0:00Hello and welcome to the Establish The Run Rest Of Season Top-150 Rankings Show.
0:04My name is Adam Levitan. Each and every Wednesday we are here to discuss our rest of season Top-150 Rankings, how that
0:11plays into the season-long trade market, our redraft trade calculator, buy lows, sell highs, and more.
0:16Be sure to stay tuned to the end. We will answer your listener questions and submit our one move to make ahead of week five.
0:24For today's show, joined by three young men you know and love, Mark Dankenbring from the Projections team.
0:30How are you? Just shotgunned a beer. I mean, a Gatorade, so riled up and ready to go for this show.
0:36Yes, Mark is referring to the Jake Ferguson controversy that's going on in the NFL right now.
0:42Jack Miller, how are you? I'm good. It's crazy we're already a month in and bi-weeks are already here, but excited to keep chugging along with this show.
0:51Yes, and certainly bi-weeks are an important factor that is factored into our trade calculator.
0:55Obviously, you want to be ideally trading for players who have already had their buy once we get a bunch of them behind us.
1:03John Daigle, how's it going? Just shotgunned a beer.
1:06I mean, a beer. Let's talk about football. All right.
1:09Two quick notes here before we get started. First, if you want to access our rest of season top 150 rankings anytime
1:16throughout the week on a weekly basis, you need DraftKings Pro.
1:19That DraftKings Pro also comes with our redraft trade calculator.
1:22Really simple. Put in any trade and we'll tell you which side we prefer.
1:27We'll show you how that works a little bit later in the show.
1:31Second, if you are serious about your team or you are interested in playing DFS or more serious forms of fantasy, I
1:38think you'd be crazy not to check out our in-season product.
1:41Includes Silva's matchups, our projections for every player in every game, Thorns mismatches, and rankings for offensive line, defensive line, premium shows, and tons more.
1:49So head to establishtherun.com now for details on our two NFL products, DraftKid Pro and in-season.
1:54I want to start with some team-level changes that we've seen.
1:58And it has happened fast for some of these teams.
2:01And that's like, you know, the look-ahead lines and everything.
2:04It's really interesting because teams can change so fast.
2:07The premier example of that is the Eagles, who at this point, I think there's real concern.
2:12They're just like throwing in the towel on the season.
2:15They see the writing on the wall after Lane Johnson's retirement.
2:19They trade away Cam Juergens today to the Ravens.
2:22You get Devonta Smith with this serious hamstring injury.
2:24I don't even think he's going to play here in week five.
2:28This looks like a team that is just going to kind of play out the string.
2:33And yeah, if they make the playoffs, great. But that is, they're trying to rebuild their assets.
2:39It feels like, to me at least, right now, you also have Saquon Barkley week-to-week with a hamstring injury.
2:44So we're down to 34 overall on Devonta Smith, 54 on Saquon, 94 on Hurts.
2:49Mark, thoughts on how to handle Eagles stuff right now?
2:52Well, yeah, we had pretty big docs across the board on all the Eagles outside of Will Shipley, who makes his way
2:59into the top 150 with the running back injuries ahead of him.
3:03But I think the Lane Johnson retirement here is probably the biggest news and biggest change that we had last week on
3:10top of the Saquon Barkley hamstring injury that he suffered in week four.
3:14Lane Johnson and his career with the Eagles and with Jalen Hurts as the starting quarterback in games that he's played.
3:21The Eagles have averaged 26.5 points per game and 5.6 yards per play.
3:25That's in 78 games and 18 games without Lane Johnson.
3:28It's been 22 points and 5.1 yards per play.
3:31So a four-and-a-half-point difference, about a half a yard per play difference when Lane Johnson is in or out there.
3:37And then they're also down Landon Dickerson, who was placed on IR earlier this year.
3:42They just traded Cam Juergens. So three of their potential starting offensive linemen coming into the season are now not going to
3:49be playing for the Eagles moving forward. So certainly a hit across the board.
3:53I think trying to take a little bit less than from us, saying to sell the Giants low last week when they had a pretty good schedule upcoming.
4:02The Eagles schedule over the next five weeks is pretty promising.
4:05They do get the Jags this week, which is tough.
4:08But then they get the Panthers, Cowboys, Commanders, and Giants in the four weeks after that.
4:13So in terms of just fantasy, maybe a little bit glimmer of hope that in the next month they can be somewhat serviceable.
4:21Hopefully Devontae Smith back after this week as well.
4:24But yeah, I think long-term, the writing's on the wall that this Eagles offense isn't going to be humming, isn't going to
4:30bounce back really from the struggles they had last season.
4:34Maybe in the next month they could be okay.
4:36But in the fantasy playoffs, they play Houston and Seattle in the first two weeks as well.
4:42So I think it's probably a case where hopefully if you have the Eagles, they have a couple of good games upcoming here.
4:49And then you can maybe sell after that. I mean, talent has never been an issue for the Eagles, as long as I can remember.
4:57They've always had one of the most talented offenses, most talented rosters in the league.
5:02That's just not the case right now, especially on offense due to all the injuries.
5:06I'm just on mega, mega tilt because Tank Bigsby was one of my most drafted players.
5:11Get the run out. You know, I didn't take him really when he got into like the 140s, 150s.
5:17But to get the run out where Barkley gets hurt and then Tank is also hurt.
5:22And so, Diego, that brings me to Will Shipley.
5:25I know you talked about this a ton on the Waver Wire show and in the Waver Wire article.
5:31But what is your take on Will Shipley rest of season?
5:35Not just short-term, rest of season here on Will Shipley.
5:38If you recall, I'm sure you'll mention it at the end of the show, Saquon Barkley was my buy low last week.
5:45And we've come so far in five days where it went from having hope for this Eagles offense to really feeling like it's the end of an era.
5:54And one of Nick Sirianni or Jalen Hurts are absolutely parting ways at the end of the year for a team that
6:00had constantly competed for the Super Bowl. Mark touched on it a lot, but for further context last year even with Lane
6:07Johnson on the field, third in EPA per play, when he did not play the 325 plays, the Eagles dropped to 28th in EPA per play.
6:16Just a miserable offense. Will Shipley, it is a short-term, miserable run out against this Jags defense that Chase Brown only got
6:22there because he had a 20% target share. The most rush yards they've allowed going back to last year is 74 to Jonathan Taylor.
6:30So Will Shipley won't do anything on the ground.
6:33But also, we saw Alvin Kamara have 23 rush yards and finishes a top 12 running back with a 15% target share.
6:40He fell forward for two touchdowns. But if you get all the touches, that's all it takes.
6:45Plus, if you're a pass-catching back, that's exactly what Will Shipley is.
6:49The Jaguars have at least allowed the second-most targets in receiving yards per game to opposing running backs.
6:55So short-term, all those bids came in that were roughly around 30%, 40% for Will Shipley because we're probably looking at two
7:01starts for him against the Jaguars and Panthers without Saquon Barkley.
7:05Totally fine. Plug-and-play guy. But long-term, this really does feel like the end of an era for the Eagles.
7:11Yeah, I mean, in places where I got Will Shipley and I did get him, if I think I'm okay at running
7:18back long-term, I might try to sell him to someone desperate.
7:21I don't know that Will Shipley long-term, like Barkley could be back.
7:25The offensive line could be totally broken. The team could be totally broken.
7:29So, you know, we're down here at 139 overall on Shipley.
7:33If someone wants to overpay for that, I think that's an interesting play.
7:37Last thing for me on the Eagles. I don't know if it's because, like, he wants a new contract or what.
7:43Jalen Hurts is just not running. 21 carries through four games for 105 yards and one touchdown.
7:49The way he becomes a really good NFL quarterback again, in my opinion, and a really good fantasy asset again, is by running more.
7:56But I can't say that confidently that he's going to do that right now.
8:01All right, Daigle, let's go to this Bucs situation.
8:03So we got our first look at Jalen Daniels.
8:06It wasn't pretty. There's been some conflicting reports about when Baker Mayfield exactly will be back here.
8:12In the meantime, we have people wondering, can I even start Emeka Egbuka right now?
8:16That is a tough question. We're down to 67 overall on Egbuka, 53 on Bucky.
8:21Daigle, thoughts on Bucs long term? It is not a tough question.
8:25You cannot start Emeka Egbuka going back to last week, let alone this week.
8:29Pauly Market opened with Egbuka at 35 receiving yards.
8:32He didn't even get there from Jalen Daniels in week four.
8:35This is a tough practice, we always say, because we are ranking Egbuka rest of season.
8:41And so we are looking at Egbuka when Baker Mayfield comes back.
8:44Because until then, even guys like Tyler Algier, Keaton Mitchell, they are genuinely better flexes than Egbuka is.
8:50So again, long term, I think you can spend down, pay pennies for chasing Egbuka's ceiling for the fantasy playoffs in the second half of the year.
8:58But for the next month, or at least a few games until Baker Mayfield returns, no, Egbuka is drawing dead.
9:05I think that's an interesting one. If you think you can get away with Egbuka on your bench for a few weeks,
9:12it could come together late for this team. They're bad, you know, just YOLO ball at the end with Baker and Emeka.
9:19I could see that happening and being a hit down the stretch for this team.
9:23What was most concerning to me from the Bucs perspective, and we talked about this on Team by Team, was the Sean Tucker usage.
9:31If Bucky is going to give him back that goal line carries, and that's what it looked like in Week 4, obviously major concern for Bucky.
9:39We've dropped him 12 spots here, down to 53 on that, not to mention, although Jalen Daniels' situation.
9:45By the way, worst nightmare for Chris Godwin's coming true.
9:48Like, I feel bad, but he's probably toast, and just the team and quarterback play is so bad.
9:53And Daniels was dead last, air yards per attempt this past week.
9:57It's an absolute mess for the passing game right now.
10:00All right, Jack. My move to make last week was to sell Leak neighbors.
10:05You know, and when I was doing it, I was thinking, man, I don't know if I should be doing this right now.
10:12They have such an easy schedule coming up. And one of the things that we talked about last week was, yes, the
10:19Giants were ahead in that game in Week 3.
10:22That allowed them to do the thing where they try to hide Jameis Winston, and they run Kim Scadaboo into the line a ton of times.
10:30In Week 4 against the Cardinals, it got loose.
10:33And when things get loose, you can't help but Jameis Winston play Jameis Winston ball.
10:38And so I guess I regret the neighbors thing a little bit on that.
10:42Long term, though, I just want to say, I still feel good about selling neighbors long term.
10:47Neighbors has this shoulder thing going on. He has the knee thing going on.
10:52We have J.J. McCarthy looming. There's still a lot of ways it can go really bad here for neighbors.
10:58So we did get him back up here to 39 overall.
11:01In our season top 150, I think short term, they have two more really good matchups coming up here that could get loose.
11:08If they start losing and McCarthy gets in, it's major concern.
11:12So there's a really hard rank on a week-to-week basis here, I think, on neighbors and Giants guys.
11:17Jack, what do you think about that stuff right now?
11:21Yeah, I agree with pretty much everything you just said.
11:24I think that from a long-term perspective, neighbors is still a sell.
11:28But I do think that there's some timing aspect to it.
11:31The Giants were still really run heavy in Week 4.
11:34They were at minus 7% pass rate over expectation.
11:37Jameis was just pretty efficient against a really bad Cardinals secondary.
11:40At 8.6 yards per attempt, neighbors did have season-high route participation at 91%.
11:45But he still had only, quote-unquote, a 24.1% target share.
11:48That's a very good target share for most players.
11:50But by Malik Nabors' standpoint, it's pretty mediocre. He was very effective on those targets, though.
11:566 for 112 and a touchdown. And like you said, they get the Commanders and the Saints over the next few games.
12:02So I think that you can expect two more very startable games.
12:06And not just startable, but really good games for Malik Nabors.
12:10But after that, the next two games are the Texans and the Eagles.
12:14And I think that once the Giants fall out of contention, that's when they start to look at J.J.
12:20McCarthy a little bit more. And I think that over the second half of the season, it could be pretty rough for Nabors.
12:27So I think that you probably try to ride it out for at least one more game, get one more game of production.
12:34I would think about selling him if he has a good week this week.
12:39I know they play the Saints two weeks from now, but I feel like if you're thinking through actually trying to trade
12:46him, everyone is going to know that he plays the Texans after that Saints game.
12:50So I think that you probably just say, I know he has a good matchup against the Saints this week, but I'm
12:57going to sell him because I know he has two bad games after that.
13:02And with the McCarthy stuff looming, the shoulder stuff is still a question.
13:06I think that long-term Nabors is still a sell, but the next two weeks could be pretty good.
13:11Yeah. I mean, there's already tweets going around about his shoulder.
13:15And I think people are starting to pick up on that more and more on top of the knee stuff.
13:21So there's definitely a window here at some point, but yeah, I think he's going to score a lot of points this week.
13:28I mean, I think Malik Nabors is going to score a lot of fantasy points this week.
13:34It makes it tough. Let's go to... Let's go to Commanders, Mark.
13:37So expected to get back Jaden Daniels here this week.
13:41I didn't think Jaden Daniels was really playing that well for much of last season.
13:45I think he was playing that well beginning of this year.
13:49The first half of that game, when he got hurt, he was playing really well.
13:53I thought that gives me some optimism. We're here at 84 overall on Jaden Daniels.
13:58Meanwhile, Terry McLaurin also has a hamstring injury going on here.
14:02You could argue for Jaden Daniels higher. You could argue for him lower.
14:06This is just like, I think, a really wide range of outcomes on this whole offense.
14:11Mark, how are you thinking about handling Commander stuff now that Jaden is expected back?
14:15It's a really tricky spot and one that I'm very eager to see with Jaden Daniels.
14:21I have him in a lot of leagues. I think Jaden Daniels is one of the players we were highest on compared to consensus coming into the season.
14:29So I have a lot of him on my teams.
14:32This week, I'm looking at starting Jaden Daniels or Jared Goff on the road against the Cardinals.
14:38I think I'm going to start Jared Goff just given how the Lions offense has looked.
14:43Until I see Jaden Daniels play for the first time coming back, I guess for the second time from this elbow injury.
14:50But what separates Jaden Daniels from the rest of the pack is his rushing ability and fantasy.
14:55Through his career, he's averaged 49 rushing yards per game.
14:58It really comes down to how much is he going to run?
15:02Because you mentioned the Terry McLaurin hamstring pull. He's sneakily 31 years old.
15:06No telling how well he's going to come back from that.
15:10Yeah, Stephon Diggs, also 32 years old. And kind of when you look at the rest of the depth chart, like Antonio Williams has shown flashes.
15:18But, you know, it gets then pretty quick here.
15:21They've continued to suffer offensive line injuries as well.
15:23So I'm almost leaning like, hey, if we see some good things out of the commander's offense, I kind of think they
15:30might end up being like a little bit of a sell high.
15:34I just think it's a pretty fragile environment here altogether for Jaden and the commander.
15:39So I think in terms of going into this week, not too much actionable that you can do.
15:44Obviously, I'm hoping that Jaden Daniels plays well and runs a lot and shows that burst.
15:50But if he's kind of relegated to being, you know, more of a pocket passer, I don't think that's going to be
15:56a great start in fantasy each week. So, you know, waiting on pins and needles to see how this week goes.
16:03And it'll kind of move forward from there afterwards.
16:06Yeah, I mean, when he puts his left arm down, that's when he keeps aggravating it, you know.
16:12And obviously, like, you're going to put your left arm down a lot when you're playing football, whether you're a Russian quarterback or not.
16:19So we'll see on Jaden Daniels' home versus Giants this week is certainly a good spot here for him.
16:25Let's go to some role updates here, Daigle. I said my piece yesterday about the Jeremiah Love situation on team by team.
16:32I basically, I'm going to take that interview of the Jeremiah Love at his locker room saying he wants other guys to
16:39get the ball and show it to my sixth grade basketball team as an example of what not to say, of an example of what not to do.
16:48Oh, I don't know if I can make it.
16:51It's been a long year. It's been a long year, Daigle.
16:54I'm tired. I think Tyler or Bam, Daigle, they can do a better job.
16:58They can do a better job than me. I would be tempted to throw a kid off the team if he told me that.
17:06We have him here at 27 overall here, Daigle.
17:09Talk to me about Jeremiah Love, rest in season outlook.
17:12It was certainly worrisome, seeming like the NFL draft process combined with preseason, that the serious ankle injury he was dealing with
17:19and now going into the regular season did seem like it's taken a toll on him mentally.
17:24What does that mean for the next 14 weeks of our lives?
17:28That's what we're trying to guess here. But we're still betting on an elite talent, the number three overall pick in the
17:35NFL draft, separating from Tyler Algier, which I think is totally fine.
17:39For the time being, Algier, again, can be that RV three or four flex option if you're desperate until we see Love truly separate.
17:46But if you can also get him for a bit cheaper right now, especially because he plays at a position that everyone's
17:53reeling at running back currently for their fantasy lineups, then sure, I'd sprinkle in because we've seen the ceiling just seven days ago.
18:00But now we're at the fact that we're just not sure what the split is moving forward.
18:06Do you buy this stuff that's coming out now that they say, oh, it's actually his other ankle, not the ankle that was hurt in the preseason?
18:14Oh, the reason he didn't play much in the second half wasn't because of all the stuff he said after the game.
18:21By the way, after the game, they said he wasn't hurt.
18:25The coach said he wasn't hurt. Nothing like that.
18:27Then they come out 24 hours later when he's getting killed and say, oh, actually, his other ankle was banged up.
18:34Do you buy that at all, Daigle? I do not buy that.
18:38He just seemed literally mentally tired and drained. Yeah.
18:41So one thing about the Arizona stuff is I feel like Brissette is such an unlock for the entire offense based on the way he plays.
18:49And I don't know that they're going to go to Carson Beck, but I do think, and Silva's adamant that they're going to go to Carson Beck.
18:57I don't know exactly when or if they're going to go to Carson Beck, but when they do, I don't think that's great for Jeremiah Love either.
19:06However, I mean, over the course of the season, I would hope and expect Jeremiah Love to separate here.
19:12But yeah, I mean, people are going to have eyebrows raised at the gap here between Love and Algier here in the ranks.
19:19To illuminate that a little bit, you know, when we were going through our rankings call last night talking about Jeremiah Love,
19:26we kind of settled on, it just doesn't seem like the top three or four fantasy running back upside is there anymore this season.
19:33You know, the floor is still good. He's still averaging 16 and a half touches per game.
19:39He's still got 15 touches in this most recent game against the Giants.
19:43And with his talent, like he's going to be, you know, a startable fantasy back.
19:48Is the top end outcome there? Probably not. And so that's why we have a note in there.
19:53You know, the ceiling is in question, I think, with Jeremiah Love for now.
19:58But just given, you know, if you get 15 touches and you're as talented as Jeremiah Love, you're going to be a factor in fantasy.
20:06For sure. And by the way, we up 18 spots on Michael Wilson this week.
20:10One of the bigger moves, one of the bigger non-injury related moves, I guess.
20:15I mean, Michael Wilson has been alpha for a while now.
20:18And like, is Marvin Harrison going to be traded?
20:21I'm not even sure that it matters if he, if Marvin Harrison does get traded.
20:26Like Michael Wilson is just the clear alpha wide receiver behind Trey McBride.
20:30Marvin Harrison, obviously, I don't think would be in the top 150 if it wasn't for the trade rumors, but he could
20:37end up in Indy or Buffalo or someone like that.
20:40And in that case, it's probably worth still stashing Marvin Harrison, depending how deep your league is.
20:45Only CeeDee Lamb has more targets than Michael Wilson since week two.
20:49He has arrived. All right. Jack, let's go to Bears running back situation.
20:53It was a bit of an odd one. You know, DeAndre Swift, I thought he had earned a longer leash than that,
21:00you know, but apparently not because he fumbled and was completely benched to the point where the Bears went with Mononghi and Roshan Johnson down the stretch.
21:08We're sticking with DeAndre Swift here as if this will not affect his rest of season outlook at all.
21:14It was just such a harsh punishment, I thought, for a player who's played so well and a player that just gave a huge amount of money to.
21:23Jack, so what do you think of the DeAndre Swift benching and him versus Mononghi rest of season?
21:29Yeah, I'm not too worried about it from a long term perspective.
21:33Ben Johnson said the fumble was egregious, but said that he's going to be fine.
21:37They did just pay him. I kind of think it's going to be back to the split that we're used to seeing in week five.
21:45And it was just such an abnormal game where they ran 86 real plays, excluding spikes and kneel downs.
21:51The Jets ran 32 total plays at halftime. Swift was still out snapping Mononghi 29 to 20.
21:57Swift had 13 carries to Mononghi's 12. That's a tighter rushing split than we've seen in the past, but it was also
22:03a game in which they were on offense so much, running so many plays and so that we are used to seeing
22:10tighter running back carry distributions in those game environments.
22:13I think that it's pretty much going to be back to the normal split moving forward.
22:18I think that both of these guys in an offense this good, especially once Caleb comes back in a running offense this efficient, are very viable plays.
22:27Mononghi is, you know, if Swift goes down or Swift fumbles again, Mononghi would be a mega smash.
22:32But for the short term, I think it's most likely that Swift finds himself back in his usual role next week.
22:39Yeah, it's really hard to get that many running back carries off in a game, you know?
22:44And so I thought that Swift was a better player.
22:48Like I was taking Swift at cost and not taking Mononghi at cost during the drafting process.
22:53I just thought Swift was so much better. They paid Swift.
22:56Swift, however, like to Jack's point, there's gonna be spots where you can start both of these guys because they're running back
23:03because their run game is so good. So yeah, I don't think Swift is going to be like punished long term either.
23:10But we do have the gap much closer here now.
23:1331 overall on Swift. 68 overall on Mononghi. Let's go to Quinshawn Junkins.
23:17Mark, this has been a frustrating one. I've talked about this before.
23:21Due to the Dylan Sampson injury, we have seen an uptick in Quinshawn Junkins' receiving role.
23:26At the same time, that was unfortunate, surprising, whatever injuries happen.
23:30The more surprising thing is the way Deshawn Watson has played lately.
23:33And that has elevated Quinshawn Junkins' outlook here as well.
23:37And I also, just watching the game, I thought Junkins looked really good as a pass catcher.
23:42You know, I'm not sure exactly why he was pinned as a two-down kind of back.
23:47So we're here at 62 overall on Junkins, which is actually a little bit lower where he was going preseason.
23:53I would say that his runout's actually been pretty improved since beginning of year.
23:58Mark, what do you think about Junkins' rest of season?
24:01Yeah, that's fair that we could potentially be too low here on Junkins.
24:05The sample without Dylan Sampson has definitely been encouraging.
24:08He now has six games played in his career without Dylan Sampson.
24:11If you include week one, which is where Sampson got hurt on special teams, he didn't actually play an offensive snap there.
24:18So I think fair to include here. But yeah, Quinshawn Junkins has a 14.5% target share in those six games without Dylan Sampson.
24:26We know he has the clear goal line role in the Browns' offense as well.
24:30So I think, you know, having faith in this Todd Monken offense is probably where I want to be more so than
24:37like, you know, Deshaun Watson continuing to play above expectation.
24:40But overall, the Browns, you know, they came into a year with a completely new starting five along the offensive line.
24:47I think it's fair to expect them to gel a little bit more as the season goes along.
24:53And yeah, I think, you know, this Junkins pass game role seems legit.
24:57Six game sample, you know, not too massive, but I think enough to lean into a bit.
25:02So I still question like how many points the Browns are going to score throughout the year.
25:07So we have Junkins as RB20. I think that's probably fair.
25:11I don't know if he's necessarily, you know, a buy right now coming off of a strong box score game.
25:17And especially that was on, you know, prime time.
25:20I think it's a tough time, tough time to buy.
25:23But I do buy that the role is better than it was or than we expected coming into the season.
25:29So I wouldn't necessarily want to be selling him either.
25:33I think he's a pretty good hold. And if you drafted him in the fifth round, which, you know, I don't think
25:40many of our subscribers did because we were low on Junkins.
25:43I certainly have very limited exposure to him. You know, I think he's mostly just a hold right now.
25:49But the outlook has certainly been more promising for him.
25:52For sure. Yeah. And also just a side note on the Browns.
25:56Jerry Judy. I mean, there's no reason to hold Jerry Judy if you're the Browns.
26:01Like he should be gone at the trade line in the deadline.
26:04I know I said that last year about him and Njoku.
26:08Browns didn't do it. But yeah, I mean, that'd be crazy not to trade Jerry Judy at the deadline this year.
26:14Also, the issue for Quinshot and Junkins and why we are lower on him was because of the gruesome injury he was returning from.
26:22And I'd argue that's still very much the case.
26:25If you just look at rush yards over expectations.
26:28So what a running back does compared to average with his volume, Quinshot Junkins is 94th out of 95 running backs.
26:34Your Corey Krosky merit is dead last. Quinshot Junkins longest run is 11 yards this year.
26:39But we know the skeleton key for running backs is touches.
26:43And that's what's happening to not just Junkins, but a lot of running backs around the league right now.
26:49Jonathan Taylor, Javante Williams. These guys are actually struggling, but when you get 20 plus touches per game, you can fall forward for two touchdowns.
26:57And that's exactly what happened for Junkins on Thursday night.
27:00Yeah. Or you can go out and catch, get a 15% target share because Dylan Sampson's out.
27:05You know what I mean? And the next thing you know, you have Junkins with seven targets and six catches in a game.
27:12You know, it's like, yeah, very nice run out here.
27:15He's the rich man's Alvin Kamara right now. Um, okay.
27:19I'm going to let that one go. All right.
27:21Let's go to Chargers running back here. Uh, Daigle, um, got really bad for Amar and Hampton.
27:27He got out carried by Keaton Mitchell in this game and they added Kamani Vidal to the mix.
27:32One thing that Amar and Hampton has been able to hold on to is the goal line role allowed him to get
27:39a touchdown in that game against Seattle. But if they're going to play Vidal this much, if they're going to split snaps
27:46three ways evenly as they did, it's even worse than initially looked.
27:50We're down to 83 overall now on Amar and Hampton.
27:53We were below market on him preseason, thankfully, um, by a little bit.
27:57I still thought there was a ceiling case there that you could argue that he was fine in the second round.
28:04He has found his absolute floor case though. I'm not sure as much you can do at this point where I guess
28:11you, the, whoever owns Amar and Hampton, I'm sure is looking to sell him.
28:15I guess you could maybe try to buy for pennies if you wanted to Daigle any interest in that for you.
28:22Sure. Everyone's so desperate right now for the position that if you can get him for a bench wide receiver, just to
28:29add to your running back room, I'd take a chance on it.
28:33But right now he's next to unstoppable. You may be so desperate that you have to, but it's ugly.
28:39Keaton Mitchell's target share has increased in every single game.
28:42Keaton Mitchell's share of backfield touches increased since week two.
28:45He just reached a season high 45% mark out touching Hampton outright 15 to 11.
28:50I thought the range of outcomes, including Keaton Mitchell working in a committee.
28:54I did not think it was him being the Chargers RB one, but right now with Hampton universally rostered, it makes zero
29:01sense that Mitchell is not universally rostered because again, based on last week's results in the trending line, Keaton Mitchell is the team's RB one B.
29:09You know, I mean, this schedule is ridiculous. They just played at Seattle.
29:13Now they have to play Denver. Then they play at Kansas city.
29:17Then they play at the Rams. Then they play the Texans.
29:20Then they play at the Ravens. It does get much softer after that though.
29:24So like if someone really, you could tell someone, listen, you're not gonna be able to start in Martin Hampton for the
29:31next five weeks period, but maybe I, and so I can give you someone terrible for him.
29:37And then maybe it turns around late and I can't believe I'm going to say that I don't want to say it, but it's possible.
29:45My brother, Mike McDaniel gets fired. And maybe that gives them a spark on offense with some type of scheme change or usage change.
29:52I'm You know, he's next in line there. Your boy, Adam Gase.
29:56Well, they'd have to bring so yeah, yeah, yeah.
29:59I know. Listen, I was thinking they'd bring someone fresh in, but I guess they can't even do that in season.
30:05So yeah, I don't know, man, but like it's a long season.
30:09There could be some changes here. I would not want to have to start a Martin Hampton ideally for the next five weeks.
30:16But after that, if I could get him for free and keep him on my bench, I think it's at least interesting.
30:23See how things run out here for the Chargers late season.
30:27Reminder, this free show is brought to you by Polymarket, one of the world's largest prediction markets and one that is available in every U.S.
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31:44Last one that we're going to get to before we get to listener questions, Jack, is Saints wide receiver spot.
31:50So good news. Jordan Tyson was spotted running, sprinting, stopping and starting.
31:54Underhill said he dunked a basketball. There's also this issue with their schedule where in week seven, they're in Paris and in week eight, they have a bye.
32:03Somebody asked that, you know, why are we all why are players less likely to come back internationally and stuff like that?
32:10I think unfamiliar surroundings and like a weird schedule for your rehab and everything on top of weird fields is maybe white
32:17guys don't come back from injury internationally as much.
32:20But meanwhile, Jack, Devon Vele is balling, man. And like he's playing very, very well.
32:24How do you think this happens or how does it run out once Tyson gets back?
32:29Yeah. And the Vele volume earning hasn't just been a one year thing either.
32:34If you go back to his final four games of 2025 before he got hurt, he was earning a 19.3% target share.
32:41So this is a guy who really over the last eight games he's played has earned targets at a pretty solid, pretty fantasy viable level.
32:49Another thing is the Saints are averaging 45 pass attempts per game so far.
32:53That's four ahead of the next closest team. They have a terrible defense.
32:57Kellen Moore offenses play so fast. So I think that it's fair to expect them to be right at the top of the league in pass volume.
33:06But I also think it's fair to say that they're not going to average 45 pass attempts per game the rest of the way.
33:13I think that once Tyson is back, it's a pretty big threat to both Vele and Juwan Johnson.
33:19This is a guy who was really good throughout his college career.
33:23Whenever he was on the field, he was productive early in his college career.
33:27He and at Arizona State, his numbers were really dominant.
33:30It's just health has always been the question. And now now he's going to miss the first two months of his NFL career.
33:37So it's fair. It's a question whether he can even stay on the field for the second half of his rookie season,
33:44but I think that if he is available and if he can get back up to 100%, he's going to be the wide receiver too.
33:52Over Devon Vele and this offense has been so concentrated so far around Olave, Vele, and Juwan Johnson that especially for Johnson
33:59and Vele who aren't really the alpha level target earner that Olave is, I think that it's a pretty serious threat.
34:06But in the meantime, Vele and Johnson, I think are clear fantasy starters.
34:10But I do have some concern for both of them with a little bit of pass flying regression coming and then the
34:17bigger thing will be once Tyson is back, if he's actually healthy.
34:20It's a pretty big hit for both of those guys.
34:24I like buying on Tyson. I mean, this late season schedule, I assume he'll be eased in, right?
34:29They know about his history of soft tissue issues, of hamstring issues.
34:33I assume he'll be eased in. He'll probably be a tough start when he first comes back.
34:38Late season, they have an awesome schedule including Panthers, Bears, Bengals, Panthers again.
34:42And then in the fantasy playoffs, 15, 16, 17, Saints play Bucs, Cardinals, and Falcons.
34:47I mean, and those are all going to be good weather games or domes.
34:52I mean, just a perfect, perfect run out here for the Saints.
34:55And I was really encouraged that they left in the starters for that last drive.
35:00Yeah, it sucked that like maybe Olave got a little bit banged up.
35:04I think he's fine. But for fantasy, I mean, they were down, I think, 20-something points with like five minutes left in the fourth.
35:12And they left their starters in, go down and get the touchdown to Valle.
35:16That is important when you're talking about a bad team.
35:19So, yeah, I still like all the same stuff.
35:22Oh, and I mean, I can't believe Dave will use Junkins in the same sentence as Alvin Kamara.
35:28I mean, Alvin Kamara is probably the worst running back in the entire league.
35:32When Alvin Kamara is you're starting running back, you should have really pass-heavy game plans.
35:37And that's how you get to 45 attempts here in a game.
35:41All right. Let's go to some listener questions here.
35:43Mark, first one from Sunday Sweat. He says, curious to hear your thoughts on Broncos' backfield rest of season.
35:49With Pat Bryant gone, does RJ Harvey get a slight boost?
35:53Is Jonah Coleman a priority pickup given how bad J.K.
35:56Dobbins is? Look, yeah, I compared the RJ Harvey usage to like a Darren Sproles type thing.
36:01Obviously, Sean Payton had Darren Sproles and caught a ton of balls there for him in New Orleans.
36:07Mark, any thoughts on Broncos' backfield rest of season?
36:10I like his thought of potentially stashing Jonah Coleman right now because J.K.
36:14Dobbins has looked pretty brutal. And I think when Coleman comes back from IR, he could potentially overtake that slot.
36:20I think Harvey is a pretty interesting fantasy play moving forward.
36:24We've just seen Bo Nix absolutely check down like crazy so far this year.
36:28RJ Harvey is already sixth among running backs in total targets this season.
36:32So I'm not sure like the Pat Bryant injury will necessarily shift more volume to Harvey.
36:37I think that role is pretty solidified in his favor and just kind of expecting it to go his way a little bit more as we move forward.
36:46And I think Harvey is kind of an interesting buy because I guess if Coleman doesn't come back right away after IR
36:53and Dobbins continues to struggle, I wouldn't be shocked if they started to give RJ Harvey more work on the ground as well.
37:00And, you know, he wasn't an efficient runner last year, one of the leagues worst in that facet too.
37:06But, you know, the Broncos are searching for explosiveness on offense.
37:10So I could see Harvey's role growing. I think he is probably a pretty interesting buy right now.
37:15We're up to 74 overall here on RJ Harvey, which I think makes sense.
37:20You know, it's a tough click when you don't have exact projectable workload.
37:24But gosh, I mean, five or six catches in a game and a handful of carries is pretty valuable.
37:30Especially through the bye weeks and injuries. Since no one has separated though, Jonah Coleman is a player where if you have
37:37an IR slot, he needs to be on there since he has a path.
37:41Take Bigsby, for example, is droppable because he was never going to play as long as Saquon Barkley is healthy.
37:47But Jonah Coleman can show back up and suddenly have a role and win the backfield.
37:52Yeah. Let's go to Buffalo here, Daigle. So Jacob says, Don Kincaid has been quite the roller coaster.
37:58Curious outlook, rest of season. So hopefully everyone saw the quote from Joe Brady after the game.
38:03I read it on yesterday's team-by-team show. I guess the question is we hear these quotes all the time from coaches.
38:10Oh, we made a mistake. Like, it's insane to me that they do this after the game.
38:15It's like, you're the one calling the plays. How does after the game?
38:19It's like, oh, Don Kincaid had two targets? We can't let that happen.
38:24It's like the hot dog meme. You're the one that didn't scheme stuff to Don Kincaid.
38:29Say, do you buy the Joe Brady stuff here?
38:31Daigle, we are at 59 overall right now on Dalton Kincaid.
38:35I do. I truly believe Brady understands he just made a mistake in not getting Kincaid involved once DJ Moore went down.
38:42The Bills have now played four full quarters without DJ Moore since he also suffered an injury in week two.
38:48And in those four quarters, Keon Coleman has a 30% target share, oddly, and Kincaid's down at 13%.
38:54Having said that, we saw the ceiling Kincaid offers in weeks one and two when he earned the fourth highest target share among all tight ends.
39:02So I believe despite the routes dropping last week, Joe Brady did actually recognize his mistake publicly in the media.
39:08And we get right back to Kincaid being a top six option in that upcoming and inevitable shootout on Monday night against the Rams.
39:16Yeah, I agree. Actually, he was also wide open in the end zone.
39:20Like if Josh Allen just sees him, and this was from like six yards out.
39:25If Josh Allen just sees him, we're not even talking about this because he would have scored a touchdown, you know, easily.
39:31There are similar to the Jeremiah Love doctors everywhere on social media.
39:35There are Bills and Josh Allen doctors saying he could be injured since he's played significantly worse the past couple of weeks compared to the first two weeks.
39:44But again, indoors LA, the last time Bill showed up, it was a 40 to 40 firework show.
39:50So I think it's all going to be corrected on Monday night.
39:53Yeah. I mean, everybody's banged up. You know, if I want to just write off, oh, this guy had two bad weeks.
40:00He's probably banged up. Like everybody's banged up. This is the NFL, man.
40:04All right. Speaking of banged up. I mean. We got a question here from Abogovich, Jack.
40:10He said, is Puka Nakua a sell high? His pre hernia seems like a matter of when, not if.
40:15And if the Rams lose a couple more games, they may decide to shut him down.
40:21Do we sell or is that premature? I mean, the advent of the Twitter doctor has everybody thinking that they're freaking Doogie Houser.
40:28They, everybody is so sure that, oh, it's a pre hernia.
40:31Oh my God, Adam, it's going to pop out.
40:34You're going to see it. Something's going to come out of his side and he's going to be out for the rest of the season.
40:42This reminds me of another Rams injury FUD story where Matthew Stafford was allegedly on his deathbed last, last, last August.
40:49He's in a hyperbaric chamber, Adam. His back. He may never walk again.
40:53He went out on MVP. So, you know, I'm getting and have been very tired for a long time about the heightened injury FUD that goes on.
41:01Similar to the stuff that I talked about with the field in Texans, Cowboys in Rio.
41:06You do not get clicks by saying, ah, Puka is going to be fine.
41:11And maybe he won't be. I don't know. But I don't think anyone really knows, especially if they have not examined Puka and Nakua themselves.
41:18So we are at seven overall here on Puka.
41:21Before the season, Jack, I think we were four or five overall on Puka here.
41:26So only a very, very small change since the beginning of the season.
41:30What do you think, Jack? Do you want to sell and panic here like Abogovich on a pre-hernia for Puka and Nakua?
41:37I'm not selling and panicking. I do have a little bit of concern.
41:41They did refer to it as a pre-hernia on the broadcast.
41:44So I don't think that it's pure speculation on behalf of the Twitter doctors that this could snowball into something worse.
41:51I do think that there's elevated injury risk here, even relative to Puka and Nakua's baseline, which is already higher than normal.
41:58But the Rams didn't seem concerned about it given his usage in week four.
42:02He ran around on 90.7% of their dropbacks. So he was pretty much in his normal full-time role.
42:08I don't think that they would do that if they were majorly concerned about his long-term availability.
42:13I also don't think that they're really even close to just shutting him down if he's not hurt.
42:19I mean, this is an all-in season for the Rams.
42:22I know that it hasn't been the start that they dreamed of, but they brought back Aaron Donald, Stafford.
42:28We don't know how many times, how many years he has left.
42:32So I think that things would have to go really, really south for them to start considering shutting down Puka if he's not actually hurt.
42:40In the short term, I think that it's basically just full throttle for Puka, given that they did say it's a pre-hernia.
42:47And some of the thought I've seen from the Twitter docs, which might be overstated, but at least the mention of it
42:54being a pre-hernia at least legitimizes that a little bit.
42:57I do think that the injury risk is elevated, but the Rams put him in his normal role.
43:02So the short term is very good. And just because he has this pre-hernia, it doesn't mean he's going to get hurt.
43:09I kind of think that if you know what you have in Puka, he might be more likely to get injured, but the role for now is insane.
43:18It's just kind of if you want to take that gamble or if you want to get off it.
43:24Yeah, I mean, I prefer to play fantasy in a way that maximizes my ceiling outcomes, like in season-long fantasy or whatever.
43:31And so, yeah, I think that I would be holding Puka.
43:35I would understand if you wanted to sell him.
43:37I agree with Jack. There's elevated risk here. I disagree that the risk is very, very, very high.
43:43Like, this is definitely going to happen. Like, people make it sound like on Twitter, if you wanted to sell Puka, I
43:50wouldn't go below what I have on the screen here.
43:53Like, if someone wants to give me Jamar Chase or St.
43:57Brown or Seedy or Derrick Henry or Bowers or London or Jefferson or Lave or whatever, and you wanted to get out
44:04from Puka that way, I'd be okay with that.
44:06I wouldn't do it, but I'd be okay with that.
44:09I would be pained if I saw someone sell Puka because of this FUD.
44:14He played 76 for cheaper for this FUD. He played 76 snaps in the game out of 84.
44:2076. If they were worried he was going to aggravate this, he wouldn't be playing 76 snaps here in the game.
44:26If you sell Puka, it's because you're 1-3 or 0-4, and it's better to change the lineup for a win-now starting lineup
44:33as opposed to just saying, I had a good pick in Puka and you continue losing.
44:38Pre-injury doesn't matter. We're all pre-injured when you think about it.
44:42So, no, I don't care. I kind of think Puka is a really good player to hold if you're 1-3 or 0-4
44:48because I think the short-term role is really good.
44:51It's just the long-term injury risk. Yeah. That's how I view it.
44:55Well, it depends on the rest of your lineup because it's not based on the player.
45:00Like, you would sell Brock Bowers, even Kenneth Walker if you're 0-4 if you get back three or four starters.
45:06All right. Let's go to some trades here. Mark, if you want to read me this one, I will tech lord over
45:13to the redraft trade calculator, which, by the way, if you do have the draft kit, obviously you have access to everything in the draft kit tab here.
45:22Hopefully that is intuitive and you can go to the redraft trade calculator here.
45:27Go ahead, Mark. Yeah. This first one is should I trade Chase Brown and Parker Washington or Jackson Smith and Jigba?
45:33And then he qualifies it by saying my running backs are Chase Brown, who is going to trade Kenneth Walker, Dobbins, Emmitt Johnson.
45:40Other wide receivers are Ladd, Waddle, Mike Evans, Downs, Coker, Concepcion, and then he has Jordan Tyson in the IR slot.
45:47So to me, you know, Brown and Kenneth Walker are pretty much your only two starting running backs just kind of talked about how you don't love Dobbins.
45:56He has not showed much this year. And then given the depth of the wide receiver room, I would probably hold on to Chase Brown in this deal.
46:05I don't think JSN is necessarily a huge upgrade for giving up the running back slot when we're just looking at, you
46:12know, kind of your starting lineup moving forward. So I would lean against doing this despite, you know, wanting JSN on as many teams as possible.
46:20Yeah. We have this like dead even in the trade calculator, by the way, for any of the audio listeners out there.
46:27You know, typically I want to get the best player in the deal.
46:31Jackson Smith and Jigba is outrageously the best player in the deal.
46:34This comes back to what you think of Parker Washington.
46:38We didn't cover this, but I know there's a lot of people that are panicked on Parker Washington.
46:43We are not. I don't think for the most part.
46:46I think that there has been a lot of blowouts that the Jaguars have had, and it has not allowed Parker Washington to get loose.
46:54I'm not worried about him at all, though. Yeah.
46:57It's tough. If any trade involves you starting J.K.
47:00Dobbins afterwards, don't do that trade. I think it's that simple.
47:03Yeah. All right. Let's go to this next one here, Dago, if you want to read me these names.
47:09One flex PPR 10-team league. Would you trade Swift, Burden, and Christian Watson for Kenneth Walker?
47:14His other wide receivers, the caveat here, are Puka and Neighbors.
47:18So since he does start two wide receivers and one flex, he's guaranteed to start Puka and Neighbors and then is looking
47:25for another running back or another flex. But he also has Jameson Williams on his bench.
47:30He could flex, too. I mean, these 10-team leagues, like, of course I want to get the best player because on waivers
47:37I can find the most insane plays on your bench.
47:40You have Jameson Williams and stuff like that, right?
47:43I mean, the 10-team league is so different where I want stars, I want stars, especially at quarterback and tight end, but
47:50I want superstars everywhere I can fill in easily.
47:52Right, Dago? Yes, and I think team one is, so Yader Finfan, I think he is doing it correctly where this is
47:59the week you should be checking on your 1-3 and 0-4 league mates because, again, they will have to make a trade
48:06like this because it is just uber important that they start thinking of their lineups as one-week examples and they're no longer
48:13thinking about the fantasy playoffs because they have to get there first and then F around and find out.
48:19So, yeah, these are the kind of trades that winning teams should be making with their bench depth.
48:25These are the kind of trades losing teams should be making to immediately get a win.
48:30Yeah, and I mean, Kenneth Walker, people are like, Adam, is Kenneth Walker going to slow down?
48:35Buddy, don't question God's gifts, all right? Kenneth Walker is going sparring, health permitting, Kenneth Walker is going absolutely stone cold nuclear in every way rest of season.
48:44Last one here, Jack, if you want to read me the names here for this trade.
48:49Yeah, so this one's pretty simple. This is, I trade away Juwan Johnson.
48:53I get Drake Maye. He has Bowers and Justin Herbert.
48:56Their other players are Bryce Young and Kelsey. I think this is a pretty straightforward take.
49:01Like, you're never going to start Juwan Johnson when you have Bowers.
49:05You want to upgrade on Justin Herbert. I know that May hasn't been great so far outside of week four.
49:11But I think especially I think in a vacuum, I prefer May as those are trade calculator.
49:17And then given the team needs, it becomes a pretty easy take.
49:21Yeah. And I mean, Drake May hasn't even really gotten to play much with AJ Brown yet.
49:26And even when he doesn't have AJ Brown, his game is just so fantasy friendly.
49:31Obviously, Drake May is an awesome asset. And this allows you to get out from underneath the Chargers debacle and Justin Herbert here as well.
49:38We needed one iota of confidence from Drake May just to see something since over the next month, he does have the
49:45easiest schedule for quarterbacks based on our DDP table.
49:48And May went out in week four and finishes the overall QB one.
49:52That's all we need to see to get him right back in our lineups.
49:57Oh, right. All right. It is a moment everyone has been waiting for.
50:01The moves to make. Just for transparency's sake here, if I can try to execute this.
50:06We've done three shows so far. Mark's moves were sell scadaboo, buy craft, buy Josh Downs.
50:11I guess I'll stop there and I'll let Mark go with his move to make here.
50:16So sell scadaboo so far. For Mark, I think that's a pretty good win.
50:20Buy craft. He was close to a huge game.
50:23Did have a touchdown this past week. Close to two touchdowns.
50:27And then last week, buy Josh Downs. That was a really disappointing game there for Josh Downs.
50:32I still think Josh Downs is solid. Sylvan and I talked about this.
50:36Still think he's solid. I've always questioned the ceiling on Josh Downs, but still think he's rock solid.
50:42But anyways, Mark, it's a forward thinking show. Move to make ahead of week five.
50:46I'm going to go back to the sell column here.
50:50You know, it's easy to do buys. Everyone pats you on your back.
50:54Oh, I love buy Josh Downs. Oh, I love buy Tucker Craft.
50:57That's great. When I said to sell scadaboo, you know, people were pretty upset about that.
51:02So I'm going to try and rile some people up here.
51:06But no, I'm going to go with sell Bucky Irving this week.
51:10This one hurts a little bit as I have Bucky on a lot of teams.
51:14And I'm going to be trying to get out from under him a little bit here as we move forward.
51:21We kind of saw the squeeze on the high value touches that we were concerned about preseason.
51:26Kenneth Gainwell eating in on passing downs. Gainwell caught a touchdown from Jalen Daniels in week four.
51:31And then Sean Tucker got the goal line work in this recent game as well.
51:36Also, a lot of positive coach speak around wanting to continue to include Sean Tucker moving forward.
51:41We also saw Bucky Irving pop up on the injury report in week four for the first time.
51:47His routes have declined each week starting in week one, you know, where he was up at 53 percent.
51:53This last week, he was down at 31 percent.
51:56So it's been a pretty precipitous drop for Bucky in the high value touch department.
52:01And I realize he's not like the sexiest, you know, sell high right now, given the box score hasn't quite been there.
52:08And the Bucs are without Baker Mayfield for the time being.
52:11But the Buccaneers do get the Cowboys up next this week.
52:14And then they have the Panthers, Falcons and Bears in four of the next five weeks.
52:19So I think you can probably sell Bucky, you know, on the upcoming schedule and in good outlook there.
52:25And I think the squeeze is happening on the high value touches, unfortunately.
52:30Yeah, unfortunately. We'll see. I mean, they've been so hot and cold with Sean Tucker.
52:34That's like my because I also have Bucky in some huge spots this year.
52:39And my hope is that they go hot and cold with Sean Tucker and maybe they go back cold with him.
52:45But right now, yeah, it does not look great on the goal line stuff there for Bucky.
52:51All right. Daigle's moves to make so far have been by Colson Loveland.
52:55I'm sorry. No. Nope. I was looking at the wrong one.
52:58Just because the first one's a turbo loss. So you got to get that transfer in out.
53:04Sell Chuba Hubbard. That was due to his freaky Jonathan Brooks obsession.
53:07I'll give him a pass. He's obsessed with Jonathan Brooks like many of these other slaps out there.
53:13By Drake London was a great one. And then last week by Saquon Barkley, we'll never get to know how that turned out.
53:20Kesey got hurt. I'm tempted to give an L, though, because this Eagles team is so screwed.
53:26I'm tempted to give that one a premature L.
53:28Barkley was dead anyways, Daigle. He was dead. I should have known that the Eagles best offensive lineman will retire after two of them got injured.
53:37He was dead anyways. He was dead anyways. Okay.
53:39Anyways, we'll call that one incomplete. It's only fair.
53:42Incomplete. Daigle, go ahead. Move to make ahead of week five.
53:46Everyone is worried about Parker Washington, even though the stats haven't dropped behind the scenes whatsoever.
53:51He's still the Jaguars wide receiver one. The issue is that Trevor Lawrence hasn't attempted 30 passes in any game because the Jaguars are too good.
53:59Even this past week against the Bengals, they had a 22 to 10 lead with six and a half minutes remaining in the fourth quarter.
54:07But Washington's route share hasn't dipped in the slightest in any contest.
54:11Once we get more shootouts, this Jaguars offense is humming along.
54:14Parker Washington is the wide receiver one. So very clearly right now with everyone frustrated that Parker Washington, the Jaguars offense is too good.
54:22I want to buy low on Parker Washington. I mean, I think this is one you could definitely do.
54:28Like if you agree with Daigle and I lean towards Daigle on this one also, you could get this done because I
54:34just know I've had people message me over the last week.
54:38How could you have Parker Washington 24 overall? You know, I don't think people understand how good Parker Washington has been and
54:45why it's been a little bit slow for him here lately.
54:48So that's one that I think you could definitely get done if you want to do that one.
54:54All right. Jack has done by Colston Loveland, by Jameson Williams, by Tucker Craft.
54:58Say three. Meh. Loveland one. Not great. But Jameson is just that he was so close to a huge game against the Panthers.
55:06I mean, he already went over 100 yards. It was great to see.
55:10But man, he could have had like 200 yards and two touchdowns.
55:13Jameson could have. And that stuff is coming for him there as well.
55:18But anyways, Jack, go ahead with your move to make ahead of week five.
55:22Yeah. I mean, this is going to be a crazy memory game for Adam in week 11 when he has to rattle
55:29off our 10 previous moves to make every week.
55:32But I'm going to do. Sell Ollie Gordon. He had I think this one's pretty straightforward.
55:37Honestly, he had 18 PPR points in week four.
55:40But Jalen Wright was the one who started the game.
55:43Ollie came in on the second drive. Ollie had a long 53 yard run at some point.
55:48Wright actually out carried Gordon four to two in the first half.
55:52And then the second half after his 53 yard run, he played 14 of 16 snaps.
55:57In total, he out snapped Wright 22 to 12.
56:00I routed him seven to three. I carried him nine to five.
56:03I'm assuming that because Ollie played so well in week four that he's going to start in week five.
56:09But this is going to be a hot hand backfield.
56:13Jeff Halfley said on Jalen Wright he didn't have many attempts, but he's going to.
56:17The Dolphins are just so bad from a fantasy standpoint.
56:20They have one game so far above 55 real plays, which excludes spikes and kneel down.
56:25So this is a split backfield, a hot hand backfield where I think whoever plays better in the first half, if if
56:32either of them do play clearly better than the other one in the first half is going to separate in that individual game.
56:40Gordon was the one who did that most recently.
56:42So his value is at a relative high. So I would be trying to get out from from him right now.
56:49Agreed. You know, no brainer. And I yeah, no brainer, I think, to try to get out from under Ollie here off
56:56of that big game that he had. All right.
56:59And by the way, if you think you can like sell these waiver guys, I know I already mentioned it.
57:05I do like trying to sell Will Shipley like long term outlook on Will Shipley is not not ideal.
57:11It's I think can be hard to trade guys.
57:14You just picked up off waivers. But yeah, if you think you can, I think that's that's an interesting one, too.
57:20But that is not my move to make. So far, I have done by Trevion Henderson, which I'll call incomplete by Jeremiah Love, which I want to recant.
57:29I don't want I don't want my name associated with this guy after what he said this past week.
57:35And I'd like to recant that one. Last week, I had, you know, kind of halfish by Joe Burrow and some of the neighbors.
57:43I already addressed that. This week, I'm going to go with, I think, a straightforward one.
57:48It is by George Pickens. The way this Dallas defense is playing is just set up so perfectly for them to get into wild games.
57:56They've gotten into wild games. George Pickens just has not participated in them yet.
58:00I think people are valuing George Pickens based on his game log now, maybe where he should have been when CeeDee Lamb was active.
58:08In other words, last year when I, you know, George Pickens was like the best pick in the board, late fourth, early fifth.
58:15This year, he had to go at the two, three turn to get George Pickens.
58:20And maybe that was just asking too much of him when CeeDee Lamb is active and earning targets.
58:25Now you can pay a cost and we have George Pickens at 28 overall.
58:30I think the general sentiment out there on George Pickens is that he should be in the 40s or something based on his game log.
58:38And I, you know, I think that if you can get him for something in the 40s, you start to build in
58:44a good base case and then the nuclear case if something happens to CeeDee Lamb.
58:49So the cost matters a lot on guys like this, I think.
58:53And so George Pickens, if you can get him for a guy that we have closer to the 40s or even 50s,
59:00that seems like a total smash to me. This team is going to continue to be in shootouts all season.
59:06And George Pickens remains a total, total freak talent.
59:09I've been in some leagues, 10 team leagues. You can probably get away with that Ollie Gordon or Brian Robinson hype for
59:16an example, for example, for George Pickens, because the star has fallen that far, even though the outlook hasn't changed whatsoever.
59:23This offseason when you were drafting him, he was Dallas T.
59:26Higgins. Right now, he's Dallas T. Higgins. It comes and goes because he's the second best receiver on his team.
59:32But it's still a very good passing offense. I agree with that, Daigle.
59:36However, are you suggesting that someone might accept Ollie Gordon for George Pickens?
59:40I think it's fallen that far on George Pickens that, yes, someone is sick of it.
59:45You know, this thing is a tough exercise because I don't really disagree with Daigle.
59:50There's definitely leagues out there where maybe someone would think about that.
59:54I just, I couldn't fathom. But there's so many different leagues out there and so many different kinds of owners and everything.
60:01Like, it's so hard. But I would hope that no one listening to this would ever consider George Pickens for Ollie Gordon.
60:08That would make me sick. Agreed. Okay. Glad we're on the same page.
60:12All right. That's going to do it for another edition of the Rest of Season Top 150 show.
60:18Appreciate you all being here. If you'd like access to our Wrestling Top 150 all throughout the week or the trade calculator,
60:24you can, of course, pick up ETR's DraftKip Pro.
60:27It's $54.99. Covers the entire calendar year. Four. Daigle.
60:30For Mark. For Jack. I'll be back with Silva and Leonie tomorrow for in-season subscribers for Man vs.
60:36Machine. I am Adam. Good luck, everybody.