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0:22What's up friends and welcome into Tailgate, where it's straight NFL talk with some of your favorite fantasy analysts.
0:28Pat Pitts-Morris, Andrew Erickson, I'm Chris Welsh. We've got real football here.
0:31We have got real football action about to go down 24 hours, maybe an hour from when you're listening to this, or maybe you've already got some breakdowns.
0:39We're going to be looking at week one of the preseason.
0:42What are the big important storylines? What are we looking for?
0:46Where are the matchups, the rookies that are in big battles?
0:49Straight NFL talk from these two fine gentlemen. Erickson, it's here.
0:52You're going to have so much to overreact to.
0:54What level of overreaction are you preparing yourself for?
0:57When you see seven plays from a guy that you've been monitoring for the last six months in preseason, where are you going to go with this?
1:05So many directions you can go with the preseason.
1:07You can either take everything at face value or you can get extremely carried away.
1:12I think last year, one of the biggest preseason risers was one of my Patriots, Travion Henderson, takes a kickoff return for a touchdown.
1:18Just confirming that, oh yeah, by the way, this guy's really fast.
1:22This guy's explosive. Then you look, his ADP has gone up like two rounds and obviously ended up being a grave mistake
1:28early on in draft seasons last year. So don't want to get too carried away.
1:32But at the same time, football's fun. Big plays, explosive plays, touchdowns, whether it's guys that are going to be teaching high
1:39school tomorrow, next month, or from our favorite NFL players, football being back just makes life better.
1:44Yeah. Well, well said. Put that on a shirt.
1:46Football being back just makes life better. Same thing, Fitzy.
1:49Football action. We're going to be going through some news and notes as well.
1:53But, you know, the first week of this preseason action in whatever capacity we're going to be seeing some of these guys.
1:59Do you believe that week one of the preseason is a proper representation of the things like where these new offensive schemes
2:06might actually look like a player running with the ones like how much are you going to put into a week one?
2:12Maybe a little more than we used to, because week one and week four of the old NFL preseason used to be kind of throwaways.
2:19And you could sort of ignore it. And week two and week three was the weekends or the weeks of the preseason to dial in.
2:26Now only three preseason weeks and some teams get it going kind of early and roll out the starters a little bit in week one.
2:33So not everyone. Different teams certainly handle the preseason differently than others.
2:37Different coaches. Some believe in getting their starters ready.
2:39Andy Reid likes to play his starters quite a bit.
2:42Others just shut it down. I don't think Brian Schottenheimer played any of his starters last year in the preseason for the Cowboys.
2:49So we're going to see different approaches for sure.
2:51But it'll be nice to see some of these rookies take the field with their new teams for the first time.
2:57And just generally, it's great to have tackle football back in our lives, Welsh.
3:01And again, it's straight NFL talk. No actual fantasy slants here.
3:05But if you guys do enjoy this conversation, which, by the way, it has themes to it, if you're coming over from
3:11fantasy pros or betting pros or anything like that, these straight conversations we're having around the NFL have full translating over and
3:17maybe are going to even help dictate some of those cases we're going to make on the fantasy side.
3:23But if you guys are enjoying the content, make sure you're with us all season long by subscribing.
3:28Hit that bell so you're notified. Don't miss any of the tailgate this season.
3:32We got cool stuff planned all season long. Andrew Erickson kind of taking the wheel as well with some cool stuff.
3:38So make sure you're in for all football talk, breaking down and looking at each week ahead from a full NFL slant.
3:44So let's jump into some news and notes before we are actually going to be breaking down and looking at the biggest
3:50things, at least in our eyes, for the storylines for week one from a game-to-game perspective.
3:55There are so many injuries that are happening. I know we always do this, but whatever happened over the last seven days,
4:01let's say, all of a sudden, guys are getting hurt.
4:04But it's all wide receivers. I don't know what's happening there.
4:07And we got a slew of important notes here.
4:10But at the tippy top, just today, as we're setting up to record here, Emeka Ekbuka was hurt at training camp.
4:16He limped off the practice field, was examined by trainers, and we don't know anything else.
4:20So we are in a little state of the next guy we're going to talk about.
4:25We had this exact same situation where it was like a five-hour span of wondering what's happening.
4:30But Fitzy, what level of worry do you have with this?
4:33We have a little bit of context as far as, as I mentioned, we're going to talk about Puka Nakua.
4:39Puka Nakua had something like this yesterday, and then things seemed to be okay.
4:43You see something like this where there's no information given out.
4:46What level of concern do you have, Emeka Ekbuka, who's going into a new position?
4:50I had this long debate with our buddy Scott Bogman about the excitement of him this year.
4:55And I really subscribe to the kind of like Matt Harmon process of this, of like Emeka Ekbuka moving to the Z
5:01spot is going to be huge for him as a wide receiver.
5:05And he's going to get to be a featured role guy.
5:08So losing him is huge. But how scared are you when you see an injury like this of limping off and no information?
5:15Buccaneers fans have to be concerned, no doubt. And remember when the Buccaneers drafted Emeka Ekbuka in 2025, and it seemed like,
5:21oh, this seems like overkill at wide receiver. They've got Mike Evans.
5:24They've got Chris Godwin. They sort of like Jalen McMillan.
5:27Well, now Evans is gone. Godwin has not returned to his old form after the catastrophic ankle injury he had in the 2024 season.
5:34And Jalen McMillan, I believe, is also hurt. So they're suddenly facing a depth problem at wide receiver.
5:39They can't afford to lose Ekbuka for any length of time.
5:42Yeah, and Erickson, one of the things with this is it's not like – because this is the type of thing that happens.
5:49It just shuts a dude down for all these camp games.
5:52Like he's just not going to play in the preseason.
5:55I'm not saying that's necessarily going to happen, but this is the type of thing that happens.
6:00And they're just like, well, they're not going to play a game.
6:03That doesn't necessarily affect anything with a guy like Emeka Ekbuka, other players that can.
6:07But kind of same thing. When you look at something like this, is this something that you think carries over to early parts of the season?
6:15Yeah, I think from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers perspective specifically, yeah, just shut them down.
6:19You don't need to play any of these guys in the preseason games now that the substation has purchased a timeshare in
6:25Tampa Bay, it seems like, because of all the Tampa Bay players that keep going down.
6:30I mean, that's what derailed their season last year.
6:33It was Baker Mayfield MVP. Then he got banged up.
6:36Tristan Wirfs got banged up. Ekbuka got banged up.
6:38And then they just lost all those games that they were favored in in the second half of the season.
6:44Mayfield can't get his contract, by the way, because I think I'm not going to play in a meaningless game if I
6:50don't have a long term contract signed and ready to go.
6:53So especially the way that Baker Mayfield plays, like he's always going a thousand percent.
6:58Even in a game, it doesn't matter. He's going to be going a thousand percent.
7:02So if I'm his agent, I'm like, you're not playing in these games.
7:06They don't mean anything. Do you want to be Baker Mayfield week one?
7:09Yes, that's what you got to do. I get that it's a new offense, but that's why you also have joint practices and those types of R2s.
7:17And I do believe the Buccaneers had a joint practice with the New York Jets this week.
7:22So they are still getting those valuable reps. That actually matters more than playing in the preseason games.
7:27And it's actually like one of the trends I'm looking at from a betting perspective is betting unders in games that featured
7:33the teams facing joint practices the week leading up to it, where they beat the crap out of each other during the joint practices.
7:40And then the game comes and it's basically a glorified walkthrough that fans get to watch.
7:45So I am giddy about going to some of these joint practices.
7:48I'm going to go on to the Patriots joint practice next week against the Philadelphia Eagles.
7:53You guys see that A.J. Brown dusting Sauce Gardner?
7:55I'm going to see him dust Quinion Mitchell and Cooper DeGene next week.
7:59So I am giddy. Giddy, baby. I like that.
8:02And by the way, this will be an opportunity for the legend of Hurst, Ted Hurst, to just continue to roll.
8:08The thirst for Hurst is real. Yep, the thirst for Hurst.
8:11So a really big one. And this was important to me because our buddy Jake Seeley over in the Flex Leagues on
8:17the fantasy side, I was doing my Flex League draft and I was gifted Puka Nakua at the five spot, one five.
8:23And I was like, let's go. Ran it through Fantasy Pro System, by the way.
8:28Number one projected. And Fitzy right over there. Fitzy loved my draft, one of the highest of there.
8:33But then like 30 minutes later, we find out about Puka Nakua getting banged up.
8:37He left practice. He had McVay saying he wasn't sure.
8:40But then everything kind of came out okay. Like that's a minor issue.
8:44That's something, again, where it's like, okay, you're just not going to play.
8:47But then we had like a piggyback on. And the piggyback situation with this injury was a report from Adam Schefter that was twofold.
8:54It was that not only is Puka Nakua still facing this situation, but Josh Jacobs, both players and a couple other players
9:01that are floating out there in the NFL, but these are the two most prominent names, might still be potentially facing a suspension.
9:07Due to, you know, Puka Nakua is the – it sounds ridiculous – the biting incident.
9:12The biting incident. And then, you know, Josh Jacobs, maybe a little bit more serious.
9:16But this kind of like raised up a little bit more concerns.
9:19So the question is, is like, Erickson, do you think we should be more concerned about Puka Nakua and Josh Jacobs facing
9:26longer periods of time after this report just kind of gets thrown out to us?
9:30Not really. I don't think that this was anything new that we didn't already know.
9:34We knew that these guys had these ongoing situations.
9:37And there's always a chance that, you know, things play out and something happens and then you deal with the altercations because
9:43the NFL can do whatever they want when it comes to this stuff, right?
9:47Right? There's no consistency. I swear Roger Goodell has a dartboard that just has numbers on it.
9:52He's like, how many games are we going to spend this guy for doing this thing?
9:57He throws it at the dartboard and he's like, let it fly.
10:00Five games. One game. Two games. So I do think that – and it's something Pat Green pointed out specifically to Puka
10:06Nakua – how the words that Adam Schefter used were, we might not see Puka Nakua Thursday night in Australia.
10:12That seems like very specific to just like that one game.
10:15And maybe the NFL is just like sick of Puka Nakua, like doing some things that just don't encourage him being doing.
10:22Like just being in the headlines for the wrong reasons.
10:24So he gets suspended for one game. It's like you're not playing Thursday.
10:28You're not playing in the season opener in Australia.
10:31I mean this game just in general seems like it could just be a total mess.
10:35It's like all the 49ers injuries, Kyle Shannon dealing with his own injuries as the head coach of the team.
10:41We don't know which Rams players are going to be available.
10:44Like it just seems like – and then we're just going to like throw it all in this giant plane ride that
10:51takes 30 – how many hours does it take?
10:5336 hours, 24 hours? I don't know. So many hours.
10:56Why does it take so many hours? Like I just – I don't think Australia is going to get our finest product.
11:02Can we talk about the Schefter thing though? So me and Fitzy before the show were like let's like go and check out this.
11:09So we played – this is like from a podcast that Schefter was on.
11:13And like the news of it was fine. But my god, Adam Schefter – because we're listening to this.
11:19And as we're listening to this, we're like oh, this is kind of nothing.
11:23Like this might be in the dramatic – he's like Puka Nakua might potentially still – everything was slow and dramatic.
11:29Might the NFL might still potentially suspend – it was like 13 minutes just for him to get through it.
11:34And it was like brother. Like what? It was so dramatic.
11:37Potentially. So dramatic in building this up. But every time he kept throwing out this potentially and Fitzy, we were like this is a nothing burger.
11:45If you actually listen to him talking, this is like a higher monetization on your X account.
11:50They changed the standards. You need to get more money.
11:53I didn't know what we were listening to. It's like okay, yeah, they're looking at this stuff.
11:57But he kept throwing the potentially out to all these guys which made me think like oh, this – I actually don't
12:04think there's anything that's going to lead to any of this.
12:07Yeah. The one name he mentioned where there – he does expect to see a suspension.
12:11I think we all knew this was James Pierce, the second-year pass rusher for the Falcons.
12:16We know that's coming. Which is kind of a problem since they just lost Jalen Walker to a torn ACL.
12:22The first thing I thought of when I saw that was Seth has a ticket for the Falcons to finish last place in the NFL.
12:29And like dude, he's had like a perfect run out so far.
12:32Like all their quarterbacks are hurt. They lost their two best defensive players from last year.
12:37They have no more pass rush again. I might have got the wrong bird.
12:41I might have picked the wrong bird to go 0-17 Erickson.
12:44I picked the Cardinals. I picked the wrong bird.
12:47It might be the Falcons. Yeah. So like we know the investigation of Josh Jacobs is still open.
12:52But the incident happened a long time ago and there haven't been any charges forthcoming.
12:56And I kind of doubt the NFL is going to levy any sort of suspension in the absence of charges against Jacobs.
13:02And I kind of feel the same way about Puka.
13:05So maybe it is just a big nothing burger.
13:08I should have listened to the interview right before we did this again because we listened to it like 10 minutes ago.
13:14And I had the cadence down. Like I've never heard something that was so dramatic over like two and a half minutes
13:20where he just – And it was just kept – the potentials were thrown out there.
13:25I actually feel a little bit better about watching it.
13:28When you read the reports, you're like, oh, man, the suspensions are still floating.
13:32After listening to that, it's like, no, we're just regurgitating information out there.
13:36Like sure, they're reviewing all of the stuff. But at the end of the day, you know, without any of the like
13:42locked conviction stuff that it does – Like where are the NFL really going to go?
13:47Unless like you said, Erickson, they're going to give Puka a week off to not travel to Australia.
13:52Yeah. Like how many games do you actually have to be concerned about like moving Puka down rankings where – I mean
13:58if you move this is one game, like I don't care.
14:01Do you really not care though? Like let me ask you – well, this is kind of a fantasy thing.
14:07But it's like I think there's a battle between like a Jamar Chase and a Puka Nakua.
14:12Puka Nakua is your number one wide receiver in the NFL this year.
14:15If you lose that first game, is that enough where you should boot him down and maybe have guys like JSN and Jamar Chase being over him?
14:23I think that you don't really move him unless it's like four games because – Four?
14:28You would move him even if it was three games?
14:31When he's playing, he's scoring the most points among all the receivers.
14:34I can figure out a couple weeks without Puka Nakua because I have the rest of my roster fully healthy and ready to go.
14:41Think about it. You could draft Puka Nakua even though he's going to be suspended for the first three games of the season.
14:47You draft Devo Samuel. There's your starting receiver in the meantime.
14:51Like I think that you can get around because – I mean Puka – I don't think anyone was drafting Puka expecting
14:57him to play all 17 games the way this guy plays.
15:00I mean I would not consider him a lock to be available for all 17 games.
15:05But the fact that you know ahead of time that you have to replace his production just early on in the season I think is very manageable.
15:12So I think that if he starts falling in drafts, you get him at the back of the round.
15:18I mean didn't we do this last year where everyone was concerned?
15:21It's like, oh, well Stafford's going to – his back is all messed up and Puka started falling and that was wrong.
15:28And Puka just smashed. Well, Puka wasn't biting people.
15:30He wasn't like biting just people randomly in public.
15:33But he was still playing like himself in terms of he plays like a psychopath and seems like he gets hurt in every single game he plays.
15:40He's a psychopath. I think psychopath might be the right answer in there.
15:44Should we be more worried about the Rams? I know we're spending a lot of time on this news, but there are some relevant news pieces.
15:52Should we be more worried about the Rams? Like where we had these like things last year and then they shut everybody
15:58up and now they were like it's a brutus defense and all this stuff.
16:02And then now like should we be a little bit more concerned?
16:05Like look at the depth of the wide receivers.
16:08Like are we comfortable enough, Fitzy? Yeah. Yeah. Alaric Jackson, their left tackle, another guy potentially facing discipline, a suspension.
16:14Maybe we should be. Speaking of that week one game, the 49ers are going to be really mad because apparently they gave
16:20the Rams first dibs of like choosing an opponent.
16:22And they chose the 49ers in large part because 49ers fans travel so well for those games.
16:27So often the Rams home games against the 49ers aren't really home games at all.
16:32So they figure why not move that one to Australia and lose this non-home game if we're going to lose a home game.
16:38So I know Kyle Shanahan has talked about not being very happy with the Rams decision to choose them.
16:44So, yeah, that game could be kind of a bloodbath in week one down under.
16:48Like Erickson said, there might not be any players.
16:51God knows. It just might be stripling. Easiest under you can ever bet.
16:54First NFL game in Australia. It practically writes itself.
16:57All these teams are injured. None of the offensive players are available.
17:00They're all hurt. Under. What do you think the line's going to be?
17:04It was at 49 and a half points the last time I checked.
17:08Yeah, it'll be high. With those two teams, you're going to get a high total.
17:12Oh, yeah. Smash. Smash now. I completely agree. It's just going to be a run fest.
17:17It's just going to be a run, run, run, run, run.
17:20It's only got left. The entire first half. They only have running backs.
17:23You know what? First half under. First quarter under.
17:26First drive under. All of them. Yeah, first drive under.
17:29Any under I will take. All of it. I'm totally with you.
17:32From the land down under, just play all the unders.
17:35From the Undertaker. So there's a three-way step there.
17:38Another big piece of news out there, and then I'll kind of burn through the other two.
17:43Kyler Murray was officially named the starting quarterback for the Vikings.
17:46Relatively expected on all parts. But, you know, it just makes official.
17:49And it casts a really large cloud over J.J.
17:52McCarthy. Though, Coach Kevin O'Connell did say that he believes that J.J.
17:55McCarthy, quote, has a future with the organization. Sure.
17:58Fitz, I think this is something you've been really dialed into.
18:01What are your thoughts on Kyler Murray taking over this spot?
18:04And do you actually believe that J.J. McCarthy has a future with the Vikings?
18:08I think it could be with another team. But do you think there's an actual future with the Vikings?
18:14I mean, the QB competition between Kyler and McCarthy was always a dog and pony show.
18:18Like, we knew in advance that that was just like the thumb was on the scale for Kyler Murray from the get-go.
18:24They brought him in to be the starter. What I'm interested in is whether J.J.
18:29McCarthy is the number two when the curtain goes up on the season.
18:32Because I think it might be Carson Wentz. But if he's not the number two, like, he's got to be shipped out.
18:39You've got to ship him out. You would think.
18:41It just doesn't seem like the way Kevin O'Connell sort of threw him under the bus a couple of weeks ago with
18:48some of the comments he made about the quarterback play in 2025.
18:51It just doesn't seem like J.J. McCarthy is long for Minnesota.
18:54Doesn't this, Erickson, doesn't this feel like the 49ers and Trey Lance?
18:58Where it's like they're going to, like, for two years be like, no, no, we love him, we love him.
19:03And then it's like J.J. McCarthy is going to be traded for, like, a fourth-round pick that could maybe move up to a third-round pick, like, next season.
19:11Like, that's where I think we're headed with this.
19:14I don't believe any of this nonsense. I think if they could get a fourth-rounder, Welsh, they'd trade him today.
19:20You think so? Yeah. For McCarthy? Yeah. Erickson, what do you think?
19:23J.J. McCarthy, future Jett, potentially. Jett's could use another quarterback to put behind Geno Smith.
19:27Let's make him a Fal... Atlanta Falcons. Let's have just Tua, Penix, and McCarthy just battle it out.
19:33Maybe they just make a trade with the Colts and be like, we'll take your backup quarterback that you don't want.
19:39Why don't you take our backup quarterback that we don't want, and we'll just, you know, see.
19:43I'd love that. Maybe it doesn't matter. Like, I don't know.
19:47Like, trade him for Anthony Richardson? Who knows? But, yeah, I kind of agree with Fitz here, where I think that McCarthy's
19:53more likely to just be the QB3. We'll see how he does in the preseason.
19:57I think that actually works in his favor, that now he can just play with no strap.
20:02It's like, got nothing to lose. Whereas, now all the pressure is on Kyler Murray.
20:06If this Vikings offense comes out with Kyler starting in the game, which we believe the report was O'Connell said that they're
20:13going to play their guys, and you know who they're playing?
20:16They're playing the New York Giants. John Harbaugh's team is going to be ready because he wants to win these preseason games.
20:22Anyone that's followed preseason betting or the Ravens over the past decade plus, Harbaugh takes these games very, very seriously and wants to win them.
20:29So, Kyler Murray's not going to get this, oh, vanilla defense, super easy, I can pad my stats.
20:34No, no, no. The whole world's going to be watching and see if he hits Justin Jefferson on those slant routes, on those post routes.
20:41And if he misses, oh boy, that Monday morning quarterback with the Vikings.
20:45Did they make the right decision to start Kyler Murray?
20:48Not off of the first preseason game, though. Well, how do we open the show about overreactions to the preseason?
20:54Are we going to do that? Do you really think anybody's going to do that?
20:58I'm not doing it. Nine passes for Kyler Murray are like two drives, and they're going to be like, McCarthy time.
21:04No, not McCarthy time, but I think that the Vikings organization is going to come under criticism about like, what are we doing here?
21:11Because all the reports out of the training camp were that none of these quarterbacks look good, and that McCarthy sometimes looked better than Kyler Murray.
21:18And the fact that O'Connell, when O'Connell decided that Kyler Murray was going to be the quarterback, he didn't say, yeah, you
21:25know, Kyler has got that it factor. He's really elevating the offense.
21:28He said, quote, he's shown enough. That seems like he kind of backdoor his way into getting the starting job and like,
21:34oh, we don't want to give it to McCarthy, so we're just going to give it to Kyler.
21:40I don't know, man. You can't manage quarterbacks in the NFL, and you can't get it right.
21:44You can't keep a job. And it's like, are you going to go out and draft your future franchise quarterback, and that's
21:51a huge failure in your face, and then you're going to go into free agency, or you're going to go into the
21:57trade market, you're going to get a guy like Kyler Murray, you're going to bring him in against that quarterback, and then they're both just okay.
22:04Like, this is the recipe to get the hell out of Minnesota.
22:08And that's the thing, because if Kyler Murray does succeed, they're going to have to give him the bag after this year.
22:14So they're either going to have to pay him a fortune or figure out some other way to get a new quarterback in the future.
22:21Has there been a more hyped failure in recent history, you can remember, over J.J.
22:26McCarthy? Like, think about the year of hype. A lot of people on J.J.
22:30McCarthy defending for 15 months, and it's a bigger fail.
22:33I mean, Trey Lance was kind of a big one.
22:35I remember Josh Rosen. Anthony Richardson. I don't think he was anymore.
22:39I mean, McCarthy wasn't like a top five pick.
22:41Like, he went outside the top 10. You would have thought he was the number one overall pick by the hype?
22:47I mean, maybe it's the fantasy community. But he was also like the fifth quarterback drafted in his class.
22:53I mean, he went before Bo Nix, right? So that's obviously, like, really bad in hindsight, of course.
22:58Yeah. Well, like, Caleb went in front of him.
23:01Daniels went in front of him. May went in front of him.
23:04The Vikings wanted May. They wanted to trade up to get May, and the Patriots, rightfully so, said, pound sand, we're taking Jake May.
23:11Ridiculous. It's just a ridiculous thing that we all knew was going to happen.
23:15We'll see how the Kyler Murray experiment, if he's just adequate or, you know, if we're going to be seeing J.J.
23:21McCarthy this year, even if it's a Viking. The other two pieces of news, Mike McDaniel, Chargers offensive coordinator, kind of laid
23:27a little bit of a bomb on people, especially for the fantasy community, saying that he's going to use all three of
23:33his running backs in a game-to-game run, and not just a little bit.
23:37And he essentially apologized to fantasy owners because he's like, I can't tell you who's going to be the guy that's going
23:43to go, but we're using all of these running backs.
23:46So quick hit on this. Fitzy, does this sting a little bit to a guy like O'Marrion Hampton, and is this a
23:53plus to a Keaton Mitchell, or is this a bunch of nothing?
23:56We'll see. I mean, it could be using all three of them means 20 carries a game for Hampton and a series
24:02each for Kamani Vidal and Keaton Mitchell. It could mean a greater split between the three than a lot of fantasy managers
24:09would like to see, at least the O'Marrion Hampton stakeholders.
24:12So I just, I think he's going to keep his cards close to the vest, and we're not really going to know
24:18until we see it play out, because there was that year where both Devon HN and Raheem Mostert had giant seasons.
24:24So we've seen him deploy multiple backs. He's kind of, Mike McDaniel's a little like Sean Payton in that regard.
24:30He likes to use all his running backs. Yeah, I kind of took the vibe, Erickson, that this was like, it's going
24:36to be Hampton all the time, but he's open to a hot hand, and if Vidal or Mitchell catch fire in a
24:42game, he's going to lean on them more. But this is still Hampton's backfield, and it feels a little coach-speaky.
24:48You know, every player is the greatest, and it's very, very coach-speaky to me.
24:52But I don't know. Do you buy into it at all?
24:55I kind of agree with your statement on it about the hot hand approach.
24:59I think that O'Marrion Hampton, as a first-run pick the year before, drafted by the same head coach and GM.
25:05Remember, Mike McDaniel's not the head coach. Like, he's the offensive coordinator, so Harbaugh still has a say, and Harbaugh took O'Marrion Hampton in the first round.
25:12Keaton Mitchell was obviously a player that Mike McDaniel liked a lot to bring in as a free agent, and obviously Vidal
25:19was very productive filling in for Hampton when he was hurt last year, but he was clearly behind Hampton on the depth chart when both guys were healthy.
25:27Like, Vidal was not a factor in the offense when Hampton was the healthy starter.
25:31So Hampton is obviously a bullish projection, right? Like, we're really trying to forecasting because you don't have a rookie season like
25:37he did and then get drafted in fantasy drafts where he's going now.
25:41Usually it doesn't follow that type of arc when you only play nine games and miss half the season.
25:47So I think that is something to kind of be just kind of keeping the back of your mind.
25:52But, dude, the upside with Hampton, when you especially look at the run, the charge could go on to start the year.
25:58Cardinals, Raiders, Bills. Like, you can't ask for a better start for a running back.
26:03So it's a situation where I think McDaniel is putting his players in a position where if you're the best and you're
26:09performing the best, you get the ball, which is what coaches should be doing, right?
26:13It shouldn't be like, well, you're going to get automatically 25 touches no matter what.
26:17That doesn't really make a lot of sense. If you're not playing well, then you shouldn't be getting the ball.
26:23But Hampton, I think, should get the first crack at it because he does have the draft pedigree.
26:28I think that he probably has the most talent, well-rounded skill set of the three running backs.
26:33But if he falters, then yeah, we're going to get other guys the ball if they're playing a little bit better than you are on a per-touch basis.
26:41But I think Hampton just is going to be in a situation where at least to start the year, it's going to be wheels up for him.
26:49The only thing I disagree with on that is there are just players out there that need volume.
26:54They need run. Like, you can't have the expectation that they are going to be big breakaway with seven touches and then you move away from them.
27:02Like, they're built around getting them 20 touches and they're going to beat down defenses.
27:06And once they get into that rhythm, they're going to find that hole and they're going to break it away.
27:12So if you start moving away from – not every guy is like that.
27:16We've seen plenty of players that it's like the Jamal Charles of the world where it's like, you know, small amount of touches.
27:22It's big breakaway stuff. But there are a lot of backs out there that they need the volume.
27:28They need the consistency. Do you think Hampton needs that?
27:30I mean, Hampton's got – he's got some explosiveness.
27:33I mean, he ran like a 4-4 or something.
27:36Like, he's got some speed. That's the – I think that's the question.
27:39I'm a little worried he might. Like, Keaton Mitchell is not.
27:42Like, that's the type of guy you bring in, you know, seventh play in the drive after Hampton has beat them down.
27:49They get a couple passes, Ladd McConkie, Quinton Johnson.
27:51And all of a sudden, Mitchell on a little bit of a tired defense in the third quarter, he's going to break away a 40-yard run.
27:59And then he becomes that hot hand. You take it away.
28:02I just don't know if we know enough about Hampton to say that he is that.
28:07But I think, you know, an overarching thing would be like not – like giving an NFL player the consistency, the rhythm
28:13to learn the holes, learn the defenses throughout a game, and just have opportunities is the best way to find success for the most talented players.
28:20So that's like my little argument against the just go with a hot hand and no player should be just given the
28:27opportunity even if they're not super efficient. It's like, well, the great players find efficiency, but sometimes it's not in the first and the second quarter.
28:34It could also be a little matchup dependent week to week because I know Marion Hampton was just talking about how much
28:40inside zone he's been seeing with this offense. And inside zone I think favors him.
28:45Outside zone, which we know has been kind of a staple of McDaniels running games in Miami, that might favor Keaton Mitchell a little more.
28:52So do you feel like you can attack a particular defense?
28:55Are they a little softer inside or outside? Like if they're going to attack a defense on the edges, maybe Keaton Mitchell
29:01gets more run that particular week, but maybe if there's a team that doesn't have, you know, very good defensive tackles or
29:07can maybe get bullied a little bit up the middle, that's more of a Hampton week.
29:12That would actually be a really interesting thing to track and study because that might be a way to get ahead of
29:18like when Keaton Mitchell is going to be efficient.
29:21Like if you're looking for spots of like, when could Keaton Mitchell take away from this exactly to what you said, it
29:27would be like stronger inside zone stuff where he's, they're going to have to bounce the ball outside.
29:32Those would be opportunities. I wonder if that'll track in this office.
29:36We're not going to know until we have a sample size.
29:39It might be half the season to be able to do that, but that would be like a really interesting thing.
29:45The last thing before we start breaking down some of these games in week one is Commanders Dan Quinn had confirmed, and
29:51we all know this by now, left tackle Laramie Tunsell is going to undergo surgery on his torn tricep, likely missing the season.
29:58And that's a huge blow to the Commanders. But how big, Andrew, how much should we be concerned about the Commanders?
30:04They brought down Stefan Diggs. Great. The offense is moving.
30:07But what level of effect should this have on a Jaden Daniels?
30:10And do you think this is going to slow down that offense a little bit, losing their big major offensive line piece?
30:16It makes me not want to draft Jaden Daniels anywhere in fantasy, even though they added Stefan Diggs.
30:22We saw last year a Chargers offense gutted by offensive line injuries and couldn't trust him, couldn't use Justin Herbert.
30:27And Jaden Daniels is where he goes in drafts as a top five fantasy quarterback.
30:32Yes, they added Diggs, which was a positive. But I think that losing Laramie Tunsell is such a massive negative, making this,
30:38I think, an average offensive line when he was healthy, now below average.
30:42They opened the schedule against the Philadelphia Eagles on the road.
30:45That is brutal. So Daniels is a slender guy, got hurt last year.
30:48I just feel like he's going to be running for his life.
30:52And maybe that translates to fantasy points sooner rather than later.
30:55But is it going to last? I'd rather have Justin Herbert give me the guy that just has a healthy offensive line,
31:01has all these weapons, litter with playmakers. It just feels so much better about his outlook.
31:06And you get him way, way, way later than Jaden Daniels.
31:09So and that's a that's a big move for me in shift because I didn't really want to move him because I think the rushing is so real.
31:17But man, like relying on two older receivers, Terry McLaurin's past age 30, Stephon Diggs past age 30, and then a bunch of unknowns behind those players.
31:25And then a bad offensive line, new offensive coordinator.
31:27It's just there's a lot of factors where I could just see this commander's thing like going south again, like last year,
31:34even though I thought it was going to be a bounce back.
31:37But I don't know. This has me really concerned.
31:40Fitzy, are you concerned enough that this should be a downgrade on the offense as a whole?
31:45Or do you think they can overcome this downgrade for the offense as a whole?
31:49Someone on Twitter a couple of weeks ago, and I apologize.
31:52I can't remember who, but they posted composite rankings for offensive lines based on the individual rankings from six different sources.
31:58The commanders were 26th and that was before the Laramie Tunsil.
32:01That was with Tunsil still in there. Yeah. So like it's just sad when you think of how excited we were about
32:07the future of the commander's offense after they had that surprise run in the playoffs and in 2024.
32:13And here we are two seasons later, and we're kind of terrified by what we're going to see.
32:18We've talked about this with the as I defended Aaron Glenn of not being the first head coach fired.
32:23The guy that was in the running is Dan Quinn because the commanders have a brutal schedule to start the year.
32:29Yeah. And the fact that they just lost their best offensive lineman, like Dan Quinn is on the hot seat.
32:35And it's. It's bad. You know, I keep thinking.
32:38This is what I want. This is what I want.
32:40I don't know if you guys know who I think it's Mike Kadic does stuff at Barstool.
32:45He was former Indiana offensive lineman. He had this video that went viral where he was just out at bars and he
32:52was doing his offensive line work, like doing the legs back.
32:55I want to see Brandon. I, you can make that video for his last plea to join the commanders where he's just like, he's like, I'll block.
33:02I'll, I'll be the offensive line. Like, bring me back.
33:05Like, that's what I need. That's what I need in my life.
33:09All right. Those are some of your news and notes.
33:12It went longer because there's a lot more to process and there's a lot of big stuff and there's going to continuously be as a preseason goes on.
33:20Speaking of which we are going to be breaking down some of the important stuff, what we're watching for in week one,
33:26and maybe what you guys can keep your eye on.
33:29But before we do, how about some giveaway? How about some hall of fame giveaway?
33:33Yes. If you, my friends love LaDainian Tomlinson, like I did, I loved watching LT grow up one of the best from
33:39the fantasy side to the real side. This is an opportunity for you to win an autographed Jersey.
33:44That's right. Here's what you do. Subscribe to tailgate on YouTube right now.
33:48So go and hit the subscribe button. Drop a comment below.
33:51You can talk about how much you love LaDainian Tomlinson, how worried you are about the commanders is Dan Quinn getting fired
33:58or is JJ McCarthy going to be on a new team in a couple of weeks?
34:02You can say anything you want in there. That is going to get you entered, subscribed and comment.
34:07We're going to be announcing a winner on the channel.
34:10So turn on notifications. So you know when the videos are up and you can claim your LaDainian Tomlinson autographed Jersey.
34:16That is too sweet. I would love that. Put that right back here.
34:20Right back. I got a little wall space for that.
34:23That'd be dope. Hey, this is Hayes Davenport. And Sean Clements.
34:26We host the podcast Hollywood Handbook. Every episode, we're trying to help our guests improve their careers by mainly focusing on how
34:32they can help us improve our careers. The show is famously super accessible, so you can easily jump into any of our
34:39650 episodes and understand what's going on. We recommend some of our recent episodes with Ben Stiller.
34:43The definition of what is a movie has kind of changed anyway too, right?
34:47What do you think it is now? It's images and words being spoken, captured by some sort of technology.
34:53Danny McBride. He loves boba. Oh, that's fantastic. And you make it on, you make your own.
34:58That's great. I call him Taro Reed. That's a good name.
35:01They're all named after cast members of American Pie.
35:03Yeah. I call, I don't, I never looked up if she was in this, but I call him Leachie Sobieski.
35:09Yeah. I don't think she was an American Pie, but I still like that.
35:13Haven't looked it up. Haven't looked it up. Yeah.
35:16She was prominent around the same time. Then Mary Steenburgen.
35:19Why are you guys talking to me? I'm worried.
35:21Why are you talking so down to me that you think I don't understand your little play game?
35:26I just really. I get it. I'm trying to set you up for success here.
35:31Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
35:35This is Chelsea Handler from Dear Chelsea. Every week, the news gets worse, the world gets crazier, and Yamanika is here to tell whoever's responsible.
35:42You're the problem. If you come over here to play games, I'ma check you.
35:46Okay? If you do some in the news that don't sound good, I'ma play you.
35:51Join Yamanika Saunders as she breaks down the week's most problematic stories on her new podcast, You're the Problem with Yamanika.
35:57Do you know I just found out who Sydney Sweeney was?
36:00New episodes weekly every Wednesday as part of my new network, the Dear Chelsea Network.
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36:15Who's the problem? I'm Yamanika and I'm out. Listen to You're the Problem with Yamanika on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
36:23I'm Nick Turturro. You probably know me from NYPD Blue, The Longest Yard, or Spike Lee's Black Klansman.
36:28But I'm also from Queens, which means I know pizza.
36:31And on my new podcast, Delivering Happiness with Nick Turturro, I deliver pizza.
36:34From Prince Street Pizza to a new guest. Are you delivering pizza now?
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37:01Mariano Rivera. Oh my God. And many, many more.
37:04Open your free HiHeartRadio app. Search Delivering Happiness with Nick Turturro.
37:07And listen now. All right. Let's talk about it.
37:09Preseason week one. We've got all the games. We've got all the action.
37:13There are going to be storylines that are going to build themselves.
37:17But going in, there's some stuff we want to look at.
37:20We've got a six-game slate on Thursday. A three-game slate on Friday.
37:23And then a nice full slate on Saturday. Obviously, depending when you're listening to this, you might be able to move in
37:29through the timeline here and the timestamps if Thursday's already happened.
37:33But there's a couple I definitely want to hit.
37:35And let's start with the Arizona Cardinal Raider game.
37:38The Las Vegas game. Because we already had some quarterback play out of Carson Beck, which has made it interesting.
37:43But a couple storylines in there. I think Fernando Mendoza kind of dominates this.
37:47So, Fitz, I'm going to start with you. Jump in.
37:50We'll just kind of do quick hits on this.
37:53What is important? And what are you looking for out of the Cardinals-Vegas game?
37:57That we have two of the top four draft picks playing against each other in this game.
38:02That they're both skilled position players with Fernando Mendoza and Jeremiah Love for the Cardinals.
38:06So, just to get our early look at these guys.
38:09And I kind of want to see how Mendoza looks.
38:12Because, yeah, it can be a rough ride for rookie quarterbacks in the NFL getting their first exposure to NFL defenses.
38:18Even if it's kind of watered down NFL defenses and teams playing a little vanilla.
38:22But we know Mendoza's a football nerd. He's going to be ready for this.
38:26So, I'm kind of anxious to see what he shows in his debut.
38:30Erickson, do you think there's a chance that Carson Beck could outshine Mendoza?
38:34And then all of the panic starts to go in where people are like, uh-oh, Mendoza.
38:38I'm just saying, like, Beck has got a game under him.
38:41He looks super efficient. The Cardinals let him be efficient.
38:44You're now going to have the top pick out there.
38:47Do you think there's going to be any little comparison game that's going to go on with these guys?
38:52And I imagine Mendoza's got to be at the top of what you're watching for in this game.
38:58Yes. Definitely want to watch Mendoza. Got to watch those under center snaps.
39:01See how he does getting the ball under center.
39:04Not something that he's necessarily used to coming from the college game.
39:07So, that's something to watch for. We're going to see all the replays of it through the ex-social media outlets.
39:13That'll be a lot of fun. But yeah, you're going to see that, of course, because it's two rookie quarterbacks going head-to-head.
39:19Beck had a good, great game against the Carolina Panthers.
39:22Of course, I bet on the Cardinals to win, and they lost on the last play of the game.
39:28So, shout out not to me. Can we note, though, if you guys watch them betting pros, Erickson, Bogman, and myself went on.
39:34The gameplays maybe didn't work, but the props, we swept the props.
39:38We hit every single prop in the preseason that we talked about, even though Bogman's was, and I think both of yours,
39:44was the very last second where King got the rushing yards.
39:47But give yourself some credit. Yeah, maybe the game didn't play out because that last, by the way, you had the Cardinals
39:53until that last play, but that last play cashed every single prop we did on that show.
39:58So, shout out to you and us and Carson Beck.
40:01Yeah, it was a fun game. But that being said, the Cardinals-Raiders, I think this will probably be high scoring.
40:07You know, on the betting pros show with Matt Modai and Joe Maddon, Joe really liked this game going over the total.
40:13And the total's already really high, like 40 and a half points.
40:17But the Cardinals look like they're going to try to score 30 points per game in the preseason because this might be
40:23the only chance they get to score 30 in a game this season.
40:27So, you've got to take the advantages when you can.
40:29So, yeah, this game should be pretty exciting. But will we see, like, the narrative where it's like all that?
40:35Because everyone's looking for anything to talk about. No, 100%.
40:38Remember, Adam Schefter's out here. He's like, potentially. If Beck has a better completion percentage than Mendoza, yeah, it'll be Beck's going
40:44to be the starter, et cetera, et cetera. Mendoza still has a lot to learn.
40:49Kirk Cousins is going to be the guy that's going to take this team to the halfway point three quarters of the
40:55way through the season, which I think is total BS.
40:58I think Mendoza is going to play way sooner rather than later because I've seen Kirk Cousins play.
41:03Like, dude, one of my favorite bets for week one is Miami Dolphins on the money line to beat the Raiders.
41:09Because they're facing Kirk Cousins. What a great game.
41:12What a great game. I love that that's your most excited game.
41:15This is the most Erickson thing of all time.
41:18Like, there's going to be all these, like, great games.
41:20Stuff's going to happen. And Erickson's going to be out here.
41:24Dolphins, Raiders. That's all I want. The last time Kirk Cousins faced the Dolphins, they destroyed – they lost for, like, 25
41:30points when he was with the Falcons last year.
41:32And everyone was betting against the Dolphins because they were the tank team last year.
41:37They were horrible. Backups all across the board. So many injuries.
41:40And they destroyed the Kirk Cousins Falcons team. You guys think there's no chance Mendoza during all these preseason games can do
41:46anything to take over that job week one? I think that they're just, like, digging their heels in with this Kirk Cousins thing.
41:53Yeah. Agreed. It doesn't matter. It's got to be real games that Kirk Cousins plays and makes them lose.
41:58Who's starting NFL games first? Fernando Mendoza or Carson Beck?
42:01Fernando. Yeah. Mendoza. Just wait for it. Just wait for Beck time.
42:04All right. How about the Chargers and the Houston Texans?
42:07The thing that jumped out to me, and you guys might have a couple other things.
42:12Erickson, we'll start with you on this. Is that the offensive scheme?
42:15Like, what McDaniel is going to do to the Chargers offense?
42:18I don't know how much. And that was kind of what I was alluding to earlier in the show, where it was
42:25like, where do you think the schemes are going to come into play?
42:28And how much can we read new schemes in preseason games?
42:32And do you feel comfortable with it? I'm very curious to see what this is going to look like.
42:37So, I mean, that's the number one thing for me, is what McDaniel's offense is going to look like.
42:43And is it going to play out properly in this preseason week one?
42:46But what say you? I don't think we're going to see much, to be honest.
42:51I think that Harbaugh has said that they're going to warm up their starters, but then none of them are going to play.
42:57And it's just going to be... And I'm not talking just starters, by the way.
43:01I'm saying offensive scheme, not just starters. I don't think we're going to see the motion stuff.
43:06I don't think we're going to see any type of unusual to point.
43:10Because all those guys are starters. I think the biggest thing that we can see is Oranda Gadsden out there with the backups.
43:17And we're like, oh no, this guy is not actually a starter.
43:20It's Charlie Kolar and David Njoku show. And Gadsden is buried.
43:23That's something I'm keeping an eye on. Because going back to overarching points in terms of preseason usage, a lot of it can be noisy.
43:30The one thing that has, I think, the most action into the regular season is something that Nathan Yonke has done a really great job over at PFF.
43:38Is the tight end usage. I've avoided some really bad landmines because of paying attention to the preseason usage of certain players.
43:45A couple years ago, I really liked Evan Ingram.
43:47And it was like, oh my god, this is terrible.
43:50You've got to get out. And I was able to get out of it just in the nick of time before really
43:56committing to him as one of my fantasy tight ends.
43:59And he ended up being a total bust because he just wasn't playing enough.
44:03And he wasn't running enough routes. And that was very clear based on how he was used during the preseason games.
44:09Fitzy, what do you think? Chargers, Texans, is there a big thing that you're going to be paying attention to?
44:15And what should we watch for in this game?
44:18We might not see much. I mean, this would be a great matchup in the regular season.
44:22Maybe not so much in the preseason. But I am kind of curious if the Texans give some reps to their starting offensive line.
44:29Just because there are so many new pieces. Rookie Keelan Rutledge at center.
44:33Free agents. Wyatt Teller at left guard. And Braden Smith at right tackle.
44:37So I would love to see how that unit plays together.
44:40If, in fact, they do get to play any snaps together.
44:43Three other games on Thursday. You've got Detroit versus Cincinnati.
44:46You've got Green Bay versus Pittsburgh. So there's a little Fitzy versus Bogman.
44:50And then you've got the Titans versus my 49ers.
44:52I will throw out, because I'm going to just throw out all three of these games because then we can move to the Friday games.
44:59I mean, for whatever seriousness you want to take Grant Cohen and what he does with the 49ers coverage if you're paying attention to beat writers and nonsense.
45:07Cohen has spent the entire week, which is shocking, by the way, because sometimes he just spends his time just being negative.
45:14There's so many. By the way, isn't it crazy how many people out there are team coverage and they're just the most negative about teams?
45:21I remember, I think it was Tim Kawasaki, or I think it was, used to be like that with San Francisco-based teams.
45:27Like, you always have these reporters that are just they hate the teams that they cover.
45:32Cohen's always been negative. But Cohen has spent the entire week talking about how Stribbling has outperformed Carnell Tate.
45:37So that's something that's on my eyes. Like, Carnell Tate looks like a freak.
45:41Obviously, he was drafted high for a reason. But it has been, oh, Stribbling.
45:45Dejan Stribbling has been just so much better. And he's going to be the best receiver on the 49ers.
45:51And this, you know, hopefully theoretical opportunities we're going to see both of these guys kind of in live action.
45:56So I don't necessarily know if it's Stribbling versus Tate, but that's kind of an important one that I'm going to be hyper-focused on.
46:03Also a little bit selfish. Fitzy, between these three games, you can pick the Tennessee, you can pick the same thing.
46:09Tennessee, San Francisco, Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Cincinnati. Let us know something that we should be eyeing for in week one preseason between these three games.
46:17I mean, I want to see, obviously, as a Packers fan, I'm going to be biased.
46:21I want to see how Marshawn Lloyd looks. Because he has been felled by one injury after another since coming into the league.
46:28But when he did come into the league, Daniel Jeremiah said Marshawn Lloyd was his favorite pack in the class.
46:33And apparently, like, he's impressed in training camp so far.
46:36They call him the Yeet Cannon. And the coaches have kind of been talking him up.
46:41First, I want to see if he can make it through the game healthy.
46:45But I want to see if he is maybe a viable backup to Josh Jacobs.
46:49And if he can give the Packers offense a little bit of explosion in the backfield.
46:54We know Josh Jacobs is one of the best inside runners in football.
46:58But, like, there's not a lot of burst there.
47:00He's not going to be breaking off many 50- or 60-yard runs.
47:04Maybe Marshawn Lloyd can give them that. And, of course, I want to see what Jonathan Gannon's defense looks like.
47:09And Jonathan Gannon isn't going to use all the wrinkles in the first preseason game.
47:14But I think we'll get some idea of how it's going to differ from the Jeff Halfley offense.
47:19By the way, Tim Kawakami, not Kawasaki. I'm an idiot.
47:22But he does hate the team. That I do know.
47:24He absolutely hates the team. All these beat reporters that just hate the teams that they cover.
47:29Eric, same thing on these three games on Thursday.
47:32Is there an important factor you're looking at, or at least that you're going to be focused on for this week one in the preseason?
47:39Also looking forward to seeing Marshawn Lloyd out there.
47:42And the Packers trying to be careful with the amount that they use him in the preseason.
47:46But also acknowledge because, hey, this guy might need to actually have a role.
47:50Because right now, our starting running back is facing legal issues.
47:54And also an MCL injury of some sort. I think that they have to go into the season.
47:59And it fits correctly, or if you disagree. But they have to have some idea of some contingency plan if Jacobs won't be available.
48:06Whether it's due to injury because he got banged up at the end of last year.
48:10Whether it's due to suspension. They have to have some vision of, okay, we might have to actually use Marshawn Lloyd in a role this year.
48:18Even if it's a complementary role to Jacobs. Because the Jews got juice.
48:21Again, the very limited sample size of Marshawn Lloyd playing in the NFL.
48:25He had juice. And then he obviously got hurt right after.
48:28So that's something that I'm looking forward to seeing.
48:31And then, of course, my Patriots. Want to see how my Pats do.
48:35How the depth pieces look against the Indianapolis Colts on Thursday night.
48:38My main player that I'm looking at is the tight end they drafted out of Notre Dame.
48:43Eli Raritan. He's been pretty buzzy at camp. Now, some of that has some cold water was poured on his dynasty outlook.
48:49Because they signed Hunter Henry to a two-year extension.
48:52Which is obviously unfortunate for those that invested in Eli Raritan as the future tight end one in this offense.
48:57But as we've seen this NFL wave of multiple tight end sets.
49:01I don't think that is like the total death nail on Eli Raritan.
49:05Maybe Hunter Henry evolves into more of a blocking tight end as he starts to get up there in age.
49:10And Raritan takes over as a main receiving threat.
49:13Which I know that he has the upside and athleticism to do.
49:16Versus a player like Hunter Henry. Who is more of a stable, reliable target.
49:20Not someone that's super dynamic or great after the catch.
49:23Which is a very, very solid asset to have.
49:26So, that's what I'm looking forward to seeing with the Patriots and the Colts.
49:30Over on the Friday set of games. The slate of games.
49:33We've got Denver versus Atlanta. Tampa Bay versus the Jets.
49:36And Miami versus Washington. I think we've kind of set the stage on Miami versus Washington.
49:40And I'm kind of hyper-focused, I guess, on Florida wide receivers.
49:44Are we going to thirst for Hurst in the Tampa Bay game?
49:47And what do those Miami wide receivers look like?
49:50Are we going to see how much of Caleb Douglas and how that's going to be shining?
49:54But Fitzy, we'll go to you here. For the Friday slate of games, you've got three here.
49:59I think there's a bunch of pieces. But what's going to be your hyper-focus on what we should be looking for?
50:05I would love to see some of the Jets rookies with this youth movement they have.
50:10David Bailey, the early pick, the edge rusher. Kenyon Sadiq, Omar Cooper Jr., D'Angelo Pons, Cade Klubnik.
50:15Hopefully, we see all these guys get some run.
50:17Because, you know, the Jets don't expect to go anywhere this year.
50:21But these guys are part of the foundation they're trying to build.
50:24And then Denver. I know Pat Bryant has been getting a lot of buzz, as has been, as you mentioned, Welsh, Caleb Douglas in Miami.
50:31I think he's the only rookie wide receiver of the three or more rookie receivers the Dolphins have on the roster, who's
50:38listed as a starter on their first depth chart.
50:40But Denver, I know that Cody Mayne of Establish the Run has mentioned that, and he's showed the data, that Sean Payton
50:46plays his starters in the preseason at one of the highest rates in the league and plays them a fair amount in preseason week one.
50:54So we might get a pretty good look at Denver's first team offense.
50:57And Pat Bryant getting a lot of buzz. I know they brought in Jalen Waddell, and they've still got Cortland Sutton.
51:03But it sounds like Bryant is kind of running away with the wide receiver three spots.
51:08Anxious to see if he does anything in this game against the Falcons.
51:12Especially if it's more than blocking, too. If they're actually going to let him get that athleticism, let him get up for
51:18the ball and see if he's going to be used in it.
51:21But Erickson, same thing. Denver, Atlanta, Tampa Bay Jets, Miami, Washington.
51:25We both set a couple little stages on some stuff here.
51:28What's important for you out of this Friday slate?
51:30It's Greg Dolce, tight end one. That's all I care about.
51:33You know, it's funny when you said the tight end thing earlier.
51:37I was like, what happens when Dolce gets like five targets in the first quarter?
51:41Like, is that going to meet your move away from tight ends?
51:45The pants are going to be off. The pants are going to be off.
51:49Making sure it's not on camera, please. But all right.
51:51Yeah, that does seem like your guy. So expand, please.
51:54I just want to see if he has that like full time role as the tight end one.
51:59So running all the routes. Basically, I'm just hoping, praying that Nathan Yonke posts that Greg Dolce ran a route on all seven of Malik Willis's dropbacks.
52:0775% target share whenever Malik Willis. That's all I need.
52:10And then I can just log off and not have to watch this game.
52:14That's fair. I mean, you're invested. You are highly invested.
52:17If you guys aren't on the fantasy side, know that it is Dolce's season for Andrew Erickson.
52:22Saturday, we've got a bunch. I'll jump to a couple individuals and then I'll kind of open it up here.
52:27I want to do a little hyper focus on the Rams and the Chiefs game.
52:32That's obviously like from a name perspective, that's going to be really good.
52:35There's just been so much fun stuff out of there.
52:38Specifically, I got to throw out and I guess I'm like really hyper focused.
52:42My brain goes to fantasy a lot, but also hyper focused on wide receivers.
52:46But the Cyrus Allen stuff, I just want to see the usage.
52:50I think that's probably my biggest focus here. I just don't know what we're going to see out of the Rams as kind of mentioned before.
52:57This is not going to play anybody. I don't know if there's any scheme things that are important.
53:02Maybe obviously seeing Ty Simpson. But Cyrus Allen is the one that I really, really am going to be honed in on.
53:09See what that usage looks like. Where is he if he's potentially playing?
53:12Where is he going to be? Is it going to be early on?
53:16Is it going to be in the first quarter?
53:19Is it going to be heavy through the third?
53:21So Erickson, why don't you hit us with the Rams and the Kansas City?
53:25What should we be looking at? I like the Rams.
53:28I like the Rams cover in this game. If you look at the Chiefs historically in week one, this has been one
53:34of the biggest edges in preseason betting is betting against the Chiefs against the spread in week one, especially with it not having Mahomes, right?
53:42Andy Reid has not been shy about playing his starters in the preseason.
53:45He's already talked about saying that we're not going to probably see Mahomes in week one, although he didn't close the door
53:52on him playing preseasons weeks twos and three, which is crazy to me that you would put this guy coming off a
53:58season ending injury out in a preseason game. That does not matter.
54:01But he's a Super Bowl winning head coach and I am not.
54:05So I'm not going to disagree with Andy Reid that much.
54:08I'm kind of interested to see Ty Simpson, to be honest.
54:11I mean, this is the one rare occasion where we have a Rams quarterback that's going to play.
54:16It's not some guy that we've never heard of because when you turn on these preseason games, the Rams quarterback is usually someone that who is this guy?
54:24Yeah, some guy running around CFL attempting 40 passes per game.
54:27And I'm not sure if this has been updated since they've last talked to Sean McVay, but he also didn't rule out Stenson Bennett playing in this game.
54:35So I think that you could actually get some decent Rams quarterbacks here.
54:39There's a chance we get a chance to look at Jarquez Hunter, the running back they drafted last year, Max Clare, the
54:45title they drafted this year, because those guys don't have project to have roles this season.
54:50And that's what the Rams always go away from is anyone that's going to be relevant to the team this year.
54:56But in future years, you get to look and see, OK, how will this guy be used potentially in 2027 and beyond?
55:02Which we know the Rams are at least looking at after they drafted Ty Simpson in the first round.
55:08So this is Simpson's time to get reps and play.
55:11And I think that he's going to play well.
55:13Fitzy, you were kind of shaking your head when I was talking about Cyrus Allen.
55:17Is that the only rookie, though, with the Chiefs that we should be hyper-focused on?
55:22No, I want to see Emmitt Johnson and whether he can claim the backup running back role behind Kenneth Walker III.
55:28So Emmitt Johnson was kind of a do-everything back from Nebraska.
55:31Nebraska, smaller, but they gave him a lot of work.
55:34He kind of reminds me of Chase Brown in that regard, a guy who handled a big load, not being necessarily a
55:40big dude, but kind of did it all for the Cornhuskers.
55:43And yeah, that Stetson-Bennett-Ty Simpson dynamic is kind of interesting because, I mean, Matthew Stafford's an older quarterback.
55:48They might not have Alaric Jackson for a while.
55:51Like, what happens if Matthew Stafford misses time? Are they going to feel good about playing a few games or maybe more with Simpson and Bennett?
55:58Or do they maybe throw up the bat signal for like Jimmy Garoppolo if things don't look good for the Rams in preseason week one?
56:06You know, this isn't like the most exciting game necessarily on paper, but I think this is a very fantasy pros game.
56:12Jacksonville, New Orleans. You know, there's a lot of high expectations with New Orleans from our guy Debro, who has, you know,
56:18made them maybe be a potential like offensive powerhouse.
56:21I think the Jags are already where some of this assumption is in, you know, the high expectations of all of these big playmakers.
56:28How much, Fitzy, do you think we are going to see and questions answered from this game as far as like the Jacksonville running back situation?
56:35The wide receivers? I mean, all eyes on at every moment on Parker Washington.
56:39And then as well, like, you know, are the Saints going to be as efficient?
56:43So what do you think we are going to get from both of these teams in week one?
56:48Yeah, Basial Tootin and Chris Rodriguez Jr. are listed as co-starters on the Jaguars first depth chart.
56:53So we'll see if Liam Cohen tries to audition those guys in preseason week one.
56:58I'm not quite sure how Cohen approaches the preseason.
57:00I do know Kellen Moore does kind of play his starters quite a bit in the preseason.
57:05So it's going to be interesting to see if we get a look at Jordan Tyson for an extended period.
57:11Erickson, same thing. What do you think? What questions will have been answered from this as far as are Jaguars real?
57:17Is Parker Washington the guy, the running back situation, the Saints?
57:20Are they going to be an offensive power? Do you think we are going to have any type of answer to any of that stuff from this game?
57:28I think the Jaguars, it'll probably be more telling who doesn't play than who does play because Cohen coming from the Sean
57:34McVay coaching tree, McVay doesn't play his starters or anybody relevant or important to his team in the preseason.
57:40And at least when I remember from last year when Cohen was the coach, they kept things pretty close to the vest
57:46when it came to their player development. I don't think they want anyone to know what they're doing in terms of, well,
57:52how are they going to use Travis Center? Is he going to be on offense or is he going to be on defense?
57:59Well, find out week one when we face the Cleveland Browns.
58:02Like that's, I think that's what they want to do.
58:05They want to be different. And I think that's part of the allured upside of the Jaguars team, but also the frustration
58:11when it comes to parsing out their backfield and their receiver room, right?
58:15These are two of the most ambiguous, this is probably the most ambiguous skill position between running backs and receivers in the NFL is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
58:23We know it's talented, which is why I just draft Trevor Lawrence, right?
58:26You don't have to figure anything else out. Outscored every single quarterback in fantasy points from week five onward last year and you profit.
58:33So I don't know if Jacksonville, it'll be more telling.
58:36And if guys are playing in this game, I think that's actually bad for their projection.
58:41No, I like that you said that the good old, like, you know, what you, the no news is best news type
58:47of thing is like when you don't see the guys, it's actually a plus in them not wanting, uh, you know, any
58:53inner injury potential or that they feel really comfortable.
58:56A slew of other games, uh, Carolina Buffalo, Cleveland, Chicago.
58:59We've talked about Minnesota and the giants at a decent amount with the McCarthy stuff.
59:03Um, you've got Philly and Baltimore and Dallas and Seattle.
59:06So Fitzy, I'm going to throw it to you to start.
59:09You can pick what game should get our focus of that leftover group that we've talked about.
59:14Is there a storyline? Is there an important factor that we want to hone in coming off of this week?
59:20Yeah. Um, maybe Browns bears. Like I want to see if there's anyone who can step up on the bears defense, because
59:26there are certainly questions about the front seven for Chicago and now safety Kobe Bryant is going to miss four to six months with a knee injury.
59:34So they're looking for answers and you know, they might have to go deep into the depth chart to find them.
59:40And then I kind of want to, I want to see if the legend of Denzel Boston, who's reportedly lighting it up
59:46in training camp is, uh, you know, to, to be believed.
59:49God, don't you want to, you want to see Concepcion and Boston just together?
59:53Like to see them, you see that run that wide receiver core.
59:57I totally with you. So the remainder games, uh, for you as well, Erickson, you got to pick one and there's a storyline or two out of it.
60:05That is just super important for you. Which game are you picking?
60:08I want to co-sign with what Fitz said about these Browns skill players because they have four quarterbacks.
60:13They go pretty deep when it comes to Shader, Deshaun, Dylan Gabriel, and then Taylor green.
60:18Like he's another fun. I mean, he's going to be in the fourth quarter frigging slinging it.
60:23Like, like that can be like pretty fun against a bears defense that is already the starters are terrible up and down this.
60:29I mean, the bears are going to be the most shootout team in NFL history.
60:33They might be there. I have to score 35 points per game last year's Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals, et cetera.
60:39So I think that that can get pretty fun to watch the skill position players for the Browns.
60:44And then the other game is the Vikings and giants just because Harbaugh, he rides his guys in these preseason contests.
60:50So is Kim Scadaboo going to play? I don't know.
60:53Is Jackson dark going to play? I don't know.
60:56But like the way, historically speaking, that Harbaugh has conducted these games is he wants to win.
61:01So I think that the Vikings offense is going to be held to a higher standard that you normally not seen preseason.
61:07And I'm just kind of here for the chaos of Kyler Murray looking horrible in his first preseason action and McCarthy lighting
61:13up the Giants defense in the second half and just the aftermath of that, because this whole situation with the quarterbacks and
61:20Kevin O'Connell, they made a massive mistake by not bringing back Sam Darnold.
61:23And now they're paying for it, trying to figure out what exactly they're going to do.
61:28So I'm interested to see how this kind of shakes out with this Vikings QB carousel, because just going back to the
61:34quote that I mentioned before, when he just said like he showed enough, like, I don't know, that just made me feel
61:40like, oh, so we just gave it to Kyler Murray.
61:43Like this wasn't real competition. And I don't know.
61:46I feel like in a competitive sport like this, having that fake competition like that, it's going to come back to bite
61:52them, like making it not actually like playing the best quarterback.
61:55I'm not saying game heart they was, but for Kyler, just be like, yeah, I guess you're like, you'll just get out of the starting quarterback job.
62:03I don't know. It just kind of rubs me the wrong way.
62:06It has the vibes of like if a reporter were to text and be like, you know, hey, how is Kyler Murray really earned that job?
62:14Are you comfortable with it? And they just send like a thumbs up.
62:18Like, like that's the equivalent of like a thumbs up emoji.
62:21You know what I'm saying? Like, that's how I feel.
62:24A long time ago on a podcast that my buddy Seely ran, someone asked like, oh, you know the Welsh?
62:29And that person was like, sure, it's the same vibe.
62:32You know, it's the same vibe. It's like a little bit more confidence in it, but it's thumbs up emoji doesn't do anything for me for Kyler Murray.
62:40And I agree with you. I'm watching that entire thing.
62:43You mentioned it a couple of times, just a promotion for it.
62:47Go over to Betting Pros and make sure you check out the week one preseason betting guide.
62:51We had a great show last week. I'm not on this one, but Erickson is there and Erickson is going to walk
62:58you through a ton of that stuff. So if you're looking for some preseason action betting pros on the podcast side, youtube,
63:04youtube.com slash betting pros, get all your week one preseason action and make sure you're subscribing there as well, just because we're
63:10going to be talking betting throughout the season. And Erickson and I are the hosts of the prop show in season.
63:16So the entire way through, we are going to be talking about our favorite props.
63:21So just make sure you subscribe there and make sure you're subscribed here on tailgate.
63:25Again, it is a real NFL conversation. There's a bit of a fantasy slant from a bunch of fantasy idiots that love to talk about the NFL.
63:33Maybe the idiots more on this side than maybe some of the others.
63:36But if you do so and you subscribe to the channel and you make a comment, you could win an autographed LaDainian
63:43Tomlinson jersey, which would look awesome in your house or man cave.
63:46You can put it in your bedroom, whatever you want to put it.
63:50I don't care. I just want you to win it.
63:53So make sure you're subscribed, comment below. You guys can tell us what are you looking for in week one of the preseason.
63:59We can look back as well and see if any of you guys nailed some really great talking points.
64:05But that's going to do it on the tailgate.
64:07For Andrew Erickson and Pat Fitzmaurice, I'm Chris Welsh.
64:10Enjoy some football and we'll talk to you next time.
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