Week 4 Rankings | All Positions & All Games! | 2026 Fantasy Football Advice

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

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Players mentioned

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D'Andre SwiftA.J. BrownAdonai MitchellAlec PierceBraelon AllenBreece HallBrenton StrangeBrian Thomas Jr.C.J. StroudCarnell TateCase KeenumChris RodriguezChristian WatsonDalton Schultz

Player analysis

Player insights

A.J. Brown

NegativeInjury15:02

The Patriots' offense is struggling significantly due to the absence of AJ Brown, emphasizing that they really need him back to function effectively.

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Adonai Mitchell

NegativeInjury29:31

The source advises monitoring the practice status of Adonai Mitchell, noting that his potential absence would condense target volume toward Garrett Wilson and Kenyan Sadi.

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Alec Pierce

PositiveRole4:46

Alec Pierce's return is viewed as a positive for the Colts' offense because his ability to stretch the field as a deep threat forces defenses to respect the deep ball, which opens up space underneath for other receivers.

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Braelon Allen

PositiveUsage31:06

The source views Braelon Allen as a clear lead back over Isaiah Davis, projecting him for approximately 18 touches and recommending him as a RB2 start. His value is further elevated when Breece Hall is unavailable, as Allen takes over the lead role.

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Breece Hall

NegativeUsage31:08

The source notes that Braelon Allen's fantasy value is elevated when Breece Hall is unavailable, as Allen takes over the lead role.

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Brenton Strange

NegativeUsage32:27

The source suggests Brenton Strange is a viable streaming option solely due to the matchup, noting there is nothing in his current role that warrants starting him.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeUsage31:50

The source advises against playing Brian Thomas Jr. due to insufficient usage in the Jaguars' offense.

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C.J. Stroud

PositiveProjection25:47

The source identifies C.J. Stroud as a strong streaming option, citing the benefit of playing at home in a dome with Nico Collins back in the lineup.

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Carnell Tate

PositiveUsage22:00

Carnell Tate is considered a solid start due to his strong target share over the first three weeks of the season, even if the team's overall offensive struggles and poor quarterback play limit his ceiling.

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Case Keenum

PositiveRole35:05

Case Keenum is viewed as a positive for Chicago pass catchers because he targets them more frequently than Caleb Williams and is less likely to scramble.

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Chris Rodriguez

NegativeUsage33:59

The source notes that Chris Rodriguez Jr. remains part of a rotation and will still be utilized by the Jaguars in goal-line situations.

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Christian Watson

PositiveUsage38:08

The source recommends starting Christian Watson, as the Packers' offensive line struggles necessitate a high-volume passing approach that funnels targets to Watson and his teammates.

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D'Andre Swift

PositiveProjection34:19

DeAndre Swift is a strong start and currently ranked as the RB15, benefiting from the high-scoring Chicago scheme.

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NegativeUsage36:21

D'Andre Swift is the established starter, with the source noting that his backup is a valuable fantasy asset to hold as bye weeks approach.

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Dalton Schultz

NegativeUsage27:48

Dalton Schultz is considered a fine streaming option, though his recent high usage was largely driven by Nico Collins' absence and favorable matchups.

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Daniel Jones

NegativeProjection4:31

While the source believes Daniel Jones will show gradual improvement over time, he is not currently considered a viable fantasy starter.

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David Montgomery

PositiveUsage25:56

The source projects 14.4 rush attempts for David Montgomery compared to 8.8 for Woody Marks. Despite recent struggles, he remains a viable RB2 play, especially if Nico Collins' return helps the offense sustain drives.

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Derrick Henry

PositiveProjection25:24

Derrick Henry is a must-start asset, projected for 19 carries, 88 yards, and an elite 1.2 touchdowns, making him a smash play in games where Baltimore is a heavy favorite.

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Emeka Egbuka

PositiveValue40:07

Emeka Egbuka is the clear number one wide receiver with high-quality schemed usage; the source suggests trading for him now or after a potentially quiet week, as he is getting open consistently and is a long-term buy.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveUsage29:28

The source feels good about starting Garrett Wilson due to the high volume of available targets in the offense, though his practice status should be monitored following a late-game injury scare where he was 'smooshed' by defenders.

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Geno Smith

PositiveProjection30:16

While currently projected as a QB24, the source is bumping up Geno Smith's outlook because the game flow against Chicago could force the Jets to play from behind, potentially leading to high passing volume and a productive fantasy day.

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Isaiah Davis

NegativeUsage31:18

The source projects Isaiah Davis for 6 to 12 touches but emphasizes that Braelon Allen is the clear lead back in the Jets' backfield.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

PositiveUsage32:50

The source notes that Jahmyr Gibbs performed exceptionally well against the Jets defense, scoring three touchdowns and recording multiple receptions, which skewed the Jets' defensive ranking against running backs.

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Jake Ferguson

NegativeUsage24:18

The source advises against starting Jake Ferguson because he lacks usage between the 20s and is overly touchdown-dependent due to low yardage production.

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Jakobi Meyers

NegativeUsage32:05

The source notes Jakobi Meyers can be used in the flex or as a WR3 if necessary, but warns he has a low floor and projects only 5.3 targets.

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Jaylen Warren

PositiveUsage0:33

Jaylen Warren is a must-start running back for week four, currently grading as the RB7. With no Rico McSorley in the lineup, Warren is projected for approximately 22 touches, benefiting from consistent dump-offs and solid volume on the ground regardless of the matchup.

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Josh Cameron

NegativeUsage31:59

The source advises against playing Josh Cameron, citing a lack of sufficient usage.

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Josh Downs

PositiveProjection5:06

Josh Downs is projected as a strong start and a solid wide receiver. The source projects him for 8 targets, 5 receptions, 63 yards, and 0.4 touchdowns, viewing him as a viable WR2 or flex option.

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Kalif Raymond

NegativeUsage36:47

Khalif Raymond is a fringe fantasy option projected for approximately four receptions and 40 yards; he is better suited for full PPR formats due to his reception floor, though he is currently the WR53 in half PPR and not a recommended start this week.

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Luther Burden

PositiveBreakout34:37

Luther Burden is a recommended start following a breakout performance; his role has increased as he recovered from a late camp return.

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Mark Andrews

NegativeProjection27:29

Mark Andrews is currently ranked as a TE9, with his fantasy value capped by a 0.5 projected touchdown outlook and the team's primary focus on Zay Flowers.

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MarShawn Lloyd

NegativeUsage38:41

The source reports that either MarShawn Lloyd or Caleb Johnson is expected to emerge as the primary back, moving away from a split, though it is currently unclear which player will secure the 13-14 carry workload.

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Mason Taylor

NegativeInjury31:54

The source does not expect Mason Taylor to play this week due to injury.

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Matthew Golden

PositiveUsage38:08

The source recommends starting Matthew Golden, noting that the Packers' poor offensive line play forces the team to rely heavily on their passing attack, where Golden is a primary target.

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Nico Collins

PositiveInjury6:06

Nico Collins is a must-start regardless of health status, though the source expects a slightly limited workload and ranks him as WR13. The Texans' offense is noted to struggle significantly whenever Collins is absent, and if news confirms no limitations, he projects as a top-10 wide receiver.

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Parker Washington

PositiveUsage17:39

The source identifies Parker Washington as a must-start player every single week, despite noting that in his previous matchup against the Patriots, the defense sold out to stop him, limiting him to three receptions.

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Quinshon Judkins

NegativeProjection3:37

Quinshon Judkins is graded as a strong start only because he sits at RB24, the cutoff for the category. He is viewed more as a flex play who will likely need a touchdown to provide satisfactory production, with a projected range of 14 to 17 touches.

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Rashod Bateman

PositiveUsage27:22

The source advises against starting Rashod Bateman, noting that the Ravens' passing game focuses heavily on Zay Flowers when he is healthy and does not target secondary players.

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Roschon Johnson

NegativeValue35:58

Roschon Johnson should be rostered as a high-end backup to DeAndre Swift, though he lacks the volume to be a starter in full-week formats.

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Tank Bigsby

PositiveUsage33:59

The source identifies Tank Bigsby as the superior Jaguars running back, projecting him for 13 to 15 touches and labeling him a playable RB2.

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Tony Pollard

PositiveUsage24:46

Tony Pollard is a viable RB2 or flex play, primarily due to volume expectations of 15 carries and 2-3 receptions, especially while Tyjae Spears deals with injury issues.

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Travis Hunter

NegativeUsage31:59

The source advises against playing Travis Hunter, citing a lack of sufficient usage.

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Trevor Lawrence

PositiveProjection30:38

The source projects Trevor Lawrence as the QB3 this week, citing his phenomenal play throughout the season despite one dud performance.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveBreakout37:36

The source identifies Tucker Kraft as a strong start to a must-start this week, citing a significant increase in route participation (up to 37 routes last week) and a favorable matchup for tight ends against the Buccaneers.

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Tyjae Spears

NegativeInjury24:46

Tyjae Spears is described as chronically banged up, which limits his snap share and makes him unreliable in a committee backfield.

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Woody Marks

NegativeUsage26:42

The source has adjusted projections to account for increased usage for Woody Marks, currently estimating 8.8 rush attempts for him, but explicitly advises against starting him in fantasy lineups.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveUsage27:07

Zay Flowers is a must-start when healthy, as the Ravens' system is centered around him and he has shown incredible efficiency in yards per route run.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

570

0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here back in the video. It's Thursday, time to go over the week four rankings. And

0:04what do you know? Through three weeks, we do have the most accurate rankings in the industry so far. So, let's keep the

0:10ball rolling in week four. Steelers at Browns Thursday night game very low 38 12 point total. Steelers only two and a

0:19half point road favorites in this one.

0:22From the Steelers side, again, 20 and a half is the implied total, only two and a half point road favorites. And the

0:28Browns are the definition of a league average defense over here for fantasy.

0:33Uh on the Steelers side, we see Jaylen Warren go off last week. If there's no Rico, which there will not be, uh and

0:40basically any week moving forward that there's no Rico, Jaylen Warren is a must start gring out as a running back seven

0:46right now. If you have him, obviously you are playing him this weekend, uh he's going to get a ton of dump offs.

0:51he's going to get enough volume on the ground to where pretty much any matchup, even in a difficult one, if we're going

0:56to project him for like 22 touches, you're going to be playing him in fantasy. Uh, not many other appealing plays though. DK Metaf is a flex option

1:05for you, but he has not been good this season. He basically needs a touchdown uh because he's been highly inefficient.

1:11Um, Steelers defense, obviously, anyone playing the Browns, you can definitely play in fantasy, but I would really not play Aaron Rodgers. Um, I would not play

1:19like Pitman, Frymouth. This sets up as a game where maybe the Steelers look okay to start and you're like, "Okay, these

1:25guys are getting fantasy production."

1:26And in the second half, I mean, the Steelers, Aaron Rogers can play very slow, can drain the clock. And if Pittsburgh does get up, they snap the

1:34ball with like 1 second left every time, short passes, long sustained drives, nothing downfield, and it turns into a disgusting second half, especially in

1:46fantasy. So really just Jaylen Warren.

1:48all the appeal that I have on the uh Steelers side. For the Browns side, you are two and a half point home underdogs,

1:54but only two and a half. This is a divisional game. Uh those typically play out a little bit closer. 18 for the

2:00implied total. Uh Steelers, solid defense, um against running backs, not as much against wide receivers.

2:07Historically, uh Pittsburgh has struggled defending like the middle of the field, slot receivers, um things like that. But at the end of the day, uh

2:15this is the Cleveland Browns. you're not playing Deshun Watson. Uh Judkins is grading as a strong start technically because again the cut off for strong

2:22start here is running back 24. He is running back 24. So much more of a flex play. Probably going to get in that like

2:3014 to 17 touch range. Probably going to need a touchdown for you to be happy with his production. I don't think he's

2:36like that great of a play. Totally fine benching him if you want to. Um two best plays I guess three best plays on the

2:42team are Conpion Boston and Harold Fannon. um all going to grade out very similarly. That's 8.4 for uh Boston and Fannon, 8.6 for Conception. So, they're

2:53all in that range of like you can play them, but guys that are probably going to need a touchdown to pay off. And this

3:00is the Cleveland Browns. They might only score one, maybe two touchdowns on Thursday night. And so, that's not amazing. It's not production you really

3:08want. Uh conception last week, what was it? Two receptions on nine targets. How is that even possible? I kept looking at

3:14the box score and I'm like, "Another target, another target, another target."

3:18I was like, "Why isn't he catching any of these? Like, this is crazy." Like, how are you going to catch two of nine

3:22targets at 22.222% catch rate? That's crazy. Um, especially when most of his production comes like relatively close to line of scrimmage. I

3:31don't know. Uh, but anyways, um, Conception still the one that I like the most. uh he sets up a little bit better

3:37for the matchup with the Steelers, but at the end of the day, uh none of these guys are like great plays or anything.

3:44Okay, Sunday games. I don't know where this one is kicking off as well, uh but it is the 9:30 kickoff, the

3:49international game. It's somewhere in Europe, I think. Maybe London or something like that. Uh but it's Colts at Commanders or again quote unquote at

3:55Commanders. It's a neutral site. Uh 47 half point total. Colts are 3 and 12 point favorites here. For the Colts side, that is 25.5 projected points.

4:05That's pretty solid. Again, projected a positive game script, but close enough where either side could win here.

4:10Commanders, not a good defense. So, um, be I would I would say better against running backs than anything else. Uh, even though it technically says worse

4:18against wide receivers, they're just they're not good at defending wide receivers. They're not good at defending tight ends. Uh, this should be a spot

4:24where the Colts players can really just get open whenever they want. Um, the Colts do have a good scheme. I do think

4:31Daniel Jones also is going to like slowly look better and better. I don't think it's going to be like boom, you know, one week he's

4:38just awesome. But I think over time he's going to improve. We're not starting him in fantasy. Uh but by the end of the

4:46season, I think that gives us a little bit hope in Colts players, especially if they can get Alec Pierce back. That just

4:51kind of helps everyone because he's a field stretcher. He's a deep threat.

4:55Defenses are terrified of him deep downfield. So that kind of opens up everything underneath, which is what this offense needs because DS and and

5:01Warren are great underneath. But at the end of the day, uh you're playing JT, you're playing Tyler Warren. Um I don't

5:06care what the matchup is. They're must starts. Um Josh DS projecting is a strong start this week. He's just a really solid wide receiver. Uh doesn't

5:14have the craziest odds at a touchdown, but um just a really good wide receiver.

5:19I'm projecting for, you know, eight targets, five receptions for 63 yards, 0.4 touchdowns. Again, the matchup is unimposing here. Um, should have a

5:28really solid day. I'd feel pretty good about him. More so wide receiver three or flex spot. U, but I'd still feel fine

5:35with him at wide receiver 2. Again, projecting he's the wide receiver 20 for us right now. Um, nothing else all that

5:41appealing. Keenan Allen had a decent day before, but I don't fully trust Keenan Allen just yet. Uh, and you're just not

5:47going to these secondary players on the Colts side. on the Commanders over here.

5:52Uh 22 for their implied total, three and a half point uh quote unquote home underdogs. Colts defense not good across the board. So basically every matchup is

6:01solid. The Colts played decent or at least better last week against the Texans, but that was the Texans without Nico Collins. That offense kind of falls

6:10apart whenever Nico Collins is not there. I have a suspicion that if Nico was playing, the Texans would have looked a lot better. So, still a very

6:18good matchup for the Commanders. Uh, you can stream Mariota. Um, he looked really, really good against the Seahawks last weekend. I mean, the Seahawks are a

6:27phenomenal defense. He looked really good. Um, he's been in the league for a long time and we talked about it before

6:33last week. He's one of the better backups. He's still a backup. He's not someone you necessarily want to start all season, although some teams out

6:38there probably want him as a starting quarterback right now. Um, but he's a really good backup quarterback that has been in the league for a while, so he

6:46can operate the system. Um, he he knows how to play. It's just different sometimes when you see like a rookie come in there. Even if the rookie is

6:54going to end up being way better than Mariota long term, it's a rookie and defenses can confuse them, throw blitz packages at them they've never seen

7:00before, Mariota's seen all this stuff.

7:02And so it makes sense when you have these veterans come in there, even if they're not necessarily that amazing, they can perform well if the system

7:11around them is solid and the commander system is at least decent. Uh so yeah, good to stream. Um Sarah McLaren totally

7:18find the flex spot. He had a pretty good connection with Mariota last week. Um low-end flex play for Stfane Diggs, flex

7:24option for JCM. Um, all these guys are like solid plays that you shouldn't be that upset you're putting into your lineup. Uh, it is the 930 game, so

7:34theoretically that's the first game.

7:36Theoretically, if you knew you were playing Terry McLuren, you wouldn't play him in the flex spot. You'd play him at wide receiver. If you knew you're

7:43playing JCM, you'd play him at running back, not receiver. Um, I know that that's only like two hours before uh, you know, we get the news for inactives,

7:51but you never know. Inactives can happen that are surprises. And if you end up playing like McLaren in the flex spot

7:57and then your starting wide receiver is a surprise inactive and you don't have someone you can put in the wide receiver, you can lose a week because of

8:03that. So just just note that it says flex option here, but you would play them in their actual spot. But yeah, uh

8:09nothing's like standing out crazy for the commander side and that's accounting for the matchup. Um but I feel totally fine again playing JCM, McLuren Diggs or

8:19streaming Mariota this weekend. Next up, we've got the one:00 games, Patriots at Bills, 48 and a half point total. Bills are 6 and a half point home favorites.

8:28So, for the Patriots side, uh projected for 21. Gosh, I could see this game playing out so many different ways. Uh

8:35good matchup running backs the same thing as last year where the Bills will be more willing to give it up on the

8:40ground uh to running backs than through the air and they are more difficult through the air. And then this game is

8:44at Buffalo and so that just makes it a little bit more difficult for opposing uh offenses. So, um, it's a divisional

8:52game. Uh, the Patriots at times have played Buffalo closer, have won games even in Buffalo that they have no business winning. At the end of the day,

9:00this Patriots team is just not good.

9:02They cannot get it done without AJ Brown. They really need him back. Uh, and this Bills offense is awesome. Um, the Patriots defense is still solid, but

9:09Patriots should be trailing, should lose this week, shouldn't score a crazy amount of points. Uh, that's why you don't see that much green on the screen

9:17right now. Drake May. He's the final quarterback in strong start as the quarterback 12. So you can play Drake May. Uh you can play Stephvenson as like

9:26a lowend Freddy Mu in the flex spot. You can play Trayvon in the flex spot. Uh he's had an okay day against Buffalo

9:32before. Um you could flex Matt Collins.

9:36He's like the very end of low-end flex plays. Um but getting a decent amount of targets with AJ Brown and active. Really

9:44though, as a coin flip, as a tiebreaker, I would lean away from Patriots players.

9:48I mean, at Buffalo is just a tough spot.

9:51You know, uh the Bills are one of those teams that can put together really long drives in the second half and kind of

9:55kill play volume, but they're also just a team that it's like you're in Buffalo.

9:59The crowd noise is going to be there.

10:01You're not going to be able to communicate. There's going to be sacks.

10:05There's going to be turnovers. May's probably going to fumble the ball and lose a drive. It's like things are going to happen to where you could easily look

10:11at the box score at the end of this and be like, "Wow, thank goodness I benched all of my Patriots players again." So,

10:16they're on the fringes this week, but I don't feel good about anyone from New England. Uh, and then on the Bills side,

10:23um, obviously much more favorable.

10:26Patriots, not a defense teams typically want to run on. And then wide receivers are neutral, but typically the number one wide receiver, uh, is blanketed a

10:34little bit more. But 27 and a half for the implied total about touchdown home favorites. It's a good spot for Buffalo.

10:40You are playing Josh Allen, playing James Cook and playing Daltton Concincaid. That would be my guess is that um we see Chris Christian Chris

10:48Gonzalez covering DJ Moore. It doesn't shadow, but covering DJ Moore to a good degree. Uh for them say, okay, DJ Moore

10:54is clearly the top wide receiver. Let's make a concerted effort to take him out of the game. I will say this is not the

10:59same as like Parker Washington. Parker Washington last week the Patriots knew by far was the best player. And so they did sell out to try and stop him and

11:06they did for the most part. He only had three receptions. Um they give up the one touchdown to him so it makes his day

11:11in fantasy but they did a decent job of slowing him. Uh the problem with Buffalo is DJ Moore I wouldn't say is their

11:18clear number one because they have uh not only James Cook but then Daltton Concincaid I feel like is like somewhat close. So you could see them saying okay

11:26we don't want to sell out to stop DJ Moore and completely leave Concincaid wide open because he can beat us in that

11:32way. But I do expect more of the coverage to be on DJ Moore and that Concincaid should have a pretty solid

11:40day. So I would definitely start again Concincade, James Cook, and Allen. And then I would still start DJ Moore, but he's much more of a flex play than a

11:47wide receiver to this weekend. And I would not play, you know, any of these backup pass catchers, secondary tight ends, secondary running backs, they're

11:54just they're not going to project that great. um really just stick to the studs for Buffalo most of the time and

12:01especially when they're playing like a decent defense. Next up, we've got Titans at Ravens. 42 and 12 point total.

12:07Ravens 11 and a half point home favorites in this one on the Titans side. 15 for the implied total. Disgustingly low.

12:19Huge road underdogs here. uh Ravens defense not projecting as amazing league average against the ground, tough against tight ends, not that amazing

12:28against wide receivers. I do think as we continue to get more data from this season that's going to trend better. I

12:36also think over time the defense itself will trend better. So this is um you know they have good coaching on the

12:43defense, solid talent on the defense. I do think second half of the season we're going to start looking at this being

12:48like, okay, we don't really want to be playing guys against Baltimore, but on the flip side, whenever you have these really good offenses, and Baltimore is

12:56of course a very good offense, you sometimes get garbage time. And so it's a tough dynamic there of like it's a

13:01good defense, good offense. So the first half of a lot of games are like, "Wow, that's horrible." In the second half, if

13:07Baltimore is up by, you know, 20 points, well, that defense isn't going to play as aggressive. They know, okay, we already won this game. we're just going

13:14to give you everything underneath. And you can see people rack up perceptions and be like, "Oh, I thought this was a t

13:18matchup." Well, it was until the game got completely out of hand, which will probably happen this weekend. So, you could still see like Carnell Tate,

13:25Wandelle kind of rack up four, five, six receptions and you look back and you're like, "Nice, right?" Uh, but the first

13:33half is probably going to be really bad for this team. But anyways, Bench Cam Ward, um, bench all these like backup

13:39players. really the only ones you're considering are Tony Pard, Carnell Tate, and Wondelle Robinson. Um, I think Tate is like pretty solid. I think he's

13:49ascending a little bit right now. I think the target share has been really strong uh for this, you know, first three weeks of the season. I don't hate

13:57using him. I am in a league where I kind of have to use him uh this week because I had um

14:03Bree Hall and I did not have Brillain Allen because someone drafted him pretty early and so I'm in need of an extra

14:09playmaker on offense. Uh and Carninal Tate again the target share has been solid. Cam Ward just stinks. He's just really really bad and so I think we

14:18could get a spot in the second half where more volume flows his way and he is a talented player. He just like I

14:24don't know it's just the offense is so so bad. the offensive line is so bad that it's like it does turn into a lot

14:29of times where it's like you got to just dump Dewandale and they can't really let anything develop for Carnell Tate and

14:34that's why he's not hitting as much.

14:36They just need more time for Cam Ward, but they also need Cam Ward to be better. So, I don't know that Cam Ward

14:41is really the quarterback of the future for this team, but he is right now. Uh, and so that's unfortunate, but you can

14:46play Tay, you can play Wandell. Uh, and then Tony Pard. Um, Spear's a little bit banged up right now. That's basically

14:52you could just play that on repeat and just play it every like couple weeks and be like, "Oh, yeah, that makes sense."

14:55It's like he just can never stay healthy. When healthy, it's more of a committee and you can't really play the running back. But Spears, if he's not

15:03going to be healthy right now and not going to have a full snap share, Tony Pard, if he's going to get 15 carries,

15:09maybe two, hopefully three receptions, that volume alone, even if he doesn't score, even if he's not that efficient, can get it done at running back two. And

15:17so you could play him as a running back two, but he's probably much better as a flex play this weekend. Uh Ravens side

15:24again 27 for the implied total. Huge home favorites that sets up as a Derrick Henry day. I know it's technically a

15:31better matchup for passing than running, but Baltimore doesn't care about that and you shouldn't either. Obviously Derrick Henry is a must start projecting

15:38for 19 carries, 88 yards, 1.2 touchdowns. I point that out every week.

15:42It's just so crazy. Like a good touchdown projection is like 08.7. Like that's a pretty solid projection for touchdowns. You never see one 1.1 1.2.

15:51only like JT and uh Dererick Henry, but Dererick Henry 1.2 projected touchdowns.

15:56That is insane. Not much receiving, but it doesn't matter. So, play Derrick Henry, he's always a smash in these, especially home, but really just

16:03matchups where they're projected by more than a touchdown to win. Uh Lamar, great play. They're just there's going to be plenty of touchdowns to go around.

16:10They're probably going to score definitely going to score three touchdowns. Probably a good shot at four touchdowns. Um even though here again

16:18projected here for 27 technically four touchdowns is 28 I think they can score four touchdowns this weekend. So play Lamar play Derrick Henry um plays A

16:27Flowers he was limited in snaps. What did he play like 30 something 40% of the snaps last week. Um still had a pretty

16:33good day. Um the yards run is absolutely incredible this season. He looks fantastic. The system is centered around him. When he is out there you play him.

16:42Um that kind of takes away from everyone else. Baltimore is a great streaming option for defense. Uh, but you don't play Baitman. Like really, when Flowers

16:49is healthy, he's the guy. They're not looking to these secondary players. It takes a lot away from Mark Andrews. I do

16:55him as a tight end nine right now.

16:57That's mostly because 0.5 projected touchdowns. If they're going to score four touchdowns, there's a good shot that Mark Andrews can get into the end

17:04zone. Uh, but if he doesn't get into the end zone, you're not going to be pounced. But that's the case with

17:08literally like every single tight end.

17:09That's not what Brock Powers and Tren Pride and maybe Tyler Warren. So, uh, totally fine to stream Mark Andrews.

17:15Just know that Wednesday is back. He's a much worse play. Uh, Tyler Loop, you know, huge home favorite. They're going to score plenty of points. Uh, but yeah,

17:23mostly the the starters on Baltimore.

17:25The guys you typically play. I would not be playing Baitman or any of the other secondary players. Jaguars at Bengals.

17:31Should be a really fun game. 51 12 point total. Bengals 2 and a half point home favorites. For the Jaguars side, um

17:39we've got uh 24 and a half for the implied total, two and a half point road underdogs. Um the Bengals again

17:47historically have been this way as well.

17:50Mediocre against running backs. I wouldn't be like scared to run against them. Uh decent efficiency. Uh it's just rush attempts is down because the

17:58Bengals are a good team. Teams choose not to run the ball as much against them, but when they do run the ball,

18:04they're relatively efficient. That's why I kind of show these stats is like there's important distinctions kind of be made here. Rush attempts versus

18:10expected worse in the league. You're not going to see heavy volume for the running backs. When they do run it, you'll see decent efficiency. And you're

18:17also going to see um at least a slight increase in receptions and receiving yards for um for the running back position. So, it's just helpful to see

18:26how these matchups actually go out there. Uh and then volume. you typically just don't see a lot of targets to the

18:31wide receiver position against the Bengals because everything flows through the tight ends in the receiving game.

18:38So, I think it's important to have those kind of out there. For the Jaguar side, um Trevor Lawrence is playing phenomenally this season. I know he had

18:46the one dud game, I think it was at Baltimore or at um uh Denver um Broncos.

18:55That's the one game. the other two. He's been great and honestly could have had a phenomenal day if the Cleveland or if

19:00New England weren't horrible and could like actually play in the second half.

19:04So, he's been great. He's looked awesome. Uh projected as a quarterback three right now. Definitely be playing him. Uh Parker Washington is a must

19:10start every single week. After that, it there's so many different wide receivers, it starts to thin out. You can't play Brian Thomas Jr. Um you can't

19:19play like Josh Cameron or Travis Hunter.

19:23Just not enough usage for those guys.

19:25Um, but Jacobe Meyers mixes in enough where you could play him in the flex spot or wide receiver three if you

19:33needed him. Uh, the hope would kind of be that you don't need that cuz he definitely does have a much lower floor.

19:38And I'm only projecting 5.3 targets.

19:40It's just that this offense is so efficient that on 5.3 targets, he could still have an okay day. But I I wouldn't

19:47I would prefer not to be playing Jacobe Myers. Um, I would not play Brett Strange. It's just I mean the matchup is

19:53amazing. So, that can work out. It's just that like there's no volume. Again, they have the two running backs they use. Um, they'll use them a decent

20:00amount, but there's so many different wide receivers that like the volume for Brettton Strange is just not there. Four and a half targets. Again, you can play

20:09him on four and a half targets hoping the efficiency hits. But, I have the efficiency projected here. I have 3.4 receptions for 42 yards on four and a

20:17half targets. That's a really, really good yards per target, yards perception, things like that. It's it's efficient against this team. It's just that

20:24there's not that much volume. So, if you wanted to stream him, I think it's fine because of the matchup, but it's really

20:30only because of the matchup for Strange.

20:32Uh there's nothing in his role that makes you want to play him. So, that's the general take for the the Jaguars

20:39side. Uh Tin definitely looks like the better of the two running backs. They will still use Chris Rodriguez at times at the goal line, but it's kind of a

20:46rotation there. Um, we should see um we should see Tuan getting a decent amount of touches, maybe in that like 13 to 15

20:56range. That makes him totally playable at running back, too, because he's also pretty talented player. So, I think you can definitely play BL Tuan this

21:03weekend. The Bengals side, 27 for the implied total, 2 and a half point home favorites. Um, Jaguars have a very strong run defense all around, but

21:12weaker against wide receivers, a little bit tough against tight ends as well.

21:16Um, for the Bengals here, play the studs, Burrow, Chase, Higgins, Brown.

21:24There's enough volume flowing through those, I guess, three skilled players and quarterback. Enough volume flowing to them that pretty much any matchup

21:33they should be in starting lineups. Uh, this is also, you know, a very high-end game, right? This is a spot where, yes,

21:39both defenses have their strengths.

21:41Like, they're both playing pretty well, but both offenses are phenomenal. And typically elite offense does beat elite defense and it only takes one side to

21:51hit. Right? If the Jaguars or the Bengals, either one, if they jump out to a lead, they score on their first two

21:57drives, even not even scoring a touchdown, they get 10 points, anyone goes up 10 nothing, you're going to see the other side start to panic a little

22:03bit, start to be more aggressive, start to play faster, start to throw heavy, like you're going to see these things start to happen. And it doesn't take

22:10much for this game to really take off, even with both defenses being solid. So, if it plays out closer, you can see it

22:16start to be a slow game. And then all of a sudden, third quarter, fourth quarter, when a team pulls ahead, that's when the

22:22explosion is going to start to happen.

22:24Uh, so exciting upside in this one. As a tiebreaker, I would play someone in this game, but there's not many tiebreers you

22:32have on the Bengals side. Again, you're always playing those four. Uh, McFerson's a good play at kicker. Um, and then Gaseki is probably the only one

22:40that you're questioning, but he had a good day um, in weeks one and three. He needs the touchdown. Uh, the general

22:47volume is not going to be there. I know some people are excited about Casiki. I don't think I'm one of them. It's just

22:52too random. I mean, he has these random days where he does pretty solid and then he does absolutely nothing the following

22:59week. Like literally could have zero receptions. There are a lot of tight ends that have hit this season. I don't think you have to go to Micasiki.

23:07Next up, Cowboys at Texans. Should be another really fun game to watch. 48 and a half point total. Texans are threepoint home favorites for the

23:16Cowboys side. Uh basically 23 the implied total, three-point road underdogs. Texans number one defense against running backs and then closer league average against wide receivers

23:28and tight ends. um at Houston is not typically a place we want to be attacking in fantasy. They are a very

23:36strong defense. You're not going to see high in efficiency, but you do have Dallas in a dome. And Dallas in a dome

23:41is a team you play. And so play Dak Prescott, uh CD Lamb, Javante Williams, George Pickins. Dallas is very similar to the Bengals in that like obviously

23:51you want Dallas playing at home. you want them playing a bad defense. But even when they go up against a very good

23:57defense, unless they're outdoors, then we start to consider them differently.

24:01But if they are going up against a team in a dome, you play the Dallas Cowboys.

24:05Just something that you do in fantasy.

24:07So get all those guys in your starting lineup. One is probably going to miss, but you don't know which one, and so you

24:12have to play all of them. I would not go to secondary players. Um there will be weeks maybe where you can lean on Fenoi.

24:18Um Jake Ferguson, you know, he's been scoring the touchdowns and I think that like he's viable if you think those continue. Um it's a little bit random

24:29that like he's scoring a million touchdowns and George Pickkins has zero.

24:33I think Pickkins will eventually score a touchdown this season and Ferguson needs a touchdowns because his yards perception is so incredibly low. he

24:40doesn't see usage between the 20s and so I wouldn't play uh Ferguson but he could easily score a touchdown and make me

24:46look dumb for saying that and obviously always play Aubrey for the Texan side um better matchup against Dallas they have a really bad run defense uh really bad

24:56against wide receivers more league average against the tight end position I do think Nico is going to play I think that's factoring into their team total

25:03here um factoring into my appeal for this side I only have him as wide receiver 13 right now I Right now, I'm

25:10kind of projecting like just slight pullback, like just not, you know, 100% of the snaps like normal, like just a slightly limited workload. But I just

25:20want to see the news. If, you know, news comes out that he's not going to be limited in any way, I'll bump him up to

25:24100% and he'll be a top 10 wide receiver. But it doesn't matter that much. You're playing him no matter what.

25:30So, just get him into your starting lineup. He still protects fine. I mean, 5.7 receptions, 81 yards, point4 touchdowns, but I could see that bumping

25:37up to like 6 and a half receptions for 90 yards,.5 touchdowns, and that would probably project, you know, top eight or

25:45nine, something like that. Yeah, play Nico. Um, I think Straoud's a good start when you have Nico Collins at home in a

25:51dome, good team total, like that's it's a good setup for CJ Stout and it's a game that could also take off. So, I

25:56think he's a good streaming option. Um, I would go back to Dave Montgomery. A lot of people ask me about Dave

26:02Montgomery this week. I've seen the reports that Woody Marks get more usage and I have that projected. So I have 14.4 rush attempts for Dave Montgomery,

26:108.8 for Woody Marks. So I have shifted more over to Marks than he typically has on average. Um but even, you know,

26:18having that I think Nico is the key here. Nico being out, this offense has been so bad. They're 0 and three this

26:24season. Uh they're not like ahead in games. teams aren't scared of these secondary wide receivers and so teams can just sell out stopping the run and

26:32then the game scoop gets away and it's not a Monty day. I think they'll eventually win a game. Maybe it's this

26:37weekend. Um I would probably not honestly like I feel like Dallas should probably be the favorite in this one by a little bit. But um maybe they win this

26:44weekend. Maybe they play ahead at least for part of the game. Um but I think having Nico Collins out there opens up

26:50the run game just a little bit more.

26:52They're never going to have an efficient running game. But I think if they're scoring more points, potentially playing from ahead, and teams are actually

26:58scared of the wide receivers and they're on the field more because they can sustain drives, having Nico Collins, that just opens everything up. And if

27:05you can get 15 touches and good goal line opportunities for Dave Montgomery, that's going to be worth playing at running back 2. So running back 21 right

27:12now, I think that's a good spot for him.

27:14I'm not panicking, but if you want to use this as an opportunity to flip him, if he goes out there and has 16 carries,

27:20like 60 yards, scores a touchdown, has a couple receptions, and you're like, I just can't do it anymore, I would wait

27:26and hope that he has a good day this weekend. I would never trade David Montgomery after some like down performances again when they also don't

27:32have Nico Collins and the whole offense is playing bad. They're not going to go over on the season. Uh, yeah. So, I'd

27:38play Monty, Nico, Strad streaming option. Schultz fine to stream, but he's been getting way more usage um because of obviously Nico being out and then

27:49having some really strong matchups. Like it was kind of the perfect storm against the Bengals. Bengals a funnel for tight end and Nico is not there. So we got a

27:56million receptions. I will say um number one matchup right now for tight end um catch percentage over expected against the Cowboys at plus 17. I don't know

28:07what Dallas has been doing. uh those metrics are um dating back a little bit to last season and to start this year.

28:13They're not seeing high-end like targets, right? 30th in targets, but it's basically the targets that they do see to the tight end position. They're

28:20catching like all of them. Like every single target to a tight end is caught against um the Cowboys. It's just not

28:28heavy volume. So, I don't know. I feel like I probably have to pull this back a little bit and say that like, okay,

28:32maybe he doesn't even get six targets.

28:34Maybe it's only like five targets, but like he's going to catch basically all the targets against this team. But, uh, yeah, anyways, I would I wouldn't play

28:39Woody Marks. I wouldn't play Hutchinson, Null, I wouldn't play these guys. Booty, um, just if Nico's back, he can't be playing any of those players. All right,

28:47next up, we've got Jets at Bears 43 and a half point total. The Bears are three and a half point home favorites for the

28:55Jet side. They looked great last week against um, the Lions. Couldn't think of the team for a second. They looked great against the

29:03Lions. Um, similar setup. I mean, we're not in a dome, but this is another team that like Bears don't have that great of a

29:11defense. Um, as you can see here, really good matchup for wide receivers, not as much for tight ends, more neutral for

29:17running backs, but the Bears are a defense you can attack, and the Bears have an offense that can score 59 points. And so, you're probably be

29:23playing from behind, uh, and you're going up against a defense that you can attack. So, it's a good setup for the

29:28Jets. Again, um, watch the status of both Garrett Wilson and Kenyan Sadi and Adenheim Mitchell. just watched their practice on Thursday and Friday. I think

29:38City's fine, but he did leave a little bit early last week, then returned.

29:41Remember it was before halftime, caught that sick touchdown, but a little bit banged up on the touchdown, misses a little bit of third quarter, then

29:47finishes the game healthy. Then Garrett Wilson, final play, or I guess second to last play. Um, kind of gets banged up on

29:55uh tough pass, kind of gets smooshed by the defenders a little bit. I feel like he was more just like banged up a little

30:00bit. Would have gone right out uh back out after that. But Gino throws the pick like immediately or no it was fumble. He

30:06gets like strip sack fumble uh and then the Lions win like the play after and so we don't know. Uh I think Garrett Wilson

30:12would have returned but just check their status. Um I have bench on there for Gino right now and he does does project

30:18as a quarterback 24 but it's another one of those spots where it's like on average that's probably right. Like on average, you're probably not playing

30:25Gino Smith this week, but this game could set up similarly to last week where it's kind of not great in the

30:33first half, but then all of a sudden, Chicago puts together back-to-back touchdown drives. The Jets find themselves behind. The Jets have good

30:41playmakers. They put together a couple good drives, and all of a sudden, Gino Smith has 300 passing yards, three touchdowns, and you're like, "Let's go."

30:48Happy starting. So, he needs the Chicago side to take that lead. But the odds are Chicago is going to do that. So I think

30:55I will try and bump him up just a little bit because I think that game flow happens and so I should project it a

31:01little bit more. U but right now not projecting his amazing play. But play Garrett Wilson. I think if you picked up

31:06Brillan Allen this week and especially if you had Bree Hall and then now you have Brillin Allen play him. He's a

31:11running back too. Uh there's no guarantee that he plays amazingly. Like maybe they use Isaiah Davis a little bit more than we expect but I'm not

31:19expecting that. I'm projecting what is that like 6 and 12 touches for Isaiah Davis and we're looking at closer to uh

31:2618 touches for Brillin Allen. I really think that's the split. I think Bray Allen's a pretty clear lead over Isaiah Davis and definitely a clear lead on

31:33early downs when they get to the goal line. Like I do think Brilen Allen's going to be that lead back. Um I would

31:38play him at running back too and Sadi strong start. It's the last tight end in strong start at tight end 12 but good

31:45streaming option. Good play at tight end. you're hoping that the ascension is happening. He's a rookie. He's going to ramp up as the season goes along. Of

31:54course, you didn't have Mason Taylor. Um Rooker actually mixed in a decent amount last week, but you've got like Galani Woods out there. Um again, Mason Taylor,

32:03I'm not projecting to play. I don't think he's going to play this week. Um if Mason Taylor's out again, if Adnai

32:10Mitchell especially is also out, you just see so much condense around Garrett Wilson and Sadique. And when you also don't have Bree Hall because Brilland

32:17Allen can't catch as much as Bree Hall.

32:19There's just so many targets available for Sadique and Garrett Wilson that really like I'd feel pretty good about playing both of them. Um and

32:27understanding that like this game has a lot of upside if um Chicago can get that lead. For the Chicago side, um Jets

32:36still projecting as that number one matchup for running backs. I talked about this before that has some last year's data in there right now. Of

32:43course, there's now three weeks for this season. That's still not enough to only use this season. Um, and it's a little

32:50bit unfair because they played Gibbs last week, right? Like, and this is still verse expected, but Gibbs scores the three touchdowns, has a bunch of

32:57receptions, like does amazing. And so, you've got last year's data, you've got a game against Gibbs. I don't think they're the number one matchup for

33:03running backs. Uh, but data is going to project them that way. Um, and then kind of like a solid matchup against everyone

33:11else. Uh but it doesn't matter like this scheme for Chicago is so good that it truly does not matter what the matchup

33:19is. I am playing uh players on this team. And so um start your guys on Chicago. Uh you've got you know Keenum

33:30looked good honestly looked good on Monday night. Um and that was against Eagles who the Eagles also a worse defense than um you would expect them to

33:38be. They're not bad, the Eagles, but they're just like not playing that great. I don't know if the communication is off. I don't know what it is, but

33:45they're just not playing that good on defense. Um, and Chicago just still looked very good. So, it's like not a terrible defense. I think the Jets are

33:54probably a worse defense than the Eagles are, but um, it does just doesn't matter who Chicago plays. It also just doesn't

34:00seem to matter who their quarterback is.

34:01The scheme is so good, um, that like they're going to produce. Now, they have a ton of playmakers. So, the problem is

34:06even though they're going to score touchdowns and they're going to have a lot of yards, we had a game where they

34:10scored 59 points, had a million total yards and Laughlin didn't have a catch and a Doomsday did nothing and Burden did nothing and it was like you kind of

34:19went down the list and you're like, how do they have 59 points and so many yards? Well, it was because it was a

34:22running back day and you just kind of don't know with Chicago. They can just overload at running back, overload at one specific player and that player can

34:29just dominate and everyone else can be kind of left in the wayside. So, even though they're projecting well, um, probably going to have a good day, uh,

34:37it's not like everyone's a turbo smash here. So, I would play DeAndre Swift.

34:40Um, strong start, running back 15 right now. I would play Luther Burden.

34:44Definitely a breakout day on Monday. Uh, kind of to be expected. I mean, we should have probably predicted a slower start for him. Uh, just because he

34:51missed that time in camp. He returns, but he returns really late in camp. And so that buildup kind of happened where

34:57now he's closer to a full-time player and closer to getting like all those scheme touches. Luther Burden should be in starting lineups moving forward. Uh

35:05Coulson Laughlin only a streaming option. Looked better last week. Um the route shares are still pretty solid. Um he's like an inch away scoring the

35:13touchdown. He basically like remembered that he's on our fantasy teams when he's like reaching out for the goal line and he's like, "Wait, I can't score." And he

35:19pulls it back in. Um, obviously his day looks a lot better if he scores that touchdown, but hopefully he can continue

35:26kind of seeing that usage increase uh moving forward. Keenum seems to target him a little bit more than Caleb was.

35:32Also, Keenum not really going to scramble as much as Caleb did. Uh, so that's a positive for the pass catchers.

35:38Adun, I think he still looks solid.

35:41Like, I don't think the route running looks bad. I don't think he's a bad player. It's just like, you know, he had

35:46the easy touchdown. I don't even know how you missed that pass. just bounces off his fingers. Crazy that happened. It was like backto-back plays where it's

35:53like, you know, we've got a Dun. I don't we don't have that much adun. We have more Luther Burden than a Dunay, but

35:58we've got Adun on our teams. We've got Lovelin on our teams. And it's like both of them were like, absolutely not. I'm

36:02not scoring a touchdown for you this week. Um I don't know. I mean, Adun projects to worse on this team, but he

36:09could easily go out there have four for 70 in a touchdown. Uh so I think he's totally fine to play, but as the tag

36:16says, a low and flex play. I would not play Manungai not getting enough volume to be played, but should be rostered

36:21everywhere because he's an amazing backup to Swift and someone that like when we get into buys, which I think starts next week, I don't think there's

36:28that many teams with week five by uh but when we start to get into by weeks, all of a sudden these guys are projecting as

36:33running back 33 are going to project us to running back 28, 27, 26. And all of a sudden, it's like, okay, doesn't take as

36:41much to be solid at running back two, but on a full week you don't need Manungai. Uh Khalif Raymond not bad. Um

36:48going to project for about four receptions, 40 yards basically like you know does he hit for that bigger play like he did last week. He's much better

36:56in full PPR than half PPR because he kind of racks up those receptions a little bit more. He's got that decent

37:01floor there. Uh but only the 53rd wide receiver right now in half PPR scoring.

37:07Um I don't think you need to be playing him this week.

37:10All right, next up Packers at Bucks.

37:15We've got a very low 38 1/2 point total.

37:18Packers are 3 and 12 point uh road favorites for that Packers side. 21 for the implied total. Uh three and a half

37:26point road favorites. Pretty neutral matchup for running backs and receivers against the Bucks. But a very good matchup for tight ends against the

37:33Bucks. Um maybe this is the day, right?

37:36Maybe this is the breakout game for Tucker Craft. Um the routes were awesome last week. The routes ramped up. I think

37:42it was what 22 in week 1, 24 in week two, 37 last week. We talked about this in yesterday's streaming video or um

37:50trade targets video. Tucker Craft is going to have a blowup day soon. I think it could happen this weekend. Only right

37:57now projecting is 10 and 15. I will probably bump that up a little bit higher. Um I would consider him a very

38:03strong start to a must start this week.

38:05I would be playing Tucker Craft if I had him and I'd be playing all these guys.

38:08guys. I mean, Matthew Golden, Christian Watson, like, yes, you have the rookie quarterback on the other side. Um, but the offensive line is so bad for the

38:20Packers that these running backs can't get going. And so, they are going to have to rely on this passing attack. I

38:25think they're number one in um pass rate this season by like a good chunk. They just got to be throwing the ball. Uh,

38:31and so if all those targets are going to these three players, I'd want to be starting them in fantasy. And then

38:36Jordan Love is also solid to stream. Uh we have a report that one of Marshon Lloyd or Caleb Johnson is probably going

38:42to get more of the usage and that instead of being a 99 carry split, it's going to be like one of them getting 13

38:49or 14 and the other one kind of going away. But we don't know which one right now. So I have them projected basically

38:54next to each other until we get that report and then you'll probably see one of them separate a little bit more. On

39:00the Buck side only 17 and a half of the implied total, three and a half point home underdogs. Uh why is that occurring

39:07uh even in a match up against a Packers defense that's not that great? Well, uh Jaylen Daniels is uh the starting

39:14quarterback for this team right now. Um Baker, what's he going to miss like a month? He's going to miss some time. Um

39:21some people were excited about Jaylen in this like like pre-draft process. Um but he's still a a rookie coming in for his

39:28first start. I wouldn't expect him to look all that good, but it's not like Baker has looked all that good this

39:34season. So, I don't think the drop off's going to be crazy, but I would expect lower passing volume. Like, I don't

39:39think the Bucks are going to play fast.

39:41I don't think they're going to try and throw the ball at a high rate. And so, when you have those two factors, all of

39:46a sudden, he needs to be relatively efficient to kind of support these guys.

39:49And so, that's why you see a lot more of the red on the screen, not as much green, just because when you have a

39:54rookie making their first start, it's typically not a spot where we see, you know, explosions on offense. And that's why they have 17 and a half for their

40:01implied total. So wouldn't play most of these guys. Definitely wouldn't play any of these backup wide receivers. Not backup wide receivers, but like Ebuka is

40:08the clear number one wide receiver.

40:10Getting so much schemed usage. They're trying to open everything up for him.

40:13He's a great wide receiver. I really do think like the hope would honestly be for us if you don't have Ibuka is that

40:20Jaylen looks solid. Like he looks like a perfectly serviceable quarterback that we can trust long term. and Ibuka goes out there and has like four for 50 which

40:28is basically I mean I'm projecting four and a half receptions 59 yards here and he doesn't score a touchdown and that we

40:34have enough confidence in that that we trade for him next week cuz I do think the role is really good for Ibuka and

40:39he's getting a little bit unlucky like he's getting open absolutely getting open this season he looks great they're just not finding him and if they

40:47eventually find him he's going to be great in fantasy he's going to be like a must start every week um so the hope is

40:53Jon looks okay and that Ibuka just doesn't have that amazing of a day and next week we trade for him. But I'd also

40:59be willing to trade for him right now. I just don't know that everyone even knows that Baker's out. And so like I feel

41:04like some people who have Ibuka are going to be like, "Yeah, he's just not hitting right now." But when they see,

41:09you know, rookie quarterback out there and they see Baker's going to miss a month, they be like, "Oh, okay." So maybe just understand if your like

41:15league mate even knows if that occurred or not. Um, but I think I someone that I do want to be training for at some

41:21point. Uh, yeah, I really the only one I love playing. Bucky Irving projects well because I'm projecting them to be pretty

41:28runheavy. 18 carries, 73 yards. Um, he's probably going to need a touchdown and kind of up and down for Bucky Irving.

41:36But it's been basically all down for Kenneth Gainwell and they're not giving him that many touches. So, I would probably play Bucky. U, but don't be

41:44shocked if like Jayen goes out there and isn't good. They can't run the ball at that high of a rate that Bucky like

41:49misses another block or fumbles or something like that and they kind of go away from him. Again, that's happened at times. Uh, and so I think he also I

41:58think he left a little bit with an injury. I don't think the injury is anything to be concerned about, but he

42:01left a little bit of an injury last week. Um, I don't love him. Running back 17, strong start. I'd play Bucky. I'd

42:08probably play B if you had him. Uh, I'm not in love with these guys this week.

42:13All right, next up, Rams at Eagles.

42:16Should be another very fun game to watch. Uh, 43 and a half point total.

42:19Rams are three point uh road favorites.

42:22For the Rams side, only 23.25 for the implied total. That's why you see the low projection on Stafford. I think I'm

42:29probably going to get that bumped up.

42:30He'll be a streaming option by the end of the week. Bench right now, he's like right on the fringe of bench. I think I

42:36have it like the top 17 or 18 quarterbacks count um as streaming. I think it's like third I think it's 13

42:42through 18, something like that is streaming. So, he happens to be 19th bench. Uh but he's right up there at the

42:47streaming options. he will be probably the quarterback like 15 or something like that on the week by the end of it.

42:53Um gets Puka back. That's the report right now. Technically, they could go back on the word, but Puka should be back. And when you have Puka, you've got

43:01Evans out there. Stafford is going to have enough efficiency in any matchup to where you'll be playing him. And like I

43:05said before, if we pull back up um the data here, um Eagles last year were like all red in the matchups. It's already

43:13starting to turn green for the running backs, closer to neutral for wide receivers. still very difficult matchup for tight ends. Um, and that's probably

43:20why the projection for Stafford has dragged down a little bit because we have a decent amount of usage going to tight ends, but also injuries to tight

43:27ends impacting things there. Um, but at the end of the day, if you've been using Stafford, just keep using him. The

43:33Eagles defense is not as good as used to be. Play Puka. If Puka is starting for the Rams, he's starting for you in

43:39fantasy. Don't be concerned about the injury. Sure, he could suffer a setback or be limited, but this is Puka Nakua.

43:44You cannot leave him on the bench when he's playing. So, play Puka, play Karen, play Adams, play Stafford. Um, Cororum doesn't project that amazing.

43:52He's always going to be in this like low 30s, mid30s range. You know, he's someone that when by weeks and injuries

43:57start to pile up, um, we can go to, but not yet right now. There's been a lot of injuries at tight end. I don't think

44:03Ferguson plays and I don't think Kobe Parkinson's going to play either. So, you've got Higgby, Davis Allen, Max Clair out there. Um, because again, I

44:12don't I don't think these two are going to be playing this week. Um, and Max Claire they don't trust right now. So

44:16maybe he has one reception, but it's basically all gonna be Davis Allen who who's also not gonna have that many receptions. A lot's gonna flow to

44:22Higgby. And I don't know, maybe I have to almost override the matchup a little bit because I'm projecting 6.2 targets, but the matchup brings that down to only

44:3024 receiving yards. I just think Stafford sometimes just like is better than uh matchup. Like he just like it doesn't matter what the matchup is.

44:39Stafford is so good. He's going to find these guys. So, I might override the matchup a little bit manually and kind

44:45of bump up Tyler Higgby because if those top two tight ends are are out there and they don't trust Claire and, you know,

44:52um Allen is just never a tight end that's going to rack up a ton of receptions. Even h like Puka obviously

44:58being back muddies the waters a little bit there, but even having Puka Kron Adams, they're still going to use a tight end and okay amount. So, I think I

45:05want to bump up Higgby, but he's not going to be someone who projects like top 10 or anything like that. Uh on the

45:10Eagles side, uh Rams defense is improving. So even though they look a good matchup for uh wide receivers, they are getting better. This is going to be

45:19a more difficult matchup as a season goes along. Um think hurts. If you've been using him, you probably continue using him. Um

45:28obviously play Dvontto Smith every week, play Saquon Barkley every week. Uh Saquon has looked totally fine. I'm projecting, you know, 85 rushing yards.

45:37the receptions aren't really there and that's kind of what drags down the projection a little bit. Uh but he's looked okay. So I'd still play Saquon

45:43Barkley. Um I really wouldn't go to any of these backups though. It's a strong defense on the other side. Um Jaylen

45:49Herz hasn't looked that amazing throwing the football. Uh there's not enough volume flowing to Wixs, flowing to Lemon that you really care that much. It's

45:56Herz, it's Damont Smith, and it's Dallas Goddard is not playing this week. It's Saquon Barkley. Even with Dallas Goddard not playing, I just don't think you can

46:04go to these secondary players on the Eagles.

46:08All right, final 1:00 game is going to be Cardinals at the Giants. 44 and a half point total. Cardinals are 2 and a

46:15half point road favorites. For the Cardinals side, um have looked good at times this season because they have a lot of good playmakers. 23 and a half

46:24for the implied total. Um not the toughest matchup in the world matchup wise. um just good players that you want in your starting lineup. Play McBride,

46:34play Jeremiah Love, play Michael Wilson.

46:36I wouldn't extend past that. I would not play Marv. I would not play Bourne. I would not play Tyler Algier. Um we know

46:44who the studs are on Arizona. Um this game I have it projected to play out a little bit slower pace. So you have the

46:51game last week, they fall behind. Uh Rouset throws what, 52, 53 pass attempts. That's not how this week is going to play out. the Giants on the

46:59other side are going to play slow.

47:00They're going to run the ball at a super high rate. And as this game remains close, play volume is going to be low.

47:06And then if Arizona gets up, well, they're not going to drop back a ton.

47:09They're not going to be playing fast.

47:10And so this is probably going to be more of a disgusting game. Uh I think you still have to play these three. Love

47:16McBryen Wilson. I think you're fine streaming Brassette if you need him. Um Brassette's a much worse play this week than he was last week. And then the

47:24Giant side, um, even though, you know, Arizona can be a matchup you attack for skilled players, there's not that many options that you feel good about. You're

47:34definitely not playing Jameus Winston.

47:36Jameus Winston looks really bad and so I don't really want the pass catchers. I know Malik Neighbors is a very talented

47:42player, but I'm projecting him right now as a wide receiver, 31, 9.8 half PPR points. Totally fine in the flex spot,

47:49but he looks a little bit off. Jamus looks bad. It's just I mean it can hit but it's not likely to hit. Um really

47:57just play Scataboo for the touches, not for the efficiency, for the touches he's hopefully going to have and because the um the routes are kind of ramping up as

48:05well. Uh and then likely can be used at tight end, but honestly I might bump him down a little bit as well. I'm not

48:13pumped to be playing really anyone on the Giants this week. Uh Winston just does not look good right now. Uh, I

48:20think we'll see McCarthy within the next month or so. Four:00 games kickoff.

48:26Dolphins at Vikings. A disgusting one.

48:2838 and a half point total. Vikings 10 and 12 point home favorites. Uh, the Dolphins are projected for 14 points. 10

48:3512 point road underdogs against the Vikings. I mean, it's all red obviously, right? Don't play Malik Willis. Um, don't play these running backs. I know

48:45you probably claimed them this week. You could do it. You could put Ollie out there. You could put Jaylen Wright out

48:50there. Don't be expecting heavy volume or good efficiency. Uh maybe Chris Bell or Malik Washington hit, but at the end of the day, don't be playing guys on the

49:00Dolphins. Uh and then on the Vikings, much better matchup, right? The it's not a good game environment overall. We're probably not going to see that heavy of

49:08volume, but we should see plenty of like drives. We should see plenty of scoring opportunities for the Vikings. And so I

49:15would just start these guys. Start the Vikings defense. Start their kicker. Um, but you can stream Kyler Murray. Aaron Jones with no uh Jordan Mason is a must

49:24start. Uh Jordan Addison. I right now have uh Jefferson projected out. I do think that's going to happen. Like if you are the Vikings, why would you play

49:31Justin Jefferson? Like if he's got any sort of injury, you're going to win this game. Like even without Jefferson, you're going to win. Just chuck the ball

49:37to Addison a bunch. Use Hawinson. Get Jawan going. Use Ty Felton. It doesn't matter who he put out there. They're going to get open and going to be fine.

49:47I just don't see a reason to put Jefferson out there this week. So, I don't think he's going to play. And that

49:50makes Addison a must start. Obviously, if Jefferson plays, Addison is no longer a mustart. Uh but as a tiebreaker, play a Vikings player because um the Dolphins

49:59defense is really, really, really, really bad. Okay, we've got Chiefs at Raiders up next. 47 and a half point total. Chiefs only 4 and 1/2 point road

50:11favorites here. 26 for the implied total. Uh Raiders really solid match up for running backs, not so much for wide receivers. Uh we don't see heavy volume

50:20for the wide receivers against the Raiders. Start Ken Walker, U Momes, Rasheed, Kelsey, Kicker, and Butker. Um Xavier Worthy has been really bad this

50:30season. I would not be going to him.

50:33He's not someone we can trust at this point. But um the Chiefs should do well enough on offense. I don't think they're

50:40going to like steamroll uh the Raiders here. They're only four and a half point favorites, but I think they do well

50:44enough on offense to score probably three touchdowns. Um if that mixes around, you know, we could have Ken Walker, Rice, and Kelsey all score a

50:52touchdown. They're all good enough bets for a touchdown, too, where I'd want to be playing them. And I want to be

50:57playing Mahomes as well. Apparently, I have a lower projection on Mahomes in the industry. I have a quarterback nine right now. I think that's pretty fair. I

51:04mean, I don't think he's going to drop back at a crazy high rate. I'm not expecting like four touchdowns for Mahomes. Um he's not running the ball as

51:13much as last season. I think you're you're playing him. It's just I think people are projecting him as like a top

51:18three option right now. I am right now as a quarterback nine. Uh but basically just play the guys on Kansas City. Uh

51:23because the Raiders can actually push teams now. So 21 for the implied total.

51:27Um Chiefs obviously a tough defense to play against but you're not in Arrowhead. That's the really difficult place to play. You're still at home. Uh,

51:34I'm a little bit wary of Ashton Genty.

51:37Um, I have a lot of touches projected right now. You know, 19.9 touches there.

51:42Um, 0.9 touchdowns. There's talk of getting Mike Washington a little bit more involved. That's obviously a little bit concerning, but I think until we see

51:52that actually happen, I think you just kind of have to be playing Ash and Genty. Uh, and then it's basically trade

51:58um, Trey Tucker. It's basically Brock Bowers and nothing else. You can't go to Tucker or Naylor or Mayor while you have

52:03Bowowers out there. Bowowers tight end one rest the season. Million targets going his way every week. If there was a defense I'm scared of, it is Spagnola

52:12and um this this Chiefs defense. They have the talent, they have the coaching staff to where they they can shut down

52:20Brock Bowers to a degree, but there's also only so much you can do against tight ends because of how they operate

52:26on the field. Um, but yeah, there's still a possibility that Powers goes out there and has like four for 40 and we're

52:32like, "Oh no, is he like not gonna do that again?" Well, it's the Chiefs. The Chiefs are just a very good defense

52:38overall. So, don't go crazy in the Raiders side, but I think you got to play uh Genty. I think you have to play

52:42uh Brock Powers. I would not play Kurt Cousins. All right, next up we've got the Chargers at the Seahawks. 42 and a

52:50half point total. Seahawks are sevenpoint home favorites. For the Chargers side, they have not looked good. They're projected under 18 points

52:58touchdown road underdogs against Seattle who is a very difficult matchup for all positions. Lot of red on the screen here. You can stream Lad McConi. I

53:07wouldn't play anyone else. Don't stream Herbert. Hampton does not set up well. I will say uh if Katon Mitchell does not

53:14play all of a sudden we can go to Hampton. Um but I would say you'd need that. Like if Katon's outplay Hampton,

53:20if Katon is playing, I really don't want to play either one of them. Um I would not play QJ. I would not play Trey

53:26Harris. It is only lad on the Chargers side for the Seahawks. Um Chargers also setting up as a difficult opponent, but

53:34worse defense this year than they were last year. Uh we're going to start to see that trend a little bit better, but

53:40it's still not like an amazing spot, right? They're only projected 25 points as seven point home favorites. So, this isn't a spot where we expect Seattle to

53:47score, you know, 30 34 points. Uh but play JSN every week. I think you can flex um Jadarian Price. The the issue is

53:55he was benched for fumbling last week.

53:57It's a little annoying because he's so clearly their best running back. Uh and you you want to see how good he is

54:03because you're going to have Charban returning soon. And it's like you kind of want to know what that split is going

54:07to be. I would give him more opportunities, but uh he's live for one point. Like truly, he's live for one point. So, he's a flex option. You could

54:14play him running back too if you you're desperate. Um they're the touchdown home favorites. That's a great setup for running backs. But really, like even

54:21though this team is pretty solid, JSN is probably the only player I actually want to be starting. And look at this

54:25projection for him. 7.6 receptions, 112 yards, 6 touchdowns. It is wild how good uh JSN is. All right, we've got Broncos

54:36at 49ers. This is the final four:00 game. 47 and a half point total. 49ers are three point home favorites. Should be another fun game to watch. Um, on the

54:47Broncos side, they've not been that good, honestly, this season. They don't look that great under Davis Webb. Um, Shawn Payeyton is reiterating that he's

54:55going with Davis Webb, but I don't I don't know how long that's going to happen. Um, so yeah, just they haven't

55:00looked that great. You're mostly not playing these guys. I don't trust Dobbins. The efficiency has not been there. It's not a spot where I expect

55:06him to explode. He's not getting any targets. I'm projecting 0.6 receptions for three and a half yards.

55:13It's all got to come on the ground. And I just don't know if that's going to happen. Like I don't want to play

55:16Harvey. I don't want to play Dobbins. I honestly think Coleman is a great stash right now. I think he can be their

55:22running back one, you know, in the second half of the season. I would not play Sutton. It's really just Wadd as

55:28kind of a boom bust like wide receiver too. Maybe a streambo, but I'm not that excited about the uh the Broncos side.

55:36The 49ers are a pretty solid team. Um on the 49ers side, a little bit over 25 for the projected total here. Broncos tough

55:42defense, but um the 49ers are playing at home. That's just going to help a lot.

55:47Playing in Denver is much more difficult than not playing in Denver. Start the studs here. McCaffrey Pery's playing like super good this season. I'd play

55:56him every single week regardless of matchup. George KD Evans is one we have to watch. Flux options projection here, but it's wide receiver 25. If he plays,

56:05play him. He's dayto-day right now. Just got to see the practice reports really on Friday. That's going to tell us a lot

56:10more. Um, I wouldn't play Debo. He has like the ADR touchdown, but technically no receptions last week, even with Evans leaving. It's like you didn't have

56:18dribbling, you know, you didn't have Demarcus Robinson. Evans leaves in I think the first half and yet dbo still has zero receptions last week. Like he's

56:25just not a guy that I really want to be trusting right now. It's the studs in San Fran. That's who you got to be

56:31playing. Sunday night game, Lions at Panthers. 51 and a half point total.

56:36Lions three and a half point road favorites here for the Lions side over 27 points for the implied total. Uh Panthers defense not that great. Another

56:46one where it's very very easy. Play Gibbs, play Almanro St. Brown, play Sam Laaporta flex option for for JMO. He's always going to be live for four for 100

56:56in a score, but he's also live for two for 41. And so it's like tough to play him. I don't want to play him wide

57:03receiver 2. much better at wide receiver 3 or flex but wide receiver 32 right now in the projections golf right now not

57:10projecting that great um I don't know I mean the matchup is like slightly negative against pass catchers or for pass catchers and that's going to

57:20translate into uh Jared Goff I think he's still fine though I mean projecting 1.9 passing touchdowns he's probably going to have like 250 and two

57:28touchdowns I think he's totally fine to play he's another one like Stafford where I think I'm going to bump up that

57:33projection as the week goes along. Um I think that the Lions can score 30 34 points here and that means that he's

57:40live for four touchdowns. I would play golf if you had him. And then the Panthers still implied for 24 points.

57:46Should be a really uh good day. It should be kind of a back and forth game.

57:50Uh we're still watching the status of Coker. I mean because he has a history of quad injuries. That's why I'm projecting him out. I think they could

57:57still just kind of hold him out this week. If Coker does play, then of course that's going to help out uh Bryce Young.

58:03But I think just regardless, Bryson's a pretty solid streaming option. You're playing Chuba in all these weeks we have without um Brooks. And then T McMillan

58:13obviously if I'm projecting Coker out, T McMillan's going to project as a wide receiver one. Even if Coker plays, I think you're playing Terrell McMillan.

58:20And then Darren Waller. Honestly, I might be ending up higher than the tight end 16. If we have no Coker, he might be

58:25a top 10 tight end. I mean, it it's just an environment where, you know, the Lions are going to score a ton of

58:31points. you know, the Panthers going to have to be aggressive. If you don't have Jaylen Coker, Waller is probably their basically their wide receiver, too. He

58:38is going to have a really solid day. So, I would stream him. And even if Coker is active, but like limited in some way, I

58:44would stream Darren Waller. And then I would not go to the secondary players on the Panthers. Final game of the week,

58:50Monday Night Football, Falcons at Saints. 47 and a half point total.

58:54Saints are two and a half point home favorites. for the Falcon side. Um, I mean, you basically know what to do,

59:02right? You're not streaming Penn and you're not playing anyone that is not Bejan Robinson or Drake London. Uh, this could be an exciting game. Um, this

59:10could be, you know, a big divisional matchup where both teams score over 24 27 points. Uh, but Pitts is getting absolutely no involvement. Um, you can't

59:18trust Brian Robinson's volume. The secondary wide receivers on the Falcons don't get any usage. Everything flows through Bejon and London. Those are the

59:26only two you can play and I would play both of them. And then on the Saints side, um, tougher matchup for running

59:31backs than receivers, uh, and basically, you know, wide receivers and tight ends, 25 for the implied total, your home favorite. It's in a dome. Shucks playing

59:40really well. Stream Shock play Jawan. The running backs are a little bit tough. Um, you don't have Travis

59:50Achan. Um, but it's not like Kamara or um Kendre look all that amazing. But projecting his running back 30 and 38.

59:57If you had to go to wanting them, I think that's fine. I do think I want to shift a little bit more rushing volume

60:02over to Kendre than Kamara. But yeah, I I don't necessarily trust either one of these running backs. Um, I do think that

60:08Kamar is going to have the opportunity to rack up like three, four, five receptions. If he adds on seven or eight

60:14rush attempts towards a touchdown, he'll have an okay day. The hope is you don't need to go to either one of them though.

60:20Uh really it's Shuck Olive Jawan. That's all I want to be, you know, trusting on the Saints and even Vele, you know, not

60:28the greatest play in the world. Wide receiver 43, it's basically play the studs in this game. So that'll do it for

60:35this one. Uh thank you all for watching.

60:37If you want to see how the projections update throughout the week, what the final projections are on Saturday, Sunday morning, see at my website, the

60:44fantasy footballadvice.com.

60:46If you're still here, please leave a like. If you're new here, please subscribe. I'll catch you all on tomorrow's video.