0:00Today I'm breaking down my preseason 2026 running back tiers RB1 to RB61 going through nine separate tiers and talking about all the values sleepers
0:09and everything else to get you a scholar ready for your fantasy football draft.
0:13So going to kick things off obviously at the top tier one guys the first two picks in all likelihood of your fantasy
0:19football draft. So we got Jir Gibbs as my RB1, Bjun Robinson as my RB2. So I'm not going to pretend like Gibbs needs to
0:27be your 101. I'm not going to call you crazy if you want to take Bejon. As we saw last year down the stretch in the
0:32fantasy playoffs, Bejon was able to outperform Jir Gibbs. Even though even at that point in the season, we certainly would have higher expectations
0:39for the Lions scoring offense. But it is that latter tiebreaker that has me going Gibbs over Bejon this year because look,
0:45two incredible running backs. They're both in the middle of their prime. And without David Montgomery in Detroit anymore, we no longer have to even worry
0:52about Bejon having, you know, a different stratosphere of potential volume than Gibbs as the running back y'all in Detroit now. So, it really
0:59again is just that scoring upside for me. We can actually look at what Vegas thinks about every single offense in the
1:04NFL by taking their game byame game totals from all the overunders and basically adding those up throughout the season. And as it stands right now, the
1:13Detroit Lions, Vegas's number one preseason implied scoring offense.
1:17Meanwhile, the Falcons tied for 24th with the Steelers. So again, it's not you, Bejon. It's just your two Tigle Vlogs led offense. Give me Gibbs over
1:25Bjon. But again, Bejian still my RB2.
1:28Can't go too wrong there. Tier two, everyone, the NFL's best fantasy football running back of all time. One man tier and it really is just Christian
1:37McAffrey who last season guys helped I don't want to say break fantasy football. There are a lot of really good players, but hey, CMC number one in
1:43career PPR points game at the position and fresh off another awesome year where the receiving was really just got him over that finish line. Consider this,
1:51okay, last year pure just receiving. If Christian McCaffrey did not have a single rush attempt, he still would have scored more PPR points than Saquon
1:59Barkley had as a whole on the season.
2:01So, that really is the cheat code when we are trying to go through full PPR ranks and scoring. Guys like CMC just
2:07have such a problem with any coming anywhere close to being a bust in fantasy land because again getting a full freaking point per reception. I
2:15don't even think it backs up kind of what we're going for in fantasy football which is replicating real life success in the scoring. But you know what? It's
2:21a game we play. So we got to embrace it.
2:24I love CMC. You love CMC. The question is should we still love CMC coming off a season where he had I believe 450
2:30freaking touches out there. I ran some numbers guys. I looked at actually about 30 instances from 2015 to 24 of a
2:37running back having at least 350 plus touches in the regular season and postseason. So, we're always going to be throwing around a relatively arbitrary
2:44number here. I use 350 because again, that gave me 30 instances over the course of the last 10 years. I feel like
2:50that's kind of what we're looking for, right? Outlier sort of seasons, top three, three running backs per year, highest touches, and going from there.
2:56So the results from this average games played the following season after one of these big workloads 13.3 medium was 16.
3:03So we didn't actually see a ton of running backs just instantly get super injured. Yes, you got the 2016 David Johnson breaking his wrist unfortunately
3:11in week one and everything. But generally guys, 12 of the last 13 qualifiers played at least 13 games in the next season. The really big drop off
3:19I saw was actually more so in the yards per carry department, which again because of CMC's receiving upside arguably is kind of the less
3:26consequential, least consequential factor I should say. So average yards per carry went from 4.7 to 4.1 overall.
3:33The PPR points per game went down in general. And that's one of these things I always see people shout out. It's
3:37like, well, all these running backs coming off the big season, almost all of them average fewer PPR points, which it's true, but the overall average was
3:45still 16.6, which would be like a top seven mark. Okay. So, when you're getting this many touches, you're usually having a semihistorical season
3:52in the first place. It's not all that surprising that we're seeing a relative drop off in fantasy points. Just realize that that the relative drop off doesn't
3:59necessarily mean that we're looking at a bad season or anything. So, all that to say, guys, I do believe these large
4:04touch, large workload seasons, more of a case by case basis. I've seen some of the studies, you know, actually use Zeke
4:09as a suspension using Levian Bell's holdout year. Like, you can kind of make the numbers uh tell whatever story your bias agenda is trying to do. And hey,
4:17maybe that's what I'm doing right now by saying that I'm not afraid of CMC in the year 2026. But again, more than anything
4:22for me comes down to that receiving upside. It's just unlike anything we've ever seen. You do not need more than one
4:28hand to count the number of players you should be drafting ahead of CMC in fantasy draft. So I will go Gibbs and
4:33Bejon in running back land. Probably taking Jamar Chase and Puka Nakua as well. But for me, CMC number five overall player ahead of 2026.
4:42Let's get into tier three. A little bit of a longer one, but I call this tier.
4:46Choose your baller RB1 fighter because these guys are all awesome, but also as we're seeing in early drafts, they really are going one after another. So,
4:52it's important that we try to figure out who are the halves and who could be the have nots in this again loaded tier. So,
4:58our four overall in the top of the tier is going to be Jonathan Taylor for me.
5:01Look, first freaking 10 weeks of last season, healthy Daniel Jones. This dude was looking like an absolute world beater. 27 PPR points per game. However,
5:10Daniel Jones got hurt. We had a literal grandpa come under center. Just 12.6 6 PPR points per game. That's RB23 status
5:17in weeks 12 through 18 for Jonathan Taylor. So again, kind of saw the two faces of the Jonathan Taylor experience.
5:23There's been some other good stats out there about how much less effective he is when his team is not able to play
5:27with the leading game script. But at the same time, guys, JT isn't all that dissimilar from Christian McCaffrey when it comes to just like if they're
5:34healthy, they're going to ball out and put up league breaking numbers. And we basically only saw that from JT last year, which again, incredible season
5:41overall, even with the second half drop off. And then back in 2021 when he led the league in rushing, 20 freaking
5:47touchdowns, the only two full seasons this dude's been able to stay healthy.
5:50My RB4, especially because guys, we did see him actually average a newfound careerhigh in receiving points per game.
5:57The Colts have been willing, more so been more so willing in recent years, I should say, to actually leave JT out
6:01there on the field for nearly every single snap. To me, that again, receiving presence gives them a little bit of a better floor than maybe we saw
6:08in some of these past years. RB5 for me, Mr. Saquon Barkley, guys. Because here's the thing, all right, 2024, a lot of
6:16fantasy nerds and idiot losers like myself were crying. Oh my gosh, Jaylen Herz at the goal line and oh, they're not going to be throwing the ball to
6:23Saquon Barkley. Why would we be taking this guy so high? And he proceeds to have one of the greatest running back
6:29seasons that we have ever seen. Mr. 2K, everything great he did on the way the Eagles win that Super Bowl. And then
6:352025, all those kind of concerns that we were crying about in 2024 sort of came to fruition. Okay, Saquon was so reliant
6:41on a long touchdown runs in 2024. We didn't get as many last year. Saquin a little bit banged up and as was the
6:47offensive line. So, I'm not saying he magically became more of an average running back, but hey, didn't get a ton of work at the goal line as we expected
6:53with Jayon Herz and just with the offense not exactly humming the same way. It wasn't a great year to be in the
6:58Saquon Barkley business. But you know what? I'm buying redemption being spelled Squan here in 2026, guys. I do think again maybe we're just looking a
7:07little bit too closely at factors that yes matter, but at the end of the day, this time last year, I think Saquon was
7:12most people's pick for the best freaking running back on the planet, and now we can get him in the early parts of round
7:17two. Something my uh annoying dachshunds are very, very excited about in the background. So again, Saquon Barkley guys, for me, it's not just an
7:25investment in him. It's an investment in an Eagles scheme and an overall offense, just taking a step forward, okay? And I
7:32know whenever we have any of these, you know, new play callers who haven't actually called plays in July, we're always speaking glowingly about them.
7:38But again, the Kevin Patulo experience last year, Birds fans know, really, really nowhere to go but up for this Eagles offense. So, I'm excited about
7:45buying back in on Saquon Barkley. He is my RB5 ahead of 2026. One spot ahead of Bill's RB, James Cook, where honestly I
7:53see some similarities from 2024 or 2025 Saquon to maybe 2025, 2026 James Cook. A lot of big long touchdown runs. We do
8:02still have Josh Allen at the goal line and we just don't know about that receiving upside in this offense. That said, Pete Carmichael now in town
8:09helping out Joe Brady and this Bills offense. Obviously, Carmichael did so many great things with the Shawn Payeyton Saints offenses over the years.
8:15So, maybe, just maybe, we actually see James Cook get back into more of that 2023 receiving workload with all the goodness he's been supplying on the
8:22ground as well over the course of these past two sort of breakout seasons for James Cook. So, for me, tough to lower
8:28him too much in the ranks. this Bill's offense also just over the course of the past, you know, six years, ever since
8:34Josh Allen became Josh Allen really in 2020, they've been the league's just again masterclass in terms of consistently being this top five scoring
8:41offense. So very, very tough to poke too many big holes in James Cook profile.
8:45And again, god forbid he starts getting the opportunity to catch 50, 60 passes in the season, I would not be surprised
8:51if he actually cracks his way into the position's top three. RB7 on this list is going to be Mr. Ashen Genty. So, it
8:59wasn't the best rookie season. I know some people are going to throw out the overall total numbers because Genty didn't miss any time last year. I think
9:05he ended up finishing as like the RB1 in total points per game, but anyone that was actually playing this dude knows
9:10just how rough it was. We got the Bears explosion early on this season. And then it was like two straight months of
9:16pretty much dirt average performance to the point that we were ranking this dude as an RB3 before he predictably uh goes
9:22for like over 200 yards, has two long touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the league and the Houston Texans right when we were actually able
9:28to uh you know feel decent about benching this guy. So pretty much how fantasy football works in a nutshell right there. But again, amidst all that
9:36horrific offensive environment, offensive line coached by Pete Curles kid that was not going well. We all know that didn't go well. also had Chip Kelly
9:43get fired before the end of November, Gino Smith leading the league in interceptions and sacks. Like this was rather easily the worst offensive
9:50environment in the league last year. But if we just sort of look at the plays where Genty got a little bit of help,
9:56which you would like to think could be on the table a little bit more, Clint Kubak, Tyler Lindbomb helping out with
10:01some of those things. When Ashen Genty got one yard before contact last season, he was the RB one in tackles avoided per
10:10touch and he was the RB3 in yards after contact per carry. Like he looked the part of the freak that he was coming out
10:17of Boise State, the alleged generational prospect. He did look like that when we just give him the benefit of the doubt
10:23of having a little bit of rushing room.
10:25Now, not expecting the 2026 Raiders to be lighting up scoreboards every week.
10:29It's likely we get Kurt Cousins earlier in the season. Who knows if Fernando Mendoza is going to be ready to be, you
10:33know, a big-time baller like he was drafted to be in the year 2026, but Genty big- time receiving upside. This dude catch 50 60 passes. We're not
10:42expecting him to leave the field and he's got the big play ability. I cannot go any lower than RB7. I do have some
10:47notes about how running backs perform on really bad scoring offenses here shortly when we get to Devon AM, but he will not
10:53be my RB7 in this list. More on that shortly. So, RBA for me, Kenneth Walker, reigning Super Bowl MVP. shout out the
11:00K9 for having one hell of a playoff stretch and now he's in a Chiefs offense that needs him to be that dude. All
11:06right, looking at the course of these past, you know, four seasons, 2022, 2025, the Chiefs have been trying to get a run game going, but really ever since
11:14they had prime young Kareem Hunt, they just haven't been able to do so. Shout out to Damen Williams and some of the
11:19other dudes who briefly did some good things. But since 2022, guys, Chiefs running backs as a whole dead last in terms of explosive rush rate and also
11:27tackles avoided per carry during the same time span. Cass Walker second in tack was avoided per carry 11th in explosive rush rates. So really does
11:34give this offense everything they've been wanting for in the position.
11:37Patrick Mahomes coming back from the ACL. I think it would make sense if they want to lean on that run game a little
11:42bit more particularly in the early portions of the season. Now the argument against would be Kenneth Walker has had some injuries and maybe just maybe when
11:48you try to give him that full role he's not going to be as effective which you know it could be a 50% three-point
11:54shooter on four attempts per game. Maybe not the same guy with eight or 10 attempts per game, but man, even if this recent addition of the
12:02Chiefs offense has been more above average as opposed to the World Beaters that we saw recently, I just think the volume, the overall talent, and
12:09honestly, the ability to catch 50 plus passes for Kenneth Walker, something that I know hasn't been regularly thrown at him, but when he's been asked to be a
12:16receiver, he's been pretty good at it.
12:18I'm trying not to overthink this one too much. RB8 for me, right smack dab in the middle of this tier. RB9 American
12:24Hampton. Someone who's been a little bit controversial. Everyone loves in July to be like, "Oh, the worst pick in every round. Like, we have such a great track
12:31record of trying to predict this crazy sport, you know, months and months in advance, but it's our job. We're trying.
12:36I get it." Anyway, I've just seen a lot of kind of hate, I guess, for Hampton because of the idea where it's like,
12:41yeah, maybe Katon Mitchell, who Mike McDaniel put wanted posters up in their GM's office for, and maybe Kamani Vidali actually turns into more of a
12:48three-headed thing. But, I don't know, guys. He just they used the first round pick on hand and he was clearly the lead
12:54running back before he had the unfortunate fractured ankle and he looked really freaking good before that injury as well. 4.8 yards per carry
13:01before that fractured ankle just four after his yards after contact and tackles avoided numbers were absolutely elite before the injury again fell off
13:09down the stretch. Also in part because of Joe Alton the offensive line getting injured. I just feel like all the excuses, the warranted excuses that we
13:17have for Justin Herbert and Lab Makoni, we kind of only use them for those guys and then Quinton Johnson or Marin
13:22Hampton get left out to dry a little bit in these online debates that maybe I'm paying too close of attention to. But
13:28regardless, Amaran Hampton for me is someone that I don't want to be underweight on throughout this year. In fact, I would like to probably start
13:34drafting him more because again, if you guys have been listening to me at all this offseason, thank you first of all.
13:38But my biggest just overall bet I'm making is this Chargers offense being awesome. I believe in Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert, a healthy group of on
13:46this offensive line. And hey, some of the issues people have with the passing game is the thought process that Mike McDaniel and Jim Harbaugh might want to
13:52run the ball more. If you're in that pool, he should definitely be drafting a lot of Omar and Hampton. RB10 for me,
13:58Chase Brown. Earlier in the season, I had him ranked as overall RB4. I've lowered him because I'm soft, but man, maybe I should get him back up there
14:07again. Either way, top 12 running back for me. He's been the RB 11 in PPR points per game during the course of
14:12these past two seasons. Should clear 300 touches with good health inside an offense that I wouldn't surprise any of us if it ranks number one in scoring by
14:19the end of the year. The only real problem with Chase Brown is like every running back we talked about so far, I
14:24think we would all agree is better at real life football. And accordingly, we have seen some cracks in the profile with rather mediocre veterans over these
14:33past two seasons. Obviously, in 2024, it took the Zach Moss injury for Chase Brown to kind of boom in the first
14:38place. And last year, there were some not so great splits with and without Sam Perine as well. So, I don't actually
14:43think 31-year-old Sam is going to be this big threat to Chase Brown this next season. And I do think those splits were
14:49also probably more so impacted by the Jake Browning disaster class we had early on last season before Joe Flacco and then Burrow kind of got the offense
14:57grooving again. But really is one of those things where we all kind of agree running back is the most dependent position on the rest of the offensive
15:04environment and pieces around there. So if we love all that and we're okay with the volume, why shouldn't we be in on
15:09Chase Brown? My RB10. I do get a little scared drafting him literally at the round one two turn over, you know, the
15:15Nico Collins and the Drake Londons and the Brock Bowers of the world. But in terms of running back standing, really tough to again get him down too much
15:22lower than RB10 to RB12 range. RB11 for me though, Mr. Derek Henry, the great one. Four touchdown master class in week
15:3017. Probably helped a lot of you guys win those fantasy championships last year. And it was just another great season in what's honestly been a career
15:36full of them. If King Henry can somehow guys piece together, it's asking a lot for a dude that's, you know, well north
15:42of 30 at this point. Oh yeah, just keep doing this for another four or five years. But if he does, that Emma Smith
15:47alltime rushing record really does become clear and actually possible.
15:51something that again after Adrien Peterson retired, I just didn't even know if we were going to be ever uh having that be a possibility here. But
15:57anyway, Dererick Henry, I was watching him throughout last year and one of the first things I wanted to check in this
16:02off seasonason was like, well, his numbers dropped off a decent bit from 2024, right? And the answer is yes, they did. And he was still like top 10 and
16:10everything. So like 5.9 yards per carry to 5.2. Some of the other stuff again, just tackles avoided, explosive run rate, all that. They dropped off
16:18relatively to him, but they were also still relative the rest of the league really, really freaking good. So, the issue is again the age because over the
16:25course of the past decade, we've only seen four seasons of a running back at the age of 30 score even 15 PPR points
16:32per game. Derrick Henry's responsible for two of them. 2019, Mark Ingram got another. And then that 2023 Raheem Moser fever dream was the fourth one there.
16:40So, Kyle Lamar Jackson stat there with the gravity he brings in the Reed option game. King Henry again, someone where, no, I'm probably not trying to leave
16:48every single draft because I am trying to give the, you know, agecliffe gods at least some benefit of the doubt here
16:54with all the history we have. But there's some survivorship bias in that as well, guys. Like I think when I looked earlier this offseason, there
17:00were only four running backs across the entire league. Like, not even starters, just across the entire league that were going to be 29 years old this year. So
17:08when we do see some of these numbers like ah only so many running backs age 30 manage to do this. Not many running
17:13backs are able to still be in the league at age 30 anyway. So there's a decent chance the ones that are able to buck
17:18that trend in the first place probably pretty good at ball in their own right.
17:21So Dererick Henry for me my RB1 head 2026.
17:25Last running back in this tier. I told you guys it's a long one. All right.
17:28This is basically you know the longest tier I have until we get into some of the RB4 handcuffs. But it is going to be
17:33Miami Dolphins RB Devon Ain. Fresh off a top five season. the all-time leader in yards per carry in the Super Bowl era if
17:40you can finangle with that threshold enough. But look, second in PPR points per game from receiving out the position since 2024. You love Achan, I love
17:48Achan. We hate the freaking offense, guys. And that really is all this bet is on. Explosive passcatching skill set.
17:55Hey, maybe he just keeps on keeping on.
17:56And the big kind of I guess pro argument is, hey, this Dolphins offense wasn't any good last year. We don't expect him
18:03to be good this year. like why the difference of opinion with Ham. It just comes down to the receiving upside.
18:09Okay, Malik Willis over the course of these past two seasons has been the highest scrambler in terms of just how many times he's taken off per drop back.
18:16Tua, I think in a sample of 61 quarterbacks, ranked 56. So, that's more so the issue. Being bad with Tua still
18:22means, you know, he's checking the ball down the Achan all the time. Also had a bunch of design looks from Mike
18:27McDaniel. Not exactly a guarantee we're going to get the same thing from Bobby Sloick this year. A bad offense in Malik
18:32Willis could mean him again just taking off and running and not throwing the ball to a chance enough and then we're
18:37not getting as many scoring opportunities as well. Again, it's just not quite as simple as saying they were bad last year, they're bad this year.
18:43What's the difference? So anyway though, I promised you before I did do a study on actually looking at running backs and
18:48bad scoring offenses specifically last 10 years. All right, there's only been 14 total running backs post top 12 fantasy numbers on a per game basis
18:58while operating in a bottom 10 scoring offense. So basically 11.7% of the top scoring RB1s over the course of the past decade came from really bad
19:08offensive environments. And overall looking at the different positions only quarterback was actually kind of more correlated or I should say less
19:15correlated kind of with this uh you know factor going on. So in general quarterbacks and running backs far more dependent to have high-end fantasy
19:22success on being in really good real life offenses as well which I do think makes sense. All right. you know, when
19:27you're getting down in the game and stuff, you're obviously throwing the ball. Wide receivers and tight ends still have possibilities of, you know,
19:33making up for lack of touchdowns with just that sweet sweet volume. Many of it in the, you know, comeback mode s sort
19:39of manner. Shout out Michael Wilson, 2024, Brian Thomas, guys of that nature.
19:44That said, and this is why I'm not completely out on a honestly guys, as the ADP continues to go down. Love
19:49saying it. Don't hate the player, hate the ADP. Devon Achan as a later mid mid to late second round pick. I can get
19:57behind that. It's just more so when we're kind of talking about him next to guys like a Chase Brown, like a James
20:02Cook, like a Saquon Barkley, where we love the talent, too, but we also like their offenses a lot more. So anyway,
20:08guys, looking at the 14 running backs who did actually manage to put up big-time numbers in bad offenses, here's the list. All right, 2016, Jordan Howard
20:18and Carlos Hyde. 2018, David Johnson and Leonard Fornette. Lenny did it again in 2019. 2020, James Robinson. What a time to be alive. 2021, DeAndre Swift. 2022,
20:27Dererick Henry, Leonard Fornette again.
20:292023, Saquon Barkley and Bree Hall.
20:312024, Alvin Chimera. And then 2025, Devon Achan. There he is in and Bejian Robinson. I don't know about you, but when I first kind of put this list
20:39together, my first instinct was like, "Oh, that's a lot of guys that seem to be catching passes, at least in recent
20:44history." And sure enough, guys, like other than Derrick Henry on that 2022 Titan squad, we have seen a ton of these
20:51dudes catch a lot of passes and that's been the way for them to kind of break out of these bad offensive situations.
20:56So again, group of backs as a whole, 50 to reception average, median 50 during these productive seasons since 2018.
21:04Derrick Henry is the only qualifier to catch under 40 passes here. So I honestly after I did the study warmed up
21:10a little bit to Devon Achan and Ashen Genty because that's the allure for them. It's not their scoring upside necessarily. We know they can break the
21:16big runs though, which is nice. It is the opportunity for them to catch 50, 60, 70 passes. And in Gent's case, man,
21:22catching balls from, you know, 38-y old Kirk Cousins and then even Fernando Mendoza with a wide receiver room that nobody cares about. Really high upside
21:29for Genty and Achan too, someone I don't want to completely write off. So, it's just again if we weren't if he wasn't
21:35next to Henry on the Ravens, Brown on the Bengals, Hampton on the Chargers, just offenses that I could see all being
21:40ranked in the top five at the end of the year, maybe I could warm up even more in Hin. For right now, for me, RB12 back
21:47half the second round pick. Great value at that point.
21:51Let's move on now to tier four. These are sometimes boring veterans, but you know, kind of pay the bills in fantasy
21:56land. And then also Jeremiah Love. So, always fun when we can get again a full clean uh tier here of just completely
22:02like-minded guys, but a little bit tough to do that on occasion. So, RB13 for me, Javvante Williams, he's the lead back of
22:09an offense that we freaking love. He's going to be featured almost every single down after the Cowboys doubled down and extended him. And he just finished as
22:17the RB12 and PPR points per game. So, real nice value with him going a lot of times more so mid later parts of round
22:23three. I could see even more of a round four ADP in certain home leagues. So Javvante Williams just feels like, you
22:29know, someone that we kind of wrote off as a fantasy community after he couldn't get things going in Denver. But new
22:34year, new Javvante still the same. Just again lackluster death chart, really isn't too much of a difference for me between Chase Brown and Javvante
22:42Williams. Yeah, Chase Brown a little bit more receiving upside. But Cowboys when you do look at what they have in terms
22:49of the high scoring potential and being a little bit more willing to run the ball than I think Cincy again nice
22:54discount on Devonte Williams I've been happy to buy really throughout this off seasonason. RB14 Bree Hall for me has an RB6 finished to his name back in 2023.
23:03You know my guy Theo over at Rotoire is a big uh big uh Bree Hall fan in round three. I just struggle a little bit
23:10again. Leagu's reigning 31st ranked scoring offense. just went through the study, talked about how Genty and HN should be able to overcome this if they
23:17have the receiving workload, and that is something we like with Bree Hall. So, again, he's my RB 14. I'm not completely
23:22down on the guy. It's just it's just been a tough click for me admittedly.
23:25But, you know what, guys? I don't make the right click every single round every single year. Maybe this is the year I
23:30get it all figured out and win every single league, but just for me, haven't been going out of my way for Bree Hall.
23:35Could certainly be wrong on it. Just a little worried about again this overall offensive environment. So, I will say with Achan and Willis, like this seems
23:42like a team they're going to try to be figure it out throughout the year. And then with Genty, you'd like to think
23:47they could have a kind of Saintsesque season where like, you know, Tyler Shuck in this case, Fernando Mendoza, they come in for the second half, you start
23:54building some momentum for next year.
23:56Like, you're still trying to do good things at the end of the year. I just worry with the Jets and then our next
24:00running back, the Cardinals, RB15, Jeremiah Love. I like the running back talents. I really do. With Gino and Jacobe, you can talk yourself into them
24:08being more of an average below average offense as opposed to just complete bottom five dog water. I just worry when it's week 12, these teams are two and 10
24:17and then all of a sudden we have Carson Beck and Cade Clubnik under center and then what are we going to do? It's going
24:22to be a freaking 13 and a half team total going into the weekend. Just expecting praying I should say uh for
24:29some garbage time points here. So that's been my concerns with Bree Hallm and Jeremiah Love. two very good running backs, especially love guys. I think
24:36this dude receiving wise could really surprise. I mean, I know at Notre Dame he didn't get 50 60 catches out there,
24:43but Raleigh Leonard, CJ Carr, two guys that move around a lot, especially Leonard running the football, but Carr has kind of got that impro
24:48improvisational tool in his skill set as well. And just they didn't need to throw these guys a lot, but when they did,
24:53particularly Jeremiah Love again, Texas&M game, Miami game earlier in the year, like they actually lined him up in the slot. He was looking explosive in
25:00and out of some of those cuts. had the one-handed snag against the Aggies as well. Like super super gifted receiving running back, but man,
25:08the way Bree Hall and Jeremiah Love just crush it and they make me look stupid for ranking them RB 14 and 15. I think
25:15they just need to be out there in a Christian McCaffrey legit 90% plus snap roll and then they just go ahead and
25:19make it happen. Is that going to be the case? I don't really think so. I'm not going to freak out because Brilon Allen
25:26weighs 250 lbs. Maybe we'll get another.
25:28You guys remember the swing pass? just practice and like it drove his ADP up because no one covered Brilen Allen and
25:34we watched him run 40 yards in practice.
25:36That was the thing that happened last year. I do think though it could be 70 20110 in favor of Bree. Maybe not enough
25:44in that offense. And then Jeremiah Love man with Tyler Aier, James Connor, Trey Benson. I wouldn't be surprised if Connor is playing football somewhere
25:51else by week one. But again, there's enough potential problems there on a team that could also want to not exactly hand their rookie running back 400
25:58touches from day one. enough concerns for me to not be going too overboard with these guys. RB16, Kron Williams fresh off an RB11 season in PPR points
26:07per game. And that was despite Blake Cororm really starting to eat into this workload, guys. So, in 2025, just 17.4 touches per game for Kairen. He had 21.7
26:16in 2023 and 21.9 in 2024. So, he was previously just getting a massive workhorse role that was really on par with guys like Christian McCaffrey at
26:25the top of the league. didn't get it last year, but accordingly we saw his efficiency improve really to kind of like year two levels back when it was
26:32really good. And also, you know, you don't need 25 touches per game when you're in the Rams high-flying scoring offense that's going to give you all
26:38sorts of goal line opportunities uh no matter how many times you keep fumbling the ball. So, Kairen Williams very very safe, solid pick at the RB16 mark. And
26:47hey, Blake Cororm, someone who's also had a few problems here in and out of Shawn McVey uh you know, doghouse. Who's
26:53to say this 6040 554 455 split persists.
26:56If we do see the Rams go ahead and just put more back on the plate of Kirron because they trust him more than anyone.
27:01All of a sudden this RB16 price tag will look very very affordable. So big thing for me here though and this is the
27:08reason why I push back a little bit with the kind of idea this summer of like oh everyone needs to be drafting RBs early.
27:13Make sure you leave your first you know two rounds both with RBs. If you can find a way to get these wide receiver
27:18ones who the other argument for that would be the wide receiver ones are more valuable than ever because of kind of
27:23the darth or the death I think it's dur of the wide receiver twos and wide receiver threes and fantasy. So if I'm
27:30able to you know be picking let's say I'm blessed and I get the 101 or 102 I get a Gibbs or a Bejon rounds two and
27:39three come around maybe Brock Bowers falls to me. Probably not. You can imagine maybe I get like Nico Collins and Drake London or something. Round
27:46four, round five. If we do in home leagues get a chance to get your Kyum Williams, your Josh Jacobs going that
27:52late, like there is a pocket of dudes in that kind of hero zero RB subset that I do think really could help you out. So
27:59more applicable example would probably be actually if we're picking more so around 1112. That's when we actually wind up getting, you know, two wide
28:05receivers in our first two picks and then Kairen becomes our hero RB in round three. A little bit more likely scenario
28:10there. But either way, again, the fact that Kylum Williams is going RB16, I don't feel like it's super controversial. I do think there's just
28:18again a kind of bigger bigger pot of these running backs where we actually have decent touch ceilings and good offenses. So, also applies to Josh
28:25Jacobs, my RB 17. If we had zero issues with the off the- field stuff, I would move Josh Jacobs to the front of this
28:32tier as an ode to this Packers offense.
28:34Josh Jacobs talent himself. I know some people boked at that a little bit. Said he looked washed last year at the very
28:40very end of the season when his injury, you know, breakdown was looking like a laundry list at that point. Okay, fine.
28:45But man, you look watch him in that Broncos game and just even beforehand, incredibly talented rusher of the football behind an offensive line that
28:52no one's exactly, you know, writing songs about in the first place as well.
28:55So, I trust Josh Jacobs. 30 touchdowns in 32 regular season games since taking his talents to Lambo in the first place.
29:02I trust the Matt Laflur and Jordan Love partnership. really really tough to be too concerned about a guy. Again, easily looking at 300 plus touches with the
29:10benefit of help from the injury gods and also his legal issues. So, that was my tier four. Tier five guys, there's
29:17upside. I get it. We're still talking about, you know, top 24 running backs here, but I do have some questions.
29:22Okay, so RB18 is going to be Travis ETN.
29:2548 million reasons to get fed the football down there by the Bayou. Travis Aan, one of you guys told me you
29:31wouldn't watch my videos if I don't say Achan. So hopefully hopefully he didn't leave. Travis Aan, ETN, whatever you want to call the guy. I just get some
29:38dead zone vibes here. And this is why ETN I have him ranked a little bit lower than what we're seeing, you know, in the
29:42ADP streets because Alvin Chimera, he's not leaving. He wants to play football.
29:46If Alvin Chimera is completely out of the picture, I would move ETN up. I put him right there next to kind of Bree
29:52Hall and Jeremiah Love. I think with the whole offense to himself, that's the same sort of profile. All right. And maybe the Saints do take a step forward.
29:59Again though, we have the optimism, the rosecolored glasses for everyone in July. Everyone's had a great draft. They made awesome offseason improvements. The
30:06play caller is going to be great. That's just life. And I get it. Be optimistic about your favorite team. It's all good.
30:11Vegas says the Saints, I believe, 23rd in terms of their implied scoring rank ahead of next year. It's not great. You
30:17know what I'm saying? So ETN, if we have Chimera taking some of the pass down work, which already Kellmore hasn't made
30:22a huge habit of doing with his RBs over the years, we have someone who I don't exactly consider a special talent by any
30:28stretch the imagination. Good season last year. I just give a little bit more credit to I think Liam Cohen and that
30:32scheme that was going on. And then yeah, just an offense that we're not overly thrilled about. Travis ETN, RB18 for me.
30:39RB19, DeAndre Swift has never finished worse than RB 24 since entering the NFL.
30:45and yeah, you know, hasn't exactly posted the top five numbers either, but the end of the day, guys, like I think
30:50we're probably overthinking this for again the fifth or sixth straight year.
30:54Explosive passcatching friendly running back now in an ascending Bears, Ben Johnson, Caleb Williams offense that we love. So, I know the way Caleb just runs
31:02around back there, he's not checking the ball now as much as some other quarterbacks. But DeAndre Swift, man, someone who again perennially is a bit
31:09too disrespected in the fantasy streets.
31:11Even the one thing that I think was a reasonable critique of his game over the years and that's success rate. You know,
31:16one of these running backs where he has six straight carries that get one or two yards. Seventh one, he pops off for 25.
31:21And that matters and he wasn't very good at it in 2024. Last year though, what do you want to credit the offensive line
31:27improvements? Ben Johnson and DeAndre Swift himself, guys, really did step things up in a major way there and posted, I believe it was like top five
31:34numbers and success rate at the position. So good stuff from Swifty and again someone where if you did find yourself early on in the draft loading
31:41up on wide receivers very very good option not far fall too far behind in the running back streets RB20 for me Bay
31:50Shaw Tutin I'm buying it guys I was not a Tutin believer in 2024 new year or 2025 excuse me new year new me and I
31:59just think that when we look at Chris Rodriguez who by the way currently still recovering from that offseason foot injury don't Love that going on. Could
32:07even be a Liz Frank. I don't know. Just saying. Give me all the BAL Tootenon guys. We love the offense with Liam
32:13Cohen. I thought Tootton last year, you look at the tackles avoided, yards after contact, and being put in situations, too, that were constantly short yardage.
32:20I really like what I saw. We didn't get massive big plays, but again, short yardage context, and just it was a small
32:27sample size. Watch this dude put on some film, grab a glass of wine, and just enjoy the reality that when Bashalt
32:34Tutin gets that football, man, he really does look like he's shot out of a cannon each and every time. So, I see a lot of
32:39similarities between Bashalt Tutin and kind of the ascension of one Chase Brown as well. We were worried about Zach Moss. We were worried about Sam Perine.
32:47Meanwhile, the day three explosive pass catching friendly talent managed to rise up in an offense we like. Something I do see also for Bashaw Tudin. So RB20 for
32:55me, priority pick when we can get him at the end of round five or even into round six. Like I think we might be able to in
33:01some of these home leagues. RB21, Trayvon Henderson. I know, I know it feels way too freaking high because Arandre Stevenson's probably still going
33:11to be starting out here. Not probably, he will be starting out here. We saw what happened in the playoffs. Aroundre snatched Trayvon's chain, but it wasn't
33:19as big of a disconnect before then as I remembered. All right, 14 healthy games together. Arandre had 162 touches.
33:26Trayvon 158. So it was close. Entire second half of the season, we saw the ceiling for Trayvon. 17.6 PPR points per
33:33game. RB7 from weeks 10 through 18. I know. I know. Raandre missed a stretch of those games and that's why those
33:39numbers are up there. But I just wonder if we were all a year two early. This is an offense we love. It's a guy who we
33:46know has that explosive pass catching skill set. I'm not saying he's Jirro Gibbs. I don't think he is Jir Gibbs.
33:53Not every fast running back can catch passes Jir Gibbs. But if the Patriots offense as good as they were last year,
33:59maybe even better with AJ Brown, Romeo Dobs, and everything, 80% Jir Gibbs could score a lot of fantasy points, guys. And remember, Gibbs was doing this
34:07too without even getting that full-time workload until the end of last year and until Dave Montgomery got injured down the stretch of 2024 as well. So, this is
34:15not an every lineup sort of player. All right. if you did go heavy heavy heavy wide receivers. I don't want Trayvon
34:22Henderson to be my first RB, but if you are in a situation where you don't love the receivers, you already got two
34:26running backs, there is so much upside for Trayvon Henderson, anyone that we have where I know it's early to buy an injury
34:35contingent running back. And that's that's the thing. I get it, but remove every RB1 in the league, then let's rank the RB2s in terms of where we would kind
34:44of be putting them in the ranks for like week six or something.
34:48Trayvon might be RB1.
34:50Blake Cororum would be up there as well.
34:53Probably those two guys. So again, that's the sort of sky-high upside.
34:57RB21's high. If you want to move him down a few spots, wouldn't call you insane. RB21, Trayvon Henderson.
35:04RB22, Jaren Price. I don't want to overthink this one. He's a round one running back. All right. End of round one. I get it. Not a top five pick, but
35:13still Seahawks thought enough of him to use that 32 overall pick on it.
35:18No, didn't get a chance to be a full-time feature back in Notre Dame because Jeremiah freaking love was there. But oh my god, did he do a lot of
35:24cool guys. I actually made a metric called cool All right, it's the amount of just explosive plays, tackles avoided, and then also
35:32touchdowns divided by running backs touches. No draft eligible running back was even closer. Jaren Price last year.
35:38This dude is explosive. He's a menace in kick returns as well. I believe in the talent with this dude. And we're going
35:44to fade it for George Hani.
35:47for Emanuel Wilson because beat reporters in July said they're probably going to keep all the running backs involved. They say this every single
35:53year with every single team. What else are the coaches going to say as well in addition to be reporters? Of course,
35:58they're going to keep everyone involved.
36:00But come on, read between the lines.
36:02First round pick, Zack Charban is sideline potential until late November if some of these Dodgers are believed.
36:09I don't want to overthink an explosive round one running back for the reigning Super Bowl champions. All right, guys.
36:16When he's going as a borderline RB2, Jarian Price, the more and more people start overthinking this, the more and more I just want to draft this dude each
36:24and every time out. RB23 though for me, Cam Scataboo, I'm just worried because this dude's leg has not been in one
36:32piece over the course of the past 12 months. I understand he should be out there in week one. I understand he
36:36posted top 10 numbers last year despite not even starting until week four. Okay, he's a lot of fun to watch. That Eagles
36:42Thursday night game, what a time to be alive. Okay, he's great out of the back field and everything. They didn't make
36:47any meaningful additions to the offense under the Harbaugh Greg Roman Matt Naggie partnership. Still can't believe they landed on landed on Matt Naggie,
36:55but you would like to think they're going to be running the ball a lot and Cam Scout should be the focal point of
36:59that.
37:01I just get worried of guys coming back from this injury. There's going to be no one to blame but you and me and the man
37:07in the mirror, woman in the mirror, whatever. Appreciate all of you. If we're watching Scataboo in week six going, "God, he still just doesn't look
37:15the same." From Tony Pard to Chris Goblin to Dak Prescott to Isaiah Pacheco, like these fractured fibula plus injuries. I know when we don't have
37:25the CLS and the big knee issues, we assume everything's going to be fine.
37:28But it means something to me, guys, that Tony Pard had a brutal injury and he comes back the following season and he
37:34admits afterwards, he's like, "I didn't feel like myself until week 12 out here." I think Scotty will play in week one. I think he's going to be painfully
37:40inefficient. Maybe he makes it up anyway on the pass down stuff, but man, it's not like we love this Giants offense
37:46either and expecting them to be lighting up the scoreboard. So, Cam Scot is someone I'm generally okay letting someone else draft, especially with
37:52where he's going, guys, at the end of round four right now. RB 24, David Montgomery. And I've gone back and forth
37:59on this dude throughout the offseason.
38:00In like March, I did a way too early bull calls article. It's like Montgomery lowend RB1 finish, double digit touchdowns, take it to the bank. But the
38:08more I look at this dude, I just get the dead zone vibes, guys.
38:12And a dead zone running back is someone where we're just ranking as high as we are based on volume. We don't believe in
38:18the offense. We don't know if there's going to be like big playability, like from a special caliber running back talent. We don't know if he's get passed
38:25down work, but look at that volume.
38:27I just don't know if we can really be expecting that more from Montgomery. All right, the Chiefs, um, not the Chiefs,
38:33the Texans have reshuffled their offensive line for the 20th straight year in a row. And we're hopeful for big things again. Vegas hasn't wrecked 19th
38:40in prescoring preseason scoring ranks.
38:42Woody Marks isn't a huge threat, I don't think. But could it be 6040 instead of 8020? I think it's possible. And
38:49especially if we do see them tap more into Marks as a receiver. So I've eased off of Monty a little bit. That said,
38:57the schedule is borderline erotic, guys.
39:00Now, I don't want to get too into schedules right now because we are using last season numbers and we're trying to
39:04look in 2026. There's been a lot of turnover. Defense is going to get better and worse and everything, but just looking at this early, man, they get
39:11like four matchups in their first seven weeks against just some of the worst run defenses from last season. So, they start off the year with the Bills,
39:18Bengals Colts Cowboys Titans Jaguars, and Giants through week seven.
39:24So, Bengals got Dexter Lawrence. Now, Cowboys have made a lot of additions to their front seven. I don't think they're going to be quite as bad as they were in
39:30past years. Maybe the Bills now have a greater emphasis on stopping the run as well. But again, if you do believe in
39:36just looking at some early season schedule stuff, nobody has it better than David Montgomery. So maybe something to uh you know, drafting
39:43Montgomery riding out the first seven weeks and then uh you know, when you're idiot friend Billy decides he's done with Malik Neighbors, we make that
39:49switch and try to sell high before his buy. But something to keep in mind, David Montgomery, if you need just a
39:55good decent enough floor, you've already got Josh Allen, you got three sweet wide receivers, and you're like, I just I need a running back here that maybe has
40:04a chance to be a low-end RB1. Dave Montgomery is your guy. Just not someone I'm expect I'm not expecting to be
40:09sitting here in week 17 going, oh man, if only I drafted Dave Montgomery, I would have won all my leagues. Probably
40:15famous last words. And maybe that'll be the case now that I went ahead and said it. But again, enough issues beyond just
40:21the pure volume argument for me not to be in love with Monty at this price.
40:25RB25 for me, Quinnon Judkins. Similar thing for Scataboo except we don't have the pass down upside. And again, like also the Giants, we have even honestly
40:34less reason to believe in the offensive environment as a whole. So Judkins, man, if you wanted to say he was the best
40:39pure runner that we saw on professional football fields last year as a rookie, I think you would have that case. All
40:45right. So yeah, I'll take Genty overall moving forward fine. But Judkins looked really freaking good. I think it was him and only Kenneth Walker too had over a
40:52hundred yards that were called back on penalties. So had a long house call against the Vikings, another big one against the Titans later in the year.
40:59Like Jugkins again really, really, really freaking good with the football in his hands. And all those same excuses we make for Genty with the bad offensive
41:06line, the scheme and all that. I also think more than apply to Quinn Judkins as well. Again, I'm just not willing to
41:11make a big bet on a guy whose leg has not been in one piece over the course of the past 12 months and also when we do
41:17have more pass down and offensive environment concerns for Judkins RB26, Bucky Irving electric as a rookie. But now guys, even if you want to just write
41:27off 2025 and say he was injured and worse was injured and Baker was injured and everyone was injured in Tampa Bay
41:33last year, I shouldn't be laughing. It's just unfortunate how literally everyone was freaking injured out there. Even if you want to write that off, I just think
41:39we look now at the 2026 def chart, and it sure seems to me like it's going to be a dreaded between the 20s role for
41:45this dude. All right, we have Kenneth Gainwell, reigning Steelers team MVP.
41:49Kenneth Gainwell to all you people. Uh just caught 70 passes. And then Shawn Tucker on the goal line. Last season, Shawn Tucker had nine carries inside the
41:56five yard line. Bucky Irving had zero.
41:59So again, it's pretty freaking tough to put up big-time fantasy numbers if you're not getting goal line touches and if you're not getting the targets. That
42:05does seem like it's potentially on the plate for Bucky Irving. So maybe I'm just a hater. I will say that sort of
42:11between the 20s potential issue. You can also make that case for Baltin. You could also make that case for Jarian Price and some of the other guys there.
42:18It's just just been weird with Bucky Irving guys. Even last year like just some of the reports about, you know, some of the mental health stuff going
42:25on. Just when was he going to return?
42:27The Todd Bulls comments about yeah hopefully in the later in the summer or the fall. I think Buckyy's going to be
42:32out there in week one. I'm not too concerned about the shoulder injury, but just bad vibes, right? I go on the Pat
42:37Mayo show, talk to him and Jake Cely, you know, once or twice a week. Make sure you guys check that out. But we
42:41just started calling him Bad Vibes Bucky. I don't know what it is. I hope we're calling him Good Vibes Bucky by
42:47halfway through the season. Not a bet I'm in the habit of making though this year. That said, guys, couple bets I
42:52have been making in our next tier. All right, tier six running back, zero RB heroes who are cheap for a good reason.
42:58So, probably going to go through these ones a little bit more quickly and talk about them more in groups because that's
43:02kind of the point we're at now. Okay, guys. If your name has already been called, that's because you are a clear
43:07number one running back on your team for the most part. I know we talked about Trayvon Henderson, so now we're kind of
43:12talking about situations, but that's important because these guys are as cheap as they are because it's a relatively muddled situation. And no, we
43:18shouldn't run away from that in fantasy land. We should try to figure it out, try to find this year's Javvante Williams and guys of that nature. So,
43:26starting things off, RB27 Jaylen Warren and RB28 Rico Dael. Rico Data is one of my most drafted running backs for this
43:32year because I just think it's going to be close to 5050. I love Jaylen Warren.
43:37All right, pull up any advanced metric you want. He's Gen Z, Austin Eckler, awesome as a receiver, great as a rusher. I don't know if Mike McCarthy
43:46realizes or cares about that. I think Mike McCarthy says, "There's my guy Rico D." Their running back coach says, "There's my guy Rico D." Oh, hey Jaylen.
43:53Good to meet you, man. We got our guy though. We got Rico D. Maybe I'm wrong and it's 7030 Jaylen Warren. and he gets
44:00all the pass down work from 42-year-old Aaron Rogers. Steelers running backs had the second most targets in the league last year. There's a scenario versus the
44:07Jaylen Warren show and Rico is the clear RB2.
44:10Even if that happens, and Rico I got him ranked RB 28. He's usually going much later in draft. So you could you don't
44:15even have to draft him this high. Rico is still one of the best handcuffs I think in fantasy football. Unless Caleb
44:21Johnson does an undertaker meme and just really becomes a factor in this. I think Warren and Dowel both have top 24 upside
44:28without an injury. We saw Warren and Gamewell do this last year. On average, we usually get about two back fields per
44:34year that simultaneously produce top 24 running backs. A lot of them are in situations with an old quarterback, Aaron Rogers. We had the Drew Brees
44:41years as well where it's just, you know, they're old. Look at them. They're old.
44:44They won't get the ball out of their hands fast. Can't blame them. Both these guys, I think in the best case scenario,
44:51are we weekly low-end RB2s and god forbid either gets injured, that other guy has skyhigh RB1 upside. So kind of like a like a middle class man's version
45:01of the Jir Gibbs, Dave Montgomery backfields from the last few years. So Rico Dattle, I don't blame you guys for thinking Jaylen Warren's better at
45:09football. I think Jaylen Warren's better at football. I don't know if Mike McCarthy agrees. And some of the receiving stuff I think has been
45:14overstated as well, guys. Both these dudes have played 33 games over the past two seasons and Jaylen Warren only has five total PPR points more from
45:22receiving than Rico Dattle. So Warren Dow trying to come away with one Steelers running back in your fantasy draft. Either way, I do think makes a
45:29lot of sense. RB29 Raandre Stevenson already talked about him a lot with Trayvon Henderson, but yeah, 71% snap rate in the playoffs. That said, the
45:37regular season split was a bit closer than I remembered. I just struggle other than with a Trayvon injury, which to be
45:44fair I brought up for Trayvon with Raandre. I struggle to see the oh my god Raandre just running away with this job.
45:50I do think they want to keep it split and I do think they would like to see Trayvon being more of a factor in the
45:55passdowns. We'll continue to hear about Trayvon hitting all these wheels in practice. You know, as a Patri Speed reporter telling us about this and we
46:02had the actual wheel that Arandre caught in the game that they told us afterwards was supposed to be for Trayvon, but he
46:07had already gotten pulled for pass. It was such a strength that Trayvon's coming out of Ohio State. I know it didn't work last year. I just really
46:14have reservations about betting too heavily on Arandre. But again, zero RB heroes, guys. I do think Raandre is going to stay involved enough to be
46:21getting that 10 to 15 touches per game even if Trayvon starts doing good things. Tough to overly bicker about that when we're getting this point in
46:27the draft. RB30 for me. Chuba Hubard just one year removed from an RB13 finish. He's going to be splitting with Jonathan Brooks. But you get into these
46:36drafts and it's just like everyone is playing chicken seeing who's going to draft Chuba Hubard. And I never want to.
46:43Chuba Hubber is like the Courtland Sutton of running backs where every time I look at my ranks and he's on the board
46:48and it says I should draft Chuba, I go to my ranks and I lower Chuba so I don't have to freaking do this. So he is the
46:54epitome of an eat your vegetables pick.
46:55And guess what? I freaking hate eating vegetables. All right. Will that get me in trouble chasing dessert? Will I regret that in three months? Decent
47:03chance. All right. I think the hate for Chuba has gone too much. He's an RB 13 20 24 last year had the early season
47:09calf injury. Wasn't great to see Rico D snatch his chain, but they even things out down the stretch. Many, many millions of reasons for the Panthers
47:16continue to entrust Chuba, one of their team leaders as the RB1. But Jonathan Brooks is coming and it's just one of
47:23these things where not only is Brooks a threat to split, but similar to, you know, Jaylen Warren, Rico,
47:32Chuba, and Brooks, a takeover could happen. We saw what happened last year, Chuba's not getting any younger.
47:39I just really struggle to see, similar to some of these other guys we talked about, oh man, I didn't draft Chuba
47:45Hubard. Now I'm in the losers bracket.
47:48Could be wrong.
47:50If you're going pure zero RB and you just need running backs to put in there, I get it. I was also in an FFPC draft
47:56last week guys where straight up Jonathan Brooks went ahead Chuba Hover.
47:59So again, don't let the player hit the ADP. If we are getting to a point where top 50 wide receivers are off the board,
48:06top 15 quarterbacks, top eight tight ends. Okay, yeah, give me Chuba Hubard.
48:10But again, personally just haven't been going out of my way for him to this point. RB31 Tony Pard joins Derrick Henry as the only two running backs in
48:18the NFL with at least 1,000 rushing yards in each of the past four seasons and the last two only still produce RB22
48:25and RB30 finishes. So, he got going a little bit down the stretch of last season, but we had that weird Titans
48:29Browns blowout. They got to play a Chiefs team without Patrick Mahomes. I'm not really buying it, guys. Pard's 29.
48:35We got Taj Spears who was banged up last year. Like we had Pard with an 80 90% snap rate for large portions of early
48:42last season and we still couldn't get anything going from the dudes. So is Brian Dable going to come in and save
48:47things? I don't really think so. His only calling cards like been having his quarterbacks run a ton which is cool in
48:52fantasy but in real life they usually get injured which kind of isn't all that great. So I just if this team sucks like we all
49:00kind of think they will, why not put Nicholas Singleton out there last month in the season and see what you got? I
49:05know a lot of people like Tony Pard for the volume. I'm just We've had the volume and it still hasn't been much
49:11upside. I really struggle, which is crazy because Pard used to be the epitome of someone who could make more with less. But we all get older with
49:19Spears taking the past on work. I'm just not in on Tony Pard this year. RB32, last one in this tier is going to be JK
49:26Dobbins, who clearly, guys, was the RB1 last season before he got injured.
49:3164 touches compared to 75 for RJ Harvey during the first 10 weeks of the season.
49:36That's what I thought the split was going to look like for Trayvon Randre when I actually went back and ran the
49:40numbers. Hey, and credit to Dobbins guys. Five yards per carry, just 3.7 for RJ Harvey. They resigned him. Not to Saquon money or anything like that, but
49:49what was it? Two years, 20 million, maybe 16, one year's guaranteed more or less. It's the way running back contracts usually work. But I will say
49:57all that dominance in the touch department still just the RB27 first 10 weeks of last year last three years man we keep chasing those Alvin Chimera
50:05Darren Spoles kind of Shawn Payeyton New Orleans running back ghost but we haven't seen someone rank higher than 24th since he has been there in Denver
50:12Jonah Coleman someone who could factor in goal line situations also pass down situations I struggle to see the sky-high ceiling for JK Dobbins but you
50:20know what I'm in these 14 team leagues with three flexes I'm in a 32 team fantasy football league go. Right. So,
50:25as much as I feel like I'm criticizing a lot of these running backs now where it's like, oh well, what is the
50:29possibility for them to be this top 10 player, we're only getting 10 top 10 running backs this year, guys. How's that for some analytics? So, I don't
50:36want to completely, you know, be crapping on Pard and Dobbins and Chuba Hubard and these guys, but they're boring volume based running backs and
50:43offenses that we don't really love. For the right build, maybe that's your cup of tea. Tier seven, ladies and mostly gentlemen. We are now looking at allstar
50:54handcuffs in the position's cheapest starters. So RB33 Blake Cororm maybe get more of a 50-50 split, but again going back at the handcuff idea really just
51:02does have a great case as fantasy's most valuable handcuff. Someone who's close though RB34 Kyle Manungai had that massive game against the Bengals. I kind
51:11of get that uh I I didn't watch Dexter, but you guys have probably seen the meme of that uh black dude in the car who's
51:16just like looking super skeptical. I forget his name. I think he was aware of what Dexter was doing though. Whenever I'm watching a player and all their top
51:23highlights came against the Bengals and the Cowboys last year, I kind of get that skeptical look at it. But my non
51:28guy did some good things against the Eagles and stuff later in the year as well. Either way, 13.7 opportunities per game across the final 10 contests. Like
51:35Blake Cororm, he's a solid flex with benefits player, even if I'm not exactly expecting a takeover from either party.
51:41Not so the case with Jonathan Brooks, who again comes in as RB35. I will say, shout out Dr. Jeff Mueller at JM Thrive
51:48PT. I memorize his handle because I so constantly cite all of his work in podcast and also articles. So, make sure
51:55you give him a follow. But he had a really good note about Brooks saying that in his opinion, his medical doctor
52:01opinion, Brooks didn't suffer two completely separate devastating ACL tears. The first one wasn't fixed as well as it should have been, and the
52:09second one again was more so of a setback as opposed to a second complete tear. So plenty of time based on the
52:16timetables they have to believe he's going to be about close to 100%. He's still somehow only just 22 years old.
52:22Brooks is the rare handcuff running back you could actually take over. Okay, him and Rico Dow are two of the only guys I
52:28think we can kind of realistically say that about. Not that it can or won't happen elsewhere, but just as things stand right here as I record this on
52:35July 13th, I think there's a better chance that Brooks overtakes Chuba than Monai over Swift or Cororum over Kiran.
52:42Now on the other side of things, I'm more confident in the weekly role for Manungai and Cororum. That's why I have
52:46them a spot ahead. But definitely some high upside for Brooks. I just hope he doesn't keep flying up the ranks, guys.
52:52Like a month ago, I could sit here and sell you as Brooks as my favorite running back sleeper of the year. But
52:57we're getting to the point where he's going to be freaking going ahead of Chuba Hubard in home leagues potentially. So keep an eye on that
53:02price. But again, really like Brooks.
53:04Just please, please, let's maybe keep this one between us and keep it quiet so that ADP doesn't keep on climbing. RB36,
53:11Rashad White, your favorite fantasy nerd's favorite late round running back this year, just because he's kind of got some 2025 De Javvante Williams vibes,
53:18guys. He is one of only three running backs since he entered the league with over 200 catches. The only other guy is
53:23Alvin Chimera and Christian McCaffrey.
53:25So, I don't think he's been amazing, but he wasn't amazing in 2023. Still worked as the RB10 in PPR points per game, RB23
53:33in 2024, even with Bucky Irving ascending and eventually taking that job. So again, wide open Washington backfield. Maybe it is just a mess. But
53:42they're all this cheap because it's a mess right now. If we get word that Rashad White is going to be the clear
53:47leader, we get the preseason games and he's playing, you know, 10 of 11 snaps with the first team starters. Like this
53:52is a dude who's going to be going really freaking high, man. I don't think he's going to get like top 16 or anything
53:57like that, but like if we're looking at the tier list, what would really be the difference between like Cam Scataboo and Rashad
54:06White? Their offenses that we're not overly enthralled with probably have more reason for optimism with the commanders based on what Daniels did in
54:132024. Daniels and Dart are running around a lot like we're not expecting oodles of targets. Is a weird word. Work on that one Ian. I just think Rashad
54:23White like when we're especially if you're drafting right now guys of all these running backs that just based on a little bit of news, a little bit of
54:29clarity who could go flying up the ranks like Rashad White definitely stands out as one of them. So on the other side of
54:35things, if we hear Bill Crosby Merritt or Jerome Ford or Jerry McNichols or, you know, Kron Allen, shout out Fat Man.
54:40If any of these other guys, they get the good words, then okay, or Shaw White's going to drop as well. But we're already
54:44on RB36. Like these are now in the later rounds. These are the sort of running backs I want to be trying to take bets
54:50on. And that brings me to the next running back I want to be taking late round bets on. RB37, Jordan Mason. Shout
54:56out to Vikings insider Matthew Coller.
54:57He actually believes Mason, not Jones, will be leading the way this season. So, I know last year wasn't all that pretty,
55:02but the Vikings low-key guys tied for the fifth fewest rush attempts inside the five yard line. So, they were right there with the Jets. Jordan Mason on a
55:10hopefully improved Vikings offense.
55:12We'll get get back to getting that goal line rushing work. Kyler Murray should be helping the rushing lanes overall.
55:17We've seen that in history with dual threat quarterbacks and he's not like the Josh Allen or Jaylen Herz who's a threat at the one yard line. So, no,
55:24we're not going to get the pass catching stuff. I don't think that Jordan Mason's going to turn in, you know, a top 12
55:28season, but you know, Jordan Mason, David Montgomery, but like 30 40 picks cheaper. Something to think about. RB38, Kenneth Gamewell again, reigning
55:38Steelers team MVP, Kenneth Gwell. Going to keep bringing that up every day for the rest of my life.
55:43Maybe he does close things up with Bucky Irving. I'm just worried about Shawn Tucker being annoyingly involved. Either way, I could see it being almost like a
55:52like a lesser Buffalo Bills situation.
55:54All right, James Cook is Bucky Irving in this scenario. Kenneth Gainwell is Ty Johnson. They're the number two running back, but if the starter gets hurt, Ray
56:02Davis in Buffalo, and then Shawn Tucker in Tampa, they actually come up and they get more early down work in the Kenneth
56:08game. Ty Johnson role really wouldn't change all that much. So, threw a lot of names around there. Sorry if I confused
56:12you. I like Gamewell. He's someone where I think flexwise is better than some of these other running backs we're talking about. I just question the best case
56:20ceiling. RB 40 to Cororey Crosky Merritt aka Bill 12th most rushing yards over expected per carry last year. Shout out NextGen stats had some good moments man.
56:30Chargers game earlier in the year Cowboys game when Crock got sick at the end. Ball security yesterday seemed like maybe lost his confidence during the
56:37middle part of the year but just the the hype was so crazy in August for this dude because we're all weird in fantasy
56:42football land and we love finding these late round rookies. He had a really really freaking good year guys for a day
56:48three rookie. All right. So, maybe it didn't meet our ridiculous sky-high expectations in fantasy land, but wouldn't completely rule out Bill doing,
56:55you know, his thing. He is the most explosive running back in Washington.
56:58Even if Rashad White is a starter and the guy I want to put my chip on, mostly because of the pass down work, I do
57:03think Bill, if we do see that gap continuing to grow, at a minimum, it's going to be a nice guy to keep on that
57:07bench in his own right. RB41, Aaron Jones, last guy in his tier. Kind of already talked about him with Jordan Mason. Could be a trap though. I was
57:15drafting Aaron Jones a little more earlier and you know we're past 40 running backs at this point. I don't want to crap too hard on any of these
57:21dudes because they are Chief for a reason. But Deon Claybourne coming in could potentially be more of an explosive pass catcher. Matthew Coller
57:27also know they didn't love Aaron Jones working pass protection. So could be an issue with him even being the clear pass
57:33down back. Aaron Jones someone that generally I just think happy to let someone else draft him. Tier eight at this point looking at some dogs. Not
57:42really at this point it's tier eight.
57:44RB41, R.J. Harvey, RB42, Katon Mitchell, RB43, Woody Marks, Tyrone Tracy, Alvin Chimera, Taj Spears, Chris Rodriguez, Isaiah Pacheco, Tyler Alier, Tank Bsby,
57:55and Brian Robinson. It is clear number two RBs, but we're saying there's a chance. Now, I imagine we have some nice
58:01handcuff upside. So, RJ Harvey is the guy who I have again very low in this in this ranks relative to a lot of other
58:07people cuz I just don't really see it, guys. He was good as a receiver. Okay, most of the real goodness though that we
58:13look back on came against the Bengals and Cowboys. Most of the rushing efficiency stats paint him as a very bad player, which isn't the beall endall.
58:21Okay, when when Quinn Sean Judkins efficiency is really bad last year, and so is everyone else on the Browns because it was the freaking Browns. I
58:27don't hold that against him. When JK Dobbins, who everyone hates, injured, he's old, he's slow, whatever.
58:34If he's so bad, how come RJ Harvey was averaging 1.3 fewer yards per carry in the same offense in a situation where
58:40like Harvey should be the guy where defenses are expecting pass when he's in there in the first place? So look, RB8
58:46after the team's week 12 buy when he was the running back left. Dobins was out of the picture, there is some handcuff
58:51upside, but now with Jonah Coleman, man, 220 pounds, he did so many little things, right? I made this stat for the
58:56draft eligible running backs called the little things pass pro, ball security, just, you know, drop rate, fumble rate, things like that. number one running
59:04back in this class. I'm concerned about Harvey because I think Dobbins is a clear-cut starter here. We're not gonna be able to trust Harvey on a week- toeek
59:10basis. And now, even if Dobbins does get injured, I'm not convinced we have the same sky-high passing upside. And again, I just feel like more and more we're
59:17chasing those Shawn Payeyton New Orleans ghosts at RB. Haven't quite seen that return in fantasy land in recent years.
59:23Katon Mitchell, Mike McDaniel, the wanted posters in this GM's office. More of a baseball pick for me. I just think we're going to really struggle to ever
59:31be too excited about starting Mitchell.
59:33even if Amaran Hammond gets hurt too.
59:35Not going to go through that whole Bills example again, but I do think Kamodi Vidal could be the Ray Davis to Keenan
59:40Mitchell's Tai Johnson. RB43, Woody Marks, RB44, Tyron Tracy, very similar guys where we're more so drafting them as handcuffs, but hey, maybe the split
59:49with the running backs, new situation, new running back, new coaches, at least in the Giants case. Maybe it is more 6040 as opposed to 7030. Definitely guys
59:56you want on the end of your bench. Alvin Chimera, my most drafted running back in baseball land this offseason. that RB45.
60:04I just think where he's going, which is like virtually free pick 180, way too low. A lot of people didn't think he was
60:09going to play football this year or the Saints were going to get rid of him. If they do trade him, guys, he's going to
60:13be flying up these ranks in a hurry. So, I will say Saints offense didn't exactly yield all these, you know, fantasy
60:19friendly opportunities last year in their own right. And just the same reason I'm drafting a lot of Jerry Judy, which Chimera and Judy 2026, I admit
60:28doesn't sound great to say out loud. You look at running backs over these last two seasons, guys.
60:34There's been eight running backs have a season with 18 plus PPR points per game over these past two years. Seven of
60:41those running backs are going among the top 12 running backs. Alvin Chimera goes RB55.
60:48RB55 for someone one year removed from a top five finish of their position. I know Travis Aan is there now. I'm not
60:55saying Chamra is overtaking this backfield. I do think he's a sky-high handcuff because he would take over. I think he could catch 40 or 50 passes if
61:03this thing is anywhere close to 50/50 as I do think he has a chance to be. Taj Spears, similar concerns as like Harvey
61:11where I just don't ever think they're going to turn the backfield over to him, but he can catch passes. Nobody has
61:16avoided more tackles per touch than Taj Spears has come into the league. Very, very entertaining player. Just hasn't had the best will from the injury gods.
61:24RB47, Chris Rodriguez, Liam Cohen's boy from Kentucky. Maybe he does fall into the end zone 10 times. Maybe some of the
61:30arguments I made about Jordan Mason actually could also apply to Chris Rodriguez. I'm fading this offseason foot injury though. I think he's an
61:36overall relatively mid talent. RB48, Isaiah Pacheco, the handcuff for Jir Gibbs. There you go. RB49, Tyler Alier.
61:45I don't see the huge upside here, guys.
61:46I see him regularly listed in the top handcuffs video and top handcuff ranks.
61:50I'm going to have a separate video on that later in the week. Make sure you check that out if you want. It's a free
61:54country. Even if Jeremiah Love gets injured and he's out of the picture, which is a big if, where are we ranking
62:00Tyler Alier? Like RB 26 or something like that. Like he's just going to be there. I think with Judkins and some of
62:05these other dead zone running backs. We hate the Cardinals. James Conn or Trey Benson is still factor in. Like Tyler Alier for me is someone I have not been
62:12clicking. Really, really struggle to see that upside scenario. Good player. NFL's all-time leader for most career touches without a fumble. PF's second highest
62:20pass blocking grade among running backs last season. I hate the offense though.
62:24You know who I do like as a handcuff running back. Tank Bsby baby, my RB50.
62:29Dude's good. All these stats that we pretend to care about. Yards after contact, tackles avoided, explosive run rate. They all say Biggs has been a top
62:36five running back over these past two years. The man was fun in Jacksonville in 2024. I kind of wish they would have
62:41kept him there and given this dude a better chance to do his thing. Of course, no standalone upside here. It needs it's going to be Saquon Barkley's
62:49show. If it's not though, Tanks be on the cover of every single Waverwire article in the industry. Similar sentiment for RB51. Brian Robinson. Fun
62:57stat guys. Yards after contact for carry. I appreciate it. All right, we're trying to quantify what we're seeing with these running backs, but like Devon
63:03Aan, Trayvon Henderson, these are some of the guys in the top 10 because they break an arm tackle at the line of
63:08scrimmage and yeah, they technically rack up 60 yards after contact, but just personally when I think of the stat, I try to think of like who's pushing piles
63:14and stuff. So what I did with it was look at the percentage of carries that each running back had at least three
63:21yards after contact. The number one running back in that last year, Brian Robinson. So again, only a best case handcuff. We don't love the Falcons
63:28offense as much as the Eagles. That's why I do have one spot below Tank Bsby.
63:32But Brian Robinson, good solid football player. Last one guys, tier nine late round darts. I got RB52, Zack Sharbonate. Not sure when he's going to
63:40be back. Probably November. RB 53, Dylan Samson. I don't know if he's a cheaper Taj Spirits or just a more expensive
63:46Justice Hill. RB54 Jonah Coleman. RB55 Kron Allen. Someone's got to technically lead the Washington Commanders backfield. I think RB56 Marshon Lloyd. I
63:56cannot quit this dude. Injury history sucks, guys. I get it. But if you do go through them, it's not like we're
64:01dealing with, you know, five ACL tears in the last three years. He hasn't really had a major long-term setback.
64:07It's just been one nagging injury after another. But she's healthy right now.
64:11the floor in the Packers. They continue to believe in him enough to not add like other serious competition. I know Chris
64:16Brooks is there as well. It's just crazy to me like Josh Jacobs has been falling down the ranks while Lloyd and Brooks
64:21stay cheap as ever at the bottom. So, I'm throwing late round darts on Marshon Lloyd. I've done it the last two years.
64:28They did not work out then, but you know what? America loves a comeback, people.
64:33RB57 Mike Washington. This dude is going to be a great handcuff stash and reddraft league, guys. If Ash Genty stays healthy for 17 games and we're
64:41never going to talk about Mike Washington probably once all year. Again though, the next man up Dylan Lobby like is the only other running back right now
64:48that we need to really care about in Las Vegas. More of a special teams pure pass pro guy. Anyway, absolute freak athlete.
64:54Mike Washington. Very, very good, incredibly late round handcuff. RB58 Ray Davis talked about him a little bit. He did command because we have one game
65:02without James Cook over the past two seasons. in that game against the Jets Monday night game. I remember it because I'm freaking pissed because of some of
65:09the reporting that went on, but I won't, you know, won't reopen those scabs.
65:12Anyway, Ray Davis in that game, 23 of 27 of the backfield carries and targets. Ty Johnson really did not see his role
65:19change. That wasn't 2024, though. This is the only reason why I don't have Ray Davis ranked much much higher in kind of
65:24like that top handcuff tier. We saw a little bit of a difference in 2024 and 2025. There's a lot more Tai Johnson in
65:302025. The Bills weren't even afraid to use him on short yardage situations. So, who do I think is the primary handcuff
65:37to James Cook? I think it's Ray Davis.
65:39But I really do think it could be a lot closer to a 6040 situation than what we saw. And again, that one single sample
65:45size. RB59, Brilan Allen, RB60 Shawn Tucker, and RB61.
65:51Jaden Blue. Very important situation in Dallas to try to figure out who this handcuff is going to be. I guess I'll
65:57give Blue the benefit of the doubt right now. I don't know why I am. Malik Davis was actually number two down the stretch
66:02of last year and we also had Phil Mafa be banged up come back late but I do think just if you had to look at these
66:08other running backs and say like who has the most differing perhaps complimentary skill set to Javvante Williams I do think it's Jaden Blue from that
66:15standpoint so he does again have that speed have that pass catching ability that we saw at Texas two touchdowns against my Ohio State Buckeyes in that
66:22awesome college football semi-final game but it's just a very very important situation to be monitored Indianapolis Colts as well there are a few of these
66:29top ranked running backs with very unclear depth charts. Cowboys want to really keep an eye on. But guys, big one there. Hope you guys keep an eye
66:37on these 61 running backs and more videos from the channel as we get into the offseason. Again, kind of got a
66:42running back week going on here. Touched on quarterbacks last week, wide receivers, tight ends, and then we'll really, really, really turn up the pure
66:49draft content here as we get into August and beyond. So, appreciate you guys hanging out as always. If you like the
66:53video, then please like the video.
66:54Hitting that subscribe button always helps as well. So, again, fun time breaking down the RB tiers. Plenty more goodness on the way.