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Fantasy Football Sleepers 2026: 10 League-Winning Late-Round Draft Targets (Ep. 2087)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

49 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 13, 2026
Published
Mon, July 13, 2026
51
Player insights
18
Players mentioned
Topics
Malik WillisAdonai MitchellJonathon BrooksStefon DiggsJalen CokerKeaton MitchellMarShawn LloydRomeo DoubsNicholas SingletonJosh JacobsAntonio WilliamsBrock BowersColston LovelandJayden Daniels
Player analysis

Player insights

51

Adonai Mitchell

PositiveRole0:32

Mitchell has impressed this offseason and has the step on the number two job for the Jets, with rookie Cooper Heisman likely to be purely a slot option out of the gate.

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PositiveProjection0:32

If Mitchell is the clear number two and receives 100-105 targets from Geno Smith, he projects as a wide receiver four with potential for more if the Jets offense outperforms expectations.

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PositiveValue0:33

Mitchell is ranked WR 59 in ECR and going well outside the top 50, making him worth watching as a potential value pick if he secures the number two role.

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PositiveRole0:33

If Mitchell is confirmed as the clear number two receiver and Cooper is relegated to slot-only duties, Mitchell would jump at least a round or two in rankings.

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PositiveMatchup0:34

If Geno Smith performs at his previous Seahawks level (even mid-level), the Jets' improved offensive line should provide him time to stretch the field, creating spike weeks for Mitchell as a field stretcher.

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Antonio Williams

PositiveRole0:41

Antonio Williams is a rookie receiver for the Commanders who represents a question mark in the receiving corps behind Terry McLaurin.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveProjection0:43

Bowers is one of the top tight end targets being drafted early, part of the strategy to secure a premium tight end before punting the position in later rounds.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveProjection0:43

Loveland is one of the premium tight end targets being drafted early as part of a strategy to secure a top option before punting the position in later rounds.

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Jalen Coker

PositiveValue0:28

Coker is ranked WR 54 with no price tag attached, offering massive discount compared to Ted O'Rourke McMillan despite outperforming him in weeks 13-19 last year in target share, yards per route run, red zone targets, and first reach rate.

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PositiveUsage0:29

In weeks 13-19 last year, Coker led the Panthers in targets (20% target share vs. McMillan's 18.3%), had higher yards per route run (2.3 vs. 1.78), more red zone targets (4 vs. 1), and better first reach rate (28.3% vs. 26.1%).

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PositiveRole0:30

The Panthers gave Coker a contract extension worth $12 million per year ($35M over 3 years), signaling the team's confidence in him as their number two wide receiver.

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PositiveProjection0:30

If Bryce Young performs at a mid-level quarterback standard, Coker projects as a wide receiver three with wide receiver four as worst case, offering solid floor and ceiling.

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Jayden Daniels

PositiveProjection0:40

Jaden Daniels was going as a top-three quarterback last year but now nobody wants him, suggesting market sentiment has shifted away from running quarterbacks despite their fantasy upside.

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Jonathon Brooks

PositiveProjection0:03

D-Bro projects Jonathan Brooks as a high-end RB3, with his own ranking placing him at RB 29, well ahead of his current ECR of RB 42, expecting him to climb significantly by late August as training camp buzz builds.

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PositiveBreakout0:04

D-Bro highlights Brooks' elite college production (21st in yards after contact per attempt, 9th in elusive rating, 21st in yards per run) and believes he can eventually beat out Chuba Hubbard for the lead back role, with significant upside if that happens.

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PositiveInjury0:04

D-Bro is not concerned about Brooks' two ACL tears, believing the first was botched and that the recovery timeline has long passed, positioning him as ready to perform this season.

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PositiveRole0:05

Jake Seeley notes the key question is whether Brooks will be 100% the same player he was in college, citing examples like Nick Chubb and Javante Williams who had varying returns from major injuries.

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PositiveSleeper0:44

Brooks is considered a league-winning sleeper pick outside the top 40 in drafts, with strong conviction that he will outperform his draft position.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeProjection0:11

D-Bro notes that Josh Jacobs was banged up and a shell of himself for most of last year, with more volume unlikely to change that trajectory, suggesting declining value.

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NegativeUsage0:13

D-Bro notes that Josh Jacobs has accumulated a ton of volume throughout his career and the volume took a toll on him last year, suggesting Green Bay may look to reduce his workload.

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Justin Fields

PositiveProjection0:40

Justin Fields is noted as having a 13.3+ designed rushing rate, placing him among the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL alongside Jalen Hurts and Anthony Richardson.

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Keaton Mitchell

PositiveSleeper0:07

Jake Seeley highlights Keaton Mitchell as a late-round flyer with RB3 potential in a timeshare, noting that Mike McDaniel actively recruited him and that McDaniel's offenses historically use multiple backs, making Mitchell a potential flex play with upside.

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PositiveUsage0:08

Jake Seeley notes that while Keaton Mitchell won't be the lead back, he could provide flex-worthy value similar to Blake Corum, with potential for RB2-ish value if something happens to Lamar Jackson's backfield.

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PositiveValue0:09

Jake Seeley views Keaton Mitchell as one of the best late-round gambles to potentially crack the top 36 in fantasy scoring, making him an attractive endgame target.

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PositiveRole0:09

D-Bro agrees that even if Keaton Mitchell is just an explosive flex play rather than a workhorse, he could provide fantasy value similar to Blake Corum, making him touchdown-dependent but still worthwhile.

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Kyler Murray

PositiveProjection0:39

Kyler Murray is being drafted more aggressively than Malik Willis despite not running like he used to, with the Vikings being a top-10 offense while the Dolphins are bottom-five, but Willis can offset half of Murray's rushing production.

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Malik Willis

PositiveProjection0:35

Willis is ranked QB 21 in ADP but should be QB 15, as his rushing upside combined with passing ability projects him as a top 12 quarterback if he stays healthy.

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PositiveUsage0:36

Willis posted a 5.6% big time throw rate over his last two years as a starter (118 dropbacks), which would have ranked 8th best ahead of Caleb Williams among 100+ dropback qualifiers.

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PositiveUsage0:36

Over his last two years as a starter (118 dropbacks), Willis averaged 10.9 yards per attempt (ranked 1st among QBs) and 44.8 rushing yards per game (ranked 1st, 4th, and 3rd over the last three years).

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PositiveProjection0:38

Willis has top-three rushing upside in the NFL and would throw 2,800 yards and 15 touchdowns to still be a QB1, making him underranked relative to Kyler Murray despite being drafted 1.5-2 rounds later.

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PositiveValue0:38

Willis is undervalued at QB 21 despite rushing upside comparable to top-three NFL rushing QBs (behind only Anthony Richardson), and even with modest passing stats (2,800 yards, 15 TDs), he would still project as a QB1 due to rushing volume.

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PositiveValue0:38

Willis is being undervalued due to playing for the Dolphins, a team everyone wants to trash, when he would likely be ranked much higher if he had signed with teams like the Steelers or Cardinals.

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PositiveBreakout0:40

Willis was included in the Athletic's breakout quarterback series with strong efficiency metrics: fourth in touchdown or first down percentage per throw over the past 3-4 years and 13.3 designed rushing rate, only behind Anthony Richardson, Justin Fields, and Jalen Hurts.

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MarShawn Lloyd

PositiveSleeper0:10

D-Bro identifies Marshawn Lloyd (RB66) as a potential breakout candidate with elite prospect metrics (20th and 16th in yards after contact per attempt, top 20 in breakaway percentage and elusive rating), positioned to compete for volume in a backfield with an aging Josh Jacobs.

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PositiveProjection0:11

D-Bro projects Marshawn Lloyd could be flex-worthy with more upside, potentially splitting time similar to Blake Corum or Keaton Mitchell, especially if Josh Jacobs' off-field issues create opportunity.

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PositiveRole0:11

Jake Seeley views Marshawn Lloyd as a top-end handcuff to Josh Jacobs with RB2 upside if Jacobs gets hurt, and notes the Packers' offseason moves suggest they trust Lloyd's readiness.

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PositiveUsage0:13

D-Bro highlights Lloyd's utility in the passing game as a key component of his standalone value, suggesting he could see week-to-week flex appeal even if Josh Jacobs remains the primary back.

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Nicholas Singleton

PositiveSleeper0:14

Jake Seeley identifies Nicholas Singleton as a rookie sleeper with potential to work into the lead back role for Tennessee, comparing him to Tevin Coleman and noting that both Pollard and Spears are free agents after this season.

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PositiveRole0:17

D-Bro emphasizes that Brian Daboll historically leans heavily on one running back throughout his coaching history, suggesting if Singleton gets the opportunity, he could become the clear lead back for Tennessee.

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PositiveInjury0:17

D-Bro notes the big question with Nicholas Singleton is how much the Titans will use kid gloves with him this year due to the foot injury he sustained in the pre-draft process.

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Romeo Doubs

PositiveProjection0:20

Dobbs is projected to see a significant route share increase from 72.8% last year to 80%+ this year with New England, moving from a run-heavy Packers offense (30th in neutral passing rate) to a pass-heavy Patriots offense (9th in neutral passing rate), positioning him to smash his ADP.

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PositiveValue0:20

Dobbs is ranked WR 52 and essentially free in drafts, offering significant upside as he transitions to a pass-heavy offense with elite downfield passer Drake May.

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PositiveUsage0:21

Among 109 qualifying wide receivers last year, Dobbs ranked 18th in first downs per route run, 27th in fantasy points per route run, 23rd in separation, and 5th in route win rate, demonstrating consistent talent that should translate to increased volume.

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PositiveRole0:23

Dobbs will benefit from a situation change where he moves from a carousel of wide receivers in Green Bay to a clearer role in New England's offense, with Drake May being a top-five downfield passer.

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Stefon Diggs

PositiveValue0:25

Despite being ranked WR 83 and currently without a team, Diggs finished inside the top 30 in his worst season since his rookie year (9.9 PPG) and would still finish top 40 even if he declined to 8.9 PPG, making him a massive value in late rounds.

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PositiveProjection0:26

Once Diggs signs with a team (expected to be Washington), he will jump 5-6 rounds in rankings and could see a late-career Larry Fitzgerald-type burst on the right offense.

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PositiveUsage0:27

Diggs was WR 23 in fantasy points per game last year and ranked 22nd in target per route run rate, 20th in receiving yards per game, and 8th in yards per route run, demonstrating elite efficiency metrics despite limited route share coming off ACL injury.

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PositiveProjection0:28

If Diggs becomes a full-time player this year, he projects as a wide receiver three with possible wide receiver two upside, depending on the offensive situation and quarterback.

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PositiveDepth Chart0:41

Stefan Diggs signed with the Commanders after the discussion about Cole Chikakaku, which would impact Chikakaku's target share and role in the offense.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveRole0:41

McLaurin is the clear number-one target for the Commanders, with Cole Chikakaku and rookie Antonio Williams as the only other notable receiving options.

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Tony Pollard

NegativeProjection0:15

Jake Seeley characterizes Tony Pollard as essentially replacement-level value, describing him as 'fine' with volume but only a fringe RB2/high-end RB3, suggesting limited upside.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

619
0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human. You get the products you need, same or next day.
0:05Helping you stay in the game. Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com, or stop by.
0:09Grainger. For the ones who get it done. Hello everybody, welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast.
0:14I'm Ryan Warmly, joined by D-Bro and by Jake Seeley from The Athletic.
0:17Today we are talking about some sleepers in 2026 drafts.
0:20Some late round sleepers that we are keeping an eye on.
0:23A lot of names to get through. D-Bro, how are you doing?
0:27I have not been on a show for a few weeks because I was on vacation.
0:31How are you doing buddy? Doing good man. Trying to weather this insane summer heat just like everybody and unfortunately your self-worm.
0:38But we're trying to stay cool. You really had to bring that up right away?
0:42To pull back the curtain, I literally just told D-Bro I have to replace my entire HVAC unit.
0:47I had leaked through my ceiling. AC not working, 100 degree heat here in Denver.
0:52So I appreciate him needling me with that immediately.
0:54Love you. I'm sorry. Jake, how you doing? I'm doing alright.
0:57Dealing with the heat as well in Virginia. And for everybody out there that doesn't care about our personal lives and why
1:04do we start the show with this? You can just go ahead and jump ahead.
1:08But shout out to everybody like I've had the AC issues too and 90 plus humidity with 90 plus humidity, 90 degrees
1:14and humidity down here in Virginia Beach. So I definitely understand the pain.
1:18Also quick, I just want to do this anyway.
1:21Shout out Sam, Sam Neill passed away. I just think I just want to throw this out there.
1:26If anybody wants the best horror movie of all time that is very underrated, Event Horizon.
1:31If you haven't watched it, rectify that because that is one of the best and his that that movie will be like
1:37that's etched in my brain of his performance in that movie.
1:40I agree with you, Jake. And the way that dude, I saw when I saw that hit the news timeline, I just
1:46texted my wife and I said, Dr. Alan Grant is no longer with us.
1:50And she goes, Oh, dear Lord. Yeah. Because I mean, that's the most iconic.
1:54Of course. Everybody knows it is. And yeah, he's a fantastic actor.
1:58So but Event Horizon, like you want to you'll change your that'll be one.
2:02And then Jurassic Park will be two after you watch that.
2:05Yep. Event Horizon is is very underrated. There is a there's a YouTube series.
2:09I used to like I'll keep this really brief, but it was they would do funny like, you know, they was called Honest Trailers.
2:16I bet people have heard of it. I don't know why.
2:19Yeah, honestly, there was one with Jurassic Park where they were like, you know, starring and they have funny stuff for all the actors.
2:26For Sam Neill, it was starring that guy from Jurassic Park, which is hilarious.
2:30I thought they've done so many. I thought you're going to do the one where he's on the plane and the velociraptor calls Alan.
2:37Alan. Yeah. Yeah, no, we're all we're all fighting the heat here.
2:41We're all getting ready for drafts. I mean, we are here in July.
2:44That's why it's hot is because draft season also heating up reminder for everybody that all of our 2026 consensus rankings and
2:51tiers can be found at fantasy pros dot com slash rankings.
2:54We do also have a brief statement. I want to read here before we start today's show.
2:59We want to address something quickly. Actually, Joe Pisa Pia is no longer with fantasy pros.
3:03You might have seen this online, but in case you haven't, Joe is no longer with the company.
3:09He will no longer be appearing on our shows.
3:11Joe has been a familiar voice to a lot of you for a long time, and we know many listeners have enjoyed his work over the years.
3:19We appreciate the time and effort he put into our content and we wish him the best moving forward.
3:24We're grateful for this audience, and we're going to keep doing what we've always tried to do, which is help you win
3:31your leagues and make the best fantasy decisions possible.
3:33So with that, we will get into the show.
3:36We're going to start at the running backs here.
3:39These are just any guys outside the top 40 in ECR, and you each have come up with a couple of names here.
3:45Debro, we'll start with you. Who's the first running back you want to talk about?
3:50Jonathan Brooks, and I got to bring him up now because I think he's going to keep climbing up the board and
3:56he's not going to be here later for us to discuss.
3:59So he's at RB 42. I think that's still languishing.
4:02I've had him as a mid RB three high end RB three in my rankings for weeks and weeks and weeks.
4:08I mean, it just comes down to people projection versus what we've seen.
4:12And I think again, this is going to change once training camp opens and camp buzz and all that kind of stuff starts.
4:18I just want to be kind and rewind everybody about the type of prospect we were talking about with Jonathan Brooks and the talent.
4:25His final season in college 21st in yards of the contact per attempt ninth and elusive rating 21st in yards per run.
4:32Dude is awesome. I'm not worried about the two ACL tears.
4:35I think the first one was never took was botched.
4:38So really, I'm looking at this from the perspective of he is teamed with an inefficient, you know, pseudo bell cow previously of Chuba Hubbard.
4:45Can he beat that guy out eventually? I fully believe that it can happen.
4:49And the upside is there for days if that can happen with Jonathan Brooks for a guy that is the recovery period.
4:55We have since long past the the nice recovery period timeline for Jonathan Brooks.
4:59So I think that they're still going to treat him with kid gloves.
5:03But I think when it's all said and done, man, he's gonna be ready to rock.
5:08He's gonna crush this year. When you sent in your names for the sheet, he was RB 42.
5:13He's already up to RB 41. So he's continuing to go higher like you expected.
5:17Where do you think he's gonna end up with?
5:20Let's say we get to late August, like a lot of drafts are already underway at that point.
5:25Like we're kind of really in the heart of it.
5:28Where do you think he will be ranked? I think he'll be a high end RB three like right now in my rankings.
5:34And I know this projection, but I think this is I'm skating to the put where the puck is going to be.
5:41I believe with Jonathan Brooks, I have him at RB 29 in my way.
5:45OK, so well ahead there. Where are you at on him, Jake?
5:48Like fringe RB three right now. And it really just comes down to I don't disagree with anything.
5:54He's actually been brought up on a lot of these shows that we've been doing, mostly because the only question is, is
6:00he 100 percent the Brooks we knew? Like even if he's 100 percent healthy, is he the Jonathan Brooks we knew?
6:06Because we've seen some players come back. I mean, Nick Chubb blew his knee out 17 different ways, two different times and
6:12came back and he was still Nick Chubb. We've seen other running backs do the same and not be the same.
6:18It took Javante Williams three years to be Javante Williams again.
6:21So there's a lot of questions. If you told me today he's 100 percent Jonathan Brooks, we knew coming out of college
6:28that we thought could be an RB one in the NFL.
6:31I would have him similar to Debro, mostly because I don't think it's going to take an injury for him to take
6:37over when you're of that talent ilk. It's just the question as of today is, does he look like the Brooks we used to know?
6:45Somebody we used to go to everybody. Somebody we used to know.
6:48Yeah, I really like Brooks. To Jake's point, we've talked a lot about him on shows.
6:53I think he's a great call for this, Debro.
6:55That's not to knock your pick here. You're right.
6:58You kind of want to get in while you still can with him as a late round sleeper as much as possible.
7:04But yeah, I full support this choice. I think we're in agreement here.
7:08And yeah, there is obviously the chance that, you know, he doesn't quite live up to that.
7:13But like he's not costing you that right now.
7:15There's no you don't have to pay RB 29 prices to get him right now.
7:20So upside there, not a ton of downside, I think.
7:23Let's go to the next name here. Jake, who do you have for us?
7:27Yeah, I think we're staying at running back with this realm a little bit further down, even Keith Mitchell.
7:32And I was kind of in on Keith Mitchell.
7:35You go back to when he was drafted in 2023.
7:38And we know the explosiveness. We know he's not a bell cow.
7:41He's not going to be the lead of a backfield with anybody trust in that realm.
7:46But as a timeshare piece, there's a lot of people that thought he was like Naeem Hines coming out of college.
7:52And you look at it to his career over six yards per carry, almost 10 yards per reception.
7:57Now, that's with a small sample playing for the Ravens.
8:00But I don't know if anybody saw this as well.
8:03But apparently Mike McDaniel went everywhere he could and posted wanted posters for Keith Mitchell to be on this team.
8:08And I'm not saying that Mike McDaniel holds all the cards with how this backfield will work and the timeshare potential.
8:15But I'm pretty sure you bring in somebody to be the offensive coordinator and somebody goes that crazy for somebody.
8:20And they do bring them in during the offseason that Keith Mitchell is going to play a factor into this backfield.
8:26So that really comes down to I know everybody's in love with Hampton and deservedly so.
8:31But this is whether Harbaugh, whether Roman under Harbaugh, whether Harbaugh was somebody else.
8:35It's always somewhat of a timeshare. Hampton getting 70 percent.
8:38I would bet money against that. And he can still be an RB1.
8:42So that's OK. It's just somebody's going to get involved.
8:45Mike McDaniel did it with the Dolphins. So everywhere he goes, he uses somebody else.
8:49John Harbaugh uses somebody else. So if Keith Mitchell walks into this season and has RB3 potential, I'm going to take that
8:55flyer in him at the end of the draft.
8:58And then if something were to happen in Hampton again, again, I don't think he'll be the lead option, but somebody that
9:04could potentially have that RB2-ish value that we've seen in brief little spurts with the Ravens.
9:09That's really why I want him. If I'm looking at endgame, I'm looking for upside hint to another show.
9:14And that's actually a D-Bro shout out for that one.
9:17Is a shout out for that. But I just want somebody that could potentially get inside the top 36 or better.
9:23And I think he's one of the best late gambles for that.
9:27D-Bro, with this, it's all about the fit of Keaton Mitchell in the Mike McDaniel offense.
9:31Yeah, I mean, it comes down to, like, I don't think that, and especially with Keaton's size, like, none of us are
9:38projecting that he is going to be a workhorse back.
9:40Or even if, like, say Hampton gets hurt. Like, even if Vidal is going to split time with Mitchell.
9:46Like, if we're talking about just explosive ability, if he can be just the upside guy that is a flex play.
9:52Like, that's still fantasy worthy in a lot of different things.
9:55Like, just say, like, and I'm going to make this comparison in a second about the next guy that I'm going to bring up here.
10:02But even if he comes into and he becomes, like, Blake Quorum of last year, that's still flex worthy.
10:08Like, that's still a player where you're going to be, like, depending on your league size, saying, do I flex him this week?
10:14Do I not? And the upside is there for Mitchell to at least provide that.
10:19D-Bro, let's stick with you and go to the next guy on your list.
10:23Yeah, the guy that I think that could be the next Blake Quorum in an offense, you know, offense that we're projecting
10:29to still be really freaking good despite some losses and stuff, is Marshawn Lloyd.
10:33He's RB66, and I think a lot of this is just, again, a guy that we need to see stay healthy.
10:39I think talent has never been a question for me with Lloyd.
10:43But, again, we haven't seen it. I mean, legit, like, he's barely even gotten preseason action over the last few years, much
10:49less, like, real NFL action in the regular season.
10:52So, we do have to see it, but I will, again, bring everybody back to his status as a prospect.
10:57For a player in his final two seasons in college that was 20th and 16th in yards after contact per attempt, and
11:04he was top 20 in both breakaway percentage and elusive rating in both those seasons.
11:08So, could Lloyd, again, be, like, we're talking about the various outcomes for these running backs.
11:13Could he be a guy that is splitting time with Josh Jacobs, who was banged up and really a shell of himself for most of last year?
11:21More volume is not going to change that with another year under his belt.
11:25And I haven't even discussed any of the off-field stuff for Josh Jacobs.
11:28So, Lloyd is a player where I won't be shocked if he is, again, in that same conversation of breadth of somebody
11:35that's getting similar to usage to a Blake Corum, or maybe a Keaton Mitchell this year, where he's flex-worthy with more upside,
11:41especially if we're talking about early drafts where we still don't have the true clarity of how all the Jacobs stuff off
11:47the field is going to play out. So, what's the upside, Jake, with Marshawn Lloyd?
11:52The RB2 if Josh Jacobs gets hurt. Or, like, it sounds like the off-field stuff might not be a factor at this point.
11:58I mean, it's a factor in real life. Let's make that clear.
12:02I'm not diminishing that at all because it's egregious of true.
12:05But if he does avoid off-the-field suspension, any type of like that, then, you know, Josh Jacobs coming in, Lloyd is at
12:11least a top-end handcuff on somebody that we assumed for the longest time had the talent to be an RB2 in the NFL, potentially even better.
12:19But as Debro said, been hurt a myriad of times, kind of similar to the Jonathan Brooks thing.
12:24Is he going to be the Marshall on-line? We all hope to be.
12:28And if you look at that backfield, it looks like, like, this is a lot of times we talk about, watch what the teams are telling us.
12:35Last year, the Cowboys told us they had every faith that Javante Williams was going to be fine.
12:41With what the Packers have done this offseason, it kind of feels like they're telling us, one, they don't think Jacobs is going to get suspended.
12:48But two, if something were to happen, they trust Lloyd, which is crazy because you're looking at this backfield, and you're like, eh, it's not really that deep.
12:56Well, they're telling us, sounds like Lloyd's ready to go.
12:59So if so, yeah, he should be in that mid, I'd say, 11th, 12th round as one of those high-end backups to take in that draft.
13:07Debro, if Lloyd doesn't end up taking over for, like, an injury reason with Jacobs, like, what kind of upside do you see in terms of just week-to-week?
13:15Like, is there any world where he's playable, even if Jacobs is on the field?
13:19Or do you think this is strictly based on what happens with Jacobs?
13:23I think there's a world where, again, he could be Blake Corham this year, where you're talking about a guy that, depending
13:29on game script and what have you, and, you know, a lot of the Lloyd conversation when he came out after the
13:35Packers drafted him was his utility in the passing game and what he could provide for them there.
13:41So I think there could be definite standalone value for Lloyd, especially, again, with Josh Jacobs being a player that the volume,
13:47I mean, dude, he's wrecked up a crap ton of volume in his career.
13:51And we really saw the volume kind of take a toll on him last year.
13:55Like, he was still playing through a ton of injuries and stuff.
13:59So if, like, Green Bay just says, okay, look, if they go the Christian McCaffrey narrative route, where San Francisco doesn't ever
14:05do this, we see this play out every single year, where they're like, oh, they want to take something off of CMC's plate.
14:12What if Green Bay says that in actuality and follows through with it with Josh Jacobs this upcoming season and says, look,
14:18we need this guy healthy down the stretch. Or if we want to make a deep playoff run, Lloyd is going to
14:24be the other back, I believe, that they lean on to allow that to happen.
14:29So I think he could be like a, you know, maybe a touchdown-dependent flex with maybe a little bit more upside depending
14:35on what his pass game usage looks like this year.
14:38Jake, one more running back here. Who do you have?
14:41I'm going to go a little bit different because I'm going to go a rookie, which is we're not talking a rookie show.
14:48It's been a while since Debra haven't talked rookies.
14:50But it's not somebody I'm overly enamored with. The comparison I made for him when we talked way back then, as I
14:56actually thought that Nick Singleton, Nicholas Singleton for everybody out there, was very similar to Tevin Coleman, which Tevin Coleman has his
15:03limitations even back in the day when he was as good as he was for the Falcons.
15:08But I do think it's a decent fit. And I think it's a decent fit in the fact that there's twofold for years.
15:14One is I think at some point the Titans are going to say, you know what, let's see if we'd have this
15:21guy for next year to be our lead option because both Pollard and Spears are free agents.
15:26So good chance both of them are gone and we're looking at Singleton for next year and Dynasty, let alone redraft this year.
15:32And that's what we're talking about. You know, Spears has had its chances.
15:36I know he's dealt with injuries, but he's been basically like, yeah, kind of underwhelming for what we thought Spears could be.
15:42I say we as in I thought Spears could be better.
15:45I thought Spears had enough talent to push Pollard for the lead last year.
15:50And that really didn't happen again, partly because of injuries.
15:52But Pollard's also basically been the equivalent of replacement value running back in the NFL.
15:57It's like he's fine with volume. He's fine. And he goes out there.
16:00He's fine as a fringe RB2, high-end RB3. But I think that's the biggest takeaway is he's just fine.
16:06And if you look at it, you have new offensive system.
16:09You have new coaching staff. He's coming in, bringing Singleton.
16:12Dable's part of behind what was drafted. I mean, he went on the table and talked about how much he, or banged
16:18on the table, how much he wanted Cam Ward when he was with the Giants.
16:23Well, I'm sure similar to McDaniel, he had a say in drafting Singleton.
16:26All that presented to say, I'm not going to like, oh my God, Singleton's taking this job by week five.
16:32Like Pollard starts out slow. Spears continues to just be Spears.
16:35And the job is there for the taking. Again, I'm not hammering down like Singleton's a top five talent.
16:41But in this scenario, he could work himself into the lead of this backfield without injuries.
16:45And that's where I'm looking at for running backs this late.
16:49It's like, are there scenarios that not just, hey, they're a great handcuff because somebody gets hurt, they get to work.
16:55Is there a scenario where they can push for the lead if everything stays the same?
16:59If Pollard and Spears stay the same as they have been, Singleton could start making some noise.
17:04D-Bro, people listening to our show have heard you talk a lot about this rookie class in general in like Dynasty rookie drafts and whatever.
17:11But what do you think about Singleton for 2026 specifically as a sleeper?
17:15The big thing about Singleton, and we just don't know, is how much of kid gloves that they deal with him this year.
17:22Is this a wash year based off the foot injury that he sustained in the pre-draft process?
17:27And to Jake's point, though, could he be like a player where you're looking at like on waiver wires and stuff in
17:33the middle of the season or even early this season where depending on the league size and stuff, you have the bench
17:39and stuff to stash him on the IR if they start him on the pop or whatever.
17:44Like those are all possibilities, but the big time upside that Jake kind of alludes to here and that like where I
17:51agree with is like if he were to take over this backfield, like I don't think Tajay Spears can handle the volume and stuff.
17:58We've seen over how many different seasons Tajay Spears can't stay on the field.
18:02And, you know, efficiency has been really, really hurt over the last few seasons.
18:06Dayball leans on one freaking running back. Like he, this isn't committee situations.
18:09You can go through all of Dayball's history. And yes, there's some stellar running backs where it's like, oh yeah, well sure.
18:16He was going to give all the work to, you know, Saquon Barkley or Jamal Charles and stuff.
18:21Peyton Hillis is also in there. Devin Singletary also had a run as a clear lead back in Buffalo.
18:26They drafted Zach Moss to be that guy. He couldn't be that guy.
18:30Cam Scadaboo also says hi. Tyrone Tracy too. Like Dayball in his history clearly leans on one freaking back.
18:36So if Singleton were to even like work his way in or Pollard disappoints, could Singleton be a guy where if he
18:42got the run, if that's the case, dude, Tennessee would lean on him as they clear bell cow back because that is
18:48what Dayball has done throughout his tenure as OC and head coach in the NFL.
18:53I want to take a moment to tell everybody about Draft Assistant.
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20:24All right, guys, we'll move to the wide receivers here.
20:27Debra, who's the first guy you want to talk about?
20:30Well, I hope the draft assistant is telling me this is a great guy to sit here and catch up a wide
20:36receiver in certain drafts, because I loved Romeo Dobbs this year.
20:39I'll look at the landing spot. I mean, he's wide receiver 52, so he's kind of like free in drafts.
20:45And the problem with Dobbs has never been talent.
20:48It's been the usage and the carousel of wide receivers for the Green Bay Packers.
20:52And 72.8% route share last year, that's going to change.
20:55He's going to be an 80% plus route share guy this year.
20:58And if you just look from the changing of situations, like we can talk about all these guys moving from team to
21:05team and going from run-heavy schemes to pass-heavy, I mean, that also fits Romeo Dobbs.
21:09It's like you're not having to pay for it.
21:12Like last year, Green Bay was 30th in neutral passing rate.
21:15Oh, look at that. He goes to New England and they were 9th in neutral passing rate.
21:20And maybe that goes even higher this year with Drake May, another year in Josh McDaniel's scheme, adding A.J.
21:25Brown, adding Romeo Dobbs, and also facing a tougher schedule where they're going to be forced to pass where they're not just
21:32blowing teams out in the first half of games this year.
21:35This all points back to Romeo Dobbs is going to probably smash his ADP and where he's ranked right now, because if
21:41he is going to be in a pass-happy offense, which again, I'm projecting, he has the talent to do so.
21:47Like last year amongst 109 qualifying wide receivers guys, he was 18th in first downs per route run, 27th in fantasy points
21:53per route run, amongst the same qualifying set of wide receivers, 23rd in separation and 5th in route win rate.
21:59So the talent has low-key been there for Romeo Dobbs over multiple seasons.
22:03Now he's going to get the playing time bump in volume of just routes and snaps, and hopefully the target bump comes along with that.
22:10By the way, for this section, I know I said it was outside the top 40 for running backs, outside the top 50 for receivers.
22:17That's what we're looking at here. Yeah, I like Dobbs quite a bit.
22:21Jake, I'm curious where you have him ranked. I'm going to just double check to see if his ECR has moved at
22:27all here, but where do you have Dobbs? So I have Dobbs at 48.
22:31I think he's in a conversation for me with like the Wando Robinsons, the Quinton Johnsons, everything of the world where you
22:38look it up at this down his depth chart, which also might not involve some of the wide receivers, one or two
22:44on this team right now, might not be there on opening day where they went after Dobbs first.
22:49And I know the rumors and the expectations were A.J.
22:52Brown this entire time. But oh, by the way, it's not like A.J.
22:56Brown has ever stopped Devontae Smith from having success next to him.
22:59And Dobbs can do the same thing. Actually, Dobbs fits very well with Drake May and one of the better downfield passers.
23:06You pick a metric. I've talked about this on earlier shows this offseason when they signed Dobbs before the A.J.
23:11Brown situation happened. And you top five in almost every metric you can find when it comes to downfield throws.
23:17So in Romeo Dobbs, that's one of the things he's great at.
23:21It's one of the things we saw with the backers.
23:23So I echo that sentiment. I think that he's worthy as a wide receiver for my being at 48 versus 41.
23:29It's essentially a giant tier. So it's not like, oh, my gosh, I'm at 48.
23:34Somebody's got him at 40, 41. I'm so much lower on him.
23:37I just think he's in the conversation and names this a quality wide receiver for that you could have on your team
23:44knowing what wide receiver fours are in fantasy. You're going to get some weeks that help you win 18, 22 points.
23:50And you're going to get some weeks where it's like six.
23:53And it's like, well, that's why you sign up.
23:55And these are wide receiver fours and not wide receiver twos.
23:59Yeah. I'm with Jake. I have him at wide receiver 40 and right next to Quentin Johnston.
24:03Almost guessed. Like Jaden Higgins, kind of in that entire area code.
24:07Yeah. And even, you know, being quote unquote down at 48, Jake, you're still ahead of consensus on it with him being outside the top 50.
24:14And like to your point, there's just a lot of names just in the I don't have your rankings front of you,
24:21but I have the consensus rankings in front of me.
24:24There's a lot of names here that are just really kind of fascinating in this range.
24:28Like just an ECR from 40 to 50 is Makai Lemon, Michael Pittman Jr., Jacoby Myers, Quentin Johnson, Ricky Pearsall, Wondell Robinson,
24:35Jordan Addison, Josh Downs, Jaden Reed, Xavier Worthy, Jaden Higgins.
24:38Then you get into Dobbs a couple of picks later.
24:40Like that's a lot of really interesting names that I think it's going to make for a really fun bunch of debates
24:47here in the next few weeks as we get ready for drafts.
24:50Glossed by the Jordan Addison disrespect in there, by the way.
24:53Jake, let's go to your first receiver. Well, speaking of disrespect, I'm just only assuming that he's so far down in the
25:00final rounds when people are taking their defense or kickers or second defenses and kickers because they're crazy that we have Stefan Diggs all the way down here.
25:08I know he doesn't have a team, but he just finished inside the top 30 in his worst season since his rookie
25:14season at 9.9 fancy points per game. Let's go take it further.
25:18Let's say, oh, you know what? He had a decent volume.
25:21He didn't look great. Maybe he takes even another step back.
25:248.9 fancy points per game. Guess what? You're still top 40.
25:27That's the thing is like I'm not campaigning to be like, oh, Stefan Diggs still has it.
25:32Stefan Diggs is going to be a top 25 wide receiver.
25:35But the last round of drafts just because he doesn't have a team, I think everybody and their brother expects him to
25:42be on a team at some point, whether it's the commanders, which, by the way, are probably.
25:46I mean, the money was on them for a while.
25:49I always thought that was a better fit than Iuke.
25:52And now that Iuke's doing everything he possibly can to never play in the NFL, I think that just makes a ton of sense.
25:59And that's what I want to say is if Diggs signed to any team after this, because he's not going to go
26:05sign somewhere to be a wide receiver for it.
26:08Let's make that clear. He signs to any team that needs a wide receiver and he signs after we're done with this podcast.
26:15He's going to jump five to six rounds. And that's really what it comes down to.
26:19So Stefan Diggs is my wide receiver for and then maybe he sees a little bit of a late career Larry Fitzgerald
26:26type of burst on the right offense. There's the upside there.
26:29But at worst case, you're still getting a wide receiver for.
26:32Yeah, currently wide receiver 83. Just rankings. That's is Washington, Jake, where you want to see him go or just where you
26:38think makes no 100 percent where you understand where I want.
26:41Yeah, despite my tight end coming up later. Hint, hint.
26:44I do. I do want to go there because right now it's Antonio Williams or the collection of Traylon Burks and all the other people on that team.
26:52It's the easiest, most obvious opportunity to have the number two job from day one and to walk into 100 plus targets,
26:59which is what he saw last year. And not that many more than 100 plus targets that still finishes wide receiver 30.
27:05D bro, what do you think about Diggs? Just I mean, there's a lot of uncertainty given we don't know what team
27:11he's on, but just we know the player and where you add on him for ranking right now.
27:17I love it. I've got Stefan Diggs at wide receiver 53.
27:20And again, like Jake is talking about, as soon as he signs with the team, I'm going to have him in my wide receiver three rankings.
27:27Like he's going to be in that wide receiver three type of tier because he's going to go under volume.
27:33I mean, the other thing about it is, dude, it's just disrespectful, too, because he was wide receiver 23 in fantasy points per game last year.
27:41Like you look at every single per route metric.
27:43Like I understand he's 32 years old, but he was 22nd in target per route run rate, 20th in receiving yards per
27:50game, eighth in yards per route run. Like the big cap, like he would have been a top 15, like almost a
27:56wide receiver one in fantasy last year if he would have been a full time player with the Patriots.
28:01But he wasn't like he was a capped route share guy coming off the ACL.
28:06If he's a full time player this year, he's a wide receiver three with possible wide receiver two upside, depending on the
28:12offensive situation he goes to in the quarterback. Yeah, I yeah, I think that that's enough on Diggs.
28:17We can go to the next player, actually. D-Bro, it's it.
28:20This next running back or excuse me, right receiver you want to talk about is one of your favorites to talk about.
28:27Yeah, baby. Jalen Coker time, man. And this is I'm not drafting Ted O'Rourke McMillan this year.
28:32I just think his ADP and depending on, you know, what I'm projecting to be a run heavy offense again in Carolina.
28:38I just don't want to pay the pay the price tag for Ted.
28:42And this has nothing to do with Ted O'Rourke McMillan's talent or whatever.
28:45It's a Bryce Young conversation. It's an offensive, you know, situation with with him and how much they want to run the dang ball.
28:52But none of that's priced into Jalen Coker and wide receiver 54.
28:56And again, if you look at the healthiest section of play from Jalen Coker last year, because again, he was hurt for
29:02most of the year and weeks 13 through 19 last year.
29:05So yes, talking about the playoffs, too. There wasn't a divide between McMillan and Coker.
29:10Actually, Coker was the target leader for the team, not Ted O'Rourke McMillan.
29:13So weeks 13 through 19 last year, Ted O'Rourke McMillan versus Jalen Coker.
29:17Coker had a higher target share, 20% versus 18.3%.
29:20Higher yards per route run, 2.3 versus 1.78. More red zone targets, four versus one.
29:24And oh, dear Lord. He was also best at him in first reach here, 28.3% versus 26.1.
29:29And I know we're talking about a really small sample size here.
29:32And I'm not projecting Jalen Coker to be the wide receiver one in Carolina.
29:37But this all comes down to there should not be this ginormous gap between where Ted is going in drafts and where
29:43Coker is going in drafts as well. So you're going to give me this massive discount on Jalen Coker in drafts when
29:49there shouldn't be that big a divide between these two players?
29:52I'm going to take it all day. What do you think the upside is?
29:56Like best case scenario, assuming not like an injury related thing, just like best case scenario for Coker.
30:02Wide receiver three type of player where you're talking about in start three wide receiver leagues, is he my wide receiver three
30:08versus a flex play depending on matchups and stuff?
30:11Jake, what do you think? I think it's a great opportunity for the fact of something I said earlier in the show
30:17is watch what the team is telling you. They had no reason and no need to go give him a contract extension,
30:23let alone one that's nearly $10 million per year, or actually $12 million per year, three for $35 million.
30:29Yeah, so it's a pretty hefty contract to give somebody that you're not sure is going to be your number two wide receiver.
30:35That tells me what I think the Panthers think of him.
30:39So Coker is really question mark comes down to not his role, not the potential.
30:43You know, Debro just listed off all the numbers that he was better at or similar to McMillan.
30:48And then it just comes down to Bryce Young.
30:51And if Bryce Young can be mid-level quarterback, I mean, really, that's all we're asking about for him at this point of
30:57his career, which is kind of crazy to think about.
31:00But mid-level quarterback, Coker being a wide receiver three is well within range and probably a wide receiver four at worst.
31:06Coker's contract, by the way, is right behind Darius Slayton, Khalil Shakir in terms of like taking out rookies and stuff like that.
31:13Yeah, I like this one a lot too. Jake, who is your receiver?
31:16I'm going to go to somebody who's like the rookie was getting a lot of attention and now recently this wide receiver is Adonai Mitchell for the Jets.
31:24Because we knew Mitchell coming out of college. We knew.
31:27Everybody said it. We knew he had question marks.
31:30We knew he was somewhat raw. Somewhat similar to a Christian Kirk style but struggled with contested catches.
31:35But really good after the catch. Good in the routes.
31:38Almost kind of like a running back playing wide receiver.
31:41But all the concerns we had in college, including potential attitude issues of like wanting to be coached up.
31:46By the way, go way back to Marquise Lee was very similar in that and took him years to get it.
31:52Fortunately, it doesn't seem like Mitchell's going to take five years.
31:56It looks like he might be getting it with three because all the reports this offseason is that it's finally catching on.
32:02No pun intended for him. And I still don't think he's going to be somebody that catches 65% of the passes that come his way.
32:09That's a big jump and there's somebody that's not even catching 50%.
32:13So just to get to 55% would be nice.
32:15But that he's impressing and that he's got the step on the number two job, not the rookie Cooper.
32:21And if that's the case and Cooper is just purely a slot option out of the gate, which is what a lot
32:27of people thought might happen for him as a rookie.
32:30And Mitchell is the clear number two and gets 100, 105 targets from Geno Smith, which everybody wants to blast that team
32:36last year for how bad it was for everybody.
32:39But Geno Smith didn't get looped into that somehow.
32:41Like Geno Smith is like, yeah, you know what?
32:44He's terrible, too. Like, well, everything can't be the team except for Geno Smith.
32:48And I'm not asking Geno Smith to be a 15th ranked quarterback.
32:51I'm just asking him to be Geno Smith that we saw run an offense capably back with the Seahawks.
32:57And even he's mid-level of the pack. The number two wide receiver, whoever it is, is going to have value for us
33:03in fantasy as a wide receiver four. There's a lot of that today.
33:07But as a wide receiver four that's going well outside the 50s, I think that Mitchell is worth watching.
33:12And then if we, again, this is another one.
33:15If we finish this today and everybody was like, yeah, we've already settled.
33:19Cooper's not even going to be in contention for the number two role.
33:23It is Mitchell. He would jump probably at least a round or two.
33:26Wide receiver 59, Debro in ECR. Too high, too low.
33:29Just right. What do you think on Mitchell? Is he a good choice for this?
33:34Yeah, I think it's just right. And I think the big thing that you're looking at Mitchell, if we get the good
33:40version of Geno Smith this year, I think that also kind of plays into the Jets offensive line is exactly who we
33:46think they're going to be in terms of they're going to be very good.
33:50Because Geno has been so pressure sensitive. Like the clean versus pressured splits have been massive for him over the last few years.
33:57That's kind of what crushed him in Seattle and stuff.
34:00And again, I'm just kind of just wishing away all the Raiders time because I from everything that has come out, like
34:06from how that all transpired and how bad Chip Kelly was and plus their offensive line was hurt and what have you.
34:12Geno was hurt. I'm not saying I'm giving Geno a full mulligan, but I am kind of just with like wiping that away from my memory.
34:20So if Geno could be previous Geno, even of like, you know, middling seasons, if he could do that, Adonai Mitchell can absolutely hit.
34:27Because again, like to Jake's point, like if he is more the field stretcher and Garrett Wilson is the high volume guy,
34:33if Geno has the time in the pocket to stretch the field, Adonai is going to have some times where he is going to have spike weeks.
34:41And I think this offense can definitely outplay expectation this year.
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35:18All right, for the last section, we said you guys could pick either a quarterback or tight end each.
35:23And these guys at either position would just need to be outside the top 16 in ECR.
35:28D-Bro, you went with a quarterback. In the year 2026, did we all just collectively wake up and people decide that they hate rushing quarterbacks?
35:35Because outside of explaining it that way, I really don't understand why Malik Willis is QB 21 in ADP right now.
35:41Like, I've got him at QB 15. He's going to run so much this year that if he stays healthy, he's probably
35:48going to be a top 12 quarterback. This feels like the Justin Fields conversation of yesterday when he only had Darnell Mooney and Cole Komet to throw to.
35:56And I understand everybody wants to crap on the Dolphins.
35:59Like, it's the, you know, the sexy thing to do right now.
36:02And I'm not saying that it's not warranted, but can we also talk about like Malik Willis, the offensive line should be at least league average.
36:10Maybe it turns out and it's good. And there are a lot of intriguing rookie options.
36:14I could have easily brought up Greg Dulcich in this conversation and wouldn't have batted an eye.
36:19But Malik Willis is just, I don't understand why he is being ranked as low in QB 2.
36:24It's like, we don't like rushing quarterbacks anymore. And we know this is a cheat code for fantasy and yet nobody seems
36:31to care with ADP and best ball and everything.
36:33And oh, by the way, when we've seen him as a starter over the last few years, he's been really freaking good.
36:40Like over the last two years, he has a 5.6% big time throw rate amongst 110 qualifying or at least 100, all the, excuse me.
36:47Amongst all the quarterbacks, at least 110 dropbacks last year, which in the sample size of over the last two years, we got 118 dropbacks from Malik Willis.
36:55That would have been eighth best ahead of Caleb Williams.
36:58Again, 10.9 yards per attempt over that stretch of games over the last two years as a starter.
37:03That would have ranked first amongst quarterback. Oh, and we get to the rushing component.
37:07He's averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game in his six career games started.
37:11Over the last three years amongst quarterbacks, that would have been first, fourth, and third.
37:15And yet Willis is languishing as a low-end QB 2.
37:18It makes no sense to me. I find Willis really fascinating.
37:21First, I want to hear, Jake, what you think.
37:24Where is Willis ranked for you? Much higher and really comes down to the fact that it's one of those things.
37:30Like there's two points I want to attack here.
37:33One is how fickle the sports world can be because we finished last season and we sat here.
37:38I say we as the NFL world, not even the fantasy world.
37:41And it's like, oh, Malik Willis is the one answer at free agency for these teams, whether it's the Dolphins, whether whoever it is.
37:48And it's like, oh, they should go get Malik Willis.
37:51Look what he's done in his brief sample. Look how much improvement he made in 2025 in his brief sample.
37:57Malik Willis, Malik Willis, Malik Willis. Sides with the Dolphins.
38:00Admittedly, bottom five offense. We'll call that right now.
38:02But all of a sudden people are like, oh, forget it.
38:05Never mind. Malik Willis sucks. They're probably looking at a quarterback next year.
38:09And it's just, we do. And it's almost, I feel like it's the talk shows that we see on TV all the
38:16time that do this because they're looking for stuff.
38:18But let's be true about Malik Willis and take all that out of the equation.
38:22And the easiest example I'll give is the one I always do.
38:26Daniel Jones playing for a crappy Giants team, ran for 707, finished as a top 10 quarterback, not even throwing a touchdown per game.
38:33That's how bad it was. You just have to run in fantasy.
38:36And Malik Willis has more rushing upside than that.
38:39Malik Willis, probably if you were going to rank him, I'd say top three in the NFL for the rushing upside.
38:45If Anthony Richardson was out there top four. So it really just comes down to is the fact that we just know he's going to run.
38:52Is he going to stay on the field? Checkmark.
38:55Okay. He throws 2,800 yards and 15 touchdowns. He's still going to be a QB one.
39:00So what are we so afraid of? And Jake, to your point, where would we be ranking Willis if he had signed with the Steelers?
39:07If he had signed with the Cardinals? He had signed with one of these other teams, just not the Dolphins of the
39:13team that everybody wants to freaking trash right now.
39:16Why are we going so aggressively harder after Kyler Murray, who doesn't really run like he used to just because he's with the Vikings?
39:23Admittedly, a thousand, like they're top 10. The Dolphins are bottom five.
39:26But we are talking fantasy. And we're talking that he's going to offset half of what Kyler Murray does just by running the ball.
39:33And Willis is going about a round and a half to two rounds behind Kyler in drafts.
39:38I just think it's wrong. I guess like for me with Willis, it's not that I disagree with anything you guys are saying.
39:45I do think he's underranked here. And like there's a few names ahead of him that should not be to your point.
39:51Like this is fantasy. It doesn't matter how good the Dolphins are in that regard.
39:55There's just a lot of really good quarterbacks. So for me, I'm not sure how high I even can get him because,
40:02you know, you look at just like the top 12.
40:05I'm like, these guys are all great. And I'm excited about for various reasons.
40:09OK, well, I'll give you two more. So I'm doing my breakout series at the Athletic right now.
40:14And I did quarterbacks and tight ends to start.
40:16And I have running backs and wide receivers coming.
40:19Malik Willis was among the breakout potential quarterbacks that gave the case for and the case against.
40:24How about the fact? Yes. Admittedly, start it right off the top.
40:27Small sample. However, small sample. Fourth in touchdown or first down percentage per throws.
40:31Fourth in the NFL over the past four years or three years.
40:35Here's another one. 13.3 design rushing rate only behind Anthony Richardson, Justin Fields and Jalen Hurts.
40:39So he's going to run. I think I don't like I'll admit he doesn't look good throwing the ball at times.
40:45And then sometimes he looks great. But I don't care because I just know he's going to run.
40:51That's really what it comes down to. So if you're I'll say this for everybody out there that doesn't want to draft Jaden Daniels.
40:58Just by the way, you said that, Debra. Why is everybody afraid of running quarterbacks now?
41:02And like Jaden Daniels was going as a top three quarterback last year and now nobody wants him is if that's your fear.
41:09I get it. Then he's just not for you.
41:11Those quarterbacks aren't for you. But if you know what fantasy is about, you just draft him for the fact he's going to run.
41:18Yeah. It's that easy. All right, Jake. Who is your player here?
41:22You went with the tight end. I did because Debra took a quarterback.
41:26So I figured we'd cover all the bases. I'm going to throw out Chikakaku.
41:30And I said that before. Now, Stefan Diggs signing right after we're done with this show.
41:34Scratch it. Take it off the board. But as of right now, he's the potential number two in targets at worst number three.
41:41Because if you're looking at this team, it's Terry McLaurin and a bunch of question marks, including the rookie Antonio Williams.
41:47So they signed Chikakaku to come in. He's going to be their new lead tight end, their new option.
41:52This offense is going to do more things under Blau than it did before, which because Cliff Kingsbury has his one trick pony.
41:59And so they're going to do things more now, including some more play action.
42:03But here's where I go to Okonkaku is that we did this a couple of years ago in that second year after Tennessee.
42:10I was like, oh, my gosh. Imagine if he was a full-time tight end.
42:14Look at all the upside. Look at the potential.
42:16And then he was basically Okonkaku for the last three years.
42:19He's the same cut and paste, 70-something targets, 50-something receptions, about 500 yards.
42:23Guess what? Take all those numbers and just push them up to 100 targets.
42:27You know what you get? But 70, 700, and hopefully about five touchdowns.
42:31There's a real reason I picked those three numbers is because 70, 70, and five get you about 140 fantasy points in half-point PPR.
42:38You know what that is in the last 10 years, an average finish that's tight end?
42:43Number nine. That's the average finish for 140 points in fantasy is the ninth best tight end.
42:47So if you're waiting on late round tight end or for looking for these, hey, who's the next one that nobody was
42:54thinking can break out, take the chance on Okonkaku, and then dig signs between now and opening day, then you move on to a different one.
43:01Yeah. Chig is by far my favorite late round tight end.
43:04I feel like I've been talking about him a lot on the last few months, like a lot on the Dynasty shows
43:11too, as a guy I'm interested in buying for cheap.
43:14For every reason you said, I don't really have anything to add to it other than to say, like, strong, strong endorsement.
43:20I very much agree. Maybe things change if they add a player, whether it's Diggs or somebody else.
43:25But right now, I'm all over his cost and what I think the upside could be in this offense.
43:31Debra, what do you think? Yeah. I mean, I co-sign on Jake's call and on Chig here.
43:36Like, I think there's a really good, I mean, the way that I'm approaching tight end this year, it's like I'm getting
43:42Bowers, I'm getting Loveland or Warren, and then I'm just punting the position.
43:46There are so many good late round tight end options, and you could honestly draft two or three of these guys and
43:52cut half of them or cut all of them except for one by week three or week four in your league.
43:58So, I mean, I think Chig is a great name to bring up here.
44:02Yeah. I – maybe my favorite name that you guys have mentioned in this whole exercise besides Jonathan Brooks because I know he's going to be right.
44:10But I think this is probably my favorite. Well, yeah.
44:13I was going to say it is Chig, but, like, Brooks just almost feels like cheating that he's outside the top 40
44:19with the way we're talking about him. So, besides that one, I think Cock was my favorite.
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45:27All right, guys. That's all the names. Just before we wrap up, any other kind of final thoughts on approaching sleepers in
45:34general at the end of your drafts before you get out of here, Debra?
45:38Swing for upside, baby. It's all that matters in the late rounds.
45:41All about the upside. Jake, what do you think?
45:44Yeah, same thing. I want to find someone that could potentially be in my line.
45:48I'm not somebody that, ooh, I could use on a bye week in seven weeks down the road.
45:53And I will say the one other cautionary tale is just don't buy all the risks because we're going to have so
46:00many shows where we are talking these kind of guys.
46:02That if Jonathan Brooks climbed all the way up to RB25, now what are we doing over here?
46:08So just remember that because we pump out the helium and everybody in your league happens to be listening to us too,
46:14sometimes you have to pivot at the end because everybody's trying to be the smartest man in the room.
46:19Poor woman. All right, I'll go ahead and wrap things up there.
46:23Thanks, everybody, for checking out our late round sleepers to target in 2026 drafts.
46:27For Debra and Jake, I'm Ryan Warmly. Thanks for tuning in.
46:30See you again next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast.
46:34If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts at fantasypros.com slash review or on Spotify.
46:42Follow us on X, Instagram, and TikTok at Fantasy Pros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com slash fantasypros.
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