:50That's the only other running back. And there's a potential that Pacheco's just not going to ever been the same guy that
19:56he was a couple years ago before all these injuries really kind of derailed his explosiveness.
20:01So, I think that Gibbs just is set up so well here.
20:04I would expect, without Montgomery, he's going to set a career high in carries.
20:08And, to me, that makes him so alive, especially with the fact that he may not even need to get 300 carries
20:15to lead the NFL in rushing yards because he is so efficient, because he's going to have massive lanes and a high-powered
20:21offense, and he's going to be having leads to get opportunities in the second halves of games.
20:26So, for me, it is a little chalky, but I'm going with the guy that I think should be the number one
20:33pick in fantasy football drafts, Jameer Gibbs. Hi, it's Colin Coward from the Colin Coward Podcast.
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22:08Okay. Yeah, I totally understand that. Not typically a player that we think of a high-volume type of running back, but he
22:14has certainly started to build to that over the years.
22:17And for them to let Dave Montgomery go in a trade speaks that they trust him from that standpoint.
22:23And, yeah, I don't mind taking a flyer on Isaiah Pacheco in some fancy leagues.
22:27I think he will have usage. But I do agree that it's not going to be quite the Dave Montgomery usage we saw a few years ago.
22:35And the one question mark I have with Gibbs is almost the same question mark I have with the next player you're going to talk about.
22:42Will their receiving usage get in the way? Because both Gibbs and this next player, great receiving running backs as well.
22:48Well, Maren Hampton, 25-1. That is my other more of a long-shot bet on rushing yards leader.
22:53And I like Hampton in a lot of these futures markets for some of these players, a player that I'm very high on.
23:00Because I think that if he hits in his 99th percentile outcome in this Mike McDaniel offense, well, I know we've seen reports about him creating fireworks.
23:08I think that's exactly the play. I think that's how you want to approach Hampton this year, where you're looking at the
23:14high upside, not versus the, okay, small sample size last year.
23:17Maybe they like heat Mitchell more. It's more of a committee and this is a disaster.
23:22But rather, okay, what if he is actually a three-down workhorse as a former first-round pick from UNC?
23:27You could see him just totally melting faces this year.
23:30So I just look at what A-Chan was able to do in a Mike McDaniel offense.
23:35He was fifth in rushing yards per game last year.
23:38And that's with all the receiving A-Chan had. He was still fifth in rushing yards per game last year at 84.4.
23:44And an offense that was broken for most of the season, with Tua limiting how many times they were dropping back to throw the football.
23:51So I think in an offense that is going to be vastly improved, I don't think we've done a single show this
23:58season talking about 2026, where I haven't brought up the Chargers or a Chargers player and be like, bet on the Chargers.
24:04Because again, going back to the schedule, Cardinals, Raiders, Bills, how is Hampton not going to have 300 rushing yards by the
24:10first, over the first three weeks of the season?
24:13So again, maybe a play that you cash out of it.
24:16If you start to see Mitchell get more involved, the season progresses or Hampton maybe doesn't look as good.
24:22And it's more, he's breaking off some of these fluky plays, but I just think he's going to be set up to succeed.
24:28And I don't think these odds are going to last as long as 25 to one.
24:33So Hampton for me in this Michael McDaniel offense, just oozing with upside and potential as I continue.
24:38I mean, what, what could go wrong, Seth? Just loving the Chargers.
24:42What could happen? Ask their fans for the last 25 or so years.
24:46You know, there's a chance they end up as the number one seed in the AFC.
24:50And there's a chance that they don't win a game in the playoffs.
24:54Cause that's just how it goes out there for the bolts.
24:57But I'll tell you what, when it comes to Hampton, I've been trying to find a way to get invested with him from a future standpoint.
25:05I've contemplated, Hey, could it be offensive player of the year?
25:08Maybe this is a better play though. I do agree that like, I think with Mike McDaniels kind of, you know, on
25:14the sticks here, that's really, really going to be a beneficiary.
25:18Also this offensive line's healthy this season, right? Like they weren't a year ago.
25:22And I am unlike you that I don't believe in Keaton Mitchell.
25:25I don't believe, you know, I think Vidal actually is a little bit more juice than him at this point, but, but
25:32still I think Hampton, as long as he can stay healthy, he's got a good shot at this.
25:37And I do agree. Like I'm going to probably be trying to place this at one of those, whether it's a prediction
25:43market or whether it's a sports book with a, an aggressive cash out notoriety.
25:47I'm going to go that way because I think this is one, I don't know if it gets there to the window,
25:54but I think it certainly gets smaller, especially after those first few weeks of the season for me here though, I'm going
26:00to take Quinshaw Judkins 30 to one. And I can't tell you Andrew, how wrong I was about Judkins last year.
26:06After a week, one of the season, I was all in on Dylan Sampson.
26:10I was seeing the usage and I thought there's no way the Browns are going to bring this guy back with essentially
26:17zero training camp and make him their workhorse. Well, they absolutely did, right?
26:20That is certainly what they did. He averaged 59.1 rushing yards per game.
26:24That is the 22nd best in the league. And again, no training camp.
26:28He also left early against Buffalo when he got injured.
26:31So that first game back, you can kind of throw out, throw it out as an outlier.
26:36Same with that last game. And even with those half games though, he was on pace for 280 carries, Andrew.
26:42That's the seventh most in the NFL. So the Browns offense, I think it's going to be a lot better as a whole, right?
26:49You get some actual wide receivers out there with Jerry Judy, Casey Concepcion, and Denzel Boston.
26:53And like, what did the Browns do this off season?
26:56Well, they improved that entire offensive line, right? Four new starting linemen.
27:00They also brought in fullback, Michael Burton from Denver.
27:02That shows me that they want to run the ball and Todd Munkin for, you know, all the greatness he did to
27:09really open up Lamar Jackson and the passing game in Baltimore a little bit more of the last three years.
27:15He also rode Derek Henry hard in the two season that he was out there in Baltimore as well.
27:20Averaged 316 rushing attempts, 17, 17, 158 yards per season, which would have won the Russian title a year ago.
27:26So no more drone forward out there. Dylan Sampson still there.
27:29I'm expecting a Yeti like season from Judkins. And I love the value at 30 to one already.
27:34Some positive off season reports from him and his camp.
27:37I don't think I can follow you on this one.
27:40No. Judkins. If we're making a 31 bet and I know I didn't put this in the show sheet, but I know
27:47I told you I had a couple of longer shots that I wanted to kind of feel you.
27:52So you would rather do Judkins 30 to one than Ken Walker 30 to one.
27:56Just to be honest. Yes. So I'm on the, I would rather do Walker because I've already seen him be able to
28:03rush for a thousand yards twice and rip off a ton of big explosive plays.
28:07And now he actually got paid by a team to potentially be their workhorse versus Judkins where yes, I think that the
28:13points that you made are very astute in terms of this guy could just see so much volume.
28:19It's just a matter of does he break down or does he suffer another injury?
28:23Like he did last year, him coming off the injury does concern me a little bit.
28:28And they also have really tough schedule to open the season.
28:31So I think maybe you could even get Judkins odds longer as we start the year because they're opening up the season.
28:37Good run defense and at Tampa Bay, that is just a really tough draw for a brand new offensive line.
28:43Playing two road games against really strong defensive front.
28:46So I just wanted to bring that up. I'm not trying.
28:49I don't mean to pour cold water. No, absolutely.
28:51But I'll get the ice baby. Come on. Ice bucket challenge for CJ2K.
28:55Yes. Yes. Shout out CJ2K. So yeah, Ken Walker to me was someone that stood out at 31.
29:00I also wrote down Bay shell two. And he was 60 to one.
29:04Oh, I don't know. So, so again, like, again, you don't have to like, again, these were just like, I wanted to throw them at you.
29:12Cause I was like, I'm not even sure how I feel about these.
29:16I'm like kind of interested. Not really sure. I wanted to like officially make them plays.
29:20And then the other one, I guess, and this one's kind of similar to Judkins, but the odds are way longer.
29:26It's got to be 80 to one. Hmm. He was 67 rushing arts per game last year.
29:31That would have ranked 12th. So that was even more than Judkins.
29:35You look at guys that get volume and similar to Judkins, they're both coming off major injuries.
29:40I mean, Scadaboo talking tongue in cheek, but he literally talked about, I want to rush her 2000 yards.
29:45Like clearly the guy thinks that he can do it.
29:48And I just color me intrigued that 80 to one, especially with a team that's like, Hey, we want to run the football.
29:55They're not going to have league neighbors to open the season.
29:58He's a battering Ram. I think that's, if I'm going 30 to one or longer, I think I'm going to go more in this direction versus Judkins.
30:06Just because I think that environmental factors I'm concerned about with him and just his, his ability to rip off like, cause he's not an explosive runner.
30:14Like that's the big thing too. Like he could be up there top five and carries and maybe he can grind his way, but I don't know.
30:22I get concerned if he can really go over the top without that, other explosive element to the extra gear, especially coming off a pretty devastating injury.
30:29Yes. Scatter booze, a guy last year, I had him on 250 to one for offensive rookie of the year.
30:35That was, that was a 20 to one ticket before he got hurt is what, what the live odds were.
30:41So I already had cash outs waiting for me.
30:44I never took them. Cause I thought maybe it actually had a chance to get there.
30:48And unfortunately it did not with that injury. The only issue with like scatter boo and a couple of these other running
30:55backs is like Tyrone Tracy is around, right? Like, and I don't think Tyrone Tracy is a great running back by any
31:01standpoint, but I think he's at least above a guy, right?
31:04He's, he's not a Jag. So Samson's a Jag.
31:07I kind of do. Yeah. Like, I mean, I just think like that too.
31:11So I just think that like, if Samson was that good, the Browns would have not just like said, Hey, Quinn, Sean,
31:17we know you missed all training camp. We know you missed pretty much all OTAs, but we're going to go and throw
31:24you out there in week two as a starter.
31:26Like that was a really big, like slam the door in the face of, of Dylan Samson to me.
31:32But I can understand that, that maybe some people are more optimistic.
31:36Let's stay with the running backs here, but let's go to rushing touchdown.
31:39Leader where this is another market. Very, very hard to predict.
31:42Sometimes, you know, you get the outlier performances like Jonathan Taylor early in the season where he was going on a tear
31:49ends up finishing as the most touchdowns for running backs a year ago.
31:53From a rushing standpoint, you've had James cook with some big seasons.
31:56The favorites currently for this are Jameer Gibbs, six to one, Derek Henry, six to one, Jonathan Taylor, six to one, Josh
32:03Jacobs, nine to one, James cook, nine to one, Josh Allen coming from the quarterback position, 10 to one, Kyron Williams, 15
32:09to one, Javante Williams for the Dallas Cowboys at 16 to one, CMC at 16 to one.
32:14And Saquon Barkley also at 16 to one. Where do you want to go here?
32:18Andrew Erickson. So for me, it's right back to Marion Hampton.
32:21And I think I even liked this one a little bit more than the rushing yards because I'm still not a hundred
32:28percent not sold, but I'm not exactly sure how the charges office is going to want to score all their points because
32:34we've seen Mike McDaniel do it in a lot of different ways.
32:38We've seen him lead the NFL in passing yards one year with two way and Ty we kill in Jalen Waddle.
32:44We've also seen him rely really heavy on the run game.
32:47So I think ultimately though, they're going to score a lot of touchdowns.
32:51And I have Uber confidence that Omar and Hampton is going to be the guy in the red zone.
32:56So Raheem Mostert famously had 20 touchdowns in a season playing under Mike McDaniel, which was one of these like ludicrous.
33:02How did this guy lead the NFL in touchdowns and rushing touchdowns where he most are out of nowhere.
33:08And I remember, dude, I remember being on like being on this, but I went with Jeff Wilson and not Raheem Mostert.
33:14And I was just like, so gutted. I was so gutted because like, I like the process that I was like, this is the right process.
33:22Like I'm on this backfield. Like this is going to work.
33:25And I just picked the wrong, the wrong dusty guy.
33:28And I was like, no. So, so that always, I always remind myself of like, Hey, it's like sometimes he gets trust, trust the process, trust the process.
33:36But Hampton, even last year in a truncated season, still scored five touchdowns.
33:40So I think that he's going to at least get double digit touchdowns.
33:44If he's just going to play healthy for the entire season, Miami last year was the fifth lowest pass rate over expectation in the red zone.
33:51And HN, despite kind of splitting work with certain running backs during his career, he's averaged 12 touchdowns per season.
33:57So if we're getting a baseline of O'Meara and Hampton scoring 12, touch or double digit touchdowns, I think that again, he's
34:04a player that's going to be in the running.
34:06If he stays healthy to leave the NFL and rushing touchdowns.
34:09So for me, I think that if I'm going to only do one of these futures on Hampton, I do think I
34:16prefer the rushing touchdowns leader over the rushing yards.
34:18Although I do like both. Yeah. And keep in mind, we'll see later on as the summer progresses, these milestone markets where
34:25you can bet him for like 10 plus rushing touchdowns, something like that.
34:29And he might be able to get a pretty good number on him right like that as well.
34:34So I certainly like the Hampton love B. John Robinson out there at 18 to one.
34:38It's not a play I've made, but I found that a little confusing.
34:42Like again, I've been the Atlanta Falcons hater, you know, on these shows, Erickson, but for a guy to be 18 to
34:49one out there losing Tyler Algier on this backfield, who has snaked, you know, eight touchdowns last year and continues to vulture every single season from B.
34:57John. I don't want to be John at 18 to one.
35:00It's just something I've kind of been toying around with.
35:03Again, I don't know if the Falcons will score enough for him to get that, but one that I was considering, you
35:09also have another one and we're going along for this one, baby.
35:13Blake Coram at a hundred to one to lead the NFL in rushing touchdown.
35:17Oh, excuse me, not a hundred to one, 80 to one.
35:20Sorry. I'm getting ahead of myself. I was looking at a different number.
35:2480, a hundred, $20 off. You're close. Yeah. Very, very close.
35:27Very, very long shot odds. I was curious about how you play any of these futures markets with some of these backups
35:33where, you know, it's like this because he's not a starter on his team, but Kyron pulls his hamstring, breaks his ankle, et cetera.
35:40Okay. Now Blake Coram is slated to smash. And I want to note that even last year he was seeing a, a
35:47decent amount of goal line opportunities in this offense.
35:49So if it's less Matthew Stafford, Devante Adams receiving touchdowns, they're not trying to press the narrative with Matthew Stafford scoring as
35:56many passing touchdowns to get him the MVP. And it's, we want to keep Stafford upright to make a playoff run.
36:02Cause we want to win another super bowl. Let's feed our running backs in the red zone.
36:07Well, Blake Coram to me is a guy that screams out as maybe this could be a really good value.
36:12I would also add to a player that I was very high on in this market last year that obviously fizzled out
36:19with the entire offense was the Minnesota Vikings was Jordan Mason.
36:22Another player that I was really thinking about, okay, this guy could lead the NFL rushing touchdowns really efficient.
36:28And none of that worked out last year. Jordan Mason was overall a bus.
36:32Like the entire Vikings offense was mostly a bus last year with McCarthy.
36:35But I feel like the thesis of the play going back to trust in the process, I think the thesis of the
36:42play is basically the same as it was last year, except all the numbers are just that much more of a long shot.
36:49So I want to add that in as well.
36:51Jordan Mason, who I just had to pull up here on betting pros, he is listed at, you got to keep scrolling
36:58down because he is, he is very down here.
37:00150 to one Jordan Mason to, so I'm going to be sprinkling some couch money on Jordan Mason to do that.
37:06Cause last year I was all over this and I'd have to pull it up, but there's no way it was this long.
37:13It was much, much shorter. And I was like, I'm all about this Jordan Mason touchdown bet.
37:18So I think I'm going to go back to it.
37:21Play the head. Okay. Yeah. This is such a fun market.
37:24I think because like you also have the quarterback factor, like Jackson darts and out there a hundred to one.
37:30I don't think that's a crazy bet because we've seen Josh Allen contend for this.
37:34Jackson dart is that type of quarterback. And to your point on Blake Corum as well, this is a guy that you
37:41go back a couple of seasons to Michigan, his final year, 27 rushing touchdowns for the Wolverines.
37:46Right? So if the opportunity opens up there in Los Angeles for Blake Corum, yeah, maybe it, maybe it's a potential spot for him to go for that.
37:54So don't hate either of those numbers. Again, just such a fun market.
37:57One that I think whether you're investing in multiple players or just one player, I think it's a light unit share, right?
38:04Because it can really swing either way. So let's go ahead.
38:07Let's move forward to receivers. But before we do a reminder that today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, hard rock bet.
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40:15All right. And we're getting into the receiving leaders of futures where for the receiving yards, no doubt about it.
40:21Jamar chase at the top here at six to one plus six 69 for Jackson Smith, the jig, but Puka, Nakuha plus seven 33, a Monra, St.
40:29Brown plus nine 50, Justin Jefferson for a bounce back at 14 to one CD lamb at plus 1567, Nico Collins at
40:3516 to one, AJ Brown at 20 to one, Drake London at 20 to one.
40:39Those are your favorites. Erickson. Who do you like in this particular market?
40:43Just going back to Jamar chase. I talked about him as one of my favorite bets for offensive player of the year,
40:50something that he has yet to win, which just seems like a total anomaly that Jamar chase is going to be the
40:56best wide receiver in the NFL and never win offensive player of the year.
41:00What's correlated to that award is, are you the wide receiver that leads the NFL receiving yards?
41:05And had it not been for sake one Barkley rushing for 2000 yards, he would have likely won offensive player of the
41:11year, two years ago, when he also led the league in receiving yards.
41:15So I think it's interesting when you look at duos that have actually done this.
41:20So I actually want to pose a question to you, Seth since 2004, how many times do you think a receiver and quarterback have respectively?
41:27The quarterback has led the NFL in passing yards and one of his wide receivers has led the NFL in receiving yards
41:33already gave one away chase in burrow. That was in 2024.
41:372024. So how many other times has it happened?
41:39And can you name any of the pairings? Tom Brady and Randy Moss on that one, what?
41:44Oh, eight season. Oh seven, whatever year that was.
41:47I think that has to be one. Did big Ben and AB ever do it?
41:51I would think they would maybe be on that list too.
41:54Can I get a, like a Peyton Manning and maybe a, like a Wes Welker type of season too.
42:00I think, I think they had some runs there.
42:02Did I get any of them yet? You have not gotten any of them.
42:06so I'll be, I'll be honest. The quarterback list is pretty uninspiring for the most part.
42:11The last time. And Tyree, yes, that was the second one.
42:14So those are the most recent. So the Bengals did it in 2000.
42:18So it's actually happened two of the last three seasons, 2023 to entire week, 2024 was burrow and chase last year.
42:24It didn't happen because JSN led a league in receiving yards.
42:27Sam Darnold did not leave the NFL in passing yards.
42:30Yep. So it happened. I'll give you the year.
42:33So 2009 was the last time before the last two times.
42:36Really? Yep. Who was it? Houston Texans. Can you name either the quarterback or the wide?
42:41Matt Schaub is Matt Schaub, the quarterback. Yep. Andre Johnson.
42:44Yep. 2000. Okay. All right. Hall of Famer. Andre Johnson.
42:47Let's go. And then 2004. So there, it's happened four times since 2004.
42:502004. This team. Greatest show on turf. Or this was, I guess this was more in the post.
42:56Greatest show on turf. Cause this was not Kurt Warner.
42:59Okay. We're talking Rams. So we're talking, Oh man.
43:01Uh, this has got to be, went to the Cardinals name.
43:04Slit you on, on an episode of sweet, like Kurt Warner, Kurt Warner.
43:08No, it wasn't Kurt Warner. It was after. Oh no.
43:11It's post Kurt. Oh, Rams. It's like Mark. No, Matt.
43:14No, who? Bullock. Oh my God. Bullock. What is it?
43:17Mark Bullock. Say it one more time. Mark Bullger.
43:19Bullger. That's right. Okay. You're so close. Oh my God.
43:22And it was, it was, uh, I I'm, I'm guessing it was Isaac Bruce or, uh, one of those two.
43:28Okay. Yep. So long story short, Joe Burrow likely to leave the NFL in passing yards.
43:33If he stays healthy, Jamar Chase likely to leave the NFL in receiving yards.
43:37If he stays healthy. So that's the combination. I kind of like betting on here.
43:41Parlay that man. Could you mean parlay? I bet you hear some crazy odds.
43:45If you did that. Yeah. I mean, they've already done it and it did it two years ago.
43:51So I don't see why it can't happen. However, if I'm going to pivot away from that, I do think that the
43:57Bengals defense might be a little bit more improved and maybe they're not throwing as nearly as much as they need to.
44:03Sure. The other guy I like going to is player.
44:06I love for this upcoming season and fantasy and in futures beddings is AJ Brown.
44:11Again, pairing the quarterback who I like to leave the NFL in passing yards with Drake may pairing him with his number one wide receiver in AJ Brown.
44:19I've seen what McDaniels has done in offenses when he's had a alpha player like AJ Brown and you get seasons like
44:25Devante Adams with the Raiders and you get Brandon Marshall from the Denver Broncos where these guys just see absolute bonkers types of target share.
44:33So Romeo Dobbs as a number two compliment, I think he's more likely to influence defenses in the red zone.
44:38So maybe he can, he mitigates some of AJ Brown's touchdown potential, but from a yardage perspective, I think AJ Brown is going to absolutely cook.
44:46If you look at him, so he's 12th all time in receiving yards per game.
44:50He's so far eighth in the odds to leave the NFL and receiving yards, which is inside the top 10.
44:56And just turning us back to 2024, where AJ Brown was a more focal point of the Philadelphia Eagles offense and actually wanted to be there.
45:04He was fifth in receiving yards per game at 83.
45:07So I think that he is so alive to leave the NFL and receiving yards, just as Drake may is to leave the NFL and passing yards.
45:14And like we just talked about, this has kind of been a trend.
45:18It's been more often than not the last three years where the quarterback throwing for the most yards has actually had the receiver catching the most receiving yards.
45:26So I just wanted to bring that up. And again, the Mark Bolger poll, great job, Seth.
45:31Hey, I wish, I wish I could have got it across the entire finish line there without an assist, but I appreciate nonetheless.
45:38And you know, Andrew, we've seen these young quarterbacks when they get a superstar wide receiver, I go back to Josh Allen getting a prime Stefan digs, right?
45:46And how electric digs was that season, how much that helped the development of his quarterback as well.
45:51And I kind of see the same thing for AJ Brown here, who, you know, has all the motivation in the world
45:58to stop reading books on the sideline, get his head in the game and go out there and, you know, potentially lead the league in receiving.
46:05So this is a really fun one. I think let's go to receiving touchdown leaders here, where your favorites are once again,
46:12Jamar chase seven to one Devante Adams. So at eight to one after just an insane, stretch last season where he was catching touchdowns left and right.
46:20Amon Ross ain't Brown at plus 1150. JSN at plus 1329.
46:23Puka Nakua plus 1329. CD lamb, 15 to one, AJ Brown, 15 to one, T Higgins, 18 to one.
46:28And then Nico Collins here at 20 to one.
46:31Where do you want to go here in this particular market?
46:34So I talked about AJ Brown as another option here.
46:37I think that Romeo Dobbs could potentially cap this, which is actually why I think he's interesting too, as a hundred to one.
46:44Just, I got a free bet to make $5 freebie.
46:47We've seen weird guys finishing the top here, or if AJ Brown knee is not a hundred percent healthy, he misses game.
46:53You can see Dobbs kind of taking advantage of that.
46:56So just trying to capitalize on this Patriot passing attack, I think is a sharp way to approach this market.
47:02However, my favorite one easily is Mike Evans at 40 to one.
47:05We've talked about it on the fantasy pro shows.
47:08I said it, I think before D bro did, but we're both kind of lockstep where Mike Evans is this year's Devante Adams.
47:15When it comes to this guy is just going to catch a boatload of touchdowns.
47:19That's all he really needs to do. We talked about Brock Purdy and I think it's smart to kind of correlate these types of bets.
47:26So if Brock Purdy is fourth shortest odds to leave the NFL and passing touchdowns, well, how's he going to get there?
47:33He's got to throw it to somebody. Is it Ricky Pierce?
47:36It should be Mike Evans. So you're getting this at 40 to one for a player that looking at historically, he was put on earth to catch touchdowns.
47:44That is exactly why he was built. So I think he's going to score a ton of touchdowns here.
47:49You look at Juwan Jennings, who is no longer part of the 49ers now with the Minnesota Vikings.
47:55He was fifth in red zone targets last year, first in the NFL and red zone target rate.
48:00So the 49ers passing game was built around him in the red zone.
48:04He let him walk. Who do they bring in?
48:06Mike Evans, who was top five in touchdowns in both 2023 and 2024.
48:10So I think that this market in particular is interesting because I was actually surprised Seth.
48:15And I wanted to ask you this question again.
48:17I didn't mean to come on here and quiz you and be the quiz master, but that's kind of where we ended up on average.
48:25How many players do you think actually scored double digit receiving touchdowns per season?
48:29How far are we going back here? Just over the last couple of years, we don't need this.
48:34This isn't supposed to be like this grand, you know, deep dive study, but I was kind of, I never really thought about it.
48:41I was like, Oh, it's only 10, 10. No, it's honestly, it's very close to between six to eight players.
48:47Okay. So it's really not that many. When I was looking last couple of seasons, I'm like, man, I expected there to be more.
48:54Like you said, like 10, 11, 12. It's not really.
48:57So the field is actually pretty smaller. And the fact that you're getting some of these bonkers odds, like you would not be surprised whatsoever.
49:04Mike Evans scores double digit touchdowns. Not at all.
49:07Not at all. So especially from Purdy who has a good TD rate.
49:10Exactly. So if we're already putting him into that pool of, okay, now it's down to six players and he's one of them.
49:17And you're getting those odds at 40 to one, man, this was, we saved the best for last really when it comes to the touchdown bet.
49:25So Mike Evans for me, 40 to one. Couldn't have bet it faster when the, when I saw what the line was in the odds.
49:32So this one for me is my, uh, lock it in baby.
49:35It says in the show sheet, Mike Evans 41, lock it in.
49:39Yeah. Don't, don't hate that at all. Because like, as you go down the odds boards here, there's just not another value
49:45on the board that I can even see coming into this conversation.
49:49Right? Like, you know, maybe you can get some crazy value from like a Christian Watson who maybe goes crazy or like
49:55a Jameson Williams, like trying to think of some of those big play guys, right.
49:59That we might not be thinking about. You brought up Romeo Dobbs at a hundred to one too, but like they all feel like stretches, right?
50:07Like Mike Evans feels like he's the last guy on this list really at 40 to one.
50:12Who could probably do this at 40 or to one or longer odds.
50:16He's really the only one that makes sense. Like you can really talk yourself into.
50:20There is another player at 40 to one to Raji rice.
50:23He's the other guy that, cause he's a red zone monster.
50:27He was first in red zone targets or second red zone targets per game last year behind only Devante.
50:32It's just a matter of, well, this guy never plays a full season.
50:36So like, right. How can you bank on that?
50:38Mahomes coming off his injury, but exactly. It's very stark.
50:41When you look at where's rice going fantasy drafts, top 10 wide receiver, where is he going to touchdown market?
50:47He's nowhere near the top 10. So you're seeing a stark difference of, okay.
50:51If he stays healthy, you could see stays out of trouble, stays on the field.
50:56You could see him hitting on this. I also like Jalen Waddle as another one too.
51:00He's an eight. He's an 80 to one. So he plays on a really high powered offense.
51:05If Cortland Sutton, maybe kind of continues to kind of take a step back as more of a beta than an alpha in this offense.
51:13I'm just saying last year, you know who they were funneling targets to in the red zone constantly?
51:18Troy frigging Franklin. Yeah. So if Jalen Waddle is now taking on that role and capitalizing on all those opportunities in the
51:24red zone, I think again, looking at players that teams are invested highly and they trade a first round pick to acquire Jalen Waddle.
51:31It's an offense that we expect to score a lot of touchdowns.
51:35Jalen Waddle to me was the other play at 80 to one.
51:38I thought was also kind of interesting, but agreed.
51:41Mike Evans is definitely by far the, my favorite one of the ones we've talked about.
51:45Last question here. Any love for a Mecca of Buka in this category?
51:49Because we've seen Baker Mayfield again. It was in that Liam Cohen offense, but we've seen him have these high touchdown seasons,
51:56a Mecca, you know, the presumptive number one wide receiver there.
51:59Or do you think maybe it's just too many mouths to feed?
52:02I mean, Kate Auden, we know he's not going to gain red zone.
52:06he never does, but you do have Tez Johnson.
52:09Yeah. McMillan coming back. Chris Godwin as well. Any love for a Mecca of Buka who out there right now on prediction markets, 99 to one.
52:16I think I liked a Buka more for the yardage to be honest.
52:20I think that number was at 60 to one.
52:23I actually had a couple of long shots and I wanted to list them off.
52:27So it's, it's interesting. A Buka 60 to one is the same as lad McConkie also at 60 to one.
52:33And reminder that lad McConkie during his rookie year, during a 17 game in the 17 games he played, including the playoffs,
52:39he had 91 catches for 1,350 yards and touchdowns.
52:42And if you look at how many guys hit those yardage marks last year, five other wide receivers had at least 1,350 receiving yards.
52:49So lad McConkie, if he takes off in this chargers offense, 60 to one at Buka 60 to one, I even wrote
52:55down Ricky Pierce all because he led the 49ers in pat and yards per game last year.
53:00He was the number one receiver when he was held six games.
53:04He still led the team in receiving yards. So again, I think that what we're talking about here is this 49ers offense
53:10has some value in some of these receivers because Purdy is up at the top of all of the passing yards and
53:16the passing touchdowns, but none of his receivers can be found.
53:20So I think that there is some value here with maybe if one of these guys actually kind of steps up, whether
53:26it's Pierce or whether it's Mike Evans, I think that there's some interesting long shots, but those two particular players.
53:32And you mentioned Christian Watson for the touchdowns. I like him for the yardage, man.
53:36That guy is a big play specialist. If he can ever put it together, a full 17, I mean, that is the, that is the issue.
53:44But again, you're injury prone to you're not right.
53:46The fact that he was able to come back from the injury last year, I totally wrote him off.
53:52I was like, same. There's no way this guy's going to come back.
53:56You can't draft him in fantasy. And he immediately comes back and steps in as the number one wide receiver after tearing
54:02his ACL less than what was it? Nine month turnaround.
54:05Just absolute insanity. He's only 27 years old and he was top 20 in receiving yards per game last year.
54:11151, 150 to one for him to leave the NFL in receiving yards.
54:15Christian Watson just takes one. Jacob gets suspended. They got to turn the ball over to Jordan love.
54:20They just start throwing the ball across the yard.
54:22So I didn't have any other touchdown bets, but those were some of the yardage guys.
54:27Yeah. I thought we're also kind of interested. Do any of those are like, peak your interest or like, no, Eric's in, you're crazy.
54:34You got to put away your $5 bonus bets.
54:37Use them on something else. I don't hate the love for Christian Watson at 150 to one.
54:42I just, it's the health, right? But, but it's like you said, you're injury prone until you're not.
54:47And like, I think at those odds and with what he was doing on a per game basis, Ricky Pierce.
54:53So I think you're crazy. I can't, I can't get there.
54:56Don't, don't trust Ricky sticky, but for the rest of them, I love the honorable mentions that we threw out.
55:02We want to hear your honorable mentions to go ahead and put those in the comments below.
55:07Let us know your favorite bets. We talked about which ones do you think maybe we were diving off the deep end too much.
55:14And was it Quinshon Judkins? Was it Ricky Pierce?
55:16All we want to hear from you because that's going to do it for us right here on the bank pros NFL podcast.
55:23We'll go ahead and be sure, give this video a thumbs up if you enjoyed it and don't forget.
55:28Subscribe. If you're new, plus download the bank pros app today for trivia master, Andrew Erickson.
55:33I'm Seth Wilcock. Thank you so much for watching.
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55:54Hi, it's Colin Cowherd from the Colin Cowherd podcast.
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