NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Monday, May 18, 2026

Bob Harris is skeptical of Malik Davis being elevated to running back two; Davis was always the second banana to Rico Dowdle for years and Harris questions how much better he's really gotten, suggesting the Cowboys' interest in Davis signals that Blue and Moffa aren't ready or performing to expectation.

Bob Harris evaluates Mason Taylor as one of two strong draft picks (alongside Jayden Daniels) that may generate debate about their success in the coming year, though he expresses confidence in both selections.

Bob Harris evaluates Jayden Daniels as one of two strong draft picks (alongside Mason Taylor) that may generate debate about their success in the coming year. Harris expresses confidence in the pick, noting it has worked out well for him.

Ricky Pearsall retains a meaningful role in San Francisco's receiver room. The speaker explicitly rejects the notion that Deebo Samuel will beat out Pearsall for the number two receiver spot, affirming Pearsall's depth chart standing.

George Kittle's readiness upon return from his Achilles injury is uncertain and may affect the 49ers' personnel usage. If Kittle is not ready for primetime, the team may rely more on Deebo Samuel in 11-personnel blocking roles, which would impact Samuel's receiving opportunities and overall offensive balance.

Deebo Samuel's fantasy value is limited by his role in Kyle Shanahan's offense. While his speed, size, and blocking ability are frequently discussed, his fantasy production may be capped if the 49ers use him more in 11-personnel packages to block and play tight end—a role that doesn't generate fantasy points. Christian Kirk's presence as a reliable route runner and receiver presents meaningful competition for targets.

Christian Kirk is a good player who, when healthy, can play multiple spots—a trait coveted by Kyle Shanahan. He presents a formidable challenge to Deebo Samuel as a route runner with reliable hands and after-the-catch ability; his different but dependable style makes him a significant competitor for targets in San Francisco's offense.

Rashod Bateman will never return first-round value to the Ravens because Baltimore's offensive scheme doesn't suit his strengths. Bateman excels at winning contested catches on the outside—something he did extraordinarily well at Minnesota—but the Ravens run routes in the middle of the field and don't allow him to go up and win contested catches on the outside. The scheme mismatch limits his fantasy ceiling in Baltimore.

Bob Harris is 'feeling it' on Breece Hall for a career year in 2026 and top-10 RB territory. Geno Smith is a much better signal caller and diagnostician than Justin Fields or Zach Wilson, offering defenses more to honor and translating to bigger plays and better matchups for Hall. If Hall gains an extra 20–30 yards per game in rushing and/or receiving compared to 2025, he reaches top-10 territory. Hall was RB2 two years ago with 288 points; that same production the following year would have ranked RB7, indicating the low scoring environment. The Jets' running game will remain the main focus with more 12 personnel usage, and GM Brick Johnson's roster construction around Hall is expected to serve him well. Hall might have the best offensive line he's played with, at least on paper.

Despite elite speed and three monster games last year (28+ points each, including a 32-pointer), Henderson's role is limited by his incomplete skill set: he only runs gap concepts well and lacks Stevenson's pass protection and receiving refinement. In 14 other games, he averaged just 8 points per game; two of his three huge games came with Stevenson sidelined, indicating contingent rather than primary upside. Currently drafted as RB19, suggesting overvaluation relative to his actual role and consistency.

Bob Harris rejects the premise that Treyveon Henderson will take over as Patriots RB1 by year's end, citing Stevenson's superior pass protection, receiving ability, and route-running skills as well as his power and short-yardage dominance inside the five-yard line. Stevenson would need to 'fall off a cliff as a player' for Henderson to take over; currently being drafted as RB29 (up from RB43 last year), suggesting market undervaluation relative to his role security.

Bob Harris recommends Ka'Tron Allen as an RB3 late-round flyer in Washington for contingent upside, with the caveat that he could be a late-round target if he proves surprisingly good.

UDFA running back signed by Patriots with the most lucrative contract of all their UDFA signings; Bob Harris grades him as a top-five running back pre-draft and highlights him as the best blocker and pass protector in the class. Montgomery chose the Patriots because he liked their coaching philosophy and competitive environment. Beat writers already expect him to be the RB3 over Terrell Jennings, making him one injury away from playing time. Harris recommends him as an end-of-draft option in dynasty leagues, noting the Patriots' reputation for letting players compete.

Bob Harris recommends Nicholas Singleton as an RB3 late-round flyer to monitor in Tennessee, suggesting he warrants late-round draft consideration with contingent upside.

Bob Harris recommends Sean Tucker as a late-round draft target with strong waiver wire upside. Tucker can be drafted as a disposable piece early in the draft and dropped if the team's backfield stays healthy, but should be prioritized high on waiver wire lists to capitalize on instant starter potential if an injury occurs. Harris values late-round RBs (picks 15-20) as rotational roster pieces with injury-contingent upside, and Tucker fits that profile with a different skill set than the team's other backs.

Bob Harris expresses lack of trust in Bucky Irving's recovery from shoulder surgery; Irving is 195 pounds (undersized for the position) and did not work out at OTAs, raising durability concerns that make him a risky bet for consistent playing time in Tampa Bay's backfield. The combination of recent injury and lack of ideal size creates draft trust issues.

Bob Harris flags stride and footwork concerns in Jeanty, noting he has issues with how he sets his feet similar to Denzel Boston, suggesting potential injury risk. However, Harris expects Jeanty to improve in 2026 now that Chip Kelly has fixed his stance and stride; the Raiders' offensive line couldn't be much worse than last year, so improvement there should help Jeanty's production going forward.

Movement coaches have identified concerning stride mechanics in Boston's footwork at the line of scrimmage; his feet are splayed outward in a way that puts stress on the knee, ankle, and leg, creating inefficient and injury-prone movement patterns. Bob Harris compares this to stride issues seen in Kenneth Walker and Christian McCaffrey, both of whom have dealt with recurring injuries throughout their careers despite performing well when healthy.

Bob Harris is confident Watson will be the Browns' starter and projects low-end QB2 value. Watson is a full year removed from ACL injury and appears healthier; Todd Monken's offensive scheme is designed to leverage Watson's strengths from his Houston tenure, with glowing reports from offseason workouts in Florida. Harris acknowledges Watson's days as a top-five fantasy asset are behind him but frames his outlook as stable given health recovery and offensive fit.

Bob Harris projects rookie receiver Malachi Fields for 800–900 yards, framing him as a good fit for the Giants' offensive scheme. Fields can work the middle of the field, win contested catches, and generate yards after catch—all three skills the Giants need post-Wan'Dale Robinson loss. Upside depends on Jackson Dart's development and ability to support the passing game.

Bob Harris projects Herbert to finish around QB8 ADP despite current expectations, citing significant fantasy headwinds: third offense in three years (two in NFL), lost Wan'Dale Robinson from receiving corps, ranked as worst QB against pressure last year, and teams now have a full offseason book on his weaknesses. The combination of offensive instability, defensive game-planning, and depleted receiving options makes him a fade at current ADP.

Suffered an ACL tear requiring cleanup surgery and will not be fully healthy until 2027. While he will play this season, he is projected to be only 70% of his rookie-year production. Bob Harris rates his WR8 ADP (19th pick) as not worth the investment.

One of two Steelers running backs (alongside Jaylen Warren) supporting the offense under McCarthy. His passing game usage may increase if Pittman's health becomes a concern, as the Steelers lack receiving core depth.

Under McCarthy's Steelers offense, Pittman is part of the receiving core alongside McKinnon and two running backs (Jaylen Warren and Rico Dowdle). Health of Pittman's back is a key variable for running back passing game usage, as the Steelers lack depth at receiver if Pittman is unavailable.

One of two Steelers running backs (alongside Rico Dowdle) supporting the offense under McCarthy. His passing game usage may increase if Pittman's health becomes a concern, as the Steelers lack receiving core depth.

Serves as a baseline comparison for the type of receiver Aaron Rodgers prefers; DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. are characterized as plus or plus-plus-plus versions of Lazard. Lazard may show up at some point in the Steelers' receiver rotation, though his role is uncertain.

Finished QB18 last year and is currently being drafted outside QB2 territory. With Mike McCarthy in 2026, Bob Harris projects him as a viable fantasy option, particularly in two-QB leagues. Rodgers is now three years past his Achilles tear, suggesting recovery trajectory supports QB evaluation. He has receiver fits in DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. who adjust well to zone coverage.

Despite Harbaugh's offseason hype comparing Johnston to Randy Moss, the Chargers declined to pick up his fifth-year option during the draft, signaling reduced confidence. Johnston ranks bottom-five in air yards share over the last 2–3 years, indicating he lacks the target volume to be a fantasy focal point on the Chargers.

McConkey had a historically great rookie season by yards per route run, a highly predictive metric, positioning him as this year's JSN-type breakout candidate. His upside hinges on Keenan Allen's free agency destination—if Allen signs with the Rams or retires, McConkey's ADP will rise significantly from his current WR20 ranking on Underdog (down from WR17), representing potential value in the low-end WR2 range.

Daniels had a strong rookie season that elevated both his and Terry McLaurin's ADP simultaneously, with both commonly selected in rounds 3-4 as a paired stack. However, the team's 5-12 collapse last season and McLaurin's lowest PPG finish ever suggest the offense underperformed expectations, though the new OC David Blough's focus on McLaurin may stabilize the passing game.

In a Matt LaFleur offense, Davante Adams is positioned as the only receiver capable of being a true WR1; this serves as a comparative benchmark for other Green Bay receivers' ceiling in the system.

The source notes that when Daniel Jones was healthy last season, Tyler Warren was the overall TE2 and looked dominant. Jones' injury disrupted Warren's production trajectory, suggesting quarterback health is critical to Warren's fantasy ceiling. The source credits Shane Steichen's system and Jones' late-season improvement (described as a Sam Darnold-type resurgence) as factors enabling Warren's elite performance, establishing that competent quarterback play is necessary for Warren's TE1 upside.

Ranked as TE4 with projection to reach 140 targets if circumstances align; set Big Ten records with most receptions by tight end in league history (100+ receptions at Penn State) and most receiving yards by tight end in Big Ten; when Daniel Jones was healthy last season, Warren was overall TE2, posting rookie season Brock Bowers-level metrics across targets per route run, yards per route run, fantasy points per route, and fantasy points per game; source emphasizes volume-based path to production and elite efficiency metrics, suggesting he can sustain elite tight end production if role remains stable; quarterback health critical to ceiling—Jones' injury disrupted Warren's production trajectory; Shane Steichen's system and competent quarterback play (first time Steichen had this) enabled Warren's elite performance.

Allen showed he still has it last year with a 40–60% snap share week-to-week and a 20–25% target share when on the field for passing plays, maintaining his historical target share when healthy. His route technician skill set and slot role suggest he ages more gracefully than athletic receivers. The source references Allen's 21 fantasy points per game season under Kellen Moore as a historical precedent for identifying slot receivers who dominate in specific offensive systems, demonstrating that slot receivers can achieve WR1-level output when the offensive coordinator prioritizes that role. However, Allen only wants to play in Los Angeles, creating uncertainty about his 2025 destination.

Brian Thomas Jr. is mentioned as a potential alternative target in the Jaguars offense, with the possibility that the team could shift to more 13 personnel (which removes the slot receiver from the field). However, the source argues that despite BTJ's killer rookie season, the slot receiver role matters significantly more in Liam Cohen's system based on historical track record, making Parker Washington the preferred upside play at WR36 ADP.

Over final five games in 2024, averaged 25 fantasy points per game, easily best five-game stretch of his career and overall QB1 production; source was previous skeptic but notes Lawrence looked incredible at tail end of last season; attributes improvement either to Lawrence finally coming into his own or to Liam Cohen being offensive genius comparable to Ben Johnson; if that late-season performance sticks at even 80% of that level, validates Jacksonville receiver upside thesis with Parker Washington as primary beneficiary; Lawrence's improved play is foundational prerequisite for Parker Washington's WR1 upside projection.

WR36 overall with WR1 upside darkhorse positioned as next Chris Godwin breakout candidate in Liam Cohen's offense; over Trevor Lawrence's last five games (2024), Washington averaged 111 yards per game with no other receiver reaching 45 yards per game, operating in slot 65% of the time; posted elite late-season performances: 26.5 PPR points vs. Denver (week 16), 19.7 PPR points (week 18), 23.9 PPR points in playoff loss to Buffalo (12 targets, 107 yards, 1 TD); source compares him favorably to Luther Burden and argues he's just as talented if not more so; if Trevor Lawrence's late-season improvement (25 PPG over final five games, easily best five-game stretch of his career and overall QB1 production) holds at even 80% of that level, any Jacksonville receiver has WR1 upside with Washington as primary target; source calls him number one buy-low and number one trade target, willing to trade 1.07 in rookie drafts for him; historical precedent: Chris Godwin averaged 19.7 PPG in 2024 under Cohen, finished second in overall fantasy points with only Jamar Chase averaging more PPG, led league in screen targets and screen fantasy points per game, out-alpha'd Mike Evans; slot receivers have dominated in Cohen's system (Godwin, Kupp, Wan'Dale Robinson).

Chris Godwin's 2024 season in Liam Cohen's offense serves as a historical comp for Parker Washington's upside. Godwin averaged 19.7 points per game, finished second in overall fantasy points, and only Jamar Chase averaged more fantasy points per game. He led the league in screen targets and screen fantasy points per game, providing both floor and ceiling. Godwin out-alpha'd Mike Evans in the offense, demonstrating the premium value of slot receivers in Cohen's system.

New offensive coordinator David Blough stated his vision is to 'get Terry McLaurin 10 targets a game,' a significant increase from his 2024 average of 6.7 targets per game when he finished as WR7. With this target increase, McLaurin projects to have WR1 overall upside despite being drafted at WR25 ADP. The source emphasizes writing off 2024 as a lost year due to injury and a prolonged holdout that left him rusty, heightening re-injury risk but making him a recency-bias play in drafts. McLaurin was coming off the best season of his career in 2023, setting a Washington Commanders franchise record for touchdown catches in Jayden Daniels' rookie season, and Washington added no skill position players to challenge his hierarchy as the focal point of the offense.

Moved up from WR30 to WR29 in ADP; potential for healthy smash season similar to T Higgins and George Pickens—big outside threats who reach the 130-target range; could catch a lot of touchdowns and have big plays; insanely talented and likely to lead Green Bay's wide receivers in fantasy points; exhibits tremendous week-to-week volatility and functions more as smash-splash play archetype than true target hog; Davante Adams is the only player who could be true WR1 in Matt LaFleur offense; at WR29 price tag, Watson can make that valuation look way too cheap and could end up as high-end WR2 from this range.

WR13 overall with potential league-winner upside following anticipated A.J. Brown trade to New England; has demonstrated target-hog production when Brown is out or injured, with beat reporters comparing his potential usage to Jaxon Smith-Njigba's role in Seattle; could operate as primary read with A.J. Brown-like target share and strong yards-after-catch production; if A.J. Brown leaves (80% odds per source), bulk of his massive target share would flow to Smith; with new offensive coordinator and potential scheme changes in Philadelphia, a 30% target share in 2026 could be worth significantly more than prior years; ADP identical to JSN's ADP from last year at WR13 overall (31st on Underdog), suggesting room to run despite appearing expensive.

Historical precedent for elite first-year production after trade; finished as top-3 scoring finisher in his first year with Buffalo after Minnesota trade, cited as evidence that traded receivers can produce elite fantasy output in new systems.

Drake London is WR9 in ADP with league-winner upside; averaged 15-16.5 PPG in two consecutive years with 30%+ target share last year. Had multiple weeks as WR1 before injury; the source argues he's positioned for massive consolidated offensive share similar to Cooper Kupp 2021. From weeks 4-11, he averaged 109 yards per game and 24.2 PPG when healthy. The source feels he is "incredibly safe" at current ADP while leading the position in fantasy points per game potential.

Cam Akers averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game as a rookie (18 expected FPPG, RB3 numbers) over seven games as a bell cow with 50%+ snap share and was top three in missed tackles forced per attempt. Currently priced at RB22 ADP despite this production. Injury concerns exist (experts project 85% effectiveness, similar to Tony Pollard's prior injury year), but recent reports suggest optimism. RB22 ADP offers better odds to be a true difference maker than the market suggests.

Darkhorse RB1 candidate despite first-round ADP; focal point of Josh Allen-led offense who scores every year. Had 32 catches (2024) and 33 catches (2025); could easily catch 60 passes as an opportunistic receiver if the Bills phase out Ty Johnson types. Last two years under Joe Brady: averaging 16 TDs per season and 5+ yards per carry. The source believes he legitimately could finish as RB1 overall; reminds the source of Nick Chubb and Derrick Henry—regression-proof studs who continually outperform expectations. However, Cook is being priced at a late first-round ADP after being available in the third and fourth rounds in previous years, representing a significant price correction upward in the ADP market.

Dolphins RB comparison for Omarian Hampton's upside: Achane averaged 18 points per game in a limited sample size during the same year Raheem Mostert had 21 TDs under McDaniel. This demonstrates McDaniel's ability to support multiple elite RBs in the same offense and provides context for Hampton's potential to fall in the end zone and crush ADP despite volume-based concerns.

Historical McDaniel RB success case study: Mostert still leads all NFL RBs in yards per carry all-time; had 21 rushing touchdowns two years ago in one of the most efficient seasons ever as a 10th-round pick. This demonstrates McDaniel's ability to generate elite RB production with limited draft capital, directly comparable to Omarian Hampton's upside potential under the same system.

The source placed an MVP bet on Justin Herbert as part of a conviction on the Chargers' offensive upside under Mike McDaniel. McDaniel's system has led the NFL in EPA per run; Herbert is on a different level than Tua Tagovailoa; Harbaugh loves to pound the rock; the Chargers are getting two all-pro tackles back after limited 2024 availability. The source believes the offense will go nuts with major scoring potential.

Darkhorse RB candidate with first-round pedigree and major offensive boost from Mike McDaniel's arrival. McDaniel's offense leads NFL in EPA per run despite historically using round-seven or UDFA-tier RBs; with Hampton as potential bell-cow back, sky is the limit. ADP at RB10 (16 overall), slightly ahead of Chase Brown; source expects steam all summer due to Chargers hype. Primary thesis centers on touchdown scoring volume in McDaniel's system paired with sufficient pass-catching volume to support the scoring narrative.

Elite offensive ecosystem fit with bell-cow workload and dual-threat receiving role; in weeks 8 onward last season averaged 21.2 fantasy points per game (RB3 overall), 1.8 behind Christian McCaffrey, 1.6 behind Jahmyr Gibbs, and ahead of Bijan Robinson; 232 carries and 69 receptions in 2025 demonstrate consistent high-volume opportunity; Christian McCaffrey-lite workload with no credible backup competition (Taj Brooks and Samaje Perine would split only in injury scenario); source projects potential RB1 finish with massive edge-pick value in round two if paired with early wide receiver selection.

Historical archetype for low-end RB2 safety in PPR leagues; used as a reference point for the contrarian philosophy of chasing upside over floor in draft strategy.

2019 season exemplifies Scott Barrett's signature power law quarterback pick; Barrett pushed the chips in on Lamar Jackson and he broke fantasy, delivering championship-winning upside.

2018 MVP season was a smash pick that broke fantasy, exemplifying the power law quarterback who delivered championship-winning upside.

2021 season: outscored every single quarterback and had one of the best wide receiver seasons of all time despite being the second-highest drafted WR on his team behind Robert Woods; went third round NFFC, fourth round FFPC, exemplifying power law upside at a discount.

2022 Oakland season: fell to eighth round in NFFC and fifth-sixth round in FFPC despite being a dead zone back, ended up challenging for RB1 overall, exemplifying the power law player who crushed ADP.

2025 third-round pick who absolutely smoked ADP expectations and crushed it in fantasy football, serving as a massive edge pick example of a power law player who delivered championship-winning upside.

Identified as a third-round quarterback talent going in the fifth or sixth round, representing a key value opportunity in the mid-range quarterback strategy.

Analyst considers him as a potential mid-range quarterback target in the fifth-sixth round range, representing good value compared to early-round quarterback selections.

Analyst considers him as a potential mid-range quarterback target in the fifth-sixth round range, representing good value compared to early-round quarterback selections.

One of four elite quarterbacks (Lamar, Hertz, May, and Daniels) that went in the sixth picks before the analyst's turn in the fifth round, illustrating the competitive quarterback market.

One of four elite quarterbacks (Lamar, Hertz, May, and Daniels) that went in the sixth picks before the analyst's turn in the fifth round, illustrating the competitive quarterback market.

One of four elite quarterbacks (Lamar, Hertz, May, and Daniels) that went in the sixth picks before the analyst's turn in the fifth round, illustrating the competitive quarterback market.

One of four elite quarterbacks (Lamar, Hertz, May, and Daniels) that went in the sixth picks before the analyst's turn in the fifth round, illustrating the competitive quarterback market.

Selected as the team's quarterback in the draft; analyst later notes that Quinton Johnson would have been a better pick at this spot to add a fifth wide receiver and likely improve the team's overall grade.

One of two Green Bay wide receivers targeted in the draft; analyst expresses uncertainty about which receiver will hit and considers him as a potential streaming option at quarterback instead.

One of two Green Bay wide receivers targeted in the draft; analyst notes uncertainty about which will hit and mentions injury risk as a reason to have roster depth at the position.

Locked in as a core wide receiver in a robust RB draft strategy, positioned as a solid receiving option alongside other top-tier receivers.

Locked in as a core wide receiver in a robust RB draft strategy, positioned as a solid receiving option alongside other top-tier receivers.

Locked in as a core wide receiver in a robust RB draft strategy, positioned as a solid receiving option alongside other top-tier receivers.

One of two top tight ends targeted in the draft strategy to see which one hits this season, representing a dual-tight-end approach to manage uncertainty.

One of two top tight ends targeted in the draft strategy to see which one hits this season, representing a dual-tight-end approach to manage uncertainty.

Locked in as part of a robust RB strategy with strong early-round running back investment, positioned as a core piece of a high-performing draft strategy.

Johnston came off the board during a wide receiver run in the draft.

Musgrave came off the board during a tight end run in the draft.

Anderson came off the board during a tight end run in the draft.

Love came off the board during a quarterback run in the draft.

Stafford came off the board during a quarterback run in the draft.

Hurts came off the board during a quarterback run in the draft.

Mahomes came off the board during a quarterback run in the draft.

Kamara came off the board during a run on running backs in the draft.

Nailor was considered as an alternative option in the late rounds.

Hunter was considered as an alternative option to Golden in the late rounds.

Kelce is valued similarly to Mark Andrews but represents a speculative play on whether he's maintained his elite level.

Andrews' ADP is very low and the analyst expects it to increase as people fall in love with him this season, though he's uncertain if that's correct.

Waller came off the board during the tight end run in the draft.

Pitts came off the board during the tight end run in the draft.

White is part of a locked-in running back core that provides enough touches to feel confident without needing additional RB depth.

Warren is part of a locked-in running back core that provides enough touches to feel confident without needing additional RB depth.

Etienne is part of a locked-in running back core that provides enough touches to feel confident without needing additional RB depth.

Barkley is part of a locked-in running back core that provides enough touches to feel confident without needing additional RB depth.

Reed is the preferred pick over Golden at this draft spot due to his role clarity and target share upside in the offense.

Reed's slot-only concerns are less relevant this season because the team only trusts three receivers and will utilize 11 personnel heavily, ensuring he gets 6-8 target opportunities weekly.

Terry McLaurin is already rostered and the analyst feels comfortable with him as part of the WR core, indicating confidence in his production.

Dylan Sampson is in the back-half RB range that the analyst wants to avoid, as there are too many uncertain options in that tier.

Isaiah Pacheco is in the back-half RB range that the analyst wants to avoid, as there are too many uncertain options in that tier.

Woody Mars is in the back-half RB range that the analyst wants to avoid, as there are too many uncertain options in that tier.

Tyron Tracy is in the back-half RB range that the analyst wants to avoid, as there are too many uncertain options in that tier.

Jaylen Warren is locked in as a core RB in the draft strategy, with the analyst confident enough in his touches that no additional RBs are needed after Manungai.

Saquon Barkley is locked in as a core RB in the draft strategy, with the analyst confident enough in his touches that no additional RBs are needed after Manungai.

Kyle Pitts is a risky pick due to uncertainty about the Falcons' QB situation and play quality. His stats from last season were inflated by one monster game and he wasn't productive when Drake London was healthy.

Jaden Reed benefits from the Cardinals moving to three-wide-receiver sets and will get more opportunities with the ball after losing Dobbs and Wicks.

DeAndre Washington is a viable WR option because the Cardinals are moving toward three-wide-receiver sets after losing both Dobbs and Wicks, reducing receiver rotation.

Michael Wilson is a viable WR option because the Cardinals are moving toward three-wide-receiver sets after losing both Dobbs and Wicks, reducing receiver rotation.

Roschon Johnson is the RB2 in Chicago with contingent upside if he wins the goal line job and the Chicago offense performs well in year two.

Sam Darnold's outlook is uncertain due to concerns about whether the Vikings offense will be as effective without offensive coordinator Kubiak.

Malik Willis presents uncertainty as a run-first QB option with extreme variance—he could run for 1,000 yards but also throw for very little, making him a risky streaming option.

Trevor Lawrence is at ADP 87 with live ADP of 77, representing 10 picks of value. The analyst prefers him over other QB options in this range because he doesn't have the same concerns as alternatives like Malik Willis or Darnold.

Johnson is the RB2 in Chicago with contingent upside if Swift gets injured, offering value at this draft position.

There are concerns about whether the Giants will be as good without Kubiak, creating uncertainty around Jones's performance outlook.

Willis presents uncertainty as a run-first option who could accumulate 1,000 rushing yards but also throw for very little, making him a risky streaming option.

Lawrence is ranked 77th by ADP but 87th in the actual rankings, providing 10 picks of value at the quarterback position with few concerns about his performance outlook.

Brown faces concerns about his landing spot with lower volume in the Eagles offense, playing behind DeVonta Smith and in two-wide receiver sets with tight end Sterns also in the mix.

With only Singleton drafted as a rookie and the 2026 rookie class being weak, Pollard's job is his to lose as the lead back in an ascending offense, offering significant upside in the late seventh round with plenty of touches and touchdown opportunities.

The Saints are an excellent landing spot for Tyson due to dome games in all three playoff weeks against weak defenses, providing weather protection and high-volume passing opportunities in an offense that wants to run the most plays in the NFL.

Jordan Tyson benefits from the Saints' dome games, including three dome games during the three playoff weeks, which is a significant advantage late in the season.

Tony Pollard is selected as a running back pick that sets up beautifully for the draft strategy after wide receiver selections.

Tucker Kraft comes off the board early in the draft, indicating he is a strong pick at the tight end position.

Jameson Williams is loved but can be annoying in reddraft leagues because you don't always know when he'll be available, making him a bench spot pick with timing uncertainty.

Terry McLaurin is loved as a pick and is set up to get a million targets as the only proven talented wide receiver on the roster competing with a rookie.

Rashee Rice (Eggbuka) is described as a great pick at the wide receiver position.

Jaylen Warren is mentioned as a top running back option but lacks confidence compared to earlier tiers, and is also noted as a fine pick at wide receiver.

Ja'Marr Chase (Burden) is described as a great pick at the wide receiver position.

Joe Burrow comes off the board early in the draft, indicating he is a strong pick at the quarterback position.

Jalen Hurts was drafted to potentially play outside but can move around the field and will be a frequent target.

Mike Evans is gone from the team, opening up target opportunities for other receivers.

Chris Godwin is noted as another year older but still loved by the team; Mike Evans is gone, which could increase his target opportunities.

Mecole Hardman (Mecha Ibuka) is described as a young, very talented wide receiver set up to be the number one option on his team.

Saquon Barkley is highlighted as a strong early-round pick in the draft strategy, selected as part of a well-constructed team foundation.

Jaylen Warren is a fine pick at wide receiver in this draft spot.

Terry McLaurin is loved as a pick, though there's uncertainty about whether the team will add a number two receiver in free agency or trade.

Joe Burrow is showing up as a value at quarterback, though the analyst wouldn't want to reach on the next tier.

Colston Loveland had been off the board before the tight end run, indicating he was taken earlier than expected.

Garrett Wilson is mentioned as going off the board after Devonta Smith in the draft sequence.

Devonta Smith goes right after the analyst's pick, confirming his value at this draft stage.

Tyron Tracy Jr. still being available is a concern when considering Quishon Judkins, suggesting Tracy Jr. could cut into Judkins' touches.

Quishon Judkins is a totally fine alternative to Cam Scataboo, with concerns about not having D'Andre Swift and Tyron Tracy Jr. still being available, though he was really good as a rookie last season.

Lamar Jackson is now a totally fine pick in the fourth round, though the analyst personally prefers valuing other skill positions.

Saquon Barkley's presence creates a stacking concern with Devonta Smith, making the analyst hesitant to pair them together in the same draft.

Devonta Smith is a really good pick at this draft spot, especially if AJ Brown left the team, though the analyst has pause due to Saquon Barkley's presence and would prefer him over stacking with Barkley.

Jordan Tyson landing on the Saints is an S-tier landing spot with everything set up really well for him this season.

Alvin Kamara is the preferred pick at running back in this draft spot, especially in home leagues where the analyst would confidently grab him.

AJ Brown has decent value by composite ADP, but the analyst avoids stacking him with Saquon Barkley due to Eagles correlation concerns in redraft leagues.

Derek Lawrence and Derek Herbert are mentioned as quarterbacks the analyst still likes but will likely wait on in this draft scenario.

Joe Burrow is mentioned as a quarterback in a pretty good ADP range alongside other mid-tier options.

Drake Maye has a good price on him in this draft scenario, making him an attractive quarterback option.

Caleb Williams is noted as pretty expensive in ADP, making him less attractive than other quarterback options available at better prices.

Lamar Jackson is described as pretty expensive in ADP, making him a less attractive pick at the quarterback position in this draft scenario.

Josh Allen is noted as a great quarterback but the analyst advises against taking him in round 2-3 due to the superior value of Jaden Daniels at 60th overall.

Jaden Daniels is described as having an amazing ADP price and is an early-round quarterback talent available at 61st overall composite ADP, representing excellent value compared to round 2-3 QB options.

Analyst would take Saquon in round 2 as a strong value pick, noting that very good wide receivers will still be available later in the draft.

Analyst is fine with taking McBride in round two as a late second round pick, though would not take Gentry at that spot.

Analyst is less in love with Javante compared to other running backs in the third round tier, but still considers him a great pick.

Analyst loves Evan Engram and would have taken him if available in the third round.

Analyst loves Breece Hall and would have taken him if available in the third round.

Analyst loves Jeremiah Love and would have taken him if available in the third round.

Analyst loves Ken Walker and would have taken him if available in the third round.

Chase Brown is among the running backs that went off the board in the third round.

Henry is among the running backs that went off the board in the third round; analyst would have considered him.

Analyst loves Jacobs and would have taken him if available in the third round; he's part of the tier of running backs analyst prefers.

Analyst identifies Hampton as one of the top two running backs in second round tier alongside Saquon.

Analyst identifies Saquon as one of the top two running backs in second round tier and would take him over wide receivers due to positional scarcity.

Analyst identifies London as standing out from the wide receiver grouping in early second round, though concerns about unknown QB situation (Tua vs Pennock) prevent early selection.

Analyst would not take Pickkins in early second round.

Analyst notes Nico plays in a run-heavy offense which creates concerns for early second round selection despite being amazing talent.

Analyst expresses concern about Nabers' recovery timeline from torn ACL, noting it hasn't been as clean as other ACL recoveries, and would not take him in early second round.

Ranked 9th overall at tight end; analyst prefers him over A'Shawn Hamstring due to ascending Raiders offense with improved offensive line and Kubiak as coordinator, plus first overall QB pick and Bowers on the team providing systemic support.

Warren is in a complete split backfield with limited upside, appearing very early in the draft despite being a backup option.

Henderson is in the tier of running backs with question marks despite analyst liking him.

Irving is in the tier of running backs with question marks despite analyst liking him.

Engram is in the tier of running backs with question marks but still has upside, positioned after the elite tier.

St. Brown comes right after the top three wide receivers (JSN, Puka, Jamar) in the 2026 draft tier.

Chase is among the top-tier wide receivers in 2026 drafts.

Nacua is among the top-tier wide receivers in 2026 drafts.

JSN is among the top-tier wide receivers in 2026 drafts.

Lamb is described as amazing and is among the elite wide receivers in 2026 drafts.

Love is expected to go in the late second round.

Henry is expected to go in the late second round.

Walker is expected to go in the late second round.

Chase Brown is expected to go in the late second round.

Barkley is expected to go in the early second round, with significant discussion around his draft position this season.

Cook is expected to go in the first round as part of a normal first-round running back tier.

Jonathan Taylor is expected to go in the first round as part of a normal first-round running back tier.

McCaffrey is expected to go in the first round as part of a normal first-round running back tier.

Robinson is expected to be a top-two running back in 2026 drafts, consistently going early in the first round.

Gibbs is expected to be a top-two running back in 2026 drafts, consistently going early in the first round.

Parker Washington is viewed favorably as part of what should be a really good Jaguars offense with Trevor Lawrence.

Trevor Lawrence averaged 25 fantasy points per game over the final five games of last season and was the overall QB1 over the final eight games, showing he finally has the consistency to be a viable fantasy option.

Ramondre Stevenson is closer to 30 than 22 in his career, suggesting he may be aging out of his role and making Trayvon Henderson's backup value more significant.

Mike Evans is locked to hit 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns every season and leads all wide receivers in air yards share over the last three years, despite Parker Washington's slot dominance.

Trevor Lawrence looked incredible over his last five games in 2025, averaging 25 fantasy points per game and appearing to finally come into his own under Liam Cohen's system.

Parker Washington is the analyst's number one buy-low and trade target in dynasty, with conviction that he will be a league winner and comparing him favorably to Luther Burden in terms of talent.

At wide receiver 36 ADP, Parker Washington's price tag is 'egregious' given his overall wide receiver one upside and demonstrated production in the Jaguars' hot streak to end the season.

Parker Washington has overall wide receiver one upside similar to Chris Godwin's 2024 breakout season, with favorable coach and quarterback speak, and potential for significant slot usage in a Liam Cohen offense.

Over Trevor Lawrence's last five games in 2025, Parker Washington was the number one receiver, averaging over 100 yards per game with 65% slot usage, demonstrating overall wide receiver one upside.

At wide receiver 25 ADP, Terry McLaurin has overall wide receiver one upside if David Blough delivers on his promise of 10 targets per game, representing significant value given recency bias from his injury-plagued 2025 season.

Under David Blough's offense, McLaurin will receive favorable utilization and slot usage, contrasting sharply with Cliff Kingsbury's system where his wide receiver one was underutilized and stuck to the quarterback's left.

New offensive coordinator David Blough stated his vision is to 'get Terry McLaurin 10 targets a game,' a significant increase from his 6.7 targets per game in 2024 when he finished as wide receiver seven.

McConkey has dropped from wide receiver 17 to wide receiver 20 ADP on Underdog as the market corrects from his disappointing 2025 season, now in the low-end wide receiver two range.

Keenan Allen commanded a 20-25% target share when healthy last year and remains a concern for McConkey's upside if he stays with the Chargers, though his age and athleticism profile suggest he may decline.

With Keenan Allen potentially departing, McConkey could inherit significant target volume in the Chargers offense, though his disappointing 2025 season has created recency bias.

Ladd McConkey had a historically great rookie season by yards per route run and is being compared to Jaxon Smith-Njigba as this year's breakout candidate in a Mike McDaniel offense.

At wide receiver 29 ADP, Christian Watson's price tag looks too cheap and he could end up as a high-end wide receiver two, representing a significant ADP win.

Christian Watson profiles as a player who generates smash-splash plays rather than consistent target volume, limiting his ceiling despite his talent.

While talented, Christian Watson likely won't reach wide receiver one status in a Matt LaFleur offense where Davante Adams is the only player capable of that role, and Watson shows tremendous week-to-week volatility.

Christian Watson appears to have overcome early-career injury concerns and could have a healthy smash season in 2026, potentially reaching 130+ targets like T Higgins and George Pickens with significant touchdown upside.

At wide receiver 13 ADP (31st overall), DeVonta Smith appears expensive but has room to run given the potential for a 30% target share in 2026 under a new offensive coordinator.

DeVonta Smith has demonstrated he can be an absolute target hog when A.J. Brown is unavailable, with significant yards-after-catch production, and could see increased target volume with a new offensive coordinator.

With A.J. Brown likely departing, DeVonta Smith could receive an A.J. Brown-like target share and usage pattern, with beat reporters comparing his potential role to Jaxon Smith-Njigba's breakout season.

At wide receiver nine ADP, Drake London offers a path from round two to potentially finishing as wide receiver one, making him an excellent value pick.

London will receive a massive target share in a highly consolidated Falcons offense with limited competition from Zachariah Branch, Kyle Pitts, and Bijan Robinson.

Drake London averaged 16.5+ fantasy points per game for two consecutive years and commands a 30%+ target share, positioning him as a potential wide receiver one with Cooper Kupp-like upside.

Henderson's 5.1 yards per carry efficiency and split-backfield profile suggest he will beat his ADP, with league-winning upside if Stevenson gets injured.

If anything happens to Ramondre Stevenson, Henderson could be a top-five scorer given his demonstrated efficiency and league-winning upside in a backup role.

Could be a top five scorer if something happens to Rhamondre Stevenson, as evidenced by his smash weeks without Stevenson last year.

Profiles as a hyper efficient guy, averaging 5.1 yards per carry last year, and even in a split backfield should beat his ADP with league-winning upside if something happens to Rhamondre Stevenson.

Had 10 touchdowns and 35 receptions last year and is being left for dead, with ADP expected to trend downwards from RB20 to RB23-24 range as the summer progresses.

Currently RB22 by ADP but has certainly better odds to be a true difference maker than the ADP suggests.

Injury experts indicate he likely won't be 100% at any point this season, possibly at 85% effectiveness or worse, though recent reports suggest more optimism and he may be a quick healer.

As a rookie bell cow back in seven games, cleared just a 50% snap share but averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game and 18 expected fantasy points per game (RB3 numbers), was top three in missed tackles forced per attempt, and has RB1 potential if healthy.

Could legitimately finish as the RB1 overall despite being drafted in the first round.

Could easily catch 60 passes as an opportunistic player if they phase out the Ty Johnson types in the backfield, with only 32 catches in 2024 and 33 in 2025, suggesting significant upside in receiving volume.

Over the last two years with Joe Brady, averaging 16 touchdowns per season and over 5 yards per carry, looking like legitimately one of the best running backs in football on one of the best offenses in football.

Had 21 touchdowns in a season under Mike McDaniel, was a 10th round pick, and still leads all NFL running backs all time in yards per carry.

Has the potential to fall in the end zone a lot and crush his ADP, which is currently running back 10, sometimes going at the 1-2 turn in FFPC drafts and 16 overall.

The unknown upside player right now in fantasy football at the running back position with first-round pedigree and a major boost in offensive play calling with Mike McDaniel.

Could be a massive edge pick if you start your draft with a wide receiver, or if you start with a running back, you can get a massive edge pick in round two.

Has a Christian McCaffrey-lite workload with 229 carries in 2024 and 232 in 2025, plus 69 receptions in 2025 (up from 54 in 2024), with 11 touchdowns last year, and no back on the roster worth noting to challenge him.

In the second half of the season last year from weeks 8 on, Chase Brown was the overall RB3, averaging 21.2 fantasy points per game, just 1.8 behind CMC, 1.6 behind Jahmyr Gibbs, and ahead of Bijan Robinson.

2019 season where Scott pushed the chips in and he broke fantasy football.

2018 smash MVP year two who broke fantasy football.

2021 ultimate edge pick who outscored every single quarterback and had one of the best wide receiver seasons of all time while being the second highest drafted wide receiver on his team behind Robert Woods, going in the third round NFFC and fourth round FFPC.

In 2022 when he was in Oakland, fell all the way to the eighth round in NFFC and fifth-sixth round in FFPC as a dead zone back, but ended up challenging for the RB1 overall.

2025 third-round pick who absolutely smoked it and crushed it in fantasy football, was a massive edge pick.

Parker Washington finished strong last season and has the potential to be a top 20 wide receiver in Jacksonville, especially with increased volume opportunities.

Kyler Murray has the potential to be a top 10 quarterback this season, especially with a strong supporting cast and his ability to run.

Trey McBride may not finish as a top two tight end this year due to a projected drop in pass attempts and increased competition for targets.

Javonte Williams is being drafted in the fourth round, and with limited competition behind him, he should maintain a solid volume in the offense.

Dak Prescott averaged 22 fantasy points per game last year, and given his current draft position, he should be a solid pick.

CeeDee Lamb had more yards than George Pickens when both were on the field together in Weeks 1 and 2, but Pickens outgained him from Week 7 to 17.

George Pickens averaged close to 15 PPR points per game last year and had more yardage than CeeDee Lamb when both were on the field together from Week 7 to 17.

George Pickens is being drafted as a second-round pick, but there are doubts he will meet expectations this season.

CeeDee Lamb is being drafted as a borderline first-round pick, but there are concerns he may underwhelm this season.

Mike Washington Jr. is in prime position to become the number two running back for the Las Vegas Raiders.

Breece Hall has been a target machine, with a running back having more than 70 targets in two straight seasons with Aaron Rodgers.

Aaron Rodgers has signed a one-year deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers, continuing a trend of similar performance across three different teams.