FFPC Best Ball Tournament Draft | Hero RB Masterclass from the 1.09 (Ep. 2125)

While the source acknowledges the excitement surrounding the A.J. Brown and Drake Maye pairing, they are hesitant to draft him ahead of Justin Jefferson or CeeDee Lamb due to the uncertainty of a new quarterback-receiver connection.

The source has moved Amon-Ra St. Brown ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba in their rankings, citing his consistent production (top three in PPR points per game and top five in total points over the last three seasons) and a favorable strength of schedule for the Lions.

Anthony Richardson's development is hindered by constant injury rehabilitation, which prevents him from learning the playbook and mastering the nuances of being an NFL quarterback.

The source views CeeDee Lamb as a high-floor, high-upside pick, noting that his production is proven with Dak Prescott and the Cowboys' fast pace of play provides a reliable offensive environment. They dismiss concerns about his ceiling, suggesting he remains a WR1 candidate even if George Pickens' presence impacts his target share.

The source identifies Chris Olave as a top target in the third round, noting his high ranking and the team's need for a wide receiver in their hero RB build.

The source is avoiding Chuba Hubbard, citing holes in his profile and the expectation that he will lose his job quickly. They note he had zero explosive runs last year and argue that the Panthers' offense will likely be a bottom-eight unit, making the backfield a situation to avoid entirely.

Cortland Sutton is viewed as a fair pick at his current ADP (WR38), though his outlook is clouded by the emergence of Pat Bryant, who is eating into his targets, routes, and red-zone usage. Sutton's value is largely tied to touchdown upside.

Cyrus Allen is a favorite late-round rookie sleeper with a strong prospect profile. Despite being buried in rankings, he has been buzzy in training camp and could see opportunities given the injury concerns surrounding the Chiefs' receiving corps.

Dalton Kincaid is a strong target in FFPC formats because he is finally healthy and his high target-per-route-run metrics align perfectly with the format's reception-heavy scoring.

Deebo Samuel is considered more valuable in redraft than best ball because he typically starts strong but fades due to injuries and reduced efficiency, often catching dump-offs for minimal yardage late in the season.

Denzel Boston is generating buzz in training camp as a potential alpha wide receiver on the perimeter. However, the source remains skeptical about how this translates to fantasy production, questioning the overall quality of the Browns' offense.

Greg Dulcich is a target in tight end premium formats because he has a realistic path to leading his team in targets, which provides more upside than other tight ends with higher floors but lower target ceilings.

Hunter Henry is viewed as a reliable, high-floor option who will catch touchdowns, but he is unlikely to command a massive target share in the Patriots' offense given the competition for targets.

Isaiah Pacheco is set to miss time with an MCL sprain but is expected to be ready for Week 1.

J.K. Dobbins left practice with trainers, though the source notes it did not appear to be a serious injury.

Jakobi Meyers is described as underrated every year and a consistent producer who frequently outpaces his ADP in the 10th round.

The source identifies James Cook as a preferred target for their hero RB build, noting they have been drafting him more frequently recently and view him as a strong structural fit for their roster construction.

The source expresses skepticism regarding Jaxon Smith-Njigba's outlook, noting that he lacks a near 30% target share and faces potential regression after a 2023 season where he relied heavily on downfield efficiency (four TDs on 20+ yard passes, 60% catch rate). The departure of offensive coordinator Kubiak to the Raiders and the potential for Rashid Shaheed to see increased integration further cloud his projection.

The source considers Jayden Daniels a high-risk quarterback following the injury to Laramie Tunsil, noting that the loss of the starting left tackle significantly impacts the offense's ability to protect the quarterback and execute downfield plays.

While the source acknowledges Jalen Waddle's high upside, they express concern regarding his durability, noting he is frequently battling injuries and is already dealing with an issue in training camp.

The source suggests that being better than Jerry Jeudy is not a high bar for new Browns receivers to clear, implying Jeudy's performance or value is underwhelming.

While Joe Burrow is elite when on the field, his injury history and the Bengals' offensive overhaul create uncertainty compared to younger, more durable options like Justin Herbert.

Jonah Coleman is viewed as a strong long-term investment for the Broncos' backfield. The source notes that the team prioritized drafting him despite limited draft capital, suggesting he has more staying power than other rookie running backs like Nick Singleton.

The source is fading Jonathan Brooks at his current ADP (RB26), arguing that the hype has outpaced his actual NFL production (45 total yards). Concerns include his lack of pass-protection experience, the Panthers' poor offensive line, and the potential for a timeshare with Chuba Hubbard that renders both players useless in a low-scoring offense.

Justin Herbert is favored over Joe Burrow for long-term value due to his youth, durability, and the expectation that Mike McDaniel's offensive scheme will help him reach MVP-level production.

The source notes that Justin Jefferson's outlook is tied to the projection of improved quarterback play from Kyler Murray, which remains an uncertainty compared to the established production of CeeDee Lamb.

Kenyon Sadiq is a recommended tight end target to ensure roster depth, particularly in four-tight-end builds which have historically performed well in this format. He is viewed as a solid value pick at his current ADP.

Ladd McConkey is dealing with a groin injury that will keep him out for most of training camp and preseason, though he is expected to be ready for Week 1. The source suggests this creates a 'buy the dip' opportunity for those who were previously bearish.

Lamar Jackson is a priority target in the late fifth round; the source notes he has occasionally fallen to the sixth round in single-QB drafts, but they prefer not to get cute and instead secure him to stack with Zay Flowers.

Malik Nabers is dealing with an injury that has limited him to individual drills, though he is expected to be ready for Week 1. The source expresses concern about the Giants' offense under coordinator Matt Nagy and the lack of proven passing efficiency from the quarterback position.

Malik Willis offers significant rushing upside, having consistently exceeded 40 rushing yards in games where he played at least 60% of snaps, making him a viable risk as a QB2.

Omar Cooper is a recommended late-round target, particularly as a potential beneficiary if Kenyon Sadiq misses time. He is viewed as a solid value at his current ADP of WR67.

Pat Bryant is a second-year receiver who outperformed expectations during his rookie season and has received positive training camp reports. He is seen as a more natural fit for the Broncos' offense than Troy Franklin and is expected to compete for targets with Cortland Sutton.

The source remains bullish on Rachaad White, arguing that a poor offensive line could actually increase his target volume via dump-off passes. They highlight his pass-protection skills (ranked 16th among RBs) as a reason he will maintain his role.

The source suggests Rashid Shaheed could see a larger role in the Saints' offense, which serves as a potential negative factor for Jaxon Smith-Njigba's target volume.

RJ Harvey is a recommended target outside the top 30 running backs, particularly in best ball. The source highlights his ability to catch passes as a rookie and his double-digit touchdown production as evidence of his red-zone utility, suggesting he can provide explosive plays even if his rushing efficiency is inconsistent.

The source expects Rome Odunze to potentially climb in ADP and possibly flip Ladd McConkey due to McConkey's recent injury news.

Seth McGowan appears to have secured the RB2 job for the Colts, surpassing DJ Giddens in the depth chart, which was unexpected given Giddens' talent profile.

The source expresses concern about Stefon Diggs, noting his age, his decline in the playoffs last year, and the fact that he is now on his third team in three seasons, which they view as a potential red flag.

Tank Bigsby is a high-upside target who has adapted well to the new scheme in training camp. He showed explosive play-making ability last year despite limited opportunities, and the source notes that experts like Sigmund Bloom are aggressively targeting him as a potential breakout candidate.

The source is less bullish on Terry McLaurin following the injury to Laramie Tunsil, questioning if the offense will be able to hold up well enough to support downfield production.

Travis Etienne has top-12 upside due to his consistent production when healthy, but the source expresses concern regarding his red-zone efficiency and goal-line struggles. While he is a 'jack of all trades,' his value is tied more to usage and deployment than elite rushing metrics.

Tucker Kraft is a high-upside target in the middle of the sixth round. Despite potential efficiency regression, he remains a 'yards after the catch monster' with a 26% red zone target share and elite efficiency metrics (third in yards per route run, second in yards per target). The source is bullish on his recovery from an ACL injury and views him as a potential game-changer in tight-end premium formats.

The source advises against drafting Zach Charbonnet, noting he lacks explosiveness and tackle-breaking ability. His previous production was largely driven by red-zone volume, and he is now coming off a season-ending injury in a backfield that added Jeterian Price, who is viewed as having more juice.

The source is high on Zay Flowers, selecting him in the fourth round as a key piece of their hero RB build, despite a minor injury note.