Fantasy Football Week 2 Key Questions: Bears Breakouts, Baker’s Revenge Game & More! (Ep. 2202)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
1 hr 14 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 18, 2026
Published
Fri, September 18, 2026
41
Player insights
37
Players mentioned
Topics
Baker MayfieldColston LovelandRome OdunzeTerry McLaurinAaron JonesAmon-Ra St. BrownBrenton StrangeBrian Thomas Jr.Bucky IrvingChris GodwinChristian McCaffreyChristian WatsonDallas GoedertDalton Kincaid
Player analysis
Player insights
Aaron Jones
PositiveValue23:02
Despite being ranked RB25 in ECR, the source ranks Aaron Jones as an RB19/RB20 and expects him to handle a full workload. The matchup is favorable against a Bears run defense that struggled in Week 1, allowing the eighth-highest explosive run rate and second-highest rushing success rate. While there is a minor fear of injury, the source believes Jones should crush as a strong RB2.
Insight pageAmon-Ra St. Brown
PositiveValue3:46
Amon-Ra St. Brown is considered one of the safest and most consistent first-round picks in fantasy football, consistently providing high-floor production regardless of draft position.
Insight pageBaker Mayfield
PositiveProjection40:45
The source is highly bullish on Baker Mayfield for his upcoming revenge game, citing his health, rushing ability, and high passing success/catchable target rates. He is viewed as a top-tier start despite a QB17 ECR, with the source ranking him at QB13.
Insight pagePositiveBreakout40:51
The source expects a big game from Baker Mayfield in his revenge spot against the Browns, predicting he will 'let it cook' and perform at a high level.
Insight pageBrenton Strange
NegativeSleeper48:54
Brenton Strange is a high-upside play against Denver because the Jaguars will likely avoid the Broncos' strong outside corners, funneling targets to the middle of the field.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr.
NegativeInjury47:32
The source advises against starting Brian Thomas Jr. due to a shoulder injury and a difficult matchup against Patrick Surtain, who shadowed him into oblivion last year.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveValue42:07
Bucky Irving is highlighted as a potential top draft value after posting the fifth-best missed tackle rate (38%) in Week 1. The source emphasizes his health and strong usage.
Insight pageChris Godwin
NegativeProjection41:49
The source maintains faith in Chris Godwin despite a disappointing Week 1 performance, noting that they need to see at least two more games before declaring him 'cooked'.
Insight pageChristian McCaffrey
PositiveBreakout104:03
Debro highlights that Christian McCaffrey looked exceptionally explosive in week one, appearing more spry than in the previous two to three years, and projects a monster game for him against the Dolphins.
Insight pageChristian Watson
PositiveBreakout34:46
The source is extremely high on Christian Watson, ranking him as a WR1 and preferring him over Garrett Wilson. Watson excelled against two-high coverage in Week 1 with 4.19 yards per route run, and the source believes the Jets' secondary does not pose a significant threat.
Insight pageColston Loveland
NegativeUsage20:19
The source is curious about how much usage offensive coordinator Ben Johnson intends to give Colson Loveland after a strong performance.
Insight pagePositiveBreakout32:02
Despite a goose egg in Week 1, Colson Loveland is expected to bounce back due to his high route participation (over 90%) and the Bears' likely use of 12 personnel to help with blocking.
Insight pageDallas Goedert
PositiveProjection42:58
The source is very high on Dallas Goedert, labeling his TE7 ECR as 'disrespectful' and ranking him as a top-five tight end. He saw a 23% first-read share and 20% target share in Week 1, making him a top-two option in the passing attack.
Insight pageDalton Kincaid
PositiveBreakout1:56
Dalton Kincaid is continuing his breakout season, with the source identifying him as a top-two to three tight end for the rest of the season based on his consistent route share.
Insight pageDalton Schultz
PositiveValue25:41
The source is above consensus on Dalton Schultz, ranking him as a TE12 (consensus is TE15) for Week 2. With Nico Collins out, Schultz is expected to see significant volume, especially given the Bengals' struggles defending tight ends last season, where they allowed the most catches, yards, and touchdowns to the position.
Insight pageDavante Adams
NegativeProjection109:49
Debro ranks Davante Adams as the WR25, acknowledging that while this may be low, he is comfortable with managers treating him as a WR2.
Insight pageDerrick Henry
PositiveUsage23:22
Derrick Henry is expected to see a massive workload in the upcoming game against the Saints, with the source projecting he will finish higher among running backs than Lamar Jackson will among quarterbacks.
Insight pageEmmett Johnson
PositiveValue107:51
Fitz recommends Emmitt Johnson as a four-star prop bet (over 25.5 rushing/receiving yards), noting his dual-threat ability and the favorable matchup against a poor Colts run defense.
Insight pageGarrett Wilson
NegativeValue35:35
The source ranks Garrett Wilson as a mid-range WR2, noting that the ranking is not a reflection of his talent but rather the volatility of the Jets' offense under Geno Smith.
Insight pageJa'Marr Chase
NegativeValue28:41
The source is slightly below consensus on Ja'Marr Chase, ranking him as WR5. The concern stems from a tough matchup against a motivated Texans defense and lingering questions regarding his knee health following a minor hyperextension, suggesting a 'gentle fade' for DFS or high-stakes lineup decisions.
Insight pageJalen Coker
PositiveValue15:56
Jalen Coker is outperforming his status as an undrafted free agent, with the source noting he has bested teammate Tedarrell McMillan in catches, yards, and touchdowns over their last nine games.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
PositiveProjection50:59
Despite a poor Week 1, the source remains optimistic about Jalen Waddle. The struggles were attributed to Bo Nix's poor play, high pressure rates, and offensive line issues rather than Waddle's performance.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
PositiveBreakout57:10
The source is high on Jeremiah Love, ranking him RB21 and viewing him as a special talent who will eventually overtake Tyler Allgeier for the lead role.
Insight pageJonathan Taylor
NegativeValue105:11
Jonathan Taylor is ranked as the RB6 in consensus rankings, falling just behind Kenneth Walker, as the source notes the Colts' run defense is a targetable unit for opposing running backs.
Insight pageJosh Allen
NegativeProjection10:08
Josh Allen is viewed as a top-three quarterback who provides a massive positional advantage, though the source notes that drafting him early requires hitting on subsequent picks at running back and wide receiver to avoid lineup holes.
Insight pageJustin Herbert
NegativeProjection52:57
The source is lower than consensus on Justin Herbert (ranking him QB11), citing concerns about the interior offensive line and Herbert's struggles when facing pressure up the middle.
Insight pageKenneth Walker III
PositiveUsage105:11
Debro and Fitz are high on Kenneth Walker following a historic week one performance where he forced 16 missed tackles on 23 carries (70% rate) and recorded 6.39 yards after contact per attempt. They favor him over Jonathan Taylor due to a softer matchup against a weak Colts run defense.
Insight pageLamar Jackson
NegativeProjection22:09
Lamar Jackson's ranking as QB2 is viewed as aggressive by the source due to the absence of Zay Flowers and Jacoby Lane, leaving him with a depleted receiving corps, though his rushing upside keeps him in the top-six conversation.
Insight pageMarShawn Lloyd
NegativeUsage36:58
The source ranks MarShawn Lloyd as an RB28/RB30, viewing him as a decent flex play. While he handled 61.9% of designed carries in Week 1, his upside is capped by the Packers' offensive line struggles, which necessitate Chris Brooks' superior pass-blocking skills in certain situations.
Insight pageMatthew Stafford
NegativeProjection111:33
Fitz ranks Matthew Stafford lower than consensus, noting he is an immobile quarterback facing a strong pass rush (Carter, Burns, Thibodeau, Reese) and is unlikely to have a high-yardage passing day.
Insight pageParker Washington
PositiveUsage46:44
Parker Washington is a confident start against Denver, as he is the clear WR1 for Jacksonville with a 26% target share in Week 1. He has a history of success against the Broncos.
Insight pagePatrick Mahomes
PositiveUsage108:31
Debro recommends the over on 3.5 rushing attempts for Patrick Mahomes, citing his willingness to run under pressure (seven carries in week one) and the Colts' high pressure rate.
Insight pagePuka Nacua
NegativeProjection110:04
Debro notes that Puka Nacua is the consensus WR23 and is being ranked based on standard expectations despite the Rams' poor week one performance.
Insight pageQuentin Johnston
PositiveMatchup56:51
Quentin Johnston is a sneaky good play against the Raiders, who played 62% single-high coverage in Week 1. Johnston has historically performed well against single-high looks.
Insight pageRico Dowdle
PositiveUsage30:26
The source is above consensus on Rico Dowdle, noting that despite lower production in Week 1, he out-snapped Jalen Warren and ran more routes. Dowdle appears to be Mike McCarthy's lead back, making him a flex-worthy play against the Patriots' average run defense.
Insight pageRome Odunze
PositiveBreakout20:45
The source is high on Rome Odunze for Week 2, noting he is off the injury report and likely to see an increased route share from his 55.3% mark in Week 1. Odunze is expected to thrive against the Vikings' heavy blitz and two-high coverage schemes, as he led the team in target share (27.8%) and first-read share (32%) against the blitz last season, while also posting a 24% target per route run rate against two-high looks.
Insight pagePositiveBreakout34:05
Rome Odunze is a strong breakout candidate for the upcoming game, as he is now off the injury report and expected to see an increase from his 55.3% route share in Week 1.
Insight pageRomeo Doubs
PositiveValue32:18
The source ranks Romeo Doubs as a strong WR3 and expects him to emerge as the clear WR1 for the Patriots with A.J. Brown out. Doubs has shown efficiency against two-high coverage, and the source dismisses his Week 1 drop as an outlier, projecting him as a solid flex play.
Insight pageTerry McLaurin
PositiveProjection59:54
Terry McLaurin is a confident start against Dallas, as he excels against single-high coverage (which Dallas runs frequently). The source ranks him at WR21, above the ECR of 25.
Insight pageNegativeProjection60:53
The source notes uncertainty regarding how to value Terry McLaurin following the Commanders' week one performance, leading to a neutral ranking for the upcoming matchup against the Cowboys.
Insight pageWoody Marks
NegativeBust27:24
The source warns against starting Woody Marks, noting that his Week 1 snap count was inflated by garbage time and two-minute drill work. Through the first three quarters, David Montgomery dominated the backfield with over 60% of snaps and handled all red-zone carries, making Marks not flex-worthy.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human. Call 1-800-GRANGER, click Grainger.com, or stop by.
0:04Grainger, for the ones who get it done. I've been saying that all week, but it's a very fun feeling to kind
0:11of get back into the grind, honestly. It won't be maybe as fun by the time we get to the later parts
0:18of the season, but for now it's still quite fun.
0:21I want to ask you guys actually before we get into the key questions about the Thursday night game, I had plans
0:27last night that I stupidly made during Bill's Lions, so I was not able to watch the game.
0:33I was following along on my phone, of course, but I wasn't able to actually sit down and watch.
0:39The box score is very fun. I want to ask you guys, was this game as fun as the box score makes it seem?
0:4641-31 in favor of the Bills. Fitz, what was it like watching this fun Thursday night game?
0:51Seemed like it was going to be a blowout.
0:54The Lions defense is a real problem without Brian Branch and Kirby Joseph at safety.
0:58But credit to the Lions offense for mounting somewhat of a comeback and keeping it interesting, at least, until about midway through the fourth quarter.
1:06Seems like, D-Bro, the stars were stars for you to varying degrees.
1:10You know, on the Lions, Jared Goff, four touchdowns.
1:12Aminor St. Brown, two touchdowns, 142 yards. Gibbs caught a touchdown.
1:16Laporta caught a touchdown. On the Bills side, Dalton Kinkade continues this year for a breakout, 95 yards and a touchdown.
1:22James Cook, 135 yards and a touchdown. Josh Allen, five touchdowns.
1:25The only guy who didn't was DJ Moore, obviously, because of the injury.
1:29And J-Mo. J-Mo says hi. J-Mo with a quiet game.
1:32I guess I wasn't putting him quiet on that star level, but you're right.
1:37J-Mo, he's very much in his mind. I mean, top 24 wide receiver.
1:40Yeah, you're right. People brought back in again this year versus too high coverage.
1:45He kind of just disappears, man. You know, it just, it's always kind of weird when J-Mo has games like this because this passing attack is so consolidated.
1:53I mean, we know where the ball usually goes and then just he has these just flub games where he doesn't do a whole lot.
2:01And so, you know, it is what it is.
2:04But yeah, I thought the game was enjoyable for the most part.
2:07I mean, just in the fact of Dalton Kincaid continuing the breakout season, like he's a top two to three tight end rest of season.
2:15He keeps getting this type of route share. He's the guy that we were promised when he was drafted by the bills.
2:21And I'll just, I know we're out of draft season, but God dang it.
2:26But doesn't Amin Ross St. Brown feel like the one of the best first round picks and safest picks every single freaking year?
2:33Like we just know what we're getting, man. Like he's so freaking consistent every single week.
2:38The safest player who's never a top three pick, like despite the fact that he's safer.
2:42Like, cause you know, obviously like there's an element of safety to a guy like J-Moore Gibbs, or you know, he's gonna score a lot of touchdowns too.
2:51But Amin Ross always is in the back half or at the, at best, the middle of the first round and is always printing you money.
2:59It is really remarkable how consistent that guy is.
3:02I picked him, I picked him fourth in a guillotine league draft this year.
3:06Oh yeah. Yes. It's a good pick. Gibbs, Bichon, Chase.
3:09And I'm like, I want the guy who shows up every week.
3:12I never, ever typically go away from quarterback in the first round of super flex drafts.
3:17I had a super flex, like redraft league. Uh, one of the last drafts I had this season, I didn't have Amin
3:24Ross anywhere and I was picking eighth. And I was like, there's so many quarterbacks available.
3:29I'm just going to take Amin Ross here because I want to have him on a team.
3:34So at least I am somewhere. Um, quickly fits.
3:37Where is Dalton Kincaid in dynasty rankings for you right now?
3:40I'm just curious if you are like reacting immediately to this in terms of the longterm view as well.
3:46This breakout for Kincaid. I've not made an adjustment yet.
3:49So this is a prior to, you know, the end of the month reset on dynasty, but man, he's going to be so much higher right now.
3:57He's got, um, not even in my top 10.
4:00Uh, where's he going to go? Do you have an idea?
4:03Like, is he going to be, he will be top 10.
4:06Probably. Is he going to be top five? Like Debra says six.
4:10What are you, what are you thinking for dynasty is probably going to be more like eight.
4:15Okay. I don't with his, the knee issues he's had, he's a little older.
4:20Like I can't put him ahead of guys like Harold fan and junior Sam Laporta, but he is going to go ahead of Kyle pits.
4:27Yeah. Very fair. I feel like him, him versus Sam Laporta is the line of demarcation here.
4:32Cause both guys have had injuries and stuff like that.
4:35Sam was fricking awesome. His rookie season kind of feels like we're getting the flip side of the, the equation with Dalton
4:42Kincaid coming on like, you know, years later. So I moved up to six, but I think that the conversation starts at like eight or nine.
4:50Yeah. Um, we normally won't go as long on the Thursday night game every week.
4:54Cause we have a lot of matchups to get to.
4:57This obviously is a particularly compelling game and high scoring and everything.
5:01Final question on this game. A lot of the talk.
5:04And I just mentioned it. This draft season was how you're supposed to wait on quarterback and that's the right strategy.
5:11And a guy like Jared Goff in tonight's game might be, you know, proving that right.
5:15But then a guy like Josh Allen's maybe proven that wrong.
5:19If he has another one of these just like insane years where he's getting three to five touchdowns every week and running
5:25it and all this stuff, like next year, even if it is a very deep quarterback, you know, option in draft season, D bro.
5:33Are you going to be sitting here going, man, you know, it's really fun.
5:37It's just having Josh Allen on my fantasy team.
5:40And you know, what's really scary is going up against him.
5:43Like, I don't know what the right answer is with this because it feels like the correct decision is to wait at quarterback with how deep it is.
5:51But also, I'm like, man, I faced Josh Allen a couple of leagues last night.
5:56You know, what would have been fun is having him on my team.
6:00So what do you what do you make of just like that strategy in terms of is he that separated from the other quarterbacks here?
6:08I mean, I think he's separated from the other quarterbacks, but outside of Josh Allen, the other thing that when you draft
6:14Josh Allen where he goes, you have to correctly pick whatever, however you're making back up at running back and wide receiver.
6:21You have to nail that if you don't nail that you're behind the eight ball.
6:25And so like that differentiator doesn't become a differentiator.
6:28When you create another hole in your lineup, if you swing and miss a running back or wide receiver and stuff where
6:35it's like, yeah, Josh Allen's freaking awesome. I don't think anybody disputes that.
6:39But also, if we just want to talk about going back to week one, you could get Caleb Caleb Williams that scored
6:46him in week one and Caleb Williams went rounds and rounds and rounds later.
6:50Like Bryce Young was within three points of him.
6:52Jackson Dart scored 26 freaking points. Trevor Lawrence, 26 points.
6:56So like I will not dispute that Josh Allen is freaking amazing and he's awesome and he's gonna be a top three quarterback every single season.
7:03Not disputing that at all, but making that leap in in drafts, you're giving up something.
7:08And if you don't land the plane with picking correctly, however, you're making up at one of the running back or wide
7:15receiver positions, you still possibly digging yourself a hole that you can't get out of.
7:20What do you make of it? Fitz, I mean, those guys are very good.
7:24I don't know if emotionally they scared me to face as much as Josh Allen does.
7:29I'm not saying that's the right way to go about your draft decisions.
7:33Do you think it matters if you're a little lighter at running back or receiver if Josh Allen is scoring 35 points for you every week?
7:40Yeah, I mean, Josh Allen is awesome for sure gives you a positional advantage, but you do have to measure.
7:47So if you're drafting Josh Allen in the third round, and if you wait on quarterback, and you can conceivably get a
7:53pretty serviceable one in the ninth round, a Jordan Love type, do you get that much more of an advantage with Josh
8:00Allen over Jordan Love than the gap between, say, getting, I don't know, Emeka Ibuka in the third round versus getting Jordan Addison in the ninth round?
8:08Because that's a big gap too. So which gap is bigger?
8:11Like that's the opportunity cost that you're paying to take Josh Allen.
8:15But so far, that opportunity cost does look worth it two weeks into the season.
8:20Mm-hmm. Let's get into the games here. Reminder for everybody, all of our 2026 consensus rankings and tiers can be found for each week at fantasypros.com slash rankings.
8:28Start off with this Sunday early slate as usual.
8:31Panthers at Falcons. I want to ask about the receivers here.
8:34How wide is the gap in your guys' rankings between Tedderoa McMillan and Jalen Coker this week?
8:39When I put together the sheet, they were nine spots apart in ECR.
8:43I'm going to double check now and see if that's still the case.
8:47They're now eight spots apart at wide receiver 20 and wide receiver 28, respectively.
8:51That's still with the guys who played last night mixed in there as well.
8:56So it might actually even be smaller. I haven't sat down and removed those guys quite yet.
9:01But Fitz, when you hear that question, what do you think?
9:04What's the gap for you in your mind between these two receivers?
9:08When I hear that question, I think you're trying to instigate a fight between Debro and I because...
9:13Social media has been trying to do it all week too, Fitzy, and I'm not having it.
9:18I addressed it yesterday on a live stream. I'm not having it.
9:22I'm going to get plenty wrong throughout the entirety of this season, and you've already gotten a bunch right in week one.
9:29Then I've got to give you flowers later in this show.
9:32So, no, I'm not having it. You're the guy in the top 20 of the week one ranking, so I've got to...
9:39Yeah, if we could stop, can we stop the vote?
9:42Can we stop it now? I'm totally fine with it.
9:45But yeah, and I've been a Coker advocate, so I do have a bigger spread this week, and maybe that is a mistake.
9:52I've got Ted Arone, McMillan, wide receiver 20, Jalen Coker, wide receiver 31.
9:56But I do have to acknowledge, over the last nine Panthers games dating back to week 11 of 2025, and including the
10:03Panthers' playoff loss to the Rams last year, Jalen Coker, 43 catches, 600 yards, 6 touchdowns over the same span.
10:09Ted Arone, McMillan, 34 catches, 552 yards, 5 touchdowns.
10:11So, Coker has bested him in all three categories over a nine-game stretch, not by a huge amount.
10:17And, like, I do... Look, McMillan was the eighth overall pick of the 2025 draft, and I don't think he's done anything
10:23to make anyone question that he was worthy of that draft spot.
10:27But, like, Coker is definitely outplaying being the undrafted free agent from Holy Cross.
10:31Like, he is a find for the Panthers. It helped last week that the Bears were without slot corner Kyler Gordon.
10:38But then again, they kind of used McMillan and Coker interchangeably.
10:41I know McMillan ran a lot of routes from the slot last week, too.
10:45So, yeah, I mean, Coker's the real deal. Debra, you've been the Coker guy.
10:50What do you, you know, make... Where are they ranked for you?
10:53I've got Ted Arone, McMillan, at wide receiver 24.
10:56I've got Jalen Coker at wide receiver 29. So, I mean, Fitzy and I are not that far apart.
11:02Like, one's a back-end wide receiver 2. One's a high-end wide receiver 3.
11:06Where are we going to split hairs here is totally fine.
11:09And I'm not going to, you know, differ on Fitzy with any of these points, man.
11:14Like, I said throughout the entirety of the draft season that, like, the difference and the disparity in their rankings and where
11:21they were getting drafted and all that kind of stuff shouldn't exist because there's not that wide of a gap.
11:27We saw that in week 1. And I think, like, as we run through the season, both of these guys are going to have their weeks.
11:34And it's going to be like every other wide receiver tandem where it's a roller coaster.
11:39It's up and down. Like, one time, like, one week, one guy balls out.
11:44And especially when you go back to the Bryce Young of all of this and the passing volume, Bryce Young getting thrown
11:50the freaking ball that often every single game. So, you know, and they don't get to play the Bears every single game.
11:57So, I love Jalen Coker. I love Terrell McMillan.
12:00But they're going to have their moments and stuff.
12:02So, I think, like, right now they're both appropriately ranked.
12:05And it's a good matchup. Like, after one week, I'm not scared of the Falcons secondary.
12:10Maybe that's a take that gets proven wrong after we get a few more games under our belt.
12:16But I'll start both of them with confidence this week because the Atlanta corners don't put the fear of God in me at all.
12:23Yeah, Fitz, I was going to ask on the matchup specifically.
12:26Like, I know it's not the Bears, but Bryce Young has been very good against the Falcons in his career.
12:32Do you expect this to be the type of game where both of these guys, you're very comfortable starting?
12:38Or do you think it maybe will be a little, I mean, it will be a little less scoring in this one than the last week for sure.
12:47But, you know, to what degree do you think this will be a lower scoring game?
12:52I think both guys are in start range because they're both inside wide receiver three range pretty comfortably.
12:57I mean, I've got Coker as a mid-range wide receiver three.
13:00Might be a little trickier a matchup. So the Falcons could get Billy Bowman Jr.
13:05back from, he tore his Achilles last year. Had been really good early in the year before the injury.
13:11I don't, still not a matchup to be feared though for anyone, any of the coke heads out there.
13:16Let's go to game number two, Saints at Ravens.
13:19I guess it's kind of hate week for me and Debra, although Debra, you know, seem to get that.
13:25You're not quite as enthusiastic about the Saints as I am about the Ravens.
13:29Ravens offense was completely dominant in week one, yet they looked far less explosive through the air after Zay Flowers tweaked his hamstring.
13:36Is quarterback two maybe too high a consensus ranking for Lamar Jackson if he goes into this game down two of his
13:43top three wideouts as he definitely will be missing Jacoby Lane?
13:46I expect him to miss Zay Flowers. Debra, what do you think about that ranking for Lamar?
13:51It feels a tad aggressive. Like, I mean, only for the instance of, okay, is Lamar probably going to run?
13:57Sure. I think Baltimore also is just going to run the ball a crap ton.
14:02Like, I think Derrick Henry's in for a really, really huge workload in this game.
14:07I don't think Zay Flowers plays. So yeah, to your point, his top two wide receivers are going to be Rashad Bateman and Devontez Walker.
14:14Chris Moore, I would guess, would be maybe number two.
14:17I mean, it's not going to be good, man.
14:20So like, and then we're talking about he's throwing the ball to whatever version of Mark Andrews we have in front of us now.
14:27So I don't feel great about Lamar this week.
14:30But like, ECR has him up at QB2. I'm still sifting through where I want to rank Lamar this week.
14:36I don't want, I'm probably not going to end up at QB2 like ECR.
14:40Because I think Jalen Hurts has a fantastic matchup.
14:43Dak and Jaden Daniels, I think that game goes off.
14:46Do we see Caleb? Like, I'm probably going to have Lamar somewhere around QB5 or QB6.
14:51But again, this is, I'm still kind of wrestling with this one.
14:55I really think Derek Henry is going to finish higher amongst running backs than Lamar will finish amongst quarterbacks.
15:00Oh, I agree with that. And I thought watching that Ravens game closely, the offensive line was better at run blocking than pass blocking.
15:08Like, I just, it just feels to me like, hey, there's not a lot of receivers.
15:12This is what the strength of the team is right now.
15:16I think the Ravens think they can run all over the Saints and probably will.
15:20I just don't know. Again, that receiving room fits is just, it scares me off when I'm saying, okay, besides the guy
15:27who already played last night, Lamar's now number one quarterback for the rest of the week in the ECR.
15:33It just feels aggressive given who he's thrown into.
15:35Well, here's the thing. Who's a better candidate for quarterback two?
15:39Like, Jalen Hurts. We still don't have proof of concept that the Philly passing game is going to be significantly better with
15:45Sean Mannion as the offensive coordinator than it was last year with Kevin Petillo.
15:50And Lamar is a better runner than Hurts. Dak Prescott, I do expect better numbers than he gave us in week one.
15:56But, you know, if we don't get the passing numbers, he doesn't run.
16:00Brock Purdy might not have to do a lot with the 49ers favored by almost two touchdowns.
16:06Caleb Williams, Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, all those guys have tough matchups.
16:09So, yeah, and it's not an easy matchup for Lamar.
16:12The Saints have allowed the fourth fewest passing yards since the start of last season.
16:17So the expectation for passing yardage with Zay Flowers out and right now the fantasy pros, are they starting or are they playing to all?
16:24Only a 12% chance for Flowers to come back from this hamstring injury.
16:28Probably not playing. But, like, Lamar could absolutely still throw two or three touchdown passes.
16:33And it's the running we're always excited about with Lamar.
16:36Like, we were concerned about Josh Allen last week against Houston.
16:39Turned out we were wrong to be concerned about the passing numbers.
16:43He went over 300 yards. But even if he hadn't had such a good game as a passer, Josh Allen had two touchdown runs against the Texans.
16:51And Lamar can give you 50-plus rushing yards and a touchdown to matter the opponent.
16:56But, yeah. Yeah, that's fair. That's the only differentiator a little bit for me, Fitz.
17:00Like, where Lamar hasn't been as prevalent at the goal line.
17:04Like, he scored a rushing touchdown last week. But it's not like he's had that massive roll on a week-to-week basis.
17:10Like, so where it's like, if he gets one touchdown through the air and only throws, like, one, maybe two touchdowns.
17:16Like, that's probably enough. But, like, if he throws two touchdowns and Derrick Henry gets all the rushing scorers at the goal line, then we're like, you know.
17:25I do concede the point also. It's like, who else are we putting at QB2?
17:29I just – I think that QB is kind of – There's not an obvious QB2.
17:34QB is kind of tough to rank this week, to be honest.
17:38Worm should be giddy about what the Declan Doyle offense looked like last week.
17:42But then again, the Colts might not be a good test.
17:45The Saints are probably a better test than the Colts.
17:48The one big takeaway for me when I dug into this game more, the fact that Lamar was under pressure on 50%
17:55of his dropbacks and he played as well as he did.
17:58Lamar was incredible in that game. But it did look – the offense just moved differently once they went out.
18:05Like, they were truly unstoppable when he was in the game.
18:08And they went to merely very good once he was out of the game.
18:12And it just became the Derrick Henry show. Declan Doyle is awesome.
18:16I wonder if he will run Lamar more at the goal line.
18:19If maybe we get more rushing touchdowns this season.
18:22I mean, that was their first big goal line stretch or red zone play calling opportunity he had in a real game.
18:29And he – you know, Lamar got a touchdown running.
18:32So I wonder if we maybe see more of that this season.
18:35You better hope Zay is out of this game too because if Mark Andrews doesn't catch up in the touchdown department, I
18:42don't know how that bet's going to go for you.
18:45I do want Zay to sit this game. Like, you need to keep him for the long term.
18:51He should not play. Let's go to Vikings at Bears.
18:54The Bears scored 59 points in week one. Yet none of Luther Burden, Roma Dunze, or Colson Loveland had big days.
19:00Obviously, Loveland the worst of those three. Which Bears pass catcher is most likely to break out this week, Fitz?
19:06I'm tempted to say Luther Burden because the Vikings blitz at such a high rate.
19:11And if Caleb Williams can get the ball to Burden quickly against those blitzes, like there are fewer guys left in the
19:17secondary to tackle the very slippery Luther Burden. But I'm going to say Colson Loveland.
19:22Despite the goose egg last week, highest route participation of any tight end, north of 90%.
19:27Maybe the route participation comes down a little bit this week if the Bears occasionally keep him in to help out blocking against the blitz.
19:34But the Bears are probably going to use a lot of 12 personnel.
19:38Let Cole commit help with the blocking. Get Loveland out on routes.
19:42Still the same guy he was last season when he turned into a freaking monster at the end of the season.
19:48So I'm going to say Loveland bounces back this week.
19:51I'm not sure what Ben Johnson's mindset will be in terms of Colson Loveland.
19:56I could see him going either direction on the one hand.
19:59I could see Ben Johnson being the type of guy who's like, obviously I don't care about your fantasy team.
20:05If I can keep scoring 59 points without getting these guys super involved, I'm going to do it.
20:10Fine, totally support that. But I could also see him being like, all I heard this week was, oh, he scored 59 points and Colson Loveland did nothing.
20:19Well, let me show you that I also have this guy too.
20:23And he goes out and has a huge game and dials up a bunch of stuff for him.
20:28So I'm kind of curious what direction Ben Johnson will go in terms of how much usage he has in mind for Colson Loveland.
20:35And Debro, between these three, Birden and Doonesa and Loveland, who do you expect to have a big day?
20:41I kind of already talked about this earlier in the week with you.
20:45And I'm massively in on Roma Doonesa in this game.
20:48One, he's off the injury report. So like week one, he had a 55.3% route share.
20:53I think that goes up. But to something we've already kind of talked about in this game, Brian Flores is a freaking madman, dude.
21:00He blitzed at 73% of their defensive snaps in week one.
21:04And I don't know if he does that again in week two.
21:07But we know that the Vikings, what they do, there are two staples of this defense.
21:12One, they play a crap ton of too high coverage.
21:15Two, they blitz at a top five clip every single week.
21:18And both of these things, if we look at the usage last year, makes me lean heavily in the direction of Roma Doonesa.
21:25Because versus too high coverage, Roma Doonesa was second on the team with a 24% target per route run rate, 1.89 yards per route run last season.
21:34Again, going to last season two, Roma Doonesa against the blitz.
21:37He led the team with a 27.8% target share, a 32% first read share.
21:41So if Roma is a full-time player this week and Brian Flores is dialing up the blitz on 40, 50% of Caleb
21:48Williams dropbacks, I think this is quietly a huge Roma Doonesa week.
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22:46That's J-A-S-E dot com. Those guys are all ranked between 50 and 58th in the overall flex rankings for this week.
22:52So, you know, the rankers aren't entirely sure who's going to have the biggest game here.
22:57They're all kind of clumped together. Just a very quick second question on this game.
23:02I think we have to ask, where are you ranking Aaron Jones with Jordan Mason going on IR this week?
23:08He's RB25 in ECR. I actually kind of maybe expected that to go up a little more than it did.
23:14Fitz, quickly, where are you ranking Jones? That's it?
23:17Jeez. I've got him RB20. I think he gets a pretty full workload.
23:20Yeah. I think you're – I think that's closer to where I expected him to be in consensus is more – I
23:27mean, he's not even an RB2 right now, Debra.
23:30Yeah, I've got him at RB19. I'm right with Fitz.
23:33Like, do you want to play Aaron Jones, who's getting all the work for the Vikings this week?
23:38Or do you want to play Cam Scadaboo, who had a 30% route share?
23:43Do you want to play any one of these other back-end RB2s?
23:46Like, I – there is some hesitation because I feel like this is one of those moments where, like, is this a trap?
23:53And Aaron Jones goes out there and he pulls a hammy in quarter one.
23:58I hope that does not happen. I have weird, like, gut feeling like maybe we're getting set up to fail here.
24:04But everything else says Aaron Jones should crush this week.
24:07He's going to have the backfield to himself. There's nobody really going to be there to take away work.
24:13Like, I'm not worried about DeMond Claiborne. The matchup is fantastic.
24:16The Bears' run defense was suspect walking into the season.
24:19And after one week, they gave up the eighth highest explosive run rate, second highest rushing success rate in week one.
24:25So, everything is pointing to Aaron Jones should crush as a strong RB2 this week.
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24:52All right. Bengals at Texans. Next matchup here. Pretty fascinating one.
24:55I actually feel like I don't really know what to expect.
24:59I wasn't sure what direction to go with on the question.
25:02I could see this game going in a lot of different directions.
25:06You know, obviously the Texans, I expected the defense to be excellent.
25:09They, you know, weren't that great against Buffalo, but that was against the Bills.
25:13You know, the Bengals, Joe Burrow's got this back thing.
25:16He seems to be unconcerned, though, in saying he's going to play.
25:20Jamar Chase coming off. Maybe their defense is better.
25:23It's just a lot going on here. So, I'm going to keep it kind of simple on the question.
25:29Give me one player in this game that you are above consensus on, and one player in this game that you are lower than consensus on, Debra.
25:37One player I'm above consensus on. I mean, I think he's a low-hanging fruit here is Dalton Schultz.
25:42With no Nico Collins, we know the matchup. I mean, like last year, Cincinnati couldn't stop any freaking tight end.
25:48Dalton Schultz got a 21% target share, 18% first reach share.
25:52Like, I've got him right now. In my rankings, I've got Schultz at tight end 12.
25:57Like, George Kittle, we don't know how much the 49ers are going to need him.
26:01Mark Andrews, what is left in the tank. I've got him above even Harold Fannin because, good Lord, it's Deshaun Watson 2.0.
26:08You know, like, how great do we feel about that?
26:11I think Dalton Schultz is going to be a tight end one this week.
26:15Sorry, where did you say he was ranked? I was distracted because Zay Flowers is practicing.
26:20I just saw that tweet come across the timeline.
26:23I would be shocked if he plays. I still don't think he plays, but that is worth noting that he is practicing.
26:29This feels like a little bit of gamesmanship with the media.
26:33Lamar QB2, baby. Yes. All right. He's just in the ranks, baby.
26:36Sorry, Debra, you said tight end 12 for Schultz?
26:39Tight end 12. Okay, yeah, he's 15 in consensus.
26:42Fitz, is he also somebody that you're looking at as above consensus on?
26:46Oh, yeah. Match. Perfect match. I also had Dalton Schultz as the guy I'm above consensus on.
26:51Only tight end 13, and I've been debating whether to move him ahead of Fannin, and I probably will.
26:57Yeah, I mean, the Bengals gave up the most catches, receiving yards, and touchdowns to tight ends last year, and by a
27:03pretty wide margin in all three categories. I know they've upgraded their defensive personnel, but Al Golden was the defensive coordinator last year.
27:10Al Golden, still the defensive coordinator. And yeah, CJ Stroud has to go somewhere with the ball.
27:15No Nico Collins. So yeah, did Debra give his guys above or below consensus?
27:20No, no. Who are you guys below? Either of you can go first.
27:24I'll go ahead and just lead this off, and this is somebody where I think in deeper leagues, people are going to
27:30look at the snap counts and be higher than him.
27:33I'm not saying that a lot of people are going to start this guy and stuff, but I'm telling you that I
27:40don't think he's at all flex-worthy in this game as Woody Marks.
27:44I think a lot of people are going to look at the snap counts from last week and say, Oh, well, I
27:50saw Woody Marks play more snaps than David Montgomery, and I'm just going to give context to this.
27:56A lot of that came on the final drive.
27:59A lot of that came in two-minute. A lot of that came in the very end of the fourth quarter.
28:05If you look at through the first three quarters, this was David Montgomery's backfield.
28:09He played over 60% of the snaps. So the final snap count is lying to people, and where people can look at
28:16it and say, Oh, the Bengals, Woody Marks. And also, David Montgomery got all five of the Houston Texans' red zone carries.
28:22So I think some people could look at Woody Marks and say, And I'm not saying in 10, 12-team leagues anybody is going to consider this.
28:30But in deeper dynasty leagues, 14, 16-teamers, people being like, I mean, what's my flex options like?
28:35And saying, Can I talk myself into Woody Marks?
28:38No, no. Fitz, you or are you lower on?
28:41All right. So not much lower, and I'm not telling anyone to bench this player.
28:45But I've got Jamar Chase at wide receiver five, which puts me below consensus.
28:50And it's a tough matchup, for sure, against a Texans' D that's probably going to be breathing fire after getting humiliated last week against the Bills.
28:57And I know the Bengals are adding some new wrinkles to their offense.
29:01Joe Burrow under center a lot more. Maybe they just needed a week to get the bugs out, and things look a
29:08lot better for Jamar Chase this week. But last week, two catches, 12 yards, four targets.
29:13It's like, are we totally sure his knee is okay after that hyperextension three weeks ago?
29:18I know he himself termed it a minor hyperextension, if that's possible to have a minor hyperextension of your knee.
29:24But yeah, so I'm just, it's a very gentle fade, and it is not in any way meant to be disrespectful of
29:30Jamar Chase, who could certainly defy a tough matchup and go out and throw up 150 yards and two touchdowns.
29:37But I am slightly behind consensus. Yeah, it's less like go sit Jamar Chase and more like, hey, maybe in DFS you're not going that direction, right?
29:45You know, that sort of thing. Or if you have him in your lineup, and you have a really, really tough opponent
29:51and stuff like that, and I'm splitting between do I take floor or ceiling with my flex play, I think you should lean towards ceiling.
29:59Yeah, I think that's a good way to frame it too.
30:02Steelers at Patriots is our next game. A couple of offenses coming off lackluster performances in week one, though the Patriots did
30:09have the excuse of playing in Seattle on banner night.
30:12With such a low total, last I checked was 41.5 consensus over under on bettingpros.com.
30:17Is there any player in this matchup you guys are actually above consensus on?
30:21Fitz, I'll start with you. This is weird. So I was team Jalen Warren all offseason in the Pittsburgh backfield.
30:27And Warren was good in week one and Rico Dowdle was not.
30:31Like Warren had 10 carries, 46 yards, five catches, 27 yards.
30:34Rico, eight carries for 15 yards, two catches for six yards.
30:37And yet Rico Dowdle played 14 more snaps than Jalen Warren and ran eight more routes.
30:42Like that I was not expecting to be seeing Rico Dowdle more involved in the passing game than Jalen Warren was.
30:49So, like, I don't know whether Warren gets more work in week two on the merits based on just looking better.
30:55And I really think he is the better player in week two.
30:59But, like, I'm kind of following the usage here.
31:01So I find myself three spots above consensus on Rico Dowdle just because he seemed to be Mike McCarthy's lead guy last week.
31:08But I just I don't know if it's going to be situational matchup thing week to week.
31:13You know, and I'm the Patriots run defense didn't look any any better than average in week one.
31:19So I'm not really fearing that matchup. I think Rico is actually a flex worthy guy this week.
31:24But I'm not excited. But I'm above consensus. Debro, I'm sure you are above consensus on Rico Dowdle.
31:30I'm not sure if he was the guy that you picked to talk about for the same question or matching with Fitz again.
31:37But I know you've been talking about Rico Dowdle this week.
31:40Yeah, I mean, again, to everything and all of Steelers fan base.
31:44I tweeted that out. I was like, Rico Dowdle is the RV one.
31:48And the entire fan base on social media is like, well, you don't you know, Jalen Warren fumbled in the first quarter.
31:54And I was like, bro, come on. I feel like we're kind of just telling ourselves some things here.
32:00But maybe again, it's only one game. So I don't want to overreact.
32:04But to Fitzy's point at Rico out snapped him, ran more routes.
32:08The productivity wasn't there, but the usage was. So does that show up this week against a Patriots lackluster run defense?
32:14So I could have picked Rico Dowdle here. I actually went with Romeo Dobbs.
32:18I've got him as a strong wide receiver three.
32:21I think he's going to be the clear wide receiver one for the New England Patriots.
32:26Looking at, you know, just what he's done, considering especially like Pittsburgh's coverage.
32:30They previous years before the start of the Mike McCarthy era, they had been a single high team, decent amount of man coverage and stuff.
32:37And week one, 57% of their defensive snaps were too high.
32:41So you look at what Romeo Dobbs has done.
32:44And I know it's a new offense, new team and stuff like that.
32:47But again, going back to the skill set, his target per route run rate last year went from 21 to 23% versus too high.
32:55Had 1.86 yards per route run. I think a lot of people are looking at like his week one performance and they talk about the drop.
33:03The dude had three freaking targets. It wasn't like he went out there and he just flubbed every single thing.
33:09And we got to sit here and understand that like with A.J.
33:12Brown out, who the hell else is going to be their wide receiver one?
33:17It should be. And I think it's going to be the guy that they paid in the offseason.
33:22And he's still very talented. So I think he's a strong flex play.
33:26Fitz, are you on board? I'm above consensus on dubs, too.
33:29But like no one really got wide receiver one usage.
33:32Well, Stefan Diggs went did when he was in the game, but they rotated receivers.
33:37I mean, Drake May is the socialist quarterback. He just throws to whoever's open.
33:41And so like with no A.J. Brown, I think it's going to be a total ensemble effort.
33:46And we might even see guys like, you know, like I picked up Matt Collins in a league where I kind of
33:53am hurting at wide receiver this week. So like Matt Collins to Mario Douglas, maybe even Kyle Williams can get involved.
33:59Fitz, I believe you beat me for Matt Collins in our guillotine league bidding.
34:04Oh, did I? Yeah, I think I think that's the league where I really need him this week.
34:09Yes, I could have used it. That just shows you the level of desperation when there's a bidding war for Matt Collins out there on the waiver wire.
34:18I just throw it out there. I wouldn't call it much of a bidding war, more of a bidding kerfuffle.
34:24We didn't spend that much money trying to get him.
34:27One dollar versus zero. That's pretty much what it was.
34:30But I still lost out. Packers at Jets. Christian Watson and Garrett Wilson are back to back in week two consensus rankings
34:36amongst receivers at wide receiver 11 and wide receiver 12, respectively.
34:40Who do you guys expect to have the bigger game?
34:43Debra, I'll start with you. This is Christian Watson.
34:46And it's not close. I love Christian Watson. The fact of, again, going to coverage specific stuff.
34:51I don't think the Jets like I'm not worried about the Jets cornerback room.
34:55Brandon Stevens does not scare me. Nashawn Wright does not scare me at all.
34:59Christian Watson looked like a freaking dude in week one.
35:02And I think he keeps doing that in week two.
35:05Looking at the Jets, their coverage structure, 59% too high in week one last year versus too high.
35:11Christian Watson, 21% target per route run rate, 2.72 yards per route run.
35:15And in week one, dude, he ripped off 4.19 yards per route run versus too high coverage.
35:20Good luck, Jets. That's all I can say. I'm not surprised that you picked Watson.
35:24I'm a little surprised you said it's not close given what their consensus ranking is.
35:29Where do you rank Garrett Wilson this week? I mean, I've got Garrett Wilson as a mid-range wide receiver 2.
35:35And I've got Christian Watson as a wide receiver 1.
35:38And this is not a Garrett Wilson problem. It's just one week of Geno Smith.
35:43I've seen enough of Geno Smith over multiple seasons to understand that that in itself is a very not fun roller coaster.
35:49Okay. How are you ranking them, Fitz? Who do you prefer?
35:53I've got Watson wide receiver 9 and Wilson wide receiver 11.
35:56So I like both. I prefer the guy attached to Jordan Love over the guy attached to Geno.
36:01But Geno might not be bad this year, Debro, behind him.
36:05He might not. He might not. The Jets offensive line is actually good.
36:09And by the way, like if anyone needs a streamer for the next three weeks, Geno gets the Packers, the Lions and the Bears.
36:16Three NFC North teams that can score and make Geno keep his foot on the gas and that have really suspect pass defenses.
36:23That's a good call. That's a good call. The Packers, their pass rush got home against the Vikings last week.
36:29But I'd say their pass rush still a question until Micah Parsons gets back and their cornerbacks are not good.
36:35And and yet that's the second best defense in the division.
36:38We've seen what the Lions and Bears defenses look like.
36:42Yeah, that's a good call. Good shout. Second question quickly on this game.
36:45Marshawn Lloyd became a very hyped sleeper near the end of draft season with all the Josh Jacobs stuff.
36:51He had just 37 yards on 13 carries in week one.
36:55Debro, where are you ranking Lloyd this week? I talk about giving Fitz flowers.
36:59I'm going to lead this off with going and telling like I I was very aggressive on Marshawn Lloyd in week one.
37:05I thought he was going to be a clear RB, too.
37:09I thought he was going to get all of the work and it was going to be very marginal.
37:15Chris Brooks usage should have listened to the Packers guy should listen to Fitzy.
37:19He was right, man. Chris Brooks was out there more than I ever wanted to see.
37:24But what I will say about Marshawn Lloyd, he got 61.9 percent of the design carries in the offense.
37:29So he was the early down rusher. We could see his his role grow a little bit this week.
37:35And I think it's a good matchup in the sense of if the Packers can jump out to a lead, Lloyd is
37:42going to have running room against this defense. Like the Jets run defense was not good last week.
37:4712th highest explosive run rate, fourth highest rushing success rate.
37:50So I think Lloyd can get going this week as a flex play.
37:54I've got him at RB. I got him at RB 28.
37:58So just I mean, you know, a decent flex play, but like in a similar vein of like Bill, like I think
38:04his stat line could look very similar to what your core cross team merit did in week one.
38:10Just to kind of put some context to it.
38:13Those guys are actually back to back in consensus.
38:15Cross. I've got Bill right ahead of him. Yeah, he's 29.
38:19And Marshawn Lloyd's RB 30. RB 28 for D bro.
38:22Fitz, where are you at? RB 35. The incompetence of the Packers offensive line hurts Marshawn Lloyd in two ways.
38:28One, it's not going to open a lot of holes for him.
38:31Two, it's going to necessitate a good blocker to help with blitz pickup.
38:35And Chris Brooks is better at that than Marshawn Lloyd is.
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39:37Next game on the slate here. Fitz, Browns at Buccaneers.
39:40Nobody was surprised by the inept Cleveland offense in week one, but some might have been surprised by the poor defensive performance.
39:47Is this a bounce back spot for the Tampa Bay offense, or do you think better days are ahead for the Browns defense?
39:54Better days ahead for the defense, but not a bounce back spot for the offense.
39:59The Browns do have talent on defense, but the offense stinks with Deshaun Watson at quarterback.
40:03And the Browns just aren't going to be able to keep the chains moving and give the defense time to rest.
40:10And for a second straight week, the Browns are going to lose the time of possession battle and have that defense out there baking in the Florida sun.
40:18In Jacksonville last week, now they're in Tampa. It's going to be hot, and they've got a quarterback who can't move the chains.
40:25Like, it's just a bad spot for the Cleveland defense.
40:28Fitz, I can't believe I was, I specifically didn't mention this because I wanted you guys to mention it, but I can't
40:35believe you didn't bring up the Baker Mayfield revenge spot here, too, just in thinking about this game for the Tampa offense.
40:42I mean, I'm about to. Okay, okay. I spoke too soon then.
40:45Debra, go ahead. I think Baker Mayfield is going to wake up dangerous and go full savage mode, man.
40:51I think that he's going to open the Spite store.
40:54I think he's going to absolutely just going to let, they're going to let him cook, dude.
40:59I think Baker Mayfield goes off in this game.
41:02Like, especially after going to the podium this week and Baker being like, all right, Todd, I get it.
41:08Michigan won. I'm going to wear the tank top.
41:10I'm going to do the thing. We're cool. We're cool.
41:13You're going to let me chuck it and rub it in their faces on Sunday though, right?
41:19We're cool. We're cool. All right. I'm, I'm, I'm so here for it.
41:23And Baker outside of like, okay, he had butterfingers.
41:25He got lost the three fumbles and stuff like that.
41:28Outside of that, he was healthy. He ran the ball.
41:31He had a rushing touchdown. He has the third highest passing success rate and catchable target rate.
41:37He is healthy right now. I think Baker Mayfield is going to cook in this week.
41:41And I think it's going to be a good week for a Mecca.
41:45Buka, where the targets go after a Mecca. We shall see.
41:49I still want to have faith in Chris Godwin.
41:51Although Chris Godwin's week one performance really let me down and his per route metrics kind of were, I still, I got
41:58to see it for at least two more games before saying Chris Godwin has cooked.
42:03So I, I'm, I'm in on Baker in on a Mecca in on Chris Godwin.
42:07And again, I'm just going to continue to give a Fitzy flowers here, bro.
42:11Bucky Irving and week one had the fifth best miss tackle rate.
42:15He is healthy. 38% miss tackle rate. I, but yeah, Bucky looks like he could have been one of the like best values you drafted this summer.
42:23If he keeps up with this type of role and usage and, and performance fits, where's Baker ranked for you this week?
42:30He's QB 17 in ECR. QB 13. 13. Okay.
42:33Yes. You are expecting a Fitzy's in on the spite store.
42:36I'm here for it. Oh yeah. Here for it.
42:39Baker's big for Baker's a spiteful cat. No, he is.
42:42And I'm maybe the most spiteful quarterback in the face.
42:45Yeah. I can't think of who I can't think of who I would more buy into a revenge game narrative with besides Baker.
42:52Honestly, nobody. Yeah. He is end of list. Number one.
42:55And his Baker may. Let's go to Eagles at Titans.
42:58Dallas Goddard is tight and seven in ECR coming off of his two touchdown performance in week one.
43:03Is that too high, too low, or just right against Tennessee?
43:07Debra. That's disrespectful. To be honest, man, I've got him a tight end for like that.
43:12I just, I just think that is massively disrespectful.
43:14Like he operated last week with a 23% first reach here, a 20% target share.
43:19Makai Lemon is getting a low a dot gadget usage and he's going against the defense.
43:24They gave it the fourth most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends as well as you, you know, I don't think
43:30he walks out of this with two touchdowns again this week, but he got two red zone targets and a deep target.
43:37So it's like, what box is Dallas Goddard? Not checking that anybody wants him to check versus a lot of these other tight ends.
43:44Fantastic matchup. He's a top two option in the passing attack.
43:48He gets high cholesterol usage. We, we don't think that Tennessee's offense is going to do much of anything in this game.
43:54I, yeah, I love Dallas Goddard this week. He is tight end seven, but Dalton Kincaid and Sam Laporta are ahead of him.
44:01Like just if you look at ECR from where they have been ranked, so he's tight end five amongst the remaining tight ends.
44:08Just wanted to kind of clarify that on the rankings in case anybody was confused.
44:13Fitz, too high, too low, just right. I'm going the other way on this.
44:17I've got him tight end 10. Like the surface stats were good in week one, but I wasn't like dazzled with the
44:24performance the way I was by like Dalton Kincaid and Isaiah Likely in week one.
44:28Like he had four catches for 77 yards, two touchdowns.
44:31I think what only like five or six targets.
44:34But those two touchdowns were such comically bad instances of defense by the Washington commanders.
44:39The first one, like he catches a ball in the middle of the field, has three guys around them.
44:44Two of them immediately fall down after Goddard turns upfield.
44:47And I think the third trips over one of the guys who fell down and Goddard just like waltzes into the end zone.
44:54And in the other one, they just like music killed to be a cue up the Benny Hill.
45:00It was totally Benny Hill stuff. And then the other one like there they drop into some zone coverage and no one
45:07just bothers to move towards Goddard, who's just running wide open down the seam.
45:11So, I mean, it was really bad defense leading to those two touchdowns.
45:15Like I wasn't just like, oh my gosh, Dallas Goddard looks amazing.
45:18No, it was just two complete gaffes by the Washington defense.
45:22So I like he's a fine play. I have no issues with I'm starting him in a league this week, but I
45:28just don't see him as being at the top of the tight end one group.
45:33Like I, my counterpoint is we did see the Titans defense week one, right?
45:37That they're, they're not, they're not great. They're not great.
45:40I mean, like I still have faith in Robert Sala to cobble something respectable together out of that group, but we'll see.
45:47Maybe that's, maybe that's a leap of faith. I shouldn't be making fits.
45:51Do you, you have Isaiah likely ranked higher than Dallas Goddard?
45:54Is that right? I do. Okay. Yeah. They're, they're back to back in ECR.
45:58Goddard is ahead. I was just curious because they both had big games in week one.
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46:21All right. Sunday late slate here. Jags at Broncos.
46:24The Jags dropped 34 points in Denver late in the 2025 season.
46:28Now the Broncos defense is coming off a horrific week one performance.
46:31Is this a start all Jags type of game or are you worried about a bounce back performance by the Denver defense this week?
46:39Fitz? I just don't think it's a start all Jags type of offense for them.
46:43It's kind of too much of an ensemble cast.
46:46Like even Basial Tootin is not getting I've got Tootin ranked as like a low end RB2.
46:51You're probably at least getting him into a flex spot.
46:54You're absolutely starting Parker Washington who did cook last year against the Broncos in that game where Trevor Lawrence had two 279 yards, three touchdown passes.
47:02Parker Washington, six catches for 145 yards and a touchdown.
47:05So you're starting Parker Washington. I don't know about Jacoby Myers and Brian Thomas.
47:09That's very roster related. I don't know about Brenton strange, but Parker Washington for sure.
47:14Basial Tootin probably Trevor Lawrence probably. He's like back into the top 10 for me.
47:18Debra, what do you think? I mean, yeah, Trevor destroyed this defense last year.
47:23We'll see if that happens again. I've got Trevor Lawrence at QB 10 again, like Fitzy, like backing QB one.
47:29I'm not starting Jacoby Myers. I'm not starting Brian Thomas Jr.
47:32The outside corners for the Denver Broncos are good.
47:35Patrick's retained. If Brian Thomas Jr. The other thing we need to talk about here left last week's game, he's, he's already got a shoulder injury.
47:43We're one week into the season and he's already hurt.
47:46So I'm assuming that he plays. And if he plays Brian Thomas Jr.
47:50Got shadowed into oblivion last year by Patrick's retained.
47:52So he followed him on 78% of his routes, held him to one reception and nine receiving yards.
47:58So I'm not starting Brian Thomas Jr. I do not want to play Jacoby Myers.
48:02I am very bullish that Parker Washington, and I'm not saying that he's going to go for, you know, a buck 45,
48:09but I think that he can have another really strong game because he is their clear wide receiver.
48:14One, we saw that in week one with a 26% target share.
48:18So starting Parker Washington with confidence. Also feel pretty good about Basial Tootin going against this run defense.
48:24I'm not saying that the Broncos run defense is going to look as terrible as they did in week one.
48:30But if you're looking at archetypes of running backs and stuff like that, and trying to put the pieces together, Basial Tootin
48:36is not Kenneth Walker, but he's also really, really good at forcing missed tackles.
48:41Denver had a problem tackling guys in week one.
48:43Basial Tootin, 20% explosive run rate, 33% missed tackle rate in week one.
48:47I think Tootin could have a really good game.
48:50Um, the guy I do want to bring up here is Brenton strange.
48:54I'm very high on him because I think when you're just looking at the nuts and bolts of this matchup, you're going
49:01to stay away from the outside corners of the Denver Broncos.
49:04Like we, I just talked about this. Like, so Jacoby Myers, Brian Thomas Jr.
49:08have down games in this Brenton strange in this very same matchup last year was tied in nine for the week.
49:15He had a 19% target share, three reds on targets in that game.
49:19Um, week one, um, he had, I mean, the usage was fine.
49:22I mean, really like the, the touchdown got him over, but I think this is a spot where if we're looking at
49:29anybody outside of Parker Washington that emerges from the Jacksonville passing attack, I think it's Brenton strange because they're staying away from the outside corners.
49:36And he's really the guy that can put Trevor Lawrence over the top this week.
49:41Fitz on the other side of this one, what do you make of Jalen Waddle's poor debut with the Broncos last week?
49:48I'm worried that Bo Nix is a below average starting quarterback and that Waddle is kind of going to get lost in
49:54the shuffle of the always, it's always like an ensemble cast with the Sean Payton offense.
49:59It seems I shouldn't say always. I mean, there were the Michael Thomas years, uh, with the saints, but I don't know.
50:06I'm a, I'm a little concerned. Debra, you were very high on Waddle this summer.
50:10Are you like dialing down your enthusiasm? Are you saying, eh, it's just week one.
50:15Let's not overreact with your headspace out on Jalen Waddle right now.
50:19So I had to go to the film for this one.
50:22I went back and last night and prepping for this show because again, trying to make sense of what the heck happened
50:29with the Broncos in week one, there was so much to unpack in that game.
50:33First of all, Bo Nix was pressured at the highest rate in the entire freaking NFL on 54.5% of his dropbacks.
50:40That's an unsustainable rate for any quarterback to, to make sense and live in.
50:44But number two, Bo Nix played bad. And I'm just zooming out the offensive line for the Broncos played horribly.
50:50Like there were multiple spots. Jalen Waddle was fine in the game.
50:54He had one drop on a, on a, on a slant, which was more of a concentration drop.
50:59But I watched every route by Jalen Waddle. There was a lot of Bo Nix.
51:04There was a lot of, he got pressured. There was a lot of Waddle wasn't the first read in the play design,
51:10or if he was the first read in the play design, Bo Nix came off of it because he had a defender in his face.
51:18There was a quick out or a speed out to where Waddle got a bad target.
51:23He had room to work, but Bo Nix like didn't hit him in stride because he had a defender that he had
51:29to throw it around to get it to him.
51:32So it turned into a contested catch. Which Jalen Waddle was perfectly fine though, on a ton of his routes.
51:38Like I went through every one of his routes and I was like, okay, he's open on a deep out.
51:44Okay. He's open on a slant. Okay. He's open on an over route.
51:48And Bo Nix got pressured, wasn't looking for him or what have you.
51:52I think that there's a lot of things to, again, to talk about with that game and how it played out.
51:58I think if Davis Webb continues to struggle as a play caller, Sean Payton's going to take over play calling.
52:05And if that's the case, like, I think there are better days ahead for Jalen Waddle because everything that was wrong in
52:11week one, wasn't really a Waddle problem. It was an offensive line problem.
52:15It was a Bo Nix problem. I'm not saying that Bo Nix is going to turn into one of those accurate quarterbacks in the entire freaking NFL.
52:23But I think that there are better days ahead because things are going to change.
52:28I think the offensive line will not play as bad as it played in week one.
52:33And if the play calling keeps like looking like what it looked like in week one, Sean Payton, whether they announced this
52:39to the media or not, Sean Payton will take over play calling duties.
52:43Let's go to Raiders at Chargers. Are you guys giving a second chance to the Chargers offense after their week one dud?
52:50Or are you fading them in the rankings this week against the Raiders?
52:54Fitz, what do you think? Another chance, but I'm a little lower than consensus on Justin Herbert.
52:59Um, and what are you having that bit scene?
53:02I have got him at, I think quarterback. Let me see.
53:05I think quarterback 12. Okay. Cause consensus is at QB eight and I'm with you.
53:10I'm actually sorry. QB 11. Um, yeah, I just, the interior of the offensive line looks like it's going to be a problem again.
53:17And they thought they had center solved with Tyler Biotic and now he's out for the year with the knee injury.
53:23So like Justin Herbert seems like he is not himself when there's pressure up the middle, which understandable.
53:29A lot of quarterbacks aren't themselves when they're consistently getting like a gap pressure against them.
53:34Debra. I'm not fading them. Um, I mean, I am, I guess like mild fades versus consensus.
53:39I mean, I've got Justin Herbert, a QB 11.
53:42I'm looking at where, where does he ZR have a Marian Hampton 12 RB 12.
53:46I've got Hampton at RB 12 as well. So like with those guys, like I'm at, or maybe like maybe like a shade below.
53:54I do think it's kind of funny after an entire summer of off season hype and might be Daniel and everything.
54:00It took one game for, for everybody to hop off the hype train.
54:04Like, wow. Like we must've not been that convinced.
54:07Like I had questions the entire summer. Like I was like, dude, the splits with Mike McDaniel with and without Tyree kill or not great.
54:14Are we are, is all the Mike McDaniel stuff really just Tyree kill stuff?
54:18I'm like, I've got worries about the offensive line.
54:21I got worries about this passing attack. I got worries about a Marian Hampton's fit with this run scheme.
54:27And it took one game and everybody's like, Oh, I don't know about the chargers.
54:31And I'm like, damn, just one game. And everybody's like, just like shook to their core after an off season of summer
54:38of hyping to hell and back this entire offense.
54:41Like your guy, Brett Whitefield at fantasy points though, has been making that case that like Mike McDaniel is not Mike McDaniel.
54:48Like the, the numbers on his offense when Tyree kill is not on the field, they're not all that spectacular.
54:54No, they're really, really bad. Like the EPA splits are massive with when, and this wasn't just one year.
54:59It was all four years of like with the dolphins.
55:02It was like with Tyree kill in the field, EPA per drop back, EPA per play, EPA per pass top 10 out
55:09with Tyree kill off the field 23rd or worse in every single metric that you pull up and people like, Oh, that's a two of stat.
55:17I'm like, okay, maybe that's a two of stat.
55:20It can also be a Mike McDaniel stat. So that's what makes it hard.
55:24Right. It's like, you don't know is that, is that more because he's limited by two and Tyree helps unlock those limitations versus Mike McDaniel.
55:32Isn't all that in a bag of chips. It's, it's hard to kind of know where the blame and credit lie in those situations.
55:39But I think that makes it a smart call by you to have been questioning it and saying, let's not be so
55:46certain about what the charges look like. But again, also, this is just one week.
55:50We'll see what they look like. I mean, just pointing back to week one, two though.
55:55It's like lad goes out. Like, should that entire offense have cratered?
55:59Like QJ does nothing. Amari and Hampton does nothing.
56:01We don't use the running backs at all in the passing game.
56:05Keaton Mitchell gets more usage than freaking Amari and Hampton.
56:08Like all of it. You're just like, okay, like fine.
56:11But still like real versus the Cardinals. Oh yeah.
56:14I mean, it was a dud. Like there's nobody's defending that week one performance for sure.
56:19Yeah. I just quickly, quickly fits. Where are you ranking Quentin Johnson?
56:22If lad isn't playing. If lad isn't playing. Right now I've got QJ, I think wide receiver 32.
56:28It's going to come up, but it's not going to come up that much.
56:32No, I'm sorry. I've got him wide receiver 30.
56:35I probably move him up to maybe just a couple of spots.
56:38Like wide receiver 28. Okay. I've got him at 28 and I'll move him up to probably like wide receiver 26-ish.
56:45I mean, similar to what Fitzy's saying. And I will point out with QJ, this is a really good matchup for him.
56:51Raiders in week one, 62% single high. QJ last year in his 11 healthy games versus single high.
56:5721% target per route run rate, 2.07 yards per route run.
57:00So this could be a sneaky, like really, really good spot for QJ.
57:04So Seahawks at Cardinals. Jadarian Price and Jeremiah Love are close to back-to-back in ECR amongst running backs this week.
57:10I'll double check, see where they're at right now.
57:13They were two spots apart when I put this together.
57:16Oh, they are now back, actually back-to-back RB23 and RB24.
57:19Which player would you rather start in this game, Fitz?
57:22I guess I'm a little higher than consensus on both.
57:25I've got Jeremiah Love, RB21. Jadarian Price, RB23. Easier matchup for Price, for sure.
57:29But like, I think Jeremiah Love is special. And we're getting little flashes of it.
57:34And I think it's only a matter of time before he starts getting more snaps and more carries than Tyler Algier.
57:40Like, Algier ahead of Love is not going to last very long.
57:44Debra, who do you prefer? I don't disagree with anything Fitz he just laid out there.
57:49I think Jeremiah, dude, when you spend a top five pick on a running back and you're running Tyler Algier out there more than your top five pick.
57:57It's high ankle sprain related. Yeah, he's coming back.
58:00That's what I hope. That's what I hope. I really, really hope.
58:04And I hope it's not just hubris and rookie stuff and make him earn it and all that kind of crap.
58:10I really, really hope. Okay? I hope that's the case.
58:13To Fitzy's point, Jeremiah Love is amazing. I just wanted to see him unleashed in a full-time role, bell cow role.
58:19Like, just run your offense through this dude. For this week, though, because I am worried, like, we get another week of
58:26Tyler Algier playing more than Jeremiah Love. I have Jadarian Price ahead of him.
58:30I got him an RB 23, Love at 24.
58:33But with both those guys, like, again, like, hoping a guy gets more work, anybody with two eyes could see that Jadarian
58:40Price and George Helani are not cut from the same cloth in week one, man.
58:44Like, one guy had insane juice. Like, you give him the ball and, like, we need to take the number and the
58:51name off the back of the jerseys. Nobody would question, okay, well, that's Jadarian Price.
58:56Okay, there's George Helani. If they just give Price the freaking ball, I think that he's going to have a really strong outing.
59:03Again, I know that, like, we saw this play out last year.
59:06Seattle probably doesn't do that. I'm hoping they do.
59:09But I'll just lean on the matchup and the talent of Price in this one.
59:13Commanders at Cowboys. Are you guys ranking Commanders players as if the Cowboys defense is as terrible as they looked against the Giants?
59:20Or do you think that, in hindsight, that performance was more about New York and that the Dallas defense can still be improved?
59:27How are you approaching this game, Debra? I think the Dallas defense looks like it's going to suck again.
59:33That was just god-awful. I mean, like, if you watch the broadcast, like, the Giants are spamming screens and checkdowns to the
59:40flat because Dallas will not cover it. Are we serious?
59:43Is this an NFL defense or is this a junior high program?
59:47Like, what are we doing here? Are you... Huh?
59:49Huh? Yeah. So, I'm ranking... Like, I think it's a big bounce back game for Jaden Daniels.
59:54I'm starting Terry McLaurin specifically out of this game with confidence.
59:58I've got him as a top... I've got him at wide receiver 21.
60:02Where's ECR at on him right now, Worm? ECR on...
60:05Terry McLaurin. He is at... Sorry, I'm switching over to receivers.
60:08Oh, he's 25. Yeah. 25. Yeah, like, I'm going to continue to be above consensus because the thing that I did take
60:15away from week one with Dallas is 54% single high.
60:18Terry McLaurin has roasted single high in his career.
60:2128% target per route run rate. 2.49 yards per route run last week.
60:24I think you start McLaurin confidently as a wide receiver, too.
60:28I'm not going to be moved off of it when they played the freaking Eagles last week.
60:33Like, we know that secondary is good. Like, McLaurin was never going to have a big game, but also, like, Stefan Diggs starting with confidence.
60:41Strong flex play. I think that the commander's offense bounces back in this game.
60:45I think this game is going to shoot out.
60:48I hope that, you know, Dallas can look like...
60:50Again, talking about teams that forgot how to play offense.
60:53Like, what did the Cowboys do in week one, man?
60:56Like, Dak, the receivers, everything just looked off. So, I think this is more of a...
61:01Okay, we need to see Dallas bounce back in this game more than I'm worried about the commanders, to be honest, man.
61:08Fitz, Debra, and I got a lot of Terry McLaurin questions on the stream yesterday.
61:12So, he seems to be a player that folks aren't really sure what to do with.
61:17This commander's offense in general, do you think they're going to bounce back here against the Cowboys defense?
61:23And do you think that defense was about the Cowboys and less about the Giants offense looking good?
61:28Yeah, I'm ranking the commanders as if it's a neutral matchup because I do still have some hope for the Dallas defense.
61:35Or even if they're still working their kinks out in the Christian Parker system, I think the commander's offensive line is capable of making them look good.
61:43Even though the commander's offensive line held up reasonably well against Philly in week one.
61:48Yeah. Let's go to Dolphins at 49ers. Fitz, this is the biggest spread of the week by far.
61:53Deservedly so. But do you think there's any chance that the 49ers disappoint?
61:57A little bit relative to expectations. I'm not saying they're going to lose the game.
62:02Just based on their Australia trip, we talked a lot about how the Rams were sort of gaming this out with the
62:08idea of weeks two and three in mind. And the Niners maybe didn't do that as much, but maybe that won't matter with the talent disparity here.
62:16What do you think? Yeah, we talked about this, Andrew Erickson, Chris Walsh and I on the tailgate show yesterday.
62:23How, to me, one of the more interesting storylines of week two is how the Rams and 49ers look after handling the
62:29travel to Australia so differently with the Niners getting there well ahead of the game.
62:34The Rams just kind of parachuting in at the last minutes and, you know, the Rams supposedly doing that to keep their
62:40circadian rhythms intact and felt like it would affect them less in week two.
62:45They better be less affected by it in week two after the egg they laid in Australia.
62:50So they better be ready for that game against the Giants on Monday night.
62:54And we'll see if there is an Australia hangover for the 49ers against the Dolphins.
62:59I mean, it's a nice soft landing for them coming back to America.
63:03At home, almost two touchdown favorites. But wouldn't surprise me if they were a little sleepy in this one.
63:08I'm so tempted to take the Dolphins plus 13 and a half just based on like just thinking about the travel and
63:15the sleep and all of that just on principle almost.
63:18But like, man, are the Dolphins bad. I just can't like I'm too much of a coward to actually do it.
63:24I'm not doing it with my own money, but in a pool I'm in where you have to pick every game against the spread.
63:32I took the points with Miami. Yeah, that's that's how I do it, too.
63:36I wouldn't go out of my way to bet it.
63:39And I wouldn't bet it if it was like in like in a survivor pool type of spread scenario, something where it's
63:46like, you know, but if you're picking every game I like and I had to make a pick, I think I would go with plus points there.
63:54Debra, what do you think? Any chance the 49ers disappoint in their return to the U.S.?
63:59I don't think they do, man. They look so sharp in week one.
64:03Like they look like they were just ready to go.
64:06Christian McCaffrey looked like he was shot out of a cannon.
64:09Like that looked like a version of Christian McCaffrey we haven't seen in the NFL over the last like two to three years.
64:16Like he looks spry. He looks explosive. I think that he has a monster game in this one.
64:22And I don't I agree with y'all. I when we get totals that get up into like the mid 50s or low
64:28like like 52, 53, 54, or we get these massive spreads that are like 12 and 13, 14 points and all this kind of crap.
64:36I stay away from those because I just look at always like play volume, garbage time, whatever.
64:41Like things can go sideways if I was forced to make a pick.
64:45Yeah, I think that the 49ers cover this. But in the betting streets, like I'll stay away from that just because there's
64:52so many outs to like things going sideways with that.
64:55But am I projecting like the 49ers to be sleepy in this game?
64:59No, I think they roll. Sunday Night Football Colts at Chiefs.
65:02I think I'm going to go quickly on this one because I'm talking about two stars.
65:07So everybody's gonna be starting these guys, but they are ranked back to back.
65:11Jonathan Taylor and Kenneth Walker in ECR. They are fifth and sixth, respectively, in the consensus rankings in this game.
65:17So who has a better week? Jonathan Taylor or Kenneth Walker, Debra?
65:21Kenneth Walker. I Kenneth Walker. Like I'm worried about Daniel Jones, their ability to move the ball.
65:26Casey's defense looked outstanding in week one. I think Spags is in his bag.
65:30Kenneth Walker. Dude, I just got to throw this out.
65:33I have never seen a running back performance like what he put on film in week one.
65:38I've never seen this in the numbers. And I'm going to probably go in the way back machine later today to see
65:45if I can find anything close to this. I want everybody to understand with 23 carries in week one, Kenneth Walker forced 16 missed tackles.
65:53He had a 70% missed tackle rate. He had 6.39 yards after contact per attempt.
65:57I've never seen a one game performance like that ever, ever since I've been doing this job ever.
66:03So I'm just leaning on Kenneth Walker still doing some amazing stuff in week two here for it.
66:08Interestingly fits. When I put the sheet together, Jonathan Taylor was fifth and Kenneth Walker was sixth.
66:13They have now flipped. Now Kenneth Walker is fifth and Jonathan Taylor.
66:17They're still one apart, but it has reversed. Who is ahead?
66:20Who do you like to have a bigger game?
66:23I too prefer Kenneth Walker. Just the matchup. Like Debra was saying, Walker just has the softer matchup.
66:28Like the Chiefs run defense looked really good last week.
66:31And the Colts run defense did not. Like I think the Colts run D is going to be one we target with running backs all season.
66:39Because their defensive tackles to Forrest Buckner and Grover Stewart.
66:42Once great run stuffers. Those guys are 32 now.
66:45And the Colts linebackers, one of the worst linebacker groups in the league.
66:49And it kind of reminded me of like the Bengals linebacker group last year.
66:53And that was just like that short circuited their entire defense.
66:57And I worry that might be the same for the Colts this year.
67:01Plus, I think you want to run on the Colts and not throw at Sauce Gardner and Charverius Ward.
67:06Like that's how you attack the Indianapolis Colts. So yeah, give me all of Kenneth Walker this week.
67:12Yeah. And to add some numbers to everything Fitzy laid out there beautifully.
67:16Absolutely. Indy gave up the third highest explosive run rate in week one.
67:20And had the 10th lowest rate of hitting the running back at or behind the line to scrimmage.
67:25Yeah. To all Fitzy points, I think Walker eats in this game.
67:29Every week for Sunday Night Football, we are going to go through the prop bet cheat sheet.
67:34And give our favorite three and four star bets for that game.
67:38So Fitz, I'll start with you. What is your favorite prop bet for this week from the cheat sheet?
67:43Well, I do love Kenneth Walker. But the Chiefs probably don't want to work him into the ground just two weeks into the season.
67:51So I've got Emmitt Johnson over 25 and a half rushing plus receiving yards.
67:55That's a four star bet on the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet.
67:59Again, the Colts are a team we want to target with running backs.
68:03Emmitt Johnson looked really good given his opportunities in relief of Kenneth Walker in week one.
68:08And Emmitt Johnson, really good dual threat last year in college at Nebraska.
68:12So he can get home with the rushing and the pass catching.
68:15So 25 and a half pretty low bar against this bad defense.
68:19Debra. Kind of like Emmitt Johnson shouldn't have been a fifth round pick in the NFL draft.
68:24Huh, Fitzy? Kind of weird. Interesting. Hmm. Who knew?
68:27Anyway, moving on. Patrick Mahomes. I'm taking a three star bet with him.
68:31I'm taking the over three and a half rushing attempts.
68:34I feel like this line is just wrong. We haven't projected for 4.3 rushing attempts.
68:38I was very surprised how willing he was to run.
68:41Ran the ball seven times in week one. And you pair this also with Indy.
68:46Again, going back to it had the second highest pressure rate in week one, 50%.
68:50So I think Mahomes showed the willingness to run whenever pressure came in week one.
68:55I think he's going to do the same thing in week two.
68:59Those were our top prop bets for Sunday Night Football.
69:02Courtesy of the Betting Pros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet.
69:04Find the best NFL player prop bets with the Betting Pros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet.
69:09Quickly compare lines from leading sports books against our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value.
69:15Make smarter prop betting decisions all season long at bettingpros.com slash props.
69:19All right, guys. One last game. Monday Night Football.
69:21I think we can be quick on this one because it's kind of a similar question that I asked about the Niners.
69:28This is Giants at Rams. How much are you taking away from the terrible Rams performance of week one?
69:34Are you adjusting ranks for week two? Or are you largely ignoring week one given the weird travel stuff surrounding the trip to Melbourne?
69:41How are you approaching this one, Debra? I'm just kind of ignoring it.
69:45I'm just pretending like it didn't happen. I mean, I've got Devontae Adams.
69:49Maybe I'm low, but I don't know where he's at in consensus.
69:53I got him at wide receiver 25. But if you were to tell me anybody has him as a wide receiver 2, fine with that.
70:00I'm ranking Puka. He's wide receiver 23 in consensus, by the way.
70:04Yeah. And so, again, I'm like similar area code.
70:07It's just splitting hairs between guys. But like I'm ranking everybody with the Rams like I usually would.
70:12I just they look so discombobulated. I don't think that that's how they continue to work.
70:17And the other part about this is they're going to be forced to put points on the board, man.
70:23Like their defense was not great in week one.
70:25They had the ninth lowest pressure rate in week one.
70:28And Jackson Dart looked really, really sound. And so I think the Giants are going to push them in this game.
70:35I'm not saying the Giants are going to go out and win this game.
70:39I'm not saying they're going to post 30 versus this defense.
70:42But Miles Garrett is not walking in that door to help this pass rush.
70:47Aaron Donald, if he does play in this game, is not going to be a full-time player if they can't rush Jackson Dart.
70:54The other thing about it is like for all the things, and I'm not saying that he's a bad player after one game.
71:01But Trent McDuffie did not make his presence known in week one.
71:04Hope he shows up in week two. But if that doesn't happen, I think the Giants can put up points and they're going to push the Rams.
71:13So the Rams are going to be forced to put up some points in this game.
71:17But I think they will. Fitz, are you ignoring week one as far as how you're approaching ranking the Rams this week?
71:24Or are you taking into consideration that they looked pretty bad?
71:27I think so. I've got most of the Rams ranked like I'm right with consensus on all.
71:33But I'm a couple spots behind on Matthew Stafford.
71:35Oh, that's a good call. I have him lower.
71:38It's not so much that he looked bad, although he did look really bad and threw a lot of turnover worthy passes in week one.
71:46It's more that he's an immobile quarterback going up against a defense that can send Abdul Carter, Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeau, rookie Arvel Reese after him.
71:53Like, I feel like that could be a potential problem.
71:57And it'll be interesting to see how Sean McVay counters that.
72:00Maybe it's just a real run heavy approach. But I'm thinking it's probably not going to be like some 350 yard passing day for Matthew Stafford.
72:08That's a really good call. Fitzy. Like, I'm a few spots behind consensus on Stafford.
72:12And I think like as a consensus in week one, we had Stafford all kind of ranked as a top 12 quarterback.
72:19So I think Stafford's a really good call on this one because I don't want him as a QB one.
72:25Like, I've got Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love ahead of him.
72:28I had Jared Goff last night ahead of him.
72:31I you could give me a case where maybe Tyler Shuck outscores him this week.
72:35We shall see how that, you know, the Ravens game goes.
72:39But so, yeah, Stafford's a good call for this one because, yeah, there's just other quarterbacks I like more.
72:44And we know Stafford, while he might throw a lot in this game, he ain't going to run.
72:50So we'll go ahead and wrap things up there.
72:53Thanks, everybody, for checking out our key questions ahead of week.
72:56Week two for Debro and Fitz. I'm Ryan Warmly.
72:59We'll see you again next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast.
73:04If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts at fantasypros.com slash review or on Spotify.
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