0:00Jeremiah Love said that he's having the hardest year of his life.
0:03I hope your guys' fantasy football season is going a little bit better.
0:07We're going to recap everything that mattered in fantasy football because I watched every snap so that you don't have to.
0:13Starting on Sunday morning, Josh Downs just simply might not cut out to be the engine of a passing offense.
0:19Daniel Jones was awful against the commanders, but I had high expectations for Josh Downs in this game.
0:24He was absolutely brutal. Three targets on 35% of the routes.
0:28He does have a 95% route rate, but was target-mogged by Laquan Treadwell and Ashton.
0:32Obviously, you are not trading away Josh Downs. You're not dropping Josh Downs because this is the nadir of his fantasy football
0:38value, but the idea that I had coming into the season that Downs could be one of these transformative, you know, JSN-style breakouts, I just think is wrong.
0:47You know, I think that Josh Downs is probably going to be a pretty cromulent fantasy football wide receiver.
0:52He will probably average about 10, 11, 12 fantasy points per game, but because he does not have a high average depth
0:58of target despite his ADOT spiking before this game and because he's not particularly a touchdown score, this team just uses Jonathan
1:05Taylor and Tyler Warren in the red zone. His week-to-week fantasy football value is just going to be way too variant.
1:11On the commander's side in that Sunday morning game, the commanders are basically just dedicated to making sure that Ja'Cory Kratzky-Meritt is
1:17never going to be a fantasy football starter. He started out the game.
1:21He actually played the first three third downs, but he played 45% of the offensive snaps in this loss with Rashad Whiteout.
1:28Austin Eckler came off the street to play 17 snaps.
1:30He got eight routes, actually ended up getting four carries and two targets.
1:34Katron Allen came in and then this completely surprised me.
1:37Craig Reynolds, who used to be the running back three for the Detroit Lions, traveled overseas to play in this game for
1:44the Washington commanders, got six snaps and a carry or two carries, actually.
1:47I mean, look, I liked Ja'Cory Kratzky-Meritt coming into the season, but again, the idea that he is going to be this
1:54reliable, dependable fantasy football starter, it's just very clearly not true.
1:57If Austin Eckler is going to come in, having not played football off of an Achilles stare and then just play 17
2:03snaps while you play 29, it's just not going to happen.
2:07I wish it was. This looks like one of the things that I was going to be wrong about in fantasy football.
2:13Carnell Tate had his best game as a rookie here for the Tennessee Titans against the Baltimore Ravens in a way that
2:19frankly was actually a little bit surprising to me because Cam Moore did not play particularly well in this game.
2:25He had nine for 145, was not able to score a touchdown, finally had his average depth of target increase.
2:31This was the thing I was waiting for the Tennessee Titans to do, 68% of the team's air yards, a 44% target share, 21.5 PBR points.
2:39I had actually drafted Carnell Tate in a fair amount of managed leagues and I had not been starting him.
2:44And I now think that Carnell Tate has kind of moved into that, you know, wide receiver 27 through wide receiver 40,
2:51wide receiver 45, where every single week you look at your lineup and you're like, man, who do I start?
2:57Whereas Tate before this game for me was a guy that I basically just was not starting, but now I think he's firmly moved into that range.
3:04Wendell Robinson did run 25 routes and saw five targets, but I think that's really all that's interesting with the Tennessee Titans.
3:11Sadly, Lamar Jackson injured his ankle and was seen in a protective boot leaving the stadium.
3:16And the reason it's so sad is that Zay Flowers, I think, is clearly entering the top five wide receiver conversation.
3:22He had eight for 118 and one basically in one half of a ball because the team barely dropped back to pass
3:28with Tyler Huntley in the second half. A 33% target share, 29% targets per route run.
3:33Flowers is to me is looking like one of the guys who is going to be the story of the season.
3:39And then also interesting, if you have Mark Andrews in fantasy football, he's really starting to lose snaps to Matt Hibner, one
3:45of the tight ends that the Baltimore Ravens drafted.
3:48I would be concerned over the back half of the season that Hibner ends up running fewer routes.
3:53I think obviously Andrews is not going to be benched.
3:56He's not going to be phased out of the offense, particularly with Devontez Walker and Rashad Bateman and Elijah Surratt and all
4:02these secondary receivers for the Ravens doing absolutely nothing.
4:05Andrews also did score the touchdown in this game, but I really want to monitor that Hibner usage, particularly in tight end premium leagues.
4:12I'm thinking that Hibner a little bit later in the season could become a pickup.
4:16Drake May, this was a very surprising one to me.
4:19I thought this really profiled as a Buffalo Bills steamrolling win.
4:22Drake May had 31.3 fantasy points on the season coming into this game, scores 27 fantasy points in this game, had a
4:29really strong PFF grade with two big time throws, generated eight for 54 as a rusher, did so with Romeo Dubs, you
4:35know, clearly leading the team in targets, really good fantasy game for Romeo Dubs.
4:39F'd in Chisholm with one of the best catches of the year.
4:43If you did not see the F'd in Chisholm touchdown catch, the Drake May lobbed him in the right back corner of
4:49the end zone, you should definitely go seek that one out.
4:52Then also just a note here on the usage for the running backs, Ramondre Stevenson and Trevion Henderson.
4:58These guys are just in the worst dead 50-50 touch split.
5:01I mean, I wish that it was, it's just so unfortunate.
5:04You know, I wish that Trevion Henderson played a little bit better.
5:08I wish they trust him a little bit more on passing downs, which is very clear on third downs and in long down and distance situations.
5:15The Patriots are not going to extend that leash for Trevion Henderson at all, but I was encouraged by Drake May.
5:21I think it's going to be obviously great for him to get AJ Brown back, but I just had larger concerns about
5:28Drake May's shoulder, about how poor he had played to this point in the season.
5:32I think this is a huge win, like momentum wise.
5:35I think this is big, like confidence wise. I just think this is absolutely massive for the Patriots.
5:40Keon Coleman has a four real game with DJ Moore who re-injured his shoulder.
5:44I'm guessing DJ Moore will not return until after the Buffalo Bills week seven bye.
5:49You know, I put no panic on Dalton Kincaid here.
5:51I'm actually starting to panic a little bit. Joe Brady had a quote after the game that led me before I really
5:58dug into the usage stuff to maybe not panic as much because Joe Brady said there's no reason Dalton Kincaid should have two targets.
6:05I think I'm probably wrong about that because Dawson Knox actually played one more snap and then scaled up to 13 routes.
6:11DJ Moore who left injured ran 14 routes. Kincaid only ran 20.
6:15Josh Palmer ran 22 routes. Shakir led the team with 31 routes run and actually eight targets.
6:20I mean, this was not a banner game for the Bills.
6:23This is not a banner game for Josh Allen, but early on in the season, it was looking like Dalton Kincaid might
6:29be the breakout tight end story of the year.
6:32He had a route participation above 70% in their first two games and then is really, really trailed down in these last two games.
6:39So, so revise that a little bit mild panic on Dalton Kincaid.
6:42I'm going to give Joe Brady a chance to kind of change his mind about the usage of this upcoming week.
6:48But if we see another week where he plays fewer snaps than Dawson Knox, I I'm officially going to press that panic button.
6:55And we're going to talk much more about Keon Coleman in the waiver wire video tomorrow.
7:00But as of right now, he to me looks like a very strong waiver wire ad, particularly with DJ Moore still struggling with the shoulder injury.
7:07Very little to say about the Jets. Honestly, the Jets ran the fourth fewest plays of any team in any game and National Football League history.
7:15Since the beginning of the National Football League, they only ran 32 plays.
7:19The Bears generated 34 first downs, which is obviously a Chicago Bears record.
7:23The Jets ran, it was just, it was an awful, awful game from the Jets.
7:27Braylon Allen, for what it's worth, did get every single Jets running back touch.
7:31He ran 13 of 18 routes. He had handled 14 of 14 carries, did have two targets out of the backfield.
7:37So Braylon Allen, obviously in better days for the New York Jets, I think is going to be a startable running back,
7:43you know, in fantasy football, kind of low end running back too.
7:47Also worth noting, Kenyon Sadiq's raw participation did go up in this game.
7:51Obviously, you're very frustrated if you started Kenyon Sadiq, but his raw participation actually trended up from 55% last week to 76% this week.
7:58So I'm actually, it's weird, but I'm kind of encouraged about Sadiq.
8:01Obviously, one of the things that's going to be an issue is A.D.
8:05Mitchell probably is going to be back next week, and that is going to directly take away from his targets.
8:11But this kind of is just for the Jets.
8:13It's one of these games, you just have to say, hey, sometimes that's a cost of doing business.
8:19Sometimes when you have a Frank Reich, Aaron Glenn, you know, Geno Smith-led team, sometimes this is going to happen, 42 minutes
8:25and 45 second time of possession for the Chicago Bears in this game.
8:29Kyle Menungai had a massive game, 30 rushes, 146 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns.
8:33Khalif Raymond fell to a distant fourth in routes and targets for this team.
8:37The Khalif Raymond stuff did basically start to evaporate.
8:40He only played only 47 of 93 overall snaps, 20 of 36 routes, was targeted two times in the passing game.
8:46One of those turned into an interception. Colston Loveland drew a team-high nine targets.
8:50So I think, you know, obviously we're all very worried about Colston Loveland.
8:54We are all pressing the panic button on Colston Loveland, but I'm not dropping this guy.
8:59I actually started him in two leagues this last week, was kind of pleasantly surprised by the results that we got from him.
9:05I don't know how much actionable there is to take away from Menungai because DeAndre Swift fumbled in this game and that
9:12did not get another touch after the fumble. Also, according to Ben Johnson, Kyle Menungai hurt his thumb in the fourth quarter,
9:18which then led to Roshan Johnson getting some rushes in the very end of the game in the fourth quarter.
9:24So a lot to monitor for the Chicago Bears, but I would say arrow up for Luther Burden.
9:29Very nice if you're a Roma Dunsay guy just to see him play well and to look like an NFL receiver in this game.
9:36You might notice only 52 of 93 snaps for Luther Burden.
9:39I think the stuff there is very clear, which is he does not play in 13 personnel.
9:44Roma Dunsay plays in 13 personnel, and basically the entire second half was 13 personnel because the Bears were just running.
9:50They ran out the clock. I believe they got the ball back with 12 minutes left in the fourth quarter and then just ran the clock out.
9:58I mean, truly just absolutely grinded the New York Jets into paste in this game.
10:03The Jacksonville Jaguars by Sheltude and absolutely snakebitten in this game.
10:06Two holding calls wiped out touchdown for him. He dominated the backfield work.
10:10He had a 44-yard touchdown run and a three-yard touchdown run, both in the second quarter, wiped out due to holding penalties.
10:16The 44-yard run was like kind of negligible. The three-yard touchdown run, those plays are never called back by holding.
10:22It like truly to me felt like a conspiracy in that game.
10:25He played 36 snaps, 15 for Chris Rodriguez Jr.
10:28He was targeted twice, no targets for Chris Rodriguez.
10:30Kent Allen's role was diminished. Amir Abdullah's role was diminished.
10:33I really do think that Baishel Tootin is one of the best buys in all of fantasy football right now.
10:39I think we are really, really trending towards Baishel Tootin being like a top 10 running back in fantasy football.
10:45Chris Rodriguez did score the 25-yard rushing touchdown in the fourth quarter.
10:48The game was basically decided by that point, and it's just one of those.
10:53He happened to wriggle away and get the touchdown.
10:55I don't think there's anything predictive to that touchdown.
10:58Searod was clearly not a big part of the game plan.
11:01Tootin was a very big part of the game plan and is going to continue being a big part of the game plan.
11:08I was very, very encouraged by what I saw from Tootin on offense in this game.
11:12And still, you know, only 61 offensive plays for the Jaguars.
11:16They did not have the ball a ton, but just overall really adding to the body of work in a very frustrating way.
11:22Like, I get it. If you started Tootin in this game, you are unbelievably frustrated.
11:27The fact that he just was not able to generate more fantasy points here, but I do think the fantasy points are coming.
11:33Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins were both injured in this game against the Jaguars.
11:37A concussion for Jamar Chase, an adductor injury for Tee Higgins.
11:41Sounds like there would be a chance for Jamar Chase to play next week.
11:45I think it's going to be harder for Tee Higgins to get back with that injury.
11:49Dante Myers, a former Uber driver, was the story of the game here.
11:5354 of 58 routes, was targeted nine times, had 15 PPR points in this game.
11:57And then, as always happens when the Cincinnati Bengals suffer a wide receiver injury, Mike Kosicki really stepped up.
12:0340 of 58 routes, three receptions, 40 yards, and a touchdown.
12:0687% of his pass snaps in the slot. I mean, this is why Mike Kosicki continually gets drafted in fantasy football, despite being a part-time player.
12:14Kosicki is going to be a really high-end waiver wire ad at wide receiver this week.
12:18I would anticipate probably Chase finding a way to play next week and Tee not playing.
12:23And I actually, I mean, maybe this will be an unpopular opinion, but I would have Kosicki as an ad over Dante
12:29Myers, just because I've seen Kosicki excel in this role without one of Chase or Higgins in the lineup multiple, multiple times.
12:36I am officially a bit worried about George Pickens.
12:38His usage is very similar to last season as a whole, but Lamb seems to just be absolutely dominating him.
12:44He had a 92% route rate in this game against the Texans, but CeeDee Lamb was targeted 20 times.
12:50Pickens was targeted three times, four for Flournoy, four for Jake Ferguson, and then five for Javante Williams.
12:55George Pickens did have a really great reception on the left sideline, where he really did look like George Pickens.
13:01I mean, seven targets per game this year versus 8.1 last year.
13:04I don't really know what to make of George Pickens' lack of fantasy points, but I will say a month into the
13:11season, it just to me looks like CeeDee Lamb is the absolute alpha here.
13:15And George Pickens is, you know, really what this is, is this is a Jamar Chase, Tee Higgins thing, where in stretches, Tee Higgins can look incredible.
13:23Jamar Chase went out yesterday. Tee Higgins looked like one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, with Jamar Chase on the sideline.
13:30But when Jamar Chase is in, it's very clear that a Chrysler 300 looks like a Phantom until a Phantom rolls up,
13:36and CeeDee Lamb would be the Phantom in this equation.
13:39So you can go ahead and report it, put it in the newspaper.
13:43I am a little bit worried about George Pickens paying off his second round or third round fantasy football value.
13:49David Montgomery looks like an extreme, extreme dead zone running back.
13:52Ran 17 of 35 routes here. Was not targeted in this game.
13:5510 carries. Woody Marks had 6. Marks scored another touchdown inside the 10-yard line.
13:59He scored from the 1 in Week 3. He scored from the 6-yard line and this one.
14:04Now, the long down and distance and the short down and distance stuff is about what you would expect.
14:10But frankly, the issue with David Montgomery is that 19 of his yards came on a hook and ladder from Belton Schultz.
14:16Montgomery is playing more of the long down and distance and the 2-minute drill.
14:20But Marks basically just seems like the better player at this point than David Montgomery.
14:25So if you spend a 4th round, 5th round pick on David Montgomery, I mean, you can't cut him.
14:30You can't drop him. You know, we really are not going to be able to get anything from him in a trade.
14:37But I would just say the odds of David Montgomery being like, oh, we're winning pick in fantasy football this year is like sub-5%.
14:44Like, I think this is who David Montgomery is.
14:46If he doesn't score a touchdown and it looks like they are giving Marks more opportunities to score than they are Montgomery,
14:53David Montgomery is basically going to get you 6 points on a given week and that's going to be like just kind of the modal outcome for him.
15:01As I was talking about on the thumbnail, Jeremiah Love says to Arizona Cardinals reporters after this game that this is going
15:07to be the longest year of his life. He plays 30 snaps.
15:11Algier plays 36. He runs 9 routes. Algier runs 13.
15:14He did get 14 carries. He was only targeted once in the passing game.
15:18LeFleur called Algier the third down back and also Algier is playing the two-minute drill.
15:22Now, Love is coming back from this high ankle sprain and they're saying, you know, quote unquote, they're managing it.
15:28And there was a Twitter thread that was going around from one of these guys who's like a doctor or PT or
15:34whatever talking about how there was a chance that Love aggravated his ankle injury or, you know, one of his lower body injuries in this game.
15:42And that's why the emphasis was on Algier in the second half.
15:45And then basically Michael first said, no, that's not true.
15:48It was more of a protection emphasis. Algier took 100% of the inside the five carries, also scored on a 22-yard run, 12.9 PBR points for Algier.
15:56I'm very frustrated as someone who played Jeremiah Love in a lot of different fantasy sports contests on Sunday.
16:02I clearly, you know, did not read the tea leaves correctly from the way the Arizona Cardinals used those guys in week three.
16:08This ended up being like a more competitive game and the Cardinals did just happen to be in two-minute drill, long down-and-distance situations more than you would anticipate.
16:16It's also just weird to think of Algier being a long down-and-distance, you know, two-minute drill style guy given how he was used in Atlanta.
16:24But I think one of the things that's become clear for me analyzing football this year is rookies are just generally not
16:30ready for the responsibility that those clear passing situations require.
16:33They just have not seen enough. There's not enough experience at the NFL level.
16:37So coaches are going to prefer someone who's just been around, seen more, you know, like Algier is just going to be
16:43steadier presence in those situations than Jeremiah Love. And it's very, very frustrating.
16:47Obviously, you can't sell Jeremiah Love. In fact, if anything, I would think of him as a buy.
16:52But it's just very annoying to spend the number three overall pick on a running back and then be like, you know what?
16:59We got to take this guy off the field when we are trying to score for a guy that we signed in free agency.
17:06One of the biggest positive things for me was that Jameis Winston looked about 200% better this week.
17:11250 passing yards, three touchdowns, two classic Jameis interceptions.
17:14Malik Nabors suffered a shoulder injury earlier in this game, but then came back and was, you know, really awesome in fantasy football.
17:21Six for one, 12 and one. Nabors is, I think, probably going to be playing through that shoulder injury for most of the year.
17:28But just the fact that Jameis kind of looked like classic Jameis here.
17:31Like, yeah, he's going to throw some picks. You're not going to, you know, you're not going to win a Super Bowl.
17:38You're not going to win a division or anything like that.
17:41But Jameis looking so much better than he did against the Titans and the Rams tells me that Nabors, Scadaboo, Najee Harris,
17:47you know, Isaiah Likely, all of these guys are going to continue to be pretty good fantasy football assets.
17:53Najee Harris actually has a better yards per carry than Scadaboo thus far.
17:57And Isaiah Likely with a 7, 466, a 41% target share for Likely.
18:01It looks like one of the things I'm going to be wrong about in fantasy football this year is just not really buying into the Isaiah Likely thing.
18:09He's dominating targets for this New York Giants team.
18:11But I was very concerned about specifically Nabors' fantasy football value.
18:15I think my friend Sigmund Bloom said you could maybe sabotage drop Malik Nabors.
18:19I mean, definitely, obviously, do not do that. But we're just happy to see Jameis, you know, be able to play passable
18:25football and be able to replace Jackson Dart. Tyler Higbee was the lead Rams tight end with Terrence Ferguson and Colby Parkinson out.
18:32The Rams basically had to completely get rid of their 13 personnel.
18:35Because they do not trust Max Clare to play yet.
18:38Max Clare, their second round pick, played one snap in this game.
18:42If Parkinson misses again next week, Higbee, for me, is going to be a top 15 tight end in the fantasy football.
18:4865% route share. Had really strong, you know, 6 of 50 targets.
18:51Devontae Adams only had 9. Puka Nakua had absolutely no restrictions.
18:55Ran 90% of the routes. Had 12 targets. Scored on a 1-yard rushing touchdown as well.
18:59Puka was incredible in this game and in the comeback.
19:02Basically, the comeback effort could not have happened without Puka Nakua.
19:05And frankly, couldn't have happened without Tyler Higbee. You had a very nice first down conversion reception as well.
19:11So we basically have our answer, which is that Tyler Higbee is going to be Terrence Ferguson's backup.
19:16What we'll see what the snaps look like next week with Colby Parkinson potentially returning.
19:21My guess is that Colby is still a blocker and that Higbee is viewed more as the receiving touchdown.
19:26And then I'll just obviously a huge shout out here to Kyron Williams.
19:30Massive game. 36.7 PPR points. Had 83% of the running back opportunities.
19:33You know, this idea that Blake Corum was going to be a flex starter.
19:37I think it's just clearly not true. Saquon Barkley injured his hamstring in this game.
19:42I'm going to guess that he misses quite a bit of time with this one.
19:46Will Shipley and Tank Bigsby were in a near 50-50 split.
19:49Shipley played all the long down and distance passing situations.
19:52He ran 15 of 32 routes, only eight routes for Tank Bigsby.
19:56Bigsby led the backfield with 14 rushes. Actually, he was targeted once.
19:59No targets for Shipley. Obviously, Bigsby and Shipley both need to be owned in 12-team leagues moving forward.
20:04Shipley is going to be playing all the long down and distance and all the two-minute drill.
20:09But Bigsby will get the goal line stuff. Bigsby basically will kind of be in the Barkley role with like effectively no receiving work.
20:16But both of them need to be owned, I think, in 12-team PPR leagues.
20:20The Packers running back usage was just insane. Chris Brooks got injured early on.
20:25And then Caleb Johnson lost a bad fumble inside the Tampa Bay 5 with about nine minutes left.
20:30He got no touches after. 9.9 PPR points for Lloyd.
20:332.2 for Johnson. And then 4.5 for Brooks. He injured his ankle left in the first half and did not return.
20:39Lloyd fumbled, but he had the good luck of it going out of bounds.
20:43Matt LeFleur had the quote. If guys don't start holding onto the ball, they're going to be sitting on the bench.
20:49However, given that Lloyd and Johnson both fumbled, what do you even do?
20:53If they're both fumbling, what do you even do?
20:55Caleb Johnson had the best run of the game.
20:58He had a nice 31-yard run to set up a scoring possession for the Green Bay Packers.
21:03And then what did he do to follow up that run?
21:06He fumbled. I mean, none of these guys are startable in fantasy football.
21:10You know, that just is what it is. I would anticipate if Brooks doesn't play next week, Marshawn Lloyd will probably project
21:16for marginally more points than Caleb Johnson. But I would guess that I will probably rank Caleb Johnson ahead of Marshawn Lloyd
21:23because I have eyes and I can watch Marshawn Lloyd play.
21:26And he just does not look very good in fantasy football.
21:29Bucky Irving sadly is losing high value touches to both Gainwell and Tucker.
21:33Zero targets for Bucky on 15 rounds. Did have 16 for 61 as a rusher.
21:37Sean Tucker took every rush inside the five-yard line, had a two-yard rushing touchdown, and then Gainwell had a 10-yard receiving touchdown.
21:44He also took 100% of the long down and distance and 100% of the two-minute drill snaps.
21:49So with Baker Mayfield out and the Buccaneers just getting canned, I mean, the Buccaneers are 0-4 to start the year.
21:55Jalen Daniels, you know, kind of did his best.
21:57He looked maybe even a little bit better than I thought he would.
22:01He was definitely a gamer, quote-unquote, in this spot.
22:04But basically, Bucky has to get there on efficiency.
22:06It's just very, very hard in fantasy football. If you're not going to play passing downs and you're not going to get
22:13goal line work, you have to be so insanely efficient to be good for fantasy football.
22:17And Bucky just is not going to be that good.
22:20You know, he's not Dijon Robinson. He's not Jameer Gibbs.
22:23So it's just going to be so hard for him to get there in fantasy football.
22:28Ollie Gordon dominated Jalen Wright in this game. 22 snaps versus 12 for Jalen Wright.
22:3210 routes for Gordon, 3 for Wright. And then basically, he was rewarded for playing very well.
22:37He had 9 for 101 as a rusher with a really nice 53-yard run.
22:41The Miami depth chart listed Jalen Wright as the running back 1.
22:45And the usage for those guys was close in the first half.
22:48And then because Ollie Gordon just played really well, he was breaking tackles.
22:52I'm sure he was doing what was asked of him in passing situations.
22:56And frankly, I mean, it's not like you really want anyone on this offense.
23:00I mean, the team only ran 39 plays on offense.
23:03But if I had to choose one of these guys moving forward, it would obviously be Ollie Gordon.
23:08I think Ollie Gordon is a much better player than Jalen Wright is.
23:12He scored on a 12-yard run in the third quarter.
23:15But the Dolphins stink. You know, I mean, is this going to be the best game that Ollie Gordon has for the
23:21entire season in terms of fantasy points? Yeah. I mean, I think that is probably it.
23:26I would not imagine he's going to have another 100-yard rushing game.
23:29He might. I mean, he scored a rushing touchdown this week and last week.
23:33Those might be the only rushing touchdowns that he scores on the entire season.
23:37With no Justin Jefferson and no Josh Oliver, TJ Hawkinson dominated in this game.
23:4265 of 78 snaps, ran 32 of 43 routes.
23:44He was targeted 13 times. A lot of people were expecting a huge game from Jordan Addison.
23:49He saw fewer targets than Aaron Jones. Only had six for 32.
23:5324.9 PBR points from Hawkinson. He was the clear tight end one.
23:56This is before Monday night. 3.72 yards per route run with a 41% target share and 45% of the Vikings air yards.
24:02I mean, what is there to take away from this?
24:05Do I want to buy TJ Hawkinson in fantasy?
24:08No, I don't. I definitely do not. Frankly, my biggest takeaway is that the Minnesota Vikings are 31st in the NFL in yards per play.
24:15They have two wins without scoring an offensive touchdown.
24:18They're 4-0. I think bad things are probably coming for the Minnesota Vikings.
24:22I was one of these guys that really... I really did believe in Kyler.
24:26I thought he could have really strong, solid production here for the Minnesota Vikings.
24:30I thought KOC would be very good for him.
24:32And it turns out I was wrong. Like, it turns out that it's just not going to be happening for Kyler Murray this year for the Minnesota Vikings.
24:41I think at best, he is going to have an okay season.
24:44And even okay seems a little bit out of reach right now for Kyler Murray and the Minnesota Vikings.
24:50Bad, bad news for the Kansas City Chiefs here.
24:52Tyquan Thornton out indefinitely, probably out for the rest of the year.
24:56Looks like he broke or dislocated his ankle. It was the injury that kept Chris Godwin out for a very long time.
25:02Rashi Rice also pulled his hand string. It was Jalen Royals and Noah Gray who played more after Tyquan's injury.
25:08However, the Chiefs did not play any 11 personnel after Tyquan left the game.
25:12So I do think there is a chance that actually Cyrus Allen is a pretty good waiver wire pickup here at work
25:18noting the Chiefs do not play in week five.
25:21And then they're going to have an opportunity to sign Juju Smith-Schuster, who is a free agent.
25:26I mean, maybe they could bring in Odell Beckham.
25:29Obviously, as I am recording this, there is every chance that Tyreek Hill signs for the Kansas City Chiefs.
25:34Adam Schefter just had a report that Tyreek's agent, Drew Rosenhaus, reported, you know, Tyreek is meeting with teams, deciding who he's going to sign with.
25:42I would guess that he is going to sign with the Kansas City Chiefs.
25:46I would not go crazy on Royals, on Gray, on Allen, on any of these guys, because what's going to happen is
25:52the Kenneth Walker production is going to go up.
25:55The Xavier Worthy production is going to go up marginally.
25:58I mean, I just don't think Xavier Worthy is that good.
26:01I really wish he was. I mean, Tyquan was looking like one of the best players on the team.
26:06Obviously, Rice would have the ability to play with his hamstring injury in week six.
26:11He's going to have the time off. I don't know if he'll be able to make it back by then.
26:17I mean, if I had to rank Chiefs waiver wire pickups right now, I would rank Tyreek Hill first.
26:22I would rank Cyrus Allen second, and I would rank Royals third.
26:26The deal with Royals is he's actually played a fair amount for the Kansas City Chiefs both last year and this year,
26:32and has just not shown any ability to draw targets.
26:35Allen, I think, conceptually could earn more targets in this offense.
26:38I mean, I don't think that is the most likely scenario, but it's just, I mean, it's a bummer because Tyquan was playing so well.
26:45We'll see what happens with Rashi. But really what this does solidify is that I think Tyreek is probably going to sign with the Kansas City Chiefs.
26:53Michael Mayer and Brock Bowers have been an insane tandem.
26:5659 snaps against the Chiefs with both Mayer and Bowers on the field.
27:00Mayer ran more routes than Cody White, obviously ran more routes than Ian Thomas.
27:0474 of 84 overall snaps for Mayer. Eight for 82.
27:0716.2 PBR points. The tight end seven before Monday night begins.
27:10I mean, basically, Bowers is just a wide receiver.
27:13So the relationship between Bowers and Mayer's snaps really only relates to targets per route run.
27:17And because Trey Tucker, Jalen Naylor, and Cody White are not really target earning receivers, that means that Mayer's role is still like pretty strong.
27:25I mean, one thing you could maybe be concerned about is that Bowers is going to have his positional designation changed at some point.
27:32That it'll just be changed. Maybe if you're a dynasty manager, it might be changed to wide receiver.
27:37He might try and get a wide receiver contract instead of a tight end contract.
27:41The Chargers, I don't even know where to begin with the Chargers.
27:45Keith Mitchell led the Chargers running backs and snaps targets and touches.
27:48Kamani Bidel caught a touchdown inside the 10-yard line.
27:51Arande Gadsden did draw seven targets on 28 of 43 routes.
27:54Ladd McConkie got injured again. I mean, this is just going to be the usage for the Chargers.
27:59Hampton is going to need to score a touchdown to have a good week because he's not going to have enough touches to get there.
28:07I do think the 23% target share for Gadsden is marginally encouraging.
28:10I did pick him up in a fair few number of leagues.
28:14And obviously, if Ladd is out, that's going to be even better for Gadsden because they're just going to need someone who can earn targets.
28:21Trey Harris actually had a decent role here as well.
28:24To be fair, Keaton is, in my mind, the guy who has the ability to have an expanded role.
28:29They're clearly trying to use him in the passing game.
28:32They're clearly just trying to find something, anything, to get the offense going.
28:36And Keaton is the only one of the Chargers backs who possesses a special skill set.
28:41You know, Keaton's ability to generate space, Keaton's ability to get both north, south, and east, west is something that Vidal can't
28:47do and something that Hampton can't do. And poor, poor second-round Damari and Hampton drafters.
28:51I mean, look, I've got Hampton in the second round on a couple teams.
28:55And, man, I don't know. If we were drafting again today, where would we take Amari and Hampton?
29:01It would not be very high. That'll be a big question for me in my rest-of-season rankings video.
29:06Jadarian Price on the injured reserve for the Seattle Seahawks.
29:09Emmanuel Wilson dominated on the ground. 21 rushes, 81 rushing yards, and a rushing touchdown.
29:1370% of Seattle's rush attempts. Also had a 21% target share.
29:16George Jelani only ran 8 of 26 routes. Did get some mop-up carries in garbage time.
29:21I mean, frankly, I never thought we would be here.
29:24But Emmanuel Wilson is going to be like a top 20 running back, a top 50 flex option while Jadarian Price is out.
29:31Zach Charbonnet did return to practice this upcoming week.
29:33So I think that means his 21-day window is open.
29:36Be really interesting to see what happens with that 21-day window.
29:39Apparently, Joe Mixon had a free agent visit with the Seattle Seahawks.
29:43We'll see if anything comes of that. But if you got those Emmanuel Wilson points last week, I mean, you are feeling
29:49great because he also looked quite good. You know, I don't know how often they're going to play teams as bad as
29:56the Los Angeles Chargers, but a very encouraging start for Emmanuel Wilson.
29:59The Broncos' three-way backfield. I mean, does it get more annoying than this?
30:03You know, 30 of 67 snaps for Harvey, 21 of 67 snaps for Dobbins, 13 of 67 snaps for Tyler Beatty, 11 carries for J.K.
30:10Dobbins, but absolutely no fantasy production. 10 targets, 10 catches for Harvey, but not getting any touches inside the 10.
30:16Pat Bryant had an ankle injury and was carted off, did not return.
30:20Troy Franklin subsumed his routes and his role. Pat Bryant, obviously a better player than Troy Franklin, so I think Pat Bryant's
30:26target share is going to be greater. I mean, maybe this is the only way that any fantasy football value is able to come from Court and Sutton.
30:34Can't feel that good. I mean, you know, the Broncos' offense, I was pretty high on it coming into the season, or
30:41at least I thought it could be good for fantasy, but Bo Nix is playing awful.
30:45You know, half of Bo Nix's throws were at or behind the line of scrimmage, just like a really, really bad offensive
30:52start to the season for the Denver Broncos. Jalen Waddell did score a touchdown here, so good for him on that one.
30:58I am officially concerned that Christian McCaffrey is just a guy now, that he is no longer run CMC.
31:04Really, the big difference for me, and, you know, comment down below, you guys tell me if you agree with this or
31:10not, is that the way the 49ers offense is built now is it is now built around Brock Purdy.
31:16It is built around what Brock Purdy can do.
31:18It is built around what makes Brock Purdy comfortable, the types of throws he likes to make, the types of rollouts that
31:25he likes to do, the types of route concepts that he likes, whereas I think for a large part of Shanahan's career,
31:31his offense was built around protecting the quarterback. His offense was built around what can my running backs generate?
31:37What can I do to power the run game?
31:39You know, that's kind of always the misconception about the Shanahan, McVay, you know, kind of these elaborate, evolved West Coast offenses
31:46is like, they're not built around the pass. Generally speaking, they're built around the zone running scheme.
31:51And, you know, basically Christian McCaffrey is going to be, I think a good fantasy pick.
31:55I think he's going to be a good fantasy asset.
31:58I don't think he is going to challenge Jameer Gibbs and Ken Walker and Bijon Robinson for, you know, 20, 21, 22, 23 fantasy points per game.
32:06I just think, I think no chance. I think Christian McCaffrey is probably going to average about 17, 18 fantasy points per game.
32:13I think he's going to have a couple nuclear weeks, but I think that as the 49ers pass catchers get healthy, like,
32:19okay, we're going to see Christian Kirk return. You know, we're going to see Debo's role continue to grow.
32:25We're going to see Evans have his rib injury healed.
32:28The offense really is going to be about what Brock Purdy can do.
32:31Jamison Williams did have a mini breakout, despite dropping what would have been an 89-yard touchdown in the first quarter, six for
32:38102 on eight targets, a 100% route share, a 17 average up the target.
32:42The drops were not great, but it is nice to see, you know, like if I spent a fifth round pick on
32:48Jamison Williams, he is not a stone zero. I mean, the thing that we like about the Lions offense, I mean, look
32:55at these route shares, a hundred percent each for J-Mo and St.
32:58Brown, 62 of 71 snaps for Jameer Gibbs. You know exactly who to play in the Lions offense.
33:03They are trying to ride their horses, eight for 84 and one for Sam Laporta.
33:08Momentary dip in production for Amon and Ross St.
33:10Brown, but obviously it's all good there. And then on the Panthers side, Ted Arroyo McMillan and Bryce Young, just truly with
33:17an announcement of how good they are. The Bryce Young, I saw a great tweet about this.
33:22I believe this is my friend, Roto Pat. The Bryce Young improvement has gone from incremental to exponential.
33:27And I have to count myself as a buyer here.
33:30I think Bryce Young can clearly be the engine of either an average or above average NFL offense.
33:35With no Jalen Coker, three targets for Bryson Tremaine, five for Mechie, only three targets for Darren Waller, partly because, you know,
33:41basically the Panthers were kind of just dominating in this game.
33:45And really because Ted Arroyo McMillan left no meat on the bone for anyone else.
33:4914, 192 and two career highs and catches in yards for Ted Arroyo McMillan in this game.
33:54I mean, just an awesome performance. If you drafted him, you are very happy.
33:58And, and, you know, Bryce Young, I was obviously worried about him after, you know, I moved him up so high in my rankings for that Browns game.
34:06But I mean, I think it's pretty clear that he, and just in general, the Panthers offense has arrived.
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34:34And I'll be back with you guys for the waiver video tomorrow.