0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Saturday. It's time to go team by team. Talk about the most important bit of news over the
0:06last week for each team. Going to be a long one. So sit back, hit the like button. Let's start things off with the
0:11Arizona Cardinals. Michael Wilson got paid uh three years $75 million, 47 million fully guaranteed. In terms of
0:19annual average salary, it is the seventh highest wide receiver contract this off season. 6 million per year less than a
0:26got. Three and a half million per year less than Alec Pierce. uh two million per year more than Christian Watson and
0:32seven and a half million per year more than Michael Pitman Jr. Um if you forced me to draft an Arizona wide receiver at
0:39cost. I do prefer Michael Wilson in the early eighth round over Marv in that like mid to late sixth round. You guys
0:46have heard me talk plenty. Sixth round still has a very high opportunity cost. Much lower into seven and then very much
0:53lower into eight. So, if you wanted to for some reason hold off on drafting wide receiver in six, wanted to go with
0:59quarterback there, or maybe you got to round eight and you're like, you know, I still attacked wide receiver early on, but I really want to still get another
1:05one. Michael Wilson's a pretty good pick in round uh eight because I feel like it's basically a top up as to who's
1:11going to be more valuable this season. Marv is probably going to play more snaps. He's probably the one that is used more in one wide receiver sets, but
1:17I do think Michael Wilson gets more of the layup route. So, I think his targets per route run will be higher. I think his efficiency will also be higher. Uh,
1:24so I think it's going to be close between these two. Uh, but contingent upside is great. Obviously, we saw that last season for Michael Wilson. Uh, but
1:31yeah, I think between the two, I'd prefer uh the cost for Michael Wilson. Uh, in Falcons camp, Atlanta Falcons
1:38seems like Branch is going to open as that wide receiver four. And I think he's going to earn that role as the three, you know, earn his way into more
1:44three wide receiver sets as the season goes along. A lot of people have been asking why I typically don't include him
1:51in like sleeper videos, talk about him as a late round sleeper. I think he's fine. I really like the talent. I'm totally fine playing him on something
1:57like underdog. But for those you in a 10 or a 12 team reddraft league, unless you have like seven or eight bench spots,
2:02you probably just don't have to go there. At the end of the day, this quarterback play this team is not going to be good. They still have Bejon,
2:08London, Pitts, who are going to soak up so many targets that even if you know, Branch works his way up to the three.
2:14even if by end of season he was the second most targeted wide receiver, how much is that even someone you want? And
2:20that's still something has to work up to. So, in a reddraft league, I really feel like he's going to be free for free agency most of the season. So, uh don't
2:26need to go there, but yeah, I'm fine taking him in best baseball kind of like round 18. Uh Baltimore Ravens, nothing
2:32much. We're still waiting to see if the league is going to suspend Baitman. Um I have no clue how long that investigation
2:38is going to take. um he'll start the season active, but then we'll just kind of see what happens after that. Uh it's
2:45not like you're drafting Baitman. Um unlikely you really want to play the wide 32 in Baltimore at all this season,
2:50but um theoretically it eases the path for Jacobe Lane, right? He had a very
2:56very strong camp. Uh he's an interesting flyer late because he looks to be very talented, looks to be breaking out and
3:02we know Baitman is disappointed literally every season of his career. And so could Lane be that two to close
3:08the season? Maybe uh at the end of the day though again you probably don't even care like you're probably just never
3:13going to start the two while Lamar's quarterback. Uh Buffalo Bills Shakir feels 50/50 for week one. Don't think
3:20that matters too much though. Like even if you knew he wasn't going to play week one, I don't think it would change like if you really wanted to draft him like
3:26you're not going to start him anyways that week. So I don't think it matters that much. I just maintain DJ Moore is
3:31probably the only Buffalo wide receiver you want to be drafting this season. But this matters a little bit because if
3:36Shakir misses week one, misses week two, like for any week that he misses, uh Daltton Concaid does become a stronger
3:43pick. You know, he operates in that same area of the field. Uh you would see maybe his slap slot rate go up. Like it
3:50would just benefit Dalton Concincaid if Shakir were to miss. Um so kind of watch
3:55that. Uh problem is it's at Texans. So it's not exactly the best first week for
4:01him. It's actually a very difficult like opening four or five weeks for Buffalo. Um but yeah, watch watch the status
4:07there as it pertains to Duncan Kade and just you wouldn't even care about the other receivers at all. Panthers camp.
4:13Uh Jonathan Brooks missed practice with some soreness, but the Panthers are very optimistic for week one. He should be
4:18out there in week one. Uh odds are they'll have both Brooks and Chuba and that they'll basically start with a
4:24split and it's going to be based on play how it moves from there with the understanding that Brooks will still be
4:29used more in the receiving game than Chuba and that Brooks is just the better talent. So between the two of them if
4:34both remain healthy they're going to slowly give more touches to Brooks. Um I still think Jonathan Brooks is a great
4:40pick in that general round seven range and I still would not be drafting Chuba Huburn unless he fell really far. Uh
4:46Chicago Bears, we had an injury scare with Swift that is theoretically still an injury watch as of recording this.
4:52The latest I have heard is that it seems to have just been cramping. So that was a big sigh of relief. I've not seen
4:59anything else. I don't think we're going to see anything else. Uh the problem is like we might not hear anything until
5:05Monday. Like we're not really likely to hear anything over the weekend. I will say this, like if it actually was
5:10cramping that could come out. Like that is something where like multiple sources, you know, people have sources within NFL teams. You know, if if it was
5:17cramping and the team is comfortable just kind of like saying that, I think it will leak at some point. That's like, yeah, totally fine. Again, confirmed it
5:23was cramping. If it was something else, I actually don't think that we would know. I think it would like basically
5:28Monday would happen. We wouldn't see Swift. They'd be like, "Hey, what's happening?" And then like by Wednesday injury report, that's when we maybe will
5:35find out. So, not ideal timing if you're drafting this weekend, but I have a draft this weekend on Sunday. Again, if
5:42we hear nothing else, I'm just going to assume it was cramping. Maybe if it's really, really close, and I truly don't
5:48know between two players, maybe I'll lean away from Swift, but it would have to be that. It would have to be very close. Um, one player in particular
5:55could be like ETN, Travis ETN. Like, if if you have those two backto-back like I
6:01do, I have like 3.4 4 separating the projection. Maybe you can lean towards uh ETN now that we have this like
6:07potential injury, but I still think I'm just going to go with the rankings. Wherever Swift is, that's to take him.
6:13Adun also left practice early, but they very quickly said he was fine. So, for both players, I'm drafting like normal
6:20this weekend. And the hope is come Monday, everything's good to go. Uh Cincinnati Bengals, Eric All, their
6:26tight end, uh seems to be a full go, like not even like slightly limited, full go in week one. Uh, I'm excited
6:32about his return. Not for him, like you're not drafting him in fantasy, but he's by far their best run blocker, good
6:38pass blocker. Like, he will help. And the fact that their offensive line is already so improved this season. If you
6:44add on a tight end, because Gaseki doesn't block, you add on a tight end that can run block, pass block, kind of
6:50give them almost that like extra offensive lineman sometimes, especially on like deep play action, that could be very exciting. It just gives Burrow a
6:56little bit more time. It just gives a little bit more running room uh to Chase Brown. And so I'm just excited about the
7:02Bengals offense this season. I really want them to stay fully healthy because this offense has so much upside. It's
7:08just for years now it's like the quarterback it's hurt, the line stinks or like Chase is hurt, Burrow's hurt. It's just like something is always
7:14wrong. Can we just get like even a three-month stretch where this team is fully healthy? Again, not drafting Eric
7:21All. But I'm just excited about what his return could bring for this offense. Uh Cleveland Browns seems like if Judkins
7:28misses time that Raheem Sanders, Rocket Sanders, uh he's basically going to take over the Judkins role and that Dylan
7:35Samson just purely is viewed by the team as only a passing down back. Not shocking after he averaged 2.7 yards per
7:42carry as a rookie, never profiled as an early down running back. Um I I just I
7:47wouldn't handcuff Judkins basically is why I'm saying this. For many of you, you get scared with these early round picks. Not that Judkins goes that early,
7:54but in what, like round five, you'll typically have to take him. Um, I just wouldn't do it. Even if you were scared
7:59and you're like, "Oh no, like he's my like maybe you went wide receiver heavy is your second running back. You want to handcuff him with someone." Don't do
8:06that. Number one, it's the Browns. He's a bad offensive line. Both of those two running backs would be bad if um there
8:11was an injury, but it's not Dylan Samson. It's not like Dylan Samson al all of a sudden becomes this featured running back. His role basically stays
8:17the same if there's an injury. So, do not handcuff Judkins. uh Dallas Cowboys.
8:23I've said this um in videos like a few times, but it's basically worth repeating.
8:29There's certain handcuffs that you're cool with, right? We just said we're not cool with Dylan Samson as a handcuff.
8:35Malik Davis is. And I don't think ADPs have like fully caught up. Even on underdog, I don't think it's fully
8:40caught up yet. And in reaff platforms, it definitely hasn't. Like if it's clear, take them. So, if I'm drafting
8:47Javvante Williams, all you have to do is draft Malik Davis. And Malik Davis won't
8:53be as good as Javante Williams, but he won't be a huge step down in fantasy. And the fact that you can spend the pick
8:59on Javante and then the final round of your draft, take Malik Davis. You can basically lock in
9:06high-end running back to production all season by those two picks. That's valuable. And so even though he kind of
9:12sits on your bench, doesn't do anything, he is someone I would want to draft, want to hang on to if I did draft
9:17Devonte Williams this weekend, you're just locking in the starting running back on Dallas. And that's a very, very
9:22valuable role now that we know. Uh Denver Broncos, Shawn Peyton said the running back room is further along than
9:28they were last season. I mean, that makes sense, right? Harvey's now in year two, so he's further along. Uh JK
9:33Dobbins is where he was last season, going to be great in the scheme. And then Coleman looks good. He looks like a
9:39hit for them. He looks like a good running back. And so, um, I do think that like because of this and because of the depth, they are going to be more
9:45runheavy this season. They're very pass heavy last year. But having all three of these backs, like you know, for a while
9:51last year, they only had Harvey. He was really bad on the ground mostly for efficiency. Having all three, having
9:56Harvey in year two, having this great offensive line, I think they're going to run the ball at a higher rate this
10:02season. So, you don't love that from Bon Knicks's perspective, but also for Bon Knicks, if the offensive line is great
10:07and you add in Waddle and the run game is awesome, Bon Knicks just might be efficient enough to make up for that. So, it's not like I'm fading Bon Knicks
10:14or anything. Um, but I'm I'm also just kind of excited to see how this running back room shakes out. Um, Dobbins is
10:20going to open as the lead like first couple weeks for sure if he stays healthy. He's the lead running back in
10:26early downs. I think mostly it will be Harvey to start off on passing downs in the red zone, things like that. Uh, but
10:31I think they'll give a couple touches to Jonah Coleman early on. And I'm just really excited to see how he looks on
10:37those touches. If he keeps ripping off these like five, six yard gains in like chunks, that's super valuable to NFL
10:43teams. And given that like I just think he's a good running back, he could eat into both their workloads to where it's
10:50probably gross for everyone, but it's one injury away. And Coleman is just one of those players late in drafts that,
10:56you know, when someone's one injury away from being really, really good, I want them. He's one of those players. Uh
11:01Detroit Lions, their GM was asked about the Pacheco injury. Uh and he said basically he's progressing. He didn't
11:08really want to give any sort of details, any sort of real update in the timeline, but he did say uh basically when asked
11:13straight up like do you expect Bacho back at some point this season. He said that's the hope. And like when you put
11:19someone on IR and then you say hopefully we get them back this year, you're not drafting Isaiah Pacheco right now. Um I
11:26I don't even know when he's coming back. I don't know if when he comes back like if he'll even be the backup. I think
11:33they could trade for someone like Tyron Tracy Jr. like I think there's a lot of outcomes here where he has no value. So it it's frustrating because when you
11:39draft Gibbs at the 101, you want a handcuff, right? You're spending like literally the highest draft capital you
11:44can possibly spend at someone, you want their backup. You want to be like, "Okay, well if he goes down, at least I have something." You can't do that
11:51though until they trade for someone or bring someone else in. You just cannot draft a handcuff to Gibbs. And I know
11:56it's frustrating. Uh, Packers seems up in the air, honestly, if Jacobs is going to play at all this season. If I had to
12:02guess, I would say he will not. So, don't draft him this weekend. Uh, Marshon Lloyd has seen his ADP
12:08skyrocket. Uh, he went in the seventh round of a 14 team league draft I did the other day, uh, which is round eight
12:14in a 12man. Um, I think that's basically where you're going to have to draft him this weekend if you want to be taking
12:19him. I think it's fine. You're just not getting a discount, right? It's not like he's some like third or fourth round talent that you're getting, you know,
12:26later. Like the ADPs have adjusted. He's basically going as high as he can. Um
12:32there's obvious risk here, right? I was pounding the table for him the last two years because I know he's a talented
12:38player and if he gets the opportunity, I think he can be good, but I was pounding the table for him in round 18 on
12:43underdog, which is like round 20, 22 in a reddraft league. in round seven or
12:48eight in a reddraft league, all of a sudden he's amongst players who are going to have roles this season. And while I think he will be good when
12:54healthy, he does need to stay healthy, which is something he has not done. So, um I still find taking him, um I don't
13:00think he's like a slam dunk pick in these middle rounds. Um and we'll see if Caleb Johnson's going to have a role
13:07this year. Houston Texans, not a whole lot. Uh but Booty is progressing. You know, he's getting reps with CJ Stra. He
13:14seems very set up to be their wide receiver, too. Maybe not in week one or two because he did join in so late, but
13:20he's gonna be the two most weeks this year. Uh not a massive target in a reddraft league. Um I don't mind taking
13:26him in deeper formats, but again 10 12 team leagues, five or six bench spots maybe as your last receiver, but you
13:31probably don't need to go that deep. Um obviously has that ceiling of like he was a really high in prospect at one
13:37point. Nico Collins is going to obviously draw the most coverage for defenders and so there will be weeks
13:43where like Houston falls behind and he's in the deep roll and he hits deep. Like there's going to be some spiked weeks
13:48for Kahan Booty. Um but it's still overall on average going to be a lower volume passing attack. Um and again he
13:53joined the team recently. So I just I don't need know you need to draft him in a reddraft league. Uh don't be shocked by a slow start, but he's someone I'm
14:00excited for to see, you know, how he can play for them this season, how you know how good he can be. uh Colts. Seems like
14:07what we feared about Alec Pierce's role is kind of coming true, right? So, we kind of talked about how like given what
14:14they paid, the team is clearly planning to give him an expanded role this season. But then when you miss basically
14:21all of training camp, can they do that? And it kind of came out where they're like, yeah, they expected to give him
14:26that more of that role, but they were just never able to. You know, when when someone misses that much time in camp, you can't game plan for it because you
14:33don't know. you didn't really know when he was going to come back and so you can't practice, you can't game plan. Like so they clearly had to shift the
14:38game plan around a little bit. Uh so I do think at least at a minimum to start the year, Alec Pierce is basically in
14:45the same role he was last season which is probably a pretty frustrating role in fantasy and that DS is set up to play a
14:51lot more snaps to have a lot more usage and basically it's can he hold up, you know, can a wide receiver of his frame
14:58hold up on the outside given that he's been banged up a lot, you know, so far in the NFL. Um, can he stay healthy? Can
15:04he command those targets? We'll see. Like, I think he's an exciting pick because if he can stay healthy, he's
15:10probably gonna shatter his ADP. Uh, but can he? I don't know. I in that 14 team league, I did draft him. Needed a wide
15:16receiver in that range. He's someone whose talent I really like. So, I'm very comfortable drafting him. Uh, but again,
15:22I was never able to make him a must draft player. Jaguars. Um, we got a little bit more negative news on two and
15:28it was like some negative, some positive. The team is clearly very excited. That's one one thing I want to reiterate with him is like the team's
15:34excited about his potential, but when you start thinking about the upside in
15:39round five in fantasy, uh John Shipley is probably the best beat reporter for Jacksonville. Basically said it'll
15:45probably be a rotation on passing downs, but that Crod is the better pass blocker and that Amir Abdullah, believe it or
15:51not, is the better pass catcher. And so there's going to be a lot of third downs where it's Abdullah or it's Crod and
15:57some Toutin will be out there, but I think people are just overestimating how much Toutin is going to play. Crod's
16:03going to mix in. Abdullah might mix in. I still don't know 100% there. And this is while Allen is, you know, out. Then
16:08look, when Allen comes back, he's going to have passing down role. So it's like I don't know. It's it's concerning in
16:14round five, but I I get it because the upside is still very obvious there. Um,
16:19one other thing is that Jacobe Myers has been tanking in drafts. Um, he's back at practice. He's probably playing in week
16:26one. Um, he probably should not be tanking as much as he is. He's really solid wide receiver. He's not going to finish as like a high-end wide receiver,
16:32too. But he's definitely someone who like if you're in a three wide receiver league, a two flex league that like every week you'll probably consider
16:38like, should I put him into three? Should I put him in the flex spot? And that has value for late as he goes. Uh,
16:44Kansas City, uh, Ken Walker has been practicing. He's totally fine after. Remember we talked about I think it was
16:49last week how he had the weird like ankle swelling because his cleat was messed up. It was it was a bit of an odd
16:56situation, but keep drafting him like normal. He practiced this week. Um I still don't think you need to take Emtt
17:02Johnson as that handcuff if you draft Ken Walker because I do think it'll be somewhat of a rotation. But if you were
17:07very nervous about him, you can still draft EMTT Johnson in like one of the final rounds. Uh because his role will
17:13be there. I think Emtt Johnson's a pretty high-end talent. he can be used in the receiving game and so while he wouldn't be featured he'd be a lot less
17:19valuable than Ken Walker I think that like there's a chance you would be starting Emtt Johnson so I don't mind I
17:24just don't think you have to do it uh Raiders they're very optimistic that Genty will play in week one but I think
17:31we're going to learn a lot more next week if Genty goes out there and he's practicing next week we can have more confidence in that and then more
17:37confidence that his snaps won't be too capped um I do think he'll play I just I
17:42kind of think he's going to be limited to some degree cuz they play the Dolphins. Like I it's not that the
17:48Raiders are some amazing team, but like they're not favored in that many games this season and they are favored by like three or four points against the
17:54Dolphins because Dolphins are really bad. And so it's not like they need Genty to go out there and play 90% of
17:59snaps. They can play Mike Washington in uh you know kind of a 40% role have only
18:0560% to Genty and that would be enough to kind of like cap his ceiling in fantasy. But I don't know, we just have to see
18:11the reports because like even on 14 or 15 touches for Genti, you probably want to be playing that. Uh and you probably
18:17draft him a range where like you need to be playing him. Um so maybe it's a good
18:22thing that they're playing such a terrible team to start the year because you can feel confident that the efficiency is probably going to be there
18:27for Genty. So he can start the year highly efficient against a bad team and then as he ramps up against, you know,
18:33tougher opponents, well, maybe his um snaps go up to kind of account for that. Uh, Chargers, still no Katon Mitchell
18:39update, but we get injury reports next week, so we can at least see that. Um, the good news is that he's been working
18:46off to the side uh with the trainers. He did not go on IR to return, so the team does expect him to play over the first
18:53month. Um, hopefully we do get some positive news this week. Um, but I'm basically drafting him like normal. Um,
19:00just because we were never going to start him in week one anyways. um if he happens to miss a game, miss two weeks,
19:06you're not drafting him in a range where you need to play him. Uh and so again, especially because he did not go on IR,
19:12um I'm just a little bit more okay with that. Just understand he's probably going to be back pretty early. We want
19:17him for the upside when he's fully ramped up. And especially if you have an IR spot. I mean, if he's only going to miss a game or two or maybe no games,
19:24like he might just play in week one, but even if he misses a game or two, you throw him an IR um when you hopefully have no other players that are injured
19:30right now, get an extra ad and just see if that player can break out. But you would like to see him practicing with the team next week. Rams, uh Puka is not
19:39on the commissioner exempt list, but the case is still being reviewed by the NFL, so it could still happen at some point.
19:45Um I don't have a good read on this one, honestly. Um, with Jacobs, it was a lot more clear, right? What he was being
19:51accused of was so much more severe. The fact that they had a video, like it was like, okay, like something's going to
19:57happen here. Uh, then the fact that he immediately goes on um the Exemplus, like it just it's it's much worse,
20:03right? Much worse of a situation, much, you know, more serious allegations for
20:08uh Jacobs. I still think the likely outcome is that Puka is not suspended in any way this
20:14season. But and I I would still take Chase over him even if he didn't have this whole thing. Um but I would still
20:21take Puka fourth or fifth overall. So I'm good taking Chase first. I'm good taking Christian McAffrey first. I still
20:27would not take JT, James Cook, Aman Ra. Like I'm still taking Puka at fifth overall if I'm drafting this weekend. Uh
20:34and I'm still fine honestly taking him fourth overall. I think from a strategy perspective, it does make a little bit of sense to go running back instead with
20:40Christian McCaffrey. Uh but yeah, again, decent chance that Puka does not get suspended this season, and I'm not worried about his minor injury he had
20:47recently. Dolphins, uh I've been moving Chris Bell up the rankings a lot. Um
20:52he's a really strong late round pick. It's another one where ADPs can't really respond quick enough. Um we thought he'd
20:59miss like half the season or like maybe return like at best in week like five or six. like definitely open on IR. The
21:06fact that he's like playing in week one is crazy speaks to how athletic he is,
21:12how quick that ramp up was. Um I think there's a chance like you know even if he's the lead wide receiver on the
21:17Dolphins this season, like you still might not be playing him, they might be that bad of a passing attack, but the fact that he might lead a team in
21:23receiving and you can get him as like the last pick in your draft is appealing. Uh, and even if he doesn't end up as a high-end producer, if he's
21:30the, you know, lead receiver on Miami, that opens the door to weekly flex consideration. And that's something that
21:36like is, you know, unlikely for a lot of the players going this late. So, do you have to draft in a 10 team league?
21:41Probably not. But if you're in a 12 team league, six bench spots, I don't hate that last bench spot being Chris Bell.
21:47And as you expand past that, he really is a solid pick late in drafts. Um, but definitely even in a shallower league,
21:52keep an eye on his production and his usage in week one. Minnesota Vikings. Um, nothing really. I'm excited to see
21:59how Kyler looks in week one, but there is truly just no news out of Minnesota this week. Patriots camp. Um, Henderson
22:06has been dealing with an ankle injury. I do think he's going to play in week one, just that he's going to be limited. Uh,
22:12they've been like fairly optimistic in how they've been talking about it, basically being like, you know, we've
22:18had so much time like we can just hold him out, not have him practice, get him healed up. There's no reason to like get
22:23him back in practice and ramp him up too quickly. like there's been enough time to recover cuz it was a relatively minor
22:28ankle injury. Um, but I've said for like a month now that Henderson still goes too early. His ADP has dropped, but it
22:35has not dropped fast enough. He's at that like five, six turn now in a 12 team league. I would still not take him until the seventh round of a 12 team
22:41league. Um, Stevenson remains a great pick. His ADP is starting to skyrocket, is starting to catch up, but even at
22:47ADP, I would definitely be taking him in drafts. Saints. Uh Kamar was not placed
22:52on IR, so the expectation is also that he will return over the first month. Um
22:58they've said they're going to know a lot more this coming week. Um seeing if they can get him out there practicing. I don't think he starts the season, but
23:05like the fact that he might play in like week two or week three. I don't get why
23:10he's going in round 18 on underdog. I saw him go undrafted one time the other day. Like I take him a lot in round 18
23:15because I just I don't get it. like if he is going to play in the first month of the season, he's probably going to be their number two. He's probably going to
23:21have a passing down role. He's going to have some touchdowns this season. Like even though he's definitely older,
23:26definitely, you know, likely to suffer like another injury or setback, it's like he just goes so late amongst so
23:32many scrub players that I don't know in in a reddraft league, I don't know if
23:37you need to get him. But that 14 team league I talked about, um I did draft him uh later on in the draft, it was
23:44like one of the pretty late rounds. Um, but we have an IR spot. It's 14 teams. Running back is obviously very thin
23:50later on. Um, I took him. It was the mid13th round. The players that went before him were Dylan Samson, uh, Naji
23:57Harris, Ray Davis, Caleb Johnson. So, in that range of running back, if you're in that range in your draft and you see
24:04Alvin Kamara and you have an IR spot, grab him. Doesn't play week one because we'll find out soon if he's out for week
24:09one. Uh, throw him an IR and just get a free ad. Um, I just think his ADP has gotten to a point where it's like I feel
24:15like why not do it? Why not take that upside shot? Uh, Giants camp. Neighbors was fairly non-committal about week one.
24:22Um, I mean, that makes sense, right? He's coming off a major knee injury. He wants to ramp up smartly. I know that
24:29makes people really, really nervous, and I do still think there's a chance he doesn't play in week one, that he ramps up over the first month. Um, I said this
24:36in the wide receiver draft guide video we published yesterday. You're not taking neighbors in round three for this
24:42first month of production. You got to understand that he's going to ramp up. It's the targets are not going to be there as much to start the year. I think
24:49um the when you guys are watching this, the wide receiver the total rankings, but definitely wide receiver should be up on the website. Um he's not going to
24:56project super high in the first week of the season. It's the second half. It's the fact that in the second half of the
25:02season, you might be getting someone who's around one talent that you can pair with potentially an early first
25:08round pick. Like it's just the upside it creates there. So, especially if you are in a league where you like always make
25:13the playoffs and you know you draft deep teams and you're like, "Okay, I'll start my sixth round pick. You know what? If
25:19you got Parker Washington in round six, who would potentially be a bench player for you, just play him over uh Neighbors
25:27to start the season and then Neighbors ramps up. Now all of a sudden you just have just overload at the wide receiver
25:32position. If you feel like you're going to dominate your draft, it makes me more willing to take on a risk of a player
25:38like Neighbors because the ceiling is so significant. He could be ending the season as a top three wide receiver. And
25:44you can't really capture that in any other player in you know um in round three. I like Devonte Smith. I like
25:51Chris Olive, but objectively Malik Neighbors is the highest upside receiver after round one. Uh, and that that
25:58includes like AJ Brown and Nico Collins, but I would still take those two over neighbors. Jets camp, Sadi back at
26:03practice. Uh, I've said this for a while though, like it's going to be slow. So, in a reddraft league, you don't need to go there, but watch for some of these
26:10guys. I'm like, oh, you don't need to draft them. Chris Bell, uh, Kenyan Sadi, it's like at a minimum, even if you
26:17don't get there on your draft, check the box scores, watch the game, see the snaps. If we watch and like Sadi runs
26:24around him like 60% on drop backs in week one and then 80% in week two and like the ramp up is that quick. I am
26:30excited about the potential of his talent. I'm loading up in the 190s on underdog. Um I think he's more playing
26:37the second half of the season, but I am excited about the potential that late and the potential to have a breakout on
26:45free agency. But again, I don't know that you need to go there in reddraft. Eagles camp uh beat reporters have been
26:51backing off their take that Tank is gonna like eat into Saquon's workload. We talked about this all summer like the
26:57Eagles specifically, many teams have said this, but the Eagles have specifically said about Saquon Barkley
27:02uh when asked about like limiting his workload, they're like, "Well, you don't need to limit his workload in season, right? Like yes, it looks like a lot of
27:09touches, but the best way to limit someone's workload is to limit it in practice and limit it in the offseason
27:14when you know they're a talent like Saquon Barkley." So when beat reporters were like, "Oh yeah, they're splitting the workload." It's like, yeah, because
27:20they're limiting Saquon because they don't need to use him in the preseason. They don't need to use him in 11on1s and
27:27like in training camp. It's like he doesn't need to be gaining a bunch of touches there. Put him on the sideline more. Put Tank Bsby out there. Tank Bsby
27:34is a great handcuff, but that's all he is, a handcuff. Uh and Saquon still uh is definitely first among that group of
27:40like Ken Walker, Chase Brown, um Hampton, Derek Henry, like that whole
27:45grouping. Squan is first because he's going to have a very strong role on what I think will be a much better offense
27:51this season. Steelers camp um got a report to the backfield basically like we've been talking about like not fully
27:58knowing what the split's going to be. Got another report that basically confirmed what our our thoughts were and I think when that happens it's it's very
28:04easy to be like oh yeah I have that like confirmation bias but it just makes too much sense that Rico is the better
28:09running back on early downs that he has a history with the head coach who's given him a large workload on early downs. that Warren's a great pass
28:15catcher. He'll be that change of pace and passing down back. I think it makes both of them solid picks because Rico
28:21could have like,00 rushing yards and Warren could have 75 receptions. Like
28:27that could happen if they have such specific roles and both of them would have value. Um you would prefer of
28:32course you know Rico and Standard and you'd prefer um Warren and full PPR and in half PPR. They'd be very very similar
28:39values. Um, neither is probably going to be a league winner while the other is healthy. But both carry that contingent
28:46upside. If the other one goes down, you know, the starter, the the one that is healthy, if the other goes down, will be
28:51a league winner probably, just given the usage this running back room is going to see. And both are still solid picks.
28:58They go anywhere in that general round seven or eight range. If you're in that spot and you need a running back, I'm totally fine drafting either one of
29:04them. 49ers. Um they're going to play on Wednesday. So that game is only a few days away, which is crazy. Um as of
29:11right now, it seems like Mike Evans, George KD are going to play in week one.
29:16I have to assume KD's going to be on some sort of snapshare to start the season. So if you drafted him, keep an
29:22eye on reports, keep an eye on the rankings because I'll do the rankings based on reports. Um if there is someone
29:28on your free agency that ends up being ranked higher, don't be shocked by that. Um, again, the game is on Wednesday, so
29:35we only have a couple days to kind of figure this all out. Um, but you know, if you drafted KD and like Isaiah
29:40likely, it would be totally fine to bench KD, go with that starter, uh, that you have maybe a little bit more
29:46confidence in actually having a snapshare, but we'll see. What if the report comes out that he's basically going to play every single play? Cool.
29:51Play him obviously. Uh, I don't think that'll happen. I think he's going to be somewhat limited to start the year.
29:56Seahawks. Um, oh, and it's a brutal matchup obviously against the Rams. Seahawks. um got a report that Halani
30:02will not only start the year as their third down uh long down and distance running back uh but will also get goal
30:09line touches to start the season. Um sometimes the goal line role can be overblown and we're like, "Oh, getting
30:14up the goal line roll mean the other guy's not going to use the goal line." Well, sometimes you have a goal line running back and you just keep a
30:19different running back on the field because you go into hurry up or you just want to keep the defense in a certain formation. So, even if they actually did
30:26have Helani as that goal line running back, Price could still be used at the goal line in week one. So, don't be too
30:33scared off of that. I just think it speaks to the fact that they do trust George Hani, that Price missed a lot of
30:38time in camp. Uh that he is not a prolific pass catcher and you add all those things up and I do just think
30:44Price goes a little bit too early when you consider that like he's going to start the season in the Ken Walker role.
30:49He's a worse running back than Ken Walker who's also a rookie coming off injury. Uh, and then you're going to have Charbanet return at some point. And
30:56if Helani looks half decent, what if it's a three running back committee? That would be gross. Buccaneers, as of
31:02recording this, Ibuka still is not practicing, but he's been doing warm-ups. He's been working off to the
31:08side. Uh, I'm recording this midday on Friday, so I'm not going to have the final like status report for Friday. Uh,
31:14but Todd BS did say um he'll feel better when they see next week when talking about Eggbuka and McMillan. It's tough
31:21because oh Tony we gonna draft this weekend and we just don't know if Ibuka is playing in week one and it's different for Neighbors. For Neighbors
31:28when he's fully ramped up he's a round one talent. That's not the case for Ibuka. So I have moved off the take a
31:35little bit but round four is still great. I think he's still 50/50 for week one. If I misses week one I do feel like
31:41he's going to play in week two and hopefully the ramp up is decently fast and that we just draft deep teams. But
31:47basically, Buka's fall into like the, you know, early fourth round. And at that point, I think it makes a lot of
31:53sense, especially if you start off, you know, running back, running back at the one-two turn. Get another solid round
31:59three uh wide receiver and Ibuka is your two. I think at that point, if you really had to not play him in week one
32:05as your two, the drop off in what you'd expect, you know, basically removing him and adding in like your sixth or your
32:10seventh round wide receiver, I don't think the drop off's going to be that significant to where like you're not going to lose weeks early on because
32:16he's not playing. And again, there's still a chance that we're getting this ADP discount in round four and then he
32:22does play in week one because if he was fully healthy, he'd be a mid- third round pick. So, you're getting just a little bit of that discount again
32:28anywhere in round four. don't love it as much in round three, but if it's also like the three four
32:35turn, round three is basically round four, so it's fine. Um, Titans, honestly, nothing. Um, all the reports
32:41this off seasonason seem to indicate that Cam Ward hasn't really taken a huge step forward. Um, this offense is not
32:47going to be that good. Bad offensive line. Again, I don't fully believe in Cam Ward. Uh, so not a team I'm like
32:53super interested in heavily investing in, especially in my like main team. I don't really want Titans players on my
32:59most important league. And then the commanders, um, the ADPs on Daniels, on Terry McLuren have definitely been
33:05trending down. I think it's definitely based off of camp reports of the offensive line being really, really bad.
33:10That's something we've been talking about in recent videos. Um, I think McLuren in general just going too high.
33:16He was going before Adams, before Evans. I just don't know if that should be the case. Uh, so I haven't been drafting him
33:21a ton. I don't know that you'll get him fuse the rankings. Um, but I think Daniels is totally fine. like he's
33:28backed off now into like the mid6th round. Sometimes goes in the late sometimes late sixth round into the seventh round. In the seventh round like
33:35you're starting to get right up to Justin Herbert. I would still take Jane Daniels over Justin Herbert. We need to
33:40remember that he was third in adjusted points per game as a rookie. 22.6 adjusted points per game. That's 0.2
33:47behind what Josh Allen did last season. Like he could be the number one overall quarterback in fantasy. That is in his
33:52range of outcomes. it is not in the range of outcomes of like a crazy amount of quarterbacks. Um I don't know like I
34:00get it. I get being concerned about the offensive line, concerned that the offense hasn't looked amazing in camp,
34:06but you are getting someone with a significant ceiling and especially in like a one quarterback league, 10 or 12
34:12teams, free agency is going to be stacked with like other pretty good quarterbacks. Why not take a shot? So if
34:17he falls to round seven, I'm totally fine taking him. Again, my goal this season is to draft a round seven or
34:23eight quarterback. If it happens to be Daniels, if it's Justin Herbert, if it's Trevor Lawrence, don't really care which
34:28one, but I want a round seven or an eight quarterback. And so, if Daniels falls there, I'm good with it. So, that
34:33is it. A massive good luck to everyone that is drafting this weekend. If you do and you're a little concerned about not
34:40having rankings right now, uh you can draft the rankings on my website, the fantasyfootadvice.com.
34:45Also, please do a mock draft. If you've not done a mock draft to this point, it takes like 60 seconds. You can do it on
34:52my app for free, on my website for free. Just go there, especially if you know your draft slot. Take five minutes, rip
34:58through a couple drafts. You're going to feel so much better about just practicing a couple times for a few
35:05minutes. So, please just do it again 100% free on my website, the fantasy footballadvice.com. All right, I will
35:11see you all Monday for the final mockdraft Monday. And we're probably going to look at the teams I drafted there as well. But that'll do it for
35:17this one. And thank you all for watching.
