These Players Are About to Smash in Week 4

The source does not expect Aaron Jones to reach 25 touches in the upcoming game, suggesting that the Vikings' offense is currently limited by a lack of healthy, trusted playmakers.

Braelon Allen is expected to absorb Breece Hall's carries, but the source notes he will not command the same level of target share that Hall typically provides.

Breece Hall is ruled out for the upcoming matchup, which will negatively impact the team's overall running back target share.

While the source is excited about Bell's long-term potential as an explosive, intermediate-to-downfield threat, he is considered a worse play than Malik Washington for this specific matchup. The Vikings' heavy blitzing scheme will likely force quick releases, limiting opportunities for deeper routes.

Garrett Wilson is a strong fantasy play with a high ceiling; the source recommends betting him higher than 75.5 receiving yards. This projection is supported by the Bears' high rate of man coverage, against which Wilson ranks third in the NFL in yards per route run. With Breece Hall out, Wilson is expected to command a significant target share.

The Jets are expected to have a lower-than-normal target share for running backs this week, with Isaiah Davis involved in the rotation alongside Braelon Allen.

The source expects Jayden Daniels to drop back at a higher-than-average rate against the Commanders, creating a favorable environment for his passing game.

Jordan Addison is a primary ladder bet target with a projection of higher than 55.5 receiving yards. If Justin Jefferson is ruled out, Addison's line is expected to jump to 62-63.5 yards, and he could see 10-12 targets. The matchup against the Dolphins is favorable, as they allow the second-highest explosive passing play percentage and the highest EPA per dropback.

The source believes Justin Jefferson will not play due to injury, arguing that the Vikings have a high probability of winning without him and should avoid risking a setback. His absence is considered a catalyst for increased target share for other Vikings receivers.

The source recommends betting Malik Washington higher than 3.5 receptions. He leads the team in routes and benefits from a 26% target-per-run rate against zone coverage, which the Vikings utilize heavily. The game script is expected to force his team to pass frequently while trailing.

The source projects Tucker Kraft to exceed 41.5 receiving yards, citing his increasing route participation (22 to 24 to 37) and a top-five matchup for tight ends against the Buccaneers.

Tyler Warren is projected to go higher than 46.5 receiving yards. The matchup against the Commanders is favorable, as they allow high tight end production and play zone defense at a high rate, where Warren shows significantly higher yards per route run compared to man coverage. He is expected to have plenty of underneath opportunities and only needs one short target turned into a long gain to hit the projection.