0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here.
0:01Back with another video. We're talking schedules today, specifically which teams have the best schedules this season. I have all the data on my
0:08website, thefantasyfootballadvice.com.
0:10But, we'll go over the top teams today.
0:12I will rank each team's skill players from my highest level of interest to my lowest level of interest. So, we will
0:17start off with the team with the easiest schedule in the league this season. It is unfairly, I would say, the Detroit
0:23Lions. Um I don't know. Do they really deserve the easiest schedule in the NFL?
0:28Uh it's also nice that they got a ton of dome games. So, they've got their bye in week six. Week seven on, from week seven
0:35through 16, right before the fantasy playoffs, um week seven through 16, they play uh eight dome games, twice outdoors. One of those outdoor games is
0:45Miami, probably going to be pretty good weather. The other one is in Germany, uh which is a home game for Amon-Ra. Uh and
0:51then um that's like half a dome. So, really most of their schedule through the championship, right up to the championship, is going to be really good
1:00matchups and domes. They do play at Chicago, so that could be a tough one.
1:06Um but it's also potentially really high-scoring game. So, even if, you know, it's outdoors in Chicago, we don't know about the weather in that spot. If
1:13it's not horrible weather, they're playing at Chicago, that could be a 35-37 game. So, really like the schedule for the Detroit Lions this season. It's
1:22also a consolidated offense, which it always is. We always know this, right?
1:26Detroit is going to utilize their best players. They're going to just score a ton of points. We love that they play in
1:31domes, and when you have the schedule on top of it, it is awesome. Uh so, in order of like how I would rank my
1:36interest, Gibbs is number one. If you're lucky enough to get a top two pick in your draft, you can get either Bijan or
1:43Gibbs. I don't expect seeing, unless you're in like a full PPR, three wide receiver league, maybe someone takes Ja'Marr Chase at one or two. Uh but
1:52Gibbs is going to go first or second overall in most formats. Um deserves to do that. Monty's gone. He's in Houston
1:59now. So, he really is no one behind him.
2:01We'll talk about Pacheco in a second, but Pacheco is not David Montgomery, right? Um, I think Pacheco is an okay handcuff, and I
2:09I don't know. Like, if we get to the end of of summer, and it clearly seems like Pacheco's that too, I probably wouldn't
2:14every time I drafted Gibbs also draft Isaiah Pacheco. Uh, cuz he's kind of like the type of player that Dan Campbell likes. Uh, but yeah, Gibbs is
2:21going to be amazing this season.
2:22Definitely take him first or second overall. I'm I'm fine taking him first overall if you want him over Bijan.
2:28After him, I'd say it's Amon-Ra. Uh, he goes in the late first. Uh, consensus has him at 108 right now, but anywhere
2:33from that like seventh to 12th spot is like kind of where he'll go depending on format. Uh, the name of the game with
2:38Amon-Ra is just consistency, right?
2:4090-plus receptions in all five years of his career. At least 115 receptions, 1,260 yards, and 10 or more touchdowns in three straight years.
2:51Like, you're just locking in amazing production. He plays through injuries.
2:56Um, he doesn't get injured that often, but when he does, he plays through them and produces well. Um, just there's there's really nothing you can argue
3:03against Amon-Ra St. Brown besides he's a wide receiver, and maybe you want to go running back over him. I would say a
3:10pretty big drop-off after the top two.
3:12Those are very clearly the top options on this offense. I would say third in my level of interest is Jared Goff. And
3:18obviously here, that is within the context of ADP. Um, I would not take Goff over Sam LaPorta.
3:26I would not take him over Jamo, but in terms of ADP, uh, like the mid-10th round for him. Um, but just still more
3:32so someone if I'm in like a one-quarterback league, I would still prefer to take a mid-round quarterback.
3:37That's a great strategy this season. Um, there's great quarterbacks going in rounds like five through seven. Um, but if I was double-dipping, you know, I
3:44didn't get those guys, maybe I took a shot on like a Kyler, or I took a shot on someone who's a little bit more
3:49risky, I would take Goff as that second quarterback, or the first quarterback and then take a risky option after him.
3:54Uh like like maybe like a a Malik Willis, right? If you really like Malik Willis, but you don't necessarily want him as your only quarterback, Goff is a
4:00great second option cuz he's going to be good. Maybe they score a lot of touchdowns on the ground, but they Monty's gone, right? Monty is that
4:07guy when they got in close, they give to him. They'll do that with Gibbs, of course, but just a little bit more
4:13likely they throw the ball in close this season.
4:16I don't think they're going to give Pacheco the ball as much near the goal line as they gave David Montgomery.
4:19Montgomery was so good in that role. So, I think Goff's set up to have a really good season, but again, not someone I'm
4:25like going out of my way to draft. I like him on Underdog, like him in Superflex, like him as part of a
4:30two-quarterback build, probably not like a hyper target of mine, someone who we have like twice exposure to, or two-x exposure than normal. Uh Sam LaPorta, I
4:40would say would be next. Uh but I would say Sam LaPorta and Jamo are probably tied for next. Uh LaPorta's going in the
4:46early eighth round. Uh Jamo goes in the early fifth round. I think both are fine. I think they're probably both being drafted right around what they're
4:55worth, maybe a little bit earlier than they're worth. Um the math is going to say Jamo's a great pick, and the
5:01rankings are going to say Jamo's a great pick, and I love taking him on Underdog for the weekly upside. My only
5:06hesitation with Jamo is when's it coming, right? If I'm in like a two-wide receiver one-flex league, I don't love having him as my wide
5:15receiver two because there are a lot of games where he underperforms, and it's fine having that, but it's not ideal. I
5:21would like just a little bit more stability. Uh there's also the chance, what if LaPorta, you know, just like steps it up a little bit more this
5:29season, plays a little bit more healthy?
5:31What if um Isaac TeSlaa, like, you know, has a larger role in the offense this season?
5:37There are still paths to where Jamo has good like end-of-season numbers, but in terms of like the value he created for your team, there's a lot more of
5:46those down games or mediocre games and then a couple spikes. And just because you don't necessarily know when those spikes are happening, it's just hard to
5:53trust him. If you move into three wide receiver, two flex, where all of a sudden you do need more of those
5:58starters and that last starter on your team is a little bit more thin, now I'm a little bit more okay having him
6:04because I'm good with that variance. I have more starters on my team. I need a little bit more of that upside and I am starting a
6:10weaker team overall. There's just every extra slot you have on your roster means that last roster spot is just a little
6:17bit weaker.
6:19If I want my entire roster to be super strong in a smaller format, you know, I'm less likely to go with him. And
6:24especially the case in like eight and 10 team leagues where you got to be really, really strong. There's just too much
6:29variance there where I just kind of don't want it. 12 team, two flex, a lot more viable. So, Chigboun Laporta, kind
6:35of mixed there. The only gripe I have with Laporta is the production's been dropping in recent seasons. It's mostly injury related, but
6:42it's not great to see. Um and while he's a great talent, mid-round end is just a losing bet. Like, year after year you
6:49look, there are going to be hits in the middle rounds, but teams that draft mid-round tight ends just do not perform
6:55as well as teams that either take them early or double dip later on. So, it's just not really worth it in my opinion.
7:02So, again, fine. Maybe I'd put kind of going over there, maybe put Chigboun over Laporta, but it's very close between the two of
7:09them. Um I would say last I'd definitely put Pacheco and Isaac TeSlaa. And it would really just come down to my roster
7:15construction. If I went RB zero, Pacheco's not a bad option. If I drafted Gibbs, Pacheco's not a bad option. But if I went, you know, robust RB, um even
7:24like double hero, like I have decent amount of running backs in my roster already, I'm not just like throwing a random flyer at Pacheco because you're
7:30going to need a Gibbs injury for him to do anything. And then TeSlaa, fine on Underdog as a stack, fine in a
7:36deeper format if you're in like 12 team, three wide receiver plus like seven bench spots and you're like, you know, I
7:42need a lot of these wide receivers.
7:43Sure, for the vast majority of you, I feel like Taysom is just going to be someone that, you know, has a chance and
7:49maybe we talk about him in a waiver wire video, but I don't think the draft will get to the point where you have to go
7:55there. He goes on average in like the 15th round. A lot of you playing leagues where there's only 15 rounds and you're
8:00spending, you know, rounds like 14 and 15 on defense and kicker. And so your last skill player is in round 13 and so
8:06you're just like never going to get to Taysom. I love the talent, but we'll see in the summer if they really are
8:12expected to ramp up his usage and again, that will impact Jameis Winston if they do.
8:16Team number two, second best schedule this season is the New Orleans Saints, a team that I really like this year, not
8:24only because their schedule is easy, uh, but, you know, Kellen Moore really wants to push the pace. Um, they also get a
8:31lot of dome games. Uh, they also have, uh, a really, really strong playoff schedule at the Bucks, home versus the Cardinals, at the Falcons. And so you're
8:42getting a game in Florida and then you're getting two dome games to end the season, uh, to go along with again a ton
8:48of dome games during the regular season.
8:51Um, it's just a a really good combination. When you add in the schedule, you add in they're going to play at a top five pace, you add in the
8:57defense is bad and so even if they're scoring points, they're going to have to continue scoring points, uh, to keep other teams away. And there's going to
9:05be games where they give up, you know, a quick 17 points over, you know, four drives or something like that and their
9:11offense needs to push the pace. So, I really like them. Um, in terms of who my favorite is, I would say Travis Etienne's probably my
9:18favorite and that's maybe surprising to a lot of you. I like a lot of these guys, so I I don't it's not like a a
9:24diss on anyone else. It's just that again, this season is tough at running back and he goes in like the mid to late
9:29third and that's just a really good spot. They give him a four-year, $48 million contract, $28 million dollars There's no real competition behind him.
9:39He's the guy. He'll be used in receiving game, not like a crazy amount. He's not Alvin Kamara, right? But he'll get
9:45receptions. He'll get goal line usage.
9:48He'll get a lot of early down work. Um everything just sets up well for him to have a great season. Um again, a lot of
9:53plays, we love that. Um I don't know. It's like when you think about where he goes as well, you can do him in a robust RB build. So,
10:02if you want to start off, you know, three running backs in a row, this is the season to do it because there's such
10:07good talent at wide receiver. A little bit later on, you're almost feel like you're overspending at wide receiver early. We're not taking quarterback that
10:13early. We're not taking, you know, tight end in like the first or the mid second.
10:17And so, it's like it sets up well to where ETN sits there and you're like, "Okay, if I take him as my third running
10:21back, I don't have to touch running back for a very long time. And I'd be overpaying for all the running backs in
10:25round four on anyways." So, it's a great combination. Uh but also, if you happen to end up with a Ja'Marr Chase, a uh
10:34Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown, you end up with one of those guys early on and you're like, "Oh no,
10:40is running back going to fall off a cliff?" Yes, but if you go wide receiver, running back, running back and he's your second running back in round
10:46three, it's a really good spot. So, I just think strategy-wise, plus situation-wise, he's a phenomenal pick this season. Uh next step I would say is
10:54Chris Olave, also going in the middle of the third round. Broke out in a huge way last season. And his season-long pace
11:02with Shuck starting was over 100 receptions, 1,400 yards, 13 touchdowns.
11:08He was just really, really good. And think about the situation. You had Spencer Rattler to start the year. Um then you have Shuck who like nearly won
11:16Rookie of the Year. If he made like two more starts, he probably does win that.
11:20Um so, he played well, but this is still a rookie quarterback taking over. So, you start off with Rattler, who's not that
11:26good. You transition into even just any, even if the quarterback is good, you transition into a new quarterback.
11:31That's tough. It's, you know, Kellen Moore's first season coaching the team, so it's like you have like year two in the system, year two of the shock, the
11:38dome, the schedule, it's like everything the pace everything sets up well for Chris Olave as well. I will note like if
11:44I had the option between Olave and Etienne, Olave goes three picks before by ADP, but I would 100% go Travis Etienne. Like again, running back early
11:52is very important this season. Uh next I would say is Jordan Addison going in like the mid to late sixth round. Um
12:00There's an argument to be made that he's the best wide receiver in this class.
12:03It's really just injuries that people were scared of, right? He suffered multiple major injuries in his college career. He'd been rehabbing, so he
12:10missed the combine and did his pro day, um and rehabbing from a hamstring injury. And so people were concerned about that. That's probably why he
12:18didn't go as a top wide receiver. Like but we also don't know, right? I guess the the thinking people have is when we
12:25saw him play, he was awesome. And had he not gotten hurt in college, there's a very real chance that he would have been
12:31easily the top pick over Carnell Tate at wide receiver.
12:35But we also don't know that, right? And so it's like there is still some unknown with the injuries limiting the sample
12:43size we have of him, and it's not like he's a slam dunk prospect, right? It's not like, oh, if he's out there healthy,
12:49he's better than Olave. Like Olave is still probably a better wide receiver than Tyson, but he has that upside. Um I would just say like between, you know,
12:58Olave, a proven talent who's done it multiple seasons, he's been hurt before as well, but done it in the NFL, crushed
13:05last season, you'd still rather him in the mid third round over Tyson in round six, but I like the upside of Jordan
13:12Addison. It's a great range to take a flyer at wide receiver. Let's say you started off with that like three wide
13:18receiver start, running back, running back, or three running back start. Three running backs first three rounds.
13:22You could still get Jordan Addison as your third wide receiver if you went wide receiver, receiver, wide receiver after that. It's maybe an aggressive
13:30build. I don't know that you have to go three running backs this season, but regardless, in the sixth round he can be
13:35your third wide receiver in a running back early build, and that still adds a lot of upside.
13:40I would say there's a cliff after those three. I like Taysom Hill, but the early 11th round is a pretty aggressive price tag for him. That
13:49entire range of quarterback is going very early this season. So, it's not that people have him as like the eighth best quarterback. It's that all of these
13:57late round quarterbacks, because late round quarterback has hit recently, they're all priced up. So, that's why I'm saying there's great options at
14:04quarterback. We'll get to one at this next team. Great options at quarterback in like round five through seven, because the next range of quarterback
14:11has been pushed up so much that they're more expensive at the same time that the early quarterbacks are less expensive.
14:18So, it's a very good year to be drafting early and middle quarterback. Not as good of a year to be paying an elevated
14:24price tag for Taysom Hill, who again, I think can be good this season, but is much better in superflex, much better in
14:31a stack on Underdog, much better. Um if you wanted to do Taysom Hill and you know, two late quarterbacks, that's an
14:37option as well. Taysom Hill still a risky quarterback. He's played half a season as a pro, uh but if you like the
14:43upside there, take him. Take off. You've got two good options. Uh after him, I'd say it's Juwan Johnson. Um I'm just not
14:49super interested in him. He got volume last season out of necessity, and they've even talked about this uh when guys get injured, when you know, the
14:57offense is very consolidated because you just don't have that many great skill players, he's going to get volume. When you add in Travis Etienne, when you add
15:04in um Jordan Tyson, it really limits the floor and the ceiling for Juwan. He now needs an injury, and in round 12, I don't know
15:12how much I need want to draft a tight end that needs an injury in that range.
15:16So, not super excited about him. There are definitely higher upside tight ends.
15:21Uh and then Alvin Kamara, 14th round.
15:23Genuinely I like I think that's fine.
15:25Like if you're drafting right now and you want to use your very last skill player pick on Alvin Kamara, go for it.
15:30I just don't think the Saints want him on the roster. I just also don't think they know how to get rid of
15:37him and save face. Like he's like the face of the Saints. They do not want to make him mad, don't want to make the fan
15:43base mad, so they don't want to trade him. He'll just retire. They don't want to cut him really. It's like kind of
15:49tough doing that. And so I think they really just want to like let this sit.
15:53Hopefully he retires on his own.
15:55Hopefully he does something cuz I don't I just don't think they want to do anything. But like ETN's the guy. And so
16:01I don't think you need to go there. Uh but if you again, it's the 14th round.
16:03You're probably cutting that pick anyways, no matter what you do.
16:07Uh Eagles, third best team.
16:10Uh they have also the easiest passing schedule, so maybe that helps that out a little bit in this passing game. Uh I
16:16would say my favorite is DeVonta Smith.
16:18A.J. Brown is not going to be there.
16:20Hopefully he joins the Patriots, but we'll see where he goes. Um so he's the locked-in alpha. Uh he could easily end
16:26up as a top 10 wide receiver. That's an amazing value at the 3-4 turn, especially because it's a very, very common start doing double running back
16:35from a late first round pick this season. Like being able to go like Gentry Achane, um I don't know, Achane Hampton, like some sort of combination
16:42like that, maybe James Cook and Saquon.
16:44I don't know. There's a ton of running backs in that range. Maybe McCaffrey falls to you. Um people going to go double running back
16:51at that late first. And so if you can then grab DeVonta Smith as your wide receiver one and then pair him with
16:57another great wide receiver at that next turn or maybe you get lucky and one of the top-end running backs fell and you
17:02can go three uh running backs plus DeVonta Smith. Like it's a good spot where DeVonta Smith maybe isn't your traditional wide receiver one in your
17:10mind, but because of the value you're getting on him with the locked and loaded running backs you'll have to pair with him. If he ends up as a top seven
17:18wide receiver because he's being, you know, targeted 10 times every single week, that's going to really benefit your roster. So, love the value on him.
17:27I also love the value on Jalen Hurts.
17:30Mid sixth-round pick right now. This is a guy that people were absolutely drafting in round three. Sure, he had a down season last year, but he could run
17:37for 15 touchdowns. He could theoretically run for 17 touchdowns this season. And while they're going to lose AJ Brown, they added McKay Lemon, who
17:45we'll talk about in a second. They added Sowers, we'll talk about after that. Um these are not replacements for AJ Brown.
17:52AJ Brown is still like you'd prefer if you said, "Oh, could you have AJ Brown or those two?" You want AJ Brown. He's a
17:58great wide receiver, but it's not like they lost AJ Brown and now they have to play complete and utter scrubs. Like
18:04they still have playmakers around him.
18:07Uh so, I like him. Um he's also kind of uh typically um someone that falls a little bit cuz people just don't like him as a
18:15as a player. Uh and then also, he goes a lot of times at the end of that tier of quarterback. And so, you can be in your
18:22draft being like, "Okay, I wanted to target that early to mid quarterback, but he's the last one in that tier. So,
18:27if you don't get him, he won't be there in the next round and now you have to go double late quarterback if you want to
18:33kind of make up that value."
18:35Personally, I'd rather just draft Hurts, hope that he has that kind of year where he's running for like 12 to 15
18:41touchdowns, hope that the passing numbers are solid, and know that even if he's not what he used to be, which is
18:47like a top three quarterback, that's fine cuz you got him in the mid sixth round. Opportunity cost is way lower.
18:53After him, I'd say it's McKay Lemon. Uh he goes at the round seven eight turn in a 12 team league. Uh personally, he's my favorite
19:00wide receiver in this draft class, but not for fantasy. So, like talent-wise, you strip landing spot, you strip everything else out, I think he's got
19:08the best shot to be the best wide receiver in in class, but when he lands on Philly, that's not great. Um they're not going
19:15to have high passing volume. Um and a lot of it's going to go to DeVonta Smith. They're going to throw a little
19:20bit to Saquon. They're going to throw a little bit to Stowers and Goedert. And when you have games where they're just
19:25not throwing the ball that often, that just limits things a lot more than you're going to see for Cornell Tate and
19:32for Jordan Tyson. So, talent-wise, I love him. Opportunity-wise, I don't love it as much. And the big question is, what are they doing 12? Right? Does Quez
19:41Watkins play in 12 personnel when they put Dallas Goedert and Stowers onto the field? Right now, if you made me guess,
19:48I would say no, at least to start the season. Maybe later on, he will. And that's a problem. It's also a problem
19:55that they throw Stowers out there. He could theoretically play in the flex spot. Like, Stowers is basically or in the flex spot, the slot.
20:03Stowers is basically just a slot wide receiver. He's not very good at blocking. You can play him at tight end.
20:08That's why it's a little bit exciting at fantasy. Um and we'll get to his ADP. I think it's it's pretty nice.
20:14But at the end of the day, that could take away from Quez Watkins. So, I think I still put him here because again, I
20:19love the talent. He is my favorite receiver in this class. It's does he play in 12 personnel? Do they throw the
20:26ball enough to be viable? So, love him.
20:28And I think that the again, I don't want to poopoo him too much here. It's the late seventh round. He could be your
20:33third if you went super heavy at running back and drafted an early tight end or quarterback, third wide receiver, or he's your fourth wide receiver. At that
20:40point, like, it's worth the risk taking a shot on someone who has his level of talent. Um after him, I'd say it's
20:47Saquon, and that might surprise people, but going at the 202, like, you know, sometimes going at the end of round one, I don't think he's cooked. I
20:55just feel like that's really expensive.
20:57When you guys got guys like, um you know, Devon Achane, Trey Palmer, Hampton, Achane Achane, I mean, I don't know. Like, I feel like
21:06you're taking those three over Saquon Barkley. Um Just look look at the trajectories of their careers, right? Those three are on
21:14the ascension. They're all great talents. They're all going to be used in receiving game. I'd say Achane and Achane obviously a lot more in receiving
21:21game than Hampton. Um but like, you know, they're all kind of trending up.
21:25They all have that chance to break out and be a top three running back.
21:30Saquon again is awesome, but the odds are he has a season similarish to last year, and there's that chance that he
21:38does regress a little bit uh and kind of continues his drop-off in his career.
21:43And then the other thing I'd say is look at the backups, right? I'd say Keaton Mitchell. So, like, Hampton is kind of
21:48like, you know, at the end of that like Achane and Achane in my opinion Achane and Achane uh then Hampton because Keaton Mitchell
21:54is someone of a concern. Look at the backups here. Achane is no one you're worried about. Achane is no one you're
21:59worried about. I'm not worried about Washington. Um and really I'm not that worried about uh Keaton Mitchell because of how good the think the Chargers
22:05offense can be. There's room to eat for both of them.
22:08But I'm a little worried about Tank Bigsby. I actually think he's like decent, and I think if they wanted to limit the workload in any way of Saquon
22:14Barkley to keep him healthy, keep him more fresh, they can do so because Tank Bigsby is a quality backup running back.
22:20And so, I don't know that they will. It seems like it in my mind like if Saquon doesn't want that to happen, it won't
22:26happen.
22:28But it's at least a concern I have.
22:30Whereas like, I know for a fact that especially Achane and Achane are just going to be fed the football this season. And so, I don't know. If they're
22:39ascending, they're going to be fed the football, and there's at least some risk with Saquon, it's not as ideal in my
22:44mind. Um and at 202, like, again, sometimes he goes in round one. I just don't think Saquon's a round one pick
22:50this year. Um Next up, Stowers. And you could argue honestly that Stowers deserves to be, you know, kind of put up there with um
22:59Mecole Hardman. I would just say the only reason he's not is because like I love him honestly like an underdog or
23:04like a a tight end premium league where like an underdog you might draft three tight ends and you got to use all of
23:08them. In a traditional format that a lot of you play in, he goes in round 16 kind of for a reason. There's a decent amount
23:15of tight ends that are solid. He is still the tight end two like Dallas Goedert should project ahead of him. Um
23:21he might not play as much as people think a little especially early on because he's such a bad blocker. You can't throw him out there especially as
23:28the only tight end because like you need Dallas Goedert out there blocking a little bit um cuz Quez Watkins literally like is a slot wide receiver. He will
23:36not be blocking anyone well and so it's easy to click him in a double tight end build if you waited a long time and you
23:43took a shot on like an Olamide Zaccheaus or a Quez Watkins or like a Seddiq or like someone like that where you're like
23:48I don't know even uh like a Mark Andrews where you're like I think there's upside here but I don't know. It's really easy
23:53to click Quez Watkins as that second tight end uh but I would not feel confident in him as my only tight end
23:59going into week one cuz there's a chance he goes out there and plays like 30% of the snaps and has one or two targets and
24:04you're like whoops, I really need someone else as an option. Uh so that's why he's a little bit lower but if
24:11everything works out the way that it could work out and he's genuinely used as a slot wide receiver um and when I
24:17say that it's like if they go into 11 personnel, they're probably still going to use Quez Watkins in the slot cuz it just makes a lot of
24:23sense. He's their best option there. Um I I don't think they would like not use Quez Watkins.
24:29Is there a world where maybe like Quez Watkins is terrible and they're like okay Quez Watkins, you won the outside job and they genuinely use Quez Watkins
24:36in the slot? That would be awesome in like 11 personnel um cuz you could also start in 12, right? You could start with
24:44DeVonta Smith and Quez Watkins on the outside and you've got a a formation that has uh Dallas Goedert and Quez Watkins, right? That's your 12
24:51personnel.
24:53Again, hopefully if you're Quez Watkins you're with them.
24:55They can run it from that or they can also split Stowers out into the slot a little bit more and kind of change up
25:00the formation in that way. Get a little bit more advantageous spot. They could put him out wide. I don't know if that
25:04that's as optimal, but you know, there's like flexibility they have in the offense to come out in one set and change to another if they see something
25:11in the defense. And that's a really big positive for Stowers giving them that flexibility. So, I like him a lot, but
25:17again, I don't know I'd trust it as my only tight end, especially in a league that only has like 15 rounds. You're
25:22just not going to get to Stowers. You could easily draft a tight end before that. So, more so a two tight end
25:27builder. But especially a superflex, um or especially on 10 and premium, we like him. Uh Tank Bigsby.
25:34Kind of mentioned before, great handcuff. If you draft Saquon, you're better be drafting Tank Bigsby this season. He's not going to take over
25:41obviously, but if Saquon were to suffer a long injury, I think they feel confident giving Tank Bigsby, you know, 17 or 18 touches a game. He'd be someone
25:50we're just auto locking into the lineup.
25:52So, why not draft them both, right? If he's like free, he's like the 14th, 15th round. You draft Saquon in round two,
25:58you're like, "Oh man, that makes me nervous." Just draft Tank Bigsby like two rounds ahead of ADP, lock him up as
26:03that handcuff. And now you've just got the starting running back on the Eagles every single game all season cuz it's not going to be a situation where they
26:10split the workload. I know I said there's a possibility they use him to keep him fresh. That would just be like
26:15not having Saquon get 95% of the running back touches. If they scale that down to like 85% or something like that, that
26:22still limits his effectiveness as a round two pick. Uh but there'll never be a situation where it's 50/50, 60/40, probably even 70/30. So, um no
26:33regular value, but a ton of contingent value, contingent upside if there's an injury. Uh after that, I would say it's Dallas Goedert. I really just don't like
26:40Goedert. I liked him a lot last season uh for that upside. And he really hit last season, but when you bring in
26:48Stowers, that hurts because there could be a lot of plays where they play in 12-personnel and Goddard is kept in the block cuz
26:54they're not going to keep Stowers in the block. Uh and then also he's he's more expensive. So, he was going in like
26:59round 12, 13 last year. He's already up into round 10. Uh maybe that that drops off, but like I I don't like him in that
27:05round 10 range. Um I just think there are better uses of your ADP at that point. Stowers is literally a better
27:12use. Like don't draft Goddard at 10, draft Stowers in your final round. And while Goddard's probably better, uh you can get kind of the end of the really
27:19good skill players in that range instead. Uh and then I would say Wix. I mean, he's going in the mid-18th round.
27:25If you feel like taking him in an Underdog stack, sure. You're not drafting him in a redraft league.
27:30Fourth best.
27:32Cleveland Browns. Surprising, uh but you know, uh they get a pretty good schedule. Um they do have a below-average playoff schedule, so that's not great. Uh and
27:42their schedule is better for passing than it is rushing. I would prefer it be better for rushing because Judkins is my
27:48favorite player, we'll talk about in a second. Uh but good schedule. Um it's just that like when you combine poor playoff schedule with the fact that
27:55they're Cleveland, so their home games the fact that they're Cleveland as an organization. Then also the fact that their home games
28:02later in the season are in Cleveland. It could be very windy, it could be rainy, it could be snowy, it could be wet and
28:08gross.
28:09You know, you compare that to someone like the Saints, like um the Lions that we've talked about. Well, they get their
28:15home games in a dome. And when they play division games, those are in domes as well. So, it's like it's a lot better,
28:20at least some of them are division games are in a dome. Uh it's better than being in Cleveland. And that's not as apparent
28:26early in the season, it's very apparent later in the season when you have those like 35-point totals in Cleveland. But, they have a good schedule, uh and that's
28:34definitely a benefit for Judkins. Maybe they can steal a couple more games than expected. And he goes right now in the
28:40early fifth. He's easily, in my opinion, the best Cleveland player to target.
28:44He's a very talented running back. Um there's a cliff, like I've said, in running back after round three, um, even sometimes at the end of round three, to
28:54get a running back of his talent level with the opportunity to get 20 touches a game in round five is something that I
29:00don't expect to continue. I do think he's going to jump up into like the mids early fourth round by August, so great
29:06value right now, great value in Underdog right now, as well. Um, monitor his progress coming off the foot injury.
29:12That's why his ADP is later, but he's already out there in OTAs. Um, he looks good. Maybe he doesn't look 100%, but I
29:20feel pretty confident he's going to be close to 100% in week one, and I don't think the public is going to be okay
29:27with that. Certainly a chance he suffers a setback, certainly a chance that maybe he's not as healthy as we think, but
29:32everything that I've seen seems to indicate that like he's going to be good to go, and if he is, round five is
29:37ridiculous for player of his talent level. Uh, after him, I'd say it's Casey Can't Stop Won't Stop, um, going to end
29:43of the 10th round. Some people think that he could be the best wide receiver in this class, uh, just because of his
29:48ability to get open. I think that's a little bit aggressive, but I do love him. Um, he should win the wide receiver
29:55one job pretty easily in Cleveland. Um, great value. You're getting him around 10, round 11. There's no risk there, and if you are getting someone that some
30:04people, some people I respect, think could be the best wide receiver in this class, I mean, how do you not take that
30:09sort of value? Uh, after him, I'd say, honestly, I think it's a cliff after that. I really don't like the many
30:15Cleveland players. It's Judkins, it's Can't Stop Won't Stop, and it's almost no one else. Fannin is fine, but he goes in round six. That's too expensive in my
30:23opinion. Uh, he won on volume, he won on garbage time last season. Mid-round tight end is a losing strategy overall.
30:30What it comes down to is like, do the 50/50. Would you rather Jayden Daniels and Mark Andrews or Tyler Shuck and Fannin?
30:39Maybe you like the Shuck Fannin side, but I think Daniel's Mark Andrews is definitely the win there. Um after him, I would say Denzel Boston. I
30:47just don't think Denzel Boston's that good. 13th round, so do whatever you want that late. Uh but I also just don't
30:53want to over invest in Cleveland. Uh Dylan Sampson, 14th round, sure, handcuff Judkins, but I mean, he goes in the same range as Tank Bigsby, and I
31:01think Tank Bigsby is clearly a better handcuff than Dylan Sampson. Uh and then Jerry Jeudy, I mean, I think he's probably better
31:09than Denzel Boston, but uh will they just go the youth movement and play Boston? Maybe. And it's not like Jerry Jeudy is that good. And then the
31:18quarterbacks don't take them. So, it truly just is Judkins Concepcion. I'm really not drafting anyone else, but occasionally I'll take Fant in if he
31:24falls. Uh we'll do a shout-out to end this one.
31:28Uh Arizona Cardinals, they don't have um an amazing like overall schedule, and they're bad, and we don't know what's happening at quarterback. So, there's
31:36reasons to be pessimistic on the Arizona Cardinals, but they're one of just three teams that does get three dome games in
31:43the fantasy playoffs, and they do have the number two playoff strength of schedule, including the number one strength of schedule for passing. They
31:50get home versus the Jets, at the Saints, home versus the Raiders. That's an awesome schedule.
31:57The downside are still there, though.
31:58Again, like I don't know if this holdout's going to go very good for Brissett. If you are the Cardinals, why on earth would you pay him? You're
32:04trying to get the 1.01 next year. You're trying to tank.
32:08Why would you pay Brissett a ton of money if he's holding out? Like, just go with your rookie quarterback, test things out, have a bad year. Sure,
32:16you're wasting year of Love. That's why you don't draft Love as early as they did. But, um and you're wasting year of
32:21Marvin Harrison Jr. You're wasting year of um Michael Wilson. So, of McBride, like you have a young team, it's bad to be
32:29tanking, but they kind of have to because they don't have the quarterback of the future. Maybe they pay Brissett, and if that happens, I like this offense
32:35a lot more, but we will just see what happens in that situation, Um but you still have question marks. What's the
32:40split between Marv and Michael Wilson? I like Bowers over McBride, so I don't draft McBride that often. Love is probably the best pick, but my guess is
32:49he rises into the mid second round come August. And so, love the playoff schedule, love the dome games. Um much prefer investing in the first four
32:58teams we talked about. Detroit, New Orleans, Philly, and then Judkins and Concepcion on Cleveland. No one else really on Cleveland. So, check out my
33:08website thefantasyfootballadvice.com if you want to see all the data from this and filter things too. Who do you think has or who do you want to see has
33:15the best early season schedule, late season schedule? Can filter all of it and see all of the data for that. I'll
33:21make the exact same video next week, but for worst strength of schedule, so it'll be the exact same format just on the
33:28opposite end. Um so, make sure to subscribe so you don't miss out on that one. And remember, it is free to mock
33:34draft on my website as well this season.
33:36Test out different draft strategies, see what you like, see what you don't like.
33:40Again, thefantasyfootballadvice.com.
33:43All right, that'll do it for this one.
33:44Thank you all for watching and I'll catch you all on the next one.