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My Final WR Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Football (Top 60)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

39 min
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60
Player insights
59
Players mentioned
Topics
Quentin JohnstonA.J. BrownAlec PierceAmon-Ra St. BrownBrian Thomas Jr.Carnell TateCeeDee LambChris BellChris GodwinChris OlaveChristian WatsonCourtland SuttonCyrus AllenD.J. Moore
Player analysis

Player insights

60

A.J. Brown

PositiveProjection3:30

Ranked WR7 in B-tier for 2026, marking a tier break from the top-6 A-tier receivers with median projections dropping from 17+ PPG to 14.7-16.1 PPG. Career 2.55 yards per route run (top-5 caliber), elite yards per target efficiency, and target shares of 29.5%, 34.4%, and 30.1% over last three seasons. QB upgrade from Ryan Tannehill, Jalen Hurts, and Marcus Mariota to Drake Maye (MVP runner-up campaign) should drive more pass attempts; team moving to uptempo offense. Comp: Stefane Diggs' Vikings-to-Bills breakout year with Josh Allen.

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Alec Pierce

NegativeInjury30:37

Moved up after practicing in full but Ron Stewart remains skeptical on effectiveness off ankle injury; also skeptical about Daniel Jones pushing the ball downfield off Achilles tear, positioning Pierce more as a decoy to open things up for Downs and Warren underneath.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection1:30

Ranked WR4 in A-tier for 2026. Blue-chip stock with top-six PPG finish three straight seasons. Behind only Puka Nakua and Jamar Chase in PPG over the last three seasons. Focal point of Detroit's passing game on a team projected to score significant points.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

PositiveProjection28:30

One of very few rookie receivers ever to finish as a top-12 point-per-game wide receiver last year. Dealt with injuries and off-field issues in his rookie season, but this could be a 'get-right year' where in year two he comes out and is amazing. This could be a Trevor Lawrence year where he supports two different wide receivers that end up being really good in fantasy.

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Carnell Tate

PositiveValue27:36

Top-10 drafted rookie receiver attached to Cam Ward in a bad situation, similar to Ted Ginn's situation last year with Bryce Young. However, Tate is being priced much cheaper than comparable top-10 pick receivers, making him good value at wide receiver 32. Juan Delale Robinson is competing for targets and the Titans' vibes aren't great, which explains the lower price, but this represents a value opportunity.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveProjection1:55

Ranked WR5 in A-tier for 2026. Had the eighth-best PPR PPG season of all time for a WR in 2023 (23.7 PPG), ahead of Jamar Chase's 2024 Triple Crown season. While George Pickens' presence may limit ceiling, 20+ PPG remains in his range of outcomes. Dak Prescott could lead NFL in passing categories, creating a scenario similar to 2024 Bengals (Chase Triple Crown, Higgins top-5) or 2025 Chargers (Puka WR1, Adams top-12).

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Chris Bell

NegativeValue37:47

Honorable mention in F-tier rookie receiver tier alongside Omar Cooper and Malachi Fields; positioned as a deep-league option for drafters seeking late-blooming receiver upside.

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Chris Godwin

NegativeInjury25:57

Ranked WR35 a year removed from a brutal ankle injury; when fully healthy in 2024 he had 19 PPG, but there's uncertainty about whether he's still that player post-injury. Amecha Ibuka's toe injury could elevate Godwin as the focal point of the offense.

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Chris Olave

NegativeProjection11:01

Averaged 18 PPG in games with Tyler Shuck last year. His 20+ PPG ceiling depends on Shuck taking a step forward, but the Saints offense under Klint Moore is great to invest in—uptempo, throwing the ball a ton, with Olave as the centerpiece. However, has been drafted in the second round in the past and disappointed there, whether from injury (concussions) or bad quarterback play; caution warranted about draft capital relative to recent performance.

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Christian Watson

PositiveProjection19:17

Watson enters year five, the peak production season for WRs. He proved durability last year off an ACL tear with strong performance. Route volume is now available for the first time in his career with Romeo Doubs and Dontavon Wicks gone. In 13 career games with 75%+ route share, Watson averages 17.5 PPR points per game—a top-six finish last year. Even with Josh Jacobs potentially sidelined for six games early, the Packers should pass more and score efficiently, boosting pass catchers.

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Courtland Sutton

PositiveBust31:20

Ranked wide receiver 47 but with Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims last year only commanded 19.6% target share; hasn't been over two yards per route run since 2019. Addition of Jaylen Waddle limits upside, and Pat Bryant heading into year two is live to steal his job by season's end. Higher-floor option projected at ~11 PPG but ranked below Mai Lemon due to lack of playoff upside.

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Cyrus Allen

PositiveSleeper6:08

Rookie upside pick attached to Patrick Mahomes with steam dying out on him. Ron Stewart is a big fan of throwing darts at rookies in the F tier, citing examples of late-blooming rookies (Rashi Rice, Aman Rosane Brown, Christian Watson, Elijah Moore, Jaylen Wadd, Jaden Reed) who became league winners; prefers hunting for these upside plays over finding next year's Trey Tucker. Not a rookie but belongs in the same tier class as other late-blooming receiver prospects like Travis Hunter.

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D.J. Moore

PositiveProjection11:08

Moore popped in legendary WR research as a 20+ PPR points per game candidate. He maintained 26%+ target shares in both 2023 and 2024, though last year was a disaster in Chicago where he appeared disconnected from Caleb Williams, Roma Odunze, and Luther Burks. Pairing Moore with Josh Allen as his number-one WR should rejuvenate his production; anyone attached to Josh Allen is a priority in fantasy football.

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Deebo Samuel

NegativeRole35:12

Functions as a Christian McCaffrey handcuff; if McCaffrey goes down, Deebo could handle ~5 carries per game plus scheme touches. Not as washed as perceived; averaged 14.2 PPG in 6 games with Jaden Daniels (high-end WR2 number on small sample) with 1.6+ yards per run (above average for receiver). Viable in deep 14-team leagues with two flex spots, though his role diminishes if McCaffrey stays healthy.

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DeVonta Smith

NegativeProjection10:10

Ranked WR12 with 30% target share in games without AJ Brown. With new coach Sean Monahan, there's a chance he becomes the overwhelming focal point similar to JSN last year when Metcalf and Tyler Lockett left. However, touchdown upside is limited by Eagles offense structure featuring Jaylen Hurts' rushing ability (tush push) and Saquon Barkley's presence, which reduces red zone opportunities for wide receivers. WR9 in PPG last year but drafted at WR27, representing significant discount; concerns about age risk and declining efficiency (did not hit 1,000 receiving yards), though many targets came at goal line and inside 10-yard line.

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DK Metcalf

NegativeValue29:36

Was wide receiver 18 in points per game last year but is ranked at wide receiver 34, which is low for him. However, the ceiling isn't really there despite the low ranking. The source hunts for league winners and guys needed in fantasy football, suggesting Metcalf may not fit that profile at his current price.

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Drake London

NegativeProjection7:00

Best projection among remaining receivers but fragile with no ceiling; no clear path to 20+ PPG in this offense. Offensive instability concerns: lost OC Zack Robinson, Tua Tagovailoa's durability questions, Michael Pittman Jr. returning from ACL tear. Multiple failure points create downside risk relative to Nico Collins and AJ Brown despite talent level.

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Elijah Moore

PositiveBreakout37:07

Historical example of a rookie receiver who didn't produce early in his rookie year but became a league winner on the back half of the season. Ron Stewart cites Elijah Moore alongside Rashi Rice, Aman-Ra St. Brown, Christian Watson, Jaylen Waddle, and Jaden Reed as models for late-blooming rookie receivers worth targeting in deep leagues.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveProjection23:55

Wilson ranked as wide receiver 17 with a 30%+ target share in two of his last three seasons and 34% target share in five games last year (19+ PPR points per game in that sample). He led the league in first-read target share at 29.4%, behind only JSN and Puka Nakua. Despite 2.1 yards per route with poor QB play (Jets 29th in completions, 32nd in passing yards and TDs last year), the Jets project to 8th in completions, 21st in passing yards, 22nd in passing TDs this year—a significant leap from league average to low-20s range. This QB play improvement should unlock Wilson's elite target share into consistent production.

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George Pickens

PositiveProjection7:40

Talented WR with 17 PPG last year; positioned as upside play relative to CD Lamb. While Lamb is odds-on favorite for WR1, Pickens has legitimate upside scenario where he hits 20+ PPG and Lamb regresses to 16 PPG—outcome within range of possibilities. Not to be buried despite Lamb's career-peak advantage; everything on table for both to thrive with Dak Prescott's multiple 4,500+ yard and 35+ TD seasons.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveProjection0:35

Ranked WR1 in S-tier for 2026. Over his last 25 games with Joe Burrow, averages 22.6 PPG. Won the Triple Crown in 2024, described as having a 'cleaner projection' compared to Puka Nakua due to fewer injury/suspension concerns. However, was WR21 in PPG last year and top-10 in yards per route run; signed late with role uncertainty in preseason as a situational three-wide receiver set player raises questions about efficiency sustainability.

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Jakobi Meyers

PositiveRole32:45

Included in the high floor tier despite early-season hand injury. Ron Stewart wants pieces of the Jaguars offense.

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Jalen Coker

PositiveSleeper32:55

The true last receiver before the wide receiver cliff; has flashed a ton of talent heading into year three and could be a flex play averaging about 10 points per game next to Teddy Bridgewater and Bryce Young, though upside is uncertain.

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Jalen McMillan

NegativeValue38:00

Deep-league option for 14+ team formats; positioned in F-tier alongside Trey Tucker, Adonai Mitchell, and Dontavon Wixs for drafters seeking higher floor in deep leagues.

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Jameson Williams

PositiveProjection21:06

Williams' average depth of target (ADoT) has declined from 19 yards to 16, 11.6, and 12.7 yards, indicating increased usage on screens, crossers, drags, and horizontal playmaking rather than pure downfield work; anything under 13.4 ADoT is positive for Williams. Down the stretch last season after the bye-week, he averaged 16+ PPR points per game as a WR1, coinciding with both Sam LaPorta's injury and Dan Campbell taking over play-calling duties. Campbell should emphasize getting Williams involved in a featured role in a dome-scoring offense.

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Jayden Reed

PositiveBreakout37:17

Explosive playmaker who just signed a big contract; with Josh Jacobs uncertainty, the passing game will get more volume. Despite being banged up last year and potentially limited in two-WR sets, more routes should be available with Dobs and Wix gone and potentially more pass attempts. Historical precedent shows late-blooming rookie receivers like Elijah Moore, Rashee Rice, and Christian Watson can become league winners on the back half of the season.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveValue13:39

Waddle ranked as wide receiver 16 and positioned as a mid-to-late third round pick in redraft. Despite 2.19 yards per route (14th best) in a terrible Miami offense last year as WR25, his career 2.1 yards per route is elite for a player running routes next to Tyreek Hill with Tua at QB. Now with the Broncos (who traded a first-round pick for him), he projects to top-10 in pass attempts and has 4.22 yards per route on play action (7th best in NFL); the Broncos had the third-most play action pass attempts last year—a perfect skill-set match. Ron Stewart continues to move him up and was reinforced in his bullish stance by Matt Harmon's recent appearance.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeProjection31:39

Fun player who makes big plays and scores touchdowns at a higher rate than expected; ranked wide receiver 48 and probably deserves that ranking, but difficult to trust as Kyler Murray's wide receiver two.

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Jordyn Tyson

PositiveProjection34:33

If fully healthy, would rank next to Carnell Tate; with an IR spot, Ron Stewart would draft him mid-to-low 40s or right ahead of Mai Lemon. For most leagues he's WR55 as a mystery box with unknown return timeline; upside scenario includes 15+ PPG from weeks 12 onward as a potential league winner.

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Josh Downs

PositiveBreakout26:23

Due for a big breakout this year as Keenan Allen (who played career-high 65% snaps out wide last year) will be limited to three-wide receiver sets and situational third-down role. Downs positioned to get used in all situations and further downfield, with more routes available as the primary slot option.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection3:00

Ranked WR6 in A-tier for 2026. Outside a 10-game sample with JJ McCarthy, he averages 18.9 PPG over 84 career games with Kirk Cousins, Sam Darnold, Max Brosmer, Carson Wentz, Josh Dobbs, and Nick Mullins—a pace that would have ranked WR5 last season.

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Keenan Allen

NegativeRole26:19

Played career-high 65% of snaps out wide last year; expected to be limited to three-wide receiver sets and situational third-down role, reducing his overall volume and opportunity.

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Ladd McConkey

PositiveBreakout25:35

McConkey ranked as wide receiver 18 in year three. He was a monster as a rookie, took a step back in year two, but is attached to Mike McDaniel and Justin Herbert, which should provide enough reason to get excited about a potential breakout.

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Luther Burden

PositiveBreakout26:56

Year-two upside swing with elite rookie yards per route run comparable to Puka Nakua, AJ Brown, Justin Jefferson, and Jamar Chase's great rookie seasons. Downside comps include Cadarius Tonyan; upside comps include Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill. Under Ben Johnson, he can be moved around the formation, used in the slot, and deployed on the move with YAC opportunities. The groin injury appears 100% positive at this point.

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Malachi Fields

NegativeValue37:47

Honorable mention in F-tier rookie receiver tier alongside Omar Cooper and Chris Bell; positioned as a deep-league option for drafters seeking late-blooming receiver upside.

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Malik Nabers

NegativeInjury9:02

Coming off ACL tear and as of September 1st was still not fully 100%, working with trainers to begin practice and not committing to week-one status. Post-ACL injuries often result in efficiency downticks, and there's risk he could get off to a slow start or not be the same player. Despite injury concerns, averages 17.4 PPG when healthy across NFL career—would rank WR5 if fully available, placing him in Lamb-Jefferson tier (WR5-7 range). From week seven onward, ranked as top-5 wide receiver in fantasy.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

PositiveBreakout26:24

Harrison is a year-three breakout candidate who was injured in week 11 last year but was wide receiver 26 in points per game through week 10. He averaged 14.9 points per game in three games with Jacoby Brissett and looked good on Reception Perception. Despite being next to Trey McBride, Harrison is drawing a 20% target per route run on his career. Ron Stewart likes his upside heading into year three, though he hasn't found efficiency or consistency yet.

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Matthew Golden

NegativeBust29:43

Despite smart people loving his year-two upside, Golden was under 20% targets per route run in college and again last year. More of a downfield field stretcher to open things up for Jaden Reed, Christian Watson, and Tucker Craft underneath. Would be shocking if he became an every-week starter in managed leagues.

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Michael Pittman

NegativeProjection30:58

Was wide receiver 26 last year with career 8.9 yard ADOT that aligns more with Aaron Rodgers' preferences than DK Metcalf's downfield skill set; more of a single-hit than home-run prospect next to Metcalf.

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Michael Wilson

NegativeProjection28:13

Despite getting paid, difficult to bet on in fantasy due to stark split production: 25 PPG in five games without Marvin Harrison Jr. versus 8 PPG in 12 games with Harrison. Competing with Trey McBride and Harrison for targets in an offense where pass times are expected to come down, though Wilson could prove this analysis wrong and finish as WR21.

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Mike Evans

NegativeInjury25:25

Evans has had three different injuries this offseason, raising durability concerns heading into the season. While the 49ers offense has been 10th, 13th, 3rd, 6th, and 13th in points over the last five years and will be a good scoring offense, Evans is on paper the 49ers' number one wide receiver. With KD coming off a torn Achilles and Christian McCaffrey at age 30 off 400+ touches, Evans' injury issues could open opportunity for other pass catchers in this offense.

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Nico Collins

PositiveRole6:14

WR8 projection with injury-driven opportunity. Jaden Higgins' ACL tear removes a big slot flanker who struggled against press man, replaced by Kanan Booty (press-man specialist with Alec Pierce route tree). This shift gives Nico Collins expanded usage underneath, attached to CJ Stroud who posted five separate games last year with 30%+ target share. Collins averaged WR7 in PPG over last three seasons when healthy; positioned as potential final-year breakout.

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Omar Cooper Jr.

NegativeValue37:47

Honorable mention in F-tier rookie receiver tier alongside Chris Bell and Malachi Fields; positioned as a deep-league option for drafters seeking late-blooming receiver upside.

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Parker Washington

NegativeRole23:39

You must accept the new reality with Parker Washington: Brian Thomas has just one 100+ yard game in 24 games with Trevor Lawrence, while Parker Washington has three 100+ yard games in his last four games with Trevor Lawrence. The torch has been passed to Thomas as the primary receiving option. However, there remains a scenario where Trevor Lawrence supports two different wide receivers that both end up being really good in fantasy football, which could still provide upside for Washington.

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Pat Bryant

PositiveValue38:18

Upside swing option in F-tier receiver tier; offered alongside Trey Harris as an alternative for drafters seeking ceiling upside in deep leagues.

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Puka Nacua

NegativeProjection0:35

Ranked WR2 in S-tier for 2026. Was WR1 overall last season with median projection of 20 PPG across ESPN, Fantasy Life, and Sharp Football Analysis. Carries suspension risk and had a minor offseason injury, but remains in an awesome offense. Ranked below Jamar Chase due to cleaner projection concerns.

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Quentin Johnston

PositiveValue29:02

Probably disrespected in most fantasy football rankings; was WR22 in PPG last year but ranked WR42 here. New coaching staff expected to feature Ladd McCoy and the run game more, making Johnston more of a boom-bust flex play, but there is upside for him to prove the ranking wrong.

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PositiveValue29:19

Disrespected in most fantasy football rankings despite being wide receiver 22 in points per game last year; now ranked wide receiver 42 with new coaching staff expected to feature Lad McConi and the run game more, positioning Johnston as a boom-bust flex with upside to prove doubters wrong.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeBust11:36

Not being drafted much by the source. Since his rookie bye week, he averages 17.6 PPG over 19 games, but hasn't shown consistency over a full season due to torn ACL, suspension, and other injuries. Going into this season he serves jail time and rehabs another knee surgery. The Chiefs' offense is 6th in EPA per play without Rice but 14th with him—a negative correlation. Rice is pushed up by situation and role but is the worst player from a real-life standpoint on the list, making him extremely scary to bet on.

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Rome Odunze

NegativeRole24:23

Ron Stewart is a bigger fan of Luther Burden for fantasy purposes, believing Burden fits better in the slot role with motion and carries. While Odunze is a very strong receiver in his own right with very good win rates versus man and press coverage per Reception Perception, he had a strong start to last season before a foot injury but was competing with DJ Moore, Cole Kmet, and others while Burden and Loveland were getting acclimated in Ben Johnson's offense. The fantasy role preference favors Burden's deployment.

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Romeo Doubs

PositiveValue0:56

Ron Stewart does not value his WR57 ranking despite finishing as WR40, WR47, and WR46 in prior seasons; prefers to swing for rookie upside ahead of him rather than target a bottom-range WR4 finisher.

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Stefon Diggs

NegativeRole28:36

Signed late to Washington Commanders; was WR21 in PPG last year and top-10 in yards per route run, but role uncertainty is a major concern. In preseason was played as a situational three-wide receiver set player, which would be a significant downgrade for fantasy football.

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Tee Higgins

PositiveProjection25:59

Higgins averaged 18+ PPR points per game in 2024. While he will never have the upside to be a top-12 overall WR or have a monster breakout, he could be a top-12 points-per-game receiver behind Jamar Chase and can be acquired as a mid-to-low-end WR2 in redraft. This represents reliable, consistent production without ceiling upside.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveProjection0:31

McLaurin was efficient last year, ranking third in yards per route behind only Puka Nacua and JSN from week three onward, despite Jaden Daniels' injuries and Marcus Mariota starts. Washington's offensive line ranks 22nd even after the Laram Tonsil injury, and Vegas has them 15th in implied points. New OC David Blau replaces Cliff Kingsbury's pure-X alignment with creative scheme usage, offering McLaurin more diverse route concepts and playmaking opportunities.

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Travis Hunter

PositiveSleeper37:40

Not a rookie but in the same upside-swing class as F-tier rookie receivers. Ron Stewart considers him an honorable mention for deep league consideration, positioning him alongside Cyrus Allen as a late-blooming receiver prospect with league-winner potential.

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Tre Harris

PositiveValue38:18

Upside swing option in F-tier receiver tier; offered alongside Pat Bryant as an alternative for drafters seeking ceiling upside in deep leagues.

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Tre Tucker

NegativeBust37:27

Ron Stewart uses him as a cautionary example of a player to avoid, expressing a preference to hunt for late-season breakout potential rather than draft players like Trey Tucker who fail to deliver. However, he can be useful in very deep leagues (14-16 team) where high-floor options are needed, positioned in F-tier alongside Adonai Mitchell, Dontavon Wixs, and Jaylen McMillan.

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Trey McBride

NegativeRole28:26

Competing with Michael Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. for targets in an offense where pass times are expected to come down.

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Xavier Worthy

PositiveBreakout32:02

Year-three breakout candidate at the wide receiver cliff tier but has only 2.7 catches in his career in games where he and Rashee Rice play together, limiting his role and ceiling; Ron Stewart identifies him as part of the cliff tier alongside Addison and Sutton.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveBreakout12:32

Ascending player improving from 12 PPG to 14.3 last season with yards per route increasing every year of his career. With Isaiah Likely gone and new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle (from Ben Johnson tree, which heavily featured Amon-Ra St. Brown in red zone) potentially featuring Flowers in the red zone more than Mark Andrews (who has been washed), Flowers could be the focal point in the slot for the Ravens. At Lamar Jackson's peak (35+ passing touchdowns, 40+ total), an 8-10 touchdown season for Flowers would not be unreasonable.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

355
0:00What's going on, man? Welcome back to the basement. I'm Rod and today we're going to talk through my top 60 wide
0:06receiver rankings and tears for 2026 fantasy football leagues. I know a lot of you guys have drafts happening this weekend, so why not give you a final set
0:13of rankings to go out there and crush your drafts with. As always, if you enjoy, leave a like, subscribe if you're
0:19new, and let's get right into the tier list. Of course, I feel much stronger about the tier breaks than the individual rankings within each tier.
0:26And these are for full PPR leagues, but you can of course use them for half PPR as well. Now, in S tier, it is a twoman
0:35tier. Jamar Chase, wide receiver 1. Puka Nakua, wide receiver two. Puka was the wide receiver one overall last season.
0:42But Jamar Chase had a situation where Joe Burrow was injured and Joe Burrow over his last 25 games with Jamar Chase.
0:48Jamar Chase averages 22.6 points per game. He won the Triple Crown in 2024.
0:55You can rank these guys whoever you want. Jamar Chase to me is just a cleaner projection. Puka, of course, has a little bit of suspension risk. I think
1:02it would have happened by now. He did also have a little bit of a minor injury in the offseason, but he was the wide
1:07receiver one overall last year. Both of these guys are in awesome offenses as well, which then takes us to a tier.
1:14Still really strong wide receiver one candidates. First up, we have Jackson Smith and Jigba. He is a guy who broke out last year going from a mid wide
1:24receiver two up to 21.2 points per game as the wide receiver 2 overall in fantasy last year. He was genuinely awesome. But there is some downside here
1:35that now with Clint Kubak leaving and going to the Raiders and a another year of Sam Darnold with a new offensive
1:43coordinator, this time not being Kevin Okonnell in Minnesota or Kubak in Seattle. It's just a little bit of a risk here, but still you're betting on
1:50the talent. JSN is an awesome player and a very much worthy first round pick in all formats. Then we have Aman Rosane
1:57Brown, a blue chip stock, a guy who has been a top six wide receiver in points per game. Three straight seasons here.
2:05He is behind only Puka Nakua and Jamar Chase in points per game over the last three seasons. This is a Detroit team
2:11that's going to score points. He is the focal point of the passing game. Then we have our wide receiver 5 CD Lamb. And I
2:18did want to kind of make this a featured section here on Lamb cuz he he does have some retractors, I guess, is what I
2:26would call it, of oh well, George Pickkins is there. CD Lamb's not the one anymore. And I would just like to say
2:31that CD Lamb has the eighth best PPR point per game season of all time for a wide receiver. It is Jerry Rice, Cooper
2:38Cup, Devonte Adams, two Antonio Brown seasons, Randy Moss O2 Marvin Harrison, and then 2023 CD Lamb just 01 ahead of Jamar Chase's triple crown season in
2:492024. But Lamb is awesome. Do I think that he's going to hit a 23.7 point per game season with Pickkins? No. But do I
2:56think 20 plus points per game is in his range of outcomes? Absolutely. Dak Prescott could very much lead the NFL in
3:02all passing categories. We could see a similar situation to the Bengals in 2024 where Chase wins a triple crown. T.
3:09Higgins hits a top five point per game season or even 2025 last year where Puka was the wide receiver one overall and
3:15Devonte Adams was still a top 12 wide receiver. Let's not lose sight of who CD Lamb is. Then we'll talk about our final
3:23wide receiver in this tier. Justin Jefferson, the wide receiver six in my rankings. Outside of a 10-ame sample
3:31with JJ McCarthy, he has an 84 game pace with Kirk Cousins, with Sam Darnold, with Max Brosmer, with Carson Wentz,
3:40with Josh Dobs, Nick Mullins. He averages 18.9 points per game over that 84 career game stretch, which would have been good for the wide receiver five
3:50last season. Now, of course, before we get into the B tier here, I do want to let you guys know all of these rankings
3:56can be found over on the basemandraftguide.com.
3:59my top 200 overall rankings for full PPR, half PPR, superflex, my tiers, the targets, fades, sleepers for every single player, my player notes. You can
4:09also sync my draft guide straight up to your sleeper draft, so it crosses off players as you go. Check it all out in
4:16the description and the comment section down below. The basementdraftguide.com.
4:20Um, now when we get to this section here in B tier, I have AJ Brown as my wide receiver 7 here and I see a bit of a
4:30tear break. We look at the median point projections across ESPN, Fantasy Life, and Sharp Football Analysis. You can see Puka at 20, Jamar Chase at 19.8. Now, of
4:41course, the projections aren't the answers to the test. They are the compass that we follow. They point us in the right direction. And I just kind of
4:47wanted to show that after a tier, you go from 17 plus point per game projections to this kind of jumble of 14.7 to 16.1
4:56of your low-end wide receiver ones, high-end wide receiver 2 caliber wide receivers. And this is where you kind of have to stake your claim on these guys.
5:06It is much less clear than the top six on who kind of emerges as the wide receiver seven. And for me, that's AJ
5:13Brown. He has a career 2.55 yards per out run. That would be a top five number in any given season. He is a freak in
5:20terms of downto-down efficiency. His yards per target is also amazing. This is somebody over his last three seasons.
5:25He has target shares of 29.5%, 34.4% and 30.1%. He is a target hog. He is efficient on those targets and he gets
5:34an upgrade from a career of Ryan Tanahill and Jaylen Herz and I think even maybe Marcus Mariota sprinkled in there for a second and now he gets Drake
5:44May coming off a MVP runnerup campaign.
5:48There should be more pass attempts here.
5:49This is a team that is going to have a tougher schedule after a cupcake schedule last year. They should pass the
5:54ball more. They should also have a situation here where all of the reports for camp is that they're going to pass
6:01the ball more. There's going to be more uptempo. This really reads to me like the Stfane Diggs year where he goes from
6:08the Vikings, he goes to the Bills and then him and Josh Allen absolutely crush. I think that that is in play for
6:14AJ Brown here. Then our wide receiver eight, we have Nico Collins. And as weird as it is to say, the Jaden Higgins
6:23injury really opens things up for Nico Collins. And here's why. Jaden Higgins is a big slot flanker type of receiver.
6:31He is not somebody you want to put out there at the X spot and go win against press man coverage. He is a big fella
6:37you want moving around the formation getting matchups against safeties and nickel uh quarterbacks. But he tears his ACL. They bring in Kanan Booty who's the
6:45opposite of that. He is the guy ex- receiver versus press man. go out there and kind of run like the Alec Pierce
6:51route tree, which now gives Nico Collins all of that fun usage underneath attached to CJ Stout. This is somebody who had five separate games last year of
6:58a 30% or higher target share. This could be the final year for Nico Collins, a guy who is the wide receiver, seven in
7:04points per game over the last three seasons of playing football. Then we have Drake London, the guy who has the best projection among the remaining
7:12receivers here. The issue for him is that it's a fragile projection with no ceiling. I I I don't see how he gets a
7:1820 plus points per game in this offense.
7:20I also think that there's a good chance that things fall apart here, right? They lose their offensive coordinator and Zack Robinson. You have Tua, you have
7:27Michael Penn off an ACL tear. There's just a lot that can go wrong here. And I just like these situations of Nico
7:33Collins and AJ Brown more than kind of the instability of Drake London. But of course, he's an awesome player that probably deserves to be in here when it
7:40comes to talent. But honestly, these are all really talented stud receivers that you're parsing through here. And that also goes in lock step with George Pickins. Super
7:52talented player. Again, I really wouldn't lower Pickkins due to Lamb or lower Lamb due to Pickkins. These are both really strong players. Pickkins was
8:00a strong player last year at 17 points per game. But again, that is six full points per game off of CD Lamb's career
8:05peak. I would back it up on the George Pickkins is better than Lamb or George Pickkins is going to kind of overtake CD
8:13Lamb here. We'll see, right? There's a possibility there is an upside scenario where Pickkins hits 20 points per game and Lamb instead hits like 16 points per
8:21game. That's definitely in the range of outcomes and it's why I wouldn't bury Pickkins too much because I do think that everything is on the table here,
8:28but I would make CD Lamb the odds on favorite to be the number one guy. Dak is a guy who has multiple 4,500 plus
8:35passing yard seasons, multiple 35 plus passing touchdown seasons. I really think that there's going to be a a big enough pie for both of these guys to eat
8:43here. no pun intended. Uh this could very much be again the 2024 Bengals where CD Lamb has 20 plus points per
8:49game and then Pickkins isn't too far behind with like 17 plus or 18 plus, but we shall see how this plays itself out.
8:56Then we have Malik Neighbors. This is a tough one. He is somebody that recently I moved down just a little bit, just a
9:02couple notches. He went out there and said he feels real good, but he won't commit to his status for week one
9:08according to underdog. Then you have Connor Hughes here saying that Neighbors worked with trainers to begin practice.
9:13This is September 1st now. We're getting really close to week one where it seems like he's still not fully 100%. Now, of
9:19course, Malik Neighbors is somebody since stepping on an NFL football field.
9:23Despite the game where he left with injury, he's left games now two or three times with injury. He averages 17.4 points per game even without doing all
9:30the split. And it's like, oh, this is the game that he got hurt, whatever.
9:3317.4 points per game when he plays. That would have been the wide receiver five last year. If he wasn't injured, he
9:39would be right in the Lamb Jefferson area of like wide receiver 5 to wide receiver 7. But of course, he's coming
9:44off an ACL tear. He could have a down year where a lot of times off of an ACL tear, you can see a downtick in your
9:52efficiency. But there's also a chance that from like week seven on, Malik Neighbors is a guy that I am ranking every week as like the wide receiver for
9:58in fantasy football. So, he is a really tough rank. Could get off to a slow start. Could be not the same guy.
10:04There's also some concerns that the Giants offense shouldn't be that amazing, but when Neighbors is on the field, he scores points. He dominates
10:10targets. Uh we also have Devonte Smith as my wide receiver, 12 in this tier. I have some concerns about the touchdown
10:16upside in this offense attached to Jaylen Herz and the tush push and Saquon Barkley. But in games without AJ Brown, he has a 30% target share. You have a
10:25new coach with Shawn Manion. there is a chance that he just becomes the overwhelming focal point similar to JSN last year when Metaf and Tyler Lockett
10:33leave that situation. I will kind of put it out there. Uh people now here's the thing. I I mentioned the names Jerry
10:39Judy and Henry Rugs and you guys are like like those guys sucked at Alabama.
10:42They were awesome. They leave for the NFL and the next year Dvonte Smith wins the Heisman. something that I thought of
10:48when I was writing uh the notes for this video that we have seen before where Elaine is paved for Devonte Smith and he
10:57goes absolutely nuclear. Uh then we have Chris Ave here. He has 18 points per game last year in his games with Tyler
11:02Shuck. His 20 plus point per game ceiling kind of depends on Tyler Shuck taking a step forward, but this is a
11:08great offense to invest in. You have Kell Moore who's going to keep it uptempo, throw the ball a ton. Olive is
11:14going to be the centerpiece of this offense. But I will say just a little bit of a cold water blanket on Crystal
11:20Lobby is that we have drafted him in the second round in the past and he has disappointed there whether that was from
11:25injury with concussions or just bad quarterback play. We shall see how things shake out for Chris Olive. Then we have the C tier here. High-end wide
11:36receiver twos. Rashi Rice first up. A guy that I'm not drafting much of at all really. Since the by-week of his rookie
11:43season, he averages 17.6 six points per game over a 19 game stretch, but we just haven't seen it over an entire season.
11:48It has been bits and pieces. It has been a torn ACL. It has been suspension. It has been other injuries. It is now going
11:55into this season where he serves a stint in jail and then also rehabs another knee surgery. There's just like so much
12:00up in the air here. And I also don't believe that the Chiefs, an offense that has struggled over the past three
12:06seasons since featuring Rashi Rice, is going to run back the same playbook as their offense has been underwhelming.
12:12I I just can't believe that they're going to run the five yard average depth of target scam to Rashi Rice off the
12:19knee injuries for a fourth season in a row. I just cannot see it. I understand that when he's on the field, he gets
12:26targeted. It's this and that. Uh the fact of the matter is that they are sixth best in EPA per play. When Rashi
12:31Rice is not on the field, they are 14th best with him. There is a negative correlation between running your offense through this PPR scam that is Rashi Rice
12:39and he is also by far among all of the receivers on this list by far the worst player from a real life standpoint. Uh
12:46he is very much pushed up due to situation and role and that is just extremely scary to bet on in my eyes.
12:52Then we'll talk about Zay Flowers here.
12:54A flag plant player of mine, ascending player going from 12 points for game to 14.3 last season. His yards per run has
13:00increased every year of his career. He goes into year four. Of course, the elephant in the room, can he score touchdowns? My take is that now with
13:08Isaiah likely gone and a new offensive coordinator that might not feature Mark Andrews as much in the red zone, a tight
13:14end who has been washed for a couple years now, Zay Flowers could be the focal point. We saw as well that Declan
13:19Doyle comes from the Ben Johnson tree, a tree that featured Aman Ross St. Brown at a very high rate in the red zone.
13:26Could Z Flowers be that out of the slot for the Ravens? And at Lamar Jackson's peak, he has hit 35 plus touchdowns, 40
13:32plus passing touchdowns before. If he does that again, it wouldn't be crazy for Zay Flowers to end up with a 8 to 10
13:39touchdown season. Then we have Jaylen Wadd, wide receiver 16. I continue to move him up. We had Matt Harmon on the
13:46channel. He has really talked me into Waddle. I've always been a Waddle guy, but I was like a little bit hesitant to
13:51really move him up here, but I now have him as like a mid to late third round pick in reddraft. somebody who had a
13:572.19 yards per run last year, 14th best in a terrible Miami offense. He was the wide receiver 25. He has a 2.1 yards per
14:04run on his entire career, which is nuts for a guy who has ran routes next to Tyreek Hill for a guy whose quarterback
14:11has been Tua. And he also is going to be a focal point of this Broncos offense that just went out there and traded a
14:16first round pick for him. They are projected for the top 10 in pass attempts by Mike Clay. And he also is a
14:22guy who has 4.2 2 yards per run on play action passes last year. Seventh best in the NFL for Jaylen Waddle. The Broncos
14:28had the third most pass attempts from play action last year. It is a perfect marriage of skill set. Then we have
14:35Garrett Wilson, the wide receiver 17 in my rankings. He has hit a 30% target share of two in two of his last three
14:42seasons. He had a 34% target share in five games last year. In that fiveame sample, he had 19 plus points per game.
14:49He led the league in first read target share. He had a 29.4% 4% target share that was be behind only JSN and Puka
14:56Nakua. I think that I was taking their target shares are computed differently from different sources but 29.4% or 34%.
15:03I think it depends on if you're counting when he's on the field versus overall but regardless a number behind only Puka
15:10and JSN 2.1 yards per run despite poor quarterback play. Last year the Jets were 29th in completions, 32nd in passing yards and 32nd in passing
15:19touchdowns. This year, Mike Clay has them projected to be eighth in completions, 21st in passing yards, 22nd in passing touchdowns. That's a big
15:27leap. That is going from league average to low 20s, which is a big deal. Then we have Lad McConi. And this is where we
15:35get to the part of this tier where it's just a lot of upside swings, year three breakouts, fun players. as I am looking for Lad Makoni
15:46in my ranking database. Here we have him here as the wide receiver 18. He was a monster as a rookie. Took a step back in
15:52year two, but he's attached to Mike McDaniel and Justin Herbert. And that should be enough to get excited. Taking a step away from the breakouts in this
15:59year, we have T. Higgins. He had 18 plus points per game in 2024. He'll never have the upside to be, you know, the
16:05wide receiver one overall or have one of these monster breakouts. but he could be a guy behind Jamar Chase that still
16:10scores as a top 12 point per game receiver and you can get him as a mid to low-end wide receiver too. Then you have
16:16Luther Burden, another fun upside swing here heading into year two. Of course, the upside is hit or miss, right? It's a small sample
16:26of routes, but on that small sample, his yards per run as a rookie is up there with Puka Nua, AJ Brown, Justin
16:31Jefferson, Jamar Chase, all of the great rookie seasons ever, but on a small sample. Then you get some downside there of like a Cadarius Tony or you have the
16:38upside of like Chris Godwin was that Tyreek Hill was that. It's all there for him. He is the fun. Move him around the
16:44formation. Get him in the slot. Get him on the move. Get him with yak opportunities attached to Ben Johnson. I think that he has massive upside heading
16:50into year two. And then of course the groin injury seems 100% positive at this point. Someone where it's a little bit
16:56spooky. Acha Ibuka still dealing with a turf toe, toe sprain, whatever you want to call it. Uh it's pretty easy to see
17:03the upside. 20 plus points per game in his first five games last season. In terms of a wide receivers's first five
17:08games, the most PPR points for a rookie wide receiver through five games is Puka Nua, Randy Moss, Amecha Ibuka, Malik Neighbors, Jamar Chase. That is your top
17:17five leaderboard for wide receiver PPR scoring through five games. He was in that caliber of player and then things fell off between him getting hurt,
17:26between Baker getting hurt, between the offensive line getting hurt. Now this year, we're hoping for health. The turf toe isn't great, but I will be honest,
17:32if the turf toe wasn't an issue, I would have a Buka like up in this range. Uh, so this is me kind of discounting him
17:38because of the toe issue, but there is a lot to like here. Zack Robinson is calling plays. He is the guy who was
17:45responsible for moving Drake London from the outside to the inside as like a 30 to 40% slot player as a Z move flanker
17:53style receiver in that Atlanta Falcons offense. And it really unlocked a Drake London. He could do that with Amecha Ibuka. Then we'll talk about Tedo
18:00McMillan, a guy who is an ascending wide receiver, a really good talent. It's just that Bryce Young set a career-high 188.2 passing yards per game last year
18:11that was 27th among qualifying quarterbacks. There's just a a really small pie. He's going to dominate the targets. He's going to dominate
18:18everything. But it's just really tough.
18:21I I don't know that Bryce Young can support much more than what Tedo McMillan can do as like a backend wide
18:27receiver, too. Then we get to our Dtier here. These are wide receiver 2's high-end flex plays. Uh, and first up we
18:34have DJ Moore, somebody that really popped in our legendary wide receiver research as a guy that could hit 20 plus points per game. We talk about Stefan
18:42Diggs meeting up with Josh Allen. This could be a similar idea. Now, of course, different arcs of their career at this
18:49point, but DJ Moore did have 26% plus target shares in 2024 and 2023. Of course, last year was a disaster for him
18:57in Chicago, but it just felt like he wasn't in the cool uh in kind of the click with like Caleb Williams and Roma
19:04Dunes and Luther Burton. He felt like he was on the outside. I feel like uh he was moping a lot. Maybe this kind of
19:09rejuvenates him as Josh Allen's number one wide receiver and anybody attached to Josh Allen should be a priority in fantasy football. Then we have Christian
19:17Watson as our wide receiver. 24 here goes into year five, the peak production season for wide receivers. Players are injury-prone until they aren't. He
19:26proved that last year off an ACL tear where he was awesome. And the route volume is there for the first time in
19:31his career. Romeo Dog's gone. Dantavon Wick's gone. This is a stat from Ryan Heath. In 13 career games within a 75%
19:38route share or higher, he averages 17.5 points per game. That would have been good for a top six number last year. I
19:45know that we did just get Josh Jacobs news that his hearing got moved up to September, but even still, I think
19:50there's a good chance that Josh Jacobs sits out for like six games, they pass the ball more, they score points, they're more efficient, and then even
19:56when Josh Jacobs comes back, they say, "You know what? We're still going to pass around the 15th highest rate in the
20:01league." And that could really boost these pass catchers as well. Then the wide receiver 25, Terry McCor, people are really out on Washington. They had
20:09one bad practice in terms of the offensive line play where they were without multiple offensive line starters. Established the run even
20:15factoring in the Laram Tonsil injury still has them as the 22nd best offensive line. Vegas has them 15th in implied points as well. And Terry
20:23McLaren was good last year. He was third in yards per run behind only Puka and JSN from week three on. Despite the
20:29Jaden Daniels experience of getting hurt and being up and down and playing with Marcus Mariota, he still went out there and was super efficient on a per out
20:36basis. He gets David Blau a new play caller who should be gone with the Cliff Kingsbury stuff of just lining him up on
20:43one side of the field as the pure X. I think David Blau is going to get some creativity in this offense for Terry
20:48McLaren. Speaking of creativity, we have Jameson Williams, a guy who went from a pure downfield receiver. 19yard AOT to a 16yard AOT to an 11.6 yard AOT to a 12.7
20:59yard AOT. Anything under like that 134 range for Jameson Williams is good. It means that yes, he's still getting usage downfield, but they're also using him
21:06with the fun stuff, screens and crossers and uh drags and just kind of getting him on the move horizontally just as a
21:14playmaker in space. Last year down the stretch of the season, he was at 16 plus points per game as a wide receiver one
21:19after the by-week. Of course, that coincided with Sam Laaport's injury, but it also coincided with Dan Campbell calling the plays. I have to believe
21:26that it is an a point of emphasis for Dan Campbell to get Jameson Williams involved. And I think even with Sam
21:32Laora back healthy for this season, we see Jameson Williams in a featured role in this offense that is going to score
21:38points in a dome. We also have another team that's going to score points in a dome, Dvonte Adams. He was at a two plus
21:43yards per hour run last year. He was essentially the Rams goal line running back. He was the wide receiver nine in
21:49points per game. You're getting a huge discount here at wide receiver 27. This essentially bakes in the downside of age risk when you start to see the
21:55efficiency stuff fall a little bit. I don't believe that he even hit a thousand receiving yards last year.
21:59again, he was so touchdown dependent, but you can also say a lot of those targets came on the goal line and inside
22:04the 10. So, it's tough to be efficient when there isn't the runway to get 20 yards. You know, you can you can go from
22:10the 10 yard line, catch the ball in the back of the end zone and what's like a 17 18 yard reception and you only get
22:15credited like eight or nine yards for it. So, Devontams is a tricky one.
22:19Father time comes for everybody, but he could also just be amazing again uh and make this ranking look silly. Then we
22:25have Parker Washington, uh Mr. Chopwood and Carrie Water himself. You just have to accept the new reality when it comes to Parker Washington. Brian Thomas has
22:34just one game of 100 plus yards with Trevor Lawrence over 24 games played with Trevor Lawrence. Parker Washington has three 100 plus yard games in his
22:43last four games with Trevor Lawrence. It just feels like the torch has been passed here. Then we have Roma Dun. Uh I
22:49am definitely a bigger fan of Luther Burton at I think Odunce might be as good if not a better wide receiver from
22:55a pure NFL perspective. I just think Luther Burden fits better for the fantasy role of playing in the slot, getting moved around in motion, carries,
23:03like all of the fun stuff. But Roma Dunes is a very strong exceiver in his own right. He has very good win rates
23:09versus man in press coverage over on reception perception. He did have a really strong start to the season last year before a foot injury. But you do
23:15have to remember that he was competing with DJ Moore, Cole Kimet, Olm Zakius while Coulson Lovelund and Luther Burden were getting acclimated in a tricky Ben
23:25Johnson offense. Then the last receiver in this tier is a really tricky one. It feels like Mike Evans has had three
23:30different injuries this offseason. You have the 49ers substation curse, whatever you want to call it. But this is an offense on the 49ers that has been
23:3810th, 13th, 3rd, sixth, and 13th in points each of the last five years. It's going to be a good offense that scores
23:44points and he is on paper their number one wide receiver. Then we move to Etier. These are your wide receiver threes, low-end flex
23:54plays. We have Marvin Harrison Jr.
23:56Another year three breakout. He got hurt in week 11 last year but was the wide receiver 26 in points per game through
24:01week 10. He was also at 14.9 points per game in three games with Jacobe Brassette. He looked good in reception perception. He's drawing targets, a 20%
24:09target per run on his entire career despite being next to Trey McBride. He just hasn't found efficiency or consistency yet. And I do like the
24:16upside heading into year three on Marvin Harrison Jr. Then we get to Carnell Tate, rookie receiver, drafted in the top 10. If remember Terry McLaren last
24:25year was like in this or not Terry McRan, Ted McMillan was like in this range as a top 10 pick attached to Bryce
24:30Young. Well, now we got a top 10 pick attached to Cam Ward. similar idea. Top 10 pick wide receiver attached to a bad
24:35quarterback in a bad situation, but you're getting him much cheaper. Now, of course, it's priced properly because Juan Delale Robinson is there and the
24:43vibes around the Titans aren't very good, but this is probably this is a good value on Carnell Tate here at wide
24:50receiver 32. Then we have Brian Thomas where internally I definitely start to think about Brian Thomas of he is one of
24:59very few rookie receivers ever to finish as a top 12 point per game wide receiver. Last year he was dealing with
25:04a lot of things between injuries and off the- field stuff. Uh this could be a get-right year for Brian Thomas where in
25:11year three he just comes out here and is amazing. So I don't want to lose sight of that the Parker Washington stuff. Uh,
25:16this could be a Trevor Lawrence year where he supports two different wide receivers that end up being really good in fantasy football. Then we have DK
25:22Mechaf. We're pricing in that. I'm not sure what the ceiling is with DK Mechaf, but he was the wide receiver 18 in
25:26points per game last year. Wide receiver 34 is pretty low for him, but it is the ceiling isn't really there. And again, I
25:32give a disclaimer every time with my rankings. I don't rank these guys as wide receiver 34 hoping that he finishes as the wide receiver 28. I am hunting
25:39for league winners and the guys you needed to have in fantasy football. So you'll see I might have a rookie ahead
25:45of a high floor option like I I probably have Mai Lemon ahead of Courtland Sutton. Courtland Sutton's definitely a favorite to outscore Mai Lemon, but Mai
25:51Lemon could give you 15 points per game from week nine on whereas Corin Sutton could be more of like an 11 point per
25:57game guy. And I would just rather rank guys with upside in mind, with playoff scoring in mind, all of that. It's not
26:04just simply end of season scoring for me when I make my rankings. Uh then we have Chris Godwin as our wide receiver 35.
26:11one could end up looking tough after this season. Uh we love Amecha Ibuka, but with the toe injury, could that hamper him? Could Chris Godwin just be
26:19the focal point of this offense, a year removed from a pretty brutal ankle injury. The last time that he was fully
26:23healthy in 2024, he had 19 points per game. I just wonder if he's still that player. Then our wide receiver, 36, we
26:31have Josh DS.
26:35Tough spot. Keenan Allen comes in, but Keenan Allen last year played a career-high 65% of his snaps out wide. I think that he is going to play on the
26:42perimeter in only three wide receiver sets, maybe even in a situational role on third downs. I think Josh Downs is due for a big breakout this year as
26:49somebody that's going to get used in all situations and further downfield as well. Then we have Jaden Reed, a another Packers pass catcher similar to
26:58Christian Watson. I think with the Josh Jacobs uncertainty, this passing game is going to get a lot more volume. Jaden Reed has always been an explosive
27:04playmaker.
27:06He just signed a big contract. He was banged up all of last year. He might not be out there in two wide receiver sets,
27:11but there should be more routes to go around with Dobs gone, with Wix gone, and with potentially more pass attempts in this offense. Then we have a pair of
27:18rookies here. First up, Casey Conpsion, strong wide receiver prospect. Uh Luther Bird and Aman Ross St. Brown come up as comps in my model for Conpsion. Uh Todd
27:27Mockin had Zay Flowers finished as a wide receiver. Three as a rookie. Of course, that was in a strong Ravens offense, but a low volume Ravens
27:34offense. Could there be some offsetting uh high volume pass attempts for the Browns, but low efficiency that make Conpsion a good pick at cost? Then we
27:43have Stribbling, the strip club. I know a lot of people are very high on dribbling. I'm about lukewarm. I think wide receiver 39 sounds about right. Uh
27:51not the best wide receiver prospect in the world, but he was handpicked by Kyle Shanahan. Even these guys that are handpicked by Kyle Shanahan, he's found
27:58a way to make Dante Pettis relevant and uh I guess like I wouldn't say Brandon Iuk like Brandon Iuk is a was a damn
28:05good player at one point, but we have seen Kyle Shanahan make these pet players relevant. Uh and with Mike Evans having his injury issues with KD coming
28:13off a torn Achilles, with Christian McCaffrey being age 30 off of 400 plus touches, Stribbling could find himself as the last man standing in this offense
28:20that is going to score points. Uh then we have Michael Wilson, the man of the hour. He gets paid. I still have a tough
28:26time wanting to bet on him in fantasy.
28:28He was at 25 points per game. In five games without Marvin Harrison Jr. In 12 games with Marvin Harrison Jr. last
28:34year, he was at eight points per game.
28:36It's up to you to decide how those splits matter to you. Uh you can use first half of the season versus back
28:41half of the season. He's competing with Trey McBride. He's competing with Marvin Harrison Jr. Uh pass times will come down in this offense, but Michael Wilson
28:49could make this look silly and finish as the wider super 21. Then we have Stfan Diggs here in this Washington Commander
28:56offense. He signs late. He was the wide receiver 21 in points per game last year. He was top 10 in yards per out
29:02run. I just wonder what his role is. Can he sustain the same efficiency he had last year? There's a lot of for debate
29:08here in preseason as well. He was played as a situational three wide receiver set player. That would be a big bummer for
29:15fantasy football. Then we have Quentyn Johnston.
29:19Quentyn Johnston is probably disrespected in most fantasy football rankings. He was the wide receiver for 22 in points per game last year. He's
29:26wide receiver 42 here. New coaching staff that I think is going to feature Lad McConi and the run game a lot more.
29:32And Quentyn Johnson's going to be more of a boom bust flex play, but there is upside for him to prove me wrong here.
29:37Uh then we have Matthew Golden, a guy that I really struggle to get behind. I know a lot of very smart people out
29:43there love Matthew Golden's year 2 upside. I just can't get there. He was under 20% targets per out run in college, under 20% again last year. To
29:51me, he's more of a downfield field stretcher that is going to open things up for Jaden Reed, Christian Watson, and Tucker Craft underneath. But we'll see.
29:58He does have upside as a year-to player.
30:00Maybe he can find some efficiency getting his targets downfield. It would just be shocking to me if he became an every week starter in managed leagues.
30:08Then we have Mai Lemon here as an upside rookie pick. As we talk about rookies, when it comes to wide receivers, these
30:16guys usually stack on their production on the back half of the season. Mai Lemon could do that. He could kind of
30:22work his way into the rotation, be the slot safety blanket for Jayen Herz in this Eagles offense and be a guy who
30:28averages like 13 14 plus points per game when it matters most down the stretch.
30:33He was a really strong prospect. Just a matter of him meshing in this offense.
30:37Then we have Alec Pierce, who actually moved up after doing the write up for this video. Uh he practiced in full
30:42yesterday. I'm still skeptical on how effective he'll be off the ankle injury.
30:46I'm also still skeptical about Daniel Jones pushing the ball downfield off the Achilles tear. I think that he's going to be more of a decoy to open things up
30:52for Downs and Warren underneath, but I'm open to being wrong. Then we have Michael Pitman here. Again, it's tough.
30:58I I don't know what the upside is next to DK Mechaf attached to Aaron Rodgers, but he was the wide receiver 26 last
31:05year. his career 8.9 yard ADOT aligns a lot more with what Aaron Rogers wants to do than DK Metaf's more downfield skill
31:13set. But again, you know, this is probably more of like hitting a single than hitting a home run in Michael Pitman. Then at wide receiver 47, we
31:20have Courtland Sutton who with Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims last year only commanded a 19.6% target share. He hasn't been over a two yards per run
31:28since 2019. They bring in Jaylen Wadd. I just don't think that he's a very talented player with high upside. And I
31:33really do think that Pat Bryant heading into year two is live to straight up steal his job by the end of the season.
31:39Then we have Jordan Addison. Jordan Addison is a fun player. He makes big plays. He scores touchdowns at a rate higher than he really should. But I have
31:47a tough time trusting Kyler Murray's wide receiver, too. But at wide receiver 48, like Addison probably deserves to be here. Now, he is the last wide receiver
31:54in this tier. To me, I know we've talked about the wide receiver Cliff as like the wide receiver 50 and projections,
31:59but this is kind of the last of it. like this is where I last really take a receiver with the intention that they
32:06can go in my flex spot. F tier here are guys that are more waiver bench stashes, guys that you can maybe drop after week
32:13one and we'll kind of see how things go.
32:16Uh but at the top of this tier, they're definitely cliff adjacent players, right? Like let's not disrespect Mr.
32:22Xavier Worthy too much. Uh this is like the the first three names here are like the cliff in my eyes. They're actually,
32:29you know, we're going to do an audible here on the fly. We're going to I I have maybe three more receivers I I would
32:35interpret as before the cliff. So, we'll actually call F. Let's let's name F tier the cliff, right? Like C I L I FF.
32:42That's what the F is for in F tier.
32:45We'll put Xavier worthy here. Fun week or year three breakout candidate, but he has 2.7 catches in his career in games
32:52where him and Rashi Rice play together.
32:54That is a stat from Nick Colano. We'll put Wondrell Robinson here as a high floor PPR play. He definitely beats wide
33:00receiver 50. It just comes down to by how much. Uh Jacobe Myers will include in this tier as well. He was banged up
33:07early with a hand injury. But I do want pieces of this Jaguars offense. And then the true last receiver before the cliff
33:14is Jaylen Coker. He is that guy when we look at the wide receiver Cliff. If you don't know what I'm talking about in my
33:18strategy videos, we mention it pretty much every time, but it's around where the last wide receiver is projected for 10 or so points per game. And then we
33:25get to complete dart throws in the F- tier. Coker to me, I don't know the upside next to Tedo McMillan attached to
33:32Bryce Young, but he has flashed a ton of talent heading into year three and could be a flex play that averages about 10
33:38points per game. But then you're taking much more of a leap of faith after the wide receiver Cliff of more bench stash
33:44options and waiver fodder here with Jacobe Lane, a rookie receiver who wasn't the strongest prospect in the world, but you can squint and say early
33:52prospect. uh goes to USC and had to compete with Zachariah Branch and Mai Lemon and all of this talent. So, he
33:58comes to the Ravens and he is live to lead this team in receiving touchdowns as a big play threat and he already
34:04seems to be the wide receiver two or three on a weekly basis, but we've seen Rashawn Baitman in that role and not
34:10really produce much in terms of manage leagues. Uh then we have Denzel Boston who's probably the best remaining pure prospect on this list. But the question
34:18becomes with Denzel Boston is as an ex receiver on the perimeter, can he make it work in a Cleveland Browns offense?
34:25Jerry Judy couldn't last year. Will there be enough left over after all of the gimmicky schemed up touches for Harold Fannon and Casey Conpsion? Uh
34:33then you have Jordan Tyson. He gets moved up a full if he was fully healthy, he'd be right next to Carnell Tate in
34:40this range. Uh he gets moved fully up into this tier. If you have an IR spot, probably around like if I had an IR
34:46spot, I'd probably take him probably around here. Probably around here in like the the the mid to low 40s or actually probably right ahead of Lemon
34:53if I had an IR spot right in here. Uh but for most leagues, he's the wide receiver 55 as a mystery box. Who knows
35:01when he comes back? Who knows uh if this is just going to be a complete red shirt year for him or could Jordan Tyson, you
35:06know, is there an upside scenario where he's at like 15 points per game from weeks 12 on and he's like a league
35:12winner. That's very much in his range of outcomes. Then you have Debo Debo Samuels kind of an unstill got it candidate. Uh I think dribbling probably
35:19steals a lot of his role. I think if Evans is healthy, Debo is kind of an afterthought. But there is some things
35:24here where Debo is kind of the Christian McAffrey handcuff. If McCaffrey goes down, Debo could start handling like five carries per game, get some scheme
35:32dub touches. He's not as washed as you might think. I don't know what the upside is with Debo, but he was at 14.2
35:37points per game last year in six games with Jaden Daniels. That's like a high-end wide receiver 2 number, but it's a small sample. He was at 1.6 plus
35:45yards per run. That's above average for a receiver. He's not what he once was, but he is somebody where if you do lose
35:51out on the wide receiver Cliff, he's not the worst option. If you're in like a deep 14 teamer with two flex spots, Debo
35:58can make some sense. Similar deal with Romeo Dobs. He's somebody he's going to beat this ranking of wide receiver 57.
36:03He's finished wide receiver 40, wide receiver 47, and wide receiver 46. I just don't value that. I I don't value a
36:09bottom range wide receiver four. I'd rather swing for the rookie upside here in front of him. Uh then we have Rasheed
36:16Shahed. Somebody that I think can actually make a step this year. Uh the Seattle Seahawks chose to retain Rasheed Shahed and let Kenneth Walker walk. They
36:25traded for him last year. Could he get integrated more into this offense as the second option behind JSN? I'm starting to come around to Rasheed Shahid as
36:33maybe somebody that could jump up to the wide receiver cliff, but we'll leave him here for now. Uh then Kosha, he's
36:38dealing with a brutal ankle injury. He's a part-time rotation player, but he is a receiver attached to Josh Allen, no less. Uh, and then our last rookie
36:46upside pick is Cyrus Allen, though the steam has definitely died out on him attached to Patrick Mahomes. You can put I'm a very much a big fan of just
36:54throwing darts at rookies once you get to this F tier. Again, we know these rookies put on their point per game
36:59production on the back half of the season. You can think back to Rashi Rice and Aman Rosane Brown and Christian Watson and all of these guys who didn't
37:07really produce early in their rookie year. Elijah Moore as well. Uh Jaylen Wadd was one of these. Jaden Reed as a
37:13rookie. uh that become league winners and I just would rather hunt for those guys than find next year's like Trey Tucker. That's kind of how I play the
37:20game. If you don't like Cyrus Allen, other honorable mentions here are Travis Hunter as an upside swing. He's not a rookie, but to me, he's in that same
37:27class. But then you have Omar Cooper, Chris Bell, Malachi Fields. Uh if you're in a spot where you need more of a high
37:33floor or you're in a really deep league, right? Let's say you're in a 14 teamer, 16 teamer where maybe Trey Tucker is of
37:38use to you. You can put Trey Tucker here, Ad Mitchell, Dontavon Wixs, uh Jaylen McMillan.
37:44Upside swing, you can also put like Pat Bryant in here as well or like Trey Harris. But that's where it just gets
37:49all really messy. But this is the goods.
37:53You can screenshot this if you would like for your draft this upcoming weekend. Or you can get my entire top 200 ranked with tiers, player notes,
38:00targets, fades, sleepers, target rounds for every player. Everything you need is in the basement draft guide on the basementdraftguide.com. That is of
38:07course my draft day product. My inseason product is the Patreon.
38:10patreon.comSTWart.
38:12That's where you can get my weekly rankings, rest of season rankings, my dynasty rankings, my start sitst stream every Sunday, everything you possibly
38:19need to dominate in season. And when you sign up for the Patreon on patreon.com/ronstew, you get the draft guide for half off. And when you sign up
38:25annually on the Patreon, you get the draft guide for free. All that can be found in the description and the comment
38:31section down below. As always, thank you for watching. Leave a like, subscribe, and I'll see yall in the next one.
38:49Leven.

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