0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here, back with another video. It's Wednesday, time to go over my favorite trade targets for week four. We'll start
0:06things off with the two players that remain on the list from last week, and then we'll go over some new names. First
0:12up, George Pickens. Um talked about him last week. One of the big issues last week was play volume. That's not an
0:18issue anymore. So, they only had 53 plays per game. We talked about this is Dallas. They're always top five, top eight in plays per game. It's not
0:26something we have to worry about long-term. They go out there and then run 71 plays last week. Probably a little more than they actually run on
0:32average, but that's how these things work. Two game samples, three game samples, it's still very small in the scope of the entire season. We had 53
0:41plays per game to start, underperforming, then we overperform, and we average around what? 67, 68 plays per game for them this season. Um
0:51So, they finally got that volume, and Pickens responded. He gets 11 targets.
0:54Weird how that happens, right? There's more plays, more total targets to go around. And he had a solid day, seven for 82. If you started him, you're
1:01you're like more than pleased with that production, right? I mean, that's 15.2 full PPR points. It's maybe not anything crazy, but he's 40th in half PPR points
1:10per game on the season, um just really because he hasn't scored yet. But, there are going to be weeks where Pickens has
1:16multiple touchdowns. There are going to be weeks where he has 100 and a score.
1:19He's going to have, you know, four touchdowns over a five-game stretch.
1:22Like, he's going to score this season.
1:24Dallas is a great offense. He's obviously their number two. Uh Jake Ferguson right now is soaking up a ton of the touchdowns. That's not always
1:33going to happen. Um Dallas always plays better indoors, as well. Eight of their final nine games this season are indoors, including all three of the
1:43fantasy playoff matchups. We talk about that a lot, and again, like I say early in the year, it doesn't matter as much
1:48right now. You know, you have New England, you have some of these spots where weather can be really bad, but right now it's not that bad. I think
1:54this coming weekend is actually been really good weather across the country.
1:57And so, it's not an issue right now, but it is an issue once we get into late November, into December, when the
2:03fantasy playoffs and championships are happening. It's just nice knowing that Dallas is just going to be playing indoors all the time, all the playoff
2:10weeks, even if they have a difficult match-up at times. Indoor games, they always play better. So, that's nice to see. Uh it's also just been Lamb
2:17hitting. So, Pickens and Lamb don't really ever hit at the same time. Over the last 2 weeks, Lamb has caught 15 of
2:24his 17 targets, 265 yards, two touchdowns. It will be George Pickens' turn soon. He's a great wide receiver, awesome play at wide receiver two, a
2:35very high-end wide receiver two, I think this season. Uh remains a player that has you know, a week-winning ceiling even when CeeDee Lamb is healthy, and then
2:44he's a top-five wide receiver if CeeDee Lamb got injured. You just buy players like George Pickens when they go long stretches without touchdowns, because
2:51he's going to be fine with big plays and touchdowns this season. Just because they haven't hit through 3 weeks, does not mean it's not going to hit
2:57long-term. So, great play to go after if you're looking for like, you know, a high-end wide receiver two.
3:02Uh I'd also continue to try and trade for Tucker Kraft. Can't do Matthew Golden anymore, cuz he had a great day
3:08last week. But, Kraft only has 41 receiving yards over the last 2 weeks.
3:12So, I know the people who drafted him are not happy with that. Uh but, the routes are ramping up. 22 routes in week
3:18one, 24 routes in week two, 37 routes last week. I don't remember where that rates among tight ends, but I believe it
3:24was like top seven or so. I don't think it was top five, but about top seven.
3:29But, that's a ton of routes. He's out there playing a ton. Um the offensive line in Green Bay is horrific. It's
3:35really, really bad. And so, no team is throwing the ball at a higher rate than the Packers. And when you think about
3:42that before, it's like, "Oh, you have like five wide receivers rotating in here. You know, they're always running um you know, 11 personnel, and he's
3:50competing with three wide receivers."
3:51That's not really the case this season.
3:53It's really only Christian Watson and Golden. So, he's only got two receivers he's competing with. If they're going to drop back 70 75% of the time in games,
4:04my goodness, the upside here is incredible. I maintain he's still a top five tight end rest of season. I bet you
4:11right now you can get him for a flex player. Like it's sometimes difficult trading for tight end, but it's like, you know, a lot of people might only
4:16have Tucker Kraft. And so, you kind of have to give them someone. But hey, you know what? It's maybe um you know, not
4:23for many of you this is the case, but what if the Tucker Kraft team was the person who got Seddik this week? Well,
4:28all of a sudden, they might be totally fine rolling with Seddik. Maybe they drafted Juwan Johnson and they're like, I'm not even going to start Tucker Kraft
4:36because Juwan, Seddik, like they they've they're kind of breaking out of the tight end position. I can just play them. And so, try to I see if the team,
4:43you know, has that you know, is their case.
4:46And maybe you're able to get him for like really cheap. Maybe they're struggling at their flex spot. Maybe they just want a little bit more flex
4:53depth and you're able to give them kind of a lower end player that's producing decently, but not that amazing for Tucker Kraft. Or you're the team that
5:00got Seddik. Maybe you drafted Juwan Johnson. Maybe you have Isaiah Likely.
5:03You have some of these tight ends where you're able to offer them to um the team for Tucker Kraft. I don't know if I
5:10would do like Juwan's just playing so well right now that I don't know that I'd really risk it with that one. But
5:15the point would be if you have extra tight ends or if they have extra tight ends, Tucker Kraft is a player that I
5:19think is going to ascend, be top five rest of season, and so I want him on my teams. Also, next four weeks at Bucks,
5:25versus the Bears, versus the Cowboys, at the Lions. Really high end ceiling in those matchups. And if he goes out there
5:33and has a seven for 120 and one, you're not going to get him. Like for tight ends, they're very um I'll say vibe based honestly. And when
5:43the vibes are low for tight end and they're dropping, you know, one for 22 for 15, you're like, "Yikes, there's absolutely nothing happening here." It's
5:52much easier to trade for them, but as soon as they have that really good day, people going to be like, "Oh, yeah,
5:57Taysom Kraft, he was like the tight end one before getting injured last year.
6:00He's coming off the injury. Oh, the schedule looks great and he just dropped a nuke. I'm good with him moving forward." And it's like as soon as that
6:05happens, you can't get him. So, this could be the last week you can get him.
6:09Uh but if he does again, he'll be in the video again next week. Uh some new names. Michael Wilson, so Marv is cooked. I mean, Marv is just
6:17terrible. He's got his role in the offense and it is sometimes you're going to get a deep ball, but he looks
6:22completely uninterested. Uh coordinators seem to know this finally and so they're like, "All right, don't give him the first three targets. Use
6:30him occasionally, uh but really he's clearing things out for uh Trey McBride, for Michael Wilson, and Michael Wilson looks awesome. Seventh among all players
6:41in first read percentage, fifth in routes, fifth in targets. I think last week was a big turning point. Obviously, they threw the ball what was it, like 53
6:50times? That is not going to happen every week. Even the highest pass attempt teams do not throw the ball over 50
6:55times every week, but they clearly do trust Jacoby Brissett to drop back at a super high rate. Um this offense is
7:03playing much better than we expected.
7:05Maybe we should have probably seen this coming. I mean, we talked about this a lot being like, you know, the ADPs are
7:10very high for a team that has a four and a half win total, you know, and it was like tough to balance that with the fact
7:16that it's like we know that Michael Wilson is good. Obviously, McBride is good. We know Jeremiah Love is a great talent. And it's like if all these
7:23players can stay healthy, Jacoby Brissett isn't like a good quarterback, but he's perfectly serviceable and he can get the ball into the hands of his
7:31playmakers. And he's totally fine peppering players with targets. And it seems like they have finally identified Michael Wilson as the guy they want to
7:39heavily involve. Honestly, he's a clear wide receiver one on this team. He could be a wide receiver two for you rest of
7:46season fantasy. I'm pretty sure it won't take you that value. I think you can get him for like flex value. So,
7:53tough cuz you don't necessarily love trading a running back for wide receiver ever cuz there's only like 25 running backs. We'll talk about that in a second
8:00with our next guy. Uh there's only like 25 running backs that are even like good right now and even if you like want to
8:05be playing at all. So, trading one of them for a receiver at times can feel tough. Uh but just identify uh the part
8:13of the team that uh that Michael Wilson is on, right? That is weak.
8:17There's going to be a weak spot for every team and just try and help them in that area. Uh but yeah, I just really
8:23think Michael Wilson, long-term this season, if he's now going to clearly be that one, there are going to be a lot of
8:30weeks where he has double-digit targets.
8:32He's a talented player. They're scheming him design looks. It's not all coming downfield. It's a good mixture of like, you know, um
8:39not as many like screen passes, but like quick passes, just getting the ball into his hands, usually moving across the field. Uh but just designing a lot more
8:46plays specifically with him. Again, seventh among all players in first read percentage. I think he's going to be great rest of season. I'd be totally
8:53fine playing him at wide receiver two.
8:54I'm going to be playing him at wide receiver two in one of my leagues. Uh I just think he's a really good player to
8:58trade for if you can get him for flex value. Uh after him, a little bit of a more risky one. But it's tough trading
9:03for running backs at times because like I said, there's only like 25 that you actually trust right now. And among them, probably like seven to 10 of them,
9:12you don't even really fully trust every week. There's probably like 15 running backs that you actually trust each week.
9:19And outside the top 25, it's a complete wasteland of guys who have absolutely no ceiling unless the starter gets injured.
9:27And so, when you have someone who does have a ceiling and is super low in value, you trade for them. And I think
9:33that's Keidarian Price right now. Sixth among all running backs in missed forced per attempt, sixth in explosive run rate. He looked fantastic in week one.
9:42There was just limited play volume because of how that game played out and because of he was a rookie playing in
9:47his first game. He was then the lead back in week two, but he suffers the injury, has to leave for the fourth
9:51quarter, and then you see Holani, uh, Manuel Wilson just soak up a ton of touches in the fourth quarter of a
9:57blowout. Uh, comes back in week three, but fumbles. And unfortunately, I hate when teams do this cuz it just doesn't feel like the correct move, uh, but
10:04Seattle benches him for fumbling, doesn't come back until super late in the game. Um, he's 50th right now in points per game.
10:12And you got to think after that performance, I think it was like five carries for 15 yards, um, not scoring a touchdown yet
10:21on the season, not performing at all.
10:24Uh, people drafted and probably to be their like running back three, but he's not even close to starting lineups right now. And I think either today or
10:31tomorrow we're going to get the news on Charbonnet that he's either going to return to practice this week or next week. And when they do that, they have
10:37to open up a three-week window. So, you know, as soon as he returns to practice, he will be like playing in a couple of
10:43weeks. And I think if you couple that news with how he's performed, getting benched, not really having any fantasy production, people are going to
10:51completely panic. So, I would wait for this news. Again, I'm expecting it today, tomorrow.
10:56Honestly, um, it'd be easier to trade for him if they open the practice window today. And as soon as that happens,
11:02I don't know, I think like you start trade discussions and be like, "Listen, cuz cuz Charbonnet is going to have a
11:07huge role in this team. He's going to be used in pass protection, at the goal line. They're going to use him a decent
11:11amount." So, I'm not saying Zach Charbonnet is going to be like a running back one. We were not drafting him this
11:16summer. I believe he was on the fade list, but we were not drafting him at all this summer because of this
11:21potential. He was just going too early in drafts for someone who's going to be a committee to start the season, and
11:26then Charbonnet would return. Like, you could just kind of see this all coming.
11:29But that's we were fading him at his draft day cost, which is nowhere near what he cost right now. The price is
11:35way, way, way down.
11:37And honestly, he's better than I thought. Like he's just a better running back than I expected him to be as a
11:42prospect. He's very explosive. He can make people miss. And I just feel like there is a role for him on this team. I
11:48think down the stretch it's going to be like pretty similar to what it was between Ken Walker and Charbonnet. And if this offense is going to continue
11:55being pretty solid, um again, there's only like 25 running backs that are even like decent right now in fantasy. He's got a chance to be in that. And so,
12:05there's also a chance that, you know, Charbonnet returns and he averages like 3.7, 3.8 yards per carry because it's quick return from a torn ACL. It's not
12:14like he's going to go out there and be explosive. And what if they consolidate around these two and it is price
12:19getting, you know, 60% of the workload. That's like still a possibility for an explosive player, a young I thought of player to break out
12:26in the second half. If it doesn't cost you that much, then I'd go after him. Uh but comes down to cost, right? I'm not
12:31paying running back two price tag. I'm not even really playing uh paying flex value, but if it's just like swapping a
12:36bench player to get a high upside running back, I feel like you just got to do that. Getting a first-round talent
12:41on a team that does still need talent and explosiveness at the running back position. Capitalize on the news if it comes out.
12:48And then we have uh two, a duo in Jacksonville, uh Trevor Lawrence and Parker Washington. It's really been like game script as to why these two like
12:57Parker's been great. And Lawrence has had two really good days. But these two haven't really like fully ascended to what they can be this season cuz you've
13:04got a complete blowout in week one where they don't throw the ball at all in the second half. Then you have, you know, a
13:09really tough match up at Denver. That's one of the toughest places to play, not only overall, but especially early in the season. It's like
13:16Denver just covers at a crazy high rate when they have home match ups early in the year. It's just a tough place to
13:21play. Um and then they have another blowout in the the week in a game that also the Patriots were completely selling out to
13:29stop Parker Washington. They did everything in their power to make sure you had to beat them without Parker Washington, and they did because
13:36Jacksonville is a very very good team.
13:38The Patriots are awful right now, but when they sold out completely to stop him, he still has three for 40 and a
13:45touchdown. Still in that Denver game, has seven for 98. In that Cleveland game where they ran the ball the entire first
13:52half, he also had a great day. Like, he's just a very good wide receiver.
13:56He's a wide receiver one in fantasy rest of season, and soon they're going to be facing some really good offenses, some
14:04teams that can absolutely push them, and they're going to have a high-scoring day where the other team doesn't score six.
14:09Like, it's just happened the weeks one and three where they've done really well on offense and the other team can't do
14:15anything against them, and sandwiched in between that is at Denver.
14:20And yet still Parker Washington is awesome. So, he's going to have some amazing games upcoming. He again is a wide receiver one rest of season.
14:27Definitely trade for him if you can get him cheaper than that. And then Trevor Lawrence, it's really really tough to trade for quarterback. Whenever a
14:34quarterback starts to hit and it becomes clear they're going to be valuable, it's tough to acquire them because like the quarterback position isn't an easy
14:41one to identify long term and in the draft. And so, when you've got guys breaking out and having great seasons, no one wants to trade them away cuz
14:49they're like, "Oh, what? I have to trade them away and then stream quarterback and lose like five or six points in a
14:54projection every week? I don't want to be doing that." But Trevor Lawrence, it's like kind of up and down. People don't really know how to approach it.
15:01He's had a kind of a history of doing well and then doing nothing. But I just feel like if you watch this offense,
15:06they're just clearly very very good this season. He's got a very deep wide receiver room around him. They're going to be throwing for touchdowns at a
15:14pretty high rate. I just really believe rest of season, you're going to be very pleased starting Trevor Lawrence. So, he is the one quarterback I'd be going
15:20after if you're trying to upgrade quarterback right now. So, uh you can see a larger list on my website thefantasyfootballadvice.com.
15:28I want you guys to keep testing out LeagueSync as well if you're on ESPN or Sleeper league and I added a new feature
15:34in the trade suggestions that it's going to populate with these trade targets along with the list that's on the website so you can very easily say, "Oh,
15:40here are like 10 players that Nick is suggesting trading for." Click one of the players and it will suggest specific trades for your league that makes sense
15:49for both sides. I'm still fine-tuning it so send me some that you don't think make any sense. Uh but yeah, I think
15:54it's a really, really cool feature that like once we nail it long-term is going to be really impactful for all of you.
16:00So, that's it for this one. Thank you all for watching. Please subscribe if you are new here. We've got the full
16:05rankings video tomorrow. You're going to want to watch that. Uh and then Friday's going to be the underdog video. So, if
16:10you're still here, please leave a like and I'll catch you all on the next one.