2026 Fantasy Football Mock Draft
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
33 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
May 11, 2026
Published
Mon, May 11, 2026
23
Player insights
22
Players mentioned
Topics
Brian Thomas Jr.Bijan RobinsonCaleb WilliamsChris RodriguezChristian WatsonD'Andre SwiftEvan EngramGeorge KittleJalen CokerJayden HigginsJayden ReedJonah ColemanJordan AddisonJosh Allen
Player analysis
Player insights
Bijan Robinson
PositiveRole32:17
Locked in as a lead running back with significant touches in the draft strategy, part of securing early running back depth.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr.
PositiveValue35:28
Analyst considers taking a shot on Thomas as a wide receiver option with solid value in the draft range being evaluated.
Insight pagePositiveProjection48:25
In draft rewind analysis, analyst's gut suggests Brian Thomas Jr. probably makes more sense than the Monangai pick; swapping the pick would have improved the team grade from B+ to an A.
Insight pageCaleb Williams
PositiveValue39:15
Caleb Williams is available at pick 119 despite live ADP of 62, representing significant value; analyst notes this is a pretty sweet value in the 10th round but doesn't need him since Josh Allen was already drafted.
Insight pageChris Rodriguez
PositiveProjection43:33
Analyst believes Rodriguez has a legitimate chance to get more touches than Bijan Robinson this season; the staff really likes him, and if Jacksonville's a good offense with him as the leading rusher and goal-line back, he's much more valuable than other running backs in this range.
Insight pageChristian Watson
PositiveRole40:49
Wicks being gone consolidates target share for Jayden Reed, implying reduced opportunity for Watson in the Packers offense.
Insight pageD'Andre Swift
PositiveRole38:26
Swift's health and performance directly impact Monangai's upside; if Swift goes down, Monangai's contingent upside becomes insane.
Insight pageEvan Engram
George Kittle
NegativeInjury33:19
Health status is a concern; analyst notes he would only be a good pick if 100% healthy, suggesting uncertainty about his availability.
Insight pageJalen Coker
PositiveValue44:10
Analyst would be fine with taking a shot on Coker as a late-round bench option.
Insight pageJayden Higgins
PositiveValue44:10
Analyst would be fine with taking a shot on Higgins as a late-round bench option.
Insight pageJayden Reed
PositiveRole40:49
Analyst likes Reed a decent amount when Wicks and Dobbs are gone, as it consolidates target share; there's a relatively decent drop-off after him at wide receiver.
Insight pageJonah Coleman
NegativeDepth Chart35:11
Ravens drafted Coleman, which combined with Dobbins' new contract suggests the team may not have been satisfied with his performance, making him a fourth running back option not worth drafting.
Insight pageJordan Addison
PositiveValue35:28
Analyst considers taking a shot on Addison as a wide receiver option with comparable value to running back alternatives at this draft stage.
Insight pageJosh Allen
PositiveProjection40:32
Drafted early as the team's quarterback, securing a top-tier option at the position.
Insight pageMike Evans
PositiveMatchup33:20
Evans creates correlation risk with Tee Higgins on the same team; in redraft leagues, this dual-team reliance on the Buccaneers offense can hurt floor if San Francisco plays in cold/rainy playoff games.
Insight pageRomeo Doubs
PositiveRole40:49
Dobbs being gone consolidates target share for Jayden Reed, indicating reduced opportunity for Doubs in the Packers offense.
Insight pageStefon Diggs
PositiveValue44:10
Analyst would be fine with taking a shot on Diggs if he lands in a good landing spot as a late-round bench option.
Insight pageTee Higgins
PositiveRole32:17
Selected as a top-tier wide receiver with strong talent on the Bengals offense, part of a solid draft foundation.
Insight pageTony Pollard
PositiveProjection32:05
Analyst plans to draft Pollard and move him up in rankings, indicating confidence in his value and production potential.
Insight pageTravis Hunter
PositiveBreakout42:38
Analyst considers Hunter a pretty strong value right now, going very late in drafts; he's a supreme wide receiver talent who, if he hits, hits a lot more than other wide receivers in this range.
Insight pageTucker Kraft
PositiveValue38:48
Analyst identifies now as a decent time to attack the tight end position with Kraft, suggesting he represents good value at this draft stage.
Insight pageTyjae Spears
PositiveRole42:22
Selected as a bench running back in the draft, providing depth at the position.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here, back with another video, back with the first mock draft, first video of the 2026 fantasy football season, and the
0:07first mock draft we're going to do on my platform. So, we're only mock drafting on my site this season. I've built out a
0:14new mock drafting platform. I think it's really good. I want you all to test it as well. So, it's not perfect yet. There
0:20are going to be glitches. There are going to be things that could improve upon, uh but I want to hear from you.
0:25So, please go to my website thefantasyfootballadvice.com and either click mock draft there, or you can go directly to the tools tools.thefantasyfootballadvice.com,
0:35and you'll see mock draft right here.
0:37So, test different things out, send me screenshots of glitches, screenshots of things you think should look better, uh and I will try and improve it as much as
0:44possible. But, uh we'll see if we run into a glitch today in this one.
0:48Certainly possible. I had one this morning where kickers were jumping to the top of the rankings, which should never occur, obviously. Uh but, test it
0:54out, and we'll see. So, today we're going to do half PPR, 12 team. Uh we'll do it from number two pick. And, um what
0:59you guys will like is these are not all uh available yet, because not all of them actually have ADPs, but I know ESPN
1:06is loading in, so we'll do ESPN today.
1:08Uh there's a composite in here as well.
1:10I think it's at the bottom. Um Basically, uh once those are all actually good ADPs, they'll all feed in here, update daily, and that'll be good
1:19to go. Uh we'll do a regular draft, too.
1:22Um let's see here. Let's actually just remove I know, we'll keep kickers just to see if the the glitch is still there.
1:27Um Regular. Six bench slots, one quarterback, two running back, one flex, uh two wide receiver, you know, your very classic setup, okay?
1:37Um we will start things off at the top, uh with I mean, we'll just go Bijan.
1:43Basically, uh first round no strategy going to be involved. Take the top players. Um and we'll go over a couple things in this video. I know a
1:53lot of you want to me to touch on rookies. There'll be dedicated rookie videos. I'll touch on the rookies as they pop up, but the number one thing
1:59you need to know for rookies this season is that it is a very, very bad rookie class. So, if you just exit your draft
2:05with zero rookies this year, you're totally fine. You're not going to lose cuz of that. Uh if you exit your draft
2:09with a lot of rookies, you might lose because of that. Uh but we'll start off with Bijan again. Uh I think the top two
2:14this year are going to be Gibbs and Bijan. Um I guess you could mix and match that. I do think Bijan, I think
2:19he's kind of consensus number one. You can see he's ranked number one ADP on ESPN is number one live ADP, which um
2:27is basically going to show you as we get more and more and more drafts, what is actually occurring. So, on ESPN, you're
2:35going to see they have an ADP, but that's not very fast to adapt, right? If there is a torn ACL, if there is, you
2:40know, hype from rookie, you're going to see that ADP stick on ESPN, but like in actuality in actual drafts, a player is
2:46going much earlier, especially when that news happens in late August. So, I have live added in here now. Uh and basically
2:52that's going to account for what is actually happening in mock drafts on the website and give you where are they actually going right now. At present,
3:01it's not going to be like super accurate cuz people are not mock drafting a lot yet, but I hope that you guys will start
3:05mock drafting on the website and we'll feed into this live ADP. Uh other columns are just like straight up just this the value. This is this the the
3:12value I have right now. Uh popularity, so this is basically like how popular are they in mock drafts from users. So,
3:19when you guys go in, you draft players, how much or how often are you drafting them to your team? Uh and it's like
3:26um weighted, right? So, obviously like Puka gets drafted more than someone with an ADP in the 200s, but among first-round players, you guys are not drafting Puka
3:36uh at as high of a rate. You're drafting more uh you like JSN, you like I'm sure Gibbs was high there, we didn't see it.
3:42Uh you like Bijan. Um I guess James Cook to a degree, Amon-Ra St. Brown. So, you can kind of see that Jamarr Chase um
3:50useful in drafts. And then we'll talk about this live helper here in a little bit. But, we'll just draft Bijan Robinson again. I think it's going to be
3:56Bijan and Gibbs 1-2. I think there's going to be basically a wide open um wide open from there. What pops Okay,
4:06good. Um I think it's going to be some wide receivers. I definitely think the first four are going to be Gibbs, Bijan, Puka,
4:12and Chase. I don't think that's going to vary too much. I think this whole middle section is going to vary a lot. Um
4:19I have like J T Y higher. I think the running backs right now, maybe their ADPs aren't super high on ESPN, but once
4:25people start drafting, I think they will be high. Uh so, we'll see a lot of these running backs start to push up, these
4:29wide receivers push back. Um going to be a trend we see uh this season because of what we've seen the last 2 years with them all um
4:37basically working out. Running back early has worked out a lot. So, what you can do when you have the live helper now
4:43uh is you can see dynamic adjustments, you can see similar rosters, and you can see an overall suggested pick uh to
4:51make. So, uh and actually, we already see one glitch right now. I need to make sure the names definitely show up.
4:57Um basically, dynamic is what we had before. So, dynamic is um I have results from millions of Sleeper leagues, and it
5:07says, "Okay, when teams start off running back versus they start off wide receiver, tight end, and quarterback."
5:12And then they take another position, another position, another position. How um how important is it that they draft this next position next? So, among the
5:20millions of teams that have started off with a running back, right? It's a very common start. Um 40s or um sorry, up here. Typically, a
5:27little bit better of an outcome when you look at how often they make the playoffs when you draft a wide receiver next.
5:34Now, that's not to say you have to draft a wide receiver, right? Cuz we're at this pick right now. Um we are at uh
5:40pick 23. We were at the almost turn.
5:43There's going to be a turn between us, but we're at 23. Our next pick will be at 26. I mean, the top wide receivers
5:48were She Rice.
5:50Eh. Next wide receiver Ted McMillan, A.J. Brown, so for wide receiver here, like not super pumped, and I'm pretty sure I can get a solid wide receiver in
6:00the next round. So, I would probably go against this and say I'm not as excited about that, but you can see similar
6:06rosters. So, similar rosters going to show you amongst the mock draft data, which is limited right now, but will be heavy as we get into, you know, June,
6:14July, August, you go to mock drafting on here. What are the best teams, the teams that rank the highest, what positions
6:19are they taking, and it actually does lean running back. So, you are a little bit better off taking running back, at
6:23least as ADPs are right now. That will shift. Um so, personally, I would say and then it'll show you like where they
6:29probably last their next pick. Um but, I think that logic also needs to be updated a little bit. Personally, this is my draft. I'm going Amari Hampton at
6:37this pick. Late second round, Chargers is going to be really good. He's going to get a ton of touches, ton of
6:41touchdown opportunities. Um I believe in improved offensive line, but I need to do a lot more research into the offensive line changes this off
6:48season, but I just think Amari Hampton pretty good pick to make at that spot.
6:52So, we take Bijan, we take Hampton. Uh the system knows we've started off with a double hero RB build. Um similar
6:59positions, again, only two. So, don't for the rest of this video even look at the similar picks. Again, I need you
7:04guys to kind of add data into the mock drafting, but what you do always want to look at is dynamic. Um
7:10Quarterback, tight end, not as impactful. If you started off two running backs, take wide receiver. I think you guys can kind of put two and
7:17two together and think if we started off two running backs, the best thing historically would be to take a wide receiver. Uh unfortunately,
7:24um again, running back showing as such good value right now because I think the ADPs are not super accurate right now. Um that should make
7:35sense, right? If you were drafting on ESPN, you should not assume that the best uh ADPs are out there on May 11th,
7:43but I think eventually you'll see better wide receiver value actually occur at this pick because running backs will push up.
7:51But yeah, Chase Brown would be a good pick. Ken Walker would be a good pick here. You can go three running back and
7:55then basically say I'm not going to touch running back for a long time after that. If you went wide receiver, I think you're taking AJ Brown. It's
8:02difficult to rank AJ Brown right now cuz I have him listed on Philly right now because he's technically on there, but
8:07he's not going to be leading indications right now are New England.
8:12Um, I don't know. I feel like if he lands in New England, it's possible I drop him behind Tet, behind Olave.
8:19But I don't think there's like a clear slam dunk wide receiver at this pick.
8:23Um, I think it probably would be AJ Brown. Um, if you had one of Brock Bowers or Trey McBride at this pick, I
8:30think that would be a strong pick. Um, but I don't hate going Josh Allen.
8:34Um, one thing we've seen also with ADP's so far, and this is ADP's on Underdog, but it's the only real ADP's that we have
8:41right now, are people so last year late quarterback won, right? If you just double dipped with the quarterback late, that was a great strategy. And so
8:48because of that, because people just think the same thing's going to happen every year, all those late quarterbacks are like kind of pushing up by ADP, but the early
8:56quarterbacks, cuz that didn't work, are pushing back. And so it's, you know, more expensive to draft a late quarterback and less expensive to draft
9:03an early one based on one year of data.
9:06So, I think, you know, it's a really good move if you like drafting early quarterback, draft Allen, Lamar, Drake May. I think Jayden Daniels is
9:14great value right now.
9:16Hurts to a degree, Burrow, Caleb. Like I think this general range of quarterback is really strong to get because you're getting pretty solid value for it.
9:24I do think if this was like my my money league, you know, my even my my league with my friends that I really want to be
9:29winning that one, I don't think I'd go wide receiver. You're going to get such good wide receiver values at different points. I probably would just at this
9:35point of the off season take Josh Allen, say I've got the best quarterback, the best running back, an amazing running back, too. I will figure out the wide
9:44receiver position after this. So, that's what I would do personally. Uh 50/50 between two rosters again, don't really pay attention to that. Don't take
9:52quarterback here. Uh tight end not the best value and yeah, you wouldn't take Warren at pick um that's another thing.
9:59I think I want to I want this to show up in like the middle of here so you don't have to keep moving it over. But, we're
10:04at 47, you're not taking Warren at 47 live ADP. So, actual ADP 46, live ADP what you've seen in actual drafts 65.
10:13Good indication of hey, you don't maybe necessarily have to take them at their ADP. Um suggestion here is Tee Higgins. Not
10:20going to last to the next pick. Um I mean, I agree. I think Tee Higgins is pretty much the optimal pick here.
10:28So, we will take Tee Higgins. I think good draft so far. Also, Tee Higgins uh used to be going at like the turn of
10:35like the two-three turn. Now, you can get him at the four-five turn. Pretty good value. Uh Carnell Takeo, so okay, we'll we'll give the rookie take here.
10:41So, I'll pull up uh the draft board. We see um Takeo before us. Uh the rookies gone so far should just be Jeremiah Love
10:49is around two pick. That is correct, he's around two pick. Uh and then Carnell Takeo, I don't think Tyson has gone yet. So, the very quick
10:56um TLDR on rookies this season again, bad class, but the top end's not bad.
11:02So, Jeremiah Love deserves to be a second round pick. He's going to go in the middle of the second round. He's
11:06going to go around guys. Um I think actually where he went here is probably where he's going to go, right?
11:11He's going to go after McCaffrey, JT Achane, but around this like Barkley, I think people are going to take Jente still first. He's going to go Jente,
11:19then this like Love, Barkley, Henry, Hampton, that kind of range. Mix and match it how you want. We'll do breakdown videos exactly how uh we like
11:26that. Um But, it makes sense. You know, you you take a guy that early. Like they took him, uh Arizona took him
11:34third overall, which means they spent third overall pick for the right to pay Jente more than any other running back in the NFL. He's the highest-paid
11:40running back in the NFL on his rookie deal in terms of guaranteed money. So, you don't make that pick unless you're
11:45going to feature him. So, he's going to get a ton of touches. Great running back. Uh plays in an offense that, you
11:50know, is going to still put up a decent amount of points. Um He's a good pick, but he's a round two pick.
11:56After that, you've basically got um the three wide receivers. So, it's Tate, it's Tyson, and it's Lemon. Tate lands in Tennessee. Um he's paired with a
12:05former number one overall pick. He's very clearly number one target on the offense. Um It's just kind of a good situation.
12:12Brian Daboll also we kind of like um he'll utilize his best players. Um kind of just feature the guys that he likes.
12:18Uh and obviously them taking him fourth overall, they're going to like him. Um You've got Jordan Tyson, a great landing spot in New Orleans. I feel like Tate
12:26and Tyson, that's going to be a debate.
12:28Uh they're very close in the rankings right now. Of course, um Tyson gets the Saints and a pace team. You get a ton of
12:36dome games. And so, that's a very big positive. Uh and then Lemon, who I like a lot, but gets the worst landing spot.
12:43Goes to Philly, a low-volume passing attack. Um Hurts at quarterback. Again, they're they're going to run for so many touchdowns, not throw a lot. Um We don't
12:52know how they view him, if it's slot only or not. And they're going to learn a lot of two-tight end sets. So,
12:58probably definitely third among that list. Um and then Price. Um Price, teammate of Love in college. Uh he lands on Seattle. It's a great
13:09landing spot, but I'm not sold on the talent on Price. I think he's going to be overdrafted this season. After that,
13:15I don't want to say it's a cliff. I think Casey Conception is next, but there's such li- like the cliff starts really, really fast. And if all
13:24you knew were those names and Casey Conception as like a solid pick on Cleveland, but on Cleveland, so who's going to be the quarterback? How good's
13:31that going to be? If all you knew was that, you'd be good to go in August.
13:35Like legitimately, you wouldn't need to know a single other name. You don't need to draft other rookies this season.
13:39They're just not that good. The landing spots are bad. The talent is not good.
13:44Those are the only guys you need to know. So, we'll do a ton of videos, but that's my take on the rookie class this
13:48season. So, for this pick, um we're looking at a relatively even split between running back and wide receiver slightly towards wide receiver. Again,
13:55that makes sense. We're through four rounds. We only have one wide receiver and it was our last one taken. Similar teams took wide receiver here, so of
14:01course it's going to recommend wide receiver. It's recommending Ladd. I would say I have this on here as well.
14:07Just some like offensive stack risk. We already have a player on the Chargers in Hampton. Typically, you maybe don't want two of the same team. Uh what if Herbert
14:16gets hurt? What if they have offensive line injuries like last season? What if the offense just underperforms? You take two hits in the top five. That's not
14:23amazing. So, I would still lean in Buca.
14:25And then I don't currently have David Njoku. Um David Njoku signed today with the Chargers. Um I don't have that factored in to the projections that you
14:34see on the screen right now. Um when I do, I don't think Ladd's going to get tanked, but it's going to hurt him a
14:42decent amount because he already had a limited touchdown ceiling. Now, you know, it's it's not it's not that amazing.
14:49Um Next up, um so tight end starts to become a thing, right? We're through uh quarterback, two running backs, two wide
14:56receivers. We have Josh Allen, Bijan Hampton, Tee Higgins, and Egbuka. So, now it would make sense if we wanted to go after a tight end. The thing is
15:04Warren is gone, and so um and so he goes, the computer simulates him at pick 61, a little bit later than
15:11his ADP. Um we're not touching tight end. And honestly, um you guys know the the strategy for tight end is always
15:17early or late. Like take one of those top guys or just wait a really long time. Take two late if you want to, but
15:22you really don't need to be targeting this like in Pitts again has that kind of uh booster and that's another glitch.
15:27Okay, so we've got another one. We need that to pop up over the overlay for player if it's going to be there. Uh
15:32those are the things I want you guys to look for. I want you to do a bunch of drafts and be like, "Okay, Nick like if
15:37if the player's top in here, we can't see the uh the graphic show up on the screen." And I can fix that relatively
15:43easily. I guess I don't know how easy this one is, but I'm assuming it's pretty easy to fix. Um But yeah, anyways, four tight end uh we
15:50just don't want this range, right?
15:51Because we know we can probably get Kittle uh Ferguson uh well, we don't really like Gonner as much now, but likely we get late uh
15:59Saddiq if you felt like taking a shot there like um It's not great actually like the late round tight end, but honestly Njoku once
16:06you put him on the Chargers, he'll jump up.
16:09There's not going to be a huge difference between those guys in here, but there is a big difference at skill player. So, we're taking running back or
16:15wide receiver here. Um system's telling us wide receiver is a better value based on the data and the two teams that we're
16:21looking at for our sample here. Uh but I would say if I'm staring at this, I'm just taking a shot on Mike Evans. Like
16:25I'm just saying it's Mike Evans on San Fran. He could score 15 touchdowns.
16:30Maybe the volume's not insane, but we know the touchdowns are going to be there. Um Tyson is still a rookie. I do
16:36still have to start this guy week one as of right now. Uh maybe we can still get Tyson cuz I still love Tyson. Like uh in
16:43in dynasty, it's a difficult decision. I might go against market and say Tyson is better just cuz the landing spot is so
16:48amazing. Like this is like the S tier of all S tier landing spots in terms of like how fast they're going to play, how
16:54much they're going to throw the ball in the domes. Like it's just it's such a good landing spot for him um that, you
17:00know, we're going to want to be drafting him, but this is Mike Evans and this is Mike Evans on San Fran who'll force feed
17:06the ball to their best players. So, we'll take that. Um put away the recommendation right now. So, again, Allen, Bijan, Hampton, T, Egbuka, and
17:14Evans. That I would be very happy with that start from my draft. Um I do think going back to running back
17:22does make sense here.
17:24Um It is running back if you look at it the millions of simulated teams in the sample size.
17:30Um Because running back falls off. I mean, we look after this like Chuba I think Chuba's a starter right now.
17:38Um They of course Rico Dowdle is gone. Rico Dowdle is now on Pittsburgh. So you got this whole split to worry about. Um
17:47Obviously we don't know with Jonathan Brooks, but we can honestly do the same thing we did the rookie season. Take Chuba and Brooks and be like, "Hey,
17:54maybe one of you breaks out." And they both them a little bit more expensive than do now, but Brooks would be a good
17:58pick here. Stevenson would be a good pick here. You're not reliant on them, right? You'll be like, "Hey, if if Bijan
18:03and Hampton if one of them gets hurt, I can slide these guys into running back two. If one of the wide receivers gets
18:07hurt, maybe they're my flex option." And we don't need them to go out and produce like mid-range running back two numbers.
18:12So I think those two make sense. I think Pollard makes a lot of sense. Um I still need to kind of look into Singleton a
18:17little bit. So they drafted Singleton.
18:19But again, I don't think this class is that good. So I wouldn't be worried about teams drafting a running back if
18:24you like the starting running back on that team. Um and I don't know like there's still a chance that Pollard is
18:30like still going to be pretty darn good. Um I think I need to move him up a little bit and get him to the same tier as Chuba
18:36and Stevenson. I think he's a little bit too close to this like Mononguy like Warren, Dowdle. Like this is still the
18:41starting running back on an ascending offense.
18:44Um Honestly, I'm going to talk myself into like Pollard over uh Chuba and Stevenson cuz you would hope that Stevenson um or that they use
18:56Henderson a little bit more than they're using him last season. Um You would think that if Brooks is healthy that maybe he gets used more. So
19:04I'm talking myself into Pollard right now. Maybe I will end up doing that. But I think the point is there's those three
19:10and then it's like you look at all these other names and it's like, do you really want any of these guys? Not really. And
19:16so that's why it makes sense to lock in those two running backs early. We'll take another one here. Um we can maybe
19:20go back to wide receiver. We can do tight end at a certain point, but um I think I'm going to do Pollard. I think I
19:25actually am going to draft him. Um I think I'm going to end up moving him up in the rankings. All right, so we are
19:31at pick 95, 811. I'll pull up the draft board so you guys can kind of see what has happened. Again, we've got our
19:37quarterback. We've got Tee Higgins, Evans at wide receiver. We've got Bijan Robinson and Pollard at running back.
19:43We've locked in a ton of touches at running back. We've locked in really good talents on the Bengals, the Bucks, and the 49ers at wide receiver. Um I
19:51think this is a really, really good start to the draft. Still not pumped about uh tight end. Of course, if we knew Kittle
20:00was 100% healthy, he'd be a good pick.
20:02If we knew Kittle was 100% healthy, he'd be a good pick, although a little bit of correlation there with Evans. And again,
20:07the correlation as well for this, it's like it's also week to week. So it's like not only are you saying could Purdy
20:14get injured and that could hurt two of your your players, what if San Fran just like plays a game uh the schedule hasn't come out yet, but
20:22let's say they play a game in Cleveland late in the season, a game in Philly late in the season, in New England. Like
20:26one of those things and it's the fantasy playoffs and you've got uh a really cold, really rainy game and you're relying on those two, but now both of
20:33them stink because they threw for 150 and no scores. Like just that level of correlation hurts you a lot in redraft
20:39where it helps you on a site like Underdog is you don't care as much and you want that top end. You don't need
20:44that variance in redraft league. You actually don't want it. So it hurts your floor too much drafting those guys on on
20:49the same team.
20:51Anyhow, but it can help late. So if you want to bet on an offense and be like, I think the Panthers are going to be great
20:57this season and you want to take like Brooks and uh Coker. That's totally fine to do because you're making a bet on an
21:02offense and if it hits, it really helps you. And if it doesn't hit, well, it was two late picks, and that doesn't matter
21:07too much. Anyways, um I think I would go wide receiver here.
21:11So, I like Monangai, um Harvey, I'm just concerned because they give the new contract to Dobbins, they draft uh what's it? Uh Jonah Coleman.
21:23>> [sighs] >> Somewhat concerned that they just didn't love what they saw from him, and it would be our fourth running back, so we
21:28don't necessarily really need to be drafting him. Um I feel like I would take a shot on Brian Thomas, or I take a
21:33shot on Jordan Addison. Uh if we're looking right here, it's basically a split between running back and wide receiver value-wise there. Um wide
21:41receiver drop-off, well, actually, we're going to have a pick in like two.
21:45So, I actually would take a running back here.
21:49Cuz I don't think I would take two wide receivers at this next pick. I think I would split running back and wide
21:53receiver, and there's just a little bit more risk that, you know, Monangai and Harvey are gone, and we kind of get into
21:57this drop-off here. So, I think although it'd be fine just drafting Dobbins instead.
22:06What does this team have? Not that computers will always simulate correctly, but I think I've tried to build enough logic into the computers.
22:12If you guys notice something that they're doing that's not realistic, please let me know. Um but like this is a realistic team that has been drafted
22:19at the 1.01 having Gibbs and Henderson, Rice, Tate, and Godwin, Bowers, and Trevor Lawrence. It's like a pretty solid team. Uh so, no indication that
22:28they're going to go in any one direction here. Um I guess I'd probably go running back because I don't really care between
22:37um Brian Thomas, Addison, Jayden Reed.
22:41I don't really care which one of those guys I get. I do care a little bit at running back.
22:51I don't know.
22:53I don't know what the move is.
22:56My only thought with Monangai is basically they liked him a lot going into year two, that system's going to be great, there's going to be a ton of
23:02touchdowns.
23:04Um he's going to get the ball plenty.
23:06If Swift went down, the contingent upside is insane.
23:10Um even if Swift just like doesn't, you know, improve any like the the upside there for Monangai on that offense is
23:16great. Uh so we'll take him and then we'll just take Addison after that. Um All right, working out nicely. We are
23:23again going to need a tight end at some point, but there's going to be plenty of tight ends.
23:28Um I feel like actually now we could probably just go with Tucker Kraft and actually I think that's what the thing
23:34is telling us to do. Yeah, it's saying um now is [clears throat] a decent time to start attacking the tight end position.
23:40Um Again, the two similar rosters, I need you guys to do uh some drafts here.
23:46Also, uh the watchlist, let me get let me know what you guys like think about this feature. I built it in. I'm not
23:52even confident like how much I love it.
23:55Does this say that Wow, Caleb is still on the board. That's insane.
24:00I just noticed though like the live ADP on him is 62 and he's available 119. So that's pretty crazy. Um I think that's
24:05one thing I want to touch on as we look at the draft board. So this team took a second, got the Bo Nix and Justin
24:11Herbert. I think Okay, never mind. Maybe it actually is doing decent. Hurts and and Mahomes. I was thinking maybe sometimes quarterback that second series
24:19will be pushed off a little bit more and then not enough teams are drafting that second. If you guys notice that, let me
24:24know um if like the quarterbacks or if the computer's just not simulating enough of that second um quarterback drafted. But like that is a
24:32pretty sweet value being in the 10th round, but we have Josh Allen, so we don't really need um Caleb Williams.
24:39But I guess if there wasn't another person that we liked, um See, I I don't think I would I don't think like there's probably be one more
24:45pick we do running back. I don't think we need to go running back at this pick.
24:49I like Jayden Reed a decent amount when you have Wicks gone uh and you have Dobbs gone, it really consolidates that
24:57target share there. So, while he's still probably not going to play in two wide receiver sets, um maybe they just play more two wide
25:03receiver sets. So, I do like Reed a decent amount, and there's a relatively decent drop-off after that.
25:10But yeah, it's basically Caleb would be a luxury pick here, or we go with Tucker Kraft, or we go with, um
25:17do they have a tight end? They do have Bowers, so it's less likely they take Tucker Kraft. So, why don't we go Jayden
25:22Reed, hope Kraft doesn't go, Kraft doesn't go, and we'll take Tucker Kraft.
25:27All right, beautiful. We have two more bench spots. We've got defense, we've got kicker to close things off.
25:33Um I could double dip on uh Jacksonville here. So, again, for those of you listening on uh listening on Spotify, but Spotify allows
25:42videos now, so you can just watch the video also on Spotify. Um Allen, Bijan, Hampton, Tee Higgins, Egbuoka, Tucker Kraft, Mike Evans, and
25:50then our bench, Tyjae Spears, Mon On Guy, Addison, and Jayden Reed. Um we could go with Chris Rodriguez and Travis Hunter. I think Travis Hunter is a
25:58pretty strong value right now. Um In drafts, he goes very late for the upside that he could potentially bring.
26:04We don't know how much he's going to play wide receiver, but he wants to play wide receiver. He is a supreme wide
26:08receiver talent. If he hits, he hits a lot more than a lot of the other wide receivers in this range. So, think he
26:13makes sense, but I think Chris Rodriguez also makes a lot of sense. Um there is a chance that he legitimately gets like
26:19more touches than Bijan Robinson this season. Like, that staff really likes Chris Rodriguez. He when he's gotten the opportunity, has been decent. Um they could use him at
26:29the goal line. He's not going to catch passes, so that's the one big negative.
26:33But if Jacksonville's a really good offense, and he's their leading rusher, and he's used at the goal line, I mean, he's a lot more valuable than a lot of
26:39the other running backs we're looking at at this spot. Like, legitimately, like a lot of these running backs will have like no role this season. Chris
26:44Rodriguez is going to have a role this year. So, I would probably just grab Chris Rodriguez.
26:50Um I would probably grab Travis Hunter, but if you felt like taking a shot on uh Omar Cooper, if you felt like taking a
26:56shot on Jaylen Higgins, Jaylen Coker, Diggs if you think he lands in a good landing spot, I'd be totally fine with
27:03pretty much anyone you want to draft at that point, but I would draft Travis Hunter and then I would go defense.
27:08Actually, let's go kicker first to see if that glitch got fixed. I tried to fix it, but Um, it did It's not fixed. So, why
27:17why are these three kickers like the rank is obviously not like this and yet there they are. So, I don't know. I got
27:24to fix that, but it only happens at kicker. But hey, don't play in leagues with kickers and then you don't need to
27:30figure out this issue. We don't even have the schedule yet, so I've no idea what defenses are going to be good to
27:35stream early on, but we'll take defense and we will see the end. I've also worked on this end of draft screen, so I
27:43want to make it so that Um, and again, don't pay too much attention to like beating all of these sample. A lot of this sample is
27:50simulated, so that's another thing.
27:52Part of the live is that every 30 minutes it's going to simulate a draft from like every possible combination.
27:57So, like an ESPN 14 team three wide receiver, it's going to go through all of them and simulate one. So, we have
28:03draft data and we can see how things are moving and it's going to feed into strategy lab, which you guys are really
28:07going to want to check out. Um, but it's going to feed into all this stuff, but users are going to be way
28:13more heavily weighted. Like I literally have the math to where like a like if you wanted to do a full user draft, like
28:18you wanted to send it to all your friends do a 12 team mock draft where all of them are users, that is worth
28:24like infinitely more in the live ADP and in the strategy lab data than simulated drafts are. They feed in, so we have
28:32data, but when you guys go in even a solo draft, it's worth a lot more. Um, but yeah. Um, I also need to fix this, I
28:38think, cuz I think this output is being wrong right now.
28:41But it's going to basically give you a breakdown, um, tell you how much rookie risk you have, uh, the value on your team, your
28:47roster quality, where you're ranking among positions, um what your um strategy basically was, um steals and reaches, the strengths of your team.
28:58You're going to be able to click this and go in the strategy lab and see how this strategy ranks in this exact
29:03format. Um you can draft rewind. So, it actually did uh it we would have improved from a B+ to an A had we gone instead of that
29:11Manongai pick had we taken Brian Thomas Jr. instead.
29:16Had we swapped that in. Um I think my gut was saying Brian Thomas Jr. probably makes more sense.
29:22Obviously, then we wouldn't have gone with Travis Hunter at that pick. Um but I don't know. That was probably the biggest decision. I don't think it would
29:28have impacted the team a crazy amount.
29:31Again, it's only a B+ to an A. Uh but I feel like I do agree like Brian Thomas taking there probably was uh
29:37was better off.
29:39And then tell you like your best picks.
29:41Um It'll update the steals and reaches here. Uh tell you a little bit more on strategy lab with the best and worst things were
29:49and then it'll tell you every team how they grade out. You can kind of see, you know, what the team drafted, where their
29:53value was, all that sort of stuff. So, let me know um how much you guys like it. Um again, check out strategy lab.
30:00There's going to be a lot of data on here. Um and especially once you guys start actually drafting a lot of teams,
30:06lots of data's going to show up in all these different things, seeing the trends of different players, what winning rosters look like. It's going to
30:12be very very very cool. Um we can go back and see uh the past hopefully here.
30:20We'll view this. Um Oh, I think that's one more thing I want Oh, no, I do have it.
30:26Sort of. I feel like I need to fix this a little bit and make it um a little bit better. Cuz right now, this isn't really
30:33a draft board. This is just kind of like displaying the teams. But that's the team. Um Let me know. Let me know what think. I
30:41do actually think it was a very good draft. Um starting off with the two running backs is going to be very popular right now,
30:48but we will see how popular it becomes.
30:51Actually, this is a draft board, right?
30:53This technically is a draft board. I feel like I just want to structure it differently, maybe. Um but it's popular now. Um I think the ADPs
31:00on, you know, Sleeper ESPN are going to adjust, and running backs are going to go very, very early, and you're not
31:04going to see these runs at wide receiver. And then we're going to start seeing a lot more wide receivers in this
31:08range cuz running backs are going to get pushed up. But who knows? So, mock draft on the site. Again, you can go directly
31:13there, tools.thefantasyfootballadvice.com.
31:16It is free. Um you just won't have all the tools. So, um you won't have my rankings to draft with. You won't have
31:23um the pop-ups for live helper helping you the the whole way through. That stuff is premium, but you can go through, do a
31:31mock draft, see your score, see all these different things, test out different strategies. That is all completely free to do. And you can make
31:37a free account if you want to save your drafts and look at your past ones. Um and it's also uh you can share it. I
31:43think I want to change up this as well because you can go into live, and you can like host a draft, and it'll show up
31:49here. I just don't think a lot of people are actually going to do that. Uh so, I want to cuz right now it's kind of set
31:54up to like feature that. I don't think we need to be featuring that. Uh but if you want to um if you want to like
32:01create one, then you can go into host, and how did I do that before?
32:10See, this is I also need to figure this out a little bit better.
32:17There's a way that you can All right, I need to fix that link there. There's a way that you can share
32:22a link, basically, and you can like join drafts with friends. I forget how I did it, and maybe I just like deleted it,
32:28but you go into the draft lobby, and there's supposed to be a There's supposed to be a button where you can just like open up a draft, but
32:34right now the host button is not doing that. So, that's another thing you need to fix. Again, please go in and test out
32:40some mock drafts and let me know what you all think, what needs to fix, what needs to improve. That is obviously one
32:44of them and I'll go back and try and update these.
32:47Uh but yeah, that's probably the only video this week. Um maybe do another mock draft next week.
32:52More videos will come out um as we work into like later May and definitely into June, July, August with a ton of videos.
32:59Then, uh that my friends is the end of this one and thank you all for watching.
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