0:00Good morning and welcome into the Lineup Fantasy Football Show.
0:03I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Melo. And we are joined yet again by our guy Dynasty Dad from Smash Accept.
0:08It's been a few weeks, but it is great to have you back.
0:11How's it going, man? We only missed one week, but I mean, it feels like a long time.
0:16Feels like forever. I miss you guys, you know?
0:19If you have any start-sick questions, trade questions, or anything else we can answer to help you win your Week 8 matchup
0:24and beyond, let us know down below and we'll answer every single comment.
0:28Also, let us know what you need tonight on Monday Night Football to win your Week 7 game.
0:33But as always, the lineup is presented by Dabble Fantasy.
0:35Download and sign up for Dabble, then use the promo code LINEUP and you'll get $20 in bonus cash when you play your first 10.
0:42But let's get into our six buys heading into Week 8.
0:45Mike, we're going to let you start first with your first guy.
0:48Yo, I got purple in the background for a reason, you know?
0:51And don't judge before we do that. It's got to be Derrick Henry.
0:54I mean, this is a no-brainer, right? Like, historically, you look at what Derrick Henry has done with and without Lamar Jackson.
1:005.5 yards per carry with, 4.4 without, writings on the wall.
1:03Then you see what the first four weeks of the season versus the last three weeks.
1:07I mean, the first four weeks of the season with Lamar Jackson, seven touchdowns, 93.5 yards per game without, zero touchdowns, and
1:13then dips all the way down to 68.3. Is it a talent thing?
1:17Absolutely not. It's just a situation. Lamar was close to coming back this past week.
1:21Lamar will be back next week. The writing's on the wall.
1:24And what happens every single year is Derrick Henry wears down defenses.
1:27Derrick Henry's really good in September. He's really good in October.
1:30He is a league winner in November and December because he just wears down defenses.
1:34They continue to use him with his play style.
1:36And there's no bigger buy in fantasy than Derrick Henry right now.
1:39So, I, not to spoil it, but I'll be on the Smash Accept show later talking about some of my favorite dynasty buys.
1:45And I have Derrick Henry. Just to list off a few stats, obviously the last two games, 10.9 PPR points over them combined.
1:51Not great. Before that, finish as a top six running back in four of the first five weeks.
1:56If you feel like, oh, but is it now?
1:59Is he finally falling off the cliff? Look at last year when he went four straight games outside of the top 24
2:04before finishing as the RB3 overall in weeks eight through 17.
2:07We're going through the normal Derrick Henry progressions. Don't panic.
2:10Go out and buy him. Yeah, I completely agree with the fact that I think he is the biggest buy low right now.
2:16And I talked about him last week on our league winner episode.
2:19And you're right. Like, he wears down defenses. He's so good in, once you get into late November, December, it's honestly a
2:25little bit of a blessing that Lamar didn't play this week.
2:28And it was another bad showing from Derrick Henry because now you can buy him probably even cheaper.
2:33Like, one bad game, people might still be a little reluctant to move him.
2:36Two bad games, if you get the right manager who's panicking all of a sudden, you can get a really great player at a discount.
2:43Melo, it's like when we used to have Black Friday and then they just added on Cyber Monday.
2:48And you're like, wow, I get a whole other day of deals now.
2:51Wow. How generous of corporate America. Yeah, not to mention, I mean, he gets Buffalo coming back in week eight, which their run defense is horrendous.
2:58Jacksonville, Los Angeles, Carolina, and then in the playoffs, gets the Bengals.
3:01You know, there's a lot to love about Derrick Henry.
3:04And, you know, for you ageists out there, he just doesn't, he's not going away.
3:08You know, like Derrick Henry, I've doubted him for three years now where you're like, hey, it's going to start to dip, right?
3:14It's just not. You know, in these three games, if somebody gives you a window to buy, go do it.
3:19I know you were looking right at Melo when you said you ageists.
3:23As the resident ageist here, I very much love Derrick Henry and never doubt his talent.
3:27Let's move on, though, from one Raven to a former Raven.
3:30And that's Isaiah Likely. I think after yesterday, some people could shape the narrative to be, oh, my God, Isaiah Likely had
3:36his worst game of the season with JJ McCarthy at quarterback.
3:38He's no longer going to be an elite tight end rest of season.
3:42Those people are wrong, though. Those people are just 100% wrong.
3:45Now, first of all, McCarthy threw a touchdown to Likely literally last week when he came in against the Saints in the fourth quarter.
3:51So it's not like he's not targeting the guy.
3:54And back to week seven, yes, it was a bad game.
3:56But the Texans defense, as disappointing as they have been this year, has been pretty solid against tight ends all year.
4:02The Giants were able to do a lot of their damage on the ground yesterday, which obviously played a role in that.
4:08And J.G. McCarthy actually has looked good. And I can't believe these words are leaving my mouth right now.
4:13Like, I don't even believe myself when I say it.
4:16But I trust that he can keep this offense competitive we've seen through a game and a quarter.
4:20He's looked the part shockingly. And when it comes to tight ends in general, let's be honest, unless you're Brock Bowers, Trey
4:26McBride, maybe George Kittle still, you're going to have dud games at tight end.
4:30It's just a reality of the position. It's inevitable.
4:32But unlike all the other tight ends besides those guys, likely still has an elite ceiling week to week.
4:37I mean, he was the tight end one overall entering week seven.
4:40That's the type of ceiling we're talking about. As the Giants head into their bye week, I would capitalize and go get him while you still can.
4:48Yeah, I think what you're looking for is a manager who doesn't view him in that top four with Kittle, Bowers, McBride.
4:53And I think we're at the spot that he is in that range.
4:57And you bring up a great point because I had the thought sneak into my head as a guy who has Isaiah Likely in a lot of leagues.
5:04Like, is he just not working with J.J. McCarthy?
5:07I'm throwing that out of my brain. I think obviously maybe Jameis would have been better because he is the purest gunslinger we've got in the NFL.
5:14But I still think Isaiah Likely is a top four guy.
5:17And I think you're going to scare off a lot of people, specifically Mello on National Tight Ends Day, where I know
5:22everyone was having huge expectations for him. I'm not even saying that fully sarcastically.
5:26I think that actually disappointed a ton of people.
5:29Oh, 100% agreed. And I was looking at that ahead of time and talking to Snoog.
5:33I was like, yo, this J.J. McCarthy thing is going to create some narratives.
5:36Like, whoever has a bad game, whether it's Neighbors, whether it's Likely, you know, you're going to be able to buy low
5:42because everybody has such a bad taste in their mouth of how horrible he was last year and what he did to Justin Jefferson.
5:49And we were like, is he going to do that to Malik Neighbors?
5:52Is he going to do that to Isaiah Likely?
5:54He actually looks like he's matured a little bit.
5:57He's got better poise in the pocket. I'm not saying I'm buying J.J.
6:00McCarthy in redraft, but I think he's going to be fine for both these guys.
6:04100%. Let's jump to our third guy here. Let's talk Jalen Coker.
6:07The Cokeheads did not love what they saw in Week 7, but I don't think there's ever been a clear burn-the-tape game.
6:13It was an absolute dumpster fire from start to finish.
6:16Weird divisional matchup. Coker finishes with one catch for nine yards on four targets.
6:20And Mike, I talked about this on Smash Accept last week, but we saw a career-high 13 targets in Week 6.
6:25In the full three games he played before that, he was averaging 10 targets a game.
6:29And so you might be looking at a team with a manager who has Jalen Coker, and there's a very possible situation that he's become extremely frustrated.
6:373.8 PPR points, of course, in the game that he got injured.
6:40Then he misses Week 4. You have a buy in Week 5.
6:43He has a decent showing in Week 6, but nothing insane.
6:46And now a complete dud of 1.9 PPR points in Week 7.
6:49I easily value this guy a top 20 receiver rest of season.
6:52I think the panic is there, and it's going to allow you to get him at a much cheaper cost.
6:57So I'm believing in Carolina's offense picking it back up.
7:00They're going to be just fine. Not even close to hitting the panic button on them.
7:04I'm slamming the discount button right now on Jalen Coker.
7:07Yeah, I think yesterday was really a reflection of a bad game by the whole offense versus a bad game by Coker.
7:13It really came down to Bryson kind of turned back into a pumpkin a little bit.
7:17But luckily I've seen enough this year to feel like that was the outlier, not what we saw before it.
7:22So I think this offense as a whole is going to bounce back.
7:26And of course Jalen Coker will be a huge beneficiary of that.
7:29Yeah, you've got to really look at, I mean, to me, and I'm with you.
7:33I mean, shout out to you. You mentioned him on my show, and then Dave Kluge came on right after from Football Guys and said the same thing.
7:40And he loved your, you know, T. Higgins versus Jamar Chase kind of thing.
7:44But the biggest thing from that Carolina offense is losing Taylor Moten.
7:47Like, the sacks just poured on after that. And that's what I worry about with Bryce Young.
7:52But I think he's going to be able to get it out there and support these guys.
7:56But there is a little bit of worry about that offensive line now and how they're going to handle that and how things are going to move forward.
8:04Yeah, I'm with you. Let's move on to our next guy, though, Mike.
8:07Let's talk about this quarterback that I love and I agree with you 100%.
8:11I think you're going to be able to get a good discount right now.
8:14Yeah, and I look at this in a two-fold buy window, right?
8:18Brock Purdy's been unbelievable up until this week. 14 touchdowns, just two interceptions.
8:21And then this week goes out there. And, I mean, you know, if you're just box score watching, it's pretty rough.
8:27288, one touchdown, two interceptions. Both the interceptions, pretty bad.
8:29But then you look at this and you're like, okay, this was his worst game.
8:33And now he has a buy in week eight.
8:36And I think a lot of times, this time of year, we've got to really look at, you know, and I think
8:41that's one thing our website helps do. And I think that's something that I've done always is he's on buy next week, right?
8:47So if a team has him, they're going to have him for two weeks where they're like, oh, man, he let me
8:53down last week and now he's on buy this week.
8:56And you've got to look at, you know, are they four and three?
8:59Are they three and four? You know, do they have a losing record right now?
9:03And you have an opportunity to buy Brock Purdy for a guy that's slightly underneath.
9:07You know, you take a look at some of the quarterbacks that are just underneath and you make an offer and you
9:13try to go there because the schedule gets pretty juicy.
9:16I mean, he's got Raiders in week nine, Cowboys in week 10, you know, got matchups with all.
9:21He's got the Giants in week 13. There's a lot to like about Brock Purdy.
9:24He's going to be absolutely fine. And oh, by the way, he didn't have any of his wide receivers this week.
9:30You know, like that's got a factor in there too.
9:33Evans is going to be back. Stribbley's going to be back.
9:36Debo's going to be back. I think Brock Purdy's going to be fine.
9:39Yeah, he was throwing a mellow and I out there in week seven.
9:42Like I did him no favors. No one's going to play well.
9:46None. No, it's actually crazy how many receivers he's missing though.
9:49Like you just listed some of them out. It's insane how decimated this receiving core is.
9:53And it has been for a lot of this year.
9:55And Brock Purdy's still been good, which is such a testament to him.
9:59As you get these guys back, the sky's the limit rest of season.
10:02Yeah. And I love what you said about the buy.
10:05Not only is that an opportunity to get all these guys healthy, but you look at a team if they're three and
10:11four, if they're two and five, they cannot afford to take another loss.
10:14And they might just have to give up Brock Purdy for cheaper than they want to because of the situation with their team.
10:20This is one of those guys that I know he's still QB two on the year and you can't get crazy with buy too low.
10:27But anyone under Josh Allen is kind of fair game right now.
10:30And if there is an opportunity to get Brock Purdy, it's right now or it's never happening again.
10:35Well, I got another team coming up on their buy.
10:37It's the New Orleans Saints and it's Travis Achan, ETN.
10:40I don't know what to say anymore. Junior. Junior.
10:43During the draft season in August, I think I was lower on Travis Achan than just about anyone in the entire fantasy community.
10:49He was on my do not draft list. I became even more wary and concerned with his fantasy outlook when he only
10:54had 17 carries across his first two games and Kyandre Miller and Alvin Kamara were eating into his workload.
10:59And then things obviously got even worse when he landed himself on IR with a hamstring injury a few weeks ago.
11:05Seemed like it's just going to be a disaster season for him.
11:08And he's at an all time low right now.
11:11But all of a sudden, I'm willing to buy at his discount in the hopes that he is the guy for the Saints down the stretch.
11:17In Paris yesterday, Alvin Kamara averaged just 0.83 yards per carry.
11:20Kyandre Miller averaged just 0.75 yards per carry. It's kind of insulting that the Saints of all teams had that bad of
11:26a showing in France of all places. But I digress.
11:29The Saints need to get this run game going.
11:31They cannot run the ball. And they might just have to give A-Chan the keys to this backfield when he returns because they need something to change.
11:38And like I said, New Orleans is heading into their bye.
11:41You'll still likely have to wait a few weeks for him to return from IR after that.
11:46But if you're 5-2 or 6-1 and you're willing to wait on him, you can probably get him for dirt cheap right now from a team that's struggling.
11:53Like significantly cheaper than you ever could have gotten him going into week one or week two.
11:58So that's somebody I'm looking to buy at a discount.
12:00Yeah, this is a guy that likely is on a team that's 2-5, 3-4 because you had him starting the first few weeks.
12:06He wasn't very productive. You haven't had him at all the last few weeks.
12:10But the other thing I really like about him, we've just seen the Saints struggling so much that even if they're in
12:16negative game scripts, we saw in week one, he got plenty involved in the passing game.
12:20I think he actually is one of those pennies on the dollar guy that you can get, even though I agree.
12:26I didn't love him going into the season. I think it's similar to what I was talking about with the buys.
12:31I'm always looking at IR spots. So I'm like, okay, this guy's 2-2.
12:35He's not worried about it. You know, I can't say H-A.
12:38It's ETN. Fair enough. Fair enough. I'm not going to.
12:40You know, we're going to pronounce it. That's old school.
12:43But like, then you go to week. You know, you start to get further and further into the season.
12:48Now he's 2-3. He's 2-4. He's, okay, now he's 2-5.
12:51And now he's like, I need some kind of production.
12:53You know, give me a player. Get him on this team.
12:56And I think the more you can operate and take advantage of those situations, the better you're going to be.
13:01And the schedule's juicy. I mean, week 14, Carolina.
13:0415, the Bucs. 16, Cardinals. And Falcons in 17.
13:06Like, that's one of the easiest schedules down the stretch.
13:09And I'm excited to see what he does when he gets back on the field.
13:13All right, let's move on to our sixth guy.
13:15Let's talk about Garrett Wilson. I think this is the perfect squeaky wheel getting the grease incoming game right now against the Raiders.
13:21Garrett Wilson's got 13 PPR points over his last two games.
13:24As someone who was super high on Omar Cooper Jr.
13:27as the top waiver pickup, he was incredible. I think he's going to continue to produce at a high level.
13:32But things are going to regress back to the mean here.
13:35And Garrett Wilson's going to get his. I was just answering a question last night when someone was talking about, well, my
13:41league mate's not even interested in Garrett Wilson because of the Omar Cooper Jr.
13:45New York breakout. That should be the Steve Carell.
13:47There's a bubble. We need to go out and buy Garrett Wilson everywhere.
13:50I don't know what we're talking about. Something I'll admit, Melo, is that we did have our concerns this offseason around Garrett
13:56Wilson potentially losing out on some of the elite target share with Cooper joining the offense.
14:00I just don't think you're going to see another span of nine targets over two games all season.
14:05I mentioned the squeaky wheel narrative. We caught Garrett Wilson letting Geno Smith have it on the bench.
14:10More reports come out after the game that they were in constant communication.
14:13Rich Cimini even said that he caught them leaving the showers together, which won the award for weirdest report of the year.
14:19So thank you for your service, Rich. But even postgame, Aaron Glenn said a player of his magnitude.
14:24We have to do everything we can to get him the ball.
14:27Again, I'm going to put that on myself. It is going to be a point of emphasis next week to get Garrett Wilson the ball.
14:34This is a true one week by low window.
14:36Top 15 wide receiver rest of season. Pick up the phone and find a manager who doesn't view him as that.
14:42I completely agree. There's absolutely a bubble if people are that worried about Omar Cooper.
14:46And I get like, yes, is he going to eat into some of that target share rest of season?
14:51Absolutely. Are we going to see an astronomical 40% target share for Garrett Wilson?
14:54Probably not. But he's still the ultimate alpha of this offense.
14:57And who knows? Maybe because of this breakout from Omar Cooper Jr., he gets a little bit more serious attention.
15:03It opens this offense up as a whole, opens Garrett Wilson up even more.
15:06So I'm not worried about Garrett Wilson at all rest of season.
15:09And pay attention a little bit closer to his week six, Christian Gonzalez.
15:13Christian Gonzalez has that opportunity to do that quite a bit.
15:16Week seven, Juju Brintz, who's given up 0.17 points per target.
15:19I mean, he's been very, very good over the last couple of weeks.
15:22So yeah, I'm using that 100% to just say there's been no number two there forever.
15:26And then all of a sudden, Omar Cooper has back-to-back games.
15:29And I, for one, really was, I loved Omar Cooper coming out.
15:32And I was thinking, all right, that first week, maybe that was an anomaly.
15:36You know what I mean? And I think this is going to be a Garrett Wilson game.
15:41Now it's back-to-back. It almost feels inevitable that that third game is going to be something big for Garrett Wilson.
15:46And Omar Cooper comes back down to earth a little bit.
15:49I'll be worried the minute Omar Cooper Jr. emerges from the showers with Geno Smith.
15:53That's when I'm hitting the alarm bells. Something to pay attention to in New York.
15:57Something to watch. Yeah, I'm all about camaraderie. That's not exactly the best time to collaborate.
16:01I want to know why the reporter knew. I think that's where my brain goes.
16:05Where is the reporter relative to the showers in all of this?
16:08Ever heard of boots on the ground, Melo? I guess, yeah.
16:11Boots on the shower tile. Before we get out of here, though, let's get our Monday Night Football picks presented by Dabble.
16:17Again, if you want to sign up for Dabble and tail these picks with one click, you can use the promo code
16:23LINEUP and get $20 in bonus cash instantly when you play your first 10.
16:26Mike, what's your number one pick tonight heading into Monday Night Football?
16:30Yeah, I'm going to take the over on 13.5 receiving yards for Javante Williams.
16:33I think this game is going to be a lot closer than people think.
16:37He's done it in three out of the last four.
16:40I think Javante Williams is going to have a major bounce back week and be very, very heavily utilized.
16:45As an Eagles fan, it stinks to hear it, but as I think the Dallas Cowboys take it to the Eagles.
16:50I love that. I'm going to go to the opposite side of the ball, though, and I'm going to go Dallas Goddard over 48.5 yards.
16:57I know it's Tanner McKee at quarterback, but Dallas Goddard hit on this line last week with McKee at quarterback.
17:02And this week we have no Devonta Smith, no Dontavian Wicks.
17:05We do, however, have a Cowboys defense in this game that has pro football focuses single worst pass coverage grade.
17:10I don't need to tell you how bad they've been.
17:13You've seen it with your own eyes. So I like Dallas Goddard in this spot.
17:17Yeah, and I'm just going to hit the exact same thing here, but we're going with Garrett Wilson over 36.5 receiving yards.
17:23Like you said, no Devonta Smith, no Dontavian Wicks.
17:25We always make the joke. Dallas is on a mission to maximize yards and fantasy points for opposing players.
17:30And so you look at this team that's given up the most receiving yards for wide receivers on the season.
17:35Outside of Makai Lemon, it really should be Darius Cooper operating as McKee's number one target for wide receivers.
17:40So they're going to have to keep slinging it to keep up in this game.
17:44Mike, I'm with you. I think it's going to be a lot closer than people think.
17:49So we've got Javante Williams over 13.5. We've got Dallas Goddard over 48.5.
17:52And we've got Darius Cooper over 36.5. If you want to copy that, click that in app at lineupmitch.
17:57But those were our six buys heading into week eight.
18:00Before we get out of here, did we miss anything, guys?
18:03Nothing for me. All right. We'll catch you guys next episode.
18:06And you catch me later today on Smash Accept, talking through some of our favorite Dynasty buys with Dynasty Dad.
18:11We'll catch you then. We'll catch you then.