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Four TNF picks. Which one hits first? #underdog #patriots #bears #tnf #fantasyfootball

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

1 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 22, 2026
Published
Thu, October 22, 2026
4
Player insights
4
Players mentioned
Topics
Demario DouglasKyle WilliamsLuther BurdenZay Flowers
Player analysis

Player insights

4

Demario Douglas

PositiveProjection0:10

Davis Mattek targets Demario Douglas over 3.5 receptions as a TNF prop pick. Douglas is second on the team in target share this year, and the Patriots shifted to base 11 personnel with Romeo Doubs absent, creating an opportunity for increased volume.

Insight page

Kyle Williams

PositiveProjection0:19

Davis Mattek targets Kyle Williams over 19.5 receiving yards as a TNF prop pick. Williams is second on the team in aDOT at 16.7, meaning one catch clears the threshold given his high average depth of target.

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Luther Burden

PositiveProjection0:28

Davis Mattek targets Luther Burden over 59.5 receiving yards as a TNF prop pick, calling it an 'explosion spot'. Burden ranks ninth in the NFL in targets per route run, indicating elite efficiency in generating volume opportunities.

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Zay Flowers

PositiveProjection0:05

Davis Mattek targets Zay Flowers over 0.5 receptions as a TNF prop pick. Flowers recorded three targets on 10 snaps last week, reflecting the high-volume target approach Ben Johnson employs in his offensive scheme.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

21
0:00Four free money picks for Patriots Bears
0:01tonight, easiest to hardest and one of
0:03them everyone [music] is getting wrong.
0:05Zay Flowers Thomas higher than 0.5
0:06receptions, three targets on 10 snaps
0:08last week. This is just what Ben Johnson
0:10does. Demario Douglas higher than 3.5
0:12receptions, no Romeo Doubs. The Patriots
0:14shifted to base 11 personnel. Douglas is
0:17actually second on the team in target
0:19share this year. Then we have Kyle
0:20Williams higher than 19.5 receiving
0:22yards. He is second on the team in aDOT
0:25at 16.7. One catch and we're going to
0:28clear this. The difficult one, Luther
0:29Burden higher than 59.5 receiving yards.
0:32He is actually ninth in the NFL in
0:34targets per route run. This is going to
0:36be an explosion spot for Luther Burden.
0:38Now you guys tell me which one of these
0:40hits first.

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