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0:44Friends, welcome into Fantasy Focus Football. Mike Clay, Field Yates.
0:46My name is Daniel Dopp. We had football again last night.
0:49We're going to talk about that in a little bit.
0:52We got our week one preview part two coming up for you as well.
0:56Diving into all of the rest of the games to get into.
0:59First and foremost, thank you for hanging out with us.
1:02We'd love being here. Love that you guys are here.
1:04Shout out to Eric Moody and everyone hanging in chat.
1:07We love the chat community that we have. Go follow him at Eric and Moody.
1:11And make sure you check out the Sunday morning show as a second screen experience.
1:15It's going to be a ton of fun there.
1:17And also shout out to our friends over at Trophy Smack.
1:20Trophy Smack always gives us the best stuff. This cool belt in the middle of our table.
1:25Snakeskin belt. I know, Fielder, you're hoping to bring that home so that you can play with it over the offseason.
1:30Better a snakeskin belt than a snake. I agree with you.
1:33That is my stance. Wait, can we win that belt?
1:36Yes, you can win that belt. You can win that belt.
1:39You probably can't win that belt, but Fielder, I might be able to.
1:42Did you just say that to the defending champion of the fantasy focus?
1:46You know, that was a technicality, Mike. I don't think it was.
1:49I don't think it was. It was a technicality.
1:51I'd like to demand a recount on that one.
1:54You circumvented the salary cap. We start calling you Mike Bomber behind the scenes here.
1:58Wow. Rams circumvented the offense last night when they played Thursday night football, unfortunately.
2:01Can we dive into Thursday night football a little bit, friends?
2:04Unfortunately for the Rams, they went down under. Their offense was just hot garbage.
2:08Yeah, playing in Melbourne field. Hey, don't get Mike going on that.
2:11I heard about it. Hey, I'm not the one that was throwing a fit about it.
2:15Can I just say one thing that bothers me about this show before we get started?
2:20About our show? Yes. Okay. Yeah, what's one thing that bothers you off?
2:23Mike dresses too well now. I said the same thing this morning.
2:26He's like, he's fashionable all the time. It's a good looking shirt.
2:30He keeps up on his haircut. I woke up and chose this on my own today, too.
2:34Did you really? I did. It's a great shirt.
2:36I may not have picked it out. Very impressed.
2:39But I picked it out today. He looks great.
2:41Thanks, man. What can I say? You always look so sharp.
2:44I'm just trying to keep up with you. Meanwhile, you're dressing like I normally do.
2:48You got the t-shirt on. This is a handmade shirt from Japan for what it's worth.
2:52No way. For real? It was hand-stitched by a guest.
2:55That's awesome. Go ahead and make fun of me for it.
2:58I'm not making it. No, that's how I usually dress.
3:01I like it. I love that. I love that.
3:03When the Rams play in Japan next year, they're going to fly five hours before the game begins.
3:08Bro, we can talk about that whole thing. Rams had a massive clunker in this one, unfortunately.
3:12Tough week to be the number two quarterback in fantasy football last year as both Drake May and Matthew Stafford.
3:18Really, really tough week ones for these guys. You thought Drake May was bad.
3:21I mean, we did. I mean, it was real bad.
3:24I want to start with, unfortunately, the injury so that we can talk about this because we saw the old men in San Francisco do some things.
3:31But unfortunately, Dejean Stribling went down in this one.
3:34We were so excited about the young kid. All the snaps he was playing, Mike.
3:38He was on the field a ton to start the game.
3:40He was there in terms of snaps and routes.
3:43He was our number one receiver. When he went down with the injury, he was running ahead of Mike Evans.
3:48The targets weren't there yet, but they were coming.
3:51I mean, he was out there running routes. He was going to get some opportunities.
3:55So yeah, that was really unfortunate. It looks like he had an injury left, came back into the game, and then it looked like a non-con.
4:01It wasn't really bad. It was a non-contact injury.
4:04It looks like it's ankle, not knee. For the moment, we'll keep an eye on that.
4:08But definitely concerning. You have to imagine he'll miss time.
4:11It's just a matter of how much. But the old man wide receivers are live.
4:15We talked about this yesterday. We were like, you're going to be looking up at your roster.
4:19It's going to be week five of the season.
4:22You're like, my God, Mike Evans is wide receiver 13 for the year.
4:25May have underestimated Mike by a little bit as he did find the end zone.
4:29Turned back the clock with that goal line fade from Doc Purdy.
4:32That was beautiful. But both he and Debo Samuel found the end zone.
4:36And so for all the hype of Dejan Stripling, and he was playing a lot last night, we said yesterday that season
4:42begins, and we'll see how things evolve once we get into November or December.
4:45It stands to reason that the old guys are going to play and play a lot for San Francisco early in the year.
4:51If you were to ask me going into week two, and I apologize for not even knowing who the Niners play next
4:57week, my confidence level in Mike Evans compared to where it was going into last night.
5:01He was my wide receiver 36 going into last night.
5:04I think he'll be much more like wide receiver 26 for next week.
5:08Yeah, I think that's totally fair. The funny thing is that neither of them actually led the team in receiving.
5:13It was Demarcus Robinson who also had a touchdown revenge game for Demarcus Robinson.
5:17That'll probably be their one, two, three as long as Stripling is out.
5:20But I agree. Evans will be a little higher.
5:22There's going to be a little bit more opportunity target share wise and Debo as well.
5:27I mean, we'll probably rank him as a flex option, maybe a wide receiver three.
5:31He did only have one carry, but that could evolve at some point to maybe two or three carries on top of the target volume.
5:37You know who the San Francisco 49ers play next week?
5:40The Miami Dolphins in San Francisco. Come on. Do they really?
5:43It feels like it's going to be a really good one there.
5:46So the wide receivers are notable, but the biggest story was a different thing.
5:50Yeah, the running backs there. Obviously, you look at it.
5:52CMC looked like a reduced workload. We saw quite a bit of Kaelin Black out there.
5:57Both of the running backs honestly look good when they touch the ball for San Francisco.
6:01But the big story was definitely the split in the workload.
6:04Mike, give us some of the numbers that we saw with the running backs there.
6:08Yeah. So carry wise, Kaelin Black had an edge 14 to 10 over McCaffrey, but he was non-existent in the passing game was Kaelin Black.
6:14He had one target in the game. Christian McCaffrey had eight targets, which is obviously pretty, pretty different.
6:19So, yeah, McCaffrey was at 55 percent of the snaps, which is quite a bit lower than what we're used to.
6:25But he's been not really in that range, but 36 percent of the carries, 24 percent of the target.
6:30So the passing game work, very good. The rushing work seemed to be incredibly efficient.
6:34Very efficient. 10 for 68 on the ground. But it was way lower than what we're used to from him.
6:39I will say this. I think there's reason to believe that it was probably strategic for a guy that, you know, it's a long season.
6:46He's 30 years old. Maybe start him off slow this year, not to mention you're traveling halfway around the world.
6:51So I'll let you guys talk. We'll get into it, obviously.
6:54But I'm not super concerned about this. I want to use the same joke.
6:58What is it? What are you doing? Was that some backpedaling there, Mike?
7:01Oh! Is that what's happening? I'm saying the opposite.
7:04I'm saying I'm not super worried about this. All right.
7:06So I'm going to give a little like one more number that I found very interesting.
7:11And then Dale can take it away. And if he wants the victory lap, he can.
7:15So last night, the snap percentage for Kaelin Black was 43.2.
7:18Is that what you said? In that way, yeah.
7:20Roughly 44%. 44%. Christian McCaffrey got traded to the San Francisco 49ers several years ago now since he was acquired by San Francisco.
7:26Yep. The highest percentage of snaps that are running back not named Christian McCaffrey played in a game in which CMC was active is 51.1%.
7:33That was Jordan Mason week 13 of 2024. Christian McCaffrey got hurt in that game.
7:37Right? Okay. Elijah Mitchell, prior to that, had the second highest percentage of snaps.
7:4138.2 week 17 of 2023. Christian McCaffrey got hurt in that game as well.
7:44Okay. When Christian McCaffrey has stayed healthy, prior to last night, the single greatest percentage of snaps that any running back had played alongside him was 36.5%.
7:51That was Jeff Wilson week eight of 2022. I will note super low volume game.
7:55They won a game against Cincinnati, which they were very efficient offensively.
7:59But last night was different than what we saw last year, for sure.
8:02Yep. Caelan Black, at least out of the gates, feels more real than we have seen a running back behind Christian McCaffrey feel in quite some time.
8:09Four times the charm for these third-rounders. That could be it.
8:12Yeah. For Caelan Black and the Niners, that's correct.
8:15That being said, Christian McCaffrey's got eight targets last night and ran way more efficiently than he did.
8:19Mike mentioned it. Like, they're traveling halfway around the world.
8:22It's a long season ahead. I know the Rams defense did not live up to the hype last night, but still a very talented defense.
8:29I think Christian McCaffrey will be very close to where he was going into my week one rankings and my week two ranks.
8:35Yeah. You feel differently. Can I say one more thing?
8:37Yeah, go ahead, buddy. No, I'm not going to say anything bad.
8:41This is like a Christian McCaffrey game where we're, like, concerned, right?
8:44Like, we're like, oh, no. 18 opportunities, 15 touches, 88 yards, 13.8 fantasy points.
8:47And he didn't even score a touchdown in the game.
8:50I mean, that's a bad day at the office for him.
8:53I mean, it is not uncommon. He's had seasons where he handled about half the carries, 50, 55% of the design runs.
8:59That's not unusual for him. I mean, usually he's higher than that, but he's had seasons like that.
9:04And then he handles 20, 23% of the targets and scores an enormous amount of fantasy points.
9:08So going forward, I will still have him ranked very high.
9:11I think all he needs to do, I think, is add a few more carries a game.
9:16And he'll be right where he's been. And he'll be right in that top three running back where we expected.
9:21So I'd say next week I'll project him to have a slight edge in carries, still a big role in the passing
9:27game, and still be a top five fantasy running back.
9:29That's my take. What say you? I'm not an NFL coach, but this is exactly, because you guys know my concerns with
9:35the workload and all that coming in. This is exactly how I would deploy Christian McCaffrey if I was the actual 49ers.
9:41I think close to it, I would say. I think, I generally agree with you.
9:45I just don't think it's going to be 36% of the carries.
9:48No, no, no. I think it'll be like 52%.
9:51I mean, this is week one traveling halfway around the globe as a part of that.
9:55Next week in Miami, I think we'll start to see, this is more of what we can probably expect from this 49ers
10:01backfield because it's a more standard situation rather than the traveling to Australia, dealing with all that stuff, right?
10:06But all this to be said, like if you told me that they actually limited Christian McCaffrey in week one to like
10:12give him a little bit of that, we want to make sure you're here for the whole season kind of a thing.
10:18That's exactly what I think the Niners need to do.
10:20So there's no victory lap here. I don't think any of that stuff.
10:24He looked great. If he goes in the end zone, he's at what?
10:2719.8. Yeah. So he's still in a good spot until something happens.
10:30He's going to be ranked as a top five running back.
10:33Last thing that I'll say quickly on this game is the Rams had an absolute clunker.
10:37So when you look at a clunker, you have to look at the things that went by design and the things that
10:43not go by design for fantasy takeaways. The Rams don't plan to have Matthew Stafford though for 155 yards.
10:48Devante Adams is not going to have 26 receiving yards most weeks.
10:52Pukun Oku is going to be A, more heavily targeted and B, more productive going forward.
10:56That's all the unplanned stuff, which I'm largely saying week one disaster.
10:59The one thing that was by design that did catch my attention is that this is a true split in the backfield.
11:05And we saw some of this down the stretch last year.
11:08Enough of a split that Kyron Williams found the end zone, had a good game last night.
11:12Not to the point that Blake Corm has standalone value yet for me, but Kyron Williams, a little bit of a stock
11:18down if you were to ask me how I felt about him this morning compared to going into the game.
11:23I don't know. I think it's maybe a tiny bit because the carries were very even, but I thought we kind of projected it that way.
11:30Like I had the carry projections almost even this year, but the big difference is Kyron Williams ran 21 routes in this game.
11:36Blake Corm ran one pass route in this game.
11:39And that was also what we expected this year.
11:41That actually will be narrow. That'll be closer. It's not gonna be one pass route for Blake Corm.
11:46So I feel pretty similar about the two guys.
11:48I agree. No standalone value for Corm. Just yet.
11:51By the way, McCaffrey, not the only like older player who was kind of limited in this game.
11:56You know, we talked about George Kittle. He came out and played a lot of snaps right away and then kind of
12:01faded away as the game went on. But Devante Adams to his snaps were down quite a bit in this game.
12:07So I think there might've been something to that.
12:09Tyler Higby also barely played for the Rams, which was that.
12:12I don't know if that'll change going forward, but it was Parkinson and it was Ferguson for the most part, some Davis Allen mixed in.
12:19But those guys that were, you know, the guys that are like later in their career, all were sort of limited in this game.
12:25So there might be something to that. Last thing I'll say here is Sean McVay tried so hard to get Matthew Stafford's
12:31one rushing yard here in week one. Week one.
12:33Stuffed. And that was a tough one. What a touchdown run too.
12:37I really thought it was a touchdown, but I just don't think they could see enough to overturn it.
12:42I agree. Like they did a good job explaining that in live time.
12:45Yes. If you look down the pylon cam or down the goal line, there was no evidence that he crossed, couldn't see it.
12:51It certainly looked like at first blush, he did get there.
12:54All right. Offensive lineman had a catch. So, you know, yeah.
12:57It all happened. Take Brendel. Did I take the Rams to win that game, by the way?
13:02Yeah. I had the Niners 27 to 7. I'll bet.
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14:38Let's dive into the rest of our week one storylines part two here, my friends.
14:42If you were not here with us yesterday, we dove into a bunch of games yesterday.
14:46You can go back and check that out. Mike, you and I are going to talk about the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cleveland Browns here.
14:52We got some lineup locks on the screen. Quinch on Judkins right now at RB19.
14:56Parker Washington, wide receiver 28 and Harold Fannin Jr.
14:59Tight end four. I would assume that that's it.
15:01Basial Tootin, not necessarily a lineup lock, more of a flex consideration.
15:04Mike, let's talk about this Jaguars wide receiving core because all offseason, we've been talking about who you're going to draft first.
15:10There's like four guys here that you want to maybe consider.
15:13Three, really, that we're really considering. Are you feeling my storyline, by the way, Mike?
15:17Mike, am I? Oh, uh-oh. How are you feeling?
15:19This is a Dopfield one. Oh, that's my bad.
15:22I didn't realize. I saw this at Mike. No, it's Mike.
15:25That's my fault. I'll take them all. That's on me.
15:27That's why I'm here. I'm here to lead the way.
15:30All right. Well, then Field, why don't I talk to you?
15:33I don't want to talk to Mike anyways. That's okay.
15:36First of all, did you guys see the video of Parker Washington discussing a potential extension yesterday on social media?
15:41I did. I did not. Which, the funny thing is, Parker Washington is not new to this, right?
15:46Like, he's been in the league for three years now.
15:48He had an amazing second half of last season.
15:51But he's obviously generated a ton of hype and buzz this preseason that yesterday was the first time a lot of people had ever heard him speak.
15:58Yeah. And his voice just caught people off guard.
16:00I freaking love Parker Washington so much. He's awesome.
16:03Everything about him is awesome. He is so well-spoken.
16:05He just sounds like exactly the kind of guy that you want to reward, which is why by the time we see
16:11him play on Sunday, wouldn't surprise me if he's a fat new contract.
16:14But talking about these Jaguars wide receivers, they have a very deep wide receiver core on paper.
16:19They've got four guys who can really flat out play, right?
16:22They almost had five when they signed Jake Bobo to an offer sheet this offseason.
16:26The Seahawks matched that. Parker Washington, though, is my wide receiver 28.
16:29He is my highest-ranked Jaguars wide receiver going into this game.
16:32Jacoby Myers is wide receiver 36. Brian Thomas Jr., wide receiver 42.
16:35Travis Hunter with all the uncertainty surrounding his role.
16:38Not in my top 50 for wideouts. Here is the thing that we don't—there are two kind of factors working against the Jaguars wide receivers.
16:44One is there's a lot of them. A bunch of them.
16:47Right? So, like, one of them might lead the—one of them is going to lead the team in targets most likely.
16:53He also might have 105 targets, whereas Puka Nakua could have 165 targets leading the Rams, right?
16:57Second of all, I think this Browns defense is obviously the strength of the team.
17:01And it's still going to be pretty good. Not as good as it was last year, but Jared Vers is a really,
17:07really good pass rusher, and they do have a lot of interesting pieces.
17:11And they allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers in 2025.
17:14Now, game script probably influenced that some, right? They're often playing from behind.
17:17Teams are just running the football at the Browns.
17:20But a good defense, more difficult matchup than Parker Washington and the rest of the receivers we'll see going forward.
17:25I have him ranked as my number one Jaguars wideout.
17:28He's also my number one Jaguars wideout, and I think if it wasn't this matchup, he probably would be closer to a
17:33low-end wide receiver, too, than the flex that I have him as.
17:37Because right now, wide receiver 26 is where I've got him, which is more like in the flex radar.
17:42Jacoby Myers, I've also gotten that same range outside top 35 at the wide receiver position.
17:46Brian Thomas Jr. is a straight-up wait-and-see for me.
17:48If I have him on any of my rosters, unless it's like I play four flexes, I am in the let's see what Brian Thomas Jr.
17:55looks like after the first couple games. Because it just feels like the two target monsters in this offense are probably going to be Parker Washington Jr.
18:02and Jacoby Myers. So I'm looking at it the very same way, Field Yates.
18:06Can I say one last thing before you wrap up?
18:09Parker Washington, yes. One thing. Parker Washington was so good down the stretch last year.
18:13Six of his last nine games, he had over 17 fantasy points.
18:16Good at the game. So he's really, I mean, can he continue that?
18:19Because I still think as much as we know about him, if you're just coming into fantasy football or if you're not
18:25like haven't been here for a while, Parker Washington doesn't carry the same name value that a lot of these other guys
18:31do, but he should still be on that radar.
18:33Only thing that I'll say here, just for those that are watching, if you hear us say a rank and it's different
18:39than what you see on the graphics, just keep in mind that we're building graphics throughout the weeks.
18:44We're also adjusting ranks throughout the weeks. And once we pull players from Wednesday or Thursday night football, guys are going to toggle up a few spots.
18:51So I know Daniel and I, I think I said Brian Thomas Jr.
18:55was wide receiver 42 for me. I think he popped up as wide receiver 39.
18:59Yeah, every one spot or two within that range.
19:01You remove Mike Evans. You remove Pukunikua. You remove Don Tavante Adams.
19:04And a guy moves up three spots. If we have a guy that goes from questionable to out, we'll remove him as well.
19:10Just sort of a housekeeping note as we look ahead.
19:13I got the Jags. I got the Jags as well.
19:16I have the Jags. My eliminator pick, by the way.
19:18Oh, yeah? Yep. Okay. Love that. Chargers? I don't know.
19:21I have to think about it. Okay. All right.
19:23Didn't decide yet. Do you have to think about how much you love Jeremiah Love?
19:27Maybe for this week. Maybe for this week. Yeah, maybe for a couple weeks.
19:31Are you tempering expectations but still starting him? Yes.
19:33I'm still going to start him. I have him at 17 in my rankings right now.
19:38So it's kind of a mid to back end.
19:40RB2, of course. You know, look, I talked about this guy all offseason long.
19:44I expect him to have a tremendous rookie season.
19:46This is a pretty tough matchup out of the gate going up against a Chargers defense.
19:50We expect to be pretty good. They didn't face a lot of running back volume last year, but they did face a lot of second fewest fantasy points.
19:58We expect that defense to still be pretty formidable.
20:00I do expect to see it more. Tyler Algier.
20:03I've moved, you know, the carry share primarily more toward Algier for this game, which is why I love who when I
20:08expect a normal workload might be RB7 instead of at RB17.
20:11So yeah, scaling back his role, but not far enough where he's on your bench this week.
20:16I think you like you've spent a second or third round pick on him.
20:20I have to imagine you don't have a running back that's going to be better than him that you could plug into
20:25your lineup if you drafted that way. So so fire him up.
20:29Good job drawing the line between the conversation we had about quarterbacks over the past few days, right?
20:33Where quarterbacks, you might be starting Patrick Mahomes over Drake May.
20:36You might be starting Trevor Lawrence over Drake May or, you know, somebody over Josh Allen will be less likely, but still
20:42there are quarterbacks that are good enough. They're going to be ranked 14th or 15th that you could consider moving that player
20:48inside your starting lineup and removing your normal starter five lineup blocks in this game, by the way, no surprise, Trey McBride,
20:54Jeremiah Love still in lineup block status. And then for the Chargers, three of them, Justin Herbert, Omari and Hampton, Lad McConkie.
21:00Yes, sir. And so to me, the big question mark is, is this offense going to Rad McConkie?
21:05Thank you. My apologies. Will this offense reach the moon this weekend?
21:08It looks like a very good matchup on paper.
21:10This Cardinals defense really struggled down the stretch last year.
21:13We'll see whether Josh Sweat is fully available for this team on Sunday.
21:16He is, I would argue, their best defensive player, maybe Buda Baker, but at least in the conversation, this is an opportunity
21:22for this Chargers team to come out white hot.
21:24They have the highest implied total of the week at 29 points.
21:28That's a big number. Obviously, Justin Herbert is my quarterback two, consensus ranks quarterback four, and it's a great spot for Omari
21:33and Hampton, who is RB6 in the consensus ranks, right around where I have him ranked as well.
21:38A good opportunity for him to feast on what is a porous run defense.
21:42Game script should be positive. I know I've expressed my reservations about just how much Keaton Mitchell is going to impact the
21:48overall workload for Omari and Hampton, but it's a great spot for one of Daniel's guys.
21:52Who are you guys taking in this one? Of course.
21:55The Chargers. Yeah, you can't take good. That was pretty good right there.
21:58I'm going Chargers as well. It wasn't good. It wasn't good.
22:01Do it again. Do it again. The Chargers. That was just as bad.
22:05Just as bad? I don't know. What do you do it?
22:07Go Chargers! Go! That's an Arnold Schwarzenegger impression. Get to the chopper!
22:11Get to the chopper! There we go. I've got to work on mine.
22:14Yes. Producer taking the Chargers as well on that one.
22:17This is probably going to be the most picked eliminator pick of the week.
22:20Yes. Chargers over the Cardinals. That's an easy one.
22:23Big favorite. Nine and a half points. One of the biggest storylines that we have so far this week.
22:28We've been talking about this. Josh Allen taking on the Houston Texans.
22:31Michael Lester Clay Jr. The last couple times that Josh Allen has played Houston, it has been tough.
22:36Are you still projecting him as a starter this week?
22:39He is projected as a starter, but way down at QB4.
22:41Remember, he was by far QB1 this year. So moving him down behind anyone is a big move down the rankings for sure.
22:48You know, I mentioned these stats early in the week, but that was a while ago.
22:52So let's do it again. They played in 2024 to these two teams.
22:55Josh Allen, 9 of 30, 131 yards and one touchdown at 54 rushing yards at 14.6 fantasy points.
23:00And then last year they played 253 passing yards.
23:02Hey, that's a little bit better. But zero touchdowns.
23:05Two interceptions. Took eight sacks and only a 20 rushing yards.
23:08Just 8.1 fantasy points. The Texans last year were terrific against quarterbacks.
23:11No quarterback reached 21 fantasy points against him all of last season.
23:14And as we've talked about, this defense might be better this year on paper.
23:18So a lot of reasons for concern about Josh Allen.
23:20In season long, a normal league, it's going to be very hard to put him on your bench.
23:25The 11th best quarterback is probably not going to have a better outlook than him.
23:29We still know what he can do, what his ceiling is.
23:32But if you have him in DFS, you don't want to use him there.
23:36Don't use him there. Certainly in cash games. And certainly in knockout leagues, he was a dangerous draft pick.
23:41So this is a tricky one for sure. But in season long, I think if you drafted him where you had to take him, he's in your lineup.
23:48I think it's tough to not start Josh Allen, but I'm definitely lowering expectations as you have discussed.
23:53As we are for a lot of the bills here, let's take a quick question from our YouTube chat.
23:58This one comes from Big Clav wants to know, do I start Jared Goff over Josh Allen?
24:03I also have Amon Ross St. Brown in this one.
24:05Love that stack potential there. I'm going to go with no.
24:08That would be a hard trigger for me to pull there personally.
24:11Agreed. I have Goff outside my top 10 for week one.
24:14But I understand the thought process here. Yep. I understand.
24:17I'm not, I don't think I would do it either.
24:20I would still play Josh Allen. There's Josh Allen is still a guy that if things happen right with his legs, if
24:26he falls in the end zone a couple times as a rusher, like he is going to pay off where he's at.
24:31By the way, speaking of as a rusher, James Cook, we have as RB 10.
24:35I mean, this is probably the lowest that we're going to have James Cook ranked for the majority of the season.
24:41I actually moved Cook up a little bit because it looks like Ty Johnson's not going to play, which actually will free
24:47up more targets for James Cook, which I, that was the storyline in the offseason that I wasn't buying into because of Ty Johnson.
24:53But if Johnson's not there, yeah, he will get more pass game work.
24:57Worth noting last year in that clunker by Josh Allen, the James Cook was excellent.
25:01He was terrific. He was one of the best players on the field.
25:04So even if Josh struggles, it doesn't mean that the offense specifically the running game will.
25:08Maybe we throw this on the, on a poll in the chat.
25:12Start or sit Josh Allen. And what I'm hoping is that we both get some instruction from the percentage of votes on either decision.
25:18And then also those that are voting no, can you comment sitting Josh Allen for who?
25:22And I'd be curious to see what kind of answers we come up with.
25:26Maybe a Jared Goff type, maybe a Justin Herbert type, perhaps a Trevor Lawrence.
25:30Maybe you already did so last night with Brock Purdy, although not a lot of people were confident.
25:34Yes. So the poll is up and running right now.
25:37If you want to vote, I'll be curious to see what we get.
25:40Who are you guys taking in this game? I'm going to take, I don't remember who I took in this one.
25:46Did I take the Bills? I took the Bills.
25:48Oh yeah, it's on our sheet. Okay, I like that.
25:51Some people are very, very high on the Texans this season.
25:54I'm not quite there. So I'm sticking with the Texans.
25:57I'm sticking with the Texans. I guess I did.
25:59Texans are at home. I guess that was a close call.
26:02Speaking of the Texans really quickly. I like the Bills overall more than that.
26:06That was amazing. Yeah, that was a great pivot.
26:08Amazing right there. We didn't talk about the Texans really quickly.
26:11David Montgomery. Is he a lineup block? You started him at the running back position this week, Mike.
26:16No, I don't think I list him as a lineup block, but he's close.
26:20He's close. Okay. Him and Nico Collins are the two guys that you're looking at.
26:23By the way, note to all three of us, when we first start the game preview by game, we're going to mention
26:29the lineup blocks because I thought I saw Monty on there, but maybe I'm not.
26:33We'll look at it. I'll make sure. Because sometimes I ask the question and then it goes up on the screen.
26:39We're going to start with the lineup block. That's what we're going to do.
26:43Not preseason anymore. Well, you know, Mike, speak for yourself.
26:45Let's move ahead and talk about the Rams and Patriots late in the game.
26:49Jets and Titans lineup blocks in this one are Brees Hall and Garrett Wilson.
26:53Doesn't mean you have to feel good about starting them, but they are your lineup blocks.
26:57I don't see anyone from the Titans here. Did you forget to put them in the playbook, Mike?
27:02I must have made a mistake. Who's still there on that team?
27:05Wow. Forgetting one important player here. Working through it.
27:07Jeffrey Simmons. An IDP. I mean, you're probably locking him in.
27:10Remember he had a rushing touchdown last year? There you go.
27:13I mean, that's huge. If I'm looking at the Titans, Tony Pollard, outside the RB2, low end flex if I have to start him.
27:20Really don't want to. The question for me becomes one of two things.
27:23It's either Wandel Robinson, who was a volume monster last year for the same coach, but a different team and a different quarterback.
27:29Or can you just fade the excitement of the young first round pick of Carnell Tate here in week one?
27:34I realize people are probably trying to choose between Carnell Tate and Wandel Robinson, but I'm curious, when you're looking at these
27:40guys' field, do you have one of them over the other for week one?
27:44I do. Wandel Robinson is my wide receiver 26 in week one.
27:47The Jets, for a long time, were kind of a stay away because of how good they were on the corner at the cornerback position.
27:54That's not the case anymore. The Jets' cornerback room has been remade, but it is not what it was just a couple
28:00of seasons ago, led by Sauce Gardner and then also DJ Reed.
28:03So the matchup does not scare me that much.
28:05Which Wandel Robinson, I think, is going to feast in terms of volume this season.
28:09This is the last chance, most likely, to use the stat, so might as well say it one more time.
28:15Of the last nine players named Wandel Robinson in the NFL, all nine of them have surpassed 90 catches in back-to-back seasons.
28:20That's incredible. That's a great stat. Mike doesn't ever want to...
28:23I don't even know what you just said. I'm still trying to translate what you just said to me.
28:28I was trying to get you to take the bait.
28:31Come on. I don't know what you said. It made no sense.
28:34The last nine players named Wandel Robinson? What? It was paying homage to the fact that you always said the last nine running backs.
28:41Obviously. Come on. I forgot about that stat. I moved on.
28:43I forgot about that. This game started, guys. We're done with those stats.
28:47Please. Wandel Robinson, my wide receiver, 26. Give us your stat, Mike.
28:50My stat is about Carnell Tate on the other side.
28:53You brought him up as well. I did. We used this one early in the week, so I did want to bring it to the table.
29:00But we talked about... I've mentioned often that wide receivers pick that early in the draft.
29:04Generally, pretty good seasons. Average about a quarter of the targets do receivers picked in the top five, top ten, and are
29:10generally wide receiver twos or threes in fantasy. But then I specifically, much like you do with Jeremiah Love, looked at week one.
29:16Their first game. How did they do? So I looked at 14 receivers who were selected in the top 15 of the
29:22NFL draft and played in week one over the past decade.
29:25That group averaged 11.1 fantasy points per game in their debut.
29:28But high floor, low ceiling, 12 of the 14, got to nine points, which is fine.
29:32Only three got to 16 points. Actually, it was Devontae Smith, Jalen Waddell, and Jamar Chase were the three that got to 16.
29:38So you're probably going to get right around 10, 11, 12 points from Carnell Tate based on history of players of that caliber.
29:44They're the new toy also for Tennessee. They're going to want to feature him and get him the ball.
29:49So there's reason to believe that if you want to throw him in there as your flex or wide receiver three, it'll be fine.
29:55Maybe not spectacular, but fine. Do you guys remember during Jamar Chase's rookie season when he forgot how to catch in training camp?
30:02Yes, because of the stripe on the ball. How's he doing?
30:04Not having the stripe on the ball. Yeah, that's right.
30:07I feel like the jury's still out. Yeah. You think so?
30:10Yeah. Maybe another season and we can tell. I mean, I have him at Dynasty.
30:14What do you think I should do? Trade him to me.
30:17I trade him. Oh, okay. Michael Pittman Jr. is available.
30:20Who is that? Michael Pittman Jr. Michael Pittman Jr.
30:22I like him. Oh, you like him. Yeah, you like him.
30:25You do like him. Michael Jr., which one are you taking in this matchup?
30:29The Jets or the Titans? Maybe the Jets. J-E-T-S.
30:31Jets, Jets, Jets. Jets with your chest, will you?
30:33The Jets. He doesn't know how. I'm going to take the Jets in this one.
30:37You're making sure you're taking the Jets before you say it?
30:40I think the Jets have an average defense. Field, you're taking the Titans.
30:44I love being on an island for a lot of these games, including this one right here.
30:48Jets, Titans. Game is being played in Nashville, which is just the final year of that stadium?
30:53Nashville's going to host the Super Bowl very soon.
30:55They have a beautiful new stadium that's going to be a part of that as well.
30:59This is either the last or the second-to-last year of Nissan Stadium.
31:03Titans, despite some sloppy preseason action, get the job done before they play Mike's Eagles in Week 2.
31:07We'll evaluate that at that time. Hey, you never know what's going to happen in Week 1.
31:12Don't forget the things that happened last year. The Jets lit it up.
31:15Remember, Justin Fields had a huge week. Oh, yeah.
31:18I remember. They were too low on this guy as a passer.
31:21The Raiders beat the Patriots in Week 1 last year.
31:24So just remember not to overreact too much to what goes on in the season.
31:28The last fun game to play on Monday or Tuesday is like the thing that will look the least accurate in Week
31:3317 compared to where it's at right now. And then do like a guess.
31:37And then at Week 17, we're like, oh, yeah.
31:40Remember that time that, I don't know, whatever. Something happened.
31:42We thought Christian McCaffrey was going to be top three and back.
31:45Let's dive into the mailbag, my friends. It's going to be a fun one.
31:49Well done by you. Ball Knowledge producer says, sitting Josh Allen for Drake May.
31:53May didn't work out too great, unfortunately. I guess my bigger question is, why did you draft Josh Allen and Drake May?
31:59And Drake May. Maybe it's one of those 18 leagues or 16 leagues that Mike plays in.
32:03Maybe. But also, if you were moving both of those guys down for matchups, I don't know why.
32:08Allen fell behind May. Like, why did it go like this when they both had brutal matches?
32:12That was a confusing decision. Well, speaking of, Josh Allen, 69% of the chat says they would start Josh Allen.
32:18Okay. Nice. That means 31% says they would. Yeah, that seems about right to me.
32:22I'm not starting Josh for CJ Stroud. I feel CJ has more on his shoulders.
32:26Okay. Okay. Starting Josh and replacing him with Caleb over Allen.
32:29I'm okay with that. That one's from Dunny. Yeah.
32:31I'm fine with Caleb. I don't understand this. Stroud.
32:33Brandon Boone, Dart on Neighbors could be a movie.
32:36Tempted to sit Allen for Jackson Dart. Yeah, that'd be fine with that.
32:39Yeah. I'm good with that one if you wanted to.
32:42Red Alert says, the only time you sit Josh Allen is when he's on a bye week.
32:46You know what? That's a good way to approach fantasy football.
32:49Yeah. I'm with you. All right. Let's move on, guys.
32:52Week one storylines, part two. Moving into what is next here, my friends.
32:56We got the Colts. We got the Ravens. Here are our lineup blocks for the Ravens.
33:00We did it, guys. We're getting there. Derek Henry.
33:02Zay Flowers. All three of those guys you're starting.
33:05All three of them are pretty good at football.
33:07For the Colts, you got Jonathan Taylor and Tyler Warren.
33:10One notable name missing. A guy that's making $28 million this year.
33:13How many wide receivers in the NFL are making almost $30 million and aren't being started in fantasy football in week one?
33:19I think I'm out on this conversation, so why don't I think about it?
33:22Yes, you are out on this conversation. I'm going to see if I can put anyone else.
33:27Is there anyone else? So let's talk about Alec Pierce.
33:30If you drafted him, you drafted him when he had probably a red O next to his name because he missed a lot of the preseason.
33:36You may have knocked him down a few rounds.
33:39I like that. Exactly. You might have put him on your IR.
33:42You might not have to use Alec Pierce this week, but let's just say that maybe you're weak at the wide receiver spot.
33:48What are you projecting for him, understanding we didn't really see a lot in the preseason?
33:52Yeah, rolled back his target share a little bit.
33:55I'm at wide receiver 40 is where he ended up in the projection slash ranking.
33:59So in a 12-team league, could you slide him into your flex spot?
34:02Yeah, maybe, but there's risk here. This guy missed basically the entire offseason after that ankle slash heel surgery back in March.
34:08But the good thing is the Colts all along said he's trending to play week one.
34:12That's the plan. And nothing ever changed. He was right on track and ended up ready to go for week one exactly as they planned.
34:19The one thing that could draw you away in addition to that is the fact that we didn't really see it with Daniel Jones early last year.
34:26A lot of his damage came down the stretch last year.
34:29There's a lot of, you know, we also need his role to evolve a little bit.
34:33But this is a guy that's never put up big numbers in terms of target volume, target share, catches.
34:38He really relied on elite efficiency. He actually led all receivers in yards per catch, yards per target, and averaged up the target now two consecutive seasons.
34:45So we need a more well-rounded target tree for him this year.
34:49I think that will come in time. But I think he might be limited in this game.
34:53So it's enough for me to say, I'm going to hold off for a week and see where he is.
34:58I came up with just one answer that might be even close to Alec Pierce, who makes $30 million a year or close to it.
35:05Okay. Chris Cobbin. Okay. Sure. I don't know exactly where he ranks in consensus ranks, but I would say that there are
35:11going to be a lot of people that do not play Chris Cobbin this week.
35:15Yeah. That's a good call. And for different reasons, interestingly, too.
35:18Yeah. That one's just like... Is he still the same player?
35:21Yeah. Exactly right. Yeah. For what it's worth, Brandon Ayuk is still making $30 million.
35:25All right. Let's move ahead. To not play. Oof.
35:27Yeah. He's not making it now, right? Colts and Ravens.
35:30No, he's making it right now. No, he's not getting paid, right?
35:33He's on their left squad list. I think he's on the left squad, so he might be surrendering it.
35:38Oh, did he surrender the money as a part of it?
35:41He's on the reserve left squad list. No. So you can't...
35:44How do you think he feels today? Not good.
35:46Anything else in this Colts-Ravens game that you want to cover?
35:49No. Okay. All right. No. No. Do you want to...
35:52I'm just excited to see the offense in Baltimore.
35:54Me too. Baltimore. That's it. Yeah. Indy. Ravens. I'm picking the new Colts, the Ravens.
35:58Did you see Madden? The new Colts. You know, our friends at Madden did their simulation of the season that they always
36:04do, and did they won the Super Bowl? Who won?
36:07The Colts. Seriously? Nomination. Yeah. Who did they beat?
36:09Bucs, I think. Wow. It was a Colt beat the Bucs.
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37:37Terms and more at AppleCard.com. All right, let's move ahead and talk about some Panthers running backs.
37:42This is exciting. Chicago and the Panthers. Lineup blocks are heavy for the Chicago Bears, and probably will be for the entirety of the season.
37:48I sure hope so. DeAndre Swift, Roma Dunze, assuming that everything's good to go, seems like it is right now.
37:54Roma's been practicing this week, which is a good time.
37:56Yeah, it looks good. Like that. That bumps the burden down a little bit, but still a lineup block.
38:01And then Colston Loveland, obviously. For the other side, the Carolina Panthers, it is Tedaroa McMillan, the only person that we're not really talking about.
38:08I guess Caleb Williams is a lineup block, depending on where you're at in the quarterback conversation.
38:12For the Panthers, the question really is running backs.
38:15I'm curious where you guys are at on both of these guys.
38:18Mike, you and I are diving into Jonathan Brooks and Shuba Hubbard.
38:21I think this is the least exciting running back room in all of fantasy football.
38:25Maybe. Less exciting than the commanders is what you're saying.
38:28I think it's less exciting than the commanders. I kind of disagree, just because Jonathan Brooks was a...
38:33He was the first... I know it was a weak class, but he was the first running back picked three years ago,
38:38and he was a second-round pick, and the hopes were he would be a feature back in the NFL.
38:43You know, effective rusher, can play in passing situations as well.
38:46So I would imagine the Panthers are hoping that he takes some control here at some point and becomes their feature back.
38:52However, I don't think that's going to happen right off the bat.
38:55I think it's going to lean towards Shuba Hubbard.
38:58I think it'll be close, but I have Hubbard 28, Brooks 29.
39:01I think both of these guys play a lot, and obviously where I rank them tells you what I'm doing here, which
39:07is I'm playing neither of them here. Yeah, not playing either one.
39:10I'm just going to wait and see if I have a moment.
39:13That's where I'm at. Jonathan Brooks has not been able to stay healthy.
39:17Right. Shuba Hubbard has not been able to, after signing a big deal, hold off the competition.
39:21Rico Dowdle became the guy last year over Shuba Hubbard for a while.
39:25Yes. That's the thing, is I think that Shuba's got nine lives.
39:28He's a cat, right? Like, I think he's going to, over the course of the season, consistently...
39:32By the end of the year, his average role per game, even if he has a couple of games where Jonathan Brooks
39:38dominates opportunities, by the end of the year you're going to be like, yeah, another season with Shuba Hubbard averaging 16 opportunities a game, right?
39:45I hope. I really hope not. You know what?
39:47This is... If you put a mushroom to my head, just for sake of the conversation, you put a mushroom to my
39:53head and said, pick one of these two, I would do Jonathan Brooks over Shuba Hubbard for the full season.
39:58I'm wondering why that is. It had been. I have two...
40:01But before I... If you put a mushroom to my head...
40:04Yeah, don't put vegetables that close to my face, Phil.
40:07Okay. So that's like a comment... I'm changing it.
40:09He's changing the expression. Changing the expression. Is it usually put a vegetable to my face?
40:13Is that what... No, no, no. It's a different thing that you put to your head.
40:18Oh, okay. Gotcha. Gotcha. Gotcha. I was going to say...
40:20Whoa. All right. Sorry. Our producer, Christina, thankfully, clarified that.
40:23We got there. Yeah. Yeah, he does. I too.
40:25Yeah. Don't put a mushroom to my head. I think the Panthers are going to be judicious with Jonathan Brooks.
40:31Back-to-back years with a major, major knee injury. Or back-to-back NFL seasons that were impacted by that.
40:35His college injury kept him out of his rookie season in the NFL.
40:39Normally, I would not bring this up. Uh-oh. But it caught my attention yesterday.
40:42And it reminded me that even if he's less explosive and Jonathan Brooks has some games in which he rips off a
40:48few big runs, Chuba Hubbard was named a team captain for the Panthers once again yesterday.
40:53Yeah. And it was like some of the reporting I saw was Chuba remains amongst, if not the most respected player in the locker room.
40:59A little bit of James Conner vibe from the past few years in Arizona.
41:03Yeah. I know. I know. I know. It's not like he's going to...
41:06I'm not saying... This is not a pro-Chuba Hubbard case.
41:09It's more of an anti-is Jonathan Brooks going to eventually emerge?
41:12As the guy... I hear you. I think a lot like last year, though, if Brooks comes out and he's what they
41:18hoped he would be when they drafted him and he's playing well.
41:21And Chuba Hubbard, who, by the way, was like maybe the least efficient running back in the league last season, certainly in the bottom five.
41:28I think it's going to change. Now, again, I'm leaning the veteran week one.
41:31But I think Brooks starts making some plays. I think that could change.
41:35I'm leaning dead zone for the season. That's where I'm leaning.
41:38Right? The more important takeaway is I'm leaning dead zone.
41:40There's a few of those, right? I'm leaning dead zone there.
41:43I'm leaning dead zone Washington. Yes. Haven't decided yet on Tennessee.
41:46I actually kind of think Tony Power would be okay this...
41:49Like more than okay this year. Denver feels like a dead zone to me.
41:53Mm-hmm. Am I missing any other obvious dead zones amongst running backs?
41:56Uh, not off the top of my head. Yeah.
41:58Nothing's coming to me at the moment. Is Mike worth anything to this podcast?
42:02We can't even name dead zones? Not on top of his head.
42:05Washington. Did you say Washington? Who are you taking in this game, by the way, guys?
42:10I got the Bears. Me too. I have the Bears.
42:12It's going to be hot in Carolina. Did you guys see it was 57 degrees yesterday?
42:16Here? In Australia? Oh, there. Yeah, I was going to say here it was hot.
42:20Yeah, it was very warm yesterday. All right. We got the Bears across the board.
42:24We have one more game where you guys are going to talk about Giants taking on the Dallas Cowboys.
42:29Now we're talking. This is an exciting one. It's the first time these two teams have played on Sunday Night Football since
42:35the last time they played on Sunday Night Football, which I think was like five minutes ago.
42:40That's a juicy, hefty, build-up lineup lock sheet, Daniel.
42:42Yeah, give it to me, Field. Can you tell I'm high on these two teams this year?
42:47They were so high. Jackson Dart and Dak Prescott, both lineup locks.
42:50Two running backs, Javante Williams and Kim Scadaboo, plus three wide receivers.
42:53Seedy Lamb, Malik Neighbors, George Pickens. This game is going to be 13-10.
42:57That's exactly what's going to happen, guys. Cowboys are my sleeper NFL team this year.
43:01Giants are my super sleeper NFL team this year.
43:03Wait a minute. I think it would be your sleeper NFL team and your super sleeper NFL team.
43:08Come on. I had to. I mean, the Giants, that's a call.
43:11That's a bold call. Cowboys, I don't think it's a bold call, saying they're going to be better.
43:16Agreed. And honestly, if you think about it, if Mike is correct and the Cowboys do become a great team, they'll finally get coverage here on ESPN.
43:23It's about time. You know what? That's good. They've needed it.
43:26They've needed it. It's about time. It's funny. I've heard so many people make this point now that it feels like it's just accepted.
43:32It's amazing how quiet Jerry Jones has been this offseason.
43:35We've talked so little. We've had so few opportunities to be like, welcome into NFL Live.
43:39Jerry Jones says yesterday the Cowboys are about to beat the crap out of the Giants in week one.
43:44Should he have said this? No. Right? It's like, he's been like, yeah, I'm excited about our improvements on both sides of the ball.
43:50It's either that or there is an offseason contract in which he is noncommittal and like drags it out super long, I feel like.
43:57And that hasn't happened right now. Right. They like right away were like, we're not paying George Pickens.
44:02Yeah. And they got the other deals done that needed to get done.
44:05That was wild. They made it very clear what their intentions were.
44:08Williams done. No big deal. Right? Yeah. They have some, some online injury concerns right now.
44:13Tyler Smith's out, but they, you know, the team's on paper looks pretty good.
44:16That doesn't always translate. Coaching is very important. We'll see.
44:19But on paper, they look, look pretty good in the Giants.
44:22I just think you, if that offense makes a big leap, obviously the, the defensive line is maybe the best in the NFL.
44:28I mean, it's unbelievable. You can include Arvel Reese in there too.
44:31Obviously it's going to play off. They're so loaded at edge that he's playing a full-time off ball linebacker.
44:36I mean, I think Seattle. No doubt. But I mean, I'm just saying that group is unbelievable.
44:41And then you talk about the better offensive line and all the skill guys of Jackson Dart makes a leap and these guys are healthy.
44:47I mean, it could be, it could be lights out.
44:50So I'm, this is the game I'm most looking forward to this week for sure.
44:54And we have to wait till Sunday night. The Cowboys profile is one of those teams that we don't necessarily need to
45:00do a lot of analysis week in and week out on, right?
45:03Like you're probably going to start the quarterback, the two running backs and the wider, sorry, the quarterback, the running back and the two wide receivers.
45:10Yeah. But for the Giants, Mike, I do think we have to address what for now is a question mark, which is will Malik Nabors play?
45:17Malik Nabors has said to the media, the call to play on Sunday night is his.
45:21He's been practicing in full. So you would think a guy who gets a full week of practice and has looked so
45:27good on the highlights that we have seen in training camp has a real shot to play.
45:31I don't know if this is, did you guys see the John Harbaugh clip?
45:35Yes. Did you see it or no? Which one was it?
45:38John Harbaugh basically came out to the media and on Wednesday of this week or Tuesday of this week, he was like, here's the deal.
45:45Don't ask me about who's playing. Don't ask me what personnel group we're going to lean on.
45:49Don't ask me about the playbook. Because if I tell you, I'm telling the Cowboys and I'm not doing it.
45:55So just don't bother asking all season. Them's the rules.
45:57Now, John Harbaugh's got nearly 20 years of NFL head coaching experience on his side.
46:01So I think he probably will get a little more deference, even in a very difficult media market like New York, than
46:07a new first time head coach would get. But he's not going to say a thing about Malik Nabors status.
46:12The team has to submit an official injury report later on today, Mike.
46:16How are you ranking and sort of playing him with this level of uncertainty currently facing?
46:20I rolled him back a little bit, but he's still wide receiver 18 right now.
46:24So I'm starting Malik Nabors this week if I have him.
46:27Again, you needed to spend like a third round picking him.
46:30What are the odds that the guy you took in the seventh or eighth or ninth round is going to be better than the outlook for Malik Nabors?
46:37So he's going to be in your lineup. And look, it's not just the coming off the injury.
46:42There are a lot of changes here. It's basically a new quarterback.
46:45Remember, three targets to him last season from Jackson Dart to Malik Nabors.
46:49New head coach, new play caller. But I think that the Giants, and we talked about this earlier in the week, they
46:55kind of tipped their hand a little bit when they cut Darius Slayton.
46:58I mean, on something. Yes, if Malik Nabors is going to be limited to 10 snaps or inactive, you're going to roll
47:04out Darnell Mooney, Odell Beckham, and Malachi Fields, and maybe Braxton Berrios is your four if they bring him up.
47:09They'll bring him up off the practice squad. I'd say he likely is their four, right?
47:13Yeah, he'll be there too. You know, I do think there'll be a lot of heavy personnel for this offense this year,
47:19but I think they tipped their hand that Nabors is ready to go for a pretty sizable role.
47:24I don't think it's going to be like George Kittle was last night where he played like, what, 40% of the snaps?
47:30Probably more than that. When they're throwing the ball, I think Nabors plays.
47:33Also, a huge game here against the Cowboys. So, I feel pretty confident that we're looking at a 20-25% target share.
47:39Not 35%. Sure. Where he's been in his career so far, which is an enormous number, but enough where he should be in your lineup.
47:46Who are you taking in this one? I'm taking the Cowboys.
47:48How about them? Me too. Really? I'm taking the Giants in this one.
47:52Split picks. All right. And our producers going with the Giants.
47:55Love that as well. 50-50 split. So, one of us will be right.
47:58Yes. Or two of us. Two of us, technically.
48:01I'm not a math guy. Yeah, it's not a big deal.
48:04By the way, Cam Skadaboo was on lineup locks.
48:06It was a borderline call. But again, where you drafted him, I feel like you're going to start him.
48:11There's some uncertainty about how much Najee Harris is going to play, but he'll be in there.
48:16My bad for not addressing that because that was my talking about.
48:19Was it? Yes. Like, for this week, we will see how much Najee Harris plays.
48:23Sorry, Mike. But this week, I'm treating it as Cam Skadaboo is the guy, and the role is not as great as
48:29it was last year, but it's still plenty good enough to be inside my lineups.
48:33He is my RB 16. Let's bring back one of our favorite segments.
48:36We're going to close out this show with a couple things.
48:39One of them is the Raheem Sanders Monopoly Fund.
48:41We're picking a player rostered under 1% of leagues to get in the end zone.
48:45Eli Raritan? Yes. Was he under 1%? Absolutely. Yes, he was under 1%.
48:49And last night? He was the first player to score.
48:51I think I saw he was plus 6,500 at some point.
48:54No way. Wow. He was the first touchdown scorer of that.
48:57First touchdown scorer? Yes. We really had a lot of fun with this last year.
49:01And we started, I think, at 5%. And then basically every time we made a pick that was correct, we would have it.
49:07So 5 to 2.5 to basically 1%. And by the end of the season, we were picking players that were unrostered.
49:13Yes. Under 0.1% was where we stopped. Insane. We stopped the count.
49:16Like, not to brag, but let's brag a little bit.
49:19Like, we had an insane run last year. Let's see if we can do it again.
49:23I don't have the exact math on it, but if somebody had tailed these picks last year, they would have been way up.
49:29So these are long, long, long shots. Yeah, some people did.
49:32Two of the first three touchdowns this season were scored by players that were rostered in under 0.1% of fantasy leagues.
49:38Raritan and DeMarcus. And DeMarcus Robinson. Yeah. DeMarcus Robinson.
49:40At that 0.1%. Kyron Williams got in the end zone in between there.
49:43So yeah. Two of the first three. Let's make sure that we get these then, guys.
49:48Field, why don't we start with you? Okay. So my pick is Chicago Bears play on Sunday afternoon in Carolina.
49:53We discussed that already. We've got lineup blocks and Romba Dunze and also Colston Loveland and also Luther Byrd in the third.
49:59So why not go with Kalief Raymond? The widely veteran.
50:02The former Lion. Former Holy Cross standout. Knows his Ben Johnson system perfectly.
50:05At the beginning of last year, I'll remind people that Olamide Zaccheaus was playing like an actual role for the Bears.
50:11He was seeing a decent amount of targets. Yep.
50:13I think Kalief Raymond will have a Olamide Zaccheaus type role, not just early in the season, like all throughout the season.
50:19He's a more reliable player than Zaccheaus is. He'll also be their punt returner.
50:22Give me Kalief Raymond. And I should say that if you hear somewhat flimsy logic for these picks, a reminder, we're picking
50:28players that are not rostered in more than 1% of leagues.
50:31Yeah. Exactly. All right. Then I'm going to go next if you don't mind, because why not stick with the Chicago Bears?
50:37Someone's got to be right here. This is a good pick though.
50:40Cole Komet at the tight end spot. Looking at a situation.
50:43Maybe you get a goal line situation where you just get a nice little easy dump off.
50:48I'm not looking for fantasy points. I'm looking for touchdowns, my friends.
50:51Cole Komet under 1%. And especially here in week one, it's really tough, honestly, to pick.
50:55We're just, we're throwing darts right now. So we got two darts at the Bears offense.
50:59Not a bad offense to throw a dart at.
51:02Not at all. That's a great offense to throw a dart at.
51:05By the way, if you guys both hit in week one, fantasy managers are going to be furious about this.
51:10Screwed. Right. Yes. Maybe Caleb Williams would be okay.
51:13Yes. Cole Komet and Kalief Raymond and Xavier Thomas all get in the end zone in week one and everyone's thrilled.
51:18If I'm not mistaken, Cole Komet was a hit last year on the Raheem Sanders funds.
51:23Yes. I think our producers hit Cole Komet. Okay.
51:25I think my guy might've been a hit as well.
51:28Yes, it was actually. As a matter of fact, Mike.
51:30Yes, I remember. Your guy was the first player to score two touchdowns.
51:34Two touchdowns. Yes. One made as a Raheem Sanders fan.
51:36You picked him, right? Yes. My guy is Xavier Hutchinson.
51:39Look at that. Against the Bills. No Tank Dell.
51:41Yep. No Jaden Higgins. All eyes, of course, are on the other wide receivers there.
51:45Jalen Knoll. A Cajon Booty they bring in. Yep.
51:48You go Collins. But how about a guy who averaged 39 snaps and 24 pass routes per game for Houston last season?
51:54He had three touchdowns last year. Two in one game, as you said.
51:57Had a handful of end zone targets as well.
51:59And by the way, no more Sean McDermott with the Bills anymore.
52:03I don't. I have this defense in my unit grades ranked 27th.
52:06Do I have the Bills defense? Is that right?
52:08Houston at home. A couple of touchdowns maybe for them.
52:11And certainly Hutchinson could sneak one in there. 0.9% rostered.
52:14I meant to be better about this. And I will be better about this every week going forward and reminding everybody.
52:19But do you guys know the DraftKings odds for an anytime touchdown for your pick?
52:23I did not pull that up. Mine for Khalif Raymond is plus 650.
52:27So if you were to bet $1 and Khalif Raymond were to score a touchdown, you would in turn collect 750.
52:32So a $6.50 profit. Correct. Back. That's actually better than I would have thought.
52:36Or like worse odds than I thought. I thought it would have been more of a longer shot.
52:41But fair enough. You know, if my research on the sportsbook seemed to suggest that most of the, like it wasn't going
52:46to be a whole lot higher than that. Yeah.
52:49I was looking at touchdowns as well. I do an article every week.
52:52It's a top like 30 projected touchdown scores for my projections each weekend.
52:56It shows those exact numbers. You know, essentially the juice on the.
52:59Who is the number one? Jamerion. Jamerion. Jamerion is by far.
53:02Even money? No. No. He's like minus 265 or something.
53:05Yeah. It's pretty gross. But still worthwhile, I think.
53:07I'm looking at Xavier Hutchinson right now. Xavier Hutchinson is plus 400 for an anytime touchdown.
53:11And our friends over at DraftKings. There are odds there.
53:14Yeah. We can dive into that. We can do that.
53:16And then I'll look up Cole Komet later. I'll put it out on the end.
53:20But let's dive into starts of the week. Because starts of the week are going to be fun, my friends.
53:26We did this last year. Yep. We're picking our starts at one start at every single one of the positions.
53:31What we did is we have a do not draft list at each one of the positions.
53:36I'm going to show it up on the screen here.
53:38Josh Allen, Drake May, Lamar Jackson, Jaden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow.
53:41You're starting those guys every single week, basically. We're not allowed to pick them.
53:45Yeah. 30 total players are ineligible. For the running backs, the do not draft list includes Jameer Gibbs, Bajon Robinson, Christian McCaffrey.
53:51I'm glad that we did bi.robinson so we didn't confuse him with Brian Robinson.
53:55Jonathan Taylor, James Cook, and Devon A. Chan. All of those are do not draft eligible.
53:59As well as Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Ashton Gentty, Ken Walker III, Chase Brown, and Omari and Hampton.
54:04That's a hefty list of running backs we're not allowed to pick for starts of the week.
54:08But they all felt too top heavy, excuse me, for the wide receivers.
54:12Jamar Chase, Puka Nakua, JSN, Amon Ra, Justin Jefferson as well.
54:15Those are the top five we cannot go with.
54:17And then CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Nico Collins, A.J.
54:19Brown, and George Pickens as well. Those guys are ineligible at the tight end spot.
54:23It's just the top two. And McBride and Bowers, when we make a pick, we are not allowed to pick that player
54:29again for the rest of the season. So it's a little bit like the eliminator kind of thing.
54:34Yeah, when you pick a guy, that's your one week that you're going to use him.
54:38So we're going to start with you, Field. Last thing is none of us can make the same pick each week.
54:44Correct. So we did a draft. We did this offline over the past few days.
54:48Mike thought there was collusion until he saw he got the first pick, and then he thought there was no more collusion.
54:54So he was okay with it. Why don't we start with Mike because you had the first pick.
54:58Okay, sure. The 30 ineligible players are off the board.
55:01You can go any direction you want, Mike. And you ended up.
55:04My first pick was your guy because I knew you would want him.
55:08So I snagged him early. I sniped you. Justin Herbert up against Arizona.
55:11I think it's a great opportunity to utilize him at home.
55:14Lots of like here with Herbert. So he's my – are we going around our draft or are we just going?
55:20Yeah, you just do your pick. I'll do the whole thing.
55:23So Herbert's my quarterback at home against Arizona. My running back is Javante Williams going into New York to play the Giants.
55:28We just talked about that game, obviously, coming off a big year.
55:32Last year is Javante. Expect him to be featured once again.
55:35Chris Olave is my wide receiver against the Detroit Lions.
55:37No Jordan Tyson early in the year. So there's some strategy to this, right?
55:41He's probably – the target share might dip in the second half of the season a little bit.
55:46So I'm going to take advantage now against a Lions secondary, by the way, that as we've talked about, very shorthanded right now with all the injuries.
55:53And then Michael got lucky he was on the clock when some news came out with this last one, Mike.
55:58I was wondering if you guys are going to give me a hard time about this.
56:02And I almost texted you first, but I was like, it'll be better if I just do it.
56:07So, you know, just for fun of the game.
56:10Michael Mayer. Took Michael Mayer. We started this draft before the Brock Bowers news came out.
56:14He was playing. Yes, he was good to go.
56:16Yes. Head coach said everyone's playing. And then Mike had yet to take his tight end, and it's like, oh, just by happenstance.
56:22Hey, look, this is how slow drafts go, too, in fantasy.
56:25That is exactly right. You probably will never use Michael Mayer again this season.
56:29So why not, if you can, in week one, where he's going to have potentially as big of a target share.
56:35We'll probably use him in week two. Like if Bowers came out again.
56:38There's a chance. Now's our only chance. But he was available, and I had to roll with him, of course, with Brock Bowers out.
56:44By the way, also, we talked about this. His target share last year when Bowers was out was 25%.
56:49That's pretty good. And they're playing Miami at home.
56:52I mean, it's a good matchup as well. I promise you at some point I'm going to double pick a player.
56:57So please hold me accountable. But in week one, that's not possible.
57:01The anchor of my team, my first pick, was Teddero McMillan.
57:04Love that. Looking for a player that's elite, right?
57:06Because you want to score a lot of points, obviously.
57:09And a good matchup, too. And I think it's a great matchup against the Bears.
57:13The Bears have some question marks in the secondary.
57:15There's been a lot of talk and some film of Teddero McMillan operating out of the slot.
57:19The Bears' Kyler Gordon, who is their number one slot corner normally, is not healthy.
57:23He's out, Teddero McMillan. My quarterback is Jackson Dart.
57:26There are actually a lot of quarterbacks that are bad matchups this week.
57:29That was part of the appeal of Justin Herbert as not just the first quarterback taken, but the first player taken in the entire draft.
57:36You go outside the top 10, guys like Patrick Mahomes in a tough spot.
57:40Bo Nix in a tough spot, potentially, against the Chiefs in that same game.
57:43Jackson Dart against the Cowboys on Sunday night. My running back, keep it in New York, is Breece Hall.
57:48The Jets against the Titans. I do think that Titans front seven is going to give a lot of teams some fits.
57:54But Brees Hall, one of the better picks amongst the running backs that were still eligible.
57:59And then I did kind of pay up, if you will, at tight end.
58:02I have used potentially tight end three for the season.
58:05Colston Loveland in week one. I figured there was a chance that if I don't do it, you guys are going to grab him.
58:11So Loveland is my tight end pick. Love that.
58:14All right, good squad. And then I picked third, which means I was at the turn.
58:18So I got two picks in a row. My first two picks, very first one, was Travis Achan.
58:23Took him at the running back spot, taking on my Detroit Lions.
58:26Lions are usually pretty good against running backs. However, I do expect the Saints to be trailing in this one.
58:31I expect there to be a lot of passing game usage for Achan as well.
58:35So of the running backs that were left, I went with him.
58:38Then I went with Lad McConkie slash Lad McConkie.
58:41Also, I just want a piece. We all do.
58:43If we can get a piece of this offense in fantasy this week.
58:47Yeah. Right. Yeah. Mike wanted Justin Herbert. We can't use Omar Ian Hampton because he's ineligible.
58:51So I decided to grab Lad McConkie with what he could be as the wide receiver one here.
58:56And then for my third and fourth pick, I went with Dak Prescott at the quarterback spot, taking on the Giants.
59:01Also expecting a lot of points to be scored in that one.
59:04An easy one to be able to grab. And I went deeper at tight end than you guys did.
59:09I'm doubling up on Saints going with my guy, Juwan Johnson, taking on the Detroit Lions as the number two option here in this Saints offense.
59:16In my mind, behind your pick, Chris Olave. So we'll see how that one works out.
59:21I got two Saints. We picked three Saints this week as well.
59:24This is fun. Yeah, we're in on the Saints.
59:26This is a fun way to be cool. It's going to be cool to see how this all takes shape this year.
59:32There's a lot more strategy involved. We're going to...
59:34Punishments are a little bit more real too, guys.
59:37They're real ridiculous, if you're asking me. So next week, when are we spinning the wheel?
59:41Well, you'll... Early in the wheel? You'll spin the wheel early next week once we find out how many...
59:46Oh, I will. Yeah, how many points you score.
59:48Lose by? Yeah. Well, if I'm spinning the wheel, that means your guy Justin Herbert got off to a bad start probably.
59:54Oh, no! So you win other ways, is what you're saying.
59:57Yeah. Yeah. Sorry, that's what it is. Either I could brag or I have to spin a wheel.
60:02It's going to be fun. I love being able to do starts of the week.
60:06We also love these chat questions from you guys.
60:08Let's dive into a few more questions from our mailbag.
60:11Dunny wants to know, hey guys, Bowers went down.
60:13Should I start Mayer or Darren Waller this week?
60:16By the way, Waller... I don't know. Do we mention him the whole summer?
60:20I mean, he signed with the Panthers and... I mean, when he has been on a team and has played, he's had decent target shares.
60:26Like, he might kind of sneak up on us here in week number one.
60:30But I... You know, I still have him kind of buried.
60:33It's not like it's a great offense or anything.
60:35He's like, maybe my tight end 24 or something like that.
60:38But the answer here is, of course, Michael Mayer was featured big time when Bowers was out last year and was productive.
60:44I lean towards Michael Mayer strongly as well. Yes.
60:46Big time. Every time you say big time, I just need you to know I think of...
60:51I Love You, Man. Great movie. Because he... If you remember, they're trying to be able to figure out with Paul Rudd,
60:57like how he's, you know, playing the bass. Big time.
60:59Slepping the bass. Slepping the bass, man. Yeah, he does it poorly.
61:03Anyways, you do it just like Paul Rudd, which is super white and straight.
61:06All right, let's do the next one. PickleSG wants to know, start Daniel Jones and Malik Willis for your QB2 guys.
61:12First time making a live show. Thank you. Hey, shout out.
61:15Hang it out for the live show. We love that.
61:17Let's go. I'm going Daniel Jones here. I think I would too.
61:21It's funny. I have them back to back. These are always the hardest ones.
61:2419 and 20. I do have Jones just ahead.
61:27We're still kind of learning what we're going to get out of Malik Willis.
61:30Jones has better options. Jones has better talent around him.
61:33And I still think he utilizes his legs a little bit, though.
61:36Not as much as we've seen coming back from that injury.
61:39All right. A couple more questions here from our chat.
61:42This one comes from Brandon Boone. Rashi Rice taking on a tough Broncos matchup or T Higgins this week?
61:47This is a really good problem to have, huh?
61:49Yeah. I lean towards Rashi. Yeah, I'm definitely going to go on Rice.
61:53I don't expect him to see a lot of Pat Sertan in this game, as I've talked about.
61:58Higgins actually was looking at his under on receiving yards as well.
62:01So I'm kind of probably a hair overvalued here against him.
62:04Okay. I'll go with Rashi Rice as well. The number one wide receiver in that offense is where I would land.
62:09A couple more here. Tyler Harris wants to know, should I start Rico Dowdle or Carnell Tate in my flex?
62:15This is someone that has a real... These are my favorite questions.
62:18It's the running back versus wide receiver in the flex conversation because it's like, which one has the upside?
62:23Do I need the floor? Do I need the upside?
62:25I don't... Yeah. I'm going to tip you off.
62:28We never do this, but I think both of these guys are in our flex segment on Sunday.
62:33Hey! There we go. That's supposed to be blind to you.
62:36I know one of them is. The other one might not be.
62:39I wasn't supposed to do that, but it's just amazing to your point.
62:42Yeah. That he asked this question and those are...
62:45I had to pick five names to tee you up on it.
62:48And those were definitely two that I considered. So...
62:50The right question. That's for me. What? Rico for me.
62:53You're going, Rico? Interesting. I have them both projected right around 12 points.
62:56It's a close call. But I've asked this question already this week.
62:59Do you like fun? Yes. Give me Carnell Tate.
63:02Carnell Tate. First NFL game. Let's go. I want him in my lineup.
63:05Dang it. So you like Rico and you like Carnell Tate.
63:08That was from Tyler, you said in the chat?
63:11Yes, I believe so. I like... I kind of think I would go with Rico as well.
63:15Unless I... If I'm projected... And I'm looking... And our friend Michael does the projections.
63:19If I'm projected to lose by like 15 or 18 points, then I'm going with the upside of Carnell Tate maybe.
63:25Maybe you get a deep pass. Maybe you get something.
63:27I just... I think Rico week one is just going to touch the ball more.
63:31Maybe. I don't know. I don't know what they're going to do there too.
63:35We'll find out. We'll find out. All right. At HD Productions wants to know, Travis Achan over Jeremiah Love?
63:40Question mark? Interesting one here. We should point this out.
63:43When I initially did projections for the Saints backfield, I don't think Alvin Kamara probably wasn't going to play.
63:48Now it looks like he is going to play in this game.
63:51Quite a bit of confidence. So that did shift Achan down a little bit, but he's still one spot ahead of Jeremiah Love.
63:57So I'm going to go Achan this week, and we'll see how good Love is.
64:01Can I ask you something? Yeah. Do you like fun?
64:04I do. Give me Jeremiah Love. That was his straight face too.
64:07He's like, I do. Yeah. I do like fun.
64:09Give me Jeremiah Love. Do you have a favorite song by Fun?
64:12By Fun? Yeah. Don't they have that Tonight We Are Young?
64:15Yes! Field! I'm so proud of you, baby! That was so good!
64:19Nailed it! Oh! They have a When We Were Young.
64:21I think the Killers have that as well. I know that one.
64:24I can't sing it because I think it's a fine.
64:27Yes. But you know, as long as it's like Tonight We Are Young.
64:31Oh, I know. I know that song. Yeah. Young?
64:33Yeah. Yeah. That's a great one. They got a bunch of really good ones for what it's worth.
64:38Should we just start playing Bandle every day on here?
64:40Yes! Together? Don't tease me. I'm in. I'm in.
64:43All right. One more question here. This one comes from TGZQ6RV.
64:46Mike, is that your AI's burner handle? No, that's MC88.
64:48Baker Mayfield or Trevor Lawrence this week? Give me Lawrence.
64:51I have Lawrence. I want to say. I think I have Trevor Lawrence as well.
64:55I'm at 8 and 13. Lawrence has a solid enough edge.
64:58I have Trevor Lawrence ranked ahead of Mayfield as well.
65:01But I do like Baker. He was, I think he scored back 13 for me.
65:05I mentioned him yesterday. He's in a nice spot.
65:07I think that's going to be a high-scoring game, right?
65:10Taking on Cincy. Expect a lot of points to be scored.
65:13Maybe they've got to do a whole lot. We need some offense.
65:16Fingers crossed. Yeah, especially after these first two games.
65:18Let's get some offense going. Hey, shout out to our buddy Eric Moody.
65:22While you're watching us on Fantasy Focus Countdown on ESPN2 on Sunday, check out Fantasy Focus Sunday kickoff presented by Lowe's for your second screen experience.
65:28Live on the NFL, ESPN, NFL on ESPN YouTube page.
65:31Every Sunday starting at 1130 until 1 p.m. Eastern.
65:33Get all of your lineup questions answered by our guy Eric Moody making sure you're all set.
65:38That's going to do it for us today. Come hang out with us on Sunday.
65:42Fantasy Focus Countdown, 10 a.m. Eastern on ESPN2 for Fields and Mike.
65:45My name is Daniel. Don't forget to love each other.
65:48Be kind to yourself. And we'll see you guys on Sunday morning.
65:51This episode is brought to you by ChatGPT. Hey, it's Bill Simmons from the Bill Simmons Podcast.
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