The Game Plan - What’s the Deal With Bo Nix, Jaylen Waddle & Ashton Jeanty?

Kamara dealt with a back injury and received a 27% snap share last week but still produced 14 fantasy points; he looks effective catching the football out of the backfield, though the Saints are managing his workload early in the season.

Alvin Kamara is dealing with a back injury and clearly not getting the lion's share of carries; despite a 27% snap share last week, he scored 14 fantasy points and catches the football.

Kamara is ranked outside the top 25 running backs in current fantasy rankings; he's producing as a low-end RB2 (RB26-RB30 range) week-to-week despite his talent.

Source prefers Antonio Williams over Omar Cooper in the 9-11% FAB range; has watched him every week and loves the player. With Terry McLaurin injury, Williams enters a great spot and is a buy candidate. Source emphasizes this is the perfect time to add or buy Antonio Williams.

The source identifies Antonio Williams as a buy-low target on the waiver wire, recommending this as the optimal time to acquire him due to favorable circumstances.

Zonovan Knight has emerged as the primary back in the backfield, displacing Tyler Algier. The source indicates Knight is now the featured option but still recommends fading the entire backfield against the Broncos.

Corum's snap/carry share trended upward through the season; while he never reached a true 50-50 split with Kyron Alexander, his opportunities increased significantly down the stretch, with one game at 46% and most others in the 30-37% range. This usage trend correlated with multiple 10, 12, 14-plus fantasy point outputs late in the year, suggesting opportunities are ticking up. The source expects this trend to continue, particularly if the Rams shift offensive approach without Devontae Adams.

The source projects Corum could be a consistent top-20 or even top-24 option week-to-week in the Rams' rare offensive system, particularly if he receives 2-3 additional carries per game following Devontae Adams' departure. This is framed as a rare backfield situation where both Corum and Alexander can simultaneously produce at high levels due to the system, coaching, and coordinator.

The source was selling Corum on a perceived high before the Devontae Adams trade news, pivoting to more predictable top-12 running backs. However, post-Adams, the source is reconsidering and willing to play Corum in flex or even running back spots, pending observation of the first game without Adams to assess the actual usage shift.

Source does not trust Brandon Cooks in the 49ers offense; prefers Jordan Watkins or Jacob Cowan as alternatives, citing that Cooks lacks the burst and acceleration of those younger receivers who have shown better connection with Brock Purdy when targeted.

Brock Purdy is playing at an elite level; he set the record for highest QBR in first 50 career games. Through his 51st start, Purdy has 30 games with 100+ passer rating (59% of starts), compared to Tom Brady's 40th such game coming in his 100th start. If Purdy maintains his current trajectory, he will reach top-10 all-time in 100+ passer rating performances by age 32, ahead of Matthew Stafford, Matt Ryan, Kirk Cousins, Steve Young, and in Big Ben Roethlisberger territory. Source emphasizes Purdy is 'playing at an all time level right now, dealing with all of these injuries around him.'

Brock Purdy is playing at an all-time level by age 32 pace, ahead of Matthew Stafford, Matt Ryan, Kirk Cousins, and Steve Young—Roethlisberger territory. Despite injuries around him, the source projects the 49ers will score 28–31 points regardless of where touchdowns come from, making Purdy a top-five quarterback and no-doubt start. The source emphasizes the perfect marriage between Purdy and Kyle Shanahan as a package deal.

C.J. Stroud has been awesome and is a QB1. The source loves Stroud this week in a soft matchup at home against the Giants indoors.

Debo Samuel's return from injury would impact Christian McCaffrey's target share week-to-week in the 49ers offense.

Christian McCaffrey remains a key part of Brock Purdy's supporting cast that elevates Purdy to top-five quarterback status. The source notes that Purdy doesn't need the receivers because he still has McCaffrey and George Kittle, reinforcing McCaffrey's role as a foundational piece of the 49ers offense.

Donaldson, a pre-draft prospect from Ohio State who impressed in the pre-draft process, is doing more than initially expected but remains not fantasy playable.

David Montgomery's status is uncertain. If he misses, Woody Marks becomes a straight play; if Montgomery plays, both he and Marks are avoids for the source.

Houston's defense has been poor against wide receivers all year; the source's roster watch matchup tool rates it as a top-five matchup of the week for receivers. Despite concerns about Derek Stingley, receivers find ways to get open and produce against this defense.

Source loves Debo Samuel in a 'standalone alpha role' in the 49ers offense if he returns from injury; however, his return would impact Christian McCaffrey's target share week-to-week.

Following the Colts' firing of Chris Ballard and interim coaching change, the source suggests there may be slightly more opportunity for Deion Burks in the offense, though no major in-game heuristics are expected to change.

The source expects to see a little bit more Deion Burks in the Colts offense following the interim GM change; Burks had a nice catch down the field last week and is positioned for increased opportunity.

Denzel Boston is mentioned in the context of Browns receivers; the source suggests that in redraft leagues, if a trade offer for one of the Browns receivers looks advantageous in the short term, it may be worth considering, though the source is not making a specific stance on Boston himself.

Denzel Boston is ranked just outside the source's top 30 wide receivers, only a few spots below Michael Wilson. The source prefers Wilson over Boston in this matchup.

Despite being force-fed targets by the Steelers offense, Metcalf's inconsistencies and drops this season have been concerning. Over the last three weeks, his output has been significantly worse than prior performance; he posted essentially a zero in week five. The source notes Metcalf will continue to receive forced targets but emphasizes his unreliability as a reason to prefer Jeremy Bernard in the same offense.

Drake London has established himself in the Falcons offense with target share north of 30% over the last month, despite a down week against Washington. The source notes that if London had caught one of Kyle Pitts' two touchdowns, he would have posted a 22-point performance. The source ranks London in the WR9–12 conversation and recommends continuing to trust him against the 49ers despite it being a bottom-eight matchup, positioning him as a high-end WR2 at worst.

The source notes that Drake May is dealing and correlates his strong performance with Hunter Henry's production, suggesting May's play is driving offensive success in the Giants-Texans matchup.

Target share and output were neutered last week; has been every-other-week fantasy-friendly over the past month. The addition of Omar Cooper to the offense creates dynamism for Gino Smith but dilutes Wilson's opportunity share.

George Kittle is a fallback target in the 49ers offense if Debo Samuel is unavailable; source's 'dauber goes to Debo Samuel if he's in and if not Debo, then it just goes Kittle McCaffrey' in terms of receiving upside.

George Kittle is cited as a key supporting piece that makes Brock Purdy a top-five quarterback despite receiver injuries. The source emphasizes that Purdy doesn't need the receivers because he still has McCaffrey and Kittle.

The source leans toward Hunter Henry over Kyle Pitts in a tight end matchup, citing a strong correlation between Drake May's performance and Henry's production; when Drake May is dealing, Henry produces, and the source expects a good offensive game on Thursday.

The source elevates Isaiah Likely to must-start territory for the Giants-Texans matchup, describing him as 'absolutely electric this year,' indicating strong confidence in his production against Houston.

The source expresses concern about J.J. McCarthy's performance against the Houston Texans defense, drawing a parallel to Dylan Raiola's performance arc where a backup quarterback looked dominant for a half before facing a prepared defense; McCarthy went 18-for-something last week and may regress to 9-for-something this week against a Texans defense that has found its form.

The source expresses concern about JJ McCarthy's matchup against Houston's defense, suggesting the defense could 'swallow' him and that he would not perform well in this spot. Prefers Jameis Winston for YOLO upside instead.

Dobbins has looked ineffective ('dusty') despite recent force-feeding of opportunities under Sean Payton's play-calling. The source flags a 'blinking red light' on his usage, noting that in recent weeks he's posted 10-13% target share (down from 0% in week two) and faces significant downside when Jonah Coleman returns. The source projects him around RB34-36 but expresses concern he could lose touches entirely, and plans to avoid the Broncos backfield outside of specific game scripts.

Jaleel McLaughlin had nine fantasy points last week in the absence of Quinshaw Judkins, indicating limited backup value in the Browns' running back rotation.

The source prefers Jameis Winston over JJ McCarthy for this week, believing Winston could do more with YOLO ball against Houston's defense.

James Cook is on bye in Week 7 and will need to be replaced in fantasy lineups for the Buffalo Bills bye week.

Jaden Daniels is on bye in Week 7 and will need to be replaced in fantasy lineups for the Washington Commanders bye week.

Waddle faces a favorable playoff schedule with back-to-back games against Vegas and Buffalo secondaries, followed by a Patriots matchup. The source projects strong target volume against these defenses and views him as a buy for both contenders (who can stash him) and teams needing immediate wins, making him an ideal fit across roster constructions.

Jaylen Waddle is ranked at wide receiver 28, just two spots below Michael Wilson. The source indicates the rankings are getting close between these receivers but still prefers Wilson this week.

The source ranks Jalen Warren as RB12 this week in a matchup against the Saints, noting he is a difference maker in the Steelers offense. Despite Rico Dowdle taking some carries, the source advises Warren remains a must-roster player and suggests trading for Dowdle on the low if you own Warren. The Saints matchup is favorable; recent overseas games have produced big running back performances.

Jerry Judy has shown raw participation and rising target share; the source is monitoring him as a potential play for the rest of the season, noting that when the team wants to play him in big spots, he makes plays, and he can provide 8–14 points per game, making him playable despite recent inconsistency.

Coleman's practice window could open soon. In week two (his only prior usage game), he posted a 42% snap share, 42% rush share, and 11% target share versus J.K. Dobbins' 32% snap share and 0% target share. The source expects similar usage patterns upon return and views Coleman as a potential buy, though projects him around RB34-36 due to uncertainty in Sean Payton's backfield management.

Jonathan Taylor faces a tough matchup against the Vikings defense, which will look to pressure Daniel Jones and eliminate the run game. The source cites historical precedent: in Week 3 against a similar defensive approach, Taylor had 85% of snaps and 77% of carries but finished with only 9 fantasy points (RB27) due to lack of end-zone production; in Week 5 he finished RB25 with 10 fantasy points. These 9-10 point outputs are well within Taylor's range of outcomes against the Vikings.

Jordan Addison has a hamstring injury that needs to be monitored coming out of the Cardinals bye week.

Jordan Mason should be back potentially this week coming out of the Cardinals bye, which should help the offense reach its healthiest form of the season.

Jordan Watkins is preferred over Brandon Cooks in the 49ers offense; source notes Watkins had 91% route participation last week and has more burst and acceleration, showing a decent connection with Brock Purdy when targeted.

The source notes that Jordan Whittington would theoretically get a bump in total output from Devontae Adams' injury, but indicates that Canyano Mumfeld is currently running ahead of Whittington in the pecking order for target opportunities.

High-priority waiver target if available; not practicing this week per Mickey Loomis, but source views this as maintenance to get him ready for return. Positioned in the top tier of waiver adds this week.

Josh Allen is on bye in Week 7 and will need to be replaced in fantasy lineups for the Buffalo Bills bye week.

Josh Downs has continued to produce at a mild level when healthy; the source notes that over the last five games he has received consistent target volume (9, 11, 4, 6, 8 targets) but the targets are not converting to production. The source believes if Shane Steichen can dial up the offense and potentially move Keenan Allen, there could be better days ahead for Downs despite this week being a tough matchup against the Vikings.

Johnson started the year hot, cooled off, and is expected to get a bounce-back performance in week seven; he's ranked just outside the tight end one range and could move into that tier if Tyler Warren misses.

The source suggests that Keenan Allen should be shipped off from the Colts, indicating he is no longer needed in the offense and that moving him could create better opportunities for Josh Downs.

Among the top waiver wire targets at wide receiver this week; part of the elite tier of adds.

Keenan Allen is available as a free agent in many leagues and is actively producing output on the field; the source recommends adding him off waivers and cutting underperforming roster spots to make room, positioning him as a high-priority pickup for fantasy managers looking to upgrade their lineups.

Kendra Miller is part of the New Orleans Saints running back committee discussion for Week 7 against Pittsburgh, with the backfield situation described as confusing.

Miller looks good but is not getting as much work as desired; the majority of his touches come from carries with minimal target volume—he hasn't had a game over 10% target share this year.

Miller is ranked outside the top 30 running backs and is not a fantasy play against defenses that are just below average in what they give up to opposing running backs.

Kendrick Bourne has shown consistent target share over the last couple of weeks and could see increased opportunity if Pat Surtain returns, as Surtain would likely shadow Michael Wilson and open the door for Bourne. However, the source groups him in the 'puke area' with Keenan Allen and Malik Washington, indicating limited enthusiasm.

Kyle Pitts just posted back-to-back top-ten tight end finishes and is heating up with two touchdowns against Washington. The source acknowledges the recurring 'Kyle Pitts loop' but notes he can sustain production; last year he finished top-ten tight end weeks 13–16. Against the 49ers, who have been tough on tight ends, the source suggests trusting Pitts to a certain extent but doesn't project him as a top-five option.

In a week 13-16 tight end matchup analysis, the source ranks Kyle Pitts ahead of Harold Fannin in a head-to-head comparison, suggesting Pitts as the preferred start despite Fannin's recent poor performance.

Kyler Murray has shown recent improvement with strong passing lines (27 for 37, 250 yards and 24 for 30, 230 yards in recent weeks). Coming out of a bye, the Cardinals should be in their healthiest form of the season with potential returns of Jordan Mason and resolution of injuries to Jordan Addison (hamstring), Christian Derrissaw (concussion), and TJ Hawkinson. The source is actively buying Murray in all redraft leagues, prioritizing him after Jaden Daniels, Brock Purdy, Caleb Williams, and Josh Allen.

The source discusses Kyren Williams' carry distribution pattern from the prior season, noting inconsistency in the backfield: he was productive early, slowed in the middle of the season, and picked up again toward the end. The source characterizes the backfield as a 'coin flip on any given week' but notes that by season's end, Williams' carry share stabilized in the 30-37% range with one game at 46%, never reaching a true 50-50 split.

The source recommends starting Lamar Jackson if available, with the expectation that he will return from injury for the Ravens-Bengals matchup.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is emerging as a significant target for C.J. Stroud. He had three receptions for three first downs in the recent game, and Matt Kelly confirms that Harrison Jr. is a 'big issue' for Nico Collins' dynasty value, indicating Harrison Jr. is taking target share from Collins.

The Colts signed McCole Hardman as one of the first moves under the interim regime following Chris Ballard's firing, suggesting the team is exploring offensive options.

The interim GM signed McCole Hardman as the first move in the new role, signaling a deployment of resources to the wide receiver position in the Colts offense.

Michael Penix is not recommended for play outside of super flex formats. The source notes that Penix looks solid and keeps his team in the fight week in and week out, supporting modest confidence in Falcons pass catchers like Kyle Pitts.

Michael Wilson's trend line has deteriorated in recent weeks, especially with Marv Harrison gone. The source ranks him at wide receiver 26, just outside the top 24, and will still play him this week but not as a smash play. He's preferred over Denzel Boston and Jaylen Waddle in this matchup, though the source notes better options exist if you have them.

Expected to miss approximately one game due to injury; source notes Evans has been 'a titanium human being this year with the amount of injuries he's had and still pushed through the play,' but anticipates he will miss at least one game.

Nico Collins had a good game but not a great game in the recent matchup. C.J. Stroud excelled passing the ball all over the place, with Noel over 100 yards and a touchdown and Marvin Harrison Jr. getting three receptions for three first downs. The source is getting nervous about Nico Collins and is considering moving off him in dynasty, citing Marvin Harrison Jr. as a big issue for Collins' target share.

Had a strong debut with route participation north of 75% and target share north of 15-16% possible going forward; however, source is hesitant on sustainability and does not project top-12 finish in 2026. Could be a flexible play if role stabilizes, but first meaningful output of career warrants caution.

With Devontae Adams out 6-10 weeks, the source questions whether Puka can handle 30 targets per game, noting that target volume cannot simply scale from 20 to 30 targets and that other receivers will benefit from Adams' vacated production.

Dowdle has taken some carries away from Jalen Warren, but the source still considers Warren the primary back and advises trading for Dowdle on the low if you own Warren, suggesting Dowdle is a complementary piece worth rostering alongside Warren.

Harvey is characterized as 'the most gadget back in the history of gadget backs' with minimal snap share and usage. The source suggests he could be playable only in specific blowout game scripts but otherwise plans to avoid the Broncos backfield entirely due to Sean Payton's unpredictable usage patterns.

The source notes that Terrence Ferguson, a tight end, is still 2-3 weeks away from returning and was hoped to come back this week, indicating continued injury absence.

Described as having 'unfortunate, very scary' injury situation; his absence opens opportunity for Antonio Williams in Washington's passing game.

Tony Pollard is ranked outside the top 24 running backs by the source despite the model loving him every week; the source has not ranked him in the top 24 once this year and it has paid off, suggesting the model's enthusiasm does not align with actual fantasy production and the source is skeptical of his sustained upside despite occasional boom games.

Travis Etienne's name will reintroduce into the Saints backfield conversation around Week 8, with Week 9 against Cleveland Browns on November 8th being when they'll open things up after returning to America.

The source expresses strong conviction in Travis Kelce as a tight end start, stating 'I love Kelsey. You'll never get me off Kelsey,' indicating unwavering confidence in Kelce's matchup viability.

Trey McBride is a strong play this week, with the source noting that even down weeks at tight end can still produce top-10 finishes at the position. McBride is the clear preferred tight end option in this matchup.

The source indicates that Trey McBride would still be a top-10 option at the tight end position in the upcoming week, suggesting solid fantasy production despite the broader context of the matchup.

The source humorously suggests that Tutu Atwell may be the beneficiary of deep-ball opportunities in the Rams offense, though this is presented as speculation rather than a serious projection.

The source lists Tyler Higbee as a potential beneficiary of Devontae Adams' injury and vacated targets, though does not provide specific analysis or conviction on his role.

The source is picking up Tyron Tracy and putting him on the bench to monitor the situation. Tracy versus Cam Scadabo is not as clear-cut as perceived; Tracy has had very productive seasons for the Giants while Scadabo has only a half-season of decent production. The team is primed to draft a lead back (Kwon Lacy, Ahmad Hardy, or Jordan Ball) in the first round next year, indicating no long-term allegiance to either current back.

Woody Marks is a straight play if Montgomery misses again. If Montgomery plays, Marks becomes an avoid.